IMAX Corporation (IMAX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
May 24, 2023
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
David Karnovsky
analystOkay. We're going to get started. Happy to have back at the conference, Rich Gelfond, CEO of IMAX Corporation. Rich, thanks so much for being here.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveThanks for inviting us, David.
David Karnovsky
analystCool. I want to kick it off with the [ slate ], which I love talking about. So you're coming off Fast X last weekend. You got a Little Mermaid coming up Memorial Day. And then pretty much through -- or straight through year-end with a small gap in August, very consistent run on tentpole films. So what does it mean for IMAX to have this lineup now as your circuit is, I think, basically almost entirely open or fully open?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveOur circuit is -- well, I wouldn't call it a circuit, as you know.
David Karnovsky
analystRight...
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveWe are a technology license company, not an exhibitor. We're in 90 countries, as you know, and 1,800 theaters license our technology globally. So it's a great time to be in the IMAX business. I mean, if you look back at 2022, except for China, we were back to pre-pandemic levels. And as you know, we said this year, including China, we expect to be back to pre-pandemic levels. And what -- what's going on out there. I guess it's IMAX customers trying to storm the door. They heard about our film slate. But if you look at IMAX through time, our box office every year has kind of gone up during the pandemic. Obviously, it had some issues. But this is a year where we think we're very much on track again. You mentioned films coming out shortly, we have an unbelievable amount of flexibility. You didn't even get -- you're talking about the next couple of weeks.
David Karnovsky
analystI'm talking about this weekend. Right, yes.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveAnd in fact, as an example of flexibility, we played Fast X last weekend, and it did well in some places and not as well in others and we're able to pivot into Little Mermaid and share schedules. So there's enormous global flexibility. And then as you go forward, you've got Indiana Jones, Mission Impossible, Oppenheimer, Dune, Aquaman, this is kind of a fantastic year. And as you know, our market share has grown in the last several years. So since before the pandemic, our market share in North America is up 50%, and our market share globally is up over 1/3. So it's a great time to be in the IMAX business.
David Karnovsky
analystYes. Timothée is the one I've got circled.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveBy the way, I have that circled too. Sorry, but I can't avoid the opening there that you gave me. On Dune 1, we got 22% of the global box office, and Dune 2 has the same cast, Timothée Chalamet and Zendaya, but it also has Austin Butler and Florence Pugh and also has more action. So that's one of the ones I have circled to, actually.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. All right. So you mentioned market share. So every Sunday morning, I read the box office roundups and the trade press, the one consistent theme, every weekend, strong PLF indexing. And that's true for IMAX for 3D proprietary formats, right? So I'm interested in your view, like what's going on with the consumer? Why are they coming to the movie theaters and they want that premium experience?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveYes. I was going to say they are coming to the movie theaters in healthy numbers, but they're coming to IMAX...
David Karnovsky
analystPremium demand.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveAnd I think it's consistent with the global trends of -- in other businesses. So you look at the phenomenon of the Taylor Swift concert, how high the ticket prices are, you look at sporting events, you look at kind of most out-of-home entertainment experiences and people willing to pay a premium for something really special. So IMAX and I'll back up without prolonging it, but a PLF is basically a big screen. An IMAX theater is an end-to-end solution, which includes filmed with IMAX cameras or using IMAX algorithms. We have real-time monitoring in our theater of what the image looks like. We have bigger brightness, laser projectors. So as you know, for Avatar, we did 11% or $250 million of the world's box office on less than 1% of the screens. So I think it's all manifesting itself on a global basis that during the pandemic, people were kind of on their couches, they weren't able to get out. And I think now that they can get out, they're going to choose what they want, that's special for them and their families. And I think IMAX is clearly part of the trend. And the indexing, you look at last weekend in China, I mean, we're on 1% of the screens, and we did 11% of Fast X in the entire world, we're over-indexing and that's part of the market share issue. And I think it's also the fact that we charge more, but I think people are saying, for something special and something out of the home and something I can enjoy with my family is something worth paying for. And I think that's the trend. And then I would say, the second part of the winds at our back is the blockbusterization of cinema. And I think IMAX has always done best with blockbusters. So I don't have a great recent example, but there was film Sideways with 2 people drinking wine in Napa. And I think that's not necessarily you want to pay extra to go see it at IMAX. But I think if you want to see Mission Impossible 8, you're going to see it in IMAX. And obviously, for Top Gun, we -- Mission Impossible first, there are many. But I think the twin trends of post-pandemic recovery and the increased number of blockbusters on a global basis. And then the third thing I would say is we're doing a lot more local language films and there are films that are traveling from one territory to another. So it's Japanese anime, it's Indian films. So I think IMAX has become a place to see blockbusters on a global basis. And all those trends are coalescing and that's what's driving our strong market position.
David Karnovsky
analystNow you're going to have to rerelease Sideways in IMAX and test it out.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveI used to talk about which is the one about cannibalism. I forget the name of it, but My Dinner with Andre. I think I could probably...
David Karnovsky
analystI was going to say Alive but...
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveI think I have not seen that. I think that might be a good idea.
David Karnovsky
analystSo at earnings at the end of April, you announced, I think it was 63 signings year-to-date, more than you had in all of 2022. I think that was outpacing 2019. Of course, not all signings are the same. So interested if you could give us a view into where you're generating this activity, how that differs from some of the markets in the past?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveYes. I think in the past, half or more of our signings were in China. And China is kind of a year behind the rest of the world and the recovery from the pandemic. So if you look back, it probably takes a year to sort of normalize before you get signings. So when you normalize and open, you might get box office because people aren't quarantined and movies are being released, they're willing to go out. But I think it takes longer than that for exhibitors in the market and say, I want to build an IMAX theater or I want to open an IMAX theater. And I think that's what we're seeing in China now. By the same token because of the market share and because of the economic model has been so strong in the other markets, there's really great demand for IMAX. So in Japan, our per screen average is close to $2 million. And to give you a context, in the U.S., it's close to $1 million. In France, it's a little over that. In India, it's similar to that. So if you look at the countries where we're doing a lot of the signings and we're generating growth, it's a lot of those places where the economic model is working so well. So let me just back up for a second. One way to think about IMAX is we're not an exhibitor. We're not a studio. We provide the technology that enables theaters on a global basis in 90 countries to use our brand and to see the movie in a really special way that no one else can show. And we get roughly, if you look at the whole, the model is somewhat complicated beginning more similar, we get $0.18 on every dollar of IMAX gross box office. So if you're in Japan, we're getting $0.18 on that $2 million, but the exhibitor is making an awful lot of money. And those are the countries where they're really doubling down and IMAX in a really big way. So in Japan, we signed a 7-theater deal earlier this year with AEON, and 3 or 4 of those are already open this year. In France, we've been very successful because of the high per screen averages that are happening. Surprisingly, of those 63 signings, 25% were in North America which is a fairly penetrated market. But I think, again, personally, the regular movie business, the ones the -- where people sell concessions and they have lots of debt and they have real estate costs, which we don't have any of, that's been slower to recover. But the IMAX end of it has been very fast to recover. So it was put best to me, I think, David, I don't want to prolong the answer, but I think it's a useful way to think about, which is an exhibitor in Europe, it's actually Kinepolis, which just signed an 8-theater deal with us throughout Europe. He said, "I don't think I'm over screened, but I think I'm under revenue either per theater or per seat. And instead of investing money in growing my network, which is what I might have done in the old days and built more screens, I have to figure out how to get more revenue per seat or more revenue per multiplex" and the way to do that is to double down on IMAX. And ironically, I think some of the issues surrounding exhibitors on a global basis too much debt, too much fixed cost, becomes much more solid by going -- by adding an IMAX rather than adding a multiplex, and it contributes to the bottom line. And I think that's really what's driving us. Just to fill it out as part of our corporate strategy. One thing that I focused on is underpenetrated markets. And although we have a global sales force, it's sometimes hard for a middle-level executive to get a meeting with the owner or the CEO of an exhibitor. So in the past -- since Christmas, I'm based in New York, I've been home something like 20 days. And I just got back from 2 weeks, I was in Germany because in Germany, we have 10 screens for 80 million people. In Ecuador, we have 10 screens in Ecuador. So we've identified that market as potentially a very strong market. I went to Japan because that also, as I mentioned, the high PSAs. After Germany last week, I was in France, and we announced a number of deals in France, and there's a lot more going on in France. So we're trying to strategically look at markets that are performing very well but are underpenetrated and to focus on those. I guess another one, I forgot, I've been traveling so much, but I was India, where we have 23 theaters and India has the same population as China, where we have 800 theaters. So we're trying to adapt our business model and focus on places where we're underpenetrated and there's really good growth prospects.
David Karnovsky
analystAnd that under penetration, I mean, what's that a function of, right, in a place like Germany? And it sounds like the shift is reflective of the shift in what's going on with the overall movie landscape, right? I mean, what you just talked to.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveSo I think the under penetration is based on a number of factors and some of them are local factors. So an example would be in India, it's been -- they're not building a lot of new malls. So there's not a lot of places to go. In Germany, I think culturally, they're slower to change the business model, so it's -- as I said to you, it's doing around $1 million PSA and one reason I went there was to meet a lot of the exhibitors and say, what am I missing here? You're in the same position as Ecuador but you have this PSA, and they've kind of been saying, people who aren't here -- by the way, in Germany, there's no transparency. So if you're not in the IMAX business, you don't know what the IMAX business is doing. So you have to kind of proselytize to bring people in. Or part of the strategy also is to create the true impression of scarcity. So we -- in England, we were at like 10 theaters forever, and that's because we had one partner and that one partner thought, "Well, I'm in no rush, whenever I feel like opening one, I could open one." Then we found 2 other partners and all of a sudden, there was a sense of urgency because we have exclusive zones around IMAX theaters. So the other exhibitors sort of came into the business, and now we have 60 in the U.K., a period of time later. And I think, in particular, in France and Japan, there are more people in the business than there used to be. So I think it's both the opportunity side and the fear of missing outside.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. Ultimately, IMAX generated systems revenue when those signings are executed as installations. So is there a way to frame how the acceleration in deal activity ultimately goes over to system sales? And are there constraints to think about also in that process?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveSure. So kind of the chain works, you get an inquiry, then the inquiry turns into a signing, then in generally between 1 and 3 years, the signing turns into a new theater. And then when the theater opens, we get a fee from the exhibitor. And we get sometimes an upfront payment. And sometimes, we share revenues with them depending on the territory and the business model. And we also get a fee from the studio, typically, we get 12.5% of the IMAX box office globally from the studio. So at the time of the signing, even though we may get cash up front, we frequently do, we don't recognize the revenue until the theater is installed, which is later in the cycle, and when it's installed, if it's a revenue share, we don't really recognize revenue at that time, if it's a sale or a hybrid, we'll recognize the revenue at that time. And then once it opens, we get ongoing revenue. Now also a really important point which people miss because it's similar to a software model, we get a very significant chunk of revenue from maintenance every year. Our typical maintenance per theater is about USD 35,000 a year, and we have as I said, approaching 2,000 theaters in the world. So even if they do limited box office, we're getting that recurring revenue stream even before you turn on the box office things. So -- the new theater is really a leading indicator of where our earnings will be a few years out, although in a year like this one, where we're installing relatively quickly after we sign, it could have a shorter term impact.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. I want to talk a little bit more about local content. So during the pandemic, out of necessity, I think you shifted into local films because Hollywood was -- production was disrupted or films were going to streaming. Coming out of the pandemic, though, local has a significantly greater presence under screen than prior. So what are the key advantages for you and your exhibition partners in balancing that mix of content?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveSo there have been kind of 3 phases of local content. The first one was the pre-pandemic, we kind of just dabbled and in places like China, where we had a pretty decent footprint. We've made local language films. We worked with studios, directors to either film with IMAX or to convert to IMAX. And it was a pretty decent business. And as a matter of fact, in China, in 2020 and '21, the largest box office films in the world were 2 out of China, The 800 and The Battle at Lake Changjin, and they were both filmed with IMAX cameras. And they -- I mean, they did high hundreds of millions, like $700 million, $800 million, but almost all of that was in China. Phase 2 was we kind of broadened that effort. So now we're -- to give you a sense in India, I think something like 3% of our revenues were Indian films in 2019. And I think in '22, it was around 20% of our revenues and in the first quarter of this year, 1/3 of IMAX's global revenues were from foreign content. But now we're in kind of Phase 3 of foreign content, which is really interesting to me and for the future. And I think we're ahead of the studios on this, and I think you'll see this follow suit, which is local language films doing well outside of their local territory. So a film called Pathaan in India, we did way more outside India in IMAX than we did in India. And we did it in Scandinavia. We did it in Europe. We did it in the United States, even a local Chinese film like Wandering Earth that came to the U.S., we did 30% of the U.S. box office because we -- we were associated with.
David Karnovsky
analystI was going to say the studios are relying on you to signal, right?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveThe Chinese studios in that case or the Indian studios. And right now, we have a French blockbuster called The 3 Musketeers, that's playing. We even did a film in Indonesia that came out recently. And I think one of the things investors and even analysts, and you may totally get this, David, I don't know. But they say like after our first quarter, they said, well, IMAX did great, but there was Avatar, there were other blockbusters, but 1/3 of our revenues were from local language films in the first quarter. So also people look at it and they go, well, this is a week -- weekend for whatever reason, and they say, but they don't know that it could be over half our revenue that weekend is coming from films they've never heard of. Now the good news is every week, we post our results online. So they know there's no surprise at the end of the quarter where it came from, but I think it's a hard thing to model because -- and then the last point I'll make on this is I think it's part of a global trend. So look at Netflix and look at how successful they've been with foreign language films, particularly Korean films. So I think in the movie side of the business, we're on the cutting edge of this. But really, no one other than Netflix is really early on and seeing what that trend is.
David Karnovsky
analystYes. I wonder if you could talk a little bit about the sourcing of local content because I remember when you first started carrying local language in your China -- in China, right, there was a challenge, at least initially in figuring out which films are going to be successful, took some time, you had to integrate with local filmmakers there. Are you -- is there a similar process now kind of going on with other regions?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveSo yes, let me start with China. So we have a new CEO in China named Daniel Manwaring, and Daniel who ran CAA's Motion Picture Finance Group for over a decade and very well connected. So in addition to knowing the studios and the filmmakers, we've actually hired someone whose expertise is really finding those and reaching out. We also, because we built such deep relationships there with the student -- I mean, they'll call us and say, 2 years from now, we're doing this, and we need you to be part of it. So that -- you're right, that's the place when it started, but we're kind of using a similar model elsewhere in the world. So India is a very good example. So I think last -- it's either last year or this year, we'll do around 15, 20 films in India. And we have -- in our headquarters in L.A., our film headquarters, we have a team that sources them, and we have relationships with the directors and producers and the studios. So we have that way in. But we also have partners on the ground in those countries, so we have theaters there. So we also talk to our theater owners there, and we reach out and we say what films would you like to play in that market. And that's particularly effective because of the way the schedule works. So for example, in North America, February is not a very good month for a variety of reasons. But in China, it's Chinese New Year, and we did $100 million in box office in China in the first quarter because it was Chinese New Year and we picked the right films over there. So the globalization also makes us not only more immune into Hollywood, but it makes it much more less cyclical. So you can fill in your gaps at that time. But also, we're taking a lot of other steps, which we haven't talked that much about, but we should talk about them a little bit, now. So in the big local markets like China, like India and starting in Japan, we're doing -- we put our DMR process which is the one that converts the films to IMAX films in the cloud. And we've partnered with local post-production partners. So for example, in India, we used to have to -- if there was a film being released, we needed to send the film to L.A. We needed them to put our magic process around it. Then we needed to send it back to India. We needed to work with the filmmaker in India. He'd have comments. It would come back to L.A. So doing local language films is more complicated. Now in India, we have a partner which not only can do it, it's a very sophisticated company using our DMR in the cloud, can DMR it quickly. So you don't have to get delivery a lot in advance and can do it just as well as they could do it in L.A. But as a side benefit, it won't surprise you, it's a lot cheaper to do it there. But I think the last point I should make is maybe the most important one, which is that Japanese anime is really on a breakout. And Japanese anime, so there were 2 films, 1 called Suzume and one...
David Karnovsky
analystDemon Slayer.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveNo, no. Slam Dunk.
David Karnovsky
analystOkay.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveWhich did more business in China than they did in Japan for us in IMAX. And there -- and Suzume also did business in the U.S. and elsewhere and anime is just for some reason, there's really a strong brand affiliation between IMAX and between anime. So Anime is really working on a global basis. And I think that's driving a lot of our foreign language growth.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. You talked about the balance, but I'll push on the Hollywood side, and I know I've asked you this question a bunch, but. So the Hollywood title started securing China release dates again. You could say the early performance was mixed more recently. I think it's been better with Fast X. But interested to kind of get your view of the local taste in that market. Have they shifted at all during COVID? Or was that maybe early Marvel performance an anomaly?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveSo. I'll answer your overall question, but I don't think you could say the only performance was mixed because Avatar came out. If you remember, the country was shut down and then it opened the day Avatar opened. And in IMAX, we did about $55 million in China when it was still in the middle of the COVID pandemic. So I think for the right movie, people will obviously come out, and that's part of our first quarter where we did $100 million in Chinese box office, which I think -- I'm looking at Natasha -- that was our best first quarter ever in China. So I think, yes, then some of the Marvel movies didn't perform, but I think the narrative is a little overstated when you're in early May, you just had your best first quarter ever...
David Karnovsky
analystFair enough. Yes.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveThat's a little bit of a stretch. And you're right, Fast, we did 11% of the box office on 1% of the screens last weekend. So I know there is a narrative. But I think the more important narrative is China is still in a recovery phase. Our China office told me, and I did not know this, that the Fast performance was even more remarkable because there's a COVID mini outbreak again in China, which not surprisingly is not on the front page of every newspaper in China. It's not like it was, and it's not lethal, it's kind of like in the U.S. but you don't like come out of it and then you come out of it tomorrow. It takes a little time to normalize. And I think we're in the process of normalizing. And again, because of our relationships with the local content filmmakers is because our new CEO in China is very well connected because of big movies coming like Mission that I think will do extremely well in China. And I should point out that I've been doing this at IMAX for 29 years. And I've never seen China let as many movies in as early as they have this year. So every movie we have through June and into early July, has gotten approval. So we're talking about Flash. We're talking about Indiana Jones, Little Mermaid. I don't know if Mission has been submitted yet, but I know they're expecting that to get in. And -- but they used to be let in at the last minute, like they played little games because they wanted less marketing time. But now the Chinese are much more interested in getting their domestic economy rolling and getting people back going to malls rather they are and are they doing 50% market share or 53% market share. So they really opened the doors in China right now with time to market. So again, the way I recap it, David, is I don't think it's going to be back to normal because it's not a light switch. It's a faucet, but I think it's headed in that direction at a fairly rapid pace.
David Karnovsky
analystOkay. I want to make sure we ask -- we get the SSIMWAVE. So you've held that asset for around 6 months now. I guess how are you thinking about what needs to be done in terms of building up the product before you can bring a more expansive offering to the market?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveSo SSIMWAVE is a business I'm extremely excited about. And for those of you who aren't familiar, I'll just digress for a minute, which is, as you said 6 months ago, it's a tech company that's based in Waterloo, Ontario, not far from our Canadian headquarters in Mississauga. And they have lots of technology, but their primary technology takes content, mostly streaming content, but it could also be broadcast content and figures out how to optimize it to put it through the pipes, putting it in Gelfond moron language rather than technical language. So if you're watching the news on this device, you can compress the hell out of the image and so if you're Disney+ or Comcast or whoever you are. And by compressing the image, you can save a lot of money putting it through the pipes. On the other hand, if you are watching one of the Chris Nolan movies on a 100-inch television, if you compress it too much, it will look not -- it look terrible. So what SSIMWAVE's technology does, it's backed by a lot of AI intelligence. It maps the human view of perception and it looks at what device every viewer is watching. It looks at what the content is and it optimizes how much you can compress it. And there have been some early tests done and by numerous people that show probably today, streamers could save in the neighborhood of about 20% of their streaming costs and again, the physical cost of streaming. And that's a very significant number. I mean, it's hundreds of millions of dollars that are being streamed. So we -- that's one of the primary reasons we bought the company. Before we launch that product broadly, we -- there are some organizational changes we needed to make. So we hired a Chief Revenue Officer. We have a new management team in place and we kind of soft launched it at NAB like about 3 weeks ago. And we got a really good response, a meaningful number of leads. What -- again, it's only been a little while, but the leads we've had have been testing it out and the tests have gone fairly well on it. And I'm incredibly optimistic adding NAB in our category, we submitted some of our products and SSIMWAVE's, one of its products won the best product at NAB. So again, could I give you a model, if you ask me in general, I think, it's not going to have a big financial impact in '23. But I expect at some point in '24, it's going to have a meaningful financial impact. And it's a SaaS business model. So it's a very high-margin business, and we're in the process of launching it, and we're excited about it.
David Karnovsky
analystWith streaming is the end customer, is there any tie-in with IMAX Enhanced?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveThere is. And I think that we're working on how to integrate that. And again, for those of you who don't know, IMAX Enhanced is a product that goes on large television sets and it creates the IMAX aspect ratio. So the most well-known arrangement we have out there, today is for all Disney Marvel titles, for the last, I don't know, 5 years or something like that, plus the new ones. If you go on Disney+, the default is IMAX Enhanced and it says IMAX Enhanced on the television set in Disney even runs commercials, saying coming soon in IMAX Enhanced. So obviously, because the -- and by the way, Disney+ is also a client of SSIMWAVE, as are companies like Comcast, and Paramount+ and HBO and a lot of them. So it's the same client base. But all of that is based really on a bigger vision, which is IMAX. I think we've done a really good job at penetrating the out-of-home market. And I think we have a long way to go in that market. But the brand is so strong. We're trying to figure out ways to broaden it in the home and both Enhanced and SSIMWAVE are ways to do that.
David Karnovsky
analystOkay. We have about a minute left. Let me just get one in on capital allocation. So you've been, what I would term an opportunistic repurchaser of your stock over the past couple of years, especially when you look at the average buyback price to where it is now. Maybe just refresh on how you're thinking about that relative to some of the initiatives you just spoke about?
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveAlmost all of these initiatives are low -- have low capital expenditures. And for example, SSIMWAVE, as I said, it's a SaaS model. So you have to invest a little. But once you get it out there, cost of goods sold is just small fraction of what the cost of the product is. So we're thinking about buybacks in the same way, I think we've always thought about them is to be opportunistic. And we -- over the years, we bought in stock at higher prices than it is today. We brought in stock at lower prices than it is today. I forget, over the last year, we bought in like 9% of our stock. And if you look at -- if we return to pre-pandemic levels, even without multiple expansion, I mean, the stock price compared to where it is today, where it's been historically is kind of embarrassingly low. So we'll remain opportunistic. We'll see how our company looks. We'll see what our cash balances are. We'll see what the stock price is and then we'll make opportunistic investments if it makes sense.
David Karnovsky
analystGot it. Okay. Rich, thanks so much for being here.
Richard L. Gelfond
executiveRight down to 0 seconds, David. Perfect. Thanks.
David Karnovsky
analystThanks, Rich.
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