Indutrade AB (publ) (INDT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

October 20, 2020

Nasdaq Stockholm SE Industrials Machinery earnings 54 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Hello, and welcome to the Indutrade AB Q3 Report 2020. [Operator Instructions] Today, I'm pleased to present the CEO, Bo Annvik; and the CFO, Patrik Johnson. Please go ahead with your meeting.

Bo Annvik

executive
#2

Thank you and good afternoon, and welcome on our behalf as well. We are obviously looking forward to present this report. We are happy with the content of the report. And we start immediately by introducing some of the highlights from the third quarter. You see on the slide we that we gradually improved the market situation or we experienced to gradually improved market situation. But still the overall demand impacting negatively by the COVID-19 situation and we will obviously elaborate a lot more on this further along in the presentation. Briefly then organic order intake minus 2%, and organic net sales unchanged, so a strong sort of demand situation. Significant variations as we have said in the previous quarters between companies, segments and markets. And we are presenting a record high EBITA margin, to some extent, driven by positive demand in certain segments and also, to a large extent, very good cost management. We had, as also in quarter 2, very strong cash flow. And we are also happy with our acquisition pipeline, now we have acquired 9 companies, very good companies so far during this year and we will talk a bit more about the acquisition situation further down here. In terms of the situation overall. Now I would say that we have had I would say the same priorities this last quarter since the pandemic started. First of all, obviously, the health and safety of our people and also the people around us being customers, suppliers and others having sort of reasons to interact with Indutrade. Secondly, to really try to protect our profit margins. And thirdly, in a dynamic situations like this there are always business opportunities arising, so try to basically capture on the volatile and dynamic landscape around us. If we then turn slide and we thought it would be helpful and meaningful to quite early in the presentation start to describe the effects we have had of the COVID-19 situation this quarter. So we have a couple of points trying to explain this. First of all, perhaps not surprising, again, demand has improved gradually. But a majority of the companies were still to some extent negatively impacted by the pandemic. I would also say that some MedTech companies have had a positive impact by COVID-19 but this impact is slightly less in quarter 3 than in quarter 2. So from a market perspective, majority of the companies had negative impact and a lower number of companies in the MedTech sector has had a positive COVID-19 push, it was much stronger in quarter 2 but some impact in quarter 3. The cost measures have been taken, I would say, strongly by all companies who have experienced decreasing volumes. So that's a broad type of activity. And we have had short-time work, which is declining. So at the end of this quarter, we had approximately 600 persons involved in short time work activities out of 7,200 employees approximately. And the number of sort of permanent reductions since quarter 1 is 260. Just as a reference, then in quarter 2, we had approximately 1,000 persons furloughed, so it's a dramatically lower number now than it was at the end of quarter 2. We have been given some governmental support and that corresponds to approximately 0.5% in relation to net sales. And in absolute terms, SEK 22 million approximately. And that's also dramatically lower than in quarter 2, where we had 1.5% of sales in profit impact and approximately SEK 70 million, so that's also decreasing but having a -- some impact on profitability. And then we also had in this quarter now a total of SEK 21 million in nonrecurring items. And this is primarily relating to the pandemic. And what we have done is that we have basically released earn-out provisions of SEK 197 million, and they correspond to a bit more than a handful of companies. And unfortunately, these companies haven't been able to realize their top line and nor their bottom line plan, you can say, so then we have made these earn-out provision releases. And linked to this, we have written down the goodwill in some of these companies with SEK 141 million. And in addition to that, based on the difficult cost situation in some of the companies, we have also made some restructurings. And this has been primarily done in the U.K. and Sweden and this accounts for about SEK 35 million. And then the net, which is the net result of these activities is SEK 21 million, which had a positive impact on our profit in the quarter here. So by this you should have a good understanding of COVID-19 effects of our numbers. And that all one-off items are reported in the consolidated financial statement and no effects on the business area level. Then I think we turn to the order intake slide and try to explain this a bit more. So as I said the pandemic continue to have negative impact on the majority of our companies. But less impact than in quarter 2. And again, you are stating that there is large variations between companies, segments and business areas. We have seen strong development in some companies and primarily in the sectors in MedTech and pharmaceuticals. Some of that has been COVID-19 related but actually majority of it has not. And there are good segments infrastructure-related and in specific more water and wastewater, good segment and quite a lot of companies having positive impact from that. We've also had a -- the demand for valves for power generation continue to be good, but this is sequentially flattening out and it is also having a difficult reference from 2019. Many of our companies exposed to the general engineering and automotive sectors still have lower demand, but slightly improved versus quarter 2. So picking up step-by-step. If we look at business areas, I would say that Business Area Flow and Fluids & Mechanical Solutions have the best development and the more weaker situation in Measurement & Sensor Technology and in DACH, and I will come back to this in a separate slide. The book-to-bill was slightly negative, minus 2%. And if we exit it was more or less flat actually. Okay. So to sum up, all in all, minus 2%. And if we exclude power generation impact, it was more or less flat actually. So to sum up, all in all, total growth in the quarter, minus 3%; organic growth, minus 2%, if you exclude power generation, more flattish, I would say; and acquisition effects, plus 3%; and then currency, minus 3%. If we comment on a more general dimension, I would say, which I've said before, that what I call the day-to-day business is on a good level, I would say, generalizing. What we lack is more project-related sales, which, on a customer level involves CapEx investments and things like that, that's where many of our companies are behind versus last year, I would say. Then we turn to net sales. And obviously, a bit in line with the order intake development, also negatively impacted by the pandemic, but there has been a strong backlog, which has been positively used to invoice. And the sales situation is, hence, a bit better than the order intake. So we were flat in terms of total net sales, and acquisitions made it plus 3%, and currency is, again, minus 3%. And if we try to talk about sales in more of a geographic perspective, it's a lot of markets where we are rather flat, I would say, standing out positively is Denmark. Not sure I can explain exactly why? But maybe more that we have some really good companies in Denmark, gaining market share in a positive sense. And then weaker development in Germany and Finland. Germany, I think it's easier to understand high-impact on the automotive sector there. And Finland, a lot of base industry, process industry, CapEx intense, less investments. So we see, in general, then that Finland is going down a bit. U.K. is also problematic. And we'll see what happens in terms of Brexit there. But yes, difficult quarter for many of our companies there. That was more or less on the sales side, all I wanted to say. If we then look at the profitability, so despite flat sales development, we grew with 16%, and the EBITA margin in total was record high with 14.9%. Obviously, a great result, all-time high. And organic impact increased 16%, acquisition, 3%; and currency, again, minus 3%. We usually really want to follow profitability more in an underlying perspective or organic perspective. So obviously, we want to exclude these one-offs I spoke about earlier. And if you do that, the margin was 14.4%. And the contribution improvement is again coming a lot from the MedTech sector, pharma sector, strong invoicing and hence, profitability in the power generation sector, wastewater sectors and also really a good sort of proof of the agility in our company's great cost measures taken and cost management in a lot of the companies. So they really try to follow expenses in relation to sales and bring this down as quickly as they see order intake negatively affected. I already spoke about the headcount sort of situation. So I don't think I need to reiterate that. But the governmental support was also impacting approximately 0.5%. So perhaps more true underlying, we were at 13.9% than compared to 12.8% last year. The governmental support, I would say, are good to have. But if we wouldn't have given this or awarded this, we would have dealt with our costs more resolutely anyhow. So I think we would have managed well even without them. I would say that a lot of our company is in a situation now where they basically will balance, should I invest now in quarter 4 going forward for a potentially better market and bring up the cost base a little bit? Or should I be cautious and keep the low-cost level? And I think this will differ between different companies, but I think it's going to be difficult for us to keep the very low-cost level we have right now as an ongoing level going forward. So cost will, for sure, I think, go up to some extent. But I think our MDs in our different companies will manage top line and try to balance this as best possible. So we still think we will manage this in a good way going forward. If we then look at how the different business areas have dealt with top line in the quarter. You see that in the graph here. And again, there are large variations, as I have said, and the pandemic have had impact basically in all business areas, obviously. The strongest development we saw in business area, Benelux and explained by good power generation sales and also the MedTech sector, I would say. We have companies involving pharmaceutical, call it, packaging broadly and also a lot of single-use type of equipment in a broad number of application areas, MedTech wise. So good development there. The decline in DACH is, I would say, mostly related to the automotive and engineering sector in Germany. The Swiss cluster in the DACH region is much more stable. So it's more of a Germanic or Germany impact area, one can say. And in Finland, I spoke about that already, fewer projects, CapEx related investments. We see bigger customer companies in Finland, like [indiscernible] John Deere, Forest Machinery and so on, having more of a slightly difficult situation. And I think Q4 will be a bit more difficult in Finland. But there are some investments. I know the meds companies investing heavily, and we gained some business from that. Business area flow stand out very positively, great performance and driven again by biopharma investments and MedTech investments, but also in general, some process industry. And again, infrastructure, water, wastewater related. And they also, I would say, in general, benefit from not being that involved in general engineering and automotive. If we take Fluids & Mechanical Solutions, they had good development, and that was driven by the aftermarket in the automotive sector and also to some extent, water, wastewater, more problems, I would say, in terms of filters and hydraulics linked to the pandemic. In industrial components, we saw a stable, slightly positive situation, lot of variations within industrial components, but strong positive cluster in the MedTech sector, but they also have quite a lot of engineering and automotive-related companies with clearly lower order intake in sales. But as I said, sequentially improving a bit, at least. And then we have business area Measurement & Sensor Technology and U.K., noting the largest declines. And this is related, I would say, mostly to the automotive sector in the U.K., the aerospace sector, where we have a couple of companies usually having a great performance. So mix wise, having quite a lot of impact there. And we have a few companies also related to oil and gas in that region. If we then look at the profitability in terms of business areas, it's anyway, comforting to see that 7 out of 8 business areas had an improving EBITA margin. So broad, stable, most part of the groups actually improved. Strongest improvements in Flow Technology and Industrial Components, but also actually all-time high in Finland. So really good performance there. And I think I've already mentioned the sectors driving this. I don't need to reiterate that. Very good cost management, I've also spoken about, along basically all areas, all companies and really impressive work by our management teams in our companies. And even if we take out the governmental support and so on, this doesn't really change the situation in any significant way. It's still broad and saw profit improvement. And the only area where we had -- we saw a decline was, as you see in the U.K., and this is definitely linked to the pandemic and a broad number of companies being challenged by that, but still presenting a 12.5% margin is actually great work. If we then look at acquisitions, we have made 3 great acquisitions recently in, I would say, really good segments where we want to be. We bought the company HoFa in the Netherlands involved in specialized fasteners. Critical component in a lot of systems, applications, low piece price and used sort of very broadly in terms of customer base and so on and so forth. So really, a product area we want to be in and a product area we know well from other companies. And then we acquired U.K. Gas, a MedTech company and Cheiron in Czech, also a MedTech company. Both of them with low cyclicality, underlying growth in the segments as such and good profit potential. So very pleased with that. So far, we have now made 9 acquisitions, totaling sales of slightly more than SEK 700 million. So even if we have the pandemic, we were able to close some good transactions or projects. We are also quite happy with the inflow of companies. So we feel that we have a good sort of number of interesting companies to work with. However, we are prolonging the project time or activity time in these cases, just to make sure that when we close, we close at a time where we have a sort of a stable business environment and the acquisition can be accretive basically immediately when we finalize the case. And I think still the acquisition perspective is very positive, and I would be surprised if we wouldn't continue to do something before year-end here. So by that, I leave the word over to Patrik to elaborate on the financials a bit more in detail.

Patrik Johnson

executive
#3

Thank you, Bo, and good afternoon, everybody. So let's dive a little bit more into the details, the financial details then. As we noted earlier the total growth for orders was minus 3% and unchanged for net sales in the quarter. And year-to-date, we are plus 4% for orders and plus 5% for sales. As Bo spoke about earlier, the order intake was 2% below invoicing. And that is explained then by valves for power generation. They had a very strong quarter in terms of delivery and sales, while orders are more flattening out a little bit then. So that explains the book-to-bill situation very much. Gross margin is slightly lower than last year, both in the quarter and year-to-date. And it's primarily, I would say, the mix related, slightly less favorable mix regarding companies and products. And on top of that, we also have some extra cost for inventory obsolescence in the quarter. So that also explains part of the gross margin, the lower gross margin. EBITA grew 16% in the quarter, and margin improved to a record high for 14% versus 12.8% last year. And again, repeating a little bit what Bo said, if you exclude the nonrecurring costs and also governmental support, the underlying margin would have been then 13.9%, still well ahead of last year. Accumulated 20.4% versus 12.5% like last year. Going further down the P&L. Finance net is lower than last year. And that's partly driven actually by -- we have had some positive impact actually from the nonrecurring items, also on the finance net connected to the release of earn-out provisions. So that's a onetime effect that helps us a little bit in the quarter. And on top of that, we have also a lower debt, which also reduces the finance costs. On the tax side, where the tax costs are only up 12%, while the profit before tax is up 21%, that's also connected to the nonrecurring costs in the quarter. Underlying, I would say, we are relatively stable on tax rate close to last year. Earnings per share, up 25% in the quarter and 12% year-to-date. Return on capital employed, basically the same level as last year, 19%. Cash flow, as last quarter, very strong, up with 43% to SEK 761 million. And I will elaborate on that a little bit more on the next slide. Net debt/EBITDA lower than last year, and that's, among other things, driven by the good cash flow, and I'll elaborate a little bit more on that also in a few slides. Okay. So cash flow then. As you can see, very strong, grew 43% versus last year. And the improvement is mainly driven by an improved working capital development. Last year, we actually increased the operating working capital slightly. This year, it's going down slightly. So that's the biggest impact. And then, of course, the higher result helps us also a lot. Inventories show a slight decrease organically, but we still feel it's on a slightly high level. And we have deliberately chosen not to push too hard in this area during the pandemic so far to make sure we safeguard service levels. That's important in the competition about the customers. So this -- I think this has actually supported us in some market share growth during the quarter -- during the pandemic so far. Earnings per share grew, as I said earlier, with 25% to SEK 3.8, and the improvement, of course, mainly comes from the strong EBITA. But also then, thanks to lower finance costs and tax costs I talked about earlier. If you look at the more longer-term perspective and the 3- and 5-year rolling -- 5-quarter (sic) [ 4-quarter ] rolling earnings per share, they are up 12% and 13%, respectively. Debt. The interest-bearing net debt had continued to decline and was at the end of the quarter, at -- basically at SEK 5.8 billion compared to SEK 6.1 billion last year, so basically SEK 1 billion lower. The decrease comes from the strong cash flow, of course, but also the fact that we did not pay any dividend this year helps us, of course, on the debt situation. And slightly fewer acquisitions also completed during the year so far. So that, of course, helps us also on this side. Net debt-to-equity ratio decreased to 61% from 85% last year. And from a historical perspective, I think this is a low level. And consequently, our financial position is very strong. And in general, the debt ratios are relatively low. And another perspective than on the financial position. If you look at the end of quarter 3, our short-term funding was slightly lower than SEK 0.5 billion, and our long-term unutilized credit facilities were SEK 3.5 billion. So good headroom. And yes, good flexibility and capability to act if we want to. And I end there. Thank you, and I lead over back to Bo.

Bo Annvik

executive
#4

Okay. Thank you, Patrik. Here you see a slide basically describing our main segments, and I just want to reiterate that we are fortunate to have a broad customer segment portfolio with basically no or low segment dependency and a bit of a business cycle hedging. And I would say that we are very resilient in weak cycles relative a stereotypical industrial company. So strong position to have. Also very importantly, I would like to spend some time on digitalization and sustainability. I think we are making great progress and taking a lot of large steps forward in very short time here. To start with digitalization, we are basically forced to do this in a positive sense based on the pandemic. And there is great progress made in our different companies, perhaps mostly in the area of sales, where you basically constructively question outside sales versus inside sales and invest a lot more in the electronic tools to, I would say, improve quality, lower cost basis and increase efficiency and so on. Both marketing and training, a lot of new, I would say, tools using online sort of webinars and things, which are also actually improving quality and reducing cost. And we see also in the industrial system, a lot of more control-related opportunities, which can be cloud-based and so on, which are more and more used. And also in administration, we are trying to become more efficient. And I know that even one company are investing in some sort of robot in the bookkeeping area basically. So lot of interesting things happen, and we are keen to progress in this area. Also in sustainability, we think we are quite good and have been quite good for some time based on our long-term perspective and our commitment to things. But we are wanting to become even better, and we are working as a team now on -- and have been working on this for quite some time on our long-term sustainability vision. And we are basically soon going to launch a new sort of set of goals in this area, which are, I would say, challenging and inspiring and hopefully also comforting for the external audience in terms of what Indutrade is targeting in this area. We have also launched ESG-related KPIs for this year for all our companies to work with, and we have introduced systems to manage this efficiently. So yes, I would say, positive commitment and great engagement in this area broadly in the group. And this is not something we only think is sort of something we do for -- basically, the external world are pressuring us. We believe this is good business sense and creating business opportunity and also making us obviously a relevant and good employer and being relevant for both customers and suppliers. So good progress in this area, important. Then if we go to the summary slide, try to elaborate a bit on the key takeaways of our presentation. So we see a gradual improvement during the quarter, but still, majority of the companies have been impacted negatively by the pandemic. Large variations between companies, segments and markets. We have said that before, it's still true, but the total outcome of all of those variations are still positive. And we had record-high earnings, and this was driven by some strong segments, but also very good cost management and agility in our companies. It's continued uncertainty going forward, and perhaps it has increased a bit even based on that, we see further spread of COVID-19 in some countries. Brexit is coming up for sort of the final decision between the EU and the U.K., there is the U.S. election and so on and so forth. But October is, I would say, still what we see now looking good, but November and December is more uncertain. In terms of invoicing days, we have one less invoicing day in October. And theoretically, we have 2 more in December, but it still depends a little bit on how different customer companies will manage the last week [ 52 ] there. If they keep open a bit in the beginning of the week or if they close sort of early, but hopefully, they are open. But even if the world is a little bit uncertain, we have focused on what we can impact and there is a large desire to make progress in the Indutrade group. So we are still sort of cautiously optimistic going forward. So by that, we end the formal presentation and thank you for listening so far, and we open up for question session.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Johan Dahl of Danske Bank.

Johan Dahl

analyst
#6

Just on the -- clearly impressive margins in the quarter here, even if we exclude all these -- both one-offs and government support. But what I'm curious about is, is it primarily in your minds, is it business mix? Or is it cost out that have explained this rapid improvement in margins? I mean, you took out -- I think you said in the report, 260 people. So that seems it would explain a lot of the productivity improvement? Or is it rather business mix?

Bo Annvik

executive
#7

Yes. I would say both, actually, I -- there is a lot of dynamic movements below the surface of. So we have a large number of companies who have suffered a bit but been extremely good at reducing costs. So protecting margin. And we have some companies than having a great performance, top line-wise, gross margin-wise and improving profit levels. So I think there is an impact from both, but Patrik is smarter than me, so he can perhaps explain this even better.

Patrik Johnson

executive
#8

No, I don't think so. But it's both, of course. And -- but elaborate a little bit on the cost side, I think our companies have been extremely good in managing the costs and taking out people permanently has been sort of one tool, but definitely not the only one. Of course, they work with all sort of levers they can and travels, other types of external costs have been held very low during the quarter, of course, and that impacts a lot as well. So cost management has helped the, call it, the software companies a lot, and they protected their margin in a really good way. And then on top of that, we have also a good number of companies performing really, really strong. So I think it's -- I don't know if we disappoint you Johan, but it's both.

Johan Dahl

analyst
#9

No, no. I'm just trying to get the numbers right here. But you made a charge here in the quarter, one-off charge for redundancies, I think, was that for the 260? Or if that's sort of for new productivity measures? And secondly, the 600 people on furlough, is that also sort of a representation of further productivity improvements? Or is it something else?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#10

Well, the 206 -- the one-off we took is related to the 260. We will see some more in quarter 4, that relates to this one-off. But I would say 80% of the headcount reduction related to the one-off is seen in the Q3 numbers. Then let's see, I mean, the companies are still evaluating what potentially needs to be done more as -- but that's a balance, of course, how quickly sales recovers and governmental support and furlough solutions are disappearing.

Johan Dahl

analyst
#11

Just finally, before getting back in line, how concerned are you that this health MedTech related products that are selling very well at the moment, sort of becomes a difficult comp going into next year? Is that something you're thinking about? Or do you think it's more of a structured growth story in this health care exposures?

Bo Annvik

executive
#12

About a minority of the health care cluster is having a positive COVID push and they will obviously have a very difficult reference in quarter 2 next year, perhaps also a little bit in quarter 3. But majority of the sales from that cluster is not having a COVID push, COVID-19 push. So that's not normal, but very positive organic growth, which hopefully will continue going forward. But every company is unique and every company situation is a little bit unique. So it's always tenuous to generalize, but that's the overall perspective, I would say.

Operator

operator
#13

Our next question comes from the line of Carl Ragnerstam of Nordea.

Carl Ragnerstam

analyst
#14

It's Carl Ragnerstam from Nordea. So first of all, on the nuance topic here, you mentioned that you've been taking out 260 FTEs since Q1. How many of these did you take out in Q3 or worst all of them?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#15

I don't have that number exactly, but I would say slightly more than half of it is in quarter 3, yes.

Carl Ragnerstam

analyst
#16

And should we expect the majority of that to be -- or the effect of that to be seen already in Q4? Or is it more of a trend going into 2021 thing for the half that you took out in Q3 that is?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#17

No. I would say that the sort of the savings effect from that, that will come already in quarter 4. And -- but it is partly -- I mean, as we also wrote in the report, it's much related to the business area or country that did most in this area is U.K. and they are already now reducing furloughs. So it's sort of -- this permanent reduction is replacing the temporary reductions to furloughs. So yes, it helps them going forward.

Carl Ragnerstam

analyst
#18

Okay. Perfect. And also, you also mentioned -- talked about the cost ramp-up as a function of sales recovering. Is it possible for you to sort of quantify what impact less traveling and thereby less sales selling expenses had in Q3 and a little bit how we should look at the cost ramp-up going into Q4?

Bo Annvik

executive
#19

I think we refrain from that. It's a little bit too much sort of detail.

Carl Ragnerstam

analyst
#20

Okay. Perfect. And the final one from my side. If you could give some flavor on the MedTech or medical segment growth in the quarter, and also how much MedTech represented in terms of group sales in Q3.

Patrik Johnson

executive
#21

Now, we don't have the quarter -- I mean we only disclose these numbers on an annual basis. And they represented, I would say, 30% of our group sales last year, and they have -- I mean, they have grown more than group average, so it's slightly more now than, but that's basically all we can say.

Carl Ragnerstam

analyst
#22

And could you say anything about the general growth pace for the subsegment in broad terms?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#23

Sorry, could you repeat that?

Carl Ragnerstam

analyst
#24

Could you please give us some information about the general growth piece for the subsegment MedTech or MedTech plus pharma in more broader terms?

Bo Annvik

executive
#25

It's very -- a lot of actually different application areas comprised under the heading MedTech pharma. So it's impossible to generalize there to actually still be professional, I must say. So we can't really do that.

Operator

operator
#26

Our next question comes from the line of Robert Redin of Carnegie.

Robert Redin

analyst
#27

Yes. Two questions, if I may. So listening to your comments basically on those business areas, but what I heard was basically pharma, MedTech Energy, water, wastewater, positive in Q3, engineering, automotive, I guess, that includes heavy trucks. And maybe you said oil and gas and aerospace in the U.K. weak so if I generalize the cyclical segment, still weak, noncyclical segment strong. So what I'm thinking is -- can you say something about how that developed during Q3 those cyclical parts? Were at all improving throughout Q3? Were they stronger at the end of Q3 or at the start?

Bo Annvik

executive
#28

It's a good question. And yes, general engineering and automotive was sequentially stronger in the quarter. But aerospace and oil and gas, which are obviously much, much, much smaller segments were still on a very low level. Unfortunately, it's also no real progress there.

Robert Redin

analyst
#29

So if we then [ rely ] for those cyclical sort of end markets where they are improving, if oil and gas and aerospace is so much smaller?

Bo Annvik

executive
#30

Yes. Yes.

Robert Redin

analyst
#31

All right. And on order intake, it was 2% below sales. And you talked about the valves having a strong delivery quarter, but I guess a more modest order intake. My question would be if there was a seasonality in order intake or book-to-bill. I sort of looked into my model here, and I saw that over the past 10 or so years, the average book-to-bill in Q3 is 0.98%. Is there some type of seasonality in book-to-bill or orders and sales in Q3?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#32

I'm not really sure. It's not actually something that we have, yes, we will not calculate as a sort of an empirical evidence that it is like that. But could be, I'm not sure.

Robert Redin

analyst
#33

Or -- but do you believe that book-to-bill below 1% is some sort of negative sign for Q4?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#34

It's very -- as I said, November and December is very uncertain in terms of order intake, more certain in terms of invoicing sales. So a lot of companies have a fairly good order book now. So I think -- yes, I feel more certain about an okay invoicing quarter. But how order intake will develop in second part of November and December and so on is more difficult to guide, unfortunately. I mean if a lot of companies follow Ireland with more complete shutdowns, we can go quite quickly downwards. So yes. I can't really guide there.

Robert Redin

analyst
#35

Okay. Okay. But you said something about October having started well?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#36

Yes.

Operator

operator
#37

Our next question comes from the line of Johan Dahl of Danske Bank.

Johan Dahl

analyst
#38

Just a quick follow-up. I just did the back of the envelope calculation on the acquisition multiples year-to-date. Seems to be some inflation there up to 10%. Is that something that you agree with? And do you make any conclusions from that? And finally, also on the margin target of 12% for the group. I believe it is currently at a substantially higher level than midst of pandemic. Any thoughts on that?

Patrik Johnson

executive
#39

If you talk multiples first, and we are not buying at any sort of higher prices now than before. It's a bit -- you can go wrong a little bit looking at the numbers in the report. And -- because there are several reasons for that. Partly, there are some more smaller acquisitions that we don't -- that we have not published, which is also part, of course, of the numbers in the report. It's also the fact that we are sometimes -- we have earn-out clauses in our -- in basically all of our contracts. And normally, we hope and think that these earn-out will be reached. So we book these as goodwill. But they, of course, are not in the current sales and profit of -- so you're not comparing apples with apples really. When you compare the disclosed information of sales of the companies and booked goodwill and so on. If that make sense.

Bo Annvik

executive
#40

And your second question, we -- it's a good question. We are actually obviously, considering that and at the appropriate time, we will come back to the market with views on that. But yes, we will let you know when that will be going forward.

Operator

operator
#41

[Operator Instructions] And there are no further questions at this time. Please go ahead, speakers.

Bo Annvik

executive
#42

Yes. Then we say, thank you for participating, and thank you for your questions, and have a nice afternoon.

For developers and AI pipelines

Programmatic access to Indutrade AB (publ) earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments, full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.