Iron Mountain Incorporated (IRM) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 27, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Greer Aviv
executiveGood morning, and thank you for joining us. I'm Greer Aviv, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. With me here from Iron Mountain is Bill Meaney, President and CEO; and Barry Hytinen, Executive Vice President and CFO. We are pleased to welcome JPMorgan's Business and Information Services Equity Research Analyst, Andrew Steinerman, who will moderate a fireside chat with Bill and Barry on the state of our business. Before we begin, just a reminder that today's webcast may contain forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our earnings call presentation, supplemental financial report, safe harbor language on this -- on our annual report on Form 10-K for a discussion of the major risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ from those in our forward-looking statements. Andrew, I'll turn it over to you.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay. Thanks, Greer. Good morning. Good morning, Bill. Nice to meet you, Barry. Thank you for this time to have this conversation.
Andrew Steinerman
analystI've been researching Iron Mountain for around 2 decades now in sell side research, and there's always sort of certain events that are marking different eras, like I remember shortly the Recall merger era. And it feels like, Bill, today, I would say this era, one of the big centers is Project Summit. Do you agree that this is sort of like a real cornerstone to the current era, meaning the next 3 years? And why is now the right time for Project Summit?
William Meaney
executiveThanks, Andrew. I appreciate the question. Project Summit, for sure, is a very important undertaking for the company and, first and foremost, around the culture. But before I get to that is, in some sense, it's also necessary cultural shift because I would say that the shift of the business from not only making sure that we are the preeminent global player in the records management business, which the Recall acquisition did, we're now the only one that's truly global because it was just us and Recall before. But if you look at the next stage, which is really we've been building up quite quietly but steadily our data center business. And data center business well, this is a relatively small part of the sales. If you -- we've been printing the last what 2 or 3 quarters, regular 4% organic EBITDA growth. And if you look at that, what's makes up that 4%, even though data center is only 7%, maybe 8% of our sales, but it's roughly in that category, is it's accounting for almost 1/3 of the organic EBITDA growth because of the higher EBITDA margins and the higher growth of data center. So if you think about -- if you're saying kind of major shifts in the business, I would say, Recall, I agree with you. I think data center probably isn't as noticeable because it's more organic build-out, but it's already changing the mix of how we actually grow the EBITDA. And as you know, you've been following the story a long time, is we've gone from basically flat EBITDA growth to 4% organic EBITDA growth over the last 5 or 6 years. So I think that the -- it's right to call out Recall. I would say, strategically, I think that data center is the extra thing that's continuing to put speed behind it. Now let's come to Project Summit. So Project Summit is an extremely important undertaking. I mean, a, it does free up more cash resources. $200 million worth of EBITDA improvement just through Project Summit over a relatively short period of time is meaningful, especially, it gives us a deeper moat around our businesses, and it also gives us more cash to invest in data center because data center is very capital-intensive. But the cultural change, which we think is necessary for us to do some of the digital services that kind of are the glue between the data center business and our traditional records management business, as well as to really embrace and work in a faster, more agile way with our customers on the data center side, we think the changes we're making at Summit are necessary. So what do I mean by that is that if you think about it, in the month of December, we said we were going to remove 45% of the Vice Presidents and above in the company, and we did 70% of that in November and December. So 70% of that is already out, which allows us to move much quicker with fewer meetings with less approvals on behalf of our customers. And our customers are already telling us is they're feeling the difference. So if we want to really cross-sell, and we are getting good benefit as you noticed over the last few quarters of cross-selling data center from our -- the traditional side of our business to the data center side, if we want to accelerate that, then we need to make the company organizationally easier to navigate. So what we've been very explicit internally with our executive leadership team saying, if this still feels like the same company a year from now, then we will have failed on Summit because it really is a cultural transformation, although Wall Street will see the financial transformation.
Andrew Steinerman
analystSo it's both.
William Meaney
executiveIt's both.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay, great. So I'm going to ask about capital allocation, and maybe both of you could chime in, obviously, the considerations around the capital allocation. And I like the slide you guys presented for capital allocation in the fourth quarter call and what the long-term goals are around financial leverage. My question is, what were the ranges of really kind of considerations, when you came down to that one slide to say the AFFO payout, the financial leverage growth, like when you think about what were the -- all the options considered and then you landed on kind of this set of capital allocation metrics as your decision?
William Meaney
executiveWell, let me -- I'll talk about the guardrails, and I'll let Barry speak a little bit, maybe a click down in terms of more of the specifics and how they fit into that. So first and foremost, the guardrails where we said, look, we think that our payout, our dividend payout, let's pick that, as a percentage of AFFO should, over time, migrate into the high 60s, low 70s. And right now, it's around 80%, right? And first and foremost, the dividend is safe. We will continue to kind of increase it to levels that we saw this year until we get into that sweet zone because we think that's the right allocation of capital is a -- what I would call a modest increase in dividend until we get down into that zone, but a continued slight growth in the dividend on that path. But -- and the reason why we look at that is that whilst we have the financial piece, in other words, the legacy part of our business has a 75% gross margin that spins up tons of cash, and that allows us -- we're unique in that sense in terms of data center space, is that allows us to redeploy that cash into faster-growing data centers, is we still think we should be -- have the resources to put even more into data center. And the way we do that is, over time, migrate to this payout ratio in the high 60s to low 70s of AFFO. So that's kind of the fundamental aspect. The other part of it, which, again, at a high level, as we talked about leverage, and over time, we would like to get leverage between 4.5 and 5.5. And ideally, that means that, over time, that target to get it below 5. Now the reason why we said that is that there's not a liquidity issue, and you will have noticed that both S&P and Moody's recently improved their outlook on our debt. So our debt is well respected and well regarded in the market. But we do think having -- rather than having -- we're at 5.7 or so right now versus 6.5 for our covenants, we would like to have 1.5 to 2 turns where our covenants kick in versus where our leverage is, purely for opportunistic reasons. And I can give you an example on opportunistic is that our view is our shares are trading well below their NAV, right? And if you're in that situation, you would at least have a conversation in the boardroom -- I'm not saying we were doing it, but we have a conversation about share buybacks, is we don't feel like where we are right now that we could borrow enough to do a share buyback that would be significant. So we want to, over time, migrate our payout ratio to that range, kind of the high 60s, low 70s, and over time migrate our leverage, which just gives us more optionality or more flexibility in the business. But I don't know, Barry, you...
Barry Hytinen
executiveThanks for the question, Andrew. I think Bill really hit the key points here, but I would just underscore, now look, we're -- we see the dividend as central to our story. We are going to modestly grow it over time into that payout ratio that he was just speaking about. Leverage is a key item here, and you've got our focus around deleveraging over time with things like Summit as well as the organic base EBITDA growth that Bill was speaking about in the prior question. If you work through the model, we can collide right into that payout ratio over the next few years as the Summit benefits come in and as well as the Summit charges ease off after this year. And I think that, that framework allows us to continue to reinvest in the business through CapEx, like the data center points that he was making, and opportunistically, over time, get into some more M&A potentially if we see something that makes sense. So it really gives us a lot of strategic flexibility. You asked about how we thought about that strategy, it's all central to those big points.
Andrew Steinerman
analystRight. So Barry, on that glide path, what year do you think you could get to that payout ratio range and the leverage range together?
Barry Hytinen
executiveYes. So on the leverage, our guidance for this year is to be flat to slightly down. Now that's factoring in both the fact that we're substantially increasing EBITDA this year in our guidance, but also we have the Summit charges which are coming through, which is use of cash. As you get out beyond this year, the charges come down, and as you get into '22, for example, they're completely out of the model and you get all the benefits from Summit coming through together with base growth. So I think if you model it through, Andrew, what you'll find is, as you get out beyond Summit, that Summit year, you probably will see a leverage kind of coming into the 5-ish range that Bill was speaking to, maybe potentially even a little bit below, as well as the payout ratio would kind of follow.
Andrew Steinerman
analystSo that's '23, right?
Barry Hytinen
executiveWe haven't given specific kind of medium and long-term targets. But I think if you just work through the assumptions that we've made, and you'd have to make some other assumptions around, of course, the details of things like additional CapEx for the data center development, capital recycling, things of that nature, you would probably be looking at '22, '23, yes.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay. Great. You guys say the dividend is central, you want to grow it modestly over time, consistent with the type of dividend growth that we see this year. Does that mean that you want to grow the dividend every year?
William Meaney
executiveYes. I think that -- look, the one thing, just to be clear, what's the magic of roughly a 1% dividend increase is to demonstrate to the market we are committed to, first of all, the dividend and we're committed to grow the dividend over time. What you can expect is that it's going to be in that kind of range until we get down to that target range of high 60 to low 70 as a percentage of AFFO. And then you can expect it to track closer to AFFO growth, right? So it's kind of -- to me, it tracks a little bit like your leverage comment is, so if you think about it from an investor standpoint is -- our investor base is income-oriented investors, whether you're a...
Andrew Steinerman
analystC-corp investor or a REIT investor.
William Meaney
executiveYes. So it's really important that those are the people that support us every day, we get up to work, go to work. So it's important to keep those people properly in view. And then we say, okay, over time is this is a business that grows AFFO traditionally in kind of mid -- even absent Project Summit, kind of mid-single-digit range. And so then you're saying, okay, then, once you get down to that sweet spot is, over time, we would expect actually dividend growth to pick up, not for the next few years. But then, over time, would be -- pick up and it would track closer to AFFO growth.
Andrew Steinerman
analystSo every year?
William Meaney
executiveYes.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay. Great. Do you feel like this commitment to the large dividend and dividend growth in a way has constrained your ability to scale data center business?
William Meaney
executiveYes and no. Look, it's a great question. First of all, I think the reality is if it really constrained it is -- most of our competitors in the data center space are also REITs, right? So I think we've all kind of gone through the math or the analysis, let's say, the pros and cons of the constraints that come from a capital allocation being a REIT versus the advantages, both in terms of shareholder base and tax advantages that come with that. So I think that in -- at the end of the day, if you talk to our data center folks, they always like more capital, right? But if I really look at it honestly, and we are looking on the margin, could we use more capital? Yes, that's why we're looking at third-party capital for some of our data center investments. But on the other side is, at some point, human capital becomes the constraint. And the discipline of being a REIT around capital allocation, I think, is really positive if I'm a shareholder because you do have to be -- you do have to force rank investments, and you do have to be very disciplined about it. So you can always use more capital, but I don't think, if we're really being honest to ourselves, on a given day, it may seem like a constraint. But if we look at it strategically, I don't think it's the biggest issue, right?
Andrew Steinerman
analystI think it's smart. Okay. So revenue management. This is a term and a transformation you guys have been working on for years, mostly domestically, now more internationally. And if you could tell me like maybe in a baseball analogy, like what inning are we in on revenue management? Like is this sort of the middle of the era? Like give us a sense.
William Meaney
executiveYou're just trying to rub it in if you bring up baseball right now, Boston or -- that's the...
Andrew Steinerman
analystI'd say it's still early out.
William Meaney
executiveA real New Yorker.
Andrew Steinerman
analystI'd say it's early out, early out.
William Meaney
executiveOkay, okay. I think you're really -- if you want to end this quickly...
Andrew Steinerman
analystNo.
William Meaney
executiveOkay. It's a good question. I think that we're well into the world series here in the -- in other words, I don't think it -- and just to be clear, when I talk about revenue management is there was a little bit -- and you know I've talked about it a few times, there was a little bit of catch-up, I think, when we did it in North America. But if you look at over the past few quarters in last year, so you haven't seen a drop-off of that. We've been able to make those type of price increases because we didn't get exaggerated. I mean, there -- it's roughly kind of 3 points of price. And if you look at relative to what logistics or express parcel people are pushing through in terms of price increases, it's just in line with inflation, right? It just so happens we have a 75% gross margin business, so a lot of that price actually expands margins as well. So it's super important. So I would say that the only thing to challenge the analogy when I say we're in kind of probably the final innings of implementation in North America, it doesn't mean it's over. We continue to see those kinds of annual increases.
Andrew Steinerman
analystRight. So you had some step-ups, now you're into more normal...
William Meaney
executiveNormal -- and the normal thing. And you haven't really seen much of a change during that period of time, so we were able to kind of maintain that level of price increase. I think, Europe, I'd say we're kind of more than halfway through the season, and I think -- or the game. And I think that we're still kind of in the early innings in Asia. We've been at it in Asia for 1.5 or a little over 1.5 years now. But it's just because a lot of the contracts are 3, some on 5 years, it -- once -- and having watched it in North America, it probably took us almost 5 years in North America to see us get through the whole first cycle. And in Asia, we don't have that many customers that are on 5-year contracts, so I would expect that we'll see a good pickup probably more in 2021 in Asia and in Latin America and Eastern Europe.
Andrew Steinerman
analystTalk about the trajectory for North American records management volumes over different periods of time. Now you look out a couple of years, you look out many years, over different periods of time.
William Meaney
executiveI think it's hard for me to judge. We talked about this a little bit on the earnings call is that -- first, I should back up. The North American volume issue -- and I expect at some point we'll see this in Western Europe to a certain degree, is a what I call second derivative problem. In other words, the thing that's driving the negative growth rate is a change in the growth rate rather than all of a sudden people not sending us boxes. So and I think the thing I had pointed out before, the thing that's ironic is one of our slowest growing verticals in the world is the legal vertical, and that's actually net positive volume growth last year. So -- and the reason why that is, is it's been steady at that growth rate for a significant amount of time, whereas -- because a lot of the law firms went through their digital transformation years, in some cases, decades ago. So we already had seen them go through that curve. One of our fastest-growing verticals is financial services, which we're heavily exposed to as you know. Depending on if you include insurance or not, it's plus or minus 20% of our sales, and that's an area where we still get significant growth. Virtually every single one of our customers are sending us new boxes in every year, but the rate of growth has been coming down. And until that flattens out, we're going to continue to see what I call in North America this kind of roughly plus or minus 7 -- negative 7 million cubic feet on a 500 million cubic foot basis. So it's kind -- so we don't see a change -- we're not going to call a change in that even over the next 3 years because I don't know how long it's going to take them to stabilize at that growth rate. On the other side is it's kind of an annoyance rather than a threat. And the annoyance is that if you want to be negative about the company, you say, okay, well, they're storing a lot -- a lot of their EBITDA and cash flow comes from storing paper. So you say, okay, well, paper is going away. Well, it's actually not going away, but the growth rate is changing, and that growth rate looks like we actually have volume leaving us. And so it's -- I think -- look, I think it's a stable business. I think it's a business that we more than offset any of the volume decreases on price. It continues to generate a tremendous amount of cash, and it has our customer relationships attached to it and allowing us -- generally, we're cross-selling about 40% of our enterprise clients on the data center based on those relationships. So it's a nice business. We don't have to put a lot of investment back into it, and we have very strong customer relationships around it.
Andrew Steinerman
analystThat's great. So Bill, you're pointing back to that conference call -- well, recent conference call. And so you made me think, there was something on the conference call about volumes that caught my attention. You said, when I look back in 2019, we just had fewer customer acquisitions. But then you kind of went further on to say, I'm confident that's a temporary deviation. I was just wondering what you meant by that. Like, why do you feel like fewer customer acquisitions in 2019 was temporary, meaning like you'll have more customer acquisitions ahead?
William Meaney
executiveIt's a good point. And the other thing I should just kind of tie with my just -- comments just now is what I was talking about is just general volume trends and that -- what we're talking about specifically what explained the fact that we were slightly negative on a global basis in 2019. And we did do -- and that's virtually totally covered by the downtick in customer acquisition. So customer acquisitions for us is just another form of bringing in customers. So sometimes we're lucky and we get customer volume that's unbended, that they have it in their facilities. Other times, we're actually taking it away from a competitor. And the other time, if somebody decides they don't want to go in the -- they don't want to be in the business anymore, they just want to get out of this part of the business, and we say, could we buy those contracts from you? We just pick it up. So the -- in the last 2, when we're winning it from a competitor or we're buying it from a company that's going out of the business, is the economics are about the same for that. Now the reason why I think it's a temporary trend is we did -- is we have -- still we use the same M&A resources to focus at that customer acquisition piece as we do on M&A. On the -- obviously, the competitive wins, that's not our M&A teams who do that, that's our salespeople. So it's different people that we're using for those. And last year, we were -- we spent quite a bit of time on analyzing and executing, for instance, around the Russia acquisition last year and also a couple of other ones we did in Eastern Europe. And that -- the Russian acquisition was an important acquisition for us from a growth standpoint because that's a very high organic volume growth business, which we owned a minority stake in, and now we own 100% of that business. So we made a purposeful decision to actually analyze and then execute both our -- in using both our financial and human resources around doing that. So next year, we expect it to be more of a normal year where we expect it's kind of the -- roughly the 3 million cubic feet that we would continue to find customer acquisition targets.
Andrew Steinerman
analystGot you. Great. Can we talk about a garden-variety recession here? Obviously, it's been a long time since we've been in recession. I surely remember the organic revenue growth evolution around last recession for Iron Mountain. But how do you feel like -- I imagine storage and service revenues might behave during the garden-variety recession whenever it might come.
William Meaney
executiveYes. And it is -- I spent a lot of time, as you said, we've had. So if you remember the GFC, the great financial crisis in 2008, which is the last recession we had, is we continue to have organic, positive organic storage revenue growth through that period. And so we -- it was a little bit slower, but we continue to see it through. And we would expect to be -- we don't see anything in terms of our customer behavior that would change that. If anything, it makes the volume a little bit stickier because it costs our customers -- the customers actually have to make an investment to decide to actually remove volume from our facilities because they have to say, do we need those documents anymore? Usually, there's more legal cases that they're trying to defend against and also just the investment it takes for them to do that. So we would expect during a recession, there may be a slight slowdown, but we would continue to see similar trends in the business that we did today. And we don't...
Andrew Steinerman
analystSorry, I'd just say you think storage will be positive but decelerated from growth rates?
William Meaney
executiveYes. And I think deceleration, I don't think it's even going to be as marked as we saw in the great financial crisis. So I think it's...
Andrew Steinerman
analystThose were going from high levels to -- organic revenue growth to less high.
William Meaney
executiveYes. And I don't think we will see that. I mean because we see some recessions now in different parts of the world, like we've experienced it in Brazil. Brazil now is starting to come out. But Brazil, when I first joined 7 years ago, Brazil was booming. Then I think about 5 years ago, it went really into the doldrums, in negative growth -- negative economic growth for a number of quarters, and we continued to see -- the growth came off a little bit in Brazil, but it was still kind of mid-single-digit growth. So we've been through recessions in different parts of the world, not a global recession like the GFC. But we don't see major -- and that's the thing that's great about this business, it's a little bit recession-proof. And if anything, people outsource more during those periods of time or they're more conservative about what they keep. But economic activity, there's fewer mortgages being done, obviously, that does affect our volume a little bit. But overall, we don't see it.
Andrew Steinerman
analystSo there was -- I'll remind you about last recession, yes, I surely remember a lot of records management gurus standing around, watched what we do, and they reviewed their boxes and looked for purges. So like, I mean, that is what caused the deceleration last -- during the great recession.
William Meaney
executiveLess purge is more kind of less economic activity. In other words, like, if you take Hong Kong right now, so we've seen a drop-off in mortgage origination in Hong Kong right now. But then Hong Kong is a relatively small market, but -- so you'll see that. The purges, to your point is, as you know, it costs generally people 2 to 3 years of rental income to purge. So actually, we find there's fewer purges especially at the beginning of the recession because people are trying to preserve their budgets for other things. Now the one thing, of course, the GFC has affected was also linked to some financial malfeasance or at least suspicion of that, that led to some legal holds, right, as well. I'm not saying the next recession will be triggered by that. But generally, what you find is that it's hard to motivate for budgets specifically and say, I'm going to spend 2 or 3 years worth of rental to save a year.
Andrew Steinerman
analystSo I want to move over to data center business. Bill, you already mentioned a figure, 40%, that caught my ear a few minutes ago. I think you said 40% of the won business from data centers was won because of a reference from the records management business line. My question is -- and just correct me if I'm wrong about how to think about the 40%, I want you to articulate, what do you think is distinctive about Iron Mountain's data center business versus other data center providers? And is it this referral engine that it gets from records management?
William Meaney
executiveYes. The first thing I should say, the 40% is when we're selling enterprise colo, right, versus hyperscale, right? So just...
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay, enterprise colo...
William Meaney
executiveAnd I think fourth quarter was a little bit lower. But quarter 2 and quarter 3, it was dead on, 40% of the leads came from that. So it's a great question, Andrew, because this is the crux of why we kind of -- we're quite -- you've been watching the story for a long time, you know that we are quite conservative in terms of starting our investments in data center because we wanted to prove to ourselves that investing in data center through Iron Mountain made more sense for investors than investing through a pure play. So this is really the crux of us being in it. So the thing that drives this, it's really interesting. First of all, we have very good intel. So we do get business through brokers, but we also get businesses that doesn't come through brokers. So the number of sales leads that we get that are self-generated would surprise me. And the reason why that is, is that in North America alone, for instance, we're doing -- we're visiting 35 -- we're doing 35,000 data center visits per month in North America for our Tape business. And whilst it's a different buyer is -- the intel we get from that is we start seeing when companies are looking to move loads. So why is that important? Is -- what drives enterprise to go for a colocation solution generally is when they're moving parts of their load to the cloud providers, so the hyperscale. And then all of a sudden they're left with a less full or less occupied data center that may be old technology and they're thinking about what do I do with what's left. So we use that intel to figure out how we go knocking on the door. So -- and a very blunt example is that there was an insurance sort of -- a company in the insurance industry and a major global bank that, in the last 3 weeks, we've -- through that, have knocked on their door and said, what do you think you should do with your data center? And both of those have asked for a second conversation on what they'd do with the data center. Now where that will go, I don't know, but we're actually speaking to them before they've even kind of started asking the question. That gives you a huge advantage. And of course, they trust us because of that relationship. The second thing is the trust. So where we find that we get the most traction is around customers that are very sensitive, so that is health care, financial services, government. And that's where -- if you talk to some of the industry analysts is -- I remember I was meeting one when we did our opening in Manassas, and he came in and he said, I can tell an Iron Mountain facility when I walk into it. It's the setbacks that we have. That facility is obviously FedRAMP-compliant. But it's just the way you get checked in, the safety briefing that you get when you come on site. So all those things play well to customers that are very sensitive around security, disclosure of data and information. And those -- I'm not saying that we don't have other industries represented, but those are the ones that we focus on the most and have the biggest brand appeal.
Andrew Steinerman
analystThat makes total sense to me. How would you rate the IO acquisition today?
William Meaney
executiveI -- look, because you're asking, so I always give myself an A+ now -- I give it -- I would say it's an A+ acquisition with a B+ implementation to date. And when I say B+ is I think we're just starting to hit our stride on getting the full value with the team. So to me, the great thing about IO, not -- we've got some great assets in the right parts of the country that had capacity to expand, either land or permits to expand or shell to expand. That was all great. The thing that we really got out of it was a platform, when I say platform, a team. So all the key players from IO are still with us. And so the head of data center for North America came from IO. So we've got one of the guys who's focused on financial services, on sales, came from IO. So legal now for data centers globally came from IO. And you say why am I calling out legal is -- the contracts that we have to negotiate on especially in these hyperscale deals are large deals, is the lawyers are -- I wouldn't tell this to the salespeople who are sitting here but the lawyers many times are more important than the salespeople in terms of getting those things across the line. So we've really -- and the other reason why I give us -- so I think we -- not just the assets and the returns and everything -- we're getting very good returns on it because we've been able to grow it organically quite rapidly, but I would say that the team that we got is really good. And the other reason why I give a B+ is I think the team is well integrated. As I said, we've had very good success in terms of retaining them. But I think we can still get more out of the folks. In other words, I think that -- I think we're -- I think there's always more you can do.
Andrew Steinerman
analystBut just saying, like, what should we be looking for? Is it more growth? Like when you say they can execute more, they can get more out of it, is more of what?
William Meaney
executiveI think it's more -- it is more growth in terms of how we integrate them with the sales referrals that we -- that I just mentioned the other day. So is 40% the right number? I think we could get more, right? I think that -- I think we -- once we make sure that we're speaking the same language, will we be able to enable our sales force on the legacy side of the business so that they can even see more opportunities and feed those, not just to the IO team, but globally across the team.
Andrew Steinerman
analystRight. So Bill, you talked a lot about in data center, the hyperscale deals. I know you obviously are a big enterprise global player as well. I believe, speaking to the brokers in the space, that you only have a couple of hyperscale clients up and running today. Like why do you speak so much about the hyperscale clients where it's -- I believe it's only a couple of clients for you guys right now?
William Meaney
executiveYes. No, well, I would say that we -- no, I would say we're probably in -- we probably have around 5. It depends on how -- there is one kind of hedging is some people say there's only 3 hyperscale, and other people say there's 10 because it depends on how you deal with the SaaS guys.
Andrew Steinerman
analystYou're saying it's 5, that you call medium hyperscale, okay.
William Meaney
executiveYes. So -- but if you kind of look at the top hyperscalers and I won't tell you now because then you'll kind of know the logos I'm talking about is we actually do business with all of them, but not necessarily what I'd call a hyperscale deployment, in other words, because they could be in there just for a connection, for connection points. So they -- it might be a megawatt. Megawatt is not what we consider a hyperscale deployment.
Andrew Steinerman
analystUsually, that's how you think about hyperscalers, I mean megawatts, right?
William Meaney
executiveYes. It gives the pricing changes at those points.
Andrew Steinerman
analystSo remind me the number, is it 20?
William Meaney
executiveNo. I would say they all grow so fast. So usually, it's like they probably -- it can be as low as 3 megawatts. But it's -- but where -- they're talking about is growth rates that are 40% a year. So it's kind of 3 and then there's plus options for additional growth. And there are some that can be 27, right? So and there's...
Andrew Steinerman
analystI know, yes. There's medium, fast-growing hyperscaler then there's...
William Meaney
executiveYes, and it could be the same client. In other words, we can have -- we can be talking to the same hyperscaler about a 25-megawatt deployment. And at the same time, talking about 4.5 megawatts with renewal -- with expansion for 9 on top, right? So it's that kind of... So now the reason why it's important -- so -- and it is right to say that I think we punch above our weight on enterprise and we're playing catch-up on hyperscale. And the reason -- some people say, well, why -- and a lot of our competitors are trying to go the other way, right, because, obviously, the returns are higher on the colocation. The reason why we think hyperscale is important is that if you look at large campuses, like Northern Virginia which, depending on the density that we end up, can be anywhere from 80 to 100 megawatts in that campus, it's our expectation about half that campus will be occupied by hyperscaler when it's fully stabilized. And that allows us to do a couple of things. One is it allows us to drive better returns for the colocation customers because we can build at scale the infrastructure that we need and that reduces our build cost, right? And then from a net present value standpoint, we can optimize for returns because we can actually stabilize that site in say, 7 or 8 years, rather than 12 to 14 years, right? So we think that for large campuses -- now if you talk about our Slough facility or our Singapore facility is we may very well have hyperscale logos in there, but it'll be more like a colocation deployment because those are 7, 8 megawatts each. So those are not places where you would really want to sell all 7 megawatts to a hyperscaler. We might do that if we had a 25-megawatt facility, we might sell half of it to a hyperscaler. But you wouldn't do it when you have 7 megawatts in Slough, which is a high connectivity point.
Andrew Steinerman
analystRight. Okay, that makes total sense to me. Okay. So with this last conference call, we got the financial leverage targets, we got the payout targets, but we really don't have growth targets really -- paths this year. Should we be thinking about the 4% EBITDA growth organic path this year? Or do we sort of have to wait to hear from you about a medium-term growth algorithm?
William Meaney
executiveSo I think that -- yes, that's a good question. So I think what we've said is, first of all, we would expect 2021 and beyond to be in the 4% plus. In other words, we think that, that will uptick over time. In other words, it's not -- we've been on a gradual climb from flat EBITDA growth, 6 or 7 years ago when you and I first met, to about 4% now. And we continue to see that continuing to tick in that direction, right? So we haven't given you 2021 guidance, but you can expect it's going to be 4% plus, right, for 2021. I think that part of that has been, if you look at the story, it's been basically 1 point, 1.5 points of margin expansion, and the rest is -- be coming from revenue growth. Over time, we expect more and more of that to come from revenue growth, which is coming back again to Project Summit, whereas, to me, the real thing about Project Summit is not just the margin expansion but is, quite frankly, getting out of our own way on behalf of the customer, being able to move faster. And we think that dynamism -- and we haven't guided additional revenue increase this year because we think that would have been getting ahead of ourselves. But our full expectation is that if we really do show up differently a year from now, we'll start seeing that on the top line of the business.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay. So maybe, Barry, maybe since you're a newcomer here, fresh set of eyes, how has your experience been so far? And what surprises, any -- define in any way you want, have you found in your initial experience thus far?
Barry Hytinen
executiveYes. Okay. Thanks, Andrew. I think you know the business well. So the first few points I'll make I think will resonate with you, someone who's been a close observer. I love the business dynamics here, right? The storage business is very durable and generates great cash and great margins. The business is also sound and is investing in really strong growth vector, like data center. So we've got an opportunity to continue to grow that business for a long, long period of time. And that also has fantastic margins, as you know. I think that with Project Summit, which Bill highlighted a lot of the points I would have made, it is an opportunity really to transform the way the business is doing work, but also how we show up with customers and significantly improve our margins over time. Those benefits that we're driving out of Project Summit are very substantial before you even get to the improvement as it relates to some of the customer elements that Bill was just mentioning. I think the team is highly engaged in the work that needs to get done as it relates to process change. And I'm so impressed with the way the team handled that first wave, such that we've got those benefits that are coming into this year and we've got good line of sight on the benefits going forward. And then I would say the capital allocation here is a great portion of the business, right, in terms of the strength of the dividend, the opportunity to fund future growth, we get really nice returns on base acquisitions as we tuck those in to this business. I just see a tremendous amount of opportunity in the business and what we're doing and with this engaged team. And I would say, in terms of -- you asked surprises, I would say, candidly, I did a lot of diligence on it. Bill and I spent a lot of time talking. I talked to several members of the management team as well as members of the Board. I -- the only thing that really has been a surprise is, frankly, how well things are going with respect to Summit, the fact that -- the speed at which the team did it. When Bill was reading me into the situation, before I was here, I thought it was somewhat aspirational to get as much done as the team did in November and December. So as well, the level of engagement around process change and getting on with the technology changes, which will enable us to change the way we work. So I see a tremendous amount of opportunity here to drive shareholder value for our shareholders over the long, long term.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay. I think that's great.
Greer Aviv
executiveGreat. Thank you for joining us. This concludes the webcast.
Andrew Steinerman
analystOkay. Thank you.
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