JELD-WEN Holding, Inc. (JELD) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 17, 2021

New York Stock Exchange US Industrials Building Products conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#1

Good afternoon. I'm Matt Bouley, Barclays U.S. building products analyst. It's my pleasure to have JELD-WEN here with us to close out our 38th Annual Barclays Industrial Select Conference. We've got Gary Michel, CEO. For everyone listening, if you've got any questions you want me to ask, if you don't have my email, it is up on the left side of the screen on the webinar there. And the audience response question should be up on the right side of the webinar. It's always appreciated for folks to fill that out every year. So with that, I'm going to let Gary kick it off here with just a few opening remarks, and then we'll jump right into Q&A. So Gary, please go ahead, sir.

Gary Michel

executive
#2

Thanks, Matt. Appreciate it. Thank you all for joining and for your interest in JELD-WEN. For those of you that don't know much about us or don't know anything about us, we're a global leader in windows and doors. We are celebrating our 60th year, or celebrated our 60th year in 2020. We operate across North America, Europe and Australia and -- or Australasia. And began as a company, like I said, 60 years ago with a single mill in Oregon. We've grown to greater than $4 billion revenue company on a global basis. It's been on -- built on acquisitions. 14 acquisitions since 2015. But all of those acquisitions, prior to that, really part of the fabric of what's made JELD-WEN, including brands in Europe and Australasia and in the United States that are really kind of premier that indoors, windows and the like, some of them household names on their own. Over the last several years, since I joined the company in 2018, we've been kind of on an accelerated transformation plan really around 4 pillars, focusing on core revenue growth, operational excellence and margin expansion, disciplined capital allocation and really building a high-performance culture for our people, which has really started to play out for us in delivering performance. All of that has been built on a foundation of deploying a business operating system that we call JEM, the JELD-WEN Excellence Model, which is really a lean problem-solving culture. We're several years into that now and starting to see the benefits of that show up in cycle time reduction, share gain and margin improvement. We also set out on a program to rationalize and modernize our footprint and our operations. We did announce yesterday that we had expected -- when we set that out, it's about $100 million program. We're about 1/3 the way through that in deployment with kind of that $25 million, $30 million run rate hitting our P&L this year, and we've identified the next 1/3 of those programs. They're in various stages of deployment. We'll expect to see those at a run rate kind of in the next 12 to 18 months, but very excited about the work that's gone on there. Basically, what it is, is reducing our footprint but having more modern, more automated, better-located facilities that improve our capacity even as we take footprint and rooftops out of the system. So the combination of JEM and these programs has been really seen in the benefit in our margin expansion and our ability to serve customers reliably. Never would hope for a year like 2020, again, in terms of pandemic and natural disasters and all kinds of other things. But I do think that if you look at the way that our business was able to perform last year, it really does show that we built a nice foundation of operational improvement and some commercial excellence that paid through. Even as markets were either shut down or closed or certainly depressed, in some cases, we were able to deliver for our customers, deliver for the shareholders and deliver for our communities as well. So I guess that's probably a good opening, and I'll let you ask some questions there, Matt.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#3

You got it. That's perfect. Thank you very much for that comprehensive overview. Plenty of areas to jump off there. So maybe before we zoom out to the -- some of the bigger picture initiatives that you've been working on, maybe just kind of drill into some of the items hot off the presses from yesterday. Maybe speak a little bit about the volume side of things. You mentioned yesterday there was a little bit of acceleration through Q4. I guess we can keep it in North America first. But thinking about the outlook for 2021, what are you guys thinking about volumes? And how is that differing across doors and windows?

Gary Michel

executive
#4

Yes. So for North America, we're pretty pleased with the market backdrop. Residential and construction, clearly a strong point, will be a tailwind for us in our business, where we do quite a bit of business in residential and construction. And the commitments and share gains that we've made over kind of the quiet period of last year and year before will come to help us accelerate revenue into 2021. So we're pretty excited about that. When you think about kind of what's going on with doors and windows, on the door side, we've been -- the cycle time improvements and our ability to meet customer demand in that particular -- those particular categories have been pretty good and pretty stable, and we continue to add capacity and capability there, although we're kind of at the high end there when you think about the primary point that goes into the door skins. We're continuing to add capacity down and we'll pick up some more capacity later in the year. But, yes, we feel pretty good about our ability to meet accelerating growth there. On the window side, kind of interestingly, that's been a big constraint for builders, pretty public constraint for builders over the last couple of quarters. The work that we've done over the last kind of 12 to 18 months to improve our operations, particularly in vinyl windows, is really paying off. We've got very competitive lead times right now that are much better than what the rest of the industry seems to have. So we're able to use that to pick up some new business as well as gain some share of wallet back from other periods when we had poor performance about 18 months, 2 years ago. So we're pretty pleased where that goes. We hope that all of these starts turn into closings and that, that is at the accelerated pace that everyone's talking about, because we're in a great position to pick up volume there.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#5

Got it. That's helpful. And then you mentioned the share gains. You've been talking a little bit about that for a couple of quarters now. It sounds like perhaps a little bit happening on both sides, doors and windows. I don't know how much you can say, but I'm just curious, where are you taking share? Is it meaningful? And then just kind of how to think about the profitability of these products where you're gaining share.

Gary Michel

executive
#6

Yes. So in the -- particularly in the residential and construction space, we get commitments. And those commitments, as this acceleration starts to pick up, is where we'll see the actual volume come through. So we're pretty excited about that. It's really working those relationships and working the product categories with builders. We've been a little innovative as well in our delivery processes with them. So that's been kind of why we've been winning, and that's been pretty good. And given the pricing in the door market, it's all at good margin, too. So we're very, very pleased with that. We've taken the same work that we did on the door side, and we've talked about publicly around commercial excellence, around rationalization of our customer base and segmentation of our customer base, and we do that in windows as well. So now that our operations are in a good place, we're starting to see the ability to meet demand there. So as customers are looking to fill in, we're picking up share of wallet and we're recapturing some of the share there as well. So we expect that to continue to accelerate as well through the year.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#7

Got you. And then -- so that's helpful. The windows side, interesting comment you made there about having a little bit better lead times because clearly, windows, I think, structurally, is a category that -- a little bit more labor-intensive and all that. Can you maybe just elaborate a little bit on that? What are you doing to get the production really going on the windows side and kind of your degree of confidence of sort of getting through the backlog that's built in that business?

Gary Michel

executive
#8

Well, it comes back to our deployment of our business operating system, our lean deployment called JEM, the JELD-WEN Excellence Model. We probably -- the windows business was a little behind our doors business in the initial deployments. But using those tools and using those capabilities across windows to improve the operations has really been beneficial. So it's about, first of all, making sure that we've got a good IBP or SIOP process, good forecasting, demand forecasting plan, how do we plan the operations. It was about making sure that we've got good visual management. We've got standard work. We've right -- set the right playbooks, really understanding the value stream and where the constraints were in our operations. So really starting to deploy the JELD-WEN Excellence Model is starting to have the benefits that are allowing us to quote better lead times in the windows area. And the fact that, that happens to be a constraint right now for many builders, it's probably an opportunity. Because the 2 come together, we're able to perform at the same time that there's demand to be had. So we're expecting that. That's exactly the best part about lean, right? You've got improved cycle times, that's a competitive advantage. That turns into market share. So it's kind of one of the things you always talk about when you're trying to deploy lean, and here's a perfect example of that.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#9

Got it. So that's a great segue into JEM because it sounds like from your perspective, I mean, at the end of the day, it's a lot more than just ripping costs out of the business. So can you speak to just a little bit of that beyond the windows side? What are some of the operational opportunities? The whole point of JEM is it's never finished. So if we think about the next 1, 3, 5 years, what are some of the opportunities we can look for as kind of a guidepost for us?

Gary Michel

executive
#10

Yes, that's an articulate way of saying, it's never finished. I usually always say we're just starting. But yes, it's always -- the more you do, the more you find opportunity. And it becomes just part of the fabric of the company and the culture of our people to continuously look for ways to improve. So it's everything you would expect in a problem-solving lean culture, right? It's around visual management. It's around managing for daily improvement. It's around setting targets and looking for breakthroughs, value stream, understanding your value stream map and where your constraints are and then what can be, right? For us, it started with -- it really started with building a problem-solving culture, deploying visual management into all of our plants and our process and cadence around coaching and managing. We're now into kind of the next phase. We brought in some new talent, new thinking to help us kind of move to the next level, which is really about standout performance, in particular, model plants. We've identified some model value streams within the company, and we're now deploying kind of transformation tools into those so that we'll have several plants. We'll always have plants rolling through, but we'll start with these model plants to start testing out kind of the tool set that we have. And we are starting to see separated performance already in a number of places where we've deployed JEM effectively. So we're just trying to extend that into the rest of the organization. This is not a North American phenomenon. This is something we're doing across the enterprise. And just to mention as well, we deploy JEM tools across our functions as well. So it's not just about manufacturing capabilities. It's about using the same type of lean tools as we look at areas like marketing and even in our legal department. So it's been fascinating to see -- it's always fascinating to see how people deploy the tools. But we're building a culture around high performance, and this is the -- kind of the linchpin or the foundation of doing that.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#11

Got it. No, that's very helpful and certainly something we'll continue to watch for. So then some of the more discrete actions you've been doing on the rationalization and modernization side. You outlined, I guess, kind of the expectations this year around the cost that should actually come out of the business tangibly. Can you just kind of lay out the longer-term road map? And I don't know, post COVID, did you sort of see any opportunities to accelerate that or actually pull back on any projects that you might have thought you needed to do, but now didn't? Just how has that kind of evolved over the past year?

Gary Michel

executive
#12

Well, yes, it's funny, before last year, I was always asked, what would you do during a downturn? Would you pull back this investment, right? And I said, no. This is exactly -- we'll be in a better position because we already know the things that we need -- the levers we need to pull because these are the exact type of things you would do in a downturn anyway, right? If you were really trying to take cost out and improve your overall cost position. So you'll remember, rationalization and modernization program is really around taking up $100 million out of our fixed cost base by reducing footprint and rooftops, quite frankly, but also modernizing our facilities, adding more automation, to get better throughput, better utilization, better quality, quite frankly, out of our doors and windows businesses primarily, but it is a global program. So in 2020, we continued down the path of all the programs that were in flight. We probably took 1 quarter off during the second quarter when things were a little uncertain. We didn't know where were we -- not off of the programs that were in flight, but off of adding anything new. And so we probably lost about 1 quarter last year out of new deployments, but we continue to write-back where we left off. And the great thing about that is the work we're doing today or the work -- the benefits we're getting today are things we did 12 and 18 months ago. So the fact that we've got about 1/3 of those programs already deployed, we're going to just start clipping the coupons on those. The benefits are in the business and will be in the run rate. The programs that we're deploying now will give us benefits in the next 12 to 18 months. So it's about 1/3 that we've already deployed, and we're waiting on the results. And then the other 1/3 is -- or the second 1/3 is programs that are in various stages of deployment and will be giving us the results probably in the next 12 to 18 months. Then there's another 1/3 that we'll start focusing on.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#13

Perfect. Okay. Very helpful color there. So we should talk about the pricing environment a little bit, just given everything going on in inflation, which is a separate question. But just sticking to the pricing side, what should we expect across the business? I don't know, last year, you guys got into a fair bit of detail about the level of price increases you had seen or had taken in several categories. So whatever you're willing to say. Be curious to just kind of hear the level of pricing you're expecting this year.

Gary Michel

executive
#14

Yes. So yes, I don't know that I'm going to go through every single price increase and while I'll give you some generalities. I mean we've been able to -- let me start backward. It really all started with kind of our work on customer segmentation and really looking at pricing as a strategic capability for ourselves. So we were clearly trying to look at how to use price as a lever, and it really came out of that whole commercial excellence program for us. So we were able to get -- we were -- it's particularly in the North American doors, it's a category that is long overdue to get value. You get value out of that product line. And last year, we were able to do pretty well on price in North American door business. We, again, were able to do so this year. And we're seeing that pricing stick in North America. On the windows side, we talked a little bit about the constraint in that marketplace. We announced some pricing in September of last year for North America window, and that is carried through now. So it's a little off cycle but a little bigger than we've normally gotten, and that has been sticking as well. So -- and I think it's a great opportunity. As I said, we're gaining share. We're gaining it at a decent price level. So that kind of wraps up the North American piece. The only variable this year would be as we're watching inflation, that's another -- we will use price to offset inflation as we monitor it. So that's another lever that we always have and the one that we would use. And we feel pretty confident that, that would play out for us. In Europe, yes, we've been able to get price as well. And well, let me stick with Europe. We've been able to get price as well. Our business is really operating well in Europe. We've done -- they've done a nice job on the JEM deployment side, on the product side on moving product between regions as well and gaining share through innovation as well as on the price side. So we would expect that to continue. There's a little bit of a lag, both in the U.S. and in Europe in the first quarter as it starts to ramp up. As we get some of the older orders out, the new pricing comes in. Europe's a little bit more delayed, and they announced a little later than the U.S. And then Australia, it's been a kind of a depressed housing market for quite some time. But we do believe we've got some pricing opportunity there as well, even there as well. So the work that we've done on commercial excellence is really paying off.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#15

Got it. Very helpful. So you touched on it with the inflationary side. I guess, number one, it sounds like you do have the ability or at least a view to using price as a tool in case inflation does continue to move in the wrong direction. But I guess, specifically, what are some of the, I guess, categories, materials that we should be looking at across freight? What -- everything else, what's kind of the basket there and how to think about how that flows through in '21?

Gary Michel

executive
#16

Yes. So I mean things are kind of moving -- things have been kind of moving a little bit here. It's kind of every day, there's a little bit of -- a little more uncertainty. For the most part, what we set out to do as a strategy is price to offset inflation. We've been able to do well -- well better than that, right, over the last couple of years. So that being said, we feel fairly covered. What -- and I guess I'd like to say about this is we've got a plan that we've put out there. We've given some guidance on, and we will make that plan, right? So if we need to add price to offset additional inflation or even tariffs that might be headwinds for us, we would use price for that. Millwork's been one that's been kind of high on the inflation plan, some plastics and metals. I think most people have seen those. Those kind of hit the radar. We've got inflation built into the plan that we've got already and pricing to offset that. As we watch kind of the movements, we'll use price to offset any additional inflation that we see and pass that along. On the freight side, primarily on the North American business, we have contracted rate cards for most every route that we use. Unfortunately, the scarcity of resources and the freight in transportation has kind of affected that a little bit. In the fourth quarter, we had to probably hit the spot market a little bit more than we wanted to. That being said, we will try to avoid that and re-up any route selections that we have. We do try to focus on meeting customer demand first. And so that's really important why we would pay that money. But as we're watching freight availability and freight rates, we obviously will use price or what we charge for freight as an offset for that as well.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#17

Got it. Understood. And then jumping back to the volume side, I led off with a question on North America and then I conveniently skipped over the rest of the other half of the business. So in Europe, clearly, it was a strong volume number in Q4 there. Can you kind of talk to, number one, just what drove that? And then number two, you talked a little bit about kind of the cadence of volumes through '21. Just any further elaboration on why you were talking that, that may decelerate as you move through the year.

Gary Michel

executive
#18

So in Europe, I mean as we set out last year, I think we were expecting kind of central and Northern Europe, kind of Scandinavia, Germany, Austria, to actually decelerate the market to decline a little bit. And we were expecting kind of our U.K., France business to accelerate, and that's probably what happened in the first quarter. And then with COVID hitting, interestingly, the U.K. and France shut down for a period of time and Central Europe did not. And what ended up happening was we saw an acceleration in business there, and we have a very nice share of that market. We're very strong. We were positioned well. The team did a good job of meeting that and saw growth. When the U.K. and France opened back up, they were in a good position to take care of serving that market demand as well. So the second half of last year, nice growth in Europe and added good margin as well. So both growth and margin expansion, very, very strong performance in Europe. We expect the market itself, net-net for Europe this year to be flattish, maybe a little up and then kind of flat. We will still outperform, we believe, in share gain. And as we're using innovation and product portfolio moves, to grow and expand our capabilities there, plus being a strong player, the strong player in a lot of those markets, that strength has its benefits as well as people are looking for a safe place to get their products. So the team has done a great job there and took advantage of the opportunities in market growth. In Australia, we did see some acceleration in the fourth quarter, which is the first time in a couple of years, given what's been going on in housing there and, again, testament to the team's work on being there for the residential new construction, where we're very, very strong and continuing to grow in the R&R space. Coming into this year, I think we've been planning for Australia to continue to be slightly on the negative side. Probably that's going to surprise us on the plus side, as the government stimulus money seems to be helping. It's very focused on residential and construction and R&R work, and that seems to be helping in the marketplace. But keep in mind, long term in Australia, immigration drives residential and construction. And as long as the borders remain closed, which they are, immigration isn't happening. So for that step function increase, in R&C in Australia, that will happen naturally once immigration opens back up. So that would be the big step function increase there.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#19

Got it. Okay. Very helpful. Touch on SG&A a little bit, just given in a very uncertain time back in -- must have been April when you guys were cutting SG&A and a lot came out of the business. And now that there's an expectation, that some of that needs to come back. Just kind of talk through what does need to come back versus how to think about leverage in '21?

Gary Michel

executive
#20

Yes. So I think, obviously, a lot of T&E reduction for the year. We're still not traveling, really. So that -- we still have that continuing certainly now. I think once there's vaccines and norms and customers want to see us again and -- we'll start traveling a little bit. So that might hit back. One of the things to keep in mind is -- one of the big levers that we pulled or one of the levers we pulled in the second quarter of last year was furloughs across the company. We paid those all back in the year. So while it might be a year-over-year in the quarter, it's not in effect for the full year. We were -- we found ourselves in a position to do that. And so for the full year, we'll be really solid on that. I do think that we will see some increase in T&E later in the year, but we can manage that. I mean, it's -- we kind of hold the throttle for when these costs come back. If the markets aren't there, and we're not selling -- if revenue's not there, we're not selling, we're certainly not going to spend the money, and we've got the commitment there. I also think that there are some changes now in the overall raw number. It's probably -- we're not probably going back to that number anytime soon because I think business has changed quite a bit. And the likelihood for the amount of travel we might have been doing before probably isn't going to come back that quickly.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#21

Makes sense. Although, hopefully, next year, we are back in Miami, so this one at least.

Gary Michel

executive
#22

That would be nice.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#23

Just one final question with a half a minute to go here. Just the balance sheet, clearly, a lot of progress. The cash flow you generated in 2020, no doubt, helped on that. So just what are the thoughts on M&A and share repurchase going forward?

Gary Michel

executive
#24

Yes. So we're pretty pleased with where we ended up in terms of liquidity, our cash flow benefiting from work we've done on working capital as well, and we continue to deliver strong operating cash flow. So yes, we obviously have some great projects internally that give us great returns, and we're going to continue to invest as we did last year in those programs. We have been out of the share repurchase business for about a year. We made a small purchase last year. So that's certainly something that's back on the table, and it's probably something that we'll look at. We like investing in ourselves, and right now is probably a pretty good deal. And the last piece is we haven't -- we've traditionally been acquisitive, and we've done a good job at kind of nice bolt-on, kind of down the middle of the track acquisitions that have added to our capabilities, both on the product side. We're accelerating our strategy. So we'll continue to work that muscle and look at potential M&A activity, which there's some out there, it just has to be the right value when you screen it against investing in ourselves.

Matthew Bouley

analyst
#25

Got it. Well, that's a perfect place to wrap up then. So Gary Michel from JELD-WEN, thank you very much, sir, for joining, and best of luck in 2021.

Gary Michel

executive
#26

Thank you so much, Matt. Appreciate it.

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