Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 10, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGood afternoon. Welcome to the working and consuming outside the home track for the Morgan Stanley Life After COVID Conference. I'm Josh Pokrzywinski, the firm's U.S. electrical equipment and multi-industry analyst. With me this afternoon is Johnson Controls, and I'm pleased to be joined by George Oliver, Chairman and CEO; and Mike Ellis, EVP and Chief Customer and Digital Officer. Gentlemen, thanks for joining us. Before we get started here, I do need to read one quick disclaimer. Please note that this webcast is for Morgan Stanley's clients and appropriate Morgan Stanley employees only. This webcast is not for members of the press. If you are a member of the press, please disconnect and reach out separately. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. With that, George, thanks for joining us. Good to see you, good to hear your voice in what has been a weird time to be alive. If you wouldn't mind, just take a few seconds here in what is an exciting time to be alive, I think, at Johnson Controls. Kind of talk through some of the big things you're focused on. And why now is kind of an interesting time to look at the story.
George Oliver
executiveSure. And thanks, Josh, for having us. It's great to be able to join you for this conference. I did think that it would be good to start off with a few comments here. I think as most of you know, we wrapped up fiscal 2020 with results out last week. I won't rehash everything we said on the call, but for those -- for the benefit of those who haven't had the chance to review our results or are unfamiliar with Johnson Controls. I'd start by saying we executed very well in what was extraordinarily challenging environment. We saw a sequential improvement across all of our businesses from both a sales and order perspective. Aggressive cost actions in response to volume declines, has resulted in best-in-class decrementals over the last 2 quarters. I'd say throughout this pandemic, we remain fully engaged with our employees, customers and partners around the world. We accomplished our strategic goals and initiatives for the year. We further strengthened our balance sheet and liquidity profile. While at the same time, we returned over $3 billion in capital to our shareholders through both dividend as well as share buybacks. I think most importantly, we stayed on offense. Maintaining a very high level of organic investment in our businesses with continued innovation while filling key leadership positions. And entered the next stage of evolution at Johnson Controls with the launch of OpenBlue, which is our very comprehensive new digital platform. And lastly, we provided some initial views on fiscal 2021 that demonstrate our commitment to: number one, accelerating growth, expanding operating margins and ultimately returning capital to shareholders. Just a quick note on our portfolio. I'd say we are very well aligned with strong secular trends, which include sustainability and energy efficiency, urbanization and now smarter and safer buildings and infrastructure. And I'd say we are uniquely positioned to serve these trends with a very holistic approach that leverages the most comprehensive product portfolio in the industry. That combines with the largest installed base and the broadest direct channel footprint to enable a very extensive go-to-market advantage. And just quickly on the business model and portfolio, we have positioned the company as a pure-play building solution provider with the broadest portfolio of intelligent building solutions in the market with annual revenues of $22 billion. We do hold leading positions in very attractive industries with favorable secular growth trends. As I mentioned, we have a $12 billion global HVAC and building controls platform, which is skewed heavily towards institutional and commercial infrastructure that we believe longer term, that's a great position to have. We have a $9 billion global Fire & Security platform with a large installed base and very high service attachment. And a lot of interactive qualities, particularly on the security side. And with our digital transformation platform, OpenBlue, which I'm sure we'll talk a little bit more about, I believe we are uniquely positioned to be able to service smart buildings of the future with a very comprehensive suite of solutions that connect both the IT and OT in and out of the building leveraging Data Analytics, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, and ultimately deliver outcome-based solutions for our customers. And all of these attributes play very well in addressing not only the immediate needs around indoor air quality and healthy buildings. But I believe that there is no one better positioned to help customers operate healthy and safe buildings. And lastly, sustainability in ESG, in general. Both are core to the vision, mission and values of the company. And we are very well-positioned, both from a product portfolio standpoint to address our customers' goals to lower greenhouse gas emissions with nearly half of revenue coming from product design to exceed minimal efficiency requirements and significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions. And we have made over a dozen global commitments to fight climate change and support sustainable development. And then last, I'd say, in addition to the depth and breadth of our product offering, we also have one of the largest direct channel footprints. And with that, an unmatched history and expertise in the buildings environment that enable us to bring best-in-class team of sales and service engineers, combined with our technology that give us a clear competitive advantage. So on that, Josh, I'm looking forward to our discussion around healthy buildings.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGreat. Appreciate some of those -- those kind of or all of those comments, George, it's very helpful in kind of framing where JCI is. I guess to take that a step further, obviously, you mentioned the JCI's portfolio as it stands today, is kind of the culmination of years of work on pruning and focusing down in the building space. And now you're kind of left with the broadest portfolio of solutions. How should we think about the different areas of those in the broader context of this mega trend? Because you guys can come at this problem from multiple areas, maybe in a way that a more monolithic player can't. So maybe touch upon how those pieces come together. And how OpenBlue, which I think we can go into a bit more detail in a bit, all kind of converge for a customer?
George Oliver
executiveYes. I'd start, Josh, by saying, reshaping the portfolio over the last several years has been about the alignment with trends in connectivity, sustainability and energy efficiency. Urbanization in smarter and safer buildings with improved infrastructure. That has been fundamental to the merger and everything we've done over the last 3 years. Our customers tell us every day, they're looking at buildings holistically. They're looking for a leading-edge connected solution to solve for specific outcomes, especially now with the pandemic, there's lots of new challenges. And I believe we're uniquely positioned to be able to completely own that holistic view with all of the systems that we bring to the building. And now more important with OpenBlue, our ability to be able to leverage the most comprehensive product portfolio, the largest installed base, and in the broadest channel in buildings. And we can apply our go-to-market approach across a wide array of customer types, right from the simplest building or infrastructure all the way up to the most complex. And I would say that the strength that we have is that we're part of our customers' ecosystem, which allows us to learn constantly, especially now with data, extracting the data and analyzing it and therefore, we adjust constantly to be able to increase our customer value proposition. And then that, combined with the horizontal footprint, with the ability now to bring that all together and move up the technology stack is what ultimately now OpenBlue gives us an incredible advantage. And our direct channel to the customer is, I believe, is unique. It's broad and a true differentiator. So that was the vision when I look back to when we did the merger 5 years ago, and it is now the same, which we will now lead from managing -- what I would say, managing traditional buildings to becoming an outcome-based solutions provider that support more intelligent connected spaces and places. And the COVID-19 has only advanced that need.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystSo I guess within this OpenBlue is one of a very small number of offerings, but a unique offering that -- it's IoT for buildings. How has that customer reaction been? And how should we think about this as different from some of your current offerings? I think JCI has been very early and is a leader in building management systems. Control as you guys have been around forever. I think you invented the thermostat, if I remember right.
George Oliver
executive135 years ago, Josh.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystYes -- so clearly, a rich history to follow-on there. Does OpenBlue replace that? Does OpenBlue sit on top of that? Maybe spend some time talking about how that infrastructure fits together, given that there's a huge installed base. And now you have some pretty compelling data-driven technology that sits on top.
George Oliver
executiveYes. Let me try to simplify it. So OpenBlue, what I would say is a complete suite of connected solutions that enables delivery of a more impactful sustainability within the building, new occupant experiences. And then with all of that, enhanced safety and security that combines our long-standing expertise in buildings with new cutting-edge technology. So it enables us, along with our customers and partners to, what I would say, fundamentally transform how spaces and places are experienced, and that are safe and protected. And it does take everything we do in a building and now through leveraging all of the connectivity of those systems, and then the ability to be able to utilize the data, it now enables us to be able to create new outcomes. And where we believe we're truly differentiated, again, is the way that we go to market with a very strong direct channel footprint with a -- and then be able to capitalize on a very large installed base of equipment and service, which now we can take all that installed base with OpenBlue and significantly enhance our value proposition. And I would tell you that although it's still very early. We launched this just 90 days ago. We've seen significant success in creating momentum with customers and partners. Immediately, it was -- we're engaged with a wide variety of customers looking to connect, plan and manage space. A lot of that focus has been enhanced security, sustainability, occupant experiences, health and safety. The platform addresses a broad series of solutions targeting a variety of environments. And just a couple of examples. Worldwide, we've seen engagement with a wide range of our customers from the largest to most respected real estate developers in Asia to multiple sports venues, across the world and then probably everything in between. And just a couple of examples. One of the largest real estate developers in Asia, which is a leader in facility management, selected our OpenBlue enterprise manager solution, which is a software solution that helps customers manage large portfolios of properties. We now are deploying it across 42 of their buildings in Singapore. And then the other one I'd mention is universities is a big vertical for us. We began OpenBlue engagements at Stanford, Brown, Tulane, Kent State, University of Arkansas, many others. And then our work with the National University of Singapore also demonstrates that with the deep collaboration that we have with Microsoft, that we're actually creating a living laboratory for a new breed of customizable, contact-free applications built on our Johnson Controls unifying digital technology suite OpenBlue. So all of that has been creating this ecosystem with technology partners coming together. I did mention the partnership with Microsoft, but we also have begun work with other technology companies, including Accenture, Intel, Cisco and others. And so maybe, Mike, you can make a couple of comments where you've been right in the middle of this with all of these deployments?
Michael Ellis
executiveYes, absolutely, George, happy to. So you talked about a little bit around building management systems. And just to delineate what the difference is here, BMS, building management, is and has been for many, many years, the heartbeat of running a great building. It's a very important technology, especially around the core platforms that enforce and drive forward, all the core processes of running a building, HVAC, fire, security, et cetera. OpenBlue, we think of it is not only encompassing those traditional BMS capabilities but also complementing and extending it at a broad degree. So think of the connection or the convergence of IT or informational technology, along with OT, operational technology. So let's talk a little bit about the differences and why we're doing these partnerships like we have that have extended our footprint around technology. So firstly, think about OpenBlue as that connector, driving that technology connection with operational technologies, not only Johnson Controls, but any vendor that might be in that building. So creating truly that connected view of what's happening in that building across every technology, by the way, not just the heating and ventilation, HVAC, et cetera. Secondly, we are using a whole new series of next-gen technology. So I think not only AI, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning, but also technologies like digital twin. So the ability to actually create a virtual simulation and real-time monitoring of what's going on in the building, really empowers how you not only support that building, but also how we support our customers in driving their most valuable assets to people in those buildings to a good and safety -- safe and secure productive environment. And then lastly, connecting IT platforms. So again, this convergence of IT and OT is really important because if we can provide that singular view of that building, we can provide a really amazing dashboard to delivering great customer experiences and outcomes for those building owners. Think of 3 pillars of the way we look at it: Sustainability, so lowering their carbon footprint; safety and security, so healthy buildings; and lastly, but importantly, customer experience. So the folks that own these buildings and the people that manage them are very interested in how do we really capture that increase in value of building and do so in a responsible, trustful way with technology, both IT and OT. And as George said, between hospital campuses, universities, large commercial headquarters, campuses, everything. We are deeply involved in already doing this today with some of the largest institutions out there in the world.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystThat's really helpful, Mike. Would you mind just kind of delving in on the healthy building side some of the offerings and enabling outcomes that OpenBlue can provide, whether it's cleaner air or touchless activities. What are some of the things that come out of enabling OpenBlue?
Michael Ellis
executiveSure, sure. No, happy to. So as I mentioned, OpenBlue is an extension of already the BMS system, the building management platforms and controls, et cetera. But it also encompasses this whole concept of healthy buildings as you put it. So think about OpenBlue Workplace. It's a new solution that we launched this summer. It's all about providing real-time visibility into the people in the building and doing so with trust and with privacy built into it. The idea there is, not only can you provide a more safe experience, but you can also provide, because of that knowledge of the individual, preferences and personalization around their productivity and what they would like to accomplish. We also released just recently in the last couple of weeks, OpenBlue security applications that allow for the people running those buildings, facility managers to do so in a much more informed way around risk profiles that are happening around that building in the neighborhoods or locations of it, to also provide standard operating procedures in a more uniform way. All under the branding, if you will, of OpenBlue, connecting all of these technologies within the building. And as I mentioned earlier, some of the largest banks some of the largest credit card companies, universities, et cetera, worldwide are now deploying these technologies because of not only pandemic and COVID, of course, that is a catalyst to moving faster. But also because of what I described earlier of how do you affect the value of the building in the biggest and broadest way. So I think sustainability, healthy spaces and buildings and again, experiences. Core to us in terms of driving forward that healthy building experience.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystExcellent. So George, in the spirit of the hip bone's connected to the leg bone. I don't think there's an indoor air quality conversation out there happening with a customer that doesn't get back to energy efficiency. How much of this kind of initial discussion where someone goes, holy cow, I need cleaner air in my buildings, whether that's a less sophisticated view on like, hey, just sell me a filter or someone who knows about the air exchanges they need to get done. How much has that turned into a conversation on, hey, we can get you what you need, but we should really talk about energy efficiency while we're here.
George Oliver
executiveYes. I think for -- what we're doing is doing both. I mean we have the opportunity now, let's talk clean air. It's a perfect example of a solution that is needed right now, and we've seen a significant uptick in interest from our customers since the beginning of the pandemic. And so whether it be filters. So there's really 4 key elements. It's filtration, it's ventilation, it's disinfection and it's isolation. And so although you can bring one of those capabilities and help contribute to solving the problem. Our position is that we can solve the holistic problem. And so it's making sure that we not only devise the right solution with those capabilities. But a lot of the ability to be able to offset the energy consumed because immediately, there's been pressure now on energy because with increased ventilation and need of turnover of air with less recircularization of air, then there's a higher energy demand. And so now, how do you optimize the -- not only those key elements of creating air purification, but do it in a way that minimizes the -- or actually offsets the energy required and continues to deliver on our customers' sustainability goals. And so I think our clean air strategy focuses on finding the right balance between air quality, energy efficiency. It's based on what we define as our science [Audio Gap] recommendations on clean air delivery rate, which is ultimately clean air changes per hour. We're right in the middle, Josh, of performing assessments on -- as starting points to align our solutions and services to each of our customers and making sure that we're providing the right application, applications actually, to be able to achieve their clean air delivery rate target. We're not necessarily trying to solve the problem incrementally with one -- any one of these contributors. And so I think no one's better positioned to be able to help customers operate healthy, safe, buildings. And it is because of the combination of our HVAC, security, building software platforms, they do uniquely position us to provide more powerful solutions based on specific customer outcomes. And that, combined with our 16,000 service experts across the globe, with the size and strength of our direct channel, creates a significant competitive advantage. And so it's really about doing both. Not only creating at the level of air purification that our customers are demanding, but also enabling that with the right energy efficiency that ultimately, we believe, is going to really drive our service business short term. And then now with OpenBlue being able to enhance our service business with the data that we're collecting and ultimately taking advantage of that. And as we look at this here with our pipeline, we're looking at a pipeline of over -- well over a couple of hundred million dollars right now based on activity we see today. And longer term, it's going to be, as you said, the ability to be able to optimize how you create and deliver a healthy and safe environment while you're also being able to achieve the sustainability goals that our customers are committed to achieving. And a lot of that is going to be -- we're utilizing not only all of our technology. But as I said, we're partnering with technology companies, where also we have partnerships with universities. And making sure that with the channel that we have, we have the full capability to be able to bring the most optimized solution in being able to achieve both.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystSo I guess here's the million-dollar question, George, and you and I were talking about this a little bit before we started. I don't know if thematically in at least the industrial space, there are many topics that have generated as much interest as things like EU Green new deal and some of the buying proposals, we'll see how those pan out. But I think the broader topic of building efficiency is thematically very topical at the moment. I guess, what do you think of as being kind of the pillars to get there? And I guess, let me explain that a little bit. It doesn't seem like you can get there with HVAC alone. It's an important point in the argument. But there's probably an IoT component. There's probably other systems that need to be upgraded given that you have the broadest approach, I would imagine you can kind of see where more of the spending needs to get done. If I was a normal building today and needed to upgrade, what kind of things am I spending money on? What kind of payback should I expect? It seems like we got to measure a lot more stuff than we're out there today. So it's a broad question, but I think an important one where what are the areas where people really need to spend money? And how much do they need to spend?
George Oliver
executiveYes, Josh, as we were talking before the conference started here, I think it is getting back to what I said. It's a combination. It's a holistic approach to have the most efficient equipment, which is an important piece, but also now being able to utilize all of the data that's extracted from the building that then optimizes how that equipment works and ultimately supports the outcomes that are required. I think it is such an incredible opportunity. On one hand, there is so much to be done to make buildings in themselves more efficient and more sustainable. And that's what we have been capitalizing on that. But in addition, these types of initiatives are going to create a huge boost in demand for building efficiency improvements. And so we're working -- with OpenBlue, we're working with energy saving, AI as well as applying innovations to both our products and the combined, as I said, all of the pieces we put together into the solutions that we bring to our customers. And most importantly, a connected smart building is a more efficient building and absolutely critical to being able to achieve these objectives. I would say as we were discussing our performance contracting also has a tremendous place in this mix. Performance contracting is when we provide our capabilities fueled by OpenBlue now as a service. And we bring together -- we do a survey of a building. We then recommend upgrades and deployment of digital capabilities to ultimately create outcomes. And we believe this is another big win for those looking to achieve progress towards these targets because it does help eliminate some of the upfront capital cost, instead, it makes it a long-term commitment for us which will enable them to achieve their goals and pay over time. And we have one of the largest performing contracting businesses in the world, and this will be needed by many and OpenBlue only enhances that. So the bottom line is this is a huge win-win as one improves the building's efficiency, you reduce the energy spend while making your building safer, cleaner, more resilient. In the end, that is a more attractive building. It demands higher rent. It creates fantastic experience for the occupants and qualifies for incentives and tax credits. And I believe every -- what we're learning is every situation and business case is different. But 99% of the time, someone investing in a clean, healthy building will find a very positive return on the investment that they do make. Maybe Mike can share a couple of his thoughts on this.
Michael Ellis
executiveSure, George. Yes, absolutely. It's not only, Josh, the -- just reacting to the requirements of pandemic and COVID in addition to sustainability and carbon footprint but it's also -- there's a lot of regulation, as you know, both the EU around green. Most of the major global cities have some level of legislation that's coming into play that is dramatically going to affect the spend towards sustainable buildings and carbon footprint through 2030, 2040. We believe and I think most of the industry believes that it's going to affect 40% to 60% of the buildings out there that need to be refitted, including obviously new construction around the technology and the core platforms that they put in to reach those capabilities and those goals around sustainability. Ultimately, our belief is that not only the breadth of portfolio that we bring to market unlike any other vendors in this space, our portfolio is the broadest around intelligent buildings. But playing with that -- or putting with that AI, Artificial Intelligence, digital twin technologies, Machine Learning, et cetera, where we're able to actually solve concurrently the clean air situation with sustainability and a little lower carbon footprint. As George just put it, if we can reduce the energy spend in a particular building, 20% to 50% or more, while we're also increasing the air cleanliness it's the nirvana solve, right, for the ability to deliver not only a greater environment for those building owners, but actually do it at a reduced cost and meet carbon footprint requirements. So pretty extraordinary. We're really excited about it and thrilled to be delivering it through OpenBlue in our core platforms across our portfolio.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystNow the fact that some of your customers maybe a little tighter on budgets right now, given we are in the middle of COVID. Have they shuttered at some of the payback scenarios? I've heard a whole range of numbers thrown out there. Some folks say you can get a lot in kind of the 3- to 5-year window. And that sounds attractive if the building is going to last the next 50 years. Is that a typical key study that you see? Or is it really just all over the map depending on their starting point?
George Oliver
executiveWell, I mean, I think if you look at it with individual parts of the solution, you get longer payback. But I think what we've learned is with our holistic approach with our -- not only our leadership product, but the ability to be able to buy the service and leverage our digital capabilities and data, we can get paybacks much, much shorter than those. As we look at our -- when we put together performance contracts and/or put together some of these holistic solutions, it gives us the ability to be able to bring all of the capability together to optimize the solution. And the payback periods are much less than that.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystGot it. That's interesting. And then I guess, just as we close up here at the top of our time, one thing that has been a little hard to manage through the COVID period is the idea of being able to service that installed base. So George, maybe just remind us how services performed amid some of the different phases of COVID, kind of pre, intra and post. And where we stand on some of that deferred activity now as folks are maybe starting to get back into buildings.
George Oliver
executiveYes. Let me start. We have an incredible base that spins off a lot of service here. We got about a $6 billion service business, which is one of our most attractive vectors for growth. And this has been a big focus of ours here over the last couple of years. And now with OpenBlue, we believe we can significantly accelerate our service. So when you look at what happened this year, typically, during the downturn, service has really declined low -- kind of low to mid-single digits. And there in this pandemic, mainly driven by access to our customers, we had declined, I believe, in the third quarter, it was roughly about 7% -- 6%, 7%. And then this last quarter, we got it down to 2% or 3% negative. And I think on a go-forward basis, we're continuing to see sequential improvement. So we get back -- position to be able to for the total year in 2021 to deliver very nice service growth. And so a lot of that has been mainly driven by customer access. And then the timing of some of the service required to ultimately support our customers in bringing their employees back to work or opening for their customers. And so what I would say is, for us, these healthy building trends, I believe the market has been underserved, which we haven't really got our fair share now with the installed base and our advantage with OpenBlue, I believe we're going to be well-positioned to capitalize. I would say that our coverage now with our breadth of our coverage will position us here to really enable us to be able to go after what we believe the new services will be. And as you know, service comes through with very attractive margins. And so I think we're going to be well-positioned here on a sequential basis. I think when you look at our performance, I would say that my sense is that we continue to outperform although we're down 3%. It does compare to a plus 4% last year, Q4. And then I think when you look at the -- on a go-forward basis, the pipeline that we have right now that includes our OpenBlue and how do we take our tiered services that are enhanced with OpenBlue, and really address holistically the customer challenges that they're facing, we're extremely well-positioned now to be able to turn this positive as we get through the year. And I truly believe that, that capability is going to increase our attach rate, it's going to increase our revenue per customer. And because of that, you're going to see, as we continue our focus on this vector, we're going to accelerate our service growth rate, 2 to 3 points of growth rate on a go-forward basis, with now the new demand and our differentiation of our capabilities going forward. So we're expecting mid-single-digit growth in 2021 and I think we're tracking well with the recovery to ultimately be able to achieve that.
Joshua Pokrzywinski
analystTerrific. We will leave it there. George, Mike, I appreciate the time. Thanks so much. I think this is a really exciting time for the industry. Good to see you, and we'll touch base soon. Thanks so much. And if anyone has any questions, please feel free to reach out.
George Oliver
executiveAll right. Thanks, Josh.
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