Koninklijke BAM Groep nv (BAMNB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 18, 2022

Euronext Amsterdam NL Industrials Construction and Engineering earnings 72 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Michel Aupers

executive
#1

Good morning, everyone. I'm Michel Aupers, Investor Relations Manager of Royal BAM Group. Welcome to everyone joining this analyst meeting here in Amsterdam or in the audio webcast. The meeting is hosted by our CEO, Ruud Joosten; and our CFO, Frans den Houter. They will make a short presentation on key points of BAM's half year results we published this morning before the stock market opened. Afterwards, they will take analyst questions. I draw your attention to the disclaimer here. Ruud, over to you, please.

R. Joosten

executive
#2

Thank you, Michel, and good morning all. We invited you to join us today in the Zuidas area of Amsterdam, where we have a magnificent view of the Crossover project on the other side of the highway. It's being developed by a property developer, AM, that's under construction by BAM Wonen, both part of BAM Residential. This is a mixed-use development that includes 12,000 meters squared of high-end office space and 120 social housing apartments owned by the Housing Corporation Lieven de Key. It is energy-neutral design, uses recycled materials and incorporates green terraces and roof gardens. It was awarded the highest BREEAM rating for such a project, which is unique for the Netherlands. You may also have seen the press release last week about the [ Warehouse ] Redevelopment Amsterdam, where a former office building will be redeveloped into offices, houses and shared spaces. This is another building with strong sustainability credentials. Here are a few images to give you a full impression of the Crossover Building when it's finished in 2023. Here you see an impression of the exterior of Crossover, an impression of the complete building, and the interior of Crossover. And last but not least, an impression of the street view of the building. Crossover and [ Warehouse ] are great examples of BAM using market-leading capabilities for sustainable buildings to secure great projects that support the order book. This brings us to the main item of this morning, our half year results. I see 3 main elements underpinning our strong first half year. First, we can be pleased with the solid operational performance in both divisions, the Netherlands and U.K. and Ireland. Second, we further derisk project by selling -- by settling some claims like Museum of the Future and agreed the way forward for Afsluitdijk. And third, we closed the sales of the Belgium businesses Bam Galère and BAM Contractors and will complete the sale of Wayss & Freytag in the third quarter. Frans will discuss the numbers in a few minutes. The recovery of our capital ratio is a strong indicator that we are on track with our 3-year strategic plan. We are halfway through this 3-year strategic journey that started during the severe challenges of the pandemic. The impact of COVID has reduced, but our industry now faces a different set of headwinds. So I'm very pleased with how we have achieved so far. I would like to thank our employees for their outstanding efforts to be agile and to depth. Looking at the first pillar of the strategy. We have nearly completed the process to focus our business portfolio on a profitable growth platform with the divestments in Europe and the winding down of BAM International. For the second pillar, we have moved a long way to reducing risk in the project portfolio. For example, for not bidding on single large lump sum tenders above EUR 150 million. And we are using group-wide programs to improve operational excellence and tenders on projects. As for the third pillar, we are investing in assets, people and technologies to create life cycle solutions and sustainable environments to enhance people's lives. For example, we are building a new factory for the flow timber housing concept, which will start production next year. I will say a few words about that later. All in all, we are tracking well against 2023 strategic targets. Now a few words about the divisions. On this slide, you see the Alexiatunnel in Hilversum. The underpass is crossing the busy railway line between Hilversum and Amersfoort. This opened last week to all traffic. This aerial view of a few weeks earlier shows you the unique feature of the 2 tubes that are located one above the other. The lower tunnel tube is intended for motorized traffic, the upper one for cyclists and pedestrians. It was delivered by our Dutch Civil company, BAM Infra, where adjusted EBITDA recovered from a loss of EUR 11 million in the first half year 2021 to EUR 31 million positive this year. Overall, the Netherlands division had a good first half year, with adjusted EBITDA of nearly EUR 100 million. The improvement of the civil engineering activities, I just mentioned, is welcome progress. On top of that, we are very pleased the government has ratified the agreement for Afsluitdijk. This is in line with the provision we made for our full year 2021 results, and the revised scope of work has significantly derisked the project going forward. Dutch Construction & Property was below the exceptional strong first half year 2021, but still made a strong adjusted EBITDA. Like many industries, we have felt some pressure from inflation and supply chain, especially in nonresidential. In Dutch, residential house prices are at a good level and the market remains strong. We expect sales to increase in the second half year compared with the first half year and to sell more than 2,000 homes over the full year 2022. Moving to the division U.K. and Ireland. Results were stable in the first half year. In the U.K., Civil Engineering showed a solid performance, supported by a high activity level. UK Construction had a satisfactory half year, also reporting a small increase in revenue and a higher margin. The newly established ventures businesses which includes property UK, Ritchies, facility management, site solutions and EV charging solutions with a satisfactory contribution. These are attractive businesses with strong potential as growth platforms, and we are giving them support and resources to succeed. There were supply chain issues in the division, including some larger construction projects. We can mitigate much of this through sourcing, contract terms and pricing. Now Frans will take you through the financials.

L.F. Houter

executive
#3

Good morning, everyone, and I will start by repeating what Ruud just said. This was a strong first half year for BAM. From a finance perspective, I would like to highlight [Technical Difficulty] 5.5% -- the microphone was switched off. Do I need to restart or no? No. Okay. It's fine. Some technical hiccup here. The third point I would like to raise is the further derisking of the portfolio, which will improve the predictability of our results. The trade working capital efficiency, which is stable at minus 16.6%. The cash position at the year -- at June was EUR 830 million, and the capital ratio is 17.7%. Let's go to the income statement. As Ruud explained, there was a solid performance from the divisions, Netherlands and U.K. and Ireland. Our other businesses contributed EUR 24.5 million to the adjusted EBITDA, including a EUR 13 million following the Museum of the Future settlement. BAM shares of Invesis result was EUR 16 million. And as stated in the press release, we have changed the basis of accounting for Invesis hedges. So in future, there will be much less volatility on this item. Depreciation and amortization was lower due to the divestments and the decrease in interest cost reflects the repayment of the RCF and the convertible bonds in the first half year of 2021, if you compare half year on half year. Impairments of EUR 12 million related to the write-down for equipment, goodwill, some property positions and the effect of completing the Belgium divestments in the first quarter. We report a normal tax level, and the net result strongly improved to EUR 85.7 million, which equals EUR 0.31 earnings per share. Moving on to the cash flow. Cash flow from operations was strong, driven by the solid performance of the operations. And this year, we see the return of the usual seasonal cash pattern in the industry. And as such, we report a working capital outflow of EUR 272 million in the first 6 months. Although working capital declined over the first half year, trade working capital efficiency was stable at a high level of minus 16.6%, which is explained by the reduction of the revenue. In Q2, there is EUR 188 million cash reclassified as held for sale due to the Wayss & Freytag transaction. This was partly offset by the completion of the Belgium companies. The reported cash position amounts EUR 830 million. But please bear in mind, we expect to receive the proceeds from the sales of Wayss & Freytag in Q3, which will significantly improve our cash position. On this slide, I would like to highlight the strengthening of our balance sheet. Two years ago, our capital ratio was 11.3%, including the support of the subordinated convertible bond. Today, we report 17.7% without having a convertible in our balance sheet. The sale of Wayss & Freytag will bring us towards our strategic target of 20% and confirms the strong balance sheet we aimed in our strategy to support our market position. We are very pleased with the progress on this important KPI, and it reflects our improved operational performance, portfolio decisions and the focus on an efficient balance sheet. Back to you, Ruud.

R. Joosten

executive
#4

Thank you, Frans. Last June, our Dutch housing building company, BAM Wonen, launched our new housing concept flow. Flow helps meet the high demand for sustainable and affordable housing. The housing concept uses timber elements as a sustainable basis instead of concrete, which are built off-site. It's sustainable because the house consists largely of timber. CO2 is stored instead of emitted. When assembling the house, we make sure that the house can be taken apart again later. So it's truly circular. This slide shows you how our prototype was assembled at our plant [indiscernible] in Lelystad. BAM is a leading homebuilder in the Netherlands. We develop over 2,000 homes each year on our own accounts. But this new concept can make a real impact in the overall Dutch market. We are pleased with the quality and level of our order book of EUR 12.2 billion, this was stable over the first half year of 2022 when you set aside the divestments of Belgium. The strong backlog secures a large part of our revenue for the rest of 2022 and 2023. So I conclude by saying we are making good progress with the strategy and are on track to deliver our targets for the year 2023. The outlook for 2022 is for a margin of at least 4%, excluding the book profit to come from the sale of Wayss & Freytag. Now we will take your questions.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#5

Tijs Hollestelle, ING. Yes, my first question is about the Dutch Infrastructure business, indeed a solid performance as an absence of, let's say, additional project losses in the big projects division. I think we discussed it in the last meeting, the revenues are declining from the big project division. Could you, let's say, highlight how much the revenue contribution was in the first half? And what you expect for, let's say, the full year? And also what you expect, let's say, the revenues going down in the coming years? And then also, could you confirm that the remaining Dutch Infra business on the smaller projects has indeed a healthy margin already in line with your -- basically with your targets? That's the first question. Let's do them one by one, please.

R. Joosten

executive
#6

Indeed correct that the large project division is getting smaller because of the fact that we don't step into large projects anymore above EUR 150 million single stage lump sum. And in the meantime, of course, the older projects are getting completed step by step. We don't go into the exact numbers for the first half year, small projects -- bigger projects. But what we can say that the future of the Infra business will be much more focused on the opportunities we see in, for example, electrification, climate change within the Dutch market anyway. And there we see a big opportunity going forward. And that strategy is being developed in more detail as we speak. Of course, happy to see at this moment already that profitability in Infra Netherlands is increasing dramatically when you take out indeed these big losses on these big projects. So in that sense, I'm really happy with where we are at this moment in time. You see the big -- the fast recovery of the results in that part of the business. And that's supporting our vision that there is a big opportunity for Infra, the Netherlands, within these sustainability segments going forward, but also linked to that, indeed, for example, electrification, where we see a lot of customers looking for our expertise and skills. I think that's a bit where we are. Of course, we were supported in the first half year as well with the settlement of the [indiscernible], but still even without that, a strong recovery in results.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#7

And if you would look, let's say, 2 years ahead, is that an EUR 800 million revenue business or EUR 1.2 billion in smaller projects, if everything is cleaned out? You have a few...

R. Joosten

executive
#8

Well, what we see is that the total Infra business is around EUR 900 million for the full year, I guess. Looking at the first half year, that's why I say I guess. EUR 200 million, EUR 250 million, in the past EUR 300 million of that was the big projects. And gradually, the big project will be phased out. And development of the new strategy and the opportunities we see, for example, in electrification, but also in dike management, for example, as one of the segments. We'll partially or completely then replace these bigger projects. So we still go for a substantial business in Infra, the Netherlands. Yes, you can calculate for yourself, if you take out gradually the EUR 250 million and then build it up with other business going forward. But it's also, I think, fair to say that we have to invest more in these segments going forward and rebalance in that sense, Infra, the Netherlands, towards this maybe smaller but more attractive and profitable businesses.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#9

Yes. Okay. That's very clear. Yes. And then I also have a question about -- because of all the disposals, it's still a bit, messy is not a very friendly word, but it's difficult to see the full, let's say, continued business performance. So the way I look at it, let's say, also next year when your the deadline for your target is, but maybe 1 year later, if you're completely finished, we're looking at the performance of the division in the Netherlands and then the U.K. and Ireland. And what kind of normalized other costs or income are you calculating with? Because the PFI division now also reported an exceptional results, but are there, let's say, structural holding costs. So what should we use for our, let's say, modeling of the adjusted EBITDA of only the continued business? So assuming yet you dispose everything you want to dispose today.

L.F. Houter

executive
#10

Yes. So I think on the Invesis, BAM PPP -- formally known in BAM PPP, we've completed a transaction there. And as such, the income is quite modest because you take a lot of the upside in the transaction. So EUR 4 million to EUR 5 million recurring income on that one is realistic. Indeed, as you say, we had a lot of volatility from the hedges in the first quarter. That was a technical issue that we resolved. So that is not a recurring component. And then on the other miscellaneous, yes, that typically is always a bit around 0 on a PBT level. But then correcting for depreciations, we have there, you come on a EUR 10 million EBITDA. So those, I think, are the 2 main components. And then, of course, indeed, as you say, we completed the divestment portfolio. We will still have Belgium Construction & Property in our portfolio that we want to make a profitable healthy business, and that is EUR 150 million turnover, and we are happy with the small margin there for the coming period.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#11

Okay. And then a final question for now at least. I understand, let's say, the lumpiness of the residential businesses or a relatively low number of [indiscernible] houses in the first half. You provide guidance for the full year, 2,000 houses. I guess that your visibility also on the operating income for the second half is quite okay. And that is excluding what's currently happening outside with the higher interest rates because I'm personally quite worried that there will be kind of a dip in the Dutch residential market. So what are your, let's say, internal scenarios on what might happen to the residential business next year because it's a long time ago that we have seen, let's say, a market downturn, and that was in 2009, and it was quite severe. So I don't believe it will be that bad, but can you give us a little bit of guidance what kind of bandwidth we should expect? And the reason I'm asking is because it's your most profitable business within the overall group.

R. Joosten

executive
#12

Clear. I think the 1 million dollar question at this moment in time, a lot of things happening there, increasing interest rates, inflation, some countries going into recession. Luckily, yesterday in the Dutch environment, we saw that it was not as bad in Q2. And that's also the link to how I look at the market at this moment in time. We see still structurally huge demand for homes in the Netherlands. The deficit of 900,000 homes is still there. So structurally, the demand is there, and people just want to have a home, of course, so that will not change. So as we maybe -- over the last years, I've seen a situation where we built or we developed a home or house and there were 17 buyers ready to buy it, maybe now it's 8. So yes, maybe the highest pressure is a bit gone, but the demand is still extremely high and prices are still very good. And that's the short-term outlook for this business going forward. And it's more that the lack of permitting and the opportunity to develop more homes is the bottleneck then that we cannot sell these houses to buyers. So again, I see these effects, too. Long term, the demand is there, the 1 million or 900,000 homes deficit. How can we manage it in the meantime will be an interesting game between government taking more, let's say, direction in permitting and zoning, maybe also pushing a bit more to out of city building projects, not only looking at inner-city opportunities. Then there can be an acceleration and maybe even we can build more homes in the coming years because I think when demand is there, for such an important thing as living, a home for people, I think we can sell these houses if we can build them. That's how I look at the, let's say, short and midterm situation in the Dutch home market.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#13

Yes. And one of the things I also noticed is that, I mean, because you're building new houses, you're the ones who can, let's say, provide more affordable homes. But if the mortgage rate is just too high for the average consumer, but how quickly is BAM able to switch to those kind of -- maybe it's not the most profitable offering, but yes, at least you can, let's say, lower the size of the house or using a bit less quality materials, et cetera, in order to lower the...

R. Joosten

executive
#14

Yes, absolutely. I think we can play a very good role there. And one of the things we introduced this year is the Flow concept, which is a wooden affordable, sustainable house concept, building concept. It plays an important role that we are building a factory at this moment in time. Now we can scale it up and really have a very flexible way, flexible form of delivering sustainable, affordable housing in the Dutch market. So indeed, yes, it's about how much permits, how much development can be realized in the Dutch market going forward. So I think a company like BAM is not a bottleneck in that sense. But yes, things need to come together a little bit to accelerate. For now, I think for the outlook for this year, I think, indeed more than 2,000 homes are what we see at this moment in time going forward, and we don't see a very negative development in 2023 in that sense.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#15

[indiscernible], ABN AMRO. Coming back to the homes outlook. So more than 2,000 this year, will it be lower or higher next year in your view? And related to that, do you already see any acceleration because of the, let's say, new government plans being developed or exactly vice versa effect?

R. Joosten

executive
#16

Well, that's an extremely important indeed, additional remark from your side because that makes a big difference. We are very happy with the fact that the Dutch government appointed the Minister, especially for this big crisis because, I think, it is a big crisis. And indeed, strong governmental direction can really accelerate demand and opportunity here. Demand is there, but the opportunity to really realize these homes. So in that sense, difficult to do all kind of predictions for next year in that sense. Already for this year, I think, yes, we can make the 2,000-plus statement for our business. And let's hope we get the acceleration that we all need in the Dutch market. And we're talking with the Minister, also represented by BAM Netherlands, but also from our side as BAM to play our role and together accelerate the permitting situation in the Netherlands.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#17

This may be logical to assume first, let's say, the kind of freeze everyone waiting the new plants. And once the new plants come in, then the acceleration, so maybe a dip '23 and then hopefully, recovery '24?

R. Joosten

executive
#18

No. That's for me speculation. I see opportunity here. When there is a strong demand, yes, I think we should be able in this country to realize homes, affordable homes for people. I think we should be able to do that. We have the products in-house. I mentioned Flow, but also our existing assortment. So we are flexible in that sense. It's just a matter of -- yes, can we work together as 1 player in this complex field together with government bodies to get the permitting right. And that's the bottleneck at this moment in time. But I don't see at this moment a big dip coming up, all the demand is still there. We are doing our best to develop these numbers of homes also next year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#19

Okay. Next question on people. I think that maybe the scarce resource in the market as a whole, at least in the Netherlands, are finding the right people? How are you looking at that?

R. Joosten

executive
#20

Yes, absolutely. That's also a bit schizophrenic that people are talking about recession. But at the same time, there is a huge deficit of resources, of people. And of course, we are also impacted by that, but also in the supply chain, this is a big thing. For ourselves as a company, we can still find good people, and it also has to do with the fact that we are an attractive party to work with. We have a strong footprint in the Netherlands, but also in the U.K. and Ireland. And more and more, we see that our sustainability footprint and strategy is attracting people. So in that sense, a lot of, let's say, the next generation will choose for a company like BAM, which has strong intention and strategy on sustainability. But that doesn't take away that there is, of course, a structural shortage of people in the Dutch market. Till now, we can build indeed, I think, partially based on our brands. We have the resources in place to build what we need to build, but sometimes we're also having this problem in the Netherlands. But if you look at our numbers, we can still cope with it at this moment in time.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#21

Okay. Clear. Then I think you promised or we're looking at potentially again paying a dividend. Can you remind us on dividend policy, and what kind of metrics you need?

L.F. Houter

executive
#22

So there is indeed a clear statement here. We expect to propose a dividend over the full year. There's no reference to an amount or policy, but there is a dividend policy in the company that we communicate, which reached 30% to 50% of net result.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#23

Okay. Clear. A final question for now maybe on Belgium, although small, at least my colleague noted slightly below expectations. Maybe you can give me the reason why? And a related question is, is the sea lock IJmuiden project still part of your exposure or not?

R. Joosten

executive
#24

Sorry, what was your first question on Belgium?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#25

The performance according Martijn was slightly below his expectations. So...

L.F. Houter

executive
#26

So we don't agree with it. I don't know what his expectation is. But Germany, Belgium International, we report on one line, and that is EUR 24.5 million of EBITDA. And there is -- the Belgium business is reported in there. And as we said, we are pretty okay with the performance of the Belgium.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#27

Germany was probably [indiscernible].

R. Joosten

executive
#28

The [indiscernible] project is part of Infra. So partly part of them contractors in Belgium that was sold to a company called [indiscernible] in the first quarter. So that's not part of the C&P part that we kept in our company.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#29

And that's now completely gone also...

L.F. Houter

executive
#30

Yes, that was completed in Q1.

R. Joosten

executive
#31

But to be complete, again, partially, that project is also realized by Infra, the Netherlands. So [indiscernible] is still in the portfolio of Infra, the Netherlands, to complete in the next period.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#32

Tim Ehlers from Kepler Cheuvreux. So you already mentioned the permitting issue talking about nitrogen. Do you see -- what do you expect there? Because you could see that the numbers of permits issued in Q2 dropped quite significantly, at least in the meantime. What do you expect going forward happening there? There may be also some political adjustments to push the number of houses built or what's your take?

R. Joosten

executive
#33

Yes, it's a very complex issue as well on top of the already, let's say, difficult permitting situation in the Netherlands. We have the nitrogen issue as well on top of that. And yes, I think it's very important, again, that Central Government takes central direction there and tries to come to, let's say, compromises with all parties involved. I think that's how we should run this country altogether. And for the building industry, of course, very important to get more flexibility there, which is especially true for the Infra industry as part of the Netherlands, but also it can have impact indeed on the housing situation and the building of houses in the Netherlands. Till now that was for BAM, not dramatically impacted our business, but it can change, of course. And indeed, the last couple of days, intensive discussions were taking place between -- also with representatives of the industry and the government to come to solutions for this. That is clearly true. On the other hand, I don't want to make it too big for BAM looking at our outlook for this year and the fact that we are on track to realize our strategy. But of course, linked to the general permitting situation, it will be really good if Central Government indeed brings people together. There is a special minister as well for nitrogen as for the home -- housing crisis in the Netherlands. So I was really pleased to see that I think today, there is [indiscernible] and governmental discussion where all these ministers are sitting together, including the Prime Minister. So I'm really anxious to see what's coming out there because I think you really need to look at this as an integrated problem and try to be very clear in, let's say, positive next steps where everybody evolved can live with. I think that's really important for the Netherlands.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#34

Okay. Maybe little bit sensitive for Dutch. But looking at the issues with farmers and the potential of land that maybe gets available there, do you see some opportunities to increase your land bank and maybe acquire some land then might have to give up? You have to be given up by the farmers or that's not a scenario you would think about right now?

R. Joosten

executive
#35

Well, I don't want to get into a discussion with the Dutch farmers, and I have a lot of respect for these people. They invested a lot of money, and I do sympathize with that group as well. It's extremely difficult. But on the other hand, yes, what I said before, I think it is important to also look at opportunities for outside city building if we really want to get to the numbers that we need in this country. So we need to find a balance. We need to find a compromise altogether to look at opportunities and in a balanced way. And I think that is really possible, we did it in the past. So let's try to do that again.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#36

All right. Then going to Infra, I mean, the strategy you try to pursue, it's not really new to the industry. That's something you see in other companies as well that they try to derisk the portfolio and go for smaller projects also to nationalize the operations a little bit more. In the market, do you see less competitions through international players? Do you maybe also going forward see an opportunity tender for bigger projects again because you can see some movements by the politicians that they say, okay, we have to make some agreements with the builders to be able to go for big projects again because we don't find any companies that want to go for them? So maybe some margin potential there going forward.

R. Joosten

executive
#37

Yes. Well, what we said before, we are not against big projects. In the U.K. division, we tender huge projects, but that all has to do with the procurement route and the contract forms. And if there is a way we can get to a realistic profitability for the sector and the predictable profitability, we will step in, and that's how I look at it. And if we provide extremely important strategic infrastructure to a rich country, I think we should be rewarded for it. Until that moment, we will not step into this project.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#38

All right, clear. And then one last question, a smaller one. Regarding the scarcity of talent and what do you expect about the wages going forward also with adjustment to inflation and then more negotiation power by the workforce regarding the scarcity and the increase in cost of living? Do you expect a significant increase there? Or is it not significant for you?

R. Joosten

executive
#39

Well, looking at our 2 divisions, for next year, the first negotiations took place with the big unions in the Netherlands for our industry and that ended at 5% increase for -- from the next year, which is, I think, a realistic number looking at the inflation numbers we see. U.K. discussions are still going on, but I expect, well, that's a bit speculation, but probably based on the Dutch experience, it will be around the same numbers. And that's important for us to know because if we know these numbers, we can, of course, calculate that within our tenders and move forward.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#40

[indiscernible] ABN AMRO. You seem very well positioned in the residential market with your new housing concepts and projects. At the same time, you published a number of 1,446 sold homes in the first half year. When you look at that number, can you elaborate a bit on how many homes are sold to owner occupiers or otherwise depart which was sold to investors? And will that change looking into the future regarding the difficulties in the residential markets? And what kind of flexibility do you have there?

R. Joosten

executive
#41

Well, you're absolutely right. That number is impacted by who is buying these homes indeed, and that can give an acceleration or a decrease of the number in certain periods, that's absolutely true. We don't have these -- we don't give these details within these numbers. But indeed, last year, that mix was a little bit different than this year. So that gave an effect on the total number, that's absolutely true. But again, we give the outlook for the year more than 2,000 homes, which is based on what we know today. And hopefully, we can increase that number dramatically if we get the opportunity, like I said before, with more permitting and designated areas where we can build these homes, especially from our new Flow concept, which I really think is a revolution in building homes. For many decades, we built only concrete structured homes very successful and still we do that. But this Flow concept is really, yes, circular design going forward. And yes, the combination of the flexibility of that and affordability with the strong demand, I think, is a nice mix.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#42

Could you please say something about -- regarding your housing concepts? Are those housing concepts also attractive for investors? Or are they primarily focused on owner occupiers or will serve both?

R. Joosten

executive
#43

Yes. I think they are interested for, let's say, everybody was interested in homes living there or investing in them. For now, there are homes, so they're not yet, let's say, developed into high-rises or big apartment buildings. But of course, that will be the next step in the innovation of wooden building, wooden construction, timber construction within the market.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#44

Maarten Verbeek, The Idea. Firstly, in the press release, you specifically mentioned that you have started a constructive dialogue with -- for settlement of the National Children's Hospital. Have you arrived in the new status? Should we expect the settlement in the next half year? Or could you give some more color on this item?

L.F. Houter

executive
#45

It's a large project, and there's a lot of media attention for it. And in the Irish portfolio, it's definitely the main project. So we thought it would be good to also expand to the market where we are with this project, so 71% completion. It's a state-of-the-art hospital. So we're really proud that we can contribute to building it. And there is a lot of discussion about extra work and variation orders and design. And yes, we -- it is, as we say in the press release, we're in a dialogue with the client, and we don't put a timing on an expectation of an outcome there.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#46

And when do you expect to complete this project?

L.F. Houter

executive
#47

It will be completed Q2 '24 in the current plan.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#48

Two other problems, which have been labeled as risk project, Brunsbüttel and [indiscernible]. Although with Brunsbüttel, you had settlement. You also reduced your position by selling Wayss & Freytag and BAM Contractors that has reduced your position. Have you also had to provide guarantees when you sold these businesses? Or that's all been included in the selling price?

L.F. Houter

executive
#49

Yes. So maybe just for completion, Brunsbüttel will be completely sold with the transaction that we will do. So the Infra -- the former Infra part is handed over to -- will be handed over to the new owner of the company. So that one will be out of the portfolio. And then the other question was, sorry?

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#50

It was on the [indiscernible] project whereby contractors also own the stake in this project and that's been sold?

L.F. Houter

executive
#51

Yes, that's been sold. But -- okay, that's...

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#52

[indiscernible] remaining position through -- the question is had you provide guarantees when you sold Contractors or it has been discounted for in the selling price?

L.F. Houter

executive
#53

So in principle, we have the normal indemnifications that you do in a transaction like that. There is no specific agreements on that project.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#54

Okay. And then refresh my mind, I had that there were also 2 projects with a high risk in Middle East, one is the Museum of the Future. But was there also another one? Or am I...

R. Joosten

executive
#55

Yes, that was the Yas Arena and that one was completed earlier.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#56

Okay. So there's no -- that's dealt with as well.

R. Joosten

executive
#57

Yes.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#58

Okay. Concerning tendering, do you see that projects are being canceled because of the sharp increase of a project cost because of the inflation, et cetera, et cetera?

R. Joosten

executive
#59

Yes, I think that's a fair remark. There is more hesitance in the market with some of the investors going for big commercial projects. There is -- it takes more time, that's one, to really reevaluate the business case. On the other hand, in Q2, we saw some nice wins within our portfolio of people still investing in big developments. I mentioned in the [indiscernible] project here in Amsterdam near the -- on the west side of the city, a big one, while we are looking at Crossover here at the other side of the street. Yes, yesterday, we published the [indiscernible] Schiphol Airport, where we will work together with Schiphol to finalize the [indiscernible] So there are still big projects coming in the order book. On the other hand, yes, there are also commercial projects with big investors who were saying, well, let's delay for a period, that's also fair to say.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#60

And are you -- when you conclude a project, when you sign a contract, are you still able to secure your build materials because I hear that certain -- when you tender for steel or whatever, they give you a day notice to accept that price will tender process last much longer, are you still able to make sure that you don't have any risk there in the future?

L.F. Houter

executive
#61

So basically, we have -- on the short-term contracts, our strategy to subcontract in the same period as we sign the contract. So during tendering, you also ask your quotes from your supply chain and you try to match that. That is never exactly one-on-one, but in the whole portfolio, that dynamic works. If you then look at the larger projects that are multiyear, then, of course, there's also ways of putting escalation mechanisms to the clients to go for that. So we're not going to take the exposure by taking that on our shoulders on big projects and then only see if we can secure prices and materials, that is a risk we cannot accept.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#62

And then lastly, could you provide some kind of indication what your share of business is, what you really do in the case of sustainability? So what you just mentioned about electrification, climate change or whatever, can you give us some kind of figure how much that is?

L.F. Houter

executive
#63

No. So maybe it's good to make a reference to our annual report where on the EU taxonomy, there's a lot of reporting developments, and we are trying to really be also there on the front edge. Very proud of our sustainability strategy, but also really important to make sure that we report out on that in a good way and as the EU taxonomy is an important one. If we speak about numbers that we disclosed, we only looked at eligibility. So what percent of our business needs to be measured in the new frameworks that will come. And that's a very early stage. So it's not yet clear how EU taxonomy will measure our projects and our operations and quantify it. So too early to put a number on it.

R. Joosten

executive
#64

Yes. I think that's true. So let's stick to that kind of reporting developments because otherwise, it gets pretty messy. But for example, the Crossover view on the other side of the street is then [indiscernible] highest level. So you can say that's 100% from a kind of holistic way of thinking, it's a 100% sustainable revenue. That doesn't have to mean that it's exactly also in the taxonomy that Frans just referred to. If you build wooden homes, you can say, well, that's 100% sustainable in a way, but you can also, of course, look at the technology or the taxonomy and then have another discussion on it. So this will be a very interesting discussion going forward in our industry, probably in every industry. But, of course, in our sustainability strategy going forward, this will be a critical factor more and more for BAM. So does this fit long term into our sustainability wheel as we call it? And that is pretty ambitious, I can tell you, and very exciting as well because my personal conviction is that this is the only way for a company like BAM to be successful long term to make clear to our own people and through society that this is crucial and that all our projects should fit into this framework going forward. But I fully agree with Frans, the development of taxonomy is still, well, I would not say messy, but difficult for everybody involved.

L.F. Houter

executive
#65

So that needs a bit of technical answer. In daily life, what we see in our tender board, for example, is more attention for sustainability than ever before. And that's really where you see new energy also in the organization. Can we make propositions for clients? Do we have opportunities to improve our Scope 1, 2 and 3 in embarking these projects, biodiversity, where, for example, in the U.K. and Ireland, our division is much more mature already. So we try to learn from that in the Netherlands. So there's a lot of energy, but it's difficult yet to put, as you requested a number on it.

Maarten Verbeek

analyst
#66

But obviously, BAM also has the possibility to create some kind of non-IFRS definition of whereby you could say, okay, we will include [indiscernible], we will include...

R. Joosten

executive
#67

Yes, we will. Yes, yes, I think that's fair. I think it's really fair. That's our responsibility as one of the market leaders, and we will do that. So we already published an increased CO2 target during Q2. But CO2 is only one element of the total sustainability picture. Frans talked about biodiversity, there's circularity. Also so human aspects were linked to sustainability. And we are planning to have more details around that later, maybe end of this year or early next year to come out with the sustainability wheel, as we call it, for BAM, which will give you more direction in this sense.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#68

Follow-up from Tijs Hollestelle, ING. Yes, if I look at the Dutch Construction & Property division, I think in the press release, you're disclosing the revenue from property development activities about EUR 250 million. I guess most of that's been allocated in the Construction & Property revenue. Then there is, I would say, let's say, EUR 300 million of revenue achieved from building the actual houses. Is that a correct number? Out of the, what is it EUR 964 million in the first half? So that means you're left with about EUR 400 million revenue you derived from nonresidential building construction activities. The point is that in the past, BAM, of course, had with all the different countries, a lot of revenue in nonresidential building activities with a relatively low margin. I know that you as a new management team have been addressing a lot of issues. But is it fair to say that there, in terms of project risks and efficiencies, that there is still, let's say, some work to do in the nonresidential building activities in terms of achieving higher margins because you're mentioning the margin pressure because of cost inflation, which I think is kind of a normal thing in the cycle. But I don't know -- yes, is the EBITDA margin currently 0.5% positive? Or is it still free? So I'm a bit looking for the room of error here in terms of the GDP environment. And yes, you basically your self-help measure or your maybe culture change or maybe some restructurings? Or are there opportunities in this business still?

R. Joosten

executive
#69

Well, I think it's fair. We made a lot of statements about the big projects in civil engineering over the last couple of years. But of course, the same count will, let's say, requirements are there for the BAM Techniek business, as we call it, or the nonresidential business as well. So these bigger projects will need to adhere to the same profitability and risk requirements as the big civil projects. I think that's a fair statement, and we completely subscribe to that as well. And yes, I made a remark about AP, for example, going forward is a nice example of a 2-stager -- 2-stage project, where we, together with the customer, yes, define specifications or look at specifications as defined by Schiphol Airport and then try to come to a realistic pricing for this project. And that's the same way as we talk about the big civil projects. And there is no difference between the nonresidential C&P projects and civil engineering.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#70

Yes. But also -- let's say, the trend is still upwards. Yes, it's a difficult question. But cleaning out, let's say, the impact from the GDP cycle, your self-help measures and all the things you have done still have, let's say, a positive impact on the underlying performance or maybe the risk mitigation of the nonresidential business?

R. Joosten

executive
#71

Yes. I think you can really compare it to the civil engineering discussions we had last year because also there, also in the nonresidential, we took some bold decisions not to tender or not to step into some big projects, especially in the Netherlands, to a lesser extent in the U.K. and Ireland. But in the Netherlands, we said no to some very, let's say, large projects. And of course, it will take a few years as well as to see the portfolio -- to get the portfolio into a state where we are more Frans and myself are more -- are really comfortable with what we see.

Tijs Hollestelle

analyst
#72

Yes. Okay. That's clear is helpful. Yes. And also a question about the trade working capital is indeed back to the normal seasonal pattern. I do see it, by the way, in a lot of sectors at the moment that is kind of normalization in the trade working capital, a lot of cash outflow. So we can also assume, let's say, normal cash inflow towards year-end, and there's always a bandwidth, but are there any specific movements you already foresee in the trade working capital, which are material?

L.F. Houter

executive
#73

Yes. So forecasting trade working capital is very dangerous. But indeed, we noticed the seasonal pattern is back after 2 years of corona, where also if you compare year-on-year, you see that effect very clearly. So what do we expect for H2? I think 2 things. The dip normally is a bit later than end of June. So you will see it go down to August. But then towards year-end, as we now see the pattern, we indeed would expect a pretty strong recovery. Although overall, we feel that trade working capital efficiency in the longer run will normalize and come down a bit. So also from a cash point of view, yes, if you do your models on BAM, I think you should really anticipate 2% or 3% normalization over the coming year or years would be the trend.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#74

[indiscernible] again, ABN AMRO. Some additional questions from Martijn especially on, let's say, H2 versus H1 in the past unusual in the sector. Our H2 margins better than H1. This year, however, there has been no winter -- there's no winter anywhere in the world. So you've been able to work quite well also in wintertime. Meanwhile, inflation, of course, coming in. Is it logical this year to expect in residential Netherlands but also in Civil Engineering to expect a better H2 margin than H1 margin?

R. Joosten

executive
#75

Yes, you can expect that I will stick to the outlook we gave in the press release and that I think we gave a clear signal there, in a way, 2 signals. One is that we get from 3.8% at least to 4% at least going forward. And we expect to propose a dividend for the full year, which is also in, let's say, in a token of confidence that we have for the rest of the year as well. The exact, yes, estimates, we have to see how they works out, but this is what we want to say about the numbers going forward. Indeed, sometimes there is a phasing in the year. We talked about the housing situation, for example, C&P Netherlands. We had some settlements as well. So all in all, I think this is a statement where we feel confident with. And that's the reason why we put it like this.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#76

Okay. Clear. Then, let's say, sustainability question. How you're moving to, let's say, a wooden house concepts, and I see many contractors moving to wood. Meanwhile, wood is becoming an increasingly scarce resource, prices high. How, from a pricing perspective, does it still compare with, let's say, normal construction methods? And yes, where are you sourcing the wood because you claim circular method that we've seen those claims in the, let's say, in the energy sector as well that wooden ship or ships from Western Canada to Europe to burn them in a coal-fired plant. So in biomass...

R. Joosten

executive
#77

Yes, that's clear. And that's why I'm proud to say that this company already in early stage went to FSC guaranteed certified wood. So in that sense, we are comfortable with the sourcing of the timber, which is really important indeed, otherwise, it's kind of a statement, and you cannot guarantee the source of the timber. In this case, that's guaranteed. That's really important for us. Yes, your remark on the availability of wood, the good thing with wood that it can grow. So in that sense, it's a resource that can be sustainable in that sense. It's also fair to say that, of course, when everybody starts to use timber big scale, that source needs to be enlarged as well, but that is possible. That will not happen 1 day to the other, but we don't see that as a long-term strategic problem in sourcing timber.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#78

Okay. And you're also not intending to, let's say, take positions in timber itself. We see a huge development in reducing carbon emissions by, let's say, planting trees all over the world. Is that part of the plans to reduce CO2 by 50%?

L.F. Houter

executive
#79

[indiscernible] in artificial way of doing it. So we're really focused on making the industry more sustainable and how we make and create our projects and how we do make them circular, which is really important. And yes, the sustainable harvesting of wood. That is another industry. And of course, we need to make sure that the suppliers we work with have the higher standards there and that is -- the FSC trademark is one of the ways to measure that, but we need to make sure that in the future that quality also of that supply chain is the right one and that we have the right partners. That's where the focus is.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#80

Clear. The one last question from my side on the U.K., where Boris stepped down. So any first reactions there? Do you expect the landscape changing there for you?

R. Joosten

executive
#81

Well, it is exciting because whatever you can say about Boris Johnson, but he was a big supporter of investment in infrastructure, he still is. So probably, he was a supporter of this huge investment that is planned for the U.K., the GBP 750 billion investment in infrastructure for the next period. We expect that the successor of Boris Johnson and there's now an election fight going on within the Conservative Party. We will respect that investment and we'll support it to. And of course, you can never be 100% sure about it. But it is in the U.K., an accepted fact that investment in infrastructure is a very good way of increasing economic growth and an extremely important part of the total economic infrastructure. So I don't see a reason to think why new governmental leadership or country leadership will change that. But of course, we have to see how that pans out.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#82

Tim Ehlers, Kepler Cheuvreux, with some follow-ups. Looking at trends in the industry or, let's say, even global megatrends where you could anticipate as a builder talking about the energy transition, talking about preparing our world against environmental influences, environmental disasters, which like the drought we see right now, the heat, increasing ocean levels, et cetera. Do you see that as an opportunity? And also, do you plan to maybe make some add-on acquisitions there, maybe even minor things to expand your knowledge and capabilities there?

R. Joosten

executive
#83

Answer is absolutely yes. I think this is the big opportunity for BAM going forward. Like I said before in the Infrastructure business in the Netherlands, we're looking now at segments where we can really have a fast growth in electrification, but also in dyke enforcement, for example, with the rising sea levels, I think that's a very important issue. We have the expertise. We have the resources. So if you look at our portfolio with that knowledge with the scales and capabilities, yes, we can play a very strong role, both in the U.K. and Ireland, but also in the Netherlands. And again, we talked about already the wooden Flow concept for homebuilding in the Netherlands, which is a crucial part in that. Innovation in that part of the business, we did a small acquisition to be able to do that faster last year. And indeed, when there is an opportunity to increase or to move faster, we will not shy away from M&A or small acquisitions or medium-sized acquisitions to integrate it into this skill set that you need to go faster. And sometimes, you can just do that with very strong cooperation with parties in the market. Sometimes it can be an opportunity to buy a company. It's really difficult to say, but there is absolutely no way of saying we will not do that. If necessary to build on this sustainability strategy that will be critical for BAM for the next period because like I said before, the company with the size of BAM has the advantage of having these skills and capabilities developed compared to others in the market. So it's our obligation and opportunity as well at the same time to build on this. And it's very exciting for our own people. You can imagine the young generation coming into the company. For them, this is absolutely critical. This is the reason why they choose for a company like BAM. And otherwise, they will just not come. And that's an absolute difference with former generations, and we see that now on a day-to-day basis. And I'm unbelievable impressed when I visit projects of BAM within the 2 growth markets with a level of expertise, but especially with a level of conviction of these people, 100% committed to support this development. And that gives me a lot of trust that the next generation of management as well will really drive this 100% through. And it's even like this that they will -- they can explain me a lot on how to do this, which is really exciting as well. So yes, this is the opportunity going forward.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#84

All right. And then also talk a bit about the housing Infra and how they interact. So when you say you're going to stabilize Infra and let's say you make it solid and less volatile because of the disappearance of risky projects more predictable, could you then say that Infra is going to be or nonresidentials are going to be some sort of a safety net for the more volatile housing markets going forward that you can offset fluctuations there financially with the stable margins and stable income in the other units?

L.F. Houter

executive
#85

So first part, absolutely true. So the idea is indeed to stabilize that business and have a healthy portfolio in Infra. The idea is that both business lines in the C&P and the Infra that you referred to, of course, contribute to a healthy bottom line and that there's not huge swings in both. Although, of course, history tells us that both markets have good and bad times, and that sometimes, the one is a bit on a lower level, and it's compensated by the others. So there is an element there, but it should not be the one compensating the other. They should both be in the long run, healthy business lines with some ups and downs, but that's usual. But they should be dealt with in the portfolio.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#86

Okay. And then one last question. So regarding the legacy portfolio. So is it safe to say that by 2023, you got rid of all the existing problematic projects?

L.F. Houter

executive
#87

No, no, that's not what we said. We said -- we did not disclose years on numbers. We're just saying we're working hard to clean up the portfolio and the evidence we bring to the markets. There are projects in there that are -- have a longer lead times and will be there for longer term. But the revenue will gradually further fade out, and we will supplement the backlog with projects that fit the portfolio how we want to drive it.

Tim Ehlers

analyst
#88

And regardless of the unpredictability, there's no deadline you set yourself where you said, okay, by that, we really want to get rid of them.

L.F. Houter

executive
#89

No. So we have a deadline for the predictability of the company, which is, of course, the strategic targets for next year. But of course, we will finish these products as discussed with our customers in a proper way.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#90

I will keep it short. It's obvious that there are a lot of opportunities in sustainability and climate change area, but there are also challenges regarding the current water levels and all the big rivers, especially Rhine. What's your view on future resource scarcity as a result of climate change? And how are you going to deal with that? Do you see any impact on your future margins? Or are you well in place to deal with those issues?

R. Joosten

executive
#91

That's a very good question. Good to mention I think short term, we are very close to this, but problem with the water level in the Rhine River, short term, we don't see that leading to stops in building our projects. We are very close to our suppliers at that in this moment. But in the longer term, it may be interesting to look at that and to say, indeed, what kind of resources do we need and how can we source them. We talked about wood already, and there will be a big demand for wood, so indeed, the whole supply chain around timber is important to manage that long term. Of course, we are only player in that sense, and we'll play our part there. But of course, in the total sustainability wheel or strategy, as we call it, resources are a critical element as well. And yes, people is one of the key resources we talked about already. And there, I think we are very well placed with the attractiveness of our proposal to people and the portfolio we have and the sustainability strategy. For the rest, we have to look at, yes, at this moment in time, especially, wood and steel are key elements that have an impact on -- or concrete and steel on CO2 reductions, for example, where we think we have to play a balanced strategy there as well. We still use a lot of concrete. Also there, we see good development in decreasing the CO2 reductions. And now we can balance it more with the timber construction where we see the sustainability opportunities there as well. Steel production is another completely different story where I think there's a lot of pressure on the industry to come also with some more sustainable solutions going forward. And I'm pretty positive there. If you look at developments there to have more energy-friendly or sustainable resources, it will be possible to have sustainable resourcing going forward. Not saying that the challenge is big, we should move faster altogether. And we as BAM will play our role in that trying to increase that speed. I thought it was already the last question. The last question then.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#92

Then there will be an AMB question. Obviously, on Germany, Belgium and BAM International, how much is BAM International at this moment? The result is that still breakeven. And when do you think you have completed all those projects?

L.F. Houter

executive
#93

Yes. So there's the settlement of the [indiscernible] in BAM International. There is a small loss on the running business as we fade out the project portfolio. So that gives the answer.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#94

And sales-wise?

L.F. Houter

executive
#95

Sorry?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#96

Sales-wise?

L.F. Houter

executive
#97

Sales-wise for the coming year, you mean?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#98

Yes.

L.F. Houter

executive
#99

Yes, So that's very, very limited. So as Ruud also referred, the other project, Yas, has been completed. [indiscernible] is operationally completed and settled, so there's no activity anymore.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#100

I have a last question. You have 1 valuable asset, pretty valuable. You have invested quite a lot in that. That's [indiscernible] German tax loss carryforwards? Now you have more or less divested the German market. Have you sold those tax loss carryforwards as well because that is not always possible? Or do you still have them on your books? And if you have them on your books, can you still use them?

L.F. Houter

executive
#101

No, they're part of the deal and they're not in our books.

Michel Aupers

executive
#102

With that, ladies and gentlemen, thanks for coming over. And this brings us to the end of this meeting. I hope to see you on November 3 for our next quarterly results meeting. And hopefully then, we can see the Crossover building in the next phase of finalization. Thank you very much, and have a safe trip home.

R. Joosten

executive
#103

Thank you.

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