Link Real Estate Investment Trust (823) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 29, 2024

Hong Kong Stock Exchange HK Real Estate Retail REITs earnings 66 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Christy Lam

executive
#1

[Audio Gap] everyone again. So we will have George to start with the results and key highlights, and then Greg will then share the operational update of our Hong Kong and overseas portfolio. K.S will talk about our operational update on Mainland China and our capital management strategy, and then John will follow to share some updates on our strategies. Lastly, George will share our views on the outlook of the market and Link in particular. Now without further ado, let me hand over the floor to George.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#2

Thank you, Christy, and thank you, everyone, for joining us. I'm pleased to have K.S., Greg and John with me here today. During the year, the portfolio fine-tuning continues even against adverse market conditions, our achievements in Link REIT portfolio, SMN enhancement capital management were by no means an easy fleet in this market that we're working in. In general, the high occupancy rates in retail were underpinned by very strong leasing demand, tenant remixing and the ability to attract new tenants to our newly renovated spaces. Comparing tenant sales growth indices, the Link portfolio was 101.3% compared to 2018, '19 and outperformance against the broader Hong Kong market, which was 85.3% for the same period. Meanwhile, in Mainland China, retail rental reversion returned to positive to 2.8%. Additionally, the benefits of diversification were apparent where the uplift in Singapore and Australia was countercyclical to Hong Kong and Mainland China. Leaving no stone unturned though, there is always room for improvement. For instance, our steadfast commitment to operational excellence was demonstrated with the upgrade of our car park management system, which is in the progress of being migrated to a cloud-based AI platform to sharpen the car park portfolio performance. Asset enhancement in Hong Kong and Mainland China also yield positive results, achieving double-digit ROI. For example, a key project we completed in Link Plaza Tianhe in Guangzhou achieved an ROI of 12%. Under capital management, our strong financial position was an advantage to weather volatile financial conditions over the past year, particularly as interest rate were in a up cycle. Looking ahead, our refinancing requirements over the next 2 years are manageable with not more than 20% of the total debt maturing in a single year. As we move on to the annual results, I'm pleased to share a snapshot of our financial performance with you. Despite the slower-than-expected retail consumption recovery in Hong Kong and China, our diversification strategy has enabled us to produce a solid set of results. Revenue and NPI grew by 11.0% year-on-year and 9.5% year-on-year, respectively, mainly due to the contribution from the Singapore assets acquired last year, as well as a full year effect of the last year's acquisition in Australia and Mainland China. Total distribution amount grew 6.4% year-on-year to HKD 6.7 billion, while DPU for the year declined 4.3% year-on-year to HKD 2.63 due to rights issue dilution. Adversely tight financial conditions, our balance sheet exhibits financial strength underpinned by a healthy net gearing ratio of 19.5%. Net asset value per unit amounted to HKD 70.02. Taking a closer look at the first and second half performance separately, we were able to at least maintain, if not grow on most major matrix shown here. Using our Hong Kong portfolio, as an example, occupancy levels were sustained at almost fully level and maintained at 98% since September 2023, even amidst the concern of consumption slowing down and [ Link issue ] Shenzhen. With the -- with the decent operating performance, our revenue experienced robust growth in both the first and second half and registered a year-on-year increase of 11.3% and 10.7%, respectively, thanks to the contributions from new acquisitions and support by our tenants. While a slight more duration in net property income was observed from the first half, it maintained a positive trajectory cumulating in 10.4% and 8.6% year-on-year growth in the first and the second half of the year. Despite slower-than-expected growth in most of our operating markets, DPU in the second half increased 1.9% as compared to the first half. Now let me pass on to Greg to share more of the operational update.

Gregory Chubb

executive
#3

Thank you, George, and good afternoon, everyone. And I'll start with the performance for Hong Kong retail, where our occupancy rate sustained at an all-time high level of 98%, which highlights the resilient demand of our retail portfolio and the important role our assets hold in the daily life of Hong Kong. Rental reversion in this segment has seen a healthy expansion with an increase of 7.9%. In line with these achievements, the average unit rent reached HKD 64.40 per square foot and notably is the highest level since COVID time. With tenant sales performance, this has shown a moderate increase of 0.4% over the reporting period and analyzing our trade mix, with our largest trade category of F&B, this has remained at the forefront with a steady growth of 4.6%, while supermarkets and food stuff categories continue to lag and general retail expanded by 1.3%. Altogether, these factors contributed to the continued stability of our occupancy costs across the portfolio at a sustainable level of 12.6%. Moving on, I'd like to focus on the trend of cross-border consumption. And the growing appeal of Shenzhen to Hong Kong shoppers for entertainment and dining experiences has been evident. This shift has dampened Hong Kong's overall retail sales performance in the latter half of the reporting period. Although this trend is yet to significantly affect our portfolio, the market is expected to see equilibrium in the current months. It's essential then that we continue to respond to these developments. We remain open to recycling of assets and optimizing our portfolio as suitable opportunities arise. Despite a modest year-on-year increase for tenant sales, most notably, our tenant sales growth when compared to financial year '18, '19 levels achieved 101.3, outperforming the broader market, which has only reached 85.3. Now looking at retail leasing, and we achieved really good outcomes over the financial year '23, '24 with over 660 new leases successfully signed. In this we've introduced 270 new brands, and this played a crucial role in our efforts to maintain the relevance of our portfolio. Coupled with this, we've seen 115 of our existing tenants expand their presence. This demonstrates their confidence in the growth potential within our portfolio as they've seen opportunities to continue to scale their business with us. Top 5 trades listed here have been carefully selected to reflect current consumption trends. Now moving on to Hong Kong car parks, where the structural shortage of car parking spaces in Hong Kong, underpins our steady income growth in this segment, positioning it as a constant driver of revenue. In financial year '23, '24, we saw a 3.4% increase in revenue from our Car Parks and related businesses year-on-year. Despite a decline in parking ticket sales, this was compensated by higher parking rates and an increase in the total parking hours. We are dedicated to keeping a close watch on market trends and formulating strategic plans to maintain our performance. This includes the ongoing implementation of our new car park management system, which George just alluded to and I will touch on in more detail on the next slide. Our commitment to upholding operational excellence is demonstrated through the management by data initiative and ongoing technological upgrades. Through this, we aim to increase productivity and efficiency to provide tenants and shoppers with high-quality experiences. The revamped car park system, which better -- provides better analytics and integration also with our Link Up app, is one such example. The system is currently being rolled out and implemented over 121 sites throughout Hong Kong and completion is expected at the end of June. The use of car park payments via [ serverly ] platforms, including Link Up as well as the digitized customer service, improve the customer experience and drive footfall to our car parks and our malls. In the long term, we're looking at the possibility of a dynamic pricing model to enhance revenue and we'll look to try this over the next 12 months. In terms of asset enhancements, our continued efforts to maximize the potential of the portfolio are evident. Over the past year, we completed 4 asset enhancement projects in Hong Kong, investing some $230 million. These projects have yielded pleasing outcomes to enhance our tenant mix and customer offerings. And importantly, the return on investment for these initiatives is ranged in the low to mid-teens. Currently, we have a further 3 projects in motion in Hong Kong with a combined CapEx of $151 million. Additionally, we've earmarked around $640 million for upcoming projects that are in various stages of planning and some awaiting statutory approvals. I will just leave Hong Kong for -- move across to Singapore, where I'm pleased to say that the portfolio we acquired a little over 12 months ago is now fully integrated, as is the team there in Singapore. And we're achieving good traction, which is evidenced by rental reversions nearing 10%. The strong rebounded shopper traffic has driven tenant performances, particularly in the categories of food and beverage and wellness and beauty. We've maintained high occupancy rates, but a slight dip to 97.8% is very temporary and true to tenantry mixing and space optimization at Jurong Point, and this is expected to result in near-term improved rental incomes. And on to Australia, where retail activity continues to grow. Sales at our Australian retail assets have now returned to pre-COVID levels despite footfall still being on its pathway to recovery. Our food and beverage tenants are doing well, and this follows the introduction of significant numbers of new and unique offerings. Portfolio occupancy has edged up further to near full occupancy at 99.7%, underpinning the stability of our rent there, and demonstrates the strong mark positioning of our properties in Sydney CBD. International office and although the broader challenges in the office sector remain, the flight to quality [ formatic ] is evident and is a mitigating factor for our portfolio of office assets. The core [ precinct ] in Sydney where the majority of our assets are located, recorded a net positive absorption in 2023. We've seen a dip in portfolio occupancy, which is due to the reinclusion of space, following the completion of our asset enhancement project and speculative [indiscernible] works at 347 Kent Street in Sydney, and occupancy will improve as active leasing of these space progresses, and I'm pleased to report that we've struck 6 new leases there over the last 4 months. Overall portfolio WALE has maintained above 5 years and provides a buffer against sector headwinds. Finally, in Sydney, we forecast the lack of new supply over the coming 2 years will improve leasing absorption in the office sector. And now I'll hand over to K.S. Thank you.

Kok Ng

executive
#4

Thank you, Greg. Good afternoon to all of you. I'm pleased to present that the Mainland China portfolio experienced a significant improvement. We witnessed a turnaround in rental reversion posting a positive 2.8% in FY 2023, 2024. The positive transformation can be attributed to our strategic approach of filling the vacant space in Linked CentralWalk Shenzhen basement after the departure of an anchor tenant. While consumers lean towards rational spending habits, our proactive asset management efforts have yielded positive results. Leasing sentiments continue to remain strong with our particular focus areas being F&B, outdoor and leisure activities and sportswear. Average occupancy reached 96.6% with over 560 new leases signed, demonstrating the resilience of our portfolio as well as our ability to cater to the evolving preferences of our target markets. The acquisition of the remaining 50% of the Qibao Vanke Plaza in February has begun contributing to our bottom line. Our efforts for integrating these assets are ongoing to ensure seamless transition into the portfolio. In July, we will rebrand this asset as Link Plaza Qibao, aligning it with established brand identity in Mainland. Link CentralWalk, another growth driver is currently undergoing a basement renovation with an estimated CapEx of RMB 24 million, targeting an ROI of over 20%, completion should be somewhere in July 2024. We are excited about the revitalization of this space. We intend to elevate it [indiscernible] as a vibrant destination within the mall for Hong Kong for at least coming through on weekends, which encompass the stylish foot corridor, a boutique supermarket in addition to an array of popular dining and lifestyle options. We maintain our focus on creating value through the implementation of asset enhancement initiatives. We will be rolling out 2 projects in Mainland at Tianhe and Tung Tau. These 2 AEIs are projected to require an estimate CapEx of RMB 120 million and RMB 60 million, respectively. Both are anticipated to commence second half of 2024. The Logistics portfolio experienced growth as 2 assets in Guangzhou were acquired and added to the portfolio in April and May 2023. The majority of leases in the portfolio include rental escalations ranging from 3% to 5%, which are favorable to our cash flow. The portfolio maintained a healthy occupancy rate of 96%. This stability in leasing demand is particularly noteworthy in the Greater Bay Area, fueled by the e-commerce auto parts and supply chain industries. Moving on to capital management. We continue to be positioned to leverage on opportunities as and when they arise, bolstered by our solid financial foundation. Our available liquidity amounted to HKD 18.5 billion. After acquiring Qibao net gearing is now at 19.5%. By March EBITDA interest coverage ratio stands at 4.3x. Average borrowing costs has stayed competitive at 3.78%, benefiting from a fixed rate debt ratio of 69.8%. The upcoming refinancing amounting to HKD 19.9 billion over the next 2 years is well staggered. Our debt maturity profile is 3.0 years. Our financial stability is reinforced through FX management, which includes extensive hedging of non-Hong Kong dollar distributable income and the currency [ lease ] of overseas assets. Alongside capitalizing on lower R&D interest rates and generating positive carry by increasing RMB asset hedging to now over 70%. Our A ratings with all major credit agencies have been maintained, providing us favorable access to capital and maintaining competitive financing costs. This strong position is evident in our key financial components, which remain well below the threshold set by these agencies, underscoring our robust financial health, providing us capacity to capture acquisitions and other opportunities. Our portfolio value increased by 3% on a half year basis. Excluding the acquisition of Qibao Vanke Plaza, the value of our investment properties would have decreased by 0.3% half-on-half. This decline is primarily attributable to the expansion of cap rates, especially in the office sectors. On a like-for-like basis, excluding the additional 50% stake in Qibao and the acquisition of 2 logistics assets in Guangzhou, the valuation of the investment properties would have declined 4% year-on-year. I'll now hand the time over to John to cover and provide us with more insight about this strategy.

John Saunders

executive
#5

Well, thank you, K.S., and I'd like to extend my welcome to you all. Thank you very much for coming. You can see on the screen, the current state of the real estate balance sheet investments, and through portfolio diversification and optimization, our aim is to strengthen the Link REIT portfolio so that it can withstand varying businesses or varying business and economic cycles and over time, to decrease the concentration risk. We're closely following current regional repricing trends. We'll continue to look for market dislocation opportunities and which will allow us to deploy our extremely strong balance sheet to accretive investment opportunities in Australia, Singapore and Japan or in short-term capital to opportunities in order to produce returns for unitholders. We are open to other sectors with growth potential and where they have structural tailwinds. And we also continue to monitor other markets for those repricing opportunities. And in addition, we will continue to evaluate the potential for asset recycling opportunities. In terms of asset management, our asset management excellence, our value creation and our operational strength are really the key drivers of total return for unitholders. And the targeted outcome, of course, is a complement of stable income as well as sustainable long-term growth. First and foremost, a point I'd like to make, and I think George did earlier to a degree is that Link is already a fully fledged asset management platform with a strong track record in fiduciary duties, in governance and in value creation. And I think that's evidenced by the very solid and strong results that have been delivered from the Link REIT portfolio over the past 18 years. As part of Link 3.0 and in addition to managing the Link REIT portfolio, we intend to expand our investment management business by leveraging on our asset and investment management foundation to create value through the matching of capital to investment opportunities. The benefits from this are capturing new growth through new income streams, and this will be in the form of fees as well as creating cost efficiencies through economies of scale throughout the business. Finally, and most importantly, we're building on our strengths, and this includes our ESG stewardship, our financial robustness whilst we continue to adhere to our disciplined capital management approach. We're also growing our investment in asset management capabilities, which will be done to complement the current focus, and this will help us progress towards our long-term goal to be an industry steward in the investment management business going forward. And with that let me pass to George, who will give you an update on the market outlook. George?

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#6

Thanks, John. For elaborating on our investment management strategy. And for those of you who have followed us over many years, you'll realize that this is a significant and essential step in Link strategic growth path. Unlike buying assets with income streaming to be stabilized, this is a corporate development initiative, which will take a few years to bear fruit. We will try to produce some bottom line results as soon as we can. We are building a team to lead this, and you see some of them with us today. We have already announced that Duncan Owen will be the Chairman elect. Today, we announced that Barry Brakey will be a new INED. For some of you who know who -- Barry, he was for a long time, the Head of Property Investment for Future Fund in Australia. We are looking at both organic and inorganic growth options, and we will update you as we progress. As we navigate the complexity of the global economy, several key themes framing the macro outlook are on our radar. And let me just highlight them briefly. The stronger-than-expected economic data in the U.S. has diminished prospect for rate cuts. And indeed, the Federal Reserve has signaled that it is no longer in a hurry to do so. As such, interest rates are expected to remain high for longer, as we predicted in the early part of 2023. While this may be unfavorable to those who have high -- who are highly leveraged, we believe this creates opportunity for us as it excludes marginal player from transaction markets. And furthermore, asset sales at discount to book value due to high cap rates are a way in which deals could be more accretive despite the higher funding costs. In addition to tight labor conditions in many developed markets, we think that inflation will continue to be contributed by conflicts in the Middle East in spikes in crude oil prices and higher cost of shipping attributable to Red Sea crisis. And so the sustained tight financing condition and higher cost of living are expected to continue to weigh on the economy and thus consumer sentiment. Narrowing our focus to a few of the key operating markets in Hong Kong, consumption is underpinned by low unemployment of 2.9%, which has been stable since December 2023, the potential minimum wage hike of 4.5% to $41.80 as an added catalyst. In addition, the economy grew at a commandable 2.7% in the first quarter of '24. The inclusion of REIT in Stock Connect [indiscernible] on April 20 is a positive impetus to Link's future liquidity and the initiative expands the pool of capital by broadening the investment base. Meanwhile, cross-border consumption has had a moderate impact on retail sector in Hong Kong. Mainland China is expected to grow at 5% in 2024 despite numerous macro headwinds. Signs of stabilization are repriced, but there is headroom for further potential economic stimulus. Nonetheless, weak consumer sentiment remains a risk for us. Singapore 2024 GDP growth at 2.5% is expected to be supported by manufacturing and services. Macro risks are external shocks and persistent inflationary pressure with some mitigation by government efforts. The backdrop in Australia is relatively subdued. Inflation has persisted. GDP is expected to grow at 1.4% in 2024. Meanwhile, net migration growth of 2% to 3% is positive for consumption. It is estimated that additional retail spending from annual net migration could amount to AUD 4.7 billion. And then real estate, retail is looking promising with encouraging leasing spreads, while the downward pressure on offers appear to be bottoming out. The fewer macro environment highlights, a need to remain vigilant for us to adjust to the challenges preemptively and to do the best we can to our [indiscernible]. Here are the dates for payment of distribution with a script election. In a nutshell, just to summarize, there have been many challenges from flooding to all the economic environment, financial markets, at the same time, we see opportunities in markets and sectors that we operate in. We have benefited from managing a resilient and diversified portfolio overall. And despite all the headwinds, Link we have and we will continue to provide our unitholders with a stable return and a sustainable long-term growth. The development of our investment management business strategy is ongoing, it is a long term project that aims to create a new avenue of growth by enhancing our capabilities so that we can better match capital with investment opportunities to create value. Let's move on to Q&A.

Operator

operator
#7

[Operator Instructions]

Karl Chan

analyst
#8

This is Karl from JPMorgan. From my side, I have two questions. The first one is, obviously, I guess, the biggest concern from investors, which is like in the past few months, we have seen that in Hong Kong, the overall retail sales are seeing further decline, right? On a year-on-year basis, it's negative. So I'm just curious, does management have any guidance or any expectation on how the tenant sales of Link REIT will be like in the next 12 months? Are we expecting that it might turn negative in this financial year? And then with that, do you any forecast or guidance on the rental reversion? And also in a stressing area, let's assume that, let's say, tenants sales are going to drop by less, say, 10%, 20%. Will we have any pressure on further reducing the rents in Hong Kong? So this is the first question. And the second question is about the financing cost as we all know, it seems like interest rates are going to be higher for longer. Any guidance on the average financing costs in the coming year?

Gregory Chubb

executive
#9

I'll start with Hong Kong. So a lot of questions in all that color. I'll do my best to address most of them. I mean, I guess, first things first, it's a matter of looking at the purpose of the Link portfolio. We'll be here to serve Hong Kongers for their daily needs. So with that, we believe we bring a very strong level of resilience. We've demonstrated that in the results we've just spoken through. No two ways about it, there has been an impact coming through, particularly in the second half of the period. Looking through our numbers, Q3 sales decline was worse than Q4. So we did see some improvement in Q4. But still, if you do the numbers from what we reported at the half year to what we just reported in the second half, our sales did go negative. So sales growth was negative. We see the moderation of sales performance for Hong Kong to more than likely continue. We believe we're in a position of strength to be able to deal with that given we've got near full occupancy at 98%. We have very stable and sustainable occupancy cost at 12.6%. Your summation at 10%, 20% sales decline is something that's not on our agenda, and it's something that we are not observing in the current operations. But still, the way that I would guide you for leasing reversions is that we are anticipating a fairly flattish year, if flattish is a word. We are in tune to the risks and, I guess, some of the challenges to the market. Some have posed that it's an issue for the Northern new territories. We see it as a broader issue for Hong Kong. And we're not just looking at what we're doing in the Northern new territories. We're looking at what we're doing across our broader portfolio. I'd point you to the fact that we've continued to complete fairly significant asset enhancement projects, which is allowing us to refresh our offerings. And at the same time, over 40% of the new 660-odd new leases that we wrote last year were tenants new to our portfolio, coupled with, I think it was around 120 of our existing tenants [indiscernible] footprint with us. So demand and supply is a big part of rental growth and occupancy in any portfolio, whether it be office or retail for that matter and we think the dynamics of our portfolio are pretty sound. And we will still netting of servicing Hong Kong as for their daily needs. That's very clear.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#10

I just want to ensure that you continue to distinguish our portfolio from other in Northern Hong Kong, as Greg said, we do serve the daily need of a lot of the Hong Kong people. Convenient retail on its own that means you don't go to Shenzhen to buy your grocery on a daily basis. We can -- we see some weakness. And that's where we want to continue to refine the tenant mix, making sure that we continue to be relevant. So we bring in new brands, as Greg has already mentioned, and continue to keep very high occupancy so far. I think if you stand in the shoes of the tenant, then if they need to control cost to deal with their own business challenges, then they need to find shops, restaurants, location where they have the highest productivity. And I think what we have provided to them is guaranteed footfall because people are looking right next to it or about it. That continues to be the case to attract people. And so if I want to decided to cut in [indiscernible], I want to make sure that I actually have more shops at the Link portfolio. And that's why we have this queue of tenants coming in. So I think there is challenge overall, we're not complacent. But at the same time, we are not destination mall. We have maybe 1 or 2 that we call destination mall, but we are not really. And so the challenges are not the same as some of the other landlords. We hope that with what the team continue to focus on, which is continue to follow our shoppers what they want and provide that in a convenient location in a good shopping environment, then we will protect that income.

Kok Ng

executive
#11

On the average borrowing cost we delivered at 3.78% for the full year. If you look at the profile of the hedging at 70% and also the fact that HKD 9 billion will come due this year. So we have left that unhedged because we have paid down using the unitholders funds. And in fact, the RMB was only about 70% hedged. So we do have quite a lot of ability to continue to use RMB financing to be -- to help carry over some of the financing costs versus HIBOR. So I think when we look at our own forecast, I assume HIBOR stays where it is and so far, it's been more so than the last 2 years. And we expect the ABC to be hovering just slightly below 4%. So it's not a major movement in that sense.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#12

It's important to look at the color of the bar as well. [indiscernible] someone have asked us a question about the blue bar coming up. That's a bond, right? So we either replace it with a bond and the bank has been chasing after this. That's why they are in this room. And maybe we will face it with some bank loan. But when it comes to '25, '26 or '26, '27 where the bar looks higher and maybe some will ask and you will be challenged, but these are bank loans. So we can start talking to a bank early compared to bonds where you can't. And so we have -- we say we have foresight, but we didn't. But it's all happened that I think the way that we have made that maturity each year is not that high. The composition whether it is bank loan versus bonds, it's also managing in a way that I think we can manage our average borrowing costs quite well.

Operator

operator
#13

Can we have another question, Sam?

Tsz Ho Wong

analyst
#14

Congrats on the great restult. This is Sam Wong from Jefferies. I have two questions, if I may. First one is on China. So China reversion had a nice catch-up in the second half. I just wonder how we should think about the China reversion for next year? And the second question is on Japan. I think John just mentioned that Japan as a potential market. So could you share more details as to which asset class we are focusing on? And any time line for our venture into Japan?

Kok Ng

executive
#15

On the China rental reversion, I think indeed, we started very hard the last 6 months to get ourselves out of the negative rental reversion you saw in the first half. I think the way I look at it is that it remains a challenging market, simply because the spending is not strong for footfall. But we do have more footfall than pre-COVID. And if you look at the quality of spend, clearly, the discretionary part is starting to taper off a lot more focus on F&B, leisure entertainment, which in a way can't pay as much rent or high OC. But I think where the team has comfort is CentralWalk basement is now being rebuilt into a grab and go smaller shop, higher square foot versus a restaurant that maybe does 1.5, 2 times per meal. We think that we would be able to do a low single digit, flattish rental reversion. I'm not willing to see the negative anymore. The other dimension is clearly with all the changes in the market, the way to look at it is with the more footfall how do we generate higher marketing income? It's always about the rate lines, the leasing. There's a lot of money in marketing when you have catchment, you have defined demographics. And so there are a lot of things that we are doing. And my view is I look at the NPI as well as a rental reversion. Because a lot of things may not just come through 2.8% going where the business is. So we are getting more and more creative in how to run the China business given that you have to really sweat the lemons versus the last 20 years where people were queuing the back space from Gary from George. Can we come into the mall? Now this we have to go there and we have to be very creative. But I think the target is that we are not willing to see the negative rental reversion. So the low single digit is where I would target in the next 6 months.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#16

Talking -- without putting a lot of pressure on John, let me just give you a few highlights. We've talked about investments of Hong Kong in several countries for several years. Japan has been on that list for quite some time. We've been to Japan for 7, 8 years. We have been -- we have not been able to agree on any deals yet. But also when we look at opportunities we're not just looking at, oh, that's the best positive carry and therefore, that's the way to go. We were looking at other skill set that we have, for example, the asset management skillset that we have build up. And so I would use Singapore as a good example is how do you break the chicken and eggs -- asset first or people first? You don't have people, then sometimes your underwriting is a little bit more conservative. You never buy the asset because I understate it. If you have the people, have the asset, you don't have the people, then our Board will question, you will question whether we know how to manage? So John is there to break that -- so he -- are you the chicken or the egg?

John Saunders

executive
#17

I decline to answer that.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#18

But the point is we are building a team. We are -- we're wanting to make sure that we get to look get these assets to make sure we can tell you, we know how to manage it. We know that there is -- not just asset management, but asset enhancement, if there is improvement. And that's one of the experience, I guess, John can talk about his own experience in a different organization, doing a lot of improvement in assets, producing good return, and he will be building his team and give him some time.

John Saunders

executive
#19

Yes, I think that's right. I think the only thing I would add, I mean, I have a 30-odd year association with Japan. So I've seen a few cycles there. And I think it does remain an interesting market. As with all investments that we look at, everything has a high bar to cross. And to George's point, it needs to be something that is the right asset at the right price and that we can deliver in terms of the improvements. But I think there are still opportunities there. I think in a macro sense, the ability to raise interest rates by too much is impeded obviously, by the significant debt to GDP ratio. So again, at the macro level, perhaps that means more declines in currency together with a significant yield gap over the funding cost. But to George's point, that's fine, that's the macro, but we buy buildings one-by-one. So every asset has to stand on its own feet. And if you've looked at our style over the last sort of 18 years, which I've only recently sort of become a part of, the ability to do asset enhancement in order to manufacture returns is as important or more important than simply taking a directional trade. So yes, we're lucky. It's part of this business of matching capital to opportunities, which is as valid for the balance sheet as it is for third-party capital. But everything will have a high bar to across, if that answers your question.

Operator

operator
#20

Next one may be Raymond [indiscernible], and then we'll have [indiscernible].

Wai Ming Liu

analyst
#21

This is Raymond from HSBC. So I have two questions. The first question is about asset recycling initiatives that management mentioned. So like with the current scenario you just [indiscernible] longer and actually, we have been discussing for the Link 3.0 strategy for a while. Can management share with us the update, right -- can we see some more positive developments on it in the next 12 months time? Can you share with us more color? This is first question. And the second question actually is also the first question that investor has been asking a lot, which is the cross-border consumption trend. So can management share with us like in terms of the performance for shopping malls in the CentralWalk in Shenzhen, which has been delivering very strong performance recently. And how should we look at -- I actually can management quantify or share some more data points in terms of impact of the trade mix like for your Shenzhen malls or the malls [ leader ] borders?

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#22

I'll talk about the -- as said, recycling 3.0 I'm sure there will be follow-up questions. We are -- we have been looking at different opportunities to recycle assets. We've talked to a number of parties. Obviously, while John mentioned that we have a high bar and looking at investment potential buyers also have a high, high bar for their investment. And we need to look at whether it is worth recycling just for its own sake. So if we manage to sell something, let's say that even the [ business ] value at 4% and then we managed to sell it at 4.5%, but we're buying something at 6%. That's okay. If we were selling something at 4% and the growth is, let's say, 5% a year, but we're buying something that will grow at 8% a year. That's okay, too. So I think it is important that we look at it on a portfolio basis and how we reconstruct it rather than just looking at a pure asset and say, whether we buy -- buy and sell it, at valuation or above valuation. So we're looking at number of opportunities and as usual, once we get to a stage we should announce it, you will be the first one to hear about it. Link 3.0, I think it is a challenge for you to model it, as I said in my earlier remarks. We are building the business. We're building the team. It will take a little while. There will be a J-curve, but that J-curve with a number of people compared to our very large portfolio of NPI coming in, it's actually not that significant. But the point is it is very difficult to model it. We've been looking at different scenarios and whether John will launch his first fund very soon or we'll do inorganic acquisition of a platform, all these possibilities. So I appreciate that it's hard to add a line in your spreadsheet to model this and the timing is uncertain because we're dealing with quite a lot of different possibilities. But we strongly believe that within the next 12 months, we will be able to see some action -- pressure on John. But we do see it because I think we are getting to a stage where -- there is already a clear signal that [indiscernible] is higher for longer, but it's not a -- it's high for longer but not much higher. It may not come down yet. So that is a stabilization in the financial market where LPs are starting to think about or I don't want to be late in deploying. I want to be early. I have capacity to live through a little bit more downturn, even if that happens, but we're reaching the bottom. So from our conversation with potential investors, there is such opportunity, both for fundraising and also looking at acquiring assets. Unfortunately, it's difficult time, hard to quantify. And thematic will be -- I think what will be clearer is we have struggled over the last many years to do value-add and opportunistic investments. Doing a development, which is obviously opportunistic, we have to forecast a leasing income 5 years from now, 7 years now. And we are used to asset enhancement where we know, especially for our own asset, 60% of the tenants will come back and then model it out and the risk is a lot lower. So the core corpus will stay within the balance sheet. Where the balance sheet is uncomfortable, has been value-add and opportunistic investment where maybe some of our other investors, different capital will be more comfortable with. And also, we value-add and opportunistic most likely there could be a period of time there was no income. Whereas for the REIT, we want to continue to sustain this growth in income. So I think we see that people who invest in Link REIT have actually bought two things, it's a stable, security of REIT and a fund manager that so far spent the last 18.5 years managing only 1One REIT. Where we are saying -- what we're saying is that will change, and we will be managing more than 1One fund. And so that's the big strategic move that we have announced, and we are putting more and more pieces in place and that will hopefully deliver better results, better fee income whether it is from AUM fees or carry interest, which will add to the return of our unitholders. Cross-border [indiscernible]

Kok Ng

executive
#23

I'll talk about the overflow. Greg can talk about the leakage since I look after the China portfolio and I see what's happening in Shenzhen. So I think the truth is pre-COVID we're looking at about 30,000, 40,000 footfall a day in the old CentralWalk before we bought. We bought -- we did our AEI through the COVID. Footfall dropped to something like high teens coming on COVID, it was about in the 20s and slowly with the borders opening at the peak now we are seeing up to about 100,000 foot fall, of which half Hong Kong day trippers for Hong Kong residents. And I think what we have started to see is that clearly, a lot of the upside now is coming from GTO because when we started leasing up after the AEI, it was a pretty glooming period. And where we have seen now is in the portfolio, CentralWalk is actually logging in probably on the higher sales -- tenant sales per square meter crossing 2,000 handle. And OC has come down to low teens, which is quite spectacular for Mainland. Mainland we usually operate high teens, low 20s. That said, a lot of the spending is on food and beverage, entertainment, leisure, not as scalable as fashion accessories personal care, things that you can buy in bulk and carry back. And I think where we are now in this whole game in Shenzhen is we have terminated [indiscernible] in the basement, some impact to valuation. Now we bought back the space with a B1 HKD 25 million investment to create a -- I will keep you in suspense. You can go and see it in July when it's done. Zone we name it -- give you a name, there'll be food, there'll be grab and go. There'll be fast fashion and things that when I curated it, it's clearly things that we don't get in Hong Kong should appeal to our resident being across for a long weekend. Looking very optimistic that we are able to then achieve that 20% -- or more than 20% IRR that we are looking for.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#24

The simple change, I think, is when we bought the mall there a lot of Hong Kong brands there for people in Shenzhen to go to shop, now because Hong Kong people go there shopping, there's no point having Hong Kong brands there until we're putting a lot more. Mainland Chinese brand and cuisines and that will continue to evolve. And that's what we do to assets.

Kok Ng

executive
#25

So we are going to continue to ramp up the rents because I think it's a bit of a under-rented now. And how do we do it? These are our trade protocols or trade secrets that we work on. But clearly, the good news is CentralWalk along with Qibao got into the top 50 malls in China, and that's a very quick turnaround for CentralWalk. So that said, I'll leave Greg to explain how we are coping the perceived leakage that everybody is so worried about but life goes on.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#26

Just on Qibao since it was mentioned, when we were negotiating with the seller, we didn't know that they were in such trouble. So we could have -- if we knew, we would squeeze a little bit more. But the main point is this is a very big shopping center. We gain not just the financial return but a lot of tenant relationship that we didn't have in the past. And that is helping us to then do leasing for the other properties that we have. So it's actually quite significant to us, not just in financial terms alone.

Gregory Chubb

executive
#27

[indiscernible] I think I've touched on it with Karl's question, but just some of the other patterns because what we're trying to find here is what the patterns really are and how we can respond meaningfully rather than just boxing it shadow, so to speak. But certainly, the weekend in Hong Kong is a lot tougher than it used to be. That's where a lot of the impact has been observed. But I guess, most importantly, for our portfolio, it operates quite unilaterally across a given week. So we're not overly reliant on weekends, but certainly, we're seeing an impact on weekends. In terms of our product categories, F&B has been probably the best performing category, but subsectors of F&B have been the hardest hits. Chinese restaurants for example have been doing it really tough. So one of the options for -- available to us is to reposition some of those boxes into smaller food and beverage businesses. Other categories within F&B, fast food has been incredibly strong. So it's a matter of digging into the detail and responding accordingly. You want to just change our purpose. I spoke at length about our purpose and servicing Hong Kongers for their daily needs. Food-related trades make up close to 70% of our business in Hong Kong that won't change, probably the composition will. We will continue to embark on asset enhancement projects. We're seeing good returns on those, but also good participation from retailers and the ability to bring in new trade mix, whilst K.S. sort of not participating with Hong Kong retailers in Mainland China, we're bringing mainland retailers to Hong Kong. So Gary, who's in the front row who heads our leasing business and his team have done a number of deals recently with Mainland businesses who have been expanding into Hong Kong predominantly in the food and beverage space. But look, the challenges are not lost on us. We are an active manager. We'll continue to actively manage our book. We've got a very strong team and a very focused team. And I think in a relative sense, we're really well positioned.

Operator

operator
#28

So we have 5 more minutes. So hopefully, we can take 2 or 3 more questions. Maybe Mark first and then we can have Cindy afterwards.

Mark Leung

analyst
#29

This is Mark from UBS. So I've got three questions. The first one, I think here I just mentioned a pretty interesting thing is called dynamic pricing car park model. So could you is more about that? I think that's the first one. And secondly is about on the NPI margin. So how should we look on the NPI margin going forward? I think this year is about 74%. And lastly, it's about on the buyback. I think management -- [indiscernible] mentioned we will do some buyback going forward. Just wanted to check about the scale and also [indiscernible] targeted?

Gregory Chubb

executive
#30

So Mark, just on dynamic pricing. So we're in the process of embedding a new car park management system across all the 121 facilities here in Hong Kong. So we're about 65%, 70% of the way through that installation. And that system gives us the ability to look at the concept of dynamic pricing. So we have a lot more access to real-time data, and we've got a lot more with regards to direct payment systems that we can embark on with our customers. So what that dynamic pricing model looks like, I can't tell you at the moment. What I can tell you is it's a concept that the system and the integration of that system allows us to investigate. And it's something that we'll investigate over the next 12 months or so. With regards to the NPI margin, so we're a little over 75%. It was down from last year. So we saw expense growth of about 9% here in Hong Kong, largely driven to the minimum wage increase but also some one-offs with regards to the September [ black-rain ] that we had, and we obviously had some impacts there. And we've embarked on extra marketing activities to try and circumvent some of the pressure from the north. I'm hopeful that we won't see any further erosion on the NPI margin. And as we've invested in technology and systems in our car park business and what we've just spoken about, we're looking at numerous projects across our platform that can help replace really repetitive onerous tasks across what is a very large business for us. And try and automate whatever we can. So a real focus on managing those cost pressures, and there will be things that hopefully we can address in the foreseeable future and we bring back to this sort of a forum.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#31

Have a look at the slides and you need a little bit of a hint of what we might look like in the past, you go to a car park, there's a printed price for how many hours, what time. Now is the LED. LED means you can change every minute. So similar to the LED screen. We don't have a structure on buyback that we want to announce today. Any time it could happen. It can change any minute. If the stock price looks highly dislocated, undervalued, we are not in blackout. Clearly, I think we do have the capacity to support the buyback, which we have done in the last round, we spent about HKD 1 billion, bought back about 24 million shares, at about HKD 38, HKD 39. And lo and behold, the market continues to have a rising interest environment. The unit price came down slightly. So I think at every point, it's a different way of looking at the relative and comparative value of our shares. But that said, we are not going to sit around doing nothing if it goes into an area or range that we think is unreasonable. We do have the support from the Board to do a buyback.

Operator

operator
#32

Okay. So we'll take the last questions, Cindy?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#33

This is Cindy from Citi. So I have three quick questions. One thing is inventory reversion. So if I remember correctly, that pre-COVID, we used to have occupancy cost of, say, 13.5% or above that level versus current 12.6%, I guess. Do we still see room for us to slightly move up to the ladder. So that is the first question. Second is on interest income actually. So apart from an increase in cash balance is there anything specific we have done for cash management to feel a better interest income just relative? And the third thing is on M&A. Apart from what you have mentioned, generally, would you see this year as a better or worse year for M&A comparing with, say, the past 1 to 2 years? And any additional color you could share on that?

Gregory Chubb

executive
#34

So just on the reversion piece and specifically occupancy cost. There is room for movement there. But given the cost pressures more broadly in the market, we spoke to -- in answering Mark's question, about 9% expense growth, that's something that our retailers are experiencing as well. So it's a challenging market with inflation and cost growth. Our costs at 12.6% across the portfolio, give us room for maneuvering. But ultimately, we'll look at what the right long-term decisions for us to take with our retailers. Portfolio occupancy is an incredibly important measure for us. And if in a period of some dislocation, we need to sacrifice a little bit of reversion for occupancy. We'll make whatever is the right decision at that point in time.

Kok Ng

executive
#35

I think on the interest income, it's largely the full year effect of the rights issue proceeds. We have 18. We took some then we paid down about half, which are scoring another half collecting 4-ish percent. So I think that's 551 that you see nothing fanciful. We are not allowed to be too [indiscernible] with the cash we hold to buy different types of products than to buy back our own shares, which we did some. So this amount almost likely then will be redeployed again as refinancing needs appear.

Gregory Chubb

executive
#36

I think if we're talking M&A as it relates to Link 3.0, I would say, yes, the -- as the interest rates remain higher for longer, it sort of squeezes more businesses and more platforms. And I think in the investment management business, some of the biggest challenges that people have had is that they've had some dislocation in their recent track record because of the problems in China. So for most people, their last vintage -- last vintage was somewhere around 2017 to 2019, they were quite likely to have been reasonably sized investors in China, along with the rest of the pan regional strategy. And so the difficulties in China may well have dented most of their investment performance across the rest of the portfolio. So I think that leaves the market for some people a little challenging in terms of new capital rating. And I think overall, the capital raising market is relatively slow because of things we know like the denominator effect and the fact that you can get 5% in U.S. dollars in cash, but for the right teams with the right track record. It's still doable. So the simple answer is yes, I think there are more opportunities. And I think there will continue to be more opportunities for so long as we stay [indiscernible] of a better description, higher for longer.

Kwok-Lung Hongchoy

executive
#37

Yes. We're going out with no better record because we have no track record. So I think that helps. I just want to touch on 2 points as sort of concluding remarks. One is one thing that we presented to the Board on a regular basis that we don't really -- you don't see it in numbers, and we presented on slides from time to time. The team really have spent the last 2, 3 years spending a lot of effort and upgrading a lot of systems, process, people, et cetera. And that is so important for us to set a foundation for next stage. And so every piece of software from ERP to [indiscernible] CRM system to [indiscernible], all been upgraded by the end of this year, will all be done. And that also allow us very quick integration and alignment when we do acquisitions or platforms or people of assets. The second point that I want to talk about very briefly is that we have been subject to a certain amount of misunderstanding over the last financial year. We have a number of meetings with different investors and some analysts. And the focus is really -- on the general -- on the topic of executive compensation. We are changing the disclosure in this year's annual report to provide more detail. The misunderstanding is that unitholders obviously have suffered and the unit price has come down, the disclosure does not show -- how executives have actually have pay cut by a drop in the value of long-term incentive plan and also in the vesting amount. So the disclosure has always been on the grant value and the grant amount. If you work hard enough and slip through 4 different sections in the annual report, you should be able to find out that the valuation of what accepted received have dropped probably about 20% to 30% at least in the past few years, but it's not evident easily. So what we're doing is trying to put it all together in 2 pages, so you can see it without flipping through different sections. So we want to reduce that misunderstanding. We're also showing, which you can, again, flipping through different sections, the holdings of at least K.S. and myself as Executive Directors. And so you can work out just how much we have suffered with unit price drop as well in line with our unitholders. I think these misunderstanding have caused a lot of issues with some investors, I think, inappropriate in many ways, but they have all been disclosed in different parts. I think it's just hard to read. So we're taking our disclosure to a standard -- not quite the Australian disclosure level yet, but we're getting a lot closer. We don't have full for pay in Asia, but we believe that from a disclosure point of view, since we talked to all the leading investors around the world, they expect to see us as a world-class investor, we will behave like that, and we've increased the disclosure as a result. So we're not going to get there in one place -- sorry, in one step because we're doing a compensation review as well as we move into Link 3.0, but we want to be transparent about what we are doing, and I hope some of you in the room who have talked to us in the past year do pick up the annual report this year and see the improvement we've done, and we are going to continue that in that path. And I'm trying to show you more that the incentive, both up and down, is totally aligned with our unitholders until if a unitholder can appreciate that your report should report that. And I think some of the misunderstanding that has happened in the last 12 months, hopefully, will go away sooner. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#38

Thank you. Thank you, management, for the sharing. and George for the closing remarks and everyone for joining us today. So this comes to the end of the announcement briefing and have a good evening. Thank you.

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