Localiza Rent a Car S.A. (RENT3) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 28, 2025

B3 - Brasil Bolsa Balcao BR Industrials Ground Transportation earnings 64 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good afternoon. Welcome to the Localiza and Co webinar regarding the results of the fourth quarter and the year 2024. With us today are Bruno Lasansky, our CEO; Rodrigo Tavares, CFO; and Nora Lanari, Director of Investor Relations of the company. We would like to inform you that this webinar is being recorded and will be made available at ri.localiza.com where you can find the complete disclosure of results. This presentation is also available for download on our RI website. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that the values of this presentation are in millions of BRL and information herein and any forward making statements that may be made during the video conference regarding Localiza's business outlook, projections and operational and financial targets constitute beliefs and assumptions of the company's management as well as information currently available. Future considerations are not performance guarantees. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions as they refer to future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Now I will hand the floor to Bruno Lasansky, the company's CEO, to begin the presentation.

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#2

Good afternoon. In 2024, we redoubled our focus on executing the company's strategic priorities and throughout the second half of the year, we began to see consistent results from our initiative. The year was marked by revenue growth in all of the company's divisions with 17% in car rentals, 25% in fleet management and 37% in Seminovos. In car rental, we continue the process of price adjustment, which increased by 15.4% in the year. And in the last quarter, at BRL 147 million, reflecting the strength of the brand and commercial excellence of Localiza. In fleet rental, we focused the capital allocation on higher return segments. Thus, we reduced the heavy use fleet by around 25% and improved the global fleet utilization. We highlight that, excluding trucks and heavy use of vehicles, the net revenue in 2024 grew 30% with the volume of daily rentals growing 13% year-over-year. On the operations front, we expanded our network of decommissioning centers to 13 units, increasing the speed, quality and management of the preparation process, which contributed to improving the channel mix. Seminovos doubled the volume of cars sold in only 2 years. During the year, we expanded the store network and increased productivity per store. 280,000 cars were sold, which contributed to reducing the average age of the car sold in the Car Rental division from 28 to 23 months. As a result, in this year, we presented consolidated net revenue of BRL 37.3 billion, EBITDA of BRL 11.9 billion and net income of BRL 1.8 billion with a ROIC spread of 3.1 percentage points, evolving to a spread of 5 percentage points in the second half of 2024. In addition, the year was marked by increased cash generation from car rentals, contributing to the reduction of our leverage ratios even with the increase of payment of interest on equity and the repurchase of the company's shares during the year. We continue to improve our customer experience. For example, we doubled the number of 100% digital pickup. During the year, launched the new Localiza mobile app with unique features on the market and transform the delivery and return journey in fleet rental, all of which contributed to an excellent NPS and a differential in July. In addition, Localiza was recognized once again as one of the 15 best companies to work for by Great Place to Work. In terms of technology, we completed the ERP update, as well as the migration of 100% of our applications to the cloud, contributing to greater agility, efficiency and performance of our technology environment. In 2025, we are facing a scenario of rising interest rates, and potential slowdown in economic activity and reduced credit availability. In this context, we have defined 5 priorities for the year. First, scaling up of Seminovos to renew the fleet. Two, reestablishing rental prices, prioritizing revenue growth and ROIC spread. Three, efficiency and cost and productivity. Fourth, optimization of the segment portfolio, focusing on more profitable segments. Five, improving the experience of our customers to increase even more the differentiation of delight. And sixth, concluding the process of systemic integration and corporate simplification. These initiatives are crucial for the gradual recovery of profitability levels. We are confident that we will emerge from the current cycle by further expanding our market leadership, competitive advantages and resuming our growth trajectory with value creation. To present the highlights of the year and this quarter, I will now hand over to our CFO, Rodrigo Tavares.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#3

Thank you, Bruno, and good afternoon, everyone. On Page 2. are the highlights of the quarter. We maintained solid results driven by robust revenue growth in car rental, fleet rental and Seminovos combined with efficient cost management. The Car Rental division reported revenue of BRL 2.6 billion for the quarter, a 13% growth year-over-year. In Fleet Rental, we continued the portfolio optimization process, which will contribute to the recomposition of our ROIC spread. Net revenue totaled BRL 2.2 billion, a 16% growth year-over-year. In Seminovos, we expanded our network with the opening of 123 sales point throughout the fourth quarter '24, strengthening our market presence and driving a gradual fleet renewal process in 2025. Net revenue from Seminovos achieved BRL 5.1 billion in the quarter, a 35.3% increase year-over-year. The gradual fleet rejuvenation will continue to contribute to the improvement of the sales channel mix positively impacting the average price of cars sold over the year. Consolidated net revenue grew by 24.6% to BRL 9.9 billion. EBITDA increased by 15% to BRL 3.3 billion, and profit reached BRL 837 million in this quarter. Now to present the details of our quarterly results, I will hand over to our Investor Relations Director, Nora Lanari.

Nora Lanari

executive
#4

Thank you, Rodrigo, and good afternoon. Going into the details of the results on Page 3. We start with the Car Rental division in Brazil. And 4Q, '24, the net revenue for Car Rental division achieved BRL 2.6 billion, a 13% increase year-over-year. Due to the increase in the average daily rate compared to 4Q '23 volumes adjusted by 2.9% due to the strong comparison base and prioritization of price recomposition, compared to the 3Q '24 volumes advanced by 1.4%. In 2024, revenue grew by 16.4% (sic) [ 16.8% ] year-over-year, totaling BRL 9.6 billion with stable daily rental volumes for the year and acceleration in the average rate recomposition, which advanced by 15.4% over the year. On Page 4, we present another quarter of average daily rate advancements, which added the year at BRL 147.4 million. a 16.3% increase year-over-year. The utilization rate remains at a healthy level of 79% for the quarter, reflecting pricing and mix management. Moving to Page 5, we see the evolution of the current rental branches network. We ended the year with 537 own agencies in addition to 18 branches in Mexico and 151 franchises, totaling 706 service points in Latin America. On Page 6, in Fleet Rental division. Volumes and prices continued to rise in 4Q '24, resulted in net revenue of BRL 2.2 billion, a 16.4% increase compared year-over-year. In 2024, there was a 10% increase in volume, 25.1% increase in revenue for this division compared year-over-year. Excluding the effects of reduction of heavy use contract portfolio, net revenue would have advanced by more than 30% in the year. On Page 7, we present a daily average rate of BRL 97.7, an 11.3% increase. Compared year-over-year, utilization rate increased by 0.5%. In 2024, the average daily rate advanced by 13.7% with a slight reduction of 0.7% of fleet utilization year-over-year due to higher number of reactivated cars resulting from the portfolio optimization process. Moving to Page 8. Revenue of Seminovos achieved BRL 5.1 billion, a 35.1% increase year-over-year. The volume of cars sold grew by 27%. In 2024, net revenue of Seminovos in Brazil grew by 37.3% year-over-year, totaling BRL 19.2 billion, with sales volume growing by 26.4% in the year. Acceleration in sales volumes reinforce the company's operational and execution capacity which increased by BRL 11.7 billion in sales in 2022 to BRL 19.2 billion 2024, with productivity gains personnel. This is the result of improvements in the corporation process, adjustments and maturation of the store network and sales team as well as expansion of credit for financing. On Page 9, we have the Seminovos network. In 2024, we expanded a number of stores totalling 27 openings for the year, and in the quarter with 242 sales points, distributed across 118 Brazilian cities. Store openings were concentrated at the end of the year and should contribute to sales volumes throughout 2025. Even with the network expansion, we advanced productivity per store, ending the year with an average 40 cars sold per store per month. 2025, we will maintain our focus on scaling up Seminovos productivity gains, expanding the number of stores, sellers and channels. Moving to Page 10. We show the balance of car purchases and sales. In the fourth quarter '24, we purchased 103,064 and sold 71,750 cars, resulting in a fleet growth of 31,314 cars and a net investment of BRL 4.1 billion. The sales volume in the quarter was impacted by rising interest rates and fewer business days, which affected demand in December. Even so, we presented a 27% growth in sales volume [ in 4Q '24 ] year-over-year. January and February, we saw an acceleration in sales volume again and reduced car purchases after holiday peak in order to adjust the fleet to seasonal rental demand. On Page 11, we present the average purchase price and sales price. In the Car Rental division, the average purchase price was BRL 84,000 and the sales price BRL 67,700 resulted in renewal investment of BRL 16,300 per car. In the year, the average purchase price was BRL 83,300, sales price BRL 66,800 (sic) [ BRL 67,700 ] resulting in a net renewal CapEx of BRL 16,500, a reduction of BRL 3,000 per car compared year-over-year. The gradual advancement in fleet rejuvenation process should contribute to maintaining a renewal CapEx reduction trajectory. In Fleet Rental, the average purchase price was BRL 96,100 in 4Q '24, the average sales price was BRL 76,700 resulted in a renewal investment of BRL 19,400. In the year, the average purchase price was BRL 95,000 and sales price BRL 72,000 resulting in a net renewal CapEx of BRL 23,000, a reduction of BRL 8,500 per car year-over-year. On Page 12, we show the fleet growth at the end of the period. We ended the year with 669,362 cars, 21% (sic) [ 2.1% ] increase and 1.2% increase in the car rental division. The increase of the end of period fleet in car rental reflects the opportunity for purchases in 4Q '24. After the high season, we expect a reduction in the pace of car purchases. 2025, we will continue to prioritize price adjustment and seek fleet efficiency and productivity. On Page 13 in the quarter, consolidated net revenue advanced 24.6% year-over-year, totaling BRL 9.9 billion. Rental revenue grew by 14.9%, 13% in Car Rental division and 16.4% in Fleet Rental division. Seminovos revenue totaled BRL 5.1 billion in the quarter, a 35.3% increase year-over-year, resulting from a 27% increase in volume and higher average price. For the year, consolidated net revenue advanced 29% year-over-year, totaling BRL 37.3 billion, with strong growth in rental and Seminovos. On Page 14, we present consolidated EBITDA. In 2024, we stopped adjusting margins for business combination, and impairment effects. And in 4Q '23, we began allocating car preparation costs to car rental and fleet rental excluding them from Seminovos. Thus, we will only make comparison with 4Q '24, whose bases are comparable. In 4Q '24, the EBITDA margin for car rental division was 65.6%, a 2.9% increase year-over-year. The robust margin in the quarter mainly reflects rental pricing as well as advancement in rejuvenation process and reduction in average mileage of the fleet, resulting in lower maintenance cost per car, partially offset by higher preparation costs explained by a 24.3% increase in the number of cars prepared. In Fleet Rental, the margin was 69.8%, a 1.7 percentage point reduction year-over-year, mainly explained by higher preparation costs due to a 29% increase in the volume of cars prepared and greater reactivation of severe use vehicles. Allowance with bad debt expenses also increased for the quarter, especially in trucks. Telematics and other initiatives brought BRL 50 million in revenue and BRL 200,000 of EBITDA, diluting the EBITDA margin of the division by 1.6% in the quarter. Seminovos presented a margin of 2.6%, especially reflecting price adjustment in December. Throughout the quarter, '21, '22 and '23 models adjusted in line with historical patterns. On the other hand, we saw a stronger adjustment in 2024 model year cars. In January and February, volume [ fed ] up again. Page 15, we see the evolution of average depreciation per car. For car rental, the average annual depreciation per car was within the range expected for the company in line with 3Q '24 depreciation. For the year, the annualized average depreciation was impacted by the revision of residual value and operational life estimates for the fleet made in 2Q '24, to reflect price adjustment for use in Seminovos cars. In rental, the average depreciation was BRL 8,527,including trucks. The depreciate for light vehicles was BRL 8,075 within the expected range. In the year, the annual depreciation was impacted by the revision of residual estimates made in 2Q '24. On Page 16, in December. We saw greater adjustment in the prices for the 2024 model year cars. But in January and February, volumes and price behaved in line with the company's expectations. Thus, we maintained the 1Q '25 guide. At the beginning of the year, automakers increased the list prices of new cars. We continue to monitor the impact of -- these increases are new and Seminovo cars. On Page 17, we see consolidated EBIT for 4Q '24, which achieved BRL 2.0 billion (sic) [ BRL 2.033 ] and 12.5% increase year-over-year. For the year, it was impacted by the adjustment in car depreciation made in 2Q '24 to reflect the widening gap between used and new cars. On Page 18, we present a profit of BRL 837 million, an 18.7% increase year-over-year, reflecting the increase of BRL 446 million in EBITDA and a reduction of BRL 8 million in net financial expenses, due to the reduction in the effort CDI for the period and the hedging effects of derivatives linked to fleet rental contracts, partially offset by the increase of BRL 220 million in depreciation of cars and BRL 103 million in income tax and social contribution due to higher taxable income and increase in effective IR rate. Now I would like to return to Rodrigo to present cash generation, leverage and ROIC.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#5

On Page 19, we present the fleet cash flow. In 2024, the company generated BRL 9.8 billion from rental activity, a 37.9% increase year-over-year. That investment for fleet renewal showed significant reduction due to smaller gap between the purchase and sales price of cars. For the year, BRL 472 million were spent on renewing 280,000 cars, a sharp production compared to BRL 3 million (sic) [ BRL 3 billion ] spent on renewing 221,000 cars in 2023. In addition, the company reduced the net fleet addition, which contributed to BRL 960 million reduction in net investments for growth compared year-over-year. As a result, the company went from a cash consumption of BRL 2.9 billion before interest and others, to cash generation of BRL 3.3 billion in 2024. Throughout 2025, we will continue to adjust rental prices to reflect the higher interest rate. Additionally, we will maintain discipline in cost and productivity management, both combined with lower renewal and growth CapEx should continue to contribute to positive cash generation and reduced leverage indicators. On Page 20, we present that evolution. We ended the year with net debt of BRL 30.1 billion (sic) [ BRL 13.1 billion ] during the year, BRL 940 million were paid in interest on equity, net of income tax in addition to repurchasing 8 million of company shares. On Page 21, we present the company's debt profile and cash position. Considering the funding and settlements announced up to February 27, the cash position totaled BRL 13.1 billion. The company has been taking advantage of that market opportunities throughout 2024 to reduce cost and extend that debt duration. On Slide 22, we present solid debt ratio. Over the year, the higher operation cash generation contributed to the improvement of net indicators even with the repurchase of company shares and the distribution of interest on equities. On Page 23 is the ROIC spread. We ended 2024 with a ROIC spread of 3.1 percentage points. In 2H '24, the ROIC reached 5 percentage points, resulting from price recomposition initiatives as well as efficient cost and productivity managed. Now we are available to answer any questions you may have.

Operator

operator
#6

[Operator Instructions] Our first slide question is from Mr. Alberto Valerio from UBS.

Alberto Valerio

analyst
#7

I want to know more about what can we expect going forward. We expect increase -- strong increase in rates, a recomposition of ROIC spread, may be a slowdown of the recomposition in third and fourth quarter, maybe because of the car market in December, that was worse than expected. January, March and February. How do you see the rate recomposition, if it will continue strong. And if you can see Seminovo market a little bit better. I know that the FIPE table is not the same that you used, but we had an improvement in January and February compared to November and December last year.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#8

Let me explain your question for Seminovos and then I'll talk about rental. For Seminovos, what we've seen was, in fact, last quarter started strong. It settles down in December price and volume. We have less activity in December. And at the beginning of the year, January and February, already going back to normal. We see stability in prices at a volume level, much healthier for the 2 months of the year when we talk about the Seminovo market. About rental. We continue constituting our profitability, especially now with the change of the macroeconomic scenario and interest rates. But -- as you've seen, we had a little lower growth in the segment, but we follow the policy of reconstituting our profitability.

Nora Lanari

executive
#9

But just to answer question about FIPE. We monitor at the beginning of the year. We saw that the automakers increased their prices, it takes some time for the practice price. So we're waiting because the dealers have old inventory. So we looking at that at the beginning of the year. On the other hand, we know that this year has more limited credit and affordability is worse than it was in the past.

Operator

operator
#10

Our next Question is from Mr. Gasparete from Itau BBA.

Daniel Gasparete

analyst
#11

I also have 2. I would like to know about the questions about car rental, how you see the demand going into monthly and seasonal, we see the volume suffers a little bit more. And the second question is about your opinion of a trade-off. For this year, like Nora said, a more limited credit if you would choose between aging the fleet or maintain a volume of Seminovos like you have been. I would like to understand the trade-off.

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#12

Thank you, Daniel, for your question about the volume. Clearly, we have priority to reconstitute our profitability, and we've been having that consistently in our prices. It's important to say that we're a relevant part of our customer base and segment, the alternative is to buying a car. Obviously, in either subscription or monthly for app drivers that advance the total cost advances when you have an increase of interest rates. So that's the first consideration. About the demand, what we've been seeing is that in general, the segments are resilient. However, we've been seen at the end of the year due to the scenario, some companies are postponing projects or reducing investment projects, which have impacted especially the corporate segments in car rental. So we see a robustness in the segment, except a point of attention is corporate because of the scenario, our customers are more cautious. For your second question, I'll pass to Rodrigo.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#13

Thank you Gasparete. Your second question is excellent because it's a trade-off that the company has to consider but being very straightforward. We are monitoring and if the credit conditions -- it is -- credit is less available, but still at healthy levels. It is more expensive for the consumer, which means smaller version in funding, but still at healthy levels. If we have a stronger credit restriction, the company will probably delay its rejuvenation process instead of a stronger drop in prices. This said, I would like to make clear that we're talking -- we're saying that you delay a little bit the regeneration process, but continue to rejuvenate. We don't see any scenario of aging the fleet even with more restrictive credit.

Operator

operator
#14

Our next question is from Mr. Guilherme Mendes from JPMorgan.

Guilherme Mendes

analyst
#15

I also have 2. It's a follow-up about depreciation. I understand that the beginning of the year is in line with expectations and guidance. But going beyond the first quarter, does it make sense to consider that we have this depreciation increasing from the second quarter forward. And on Seminovos that the company mentioned as one of the priorities for the year. What are the main KPIs you're looking at? -- activity per store, what are you looking at for the margin of 2025?

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#16

Thank you for your question, Guilherme. I'm going to talk about depreciation first, and then Bruno talks about the KPIs. As we mentioned, December was month of adjustment, we saw more volume and price in January and February. As Nora mentioned, for the short term, we understand that it's a little bit more stable, both in volume and price. When we think about the rest of the year, 2 forces contributing positive and 1 negative will interact. The first is price increase of new cars. On the first day of the year, we saw a public increase of 3% to 4% in new cars. There's still a lot of inventory, so it wasn't reflected in the market price yet, but it can happen. At these prices reflect in practice prices and have an effect in the Seminoles and used cars. On the other hand, you have credit -- eventual credit restriction that can affect demand putting a negative pressure in the market. So the year starts within normalcy, but it's early to say how this will behave throughout the year. We have to continue monitoring to understand these effects and see if we have to take any action to adjust our depreciation. Now I'm going to pass it to Bruno to talk about Seminovos.

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#17

Thank you, Guilherme for your second question. When we think about Seminovos, we've been talking about the scaling Seminovos to rejuvenate the fleet with efficiencies. There are 3 pillars. The first, increased sales per store. The second is expand new stores and routes and wholesale and expand channels. As you've been -- as you saw, we had success, more than doubled our sales 2 years expanding with efficiency in the number of stores in the last quarter, which will continue to help scale sales in 2025. But the indicators that we look at, we look at efficiency and also the customer indicators. So in terms of efficiency, we follow -- what we obtained with the car sale compared to the new cars. We also look at indicators that are -- what makes this scale feasible like availability and cost of credit as well as efficiency in terms of cost per car sold and how fast we can turn over our fleet. So we see this in Seminovos and we follow closely the indicators delight of our customers to repurchase purchase again and recommendation for future purchases.

Operator

operator
#18

Next question is from Mr. Lucas Marquiori from BTG Pactual.

Lucas Marquiori

analyst
#19

Rodrigo, in the volume of the mobilization of Seminovos. You mentioned credit. You don't know if it's going to be down or slowed down the fleet rejuvenation. What is the range? If you're speeding up or slowing down car demobilization to know what is the target you're using for the year? The second point in a scenario of slowing down of fleet rejuvenation, what could you unlock in terms of cash or leverage stopping to buy cars? What is the leverage you're aiming at? Maybe reducing purchases of cars.

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#20

Thank you, Lucas. I'm going to answer the first question a little bit more conceptually. If you look at the number of cars that we have at rentals cars, and our inventory of fleet, putting in the cycle of 15 months, we would need to sell 340,000, 350,000 cars per year to achieve a constant volume considering our volume of rent-a-car and our fleet. To achieve our ideal cycle, we need 15 months of rent-a-car. And fleet, it varies according to contract, around 34, 35 months. That volume of 340,000 to 350,000 would be the target to find a balance at the company. If we see something around 28,000, 29,000 cars, we would reach this equilibrium. This said, as I mentioned, there are many variables involved in credit. So if we need a trade-off, maybe that volume will be a little bit lower than that figure. But once again, we don't expect aging the fleet, but a delay in rejuvenating the fleet. About cash, you're right. In a scenario in which volume grows less or is stagnant the company is cash generator. When you look at our levels of leverage, especially to one for the net debt over EBITDA, you will see a gradual conversion and this number should be close to lower in terms of net debt over EBITDA. If it's set then over the value of the fleet at the beginning of the year has a slight increase because you pay the automakers, so you reduce your accounts payable, which has a short-term effect in your ratio of net debt over fleet and it reduces throughout the year in cash generation and is below what we closed in 2024.

Operator

operator
#21

Our next question is Jens Spiess, Morgan Stanley.

Jens Spiess

analyst
#22

So I just want to ask how much do you expect or are targeting to increase rental rates for each of the division this year versus last year? And also, if -- do you plan to introduce a formal depreciation guidance for upcoming quarters at some point? Because I think it has been quite instrumental to have like both the depreciation guidance and your price expectations, I'd like to fine-tune numbers in general. So just, yes...

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#23

James, thank you for your question. I'll start with the second one [indiscernible]. I'm going to start with your second question, it's easier. We don't intend to go through despite the depreciation guidance, we did 1 for 3 quarters and then an adjustment in the third quarter where you have high volatility of expectations. And since Localiza's policy was never to give guidances -- go over guidances, we go back to our policy, we won't have any guidance for the rest of the year. About recomposition, with the increase of interest rating expectation, this has to be repassed to our rates. In general, every cent bps equals to an increase of tariff. When you saw what happened in the last quarter of 2024, we had an increase of expectation of future interest of 50 to 300 bps. So we need to readjust the profitability and range, but also to offset this increase in cost.

Operator

operator
#24

Next question from Mr. Victor Mizusaki from Bradesco BBI.

Victor Mizusaki

analyst
#25

Two questions, a follow-up on our side. The first about excluding the activation of severe use vehicles. If you could confirm how much is the increase of freight. Now in the fourth quarter for this effect? And second, about depreciation. When we look at the guidance of the third and fourth quarter, now for the first quarter 2025, we see the range -- and what was reported and since January and February these scenarios were in line with the company's expectations. Can we expect something closer -- of the middle of the guidance for the quarter 6,800, 7,000?

Nora Lanari

executive
#26

Thank you, Victor. Year-over-year, the lightweight and subscription segments grew 10 average as a reference. About the guidance...

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#27

Just to add for this first point, sorry, Nora, it's very important to look at the information, understand the portfolio of fleet management. We have aobut 31,000 vehicles in the segment of sever use. And all the others are light and subscription cars that has an annual growth of 32%, which shows that within this portfolio, we have a very healthy majority with good profitability, good origination, and it's important to interpret that. When we look at the growth and total evolution of the volume and revenue in the business. I would like to highlight this point, so we can have more visibility of what this division is light and our plan to continue to have these 2 dynamics, on the one hand, continue to allocate capital with discipline and good profitability segments with good generation of value, continue to discontinue or close the contracts as they get to the end of the cycle, those that have lower profitability. Now I would pass to Rodrigo.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#28

Victor, as we mentioned, December we had something different than other months than January and February. More stability, but when we look at the quarter, we're talking about the top of the guidance, not the middle of the guidance. We're still adjusting especially the effects that took place at the end of the year. So the current expectation with the information we currently have, we don't know if this scenario of stability will continue. It's going to change, it's going to be better. The price of new cars will start to affect positively the price of used cars. But now it's more looking to the top of the guidance in the middle of the guidance.

Operator

operator
#29

Our next question, Mr. Bruno Amorim from Goldman Sachs.

Bruno Amorim

analyst
#30

First question is a follow-up about the elasticity of demand, you're going to a growth rate close to flat in volume. And I imagine that the more discretionary segments are shrinking and those segments like Bruno mentioned in which the alternative is to purchase the car might be responding better to price increases. Do you see this shrinkage in the segments more related to leisure and car rental and those segments in which the car purchase is increasing. Just to see if the evidence corroborates with this theory. The second question is about the company's view to buybacks. The share prices are much lower than they were. So it probably makes sense to buy back shares, but the interest rates are high, managing the balance sheet. How do you think about this trade-off. And lastly, Rodrigo mentioned about a sustainable and recurring level of selling vehicles about 350,000 cars. Should we expect to see the company converging towards that level and then the average age of the car being lower, does it make sense that it will go a little bit beyond sell even more to reduce the average age and stabilize in 350,000 later?

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#31

Thank you, Bruno, for your question. About your first question. As I mentioned, we are seeing a resilient demand in those segments that you call discretionary, like leisure, as well as the monthly rentals for individuals and even app drivers. And we see a little bit more accommodation in the corporate segments. As of the first -- second quarter of last year. Because of the macroeconomical landscape, the companies are reevaluating or postponing their projects. We also see a clear determination of the company to continue to reconstitute the price. It's important to remember that the company learned to do these repasses and increases, price adjustments gradually working with the customers in order to continue our relationship and continue the business. And more specifically, in the corporate segments that we see this accommodation than the segments that you mentioned and call discretionary. And to conclude, it's important to take a step back also. And remember that we're talking about segments that have a very large addressable market still. So once we achieve the price levels that Rodrigo mentioned, we need to reconstitute the profitability, which is our goal. We still have a lot of space to grow in the various segments that we mentioned. I will pass to Rodrigo for him to complement my answer.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#32

Bruno, thank you for your questions. I would like to address the 2 additional questions and using what Lasansky just answered. With greater stability of volumes, the company goes back to it focus on cost efficiency, and a relevant cost efficiency. When you're growing strongly, you have many activities and you generate natural inefficiency in some processes. When you have greater stability that also part of the company's focus to gain efficiency and review all our processes. And we expect this to contribute to generate profitability to the business, even reducing the need to repass the prices that we still need to do. About the 2 questions of buyback. We bought about BRL 800 million in our shares. And the company is always looking at buyback as a possible capital allocation. Since we have a more robust cash generation, we can always allocate this capital either buying more cars, reducing our debt or increasing the payout in terms of buyback. If the company sees that as interesting investment, we do that, but we do that currently without it being a policy. It's something we always look at. About the Seminovos. Just to make it clear, when I mentioned 350,000 cars, I was talking about the level that we need to achieve, to get an optimized cycle of cars for rent-a-car and Fleet. I would like to make clear that we're not at that level of 350,000 cars per year. We expect that at some point, we achieved that. And it depends on macro conditions, what the company is not willing to do is to speed up reaching those 350,000 cars more aggressively in terms of price. We will respect market demand and coordinate the fleet rejuvenation with the scenario that we're facing.

Bruno Amorim

analyst
#33

Just a follow-up to see if I understood. When you normalize the average car age, the company has to sell 350,000 cars per year. Is that yes?

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#34

That's correct. But once again, we're talking about a constant fleet. If the company grows again, that level will change. But Localiza today, if they don't grow their fleet at achieving 340,000, 350,000 vehicles sold, we would stabilize car sales in a 15 months for car rental and 34 months for fleet. So that's the figure for the steady state. And to do that, the company has to make more efforts to sell more cars to normalize the average age, or will that converge naturally. If we sell more, we converge quicker, but achieving that level, we can reach that throughout the year.

Operator

operator
#35

Our next question from Rogério Araújo from Bank of America.

Rogério Araújo

analyst
#36

I have 2 as well. First, I would like to explore the severe use segment. If you could talk about the expected time to the contract and sell the assets that are still in the fleet, the 30,000 cars. And just to confirm my understanding. You increase volume and price, right. Help me understand that instead of growing 5% year-over-year, it would be 15%? And if you could comment if we can use that as an expectation for when you finish selling those vehicles if that increase of growth. I can ask the second question after.

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#37

Rogério, your question isn't clear because your audio was a bit choppy.

Nora Lanari

executive
#38

I can help. I'll answer, Rodrigo if you need, you can complement. First about the timing, these contracts are 3 years on average. So we started the demobilization process last year, and this should take some time to happen. We have about 30,000 vehicles at the end of the period that we will discontinue. So the process will respect the expiration date of these contracts for the next 2 years. About growth, we commented on the previous answer that if we look back we exclude the effects of severe use segment. The company would have a 30% growth in revenue, which is half price, half volume. We're not giving guidance. We don't have the practice of guidance. So we're not having the guidance going forward. We have to take into consideration a few things. First, is a macroeconomic scenario that tends to worsen going forward, which would reduce the appetite of large fleet, but given the better affordability of vehicles, we have other customers going into the base for subscription or third-party fleets. Since the price to finance also increased. But it's not the run rate that we find for going forward. Our main focus is to reconstitute profitability, and the trade-off is very clear.

Rogério Araújo

analyst
#39

Thank you, Nora. It was very clear. The second question for Seminovos. If you could give us more details on how October and November and December were in terms of margin. If we can better understand a normalized market? How much cushion do we have in margin?

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#40

Talking about price volume, we see October with strong volumes and the market accommodating a little bit below the 50 vehicles that we were expecting. November was in line with our expectation. We see some macroeconomic effects at the end of November with the change of expectation. When we look at December, without talking specifically about Localiza, I've talked to several colleagues from the market. It was a month for the economy in general, retail, industrial production [indiscernible] markers. We had 2 effects. First, December, the volume was below what was expected, even considering that it's a month with vacation, holidays and the price elasticity was higher, especially for those cars, model year 2024. When you look at model cars, year '21, '22. That went back to normal, '24 specifically in December. January and February, we recovered the volume and stability in pricing. And several of these model vehicle -- year model vehicles. I know that I wasn't specific about margins, but I just wanted to give you more flavor of how the price and volume evolved throughout the last fourth quarter.

Nora Lanari

executive
#41

If I could add, Rogério, in terms of margin, it has to be clear that we expected margin accommodation in the fourth quarter, quarter-over-quarter because of the impairment that we did in the second quarter, that had a positive effect in the book value of the cars in the third quarter, Rodrigo had signaled that the margin in Seminovos wasn't expected. The lower volume in December vis-a-vis to our expectation does get in the way of fixed cost, but it doesn't have that much of effect on the margin of the fourth quarter Seminovos we expand the network of Seminovos to increase sales volumes. We think that the volume in January and February are strong and can help to dilute fixed costs, but we also want to expand channels, especially for a more restricted credit scenario.

Unknown Executive

executive
#42

It's important to mention Nora, about the dynamic of the first quarter. It's usually stronger in the wholesale than retail segment. A lot of retailers reduce their inventory, so don't haven't paid the vehicle taxes in the beginning of the year, they resume purchasing to replenish their inventory. So you have an effect in the first quarter, which is increase in wholesale that is stronger than retail because of the seasonal issue.

Rogério Araújo

analyst
#43

Very clear. Can I just very quick -- last one about -- of the BRL 91 billion about [ BRL 34 billion ] above historical levels. How much of this was in trucks?

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#44

Thank you. I think it's an important point for this quarter. Let me be very specific. We have the macro issue and then [ micro ] sectorial issue. What happened in the first quarter was specific for the sector. Some customers, especially the agribusiness, they are going through restructuring -- financial restructuring, and that led to bad debt, especially for heavy vehicles. And in lower level fleet management and even less for rental car. So we have the effect of this segment associated to the agri business. So it wasn't something generic. It was very specific. This effect will still have some lasting effects in the first quarter, but it was specific for those customers of the agri business industry and more focus on the heavy use vehicles. It's also starting to stabilize and get better. This said, we have the macro economy and interest rate increase. And we didn't see any effect yet of this. So it was specific of a subsegment that impacted, more specifically heavy vehicles. A little bit in fleet management and even less spread apart. We will still see the effects in the first quarter, but we think this is already at the end, and it will be stabilized by the end of the quarter.

Operator

operator
#45

We're almost at the end. We have a question from Rodrigo Faria from SulAmérica, that is important to answer. 25% of fleet reduction was all in heavy-duty vehicles. The heavy vehicle segment is specific. These are usually agri business or light vehicles that have more severe use. So the answer is no. The reduction of fleet in heavy-duty severe use is a company's strategic decision to reduce those contracts with lower ROIC spread. And to conclude [ Marco ] has a question. If the purchase and sales ratio was improving. How much this improvement has to do with the change of mix of the purchase and sales cars? The mix of purchase is already stable. Can you answer Rodrigo?

Rodrigo Tavares Goncalves de Sousa

executive
#46

Yes. We have to split what we're talking about in the mix. It's expected to have an improvement of the mix. But in the model, the fleet rejuvenation you start selling a higher proportion of cars that are 1 year old and cars that are 2- and 3-year old. With this, the spread of purchase and sales improve like we saw and as we mentioned before, a strong reduction in maintenance costs. That's also an effect of rejuvenating the fleet that we have in our fleet. So if it was the mix of model, sell more SUVs and buy more 1.0 cars, the answer is no. It's a matter of a mix of year models, a newer car that is aligned with our strategy.

Operator

operator
#47

With this, we conclude our results conference call, and Bruno will say his closing comments.

Bruno Sebastian Lasansky

executive
#48

Thank you for your presence and for your questions. Also, I would like to acknowledge the dedication and engagement of our teams of employees for the results. I reiterate that our RI team is here to answer any additional questions. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#49

This conference call is over, please disconnect your devices.

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