Medtronic plc (MDT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 2, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Anthony Petrone
analystThank you, and welcome, everyone, to the Jefferies June 2021 Virtual Healthcare Conference. I am Anthony Petrone with the health care research group in New York. One moment. I'm happy to introduce Sean Salmon, President of Diabetes and Cardiovascular Group for Medtronic. And we will have a 25-minute fireside chat session today. Sean, welcome and thank you for joining us.
Sean Salmon
executiveThanks, Anthony. Appreciate the opportunity.
Anthony Petrone
analystAbsolutely. And so I think, Sean, a good place to start out would be sort of high-level sort of background discussion around the diabetes and cardiovascular group as it relates to the COVID trends, in particular. Medtronic recently reported results about a week ago. And so maybe to give us a sense across the 2 portfolios that you oversee, maybe starting with diabetes and then moving into cardiovascular, how COVID has sort of impacted each of those divisions. And where do we sort of sit in the cycle of recovery, first for diabetes and then cardiovascular?
Sean Salmon
executiveSure. I think the effect of COVID on diabetes on the entire sector has been a little bit less than other parts of med tech that are kind of hospital-based. Now there's been a shift to more remote patient care using telemedicine. And really, the impact that we saw earlier on the pandemic was kind of reduction in new patient starts, where people left on injections rather than moving to automated insulin delivery systems, for example. So we did see a little bit of a change over time. Around the world, there have been hotspots that continue to flare up that affect both businesses. But I think diabetes was a little bit more well preserved than cardiovascular. Within cardiovascular, there's a gradient among sort of the more elective and more urgent or emergent-type procedures and those which are kind of existing in tertiary care centers that are in big cities. And when those big cities had flare-ups of COVID, you'd see some exposure to procedural volumes, things like TAVR, which is highly concentrated in tertiary care within big countries. But the trend we've seen throughout the year, the U.S. is doing great. Europe is really starting to catch up on vaccinations, a few pockets in some countries where there are some challenges. But it's really now the focus is in Latin America and Southeast Asia, particularly India, Nepal. Some improvement in India, at least for hospitalizations, that seems to be on a downward trend and some pockets of Asia. But throughout the last quarter, we saw improvement quarter on quarter on quarter to the point where we're back up to normal volumes in the United States and in many other countries around the world. So definitely improving.
Anthony Petrone
analystWhen you think about -- staying with cardiovascular in terms of the COVID trend. There are pockets in geographies, large geographies that are lagging even the U.S. You do sort of reference some level of turnaround in Europe. However, Southeast Asia, Latin America are still dealing with flare-ups. How should we think about backlog for cardiovascular in Europe as well as the other territories you've talked about, Southeast Asia and Latin America?
Sean Salmon
executiveI think it's hard to see the pipeline of patients. We think we've worked in most of that in the U.S. and probably a lot of Europe. But certainly, I think there's going to be countries within Europe where the health care system, where there's waiting lists already, that those waiting lists will continue to be worked through. I'm thinking like the U.K., for example, where there and possibly in Canada, you're going to see more of that trend toward increasing backlog fulfillment once they get the capacity available. But there's places like India, where they have cath labs shut down because all the beds are allocated to hospitals, especially in the big cities in [ Gujarat ] state, for example. And I'm not sure those patients will even live. They're coming back for their coronary intervention, for example, as an emergency. And if they're not going to get to the hospital on time to get treated, they may not make it.
Anthony Petrone
analystI think a good segue we can jump into the divisions here, maybe start with diabetes and then shift over to cardiovascular. The company is getting ready to present at the ADA conference and referenced strong 780G data readouts ahead of ADA. So maybe just a recap on a high level sort of highlights of that data in 780G as it relates to both time in range and A1C improvements and maybe your expectations into ADA.
Sean Salmon
executiveYes, sure. So the big conference this year was ATTD, which is going on right now. And this morning, we presented the results of the first 4,000 patients in the real world. And well, it's really striking. When you do clinical trials, you tend to have a pretty controlled kind of patient that are sized up for those things and where you get the same kind of results. The reception to the 780G has been just really tremendous throughout the countries we've launched in 30 countries now. And the data that we showed, showed really nice time in range, about 76% on average. But was -- there's 2 things that are really important. There's something called a glucose kind of GMI, which is a proxy for A1C. We don't measure A1C in the real world in these kind of studies, but it's a good proxy for it based on our average sets of glucose. And 3/4 of the patients that are on the 780G get to the combination of both time in range above the ADA guidelines as well as an A1C number below 7%. So to have that kind of glycemic control over a huge range of patients, we also presented data on probably the most troubling group, that adolescence, teen year group, where just after 3 months of being on the 780G with optimized settings, we're getting that group into the 80% time in range with below 7% on A1C. And really, that's in distinction to some other kind of real-world data you've seen on other products, where there's a huge range, a big, big -- some people getting to 90%, some people remain on the 60s. We're very tightly distributed around that. And when we show the pivotal data and time and time and again, where we optimize the settings, setting the lowest target in 100%, and we put them into an active insulin time that's shorter, and when people are counting carbs, you can reliably get into the 80s for time in range no matter how old you are. And that's really, really very impressive for the product to do that. And of course, that's just part of it. That's just the glycemic outcomes. Staying in auto mode, more than 90% of the time, 94% of the time in that 4,000-patient set was really a great patient experience, which gets even better now that we're launching new products. We're extending the wear of the infusion set as well as getting rid of the need for calibrations and fingersticks with the sensor portfolio. So it's really -- it's coming together nicely for us.
Anthony Petrone
analystMaybe, again, having the data timely here, the ATTD conference. So maybe what is your expectation on how this sort of plays with the FDA sort of upcoming? You've submitted for clearance. It looks like there's already a lot of data supporting 780G. You think it sort of tips the scales in your favor. But maybe more importantly, when you think of adoption and how endocrinologists in the U.S. specifically are looking at this data, what is your early views on sort of excitement around the product?
Sean Salmon
executiveNow look, there's a lot of patient enthusiasm for the product. A lot of people are really very impatiently waiting for the FDA to get to the point where they have the resources to allocate toward this review and other reviews within the sector. That's probably one of the most hard hit parts of the FDA in terms of review timeliness. And I think what's good for us is the FDA understands how important this product is. They're very sympathetic to that. We're in active review right now. The reviewer who's assigned to the 780G as well as the rest of the products to Zeus is the same one that was on the 770G. So the hardware is well known to this reviewer and the review team. It's really a question of the software or the upgrade path or over-the-air security, that kind of stuff. So we hope that there's a good glide path toward a smooth review. But they've really been prioritizing COVID, of course, over other things right now. But I mean good familiarity is always important. Good connections with those reviewers is important. And of course, the product works really, really well, which makes life easier for a reviewer too.
Anthony Petrone
analystMaybe just a quick follow-up there. I mean we've been hearing this from a number of companies in the diabetes space. And so is there a way to quantify the backlog? Is it weeks? Is it months? Is it quarters? Maybe just to...
Sean Salmon
executiveIt's really hard to know. It's really hard to know. And I wish we all knew the answers to those questions, but all I can tell you is we're doing everything we can to make these reviews as simple as possible, combining things that would have been multiple submissions into a single one, trying to get things together in a very, very clear format. But the FDA has really been very public about their own concerns for resources, in general, but especially in this sector.
Anthony Petrone
analystMaybe shift to Zeus in the Guardian 4 sensor. You have the CE Mark. Maybe just initial thoughts on the European rollout as we trend through the remainder of the year?
Sean Salmon
executiveYes. So we're building up the product for the launch into the fall right now. So we have secured that approval. We secured across both the use with the automated insulin delivery system with the 780 series and 770 as well. And with the InPen, which is important because about 80% of the people who are using multiple daily injections today in the European countries don't have pumps. They're using daily injections. So to have a CGM that connects with a pen that records your insulin is really, really a great combination to have that in real time. We'll be launching that also in the fall. So I think that the growth of the CGM for both the patients already on therapy as well as kind of new ones, whether that's on a pump or a pen, it's really right in front of us and a good, good combination for us.
Anthony Petrone
analystOne on -- pivoting back to U.S., just the legacy sort of arrangement that Medtronic had with UnitedHealthcare within the diabetes space, any update there on when potentially that agreement could renew? And when you think about the new product portfolio coming out, will it include potentially 780G and other solutions?
Sean Salmon
executiveYes. Look, we're still a preferred provider without prior authorization in that UnitedHealthcare contract. I think the experiment was great for both of us. And most importantly, the patient outcomes were really exceptional. There are some challenges about forced choice that weren't well received by some members of United. They've opened that up now, but we still provide really good outcomes. And there's enthusiasm among that base as well and other payers for products that have further improved glycemic control and the patient ease-of-use, which is really the important combination. That's the big upgrade. The glycemic outcomes are great and they get better, still best-in-class, best in algorithm. But that patient experience in getting that better, getting rid of fingersticks, getting rid of alarms, alerts, being woken up in the middle of the night, having an infusion set you can wear for a full week instead of just 3 days or 2 days, all of that is going to accrue to a better patient assurance, better patient engagement and more satisfaction for them.
Anthony Petrone
analystLast question here would be just when you look at the growth profile of diabetes, the company spoke to 500 basis points of share loss, grew 9%, certainly improved from COVID trends, but still tracking below market, overall market growth rates. When you think about 780G, the InPen solution, Zeus Guardian 4, the new portfolio coming in, what is your view on where growth can trend and even sort of stability in share over time?
Sean Salmon
executiveYes. There's a couple of things go on there, Anthony. First of all, we're not participating in the full market that characterizes that growth. We're not really in the stand-alone CGM market, for example, which is propelling a lot of the growth. We did have very strong growth in pumps quarter-on-quarter. But this is somewhat of a razor-razor blade business, where in prior quarters when we had share loss on the installed base, we're not getting that consumable sale. People aren't buying infusion sets, reservoirs and CGM products. So while we're building back up that patient installed base with both new starts as well as re-upping patients to new therapies, it just takes some type for those consumables to recover. So we're actually gaining share within the pump segment, which will accrue to a larger share gain within the segment we planned. Of course, with InPen, we're going into a new segment, a broader segment. And for those multiple daily injectors who are using CGM, that combination of a real-time CGM and a pen that counts your insulin dosing, when we add further kind of open-loop meal handling to that solution, including Nutrino, I think it's a really unique solution for patients who just don't want to be on an insulin delivery device.
Anthony Petrone
analystAnd a good segue to go over to cardiovascular. I think a good place to start would just be Micra, again, coming off another strong quarter, annualizing $400 million at the end of fiscal 4Q, 74% growth, which is certainly significant. But there's also talk about that having a halo effect on other high-powered solutions. So maybe just an update on Micra and how that's benefiting other powered solutions.
Sean Salmon
executiveLook, I think the entire CRM profile has gone up a lot in the minds of customers. We're at a 10-year high per share, and it's been really across the portfolio. Things like TYRX, a really great exclusive solution that has been super helpful during the pandemic, where people just were worried about rehospitalization, and that's grown really faster than we had seen in prior quarters before the pandemic. Some of the remote capabilities are programmed with a bias to monitor, the bias being the very disciplined patients. That's really helped the workflow. And a lot of times, hospitals or our own people are interrupted to go check the device before you go for an MRI. We can do that now remotely. So that capability in the feature has really been fantastic. But within the high-powered business, it's winning on its own right. We have this heart failure triage program, which helps reduce rehospitalization for patients, and a really nice exclusive is the ability to pace people out of an arrhythmia. So if you're having a tachycardia, the ability to really customize -- you and I might respond differently depending on the kind of nature of our arrhythmia to the pacing algorithm. And our algorithm learns what works, remembers that. So next time the person gets an arrhythmia, they can successfully more quickly pace them out of it and not have to deliver a shock. And the shock is really what people don't want to have happen. But really across the board, whether it's the patient solution side of things, high power, low power, the business is really doing exceptionally well right now. And of course, we've got some new products coming too. We're filing this quarter for the extravascular ICD for CE Mark. And the trial is going well, and we expect that to be in the European market in about a year. And then a year after that, we'll see the U.S. market entry.
Anthony Petrone
analystThat's a great overview and a little bit of difficulty here on camera, but I'm still piped in. In terms of staying on the arrhythmia side and maybe thinking a little bit more about cardiac ablation trends, certainly, the portfolio, in terms of the pipeline, is very positive. And maybe just to segue a little bit into 2 exciting sort of launches, one would be DiamondTemp and sort of talk about that a little bit on the cryo side. And then eventually look to pulsed field ablation. So a little bit on your views early on here for DiamondTemp and then the sort of expectations for PFA across ablation broadly.
Sean Salmon
executiveYes, sure. Look, I'd say cryo is also a growth driver for us now. We're seeing a new indication coming up for first line. We hope that this first half of the year. That is, rather than trying people on anti-arrhythmic drugs, you go right to ablation. And we have peer-reviewed data now published in New England Journal of Medicine, our own study, an independent study and a third study that came out last summer, all pointing to a market benefit for that earlier intervention at that patient cohort. DiamondTemp has been gaining acceptance throughout Europe, where we placed a lot of capital in the fourth quarter, ramping up production of catheter for the U.S. And what that product does for us is it puts us in the part of the market we're not participating in. We're really not in the point-by-point or what we call substrate ablation where you're going after things other than the anatomical use, where you stick it into the balloon catheter, today, which is roughly 20% of the market. We're just isolating the pulmonary vein sleeve, now we can go to the roof of the atrium. We can go into the appendage. We can go to the isthmus, the tricuspid, different foci where you have these arrhythmias be treated. And DiamondTemp allows us to do that in real-time temperature management. We get a real-time temperature that helps us to really augment the power just the right amount and titrate the amount of injury we're doing in a very efficient lesion set. And it's really fantastic. It's not as efficient as what PFA promises to do, where we have a nonthermal. It's not cold, it's not hot, it's electroporation that we're using, which can permeate the cells and allows us to do everything you can do with RF today. And even things that aren't done well with RF today, like, for example, ventricular arrhythmias where we get to that thick heart wall muscle, our PFA technology is not -- it's very selective just to the heart muscle. It doesn't take out adjacent structures. You don't need to amp up power and risk charring or scarring or any of those kinds of things that can happen in the ventricle. It opens up that whole potential for ventricular arrhythmia ablation, not just that which is in the atrial chamber. So the Board, whether it's right now for expanding the first line, getting paroxysmal and persistent indications for cryo, entering the point-by-point ablation market with a catheter today that's much, much more efficient and then bettering that still, disrupting the entire field with pulsed field ablation. We think we really have a great growth driver for many, many years in the cardiac ablation business.
Anthony Petrone
analystMaybe just to round up this part of the discussion with me. When you think of cryo, RF and PFA, how do you see sort of mix trending in ablation overall? And maybe just to recap on that TAM opportunity, so when we think about those 3 on the ablation front, how does that size out potentially in terms of dollars?
Sean Salmon
executiveNow so today, the market is about a $7 billion market, including the navigation systems. So we see that growing by 2025 to somewhere in the $10 billion range. And we're participating in roughly about $5 billion of that today. So we'll get to participate in the entire market as we enter with both the DiamondTemp catheter and the Micra PFA. And with PFA, of course, we have this opportunity to take a differential share position just given the efficiency and the safety of what that technology promises to be. We're in the pivotal trial right now. A huge enthusiasm for enrollment. It's going very strongly. So I think we've got a bright future ahead of us in ablation.
Anthony Petrone
analystTwo quick topics I want to get to. We have about 5 minutes left. And first would be renal denervation, and we can round out with a quick -- some questions on TAVR. On the RDN side, strong data coming out of the registry EuroPCR on the -- on an ON MED subset of patients, very positive data out to 2-plus years. Obviously, we have the ON MED study coming later this year. So maybe just your -- a recap of the data out of EuroPCR and your expectations overall heading into later this year as it relates to the pivotal readout for ON MED.
Sean Salmon
executiveSure. Well, a couple of things, there, Anthony. Now we've really been focused on keeping that registry open and going ever since we initially stopped the trials for RDN as we retooled into these newer studies that you were referencing. And in that registry data, now we have really, importantly, almost 10,000 patient years of data. I think it's 9,500, and we have it out for a long time. So good density of data showing excellent efficacy that's been durable, that's 3 years now -- nearly 17-point drop in office blood pressures, systolic office blood pressure, which is huge and we sustained that for 3 years when we asked a lot of questions. What we also did, though, is the clinical trials, the ON MED, OFF MED trials we used for pivotals, are getting narrow patient populations. You do that to reduce all the kind of variation you're going to see. But we did -- in PCR, we did, I think, called a win-ratio analysis that said what kind of health improvement do you get? Pick a way of measuring that. You can use blood pressure either through ambulatory or office blood pressure or reducing the burden of medication for those patients to get those outcomes. And we did it in patients that are typically the kind that you put into pivotal clinical trials, people with kidney disease, people with diabetes, people with advanced age. And it didn't matter what their underlying condition was. It worked equally well for all those patients, which is important to payers who are going to make these decisions about who's this for. And I think we're going to see really more patients who are looking for secondary prevention of cardiovascular events being the ones that have the lowest kind of treatment inertia, for a therapy like this. Can you get the benefit in those patients despite the fact that the pivotal data will be done in patients that are generally younger and healthier than what will probably happen in practices and what we get paid for. So really critically important data to get out there, and it looks really very, very promising as well.
Anthony Petrone
analystWe have a few moments left. I do want to touch on the 2-year CoreValve data at ACC and certainly continues to show equivalency to surgical valve replacement. It's certainly expansive when you think about the opportunity in low risk. And so maybe your views on how that data is being accepted out there in the field. And sort of what does it do for the low-risk opportunity for CoreValve specifically?
Sean Salmon
executiveYes. Look, I think it's an important question. For lower-risk patients, surgery has been an excellent option, some excellent operation. And at least in the competitor data set, it didn't look so good. You saw this catch-up that happened, where by 2 years, the loss of superiority, and it's really a late catch-up on mortality and some stroke catching up. And some other findings that were concerning, like the valve having a rate of thrombosis, which is in excess to the surgical valve, the hemodynamics being worse than surgical valves overall. And certainly, in those with thrombus in the valve leaflets, that was a worsening condition. All that leads toward are you going to have patient-prosthesis mismatch down the road, which can lead to heart failure and even mortality? Are you going to have poor valve durability in those younger patients? That maybe a problem. We're just not seeing that in our low-risk patients. We saw at the outset and at 2 years, the full data set, superior outcomes on things like valve hemodynamics. We get lower gradients, which portends good durability, avoidance of patient-prosthesis mismatch. And really none of that lethal thrombosis concern that was showing up at other data sets. So I think it bodes well for us. Our challenge has been reducing pacemaker rates, a number of different data set, and we got that down reliably and reproducibly into single digits as well, which is extremely important to younger patients. So I think exercise capacity, a low gradient, good durability, avoidance of pacemakers, all those things are appealing to both doctors and patients in that low risk or any risk category of patients.
Anthony Petrone
analystAnd with that, Sean, we are just about at the 25-minute mark. I want to thank you this year for joining us at the 2021 virtual conference. We wish you and your team the best for the rest of the year, and we look forward to our next meeting.
Sean Salmon
executiveThanks, Anthony. Appreciate the opportunity.
Anthony Petrone
analystThank you, Sean.
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