Mersen S.A. (MRN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
October 26, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorWelcome to the telephone conference call, Mersen, for the sales for the third quarter 2022 with Mr. Luc Themelin and Thomas Baumgartner. I'll now hand over to Luc Themelin. Over to you.
Luc Themelin
executiveThank you. Hello, everyone. A few words of introduction to give you before I hand over to Thomas. With the highlights of this quarter, third quarter was excellent with organic sales growth of 19% for a quarterly record at EUR 297 million. We owe this excellent result to all our markets, particularly the outperformance of our growth markets, renewable energies and semiconductors. Thanks to this performance, we are revising our full year guidance upwards. We're now targeting organic growth of around 13% and an operating margin before nonrecurring items of around 10.8%. On the investment side, the adjustment in the guidance is linked to cost inflation and the rise of the U.S. dollar. I'll now hand over to Thomas for the detail on these points.
Thomas Baumgartner
executiveThank you, Luc, and hello, everybody. As you said, this is a very good third quarter. The group posted consolidated sales of EUR 297 million, up 19.2% on a like-for-like basis. We also benefited from a favorable currency effect, mainly due to the rise in the U.S. dollar and the renminbi, more marginally representing more than EUR 16 million, giving growth of nearly 28%. The strong organic growth in this third quarter concerned both our divisions as well as our main geographical areas. I'll begin with the geographical areas with Europe. Business grew strongly in all countries and in both segments, thanks to the semiconductor and renewable energy markets. In France, activity was particularly dynamic driven by recovery in the aeronautics sector. Now in Asia, growth was strong in all countries, thanks in particular to the solar and semiconductor markets. Strong growth in Korea and Japan is also noteworthy, strong growth in China driven by the catching up on deliveries after the lockdown period in the second quarter. And finally, in North America, business was very strong in both divisions and in many markets, renewable energies and storage, semiconductors, aeronautics and process industries. Now if we look division by division. The Advanced Materials division grew organically by more than 23% with sales of EUR 168 million. Several factors here. The solar market was very strong for the group as a whole. Sales in this market amounted to EUR 77 million for the first 9 months of the year, which is higher than the amount for the whole of 2021 at EUR 71 million. So in 3 quarters, we've done more what we did in the whole of last year. The semiconductor market was also very strong this quarter, both in the traditional market, silicon, and in SiC power semiconductors, with growth exceeding 30% in both segments. The improvement in the aeronautics market, which I mentioned earlier seen since the beginning of the year, continued, although we're not quite -- in fact, that is still well below the 2019 levels, but we are making progress. And finally, process industries continue to grow after 2 exceptionally high quarters. Now the Electrical Power division posted sales of EUR 129 million, with organic growth exceeding 14%. Electrical distribution in North America continued its momentum with a record quarter. Sales for the electric vehicle market also posted growth as we pushed ahead with several qualifications projects on platforms as in the last few quarters. And finally, the rail market was also more dynamic than previous quarters. If we now look at the year-to-date, those first 9 months. Sales amounted to EUR 821 million. Organic growth was 14%, and that growth was in double digits in both divisions and in all geographic zones. And this good performance leads us to raise our forecast for the full year, as Luc mentioned in his introduction. So checking this today [indiscernible] is another point. Considering our financing, we decided to bring forward the refinancing of the EUR 200 million syndicated loan maturing in July 2024 to benefit from favorable market conditions. We took advantage of the opportunity to increase the amount available to EUR 320 million from EUR 200 million previously, with unchanged margin levels in the context of strong growth in our business. This transaction extends the average maturity of our confirmed financing authorizations to almost 5.5 years. So that concludes my comments. And Luc and I are now available to answer any questions you might have.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have our first question from [indiscernible].
Unknown Analyst
analystHello. Can you hear me?
Operator
operatorYes, we can hear you very well.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo congratulations. Those figures are excellent. I did want to know; however, we see organic growth accelerating sharply from the second quarter figures. We know inflation is accelerating also. We also see that in your forecast, you're raising the figures for your turnover less for your margin. So have you measured division by division the inflation effect? As I mentioned, you have been passing on price rises. Do you have an amount of that's for Electrical Power?
Unknown Executive
executiveWe announced 4% over the 9 -- first 9 months for price rises. We won 3% in the first semester, so that was slightly faster. And that accelerated on the sales of equipment more than Advanced Materials and in Electrical Power. So there is more inflation. As you rightly note that the growth in our volume is a bit higher than the growth in our margin, in particular for those reasons.
Unknown Analyst
analystSo on the third quarter specifically, you haven't broken that down into exactly how much that inflation, the rise in costs in Advanced Materials -- represented in Advanced Materials and Electrical Power. You know it's roughly 4%, but you don't have anything more precise.
Unknown Executive
executiveNo, we don't have details at this stage. We will have more detail soon at the end of the year when we see the precise figures for the margin.
Unknown Analyst
analystMy second question is more about the semiconductors activity. You mentioned very good figures in semiconductors. So there's a difference between the SiC and the conventional semiconductor, we noted a shift in the markets, especially for the OEMs. How do you see things going on this market, which was very dynamic visibly? But do you fear a slowdown on this market? What -- how do you see things?
Unknown Executive
executiveWe have always said that the -- this year, silicon carbide market was going to accelerate and be bigger than the traditional market for us. But contrary to what you might read in the press with the drop in sales of computers, et cetera, a quite significant drop, we're not seeing any sign of a drop on traditional semiconductors. We have quite strong growth. And on the SiC, the growth is -- or will be higher to what we've been forecasting. So there is no sign -- no negative signs in that respect.
Unknown Analyst
analystEven on the traditional silicon?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes, even there. But we have an acceleration on the SiC. That's clear. And we have good growth on the semiconductors generally for the moment.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And one last question as I am online. On the solar part, the figures are very good as well. And in history, there have been a certain number of changes, ups and downs in the market in 2014, notably. But how do you see this market? Do you think that there is still room for development? You don't see short-term risks? How do you feel about this more fundamentally?
Unknown Executive
executiveWe explained, I think, 2 years ago that we weren't really looking to expose ourselves more than that to the solar part. And one should bearing in mind, that's mainly concentrated in China. We have Chinese players who are there. We have limited ourselves to the high added value market, and we have been focusing more on other markets. In the meantime, the market itself has swollen so much. And no one really sees a downturn coming. It is a form of energy, which is going to be an increasing demand. But now it is quite possible. We're not aiming for records on this in the group, that about 100 -- we're aiming for about EUR 100 million in the group. We won't be far off that figure. Perhaps it's a good pillar, but we're not aiming for EUR 200 million. And on the electrical side, we have another strategy, which is that each large solar farm -- so there's some stakes there are less than for the materials. And in 2012, 2014, there was a crisis, which was perhaps growing pains of the solar market with the sort of bubble that formed and a lot of actors who wanted to do solar, and we're ordering graphite. And then the market structured -- reorganized itself, et cetera. So I don't think it's really at all the same thing today. There isn't a bubble there today. It's not a totally mature market, but it's more mature than that was back in those days.
Operator
operatorThe next question from [indiscernible].
Unknown Analyst
analystHello. Can you hear me, okay?
Operator
operatorYes, we can, perfectly.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, you can hear me. I had several questions. The first one is whether you could come back to the level of growth in the process industries in the third quarter as compared to the second quarter. And that leads into my second question about your vision of activity for 2023 and how you see your growth drivers. But perhaps the question mark might be over the process industries. And how do you see that sector going in 2023? And how much visibility do you have with your order backlogs? You talked at the beginning of the year about 6 months of backlogs. Are you still at that sort of level today? And does that mean you're going into 2023 with lots of confidence? And my final question is about the guidance for 2023. I'm sure you'll be publishing, so -- you're going to be publishing figures at close to EUR 1.1 billion. Do you not think that in 2023, you might be able to do more?
Unknown Executive
executiveIf we look at the process industries compared to the first half of the year, we're still below that figure in the third quarter, but it's quite marginal. In -- with -- so with perhaps a price effect, but we don't see any sign of any slowdown there. No. In the past, we have even had -- we've been in touch with the automotive industry and we haven't seen any sort of sign of a slowdown this but you're quite right into business, which is perhaps whether there are no signs at the moment of any drop in the market, it's difficult to say what might happen to the process industries in 2023. That's not the easiest activity to forecast. The other growth drivers are things we feel quite confident about, as we said last time. And regarding the guidance, it is quite possible that at the beginning of the year, we might review that guidance figure.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. And regarding the process industries, should we understand that there are -- we're seeing signs of slowdown pretty much everywhere, but are you -- do you think you can gain market share? Is that what explains the good levels of growth for you? Is it that you're gaining market share?
Unknown Executive
executiveI wouldn't say that. In the U.S., we've gained in market share, I would say. We gained some market share, which we haven't lost. So that's quite good news in the process industries. But we don't really -- in Germany, perhaps there's been -- the orders have been a little less strong at the end of the quarter. We'll see whether that is confirmed as we go forward. But for the moment, no, I don't really see anything much. But I don't think it's a question of taking market share generally.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd perhaps one last question regarding energy costs. Do you think you could review that? I know on these subjects of energy inflation, do you feel quite at ease for 2023?
Unknown Executive
executiveAt least for the U.S. and China, we're not seeing big variations. And in some cases, we are hedged. We're paying attention to Europe. We don't consume a lot of megawatts. But when prices can be multiplied by 10, that does have an impact, but we'll wait and see what the things come down. It seems to be coming down a little bit at the moment. Before we say anything more, we have given a scenario a few -- some time ago on the basis of an electric cost at EUR 450 per megawatt hour and EUR 250 to EUR 300 per megawatt hour for gas, and that was really the worst-case scenario. I know the prices are very volatile, but that scenario is what it is, but that would represent about EUR 15 million in additional costs for Mersen, and we're a long way from those costs at the moment. So that is a scenario, which we think would be really a worst-case one.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have a new question from Jean-Francois Granjon.
Jean-Francois Granjon
analystThe first question about the currency effect in Q3. Do you have the figures for the 9 months, the year-to-date? And we understand on prices, there's an increase in accelerating price rises quarter-by-quarter. Today, what is the policy? Where do you stand? Are you considering further price rises in Q4 and beyond? And third question regarding the backlog, to pick up on Thomas' question. But with your backlog, what's the situation through to the start of the year? And could we look at the CapEx? You mentioned EUR 90 million in CapEx for this year. And are those budgets, which are also being maintained or revised upwards for the coming years?
Unknown Executive
executiveI just want to -- when you were talking about the accelerating price rises, it's an acceleration in the FX. These are price rise measures, which have had an effect in the third quarter, which are accelerating. But to be frank, we no longer have a lot of possibilities, a lot of margin for increasing the prices at this stage. I think on materials, we've pretty much come as far as we can. There are price effects, I would say. There were price rises over the summer, which are going to continue having an effect over the end of the year and the beginning of next. But with the rise in energy prices in Europe, we can't increase prices for U.S. clients. That's not something they're going to go along with. So there, where that would be a bit more complicated, however, we could very well increase the prices in Europe because of those energy prices for European clients, and that is something we are looking into. Regarding the backlog, we have a backlog and difficult to have a view for the whole of the year. At the beginning of the year with the bookings we may continue to get. We see the beginning of the year looking quite positive. And then the EUR 90 million CapEx figure, it's the same. I think we'll probably discuss that a bit more at the beginning of the year. We'll probably have to review some of the prospects on semiconductors, but it's a bit too early to talk about that. And also on the 9-month figures and for Q3. For Q3, I think as I mentioned EUR 16 million and perhaps EUR 30 million for the first 9 months of the year. And if we project that through to the full year with the current exchange rates, we'd be looking about EUR 50 million. And just regarding the CapEx and the partnership with Soitec, today there's nothing new to say about that partnership regarding the CapEx. There's very little of the tech in the EUR 90 million figure. But I think we'll discuss all that in a few months' time. We'll continue to get to -- currently working on promoting the product, getting the samples ready, and then we'll try to look forward to keep up with the demand likely to be over the next 2 to 3 years.
Operator
operatorThe next question, Stephen Benhamou of BNP Exane.
Stephen Benhamou
analystCan you hear me, okay?
Operator
operatorYes.
Stephen Benhamou
analystMost of my questions have already been asked. I just want a confirmation regarding the information you gave, the breakdown of the volume and price effects and product mix effect. Is it true that this corresponds to 4% the rise in price over the 9 months? And can you quantify the catch-up effects in Q3 due to the difficulties on deliveries that you had in the first half of the year?
Unknown Executive
executiveThere's no catch-up effect regarding the deliveries. In volume, as sales -- are you talking about China? In China, it's not very representative, perhaps EUR 3 million approximately. And regarding the breakdown of the volume and price effects, it's a price effect of -- and the mix -- product mix of 4% -- price effect of 4% and the mix volume effect, which makes up the rest. The price is a 4% figure over this first 9 months of the year. And for Q3, listen, we have to calculate the difference. I don't have the figures in -- I don't have -- the figure doesn't come to mind there, sorry. And on debt, so the debt is going to be raised in 2022 and will be in the accounts for 2022. So is that credit line passing? It's a credit line. It's not a CF where you drawdown but yes, it is. We drawdown when we need it. But we haven't raised EUR 320 million in loans, it's a credit facility, credit line.
Stephen Benhamou
analystAnd if you have raised so much is because you do have needs in terms of CapEx. So what should we expect for 2023 perhaps in terms of the amount you're going to be drawing on that?
Unknown Executive
executiveWe resized the credit lines in relation to the size of the group. And to give you an idea, about 5 years ago, we were EUR 300 million on the credit lines, and we're returning here to this -- [ to amount ], which seems to be in line with the size of the group. So when we look forward, the way if we're looking at EUR 1.2 billion figures, the credit line isn't just for 1 year, it's for the coming 5 years.
Stephen Benhamou
analystAnd the final question regards the industrial processes, the process industries. Could you remind us the portion of sales, which is [ linked to ] recurring business or maintenance business?
Unknown Executive
executiveSo the last question, we'll have just one there. There's a lot of aftermarket and maintenance. There's very little OEM in process industry. So I'd say not even 10% of the figures. So if we base ourselves on the assumption that no matter what, you will be impacted by a slowdown in growth, there won't be a shock, a violent shock on the first quarters of next year. It's more likely to be progressive if there is a risk, a big slowdown. I don't know -- whenever there are crisis, they're never the same. They all were surprised. But we've got 1/3 of process industries, and Europe is -- so is there a 1/3 of the group? So if there is a crisis concerning the process industries in Europe, that will be 1/3 of 1/3, 1/3 of Europe. But how sensitive will we be? How quickly will that go? There have been different cycles, and it never goes the same way each time.
Operator
operatorWe have a new question from Stephen Benhamou.
Stephen Benhamou
analystI have just wanted to come back to the price effect. You mentioned that the price rises have been made overall. Now you have a catch-up effect, which is appearing in the accounts. But with copper, and Electrical Power, copper prices have gone down. Are you expecting in this area perhaps to see prices going down in coming months given the fall in copper prices?
Unknown Executive
executiveThat's not something that really seems -- that there isn't really demand for that at the moment. And it's index linked. So apart -- no. However, where we'll benefit very certainly from the fall in copper prices and silver prices as well, if that continues, but not so much in 2022 where there's the hedging in place more on 2023. And in the first half of next year, there will be an effect of more pronounced commodity price rises. So overall, I would say, it should be pretty much neutral.
Operator
operatorWe have no other questions for the moment. [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions.
Unknown Executive
executiveIn that case, if there are no more questions, we will be delighted to see you again on the 26th of January for the publication of the annual sales figures. Thank you very much, and have a good evening.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, the conference call is now finished. Thank you for taking part, and now you can disconnect. [Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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