Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 1, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jason Ader
analystGood afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining our fireside chat. I'm Jason Ader from William Blair. I'm pleased to introduce Rajiv Ramaswami, President and CEO of Nutanix; and Duston Williams, CFO. Before we begin, I'm required to inform you that a complete list of research disclosures or potential conflicts of interest is available on our website at williamblair.com. Also, if you have questions, please put them in the chat, and I will get to as many of them as I can. With that out of the way, Rajiv and Duston, thanks for being with us today.
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveThank you, Jason. We're glad to be here.
Jason Ader
analystGreat. Let me start with you Rajiv. You've now been at the helm of Nutanix for 6 months. What are your main observations so far? And what are your near-term priorities for the business?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveJason, look, what brought me in Nutanix is what I continue to be excited about now, the huge market opportunity. The positioning of Nutanix in the market as a company whose solutions are well liked by customers, very high Net Promoter Score, customers just like the company, like the employees like working with us. And when you combine this with the work that's already been done, the hard work that has been done to transition to a subscription revenue model, it puts us in a good place for us to get to that next $1 billion and beyond. And from a product perspective, again, we are helping our customers on their journey to multi-cloud. Now in terms of priorities, we laid that out in a couple of earnings calls ago, my first earnings call, and they're around these. First is we need to simplify our product portfolio and focus on selling solution sets that address customer problems. We had a rich history of innovation, many point products. And these -- many of these newer products are actually doing quite well, but I think we have a significant opportunity here for bringing these things together into solutions. The second priority is around expanding and deepening our partnerships to help penetrate larger accounts as well as provide more scale in terms of how we go to market. And this is around partners, OEM partnerships, cloud partnerships, ecosystem partnerships as well as all our channel partners. Then it's about completing that journey to -- transitioning to a subscription business model that we're already well under -- we've done the paperwork. 90% of our business today is subscription, but we are just about to get to that benefit of all the renewal stream coming in going forward. And then of course, we have to focus on disciplined cost management to continue to drive growth at the same time, focusing on delivering free cash flow positivity as well as profitability overall. And while we do all this, continuing to build our employee base, continuing to focus on diversity of talent, cloud and experience, all of that of what we need to make this company successful for the next 10 years.
Jason Ader
analystGot you. And I know you announced on the Q3 earnings call that there was a modest headcount reduction, I think, primarily in the sales and marketing side. Can you talk about what you were thinking there? Are they're just additional efficiencies, not just in the sales and marketing side, but also in R&D, I mean, you have a lot of different products. Should we expect additional initiatives or actions in terms of expense management?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. So I would just say, first of all, we are focused on driving growth for the company, right? Not just cost cutting. And we are focused on driving growth, but at the same time, figuring out where can we get those efficiencies that don't compromise our growth, but perhaps actually drive better alignment to focus us on investing in the areas that we do need to invest in. To that end, we've actually looked at the entire portfolio. We've looked at products, we've looked at our IT spend. We've looked at sales and marketing. When you -- in R&D, for example, over the last quarter, we brought all our product teams together. And one of our focus points here is instead of looking at just individual products, how can we actually start bringing these things together as solutions. And there's a lot of work being done on that front. On sales and marketing, clearly, we saw some opportunities here for efficiencies. As you know, we are transitioning to the subscription model. And as part of that, we are also structuring the sales team somewhat differently. We now have a low-cost renewal sales team that we've built. We took the opportunity to look at our coverage models, our segmentation models, look at areas where we potentially had some excess coverage, including some countries where we were, perhaps, had more people than we needed as well as in functions that were non-core or non-quota carrying, and we took the opportunity to reduce some spend there. As you said, 2.5% of our overall headcount, which leads to about a $50 million annual run rate savings.
Jason Ader
analystVery good. What are some other takeaways from Q3 that you can share with us?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. Look, Q3 was a strong quarter for us. We outperformed in all areas that we guided to. That includes ACV billings, it includes our gross margins, and our non-GAAP operating expenses. Our deal economics continue to improve due to shorter duration terms and also the uplift that we're getting from our emerging products. Linearity was excellent, and that helped us from a cash flow perspective, which contributed to better-than-expected cash flow. And then typically, one of the things that we are pleasantly surprised by was typically, we see a decline in our -- seasonal decline in our backlog during our third quarter. This quarter, we were able to hold it steady. And that really is demonstrating the strength of the demand that we had in the quarter. So overall, I'm very pleased with our execution. And look the hard work for -- over the last several quarters is just paying off now.
Jason Ader
analystAnd is there any continued impact that you're seeing from COVID? Or how do you help investors think about the impact it's had and whether that impact is receding going forward?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. There's no doubt that the impact of COVID is residing in Seating, and we are starting to see generally a normal return. We were just saying on the earnings call, actually, we've started seeing orders from casinos. And that's a sign of the fact that certain verticals that -- industries that were impacted are starting to see their businesses come back. We've seen airlines starting to pick up on traffic. Now that said, there are certain regions in the world that are very badly impacted at this point. We have a significant team in India. And obviously, there is very much -- that country is being significantly impacted by COVID as well as some other parts of the world. So I don't think we're fully back to normal, but I'm optimistic that as the year progresses, we're going to see a further uptick in terms of return to normal. And that generally bodes well for IT spend as well as investment in software of the like of what we provide.
Jason Ader
analystGreat. I want to dive into the product portfolio. But before I do that, I wanted to kind of address something upfront, which I hear from investors a lot, which is if the cloud is kind of -- if more applications and workloads are moving to the cloud over time, how is this not going to kind of negatively impact Nutanix' business?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. No doubt. Look, I think the first thing to think about is, cloud is actually an operating model for how customers manage their environments and run their applications. And second, it's a destination, right? I think you're talking about cloud as a destination, especially when you talk about public cloud. Now my view, I think there's no doubt in the market that our customers are going to live in a multi-cloud world. And what that means is they're going to have applications running everywhere. They're going to run in multiple public clouds, AWS, Azure, Google, et cetera. But they're also going to run on-prem. In fact, there's a number of studies that say, well, even 3, 4, 5 years from now, there's going to be half of all workloads, enterprise workloads are probably still going to remain on-prem. And there are some new use cases like edge computing, where there are latency and performance requirements that actually drive workloads on-prem. And people are going to locate applications where they're best suited to be located. Based on cost, governance, security, serviceable agreements, data locality, et cetera, right. So what that really means again is we're going to be in a multi-cloud world. But there's going to be continued spending. If you look at -- for us, so we're still seeing a lot of growth on-prem, and we are not stopping there. We are investing with our product portfolio to get to the cloud, right? What we provide rather uniquely is a platform, a cloud platform that allows our customers to run their workloads wherever they want on the cloud of their choice or on on-prem and do so in exactly the same way. I mean, if you look at our history, what we did for the first 10 years of our journey was we busted these different silos that existed as compute and storage and the networking, bringing them together with HCI. We see the same opportunity to help our customers on their cloud journeys, where we think we can work across these different cloud silos. Each cloud is a silo. And they have different operating models, different set of services. We can provide a platform that helps our customers bridge across all of those, run their applications in the same consistent manner, manage all of this and simplify how they run their business. And that really is our long-term opportunity when it comes to the cloud, and I look at it as an opportunity.
Jason Ader
analystAnd if you're running a primary workload on Nutanix, and let's say, AWS or Azure, you'd be running in that case on a bare metal instance, correct?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes, correct.
Jason Ader
analystGot you. And what's the uptake so far of the, I guess, what is it Clusters?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveCorrect. So Clusters is our initial offering, and that's on AWS bare metal. This quarter, by the way, we announced that. It's also available now in AWS GovCloud for our federal customers. So if you look at the uptake, actually, we're starting to see good use cases and customers go into production with clusters. If I look at some of the use cases we've seen, we are starting to see good traction around disaster recovery as a use case, where our customers are running their workloads on-prem but then relying on the public cloud for disaster recovery. If something goes wrong, they're able to then spin up capacity very quickly within an AWS data center and then restore all their workloads from the public cloud. And that's a very cost-effective way of doing things, and we are starting to see that take off as a use case. We are also starting to see use cases around data center consolidation, people migrating out of data centers and some of those workloads heading to the cloud where they can do that very easily with our platform compared to having to refactor applications. And last but not the least, again, elastic demand, right? The cloud is a great place for you to do temporary capacity expansion. So we are pretty optimistic about clusters. One of the things that we do here is we make it really simple for our customers. It's 1 software license that they buy from us, one product, and they can just choose to use that and deploy it wherever they want. We also have an offering in the works with Azure that we hope to bring out later this year and a similar offering as with our AWS software. So it's -- we're starting to see good traction overall.
Jason Ader
analystGot you. And I know you have a Leap disaster recovery product. Is that complementary to that use case? Or over time, does Leap get kind of superseded by the ability to do the DR to kind of a cloud instance that's public cloud?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveIndeed. So Jason, we've always offered 2 versions of disaster recovery, one where a customer does it themselves and another where we deliver disaster recovery as a service. Both will continue. Now with the larger customers, they tend to do disaster recovery themselves, and the clusters offering is a very good offering for them to do disaster recovery to the public cloud. With our Leap offering, which, by the way, we are continuing, of course. And that's a disaster recovery that we provide, which is particularly popular amongst smaller customers where they don't have another data center or they don't -- they just want to rely on somebody else to do that as a service for them. And so we've been providing that as a service for them. And that will continue, and we will continue to drive that and make that even more cost-efficient and, of course, make it available everywhere.
Jason Ader
analystAll right. Helpful. And I know I kind of jumped the gun there and talk about some of your individual products, but, maybe you can give us a high-level overview of the Nutanix software stack and just kind of paint a picture for us of how you think about the stack and how it's expanded over the years?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveSure. Obviously, we started out our journey but building out this core HCI product, which brought compute and storage together. And we've done that while offering flexibility in terms of choice of hypervisor. You can download any hypervisor you like as a customer. Our customers can also run on the hardware platform of their choice. And now more recently, on the cloud of their choice, starting out with AWS and then Azure and so forth. Now on top of this core HCI, now we've added management. We've added networking and micro segmentation. We've added services for managing data like files and objects for unstructured data, the ability to deliver database -- automation and database as a service on top, disaster recovery that we already talked about. So this is entirely -- so essentially, the way to think about our stack is. We have now a full cloud platform stack with a set of services on top that enable our customers to run, manage all their applications.
Jason Ader
analystGot you. And when you looked at the -- at that stack at that portfolio, what were some kind of initial impressions in terms of maybe there's a better way we can bundle this or package it. You talked a little bit earlier about solution selling? And what are some observations there from your standpoint?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. I think the general notion here was, this company had a lot of innovation, and that's one of the great things about Nutanix. We continue to innovate at a rapid clip. But we were also focused on trying to sell each of these products as a stand-alone product. I think there's a lot of opportunity to be gained by actually making these part of the platform rather than trying to sell it stand alone. I'll give you one example. So we have a nice product called Flow, which is micro segmentation. And we can -- and we've been selling Flow as a stand-alone product. It's actually done quite well. Now a good way to scale that, by the way, is to make that embedded as part of a solution. So when we sell, for example, a solution for enabling remote workforce with virtual desktops, well, we can sell our AOS platform. We can sell Flow for micro segmenting and isolating different users. We can sell files and objects to enable users to use unstructured data, and we can sell management for the whole thing. So that becomes a complete solution for enabling virtual desktops. And in fact, many of our customers actually buy that from us today, except that we haven't formalized that as a solution. And what we're working on with our packaging and pricing going forward is to bring these things more together and offer it as a solution.
Jason Ader
analystAnd I guess you're taking some pages out of the VMware playbook there?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveSure. I mean it's an accepted -- this is what software companies do.
Jason Ader
analystYes. Okay. Good. And speaking of VMware and just the HCI market, it's definitely become a 2-horse race. What are the key differences between your 2-product portfolios? And how are you faring in head-to-head bake offs? I think you said on the earnings call that you've seen an uptick in your win rates, maybe just also expand on that.
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. Look, I think Nutanix started 10 years after VMware did. And so from that perspective, we were able to have a clean sheet architecture for the HCI platform. And we modeled that based on how the hyperscalers were building out distributed systems for scale at their data centers. And what that means is that in practical terms, it gives us fundamental advantages when it comes to resiliency, performance and scale. And what this does, again, is it allows the platform to be run -- used for all kinds of applications, including demanding, mission-critical applications, databases, et cetera, right, health care applications. Now we've always focused on freedom of choice. So we give our customers the ability to choose whatever works best for them. So that includes the choice of hypervisors and virtualization. So we support VMware, ESX, we support Microsoft Hyper-V, and of course, our own Acropolis Hypervisor. We provide a range of hardware platforms that they can run. The customers can choose their hardware that they like. And now going forward, the cloud platform that they like. Simplicity has always been a hallmark of Nutanix. I mean, this is, again, the fact that we started out 10 years later. And also, we didn't have to think about starting from putting together say standalone compute, storage and network together. From day 1, we were thinking about how we could all bring these things together? What that means is that the product today simplifies workflows across the entire customer life cycle experience. Proof-of-concept, sizing deployment, operations. And so what this effectively means for the customer, it's is much simpler to operate -- deploy and operate our product. And again, all of this ultimately results in better TCO for our customers, right? Pricing flexibility, license portability. We have one license that allows a customer to run their workloads anywhere they want, including the cloud of their choice. That simplicity. All of that ultimately drives better TCO and also our focus on customer obsession. And really the NPS scores that we have with our customers. So all of this comes together, it provides us that competitive differentiation in the market.
Jason Ader
analystDo you think that Dell coming out with PowerStore, which is kind of like a midrange storage array effects, how they go-to-market with HCI and VxRail?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. I mean, Dell, of course, is a big company and they have a large product portfolio, and they have to sell all their products, right, including PowerStore, including HCI. We, as a company, are very focused on HCI. And we are out there -- going out there and as customers modernize their infrastructure, HCI is the best solution to modernize their infrastructure. And it can run all workloads, right? You're not limited to workloads, right? Of course, VDI, of course, all in mission critical workloads. And you can get great TCO. So for us, there is -- there's no doubt we are very singularly focused on driving HCI and extending HCI as a multi-cloud platform.
Jason Ader
analystDo you see AWS Outposts or Azure Stack at all in competitive situations?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveWe are very aware of that. I think it's still fairly early days, and we're monitoring them. We haven't seen them in any significant competitive bake-offs or anything at this point yet.
Jason Ader
analystOkay. And then speaking of cloud, can you update us on your cloud partnerships? And where do those stand today? How important are these to the Nutanix story long term? And particularly, I'm thinking about you and others at VMware have done a great job of forging partnerships for the VMware stack. So is that something that we should expect now that you've gone over to Nutanix?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveNo, I think definitely, look, partnering with the cloud providers is a mutual benefit to both us and to them. And so we started out with AWS. We've got bare metal access to AWS in all their environments, now including GovCloud recently. And so we talked about the traction there. We are very focused on a deeper partnership right now with Azure. We are -- as Azure comes out with their bare metal offering, we are one of the early development partners that they're working with, and we will be offering our clusters offering on Azure bare metal as well. But even beyond that, we also provide the ability to have a choice of cloud-native stack. So for example, this last quarter, we talked about how Azure Arc, which is their control plane, multi-cloud control plane could actually manage Kubernetes. clusters or modern workloads running on a Nutanix platform. So for an Azure customer, right, they can manage their modern applications, whether they're running on-prem on a Nutanix platform or whether they're running in an Azure environment altogether. So that's Azure with GCP, for example, we continue to offer Nutanix Frame, which is our desktop as a service solution. And also our test drive environment, which customers actually can test all our product offerings on -- happens to run on Google Cloud. So we've also, again, supporting Google Anthos running on top of our platform for Kubernetes. So in general, I think we continue to cultivate the cloud partners as ecosystem partners for us and do deeper joint offerings as well with them.
Jason Ader
analystOkay. Great. Duston, let's turn to the financials. You're very quiet there. So want to get you involved. Let's address the elephant in the room, which is what I hear from investors a lot. It's how come Nutanix loses so much money even at significant revenue scale? And what is the company's plans to change that?
Duston Williams
executiveSure. No, fair comment. And certainly, on the sales and marketing side of the equation, I don't think anybody would argue that coming into FY '21, our sales and marketing infrastructure was too big for what we were doing. And I think with Rajiv coming on board and his leadership, you've seen kind of a refocus there. You've seen some recent actions with some headcount reductions. You'll see continued look at efficiencies and things like that on the sales and marketing piece. We've driven down the demand gen spend quite a bit over the last year or so. So that will continue regardless. And I think -- so that's one issue we have there, and we're correcting that as we go forward. The other issue is that with the subscription transition and the term compression, obviously, that's brought the revenue growth down to single digits. So that's impacting the top line. It's inflated the free cash flow. It's inflated the loss. And we realized that was going to happen, and we've talked about that for quite some time. And then I think the really the biggest focus going forward and getting sales and marketing to a more efficient structure is the renewal piece. And if you believe the premise that renewals can be transacted at, let's say, 80% more efficient than new and upsell. And you have two companies, one, Nutanix that has roughly 10% to 15% of their billings renewal based, and a mature subscription company that has probably 70% of their billings renewal base. There's no way that those 2 S&M structures are going to be the same because it's apples and oranges. The great news with us, and we've been talking about this now for a couple of years, is that exactly what subscription companies -- reap the benefits of today is a very high percentage of renewal billings, which are very efficient. We're going to get to that structure over time because we know we've been selling subscription now since FY '19, 90% of the business roughly is subscription today. So over time, we know that our business is going to tilt more and more and more to renewals. And once that tilts more to renewals, that's naturally going to bring the S&M cost structure down over time, just like any subscription company. We know the revenues are going to accelerate. We know the efficiency is going to get better. And we're going to march to that, and we'll show you our views over the next many years, exactly how that happens with the influx of renewals that will occur over the next several years.
Jason Ader
analystRight. And you're going to have an Investor Day in a few weeks, which you'll hopefully start laying some of that out for us, correct?
Duston Williams
executiveWe'll lay it all up for you at Investor Day. It's been a long time since we've done that, many reasons for that. There's been a big demand for us to do this, and that's exactly what you're going to see is this and how we see this S&M cost structure, again, and how the leverage occurs comes back to the business and a several year look actually going forward.
Jason Ader
analystGot you. Good. And is -- do you expect to give us all a target time frame when you're going to get to, let's call it, cash flow breakeven?
Duston Williams
executiveYes, absolutely. Cash flow breakeven, but more importantly, operating profit.
Jason Ader
analystOkay. Great. And so in fiscal '21, which you're about to -- it's almost over, you said 10% to 15% roughly is going to be from renewals. Is that the right number?
Duston Williams
executiveOf billings, yes. I think that we gave you on a rolling 4 quarters, I think at earnings was roughly 12% of total billings was renewal related. So it's a pretty small piece. And again, if you look at a mature subscription company that started with subscriptions day 1 with the compounding aspect of renewals, they're probably at roughly 70% of their business. So if you take 70% of total billings and make them very efficient at 80% more efficient than new and upsell, naturally, you're going to get a very efficient S&M cost structure.
Jason Ader
analystSo it's just going to take you a few more years to kind of get to that, whatever, north of 50% from renewals?
Duston Williams
executiveYes. But the good news is it's going to happen -- we already -- again, we've been selling now subscriptions for -- this is our third fiscal year with average turns of 3, 3.5. We know exactly -- unlike LOD that you never knew when something was going to get renewed or not, now we have an exact time that everything is going to get renewed. We have a very good view of retention rates and things like that. So we have 3 years of history now that has been pent-up and waiting to be renewed over the next several years. So that's what's going to happen, and then we'll continue to sell more, obviously, subscription business, and that will get renewed, and that will start compounding and things start to work like a regular subscription company.
Jason Ader
analystOkay. So it's the heavy lifting phase right now?
Duston Williams
executiveWell, the heavy lifting, though, you think about it, there's like 2 phases that heavy lift. The first part was just getting 90% of the business is subscription. So a lot of that's done. Now there's back office work, making sure that we can process subscriptions efficiently and making sure that the retention rates are high and things like that. So that's what's going on in the back office now, which is massively important. But a lot of this we're through, but we've still got a few things to continue to work through, which we're doing currently.
Jason Ader
analystGreat. Okay. And Rajiv, you've had a chance to meet with a lot of investors. You've done a couple of conferences, I'm assuming, since you joined. What do you think is the most underappreciated aspect of the Nutanix story when you talk to investors?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. I think, look, investors are still trying to understand the subscription model. And they're not quite seeing the -- yet the renewals piece, right? And how that's going to come out and change the profitability piece of the company. That's clearly one of the things that, I think, we are going to lay out at our Investor Day. The second, of course, is, I think the question that you asked, Jason, which is what is the broad strategy of the company going forward, and how is cloud going to have a bearing on that strategy? I think those are the 2. And I think for both of those, I think, we've got really a strong platform to execute on, right? And we look forward to sharing the details of both further with you at Investor Day. It's coming up on June 22.
Jason Ader
analystYes. I mean, it seems like the on-prem piece, too, is maybe under -- from my perspective, it seems like that's -- a lot of investors have just kind of written off on-prem, right? And you're saying and others that we talked to are saying, like, don't write it off?
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveYes. I mean I think there's a number of recent data points that would indicate that actually the on-prem piece is going to be way stronger than what we think it might be, right? But there's number of data points. In fact, there was one interesting report from my friend Martin Casado at Andreessen Horowitz that showed up last week on the true cost of cloud long term, right? And so I think this -- for a variety of reasons, I think there is going to be continued spend on-prem. And also, the other thing that, for us, as we are eating into traditional spend on-prem, right? So as customers have workloads, and they're looking to modernize their infrastructure, they may not be spending -- even if they're not spending more money, more of that money is going to come to us. So we will continue to grow HCI, and that's already been demonstrated. If you look at the overall on-prem market, HCI has been growing much faster than almost anything else there. And that will continue for the next several years.
Jason Ader
analystGot you. Great. Well, I think we're out of time, Rajiv and Duston, thanks for joining us. And thanks to everybody who dialed in, and have a great rest of the day.
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveThank you, Jason, for having us.
Duston Williams
executiveThank you.
Jason Ader
analystMy pleasure. Take care.
Rajiv Ramaswami
executiveThank you. Bye.
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