Odfjell SE (ODF) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 7, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Harald Fotland
executiveOkay. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to this presentation of Odfjell's Fourth Quarter and Preliminary Full Year presentation, this time in front of a live audience here in Oslo. The agenda follows, I would say, a traditional pattern. I will go quickly through the highlights, and then I will give the word to Terje Iversen, who will take you through the financials. And I will continue with an operational review of the quarter behind us. And we will conclude this presentation with a market update and our prospects going forward. So then if we turn to the highlights, I'm first and foremost very proud on behalf of all my colleagues to conclude a 2024 that was the best financial year in Odfjell's 110-year long history. This financial performance comes at the back of a very strong safety performance and also a year with high operational efficiency and no serious incidents during the year. We delivered a solid financial result also in the fourth quarter, in line with the fourth quarter of 2023, but below the record high 3 first quarters of 2024. Time charter earnings in Odfjell Tankers ended at $183 million. This compares to $202 million in the third quarter, and this is a decline of approximately 10%. EBIT, $68 million, this compares to $91 million in the third quarter, and we delivered a quarterly net result of USD 51 million. And adjusted for one-off items, we had $53 million that compares to $71 million in the third quarter. The net result contribution from Odfjell Terminals was USD 2.2 million. This is slightly below the third quarter and is mainly due to currency effects and one write-down. We continue to deliver on our carbon intensity. The AER for the fourth quarter came in at 7.1%, which is also the average for the 2024 year in total. And also during the quarter, we took one newbuilding, was delivered on time charter, and we declared 3 options for stainless steel super segregators. And these 3 vessels are currently on time or bareboat charter to Odfjell and as such, they are already in our fleet. We also concluded contracts for 3 more vessels. They will be delivered between 2026 and 2028. 2 of those vessels will be on time charter and 1 vessel will be fully owned by Odfjell. And finally, the Board approved a dividend of $0.78 per share based on our second half 2024 net adjusted results. If we look at the year in total, we delivered the strongest financial result ever with a net result of USD 278 million. Total declared dividend per share for 2024 was $1.78, and this equals in total USD 141 million. During the year, we took delivery of 4 vessels on long-term charter, and we now presently have 18 vessels on order, 16 on time charter and 2 vessels that will be fully owned by Odfjell. So this implies that we continue with the renewal of our fleet, and we continue to expand our fleet. When it comes to the outlook going forward, we believe that the first quarter will be another strong quarter for Odfjell, but it will be slightly below the fourth quarter. And this is mainly due to the reduced volumes that we saw at the end of the fourth quarter, and we believe that this will continue somewhat into this quarter. So this concludes the highlights, and then I give the word to Terje to take you through the financial performance.
Terje Iversen
executiveThank you, Harald, and good morning to all of you. I will, as normal, start with the income statement for this quarter. And as Harald mentioned, we delivered time charter earnings of USD 183 million, which was a decrease of USD 19 million compared to the third quarter. The reason being that we saw reduced spot cargoes, resulting in lower volumes for this quarter, while looking at the achieved freight rates, we were on par with the third quarter. We also had fewer days more off-hire due to higher dry docking and time charter vessel being off-hire due to the incident that happened in the fourth quarter. Time charter expenses slightly up USD 2 million, where we see operating expenses very much on par with the third quarter, $52.4 million while we see that G&A expenses increased somewhat this quarter from $17.9 million to $20.4 million, reason being actually only high activity in the quarter when it comes to traveling, consultancy and IT expenses, but nothing dramatic related to that, more seasonal effects, I would say. And we saw then, as Harald mentioned, a decrease in the share of net result from the terminals under the $2.2 million compared to $2.9 million. Looking behind the figures, they actually delivered the best EBITDA since the restructuring back in 2018 and 2019. But due to currency effects and some write-downs, the result was slightly down compared to previous quarter. EBITDA then at $110.5 million compared to $132.3 million in the third quarter. Depreciation at $41.4 million, very close to previous quarter as well. And after a small impairment of USD 1 million, we delivered EBIT of $68.1 million compared to $90.5 million in the third quarter. Net interest expenses, $18.2 million, also very comparable to the previous quarter. And after positive taxes this quarter of $0.6 million, we ended with a net result of USD 50.5 million compared to $71.3 million in the third quarter. And earnings per share then ended at $0.64 compared to $0.90 in the third quarter. And adjusting the result for nonrecurring items, we delivered a result of USD 53 million, which then is included in the calculations of the dividend for the second half. Going forward with the time charter earnings per day and also looking at the cash breakeven, we saw that the time charter earnings decreased. We ended at $30,744 in the fourth quarter, down from $33,906 in the previous quarter. We also saw that cash breakeven ended at $23,386 compared to $23,137 in the third quarter, bringing the 12 months rolling average to $22,783 compared to our target of USD 21,000 per day. Slight increase in the cash breakeven, driven by more off-hire days related to dry docking activities and the time charter vessel being off-hire and also the somewhat higher G&A expenses, which I mentioned in the previous slide. Going forward, we expect cash breakeven to decrease slightly due to reduced interest expenses after we repaid our last outstanding bond in January. And we also included here estimated or calculated P&L breakeven, which this quarter ended at $22,368 per day compared to $22,110 in the previous quarter. Looking at the balance sheet, we see that the book value of ships and newbuilding contracts increased somewhat this quarter to USD 1,253.5 billion, reason being that we took delivery of Bow Aquarius in December. That was paid with cash on the balance sheet, and was included in the debt facility at the start of this year. Also on the right-of-use assets, we see an increase from $307 million to $385 million, and that is long-term time charter agreements. We took delivery of Bow Tiger this quarter, increasing right-of-use assets. And also we declared options for 3 vessels, which Harald mentioned is on operational lease today. And right-of-use assets and current debt right-of-use assets increased then with the purchase price for these vessels. Cash and cash equivalents ended at $147 million, a slight increase. If you include undrawn loan facilities, we are at USD 239 million. And we saw then a stable quarter-on-quarter development, although we then purchased the Bow Aquarius based on cash on the balance sheet during the quarter. Total equity stands at $929.8 million, an increase of USD 41, and we see that noncurrent interest-bearing debt decreased from $574.5 million to $501.5 million. Main reason being that, of course, that we are paying installments, but we also repurchased some 2 vessels that are currently on a financial lease that will be included in the new loan facility. So that those 2 vessels have been on -- the debt related to that has been reclassified from long term to short term. And then we also see that the current portion of interest-bearing debt is increasing this quarter being $211.5 million compared to $168.1 million in the third quarter. Also included in the current portion of interest-bearing debt is the bond that we then repaid in January this year of USD 100 million. Cash flow this quarter. Operating cash flow, $89.5 million decreased from $117.6 million in the third quarter. The main reason, of course, being the reduced time charter earnings this quarter. On the investing side, we had Bow Sky, which was refinanced during this quarter from lease to bank debt. And we also then acquired Bow Aquarius then impacting the cash flow from investments to negative $45.3 million compared to negative $1.4 million in the third quarter. On the financing side, we also repaid 2 vessels on the financial lease, which we then refinanced one of those, and we've left one of those unencumbered. So then we are left with a net cash flow from financing activities at negative $41.7 million. And as mentioned, the total for the quarter was then an increase in the cash of USD 2.5 million. Looking at the cash flow on a more longer term comparing to the previous 12 quarters. As mentioned, we delivered operating cash flow of USD 90 million this quarter, a reduction because of the time charter earnings being lower, while we had cash flow from investments negative $45 million, mainly impacted by Bow Aquarius and also some higher dry docking activities this quarter. And then we are left with a free cash flow this quarter of USD 44 million compared to $116 million in the third quarter. But looking at the longer term, we delivered the strongest free cash flow this year that compared to a very long time back in the history or actually the best free cash flow ever delivered from the company. And also 12 months rolling free cash flow ended at USD 83 million. And if you adjust for debt repayments related to right-of-use assets being the time charter payments this quarter, we reached the 12 months rolling quarterly free cash flow at USD 66 million. On the financing side, looking forward, there are not many loans maturing, even though we are quite active when it comes to purchase options, financing of purchase options and also refinancing some financial leases. As of year-end 2024, we had nominal interest-bearing debt at 745 million. We expect that to remain stable throughout 2025. In the fourth quarter, we acquired, as I mentioned, 2 vessels on the financial lease. One of these were added to an existing bank facility, while the other was left unencumbered. We secured end of last year, a new favorable USD 242 million bank loan facility, financing our core fleet tonnage and enable us to lower our cash breakeven cost and capitalize on favorable purchase options. 6 vessels will be included in that structure. And in the first quarter, 5 vessels will be financed with this facility. And these vessels include -- the 2 on operational lease and 2 on financial lease, as well as one bareboat vessels that was acquired in December. And the 6 vessel will be included then in the same facility in 2025. CapEx and time charter commitments. On the top of this, we show what are the CapEx, including the purchase options. As I mentioned, we are quite active on that side. So that is impacting the sum share. If you total -- we summarize all the declared purchase options and the newbuildings, we are USD 247 million. And during the fourth quarter, we declared purchase option for 3 vessels currently on operational lease. Total declared purchase option for operational lease now stands at 4, where the first 3 will be financed by the new bank debt facility together with Bow Aquarius, which were purchased in December. All the declared purchase options are well below current market values and obtained financing will be around the full purchase amount for these vessels. Also important to note that all declared purchase options are included in the balance sheet year-end as current debt right of use of assets, meaning that we are -- actually the CapEx -- unfunded CapEx is only the 2 newbuildings, which accounts for USD 87.3 million that will be financed then before the delivery of the vessels. In addition, we have 2 newbuildings on order for our own account. That is $87.3 million, which then includes the 26,000 deadweight vessels that were ordered in the fourth quarter of '24 to be constructed at Kurushima Dockyard in Japan, which will then be delivered in 2027. Long-term time charters per end of last year, we have concluded 16 newbuildings on long-term charters to be delivered in the coming years from second half '25 to until 2028. Total sum of the nominal time charter payments is $970 and amounts stated in the table that gross figures, including that it's a total time charter commitments. But when these are capitalized, we will not include the estimated OpEx element. So it's only the bareboat element that will be accounted for in our balance sheet. And these vessels together with our newbuildings account for 16% of the current order book in our core segment. Then I'll leave the word to you again, Harald.
Harald Fotland
executiveSo then I will continue with an operational review of the quarter behind us. First, looking at the Odfix graph and the Odfix is a graph that presents our average time charter earnings for our full fleet. And as we see, we saw a reduction of 10.7% during the quarter. If we look at the Clarkson Chemical spot index, then we saw a reduction of 7.6% for the same period. If we then turn to the next graph, which is illustrating the influx of crude tankers into the CPP or product segment. I think the first takeaway from this graph is that crude tankers have always been to some extent, operating into products. What's special is that during the second and third quarter of 2024, we saw a massive increase of crude tankers swinging into products. And during the fourth quarter, we saw a similar decrease and the situation is now, I would say, more or less back to normal. There is a lag in these shifts, meaning that we expect that going forward, we will see gradually a reduced presence of product tankers swinging into chemicals. If we look at our contract renewal process, we actually renewed 45% of our expected annual volumes during the fourth quarter. And despite even softer markets, we on aggregate, renewed our contracts at healthy rate increases. Total volumes were reduced during the quarter, and most of the reductions came in spot volumes. If we look at the graph to the right, we see that in the fourth quarter, we lifted 3.1 million tonnes of cargo, while we -- the quarter before lifted 3.4 million. That is a reduction of 10%. And this implies that during the quarter, we managed to maintain the achieved freight rates and the 10% reduction was mainly due to a reduction in volume. And since we saw a bigger increase in spot volumes compared to the contract volumes, that explains why we have seen an increase in the contract coverage from 50% to 53% in the fourth quarter. If we then look to our carbon intensity, we, as I mentioned, saw an average AER in 2024 of 7.1, and that is also the same that we reported for the fourth quarter, 7.1. This is a slight reduction, 0.7% compared to 2023. And then just to take you slightly behind the figures, since 2008, Odfjell has done more than 150 retrofits of energy efficiency devices. That, combined with the renewal of our fleet is the reason why we have managed to, over the years, reduce or improve our carbon intensity with almost 53%. We believe that in the future -- and I also have to add that as long as we are burning fossil fuels, we need energy to bring the vessels forward. So this figure will never be 0 as long as we are burning fossil fuels, but we believe that the greener fuels will be more expensive than the fossil fuels. And therefore, the winners in the future will be those who are spending the least amount of those greener fuels. So for us, it's important to make our vessels as energy efficient as possible. And the learnings and the equipment that we are installing today will also have a benefit when we are gradually switching to more greener fuels. I'm also happy to say that for the second year in a row, all our vessels were CII rated C or better and also almost 50% of our fleet had a CII rating of A or B. So that's wonderful results. And then we have decided to increase our ambitions for 2030 from 50% to 57% reduction compared to the 2008 IMO benchmark. One of the things that will bring us there is the introduction of sales. And as we have announced previously, we are introducing sail -- so-called suction sails on Bow Olympus. I have to brag a little bit about our technology department because as you can imagine, on a vessel with 33 tanks and basically piping all over deck, it's not easy to locate and to place huge sales on the chemical tankers. We managed to overcome that challenge. The next challenge is that once you have found a suitable place for those 4 sails, you also need to strengthen the deck considerably because these are not built as sailing vessels. They are built as motor vessels. So managing to strengthen the deck below all this piping is also a technological artificially fantastic achievement. All of that is in place. We have done that. So what we are waiting for is to trade these vessels from Asia to Europe and then to put on board the sails. And I hope that, that will happen within 4 to 6 weeks' time. And then based on the experiences on the Bow Olympus, we will decide how many vessels will be introduced with sails going forward. But right now, we have great hopes to that installation, and we are quite confident that we will show positive results from it. On the terminal side, we continue to perform well. The average commercial occupancy rate was 95% in the fourth quarter. We delivered, as Terje said, an EBITDA of $11.2 million. This is the strongest quarterly result since we did the restructuring of terminals back in 2019, and it's up from 10.8% in the previous quarter. We are positive to the near to medium-term outlook, and we also expect a modest uplift in the occupancy rates for the first quarter. And this means that the tanks that we are constructing are actually put into production as we go. We also have several ongoing expansion projects. We have 2 at the terminal in Antwerp, the so-called Tankpit R that consists of 10 stainless steel tanks, 5 are already commissioned and in production and the remaining will be commissioned sometime during the first quarter. Yes. Then we have already started construction of the next Tankpit R in Antwerp, the so-called Tankpit Q, and we expect that tank pit to come in operation during the second half of this year. And finally, we have started -- we have made the investment decision to build out the area in Korea called E5. In the beginning, we will construct 10 carbon steel tanks approximately 88,000 cubic meters. We've already rented out 27% of those tanks even if the Tankpit will first be operational slightly less than 2 years ahead. And then a market update and our thoughts about the markets going forward. Relatively this slide, but if we start with the MR earnings, I think the first thing that you should observe on this slide is the difference in earnings back in 2022. That is the last time that we saw a big influx of swing tonnage into chemicals. And then we saw the improvements in '23 and '24, which led the swing tonnage to disappear. And then we see the decline in -- towards the end of '24. But still, I think it's important to notice that earnings in the MR segment is today higher than they used to be in 2022 when we saw the -- last time that we saw a big influx of swing tonnage into our segments. It's also noticeable that the fluctuations or the volatility is slightly bigger east of Suez than West of Suez. And East of Suez is also where we see the biggest influx of swing tonnage. Looking at the chemical rates, I think the first observation is that there is less volatility West of Suez and more volatility east of Suez. And again, this is, in our opinion, a result of more influx of swing tonnage east of Suez. Finally, West of Suez, we do see a decline in volumes in and out of Europe, while we see more stable volumes out of the U.S. Then looking at the swing tonnage. As you can see, back in 2022, we -- at the peak, we were at 11% of MR tankers swinging into chemicals. Today, this figure is around 6.5%. But with the recent strengthening of crude earnings, we anticipate that and the disappearance of crude tankers in products. Our expectation is that gradually the product tankers will swing back to products. Unfortunately, this takes time. First, the crude tankers have to swing out of products, then products have to swing out of chemicals or easy chemicals. And then the less sophisticated chemical tankers have to swing out of the more sophisticated chemicals. So this will take time. And keep in mind that we are operating in the long-haul deep sea segment. So typically, a voyage in our books takes approximately 70 days, 2.5 months. So gradually, we think that we will see that the chemical segment will be operated by chemical tankers, but have some patience on that piece. Looking at the order book today, the -- the order book is at 16% of the total fleet. And I also have to say here that we have recently changed the data provider. So the data on this slide is not 100% comparable to our previous slides, but I think the correlation is around 95% or something like that. So it's good enough for this purpose. Also here to take you a little bit behind the figures. The graph for 2025, this is -- this represents 22 vessels that will -- are supposed to be delivered during 2025. And -- if you're looking back to 2024, there were only 2 chemical tankers within the core segment that were recycled. If you're looking back to 2023, there were only 3 core chemical tankers that were recycled. That means that right now, we are pushing in front of us approximately 50 chemical tankers in the core segment that in a normal circumstances would have been recycled. Therefore, we are not concerned about the order book as it stands today. You also have to take into consideration that Odfjell has today 16% of that order book. So a large share of the vessels that are on order are for Odfjell account. 18% of the fleet are more than 20 years of age and 7% of the fleet is more than 25%. So we think that what we see today is a natural renewal of the core chemical tanker fleet. If you're looking at the segments, the orders compared to the age of the super segregators is more or less equal. So we will not see with orders that are in place today, we will not see an increase of the capacity and the number of super segregators. Large stainless steel, presently, orders are so low that going forward, we will see a decrease in that segment. So what we are looking at is an increase of the so-called medium stainless steel segment, which are the 25,000 tonnes. That's mainly vessels that are on order today. Then I don't think I have to educate you on geopolitical instability. As you all know, it's significant. It's -- and we see it in several locations. We also see the first signs of increased protectionism. We see introduction of tariffs that may potentially harm global trade. There are analysts who claim that this will have a positive effect on the tanker segment simply because that more inefficiencies and new trade routes will be introduced when the market is adapting to those new tariffs. We see macroeconomic uncertainty, both in China and in Europe. And of course, that is affecting global trade. At the same time, we saw that we had an increase of chemical production of approximately 3% in 2024, and we expect more or less the same increase in 2025. We also see some interesting effects on the dark fleets, which today comprises of somewhere between 13% and 22% of the tanker fleet, depending on whether you are counting the vessels or you are calculating the deadweight capacity. What we are seeing today is that more dark fleet vessels are idling. They are not actively sailing. And we also see the first signs of dark fleet vessels being circulated for recycling. So there are things going on with respect to a quite massive dark tanker fleet. Our main hypothesis is that the swing tonnage will decline as crude has already moved out of CPP. And we have an opposite effect when it comes to the Red Sea, where we anticipate that if the Red Sea should reopen, we will see a reduction in tonne-mile production of approximately 2%. However, presently, there are none -- Odfjell is not sailing through the Red Sea and none of our competitors are sailing through the Red Sea, and we believe that this situation will continue. So then to summarize this presentation, we delivered solid performance in the fourth quarter, and we rounded off a year when we delivered the best results in Odfjell's 110-year long history. We saw somewhat declined earnings in the fourth quarter. We saw a reduction in volumes. But nevertheless, we managed to renew 45% of our contract portfolio with rate increases. On the terminal side, we saw a slight reduction in the net result contribution, but still the underlying figures are very solid for that business area. And we are very optimistic about the development of the E5 project in Korea. Market outlook, we do believe that the reduction in swing tonnage will lead to improved volumes and improved earnings going forward. And we expect the volumes to remain stable also in 2025. So to summarize, the first quarter is expected to be another solid quarter for Odfjell. It's slightly below the fourth quarter, and that's basically due to the reduced volumes that we saw at the end of the fourth quarter and now in the beginning of the first quarter. So this summarizes our presentation, and we are now open for questions. And then I suggest that we start with questions that might be among the audience, and then we'll continue with those online afterwards.
Unknown Analyst
analystChristopher. Can you comment a bit on the COA increases, so more in details? And on swing tonnage, what level do you sort of see on MRs before they switch in and out? Can you comment a bit on that?
Harald Fotland
executiveYes. To your first question, I think we had an average rate increase in the fourth quarter of approximately 12% in average. Then on the swing tonnage, I think there is a turning point around USD 15,000 per day where the swing tonnage or the product tankers will swing into chemicals or remain in CPP. And we actually saw a dip below -- recently below $15,000, but I think the dip was too short to kind of have an effect. So below $15,000 over time, there we believe that product owners, those who have the ability will be tempted to swing into EC chemicals.
Unknown Analyst
analystOne more on the COA portfolio. You said you did about 45% of renewals this year. Can you kind of comment a bit on whether you see the absolute figure sort of increase, more COA volumes from -- up from 53%? Or do you expect it to remain kind of the same?
Harald Fotland
executiveI expect that -- I think we expect that in average during the year, we anticipate that we would have a contract coverage of somewhere between, I would say, 55% and 60%.
Jørgen Lian
analystJørgen from DNB. The 15,000 MR rates that you talked about as this entry point for [indiscernible] chemicals, how -- I imagine that must be a relative number. Wouldn't you agree? So sort of -- could you say anything about the time charter equivalent rates rather a premium maybe, wouldn't that be more relevant than an absolute level for the MR rates to incentivize swing?
Harald Fotland
executiveYes, I agree. I wouldn't speculate too much in how the tanker operators are making their considerations. But our observation is that when it's -- when it's dropping somewhat below $15,000, then we see that the tonnage is starting to move into chemicals. But it has to be over time. And we also have to remember that many of the product -- the product MRs are actually sailing 100% in easy chemicals. We have, as an example, several operators in [indiscernible] that are operating solely in chemicals. So there will always be a basis of MRs in the chemical space. And then, of course, there are MRs that -- MR owners that are utilizing the opportunity, but it comes with a cost. You have to clean up the vessels to be chemical standard and you also have to be in a position where this makes sense. So it's not something that you do just the other day to switch back and forth.
Jørgen Lian
analystOkay. And if I can follow up with one more. On the Red Sea situation, any solution and return to the Red Sea first?
Harald Fotland
executiveI think what's important to notice when it comes to the Red Sea is what Houthis said when the truce was introduced. They said that they will not attack any vessel as long as the truce is in place, but they will start attacking again if the truce is broken. And we don't want to have a vessel in the middle of the Red Sea in the event of someone breaking the ceasefire. So presently, there is only one solution, and that is to stay away.
Jørgen Lian
analystIf you were to return at some point, what would sort of be the thinking around the profitability in Odfjell -- because I mean, it has some implications on the trade routes and the overall demand or supply, I mean, within tankers. But I imagine some higher inefficiencies on your end as well. Some considerations around that would be nice.
Harald Fotland
executiveSailing around Africa, of course, it is less efficient than sailing through Suez. But just to illustrate it, the worst-case scenario is if you have a trade between Turkey and India. That is a trade route that used to take, I think, 11 days. Today, it takes more than 40 days to bring that cargo from Turkey -- from Turkey to India because you have to sail all the way around. If you are sailing -- when the Panama Canal was closed, then those vessels that used to transit the Pacific, they sail the other way around. And the shortest way the other way around was through Suez and then to Asia or to Singapore. But the additional number of days if that vessel decided to sail South Africa was only 4 days. So it all depends on the trades that you are involved in, whether there is a massive loss of sailing around or whether it's more a modest loss of sailing around. But I think typically, on the Middle East to Europe trades, I think there is an increase of approximately 25% when it comes to the number of days -- sailing days. And that is basically the most important route for when it comes to Suez Canal transits. I didn't hear all of your questions. I hope it answered.
Jørgen Lian
analystI was thinking more -- because I imagine there are some volumes that all of a sudden disappeared, right? That weren't as relevant and trades that fell out.
Harald Fotland
executiveYes, that's correct. And that's a good observation. The volumes didn't disappear, but they went in other directions. And that is also what we expect to see when tariffs are being introduced that those volumes will continue to be produced, but they will find new trade routes, yes, they find new trade routes.
Unknown Analyst
analyst[indiscernible] The tariffs on Canada were obviously paused, but how do you think a potential trade war between the U.S. and Canada would affect the chemical market?
Harald Fotland
executiveWell, it will -- there are some volumes going between -- over the Pacific between Korea and the East -- sorry, the West Coast of Canada. We are not involved in that trade at all. So we will not have any direct consequences of potential tariffs between Canada and the U.S. What's interesting is the U.S. dependency on Canadian crude oil, which may have an effect on the crude segment, which again might stimulate the products segment and so on. So there might be positive effects on those tariffs on the crude oil, but that remains to be seen. And right now, the tariffs are paused for 30 days. So I think none of us know what will actually happen early March. But for Odfjell, we don't do any cargoes in and out of Canada.
Unknown Analyst
analystYou said that in terms of the guiding for 1Q and 2025, you see that you observed lower volumes into January, especially. How should we think about volumes? And do you think it will stabilize at a lower level in 2025 compared to '24?
Harald Fotland
executiveWell, the production is there. As you saw on this swing tonnage graph, there is nothing wrong with the total volumes being produced in the world. The problem is who's lifting those volumes. And right now, during the fourth quarter, too many swing tonnage vessels were lifting chemicals. But we -- so therefore, it's important for us that those are swinging back to products and that chemicals are lifted by chemical tankers.
Unknown Analyst
analystOn my numbers, at least I see that easy chem rates have been declining more than the specialized chem lifting rates. Do you have any considerations in terms of that?
Harald Fotland
executiveOne more time. I didn't get that question.
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, the rates on lifting easy chem have been coming more down than the rates on the specialized chems.
Harald Fotland
executiveThat's correct. That's correct.
Unknown Analyst
analystDo you have any consideration in terms of how we should think about that? Will it be more 2 tiered? Or is it going to stabilize on the easy chem side due to the...
Harald Fotland
executiveNo, I don't think that we will see a 2-tier market. There are not enough specialized chemicals to fill up our vessels. So we are lifting a combination of easy chemicals and specialized chemicals. But I think what makes Odfjell interesting and valuable client or supplier is because of the sophistication of our ships where we can basically take anything that floats. But there are not enough specialized chemicals in the world to fill up all our vessels all the time. So it's a combination.
Unknown Executive
executiveAny more questions from the audience? Yes. If I can remember actually. There's quite a few questions on the same topics that we just had now in the audience and going on rates and tariffs and COA. There was also one question on the COA, if we could comment on our expectations for renewals going forward in this quarter or beyond, if we can expect the same development or we see another picture?
Harald Fotland
executiveI think it will be -- it's difficult to conclude on negotiations that have not started yet. But I think the most important observation is that even if we saw a declining momentum in the fourth quarter, we managed to renew 45% of our total volumes with more than 10% increases. And I think that's an extremely good achievement of our team. And of course, we hope that, that will continue as well, but I think that's a bit too early to conclude.
Unknown Executive
executiveAnd then there was a question on the new buildings and the order book. And if we could comment on -- the number of how many newbuildings will be delivered each year, '25, '26, '27, I think I can provide some information to that question also afterwards, but I believe we maybe...
Harald Fotland
executiveI don't have all the figures. But I think what I said about 2025 is a good reference. There are 22 vessels that are scheduled to be delivered this year. Whether they will be delivered this year or next year, that's yet to be seen. But that graph -- the 2025 graph represents 22 vessels and the majority of those vessels are J25s, meaning the equivalent of Japanese 25,000 tonne, which again is, in some way, the new 20,000 tonne, which used to be the typical gold standard within chemical tankers.
Unknown Executive
executiveOkay. I think we have covered the other topics here. And of course, for anyone viewing that you have questions afterwards, feel free to send me an e-mail on the contact details at the end of the presentation. And I think that concludes the presentation and the Q&A.
Harald Fotland
executiveOkay. Thanks a lot. Thank you.
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full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.