Ola Electric Mobility Limited ($OLAELEC)
Earnings Call Transcript · May 20, 2026
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
OperatorHi, everyone. Good day, and welcome to Ola Electric Q4 and FY '26 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. Before we begin, a few quick announcements for the attendees. Anything said on this call, which reflects our outlook for the future or which could be construed as a forward-looking statement may involve risks and uncertainties. Such statements or comments are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results may differ from those statements. Now I would like to request Bhavish Aggarwal, Chairman and Managing Director; and Shri Deepak Rastogi, CFO, Ol Electric, to begin the conference. To begin, first, I would request Deepak to start with the opening remarks.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesBefore we start, Deepak, I just want to say welcome, everybody, an important quarter for us. I hope everybody has had the chance to read our shareholders' letter. A bunch of nuances, which we will cover through the Q&A and definitely something we want to make sure we highlight some of the important turnarounds that the company has now gone through over the last couple of quarters. So Deepak, you make your remarks, and then I'll add wherever I want to.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesYes. Thank you so much, Bhavish. So good evening, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Financial year '26 was a year in which volumes were lower than where we want it to be, but it was also a year in which the fundamentals of Ola Electric became materially stronger. We exited the year with industry-leading gross margins at 38.5%, a much lower cost base, sharply improved execution metrics, better product quality, our first operating cash flow positive quarter and a gigafactory, which is now entering a scale up. This progress comes at an important moment for India. The next few years will be defined by 2 structural shifts happening together, mobility moving from ICE to EV and energy moving from imported fuels to locally made batteries. Ola is building across both ships, electric mobility, cell manufacturing and energy storage on an integrated platform. So let me first start with the margins. In Q4 for '25-'26, consolidated gross margins reached 38.5%, up from 34.3% in Q3 and 13.7% in Q4, similar quarter last year. Excluding PLI, gross margins was 33.5%. This is now an industry-leading margin profile ahead of most 2-wheelers OEMs, including ICE incumbents. It reflects the structural advantages we have built over last few years, vertical integration, Gen 3 maturity, pricing architecture, downstream control and increasing integration of our own cells.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesOn this point, Deepak, I'll just pause you. I think gross margins has been definitely one of the things we've been highlighting quarter-on-quarter for the last many quarters. And this actually shows the success of our vertically integrated approach on both the manufacturing supply chain as well as on the front end. And many people frequently ask us about the sustainability of these gross margins. And one of the potential misconceptions is that this is because of incentives. So you can see without PLI also, gross margins are fairly high. So we believe very strongly that our gross margins will remain a very strong structural advantage for us going into the future as we rebound our volumes. And we are actually now even higher -- much higher than ICE industry gross margins. So if we -- for EV competitors to catch up with us, it's going to take a lot of investments into technology and manufacturing, which is actually what has led to this meaningful step. And over the longer term also, we can actually expect gross margins to incrementally keep going up. Obviously, in the short term, there will be commodity pressures as well as some of this gross margin in the last month or 2, we've invested into aggressive growth. But still, gross margins will remain fairly healthy for us in the short term also. And in the long term, we can actually expect even more incrementally higher gross margins as we go.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesThank you, Bhavish. So for financial year '26, consolidated revenue stood at INR 2,253 crores with 173, 794 deliveries and consolidated gross margin improved to 30.6%. While volumes were impacted through the year, the improvement in margin shows the underlying strength of our product economics and operating model. I would now actually highlight the cash flows, which this is the first time we actually have a positive cash flow. So I'll just talk about it, and then I'll ask Bhavish to obviously add his comments. So Q4 was the first operating cash flow positive quarter. Consolidated CFO was INR 91 crores, supported by strong gross margins, PLI inflows, lower OpEx and tighter working capital discipline. The auto business delivered INR 213 crores of CFO and INR 173 crores of free cash flow in Q4. This is an important milestone as Ola moved from a heavy build-out phase to a disciplined scale up.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesNo, I think, Deepak, you covered. I think the only point I will accentuate here is that Q4 revenues were low because deliveries were low. But our gross margin leadership as well as our OpEx reduction, both have actually now hit a stride. And on OpEx, you can see there's a chart in the first few pages that from same quarter last year to this quarter, our OpEx is actually half, and that includes all OpEx, including store lease rentals. And we are further saying that in the next couple of quarters, we'll actually get our OpEx down to about INR 100 crores, INR 120 crores a month. So further down while business rebounds. And the good thing about our business is that because we are so vertically integrated on both the back end and the front end, almost 90-plus percent of our OpEx is actually fixed. That means operating leverage is very high. So as we have reduced our operating costs through efficiencies and as now we are rebounding sales, a lot of it is translating into net margin for us. And this is specifically seen in the auto business. So if you see segment financials, our auto business, like Deepak said, and we report different cash flows for both the segments because both segments are in very different stages of evolution. Auto is now very close to free cash flow generation. As soon as we get our volumes a little bit higher in this rebound period, we will generate meaningful sustained free cash flow. Cell is still in investment phase, but that also through this financial year will get into a sustained revenue growth and over time, cash flow generation. If you see annually also compare our auto segment FY '25 versus FY '26 on Page 15, -- you can see how our CFO has actually meaningfully improved over this period. And for our auto business, there is no more CapEx needed as we scale up. So CFO to free cash flow conversion will also be fairly high. I also want to bring in here a little bit of the macro context. While so far, we've covered our internal financials. But this -- what we are also seeing in the market now is demand for EVs has actually gone up meaningfully in the last few weeks. And while other competitors will need to do more CapEx as well as new product rollouts, we have our capacity on both automotive and Gigafactory covered because all the CapEx is now behind us. So we can easily scale up to 1 million units a year. We are focused on somewhere in the north, you also find that we are actually right now not on 31st March, but right now in the current May period, running at a very low inventory level in our network because demand people are buying whatever they can find in the network from us. Our inventory -- free inventory days is actually down to 3, 4 days. And we have an order backlog now. So the company is highly focused on ramping up the supply chain quickly enough so that we can fulfill these orders. The backlog also, and I actually expect as we fulfill -- improve our delivery time lines, volumes will go up another 10%, 20% in the near term. So very good signals from the demand growth in the market for EVs, and we are well positioned to capture it without any incremental capital required.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesThank you, Bhavesh. So the third highlight, which Bhavesh also touched upon is on the OpEx cost reset. Consolidated OpEx, including lease expenses have meaningfully reduced from INR 844 crores in Q4 '24, '25, which is last year to INR 428 crores during this Q4 '25-'26. This reflects network rationalization, tighter sales and service costs, lower fixed overheads and stronger operating governance. We expect OpEx to move towards approximately INR 350 crores we actually spoke about in our last shareholders' letter also over the next couple of quarters as the full benefit of '26 actions flow through.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesA couple of points on this also on the rebound, I would like to add for everybody. If you see on Page 6 and Page 7, you can see how as we have improved service, the first chart on Page 6, our service backlogs as they have gone down, our sales has rebounded almost in a V-shaped recovery. And the chart below that shows you week-on-week how our registration numbers are ramping up. And on Page 7, you see the recovery for us has been broad-based. We are very strong in the North and East, which is actually a growing EV market, and we are gaining back our position in the South and West. So the recovery in market share is fairly broad-based. Yes. Back to you, Deepak.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesYes. So this reset creates a stronger operating leverage. The core auto CapEx is already in place for up to 1 million. Bhavish just spoke about it for the auto business of annual capacity and Gigafactory Phase 1 infrastructure is in place for 6 gigawatt scale up -- 6 gigawatt hour scale up. Together, the asset base can support approximately INR 15,000 crores to INR 20,000 crores of annual revenue scale across auto and sell without needing for meaningful incremental CapEx. With the reset OpEx base and current gross margin structure, adjusted operating EBITDA breakeven is achievable at around 20,000 to 25,000 units per month, subject to pricing mix and commodity conditions.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesI want to just underline this. I know many of people on the street investors have asked us the question on the breakeven. So if you do the rough math and all the financials here that we talk about right now are consolidated. In the past, segment financials have created some level of confusion. So today, we are just giving the communication on the consolidated financials breakeven. So if you see our gross margins of around 35-plus percent, 38% in this quarter, ARPU or average ASP is about INR 1.4 lakhs or so, thereabouts. So INR 50,000 gross profit per vehicle and OpEx -- consol OpEx cost, including lease rentals of about INR 300 crores, INR 350 crores in the next quarter or so. So the breakeven -- adjusted EBITDA breakeven consol comes to about 20,000 to 25,000 units a month. And in our rebound already, we are seeing us get there. You saw March, April registration numbers. May also, I'm sure most of you are tracking. Another thing we've added in this sheet for everybody now is we are also going to show our deliveries as well as registrations as well as orders because the auto industry, the street tracks wholesale and retail typically. For us, those are very different. We don't have a dealer model, so there's no wholesale retail concept. Registrations is what you guys consider as retail. Deliveries is what we book as revenue. Orders is what we get when the customer comes into the store and pays. And because of our unique B2C business model, these 3 metrics also we will publish for future clarity. Another point I want to add here is on Page 8. You see how -- while this period had service challenges, and we were focused on solving them, brand has actually held well because our brand has a lot of fundamental strength from the quality and the performance of our product and the proposition of price value equation of our product, which is unparalleled in the EV 2-wheeler industry. So you can see here a very reputed third-party survey on brand strength. Our brand recall is industry-leading, and our NPS is also above industry averages. And specifically NPS where there are no service delays is actually very, very healthy. So we remain very confident about the customer thinking and the customer sentiment on our business. And that's why we are seeing volumes ramp up quickly as we are -- as we have now largely solved service and as we are now ramping up our manufacturing and back end, the demand is growing along with it. We also have put there on Page 9, a chart of Google searches. It's just the Google trend. So you can see Ola is by far the highest searched brand in the EV space in India. And all these are advantages and our business model does not have any spends on marketing, et cetera. So that also benefits when we think of operating costs.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesThank you. So execution improvement, which Bhavish just talked about, I'll just add some more flavor to that. So execution improved meaningfully through the year. Product quality is improving with Gen 3 with warranty. -- cost is 70% lower than Gen 2. Service metrics have also improved sharply with service stat down 88%, same-day closures at approximately 87% and part pendency down 69%. Execution improves, sales have started responding. April registrations were up 20% month-on-month, while the broader 2-wheeler industry declined by more than 22%.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesOn warranty, Deepak, I would like to highlight for the team -- for everybody on the call, we are on Page 6 of the shareholders' letter in the second paragraph. You can see how year-on-year, our warranty costs have actually come down such in a very material way. In FY '25, we had a INR 500-plus crores of warranty cost. In FY '26, it's only INR 60 crores, INR 59 crores to be accurate. So what we've been sharing with you guys on our Gen 3 platform being by far the industry leader, it is validated by our warranty costs in FY '26. And that also kind of tells you that some of the service challenges that we had were largely linked to service network operations, which also in the KPIs, again, you can see in that, we have meaningfully improved. So looking ahead, we feel very optimistic about our sales as well as customer sentiment.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesLooking ahead to Q1 '27, we expect 40,000 to 45,000 orders and consolidated revenue of INR 500 crores to INR 550 crores, nearly double of the Q4 level. As volumes recover, we expect the auto business to move towards adjusted operating EBITDA and free cash flow positivity through financial year '27. There are a lot of questions on the bike, Bhavish, and I wanted to make sure that we actually address this as part of our...
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesLet me give the headline here. So we launched the bike about a year ago, and we've been very consistent about our communication in the earnings calls that we are scaling it step by step. So now we are very happy to say actually that we are seeing good traction, both on the EV bike industry. Bike industry itself in the last 6 months or so has more than tripled off a very small base right now, but the trend is very aggressively growing. Think of it as where EV scooters were 5 years ago before Ola really entered the market in a big way and scaled it up. Bikes are also there, and our market share in bikes is 50-plus percent. And bikes are a little different than scooters in terms of product. The customer expects more range in the bikes. And that's why our bike portfolio has a slightly higher range than scooters for the customers. And specifically at the top end, actually, only because of our own Bharat cell, the 4680 cell, we can offer almost a 500-kilometer certified range product. So there's very strong interest in the bike in customers. Again, we are constrained not by demand there, but by supply. We are seeing significant uptick in the Roadster product in the northern belt of India, which is the heartland of the bike market of India. And I actually feel now, especially with the petrol prices in the macro, bike EV movement is here through the next couple of quarters, and we are fully ready to take best advantage of that.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesSo Roadster is becoming our second auto growth engine. Motorcycles are India's largest 2-wheeler category and EV penetration remains very low. Ola now has 50% market share in electric motorcycles and bikes contributed 15% of April gross orders. With products going up to 9.1 kilowatt hour battery capacity and 500-plus kilometer certified range, Roadster is built around the core motorcycle customer needs of range, performance and reliability. The Gigafactory is now entering the scale phase. We currently have 2.5 gigawatt hour operational capacity. installation up to 6 gigawatt hour is largely complete with commercialization expected to be completed by the end of this quarter.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesI think, Deepak, before we go into operational updates, macro commentary will be more important the way the country's energy security requirements and narrative is shaping up. Ola Electric is the only company which is actually straggling both of the critical domains, one is EVs and one is batteries. Now it's very clear from both customer sentiment as well as government sentiment that EV [Foreign Language] All of you have seen how EV policy today, there were some media articles that for buses, et cetera, there will be incentives, et cetera. So EV encouragement is from a government as well as consumer side going up. But also along with EV growth, 2 other things are happening. One is the clarity in the policy stakeholders is very clear that we will have to very quickly accelerate domestication of the battery supply chain. And your company there is the best positioned to do that. Then in the power grid itself, it's very clear that our solar rollout has kind of maxed out unless we start deploying batteries along with it. And that's why you can see already some announcement on floating solar along with batteries. So the government sentiment as well as policy sentiment, whatever we read from media, seems like there will be more just like ALMM and solar. There will be ALBM, ALCM. There will be hopefully some extension in the ACC PLI. There will be domestic procurement for DESS deployments mandates coming soon. And our battery business is actually right in the center of that potential for growth. Now in our battery business, we have built our own domestic IP, and that's actually the reason why we have been able to create and productionize and scale up the gigafactory and get commercially viable yields and prices. And we have 6 gigawatt hour already installed, 6 gigawatt hour -- 2.5 was already done. The remaining 3.5 is getting done this quarter. It was supposed to be done a month back, but due to the Iran war, some containers got delayed, but it's getting done in June. And we are actually going to be expanding that 6 to 20 gigawatt hour by next year, but only by raising capital separately at the cell entity, which also we have a lot of inbound interest from private equity players given the leadership of this asset that we have created. So that's -- I just want to underline this important point on the macro side that our company is very well positioned to really leverage the tide and really come -- create this energy security stack for our country in a meaningful way and monetize it. There is some commentary here on our technology. We will probably skip that in our commentary. But another point I want to make in our Gigafactory business is that we have actually -- Deepak gave you quick operating metrics. You can find that in Page 12 and 13 also. But now we are focused on ramping up production to get revenue in the Gigafactory. And there are 3 engines of revenue built in this. If you go to Page 13, you will see the chart there. We have our cells, the 46 series is already out there. We are also working on a prismatic cell, which will be out soon. We haven't yet released details of that. But there are 3 revenue engines now. First is mobility, which is EVs. Obviously, our captive demand will eat up about 1.5 to 2 gigawatt hour by the end of this financial year. But we are also now in conversations with external companies, Indian and global who want to buy our own cells given that they are world-class and industry-leading specs. The second demand engine, which is already built is Shakti. Shakti, we had launched last quarter, and we have already delivered some to customers. We are constrained by supply of ourselves because we are prioritizing our own auto business moving to ourselves in general over Shakti production. But as Gigafactory ramps up through the next few months, Shakti will also meaningfully ramp up. And there, we have very strong demand from both retail as well as B2B customers, telecom towers, petrol stations, dark stores, other organized retail chains. Everybody today has diesel generators and lead acid batteries and all of them want to replace that with lithium. The third big pillar, which we are now creating is the grid storage. So this product is called Mahashakti which is bigger Shakti more in energy. So Mahashakti. It will be built on our prismatic LFP platform. We are right now in product development. We have had conversations with many platforms there. We have shared specs. People are excited about our product there. And more details will follow through the next couple of quarters.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesOkay. So I just wanted to emphasize that around 15% of the orders are already on our product using Bharat Cells. And we plan to transition the full vehicle portfolio to our own sales by September 22.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesI think I would underline that, Deepak. This is a meaningful transition, already 15% on our own 4680 cells in the market, very good feedback from customers. And by end of next quarter, we plan to transition everything. So it's a meaningful ramp-up of our Gigafactory happening as we speak.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesSo to summarize, Ola is positioned across the 2 important pillars of India's energy future, electric mobility and batteries, vehicles create captive demand for the Gigafactory, sales improve our vehicles through range, cost and supply chain control and the same platform opens up energy storage to Shakti and Mahashakti. Our financial year '26-'27 priorities are clear: record volumes, hold margin leadership, reduce OpEx, ramp up the Gigafactory, improve auto cash generation and scale Shakti and Mahashakti. Thank you so much. Now I will open the floor for question and answers to the participants.
Unknown Executive
Executives[Operator Instructions] We'll take the first question from [ Mr. Mir Doshi ] from White Oak Capital.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsGood numbers in terms of margin. So I want to know that are we planning -- in last quarter, you told that in quarter 4, we are going to have a good revenue, but still it is not reflecting. Also, your team has given the data at the end of March and you have a very good number of sales. Why it is not reflecting in terms of the number? That is my question.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesOkay. Mit, I don't know what exactly you're referring to, but our registrations are public data, right? So March, [Foreign Language] and May is trending towards 14,000 to 15,000. So we are growing volumes -- registrations. Our orders are growing ahead of registrations. But like I said, we have a production backlog now. So some of that will come through in this quarter in terms of registrations. In terms of revenue, see Q4 was a lower revenue because Q4 was also, like we said, a quarter where we focus a lot on our operations to fix the operations and then scale again, both on cost as well as customer experience. And we started scaling the volumes again in the middle of March onwards. And the good thing about our business is volumes daily and weekly and monthly publicly in terms of registrations. The cost and the gross margin improvement is what is once a quarter you guys are able to track over a period of time. So what I can say now is our volume forecast for Q1, we have given in this is 40,000 to 45,000. These are orders. Registrations might be a little up or down. Hopefully, it will be in the same range. But orders, we're seeing good healthy pull in, in terms of demand.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsWith follow-up question, I want to know that are we still focusing on electric 2-wheeler and like how you are thinking to main focus like for the new products of Shakti and that kind of UPS systems or 2-wheeler will be still remain the focus for the business?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesYes. Our company has 2 segments, 2 business segments, right? So 2-wheeler is the core business because that generates 100% revenue today. But our Gigafactory was also always built with the vision of building cells and ESS storage solutions, right? So the Shakti product is already built. It has actually a lot of carryover platform from the 2-wheeler platform. So in that sense, very low cost of CapEx and R&D to build the Shakti product. We will be ramping that up over the next couple of quarters. But like I said, our priority is to make our own cells go into our automotive business first. And then as the gigafactory ramp becomes beyond our automotive requirement, then we start scaling up Shakti next. But demand for Shakti also is very high given that battery storage is a very, very fast-growing theme.
Unknown Analyst
Analysts[Foreign Language]
Bhavish Aggarwal
Executives[Foreign Language]
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesWe'll take the next question from Mr. Arvind Sharma of Citi. We'll take the next question from Mr. Arvind Sharma of Citi. On the demand front, since you said the breakeven is around 20-odd thousand a month, what is the bridge from the current levels to that? Is it driven by motorcycles or driven more by service? What would be the key drivers for the volumes? That would be the first question.
Arvind Sharma
AnalystsOn the demand front, since you said the breakeven is around 20-odd thousand a month, what is the bridge from the current levels to that? Is it driven by motorcycles or driven more by service? What would be the key drivers for the volumes? That would be the first question.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesSo Arvind, firstly, we are still in our rebound phase in terms of volumes because what volumes in Q4 were not our steady-state volumes, right? It was impacted by our internal operations. But you have seen the recovery since that now it's the third month of recovery. And we are actually not just recovering, we are growing month-on-month on top of that rebound, right? So I believe another couple of months, most likely June, July also, we will see a continuing rebound of our volumes. The rebound itself should get us to about 17,000, 18,000 units a month. right? Now that will be a mix of both scooter and bike. Bike is about 15% of our volumes now. Beyond that, as -- like I said, now we are running a production backlog. As we are ramping up our supply chain, the factory anyway has capacity, so we don't need to do CapEx. But as we are ramping up our suppliers, as our suppliers are getting production scaling up again for us, demand is also ramping up. So I do expect just better stability on service and improved inventory availability will lead us to closer to 20,000, 22,000 number over the course of next quarter.
Arvind Sharma
AnalystsGot it. And if you might just give us some more granularity in terms of your own sales versus what you import, what is -- if you can share even directionally, what is the cost advantage that you're getting right now? And would it increase further when you move to 6 gigawatt hours?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesGood question, Arvind. So actually, all of you know that lithium has entered an up cycle in the industry. So our advantage of our own cells has actually improved. So even at this low volume production where we are today, it is cheaper for us to make our own cell versus buy a cell from outside as far as BOM cost is concerned. Obviously, the overheads on the gigafactory right now are -- with more scale will get factored in. But on just pure BOM cost alone, it is cheaper for us to build versus import. And that's at these low volumes. I do expect as we scale up our Gigafactory towards the 6 gigawatt hour over the course of this year, we will get a 10% to 15% advantage on building our own cell, including the operational overheads of the Gigafactory. So the advantages of making in India are actually coming out to be very true in the -- already in our business model.
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesWe'll take the next question from Mr. Venkatesh of Motilal Oswal.
Unknown Analyst
Analysts[indiscernible] massive battery cycle. So when you talk about...
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesVenkatesh, we didn't hear you clearly got garbled up. Can you please repeat your question? Or if you are not clear, then you type it in, in the chat box. Okay there's no chat box. So you can please repeat your question.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsYes. Sir, what I said is when battery segment...
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesOkay. I think we'll move on to the next question, which is from Mr. [indiscernible] of Crisil.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsCongratulations on the margin expansion, Bhavish. My question is twofold. One, is the battery capacity currently that you have and currently that is operational, is it now 100% being consumed in the scooter segment itself and you do not have anything for Shakti? That was my first question. Second is about marketing and advertising. Any specific reason as to you do not advertise big time in the print media? These are the 2 questions.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesOkay, I'll answer the second one first. See, as a philosophy, we believe that our product speaks for itself. And all along in our journey, we have been able to succeed with that philosophy. And as a result, our costs are also controlled. So we don't -- it's not like we have anything against print media. We don't even do TV actually. You will not see us sponsor any IPL team or any codings or anything because our product is so far ahead of our competitor products, it delivers great word of mouth. Now that doesn't mean we will not do advertising. We might do some advertising in the coming months as we see opportunity for educating a larger mass of customers on the benefits of EV as well as about how our brand has turned around from some service challenges in the past. So we might do something. As of now, we don't see the need to do anything immediately. On your first question, see, the 6 gigawatt hour, out of this, roughly rule of thumb, you can assume 3 is already commissioned, 3 is getting commissioned by end of next month. Now the 3 that is commissioned already is in a ramp-up phase. So the way Gigafactory and gigafactories are very complex. You have to commission -- first, you have to install the equipment, then you commission the equipment and then you ramp up with improving yields. So the gigawatt hour that we have already commissioned is in a ramp-up phase with good yields. So as we are ramping up, and we also have to ramp up supply chains, people who send us the cathode powder, anode powder, electrolyte in India, all of that. So as our whole supply chain is ramping up, we are increasing our productivity and our output of the gigafactory. So over -- by end of next quarter, which is September, we expect our gigafactory to be producing about 2-plus gigawatt hours already. And for the whole year, the allocation of capacity is 2 gigawatt hour to our in-house business, maybe 1-plus gigawatt hour to external auto sales and the remaining is focused on Shakti and Mahashakti.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsYes. And one last quick question. In terms of monetizing, if you may want to call it that way, the e-cell business, I mean, there were media articles in between that about INR 2,000 crore monetization and money should flow into the company and so on. I understand you cannot speak much about it unless you make a public disclosure on that. But are things moving on that direction?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesI can't share too much, but we have a lot of interest from people on that front. And like I said, our ambition in our cell business is to be the largest in the country. Today, we are the first and the largest, but that space is going to expand fast, and we will be absolutely focused on leading that space being the largest in capacity and revenue. And for that, we will have to expand beyond 6 gigawatt hour, but we will do that when we raise capital in the subsidiary. And that will be in due course, we will let you know.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsCongrats on the increasing delivery numbers. Best of luck.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesThank you.
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesWe'll take the next question from [ Apurva Desai ] of Kotak.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsSo 2 quick questions from me, okay? So the first question is in regards to the ASP calculation that you have given, okay? So what you've mentioned is that there's a onetime change in the revenue recognition policy. So could you maybe elaborate on that?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesYes. So Apurva, what we did was we sell some, let's call it, care packages or extended warranty packages, which we -- which is a, let's say, 3-year product, 5-year product, but we were recognizing the revenue upfront. So this time with our auditors, we decided that we will not recognize it upfront. So that's about a INR 20 crores, INR 30 crore hit in this quarter. Is that correct?
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesYes Bhavish.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesYes, I'm not the financial expert, but this is what it is. So hence, you see the ASP has come down, but actually, that revenue will come every quarter, right, because we have already done the same.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. So this was more of a onetime thing. Is that correct?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesIt will be a onetime correction. So every quarter now, you will see this revised approach.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. So would that be the case for the earlier quarters as well? Would the numbers be revised? Or would that not be the case?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesMaybe Deepak, you can answer.
Deepak Rastogi
ExecutivesNo. So whatever was the impact we've already taken baked in already in these numbers. And there is no onetime effect which you would see. It will be already baked in the numbers. So whatever numbers you publish will continue with the same numbers.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. Okay. So coming to my second question, okay? So it's regarding the Gigafactory. So from what your shareholders' report told, so I understand that you want to ramp it up to 20 gigawatt hours. So I want to understand 2 things, okay? So first is the -- I want to understand the rationale behind going for a ramp-up pretty quickly. And the second question is, maybe if you could maybe shed more light on the order pipeline or something, I think that is all from my end.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesSure, Apurva. So like we said in the report in the letter also, we will not be ramping up beyond 6 right now from a capital allocation perspective, right? We will first consume the -- grow into the 6 gigawatt hour capacity. But the industry demand in India is growing faster. So just to be able to lead the industry, we will expand capacity, especially around the prismatic cell capacity. Today, our capacity is the cylindrical cell. We will expand capacities into the prismatic cell capacity, but only when we raise capital at a subsidiary level. And that is in our plans for this financial year.
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesWe'll take the next question from Mr. Vipul Agrawal of HSBC.
Vipul Agrawal
AnalystsThree questions. First is you talked about lower CapEx. Like what will be -- now how should we see the total CapEx for next 2 to 3 years perspective? Like we see that you already have 1 million capacity in vehicle. And I guess you will -- you will be having just a couple of quarters remaining for the CapEx in battery plant. So how should we see our CapEx in the next 2 to 3 years?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesGood question. Vipul, in auto, we -- on an annual basis, you should expect very incremental CapEx, maybe INR 50-odd crores, that's about it, just maintenance CapEx because we have very large capacity already built out. So that means the conversion of EBITDA to free cash flow will be fairly high. On cell business also, like I said, we have done all the CapEx for 6 gigawatt hour. Payouts are happening in this current Q1 and a little bit in Q2. Beyond that, you will not see any more CapEx till we get some capital into the cell company separately. So from that sense, actually, the business' CapEx cycle is behind it and our focus is on scaling up utilization and monetization.
Vipul Agrawal
AnalystsSo if you can quantify if you -- if it is possible to quantify like what kind of outflow we are looking in FY '27 and what kind of maintenance CapEx we are looking in FY '28, if possible, if you can quantify?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesVipul, again rule of thumb - Maintenance CapEx will be sub INR 50 crores annually. I'll just add one more nuance. We do have some R&D, which we capitalize about 20%, 30% of our overall R&D expenses. That will keep coming in. But in terms of PPE CapEx, that will be below INR 50 crores a year.
Vipul Agrawal
AnalystsOkay. My coming next question is on R&D only. So how should we like -- you are largely done with your product development as well? And your Gen 3 is also doing pretty well. So how do we -- how should we see the R&D expense as well in coming years?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesSee, Vipul, we are a technology company, and we've always maintained that our competitive advantage comes from both our manufacturing depth of vertical integration as well as our technology depth of owning all key technologies in-house. And you can see how that has played out in terms of gross margin, product proposition, all of that stuff. So we will continue to invest in R&D across both auto as well as cell business. It will be -- right now, obviously, as a percentage of revenue, it is higher because revenue was subdued in Q4. But generally, it should be in the mid-single digits of revenue going ahead as revenue ramps up.
Vipul Agrawal
AnalystsMakes sense. My second question is on the cash position right now. Basically, since you talked about like lower CapEx right now and your OpEx is are pretty low. So are we looking at any major cash burn in FY '27 or we should be likely maybe like at par? How should we look at that part of the business?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesYes. See, we have -- on 31st March, we had about INR 1,550 crores, INR 1,600 crores of gross cash and about INR 2,500 crores of debt. So we had a net debt of about INR 950-odd crores. We don't expect any -- there will be about INR 300 crores to INR 500 crores of operating cash flow burn over the course of this year as the volumes go up. It could be lower if volumes rise faster. But generally, operating cash burn, like I said, after 20,000, 25,000 orders a month will be positive. We will be making operating cash flow. And on free cash flow, this CapEx is minimal going forward. We do have some debt servicing and debt repayments coming up. I think through this year, we'll have about INR 400-plus crores of debt repayments. And we might also choose to accelerate some because right now, our cost of debt is slightly higher.
Vipul Agrawal
AnalystsThat was a pretty detailed answer. Just last one on qualitative aspect of the business. So like what we have seen in the last 3 years when you started your new stores, the store experience was pretty very good and eventually deteriorated. But what we are seeing right now, it has improved, but again, not to the extent what we have seen 2 years back. So maybe if you can talk a bit on your store strategies, like do you plan to get new dealers or maybe it will be like company-owned company driven? How do you plan to improve that -- the whole experience for the customers?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesSo Vipul, our experience has improved from, let's say, 2 quarters or 1 quarter ago. And we expect in the next 1 or 2 quarters, it will be ahead of industry standards in all key metrics that matter, be it the service turnaround time, be it the quality of the people we have there, the sales process, et cetera. We are focused on improving experience. We've spent a lot of time building the right back-end processes to make front-end experience better. We don't plan to have any dealerships in our auto business. We believe our strategy is correct. We had some execution slipups through last year, but now the company has meaningfully overcome that. That said, there is still some work to be done, like you correctly pointed out. And the good thing is our volumes are ramping up in parallel. So as we work through all the improvements in the front end of the business over the next quarter or 2, further, you will see customer sentiment and sales ramp up.
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesWe'll take the next question from [ Mr. Thribuvan Singh ] of Sonalika Family Office.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsCongratulations on the solid results you guys have. I just wanted to understand the research and development part of Ola's battery business. Like I read somewhere that you guys are focusing on solid-state batteries and sodium-ion batteries. So how are we progressing on these long-term initiatives, I would say?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesYes. Very, very good question. I never thought I'll be asked a technical question in an investor meet -- but actually, you read it in our letter itself on Page 12, the cell technology road map shows you that our road map ladders into on the performance side, solid state and on the cost side, sodium. So we have these technologies already at a lab scale already working. We are not focused on spending a lot of capital on getting the manufacturing ready right now. Our focus is to ramp up our 46 series LMC. We have though brought in our LFP cell also through the next quarter, it will start ramping up in our factory. But we are ready as the industry matures for solid-state and sodium, we will be bringing those products to market also. Sorry, is there a follow-up question? Or does that answer your question?
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesAll right. We'll move to the next question from [ Mr. Jainil Javeri ] of J&J Holdings.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsI had a couple of questions. One was relating to the service issues. Of many videos that have watched online, the service issue seems to be with part unavailability. So I just wanted to understand that why is that happening? Like even if it is a Gen 1 or Gen 2 scooter, how is it that parts are unavailable?
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesYou caught it well, Jenil. See, firstly, some of the videos on social, obviously, are old videos. So they keep recirculating online due to competitive pressures. But you are right, one of the challenges we did face was parts supply chain. See, as we had ramped up our network, we -- because we -- in a dealer model, the dealer buys the parts and the OEM distributes it through traditional distributor chains. Now we don't do that. We send our parts directly to our service center. So earlier, we were not stopping any parts in our service center, and that led to even for a brake pad replacement, the guy had to wait 10 days. And our parts procurement from our suppliers was also after a part requirement came. So actually led to 20, 30-day fulfillment time lines. So now we have streamlined a lot of that. So now parts are stocked in the service center as well as the part procurement is done basis forecast. So all this is just execution fixes that we have done and now parts have improved. There's still some work to be done. Some parts we still have to -- because like I said, we are still ramping up our supply chain. Some parts are common between our production and service. So we are prioritizing production, but we are ramping up the supply chain so that we can fulfill part requirements better in service also.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. And one question regarding BESS. Why have we selected NMC to go into BESS when we have LFP? And so like mostly around the world, it has only been LFP. So anyone getting LFP cells from China and putting into a BESS product in India would start off much cheaper than our Shakti product. So why would...
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesSo Jenny, we haven't selected NMC. The Shakti product will move to LFP once our LFP product comes out next quarter. We had started with NMC for our auto business. And that's why even now we have decided to ramp up Shakti slower because we are focusing our NMC 46 series into our auto business. Through next quarter, but we wanted to be in the market with Shakti. So many customers actually are okay with paying the price of Shakti with the NMC product today. So we are starting to take that business. But by next quarter, Shakti will have LFP so that we can ramp it up faster.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. And my last question, I've noticed that there's -- there has been a slip up in terms of some products moving into future quarters or maybe even future years like the gig product.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesJanil, I understood your question. See, we decided -- and I think we made a public statement of this also, maybe back that we have a product road map. In our shareholders' letter also, you can see it somewhere in the slide pages. But we decided we will not launch new products until our volumes get back up because we wanted to be more disciplined on new capital allocation for new products. Now as we have stabilized our front-end operations as volumes are ramping up again, we will actually go back to some new product launches over the course of this year.
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsOkay. And just one last comment. I mean...
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesJanil, I think we will -- in the interest of time, we will...
Unknown Analyst
AnalystsIt's a positive comment -- just wanted to say that there was a video from some [ Gareeb ] scientists or some Twitter handle in terms of the technology that goes into your batteries. And I was very pleasantly surprised at the amount of work that you have done. But just would like to say that I think I need to even show the investors maybe in terms of maybe some kind of an analyst meet over there and stuff like that because it seems like you are doing the hard work, but in terms of the market, it's not coming even through analyst notes.
Bhavish Aggarwal
ExecutivesVery fair point, Janil. We are planning an Analyst and Investor Day in our Gigafactory sometime maybe in a month. That's on our agenda. So thank you so much for seeing that technical video and appreciating it.
Unknown Executive
ExecutivesAll right. I think with this, we come to the conclusion of the session here. We appreciate your time and all of your questions during the call today. Thank you so much for joining us, and we look forward to meeting you all during our next earnings conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now log out from the conference call. Good evening.
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