OMV Petrom S.A. (SNP) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 22, 2023

Bucharest Stock Exchange RO Energy Oil, Gas and Consumable Fuels special 48 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Christina Verchere

executive
#1

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and a warm welcome to our conference. Please let me first draw your attention to our legal disclaimer, which you can read in detail on Slide 2. I'm here today with Alina Popa, our Chief Financial Officer; Cristian Hubati, our new Executive Board member responsible for exploration production; and Franck Neel, our Executive Board member responsible for Gas and Power. Ladies and gentlemen, in December 2021, we launched our Strategy 2030, built on 3 pillars: transition to low and zero-carbon, grow regional gas and optimize traditional business. At the heart of the second pillar, grow regional gas stands Neptun Deep. This week, 1.5 years into our strategy cycle, we have announced a major step forward in delivering on our Strategy 2030. We reached the final investment decision for the development of Neptun Deep and together with our partner, Romgaz, we approved the submission of the development plan to the regulator, the National Agency for Mineral Resources. Neptun Deep is crucial in securing our sustainable long-term growth by generating high profitability that will facilitate new investments and attractive shareholder returns. At the same time, by increasing the share of natural gas in the hydrocarbon production, this project is supporting our efforts to decarbonize as we see natural gas as a key enabler for successful energy transition. Ladies and gentlemen, this is an exciting and long-awaited moment for the investment community and many, many others. Before we look into the future, let us summarize the key milestones that contributed to this achievement. Since 2008, the exploration activities in the Neptun Deep block have included two 3D seismic acquisition campaigns and two exploration drilling campaigns. A total of 8 wells were drilled with a success rate of around 80%, significantly higher than industry average. The first gas discovery well was Domino-1 in the Domino field, which took place during the first drilling campaign in 2011 to 2012. After interpreting a second set of seismic data during the 2014 to 2015 drilling campaign, the Pelican South-1 well was drilled, leading to a discovery in the Pelican South field. Until now, total gross investment for the project has been around EUR 1.5 billion. In August 2022, we became the operator in our new partnership with Romgaz. And in December 2022, we marked another key milestone with the submission of the declaration of commercial discovery of the Domino and Pelican South fields to the regulator. Moreover, in March this year, we signed with Trangaz -- Transgaz, the contract for the Tuzla-Podisor capacity booking for the natural gas delivery from the Black Sea to the national transport system. The field development plan that we have just approved in partnership with Romgaz is being submitted to the regulator for endorsement. For OMV Petrom, this project will be a transformational and plays a key role in our company growth story. It will completely reshape our hydrocarbon production portfolio and will significantly boost our earnings. In 2030, group EBIT is estimated to increase by 50% due to the Neptun Deep contribution. This will support our investments in low and zero carbon projects as well as our progressive dividend policy. Neptun Deep gas volumes represent a significant shift in our portfolio as gas production is expected to double and reach 70% of our total hydrocarbon production. In addition, it will reduce the carbon intensity of our E&P portfolio by more than 70% compared to 2019. Neptun Deep is a strategic project, not only for us but also for Romania. Together with Romgaz, we will invest up to EUR 4 billion in this project, which will contribute to Romania's long-term security of energy supply. Moreover, at plateau, Neptun Deep gas will double Romania's current gas production, and the country will become the largest gas producer in the EU, thus contributing to the EU's energy security. Today, I am happy to present the key highlights of this project, which are broadly in line with the one shared in December 2021 when we launched our Strategy 2030. The development CapEx of the whole project is estimated between EUR 3.8 billion to EUR 4 billion to be spent mostly during 2024 to 2026. Drilling activities are planned to start in 2024 with first production in 2027. Recoverable volumes are currently estimated at around 100 billion cubic meters, which are to be gradually recognized in our reserve base. It is expected that the plateau production will be reached within 1 year after first gas and will last for a total period of around 10 years at approximately 140,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. After this period, the asset will enter into natural decline for a period of another 8 years. The production cost is estimated at an average of around $3 per barrel of oil equivalent for the entire life of field, which will significantly enhance the committedness of our entire E&P portfolio. The IRR for the life of the field is expected to exceed 12%. Let me share with you some technical details on the development concept of this project. The project includes the development of 2 natural gas fields, Domino and Pelican South. Domino, the main field is located in water depths of 1,000 meters, while Pelican South is shallower, located at 120-meter water depth. The 2 fields will function in parallel being well -- being both connected to a shallow water platform. Domino field will be producing from 6 wells connected into a subsea production system. Pelican South will produce from 4 wells via 1 subsea production system. The subsea production systems are connected via pipelines and umbilicals to the shallow water platform through flexible flow lines. These flow lines are continuously direct electrically heated to a quite novel technology in the industry, ensuring reliability and reducing operating costs. The unmanned shallow water platform is where the gas processing will happen. The platform will generate its own energy, and will operate at the highest standards of safety and environmental protection. The entire infrastructure will be operated remotely through a digital twin. This allows the optimization of processes and will contribute to the improvement of environmental performance by making energy consumption more efficient and reducing emissions. The natural gas discovery is a very high purity, dry, biogenic gas with a composition of 99.5% methane, and therefore, it needs very little processing. The gas will be dried or dehydrated to sales gas specification and then transported via 160-kilometer pipeline to the shore, where it will pass through a metering station and enter into the national gas transmission network at Tuzla. The construction plan of this project takes into account any possible impact on the environment and the local communities. And as part of the development, we will conduct environmental and marine life assessments. And where the case, we will put robust mitigation measures in place. The gas pipeline coming from the platform will be entirely buried passing under the beach and continuing it until it reaches the metering station in Tuzla. OMV Petrom has over 4 decades of experience as an offshore operator. Approximately 25% of our gas production today comes from our shallow water offshore assets. During the exploration appraisal phase of this project, we partnered with ExxonMobil for more than a decade, and we were the operator of the 3D seismic campaigns. For the execution of this project, we are leveraging our project management and logistics capability built during these 40 years of experience in developing and operating offshore assets. However, the deepwater development is the first of its kind in the Romanian waters. So we needed to complement our internal capabilities with new team members with international experience in deepwater projects. A highly technical capable and diverse international team of approximately 300 people who will be working on different stages of the construction and installation of the hardware. As an integrated company, we have experience in the entire gas value chain, including gas marketing. We have been a major reliable gas supplier to the Romanian market for more than 2 decades. And in the past years, we have become an important regional player by growing our portfolio beyond equity gas. Romania has been a net importer of gas for decades. And in the context of decreasing domestic gas production without Neptun Deep, we estimate the imported gas as a percentage of total Romanian consumption would rise to approximately 50% by 2030. Domestic gas demand is expected to grow by 2030. This growth is driven mainly by new gas-fired power generation capabilities coming online as well as the expected gradual increase in household demand supported by governmental incentives for good connection extensions. The industrial demand is anticipated to decline gradually due to improved energy efficiency. Neptun Deep will turn Romania into the largest gas producer in the European Union and a net gas exporter. The gas infrastructure development in the past years ensure interconnection with Romania's neighbors, which are all net importers. The accumulated gas export capacity to Bulgaria, Hungary and Moldova is currently around 8 bcm per year. Thus, Neptun Deep will provide an important stepping stone to both greater energy security and a lower carbon economy for Southeast Europe. Ladies and gentlemen, the final investment decision of Neptun Deep represents a fundamental step change in delivering on our Strategy 2030. This project will bring a significant shift in our hydrocarbon portfolio by 2030, our gas production will more than double compared to the current levels and gas will reach a 70% weight in the total hydrocarbon production. And importantly, the robust profitability of the project will support our investments in future low and zero-carbon projects and will enable us to further deliver highly attractive shareholder returns. Neptun Deep is also fundamental for our decarbonization journey. Our plateau production, the carbon footprint is expected to be around 2.2 kilograms of CO2 per barrel of oil equivalent, significantly below the industry average. Thus, Neptun Deep will contribute to approximately half of our 70% reduction target of Scope 1 and 2 carbon intensity by 2030, also supporting our net zero operations commitment by 2050. The increase in domestic production will also support Romania's efforts to decarbonize as gas can replace coal in power generation and enable integration with renewable capacities. At the country level, Neptun Deep will bring both increased security of supply and economic benefits. Based on an independent study on the economic impact of this project into the Romanian economy. Neptun Deep will bring around EUR 20 billion in revenues to the state budget and approximately EUR 40 billion economic value. Moreover, almost 9,000 jobs will be created or maintained, thanks to the Neptun Deep project. Ladies and gentlemen, I now invite you to watch together a short video about this project. Afterwards, we will open for the Q&A session. [Presentation]

Christina Verchere

executive
#2

Thanks you for joining us today. Now together with Alina, Cristian and Franck, we'll be very happy to take any questions you have regarding the Neptun Deep project.

Simona Crutu

executive
#3

Good afternoon also from my side, we are now opening the Q&A session. [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Jonathan Lamb.

Jonathan Lamb

analyst
#4

Congratulations. It's a great day. I want to ask you about the availability of everything to make this thing happen on time. Do you already have the drilling rig booked and all the engineering companies contractors ready to go in and start?

Christina Verchere

executive
#5

Jonathan, thank you for joining to us. Yes, we agree. It's a great moment today. With regards to the tendering process, Cristian will take your question. Thank you, Jonathan.

Cristian Hubati

executive
#6

Yes. Thank you, Christina. Thank you for the question. We are just now in the process of tendering -- in the final process of tendering. We didn't award the final packages, as we are waiting for the validation of the field development plan submitted to the regulator. But we're ready.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#7

Hello, Jonathan, also from my side and very happy as well that we share with you this great moment for us. I would say with regards to availability, we do have options. We do have competitive process so we are very confident that we will be able to keep the time line and have the first gas in 2027, best in what we have on the table right now. Thank you.

Simona Crutu

executive
#8

Next question -- sorry, next question come from Raphael DuBois from Societe Generale. Raphael?

Raphaël DuBois

analyst
#9

Can you hear me?

Simona Crutu

executive
#10

Yes.

Raphaël DuBois

analyst
#11

Yes, can you hear me now? Great. First of all, let me congratulate you for taking FID on Neptun. I have a few questions, please. The first one is, is there a tax stability agreement that has been signed with the Romania, we have seen windfall taxation being imposed. So it will be great to know if there is any stability that can be expected? Second question is, I understand the growing volumes, the lower OpEx per BOE. But in the end, can you address whether we should expect flat or better EBIT per BOE within your upstream division? And same question for the cash flow per BOE, that would be helpful. And lastly, have you signed any offtake agreements yet? Or is this something that you will focus on now that the FID has been taken?

Christina Verchere

executive
#12

Thank you, Raphael and for your kind words. For your first 2 questions on tax stability and sort of the improvement to the EBIT and the cash flow, Alina will cover those and then Franck will talk about your question on offtake agreements. Thank you.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#13

Hello from my side, Raphael, as well. So talking about the tax, we do have offshore law with some stability principles in the offshore law. Also, there is a concession agreement with some stability there. As we mentioned with regard to offshore, there are still some clarifications which are going on. But in principle, with regard to tax, we do have stability there. And we will continue to advocate on how important stability and predictability is along the journey of this project. I think this is our job to do in order to make sure that this is maintained going forward. With regards to your second question around the EBIT and cash flow predictability, we do have, of course, a lot of volatility around pricing. With regards to volumes, we mentioned that after the first we will reach the plateau, which will be very, very stable production over the -- almost 10 years. But of course, we have the pricing element, which -- and price risk we are happy to take as an investor in this industry, and it depends on how you see the pricing, you might have some volatility over the years.

Franck Neel

executive
#14

Good afternoon, Raphael. So Franck speaking. Thank you for your question. And as you follow OMV Petrom since many months, many years, you know that the last years, the Gas and Power team has built the capability in terms of marketing, in terms of trading, in terms of licensing, of course, in Romania, but also in Southeast Europe. So I'm very confident with my team in terms of the possibility to market this gas. But of course, what, due to the competition now and the fact our partner, Romgaz is also a main competitor in the market. I cannot disclose commercial information, as you can imagine. What I can tell you in terms of what we are looking at is due to this proximity Romania stands out as an attractive market. And -- but we are also actively exploring available option within the European Union. We have an expectation that due to supply demand that the market will be long in Romania. So export will need to be available. But also we are very confident in the last 4 years is the development of the interconnection between Romania and the neighboring countries. I think the TSO -- Transgaz has done a great job there. So we have available capacity in different neighboring countries, which give us also the security that we will not be in the trapped market or if there is another supply. So I think that's what was important for us to take also FID. Thank you.

Simona Crutu

executive
#15

Next question comes from Yuriy Kukhtanych from Millennium.

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#16

Can you hear me well? Sorry, because I had some technical problems. You did. Okay. Great. Well, first of all, thank you for the time. And congratulations on FID project, finally approved without hesitation. One question -- I have 3 questions. But the first question, it's a clarification. So you said you took the FID as the company, as far as I understand, with Romgaz together, but the FID is not approved yet by the government. So if you could just clarify what needs to be done and what do you expect from the government? Is it just a formality or they still have to do and to approve some details, specificities about the project itself? So that's question number one. Second question is on CapEx. You mentioned it's still EUR 4 billion However, you said that you haven't granted the contracts yet. I understand that a big proportion of this CapEx is still not contracted. So this EUR 4 billion figure is a very old figure. So how much confidence do you have that this is going to be EUR 4 billion and not more, especially in a highly inflationary environment that we live. We hear from every oil and gas company in the world that costs are going up by 20%, 25% for the new developments. So how can you be confident in this EUR 4 billion CapEx figure? And the third question, please, on the security situation in the Black Sea given the proximity of the project to the war zone in Ukraine and in the Black Sea, what extra steps do you need to take to ensure security of development and security of infrastructure? And how much will it cost you?

Christina Verchere

executive
#17

Okay. Thank you. I will take the first question on sort of FID versus FDP. It's a very fair question to explain. Alina is going to cover the CapEx with regards to the tendering and Cristian will cover the question with regards to the Black Sea. So maybe I will clarify. So the final investment decision is a decision that obviously is taken by the company. Once the company has made that decision, it then has the ability to vote with the joint venture partner, and we voted with the joint venture partner that we were ready to submit the field development plan. So the field development plan has been submitted for endorsement, and we will wait for approval on that. Clearly, we have been in dialogue with the regulator. So we are looking for a speedy decision with that. And then from that, we will then be able to do the contract awards of that. The regulator has 90 days to do that, and we are hopeful that they will do it much shorter than that given we've been having dialogue beforehand. Alina, next question to you.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#18

Yes. Thank you, Yuriy, for the question. And with regards to CapEx, we are indeed very happy and we work hard to stay below the EUR 4 billion that we indicated when we launched our strategy. Right now, we have approximately 70% to 80% of this CapEx either based on preliminary offers or best and final offers. So we are quite confident that we will be able to stay below the EUR 4 billion. That's why we reconfirmed our indication 2 years ago.

Cristian Hubati

executive
#19

Thank you for the question. As you know, we are operating as far as speaking in the Black Sea since more than 40 years. Of course, during the actual operation and during the project will -- as a prudent operator, we will take all the necessary measures as to perform safe operation. Of course for the moment, we are not seeing any operation interaction on the Black Sea due to the Russian-Ukraine conflict. And of course, we are not seeing any risk of the development of the Neptun Deep due to this conflict. Thank you.

Christina Verchere

executive
#20

I mean I think it's a very fair question, and we've obviously dialogued a lot with regards to this overall. And the only other point I would say is obviously, we're in dialogue with Romanian authorities with regards to this. And obviously, a very important fact. Obviously, that Romania is a NATO country of that. So -- but thank you for your questions, Yuriy.

Simona Crutu

executive
#21

The next question comes from Daniela Mandru from Swiss Capital. Daniela, can you hear us?

Daniela Mandru

analyst
#22

Can you hear me?

Simona Crutu

executive
#23

Yes, we can hear you very well. Please go ahead. Daniela, can you hear us? Maybe we should -- Daniela, please rejoin or follow the instructions that you will receive on the chat. Meanwhile, we will take questions from Iuliana Ciopraga from Wood.

Iuliana Ciopraga

analyst
#24

Congratulations for the FID. First, regarding the provisions on the offshore law where you wanted clarifications. Can you let us know what is happening on this side? And second, the 12% IRR, what price is that based on? And third -- my third question would be, how much does it cost -- would it cost you to export the gas? That's all.

Christina Verchere

executive
#25

Okay. Thanks. I'll take the first question, Alina, the second one, and Franck will take the third one of that. You're absolutely right. We have been working hard to get some clarifications with regards to the offshore law that came into effect in -- or was actually passed in May of 2022. So we've been working on this for over a year. We haven't actually got the necessary clarifications. So to avoid any delay in the investment decision, we are applying a resolution mechanism that exists in the petroleum concession agreement to seek clarification for that. However, this is not in any way impacting the pace of the project. And as a company, we are confident that when matters are clarified that this topic will also be settled for that. Alina, on the IRR?

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#26

Yes. So thank you, Iuliana, for the question on IRR. To mention first that we are talking about full cycle IRR. That's an important element. So you need to add to this future costs that we disclosed around EUR 4 billion, if we talk about 100% on all the past costs as well. So that's the first clarification. And then with regards to prices, we do not disclose the -- our realized prices. that's the practice we do for everything. But in principle, what we see is that the prices are and what we expect for the time when Neptun will come on stream is that prices will be more and more aligned with hub -- European hub prices. Our estimations for hub prices, which are for -- starting 2027 are somewhere between EUR 25 to EUR 30 per megawatt starting 2027. And I think that's hub prices you need to calculate the rest, but we do not disclose exactly the realized prices. Thank you.

Franck Neel

executive
#27

Iuliana, on your export question, I think it's a bit more complex than that. I think it depends on the spread between markets and also -- now if you refer to the interconnection costs between market, it depends on issue which market we are talking about, but usually, it's between EUR 1.5 to EUR 2 per megawatt hour, the interconnection cost to exit the country. And then you have variable cost as well based on the gas.

Simona Crutu

executive
#28

Next in line is Tamas Pletser from Erste Group.

Tamas Pletser

analyst
#29

Yes. I got 2 questions First of all, can you just tell us a little bit about the production profile of this project. I remember you mentioned during the presentation that you expect plateau production around 140,000 barrels per day. When do you expect to reach that level? And how do you expect later on the decline of this production going forward? That will be my first question. And my second question would be about the kind of a production of this gas. Do you share this gas with Romgaz or do you sell together this gas, what you produce from this project company? So how can we imagine the sale process of the produced gas?

Christina Verchere

executive
#30

Okay. Cristian will take your questions with regards to the production profile. And obviously, when it comes to selling gas, Franck will cover this.

Cristian Hubati

executive
#31

Yes. Thank you, Tamas, for the question. You are right. Production profile is showing a plateau of 140,000 BOE per day. We're expecting to reach this 2028. Production profile plateau will stay 10 years, we'll have the plateau. And after that will gradually decline for the next 8 years. Thank you.

Franck Neel

executive
#32

So with our partner, Romgaz, the volume of gas will be shared based on our participation. So 50-50, we'll be responsible each of the party for the marketing of the gas.

Christina Verchere

executive
#33

Separately.

Franck Neel

executive
#34

Separately.

Simona Crutu

executive
#35

Next question comes from Oleg Galbur from Raiffeisen.

Oleg Galbur

analyst
#36

Yes. I hope you can hear me well.

Simona Crutu

executive
#37

Yes, we can hear you.

Oleg Galbur

analyst
#38

Yes. I have three questions. The first one is based on the projected level of production. What level of royalties do you expect to pay on Neptun Deep output of production? Second question refers to CapEx. Could you please provide an approximate split -- annual split of this EUR 4 billion? And thirdly, in order to be able to actually sell the gas produced at Neptun Deep, would they be necessary for any additional infrastructure to be developed by outside parties like Transgaz for example?

Christina Verchere

executive
#39

Great. Alina will cover the first 2 on royalties and CapEx, and then Franck will talk about any additional infrastructure needed for selling the gas.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#40

Hello Oleg also from my side. With regards to your first question on the projected level of production based on the level of production, we will have an applicable rate of 13% for royalties. With regard to the second question is too early for us to have a CapEx split per year. We are really in the middle of the procurement process. So there will be intensive discussions over the next few months. So it's too early, and I'm not able to provide this to you today.

Franck Neel

executive
#41

So for your question -- Franck speaking. For your question related to the infrastructure. Yes, there is still need a piece of infrastructure, and it was -- there was an announcement over the last weeks. Indeed, between when the gas arrive in Tuzla, we need to connect to Tuzla to Podisor. And I think what is important with this infrastructure, it gives us also access to different markets because you connect to T1, which is Trans-Balkan, which is going north to south, is connected then to the, of course, the national transmission system of Romania, but also connected to the BRUA pipeline. So it's very important infrastructure. The contract -- the EPC contractor has been already selected by Transgaz. The contract has been signed. And the expectation from EPC contractor is by the end of 2025, this piece of infrastructure would be delivered.

Simona Crutu

executive
#42

[Operator Instructions] Next question comes from Jonathan Lamb from Wood. Jonathan, can you hear us?

Jonathan Lamb

analyst
#43

Sorry, I didn't mean to raise my hand.

Simona Crutu

executive
#44

That's fine. No worries. I see on my screen now that Yuriy might also have another question. Yuriy, could you please confirm that you want to address another question?

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#45

Yes. 2 follow-ups -- 2 follow-ups, please. Christina, you said that the process of approval can take 90 days. Did I understand correctly? Just if you could talk about optionality. I mean what's the approval process? What do we need to do? Because I still don't understand that. The offshore law, I understand is done. You don't have any comments to the offshore law. So that's -- my first question is just a clarification. Why is it 90 days? Why is it so much so long? And second follow-up is on pricing. Does the government still have the first right of purchase of gas according to the draft of offshore law from last year, I think, or you will be selling gas on the open market?

Christina Verchere

executive
#46

Sorry, my microphone was off, apologies. I'll cover the first question, and then Franck will talk about the Article 21 and right of First Offer. 90 days is the -- is what's written into the regulation, and it's the right to the regulator to take that. Ultimately, they're reviewing the field development plan, the resources that will be developed, et cetera, to sign off on it. That's not uncommon around the world of that. Obviously, we've been working closely with the regulator. So what's coming in is not a surprise to them. And we are hopeful that they will be able to do it in less time to them. But it's their rights to take 90 days to look at it. So it's how it's written in the regulation. And I think that's not unique to Neptun. That's just how it's written. So hopefully, that answers your question.

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#47

Christina, do you have all the environmental permits already from the government, everything is approved? Or there's still something that needs to be approved by the government? Or it's just an FID revision?

Christina Verchere

executive
#48

So the field development plan is about how you plan to develop the field. It's not about the permitting. Permitting and the different permits is a separate process done by actually different regulators. If you can imagine, it's done by different regulators. This is the...

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#49

You don't have environmental permits.

Christina Verchere

executive
#50

Yes. Okay. We can talk through that, and Cristian can talk where we are with regards to the environmental permitting.

Cristian Hubati

executive
#51

Thank you for the question. As you probably know, it's -- you cannot apply it. You cannot have a construction permit and hence, the environmental permit as long as you don't have the field development plan approved and final. Where in the process we applied for the environmental permit, we are aligned with the authorities. There was several meetings and technical committees. We are not seeing -- we are well on track. We are not seeing hiccups because of this process. But you cannot have basically those permits before the approval of the project. I mean, the FDP from the regulator.

Christina Verchere

executive
#52

And maybe just one...

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#53

Well, I can give you the example of Rosebank in the U.K., which is exactly the reason why they are not FID in the project, the Rosebank in the U.K. because they haven't received the FID's -- sorry they haven't received the environmental permits for the project.

Christina Verchere

executive
#54

I think -- yes. Yuriy, I can understand, obviously, different things around the world. What we have -- and I think we've had this conversation in the past, what we see is, given the national importance of this project. All aspects of the remaining authorities are very keen to see if it move forward at pace. We had a joint press conference this morning with the Prime Minister, the President of the Senate as well as OMV Petrom and Romgaz. And I think we see a lot of national support to move this project through at pace of that. So that's just one maybe piece of color that I would add, obviously, I'm not saying that makes it different necessarily from the U.K., but this obviously is a game changer, not just for the company but also for the country as well.

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#55

Okay. And the sales piece. Yes, the government for right of purchase.

Franck Neel

executive
#56

Yuriy, so in the Article 21 of the offshore law. We -- the title holders have to propose to the state agency the possibility to match the offer we have from the market. So it's not a preemption, but it's the possibility to match the offers we have on the market.

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#57

Okay. Thank you very much. Thank you. So disclosure is still there, still in the contract in the law? You have to offer volume to the government first before you sell it on the other...

Franck Neel

executive
#58

No.

Yuriy Kukhtanych

analyst
#59

Franck, I heard it correctly or not?

Franck Neel

executive
#60

Yes, it's correct, but it's based on the offer we receive as well. So they will have to match the conditions we receive from the market from what we [indiscernible] are the buyer.

Simona Crutu

executive
#61

The next question comes from Daniela Mandru from Swiss.

Daniela Mandru

analyst
#62

I hope you can hear me now.

Simona Crutu

executive
#63

Very well.

Daniela Mandru

analyst
#64

Okay. Good. I have only one question regarding the net present value of the project because it is very important. I have an estimated value of EUR 4 billion. Please confirm me that I'm not out a lot of your range?

Christina Verchere

executive
#65

One for Alina.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#66

Daniela, I'm very, very happy that we hear you and you could be today with us. Unfortunately, I will not be able to disclose the net present value. But what I can say is that you have all the relevant information there. The only one which is, of course, there are many opinions that could exist is the price -- the gas price. But otherwise, you have the CapEx, you have the past CapEx as well, you have the operating cost and depending on production profile and depending on the gas price you can calculate and of course, discount rate the net present value. But I'm not in a position to be able to disclose this to you.

Daniela Mandru

analyst
#67

Okay. Then regarding the consumption of technological loss, my assumption is around 6%, 5.7%, I know you have a higher technological rate compared with Romgaz. That's why I'm confused. I don't know what to -- what rate to use?

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#68

I think that is not relevant for Neptun, but we do not disclose any kind of technological loss or anything like that. What you refer to is about our onshore, our traditional business, which is very different than this project.

Daniela Mandru

analyst
#69

So it would be lower compared to the onshore business.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#70

Yes.

Simona Crutu

executive
#71

Next question comes from Tamas Pletser from Erste.

Tamas Pletser

analyst
#72

I'm sorry, I don't have anything else to ask just left my hand raised.

Simona Crutu

executive
#73

What about Oleg Galbur? Oleg, you also have your hand raised.

Oleg Galbur

analyst
#74

Yes. And I do have a small follow-up. Just if you can clarify from your press release, you mentioned that the 100 million cubic meters of recoverable reserves at gross number. I wanted to ask if the 140,000 BOE of daily production is also a gross figure or a net figure? How should we look at it?

Christina Verchere

executive
#75

They're both gross. 100 million is gross and 140,000 barrels a day is also gross. So we will be 50% of that.

Simona Crutu

executive
#76

I also see Daniela's hands raised. Daniela, do you have further questions? If not, then we go back -- okay. If not, then we go back to Iuliana Ciopraga from Wood.

Iuliana Ciopraga

analyst
#77

Just a clarification, actually, too. The 12% IRR, I guess this is not based on the -- is that based on the EUR 25, EUR 30 per megawatt that you are mentioning? And my second question would be actually regarding OpEx. On the OpEx side, and that $3 per BOE is that based on binding offers as well? Is that something that you're looking to contract right now? How that work to guarantee this $3 per BOE?

Christina Verchere

executive
#78

Okay. Maybe just Alina, you can take the first question. On the second question, the OpEx is the operating cost, which is what's tendering right now is the CapEx costs. So they're quite different cost because the OpEx is really the operational side of it. It doesn't include royalties, it doesn't include depreciation or anything like that. So it's quite a different kind of cost than the CapEx. So it's not linked to totally to the tendering side of it, so.

Iuliana Ciopraga

analyst
#79

But how would you guarantee that? I mean how are you going to sign a contract right now to guarantee this $3 per BOE or how it will work? Or is just operating cost is something internal related to Petrom?

Christina Verchere

executive
#80

Yes, it's an operating cost related to Petrom and the running of the equipment that you saw in the video and all those aspects that you would see...

Iuliana Ciopraga

analyst
#81

So it's not based on contractors, okay, thank you.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#82

With regards to the 12% IRR we mentioned in our strategy that the hurdle rate is minimum 12%, and we wanted to confirm that on a full cycle basis, this project is above the 12%. Yes, indeed, 12% is calculated with a hub price of EUR 25 to EUR 30 per megawatt. We did do a lot of scenarios with regards to pricing. That's absolutely the case and sensitivities and so on, but I can confirm that with a hub price around 25% to 30%, we reach above 12% IRR.

Simona Crutu

executive
#83

We also have a follow-up question from Raphael DuBois from Societe Generale.

Raphaël DuBois

analyst
#84

Yes. Thank you very much. Can you hear me?

Simona Crutu

executive
#85

Yes, very well.

Raphaël DuBois

analyst
#86

Yes. Excellent. So just maybe let me ask differently. Would Neptun be working at capacity now? Would you get flatter with Neptun? How would the EBIT per BOE compared with the rest of your upstream business? Just to have a feel for the increase in the gas exposure, but the lower OpEx per BOE. How does it end up?

Christina Verchere

executive
#87

Okay. Alina, for you.

Alina-Gabriela Popa

executive
#88

Thank you, Raphael, for follow-up. I can confirm that considering lower cost coming from Neptun Deep, if this will be today on stream, our EBIT generated by Neptun per BOE will be significantly higher than the rest of the portfolio.

Simona Crutu

executive
#89

As there are no more questions, I want to thank you again for taking part in our conference. For further information, please do not hesitate to contact our Investor Relations team. Until our next call, we wish you all the best.

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