Pandox AB (publ) (PNDXB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 23, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWelcome to this fascinating afternoon we're going to have afternoon. Afternoon local time, yes, I know. We are doing the 26 addition of the hotel Market Day at Pandox. Number 26, Isn't that amazing? That, friends, entitles me to say that this is a sustainable event to trust, I think so. We're about 600 people to attend this, most of them online, and we have a great crowd present live as well. We have lots of top-class speakers, but we're also going to activate you a little. I will come to that later on. So that info will come. It's been a tough year. It's been a year with the lots of difficulties to tackle, lots of hard things to experience. I ask you to start this event by sharing with me and us attribute to Anders Nissen. [Presentation]
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThe first half of 2021 has been really challenging. We lost our cherished leader, Anders Nissen, due to COVID illness. Anders was a very inspiring person. I would say he was kind of a king of the hotel business. His attitude was always can do. If there was a counterwind, he would say, let's force even more. [Presentation]
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeLet me leave the floor to the Chairman of the Board of Pandox. Christian Ringnes.
Christian Ringnes
executiveDear friends, first of all, thank you for being here, be it in person, that's particularly nice, of course, or on the camera. I would also like to take the opportunity to thank you all for all the warrants and all the support we had during the difficult days where we lost Anders. Many of you wrote to us, many of you found us. It was very important, and I'm very, very thankful. This was difficult on the personal level. I would also like to thank the Pandox organization for stepping up when it was most needed. I still remember sitting in Norway. Anders was ill. I get the phone from Liia, saying the worst has happened. I knew immediately what the worst was. And then you think, "Jesus Christ, this is really, really horrible." You go completely into the basement, and then you start thinking I lost one of my very best friends. But what is going to happen to the business. You have 2 thoughts in the head at the same time. And it did not take long. The messages come in from the leaders of Pandox. And they say, "Mr. Chairman, don't worry. We know exactly what to do. You need not be afraid sitting in Norway. We will continue in the Anders Nissen Pandox Spirit. No worry." That was fantastic, and that is exactly what has happened. The last year, I was the star of a film that some of you saw where I was having a chess mate with the COVID virus. Of course, being the Chairman of Pandox, I won the match, and I won it in the year 2022, the year we are -- or it was actually the year 2021, the year we are in now, and my weapon was, of course, the vaccine. And we are winning the COVID fight. But of course, it's not a straight line. Every war that's being fought, you win some battles, you lose some battles. Right now, it's winter. The virus is getting a little bit stronger. Some people don't understand that it's actually quite smart to be vaccinated. It's like if you're out in the forest with a lot of wolves, it's very smart to have something that keeps the wolves away. And the COVID real wolves -- the illness. But we have some temporary closedowns and restrictions in Europe. We still are not certain when the travel from the Far East is coming back. So you could be worried, but look at what has happened, the months we have behind us now, September, October, November, all the regional cities better than 2019, in Northern Europe. The capitals, we are at 85% to 90%. So it just shows you that once restrictions it appear, the business is back. The underlying growth is there. How long will it take before we're finished with COVID? I gave you an indication last year that the fight was starting, and we're winning. But now the year 2022 will be the year where the COVID for all practical purposes will disappear. When I stand here 1 year from now, I will be in bright circumstances. To quote or paraphrase rather Vincent Churchill, you remember his words, but I will just say them slightly differently, "this is not the end of the beginning, but it is the beginning of the end." So that is good because people live to live, not to avoid dying. So it will be good for us in 2022. And I will stand here on this very day, and I will say, I have then seen revenues increase. I have seen the valuation of those revenues increase double confetti. I will be happy. I will feel rich, the Pandox share price will be well above now. My friend [ George ] will have bought hotels for us. I will take out my sunglasses and say, now fall 2022, the future is so bright, I need to wear glasses. Thank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank you, Christian. I've got one single question to you, because we're looking forward, just as you did now. How can you manage to transfer and develop the Nissen Spirit into something new to lift this company to new heights?
Christian Ringnes
executiveI think Anders Spirit was so strong in Pandox. And I don't know if it was only Anders or if it was interaction with Anders, that made this fantastic Pandox spirit. And as I just told you, the Pandox spirit lives on, and it started to live on and get stronger from the day that Anders disappeared. It's a -- strange and it must be the ultimate testimony to his [ greatness ] that it actually continued and is becoming even stronger. I always called Anders, Mr. President. He called me Mr. Chairman, but he was Mr. President. Now we have Liia as the new leader. And you know what I call her, I call her Motti. And the reason I call her Motti is because the mothers are the wise ones. They keep the family in this case, the extended family of Pandox together, and they know how to embody the spirit of Pandox. But they will do it in a different way than Anders did. So I look very much with brightness on the future.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeSo then I can say thank you, Mr. Chairman.
Christian Ringnes
executiveYou can, Mr. Journalist.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThanks a lot. Some of you out there and here already wonder. Who is this? This is Gunn Lundemo. She's a professional DJ. She's touring all over the world, aren't you?
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeLike where? 3, 4 continents.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes, yes. Everywhere. Not so much Asia. I did Israel, but not like Asia. But yes, everywhere.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYes. And today, you're not only a DJ, you are side kicking me as a moderator. You are used to produce stuff, not only music, but events as well. You are, for example, the producer of Stockholm Pride Festival.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes, it's the biggest process well, in Scandinavia. It's wonderful.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThat's not bad.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeNo, no. It's like...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWe do enjoy that you're here, Gunn.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeThank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeAnd we will hear a lot from Gunn later on. Please give her a hand.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeThank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWe are still looking back a little then we attack the future. So let's take a check on a little bit of moving images a year in review. [Presentation]
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeTime to introduce the real host for this event, the CEO of Pandox.
Operator
operatorPlease welcome the CEO of Pandox, Liia Nou.
Liia Nõu
executiveThank you. Thank you so much, and welcome, everyone. Also a warm welcome to everyone who's following us on the web. It's a great honor and a great privilege to be standing here today. And talk about Hotel Market. And I can't wait to listen to our fabulous speakers who will be here after me. This is Pandox. We are one of Europe's largest hotel property owners. We have -- we are founded in 1995. We have 156 magnificent hotel properties, with more than 35,000 rooms. We are in 15 countries in more than 90 destinations, and we work together with more than 30 business partners and brands. We have a total property market value of more than $61 billion. We are organized into 2 business segments: property management, where we own and lease out our properties to strong, well-known operators and many of you are here today, like Scandic, Jurys Inn, Leonardo, NH, the list goes on, and the long-term revenue-based leases often with a minimum guarantee rent. The other business segment is operating activities. Here, we own and operate the hotel properties ourselves. We have around 20, which we operate ourselves. And under different operating models, it can be a franchise, it can be a management contract or our own developed brands. So, the day this nasty bag entered our lives, everything changed. From an all-time high to an all-time low in 19 days, 1-9 days. All through the pandemic, we've been working with a game plan, which -- with 3 pillars. We call them respond, restart and reinvent. Respond. It's all about managing the acute crisis, focusing on financial survival, limiting losses, preserving cash, protecting the assets. But equally important has been to stay positive and open, open in mind, but also open, actual hotels open, showing up the leadership in all fronts. And there to be optimistic, also there to be -- to have some fun even in the darkest of moments. The second pillar we call Restart. It's all about planning for the recovery. What could it look like? What segments will drive demand at what pace? And this very early on, we started working with this led to a framework, which is still valid. It has 6 steps, starts with countries opening up, hotels opening up, domestic leisure returning, domestic business returning, followed by international business and meetings. And then finally, groups coming back. As we all know by now, when restrictions ease, demands come back quickly. And by the way, thank you all for your part as leisure travelers. We should now agree to also do our part as business travelers to get this going. The third pillar we call reinvent. It's the most difficult one, but it's yet in many ways, the most important ones. How will the hotel market change? Surprise, surprise, that's today's topic of the Hotel Market Day. Our bet, my bet is that we talk about evolution rather than revolution. Pandox was founded during the big banking crisis in the mid-'90s, 1995. Our business model has been tested by market disruptions many, many, many, many times. Even though this is probably the mother of all crisis. But every time the hotel market has bounced back and so have Pandox. People are an important explanation for this, both as a positive economic force in the world, but also as a strong driver for the value that Pandox creates. People made the Pandox of today. And people, together with some lovely dogs, we call them Pandogs, will make the Pandox of the future. You always get a dog in here. You must get -- always get a dog. The intrinsic value of Pandox has never been higher. We have proven our business model, but it performs in good days and it protects in bad times. We have the best people, we have the best partners, the better networks. Together, we have a very strong ecosystem with a common objective. These18 months have been a big, big, big test for Pandox, for the hospitality industry, professionally and personally for all of us. Now is the time to look and move forward. And I'm pretty sure when I look back in this in 10 years' time -- when we will look back at this in 10 years' time, it will be absolutely from a stronger position. I'm sure it will be with mixed emotions. But I'm also sure it will be just a blip in an excel sheet. Somebody calculated something wrong. We can't do that. So thank you for coming to the Hotel Market Day. We call it the Pandox Annual MBA, and we shouldn't waste too much time actually, but let's start learning from our fantastic speakers.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank you, Liia Nou. I promised some activity. This is a message for you online only. You have access to the QR code to today's 3 questions, which you are supposed to answer during the afternoon. So please check the QR code that you have perhaps already seen or will see on the screen and don't be unhappy, it will come up during the break after this first part of the afternoon. So please answer the questions. We will give you the answers of the poll later on. Okay. So it's time to introduce our keynote speaker. He recently released a book, he has written many. But the last one is called Rescue, and that is what it's all about. He'll talk about a theme that I guess everybody loves. He will talk about how to create a better world.
Operator
operatorPlease welcome the Professor of Globalization and Development at the University of Oxford, Ian Goldin.
Ian Goldin
attendeeThank you very much. It's really wonderful to be here, but I do want to begin with a tribute to Anders. It was Anders that called me up and invited me to be here, an absolutely inspirational person, and I've worked with many inspirational people around the world. But I know that you all miss him as I do. And it's just wonderful to hear from the Chairman, from the new CEO how -- what he wanted to happen was to take Pandox to a greater heights to work for a better world is being implemented even after his terribly tragic and untimely death. Can we create a better world out of this terrible pandemic? Is it possible that out of all this suffering, we can see more rapid progress? And I believe it is. I believe this is the wake-up call that will take us from sleepwalking into disasters to create a more sustainable, a better world, not only for ourselves and everyone we care about, but for generations to come everywhere. People talk about bouncing back or bouncing forward. I don't like those words because it implies we are heading on the same tracks that we were before. We're back on the same road. I think we need to do things differently because that is the road that was leading us over the precipice. That is the road that brought us this pandemic, the failure to manage these systemic risks, which were inevitable rising climate change and other unsustainable tensions. Even the word "reset" disturbs me because when we reset our computers, we go back to the operating system, which was already there. No, we need to do things differently now. We need to take from this and the suffering, a resolution to do things in a way that will not allow us to get back to this place again. but this will never happen again. Is this possible? I compare the first and second world war and you're all familiar with your histories. During the midst of the second world war -- and it was interesting to hear the Chairman citing Churchill, during the midst of that war, while the bombs were literally dropping on the buildings of Whitehall where he was working, when they were fighting on 5 fronts, when there was an existential crisis, a real threat, as you can see, if you go around England, where Territorial Army was building block houses, a real threat of a German invasion. At that time, Roosevelt, Churchill, the leaders resolved to never let this happen again, to create a better world, to create the United Nations, the Bretton Woods institutions, the Marshal Plan, the welfare state, the seeds of Europe that we see today having flowered so beautifully. It wasn't after -- It wasn't years later. It was in that spread, because they and, particularly, the individuals like Roosevelt and Churchill have experienced the first world war that had seen the tensions that arose after it, led to growing nationalism and protectionism in Germany, the reparations, the inequality, the unemployment, the consumption fuel boom of 100 years ago, the roaring '20s, the Gatsbys had built resentment. They saw all that, and they decided, never again. It's interesting, too, that Churchill, 6 weeks after the war, lost power. He was taken out of government by a complete unknown climatically, because he wouldn't walk the talk that he had been advocating. It wasn't part of the conservative party manifesto that came back a few years later when they put it in. People were hungry for change. The citizens wanted different things. And the same thing happened in the U.S., the same thing happened across Europe. We saw tax rates of 70% in the U.S. followed by Europe. We saw redistribution. We saw health services, education services and a new world. Now we're at a different time. We're at a time where there has been the rise of individualism in societies. There's been the rise of business, a much healthier balance between business and government and the rise, of course, of civil society. It's not only businesses that set the agenda or governments and individuals standing outside their school like raise a fund [indiscernible] or sending a tweet, creating a Me Too movement can create global change. People are empowered in new ways, and we have an understanding, which is much more profound about the world. We understand what's going on with climate change and unless we move to net 0 urgently over the next 30 years, the outcome will be catastrophic. We know why this pandemic came. Yes, we can debate whether it was from a lab or from a vet market in Wuhan. But we know it's inevitable. I predicted the pandemic as the big next catastrophe because our interdependent systems, more people with more animals, near more airports means the probability rises exponentially. Our hyperconnected systems, which bring all the goods of globalization, including our wonderful digital connectivity that allows us to have this online meeting as well as physical also can spread cyber viruses. Our financial systems can spread financial crisis, our airports spread pandemics. So the great challenge of our world is more and more people develop wealth and connectivity is how do we live together more effectively. And part of that is seeing this pandemic as the defining moment, as seeing it as an ability to understand that governments can do things that were simply unimaginable in January 2020. If government had told me in January 2020, I couldn't fly or I couldn't go to a restaurant, I couldn't leave my home, I couldn't do certain things, I would have thought I lived in an authoritarian state. Now I recognize it's in my own self-interest when these lockdowns happen. My behavior has changed in radical ways since January 2020, doing things I would never have dreamt of doing before. And we, of course, understand, too, that science has just been miraculous, creating a vaccine or a series of vaccines in 9 months that would have taken 10 years to do before through global collaboration. We recognize that change is possible in ways that were just unimaginable in January 2020. Things have happened. The evidence is there. If governments had created $20 trillion of stimulus in January 2020, we would have thought they were extreme communist, left wingers and even they wouldn't have dreamt of it. Now we're wondering whether it's enough. This change happens very quickly when circumstances change and they are changing. But it's important that we take from that, things that we value, we've all had an opportunity, lots of people we love, importance of friendships, not going to the places we do -- not having the opportunities to reevaluate and recalibrate what we do and how we do it, what's important. And out of this, I believe, will come a great regeneration, a healthier world. We saw in COP, in Glasgow a couple of weeks ago, this acceleration of commitments to 0 carbon, of course, not enough, in not enough places but massive progress, not least by the business sector, which was out in front of many governments. We see every day in people's choices this great reshuffling of jobs that's going on, that what in the U.S. is called the great resignation. People changing jobs to take on jobs they prefer. And of course, we see it in other great changes. What the pandemic has done is accelerate time. It's compressed in the period of 18 months, events that would have taken 10, 20 years to unfold, whether it's the shift of economic gravity to the east, whether it's the transformation of our economies to more digital, whether it's us entering remote work. Old equilibriums have been broken and new equilibriums are now established. I'm incredibly optimistic about cities and work and about the prospects for a group like Pandox. That's because quality matters. That's because experience matters, the tangible, whether it's being with people eating a meal, going to the theater. This is what we will value more and more. And as technology increasingly does more and more jobs that people used to do, automation, robotics, artificial intelligence, 3D printing, people will specialize in what we are uniquely able to do, which is be creative, be empathetic, care for people, create in ways that machines won't be doing, I think, in my lifetime. And that is going to create a sweet spot for people to come together in more structured ways in quality environments in cities, in rural areas, to experience things, whether it's beautiful places, experiences with people, theater, movies, whatever. And we'll value these things more and we'll pay a greater share of our incomes for them. And so when you think forward about what this means for cities, there's a huge but different, I think, in the way it's organizes not least for offices and how offices and commuters relate. Change is coming. It's that, which we need to embrace. When we think about the pandemic I believe we'll be seeing this as a great turning point, a turning point where we had an opportunity to go back to our old, old ways. Or turning point where we decided to walk a different road to walk a Road, which embraces the urgency of what creating a sustainable, inclusive world means. This incredible country of Sweden is way ahead of the country that I'm in, in many respects on this. But it's by learning from each other, by sharing this experience and coming together on a day like this, that I believe one can really leapfrog into this. So I really appreciate this opportunity. The vision that Anders had of Pandox Market Day, the coming together of people, and I hope it really does contribute to the creation of a better Pandox and a better world. Thank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeIan, please join me for some Q&A here, some follow-up questions. I've studied a lot about what you've said before and what you've written. And the basic message from you is optimism. We'll now listen to you. I get a bit pessimistic, honestly. And that is that the change you are looking for, requires leadership in the world. Well, we have none. Or what do you think?
Ian Goldin
attendeeWell, I can understand why if you look at some of these politicians and governments you might feel a bit pessimistic. But what I think we need to appreciate is that day where governments determine our future, that we kick up stairs all the problems to go political leaders who will resolve them is a day that's passed. The people in this room individuals, schoolgirls, others set the agenda for change, and governments follow. So my view is that the big challenge is the fake news challenge is the contesting of ideas. When good people stay silent, when they stay on the sidelines when they don't contest ideas, extremist and bad ideas flourish. And that's why we need to engage. But I -- yes, there's an absence of what you might think of as global political leaders, but there's no absence of leaders in every other sphere...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeSo we actually push our governments in front of us.
Ian Goldin
attendeeAbsolutely. We can't use the government...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeTo create the changes you're talking about.
Ian Goldin
attendeeYes, we can't use government failure or the failure of the UN, the gridlock in the system as an excuse. If you do that, then there's a good reason to be pessimistic.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeIn your last book, Rescue, you write a lot about the problem with inequality. And you can surely say that inequality has grown during the pandemic, right? I discussed with this a little with Gunn. I think she's got a question around that. The divide that has been deepened really. What about that, Gunn?
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes. I mean us in the young generations, we are, kind of, the losers in the pandemic. What do you think needs to happen for us to become the winners in the future?
Ian Goldin
attendeeYes. I think it's right. I have a chapter on inequality and I have a chapter on young and old in Rescue and both show very clearly that the pandemic has exacerbated the inequalities within countries because some people have been able to carry on work, people that have tech stocks have done incredibly well. There have been some sectors that have thrived and others, not least in hospitality and people working in hospitality, which is often not only young people but also women have done much worse. So we see this winding golf, and it's also, of course, true in the mortality statistics. In the U.K., Black Asian are in the minority, ethnic people are 4x as likely to have died from COVID-19 as people -- middle aged people like me. So it's reflected across the board. And of course, it's even greater between countries. So the World Bank estimates that 150 million more people are being pushed into absolute poverty by the pandemic about the same amount of people suffering from extreme malnutrition and the SDGs, sustainable development goals, completely derailed by the pandemic. So that is certainly true. What to -- and the young and old thing is equally true, not -- in multiple ways, both jobs that young people have had a higher incidence of job losses, but also a huge loss of education from social experience and massive problem of loneliness and isolation as well, which the data shows very, very clearly, not least in Stockholm, where I was surprised to see the evidence from Stockholm on how many people live alone -- young people live alone in Stockholm. So what to do about it, I think, first, recognize the issue. Within countries, I do believe that we need to reinforce education, health, wealth estate, public transport. I think that's inevitable. I think there need to be deliberate catch-up programs from people that have lost education. And I think it's part of this big debate, which I know Pandox is involved in of when do you reopen hotels? When do you open hospitality? How do you get people back into work and do you pay them living wage. The global inequality needs to be addressed by massive transfers, I think, of aid and also the writing down of a lot of debt. In sharp contrast to the 2008, '09 crisis, where there was this solidarity, this time around, aid's actually been cut. The U.K. cut its aid by 1/3 during the pandemic, but not only in the U.K., many countries have cut aid. And that is just a remarkable failure, I think, on the global scene. It's like international solidarity has disappeared during pandemic. We see also in vaccines, of course, less than 8% of Africans double vaccinated. So this has -- this national retreat is something which is of great concern. Again, I think it's not going to be solved by politicians. It needs to be solved by all of us shouting loudly about it.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeIan, you underline that you dislike the Expression business as usual. That has been part of the problem. Now isn't that exactly what is going on now we're going back to business as usual?
Ian Goldin
attendeeI don't think so. I mean, some businesses are, but I think they are not going to be the businesses of the future. What we saw in Glasgow was a massive commitment to 0 carbon, which is going to become increasingly serious. So that's one very positive sign. I think we've seen businesses across the board, taking a lead often on the environment -- work environment and safety of their people and their guests in their work environment, often ahead of governments in this respect, which is a very positive sign. I think we're seeing the glaring light of transparency, thrown on companies, the scandals that have emerged on accounting and on other areas, I think, are creating a new transparency. And shareholders are increasingly demand on. They're demanding to know what the leaders are doing. Private -- in private equity, I think it's easier to do things that you can't do on listed markets. But there, too, I mean, I'm part of various investment committees, and I'm amazed how much time we're spending on these investment committees on ESG what had been an afterthought 5 years ago is now the main item of the returns on the agenda. This is different in the book. I sight statistics on demand for ESG reporting have increased fivefold in the last 3 years. So these firms that are doing the work behind this are in a very good business. So I think there's lots of very positive signs on this, which give one hope. The big issue that's coming and it's sort of going to be a long tail out of Glasgow is if some countries don't transform, like, let's say, China and India is down coal, and we decide that we want to go to 0 carbon, are we going to change our supply chains. And that's -- and I think in Europe, at least, we're going to see very high carbon taxes, and we're going to see carbon border adjustments. And I think we'll see a redirection of globalization based on ESG considerations.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeNow Ian, you may think that this is a question beside the point. But it's not because personal background is always interesting. You've been Vice President of the World Bank some years ago. You've also -- belong to the few who have worked closely with Nelson Mandela. I think you should share with us a little about that.
Ian Goldin
attendeeYes. Thank you, Jan. He was the most amazing person I've ever worked with, and I've worked with many, many leaders and others. And I...
Jan Wifstrand
attendee[indiscernible]
Ian Goldin
attendeeAnd there's a number of things. Firstly, he was an optimist. He always said it's always impossible until it's done. And he spent 27 years in prison. He never lost hope and he transformed the country. He was one of the most humble people I've ever met. I mean lots of little incidents, I could tell you, like when we're in Buckingham Palace or something, he wants to go into the kitchen to say thank you to the chef. He -- not because he wants to do a PR stunt but because he really wanted, he felt it. Always saying thank you to the drivers, the cleaners everyone, interest in everything. He was an incredible listener. He had to deal with some very difficult decisions like, for example, when we got into government, whether to nationalize the mines or -- and the banks, which is what the left wing of the party was saying or not. He didn't understand economics. He worked through it because he was an incredible lawyer by just listening to the arguments and questioning them, making sure everyone had their say and then making up his mind and sticking to it. He also -- which is about something, I think, you can necessarily learn, he had a photographic memory, which was incredible because he'd remember every argument he had ever heard about anything and be able to retain it and pull it out, which was terrifying for me, because he had asked me why something was important. I sort of worked on some economic theory within why savings were important or why not to know. And then he'd say, but last time, two years ago, you said this, which is...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThat's tough.
Ian Goldin
attendeeWhich is a tough boss to have, but absolutely extraordinary. He knew everyone's first names. My kids, for example, we went out back to South Africa when my kids were very small and my wife. And he'd never ever started meeting without saying how they're doing? How was their school? Are they settling in? Personal. Never because of a show, but because he genuinely cared about it. The most remarkable man and he's just -- I could go on for a long time, but if we picked up a little bit from him, we will be better for each other.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank a lot. Ian, we will very soon talk about cities here. After that, I will call on you again. So you just get the little thank you now, and you get the big thank you later.
Ian Goldin
attendeeThank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThe theme is cities. We all like to discuss cities, don't we? And the future of them, the big cities, how will they develop and so on. So our next speaker will talk about that online from London. I hope we have the connection now.
Operator
operatorPlease welcome partner and disruption lead at PwC United Kingdom, Leo Johnson.
Leo Johnson
attendeeHi, everybody. I just want to check. I can see you. Can you see me?
Jan Wifstrand
executiveYes, we can see you, and we hope you hear us. Everything is okay?
Leo Johnson
attendeeFantastic. Everything. Yes, and great to hear you. And when I saw wish I was with you with you, Jan, with you, Ian, so great to hear you again with the Pandox family and I have such wonderful memory of my last trip event and I commemorate Anders with you all.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveIt's good to have you here this way as well, Leo. I'll give you around 10 minutes, a little more to speak uninterruptedly, and then we talk, okay?
Leo Johnson
attendeeIt's a deal.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveIt's a deal. Great.
Ian Goldin
attendeeSo look, I love to hear those stories about Nelson Mandela. Can I throw another possible hero for me of a completely different one. She just like planted this one idea in my head around optimism, which is -- she's not really a political philosopher, she's not a politician, but it's Marilyn Monroe. Marilyn Monroe once gave this great quote, which for me is like the sort of landmark quote about the future, and it's this. "Sometimes good things fall apart, so that better things can fall into place." And for me, what we're at is the ultimate Marilyn moment. I think we've had the city of Henry Ford, that most of us grew up in, the city of fossil fuel of mass production, the city shaped by the car, where we were cut off by the hard boundaries of the street where we got into these moving boxes of our cars or the tube or the bus and got into another stationary box of the office. And we kind of accommodated ourselves to the machines of mass production, and we live these lives anchored around efficiency. And that's what kind of generated the returns. And I think there is an existential threat to that old city, to that city of Henry Ford. And I think we are now at this point where as Marilyn said, it's starting to fall apart. And it's falling apart under the pressures that Ian just went through with us. It's this collection of megatrends that are colliding and it's climate change, and it's environmental scarcity. And we're seeing this interdependency between them where as the climate threatens fragile states, you have the pressures for migration. The pressures for migration then increasing the risk of populism. The populism then exacerbating protectionist trends that reduce economic growth, that same reduction in economic growth and block supply chains, driven by supply chain, of course, starts to push up prices and give us the risk of inflation, which makes the economic conditions for the many worst, amplifying the threats of protectionism. And then the risk finally, that what we start to see is a civil society that feels that government is just failing to deliver on the needs of the many with a combination of aging populations, adult social care costs, ballooning deficits. And here in the U.K. just with the very small increases in inflation that we've had in interest rates, the government had to pay GBP 84 billion more last year in interest payments than it did the year before. And at this moment of peak personal household and personal household, corporate and national debt, some of these margins are extremely tight. And you've got a system that could start to be failing to deliver on the needs of the many very, very rapidly. So we got this precarious model, this instability of inequality that Ian just talked us through. And if I think about where we're headed, I think you've got the potential that we can go 2 ways. Because the elephant in the room, of course, is technology. What's technology and the new generation of exponential technologies that we got going to start to do to the ability to deal with these threats. And I was in Singapore the other day. I sometimes do this radio program for BBC Radio called FutureProofing. And it's about what's coming down the track. And it's, by the way, generally on at the same time as this radio -- this other TV so-called Bake Off. So actually, no one listens to this program. But it gives me an insight into what's coming down the track. And I was in Singapore, and I got into their smart car, their driverless car, which was great for about 250 meters, then it immediately went on to the wrong side of the road in front of the dumpster truck. The guy pulled us back to safety and said, "Okay, that didn't go that well." But you got to understand this driverless car is not your usual driverless car, it's a do-it-yourself one, which any of us could make, off-the-shelf supermarket technology, you could retrofit it on to your own Volvo, onto your own Skoda, whatever you've got, and it basically worked for the rest of the day. But we went back to the Ministry of Transport, and he basically talked me through the city of the future. And this is the Singapore plan for what a city should look like. That step 1 is driverless cars, which will then be followed by vertical takeoff and landing craft. Step 2 is to fully automate the economy. Step 3 is to put all citizens, citizens on universal basic incomes. Step 4, with Northern Jakarta going under water down the road from climate change is to use blockchain-based facial recognition technologies to close off the city gates to migration because they said it will be [ quotes ] too socially complex. And so what you've got is Singapore, which have been this engine of Southeast Asian inclusive economic growth. The city is the umbilical cord that pumps nutrients through into the broader economy and the outlying regions, it suddenly becomes this closed community. It becomes like Sandton in South Africa, for example, here, it becomes Hesperia Salado, this gated community. And you see a straight line from the technological into the social into the political. That's one city of the future. And in the hotel space, of course, it's the VR substitute. It's the AI hotels, you name it. But I think the really interesting thing is to look at a different deployment of technology. And this is a great quote from Kentaro Toyama, who says, "Technology is not the answer. It's the amplifier of intent." And when Ian talks about the turning point, this, I think, is exactly what we need to turn. What we need to turn is the intent with which we are deploying technology. That is the pivot that needs to be made. And if we go back, I just did a program on this, which really opened my eyes to the fundamentals. Go back to 2008. Go back to when the wheels really started to come off. What was going on there? That was a model of capitalism that had a vision, which was its intent was to take a look at the urban and suburban affluent billion, the people inside the cities, by and large, and to figure out a way to deliver mass produced goods into that market. And then as those markets got saturated, to find new ways to deliver new goods. Goods were built in obsolescence, you name it. And then as they again found those markets saturate to find new financial products, including cheap debt, including NINJA loans to people with no income, no jobs, no assets to increase the penetration into these communities with products based on a consumer capitalist model that ultimately in the form of the subprime crisis was a model of growth. It was a bit like fishing with dynamite in Lake Victoria. Where in the short-term, you get a lot of growth, but actually, you end up killing off the entire ecosystem and the future for potential for demand. That was capitalism, serving inside the wall. And I think this whole analogy is really important because 30 years ago, when the Berlin Wall fell, that was the triumph of capitalism in theory. But actually, what we've discovered is it was not the end state. But this was actually the ticket to stay at the table and see if as a model of growth and as a model of political economy, it could deal with the problems we've got. And in those last 30 years, even though the Berlin Wall came down, another wall has stayed up, another much bigger wall an invisible wall of wealth of assets that capitalism has not torn down at all. And as Ian just said, actually, with pandemic-driven increases in inequality, that role has got higher. And as climate change threatens to destabilize political economies, the example of Singapore shows that actually that wall is not going to be just invisible in the future. We've got this window now where the direction we're headed towards is the walls becoming physical as well. And the question is, what are we going to do about that? And what's the city of the future going to look like? And this is where I think it's just interesting to look at this alternative vision, this alternative intention of what we do with technology, which is actually to turn it outwards instead. And a lot of the stuff that's most exciting for me at the moment, we're doing a lot of work with climate tech startups around Net Zero. But it's, of course, much bigger than that. It's just the wealth of opportunities that we're seeing to use tech. And of course, it's not the panacea. It's just one plank on the raft that's got to get us across the chasm. But to use tech to start to solve these problems. And what do they look like? I've been talking to a company, it's called GainForest. And they're looking at Amazon deforestation, one of the great triumphs of COP, but how do you enforce it, how do you make it happen? When it's now become the biggest, when it's now become a net emitter in Brazil, for example. So they're working with a tribe in Brazil called the Kayapó. And the Kayapó, they are an indigenous community. They live in an area that's twice the size of the U.K. It's about 10 million hectares of virgin forest. And it's got the equivalent of about 2.5 billion tonnes worth of carbon in the trees and the Kayapó with their blow pipes, with their indigenous tools, they don't just know the end points to the forest, but they control the choke points that the log has come in and out of with their trucks. And what GainForest does is it uses satellites do high resolution imagery of the trees to verify that the trees actually are there that they have not gone down. And then on that basis, to be using a blockchain-enabled coin that provides rewards, payments for ecosystem services to the Kayapó to give them the resources to continue to preserve. And you can see on the map, one patch is green, the other is orange and yellow. You can see the difference in the deforestation. You take another example on the side, which is not just green but social as well because this is absolutely got to be both. Take the hardest problem, the hardest nut you could possibly crack. The 1.2 billion people in the world who don't even have electricity. They don't have power because they don't have power. And they spend 70% of their income on kerosene firewood, you name it. So just take a simple stack of technologies like the d.light solar light, which might cost $200, so you can't afford it, if you don't have power or income, but you can get a SIM card in it, then with the chip, it can be turned on and off remotely. This is a company called M-KOPA based out of Oxford, Ian will know as well. And then it's $0.50 to $0.60 a day, you can lease it for way cheaper than the cost of kerosene or firewood and you get access to a banking system and micro insurance and the ability to get a loan for the $36 kickstart hand pump which gets you access to the underground water table, and you can then triple the number of crops that you're providing, only one study income went up from $180 to $1,800 a head, exam pass rates up from 58% to 83%. And the point is it's a market that as you serve it, it grows, it grows, it's the opposite of the subprime. You're increasing their productive capability. You're increasing their potential to make their lives better. And then, of course, go up the value chain and get loans for agricultural equipment, maybe 3D printed, Shanzhai agricultural equipment and loans for refrigeration to basically to become viable, successful, self-sustaining local small business farmers. Why do I say that? I think we are at this point of transition, this inflection point.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveLeo, don't forget our deal.
Leo Johnson
attendeeI'm finishing now. We're at this turning. The delta between the good and the bad is as big for our generation as it's ever been. And that's the turning point. And for me, there's only one fork to take. And anything which gets people together, anything like events, anything like hotels, where people come together, communicate, share ideas and breed of each other the capacity to innovate. That's a pretty crucial part of the mix. And, Jan, I'm going to [ embrace ].
Jan Wifstrand
executiveFine. Leo, 2 questions to you immediately. You talk now and then about the cities of the future. Now which ones will be the dynamic cities of the future?
Leo Johnson
attendeeSo I think you've got to look at your city and you got to ask yourself, and this is Renzo Piano distinction, the architect, the great architect says, is your city shaped like the Plaza, the shopping mall or is it shaped like the Piatta, a place where people get together and where the real entertainment is each other. That's what the city of the future has its real asset. It's the brains, it's the people. It's the cognitive surplus. And I think the city of the future is not just that place where they mix and mash together. It's the place where there's then, of course, an ecosystem of innovators, whether it's a VC network that can get those innovators through the value of debt but it's, in the end, it's the city where the people are unlocked and are able to be with each other and just get that extraordinary mash up between problem and solution -- come together.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveThat's another expression you often use a city for people. I think Gunn has something on that perhaps.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeI mean I kind of feel like I got the answer, but I'm wondering, is it going to be easy to live in that city in the future? Like the smart future city that you're talking about?
Leo Johnson
attendeeI think so. I think -- I mean, in the end, people go with their feet and to get those best people, you've got to make it livable and not just livable, you've got to make it fun. You've got to make it a people a place where people want to get out, want to be with each other, where the sheer friction of the other. A city is the place where you're most likely to meet the other. You've got to make that the beautiful thing. We've had a century of the self. We're about to have a possible century where what we do is turn our back on the other and lock them out. The city that will thrive will be the one that does exactly the opposite and create these multiple open spaces for us just to collaborate and do so together.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveLeo, let's talk a quick while with Ian. What do you spontaneously want to comment on what Leo says?
Ian Goldin
attendeeI wish we could be together because we always have fun together, especially over a drink. But..
Jan Wifstrand
executiveGet a little bit later.
Ian Goldin
attendeeI mean I think Leo is right, that the vibrant cities will be places where they're sparks, where people can do things they can't do on their own, they can't do elsewhere. And so they're tolerant places, they're diverse places, they're creative places. But another vision of cities of the future is that the refuges. When I think of the fact that 99% in middle-income and low-income countries, Virtually all population growth in the future is in these cities. And these cities, whether it's Lagos or Mumbai or others like them are basically places where people have left, fragile and increasingly fragile because of countryside and rising oceans and floods and droughts. They left where they've been and are coming to cities to try and survive. And they're increasingly informal because the cities can't cope and can't supply enough people with enough resources. People are finding solutions for themselves in these places. And that's quite extraordinary. And when you add to that, maybe a meter or more ocean rises century, increasing floods big extreming weather events, including hurricanes and others. These are fragile places. So all the action, political action, economic action, something like 80% of economic activity in the world in cities already, much -- 60% of the population, 80% of economic activity. What does that tell you? The cities are much more productive places than other places, and that shows in all the productivity statistics. So I think they're going to be increasingly varied, big challenges, and that's where all the action is.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveNow I don't see Leo on the screen, but are we still in touch with the Leo?
Leo Johnson
attendeeIt's always good.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveThanks. I couldn't see him here. Great. You do at PwC some kind of index for growth, city growth. Could you just quickly explain that to us?
Leo Johnson
attendeeYes. It's an index looks good -- it's good growth, looks not just economic growth but livability. And there's equally a livability index. There's also a Net Zero economy index. So this is multiple index. But I think there is a really important point to make, and it builds on Ian's point, too, that the city is interrelation inside the city. For sure, that's what makes the successful city. But I think it's also got to be interrelation outside the city. I think a city is as healthy as the economic region around it is healthy. And where I think things will really break down is if actually what we decide to do is ignore the broken countryside and allow the continued trend of distressed migration from the countryside into the city, the 1.5 million a week that are fleeing into the cities because they will have 2 side effects. They will swamp the city that doesn't have the infrastructure to deal with them in the first place and that is facing these threats of sudden or gradual climate change that is going to break the existing infrastructure they've got. That's the first problem. The city can't handle it. The second problem is the countryside then becomes broken as well. So what we need to do urgently is focus not just on cities, but their interrelationship between the rural and the urban. We need to make the countryside work, and we need the city as a vibrant market for the countryside and source of talent in 2-way traffic. I don't know if Ian you would agree with that.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveGood. Good. Time's running Leo, but since I asked a question beside the point to Ian, I thought I must have one to you as well. Can you guess what that is?
Ian Goldin
attendeeI'm hoping it will be what I think it is.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveWell. Now my question beside the point to you, Leo, is that you happen to be the younger brother to Boris Johnson?
Leo Johnson
attendeeYes. Yes.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveSo. Is he using you as a secret adviser?
Leo Johnson
attendeeWe do talk on some stuff. It would be fair to say I did not write his speech yesterday.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveI won't blame you for that.
Ian Goldin
attendeeYou should have. You should have. It would be a lot better.
Leo Johnson
attendeeHe is my brother. And I love him as we all love all of our family members. And we do talk on some stuff. And I'll also say that I'm -- he, over the last couple of years, there's been such a lot of passion around doing some of the green industrial development stuff. And I've really thought, okay, some of this is good stuff. And much I would love like throw darts, some of the environmental agenda, I've really thought, okay, and I've really tried to lean in with ideas on that as well.
Ian Goldin
attendeeYes. I guess you've got that question 100 times. I won't follow up on that.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeLeo, thank you very much for joining us, a lot. Thank you, Ian Goldin for being with us today. Thanks a lot. Did you hear the -- listen to the music in the beginning. That was pretty special. Wasn't it, good. Give us an example and explain what it is.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo usually, when I do different production, TV productions, you come up here, you play it's the same thing every time. And I usually tell the people that I can make something special. I can produce you a special jingle, but they usually say no because they don't understand what I mean. But Pandox liked it. They said, yes. So here is an example. It can be funny. [Presentation]
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes, you get it. I mean you feel it, right?
Jan Wifstrand
executiveNow I'll tell you what, this is not just anybody singing.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. Yes.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveThis is not just anybody.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeI produced the track, and I call my best friend, Jasmine Kara, she's a famous Swedish singer, who is singing on the tracks today, should play far beyond such that in New York the past, I think, 15 years. She's been in a couple of competitions like Melodifestivalen and TV shows, Let's Dance, these kind of things. She's really amazing.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveGood. That's fine. We're going to talk a little about hotels with you, but we do it later since we're running behind the schedule a little. It is time for a break now, but it's short, so stay on, we will be back in 5 minutes, okay? [Break]
Jan Wifstrand
executiveYes. Yes, friends, we keep our promises. It was 5 minutes, and we run the program again. Please let me remind you then about the QR code. So you answer our questions online or perhaps also here. There you have it on the screen. So please check it out and answer the questions behind the QR code. There are 3 of them. Can I please ask about your attention friends? Can I please ask for attention. Thank you very much. We're talking about change over time, change, change, change. I'm really serious about what will really change. In fact, for example, in the hotel business. And I am sure that our next speaker has some really interesting answers to that. Go ahead.
Operator
operatorPlease welcome Head of Hospitality and Leisure Deloitte U.K. Andreas Scriven.
Andreas Scriven
attendeeGood afternoon, and it's fantastic to be back in Stockholm after last year, obviously, not being able to come for a variety of reasons. It's good to be back in person. And what I've been also to talk to you little bit about over the next 10 minutes or so is kind of what happens next for the industry. And I think part of the challenge of answering that without using a crystal ball is that things are changing all the time, right? So what we decided to do very early on in the pandemic is to see what insight, what data, what sentiment we could find to help guide us, yes. So what I'm going to show you is not going to necessarily be the truth in the future, but it's how people, guests, businesses are feeling right now. So some of the questions we're being asked right now or when is this going to be over? Yes. Is corporate travel ever going to come back? Our guest behavior is going to fundamentally change? And then we heard previously some changes around the tech side. And of course, ESG, hugely important as well. I won't quite have enough time to cover all of those. But what I did want to start out with is just give you a bit of sentiment of where the industry sees disruption and how long that's going to go on for. And so we do a survey every quarter or so, and that suggests that disruption is expected to continue throughout next year and into 2023. And if you look at what's happening in certain countries right now, again, that could move out slightly to the right. And in terms of normalization of trade business as usual, which, of course, we're now going to go back to business as usual, how it was. But the sentiment there is we're looking at 2023, but a not insignificant minority. I think that's going to carry on into 2024. And I've just seen the latest results of the next version of this survey, which we'll release next week. And the positive news there is that has stabilized. So people aren't thinking this is going to continue beyond this at the moment. So one of the other questions I get also a lot is around corporate travel. I think we feel a bit more confident around leisure travel. We had strong summers, strong domestic demand in leisure destinations, but what about corporate travel? And we've just, in August interviewed 140 execs who have control over significant corporate travel budgets. And we asked them -- one of the questions we asked them is, when do you think you'll be spending as much as you did in 2019? And what you can see on that graph is it's going to be a steady improvement, but it's going to take time. So the dark blue line that you see is when they think they're going to be spending 100% of what they spent in 2019. Yes? And I think the number I can't quite read it from here, but I think it's 52% or 54%. I think they'll be back to 100% of spend by the end of next year. So still a long way to go. And then if you start asking individuals how likely they are to travel for business in the next 3 months and whether technology has fundamentally changed how they will travel or if they'll travel less frequently? You get some really interesting geographic differences. So the Chinese say -- 37% of the Chinese say they will travel for business in the next 3 months and only 5% think technology has fundamentally changed how they will travel for business. In the U.S., that drops to 27% and 14%. If you bring it into Europe and the U.K., again, another significant drop, only 17% think they're going to travel for business over the next 3 months. And the Germans, over 1/4 of Germans think that technology has fundamentally changed how they will travel for business in the future. Now as an adviser, one bit of comfort I take from this is the consistency as one number moves down, the other one moves up. But of course, in any good data set, you need an outlier. So I thank India for providing that. 69% think they're going to travel for business over the next 3 months, but also loads of them over 1/3 think that technology has fundamentally changed how they will travel for business. So I haven't quite figured out the answer to why that is, and I'll let you know when I do. So, why are people traveling for business? And interestingly, both in Sweden, I'll show you data for China and the U.K. as well. The biggest reason to travel is for conferences, exhibitions and trade shows. So something that typically lags behind, but it clearly shows this pent-up demand to get back together like we are today and network. Whereas the Chinese, for example, not likely to travel to make a sales call, which you can see highlighted there. But if I take that back to Sweden, in Sweden, that is one of the main reasons for traveling for business. And then in all 3 markets that I've shown you, so China, Sweden and the U.K., training is very, very low down the list. And of course, that is because technology is playing a major role of delivering training in different ways. So again, very different reasons for travel and by geography there as well. And so when you look at this, and this is, again, a piece of research that we've done splitting into quadrants, what areas are going to thrive in terms of demand and what -- which ones are most at risk to be replaced by technology? So what I'm doing right now, which is delivering content at a conference, is at risk of being replaced by technology. But what you just said, when you all walked out in network with each other, it's going to be absolutely thriving because people have that requirement to meet in-person. So I think it's really critical to look at what aspects going are to be influenced by that change in behavior of business travel that I highlighted a little earlier on as well. So our consumer behavior is going to change. And what you see up on the screen there is a tool called LocationEdge, the geospatial analytics tool that we use. And it looks at all of Visa spend, a lot of Telefonica's mobile phone tracing data to look at immediate behavior changes as people spend on food and beverage or shopping grocery stores and so on. And what you see up on the screen there is the data for Paddington Station in London, right, pre-pandemic. And what you see is a lot of people, obviously, commute into London. So the spend comes from the left there into Paddington and that's where it gets spent. So what does that look like due to COVID like that. But interestingly, the market size has only dropped from about GBP 345 million to GBP 320 million because what's happened is the catchment area is much smaller. But nobody is leaving the area. So they're spending their money in situ. But the spend and type of spend has fundamentally changed. So spend on grocery markets, which is the box that's highlighted in green there, has gone through the roof whereas dining-out has really taken a hit. So if you look at the market a little bit outside of London, a typical commuter market, this is Feltham, yes, just -- you can see Heathrow just above that and so on. Totally different situation. So this is pre-pandemic. And that's during the pandemic. Virtually no change in terms of where the spend is coming from. And interestingly, this market was worth about GBP 120 million in spend, pre-pandemic. It's now worth GBP 220 million, yes. Because people aren't going anywhere. They're spending where they live. And so tracking this is going to be really, really interesting to see how cities evolve, where people are going to spend money, what they spend it on and so on. And I think there's a risk that we over exaggerate the impact of the pandemic and say that's what it's going to look like in 2, 3, 5 years' time. And the reality is that spend is slowly going to drift back into the cities, I'm convinced of that. So the only other point I wanted to highlight is around the labor crisis that we're facing in the industry. 12 months ago, we have never thought, we're going to talk about a labor crisis shortage of labor in hospitality. And in our sentiment survey, we added that question in July, and that immediately came in, in second spot. In latest survey, it stays in the second spot. So this is a major, major issue for the industry going forward. And you can see the scale of it, right? 7.5 million or so jobs lost in April 2020 in the sector in the U.S. in 1 month. 100 million jobs across the sector globally lost in 2020. The challenge here is not necessarily those immediate job losses, although they're obviously painful for the individuals because a lot of those jobs will be required again in the future. The real challenge is around leakage people out of the industry to work in supermarkets to become Amazon delivery drivers and they're never coming back. So that's the main concern that I have is that permanent leakage. So then if you look at the U.K., hospitality, huge number of vacancies, major, major problem. Only lags, health and social care at the moment. And if you actually look at that on a per 100 worker basis, the hospitality industry is massively impacted, and that's true in the U.K., but it's true in many, many other markets. So it's a really serious issue in terms of the recovery and not putting the brakes on the recovery as it starts to really gather steam. But the pandemic isn't the cause of this, yes? This was a major issue well before the pandemic. I remember quoting in 2018 that 80% of major tourism markets were going to have a labor crisis by 2024. So the crisis has done, it's made it worsen it, and it's accelerated. But the aging of the population and the reduction of the workforce, already happening in Europe, and this actually holds true in most major markets with the exception of Africa over the next 30 to 40 years. So what do we do about it? I think we need to be more creative in the war of talent. So you see the cover page from the economists there around the war for talent. Do we reach out to generations that typically would already be retired and bring them back in but bring them in a more flexible way. So somebody has a lot of experience, a lot to give, a lot to train. They maybe want to work 2, 4-hour shifts in a week, bring them back in and have everybody benefit from that. Because the issue as an industry that we have in terms of the recovery and being able to self it is at the other end of the age spectrum. So if you look at 17 to 18 year olds that are just about to come into the workforce and you look at that by industry, so you've got the accommodation and catering industry there. The bluish lines are the net vacancies by 2024. So the hospitality industry has a huge net requirement. But the green line below it which is very small, if you can't see it, is the desirability for the sector by 17 to 18 year olds. So we have a big need, but nobody wants to come and work in our industry. So where do they want to work? Art and culture, entertainment and sport. Let me translate. They want to be on the X-factor. They want to be Instagram famous or they want to be a footballer, yes. Lots of kids want to do it, and there's not a lot of jobs in that space. And I think this is really an issue for us as an industry to address, and it's around storytelling of how do we get those 17 to 18 year olds to understand this is a fantastic industry. It's global, and you can move around the world, and it has all types of jobs in it, not just one type of job. So I know that ends on a slightly downbeat note, but I think these are all key areas that we as an industry need to focus on to help the hospitality industry get back on its feet and evolve going forward. So that's all I had for you today.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveAndreas every single time I meet the person from the hotel industry. This is the issue they point out, restaffing. Seems to be -- am I right? Huge problem now. Let's take a principle question about that first, Gunn. Getting...
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeWhen I think about when I hear this is what about promoting inclusion? Because the younger and the future is inclusion. And if you feel like there is a place where you feel included, you want to work there. And I would think you would get more younger people to come and they would not look at the X-factor or they would do both of them. But I think inclusion, more inclusion everywhere and really to show at it. And yes, more public.
Andreas Scriven
attendeeI totally agree with you on that. I think if you look at the industry, traditionally, it's been quite hierarchical, general managers and certain types of levels in the organization. I think what the industry and most businesses need to look towards is being more adaptable, more nimble and allowing people to what we at Deloitte, bring your true authentic self to work, right? So you have to pretend to be something to fit into a certain hierarchy. It's all about being adaptable, flexible to address some of that. So I totally agree. And I think a lot of this is also around purpose and organizations having to be purpose-driven and not just saying something, and they're not doing it, but actually walking the walk as it were.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveAndreas, I can come up with hundreds of questions on this. But I choose one. And that is about your own profession really because everything is so uncertain, everything is just a big question mark. And the reality seems to change every second day now. How do you do these polls and your research and all that? If you do a new one in next week, it will look different or?
Andreas Scriven
attendeeEspecially if we do it in Austria, yes, it will change a lot.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveFor example?
Andreas Scriven
attendeeYes. No, look, it's a challenge. So that's why I said at the beginning, this is not about providing total certainty of the outcome, but it's to inform so better decisions can be made so we can detect more permanent trends more quickly. But absolutely, it's a huge challenge. And what we say to a lot of our clients is it's not about predicting one right future, but it's actually being prepared for whatever the future looks like. So it's being adapted all nimble. And I think that's been a big lesson for many corporations.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveYou have the chance to talk to or e-mail with Andreas. He knows a lot about this stuff. Thank you very much, Andreas Scriven.
Andreas Scriven
attendeeThanks so much.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveThanks a lot. So travel, how will the traveler change? What kinds of trends are there, when you look at the patterns of the travelers' behavior. We have a couple of really interesting speakers from the Future Lab in London talking about this now.
Operator
operatorPlease welcome the Co-Founder as well as the foresight editor at the Future Laboratory, Chris Sanderson and Kathryn Bishop.
Chris Sanderson
attendeeGood afternoon, everyone. It's a real pleasure and an honor and privilege to be back with you again. I was last here in 2019 whereas some of you will remember, our key theme was sustainability. And we started to tackle the inherent problems that this industry faces when it comes to sustainability. And I think the Pandox team have done it again, haven't they? They've been taking you on a journey. I don't know if you've noticed, but there's been this funnel of information that has been coming your way. And we're now moving to a bit where we start to evaluate some of the data and the bigger global drivers that you've listened to and the large-scale mega impacts that we're all beginning to face. And we're starting to drill down now into our industry. And we've just had some great data there from Andreas and his team. And we want to add some color and to build on that through our understanding of how our consumer is continuing to evolve and grow. And we've already heard a couple of really important words here, I think, around this sense of growth because acceleration and exacerbation, along with resilience, seem to be the watch words of the last 18 months. And indeed, many of the things that we're now experiencing that seem to have been squeezed over the last 2 years, we're, of course, bubbling away under the surface or becoming more and more relevant in the late teens as we moved into this the transformational 20s. And it's a focus on not just understanding what we've been through, but thinking about the bigger picture as we start to move into the inter-COVID era, this transitional period that, hopefully, moves us through trends as Ian was saying, this isn't about bouncing back or taking the same trajectory. This is trends. This is a movement across. It's a point of difference that we move away from and we move towards. But we make a positive decision to do things differently. And this is what Kathryn and I would really like to talk to you about. We're going to do this through 6 key areas.
Kathryn Bishop
attendeeYes, we are. So accelerating trends. Today, we're going to look at 6. And we're going to look at these through the lens of now. So what we expect to sort of bed in, in 2022. Then what is new, what we expect to be coming up in the next sort of 1 to 3 years in terms of new trends, new directions in consumer behaviors for you to be thinking about the wider hotel and travel industries to be thinking about. And then what's next, a bit more future facing more towards the end of the decade, some of those exciting trends that will be upcoming. So we're going to start, we're thinking about the now and slow travel, this slow tourism movement really starting to bed in as we move into the next year. There's several reasons why this is starting to happen. The first one, of course, the pandemic and also, of course, climate crisis. People are taking stock. They're thinking about the reasons why they travel now. And also, what are those personal reasons? Why is that particular trip relevant to them as well? We're seeing travel organizations respond, of course, with slower options, slower sort of itineraries for tourists, sometimes even helping you as a traveler think about things like respect to places that you're traveling to. One example is The Mindful Travel Co., which operates in Australia and New Zealand. They've got a really interesting take on this because they think about how to make travel, not only meaningful, but also more mindful for their customers. Their cofounders Emma Penfold and Laura Hughes note that our customers tend to be eco-conscious, sometimes they're spiritual, but mostly that is looking for a well-deserved break. So it's balancing that eagerness that a lot of people have got to get back out there with also doing it in a more considerate way.
Chris Sanderson
attendeeNow moving on. Again, still looking at this idea of what's happening right now. As we move through our various pandemics, we're by no means over them all. It's an inter-COVID era. We have all begun to, I think, test ourselves or find resolve when it comes to resourcefulness in terms of staying healthy, being well and thinking also about our mindfulness. And so, for us, how we start to address these issues and also embrace them within the hospitality industry starts to become really interesting. Because, again, it's one of these -- these moves that takes us beyond the idea that when we address wellness, we simply think of spa, and the solution is to put a couple of wet rooms and a massage table into our basement that we actually think in a far more holistic way about what a mindful guest might want and look like and enjoy. And what are more 360-degree approach to wellness, and the idea of health is going to be for our traveler moving forward. And that sense of how we start to combat our sedentary lifestyles and start to make a play, I think, towards a far more active cohort of travelers who really are thinking so much more holistically about the idea of staying well rather than just preventing illness as we move through this transformational decade, the transformational 20s. And the idea of how we start to place sport and fitness at the heart of our offering is going to be increasingly important in this decade moving forward. Indeed, according to the Global Wellness Institute, wellness travel is projected to reach EUR 779 billion by 2022. Now that -- and that was actually a figure that we got earlier this year. So it's a recent stat rather than a pre-pandemic one. And it's a sense of understanding and anticipating the market of growth in this particular area. So how we start to incorporate this new-found passion for physical hobbies into the tourism experience, I think, is about, again, this idea of how we embrace a new generation of travelers with new interests in mind and new points of focus. And we're seeing how the niche and the desire to become niche is also an opportunity within this particular category. So, on screen, we can see the Court Hotel in California, which the whole hotel experience revolves around the idea that it is a tennis hotel, that's its raise on [indiscernible]. And in fact, this idea that we become more niche in our outlook rather than more general, again, we believe, is one of the guiding principles of the next 10 years. We find our points of difference. We understand as our consumer base continues to diversify, rather than necessarily homogenize, we've got to be able to actually play to those key elements and those notes of diversification rather than sameness. The other example we've got here, El Mangroove Hotel in Costa Rica, launching a program, connecting professional surfers with guests, understanding what it's authentic self as Andreas identified really is.
Kathryn Bishop
attendeeOkay. So from personal well-being, as Chris was just touching on, to that of the wider communities and planet, what we will actually start to see is this more regenerative solution coming through for travelers. It's not that sustainability is going to go off the agenda. It's more that the conversation is evolving around this whole system approach to travel futures. So of course, aware of the climate crisis by the mid-2020s, we're going to see customers who are more conscious about traveling, but they're going to want the data to back it up. So when they're coming to hotels, when they're booking online, they're going to want to know that the destinations that they're landing into have maybe already done some of the work for them, but can also quantify maybe the impact of their stays, when they're on the ground, how many local resources they're using, that sort of thing. We've already started to see the [ Eco ], Resort Collective, [indiscernible], Regenerative Travel actually create an open-source white paper on its website for hotel groups to actually download and read through so they can actually understand better their planetary and social impact. And the co-founder of Regenerative Travel, Amanda Ho notes that regeneration looks everything from this whole system perspective, as we've just noted. It's about being able to prove through scientific fact that our hotels are creating an agenda of impacts at the hotels themselves are thinking impact first, maybe not necessarily just about the experiences that they're offering. That is now part of the experience that they're offering. We're also seeing the Preferred Hotel Group founded by Beyond Green, a platform for properties, now really integrating these 3 pillars of sustainable tourism into all of the work that they do and these are focused, not only, again, on environmental practices, but that bigger thinking, that whole system thinking, protecting cultural heritage, contributing to well-being of the local communities as well. But as Gunn touched on, there's biggest conversation here to think about under this umbrella of sustainability, and that's also intersectionality is thinking about who are your future customers? If we're thinking about sustainable travel, it's not necessarily affluent white people anymore. We have to think about how to engage new audiences, younger audiences, who, as we just noted, want to understand the impact of their trips. They have different reasons for traveling. They're traveling more for cultural and for ancestry rather than just to have a great beach holiday to Ibiza. One really great example, if you aren't yet aware of them, is a travel collective called Trippin. They very much focus on Generation Z. And their whole approach is to replace this idea of sustainable travel with purposeful travel instead. And they want to address that lack of intersectionality that has largely existed in this sustainable travel sort of movement so far to date. Because as they say, right now, there's an unlevel playing field for many intersectional travelers. If you're black or brown and you're traveling, you might not always still welcome on what has been quite a sustainable trip. So again, they're thinking and asking travel companies to think about what are the pillars of sustainable tourism, and with this, how that also filters down to local communities.
Chris Sanderson
attendeeNow moving on, again, Andreas talked about the impact on the hospitality industry of the workplace, both in terms of business travel, but also the idea of those that want to work with us. And it was 15 years ago that at the Future Laboratory, we coined the term bleasure to actually embrace and understand the fusing together of the business and the leisure traveler. And I think in tandem with a more sustainable approach to travel, we're beginning to see how consumers are increasingly drifting towards this idea of swapping short-term holidays for longer-term stays. And again, this is something we were definitely seeing pre-COVID, the rise of what we had called nomadism. And so the notion of the worker who is increasingly able to think more carefully about how they travel, about how long they can stay in a particular location because of the greater flexibility that many of us now have around our working patterns is something that already hotel groups like the citizenM have begun to pay attention to, providing companies with work state incentives such as meeting rooms, hotel rooms and free drinks in order to bring people together and back into their hotel for both the professional time and also the leisure time to do it together. Meanwhile, the airline company United has partnered with PeerSpace to create Team Together bundles, offering companies packages that include the return flights, the short-term workspace rentals, the collaborative spaces that bring teams the time to come together, the reason to actually come together to create that culture and to create the environment in which great new ideas can come to fruition. At the other end of the scale, we're also seeing how new luxury businesses like MUSA on Mexico's Pacific Coast are designing properties specifically for this more nomadically-minded traveler. The space will offer a hotel and individual living accommodation that really focuses on the idea of placemaking, on community, giving people the opportunity to experience the area before potentially deciding that this is where they may want to bed down roots and actually think about living.
Kathryn Bishop
attendeeThat's a really nice idea. And I've seen a few of these concepts starting to come through are people getting a test run about living in a space temporarily, seeing how they saw maybe before actually moving there. But now when we're starting to look next, we're looking maybe more towards the end of the 2020s, and where some of these travel trends could be headed. What is really actually quite exciting to see is how, through data and travel insights, what we will start to see is not only itineraries, but increasingly, of course, future hospitality experiences and even hotel design being founded on the data that hotel groups are tracking around user behavior, customer spend, where people are traveling, very similar to what we've been shared just previously. So this is where the expertise of the travel sector and that ability to read and infer data will unite to actually hone and create some really exciting new spaces. We've just seen one really interesting example in China. Alibaba's travel booking platform, Fliggy, recently used its extensive knowledge, of course, of the Chinese consumer base to create, for the first time, a 3-day long festival in the desert. And this was very much, again, targeted using Fliggy's search engine data at Generation Z, it was called the Desert Hearts Music Festival. And they understood that Gen Z, right now in China, as we've touched on, want to understand their cultural heritage. They kind of want to get back in touch with their ancestry. And as part of this, they had music, dance, fashion, traditional Hanfu dress at this festival for Gen Z to come and enjoy. So that was all just born from the data insights that they could see from their search engines. Elsewhere, Culture Trip, some of you may know of it, of course, the digital content platform for the travel industry, is translating its kind of editorial grasp and its reach of all of these local insiders that exist around the world to actually create a whole new travel concept called TRIPS. It is for small groups, is obviously especially targeting maybe friends who want to get back out and travel now, but do something that feels much more local as we, again, saw data, everyone has been very much focused on spending local, and so they want to translate that into their travel experiences now. So you get hooked up with local insiders who obviously show you all the hidden gems very much in the vein of Culture Trip's own editorial. So, indeed, such data could actually really help us to maybe even accelerate some new travel hotspots. We could be reading those data to understand where we should be putting our investment or our focus next. And of course, some of these hotspots themselves might actually be a little bit femoral or transient even. So thinking about how we have to be much more flexible and also move with the time as travel brands or travel companies. Showing this notion of transience already is 700'000 Heures, which is a nomadic hotel. It sets up for about 6 months. Every time it moves around the world, it's most recently been in Lake Como. It's been in Japan. And here, it's very much encouraging those sort of high spending customers to come and spend some time, again, immerse themselves in local activities, whether it's Japanese calligraphy or gardening, that sort of thing. But this hotel moving around the world and always seeking out and teasing its next location to obviously help build a bit of hype before it lands. Elsewhere, we're also seeing this start to push a little bit further afield. When we start to think a little bit more future-facing, again, towards maybe the end of the 2020s, the Anthénea is the world's first floating hotel suite. This has a -- basically a solar powered pod that can kind of float around. It can navigate rivers. It can navigate sees. It has a circular bed. It has a salt water or freshwater bathtub, its own solarium. So your own little private boat space that you can float around on. And it can, of course, anchor in any place it's residents want to be until they're ready to move. But maybe pushing this to the even more extreme end is Ocean Sky. So we're looking actually, for 2023, for the first launch of Ocean Sky. This is bringing a fresh approach to Arctic Circle tourism. It's the world's first helium aircraft, they're back, ready to fly to the North Pole. And those 16 people who will be on this first trip on this Ocean Sky will be joined by Robert Swan, an explorer. So this is once in a lifetime experience. So again, this ability to kind of move around, enjoy these kind of hotels and these voyages that are, again, facing new frontiers even as we look to the future.
Chris Sanderson
attendeeIndeed. And so we'd just like to end with this particular quote, which we thought chimed very nicely with the idea of moving into the sort of the new horizon of travel opportunity and hospitality. And this is from Sylvia Karasu, who is a clinical professor of psychiatry at the Weill Cornell Medical School in the United States, who recently told us, "They already own the present. What else is left to buy, but tomorrow, and the tomorrow after that." Suddenly, the fetish of the super rich for space tourism starts to make sense. But it won't just be about space. It will be about our unexplored worlds, and it will be about how we discover parts of our world that we never thought we'd find or that we'd encounter. And that, I think, is 1 of the most exciting opportunities that hospitality will have in the decade and the decades to come." Thank you.
Kathryn Bishop
attendeeThank you, everyone.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeIt's like an English lesson ephemeral. I wonder how many of you Swedish here who have used the Swedish equivalent to that word. Would you say about a hotel that it is ephermet? Have you heard that? No. New term. You always learn. Gunn, I wonder if you will stay in hotels as a private traveler more or less the coming years?
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeI would say more -- as a private, less because I'll be working all the time. So we're in business.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThat's a logic answer, which leads to...
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeBut if I wasn't working that much, I also would be traveling more private more...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWhich means that you will increase your hotel stays for business?
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes, because during the pandemic, it's -- for me, it's been more like a long-term vacation. I mean that's how I have to see it. So I've been trying to really spoil myself and living in the hotels and enjoying myself and continuing being creative, creating music, producing. But definitely, I will stay a lot more, and I am going every week back and forth staying in hotels in different countries, DJing as we speak.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWhat a good customer. Isn't she?
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeI am.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeExcellent. So this leads to the results of the QR poll. I think we have them now. I hope so. Yes. As a leisure traveler, when will you stay at hotels as much as you did before? I already do, 36. Yes. Draw your own conclusions, friends. This was as a leisure traveler, what about the business traveler? Can we see that? 43% in 2023. Never again, 20%. Was that what you expected? Just about? Okay. And the third question, how difficult is it for you to find the right staff today compared to before? Harder, 47%; much harder, 28%. We've got a problem here. Thanks for the poll answers. Very short. You've worked with Pandox before.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeOn a [ sunny ] trip.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeTell it very short.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeI don't know if a couple of you remember, if you were there, but 5 years ago, we went to Kiruna. Is there anyone here that went to Kiruna?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes. Sure.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeOkay. I remember Mr. [indiscernible], he was dancing like crazy. Yes. We went to first to Radisson by the airport. We had a preparty, and then there was the destination unknown, and everyone flew up to Kiruna for a 2-day party by the Icehotel, and some Scandic Hotel. And I remember everyone went up on the mountains with helicopters and had champagne. And I just remember with Pandox that ...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeHelicopter and champagne. How lovely.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes. Very nice. I was waiting in the hotel. I remember that. No, but I really remember with Pandox that it was so nice like all the speaks, I remember Nissen too and the beautiful speaks and everything it really hit me. It was different from all the different corporate jobs that I do. And I remember that I really wanted to come back and play for Pandox.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeAnd there you are.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeAnd now I'm back after 5 years. I'm really happy that I do.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeAnd now we've got a panel coming in here. How good. Returning on stage Liia Nou.
Liia Nõu
executiveThank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThe sub from the bench, if I am honest, and I am Ruslan Husry. Thank you very much for saying yes, last night, late.
Ruslan Husry
attendeeI couldn't say no.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYou joined the panel. That was wonderful. Because Jens Mathiesen couldn't come. We have announced Jens Mathiesen, wonderful. You represent the HR Group in Germany with lots of hotels. And Robin, of course, Robin Rossmann, a serial visitor to the Pandox Hotel Market Day, aren't you?
Robin Rossmann
attendeeIt's a great event.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYes, it really is. Now a couple of questions to you, and I'll start with you, Robin. So I want to know now we talk so much about the pandemic. Will we really learn something from it and change anything. Will we?
Robin Rossmann
attendeeI mean there's a lot of things that have been talked about today that it's clear we need to have change, especially around the environment and how we take care of that. But I also think there are a lot of mega change trends that I talked about that aren't going to materialize in the shape that maybe they get talked about right now. So will more meetings be done digitally? Yes. Will more people choose to live outside of cities and commute? Some will, yes. But does that mean travelers dead? And does that mean cities are debt? I think, fundamentally not. It's interesting, if you look at some of the worst-performing shares in the U.S. at the moment. They are the likes Zoom. Zoom share price is down 30% this year. Peloton down 60%. And the reason for that is their valuations were underpinned by assuming a growth trajectory that we've seen through the pandemic continuing. People were going to change the way that they did things forever. And that's not materializing, not in recent months. I'll give you another data point. So we have a business in the U.S. called Apartments.com. It's a marketplace for renting apartments. And the long-term average occupancy of apartments in cities is around about 93%. And obviously, during the pandemic, people moved out of the city, occupancy rates went down. In the most recent months in the U.S., apartment rate occupancy is 95%. It's the highest occupancy rate we've ever seen in 30 years of data. So people are choosing to move back into cities. They're getting off their Peloton, they're traveling again and things are returning to normal for better or for worse, right? And I think that's something that has positive impact, but also it doesn't necessarily deal with some of the other challenges that have been raised today.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeRuslan, perhaps I was a little unfair to you because I didn't give you the chance to explain if you don't know what HR Group is, that's a huge hotel group in Germany now. I give you 30 seconds to tell what it is.
Ruslan Husry
attendeeThank you very much. HR Group. It's a white label operator in Germany, asset heavy. Signed a lease contract with the institutional investors operating around 80 hotels in Germany and Central Europe, include like Switzerland, Netherlands and Spain. One of our big landlord is Pandox as a tenant, but also different institutional investors like [indiscernible] and we are also owning like part of the real estate. It's a private-owned company and asset heavy.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeAnd it maybe it's interesting just in this connection now that you have 10 or 12 hotels in Vienna?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeNo, I bought Vienna House property, but Vienna, it's a new brand like it's a Vienna House ...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeOkay. I thought you were in Austria as well.
Ruslan Husry
attendeeYes, partly in Austria, but not as hotels in Vienna. I bought a brand, it's called Vienna House, and we have took over the leases and now we are considering. We are also partnering with different finance partners like [indiscernible] or Hilton or ...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWhen you're in them, you feel like you're in Austria?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeYes. Right.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeNow, Ruslan, so the same question to you. What do you really learn from this crisis we are going through, still going through?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeYes. Like also continue our cooperation. First -- the first lesson with Ireland. Like we have to prepare for the worst can happen. And luckily for HR Group and thank to Pandox and thanks to Anders Nissen, where he's not with us, and because of the pandemic also, we lost him, and thank you for that, like we had the first cooperation and Pandox trusted in me as a company, and we made [indiscernible] in 2019, where it was, on the other hand, a good timing to be prepared for pandemic. But nevertheless, for our business model, this was one of the big lessons to learn because it's not a writing by law, not only then by contracts, nothing written. It's a cooperation between partners, how to solve the issue together, how to overcome this issue as to partners in one hand, as operator as a lease heavy. But on the other hand, as owner how we can compete with this pandemic. And the worst thing like this took longer and like with the salami process like piece by piece longer. Nevertheless, like how to be prepared stronger, like from the operational side, cutting costs, react, taking care about like the hotels and how to continue implementing digitalization, continue about ideas of food and beverage and so on.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWhat about Pandox there? And is there a small talk in the office every day that, no, we have to do like this instead because we learned something?
Liia Nõu
executiveWell, I think we are -- that's two learnings from pandemic. And one thing is that the way you manage the crisis is how well prepared you were before. Well, nobody knew a pandemic was coming, but the business model, the -- having a culture of quick decision-making and the corporate culture enabling people, having the mandates, taking care of them, employees coming back, et cetera, that's very important. And that we were proud of. I think we sort of said before, I think that's something that Anders put in place, and we also are part of and that's what we are very proud of. The other learning is that as a fact not fear to base like Robin, to base everything we do as much on facts as we can. There's a lot of...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYou mean you will be better on that due to the pandemic?
Liia Nõu
executiveYes. I mean we are a data-driven company in the sense that we always analyze and look at our competitors. And we've always done that, but even more so during this pandemic, it's been really, really important to continue to do that and really sort of take decisions after that.
Robin Rossmann
attendeeWithout facts, you're just another person with an opinion.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeRobin, you listen to Chris and Kathryn from Future Lab. What they are saying is that consequences of the pandemic, what they point out? Or is it things that would happen anyway?
Robin Rossmann
attendeeI mean I think they started off and actually I had the pleasure of chatting to them before the event. It is -- a lot of those trends were around before the pandemic, and it is around an acceleration and investment into those areas. But they are still quite -- they're very niche trends. And I think there is a big mass market that won't change necessarily as fast as that. Although I will say the one thing it was great listening to Ian Goldin earlier on, because just to hear him synthesize so succinctly all the changes that happened post World War II and realizing that those fundamental changes didn't happen in a year or 2. And so even though coming out of World War II would have felt like we need to change things now, it took years and decades for that to play through. And I think we're in a similar place now where we all recognize the fundamental needs to change things. And myself, and I'm sure many are frustrated that it doesn't feel like we have the right part yet. But people often overestimate how much they can get done in a year and underestimate how much they could get done in a decade. And so I think if we're on the right trajectory, that's my hope.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeRuslan, you've been here the whole afternoon, right?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeYes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeHave you heard anything interesting?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeEverything was very interesting.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWhat was interesting, tell me?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeAbout all the opinions, especially also with Ian and we understand the global situation, also about regarding how cities would look like, traveling and so on, where I believe it will be change in the market, but I think it's direction. And also I agree with about what means about restarting like -- or going back to the path, I think there will be adjustment like how we are integrating like and how we see our recovery process. And it was quite fast in our hotel portfolio that we see secondary locations or today, institutional investors that are looking on leisure market. Well, if I were talking to this institutional investors some years ago, they were never want to hear about the leisure market or to invest in major markets, especially in Europe. And to see this kind of hotels where you can adjust business hotel as also leisure destination to prepare like for family traveling, create like kind of can go around and you integrate this kind of philosophy in your hotels and these things that we...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeSoon same question to you, Liia. Just a moment. Did you hear anything special today that you like, Gunn? That you thought, "aah, didn't know that, that was interesting."
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeI think everything was interesting to know a little bit how, in general, you work from the perspective from U.S. a landlord and Pandox and the hotels because I'm also the Head of Marketing of Stockholm Pride. So I'm the on putting the pressure from an inclusion point of view on the hotels how you work in the business with your staff, but also how you can promote yourself without looking like your pinkwashing. And pinkwashing means you're just using the LGBTQ logo to look you actually don't do anything for it. So this was interesting to me. I got a lot from that. And then it was this pop-up hotel.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeEphemeral.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes, the pop up hotel idea I thought was very interesting.
Ruslan Husry
attendeeWhat about you Liia? You are the one behind all this. What's interesting here?
Liia Nõu
executiveWhat's interesting here, I think -- and it was interesting, I think that we are sort of coming quicker to a more normalized, we shouldn't say business as usual, but to a normalized travel. And I pick up from all the speakers that I think actually hotels -- staying at hotels will be a bigger spend of the travel spend.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeProbably yes.
Liia Nõu
executiveWe need to plan better. Again, maybe we need to travel less times, but we stay longer. You can't replace this meeting. You can't replace actually meeting people. Some people say they will never travel again in business. Well, the competitors will travel. And you can't really replace that. So I think I take away a lot of good from that.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeOkay. hand on your heart, all 3 of you.
Robin Rossmann
attendeeDepends on what you're going to say.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeAll 3 of you, this is a question where the answer demands total honesty, okay?
Liia Nõu
executiveOkay.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeI don't want to go back to how it was before agree or not?
Robin Rossmann
attendeeNot, I mean from a sustainability perspective, definitely not.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeRuslan? Are you prepared for the change?
Ruslan Husry
attendeeI'm prepared for the change, yes, but I need to learn from the past. And we are human being. We still want to travel. We still want to be the -- then I would like to learn from the past for the future.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWill Pandox go in the front now?
Liia Nõu
executiveAbsolutely.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYou will.
Liia Nõu
executiveI think we sort of plan sort of a sustainable travel. I don't think -- I think that's already started pre-pandemic. So we are fast forwarding the trends that were there before. And just need to adapt to those.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeNow, Liia, I haven't prepared you for this one, but all people are curious, all people out there are curious. We will, of course, have a Hotel Market Day next year as well.
Liia Nõu
executiveAbsolutely.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeAnd then we will sum up all the changes there have been. Will we?
Liia Nõu
executiveWe will try. I've talked to Mr. Berg, [indiscernible] who is sort of brains behind this and this ...
Jan Wifstrand
attendee[indiscernible] yes?
Liia Nõu
executiveYes exactly. They are the heroes of this day and will take all ...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeSo I guess the Hotel Market Day will go on forever?
Liia Nõu
executiveForever.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeIs that right?
Liia Nõu
executiveForever.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeWell, time is running. Okay. Thank you very much for sharing your views, opinions with us. Robin, Ruslan and Liia, of course.
Liia Nõu
executiveThank you.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank you very much. Now there will be a slight change in the program. Nobody knows about it almost, not even Gunn. But the thing is that, excuse me, you online watchers now, your online guests. This is about you who are here. Due to a technical problem, you were not able to see the video, right? About Anders Nissen, which we started with when I announced the tribute to Anders Nissen. I understood after because I could see it on my screen, but you couldn't. So the suggestion from [indiscernible], our production company is that we just run it once again. So you can see it once again, if you like, okay? Are you with us?
Unknown Executive
executiveYes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeFine. Thank you. [Presentation]
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeOkay. That was it. Thank you. I like a conference where you also have a piece of news. So now we are going to deliver a piece of news. We are going to launch something real new. And this is made public for the first time in this very moment. And the one who will do it is the handball legend, Stefan Lövgren.
Stefan Lövgren
attendeeThank you, Jan, and hello, everybody. I'm the only one here today who will not talk about trends or hotel market or interesting things for the hotel owners. But I will talk about Anders Nissen. We all knew Anders, or to be honest, we all were hit by Anders, some of us physically on the shoulder, of course, on its friendly way, but also hit by his enthusiasm, his energy, his business skills and his passion of handball, and in particularly, in talents and the next generation of handball players. To honor the memory of Anders, the Foundation M9 has been instituted. And I'm really proud, together with Staffan Olsson and the son of Anders [ Oscar Nissen ], to be in the Board of M9 Foundation. For those of you who don't know handball, and that's okay, M9 is an expression for the playmaker in handball, and Anders was a true playmaker. I would like to express my deepest recognition and gratitude to the donations from [ Ola Nissen ] and Pandox to the M9 Foundation. It will be a privilege for me to set Anders ideas in force through the foundation, which aims to support, encourage and develop handball talents, coaches, but also new ideas within business development, which can make the sport handball grow. So I hope that you will follow the journey of this foundation, and through that, the memory of Anders. You can get the contact details, of course, speaking to me or Staffan during or after this session or having down from some of your Pandox friends. Normally, I would end now and say thank you. But after getting hit by Anders, he learned to add and always end what's next. And I really don't know what's next. But with that, I would like to say thank you for the shortest time on the stage tonight, and that was my time. Thank you very much.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeHow many do you think that this is a good idea? All of you? How good? Great. Okay. We're approaching the end. We're not really done yet. But the program says that I now have a 25-minute session for personal reflections and summary. No, I am only joking. I have a couple of minutes for that. But I have nothing to tell you that it's better than what we've already heard from the speakers. So I just want to know, it may be that 1 or 2 of the speakers already have left. Leo is, of course, not with us now because he was online. But is Ian still here, Ian Goldin? Are you here?
Ian Goldin
attendeeYes.
Jan Wifstrand
executiveFine. Stand up, please. Where are you? I didn't see you, sorry. There you are. Great. Andreas Scriven, are you here?
Andreas Scriven
attendeeYes. I will stand up too.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYou send up too? And what about Chris and Kathryn, you're still here.
Chris Sanderson
attendeeYes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeStand up, please. Okay. Now please deliver for these people a sitting ovation. Okay? Thanks a lot.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeI think also the moderator deserves a...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeePlease wait moment. Please wait a moment, because I have one person who is more important, even more important, and that is somebody who has been here, listening carefully, being kind of the architect behind the Hotel Market Day for many, many years behind Anders Nissen, always serving with good advice, good input, intelligent comments also to me this time. And I think Bengt Brodin is in the room. There here is. Please, Bengt Brodin. Yes, you may come up on stage because you deserve a second ovation as well. Okay. I don't have a microphone for you, but thank you for everything you've done for supporting me and the Hotel Market Day.
Bengt Brodin
executiveThank you. Can I say something without a microphone?
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeVery short, very short.
Bengt Brodin
executiveActually, when we started the whole in marketing, many years ago...
Jan Wifstrand
attendee26 years ago.
Bengt Brodin
executiveThey were founded on 2 thoughts of Anders. The first one was like understating Pandox that in Pandox, we need to know the hotel industry and what's influencing the hotel industry. That knowledge is so important. The second thought, and I'm coming to my point was that, that knowledge or at least part of it, we should share with others in our environment. And that was actually the base for the Pandox Hotel Market Day.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeYes. And you have really checked up that this is what we are doing all the time?
Bengt Brodin
executiveI've done that, yes.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank you, Bengt Brodin. And since I'm the head moderator, she's only the side cake, okay? So I decide, so I decide that it was a fantastic pleasure, a great fun to work with Gunn Lundemo. Thank you a lot.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeOkay. Okay. You can do better than that.
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank you a lot. Thank you. So there will be some great music at the end, I think.
Gunn Lundemo
attendeeYes, yes. We also do like a blue...
Jan Wifstrand
attendeeThank you. Thank you for listening. Thank you for coming. Thank you for being with us online all the time, and see you on the next Hotel Market Day. Thanks a lot.
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