PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 10, 2021

NASDAQ US Financials Financial Services conference_presentation 37 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Heath Terry

analyst
#1

Hi, I'm Heath Terry, Internet analyst at Goldman Sachs. Thank you all for joining us. Really excited to have with us today, Sri Shivananda. Sri is Chief Technical Officer and Senior Vice President at PayPal. Sri, it's so great to have you back again this year. Thank you for joining us.

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#2

Thank you for having me.

Heath Terry

analyst
#3

So Sri, you've been at PayPal essentially for almost 20 years now. When you look at the -- what you've witnessed over that time in terms of digital payments, which were already fast-growing, but we've now seen this acceleration during the pandemic, how has that driven you at PayPal to scale your infrastructure to meet the increased demand of the growing customer base?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#4

Thank you, Heath, for that question. I've been with the combined company for about 20 years, but about 5 years at PayPal, 15 years before on the e-commerce side at eBay. As you mentioned, there's been a shift that's been occurring for a long time now in terms of digitization of payments. But as the pandemic hit that came along, cash became one of those things that was actually a carrier. And people were looking for ways, particularly when they were hanking down in their houses and there were stakeholders and so on, to continue to live their lives. And we saw a huge uplift at that time. In the beginning, there was -- in March, there was a bit of a slowdown, but quickly towards the end of March, we started to see growth in digital payments. When it comes to the planning that we normally do, our peaks are generally during the holidays, as in like November and December. But in 2020, holiday came early. And it was in the May cycle, May 1 was larger than the previous Cyber Holidays, both in terms of Cyber Friday and Cyber Monday. And it caused a new plateau of action, a growth or a step function increase in the amount of payments that we were seeing on the platform from all perspectives. We've built a scalable architecture a long time ago, and it came down to a matter of making sure we did 2 things. One is enable our employees who are now all home and working from home and having them be productive. And at the same time, capacitizing our site. The one key thing that we learned is, of course, that put a lot of pressure on our supply chain systems, the sourcing of all of that hardware to put in place to get ready for the customer volume that was coming at us. It was a great place to be, I call it, a first world problem, where the business is growing and technology has been built to support that, and we were leveraging all that we had built over years to manifest that and make sure we honored and supported every transaction that came our way.

Heath Terry

analyst
#5

So to dig into the weeds a little bit, what measures were you able to take in terms of increasing overall resiliency and reducing the risk of downtime disruption failures during all of this?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#6

There was a fair amount of work that we have done during the pandemic itself. But the success in any time period is not just about ordering that time period, it's about the preparation you have had over the years. A key thing that we've done at the company is to actually establish a very mature technology risk management program. And while we don't do anything that compromises the velocity, at the same time, we put in digital risk management infrastructure to ensure that we actually have a keen eye on all the redundancies that we have built. There's a testing of those plans. There is actually not just disaster recovery plans, but contingency plans that you have on top of it. Resiliency took a whole new meaning last year when everybody started working from home. As you can imagine, we went from about 57 offices around the world to 35,000 offices overnight. People's homes and garages and bedrooms and kitchens, all became offices. And to make sure that our employees are secure, our customers where -- customer data is secure and such, we put more controls in place. We've been rolling out something called Zero Trust architecture for a while. We actually accelerated that during the pandemic. And we've made sure that we keep a keen eye on the threats that are emerging, and ensuring that we have agile practices to address them as they come as well. So work -- on the security front, work on making everybody productive and secure from home and also work on redundancy, contingencies and reliability for the platform itself.

Heath Terry

analyst
#7

No, that's really fascinating. It had to be an incredible environment to try and work in. Last week, Dan mentioned on the earnings call that the company actually launched more products and services in 2020 than ever before. I mean, that was a time when most companies were just trying to deal with business continuity, much less launch at the pace that you did. And Dan actually said that pace is going to step up in 2021. What does that mean for you?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#8

Look, I mean, when we think about the pace of innovation we saw in 2020, there were -- there are a few key reasons for that. It is a very deliberate push that we have. One is, I'll start by saying that having the purpose as a company being -- having a big vision of being the payments operating system for the planet, and clear alignment and leadership and good planning on top of a solid architecture, that actually helped significantly. We took an approach where, in our PDC, we have a lot of data analytics and meritocracy built in. So you get to try ideas quickly, see if they work with the customer, take the input that comes from data, iterate very quickly. And that agile process, on top of the right kind of digitized risk management targets, gave us the ability to just quickly fail, fast and learn on ideas. That allowed us to take our relevance as we saw it emerging, the ideas that we had internally, apply those ideas, execute them and not just put them out there, but actually get feedback in real-time and make it even better with every single release that we did. Together, what that has done is it was the year that we've done the most amount of software and product releases as a company. And this is a place where design-driven approach empowering our engineers to take ideas and run with them. And then mentioning all of that through clear metrics is what gave us the ability to be effective on top of being efficient.

Heath Terry

analyst
#9

Yes. That's fascinating. When we look at the fintech universe, there's obviously a lot of competitors out there that try to do some part of what PayPal does. And so I would imagine in this kind of an environment, personalization, especially when you're operating at PayPal scale becomes even more important, what role has data analysis and AI and Machine Learning, playing in that personalization? And where do you think PayPal's strengths are there?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#10

Data actually has been one of the most critical strategic levers for a long time now. We actually had a very robust and mature practice around ML and AI long before these became buzzwords for the industry. What we have done is all across the company, no matter what function it is, whether it is design, product, finance, sales, marketing, cybersecurity, risk compliance, we leverage data in every aspect of the company. And this -- what this is meant is, for a company of our size, there is a lot of data we create. And instead of treating it as a data exhaust, converting it into something that could be of high-value, in fact, could be the driver for ideas and innovation, is the approach we have taken. And that has meant applying the right kind of mandates and controls on the data from a security and privacy perspective, making sure that there is sufficient anonymization that applies on it. Then taking that and creating an internal ecosystem for our data scientists, engineers, Machine Learning folks and AI folks to use this and solve business problems. Private outside end, it's not necessarily taking data and trying to drive something out, but aid the customer relevance and the conversation we have with customers every single day, and turn that into something that data can support And leveraging that has given us higher rates of conversion. Better auth rates related to the industry. And most people in the industry either focus on conversion rates or out rates. And we've been able to do both. Investments in our risk engines that allow us to have a universe class risk and fraud management practice. And then applying this in terms of opportunity analytics as well to see what else is possible, based on what we see in signals. All of that has played a very critical role, and it's a very strategic lever at the company. We treat it as an asset and do it right by making sure that it has the right controls on it.

Heath Terry

analyst
#11

Yes. No, that's -- it's got to be incredible to deal with the scale that you do. It leads me to ask, too, sort of what emerging technology, or technologies, are you seeing that have the greatest potential to drive advancement at PayPal?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#12

I'll start by first talking about the key priorities from a technology perspective. For us, being in the business of trust, cybersecurity is the #1 thing. Quickly following that is reliability and resiliency. Velocity, of course, in terms of time to market and competitive advantage is very important. Continuing to modernize the infrastructure and technology is very critical. And at the same time, for us to be efficient in terms of how we build technology is important as well. And when we take all these things into consideration, there are a lot of different things that are at play. There are infrastructure technologies like containerization and clustering that's played a critical role in the efficiency of what we're doing. Applying autonomous computing and model-driven infrastructure has been another area. Evergreen systems is an aspect of what we are working on. Leveraging digital twins in how we do various things in terms of reasoning and synthesis and prediction is another portion. Analytics is a big play. ML/AI is a big play. And there are, of course, all the other things that most people would talk about like moving to the public cloud, SaaSification of your software and all that. But we think of those as just nuts and bolts. The differentiators are the technologies that I talked about.

Heath Terry

analyst
#13

Yes. I definitely want to dig into a few of those. But one of the areas that's obviously gotten the most attention in terms of the developments at PayPal is the work that you're doing in digital currencies. How do you think about the role that PayPal plays there? And what are the challenges that you're addressing?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#14

Yes. I mean, as we talked a lot about digitization, man, as the digital economy itself comes into focus, we must accelerate our efforts to shape the next-generation of what those digital currencies will be, and what the corresponding financial infrastructure is. The financial infrastructure, as we know it today, is inefficient. There are opportunities there to make it better. And in the process, make it very inclusive of many people that the current financial systems cannot reach. We've taken some positive steps in the cryptocurrency space. What we've done is we've allowed our customers the ability to buy, sell and hold crypto in our wallet. We are in the process of working on creating more leverage for that cryptocurrency in the wallet through its use in checkout and so on. But our efforts is to make sure that we take the global commerce platform. We bring new segments into work, look at what digital commerce has to offer for hundreds of millions of people worldwide, and while doing so, work with central banks, work with regulators, who we have great relationships with and leverage that in shaping the future of digital currencies.

Heath Terry

analyst
#15

Now that's going to be incredible to watch. You mentioned the nuts and bolts, the cloud initiatives that you've had at PayPal. And having moved a considerable portion of your infrastructure there, I know you started with the development test environments and you moved to production, can you kind of give us an update on where that transformation sits? And where you see it going?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#16

Absolutely. I think for companies that have been around for a while, everyone knows that technology grows organically. And in spite of having a technology life cycle management process, you have a lot of things. The private data center is a forgiving environment for many things that you do in the architecture. And as you move to the public cloud, we have to be thoughtful, because not only is it a move of infrastructure from core to context to commodity, but at the same time, it's also about making sure that the customer promise that you have, the trust and relationship, the security, privacy, cyber needs and threats that you need to manage, resiliency and so on, are all upheld. The journey we took is a bit of a learn and grow mindset, which is why we did the dev and test environment first, a low-risk environment that allows us to understand what the public cloud has to offer, and at the same time, what the constraints of the public cloud ecosystem may be. We have now run the lab testing production for more than 2 years. This last holiday, in the November, December time frame, we had about 20% to 25% of PayPal's production traffic through the public cloud platform. The approach we are taking is the one that we intend to work with all the major providers. For the internal collaboration platform, we work with Microsoft. For some of our brands, we have a presence on Amazon Web Services. And for the PayPal core, we are on Google Cloud as well. There is a ton of modernization potential. There's a ton of efficiency potential. And there is a ton of innovation and time-to-market potential as we make this move. And we are well on that journey, but we want to, in all of these cases, given the scale we have and the relevance we have to the customer, measure thrice, back ones, take it carefully one step at a time, and do it in a way that creates leverage for us in speed, velocity and cost, but also make sure that we continue to scale our business the way the world is demanding that to happen.

Heath Terry

analyst
#17

Yes. I'm curious just to dig on one piece of that a little bit. Building a hybrid cloud environment or choosing to build a hybrid cloud environment where you're using multiple providers the way you are, what advantages do you see of that? Why did you choose to go down that path?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#18

Well, look, I mean, I'll just speak, risk management for a little bit. You don't want to put all your eggs in one basket, it's as simple as that, right? And there has been lots of system that's been built to date that is always available or always reliable. It's technology. You can have issues. And of course, we all build our architectures in a way that is resilient those failures. But there is -- public cloud, in spite of being now maybe a 12-, 13-year-old industry is still in its early phases. There's a lot of innovation happening all across. And what we want to be able to do is to ensure that we get the best of all of that innovation for us to leverage. Also, at the same time, when you look at the global presence of the various cloud providers, there are gaps that each provider has, but we need to serve the whole world. And we need to be present in all the locations where we need to be present. So that also gives us some flexibility in terms of being in all locations, having the public cloud strategy, but not being tied to a present strategy for what a single provider may actually enforce.

Heath Terry

analyst
#19

No, that certainly makes sense. Obviously, with the outsized growth that we've seen in digital commerce, fraud comes along with that, with a lot of new challenges to any sort of cybersecurity environment. How would you characterize sort of the state of things now? And how do you see technology being leveraged to address that?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#20

Yes. I'll separate fraud and cybersecurity. There are -- there's a spectrum of things, some of which cybersecurity covers, some of it fraud covers. But fraud, let me talk about in the context of transactions. Transaction sanctity on the platform is one of the most important things for trust. When a customer wants to move or manage their money, we need to do it in a way that they believe is done right and secure, it's private and so on. We put a huge amount of investment. We have a great team that works on our sophisticated fraud systems, high leverage of data. Within 300 milliseconds during a transaction, we have tens of models that actually look at the context around the transaction and evaluate the safety of the transaction. And that happens on every single transaction that occurs on the platform. And that is what allows us to have some of the industry-leading risk loss rates at the company. Now fraud, just like cybersecurity is one of those things where good yesterday is not good enough today. So you had to continuously evolve and continuously innovate. You have to take the understanding of the fraud patterns into consideration. In many cases, you have to clean those from the signals that you're getting, which are not always direct and react that to those, not just through human processes, but through algorithms and the leverage of data and so on, to stay in front of where the fraudsters are and beat them at their game to the best extent that is possible.

Heath Terry

analyst
#21

No. That's -- yes, it has to be an incredible challenge. When you look at -- just to dig deeper into that within cybersecurity, what are some of the key trends that you're seeing maybe more broadly, whether it's greater cloud adoption? Or we're certainly seeing this rise in ransomware, what -- is someone who's literally doing this every day, what are the things that you're seeing?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#22

I mean, as is very evident from the news, there is something new that you see in the news every single day, and there are some common patterns that emerge from it. But given the size and scale of our company, we see attacks happening every single minute. And that could be anyone from amateur kid, who is bored in his college dorm, all the way up to any kind of activity that happens from organizations that are committed to cybercrime. So I would say the biggest trend that everyone in the industry has had to deal with over the last year is the movement of the workforce home. Suddenly, the surface area of risk went from your offices, your premises and your devices to a whole lot more. And that's a completely different mindset that you have to start to apply now to say, everyone became a road warrior. And how do you actually make sure that your promise to your customer, to your company, are all upheld through the leverage of technology and systems to ensure that we can keep the cybersecurity promise? We can stay in front of those problems. Ransomware is one kind of attack. It's a special kind of malware. Malware is still out there. Phishing, of course, happens all the time. The way to address all of this, it is, one, it is important for cybersecurity to become a lifestyle aspect in the company, everyone in the company, whether your in technology or not needs to become aware of what cybersecurity implications are. Awareness is critical. Education is critical. We have found the right use of in line messages to make people in the company aware of what they're doing or what they should not be doing, extremely important and extremely effective. And on top of that, we've taken a platform approach to cybersecurity as well. The way we do identity management, the way we do cryptography, things of that nature. We don't just allow for all the teams in the company to do it differently, we have specialized team that built that platform. We actually mandate the leverage of that platform across the whole company. And that gives us the best up-to-date differences possible at any time. And like I said, on fraud, in cybersecurity as well, good yesterday is not good enough today. So it's a continuous marathon that you are at.

Heath Terry

analyst
#23

So security is often intention, at least at some level, with business initiatives. You talked before about Zero Trust policies, that seems like something that could slow down the velocity of customers getting business done of onboarding new users, time to market. How do you manage that at PayPal?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#24

So whether it is from an employee perspective or from a customer perspective, you're right. Security that's not designed properly can actually land up becoming a friction factor and therefore, impedence in both onboarding of people and their productivity on the system. And this is where we had to take a design centric mindset, a customer-centric mindset that's based on design. And you had to understand what you must absolutely do for security. But at the same time, what you cannot compromise in the experience as well. Now in spite of the best attempts, sometimes you will still create some aspect of friction. And in those cases, it's important to lead with the why and create messages, both for customers and employees, where they understand why something is happening. And the fact that it's of value to them, it's for the safety of them. And that education, combined with the design centric approach, combined with the platform approach, I think that's the way that you try to make the best of all needs you have and create experiences that are delightful and yet safe and secure.

Heath Terry

analyst
#25

Yes. One of the -- you talked about the challenge of a work from home environment from a security standpoint. But I'm actually really kind of curious how you addressed it from a collaboration an efficiency standpoint for your teams that are working together, how do things like scrums work in this kind of an environment?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#26

Yes. In fact, like, as Dan mentioned, 2020 happened to be the year where we had the most engineering productivity and we put out more PR than ever. And if you'd ask me that question, if you give you have the situation in February of last year, and you said, hey, look, for the rest of the year, everybody is going to work from home, what do you think is going to happen with release velocity and product productivity I would have said, oh, my God, that one, I don't know. And number two, I'm concerned. At the same time, what's occurred, though is, again, the investment in the digitization of the enterprise. And keep in mind, we are a digital native company to start with. And therefore, much of the approaches that we have taken to software development, they're all using collaboration tools, whether it is collaborative editing on documentation or the ease of having a video call with somebody else, or for that matter, creating a virtual setup where everyone can participate and contribute just like they did when they were meeting each other in person. All of that has played a critical role. There are new ways of working. And those ways of working are powered by underlying platforms that we have leveraged from our partners and that has allowed people to connect with each other, whether it is in terms of their day-to-day work or in terms of just connecting with other employees, we've created all those [indiscernible]. One thing that I'd like to highlight is the pandemic definitely stretched what leadership meant, and what innovation meant, and what the need for technology was. A key thing that we did last year was we created an augmented reality, extended the IT experience, called the Pavilion. And that Pavilion actually became the place where we did the annual expo for the company where people present all the things they're working on. We actually had the holiday party in the Pavilion, where people could virtually engage and all that kind of stuff. And then on the side, we've done various things through leverage of slack and other tools like Microsoft 365 that allowed people to interact and exchange their day-to-day. So keeping the concept of a community going, concept of engagement going, while at the same time being productive. There's no doubt there's been burnout too because boundaries went away. People no longer had the boundaries they had before, and they struggled with that quite a bit. But that's where leadership connection, empathy and all the way up to like our Head of HR, help design program, where we now -- every 6 weeks, we have a wellness data, the whole company is off for the whole day. So no single person needs to have the guilt of saying, I'm the only one not working, and let me sneak in a little bit of work. The whole company is out. And that creates space for people to take a break, refresh a bit and get ready for the next 6 weeks as well. So Tech has played a very important role, but I would say, empathy and leadership at the most senior levels in the company has played an equal role, too.

Heath Terry

analyst
#27

Yes. That's going to be incredible for your teams, I can imagine. Within that same sort of mindset, ESG is obviously a huge area of focus, and I know sustainability, in particular, is a very big focus for PayPal. But for a company like PayPal, much of your environmental footprint is linked to your technology infrastructure. Where are you now on carbon neutrality and in that sort of sustainability journey?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#28

Yes. So the first thing I'll say, I'll step back and say our approach to environmental sustainability is one where we've broken up into 3 pillars. One is managing our impact as well and the commitment to continuously improving the environmental management and reporting through clear goals and objectives. That's one portion. The second aspect is mobilizing our people. We have found that our employees deeply care about the environment, and want to volunteer their time and skills to help address sustainability issues, not just on behalf of PayPal, but for the world as a whole. And the third aspect is through driving innovation and pursuing opportunities that drive positive environmental impact through products and services and so on. You're right, the biggest aspect of the energy footprint is all in the technology space. And we actually started to participate in science-based emissions target a couple of years ago. In 2017, our renewable power footprint was at about 48%. By the time we closed out on 2019, it was at 65%. I don't have the 2020 numbers yet, but we have a target for 2023 to be at 100% renewable power across our data centers for PayPal. All this while making sure that we continue to run all other aspects of sustainability with transparency and reporting and the right kind of climate advocacy as well.

Heath Terry

analyst
#29

Yes. When we -- somewhat related to that, when you look at the goals of diversity and inclusion, engineering and technology organizations are obviously, as many are, always challenged in terms of building diverse teams. How do you think about talent acquisition and development in that lens?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#30

Yes. Look, I think this is an area of a lot of conversation and whether it has moved my peer group and it work in the rest of the industry, or internally as a technology leadership as well. It's a very high priority. You probably know from everything that you've published, in terms of our values, one of the key values is inclusion. And we actually believe that if we are to serve the world that is very diverse, the inside of our company needs to look very similar to the people that we are serving on the outside. And we have seen the role modeling for this start all the way from the top of the company. Dan, himself, has committed to this, and he's clearly done a lot of work. And if you look at our Board composition, it's a very diverse Board that we have. When it comes to technology itself, there are various things. On the one hand, first of all, creating a culture and fabric of inclusion is the most important part of having diversity thrive. And that means awareness, elimination of biases, reflecting amongst ourselves and understanding what is it that we do every single day in terms of onset norms that may be coming in the way and eliminating those. Being intentional about diversity, having targets, hiring for those targets. And then once people are in the ecosystem, allowing them to giving them space, the psychologically safe space, to succeed and thrive, through the right kind of promotion process and all that kind of stuff, pointing them the right opportunities and so on. But it's much broader. The conversation we are having at the industry level is to say, there's a bit of a pipeline problem as well when it comes to engineering and computer science. So working with the organization by core.org, which is trying to take computer science education into middle schools and high schools. And making sure that we are not only making PayPal a great place for diversity to thrive, but also making sure that the problem we have in the tech pipeline itself is something we are addressing for the long-term investment to ensure that there is the right kind of diversity in the pipeline as well. By the way, if you don't know, core.org has made some amazing progress. If you look at AP computer science, the number of female and diverse [indiscernible] now in the AP program is significantly higher than what it was even 4 years from now. So it's a holistic end-to-end, but this is still a learning journey. It is one that none of us can claim any time of such as on. They'll be all together get to a place where we have inclusive cultures, we have a diverse population of employees and at the same time, we are addressing all aspects of diversity in demand in the tech pipeline.

Heath Terry

analyst
#31

That's incredibly good to hear. When we look at the regulatory side of things and the -- increasingly, the focus on tech and data regulation, how do you think about the need for personal data protection and privacy and balancing that with the innovation goals that you have as a company? As potentially competing issues?

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#32

We -- when people ask us about how we think of ourselves as a company, the first thing that we always say is we are a customer champion company. Everything that we do in terms of the relationship with the customer, particularly the long-term relationship we want with the customer, is the epicenter of all that is trust. And that trust actually includes the safety and a peace of mind in terms of the customers knowing that we are using the data that they have deposited with us in the right ways. In most cases, at PayPal, the leverage of data is in the context of the user, in the context of the transaction. There is no place where we share that data with any other party without the consent of the customer itself. That said, I think it is great, actually, to see the regulatory climate coming to impose the right kind of programs and mandates to protect the consumer as a whole around the world. And we consider ourselves a partner in that process. The -- it's a myth for someone to think that you cannot do privacy and innovate at the same time and build great products, you can. There are many techniques from a technology perspective, including the right application of cryptography and so on, where that can be done without the leverage of personally identifiable information. So this is something that is a core thing for us in terms of technology and data management priority. The regulations we have seen so far are still version 1 of the regulations that we have seen. We actually expect a lot more across the industry to come in this space. And the fact that we've built a regtech platform that helps us with compliance, actually allows us to take all those mandates and make sure that, one, we comply with all of them, but go well beyond those compliance mandates to ensure that we are doing right by the customer during every transaction we have with them.

Heath Terry

analyst
#33

No, it's really great to hear. Sri, thanks so much for taking the time to join us. This has been incredibly enlightening, and definitely look forward to doing it again into the future, hopefully, in person.

Sripada Shivananda

executive
#34

Heath, it's been a great conversation. Thank you for the opportunity.

Heath Terry

analyst
#35

Thank you.

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