Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 1, 2021

New York Stock Exchange US Health Care conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#1

Hey, good afternoon, everyone. My name is Margaret Kaczor. I'm the research analyst here at William Blair & Company who covers Penumbra. I am required to inform you that you can obtain a complete list of research disclosures or potential conflicts of interest at williamblair.com. As you all know, it's a virtual conference this year. So again, we're in the fireside chat format. There is a way for you guys to ask questions. Strongly encouraged that you do, please submit them. I will, of course, ask them to Adam. So with that, we're pleased to have Adam Elsesser, CEO of Penumbra here with us. Adam, how are you doing?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#2

I'm great. Thanks again for having us.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#3

Yes, happy to do it. So maybe let's just kind of start-up high level. I'm asking all companies is kind of the one COVID question here. We've got pretty clear line of sight at this point, vaccination rates we're finally moving past COVID. So again, it's not about COVID impact, but really focusing on the long-term market dynamics that have changed for you guys, either for better or worse? And then if you can give us some thoughts kind of on the post-COVID environment in stroke and vascular, that would be great.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#4

Yes. I think it's a great question. I think as we feel that we're getting past it first as it relates to our end markets, we got through this I think better than that. A lot of our business is in nonelective cases sort of emerging. So we felt over the last couple of quarters that we're relatively strong in spite of the issues related to COVID. As it relates to sort of our own internal business, our manufacturing and operations, that's been just a big challenge, but we've really risen to the occasion. And so I think as we get a little into the -- in California here on sort of the loosening up of some of the rules and the ability to sort of interact on campus, I think everyone is looking forward to that. We'll do it cautiously, sort of aware that things can change. But we feel pretty good. And then certainly, I think, like a lot of the mood in this country is pretty optimistic. We certainly, obviously, are aware that there are certain markets and countries where they don't feel this right now, India, Brazil and others. We have team members there that we're thinking about. But I think as a general rule of thumb, we're feeling pretty good as we look into the future.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#5

Yes. What a change a year makes. And I couldn't help us see the RED catheter in the back in the real system. So I'm excited to ask questions about that. I'm going to say that they were appropriately placed back there, the product placement.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#6

I didn't even notice them there, yet.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#7

All right. Let's focus on the neuro side a little bit briefly. We actually heard someone that surprised us to the upside on the last call. So maybe give us a quick refresh in terms of pockets of strength with BMX and some of the other products or geographies?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#8

On Neuro first, is that ...

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#9

Yes.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#10

So on neuro, this year has obviously been challenging with the extra flex recall and all. But I think we've really shown our resiliency. One, probably demonstrated that how varied the market is, and it's not just the catheter, but that all the sort of tools that go into doing a stroke case. And really, the benefit of our other catheters, sort of our second and third best products have really held up to a lot of the competitive attempts to entree. That being said, there are a lot of companies now. We've gone from talking exclusively about some of the bigger companies now to talking about a bunch of smaller companies and there's a lot of them, all with a variety of different tools. So I think the field, as it always has been, is quite competitive. But I think regarding stroke, we're in a pretty good spot. You've commented on the box behind me, that's RED 62, which was just cleared last week, and we're in the middle of doing our early evaluation cases. It's going well. And we think there's a lot of room not just for that product, but the additional RED series catheters that are coming. BMX, you call that BMX96. That's an access tool, a very novel technology to have a much larger lumen. That has really done incredibly well in the quarter we just announced. As have the other parts of our franchise, our coil business and our hemorrhagic items for treating bleeds. And so we're feeling pretty optimistic. As we move into the next back half of the year, beyond the additional catheters, getting additional technology, we've alluded to the products -- the product that we think will help change the current paradigm, I'm more and more excited and optimistic about what I think that can really do. And I think the field needs it. I think the field rather than have a dozen companies all doing the same thing, we're going to try to change that for the better and make a product that we think can get out all the clot in a much higher rate all the time. So we're pretty excited. And I'm very optimistic about stroke in the future.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#11

So the way you chose your words, I'm going to ask a follow-up to that. So a dozen different folks that are focused on neuro and so on. And trying to change that. Is that a comment may be that you're going to either add more products? Is it a feature set thing? Is it a sheer thing? Why that chose your words?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#12

Well, it wasn't meant as trying to be -- send any kind of message other than just a factual statement. There's -- I think on 11 or 12 companies now in neuro, many of them smaller companies who are joining the fray, which is great. But the key is rather than sort of just do the thing that others are doing. As you know, Penumbra always likes to continue to push technology and try to really get -- have paradigmships. And I'm pretty excited about what is coming. I think we can -- the key in stroke cases is to get all the clot out as fast as possible, as much of the time as possible. And as the field has grown, that's become pretty important. No matter where that cloud is and what vessel bed that is. Some of them are smaller, some of them are bigger, and we want to be able to address that across the board. And I think we have a real shot at doing that in the future. Let's not get ahead of ourselves. We still have a lot to prove, but I'm feeling optimistic.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#13

Okay. And so if we think about the RED series of catheters, not necessarily just 62, which is one piece of it. But what are the technical limits to the -- of today's technologies that RED is specifically going to address, going at those 2 goals?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#14

Yes. So RED is a part of it and that the goal with catheters is to always been, the current paradigm is to track as big a catheter as you can, fit in that artery easily and safely to that spot. And so the RED series definitely addresses those issues and trying to make catheters that can track faster and better than our existing catheters. That's the current paradigm. What I'm talking about is the future paradigm, and that's a product that's not part of the RED series that I've alluded to in the past that sort of flips that paradigm in a way that I think really quite elegantly addresses the needs of the field. So there are 2 different things there, but we'll wait and see. We probably shouldn't get ahead of ourselves.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#15

Yes. Just one last one on that elusive product. I'm just trying to think from kind of -- we've talked about it for a couple of years now. Are you still tinkering on the design a little bit? Or is it just kind of a series of investments that you're making and launching, where it's more about that? Or is it FDA?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#16

I think you know me well enough to know that I tend not to get ahead of myself. So you can take my comments as you want them, the fact that I'm talking about it should probably answer that question.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#17

Okay. I'm going to ask the question on China. We obviously get it a ton. You called out some international reasons, why China? So we've got limited visibility to international markets. How do you explain or understand? How do we think about cell in versus sell-through?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#18

Yes. So I'm really excited about our partnership with Genesis. Genesis is a great company lead by really an extraordinary seasons, leader, and team that he's built. And I think the nature of the structure, the deal allows us. Here, the first phase of this deal if you will, the part that we've sort of gotten organized and going on is really only for 5 products, really all around ACE68, which is a generation or so behind now. But a really good product. And I think in the Chinese market, it's going to do really, really well. It doesn't involve any of our newer products in neuro or stroke and certainly none of our peripheral products yet. But the room is there for that to happen. And as we spend more time with this partner and develop the kind of trust that is essential to do well together. I'm gaining more and more confidence that this partnership is going to be a critical part of what we do going forward. And I'm pretty excited about it. That being said, it doesn't -- we're not relying on China to have the kind of growth that we have promised to have. It's nice to have, and it's an important market. There are a lot of people that I think will benefit from our products. But we're not relying on China as the sole driver of our future growth. And I think that gives us a lot more confidence and flexibility and the overall business going forward.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#19

Fair enough. All right. So let's maybe switch to vascular as well. Another just massive quarter on last quarter's call with vascular thrombectomy, I think it was 80% growth or so. So to us, it feels like the business has reached an inflection point, if you will. I guess, do you agree with that? And what are you seeing in the field in terms of what's driving this demand?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#20

Yes. Well, so to just sort of level set, our vascular business has really 4 subcomponents of it. The first is the -- our coil business, our embolization business, which continues to grow sort of quarter-over-quarter. And that is really the very unique nature of the technology we have so far in that space. The other part that we don't talk about a lot is, of course, our coronary product, which has a pretty significant market and a lot of runway ahead. It takes a while to sort of get physicians in the coronary space to try it. But it tends to be really, really sticky when they do. It's a little bit different than clot in the other parts of the body, and that it's not always the main part of the procedure. It's a sort of a thing that they want to deal with and address, but it's not the main disease that they're treating most of the time. And then, of course, the thrombectomy part, both arterial and the venous side, which really are sort of slightly different, even though it's removing clot, they're sort of viewed slightly differently and the pathway is a little different. And there, really, the inflection point has been our development of Lightning. Lightning -- both Lightning 12, which is the venous side and Lightning 7 on the arterial have just had just really extraordinary success rates. And people who use it, it's pretty sticky business. And there's just a lot of runway ahead of us. We estimate they are about 10% penetrated in the market, as we define it, which is patients who are intervened on already today by our customers or surgically treated by our customers. And that's -- that means that 90% to go. And I think we'll have some pretty significant success for quite a while.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#21

And one of the things you've talked about in the past is your ability to get into some of these VAC committees. And it seems like maybe you're also that getting a bit of momentum there. Are you leading with Lightning? Or what are you leading with as you get into these VAC committees? Or do you have to make it indication by indication by indication?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#22

Yes. So VAC committees are really new products. There's a whole separate process around contracting with hospitals and systems, which is really a different team. But the VAC committee process for new products and Lightning is the new product, we feel like it's starting to make some progress. There's the pandemic, if anything, made that for the most part, more challenging. Many hospital systems really put the slowdown on improving new products. There were cost-saving measures put in place, and it really has just been more recent that's starting to open up. So I think if anything, that had been a challenge. We did see with Lightning last summer and into the fall, a little bit of sort of success because there were a lot of people worried about clot as a byproduct of COVID itself, and we happen to have the new product that treated that. So I think we got some waivers and some fast-tracking then. But I do think it feels like there's a little bit of momentum. But a lot of that is just the hard work of going through the process, making sure we're on the agenda, they're willing -- they understand what it is they're looking at and deciding around. A lot of it is just nuts and bolts work to get through and to do. But again, so far, so good.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#23

Yes. Yes, the Medtech industry is now heavily focused on vascular. You've got several companies offering different solutions now. How do you differentiate between market growth versus competitive growth? And does that change at all going forward?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#24

In the vascular space, we don't think a lot about competitors, unless you look at tPA and open surgery as a competitor. There's so much work to be done to sort of take what has been come sort of the de facto treatment, again, with no data to just to do it. But for so many years, our really biggest competitor is just doing tPA drip or open surgery. Other companies that are in this space, many of them are focused on the venous side only as opposed to the broader things. So it's just not something that comes up a lot. When we do have a few cases where we're sort of head-to-head, we feel like we've done really well. So we have a lot of confidence, given the size of the catheter, the safety profile that we're going to do fine. But that's sort of head-to-head competitive stuff, I don't think we feel that we see that much. I'd be surprised if other companies felt that either. I think there's just so much room that we've got a lot to do going forward.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#25

All right. So it looks to look 5 years from now, do you want to make a prediction in terms of -- I know you may not want to, but I'll ask anyways. A prediction of stents versus aspiration vascular? And I guess the real question is a technical one. Are there any limits that you guys really being -- or not able to maybe address today about the current portfolio?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#26

Well, it's a great question. I -- if you had asked me 5 years ago, whether a number will have grown at the pace we're growing and have a large effort in virtual reality and everything else, I would have thought you were absolutely crazy. So predicting the exact future is not something I feel any capacity to do. That being said, I do have a fairly significant -- I'm pretty confident that where we are today, but also where we think we can move the technology to get even better, not just like I've alluded to in stroke, but also in vascular, where we can more routinely, even then we are with Lightning, remove clot of any size, any ability. I think we can do that. I think that's in our sites over the next years. And so again, I don't want to predict that, but I think there's a chance that we can continue to have the kind of innovation that we're known for that will sort of cement our place in this market for quite a while.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#27

How much do you think that innovation will be kind of technical hardware versus things that are more digital?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#28

Well, digital -- like if you look at Lightning, that's hardware and that it's physical tubing and a pouch, but it's driven all by software. And so it really is -- the magic of it happens because of the algorithms that we've created and so on. So is it -- I think it's going to be likely both where we're using some of the things we've learned already and implementing them, obviously, on a physical product that can do that work. I think it's a combination.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#29

So when you guys think about your vascular strategy or your stroke strategy? I mean, really, you've talked about you've got a new Analyst Day on REAL, so we'll get to that in a second. But how do you -- what decisions are you making today about 2 years from now, 3 years from now?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#30

Yes. That's a great question. And to be honest with you, here's how I have always thought about that really, the whole company has thought about it. It's sort of just in our bones at this point. We only really want to work on things or be part of developing or selling things that fundamentally matters. We're not going to start to look for the third or fourth or fifth or look at stroke is 11th and 12th version of something that everyone else has it. That's just not our style. There's so many things that need to be improved upon, so many medical conditions that need help. But we're always going to focus on those where there isn't a solution, at least yet, and try to make a difference. Some of the time we're going to fail, and that's happened in the past. We typically don't talk about those, but it's happened. And other times, we're going to have real successes, like the ones that we've spent the afternoon talking about so far. And so that's not going to change. That's just sort of culturally who we are. And I can tell you this, I manage -- our Head of R&D manages a long list of active products depending on where they are in the phase or in the shoot or just early research or development and so on. And it's a long on list. But the longest part of that list is ideas and things that we wanted to start that we don't yet have the bandwidth to start that we have to sort of finish something before we start. And as long as that list is -- that that part of the list is longer than the things we're working on. We're going to have plenty to do in the future. And so far, that list is pretty darn long. So I think we're going to be in pretty good shape.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#31

And maybe a different flavor of a similar question. If you think about your R&D dollars, I know you enjoyed talking to me for a reason. If you think about the investment you make in R&D dollars for kind of new products, new indications, new areas versus continuing kind and improving existing indications, existing technologies. How do you think about that?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#32

It's great. We have to do both. I mean, that's not a either/or. As long as there is room for us to continue to iterate our current technology to make it better, we have to do that. So that's sort of an obvious given. And then on top of that, we obviously have to -- really it's almost an obligation, I think, that we have to try to pick areas that we think we can make a huge difference and do something that really matters. And we can't do unlimited number of those, but we try to do those with a lot of discipline. We don't give up early, but we also don't just keep going if it's not working. And I think I've been doing this long enough, I think, as has the rest of the team here, to sort of know that. You sort of get a feel for that and you try to make those decisions where you invest when you're having some traction in success. And as the combination of both those, whether it's projects like in our interventional business, really like how we got into the peripheral in the first place, starting out as a Neuro company, we were able to see the possibility through folks who helped guide us and that there was a huge need in the vascular space and the same thing in using VR as a technology to try to help people. And they are the -- as you know, the field has opened up even more, the opportunity to help not just people who have suffered from stroke. But people have all kinds of other conditions, mental health issues can benefit from this technology. And I think it's that ability to sort of create a proper immersive therapeutic platform for all that -- for all those applications is how we should try to think about it. So there won't be anything -- there won't be a shortage of things to touch and to try.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#33

All right. Fair enough. I don't know if you ever subscribed to the TAM Samsung framework. There's a few companies that do. I was going to maybe ask you a question on that, but I'm not sure you'll give me much, if you will, I'll take it. It's not a sign, I can move on.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#34

We'll move on.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#35

Okay. Okay. Fair enough. All right. So let's go to China a bit in the vascular side. It's big in Neuro, would you go down vascular?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#36

Yes. Look, there's a huge need and talking to our partner about the need. If we think about just even on the arterial side, forget the venous for a second. There's the rate of amputation for a critical limb ischemia is still way too high. And as long as those most basic measures are out there, there's an opportunity to really do something to help an awful lot of people. And so I think there's a lot of desire, a lot of passion to try to bring this technology to help those folks. And again, we're early on in the process. We're -- this is the first phase. We've gotten the partnership is off to a good start. We're building a great deal of respect and trust for each other. And I think that trust will only open up opportunities like this and others for us to take -- bring that technology to China.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#37

So we talked about the little RED box. We didn't talk about the 2 bigger boxes. So you got to have a formal Analyst Day. You're going to have kind of more concrete commercial details, so I won't push you on those too much. But you've been pretty excited about this. We see the physical object now. Is this a growth driver in '22? Or does it take longer?

Adam Elsesser

executive
#38

We'll wait until we lay out timing and sort of what it is in more detail. As I've alluded to, the project went from being a very specific product using VR to help a specific type of patient, who has suffered some neuro deficit that created a -- some neuro injury that created a physical deficit to a much broader application. And even in the 1.5 years since the first Analyst Day that covered this, we've learned a lot more. We -- there's a lot more information and data as to the positive impact VR can have in mental health cases and pain management, depression and memory loss. And so we want to see if we can help bridge the needs in this space. We've invested not just in software and the applications, but in the hardware itself, the ability to track and see your own avatar, things that are sort of going to be important. And I think we can use that to sort of really bring the whole field together and rather compete with a bunch of other companies really unite everyone in that mission. And that's what I'm excited to share. And I've sort of alluded to that when I talked about being an immersive therapeutic platform. So that's what I can't wait to share in-person then. If you can see over my other shoulder, there's big -- there's a new white building in the corner. So it's coming up from the trees. It's a brand-new building that was just built during the pandemic for us. That's all office space. And hopefully, with a little luck and if the rules allow, we'll have an in-person meeting in that new building where we can show off our work over the last 1.5 years.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#39

All right.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#40

Right.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#41

I don't know if they have -- the meeting may have cut off at this point. But if we are still on, I appreciate your time, Adam. Thank you. Good luck on your red eye flight tonight, and we'll catch up soon.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#42

All right. Thanks. All right. Take care.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#43

Thanks.

Adam Elsesser

executive
#44

Bye.

Margaret Kaczor

analyst
#45

Bye.

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