PTC Inc. (PTC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 14, 2020

NASDAQ US Information Technology Software conference_presentation 35 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#1

Good morning. Welcome, everybody, on the line. I'm Johannes Schaller, head of the software research team at Deutsche Bank here in Europe. And it's my pleasure that I have with me on the line, Kristian Talvitie from PTC. He's the CFO of the company. Kristian would like to start with a few introductory remarks about the business in general before we go into our fireside chat. We have a Q&A tool online. Please, anytime during this fireside chat, feel free to post questions, and I will basically ask them on behalf of you. So with that, Kristian, please, over to you.

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#2

Yes, great. Thanks, Johannes. Thanks for having us at the conference here today. Just quickly for any folks who may not be so familiar with PTC, I'll do a couple of minute overview of the company and how it's transitioned. And then we can get into talking about some of the business environment that we're in. And of course, as a reminder for everybody, we may be making forward-looking statements on this call, so we would please refer you to the safe harbor language and risk factors that are outlined in our press releases and periodic filings with the SEC. With that, again, PTC is a little over a 30-year-old software business that over the years has gone through numerous evolutions to stay relevant for our customers. Those happened along many vectors. Obviously, the company started as a CAD, computer-aided design, business over 30 years ago. It then had gone through a, we'll call it, product portfolio evolution, expanding into PLM, product lifecycle management, into SLM and more recently into the Internet of Things and augmented reality. And again, this is really trying to deploy all of these technologies for industrial use cases, if you will, which is primarily the end markets that we serve. So that has been one interesting vector. We'll cap that off, and I'll return on my second point with the acquisition of a company called Onshape almost a year ago. And this relates a little bit to the business model evolution, so that was the technology evolution that we just talked about, the business model evolution. When the company started, it operated under a perpetual licensing model with its customers. And about 5 years ago, actually embarked on transitioning to a subscription-based business model, which now, as of last year, is effectively complete. We really only now enter into commercial arrangements that are subscription based, which is really the way the market wants to consume technology increasingly these days. And then related to that point, this acquisition of Onshape has actually positioned the company to go through a further evolution which is the migration from on-premise delivery, on-premise delivery model to a SaaS delivery model for our products. So all the while, the company has been evolving the product set, the commercial model and now the technology model, and also over the past 5 to 8 years, has done a good job at also delivering on margin expansion through really [ effective ] cost discipline and investing in the places where we think is most appropriate to invest. So today, PTC is about 6,000 employees globally. We'll do north of $1.2 billion in ARR and deliver approximately $210 million of free cash flow this fiscal year. So that's the company in a nutshell. With that, I'll turn it over to Johannes for any questions that you might have.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#3

Great. Thank you very much, Kristian. Maybe starting off with some of your recent commentary. I think last week at another conference, you reaffirmed your 2020 ARR guidance, and you also commented on ARR growth in fiscal '21. Were you surprised by the negative stock reaction to those news? And also maybe do you want to provide a little bit of additional commentary on what you said last week?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#4

Yes, sure. I think it's fair to say that we were a little surprised to see a negative reaction to what we thought was positive news about our outlook for the quarter. Over the past few months, we've strived to be, we'll call it, overly communicative with investors than -- more so than normal just given the levels of uncertainty created by the global pandemic. And as a reminder, what we said was that there had been no material change in customer behavior, both on the new business front and as it relates to churn. And therefore, we reaffirmed the 10% to 12% constant currency ARR growth range for the year. I also did remind investors that deal timing matters, but that's certainly not new news. And wasn't meant to suggest that we've seen any changes in the business. Again, the demand trends on new and renewal activity are in line with expectations that we set at the end of last quarter. As it relates to fiscal '21 color, we were simply providing a modeling framework for ARR growth next year, the same modeling framework we actually used about a year ago when introducing the ARR model. And what we were showing was that with flat new ACV and no churn improvement, that ARR would grow approximately 9% next year. So obviously, if either new ACV grows or churn improves, ARR growth would be right back in the double digits. And we said that as a placeholder for modeling purposes, and we get this question often from investors, what is this year's performance look like the impact could be next year? We said that we think that a high single-digit to low double-digit ARR growth for next fiscal year is appropriate. Now we will be providing fiscal '21 guidance on our Q4 call. And at that time, we'll provide more context around key assumptions, particularly around the macro environment and how we see demand trends playing out over the next 4 quarters. So stay tuned for that. And then lastly, we also reiterated that over the medium term, given the market position we're in, given the strength and breadth of our product portfolio and the very solid customer base that we have that we're confident that we can deliver double-digit ARR growth and attractive free cash flow generation over the medium term. So hopefully, that helps, Johannes.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#5

It does. Thanks, Kristian. I think that's very clear. Maybe taking a step back, talking a little bit more about the bigger picture in the medium and long term. I mean the current COVID crisis, obviously, generally speaking, reacted as an enabler for digital transformation across sectors and specifically appears to be accelerating the shift to the cloud as legacy on-premise systems have often proven to be not very reliable, if you have a large number of remote users. So can you discuss how that affects PTC, demand for your products currently? And how you think that will affect your business in medium and longer term?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#6

Yes, sure. Great question. We certainly agree that the COVID crisis has highlighted the challenges of using on-premise software and that this will be, for sure, a catalyst for SaaS adoption in our industry and other part of the software industry as well. That said, our customers have been able to keep their remote teams productive by arming them with appropriate workstations. We've worked with them to make sure they've got appropriate licensing and then they're using, in many cases, VPN to stay connected to their on-prem servers. The challenge in the early days was primarily with CAD, which is a desktop technology. But as I said, I think customers have adjusted to the new environment. They're trying to stay as productive as possible. On the PLM front, however, the shift from work -- the shift to work from home has been much smoother. Windchill is a thin client, browser-based solution, which has proven to be invaluable to our customers in keeping their teams connected and collaborating.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#7

Got it. So you previously made some remarks around working on a SaaS version of Creo and Windchill. And you said it's an ongoing process with a mid- to long-term target for completion. Do you ever see the current post-pandemic shift really accelerating maybe this time line from a development perspective for you? And could you provide a bit more color around how existing customers can leverage cloud-enabled and multi-tenant versions of your product offerings?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#8

Yes, sure. So also drafting a little bit off the previous question, we do think that the COVID crisis will prove to be a tipping point, if you will, for SaaS adoption in the engineering software space. As such, as you point out, we are working fast and furious on development efforts to cloudify Creo and Windchill. I think it's fair to say that normally this would be a fairly daunting task migrating 20-, 30-year-old technology into a multi-tenant SaaS environment. However, fortunately, because of the acquisition of Onshape that I referenced earlier, we have a scalable production-ready multi-tenant SaaS platform, which is what we call Atlas, to leverage, which we believe will save many years of development time and millions of dollars of investment. So to be clear, the SaaSification of Creo and windchill onto Atlas will certainly take years -- a few years to complete. But when we're done, we'll have an attractive option for our existing customers to seamlessly move to SaaS without disrupting their current 3D models or workflows. We see this next transition from on-prem to subscription to SaaS as a meaningful monetization opportunity as well. Customers are going to be shedding significant overhead burden, both time and expense in many forms associated with hosting and maintaining complex global engineering software platforms. And we believe that this will be of significant value to them, and they will be willing to pay for it.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#9

Maybe a related question to that. I mean, obviously, the security and data protection point has always kept certain CAD and PLM customers a little bit on the sidelines transitioning to the cloud. Do you think those security aspects and perceived risks, let's call them perceived risks, are subsiding a little bit now with the pressure that some of these companies have seen after they went through the COVID crisis this year?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#10

Yes. I do. It's a great question. And I do think that, number one, it's an important concern for customers; number two, we actually also have been investing significantly in security as well. And I do think that customers are becoming incrementally more comfortable in general with cloud environments, right? They've seen it play out across other parts of the software portfolios that they leverage in their day-to-day operations. And like anything, I think people also had concerns around what would happen with video conferencing technologies, to use a simple example, and they've been around for a while, just haven't seen the adoption that has been driven now by the work from home environment that we're all in. And so kind of being forced, if you will, into these hands -- into this hand, I think, has opened the eyes and minds, if you will, of many folks around advancing various parts of their technology portfolios, and that includes which systems they want to operate in a SaaS environment as well.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#11

Kind of staying with the cloud theme, talking a bit more specifically maybe about CAD and the cloud. I mean you already mentioned Onshape a few times. Maybe just start with, can you talk a little bit about when you kind of first saw that asset, what you saw in Onshape, what you liked, what you maybe believed you couldn't do yourself? And then over the time, the acquisition process, owning it, looking deeper into the business, kind of how that perception has evolved, which, I guess, that is always a relatively normal thing in any M&A process?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#12

Yes. It's a great question. When -- we obviously have known the Onshape team for a long time. The founders were also the previous founders of another very disruptive force in the CAD industry going back 20 years. And so we certainly knew who they were, and we're watching what they were up to. As we first started getting a little bit deeper into the technology, to be honest, I think we were a little surprised, impressed, for sure, with the level of technology that they had created, right? The performance of the Onshape application is remarkable. And really, we think, also a game changer in how people, customers will think about how they can actually work, collaborate, increase time to innovation, if you will, with a SaaS-based CAD and collaboration tool like Onshape and which, by the way, is the industry's only pure multitenant SaaS platform. So we certainly were smitten with the technology, if you will, and at the time, believed that, certainly in the early days, what it would help us to do is to access parts of the market that PTC has perhaps traditionally been underrepresented in, really more in the SMB space. It's a large part of the market dominated by on-prem software tools like SolidWorks and Inventor. And as we got further into it, came to appreciate really the power, if you will, of the multitenant SaaS platform, which we now call Atlas, and how we could leverage that more broadly across the PTC product portfolio. Again, that part's obviously, a longer-term investment, longer-term play. But certainly, we're very optimistic on the opportunity that, that creates. And then perhaps more related to the near-term environment, the interest that we've seen in Onshape has certainly accelerated since the time we acquired them last November. Pipeline is up substantially from when we first acquired them and continues to build. So -- and just given that level of interest, it's also caused us to think a little bit differently about how we were maybe planning to go to market with Onshape and to try different avenues. So as an example, we've been leveraging some of our platinum channel partners to go after this market, and we're seeing some early traction with that strategy as well. So lots of opportunity here in both the short term and long term created really because of this acquisition.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#13

That sounds great. Maybe shifting gears a little. Can you talk to us about the strong performance really of your PLM business, moving away a bit from the CAD theme? And the outlook around digital transformation more broadly here going forward?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#14

Yes, sure. So we've certainly been very pleased with the strong performance of Windchill, which has grown in the low double digits for the past 8 quarters. And I'd point out that this is actually well above kind of the overall PLM market growth rate. We think this outperformance is due to a number of factors. First, and importantly, in software in general, we've got great technology. Windchill is consistently ranked #1 by industry analysts. And so when companies are looking to modernize their PLM systems, increasingly they're turning to PTC. A couple of, I guess, proof points on this front, certainly evident in the medical device space where we've seen bookings expansion over the past year. PTC, we believe, has gained significant share in the med device space on a PLM front, which, again, the med device space is a vertical market that has really not seen the same level of impact from COVID that other industries have seen and actually perhaps even an acceleration given the health crisis associated with the pandemic. Secondly, I think that there is a broader digital transformation theme that we've been highlighting. And for industrial customers, PLMs really become the technology backbone for enabling digital transformation. And as customers digitize processes across the enterprise in areas like product management, supply chain planning, manufacturing planning and even in aftermarket services, they're creating a digital thread that leverages the underlying 3D product data and configurations across the enterprise. And so this is creating some meaningful expansion opportunities for PTC to expand Windchill outside the 4 walls of product development, and we still think it's early days for this secular trend. Another great example of this digital transformation is a deal with the U.S. Navy that we announced last quarter. The Navy is planning to create digital twins, if you will, of its ships and submarines and so on using Windchill to transform the way that they maintain and service their fleets. It's a great expansion outside of core engineering use case that we're starting to see proliferate across many different vertical industries. So wrapping all that up, the bottom line is, we believe there are some exciting secular drivers in the PLM space, and we believe PTC is uniquely positioned to continue to drive strong growth going forward.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#15

In that context of your strong PLM performance, which is definitely very impressive, I mean, how do you see efforts by your competition to move towards more integrated products? For example, 3D experience but also -- I mean, do you face any churn, for example, in your PLM or even in your CAD products in the verticals like automotive, industrial, aerospace, where that solution, for example, is gaining some traction? And how do you fight back against that?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#16

Yes. Another great question. I think at its core, we have perhaps a fundamentally different view of how CAD and PLM should be deployed, and we don't believe that customers want a closed system. I think that the performance of our core business, both on the CAD and PLM front, has been a testament to our, we'll call it, open strategy. As many investors know, CAD and PLM are some of the stickiest software solutions out there. And outside, for example, some of the exception with the med device market that I mentioned earlier, I think that share has remained stable for quite some time. I'm not sure that we really see this changing in the medium term. I think that we'd argue that the next major technology paradigm shift that could result in some share shift is SaaS. And as discussed, we think PTC is going to be leading this charge over the coming years, and we think we're well ahead of our competition on that front.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#17

Excellent. Thank you, Kristian. As a reminder to the audience, please do submit questions through the chat. Don't be shy. We still have a bit of time to get some questions from the audience in. We have about 50 people on the line, so I'm pretty sure there will be some. So moving on maybe more towards the IoT topic then. I think that is a very interesting angle around PTC. I mean given that in some geographic, lockdown restrictions in some areas have eased up, did you see any acceleration in July or August around the delivery of your new IoT products deal momentum picking up here, especially for the stuff where on-site installation is needed? And furthermore, from a high-level view, do you see industrial automation demand accelerating really medium term as a result of COVID? And is that also a potential catalyst for your future ARR growth?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#18

Yes. There's a number of questions embedded in there, so let me try to parse this out a little bit. I think on one front, as you pointed out, the current environment has put some pressure on new customer activity in IoT, right, as you need to really be able to get on site to help connect the things in the IoT, the Internet of Things. However, for customers that already have IoT solutions in-flight, expansion activity has remained healthy. And actually, we agree that the pandemic has, in many ways, highlighted the strategic value that remote connected solutions like IoT and AR can deliver for our customers. In terms of the competitive front, we think that our ThingWorx IoT solutions are highly differentiated from our traditional CAD and PLM competitors, many who don't focus directly on the IoT space. Others are starting to build a presence in, call it, the factory IoT space. But we believe that the maturity of ThingWorx, which is already in its ninth generation and deployed across thousands of customers is substantially ahead of where our competitors are today. And I think the same actually holds true for the AR technology as well. As far as the growth strategy in IoT, there's a couple of elements to highlight. First is the solution strategy. ThingWorx was originally positioned and sold as a development platform, which resulted in strong adoption for customers that had well-defined use cases and were further up the maturity curve on IoT, in general. The next chapter for ThingWorx was really centered around identifying, highlighting more commonly defined use cases and deploying the technology against those use cases. And now the next chapter is really centered around delivering more complete out-of-the-box solutions that will require significantly less infield coding or customization as well. So we believe that these solutions, which we'll be rolling out here over the coming quarters, will drive larger deals as they will deliver faster time to value for our customers as well, and we think, ultimately, also help be a driver of churn improvement for PTC in the IoT space as well. The second element of the growth strategy are the strategic alliances that we have with both Rockwell and Microsoft. Rockwell is a very important partner of ours for smart connected operations, which is really the factory floor. This is a huge market and really a greenfield opportunity for PTC, particularly in the process manufacturing space where we haven't traditionally sold a lot into. And then, of course, with Microsoft, we have a partner that's very focused on manufacturing vertical and has a highly scalable IoT cloud offering with Azure IoT. And by partnering on the go-to-market front with Microsoft, we gain access to their global distribution network, which again opens up significant new customer opportunities to expand our business.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#19

Understood. So staying with that IoT and industrial automation topic more broadly, I mean in which verticals do you think there's currently the strongest momentum? And how do you particularly look at the automotive vertical here given that's a combination of very challenged companies from a technology perspective, but in some cases, also financially quite challenged companies? Do you think what is currently happening in auto is accelerating the shift towards digital manufacturing, industrial IoT? Or do you think there is too much cost pressure here at the moment?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#20

Well, yes, that's a great question. And I guess, if I was to pontificate a little bit, I would say there's a saying that change begets opportunity. And I think there's little doubt that, as you point out, there's a lot of change going on in the automotive industry today as the technology advances now are driving a much more aggressive push towards, for example, electric vehicles and so on. And so each of those companies in that space are going to have to continue to reinvent themselves as well to stay relevant for their customer bases. And frankly, I think that, that reinventing, if you will, needs to happen across many vectors. One, of course, is the digitization of their design and manufacturing processes. So we'll see how it plays out, but certainly, change begets opportunity.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#21

Great. And then, Kristian, maybe as a last question from my side. Obviously, many things have changed this year with COVID. Can you perhaps talk a little bit about your really top 3 or top 5 key strategic priorities now for both the short term and then the long term? And have any of those priorities changed for PTC because of the situation we are in? Or do you think your strategy is relatively unchanged?

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#22

Yes. Really good question. I think in broad strokes, I'm not sure that the key strategies have fundamentally changed. But I do think that COVID has impacted our thinking perhaps on the pace of certain initiatives and even where and when we're making investments in certain parts of our business as well, right, trying to align resources with the -- in the short-term with opportunities where we see the most traction, but also thinking about longer-term investments and making sure that we're putting our wood behind the right fires there. So as an example, we had been planning to ramp up go-to-market investments in Onshape. The pandemic has created certainly more pipeline than we'd anticipated. And so we have thought about how we can best leverage that, how we can best leverage resources that we have internally as well as add incremental resources to help capture that market demand, has led us to trying different things sooner than we had perhaps anticipated, like leveraging the channel in go-to-market -- on the go-to-market front with Onshape. Another case might be the Vuforia AR business was already in a very high-growth mode pre-COVID, but it also has seen levels of interest increase since the crisis has taken off. And we've got customers that are leveraging AR for remote assistance and digitized training and work instructions. We had a major success with our free Chalk initiative. That's actually prompted us to develop a formal freemium model that will be launched over the coming quarters, and we believe that will continue to help the strong momentum for our industrial AR solutions. And then, just as an example, on the longer-term front, as discussed earlier, we're going to be investing in the SaaSification of Creo and Windchill, and this is work that's already started. But over the medium- to long-term, we think this is also an exciting growth opportunity for PTC in the core business, and so we want to keep our eye on that ball as well.

Johannes Schaller

analyst
#23

Excellent. I think we're right at the end of our time. Kristian, thank you very much for joining us this morning. Have a good rest of the conference and speak soon. Thank you, everyone, for joining the call.

Kristian Talvitie

executive
#24

Great. Thanks very much for having us.

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