Redefine Properties Limited (RDF) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 25, 2025

Johannesburg Stock Exchange ZA Real Estate Diversified REITs special 65 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Andrew König

executive
#1

Welcome to Redefine's pre-close investor update for the half year ending 28 February 2025. Before I begin, I just want to say a very, very big thank you to all of you for your participation at our recent AGM. We had a participation rate of over 80%, and we had an approval average of just over 98%. This confidence, I can assure you, we do not take lightly, and I thank you for your support. Moving on to today's conversation. We're following the usual. I'll talk a bit about a strategic overview. Leon Kok, our Chief Operating Officer, will talk through the South African asset platform. I will then touch on some highlights from the Polish side. And Ntobeko Nyawo, our Chief Financial Officer, will close with some financial insights and very importantly, the outlook. So as you will see, upside momentum is gathering pace. And in 2025, we are now living the upside. So what you'll be seeing throughout this presentation is us looking for the opportunity in every challenge. And believe you me, there will be and there are already a number of challenges that are on the horizon that we see as opportunities. For example, commercial real estate transaction activity, it's picking up both in South Africa and Poland. And this is very, very encouraging for us as we look at further selling noncore assets as well as cleaning up our joint venture portfolio in Poland. The escalating geoeconomic confrontation will stock up geopolitical tensions. That's outside of our control; however, we are hopeful that as a consequence of all of this, there will be some peace that will come from the Ukraine situation, which in turn will be very positive for Poland. We know that the stage has been set for a shallow interest rate easing cycle. And with that we have altered our focus to income growth, and there will be a lot of talking about that this morning. Lastly, but very importantly, a possible investment-grade credit rating for SA Inc. of international credit grade is absolutely important. And I know that a lot of work is going in that. So we're looking keenly to see that happen this year. And then equally, removal from the grade list will be hugely beneficial, and we expect that by October, we will have addressed the last 2 issues that remain outstanding. In terms of our ever-evolving landscape, nothing has changed. However, we are focused, I can assure you, on ensuring that we remain relevant to our tenants, absolutely critical in an ever-evolving landscape. And lastly, but very importantly, sustainability. Yes, Redefine is evolving from an ESG tech box to a core operational imperative, and you'll see that being demonstrated throughout the course of this morning. In terms of responding to market shifting dynamics, as I said, our primary focus is to grow income to drive value creation. And if you look at our 5 strategic pillars, we are very focused on each of these. I'll just give you some examples of investing strategically. We will continue to create value through a focus on organic growth and asset optimization, allocating capital strategically into growth sectors will continue albeit on a diminished scale given our LTV constraints. And keeping spaces relevant I've already spoken about to ensure that we improve that quality of cash flow through meeting our stakeholder needs. In terms of optimizing capital, ongoing work, renewing maturing debt facilities proactively, you'll see a lot of progress in that regard this morning. Managing the interest rate risk volatility vigilantly, very importantly in this cycle and sourcing new capital and recycling noncore assets will continue, as I said. Operating efficiently, we need to focus on ensuring that our operating margin gets to our target of at least 80%. That is going to require us to look very carefully at renewal reversions, strict cost control, efficient cost recoveries, attracting new tenants, but very importantly, also harnessing technology to use data analytics to identify trends and inefficiencies. Engaging talent. This is where we're focusing on our human capital to ensure that we have a future fit cohort here at Redefine that is able to adapt to the ever-evolving technology needs that are critical for running a property company and also cultivating an inclusive and diverse, high-performing team. In terms of growing reputation, collaboration with all our stakeholders, especially you guys, it's absolutely important so that we are able to not only understand your needs, but similarly get a beneficial benefit from that relationship, and I'm talking about our share price. And we will show you why we believe our share price can be upwards, and we'll tell you how we're going to do so in due course. And then very importantly, creating sustainable socioeconomic impact through acceleration of our ESG strategy and reducing reliance on municipal supplied utilities. Leon will talk a lot about that in terms of what we are doing in that regard. Then just looking ahead, there's a lot of noise out there, and we will focus on the variables under our control through disciplined capital allocation to secure sustainable growth, actively recycling noncore assets, not only to reduce the see-through LTV, but also to improve the quality of our portfolio as that flight to quality continues, delivering our earnings guidance to drive value creation, absolutely critical as we cannot rely on interest rate compression. And lastly, but very importantly, and we'll talk a bit about it just now, simplifying our joint ventures to enable visibility of our income streams, as well as to meaningfully reduce that see-through LTV. So with that, I'm going to now hand over to Leon.

Leon Kok

executive
#2

Good morning, everybody. On the South African front, certainly, we've had a very busy last 5 months, and we're quite pleased with the outcomes of our results for this period. Just to note, all the operating metrics that we show here is up to -- for the 5 months, up to end of January 2025. So in terms of our occupancy, very pleased with that increase. So we increased our occupancy by 100 basis points. We've given you analysis on the right-hand side there on the vacancy, just to demonstrate to you where the vacancy sits. So the far right-hand column express it, the traditional way we express it by GLA. And then we've given you an indication of what that vacancy is actually worth. And as you can see, our vacancy tend to sit in the lower quality in that. By GMR, our vacancy is about a percentage point lower, particularly in our industrial and retail sector. In terms of the renewal reversions, unfortunately, that is still negative and it's impacted largely by a single lease within our office portfolio, and we can speak about it now. The positive side, however, if you can see on the right-hand side, where we give you analysis of our reversions, we said roughly 80% by a number of deals as well as by GLA has been flat or positive. Certainly, in our view, an indication that we've turned the corner and that growth prospects certainly is in the foreseeable future, possible within all 3 sectors. In terms of tenant retention, still very, very high, given, obviously, that it's in the first 5 months, and that will obviously trend slightly lower towards the full year. Same with renewal success rate, still very healthy. And these escalations and unexpired lease terms similarly quite flat. You can see on the lease expiring profile, only 8% remaining. So that indicates that the lease expiry profile for the year was relatively evenly balanced between the first and second half. In our first 5 months, we've roughly done about 8% of our renewals. On the sustainability front, as Andrew said, certain for us a key focus and an area that we continuously look to see where we can expand not just from an ESG point of view, but purely, as we say, there from an operational imperative point of view, firstly, to reduce our reliance on municipal supply and electricity and also to mitigate some of the risks we see in the foreseeable future in terms of water availability and water scarcity. On the renewable energy front, we've continued to expand our solar PV fleet. And once we have those installations in progress installed, our total installed capacity would be at 64-megawatt peaks, which is a 48% increase on what we've printed at August '24. So in the last 6 months, we've certainly been very active on that front. Just to show that electricity saving, that is saving of consumption of the municipal supplied grid that was supplied by our solar PV fleet was 57,000 megawatt hours. That was in FY '24. The feasibility is in progress. Obviously, the lying fruit is somewhat limited now. And as you can see, we are starting to look now at other opportunities where previously the yields could not make sense. But certainly, with the increase in Eskom tariff, we are starting to look at some of those previous projects we may have turned down to see if we can potentially expand particularly in car parks. From a solar wheeling point of view, we're quite excited. We are principally looking at 2 projects. The first one is the pilot project in the Western Cape. Thankfully, we've managed to achieve all approvals and that project has been kicked off, and we are looking to produce electricity from our warehouse at Massmart at Brackengate from the half year in 2026. And the 2 offtake site principally will be Blue Route Mall and Kenilworth Centre. The second one, we've indicated there we were negotiating and happy to say that our purchase agreement has now been concluded, and we are well underway to bed that down and the project will commence shortly, and we're looking for offtake in that in our '27 financial period. That's quite a big power purchase agreement. As you can see, it's a 14-megawatt peak offtake, which will principally supply our office buildings within the Sandton node. On the water efficiency front, we continue to focus on that. In 2024, we've managed to reduce our water consumption by 7.7%, principally off the back of our low flush toilets, but also good work we've done in HVAC, and that will continue to be a key focus area for us. So that reduction is despite us having to increase the occupancy. So that's then lies our challenge. So we will continue to look at initiatives to further enhance that opportunity. On the energy efficiency front, our LED lights managed just to achieve savings of 5,000 megawatt hours during the financial year 2024, and we'll continue to look at opportunities to expand that. On the retail front, a good outcome in the last 5 months. We're happy to report that our renewal reversions continue to trend positive, and we are very confident that, that trend will continue. That slight deterioration in occupancy was in the back of space taken back in Ster-Kinekor and Pick n Pay. But as we indicated there, the bulk of that has been kind of relet, and we've certainly got plans to mitigate any income risk on that. But as we indicated before, particularly as far as Ster-Kinekor is concerned, the revenue in the base is relatively low, given that it was operating in the last 3 years of a turnover percentage. So from an income point of view, we don't see much risk in that. In terms of our tenant retention, renewal success rates were very healthy, our lease escalation dipped slightly lower given that some of our leases within the retail portfolio is office related and particularly with government, and that dragged down slightly. But our renewals is between -- currently done on our nationals and core retail leases between 6% and 6.5%. So that escalation would trend more to a 6%. In terms of our tenant turnover growth at 4.5%, certainly last year, and that's just a note, that's for the 12 months to December. So that's December '24, 12 months compared to the prior year to December '23. So that 4.5% was skewed last year and that the first half was very slow, and we certainly saw a big comeback from a retail performance point of view in the last 6 months. So in terms of our tenant turnover growth, I think that 4.5% is slightly disappointing, particularly given some of the positive trends we've seen in last quarter, but we must acknowledge that first 6 months was a drag in that performance. But we're still very confident that those metrics, in our view, presents an opportunity to continue to focus on positive renewal reversions. You'll see the trading density growth at 2.8%. It is a bit of a misnomer in that as we indicated there, we've upgraded about 36,000 and expanded 36,000 square meters of essential services of retailers. So our reporting turnover has increased by 24,000 square meter period for period. So that's why our trading density growth and turnover don't quite correlate, but still, we believe, is a positive performance. The one point to note, we did not indicate our footfall growth because for the last 2 years, our footfall has been flat. So we've certainly seen a change in consumer behavior in that we've got bigger baskets and not an increase in number of visits and footfall. In terms of our rent to turnover at 7.9%, we still believe that it's at a very healthy level. And from an affordability -- tender affordability point of view, set the ground for us for continued positive reversions as we move forward. In terms of our expansion plans, we are very happy to report that PAN Africa, the second phase was officially launched on 1 November 2024, and we've taken transfer at that point. And then in December, we've also increased our percentage holding by additional 17% in the first phase, bringing our total holding in the first phase of 67.9% and Phase 1 -- or Phase 2, we obviously own 100%. On the office portfolio, occupancy is still very solid. Renewal reversions is quite an ugly number at minus 17%. But as we indicated there, that was impacted by a single lease at 115 West. If we were to exclude that, the overall performance would have been a minus 5%. And as we indicate, that relates to 9% of the portfolio. And as the year will progress, we forecast that, that negative reversion will land up between a minus 11% to minus 15% for the full year. That's a consequence of a 10-year lease escalating at 8% for the last 10 years coming up for renewal. And with market rental, obviously, not increasing. But as we indicate there, some of our nodes, particularly in the Western Cape, Sandton, Bryanston is performing quite well, and we've managed to increase our asking rentals. So it's not just one-way traffic from a tenant point of view, we are seeing in select nodes and particularly in our premium grade offices that we are managing to increase asking rentals. And the only 1 single tenant triple net lease, we've got still coming up is at 90 Rivonia. And as we indicate there, we've had very positive engagements with the tenant, and we are very confident that we will procure a 3-year extension, and that will commence in February '26. In terms of our lease escalation, unexpired lease terms, we still think that it's at a very healthy level. And as we indicate here, the vacancy is principally at the lower end of the quality spectrum. On the industrial front, a very solid start and again, a fantastic performance by our industrial portfolio. That improvement in occupancy was across the board in all our units and in particular, [indiscernible] has been let, so we're sitting now with a very small vacancy at 2.4%. Renewal reversions continue to be positive, albeit on a relatively small element of the portfolio, but that certainly speaks to the good and solid demand we've got within the sector, and we forecast that will continue at that kind of level. Tenant retention renewal success also continue to be very strong and our escalation is maintaining at a 6.5% and a very healthy unexpired lease term at 4.8%. As you can see, we've also been quite active from a development point of view and we're selling off on the parcels of land and also on the smaller properties. Certainly, at S&J, our single biggest land exposure, we've seen renewed demand, and we are very confident that as that activity picks up, we will certainly also see that it creates its own momentum and that we should be able to start reducing that meaningfully over the next 2 to 3 years. Particularly, in our industrial sector, we continue to focus at interventions to make sure our units are secure from an energy point of view as well as from a water point of view. And with that, I'll hand over to Andrew to talk through our international.

Andrew König

executive
#3

Okay. Thanks, Leon. Okay. Just looking at EPP firstly, you'll note that the market is very busy. There have been a number of new international brands coming into Poland and others that are expanding already in that market. In terms of retail parks, there's a continued proliferation of new retail parks, and it's spread across the entire Poland, it's not just in the larger to medium-sized cities but also to the -- in the smaller ones. And you'll see that expansion playing out in the footfall numbers in particular as well as in the food grocery and supermarkets, sales for EPP on the right-hand side. The last, if you like, percentage of that minus 5%. The good news is that there's no new shopping centers under construction. And you'll see that similarly play out in the next slide, when we look at the EPP core operating metrics. In terms of our operational update, as I said, footfall has reduced. You can say it's mainly a shift to convenience or retail parks. That's the main driver of that. Like-for-like turnover for the period to December 2024 on a like-for-like basis is at 3%. And we give you a breakdown there of the categories on the right-hand side, as I said. You'll note there that value retail is at minus 1%. That could be as a consequence of Temu and Shein operating in that market. And then DIY at minus 3% is coming off a pretty high base given what happened during the COVID years. In terms of rent collection, it remains healthy at 98.5%. And EPP implemented a very deep operational efficiency program, and those benefits will play out in the numbers 2025 into 2026 as well. And you'll see that in due course as we print the actual financial statements. In terms of ESG, much progress has been made by EPP in this regard with obtaining necessary permits for the installation of a number of solar PV plants. Climate reports were issued. You can find them on EPP's website. Very pleasing to note that there's been a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions of 38% since 2019. We are very proud of the fact that EPP was awarded the Financing Story of the Year at the CEE Property Forum awards in this past year. And we -- if you have a look at the entrance for this award, we actually faced on a number of formidable names that you will know. So please have a look, see why we are proud of this award. And then just in terms of the BREEAM in-use ratings, you'll note that all the core properties are rated. Okay. Just in terms of priorities for EPP, I'll touch on that in a short while, but I want you to focus on those EPP core trading statistics. You'll note a very healthy active occupancy at 99.3%. You can say it's virtually 100% let. That 0.7% is really churn. Renewal reversions are moving positively at 1.5%. So we are seeing good progress in that regard. However, I must note that there is always a trade-off between tenant retention and renewal reversions. So you'll see retention is up to 98%, but it came at the cost of some reversions. And that you'll see play out in the next slide when we look at the joint venture performances as well. Very importantly, you'll note that the indexation rate is at 2.1% where most of EPP's leases should be printing closer to the 2.4% print for 2024. The reason mainly for that is that there are principally 3 tenants: Inditex, LPP and H&M who are turnover-linked leases, and that is what drags down that percentage to some extent. But as you can see, very healthy rent-to-sales ratio, maintaining at 8.8%. In terms of priorities, the long-term letting of the M1 portfolio is a focus area. We own and have disposed of plots of land within the Horse portfolio that is earmarked for residential development. It's subject to rezoning. So 4 sites have already been sold, and we are in advanced discussions for 2 additional ones. We are concluding the sale of the Power Park Olsztyn. I'll talk a little bit about it just now. We've completed the extension of the retail park in Klodzko that's within the community joint venture. We've advanced the Auchan and Media Markt space optimization program. We continue to drive operational efficiencies on the program that we've already launched. And as I said earlier, we are simplifying our investment proposition, and we're reducing our high levels of gearing through a very strong focus on simplifying the joint ventures, and I've got a slide on that very subject. In terms of the joint venture performance, as you can see here, I've already spoken about the renewal reversions and the tenant retention as a trade-off, and you'll see that playing across the portfolio out over here. I just want to mention that Galeria Mlociny is higher than the rest. The reason for that is that Galeria Mlociny just celebrated its fifth anniversary during this past period, and that's why you're seeing that minus 3.4% there. We do, however, believe that we are on a very secure footing going forward as a consequence of this. And you'll see that playing out not only in the rent-to-sales ratio, which is now moving in the right direction at 9.8% from 10.5%, but we'll see a lot more stability coming into that center going forward. So that's very good. Occupancy has been generally stable across the portfolio with the exception of the offices in Henderson. You'll note that the indexation rate in the Horse Group is lower, and this is not because of rental caps or strange arrangements. It's more about OBI, who is a DIY retail chain that will have its indexation applied in May per their lease arrangement. So they're a little bit of out of kilter with the rest of the portfolio who are effectively running from 1 January onwards. So that will play out and will normalize during the course of the year. And then just like-for-like footfall, you will note there that it is looking for the Horse Group down at minus 3.4%. There is some development activity happening at the M1 centers where we are transforming them, which is partly playing out there along with the retail parks doing their bit. And then you'll also see that in the EPP community portfolio, there's 1 property, Olimpia and Belchatów that's similarly under the scrutiny, which is dragging down that footfall there. Okay. But just in terms of rent to sales, you'll see everybody trending in the right direction, and that bodes very well for the stability of the joint venture portfolio. Just in terms of ELI, you'll see that the logistics market last year has grown 9%, but new supply has fallen 33%. So there has been a slowdown in development activity, and this is very good from a market rental perspective, and you'll see it playing out in the numbers. In terms of the rentals themselves, as it says there, prime warehouse rentals have remained stable. Effective rates are down due to incentives for longer periods being reduced by 20%. And this is a consequence of that slowdown in development activity. And you'll see that there's still some growth in terms of investment going forward from the logistics sector in Poland. And what we are seeing, which is very pleasing is that portfolio deals are starting to happen again. Last year, there were none. We're starting to see green shoots here. And that is very, very important for us as we look to how we can optimize our joint venture portfolio going forward. In terms of ELI's operational update, you'll see there that there's been good letting activity. We'll talk a little bit about occupancy on the next slide, but very pleasing to see the initial rental over EUR 5 per square meter. When we initially started with this portfolio in 2018, the rentals were under EUR 4 per square meter. To give you a sense where we were, they were about EUR 3.75 or thereabouts per square. So we've seen good growth in the last year in rentals, and this is very, very positive for us. Our GLA as a complete portfolio is just over 1 million square meters. You do know that we are in the process of demerging ELI where we will end up with roughly 0.5 million square meters of GLA going forward as a consequence of the split. Our lease renewal totals, you'll see 10,000-odd square meters were concluded at an average rent of EUR 5.25 per square. And that reversion rate is 14%, fantastic achievement. New lets of 10,000-odd square meters were recorded at an average rent also similarly of just over EUR 5 per square, which is similarly 14%, and it's not by coincidence, but it's just over 14% increase on the expiring rental. In terms of ESG, the BREEAM certifications continue, and you'll see that 94.8% of the portfolio has been certified. And you'll see that 85.3% of the certified portfolio have achieved either a very good or excellent level of certification. The portfolio's operational greenhouse gas intensity for -- we don't yet have FY '24, but it was in '23, 50% below the Polish average, which is very good. And then the verification of the portfolio's carbon footprint is underway for FY '24, and we'll report on that in due course. In terms of developments and disposals, we completed a development for 11,500 square meters during the period. We are still busy with development in Warsaw at the moment, just over 16,000 square meters. 8 plots of land with a total GLA of 177,000-odd square meters is available for development, and we're critically looking at these plots to see which ones we can sell if we cannot secure a tenant for these plots. So we don't want to be stuck with unproductive land. And then just in terms of a sale that was happened, it was a property in Gdansk that we've just completed the contracts on and it will close during March. I must just add that this property will form part of the Madison split, so it won't come to Redefine from a proceeds perspective. In terms of priorities for ELI, as I did for EPP, I'll talk about that last. But just focusing on the trading statistics, you'll see a very pleasing increase in active occupancy. That is as a consequence of good letting activity during the period. Rental reversions overall, very positive at 13% Tenant retention could be bad at 51%. Indexation rate is basically in line with what was printed by the Eurozone in terms of inflation and the weighted average unexpired lease term is reasonably kind of consistent at 5.9 years. From a priority point of view, we will continue to reduce the current vacancies in the portfolio. We'll continue to secure pre-letting on landholdings for further development at attractive yields or else we will dispose of those land parcels. And we will be pursuing quality low-risk developments only in sizable key logistics hubs. The demerger process, I'll talk about on the next slide, but I just want to mention that we are progressing that as we speak. In terms of the joint ventures, restructuring these joint ventures holds the key to reducing the group see-through LTV and also improving the visibility of our income streams going forward. So we want to simplify this entire bundle of assets. In terms of the Horse group or the M1 portfolio, as I prefer to call them, we are progressing the plan to barter our partner. It involves introducing new third-party equity, the sale of the residential properties that I spoke about as well as 3 properties that we're looking to sell during 2025 to assist us with that endeavor. The EPP community joint venture, we flagged it as a medium-term exit given the proliferation of retail parks, as I spoke about earlier. But yes, we were thinking initially about establishing a Polish REIT. Unfortunately, REITs seem to be a bit on the back burner from a legislative perspective. So we are rather looking going forward to market this portfolio once institutional activity normalizes. Now that may happen well into '25, '26 and not in this financial period. The Henderson joint venture, similarly, we will market that once the market in offices stabilizes. That's once again a medium-term situation to play out. Galeria Mlociny, we'll look at options to resell other noncore assets within EPP to buy out the 30% not owned by EPP. This asset, as I said, is stabilizing, and we believe could become the crown jewel in time in the EPP core portfolio. Power Park Olsztyn has been sold. We expect the disposal proceeds to flow during March 2025. And then just in terms of ELI, the separation of the portfolio, as I said, is in the process of implementation. However, we need to pay very careful consideration to any adverse tax implications. Hence, it's taking a little bit longer than we would like. In terms of self-storage, yes, the story continues in terms of growth and development of a very infant market or immature market. If you have a look at the capacity for self-storage, we are told that there's growth potential of just over 880,000 square meters, which is more than sufficient for our growth kind of aspirations. There are numerous single-site operators, which operate mostly low-quality facilities, and it's a hybrid between traditional self-storage units as well as containers. And this is where we believe the opportunity lies where you can build institutional-grade units, which over time, will dominate the self-storage sector in Poland. From an operational point of view, good progress is being made. We've launched a new website. It was in December. There are further software enhancements planned, mostly around revenue generation and also optimizing rental on an hourly basis. Mobile access control is a given for all sites as well as obviously linking it to market pricing tools as well. So a very dynamic model on the rental side is a necessity in this market as well as obviously ease of access and doing business. In terms of operational facilities, Stokado has 20 of them. The occupancy rate is at 67.7%. Generally speaking, in the winter months, it's a bit slower than in the summer. So we should see a bit of an uplift come spring in Europe. And then just in terms of the net lettable area, you'll see that roughly 14,000 square meters is containers and roughly 13,000 are units in the existing portfolio. Over time, those containers are noncore. We will dispose of them. But for now, they are generating cash flow. And we'll continue to hold on to them while they do so, but it's not a long-term hold as we build that institutional grade facility that I spoke of earlier. New developments are being focused largely on the urban areas of Warsaw, Kraków, Wroclaw and Gdansk. And we've got a map to show you where we believe the key markets in this sector lie. In terms of ESG, BREEAM certification is very, very important to attract funding, and it does support valuations. And this goes without saying that all of our new developments will be certified as a consequence. We have 2 developments that are currently under construction. A third is starting in March. And you'll see there that we're going to be adding a further 13,000-odd square meters of net lettable area to this portfolio. We are looking at 5 other developments comprising just under 25,000 square meters. And the total cost of these developments will basically use up our entire EUR 50 million equity, that's EUR 50 million of equity that we earmarked for this investment, and we are actively now looking to attract an equity partner like we did with ELI to continue with expansion going forward. So just from a priority point of view for self-storage, you'll see there that we are continuing to look at prime locations in major cities, very importantly, with an institutional investor backing because we don't want to overcommit beyond the EUR 50 million. Leasing and operational performance can be improved and is being improved. We are looking at completing the integration and standardization of operations across all locations through the implementation of technology, mostly the top box is the big part of bringing that into the Stokado portfolio. And then just looking at favorable banking financing for new developments, but very importantly, attracting an institutional investor for expansion. So with that I'm going to now hand you over to Ntobeko.

Ntobeko Nyawo

executive
#4

Thank you, Andrew. Good morning, everybody. I think on the financial insights, it's very clear for us that we're focusing on delivering growth in an uncertain operating context. Now just to touch on our focus in terms of stabilizing earnings outlook. I think just upfront on the financial numbers that we're quoting here, they are for the first 3 months of our financial year 2025. So they're up to November, 2024. If we look at the net operating profit margin, let's start with the group that improved by 80 basis points from 75.1% that we printed last year to -- in the first quarter to 75.9%. That is supported by the improving net operating profit margin out of our directly held portfolio in EPP Core that improved very nicely, strongly as well from 66.4% to 71.7% in the first quarter. And also pleasing from a South African portfolio point of view, a very stable net operating profit margin at 77.8%. That with a very clear focus, I think, in terms of the quality of the earnings as at the first quarter, 99.9% of our earnings are all recurring. Then I think just to move on to touch on some sensitivities in terms of distributable income per share. I think it's really just around the interest rates that if we had to look at the change of 50 basis points in the euro interest rate, there will be a EUR 0.06 impact on the earnings. And then also, we share with you the impact in terms of a 1% movement in the indexation in Poland that will result in a EUR 0.4 impact on the. The ZAR interest rate by 50 basis points, which is after or net of hedging. That's why you see that number coming out with an impact of ZAR 0.2. And then also in this period where there's been a lot of volatility, especially around the ZAR in terms of depreciation, if it moves by ZAR 1, that will have a ZAR 0.2 impact on the DIPS. If we move along to balance sheet, I think we continue with our prudent risk management, which we believe supports our long-term value creation. So our focus, as we said, is we want to build a balance sheet that can support sustainable medium-term growth from our well-diversified asset platform. If I touch on liquidity, we can see that as at the 30th of November, we had access in terms of undrawn committed facilities and cash on hand that amounted to ZAR 6.4 billion, and that compares very favorable as we improved our liquidity. Especially in these uncertain events, it adds a lot of flexibility in terms of balance sheet. And I'll touch on that you'll see also when you look at our low-risk debt maturity profile just in a second. Pleasing that our group weighted average cost of debt decreased by 30 basis points to 7.2%. I think that was largely just on the back of the interest rate cuts that we continued to see out of ECB in Europe. Then I think our commitment in terms of our offshore is that, will gradual reduction of see-through LTV will be maintained with an average of 2.4% offshore debt amortization in EPP. Then I think just to touch on what we're expecting, we are currently busy with our biannual valuations. We expect that they will remain largely stable in terms of the outcome. Then I think to touch on the -- where we are in terms of -- since we last spoke, probably 1 big factor is that the interest rate expectation in terms of the cut is much shallow than what we had expected. But that plus if you combine that with our very strong cash generation, we will continue to expect an improvement in our ICR headroom in the medium term. Then from a weighted cost of debt in the ZAR debt is that we are pleased that we maintained that at 9.2%, which has actually printed the same in FY '24. And then on the back of a declining Euribor, we also saw the FX debt average coming down by 20 basis points to 4.9% compared to the 5.1% in the prior period. Then prudently, we continue to hedge, and we increased our interest hedge to 81.8% of our debt. That compares favorable to where we were at 78.9% last year. And we're still keeping short-dated tenors with an average tenor of 1.1 years. Then just to touch on debt maturity. I think for us, what we always maintain is that we want that graph in terms of pay each single year not to have more than 20% of our group debt coming up, but we're fairly comfortable with the progress that we're making in FY 2025. I'll touch on it just now. In 2028, there is 5-year deals that we did in EPP Core for [ Bajaj and Galax ]. That's why you see that coming up at 31%, but we're comfortable we're not losing sleep in terms of our ability to find those are very good assets, and there's a sufficient bank appetite in terms of refinancing those. If we break down the ZAR 6.4 billion, I've already mentioned ZAR 1.3 billion, it's our cash on hand and then ZAR 5.1 billion is the access in terms of the facilities. Then we -- let's just touch on the progress that we've made in terms of FY '25 debt refinancing. I think we refinanced a revolving credit of ZAR 2 billion, that facility, which we managed we are pleased to achieve a 37 basis point margin compression in -- and it's a 4.5-year tenure. Then as a part of our important strategic presence in the debt capital markets, we did 2 bonds. One, we raised ZAR 1.3 billion unsecured in November, which across 3-, 5- and 7-year tenures, and we achieved a margin of 125, 145 and 163, respectively, over those periods. And then the proceeds that we used just to refinance some of our legacy margin debt that was above -- that was at 223 basis points, and that led us to achieve a saving of about 82 basis points. Then recently now in February, we also went to the market with a bond auction where we raised ZAR 800 million across 3 and 5 years. And I think it was pleasing that this was 2.5x almost oversubscribed, showing the liquidity points that we're taking advantage of in the market. But also similarly with that, that was supported then the margin compression that we saw. I think on 3-year money, we achieved 119 basis points margin. And then on 5-year money, we achieved 140 basis point margin. And we will use this as well just as part of managing cost of debt, refinancing some of our legacy margins in terms of improving and managing the cost of debt in this -- through the cycle. Then the refinancing of ZAR 560 million term debt facilities that we are -- that are the remaining now as part of FY '25 is progressing very well, and we will conclude that in due course. Then lastly, I think in terms of the refinancing activities, I think it's also -- we were pleased that we're able to refinance the debt in Henderson. That was concluded in December, and that facility was at a margin of 2.5% with the entire facility being hedged at 2.4% and maintaining, as I've alluded to earlier, an amortization of 2.2% per year. And then just to touch on the refinancing of cross-currency swaps and our interest rate swaps is that during the year, we had some maturities that we had spoken about that had a fixed rate of 1.4% and a floating one that was at 1.6% over the 6 months Euribor. Those matured and then the combined maturing cross currencies of EUR 90.8 million were refinanced at a weighted average fixed rate of 4.4% for 0.7 years. There, we went for shorter tenor. I think we're just waiting for the some uncertainty that was clouding that was just around the U.S. election. But post that, and we've got another EUR 75 million cross currency that is coming up, and we're seeing attractive pricing points. In terms of the interest rate swaps, I think we did -- there were a nominal of ZAR 2.4 billion that had a weighted average of 6.3% that expired in the period. And then we refinanced those, we entered into ZAR 3 billion of new interest rate swaps at a fixed rate of 7.2%. That impact that you see between the refinancing of these interest rate swaps at 7.2% compared to the expiry profile of 6.3% is one of the elements that continues to impact in terms of our cost of debt in the balance sheet. Then just to touch on our loan-to-value ratio. I think the focus here is very clear for us that in the medium term, we have to trend towards our medium target range of 38% to 41%. We are quite pleased that in Q1, we have a print of 41.5%. And I think in terms of that, we're very clear that the assumption -- the big assumption there is a flat outcome in terms of -- this is exclude the 41.5% excludes property valuations as well as the FX impact. If I touch on just the covenants, our interest cover ratio, that was relaxed. This covenant was relaxed to 1.75x for all periods up to 31 August 2026, that printed at 2x at the end of November. And then the SA LTV printed at 41.5% and with a covenant of 50%. We're also very pleased in terms of the Moody's credit rating that was reaffirmed at Ba2 on the 14th of February with a stable outlook. We provide you with the sensitivities in terms of what will happen in terms of the property valuation outcome, both in SA and EPP. You'll see that in SA, a 1% movement, which is -- will result in a 0.3 impact on the LTV. Similarly, in EPP Core is that, in EPP is that it will be a 1% movement that will result in a 0.1%. And also the movement in terms of our investment in joint ventures, if we were to move that by 1%, it will have a 0.1% LTV impact. The rand, which is -- the depreciation of the rand by 5% will have a 0.3%. I think Andrew touched on the ELI demerger. Post that, the impact of consolidating because at the moment, we treat ELI as a joint venture. If it becomes a subsidiary that gets consolidated into the group numbers, it will have an LTV impact of 1.7%. Then I think just to touch on the trading update. I think we're quite pleased to share with you that in terms of our guidance that we had shared with you at ZAR 0.50 to ZAR 0.53 distributable income per share, we're maintaining that. And I think the key aspects probably that have changed since we last spoke is the upside in terms of that -- in terms of the faster interest rate that has panned out to be lower. So that actually drags that to probably anchor it more towards the middle, but -- towards the middle and towards the lower end of that range. But if we look at some of the variables that are within our controls, I think our focus on driving sustainable organic growth and improving margins, as you have seen what we started to achieve in EPP portfolio, that is our focus. We'll continue to do that to support organic growth. Strong cash generation from the quality of our asset platform, and that continues, I think, even in this shallow interest rate cycle to actually mitigate the impacts of that. From a government of National Unity, that stability is very important, I think, with an expected economic growth of at least coming to some 2% in South Africa by 2027. Then I think Andrew has touched on this in terms of just progressing the restructure of our Polish joint ventures and then also actively recycling capital out of our noncore assets. The one aspect, which is very unpredictable is the geopolitical environment, which has an impact on inflation expectations and also subsequently then determines or actually hampers the pace of interest rate cutting cycle, which has played out. And the extent of that also influences where the swap markets in terms of where we could buy swaps in the market, that will also have an impact. But overall, I think we're quite pleased that we've continued to see solid operational performance that is able out of our portfolio and is a testament to the quality of our diversified asset platform that can weather these uncertainties and then continue to deliver sustainable growth for the business. With that, I'd like to thank you, and then I'll hand over to Andrew to deal with questions.

Andrew König

executive
#5

Thanks, Ntobeko. Great. Okay. So thank you very much for listening to our delivery. We have a few questions. [ Moheshu ] from Standard Bank has asked about the EUR 90 million cross-currency swaps. Were they extended for only 0.7 years and not longer? And were you not happy with the pricing, Mr. Nyawo?

Ntobeko Nyawo

executive
#6

Definitely, [ Moheshu ], the pricing, I think it was -- the majority took place, it was clouded by the U.S. election buildup. So we felt that the pricing was right. But we've got opportunity with the coming ones, and we're liking the pricing. So that could give us the ability to play with tenor a bit more.

Andrew König

executive
#7

Okay. Sandile from Umthombo Wealth says, in a healthy and growing Polish economy, what would be normalized distribution contribution coming out of the Polish operations? So there's a few questions and Ntobeko can answer that one. The next question is what level of LTV would you like to maintain for the Polish assets? And how are you planning to achieve this? And what is a sustainable payout ratio to ensure healthy gearing levels? So do you want to answer Ntobeko?

Ntobeko Nyawo

executive
#8

Yes, Andrew I can deal with the first piece...

Andrew König

executive
#9

Deal with the first one. I'll deal with the rest.

Ntobeko Nyawo

executive
#10

Yes, yes, let's deal with the first one.

Andrew König

executive
#11

Okay.

Ntobeko Nyawo

executive
#12

So I think we had clearly communicated that the normalized earnings out of EPP, once we've restructured it will be closer to EUR 50 million. And I think we are pleased that we are very close to that target. I think we can -- actually, we'll be very close to achieve it this year or next year in terms of the earnings that are coming out of that portfolio.

Andrew König

executive
#13

Thank you. Okay. Just in terms of what is a reasonable LTV? Around 50% would be the answer. And the reason why 50% and not lower is because that is the percentage where banks no longer require amortization of debt. So that's what we're aiming for. How we're going to get there would be through a sale of noncore assets as well as the elimination of those very highly geared joint ventures. That's how we're going to get there in due course. In terms of a sustainable payout ratio, we would like that to mirror the payout ratio here in South Africa so that we don't over distribute here in South Africa to make up for the retention in Europe. So we'd like the 2 tomorrow. So if we have a range of, let's say, 85% to 90% or 80% to 90% as a payout policy, we would like EPP to mirror that in due course. A question from Nazeem. Please provide more color on the exit of EPP community properties, is the partner in a position to acquire the remainder? Or are they also looking to exit? So Nazeem, the partner is not prepared to pay the price that we would like, which is a fair one, i.e., around book value. They would like to see a discount of around 40% to that book value. That's not a sale price in our view. Are they looking to exit? No, they're not. I can't speak for Castleview. I can only speak for my half of that portfolio, and we would obviously need to navigate our way as to how that happens. Nazeem has a busy morning here with us. So his next question is, the Henderson JV refi is complete. Is this an indication that banks have an appetite to fund offices in the region? And is a sale likely soon? So Nazeem, the banks are prepared to fund offices once again. Clearly, they are very circumspect around LTVs and also what the prospects of the letup looks like. We would like to exit this joint venture with the partners. It will be a total sale of the portfolio. Right now it can't happen because there's very opportunistic buyers in the market, mostly for single assets. We do see that turning, however, in due course. There have been some single asset transactions in the market in Poland, and we will assess that on an ongoing basis. We may need to look at selling safer, which is one of the better properties within that portfolio, but we'll have to assess that on an individual basis, although our preference would be to exit portfolio-wide. Nick Wilson from [ Media24 ] asks us, how confident are you of Pick n Pay turning around its business? That's a difficult question for Leon because I'm sure everybody would like to know that. And I'm sure it's easier to ask the CEO of Pick n Pay himself that question. But Nick goes on to say, I see space has been taken back from both Pick n Pay and Ster-Kinekor. How much space in terms of square meters does this amount to? How big are these 2 as tenants in your portfolio? And how concerned are you about Pick n Pay and Ster-Kinekor's future prospects, Leon?

Leon Kok

executive
#14

Nick, firstly, let's deal with Pick n Pay. Look, I don't want to speak for Pick n Pay, but certainly from where we sit and given our relationship with Pick n Pay, we believe that they are focusing on the right things. I think their challenges are well documented. But from an operational point of view, I think in terms of the new management team, they are focusing on some of the low-hanging fruits and particularly focusing on the customer experience where they possibly in the past have lost their way a bit. It's clear that there is a big CapEx requirement in terms of them upgrading stores and such like. So there is definitely some time and space that they need in order to affect that. So we are reasonably confident and particularly given our current working relation with Pick n Pay that they have the ability to focus on the right things and turn around their business, particularly within our portfolio. In terms of their exposure to Redefine or Redefine exposure to them, in terms of our total monthly rents, they are roughly 5% of our retail portfolio. And on a total portfolio, they constitute 2.3%, which again, I think just speaks to the diversification within a portfolio the size of Redefine. So we don't think there's any undue risk in that. In terms of the space they're looking to reduce, it's not just closing stores. It certainly is also you must understand Pick n Pay, particularly a number of their leases has been signed many years ago. And it's in terms of them also rightsizing stores, particularly focusing on some of the hyper stores where they have a couple in our portfolio, where there's a 12,000 square meter store, which in the current environment certainly lends itself to being reduced and still fulfilling a very competitive presence and such like. So during the period, we've agreed to take back an underperforming store at Centurion Mall, and we've managed to relet that, so we're not concerned from a revenue point of view. And then there's continuous plans with us and the Pick n Pay team in terms of how we can rightsize some of the other stores. There are principally 3 other malls that we're looking to rightsize. So we're not concerned from that front. On Ster-Kinekor, we have 6 cinema complexes with Ster-Kinekor. And Ster-Kinekor, given that they've been in business rescue and paying relatively low rent, constitute a very tiny percentage within our exposure. So they constitute 0.1% of our monthly rental bill. So it's relatively low. In terms of conversation with Ster-Kinekor, we would -- after the restructuring and taking back of the cinemas, we will be left with 2 cinema complexes and basically those cinemas that have IMAX theaters within them. So from a future prospect point of view, Ster-Kinekor is obviously very dependent on content coming out of Hollywood. And they believe that there is still future prospect for that. We can certainly see a smaller footprint for cinema experience in the country, not just limited to Ster-Kinekor, but also their competitors. So there's going to be definitely a consolidation, but we believe there is still good prospects for select centers, as I said, particularly where there's a point of difference like IMAX theater.

Andrew König

executive
#15

Great. Thanks, Leon. Okay. So Suren Naidoo from Moneyweb has asked a similar question regarding the office portfolio. So I've already answered that. And then we're going to finish up with 3 more questions from Nazeem. So the first question from Nazeem is, I anticipate office vacancies to rise post the Wembley Square vacancy. I thought new tenant only in November 2025. Was this mitigated from other letting or being excluded from core? Leon?

Leon Kok

executive
#16

So Nazeem, you're quite right. We've managed to relet. The Wembley space was vacated by Amazon, and the take-up is staggered from November '25 up to February in '26. So that space is currently reported as let even though the current -- the tenant is not currently in occupation. And yes, some of the vacancy has also been mitigated by other letting.

Andrew König

executive
#17

Okay. All right. So another question from Nazeem is what work is being done at M1 assets? Could this have an impact on higher CapEx budgets year-on-year? Nazeem, we spoke about this last year and nothing has changed. We will continue to spend defensively as and when is required. The answer is nothing in addition to what has not already been discussed or earmarked for this portfolio is being spent on it at this point in time. The value -- and this is the third question from Nazeem, what is the value of the 30% in Mlociny? Nazeem, if you just look at the net asset value because there's gearing against this asset, the net asset value is roughly our share, which is 70%, is ZAR 2.8 billion. So if you take out your calculator, it's just under ZAR 1.2 billion is what that 30% and it's rands, what it's worth. In terms of other questions from Property Flash, Alistair Anderson has 2 questions. Did the postponement of the budget have any effect on confidence in listed property in South Africa, given that it moves in line with economic growth? So there is a lot written, Alistair, that we all read about the postponement of the budget. We haven't seen anything negative translate into letting activity or anything fundamentally at this point in time. It's way too early to tell what is going to happen. But I do think we take heart from the fact that there is democracy at work that we are seeing evident in the halting or the postponement of the budget in that there's no longer a single party that is ramrodding policy down all our throats, and I think that's very positive. So we look forward to the 12th of March to see how the budget in its reconstituted format will work. But for now, we're not seeing anything untowardly negative, Alistair. In terms of your second question, is Redefine looking to offshore retailers coming to South Africa, maybe premium retailers at Centurion Mall? Leon, do you got any thoughts?

Leon Kok

executive
#18

Alistair, we continuously remain open to engage with offshore retailers that are looking to explore in South Africa. The one name that does come to mind is JD Sports, which is obviously being rolled out under the TFG or from the TFG Group. And we've got a number of malls earmarked that they would look particularly in the second phase to roll out. The first one being at East End Mall. Centurion Mall potentially is a candidate too. But for us, the focus at Centurion Mall, in particular, is to improve our entertainment offering. So that is also a center where we will take back the [indiscernible]. And particularly in terms of kids entertainment and teenager entertainment, we've got very good prospects. And in fact, we've opened a very attractive and successful kid entertainment center in our basement there at Centurion Mall.

Andrew König

executive
#19

Thank you, Leon. Okay. The last question we've got is from [ Kopano from Ozi ] and he asks, post the JV exit and disposals, what will your Polish exposure look like, potential for further transactions beyond storage, once the transaction or the structure has been simplified? So Kopano, look, capital allocation is dynamic. And we need to, on an annual basis, look at the merits of where we are deploying our capital long term. That comes with risk considerations as well as opportunities. And right now it's an open situation in that we need to see how we settle first, the exit of these joint ventures. If you look at the EPP core assets, they're doing fantastically well. And the fact that there are no new shopping centers on the horizon from a construction point of view, we believe that those core assets will continue to dominate their nodes and will continue to deliver good returns over the medium to longer term. So it's open. We don't want to go into new territories. We want to stick to Poland because we understand that market, and we have got good representation from a human capital in that market. We can build on it if there are opportunities, but we would rather stick to what we know and we understand, which is retail principally as well as logistics. In self-storage, we'll see how we go. It's not to say that after building out and stabilizing this portfolio, it's a long-term hold because there is a significant capital uplift that we can bank from this. And with that, I thank you for your time this morning. I wish you well for the rest of this month, and we look forward to talking to you in May when we release our interim results for this half year. With that, thank you and all the best.

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