Reece Limited (REH.AX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 26, 2024

Australian Securities Exchange AU Industrials Trading Companies and Distributors earnings 48 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Good day, and welcome to the Reece Limited Half Year '24 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] And finally, I would like to advise all participants this call is being recorded. Thank you. I'd now like to welcome Peter Wilson, Group CEO, to begin the conference. Peter, over to you.

Peter Wilson

executive
#2

Thanks, Gavin, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our half year 2024 results call. Today, I'm going to take you and cover an overview of our results, our strategy and operational highlights. I'll then pass to Andy Young, who's joining us for the first time as our group CFO, and I would like to say a big welcome to him. Andy will take us through the results for the first half in more detail before handing back to me for some remarks on the outlook for the remainder of the year. All results will be shared in Australian dollars unless otherwise stated. Turning now to an overview of our financial performance for the first half. We delivered a very solid result in a subdued environment. Group sales were up 2.5% on the prior year to $4.5 billion. ANZ sales were up 2% to $2 billion, driven by inflation and supported by historical backlogs. U.S. sales were flat at USD 1.7 billion with modest deflation for the first half. We focused on strong execution of the fundamentals and tight cost control. This helped us deliver adjusted EBIT up 5% to $367 million and adjusted NPAT up 6% to $224 million. The Board has declared an interim dividend of $0.08 per share. Turning now to recap our strategy and our blueprint. As we've outlined previously, our blueprint guides what we do across our business. We are a purpose- and values-led organization, and our 2030 vision [ leads ] to be our trade's most valuable partner. Our 3 strategic priorities bring -- help bring our vision to life, and each of these elements come together to help us deliver on our promise of customized service. This long-term approach guides us in everything we do and enables us to build a stronger business. The blueprint enables our long-term success, and it helps us develop a clear customer proposition, a trusted brand in ANZ and a growing presence in the U.S. We have a track record of delivering a sustainable level of profitability through the cycle. We are a diversified business by geography, customer and end market with a long-term focus on the less cyclical R&R market. We also operate in what we think are 2 of the most attractive geographical regions. We are well capitalized to support our long-term approach of investing for the long term. Now turning to look at the strategic progress in our business during the half. We continue to focus on strong operational execution in the first 6 months of FY '24. We remain driven by fulfilling our customers' needs, which are at the heart of our decision-making and our approach. In particular, we've taken the opportunity following the extreme demand of the past few years to focus on the fundamentals of our business. We've also continued investing in our team and strengthening our culture to help us deliver our service standards across both regions. And we continue enhancing our network, optimizing our supply chain and building our digital and innovation tools. In the ANZ region, the density of our branch network does remain a competitive advantage and an important part of our customer promise. We've continued to optimize and enhance the network during the half with 5 relocations, 1 branch closure and 1 new branch opening. Maintaining network standards for both customers and our people remains an ongoing focus with 6 branch refurbishments. After a high number of store openings during FY '23, we have a number of new stores in the pipeline for the second half of FY '24. Turning to the U.S. We continue moving at pace to upgrade and expand our network. We rolled out 9 new branches, 4 of which were in the new R&R format, and we also completed 4 refurbishments. The Reece brand rollout continued to progress with 62 branches now trading as Reece across 6 states. The next stage of the brand rollout includes Texas, Oklahoma and Kansas. We are pleased with the response to the new stores and the Reece brand rollout, which provides us with an employee value proposition to attract talent. We continue to see a sustainable rate of organic new store openings as 10 to 15 per year, and we remain focused on increasing our offering to the more resilient R&R market, which we do think we have a differentiated proposition. I'll now hand over to Andy to run through the financial review.

Andrew Young

executive
#3

Thank you, Peter, and good morning, everyone. Overall, the group has delivered a very solid result for the first half of the FY '24 financial year. As Peter has already mentioned, sales revenue for the group was up 2.5% to $4.5 billion, partly supported by favorable foreign exchange movements. On a constant currency basis, sales were up 1%, with a neutral impact from product inflation at the overall group level. We've taken the opportunity to streamline our reporting this half to present a single view of underlying earnings. There were no material adjustments between statutory and adjusted earnings this current half, which makes it a very clean transition period and will simplify our reporting moving forward. Adjusted EBITDA was up 8% for the half to $526 million, with growth across both regions. Adjusted EBIT increased by 5% to $367 million, and within this result, group costs, excluding depreciation and amortization, grew at 3.6%, principally driven by year-on-year wage increases. Including depreciation and amortization, overall group costs increased by 5% for the half, reflecting the impact of capital spend associated with our U.S. rebranding activities, network expansion and renewals and amortization of intangibles. Adjusted net profit after tax was up 6% to $224 million, with consistent growth in adjusted earnings per share, which was $0.35 for the first half '24 period. Now on to the ANZ region. In a softening trading environment, we feel the ANZ business delivered a very credible result for the first half. Sales revenue was up 2% to $2 billion, which was largely driven by inflation, which, in line with our Q1 commentary, continued to moderate across the period. Volumes in the ANZ business were subdued in the first half, supported by backlog of activity. Adjusted EBITDA was up 7% to $307 million, and our adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 72 basis points, supported by strong focus on the fundamentals of our business, along with disciplined cost management as we trade through the current economic cycle. Adjusted EBIT increased 6% to $233 million. Within this result, we've maintained a cautious approach to cost control while seeking to maintain our service proposition and continue to invest through the cycle. As noted previously, both regions have seen an uptick in depreciation and amortization. Within the ANZ business, recent investments in the network, both organic and inorganic, and in our digital capabilities has driven an increase in depreciation and amortization relative to the first half of last year. And finally, I wanted to touch briefly on the delta between adjusted EBIT and statutory EBIT, which was primarily due to the goodwill impairment of $29 million relating to Metalflex, which we recognized last year. There are no differences between statutory and adjusted earnings for the current half year period. Now on to the U.S. region. Our U.S. business also performed well for the first half despite challenging market conditions. Sales revenue of $2.6 billion was up 3%, the headline growth rate benefiting from favorable foreign exchange movements between periods. On a U.S. dollar basis, sales were flat with modest deflation for the half. Adjusted EBITDA on a USD basis was up 6% to $143 million with a 46 basis point increase in our adjusted EBITDA margin. Similar to our ANZ business, this result reflects a continued focus on embedding operational excellence within the business and tight management of the cost base. Adjusted EBIT increased 2% to $87 million on a U.S. dollar basis. We continue to focus on investing across our U.S. business. The rebrand rollout and network expansion remain key investment priorities, as Peter referenced earlier, both of which are contributing to an elevated level of depreciation for the period. Now turning to the group's cash flow position. The group generated operating cash inflows of $378 million in the half supported by an improved net working capital to sales ratio. Capital expenditure was up on the prior comparative period by $27 million, driven by network expansion, branch refurbishment costs and the Reece rebrand in the U.S. The group repaid borrowings during the half, in line with our capital management priorities, which I will discuss shortly. Net finance costs increased during the period, driven by an increase in variable interest rates. Based on current drawn debt, we anticipate interest expense to be in the range of AUD 65 million to AUD 75 million for the full year. We continue to expect the group's overall effective tax rate to sit at around 30% for FY '24, noting, of course, this is subject to our annual LIFO adjustments relevant to our U.S. tax expense, which will be reflected at financial year-end. Now looking at the balance sheet. The group has closed the half with a very strong balance sheet, which supports our long-term growth approach and provides flexibility as we trade through the current economic cycle. Net debt was down to $610 million, reflective of both debt repayment and a strong cash position, and the group's net leverage ratio is currently sitting at 0.7x. During the half, we completed a USD 300 million unsecured note issuance in the U.S. private placement market. The notes have fixed coupon rates with a mixture of 7- and 10-year maturities, which has enabled us to diversify our funding sources, reduce our variable interest rate exposure and increase our overall debt maturity profile. The note proceeds were used to repay drawn debt under our existing syndicated debt facilities and increase our available liquidity, providing the group with ongoing operational and strategic flexibility. Return on capital employed has increased to 16.1% at the end of the half. I will now take you through our approach to capital management. We remain disciplined in our approach to managing capital. The business has a defined framework, which guides the allocation and deployment of group capital to ensure we achieve our primary goal of enabling the sustainable long-term growth of the business. Our first priority is to invest in organic growth and strategic bolt-on M&A to support the ongoing expansion of the group; second, to maintain a strong balance sheet while maintaining flexibility for growth; third, to provide returns to shareholders through the payment of dividends, ordinary dividends and where surplus free cash flow exists, special dividends or share buybacks. I'll now hand back to Peter to discuss the macro outlook.

Peter Wilson

executive
#4

Thank you, Andy. And looking ahead to the remainder of this financial year, we are expecting softening in ANZ, where the tail of completions is slowing. In the U.S., we are anticipating the challenging demand setting to continue. We don't expect to see any material impact from green shoots in the new residential construction setting emerging until calendar year '25. We do see the potential for margin pressures in this environment as we will continue to focus on remaining competitive for our customers. We are focused on strong execution as we navigate through the cycle, supporting our customers and our people and continuing to invest in the business. Over the long term, we see no change to the positive fundamentals in our sector, particularly our housing underbuild, population growth and the ongoing need for infrastructure in both regions. In summary, we have delivered a very solid result in the face of a subdued environment in the first half. We will continue to focus on the long term like we always do, investing to ensure we set ourselves up for future success. Thank you. I'll now open the line for questions.

Operator

operator
#5

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from line of Peter Steyn from Macquarie.

Peter Steyn

analyst
#6

Just keen to get a bit of a read on your U.S. results in the context of the margin uplift we saw there. You called out deflation at a product level but curious below that, what you're seeing in terms of traction with, let's call it, a more value-added proposition, Peter, particularly in those R&R-orientated stores and whether that's really starting to gain traction and making a mix difference to your margin outcomes.

Peter Wilson

executive
#7

Look, it's -- I wouldn't -- at this stage, it's still -- the new stores that we're rolling out are still pretty immaterial and the numbers are still small, so I wouldn't say that the performance is reflective of that. It's more just a -- I think the -- if you look at the -- what's happened over the last 2 or 3 years, I mean, there's been -- we're building capabilities, strong execution by the team. And I think really that's just an outcome of all that, and -- but at this point, it's still too early to have any material impact from what we're doing with the new stores.

Peter Steyn

analyst
#8

Perfect. And perhaps just a little bit of a follow-up there. You've recently opened a big DC presumably to just further your supply chain strategy there. Could you talk to that a little bit, what your anticipated supply chain strategy will be and whether that incrementally unlocks further efficiencies in your expectation?

Peter Wilson

executive
#9

I think the -- again, it's a -- look, it's a -- if you call it -- and in Jim Collins' statements like firing bullets, so it's -- for us, it's almost it's our first. We've got a lot of experience in ANZ with our supply chain strategy. It is definitely different in the U.S. The supply chain strategy here was largely driven around sort of the private label home brand. It's -- in the U.S., it's a test case for Texas, and it's primarily about building a service capability for our stores. So it's really -- it's a test. It's possibly -- the team were pushing probably earlier. We've just launched it, so we're open a month and up and running. So at this point, Peter, it's really just one of those things that we do at Reece where you've got capabilities we're trying to build. And this is one of those tests that we're -- that we've just commenced.

Peter Steyn

analyst
#10

Perfect. Peter, I'll leave it there. And congratulations on the strong result.

Peter Wilson

executive
#11

Yes. Thanks, Peter.

Operator

operator
#12

Your next question comes from the line of Keith Chau from MST Marquee.

Keith Chau

analyst
#13

The first one, just on your store rollout. Obviously, the California stores were rebranded last year. You're working your way East to -- through Arizona and Nevada, North Carolina, et cetera. Is there a metric that you could call out? And I don't know if you've spoken about NPD metrics in Australia before, but just kind of help us characterize the traction that you are gaining with customers in the U.S. and the acceptance of the service proposition.

Peter Wilson

executive
#14

I'm trying to understand. I think there's 2 parts to the question. I think in terms of the brand rollout, I mean, that's -- we've started -- we've done the 6 states, and we're obviously progressing that. So that -- as much -- for the rebranding part, as much as anything, it is for the employment proposition. So we've got a brand so we can attract the talent. It's also to be seen as a single brand as we are dealing with all the different vendors and suppliers. So when it comes to trade distribution businesses, this investment you're doing in the corporate ID, it really is a long-term part. There isn't a short-term payoff. So it's just part of what we are doing, part of the whole brand makeup. In terms of how we are measuring the customer loyalty, customer proposition, it's certainly front, center. We've got lots of metrics. And mostly, we keep to ourselves for competitive market reasons. So -- but certainly, I think the -- I mean, the performance of all that is the result. So I mean, we are comfortable with the progress we're making, but we still got a long, long way to go.

Keith Chau

analyst
#15

That's very good color. And secondly, just a follow-on on Peter's question on deflation. So obviously, calling out deflation or some deflation in that U.S. revenue number. But can you help us understand whether you're seeing some deflation in the cost base as well and whether that's driving some of the price cost spread?

Andrew Young

executive
#16

Yes. Andy here. I'll pick that one up. Look, just first on the product deflation piece. The first point I'd probably note, it's not across all categories, so it's quite contained to some lines that are more commodity linked where we have less of a labor component. We tend to see that wash through pretty quickly. So fast-moving lines, you see the impact in sales results within the number we've reported to the half. Similar factors in ANZ but not quite as pronounced as U.S. On a cost base perspective, remember, our cost base is largely people driven, so most of that cost base increase is really driven by elevated people costs. And obviously, that's worked through with our annual rem cycle. So they're the key driver, and we manage that quite tightly obviously with things like turnover and those sorts of levers as we navigate through a period where we've got a lower top line.

Peter Wilson

executive
#17

Yes. So Keith, just to build on, we're definitely not seeing deflation in our cost part. Like the -- in both -- yes, there's definitely -- it's the opposite. In fact, the pressures that were -- from an employee perspective and then also the additional costs. So definitely, that is something we're managing, which Andy is leading, managing pretty closely.

Keith Chau

analyst
#18

Understood. And maybe if I can squeeze one last one in. The 9-store rollout in the first half was a pretty good number in the context of your total target of 10 to 15. Can I confirm whether those are organic store rollouts? Or were some of those acquired?

Peter Wilson

executive
#19

Good question. Organic, definitely organic.

Operator

operator
#20

Your next question comes from the line of Brook Campbell-Crawford from Barrenjoey.

Brook Campbell-Crawford

analyst
#21

I'd like just to go back to the gross margin. [ I know that others ] have asked about. So back at the last result, you couldn't have been more clear that you're seeing softening demand. You're seeing cost inflation. Therefore, you're expecting margins to be -- go under pressure. And I guess in the half, you've driven group gross margins higher about -- by about 60 basis points. So if you kind of just recap what's kind of played out differently to what you're expecting back when you last addressed the market.

Peter Wilson

executive
#22

It's Peter. Yes, I did say that. I remember saying that. And I think what I said then, I mean, I still -- I think probably just a little bit early. I think what -- we're seeing all of what I said then, probably still to play out now. So it's just the continuation of the elevated cycles that we've experienced just have gone a bit longer, so obviously, we've -- yes, we have -- these are really solid results, so that's -- we definitely acknowledge that to our people here. But certainly, then the -- if you look at ANZ, for example, if you look at where all the lead indicators are going, which is where -- the housing starts, commencements, R&R, the -- it is expected to soften and the completions part is just about unwound. And the U.S. has definitely had some more challenging market dynamics. And so it does feel like the U.S. is ahead of Australia. So yes, I think we have produced a good result. And I'm still consistent with what I said 6 months ago. There is that risk for it to be definitely more challenging for the next. So hopefully, that helps give a bit of color.

Brook Campbell-Crawford

analyst
#23

No, that's fine. Yes, still to come. That's helpful. And just on product inflation, do you mind just providing some examples and color about why you're seeing product deflation in the U.S. but product inflation, albeit at a moderating rate, in ANZ? So just examples, kind of compare and contrast what you're seeing there on product inflation across the 2 divisions.

Peter Wilson

executive
#24

Yes, I just feel -- I feel that -- I just think it's -- if you look, there's -- there are similarities. It's just -- it's a timing thing here and maybe a magnitude. So the U.S. had higher inflation, and obviously they were first to increase interest rates and they went higher. So I think that, that is the dynamic in the U.S. We obviously went -- we went slower, and we didn't go as high. So that's why we have sort of -- have the lag in comparison to the U.S. But just, I mean, the best probably example, as we've normalized our supply chains, we've worked through it. Like -- categories like, for example, PVC, which is a core category, is now -- all the manufacturers that have gone back to normalization, they're all in stock. And you could argue that there could be some spare capacity that will actually start coming into the market, so deals coming to the market. And then so those deals come in, the big players and the small players, and so therefore, you're starting to trade. So that is one example for the U.S. And somewhat -- it's probably going to play here in Australia too. Reliance acquired Holman last week or the week before. They announced it. There are already big incumbent PVC manufacturers that have invested heavily to play catch-up. And so we will soon be well in full capacity. So therefore, the dynamics post that are the margin pressures that I outlined earlier. So hopefully, that helps, Brook.

Brook Campbell-Crawford

analyst
#25

No, that's great. Maybe one really quick last one. You've got a notable increase there in your balance sheet liquidity following the USPP issuance, which is great. And you talked earlier on just about how that provide you with some strategic flexibility. Do you mind just providing some additional color and comments about what might be in store for that headroom?

Peter Wilson

executive
#26

Well, I think, ultimately, it's just the -- it was the right thing to do, to go down that path and obviously, the -- with the current environment that we've got, I think we've said all along really 5, 6 years ago that going to the U.S. was an -- both organic and inorganic play. There was definitely a lot of opportunity. It's very fragmented. And nothing has changed from what we said 5 or 6 years ago. So there still is all that -- there's lots of those opportunities. We just need to be really disciplined and selective. It just gives us more, I guess, firepower if the right opportunities come up. And certainly, we've still got to keep investing in our organic capabilities as well. So that's the main part. And certainly, there could also be opportunities to come in this region, Australia and New Zealand. So just gives strength and flexibility, which is, I think, always the best place to be.

Operator

operator
#27

Your next question comes from Shaurya Visen from Bank of America.

Shaurya Visen

analyst
#28

Just a quick one on the competitive landscape, Peter. I'm just wondering how do you view that evolving in Australia, and that's in the back of one of your key competitors looking to exit the market. And just quickly following up from Brook's question and I mean, you said your priority, it was with the U.S. Just wondering if you potentially could be looking at something if something interesting comes up in Australia.

Peter Wilson

executive
#29

I think -- I feel there's a few question there. Thank you for those. Yes. I mean the competitive landscape, I mean, it is always moving and always changing. There is never a dull moment when -- like, I guess, every industry but certainly in this one, both in the U.S. and in Australia. So -- and in terms of our main competitor here in Australia, yes, that was obviously what Fletchers have signaled. And I mean, my message I always say, which we've been saying for about 20, 25 years, it is hard enough to control your own team and your own business and get it all aligned to worry about really what everybody else is doing. So I think how that will play out, we'll just see. And obviously, we've -- we have always respected our competitors and what Fletchers and Tradelink have done. So that will be interesting to see where that plays out. And in terms of opportunities for Australia, I mean, there is definitely -- having a strong balance sheet allows you to exploit anything that does come up. So I mean, there's always things -- there are always things being put in front of us. We just got to -- they just got to meet our criteria.

Operator

operator
#30

Your next question comes from the line of Lee Power from UBS.

Lee Power

analyst
#31

Peter, I'll take your comments around softening in ANZ, and I take your point that it's probably just taking a little bit longer to see it. It's always obviously hard to get kind of core repair and remodel data in Australia. Like do you have a view on how long that air pocket that you think is coming will last before we enter into another growth phase?

Peter Wilson

executive
#32

No, I don't. I mean, if I said it, I don't think anyone would believe me anyway. So like I -- yes, my nature and -- I mean, it causes me to be cautious as well because I think it's the right thing to do so. I mean I think it's the right thing to do to be -- I mean all of the signs for us -- I mean, we -- it is softening -- it is definitely softening. So there won't be inflation in Australia and the market softening. And we're seeing that. So how long and how deep that lasts? I don't -- I actually don't know, but I mean, if you just -- if you look at the approvals and commencements, just where sentiment is, all that, I mean, it just -- it shows that it's going to be a bit more challenging from where it has been. But you've just got to see through that and then have faith in the long-term parts, which we do, in terms of the fundamentals of Australia. So there's still a lot of population growth. It's a great country. There's a lot of great things going for it in our sector. So I mean, it traditionally has been cyclical, and this is probably the start of a -- one of those little cycles. So we'll -- I'm not sure how long it will be, but you'd think, given the fact that we're pretty much at full employment, things are still -- the economy is still pretty strong, although there are challenges. And I mean, the consumer is feeling a pinch with all of the cost of living pressures. So just got to weigh all that up and work through how that, how it's going to play out with interest rates and obviously, the -- some of the tax cuts and so on. So there's definitely a bit of -- it is definitely hard to get a read on to it. But I'm pretty confident that we are -- Australia is going to be in a softening period.

Lee Power

analyst
#33

No, appreciate that. And then the -- I mean, you've obviously, a few people have mentioned, done quite good on the cost control piece. Like if we think about Australia, the subdued environment you talked about, the network additions you've talked about in the second half, is there anything else? Like is there anything meaningful -- meaningful initiatives in ANZ that you're thinking about on the cost front? Or is it just more incremental cost control and kind of more of what you've been doing already?

Peter Wilson

executive
#34

No, a good question. I always -- I mean that's the whole big transformational part. But no, we've -- it's been -- Reece has been well run for a long period of time, so I think it's -- it definitely has to be incremental on the fundamentals operational excellence. There are definitely -- we are hoping that we can get more productive with all the investments, but largely, it's going to be incremental and anything too radical could have an impact on the culture. So it's been well run. We produced good results. So largely, I think you can expect to be incremental.

Lee Power

analyst
#35

Okay. And maybe a final one if I can. Like the brand rollout in the U.S., like you're obviously getting more traction on those. Any -- is there any view around that pace of that rollout? Have you thought about speeding it up with the current pace as you kind of get through it and get more stores rolled out?

Peter Wilson

executive
#36

No, we're comfortable -- we're definitely -- I mean, it's -- everything you're going to try to do is in a sustainable way. So we're -- Texas is a big state, and it's -- I mean, the economy is bigger than Australia. So we're definitely comfortable with that plan, and it's going to plan. I think the response has been positive. So yes, I think we're at the right rate for what the business can handle and obviously, the rate of change in the U.S.

Operator

operator
#37

Your next question comes from the line of Harry Saunders from E&P.

Harry Saunders

analyst
#38

Firstly, just noticed on the outlook comments, you've now sort of confined the softening to ANZ only rather than the whole business. So can you just set out, I guess, how you're thinking about the U.S. in the second half given the improving new construction environment, your strong average store count growth both from M&A and last year, and the organic you've seen in the first half? Would you expect your volumes to outpace any deflation and perhaps deliver similar low single-digit growth at the first half?

Peter Wilson

executive
#39

A good -- Harry, good question. No, I think, look, we're obviously -- the focus is there on Australia. Just a signal that we are expecting it to be more challenging. And so regional -- look, if you speak to our team, it's definitely been challenging. And if you look at all the commentary from all our peers, it's that way. If you look at the work that's under construction, it is -- has been in decline. So I think we're just -- to be honest, I just -- we just want to get through this calendar year. So I mean, we're not -- I'm not sure when -- that's what we've signaled and maybe some of the green shoots will appear in calendar year 2025, so it's still a year to go, so that's sort of how we're seeing it.

Harry Saunders

analyst
#40

Yes. Got it. I mean perhaps your average store count looks to be probably in that circa, 10%, on pcp in the second half, so even if your sort of end market's down, I'm presuming you're aiming to outperform that.

Peter Wilson

executive
#41

Well, that's part of the -- that's the organic growth story. So yes, I mean, that's the aim. Just remembering all the new stores take time to break even into profitability. So you can get top line but maybe not bottom line. So it's always a balance. So yes, hopefully, that gives a bit more color.

Harry Saunders

analyst
#42

And then just on that strong margin performance, I know we've talked a lot about that. But looking at your gross margin at the group level, I think that was up 60 basis points. So just wondering what the main driver is there and perhaps a more general margin outlook for the 2 divisions in the second half, I guess, given -- as we've already discussed, you've said -- previously talked about cost pressures in outlook, and then we didn't sort of have a margin reduction in either division.

Peter Wilson

executive
#43

Yes. Well, look, I always remind everybody, we definitely don't give guidance, so I'm not going to give too much color. And look, I think I've mentioned earlier that our anticipation, what I said, was going to happen in this half. It's just been delayed, I think. Look, it's -- the -- our model -- the reason why we've produced it is it's an outcome of the model and our performance. So you got to balance it between your customers and shareholder needs. So -- but ultimately, margin and everything is an outcome of the performance. I think we've got -- we performed well. The model is going well. We've managed the selling part well. We've managed the cost pretty well. So that delivered the margin. That gets harder when the market gets softer. So that's -- hopefully, that just gives a bit more context.

Harry Saunders

analyst
#44

No, that's really helpful. I guess when you say it's been delayed, effectively that margin sort of comment, we think about -- like, for example, the U.S., are you expecting that margin, therefore, to be incrementally sort of worse in the second half? Or am I reading too much into that?

Peter Wilson

executive
#45

I think you're getting into this whole guidance part here. I think you try to best interpret -- I'm trying to give a flavor that I see the -- we see the status quo continuing in the U.S., which is -- has been challenging, and it's going to get softer in Australia. So when you flow that through to the model and performance and the fact that we're at capacity, you will -- it is going to get harder.

Harry Saunders

analyst
#46

Understood. Wondering as well about the HVAC regulatory changes in the U.S. Do you see that providing a benefit to your business, noting some competitors are starting to see a benefit there?

Peter Wilson

executive
#47

Look, whenever you have these -- I mean, that's going to force changeover, so that actually creates -- that definitely creates business. What -- I mean, HVAC is a pretty small part of our business in the U.S. So it's only in Texas, so it's relatively small. It's not going to be material. But from an environment and an overall market perspective, it will have -- it definitely has an impact for the industry, but we are pretty small.

Harry Saunders

analyst
#48

Great. Last one just on pricing in Australia. I've seen a lot of list price increases coming through in the last few months, so just wondering, overall, I guess, on your inflation outlook for the Australian business, say, over the next 12 months.

Peter Wilson

executive
#49

Well, I think we're facing -- look, you were really -- if you take time to have a look through the -- what we've just gone through, there's -- basically, there's no inflation in our product inflation now in the business. So there was a little bit for the first half. But Andy, I don't know if you want to build it.

Andrew Young

executive
#50

No. I think it's right, Peter. I think, Harry, if you have a look at it, it's moderated significantly and continued to moderate as we've come through the first half of the year. And we don't anticipate that's going to materially change across the rest of the FY '24 financial period. I think it's going to be a bit of time before we start to see a return to those more normalized pricing cycles in the business.

Operator

operator
#51

Your next question comes from the line of Sam Seow from Citi.

Samuel Seow

analyst
#52

Just a quick one on the U.S. Just wondering about the composition of sales. You've obviously called out deflation there. And I'm guessing by the trading commentary being subdued, volumes may have declined. So just, one, just checking that's the right assumption. And two, I guess, what's offsetting negative price fall to give you that kind of flat to up sales? Is it acquisitions or -- yes, I just want to understand that, please.

Andrew Young

executive
#53

Yes. Thanks, Sam. It's Andy here. I'll pick that one up. The -- if you look at the half, actually, we've had a little bit of deflation. So actually what's setting -- what's offsetting that is actually a little bit of volume growth in the U.S. market, so overall, pretty square. They sort of offset each other. There's a little bit of an impact of network expansion and acquisition stuff. But look, it's not material. These are bolt-ons, and we keep to a relatively small number of new store sort of extensions each year, as you know. So they don't have an overall material impact on the overall profile. So small volume growth offset by a small amount of deflation is basically the story for the U.S.

Samuel Seow

analyst
#54

Got it. And then maybe in ANZ I might try and ask a question on the margins again. I'll try my luck. But remember, you had a fairly large labor increase during the half, but clearly, you produced a pretty good margin outcome. Just want to understand just what was the main driver there that gave you that kind of 70 basis points to offset what should have been a pretty large kind of wage increase.

Andrew Young

executive
#55

So Sam, on the cost side, there's a couple of things just to unpack there. So if you look at the headline cost growth, one of the things that has stepped up in that is actually depreciation and amortization. And we've actually increased our CapEx this half. So we invest through the cycle, so that's actually adding a little bit of top line growth to the overall cost number. If you take that out, the underlying cost growth sitting at about 3.6, so that's really where we're sitting. And as we said earlier, most of our costs are really people related, so that gives you a bit of sense of the underlying level of wage inflation. And we manage that cautiously. As Peter said earlier, we're always mindful of the turnover in the business, and that gives us a lever to manage. But we're conscious of not impacting the customer [ offer ]. So that's the way we intend to play into that. And obviously, to the extent that we manage that well, it has a bit of a benefit to the overall EBITDA margin performance.

Samuel Seow

analyst
#56

And maybe just one quick one. The ANZ stores, noticed, sequentially, they didn't grow, and I'm sure that hasn't happened too many times before. I just want to just double check that, that -- I mean, it appears to be a timing issue, but just checking that assumption and we should [indiscernible]

Peter Wilson

executive
#57

No, we didn't. And there has been periods through post '09, we didn't really grow for 4 or 5 years in that period, too. So we actually, as a business, didn't grow revenue from '09 to about '13, '14. So there are periods at Reece where you consolidate and you build capabilities. So it has happened before, and so it's definitely -- it's not an error. It's -- the network is mature. It's -- so yes, I think that just gives the context. That's not just all a straight line at Reece. So hopefully, that gives some context and flavor to all the questions.

Operator

operator
#58

Your next question comes from the line of James Casey of Ord Minnett.

James Casey

analyst
#59

My apologies, I was late on the call. I just wanted to check on the distribution center network both in Australia and the U.S. Firstly, in Australia, I seem to remember you were coming up against capacity constraints with your distribution center here in Melbourne. I just wonder whether there's been any plans advanced there and any CapEx tied into that and then if there had been any further thoughts on what you're going to do with regards to a distribution center network in your U.S. market.

Peter Wilson

executive
#60

Yes, James, it's Peter. Yes, we did -- we have covered this, James. You need to get on to the call on time next time. So...

James Casey

analyst
#61

Okay. Apologies.

Peter Wilson

executive
#62

No, it's okay. I'll keep it at high level. So look, we're in -- in ANZ, we've got a pretty mature supply chain that is all about getting optimization. So I think there is definitely work for us to do going forward. But we -- because the things have normalized, we're not as in the -- we don't -- we're not feeling some of the pain points that we were 12, 18 months ago. So I think we're okay here, definitely a piece of work for longer term in terms of what the supply chain looks like. And then in the U.S., we've done our first in Texas, our first DC, which is really it's like an experiment. It is different to here because here is being largely driven around our private label sort of strategy, home brand strategy. It's really about a service proposition there. So it's a different part -- different-- it is a different supply chain strategy, and we've built it to experiment and to see if that -- the supply chain, that element of our business is the way to go. But we won't really know for a year or 2. So hopefully, that helps, James.

James Casey

analyst
#63

Okay. Yes.

Peter Wilson

executive
#64

Okay. I think that's -- thanks, everyone. Gavin?

Operator

operator
#65

There are no further questions at this time. So like to hand back to our presenters.

Peter Wilson

executive
#66

That's me, sorry. I'm just waiting. I was getting -- actually -- Okay. Thank you, everybody, for the call today. Finish up by saying, I like a big thank you to our team for everything they do and also for everyone on the call, we are thanking you for your support. I hope it has given you some more context and color. Look forward to catching up again with you all next time. Thank you very much.

Operator

operator
#67

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now all disconnect.

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