Repligen Corporation (RGEN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 18, 2020

NASDAQ US Health Care Life Sciences Tools and Services conference_presentation 32 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Daniel Arias

analyst
#1

Okay. Welcome, everybody, to Day 3 of the 2020 Stifel Healthcare conference. This is the Life Sciences and Diagnostic track. And we're happy to have Repligen as the next company with us today. Today, right now, I have Jon Snodgres, who's the CFO; and then Tony Hunt, the CEO, will be joining us in a little bit, once we wrap some things up. So Jon, welcome. Thanks for spending some time.

Jon Snodgres

executive
#2

It's our pleasure to be here. Thank you, Dan.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#3

Yes, for sure. I think maybe just a good starting point would be to talk about the year. I mean 2020 has been an active year for everybody. But certainly for you guys, just given the customers that you serve and what those customers have been doing this year, can you just start by talking about where you've gone with the year and maybe where you've been most surprised by how things have gone and they've progressed?

Jon Snodgres

executive
#4

Well, yes, that's a fantastic way to start this. It's certainly been a year of a lot of surprises, right, with the whole COVID pandemic coming into effect. We've gone through the year. We've recognized strong organic growth. All of our product franchises are doing extremely well this year. And so we're really happy about that. COVID has kicked in. And I think as we came out of Q1, we held our guidance overall for the year, not really knowing how that was going to affect us and the rest of the world. And I think a lot of people basically stopped giving guidance at that point in time. We felt like we had enough visibility to at least hold where we were. But the last 2 quarters, we've really seen -- through Q3, we've really seen COVID becoming a boost to our business and significantly has helped increase our order loads and overall revenue, as you've seen. So we bumped up our guidance throughout the year according to that. And I'd say one of the areas that you would expect to see that in filtration and chromatography and some of our direct product lines and process analytics. I think one of the real surprises this year has been the success in our proteins business overall, where we had expected Cytiva to pull back quite a bit of the volume in-house. And I think they actually have pulled back volume in-house. But what we've seen in the overall proteins market is that volumes have come up significantly with the COVID pandemic as well as a lot of customers are changing their stocking practices, holding more safety stocks and things of that nature to assure that they've got resins available to support their manufacturing processes on the commercial level. So that's been a real pickup for us, along with, again, everything related to direct product line. So so far, it's just been a fantastic year. And our internal challenges are really managing capacity, continue to expand capacity and manage the order load so that we're delivering products in a timely fashion to our customers. But overall, everything has been green this year for sure.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#5

Yes. I know you guys have had a lot of success. And let me just sort of pick up on your last point there and ask you sort of an overarching question on the organizational changes and the scale-up that you've had take place at Repligen. When we were talking a few weeks ago, you actually surprised me with the headcount increase that you were talking about year-to-date and we've also got this build-out of the chromatography infrastructure. And so what should we read into that when we say, "hey, Jon and Tony are fairly conservative guys and yet they seem to be making some big bets on just what the future of the company should look like." Can you just sort of talk to the long-term outlook and what we should read into what you're doing now with the franchises?

Jon Snodgres

executive
#6

Yes. Makes total sense. So as we look at our overall business, Dan, we're always trying to stay 3 to 5 years ahead of the market in terms of capacity planning, right, and execution. And so we started a couple of years ago, really on a big project to maximize and build out that capacity for 3 to 5 years. What's interesting is 3 to 5 years has become a lot shorter time horizon with the big boost from COVID and the strength of the underlying market for us. And so now we continue down that path. And we thought by the end of 2020 that, "hey, we'll be able to tap down some of the investment in capacity because we'll be where we need to be. But with COVID coming in, the strength of the rest -- the base business, we've had to continue that process and we'll be building out again next year with a bigger CapEx number than the $30 million to $32 million number that we have in place this year. And people have asked us why -- are you concerned that what happens if these vaccines don't come through? While we're seeing pretty good momentum there, right? We're seeing pretty good efficacy and success rates on some of those vaccines. But if that all happened to not come through for us, we've got such a strong underlying bioprocessing market that having maybe a little bit of extra capacity and having it earlier in the process is not a real risk for us. So either way, building out this capacity is going to support the business in the longer term. So we felt like it was not a big risk to go ahead and invest more in capacity.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#7

Yes. Okay. Okay. Let's maybe dig into a couple of the product areas. You did mention proteins, that is certainly one of the areas of surprise for the year. I think your current outlook is for proteins OEM to be up 15% to 20% for the year and that is coming from a starting point of down 15%, I believe, in February. You're going into discussions with Danaher in early 2021 on the new contract there. What do you think the 2020 experience might mean for a new deal? Are you expecting a price adjustment there at all? And then ultimately, I guess, the question is, do you believe that at some point, they might move to 50% of what's needed being made internally, which was kind of the thought at the low end when we saw -- when we started thinking about things here?

Jon Snodgres

executive
#8

Right. So we have a contract that locks us up with 50% of their volume through 2021, and we're continuing to operate under that contract. We are -- this year, we've seen, again, a nice boost from COVID. So we've seen the benefits from that, right? And so the decline from Cytiva has been -- we've been about flat. We're expecting to be about flat overall in the volumes with them this year, which is a nice improvement because we had previously anticipated we'd be down $12 million to $13 million with them. So that's really, I think, put more demand on them and they've needed to go ahead and outsource some of that to us. I think we're obviously working and starting work on a new contract negotiation with them today. We don't have a lot of information yet and that's -- we're going to be working on this over the next 6 to 8 months. And I would think by midyear, we'll have a pretty good view about what that's going to look like going forward. But our expectation, overall, Dan, is, yes, we do expect GE to continue to in-source and bring work in-house. We expect that they'll -- excuse me, on Cytiva. We expect that they'll be able to produce more next year than internally than they have this year with the growing pains that they probably have suffered a little bit as anybody would with the start-up. And so we're expecting -- again, we're expecting, yes, them to pull back in-house, but we'll give you more information middle of next year as we work through the contract negotiations. And we have Tony joining us now as well.

Anthony Hunt

executive
#9

Hey, Dan. Sorry, I'm late.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#10

No problem at all. Hope you're well. Yes. We started off with just sort of an overarching view on how you guys are making changes with the company with the build-out in chromatography with the headcount increases and what that might mean for your look overall on the future. Now we're kind of working through a proteins discussion. I was asking about expectations on the part of Danaher, given the 2020 experience, just given that you will be rolling into a new contract next year anyways. And it kind of sounds like it's a TBD situation by midyear, you might have a view on just where it is as things are starting to line up for what the next couple of years might bring?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#11

Yes. We have, obviously, till the end of next year to get a contract extension put in place. Our intent is to try and get that done over the next, say, 6 to 8, 6 to 9 months. Not wait until December to...

Jon Snodgres

executive
#12

It's a long process.

Anthony Hunt

executive
#13

Yes.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#14

That's right. Right. How much of what has come to you as upside surprise in proteins has been due to non-COVID related work?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#15

Yes. It's interesting. The -- what's hard about the proteins business and the ligand side is trying to carve out what's COVID versus non-COVID, because we're not dealing with the end users. But we do believe, at least, on the Cytiva side that a lot of the incremental volume as we've gone through sort of Q2, Q3, Q4 is probably coming from COVID related. And there's also a piece that is buildup of the inventory levels, not at Cytiva's -- not at Cytiva, but at the customer. So we definitely see customers, and we're seeing it in our businesses as well, direct businesses where someone might be holding 3 months of safety stock for a commercial drug and now they want to increase their safety stock to 4 months or 5 months or 6 months. So there's -- that going on as well, which is really driven by COVID. And so we've had to sort of guesstimate what we think could be coming from COVID on the protein side. We do know that on the other part of the equation, both our Millipore and Purolite businesses have done well this year as well. So there's a nice amount of the growth is coming from success of their portfolios. And for the most part, they're probably not COVID related. So that's a really good sign. And we really like the strategy, Dan, we put in place a few years ago around ligands were as you and I have chatted. We felt like we were the market leader in Protein A ligands, but we didn't actually have the technology leadership position. And we really needed to change that equation. And that's what we've been doing over the last, say, 3-plus years with the work we're doing with Navigo. More to come. I mean, I think the spike protein was a really nice, very fast action project, and we'll have a resin in the marketplace by Q1. And as people think about protein-based vaccines that are based on spike that we will get some opportunities to get involved in probably the next-generation version of some of those protein-based vaccines. So it's definitely interesting.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#16

No, sorry, I was just going to ask a question about that exact product. You're working on this next-gen affinity ligand with Navigo. It is for COVID vaccines. But just so that I have it clear, this would be the next-generation version of these, right? So the existing vaccine manufacturers would not be looking to get a product like this?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#17

Some of the vaccine manufacturers that are -- might be earlier in their process. I think there's maybe some opportunities there, but I think it will be more aligned with next-gen. There's definitely interest in what we've done. And I think if we had it today as a resin, people would be implementing. But we just -- you just can't move that fast in terms of developing a ligand, then scaling it up and then doing the whole validation of not only the scale-up of the ligand, but also the resin piece. So we're targeting sort of Q1, early Q1 to have reasonable quantities of resin available. People know that, and they have some decisions they have to make. But look, I think we will have some -- we'll have some sales next year for sure, and it just depends on, is the benefit worth someone waiting a month or do they just move forward with what they have, and they come back to it when they're doing the second-gen version of a vaccine So those decisions are totally outside our control. So we're just trying to get people what they need to do valuations, which they're doing right now and then see what happens in Q1.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#18

Okay. Okay. Let me move to chromatography and filtration, obviously, an important part of the portfolio right now. On the filtration side, things are going well. I mean, I think the business for you is being looked at as being up 35% or so this year?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#19

Yes, that's right.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#20

I believe that's up from 25% [indiscernible] on downstream versus upstream usage, ATF versus TFF (sic) [ TFDF ] I mean these are the things that when you're not under the hood the way that you are, are sometimes difficult to keep track of. So I'd love to just understand as much as possible where demand is improving most?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#21

Yes. And so on the upstream side, let's say, ATF and TFDF, obviously, TFDF is in its infancy of adoption, but we really like what we have. And we think we have the best combination of technology between ATF and TFDF for harvest clarification. So that to me is -- gives us a huge foundation, not only in the mAb world going forward, but also in the gene therapy world. So that's -- I view that combination as here to stay and being the -- will eventually become the market leader in harvest clarification. That's our intent. I think we've got great technology to be able to get there. When you start to move into downstream and the industry debates where downstream starts, some people say downstream starts when you leave the bioreactor. I grew up in the world of downstream starting after you did harvest clarification. So we tend to keep the harvest clarification as an upstream unit operation. And then when you get into chromatography and filtration and formulation, that's kind of the downstream piece. So we have a pretty deep portfolio in downstream. We have more products in downstream. Our tools in downstream than we have in upstream. So you have the flat sheet cassettes business, you have the hollow fiber module business. We've got ProConnex, which is the fluid management piece that's associated right now with hollow fibers. We have systems, right? So all our systems that we're selling that are the you know KR2i bench top systems or the larger production-based systems tend to go into downstream. And our VPE technology that we -- well, that's a different technology and analytics. But a lot of what we do is in the downstream world. Our main upstream products are really ATF and TFDF. So from a filtration portfolio, kind of have more shots at gold downstream because we have systems. We have the flat sheet cassettes. We have the hollow fibers. We have the fluid management. And then if you roll on top of that, the ARTeSYN components, we will have the high-end filtration that will marry up with our flat sheet cassettes portfolio and obviously, nonfiltration will also have the systems that will marry up with OPUS. So there's probably more shots at goal for us in downstream. I think, our -- clearly, our ATF business has been with us now for 5, 6 years. So that's doing well, and it's -- every year, it grows and grows substantially. But we have more products probably in our downstream filtration portfolio that are also growing pretty rapidly. So we like the portfolio. And of course, there's always a connection between upstream and downstream anyway.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#22

Sure. Yes. We've -- maybe just on TFDF. We've done some work there. The early commentary from some of the customers we've spoken to has been really good. What is your expectation for, let's call it, the first year of launch? I don't know if you want to tackle that qualitatively or quantitatively. And then the follow-on would be, I think you're going to replace some technologies that you don't offer, but you might also replace some technologies that you do offer. So should we -- if we're being responsible with the way that we think of uptakes of your new products, should we also account for some cannibalization within your own portfolio?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#23

Yes. So TFDF, I think we said at the beginning of the year, we would be a couple of million dollars. We'll be a little bit ahead of that, but not millions of dollars ahead. So it's a little bit ahead of that in the $2 million to $3 million range. And so I expect that the business doubles next year. It will double the following year. We've seen this pretty consistently with any new products that you bring to market. It takes time for people to do to get adoption happening. The nice thing is that we expanded the impact of TFDF in 2020, even during COVID. While, actually, the work started really in 2019, but by using TFDF for lentiviral processing, we were able to see a really nice benefit. There was a great paper published by Oxford Biomedica. That's really helped us in terms of establishing TFDF in the viral vector space for lenti. We're looking to extend that again and bring it into the world of AAV, which is a bigger part of the viral vector market. So we have CHO clarification. We have, right now, lenti clarification. So over time, we expect that, that business is just going to continue to ramp. There will be some cannibalization, you're right. Because as technologies -- there is some overlap between ATF and TFDF. But I think the market is so open right now with no new technology that you're not even going to see -- we'll have to make some technology choices as opposed to, well, I'm going to lose sales of ATF versus TFDF. In the end, if we get the sale, and it's an ATF system or it's a TFDF system, it doesn't matter to us. We have 2 key products that everybody really will want to use in the harvest clarification space. And the one thing I probably should add is the -- probably the technology that TFDF really take some share from is the depth filter portfolio. But even with TFDF, you still need a polishing depth filtration step at the very end to get to the clarity that's required before you go over to chromatography column. So we're not totally eliminating depth filtration, but we're dramatically reducing the amount of depth filtration that's required to do harvest clarification.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#24

Yes. Okay. Just as an FYI, I'm seeing that my Internet connection is being described as unstable. So if you don't hear my question here, just give me a signal, and I'll repeat it. But maybe just going to chromatography, one of the questions that I get from investors is, where is the biggest source of differentiation in the chromatography portfolio? No disrespect to your product engineers, but from the outside looking in, it is a little bit easier maybe to understand why a product like TFDF might have a level of technology differentiation beyond what maybe OPUS does? I'm happy to hear, if that's incorrect. But it does from the outside looking and seem like that's the case. So is it really about the breadth of the offerings that you have? I mean, you have quite a few of those OPUS columns. I'm curious about how you view differentiations there?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#25

Yes. Look, my whole background and my career was chromatography. So I know chromatography really well. And while we have chromatography products, we're not a big, big player in the chromatography world. We don't make chromatography resins, right, which is where the majority of the market is and where a lot of the competition is. So OPUS, I view as a service, right? It's a chromatography service where we're giving people the convenience of prepacked columns versus them doing it themselves. We're agnostic from a resin point of view. So it doesn't matter whether it's a Millipore resin or a thermo resin or a Cytiva resin or a Bio-Rad, we will pack those resins for customers and we've given them the flexibility. So we're the custom solution provider of prepacked columns, which, in my mind, is a service that we offer. And we're highly differentiated versus the main competitor from a technology point of view, which is Cytiva, right? So they provide their resins and their prepacked column, and that's kind of their strategy. They're not into saying, "we'll put the thermo resins into our prepacked columns. They put -- and they're the market leader in chromatography. So I don't think they need to do that. I think things begin to change for us and more around the -- your analogy around TFDF. I think the ARTeSYN portfolio now begins to give us a true system in chromatography, right? So those single-use skids that they sell will give us a lot more interaction with the chromatography folks. I think we have the absolute potential to be the market leader for chromatography skid-based systems with disposable fluid tops. So while the thermos of the world and Bio-Rads and Millipore and Cytiva sell a lot of resins, our playing chromatography will be kind of the prepacked columns with OPUS, but now the fluid management piece and the systems for doing downstream chromatography. So I think that's going to give us more traction. Now we'll add on top of that, over the next couple of years, we'll start to integrate FlowVPE into those systems. And now we'll be monitoring protein load and elute off the chromatography columns. And again, there are things that our customers really, really want. And you've heard me say this to you in one-on-one. I'm as excited about FlowVPE as I am about TFDF. I think FlowVPE has huge potential for us. And now we have a vehicle to drive FlowVPEs into the marketplace even further with the ARTeSYN portfolio because you need it on both the filtration side and you need it on the chromatography side. And then on top of that, the last piece of the puzzle, even though it's not going to turn out to be a huge revenue for us, but we are developing our own ligands. We are putting ligands on to agarose-based beads and selling them as Repligen products, right, not going through any third-party to do that. So they will be -- continue to build that portfolio up over time. We would love to have a resin component to what we do, where you're putting it into prepacked columns like OPUS and selling it as an integrated solution. It's hard. There are not -- there are very few companies left out there that are available to buy like that, and it takes a long time to sort of do it yourself. So that's -- so we've gone for some of the other parts of the workflow as opposed to being the resin player.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#26

Okay. Yes. Your -- just to your comment on FlowVPE, I mean, I think what you had mentioned when we were talking about it was that the overall revenue trajectory for that product is actually not too far off than what you would envision for TFDF, which -- so probably a little bit what I heard is, I guess, maybe just naturally, I wasn't thinking of it as having that kind of ramp, but that certainly seems like it will help you in your out years.

Anthony Hunt

executive
#27

Yes, absolutely. We've made huge strides this year. I think we have a significant number of customers now that are looking to implement FlowVPE and its current embodiment into clinical manufacturing. It's only going to be a matter of time before someone takes it from clinical to commercial. And then the next-generation version of the product is just going to make it easier for people to use and implement.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#28

Sure. Okay. We are winding down here amazingly. I do want to hit on gene and cell therapy, that's obviously an important market for you. I think the growth that you're kind of looking for out of that market is 30% plus right now. How are you looking at how the industry is ready to handle the scale-up in that particular therapeutic space? We found this really cool paper not too long ago that just talked about the number of drugs that are expected in that market over the next couple of years being something like 25 to 30 by 2024, and that's up from the high single digits today. And the number of patients going from something like 10,000 to 60,000 or 70,000. So as a supplier to these companies, in talking with these customers, how do you feel like they are prepared for that scale up? Is there a capacity increase that you're expecting? And does it feel like they're slowly starting to ramp on the thought process on what they might need from you?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#29

Yes. It's -- yes, there's going to be an evolution on gene therapy for sure, right? And if you look at the place where we play, we're playing in the plasma space. So companies like the Aldevrons of the world that are the biggest sort of plasma producers to the CDMOs like Brammer and Paragon and Lonza, who's also jumped in, in a pretty big way. Other CDMOs are also beginning to get involved. So I think it's just going to be a natural evolution that CDMOs are going to invest. They clearly are. They're expanding. They're growing. They're the consolidator of all the sort of small and medium-sized gene therapy companies that are out there. They are providing the manufacturing capacity. I think this has been going on now for 2 or 3 years where companies are anticipating where they need to be in 2022 and 2023. And I'm not worried that there's going to be a capacity crunch. I do think that the CDMOs are on top of it. I think some of the bigger gene therapy, cell therapy companies are also beginning to build out their own manufacturing capabilities. So it's going to be a good market for anyone in bioprocessing, right? I just think it just adds another modality in vector and market that 6 years ago, 5 years ago, you and I would have been chatting about monoclonal antibodies and biosimilars. Now we're talking about monoclonal antibodies biosimilars, gene therapy. Now we're talking about mRNA as a vaccine. So there's probably going to be a lot of discussions about nucleic acid-based vaccines or protein-based vaccines. And then you've got technology still that's been around for 20, 30 years, like antisense DNA that is continuing to be used. I think exosomes are going to be really important over the next 5-plus years. So there's going to be a lot more modalities that companies are going to be working on. So if you go to any of the big players, we go out 5 years from now and my guess is, they will have teams working on all of those modalities. And if you had gone back to say, 2004, 2005, all the big pharma companies, most of what they were working on was small molecule drugs. So it's like 60%, 70% small molecule drugs and 30% large molecule and then they pivoted, right? And so it's a lot more large molecule now than small molecule. They're going to start to add in gene therapy into their portfolios. They're going to start to add in -- they're already vaccine manufacturers as part of the large pharma guys anyway. Yes, I just think it's a good place to be. It's a healthy market. And there's a lot more modalities now than there were -- there was 10 years ago or 20 years ago.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#30

Yes. What do you think this translates to as far as the biggest risk those for the company? And, Jon, maybe this is about expenses as much as it is anything else? Do you feel like there is an incremental risk associated with what it might cost to service this market? Or just getting the timing right? Or what the P&L might look like on the R&D line just going forward in order to stay in the position that you're in?

Anthony Hunt

executive
#31

Yes. For me and Jon is the same way on this. This is about our ability to continue to execute. We started this journey 6 years ago. We talked about execution then. It's still around our ability to execute. We've got to invest in capacity. We've got to make sure lead times are as short as possible for customers. The whole industry, our whole industry in bioprocessing has been -- the COVID situation has been great for everyone, but it's also been challenging for everyone because all the bioprocessing companies are stretched as we try and ramp up capacity and make the investments that are required. So like no surprise. We've spent close to $32 million this year between our SAP programs and capacity expansion. We'll be spending more next year. We saw Cytiva talk about putting $500 million into capacity expansion programs over the next, I think, it was 5 years or whatever it was. We're going to be spending a lot of money in the next 5 years as well on capacity expansion and it's about product demand. It's about trying to think 3 years out rather than 1 year out. And to me, that's the big thing we have to focus on is, we have great products, and we've built out our commercial engine. We just need to continue to focus on producing and continuing to differentiate ourselves in the marketplace with the TFDFs and the FlowVPEs of the world.

Daniel Arias

analyst
#32

Okay. I could ask you a question for another 1 hour, if I had the time, but we did reach 30 minutes pretty quickly. So guys, thanks a bunch for joining us. Stay safe, and have a good Thanksgiving holiday, if I don't talk to you before then.

Anthony Hunt

executive
#33

Yes. Thanks, Dan.

Jon Snodgres

executive
#34

Likewise. Thanks, Dan.

Anthony Hunt

executive
#35

Thanks. Appreciate it.

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