Revvity, Inc. (RVTY) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
September 10, 2020
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Catherine Ramsey
analystAll right. We'll go ahead and get started. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. I'm Catherine Schulte. I cover Life Sciences and Diagnostics here at Baird. We're very excited to have PerkinElmer here presenting with us today. Representing the company, we have the CFO, Jamie Mock; and the Vice President of IR, Bryan Kipp. So thanks so much to both of you for being here.
James Mock
executiveThanks, Catherine.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAs part of the agenda today, we're going to dive right into Q&A. So if anyone in the audience has a question, please submit them through the web portal, and we will work them into our compressing. So with that, maybe just first, Jamie, for those who might not be as familiar with your business. Can you just give us a brief overview of the company, your evolution over the last few years into higher growth areas like diagnostics?
James Mock
executiveSure. Yes. So first off, thanks for hosting us, Catherine, Brian and I, and hope you and everybody on the phone are doing well. Yes. So the last 5 years, we've spent a lot of time transforming the company in many different ways. Inorganically, from an organizational structure perspective and culturally. And now we largely play in 4 end markets: Diagnostics, life sciences, applied markets and food, which we think all have strong structural trends. I'd say we've spent a lot of time innovating to create technology and solutions that are critical to meet customer needs in those end markets. And we're confident in the opportunity to drive growth in each of those end markets and excited about the future potential here.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAwesome. Great. So I know COVID has had a big impact on your business. So I wanted to start there before diving into some of the longer-term trends. Just starting with the core non-COVID business, it was down about 14% in the second quarter. You guided that to be down 7% to 14% in the third quarter. Felt like 2 of the biggest swing factors were academic lab reopenings and non-COVID diagnostic procedures. So just starting with academic labs, how have reopenings trended relative to your expectations? Have you seen continued improvement in that market?
James Mock
executiveSure. Yes. So I mean, let me start broadly. And while we're not updating our guidance, we'll speak to the trends today. So -- and recognize that the third month of the quarter is always the largest revenue month. So just with that disclaimer, I'll speak to the end markets. So on the non-COVID book, if you remember, we guided down 7% to 14%, as you said, on the 14% down. That basically embedded some kind of event risk related to COVID. If there was a second outbreak anywhere in the world, any geography then we could have a similar growth trajectory at the second quarter, which was down 14%. But we did see signs throughout the second quarter, and we were optimistic that if they continued, we could be as good as down 7%. And so thus far, throughout the first couple of months of the quarter, we haven't seen any significant events out there. So it still continues to trend well. And we really thought it was going to be a slow and steady uptick across all end markets and all geographies. So you asked about academic in particular. We do see a slight uptick over time. But I mean, as we look forward, particularly in the universities, I think there'll be less studies, less students, less research. So it's not going to get back to a full normalization, but we are seeing a gradual uptick there. But as a reminder, academic probably makes up less than 5% of the revenue of the company. So we don't have the same size as other companies might have an exposure to that end market.
Catherine Ramsey
analystOkay. And on non-COVID diagnostics, I think your guide assumes down 10% to 20%. Can you just talk to the underlying assumptions there and how activity levels are trending, maybe particularly in China?
James Mock
executiveYes. I mean, in all, there's 3 very different end markets on the non-COVID side with regards to diagnostics. We have reproductive health, immunodiagnostics and applied genomics. So I'd say reproductive health is not yet at exactly 100%. None of them are at 100% utilization to that point. Reproductive health is probably better than the other 2. So we're expecting it to be kind of down mid-single digits-ish. And so that continues to get better, but not yet at 100% utilization. Immunodiagnostics, and you mentioned China, which we have a significant share there. Again, it's probably plateaued right now at the 80% to 85% level of utilization. So it's not yet at where it's been in the past. We hope that continues to recover, particularly in China, hopefully, in the fourth quarter here. And then applied genomics, it's a little murky because there's so much going on as it pertains to our RNA extraction with COVID. But I think the base book is probably not at 100% utilization either, but we've got so much COVID demand on our genomics business that it clouds it a little bit.
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. And before we dive into some of those COVID-specific products, I guess, any comments on what you're seeing more broadly in China across your whole portfolio?
James Mock
executiveYes. So it continues to get better, but it is not, again, at the growth rates we've seen in the past. So I think in the first quarter, we were down a little over 30%, second quarter down mid-teens. Our planning assumption for this quarter was kind of down mid-single to high single digits, so some kind of steady improvement. And for the most part, that's what we're seeing if you break that down and kind of talked about the non-COVID Diagnostics book. Life sciences is strong. Food is seeing a rebound. Applied markets is probably -- continues to see a little bit of challenge. But even there, we're starting to see a little bit of uptick. So I think it's slow and steady improvement, and hopefully by the fourth quarter, it's back to at least flat, some growth there in China.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAll right. Great. And COVID testing has presented a big opportunity for you in PCR testing, serology, providing extraction kits and automation solutions. You guided to about $150 million to $200 million in these COVID tailwinds in the third quarter. If I look at trends, we've seen testing numbers come down a bit or at least flatten out in the U.S. over the last months or so. How is that playing out relative to your expectations embedded in the low and high-end of that guide?
James Mock
executiveYes. I mean, as you know, we have the full workflow as it pertains to COVID, both on the DNA side or the molecular side as well as the serology side. And it continues to play out well, unfortunately, that we still see a continued need for testing, all types of testing for that matter. And many states and countries are continuing to expand their testing capacity and perhaps ramping up for the fall, in particular, concern about the flu season. So quarter-to-date, I think we see signs that are pointing probably towards the higher end. But again, there's still another 5 weeks to go in the quarter here. So unfortunately, we continue to see increased demand for COVID testing and feel pretty confident about our range that we gave.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAll right. We've also seen some developments on the rapid antigen side of the market, a lot of buzz around Abbott's EUA last month. How do you think this impacts PCR testing? And can you give us an update on your own antigen program?
James Mock
executiveSure. Yes. I think there's going to be many different types of testing needs out there for various settings, let's say. And on the antigen side, I think there's definitely a need for a point-of-care test. Obviously, it's at a different sensitivity level. But we still continue to believe that PCR is the gold standard and will remain the gold standard moving forward and will be in high demand for the foreseeable future here. As it pertains to our own antigen test, we've mentioned in the past, we have a pretty high bar for what we want to hit from a sensitivity standpoint. So we're working on it, but nothing in the imminent future, but we continue to work it on our end.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd serology is an area that had a lot of initial excitement and then has really trailed off in terms of uptake. Can you just walk us through how you think serology fits into that overall testing landscape? And if you think there's a case for it maybe longer term?
James Mock
executiveYes. I think, we think -- I mean, there's still some demand out there. It's obviously, as I mentioned, I think, PCR is the gold standard. So by far and away, that is the lion's share of the testing out there. I do think there's a place for serology and epidemiology studies. And then depending upon the type of vaccine that may come out, I think there'll be an increased need for serology in the foreseeable future here. So we had, I think, roughly $50-ish million of sales in serology in the second quarter. We planned on that coming down substantially. I think we said less than $10 million. And so while we still see demand, it's down quite a bit, and because I just think PCR is what's most important right now. But I think there will be a time and place for serology in the future here. For the...
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. On that PCR side, you recently won a contract from state of California to set up your own testing labs, could eventually have the capacity to run 150,000 tests per day. How should we think about the revenue ramp and margin profile of that kind of contract? And is this service-based approach, one that you hope to expand and set up in other states? Or is this more of a one-off opportunity?
James Mock
executiveYes. So I mean, we're excited to continue our partnership with the state of California. A little bit of background. We've been doing newborn screening testing with them for a decade, and we've even had to step in and run a lab for them at times for certain types of tests as it pertains to newborn screening. So we have a long-standing relationship, and they asked for help. We are a backup lab, a CLIA certified lab for all of our newborn screening. So whether somebody has an issue or they have excess supply, then we're there to help. And so therefore, we have the capabilities in-house. So I think we're one of the few companies that have a CLIA certified lab, the full workflow and the services to help somebody in this particular, in the state of California. So we just wanted to help, and they asked us for help, and we plan to do so and are happy to do so. We have no intention of continuing to get into large reference lab testing services. But I think right now, with what's going on with COVID, we couldn't just sit on our hands and not help here. So as it pertains to the ramp, I think we want to -- I think what's out there is to try to start at about 40,000 samples sometime in the fourth quarter. So we're ramping to that. And then I think it's anybody's guess on how many samples will come and how long COVID will persist and how many tests there'll be. But we're there to help if -- should they get up to as much as 150,000. But I think right now, probably planning at 40,000 for some time period.
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. And what would kind of margin profile look like if you stayed at that 40,000 number?
James Mock
executiveSo I mean our Diagnostics business is about a 60% growth -- plus gross margin business. And I think that's probably in the same ballpark for maybe a little bit higher. But for most of our testing, it's in the kind of average diagnostics range here.
Catherine Ramsey
analystOkay. If you look into your crystal ball, I guess, how long do you think these PCR COVID testing tailwinds continue? Is there any reason to think these don't extend at least through the upcoming flu season? And how might a potential vaccine impact overall PCR testing levels?
James Mock
executiveYes, I don't have a crystal ball. But I think for at least the rest of 2020, I think it will remain extremely important to have PCR testing. So that's what we're planning on. It might evolve into a different form, more of a multiplex flu panel. And so we are actively working that. And I would say that, that is much more imminent than, let's say, antigen, as I referenced earlier. As it pertains to 2021, I think it's really anybody's guess, but I still think the first half will require a fair amount of testing. And then if and when a vaccine comes out and how successful it is, I think it's a matter of, okay, well, how many people can get the vaccine. And so I still think by the first half of next year, there's going to be a significant need for PCR testing. And then by midyear, who knows, and serology may or may not kick in, depending upon the type of vaccine that it is.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd it seems clear that COVID has really accelerated the adoption of the EUROIMMUN platform here in the U.S. which is part of the strategy of doing that acquisition. How do you plan on capitalizing on this opportunity to make sure these new U.S. customers remain active in a post-COVID world? Maybe I'll strike there.
James Mock
executiveYes. I mean the EUROIMMUN team has continued to do what they do well, which is lead with science. They are phenomenally innovative. And I think it's really -- it's always resonated in Europe and a little bit of China, obviously. And they chose to get into the U.S. markets last, and I think COVID has helped resonate with the clinical community in the Americas. And we've opened a lot of new doors to the EUROIMMUN team. I think what will be important moving forward is a random access multiplex instrument that the EUROIMMUN team is working on for the large reference labs. And we think that's probably more of a 2021 instrument opportunity in 2022 and beyond, full portfolio of reagents opportunity. So I think they've been noticed. Their brand has increased, and we've opened the doors to a lot of new and different relationships, and we're excited about that.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd are there any other areas of the portfolio that you think could emerge from this pandemic, stronger than they were before?
James Mock
executiveYes. I mean I think the most important one is probably our genomics business. So our RNA extraction technology, I think, has really been recognized as one of the best-in-class. And I think we've put out more RNA extraction instruments in the last 6 months than we did in the last 5 years combined. So I think -- our hope is to capitalize on that. And hopefully, COVID goes away and those instruments are used for new and different types of testing. But I think that's another area that we've really had kind of outside brand increase as a result of COVID.
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. And if I take a step back in a non-COVID world, I think several years ago, you'd set a target of getting to high single-digit revenue growth by 2020, took that target off the table earlier this year. But do you think your current non-COVID portfolio still supports that goal longer term?
James Mock
executiveYes. Well, I'd go back to what we've been trying to communicate is that I think what's not well understood is that we have market-leading positions in over 2/3 of our portfolio. We've done a great job changing our capabilities and adding technology and solutions in various -- in those end markets that I spoke about. And there's good structural trends. So we do foresee above-market weighted average growth rates. I won't comment on high single digits, in particular. But we're much more optimistic about the growth rate of our non-COVID portfolio as well because we've done a lot of work. From a inorganic standpoint, getting the capabilities straight. From an organizational structure standpoint, to harness the full power of PerkinElmer. I think our geographic reach is terrific. And from a cultural standpoint on how to innovate quickly and solve customer problems quickly and bring products to market as fast as possible.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd what do you think are the most important growth drivers within your portfolio to kind of help you achieve that above market growth? You have growth drivers like Vanadis, cannabis, food, obviously, your diagnostics portfolio, genomics. But what do you think are kind of the key growth drivers?
James Mock
executiveYes. I mean I'd like to keep us focused as opposed to anyone. I mean, I'll mention a few. You mentioned them. But I mean, I think in general, we'd like people to think about each of our end markets, we think we can do fairly well in. So Diagnostics, to touch on reproductive health. You mentioned Vanadis, we're quite excited about that platform. Geographic expansion and continuing to move the envelope globally to test more babies and mothers. Immunodiagnostics, I think there are strong structural trends. I mentioned the random access instrument for EUROIMMUN. I think infectious disease is a whole new world. We've got a great business in Tulip. EUROIMMUN did some infectious disease testing. We have an infectious disease testing in China. So I think that will be different. Our applied genomics business. Everything I just mentioned around our RNA extraction capabilities, I think, would be great. Our genomics testing business. So Diagnostics, we've always thought, could be high single, double-digit growth rate. And I think we have a lot of different levers to do that. I don't think we have to point to any particular one. On the DAS side of the house, I mean, life science is over 50% of the DAS business. That is formed between instruments and reagents, and we continue to expand the portfolio there and with best-in-class kind of preclinical research and reagents. Our informatics business is doing extremely well. We've really repositioned that portfolio. Our enterprise services business. We think that we bring new and different types of solutions for customers. And I think there's still a lot of room to grow there, both in life sciences and outside of life sciences, actually. Food business, we've invested a lot in. And I'll be honest that it has not been perfect. And so we think that we are getting the commercial relationships correct there, and we are optimistic about the growth opportunity in our food business. And then applied markets won't be as high-growth rate driver. But I think we've got a product portfolio and a different cadence, new product introductions there that we're excited about over the coming years, and that's not only a growth opportunity, but also, in particular, a margin opportunity as well. So I don't think there's any one thing. I think we are well positioned in all those end markets with a lot of different shots on goals that we'd like to keep people focused on.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd can you just give us an update on Vanadis? Maybe remind us the rationale for going into the NIPT market. And how it complements your existing reproductive health portfolio and maybe initial commercial plans there?
James Mock
executiveYes. So Vanadis, we are quite excited about the product. And I think we launched it a couple of years ago. And it did have some growing pains early that we were trying to work out some bugs and win. While it's been a little bit difficult to sell Vanadis, we've gone and put a lot of time into making sure it's robust right now and also have a future kind of product portfolio that we are ready to also introduce to Vanadis, and that's in various different forms. So I would say noninvasive prenatal testing is more important moving forward. And I think we're hearing that from a lot of physicians. And I think right now, we've seen the demand and the customer interest actually go up, but I would say, in the year 2020, the actual sales process is very difficult. So I think we're preparing with a lot of virtual webinars and talking to people and making sure the product is extremely robust, and we're ready that once we can really start installing many more of these, I think, noninvasive prenatal testing, just due to the safety element of it, is being recognized as probably the more important testing moving forward as opposed to biochemical.
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. And we had some good news from ACOG recently just around NIPT and average risk in the U.S. Can you remind us your plans on entering the U.S. market? And if that ACOG update haven't had any impact on your plans?
James Mock
executiveYes. I mean, we are selling into the U.S. market from an LDT perspective. And I think the ACOG news is positive. But I think, in general, we were already hoping that people would believe that -- at our cost point, which is, I think, very different than other noninvasive prenatal testing platforms out there, that it would already be recognized as a benefit, but I don't think ACOG hurts at all. I think it only helps. And so we are expanding in the U.S., have our dozens of instruments placed already, a good portion of those are already in the U.S. So we're excited about the opportunity.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd then on cannabis, you mentioned that it's still pretty early, but could potentially be a big market. I know it's kind of a nebulous market analysis to be trying to do it early on. But any update on how big you think that market could be for you over the next couple of years?
James Mock
executiveYes. We're still very enthused by the cannabis opportunity. I would say right now, the appetite for new investment into the testing space has been quite limited, and we've seen funds on the sidelines. So we're not expecting much sales in the year 2020. I think that's coming off $25-plus million last year. But I think the long-term potential behind cannabis is still significant. And I think we're using the time right now to get a different type of product portfolio ready for that. We've always talked about the fact that we have a full solution around cannabis. And I think we can change that and add to it in terms of different reagents and kits to put on it. And I think we're excited about the future opportunity. But I think for the year 2020, it's probably relatively minimal sales.
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. And on the DAS side, maybe it doesn't apply as much to parts of your portfolio like food, but do you think COVID has the opportunity to potentially increase that market growth rate longer term and when you hear talks of NIH funding potentially getting a bigger increase than it would have in a non-COVID world, do you think pharma R&D is increased after this? I'm just curious how you view those structural growth drivers of the DAS business in a post-COVID world.
James Mock
executiveYes, I agree. I mean, I think a lot of research and additional investment will go into the life sciences business broadly and so help our life sciences trends. But I think there's been continued investment in life sciences. So I think it's been growing at a nice kind of mid-single to high-single digit clip for a while. And I think that just solidifies the fact that it should continue to do so. The other area, I think, would be food safety. I think food safety will continue to be important. We've got, I think, probably about $100 million in our DAS business that is food safety related, thereabouts. And so I think continued investment there should also help the DAS business. So I think COVID just kind of helped continue the belief that I think the DAS business can grow, which I don't think is well understood externally.
Catherine Ramsey
analystYes. Yes. And obviously, COVID has provided a pretty meaningful lift to margins and you also had some productivity initiatives that provided a lift in the second quarter. Can you just talk a bit more about those initiatives? And what kind of margin expansion runway you see ahead for the core business?
James Mock
executiveYes. We've spent a lot of time understanding our cost structure over the last 2.5 years. Before that as well, but since I've been here the last 2.5 years. And I think we have terrific visibility. We've obviously taken some actions that I would say were more low-hanging fruit over the last couple of years. And now I think we've got -- and I'm quite excited about the future potential around probably 3 or 4 different areas that we've been working on, but over the 3- to 10-year basis or years' outlook, we have several hundred basis points of opportunity on the gross margin line, in my opinion. I think our analytical technologies, broadly, which largely serve our applied markets, but also life sciences and food, has a lot of opportunity through many different areas. I think our services business has a lot of opportunity. We started to see some yield on that, but I think there's plenty more to go. I think our EUROIMMUN business, we've always known since the date of acquisition that it will uptick over time with volume leverage and we're excited about that. So yes, I think we're excited about the long-term margin opportunity here. I think we've done a nice job over the last 3 or 4 years to get it up to -- I think we were 20 -- almost 21% op margin last year. And I think in the long term, it should be mid-20s to high 20s. And so long term, certainly, that's more of a 5-year play, but I think we have a lot of opportunity to continue to expand margins here and feel very good about our visibility and programs in place.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd are there things you've done to change your cost structure during COVID. And are some of the more OpEx items, T&E, things like that. Do you think those could be more permanent type reductions than your overall cost structure?
James Mock
executiveI do think so. I mean, I think some of it will come back. But I think in general, I think COVID has really taught us a new way to work. I think more interactions will be virtual. So there's probably a little bit more investment needed there. But I think the long-term operating expense related to travel will be different. I think there'll be some uptick again, but I don't think it will be at the same levels that we saw in the past. And I think the efficiency we see in our organization is incredible right now. And I think we're learning how to operate in a different way. I think if you look at the footprint as well. I mean, everybody is working from home, and we have a lot of sites across the globe, most in terms of back offices, less so manufacturing sites, although there's a little bit of work to do there. But as it pertains to COVID, I think the back offices can be reimagined as well. So I do think that there's going to be continued leverage opportunities even in a post-COVID world.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd clearly, hoped, high margins, you're getting a nice revenue lift, generating some pretty meaningful free cash flow. Curious on your thoughts from a capital deployment standpoint. How do you think about the M&A landscape here? And what areas of the portfolio do you think M&A might be more applicable?
James Mock
executiveYes. M&A remains our top capital deployment priority, I should say. And I would say we have been canvassing quite a few targets and opportunities. It was a little harder earlier on to have those conversations because I think people were just trying to understand what's going on with COVID and just tied up with it. But I think those conversations are more encouraging now even in a virtual world. So we're excited about the pipeline. I would say in terms of where we're focused, it's largely in Diagnostics and life sciences. I think we've done a lot with food as of late, and I think we feel content to just make that business better right now. And so I'd look for us to do more acquisitions in the life sciences and Diagnostics side.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd typically, you've gone after more of a tuck-in strategy with the exception of EUROIMMUN as a much bigger acquisition. Do you think that tuck-in spot is more your sweet spot? Or could we expect you to do something bigger?
James Mock
executiveHey, it's probably -- it's more of a probability basis than it is a sweet spot, I'd say. I mean, I think we would go after both, but in terms of the higher probability to close on more tuck-ins than it is for transformative acquisitions like a EUROIMMUN, but that's not to say that we're not interested in it or is it not the sweet spot as well.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAnd you've done some divestitures in the past to really prune your portfolio and get to where you are today. Do you think divestitures will continue to be a part of the story? Or do you think you have the right starting point in terms of a portfolio?
James Mock
executiveWe're pretty happy with the portfolio right now. I think, if anything, it's going to be small, relatively insignificant in the grand scheme of things from a divestiture standpoint at this point. I think we want to continue to scale the company and are excited to do so.
Catherine Ramsey
analystIn terms of internal investments, we talked about some of the growth areas and maybe addressed from an R&D perspective. To your point, China, India, they've been big growth drivers for you. Is there anything from a geographic perspective where you would want to invest more in the commercial infrastructure of your organization?
James Mock
executiveCommercial infrastructure, I'd say it's relatively insignificant in the grand scheme of PerkinElmer. But if there were a couple of pockets more into Vanadis sales, I think we think that, that's a large opportunity for us. I'd say, more into digital platforms as it pertains to commercial broadly, whether that's e-commerce or virtual tools or marketing content, et cetera. I think we're excited to capitalize on the brand equity improvement that we've had and feel a need to continue to get our name out there and capitalize.
Catherine Ramsey
analystAll right. Perfect. Well, with that, I think we are out of time. But Jamie, thank you so much for joining us, and thank you to everyone on the line.
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