S&P Global Inc. (SPGI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

June 2, 2021

New York Stock Exchange US Financials Capital Markets conference_presentation 28 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#1

All right. Good afternoon, everyone. My name is Andrew Nicholas, and I'm the research analyst covering the information services, consulting and HR technology sectors here at William Blair. Before getting started, I'm required to inform you that for a complete list of disclosures or potential conflicts of interest, please visit our website at williamblair.com. With that out of the way, I'm very pleased to welcome S&P Global's CEO, Doug Peterson, to the 41st Annual William Blair Growth Stock Conference. Thank you very much for joining us.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#2

Thank you, Andrew. Thank you for having us here today. I look forward to having this fireside chat.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#3

My pleasure. My pleasure. Just getting right into it, I think one way to kind of set the stage here would be to just talk about how the business has performed over the course of the pandemic and then maybe within that, speak to some of the major learnings or takeaways over that time frame, whether it be in terms of new product opportunities, areas of increased customer demand or even on the cost side, whatever you think is most important for the go-forward story.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#4

Great. Well, thank you. First of all, when it came to the pandemic, there were probably 3 broad areas that we learned a lot from. The first was putting our people first, that we had to be ready to support our people with programs so that they could work from home, they could be productive from home. They -- also that we had the right kind of security and information security approach when people are going to be working from home. We went from 60 offices to 22,000 offices almost overnight, if you want to think of it like that. The second was when it came to how we thought about our products and our services and when we thought that we were going to be supporting our customers. And when you think about it, when we're in the business of providing data and analytics and benchmarks and research to help people make decisions around the markets and with the chaos and the pandemonium and the uncertainty that came from COVID, there was an increase in demand for people that wanted to know what we thought. We put in place some special teams that were doing research on COVID. We put up a COVID microsite, so people could get access to our research for free. We put in place a team that was meeting every day to talk about what they were seeing in the markets. And these actually led us to some new products and new services that we're providing these research and news opportunities even faster. But it was really critical that we were engaging with our customers and ensuring that we were listening to what they needed. We were responding quickly. And that our people, as I said in the first part, were also able to provide that research. And then the third had to do with our expense management. We've always said that we could be flexible and move quick if there was any kind of a major stress in the market, and we did. We slowed down hiring. We stopped traveling like everybody did. We rethought our real estate footprint. But in addition to that, we also benefited from what our CFO, Ewout Steenbergen, calls that we were -- had been investing or you want to put it this way, where he says that we were repairing the roof before there was a storm. So we've been investing in the prior years in our technology infrastructure. We've moved our operating systems from data centers to the cloud. We've been upgrading people's laptops so that they can have a Windows 360 on their laptop, et cetera. So we had invested in the company, but we were able to move very quickly, but we're able to stop our expenses -- expense growth at the time. But that didn't mean we didn't stop investing. So we continued to invest in the business. A lot of lessons learned. People come first. You need to listen to your customers. And you also have to take on opportunity to continue to digitize your business to ensure that you're investing in the right way, but we also had flexibility to manage our cost base.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#5

Absolutely. And in addition to all that juggling going on and uncertainty, you had time to work on a merger, due diligence on a merger, which I'm sure many of the people on the webcast know you announced in late November. So maybe using that as a transition and as a starting point, if you could kind of just dig into the IHS Markit merger in a bit more detail, walk us through the strategic rationale and why the companies fit so well together in your view.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#6

Yes. Well before the pandemic into 2019, we were doing -- undertaking a very thorough strategic planning process to look and see what were the most important areas that our customers were going to be seeing an increase in demand for analytics and research and data and benchmarks. And as we built out the theory of the case, which would be in things like ESG, climate, energy transition, private markets, private credit, looking at ways that we could get more data through our desktop as well as other ways that we can have our data with new relationships, fixed income indices, these were big themes that we felt were going to be driving growth, and we wanted to enhance our position in these areas. And we said we could do it organically. We could do it through tuck-in acquisitions or we could look across the market to see if there's something more transformational. We had always admired IHS Markit and what Lance had put together with that company and the entrepreneurial spirit that they had, but also their strength in data and analytics, their fixed income business, their financial services business that has such great relationships as well as workflow tools, their energy business. And so we felt that there was a really good fit. And we did a lot of our, if you want to call it, due diligence before we ever picked up the phone and spoke with Lance because we wanted to understand all we could just based on public information. And we built a theory of the case, began the discussions with Lance and the company, did our due diligence and felt that the theory that we had developed was a very strong approach to the 2 businesses that we would fit together well. There was not very many areas with overlap, that the businesses were very complementary. And they would fill in all of those blanks that I mentioned, private markets, ESG, fixed income indices, energy transition, all of the areas that we feel are going to be -- have some of the fastest growth and help us fill out our portfolio. So that was the theory of the case. And so far, everything we've seen is actually helping us understand that that's going in the right direction.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#7

So you touched on a bunch of different opportunities within that combined entity. If you could maybe speak to the ones that you're most excited about and if there's anything in the past 6 or so months since you announced the deal that's come to light that's particularly interesting, that would be great. And then just one more follow-up to that multipart question would just be whether or not the potential sale of OPIS impacts any of the numbers that you've outlined or some of the synergies that you've thought about [ prior to that ].

Douglas Peterson

executive
#8

Yes. So first of all, as we've had 3 different work streams that we've put in place as we've been working to close the deal, the first we've already achieved, which was our shareholder approval. The second relates to regulatory approval, and that's where your OPIS question comes in. And then the third is our internal management teams that we call an Integration Management Office, where we have a very thorough, systematic approach to going through each function and each business to understand the opportunities to the extent we can. Obviously, today, there's firewalls between the 2 businesses. We haven't closed the deal. So we still can't get full data about clients and products and pricing and things like that. But we're able to work on the theory of the case. Related to your question on the regulatory approval, we had never built in any synergies from OPIS into the business case. And so that's something that won't really impact the -- impacts, obviously, a little bit the total revenues of the companies together, but it won't impact what we built, the synergies or growth cases. On the business aspect, you asked what's exciting to me. I see all of the areas that I've mentioned, but I'll tell you a few that are -- look like they can really move fast. And the first would be in the index business. We see an increase in indices, demand for ESG indices, for fixed income indices, for multi-class asset indices. And all of these are areas that by putting the 2 businesses together, we're going to be able to move even faster to fill some of those spaces and some of those gaps. Another area relates to ESG. And within ESG, if I want to talk about kind of a sister to ESG, which is energy transition, every day, we see more and more demand for information about climate, about climate analytics, about portfolio analytics that will incorporate climate and energy transition into them. So we think that the 2 businesses together between Platts, between the energy and natural resources business at IHS Markit, between what we've already developed in our ESG space through the different businesses that that's going to be another area that we'll be able to consolidate and move very, very quickly. So those are a couple. The third one I mentioned is the financial services and Market Intelligence businesses. As those come together, there's all kinds of possibility of putting those 2 businesses together with the data flow, with the services that we have in our own company today through the desktop, getting more data through there and then the workflow products that IHS Markit has to get our data into those workflow products. So I see a lot of excitement in those areas as well.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#9

You touched on the ETF opportunity, multi-asset products, fixed income products. How should we think about the players that are already there in that space, the incumbents, if you will? I imagine or my understanding, it's a market that typically rewards first movers. So I'm curious what the strategy is to take share in that part of the market. And maybe what will encourage investors to allocate capital to an S&P Global fixed income product or a multi-asset product versus maybe some of the products that are already available and have potentially gathered assets in that area?

Douglas Peterson

executive
#10

Well, this is a very competitive market, and we have some tough competitors out there. We have a lot of respect for all of them. Everybody is moving very quickly to fill the space and increase -- the increasing demand coming for fixed income, ETFs and fixed income index products. Fortunately, IHS Markit is one of the early movers, and they do have some of the best products. And adding that to our portfolio is going to enhance our business there. I mentioned the ESG indices. ESG is going to be applied to both equities and fixed income. And so that's something where we bring really strong data and analytics with Trucost, with the RobecoSAM CSA business that we bought, Corporate Sustainability Assessment business that we bought. We can incorporate these together with the data that's coming over from IHS Markit to move there. On the multi-asset class area, this is something that's a new field. It's starting to see demand increase in new areas and new directions. And again, by having the equity specialty that we have today, along with the fixed income specialty that's going to be coming across, we'll be able to meet the demand for these multi-asset class indices in a way that we wouldn't have been able to do that before. So this is -- these are areas where we will have the opportunity to be that first mover and have that first-mover advantage by the kind of capabilities that we'll have in the portfolio.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#11

Yes. I would imagine the S&P brand doesn't hurt either. So that makes a lot of sense. Kind of sticking with synergy opportunities, I wanted to ask about how Kensho kind of fits into this plan. I don't believe it was included too specifically within the revenue synergy outline just because you don't have access to the full suite of data yet. But maybe if you could kind of talk about what that opportunity set might look like, maybe looking back to historical ways that Kensho has been accretive to growth as some sort of guide of what that opportunity could look like.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#12

Well, if we go back 4 years ago when we first decided to -- actually, 5 years ago, we first decided to invest in Kensho. And then about 4 years ago, we decided to buy Kensho. After we've made an initial B round investment, we felt that the capabilities they brought were so important for us. We have a theory of the case that over time, more and more analysts in the financial sector will be using machine learning or artificial intelligence tools to make decisions. But that won't be substituting for people. People will still make the decisions about risk, about investments, about portfolio, construction, et cetera. But there'll be -- more and more tools will allow you to do it better to use your own time in a more productive way. And so that's been the theory of the case, and we've seen that playing out with Kensho. So we now take Kensho and apply it to the data sets of IHS Markit. We think there's a lot of power in there. If you think about what we did with the -- what we've done, as an example -- excuse me, as an example, when we've taken the Market-on-Close process, which is a way that we set price and news and analytics for the oil markets, we've applied the Kensho processes there to allow us to move much faster to be able to get new insights and new analytics, but also to be able to publish faster. Instead of hours, it's down to minutes, how fast we can publish and get data out to the markets. We believe that we can do the same sort of thing with so many of the IHS Markit data sets. In addition, IHS Markit already has almost all of their data cataloged and organized in what they call a Data Lake that allows all of the data across the entire company to become available for users in a way that's very revolutionary. And that's going to be a huge advantage for us to take the Kensho capabilities and apply them to that data set in a new way. So Kensho continues to be something that's a lot of potential upside. We've seen it with our own company, what we've been able to do with natural language processing, with data linking, with things like the Market-on-Close, with search. And we think we can apply all of those same capabilities as we bring IHS Markit together.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#13

Sure, sure. Makes a ton of sense. I think you touched on this a little bit more. Maybe I can expand on the component of the synergies that is pushing IHS data through the Market Intelligence platform. Can you give us a sense of maybe what portion of your customer base for Market Intelligence is in kind of the automotive or energy industries? Is there overlap there that you plan to kind of, I don't know, invest in or harvest? And if there are any IHS data assets in particular that you're excited about putting through that platform that can be a day 1 opportunity.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#14

Yes. This is something that will be a quick opportunity. Within the Market Intelligence business, traditionally, people have always thought about us as a financial services business, but we actually have a very well-diversified business between what we have for risk services, which is going out to corporates, it's with treasurers, it's with corporates, not just financial services. When it comes to the kind of data that we have that -- for financial services data through what had been the SNL acquisition, that gave us a specialty that we can provide to the financial services markets. In addition, we had recently added a new vertical for technology. We think there's a lot of interest in technology data. We had also acquired 451 Research, which brought depth in that kind of a technology market, which was helpful for bankers and for technology corporations. We look at this at -- automotive, industrial, mobility as other sectors that we can bring in that data into the Market Intelligence financial services platform. It's something that bankers are typically some of the first clients for that kind of data because they want to use it to cover their universe. But then the industry themselves also start picking up more and more interest from that. It allows us to also supplement and complement what we have in the traditional CapIQ data sets and databases. So we see that this automotive information, mobility, some of the energy information, commodities data, we'll also be able to move into the Market Intelligence platform and allow us to serve those types of customers even better and beyond just financial services.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#15

Sure, sure. No, makes sense. Pretty impressive distribution footprint to be able to leverage. I want to get back to ESG a little bit. You've talked about how IHS is accretive to that opportunity. And I think an investor can go back and look at all the different commentary you've had across the various presentations and investor days on what S&P is doing in each kind of business on the ESG front. But maybe to ask a question about that area a little bit differently or maybe more specifically, I was hoping you could kind of talk about the competitive positioning of S&P relative to the more established players in the space or not more established but established players in the space. What differentiates what you're doing on the ESG data side? And maybe how this market -- or you see this market evolving over time? Is it one that is big enough and growing fast enough to support a bunch of different players? Or does the value accrue kind of disproportionately to one provider?

Douglas Peterson

executive
#16

Well, first of all, this market is at the very beginning. Sometimes I say it's the second inning. Maybe it's the third inning. But it's also a period where the shape of the field and the rules of the game still haven't even been defined. And it's critical that we're at the table with all of the right organizations that are setting the standards and defining what the field looks like. And that includes organizations like SASB and IFRS and the Task Force for Climate-Related Financial Disclosure. So we want to maintain a very close relationship with all of the regulatory bodies and organizations that are talking about what are the standards for disclosure and data. So for us, it's very important that we're part of that public policy dialogue and helping set the framework for the field. Second, when we think about our services and our products, the way we work as an organization is with very thorough methodologies that use thorough data, which comes from multiple sources but can become combined and linked in a way that we can make it differentiated from what that other data can be provided by other data providers, so that we can bring the consistency. We can bring the quality. We can bring the standards. We can bring the time series. And that's why we acquired a group like Trucost, which has environmental data. So they have climate, water, greenhouse gas emissions, other waste data, et cetera, about 15,000 companies expanding every year. That data has been used for physical risk information for tools that allow you to build an SDG or Sustainable Development Goal tool that allows you to model how your company is doing. When we purchased the RobecoSAM's CSA business, the Corporate Sustainability Assessment business, that also allows us to have a whole new set of tools and information to provide ESG assessments for companies. So we think that this is very early innings that there will be at some point 3, 4, 5 players that will consolidate over time, but we will be one of those. We have the investments to make. We're going to grow this business. We think it's one that our brand, our approach to how we bring reliability and high-quality data to the market is going to be something that the market will be interested in. We're doing this ESG across the entire portfolio. From our energy and Platts business to Indices, to Ratings, to Market Intelligence and then with IHS Markit into the mobility and automotive business as well. And this will include all of the businesses. And we brought it together in a way that we can be ensuring that we're coordinating and have a single approach as we go out to the markets.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#17

Perfect. That's really helpful. Looking at the time, I want to make sure I leave some room for some questions on Ratings. At the end of April, your guidance, I think, embedded a 2% decline in global issuance. So I was hoping you could kind of unpack the different components of that guidance a bit further and maybe address how you envision debt issuance levels progressing over the course of this year and next. You're dealing with more difficult comps in corporates, in particular, over the next couple of quarters and in the prospect of potentially higher interest rates. So any update on how you see the issuance market unfolding from here would be helpful.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#18

Yes. On our first quarter earnings call, we provided an update from our research group that does credit research. And when they looked at the market -- and they do this by looking at a few different key variables. They look at, obviously, what was historical issuance and factors of historical issuance. They look at what's on balance sheets that's coming due, what are the maturity schedules of debt that's coming due that would have been issued 5, 7, 8, 10 years ago. They also go out to the banks to find out what they're seeing in the pipelines and looking at what are the conditions of general growth in the market. Overall, our issuance is highly correlated to, generally speaking, to economic growth. And at the time when we did our first quarter call, we felt that issuance is going to be down about 2% for the entire year. But there would be -- the corporates would be down for the year about 7%. Financial institutions would be up about 4%. Structured finance would be up about 6%, and public finance would be down about 5%. We're looking -- in terms of April, which is the month I have data for so far in the second quarter, April issuance was continued on kind of a line that they usually do, which is kind of a mix of different asset classes, while in the U.S., corporates were down almost 60%. At the same time, structured credit was up a couple hundred percent in the U.S. And overall, globally, it was up about -- let me see here the number, about 400% overall for CMBS. Structured credit was up about 4 -- 5x but from a very small basis. So you can see there's always kind of a mix across the different businesses month by month, but we saw a very strong issuance so far in this quarter in structured finance and in high yield, in particular, CLOs. But at the same time, we've seen issuance for financial services and corporates were down so far. So the end of the first quarter is the last time we had our forecast, which is about -- down about 2% for the year. And what I saw so far that for the quarter, in the first month of April, we have all the numbers from -- was again kind of a mixed bag with CLOs and structured finance up and corporates, especially investment-grade, was down quite dramatically after a really strong showing last year.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#19

Right, right. That's helpful. Sticking with Ratings, but maybe switching gears a little bit. I think Q1 was particularly encouraging, at least from my perspective, in terms of momentum in the Ratings business in China. I think you completed as many ratings in Q1 or close to as many ratings as you did all of last year. Do you feel like that business has hit an inflection point at all and we could start seeing some meaningful revenue contributions there in the medium term? Or is this still something that will take some time, maybe 3 to 5 years out?

Douglas Peterson

executive
#20

When it comes to the business, first of all, I'm really pleased with the progress that we've made. When we built that business, we said we weren't going to just build it as a little business, and we got started with one rating. We hired one person and 3 ratings -- or 3 people. We started off with a scale business of over 30 ratings analysts and a full team around them of compliance officers, human resources, finance, et cetera. So we built out a business from the very beginning, knowing that we could scale it up quickly. Last year, we did 22 ratings. And so far in the first quarter -- excuse me, we did 18 ratings. And that, for us, was a good proof that the way we were approaching the market with our own rating scale with a lot of publications, a lot of research, a lot of outreach to the markets that our brand would start getting into the market, people would want to see what we had to say. They want to know our opinions, and we'd start seeing a lot more volume. So it's playing out the way that we thought it would. When it comes to the aspect of your question about the financial returns, it's still a 3- to 5-year, if you want to call it, runway for us to really start taking off. But when it comes to all of the key performance indicators that I watch, I'm very pleased with the progress. I'm very pleased with how we're doing. And right now, key performance indicators aren't necessarily around financial indicators, around performance indicators, around quality of our people, number of hits we get on our websites, number of people that show up to our seminars, the pipeline that we're building of ratings, et cetera. So those are the key performance indicators that we're tracking right now, and they're all on a really good track.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#21

Got it, got it. Great. Looking at the clock, a handful of minutes left. I want to wrap up with maybe a bigger picture question. I've heard you kind of talk about all the different assets that the pro forma combined company will have. You have the distribution from Market Intelligence platform. You have copious amounts of data across a bunch of different industries and verticals. So with -- I feel like you're in a unique position to be able to speak to the topic of kind of data or the value of data versus the value of distribution. Having seen the market evolve over the past 5, 10 years, is data, whether it be proprietary or aggregated, is it more important to the S&P business than the distribution footprint? Or is it the other way around? And how do you kind of expect the relative value of both of those to evolve going forward? Because I think -- I get pushed back from investors sometimes, not necessarily specific to your company, but about the commoditization of data and whether or not it's more valuable to have one or the other.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#22

Well, first of all, we do think of ourselves as data research. In particular, benchmarks are absolutely critical, and that's what differentiates us. If you think about anybody who has a CNBC on their screen at any time during the day, you're going to see across the bottom of the screen, S&P 500. It's there all day. You're going to see the price of Brent. It's there all day. Those are benchmarks that we provide the market with. We provide the data, the research, the analytics around it. We have very thorough methodologies that are embedded in how we do that, same with our Ratings business. So content becomes must-have. It also becomes differentiated in a way that you have IP or other competitive factors around it that it's not commoditized data. And so first of all, we think that our benchmark data, our research and our little analytics are must-have data. They're not commoditized data, and that's why we can provide that information to the markets, and they go through multiple distribution channels. It so happens that we also have some great distribution channels like the Market Intelligence platform, which is providing information on people's desktops about the benchmarks, about how we're bringing them together. So for us, it's a combination of having must-have data, research, analytics, benchmarks, having our own distribution channel for certain type of must-have data, but then also being able to have partnerships and relationships across the ecosystem of the markets. So our data is available through any of the other major financial data distribution organization. So it's a combination of all of those, but it probably starts with the benchmarks and the research.

Andrew Nicholas

analyst
#23

Great, great. Well, I think we're running out of time here. Doug, thank you very much for your time today. Thank you to everyone on the webcast who was able to join us, and have a great rest of the day.

Douglas Peterson

executive
#24

Thanks, Andrew.

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