Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 10, 2022

NASDAQ US Industrials Professional Services conference_presentation 24 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#1

Good afternoon, everyone. My name is Sheila Kahyaoglu, with the Jefferies Aerospace and Defense Equity Research team. Thanks so much for being here. We have the SAIC team up, while we have Nazzic Keene who's CEO of SAIC and Joe DeNardi, who joined about a year ago as VP of Investor Relations and also strategic ventures. So thank you, Nazzic for being here. I know you're not at conferences often, so we appreciate you making the effort and learning more about SAIC.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#2

So I think one of the things with IT services companies is how you guys differentiate yourselves versus peers. And I think SAIC has a lot of unique capabilities that are starting to come out. So if you could talk a little bit about that.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#3

Absolutely. So privilege to be here and hello, everybody. So I think a couple of things I would comment on differentiation. One is we have the privilege of being a 50-plus year old company and the brand that goes with that. We have a very strong brand. We have a brand that's been recognized in the federal market space as providing solutions to very complex national issues. And so that brand helps us in many regards with our customers and with our employees. But having that strong basis, strong past performance is a hallmark of SAIC. Certainly, our people, we foster an inclusion workforce and really focus on making sure that we are an inclusive workforce, and we hire just tremendously talented individuals from across the nation and very privileged to have the ability to lead and partner with such a great workforce. And the third is our focus, and you touched on this, we've been really focused these last couple of years of refining our strategy in refining those areas that we want to disproportionately invest to drive growth, and we've been very focused on driving sustained profitable growth for the company as well as ensuring shareholder returns and shareholder value. And so that focus for us has been something that we have -- we've been highlighting and talking about and really trying to be more transparent about as well.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#4

And one of the things you disclosed, I think it was last quarter or the quarter prior, was your growth in technology accelerators or GTA, which represents 27% of your sales, and you're planning to grow that to 35% of the business over the next 3 years. Can you talk about what's in those buckets, what it represents and how you're going to expand that business?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#5

So as I mentioned as it related to our focus, we have done some work these last couple of years in refining our strategy and then the discussion around GTA is an effort to share with investors and with the analysts and with our employees and our customers, those areas where we believe we can drive disproportionate growth. And so the GTA includes secure cloud, enterprise IT and systems integration type efforts. As we think about that now, as we shared, it's about 27% of our portfolio today going to -- our goal is to get it to 35% over the course of the next 3 years. And if you think about what's in there today, it's roughly about 50% in the Secure Cloud, 30% in enterprise IT and 20% in the systems integration. But again, all of those areas, we believe, are enduring for our federal government, our areas of national importance in areas where SAIC cannot just bring incredibly talented people, but also bring differentiated solutions as we think about areas like CloudScend, where we can bring our solution to mitigating the risk that's associated with going to the cloud as well as accelerate that transition.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#6

And when you think about that growth CAGR from 27% to 35% of the portfolio, what's really driving it? Are there new contracts coming out more positioned on this? Or are you going to gain more share with your existing customer base?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#7

Our goal is to expand it in both dimensions. One is to continue to drive on contract growth, which we do on all aspects of the business, but in contracts where we have the opportunity to infuse new technology, infuse some of the GTA inspired type work streams. We absolutely intend to do that. And we've got some good pattern recognition happening with that today, but also to look at new opportunities in the market. And as if you think about the government's certain focus, certainly focused on driving more applications to the cloud and use of the cloud, there'll be new programs that come out as well. And there'll also be components of recompetes that will enter the market. So it's a combination of on-contract growth as well as winning new business in that area.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#8

And can you maybe flesh out some of the growth CAGRs you have, whether it's for GTA versus your core business? How do you think about that re-acceleration of growth from the 1% in, I think, fiscal '23 to mid-single digits?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#9

So we touched on one area, certainly driving GTAs from 27% to 35% over the course of the next 3 years will drive growth. Of course, we always look to protect the core business and to also grow where it makes sense in that part of the business as well. And so we have not provided long-term guidance at this juncture, but we certainly are laser-focused on continuing to drive profitable organic growth over the course of the next several years.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#10

That makes sense. Can we talk about your space business? I believe it represents 20% of the portfolio, but I could be wrong. What are the sort of key opportunities, key offerings you have there and upcoming opportunities?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#11

So all aspects, you're right, the space business is about 20% of our portfolio today. And we service the space business across really multiple dimensions. So whether it's Space Command, whether it's some of the intelligence agencies focused on space, or whether it's a civilian NASA-related space market as well. And so we have the opportunity to take all of the areas I touched on in the GTA as well as some of the non-GTA core business into the space market. So whether it's accelerating the use of technology for -- whether it's IT or mission-related technology, leveraging the cloud, but we also do quite a bit of work in our space portfolio in the CETA arena, where we bring just really, really talented engineers working hand in glove with the government to be able to service the space missions.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#12

And then you recently announced the Koverse data platform 4.0. Maybe can you tell folks a little bit about what that is, first and just like the pipeline for it.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#13

Yes. So Koverse was a small acquisition that we made a year plus ago, I guess, at this point. And it brought us some unique capabilities in AI and data analytics really being able to navigate across multiple data layers and clearance levels. And so although a small acquisition, it has been an asset and a solution that's differentiated us in many aspects of our pipeline and really has crossed the entire company as it relates to whether it's civilian type work, with some recent work that we won in the DOJ as well as certainly in our space portfolio and even in the DoD. So it's been a great acquisition. It is early days, only a year or so into it, but we are seeing the ability to take the solution and differentiate our solution offering in competitive procurements.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#14

I wanted to spend a few minutes talking about each of your customers. I know we just talked about space, but maybe for Army, the portfolio was previously focused a lot on AMCOM and defending it. How do you think about the Army portfolio growing from here? And what steps you're taking for that?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#15

The Army for us is certainly one of our largest customers. And as you noted, we successfully positioned ourselves with the -- at this point, 1.5 years, 2 years ago with the successful recompetes of the -- what was the AMCOM portfolio, now D3I. And we're seeing continued opportunities to either drive on-contract growth with those vehicles or to look at new opportunities. And one I'll just highlight -- we're doing quite a bit of work across rapid capability engineering, prototyping, experimentation. And one of the opportunities that we're pursuing is in this space is the unmanned UAS arena. And we're competing very well. We've -- we're working obviously with the customer. They're going through some competitive fly-offs. And we continue to compete very well in that arena. But that's just a really great example of some of the work we're doing in the systems integration space, where we're taking best-in-class technologies and being able to integrate them to serve a mission where we may not bring the particular asset to bear. It's the integration and that allows us to bring best-of-breed and best in class.

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#16

I think Sheila, that's maybe one way that we think we're kind of strategically different than our peers as being able to identify the best technologies in the market, integrate them into a solution that's easy to use and adds value to our customers. We're not wed to certain capabilities necessarily that we've developed. We can really bring the best that's out there in the market to our customers, whether it be in counter UAS or cloud migration or space. And I think that's an advantage that we have.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#17

Great point.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#18

You mentioned cloud migration. So turning to the Air Force customer. What do you guys primarily do for the Air Force? I think Cloud One is one of your bigger contracts. Can you talk about how that's developing over the next few years?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#19

Yes. We're very excited about the Cloud One contract and it's developed well, and we see a lot of great opportunities as the government, of course, across all aspects of whether it's DoD or civilian agencies are looking to leverage cloud technologies as they modernize and further secure their applications. And so this is a great opportunity for not just the Air Force, but for potentially others to use this vehicle as well as they do the cloud migration. It allows us also to bring our suite of solutions as in CloudScend and be able to further secure and provide differentiation for the Air Force.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#20

Great. And then just thinking about upcoming recompetes, I think there's a few that have might have passed already. But can you just talk about how we think about your portfolio as 5-year contracts by nature, we compete 20% of the portfolio every year? Are there notable recompetes we should be looking at out for?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#21

I think we've highlighted a couple. Certainly, we go into every year, assuming around, like you said, 20% of that portfolio will be up for recompete that year. And then more times than not, certainly the last year or so, things get delayed. And so as we've looked at this year, we've seen some delays in a couple of key areas. We've talked a bit about the State Department, the Vanguard contract and without going into a lot of details, that's obviously a big one that we're all keeping our eye on. And then some of the work in our supply chain portfolio is another area where we're certainly keeping tabs on, don't want to go into a whole lot of details of the contract by contract level, but those would be ones I think just that we all pay attention to. And certainly, you would as well.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#22

That makes a lot of sense. And then I wanted to talk about some of the acquisitions that you've done, you acquired Engility, obviously, you have Halfaker, but can you talk about how SAIC is structured internally just given several acquisitions? And has the GTA versus core portfolio delineation changed any of that?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#23

Yes. So we've been organized kind of the primary sort order in the way we go to market is by customer. And so if you think about the kind of the major customers, the Army, the Navy, civilian agencies, some of the intelligence agencies, Air Force, we have a leader that manages those accounts those customer base. And so that has been the way we've been structured since we spun out from our former parent, and we have sustained that model through all the acquisitions. And so most of the time, whether it's Engility is a great example. We just integrated into the existing model, and that served us very well. The GTA is kind of that focus in GTA is where we make investments in our solutions and capabilities. And we do have a focused organization that's connected in driving those that we call the innovation factories where we have dedicated resources helping us develop, helping us put the thought leadership into these areas so that we can differentiate ourselves in the market with our customers.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#24

That makes sense.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#25

Did I miss anything on that, Joe?

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#26

No. Not at all.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#27

Okay. No, it's -- I've met some of your go-to-market leaders. So it always helps to know how you guys interface, but it makes sense that you would interface with the customer lead. Can you talk a lot -- a little bit about hiring, hiring is an issue across the base? How you plan on your revenue growth? Is it based on your headcount adds, if you could expand upon that?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#28

Well, hiring in the technology industry in general, whether it's the federal space or the commercial space, certainly, post COVID has had its challenges and the challenges in the sense that -- for most of us, we have more openings than we have people. The good news is we haven't had any significant areas of concern or risk and the team has been laser-focused on this. And so although the environment is what I'd call a tight labor market, we've been able to hire where we've needed to hire when we needed to hire. The other thing I would comment on is post COVID, there's more flexibility in some of the hiring models. And so sometimes we can hire in other parts of the country or the geography with a more flexible work schedule or work type and so we've looked to leverage that so that we can, in fact, hire the best of the best across the industry. As we think about how hiring links to our revenue growth, we really drive our revenue planning based on our backlog, based on the pipeline, based on our ability to win new work as well as retain our existing work that drives our revenue profile and then, of course, we develop a hiring plan based on that.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#29

And maybe since you mentioned that there's some going to throw it in there, revenue planning is based on backlog and pipeline. In terms of the pipeline, how do you -- how big is the pipeline right now? How do you guys decide what you're bidding on and what your target go get rate is?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#30

I don't know that we disclosed the size of the pipeline.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#31

Sorry, Joe.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#32

Joe, do we have it.

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#33

We've said the value of our submitted proposal is kind of north of $20 billion. Now that's going to fluctuate as stuff moves in and out, but our pipeline is growing. I think taking a snapshot any one quarter may distort it a little bit, but the pipeline is growing.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#34

Yes. And about 70% of our pipeline, which is different today than it was a few years ago is for new business, which again, we view as a very positive sign and a good indicator of future growth as well.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#35

And then maybe just closing out the revenue discussion, a lot of investors always ask, O&M outlays are very behind. Why are you seeing -- why are we seeing this? How do you think about the correlation to organic revenue growth? And what are you seeing in terms of the government's ability to fund contracts?

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#36

Yes. I think we can look historically and see a strong correlation between O&M outlays and our organic revenue. Outlays to start the year have been somewhat slower than what is typical. The revenue environment that we've seen and our performance again is kind of external expectations and our internal plan, the revenue environment has been more or less as expected. And so we think as the outlay environment gets better, we will benefit from that, and we're preparing teams where they have contracts with ceiling value to be ready to help serve our customer. But our plan certainly isn't reliant on a significant tailwind over the next 6 months from a budget flush coming in. It's -- this is typically kind of how the government year progresses. The beginning is late, the end is pretty strong. It's a little bit more weighted towards the end of the year this year. And so I think we're kind of adjusting to that.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#37

That makes sense. And then just turning to profitability. Can you maybe talk about what your profitability targets are? Is there a feasibility to get above 9% margins? And what would drive it there?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#38

So I'll give a couple of high-level comments, and I'll let Joe provide the specific numbers in the guidance. so I don't get in trouble. So the answer is yes. We seek the opportunity to drive continued profitability improvement in a couple of arenas. So the GTA areas, the areas that I touched on earlier, that are -- that we're focusing on to drive growth tend to come with higher profitability. The nature of those programs lend themselves to sometimes different contract types, more fixed price potentially. But also if we can differentiate ourselves with our solutions and set ourselves apart, we have the opportunity to drive modestly higher profits. So think of maybe 20 basis points, but we also -- we never rest on our laurels. So we always are working inside of SAIC to be more effective and more efficient. And so as we continue to look at opportunities inside of our company to drive improved profitability to leverage the scale and to obviously invest accordingly that we also believe that provides some opportunity to drive incremental profit over the course of the next couple of years as well.

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#39

I think that covers it. I think the only thing I would say is we recognize that our margins are below some of our peers. Our portfolio mix is probably accounts for some of that, but not all of it. And so we see opportunities over the next few years to close that margin gap and we'll provide a lot more detail in terms of how we get there and what drives it at some point in the future.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#40

And then how do we think about inflation as it impacts the portfolio? Is this something that you pass on if you have a 5-year contract, the scope might just end earlier? Or is it passed on to the government every year?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#41

It's very much contract by contract. And so in some cases, you have the ability to do some price adjustments. In some cases, you have the ability just to do CPI. So it really -- there is some dependency on the nature of the contract. And certainly, you have less levers if you fixed price. So I would say it does vary. In general, we don't see -- obviously, everybody is paying attention to inflation. It is certainly something that many of us have not managed our way through inflation of this nature, since it hasn't happened for many, many years. But I will tell you, as we sit here today, it's -- we're aware of it, we're navigating it. We're looking at each and every opportunity we have to manage it, but I don't consider a significant risk to our business right now.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#42

That makes sense. And then turning to capital deployment. As you think about your net debt to EBITDA, I think it's at 3x leverage. How do you think about for your capital deployment priorities, whether that's continued M&A repurchases? Where is your preferred method?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#43

I think that there can be a little bit of -- it varies. As we sit here today and as we've talked about on our last call and certainly demonstrated with the authorization to do some stock buyback. We believe that acquiring our stock right now is the best investment that we can make. Now with that being said, we also stay cognizant of what's happening in the M&A market. And certainly want to make sure that we're -- that we take a look at the assets that might play to our strategy. And so there certainly could be a scenario where that could change. But right now, as we sit here with where our stock sits and our ability to drive cash and deploy the capital, we believe that's the best investment. Joe, I don't know if you want to share anything.

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#44

I think the only thing is we'll allocate capital to the areas that generate the highest return. We're not going to spread capital amongst the various options so that everything gets a little bit. Our view is that if we execute our plan, we can produce higher earnings than the market thinks we can and our valuation will improve. And so that provides us a pretty compelling reason to buy back our stock.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#45

So you're going to buy back stock and not do deals, but I'm going to ask about you look more in deals anyway.

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#46

So, I would just say we're not going to executing our buyback authorization is not going to prevent us from investing in the business organically or inorganically.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#47

Maybe if we could talk about one of the deals you recently completely, I think it was about a year ago now, a Halfaker is added to your civil portfolio. Can you talk about how big your civil portfolio has been and how -- if any revenue synergies have been generated from that.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#48

Halfaker was an acquisition, as you said, Sheila, was about a year ago. It was an acquisition we did to strengthen our position in the health -- federal health market, in particular, health IT. And so we've been very pleased with the acquisition. It brought with us -- with them a great set of talented individuals that know the domain that have the relationships and the key customers that we look to expand and also have the, I would say, the technology knowledge that allows us to be successful. Year-end, you don't tend to see a lot of revenue synergies because it does take time to develop the pipeline. But we certainly are seeing revenue synergies come forth in the way of pipeline activity. And so we're very optimistic. It's been a very -- it's been a great acquisition for us, gave us a stronger presence in health care. I don't have the specific number, but I know it doubled our position in the health care space, building on some organic capability that SAIC had and we remain very optimistic. Federal health IT, federal health spend is an area that we, again, expect to have significant growth for us over the course of the next several years as it is a priority area for the federal government, and we have a relatively small position there today.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#49

What are the agencies that it's most closely involved with Halfaker?

Nazzic Keene

executive
#50

VA was the biggest agency.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#51

And then, Joe, you -- about 5 months ago, you said -- I noticed you added another title to your signature. So you're VP of Strategic Venture. What does that mean? And what are you focusing on there?

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#52

Yes. So that's our corporate venture strategy that may be too generous to call it a strategy. It's...

Nazzic Keene

executive
#53

What's your job is to develop the strategy.

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#54

That's right. That's right. Look, I think it's similar to kind of our approach to the core business, which is really to go out and identify commercial capabilities and technologies that we can bring into the business and offer a better solution to the customer and to ensure that we participate in the value that we create for our partners and that the partnership structure is optimal. And so I would say our focus is really in secure cloud systems integration primarily in terms of identifying commercial technologies out there that we can bring in-house and make us more competitive.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#55

Yes, Sheila, the one thing I would add is if I've touched on this in a couple of different threats, whether it's the GTA or how we think about growth. But we really -- we pride ourselves in driving innovation and differentiation for our customers. And if we can't build everything. And so if we can drive innovation in a solution set by leveraging work that's being done in commercial markets. That's great for our customer. It's certainly good for the nation. And it is an area, I think, that there's great opportunity to continue to advance a lot of the work that's being done across the federal government space.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#56

Great. And last one to wrap it up. Free cash flow has always been a pillar of SAIC's strength. How do we continue to think about can free cash flow be 100% of net income every year after year? And what's the framework for fiscal '23 and '24?

Joseph DeNardi

executive
#57

Yes. So we've said we can grow free cash flow by 10% this year and 10% next year. Next year we'll benefit from the lack of a payroll tax deferral payment, which is about $50 million. I think our view that we can grow free cash flow faster than EBITDA is based on our confidence that we can improve working capital efficiency. And that's really just taking a greater level of focus and kind of urgency to do that and pushing it down further into the organization. And so I don't think we're doing anything particularly unique or special. It's just making it a bigger priority within the company.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#58

Great. Thank you guys for being here.

Nazzic Keene

executive
#59

Thank you.

Sheila Kahyaoglu

analyst
#60

Thanks, everyone.

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