Siemens Energy AG (ENR) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

November 21, 2023

Deutsche Boerse Xetra DE Industrials Electrical Equipment investor_day 333 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Christian Bruch

executive
#1

[Presentation] Very good and a very warm welcome from my side to all of you here in Hamburg and everybody on the live stream. Great to have you here on our Capital Markets Day 2023. And as you know, Hamburg is a special location for us. It hosts part of our Wind business. It holds part of our Marine business. And hopefully, some of you have the chance tomorrow also to visit the site in [ Kokam ] where we assemble the large offshore nacelles and it will be an interesting journey to see that. Before I jump into the presentation, let me briefly draw your attention to the disclaimer statement. Michael told me to be very rigorous about it because it contains forward-looking statements. So please take a minute to read it. We will use this Capital Market Day really also to help you to address a little bit more the details. The details behind what we announced last week in the quarter 4 call on the '23 financial results and also on the '24 outlook. And '23 has been, for us, a year with light and shadow, really. We have seen successes, great successes, but we also have seen an absolutely unsatisfactory financial performance of the company. And we want to use today really to help you to understand better the dynamics between the different businesses, how do we tackle the challenges and the headwinds we have in the Wind business, but also on how do we build a solid financial framework in this fantastic energy market, which we are facing. So it will be a long day for all of you. And I'm looking forward really to kick it off with an overarching presentation to explain a little bit the main schemes of the company, followed by Maria, explaining the consequence into the financial numbers, and then we dive into the businesses. And obviously, the first business to come is then Wind business with Jochen presenting the path forward at Wind, also explaining what has the quality task force been doing over the past couple of months. And then moving to Gas Services with Karim and also to compare a bit what has changed since the Capital Markets Day '22. And obviously, then moving to Tim explaining on how to address this tremendous growth, what we are facing in Grid Technologies. Anne-Laure will share with you the really fantastic turnaround stories of the different businesses. You have to dive deep into the different businesses because transformation of industry is diverse in the set of the individual businesses, containing more mature and more growing businesses, but Anne-Laure will help you to better understand it. While we more or less wrap up the day by presenting Global Functions through Vinod, and -- which is really then presenting the glue between the different businesses, what is consistent, where are the things we're driving across on how we do things and to improve operational excellence. And I will do the wrap-up then off the day. And I hope you stay with us throughout the whole day. There's a lot of information, and I'm looking forward, particular to your questions and the discussion. Let me start really with an overarching picture and obviously also taken us back always a little bit on what we said in the Capital Market Day 2022 and obviously, also talking a bit about the role of Siemens Energy in the energy transition. And if you look today on energy transition, we all have to say it probably looks different than we all expected two years ago. It's more complex. It requires more technology. It will probably cost more money. It will take longer. And these are all things which actually play in our favor because we are a company, and we will try to explain it to you, which can actually handle complex projects, which is sitting on a base of a big diversity of technologies, which will be required by energy transition. And at the same time, we see obviously a concerning continuation of climate change, concerning really delay in implementing certain things, and we will also need to discuss on how do we address best the changes in the energy transition. When we started the company, we obviously also started with this to continue to shape the company alongside the needs of energy transition. And quite a bit has happened. Some of it in the foreground, some of it in the background, which has not been recognized by everybody. In particular, we'll see it with Global Functions, where a lot of the things happened in the background to actually create the foundation for operational excellence. And with all the operational improvements, there has been a lot of successes. As I said, we see it in Gas Services and Grid Technologies and Transformation of Industries, but we did not succeed with Siemens Gamesa yet. However, we want to discuss with you obviously also on how can we transfer also successes from the one part of the business to the Wind business to make sure that at the end, we live up to our mission to support our customers on their journey through the energy transition, which will also continuously require us to change and amend to the situation. I would like to highlight throughout my presentation, and you will see it also in the other presentation, three key priorities for 2024 in terms of developing the business. First of all, how do we deliver profitable growth sitting on a backlog of EUR 112 billion. That's a privilege to have EUR 112 billion of order backlog, but at the same time, it also must convert to profits to the bottom line. And you will see the activities on how to manage growth, on how to make sure that also the risk is contained in the execution of that. This is obviously a key if we successfully want to drive profits. There's no question that fixing the Wind business is a cornerstone really of a financial success of the company. Will -- Jochen will deep dive into this, and it will be Jochen and my key focus area for 2024. And Maria will share also more on the financial foundation and framework, which is obviously important to operate as a company. You have seen in the 2023 quarter 4 call already that we flagged up the EUR 2.5 billion to EUR 3 billion proceeds in '24, which are all driven by a continuous change also of the portfolio, and we will continue to work on it. As bad as the financial headwinds from the Wind business are for us, it is for us -- an acceleration of really making sure that we transform the company to really live up to the needs of the energy transition and the needs of our customers. Allow me to jump back to the Capital Market Day 2022, and we had 5 levers at this time, which we presented to create shareholder value. And let me start with the four successful levers, which have been implemented since then, and this is roughly 18 months ago, a little bit less than this, where we initiated also the new operating model for what we call at that time, GP business, which today is Gas Services, Grid Technologies and Transformation of Industry. As you may recall, we made the organization broader and flatter, try to create more accountability, also more transparency for you in terms of the performance of the different businesses and also to change the customer focus in the organization. And I'm super proud that we achieved all the targets on the profitability overachieved in a strong market or growth expectations. And I'm very, very satisfied that also on the customer satisfaction side, we really improved across all these three businesses, the results. And we measure this in Net Promoter Score, which means is a customer recommending you, if he works with you. And that is something which really has developed all in the right direction and gives us a base also for a future successful business. We have our headwinds in Wind. However, also there, the new operating model, which was introduced, which is a little bit different than the operating model in the rest of the business because this was largely geared around now since -- it has been missed in the last years, now finally making sure there is a consolidated technology base. There's a more modular approach on the design. The factories come under one responsibility. So all the right things to be done have been introduced with January 2023. However, the headwinds coming from the quality side, and obviously, from the productivity ramp-up in offshore really deteriorated the financial results in 2023. And you will see it that it reaches out also to 2024, but we can make use of all the positive experiences now in the other businesses to transfer that now also to Siemens Gamesa. And this is happening as we speak to really make sure that we can drive these 5 levers successfully forward. We do this in a market, which today we see stronger compared to the last Capital Markets Day. We had four structural trends identified when we discussed last time the outlook into the energy and electricity market. And if I look across the different businesses, if I take Gas, for example, and Karim will walk you through the details. Obviously, the market today, we see longer running and bigger than we originally anticipated in 2022, which gives Karim the opportunity to build a bigger service fleet to afterwards build a long-term service business on -- based also on decarbonization of the fleet and further improvements. On Grid Technologies, I was talking about unprecedented investments into the electrical grid. And all of what we have seen over the last 18 months is more than this. The amount of order intake ramp up, what we have seen in our own company, the pipeline we are seeing going forward, the needs really by customers to really lock in capacities and making sure that the plans even beyond 2030, can be fulfilled is enormous. Tim will walk you through this in detail, but also how to ensure that this is not leading to uncontrolled risk. It's an obviously big backlog, which needs to be managed. It's more capacity than there is today in the industry, and this will be key to make sure that the profits also make it to the bottom line. On Transformation of Industry, you need to look on the different businesses. And Anne-Laure will walk you through that. But it's also there, I have to say, first of all, a super success story of turnaround. You will see it on the profitability trends in the different businesses, but also there, a very sound order backlog basis and a further need to decarbonize. It's a diverse set of customer base, you will see that. And a lot of the decarbonization in the next years will be driven by these type of technologies we offer in Transformation of Industry. On the order intake side, also Wind has been a success story in 2023. They had an excellent achievement, very good order book, let's say, more than EUR 16 billion, heavily also driven by offshore. And it is a market where we expect it to be in '24 going through some reiteration, different terms and conditions, different pricing, reauctioning projects. But the overall dynamics in the market is very, very much intact. And you will see it with Jochen when he shows the market, obviously, an [ off ] average growth rate of around 9% until 2030. Obviously, offshore even more in terms of 4x or 5x roughly increasing market volume. So there is a fantastic dynamics still in Wind. Wind today or in 2022 has roughly 7% of the world electricity production. Coal has 35%. And it shows you what is needed if we ever talk about changing the energy or electricity production system. It's a massive undertaking, which is still coming. We strongly believe there are interesting profit pools and wind, but we have to fix, obviously, certain things first. We are super set up with our today's portfolio to tap into the energy market, but it's also important to get ready for the future energy technologies to come. And we have seen, obviously, you all have seen how long it takes to test a new energy technology to make sure you can commercially earn money. We have seen it with the too early launch of some of the onshore turbines. We have had the experience with other technologies. If you want to launch innovation into energy, make sure you test it for roughly -- and continuously with customers. This is what we do today. And these are largely technologies, which you're probably going to see at the end of the decade or thereafter. However, 45% of the technologies you require to drive energy transition, are not commercialized yet. And these are the technologies we are trying to test here. And you see it on the examples from the different businesses, you see the fully 100% hydrogen operated gas turbine. This is in operation today in France. We've just started up the offshore floating wind park. We operate a couple of these wind parks. This is one together with Equinor in Norway, offshore floating wind will be required. If you go to deeper sea levels, then there's no way around floating, but it will take time. It will be beyond 2030 until this commercially probably gets in and we want to be ready, tested and bulletproof to make sure that these technologies can be launched successfully. A little bit closer to the, let's say, markets really introduction and really generating value is now the Blue portfolio. We have been talking about this for years. And we launched a new factory there. We are introducing, obviously, the products into the market. Tim will talk about this a bit in his presentation. Now positioning it into certain countries, it may -- make its way into the regulations. And this is a switching product, which avoids climate harmful gases. And this is something which we believe will become the standard going forward in the industry, and we are launching and rolling them out today, obviously. And on the right-hand side, you see an example of a technology with Direct Air Capture, that is a technology which extracts CO2 out of the air, which will probably be unavoidable if we want to limit temperature increase. However, it's also a long way to go until this is commercially real viable and tested and long-term in the operability we require, and we are testing and piloting at the moment, together with Aramco, let's say, a large facility, just to demonstrate it. So getting really the products ready then for later and a lot of this, as I said, end of the decade, more or less. So there are fantastic opportunities in the energy market, and this is also accompanied by a lot of governmental or country-driven investment programs. And this is what is driving so much also the order intake up at Siemens Energy. There's also, obviously, frameworks around it in terms of supporting energy transition. We talk about IRA, but we also talk about packages like the EU Wind package or in other areas, we see heavy programs really driving energy infrastructure forward. There's also a much higher sensitivity today to security of supply. What does it mean? What does need to happen with the grid? What do we need to make sure to balance loads? And this is something which also drives new products and drives new solutions from our side, which very often combine the different elements from the different business areas. And it's not just about grid. It's about grid and storage, it's a grid and storage and hydrogen, it's about grid and storage and hydrogen and a gas turbine. And this is something which more and more becomes now evident in terms of building more security of supply. However, one thing we have to be careful about with all the nice growth opportunities is really making sure you can deliver profits on it and you don't stumble over your feet once you want to grow or grow too fast. And there are risks in the market. We still see a constrained supply chain. We still see inflationary elements in terms of cost of suppliers, but we also see clear bottlenecks. And this is an industry which not easily grows 4x ,5x. It's something where somebody has to build physical infrastructure and grow it really consciously step after step after step. There's also obviously macroeconomic factors, where you see rising interest rates, which are, let's say, obviously difficult for certain projects to get realized. You see rising state depth, which will influence certain energy projects. So it's now obviously keeping the balance between tapping into the growth opportunity, but be careful to find the right speed of growth. Also seeing that we are obviously operating in more than 100 countries of the world and are continuously have to cope also with geopolitical conflicts in countries, which are in a difficult situation. So to capture these opportunities, let me go back to the three priorities, what I said before: deliver on profitable growth, fixing the Wind business and maintaining a solid financial foundation. Let me start with deliver on profitable growth. That is about mainly two things: execution and how do you really bring top line to the bottom line; and how can we, in a growing market, ensure that despite the fact that we have capital constrained because of the financial headwinds we are facing currently, still can reasonably grow the capacity to cope with the growth. And I will give you a couple of examples to that. The second element, fixing the business. And obviously, first and foremost, this is about the two elements. We flagged up in the quarter 3 call, the quality problems in onshore and ramping up and really leveraging on our market leadership position in offshore. But there's also obviously now the way [ onto ] say, where do we go from here? How do we shape the company and grow? What is the right focus to have? What are the profit pools to focus on? Jochen will walk you through this, but obviously, it's more about also focusing on the right markets with the right products in terms of driving this forward. I mentioned the EUR 2.5 billion to EUR 3 billion proceeds from disposals for 2024 already, which will help to maintain a solid financial foundation, and we will continue to work on it. It will be a core focus of all of us to make sure that on the one hand, we make -- we apply a very active portfolio management to generate proceeds, but also at the same time, a very diligent and strict about capital allocation in our different processes. Let me go through these three points and give you a couple of examples or comments. First of all, the order backlog in the business without Wind. Wind, I will address separately. So that is the former GP business across the three different businesses we show today, which has grown to a EUR 70 billion backlog today. And if I take the two large businesses, Gas Services and Grid Technologies just for a second, there has been a lot of work being done to derisk the backlog to really get the right terms and condition, pricing, select very carefully the scope what we are doing in the different projects, making sure we have the safety stocks really carefully managed, standardized our offerings as much as possible to make sure there's as little opportunity for failing as possible. And you see that with this, the service margin backlog and the new unit margin backlog increased over the last two years. And that is the base, obviously, for us, for an increasing profitability going forward while executing through the backlog. And at the end, it's about execution, execution, execution. And that is something where we also used back in October '22, the new organizational model to introduce organization, which we called Project Entity, which is really meant to drive project execution excellence. People can talk a lot about technology, but at the end, it's about people delivering projects and do this with all the care which is needed to bring also then afterwards profits to the bottom line. And what we are doing there is really looking on the commonalities, what complex project has. And technologies can be different. You see here the examples of the combined cycle gas turbine power plants. You see on the bottom, the HVDC plant and completely different technologies. But what they have in common, both of them have to do procurement for hundreds of million, both have lots of logistic activities. You need to manage big engineering teams. You need to have, at the end, project managers, lead engineers, site managers to bring this home as an implemented project. And at the end, it's a lot about processes and people. And this is what we're doing in the project entity to really harmonize processes alongside the organization, making sure that this flows into an IT infrastructure where there is common tools between the different areas, making sure that the data formats are consistent to be able to automize afterwards, and also ensuring that we have the people base. When I joined in 2020, I was concerned about our ability to maintain a strong project execution workforce because we have to make it attractive for a young person to enter this field because that is really where you deliver at the end, the projects to the customer. But you also have to explain to them, if you start here today, you're going to have a job in this field also 20 years down the road, even if the technology changes. And that is something which the organization has tremendously developed over the last 18 months in terms of training more people, in terms of also starting new competence centers in India, Mexico and Romania to get also enough access to young talent pools where a lot of engineers are available and also to make us as easy to interface with as possible to hook on external partners such that we can also work with a volatile workload or share different scope of supply. So at the end, it's about safeguarding execution excellence. And this is now something which will help us also to support the Wind business to get the different projects on track while they have to manage in tremendously increasing amount of projects. And this is obviously something also what Vinod will talk about. While doing this, obviously, the other question in delivering profitable growth is also how can we make sure that while being constrained in capital, we really build competencies and capacities, which are required to cope with the increasing backlog, but also the increasing revenue. And I would like to give you a couple of examples across the different businesses. You see it on the right-hand side, maybe you have read it in the press that we just launched the electrolyzer factory in Berlin, together with our industrial partner, Air Liquide. They are co-investing into our factory. They are also bringing their customer input in certain designs of the products, so there's also competencies coming in. And they help us really with limited amount of capital on our side really to build factory capacity and also the extension is already planned, potentially also with the support of other customers. And the same we do for example, for additive manufacturing, which are critical components for us in Gas Services. We will need to ramp up the facilities there in terms of having enough access to additive manufacturing parts. But we do it in the meantime, in a joint venture where there is industrial companies as well as financial investors supporting this extension of the production capacities. In the areas where we decide to invest really ourselves, and you see here the examples of transformer capacities. That is something which we do carefully at existing sites in environments which are very supportive to help with these investments like India and the U.S., which is planned going forward to extend the transformer capacity, which is needed then afterwards for the HVDC project and growth there. So one other element I would like to highlight. It also comes to the question, how can we continue to build competencies when we do not want to spend too much money on acquisitions. And obviously, partnerships is, for us, a good example, has worked for us well. Tim will explain an example on a grid management software to move this forward. Let me come to Wind and obviously, how do we fix the onshore quality problems. And we have been presenting the quality task force before on the quarterly call. They have three work streams: technology, contract, operations. They have been working through the technology matters. Now preparing the corrective or containment actions for the turbines, while the contract work stream has reviewed every onshore contract and is defining the priorities of intervention. As you know, a lot of the turbines are normally operating. So we have time to plan really the interventions, and we do it, obviously, in light of the severity of the financial consequences alongside these contracts and also operations plan on how to best route it through the organization and through the suppliers. At the same time, we are now in the process to redefining a reentry into certain markets or into the market also on the onshore side, trying to select the best countries which offer an interesting profit pool. Jochen will talk about it, what is offering a stable framework, where we want to compete, what does fit to our products in terms of market moving forward. Offshore, it's all about now ramping up really the offshore facilities. And obviously, what we're trying to, at the same time, do is continuously drive the competitiveness of our product. We have a market leadership today. So it gives us an excellent position to build on, but it's also a lot of work continuously to be done to really deliver on the productivity targets going forward. Bringing all this together for Wind, and obviously, adding to this service business, which needs to return to the target profitability level, looking carefully on the new orders, what we take where, I today, feel comfortable with the terms and conditions, which the organization signs and really making sure that we drive this operational excellence, which we have been seeing successful in the other parts of the business. Wind is targeted to reach breakeven in 2026. We will still see a potential substantial loss in 2024. But we're going to work our way through it and Jochen is going to explain to you in more detail on what is done there. Same element then I would like to address as a third point, really the portfolio management and the activities, what we are doing there. As I said, there has been a substantial amount of business reviewed, sold, disposals are flowing in, and we continue to do so. We continue to do so in line with two key criterias we're looking on. First of all, it must -- business which fits in our portfolio must reach the 8% plus profit margin target, and it must fit to our understanding of the ESG logic and how we drive energy transition. These are two key elements we will continue to look in -- it's not a time at the moment for material inorganic growth on our side, obviously, but it's in time where definitely we will make use of driving our portfolio going forward for strategic fit. For products where we sometimes are not the best owner, we still believe it's an interesting product like distribution transformers, but we would potentially not allocate enough money to make them successful in the years to come. We are selecting at the moment, different approaches. Here is the minority joint venture example of the distribution transformer where we target to bring it together with a key industry player, and which is then at the end, definitely a better setup to also help this business to excel without us having to devote financial resources. At the same time, it will also to be about deploying the right level of capital and do it with rigor. And we have very clear principles applied for the spend in research and development. And you will see in the financial framework that we still spend a lot of money in research and development despite the current financial situation, but we do it very carefully in terms of size and growth of the market opportunity and time to profits. Same of extending capacities, it's an example of Hull, the blade factory, where we have invested substantial amount of money. But at the same time, we also canceled other investments into new factories, where we said we're only going to ramp up at the moment, the existing factories. And until we have not proven that we can do it in the right productivity level, we will not really continue to spend into new extensions, but really our new factories, but really ramp up the existing factories. As I said, it's not a time for big inorganic growth. If we hook on certain capabilities like this example here with Pro Integris, which is really on the substation side for Transmission business, it must be fast accretive, and this is what we have been looking in throughout this year. I'm super proud with the development what the company took on ESG seeing where we started, and everybody was skeptical about what this is company about. And if you look today on Siemens Energy, it is a company which drives energy transition. And this makes us all very, very proud. And the ratings since the start of the company have been continuously going up. We are ahead of the targets if it comes to decarbonization. And this applies to our supplier base. This applies to our own operations and even to our Scope 3 targets, so with our customers. I'm not satisfied today with our safety performance. We see obviously headwinds from the massive increasing workload. We have to put a high focus on that one, but I'm overall very proud about this, as much as I'm very proud of our workforce. I mean, the last three years have been a tremendous stretch on the people of Siemens Energy. And I have to say it's amazing, and this is what makes me get up motivated every morning to see this team really working with rigor on all the challenges what we have. And we have been building a team which is resilient, which is capable, and it's really impressive to see that between '22 and '23, which probably have been, at least for me, the most work-intensive years of my career, the satisfaction of the employees even going up. And that is something in a company, which is so much on the transformation, which makes me very, very happy and confident for the future and obviously also seeing on how diversity has been driven along the workforce, gender, internationality, is something which is very, very positive in terms of really building one team who can deliver and we will continue to have a high focus on developing our workforce. Let me summarize briefly. And as I said, if the undesired financial performance in 2023 has triggered one thing is for us to be now more rigorous even on fast accelerating our journey to the energy transition and to create shareholder returns, to make sure that as fast as possible, we come to positive net income, to be able to pay dividends. This is obviously our target to deliver on the profitable growth by EUR 112 billion order backlog, turnaround and fix Siemens Gamesa's Wind business and [ temporally ] into the profit pools, which are available in Wind, and we will accelerate on the strategic path and we will be very strict with capital allocation to make sure that we can maneuver this balance between growth, but obviously also shareholder return. And this is where the colleagues now will walk you, first of all, with Maria through the numbers, and then the different colleagues through the businesses and global functions. Thank you very much for your attention, and I would hand over for the financials to Maria. Thank you.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#2

Hello, everybody. Thanks, Christian, for quite an opening. It's hard to follow actually, but I'll do my best. It's my pleasure to be here with all of you today, actually to see a lot of familiar faces here with us in the room. And for those of you who are joining us virtually, hello. Yes, I think it's been quite a journey, as Christian has mentioned in the last three years, and this is our third Capital Market Day. But at the same time, I would say we have a lot to be proud of, a lot to work on, but a lot to be proud of. And maybe I'm just going to build on what Christian mentioned regarding delivering on profitable growth, and why that is so important for us within our financial framework, of course, and that we have to do this month by month, quarter by quarter. Also looking at fixing the Wind business. Of course, this is imperative. I mean we have to do this. And we have a plan to do so. Christian mentioned it, and Jochen will build on that. And then maintaining because I do believe we have maintained solid financial foundations and how do we do that not only today, but tomorrow. So maybe going back in time a little bit and looking at perhaps some of the highlights and perhaps areas of improvement or low lights. Certainly, we've had a challenging fiscal year 2023, no doubt. However, you see that there's light. The light is the orders. The tremendous amount of order intake that we have, had not only in fiscal year '23, but each year since the inception of the company, we've had a book-to-bill greater than 1, that has also translated itself into higher-than-expected revenues since inception. But of course, it needs to hit the bottom line, as Christian mentioned, and it has not done so, weather, of course, here net income. And also, we endeavor to be a net cash company. And here, you see we've gone from a net cash to a net debt in the fiscal year -- of fiscal year '23. Now perhaps that was the dark, but the light is here, and over 70% of our businesses really have had an excellent progression in the last years overall. Whether it's Gas Services, and we don't show you fiscal year '20, if you know, if you remember, '20 would have actually been even lower, but Gas Services year-by-year have continued to progress and really capitalize on some of the measures that have been taken place in the past and also driving top line performance, which converts into a very strong bottom line performance. A tremendous excellent year for Gas Services in fiscal year '23 and Karim will go through it. But what's important is not only fiscal year '23, but our guidance for '25 -- '24, excuse me, and then our target for '26. You see that progression upward. And also with respect to Grid Technologies, this year, if you think back to our 2020 Capital Market Day, in terms of the growth and the revenue growth we've seen, we're now at a double-digit growth, and Tim will go through that in a moment. But still, we had a bit of a dip in fiscal year '22. Just to remind you, we had some headwinds with supply chain. We also had the impacts of Russia in fiscal year '22, but certainly right back to where it deserves to be in Grid Technology and continuing to improve year-over-year to the fiscal year target of 9% to 11%. Then looking at Transformation of Industry. As Christian said, it's the turnaround story for us, and that was not by accident, not at all. There was a lot of hard work that was put into ensuring that all of those four businesses within TI show progress and really cumulative improvements year-over-year, Anne-Laure will go into that in a moment, but certainly a success case across the board in all business areas. What's important is exactly that it has progressed year-over-year, but also that for Grid Technologies and Transformation of Industries, we're actually upgrading their targets for fiscal year '26 and also fiscal year '25. And this is confirmed for Gas Services for the '25, 10% to 12%. So again, yes, some dark, but certainly a lot of light and a lot of hard work has put into it to get there and maybe to bring you back a little bit more in time to the last Capital Market Day, where we talked about the Accelerate impact program. And if you recall, there were some legacy productivity programs that we -- let's say, we're continuing to work through upon the inception of the company. But then we also added to it a EUR 300 million additional Accelerate impact program productivity program, which focused exactly on those businesses that needed to look at their structure and ensure that they were fit for future. And that hard work has paid off, whether it was footprint, whether it was looking at the operational and project excellence that Christian referred to and that Vinod will go into a little further in the presentation. It's really about ensuring that day by day, we execute with excellence, and I think those hard measures have translated themselves into the progress that you see in front of you. Not only is it progress for one year. This is important. It's sustainable savings that we foresee underlying in the operational performance of those businesses, whether it's Gas Services or the two that we highlighted here from Transformation of Industries, with compression and industrial steam. And that's important because that's a check that's what we committed to, and we delivered. Also something that we have committed to, of course, very important to us are the integration synergies upon completion of the transaction of Siemens Gamesa integration. That was EUR 300 million, if you recall. And that had a focus of procurement and logistics over half, 60% in other synergies whether it's looking at functions, as Christian mentioned, and that we've done immediately wherever possible and wherever it made sense, we immediately started to work together to help Siemens Gamesa and also to ensure that we set ourselves up for these synergies going forward. However, it is clear to say that we do that in a very calculated and let's say, progressive manner to ensure that we allow for Siemens Gamesa's priority to be the stabilization and the turnaround. Also included in those savings, you see a time line. So again, the transaction was closed in June. So we foresee that in fiscal year '24, '25 and then '26 and '27 is when those integration synergies will come to fruition. Vinod will go into that a little more in detail later, and we've indicated what those savings look like. But certainly, we're on the path to create those synergies step by step. Order backlog. I think Christian mentioned it, it's so important for us. And I wanted to ensure that we go through that in a bit more detail today because it's so important to us in terms of transparency, in terms of ensuring that what is in our backlog will be executed with the financial profile that we mandate. And that, of course, with respect to some of the challenges we've experienced, some of that onerous backlog needs time to get through the system as we execute step by step. So what you see is the EUR 112 billion backlog. What we've provided in terms of extra transparency today is the reach of that backlog year by year. And what the reach is means how much of the revenue is in-house for that particular fiscal year already. So for fiscal year '24, you see the reach on top is 90%. What that means is in the EUR 112 billion backlog, we already have visibility on 90% of our revenues that will come to fruition as we execute through those projects and contracts and orders into fiscal year '24. And you also see the composition therein from the various businesses to say, hey, is it GS, GT, TI and SG. And what is important is perhaps to highlight, and I will look at that in a bit more detail in a moment, is that, that is pretty equal for the years, and then you get to the reach in fiscal year '26 and onward. And what's important there is you see a large block for GS and a large block for SG. And included in both of those businesses, notwithstanding the other businesses, we have the long-term service program. And I think that is what you see there is those contracts that are quite lengthy in duration that continue to provide, certainly, we say that all the time about GS, really foundational, recurring, resilient, strong profit -- revenue and profit and cash. So that's the way, if you'd like, at least, the reach progresses until fiscal year ''26. What's also something that we provided -- Christian provided the split in terms of new unit and service in terms of the project margins and how those have progressed in the backlog. Here, I give it to you by business area. And you see that all of them really with that momentum because it's not just quantity. It's really about the quality that's in the backlog that matters. So therefore, I can clearly show you that each of the business areas have increased their backlog margins, which is great, GS, TI and GT. For SG, it has decreased, of course, on the back of the quality issues that we experienced in Q3, but also prior to that, we did have some onerous contracts in the backlog. I'll show you in a moment how that translates into the next couple of years. But certainly, overall, you see that we have a positive progression in our project margin backlog. Also important is the 51% resilient service share that I just mentioned. And I think that, that certainly provides that foundation, that stable foundation that we need for our business that is encompassed in the EUR 112 billion backlog. So moving on a little bit as to how does that backlog actually affect the balance sheet and also the strict allocation criteria for resources that Christian alluded to. Well, of course, we have a very peak actually with respect to order intake and you see that on the left-hand side. What you also see is that the book-to-bill is clearly over 1 in all of the years. So this is really that positive momentum that we referred to. And what you also see in the middle is the operating working capital. We do have a level of prefinancing. That is the nature of the business model. That is actually a positive thing. This is what we want. And when we look at taking on contracts and orders that are longer term in duration, we look to ensure that those cash curves, et cetera, are included. What is also a question that I'm often asked is, Maria, how is that -- how does that relate to any potential back swing? Is it going to level at this -- how does it work? And what I would like to say to you today is, of course, it has a few determinants. One is that we continue to see the backlog develop positively, so a positive book-to-bill, which we do foresee. Two is that, of course, when you look at it, we've done some stress testing, that's why I have this little bit of markings there into fiscal year '24 and '25. When you stress test up and down in terms of some order intake, we still are around the minus EUR 2.6 billion that you see there. And in addition, our backlog should level at this point with a book-to-bill at 1 or greater. So this is why we don't see this operating working capital going off a cliff or any potential real strong backlash at this point in time. So I wanted to make sure that we've highlighted that for you because this seems to be a question that we receive quite often. And then, of course, looking at CapEx. With such a volume that you have, as you see on the left-hand side, with that type of volume increasing, there will be the necessity to invest in our business. What we do is this with a very strict allocation policy, looking at exactly that the CapEx, for example, CapEx in general are only for two things, either customer requirements or growth. And we make sure that, that is looked at for each and every CapEx request. And as you see, it is increasing somewhat, and that's in light of, of course, our volume increase. And there's a few things dynamic, let's say, embedded in that, not only in SG, which is the majority of the CapEx, it is over 60% of CapEx today is for the Siemens Gamesa business. But of course, also in the other businesses, but the colleagues will tell you in a moment, it's actually CapEx light. We make sure that wherever there is a CapEx spend that the ROI makes sense and that is exactly like I said, either for growth or for customer requirements. And here, you see that it does peak in '24 and '25. That is essentially due to Siemens Gamesa as we then continue to increase capacity across all of the facilities, as Jochen will show you in a moment, and as alluded to by Christian. We do see this leveling off, of course, after the peak in '24 and '25, and this is where we see a normalization thereafter. Again, now looking at the balance sheet and what does it mean? Of course, the provisions have increased with the recent developments, and we wanted to give you this insight here today, which shows that we have onerous provisions and warranties. And for the last two years prior to fiscal year '23, that's exactly where the normalization or the normal level was. Of course, with the Q3 impacts where we have additional necessity for warranty, but also for the numerous contracts, that's mainly driven by SG, then, of course, that has increased by the EUR 1.3 billion that you see here. But what's important about that is all the costs so far that we know are now considered. So the question then becomes, when is the cash out relating to those provisions, which are on our balance sheet today. And the cash out, as mentioned also in Q3, really does follow the curve at the bottom left of the slide, where you see it really does go into '24, '25 peaking and then settles as it goes to the end of the decade. And I think that's really important because the cash out of those provisions is important to know, when do those unwind. And what you see is it's about a 45-55 split till the end of the decade, yes? So the other -- the cash flows then continue well beyond 2030 in line with warranty and so on. This is what we mentioned already that we want to ensure that those repairs and so on continue with the warranty schedule as expected, so well beyond 2030. And here, you see with respect to our free cash flow overall for Siemens Energy, we are a company that does deliver free cash. You see it since the beginning. Actually, in fiscal year '20, there was also another EUR 1 billion of free cash flow. So we foresee in the time line here depicted between EUR 5 billion to EUR 6 billion of cash still coming and being generated as a company. However, with the cash requirements that I just mentioned, whether it's CapEx, et cetera, and the issues that we have in Siemens Gamesa, we did foresee a dip in the cash -- the free cash flow for '24. This is what you see in front of us. This is what's included in our guidance, the minus EUR 1 billion -- up to EUR 1 billion. However, over fiscal year '24, '25 and '26 rather, we continue to see that we get out of this trough of '24, where the major cash requirements are for Siemens Gamesa and then get back on to that positive cash flow trajectory that we need and we will have in '25 and '26, back up to the level of the EUR 1 billion to EUR 2 billion between those two years. So again, '24 is the critical year, '24 is where we see the dip ,then we see that we come out of it thereafter into '25 and '26 and onward. Our commitment as a company to a prudent financial policy, this has remained, let's say, very steadfast since the beginning of the company, and we need to. This is part of our business model, and we need to ensure that our balance sheet is commensurate with an investment-grade credit profile. And when we saw that, of course, the cash needs for fiscal year '24 would be greater than expected, we immediately put into place proactive measures. We knew that we had -- we ended the year ultimately with the EUR 0.8 billion. We knew that the free cash flow pretax would be around to the minus EUR 1 billion. Of course, we have another minus EUR 1 billion in cash needs. That's nothing out of normal. These are really normal topics. We've highlighted them at the bottom. And then, of course, that would have put us into a net debt position, which was unacceptable for us. So proactively, we put measures in place in terms of the acceleration of our portfolio, as Christian mentioned, and ensured that we have proceeds on disposals of the tune of EUR 2.5 billion to EUR 3 billion to really put us right back up to that net cash position as expected for fiscal year '24. And this is really important for us to have that solid, strong liquidity, which we have already in-house, as you can see, with EUR 9.6 billion between cash and cash equivalents and our revolving credit facility, but certainly then, of course, also with this to have a net cash position ultimately for '24. That was our goal. Now moving into Siemens Gamesa. How are we going to do it? And I mentioned to you earlier, how are we able to see in the backlog to ensure that we can say, hey, in fiscal year '26, we do see a breakeven for Siemens Gamesa. Let me take you to the left of this slide. So with our transparency, with our order backlog, we absolutely know what the project margins look like for each of the businesses. It's really just accumulation of the projects in the backlog. For here, you see we have onshore, offshore and service and the project margins for onshore and offshore that has been impacted by the quality issues, of course, and also don't forget by the high rising costs on the offshore business. And what you see at the bottom is a snapshot. That's a snapshot of the backlog that we have in-house at the end of fiscal year '23 before Siemens Gamesa. And what's important is, and we mentioned that already in previous quarters is how long will it take for us to convert through the backlog because it is onerous in onshore, for example. And here, you see exactly the transparency that shows us when we will convert through that backlog and execute to where we see the new normal and the light, if you'd like at the end of the tunnel with fiscal year '26. So you see fiscal year '24 the composition, then '25, you see the onerous backlog in onshore. And we had previously said that we would get through that in '24 and the beginning of '25. But now we see that it's going to take '24 plus '25. But you see at the end of '25 into '26, no more of that onerous backlog from the onshore business within Siemens Gamesa. And what's important there is that you see in '27 and onward, what's remaining is service business, that long-term service program that exists also within Siemens Gamesa. And why is that important to see, how this develops because the assumption is, and we know that and Jochen will talk to you about in a moment, that within Siemens Gamesa, contracts now going forward, have the terms and conditions and the cash curve and the profitability and the risk and sharing profile that we need for the future. So this shows you exactly how the curve will happen and the execution that needs to happen in the next two years of that backlog, but then we get back on track. And there's improvement measures behind this. I think Jochen will go through it in a moment. Some affect the project margin in terms of, of course, fixing the quality issues, looking at fewer variants, et cetera, but also at the structural cost and efficiency improvements below that with respect to the ramp-up progress in offshore, looking at their portfolio, making sure that we're streamlining wherever possible, looking at synergies within Siemens Energy to ensure that we capitalize on that. I think that's important, which is now going to get us to that '26 breakeven point that you see on the right-hand side. So we have that visibility that allows us to say this at this point in time. So all of this put together looks at the future and how do we -- at Siemens Energy, what kind of targets would we like to have in place for us in fiscal year '28? And you see, based on, of course, the targets that we've put out for fiscal year, the guidance for '24 and the targets for '26, we see the growth, still strong growth at a mid-single digit in revenue in the mid-term in '28. We see profit margin as reported at the greater than 8% level, all in. We see this is the first time we're introducing a capital efficiency target with ROCE at 15%. And then the capital structure, again, really underpinning our commitment to investment-grade profile and a balance sheet -- a solid foundation and a solid balance sheet. And our dividend policy remains unchanged at the 40% to 60%. What are the key messages? I think building on what Christian was saying, talking about the fact that we do, yes, we have our challenges, but we also have a lot of opportunities. We have the excellent turnaround of our businesses. You saw that at the beginning of my presentation and really with upgraded expectations for those businesses into the future. We have and will continue to have a great market momentum behind us to support that as well as we've done a lot of the hard work in parts of the business already to ensure that we continue to capitalize that into the future. We have prudent resource allocation and selective investments in how we do that already. We will continue to do that, where we're focusing either on growth or customer requirements. Of course, we commit ourselves to a solid balance sheet and solid investment grade. And last but not least, we will ensure that we continue to have those targets in place to create sustainable shareholder value creation. And with that, I think we are at the Q&A. Thank you very much for your patience and for listening.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#3

Right. Thank you, Christian. Thank you. Thank you, Maria. We will take some questions from the room, but there are also people dialing in. They are asking questions. That's why I have my laptop with me. The lights are very bright. So I may not immediately see when you raise your hand. I think -- someone here. So first to Akash, then the second one to [indiscernible]. Akash, if you start .

Akash Gupta

analyst
#4

It's Akash from JPMorgan. I have two, if I may. The first one is on this price cost improvement that you've shown in the backlog. Will it be possible to split this into pricing action and cost action because you also show us that your cost has been lower through the productivity plan. So maybe if you can help us breaking down this improvement in backlog margins into pricing and non pricing? And the second one is on normalization of orders that you expect for fiscal year '24. Is this based on your pipeline where you have seen maybe the level of activities coming down? Or is this based on your prudence that interest rates are higher, and therefore, the customer decision making could be a bit different? So maybe if you can provide some color on what are the factors behind? What are you seeing exactly right now, which is leading to normalization in orders?

Christian Bruch

executive
#5

Yes. Maybe I take the question on pricing and also cost measures, where I will not dissect it, I will try to give it to you qualitatively a bit, right? Because, obviously, what you have seen on the pricing side, particularly in a booming market like Grid Technologies, obviously, the pricing element has a, let's say, more pronounced role. And in this regard, obviously helped also to build the uplift in the margin, notwithstanding all the activities around cost, but this has been obviously been well captured also by the team. What I think is more important than pricing, and I always say it also with Wind, is the terms and conditions which come with that, right? Because we shouldn't get carried away too fast by pricing. At the end is a question how sure you are that you're going to deliver it. So it is always a combination by pricing plus terms and conditions, which protect really the risk. Gas Services has been and also Transformation of Industry -- Gas Service has been a lot also about this coming through of all these ARP measures, which Maria said, that really have created, let's say, a very competitive cost base including new products which have been launched. The HL obviously, new updates of new frames coming into the market, which helped a lot, obviously, to build this. In -- the Transformation of Industry is a bit a mixture because it's different businesses. But the team has, apart from a tremendous turnaround job and you see steam today really as a really very successful business. This is not cost alone. There's also pricing elements and selectivity in it for definite. On the second point, I now have to -- Akash no, you have to help me. The second point was?

Akash Gupta

analyst
#6

[indiscernible]

Christian Bruch

executive
#7

Yes. Thank you very much. First of all, it's a mixture of these different elements. We do see still a strong pipeline in terms of orders. If we look across the different areas, we are very careful also seeing the load we have in the factories and making sure that we have the teams available and so forth and making sure that we don't overreach ourselves in terms of backlog. And this is obviously a careful choice on how to do it. I see the market intact as such. I mean you see certain elements, and this is why I was raising particularly on the Wind side where you really see a reshuffling, where I see there is also the market itself. I mean, you see the reauctions which need to happen, more time required, prices have to come up, where we still see '24 lower market area, particularly in the offshore side, which will recover then thereafter. But I think, by and large, is really a careful application of our selectivity, making sure that we also reflect the load what we're having in the organization.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#8

I was going to make the selectivity point. I think this is very important in terms of how we actually actively normalize the backlog.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#9

Gael, over to you. What I forgot to mention, if you mentioned your full name and the institution, that may help.

Gael de-Bray

analyst
#10

Gael de-Bray from Deutsche Bank. I apologize in advance, not for asking directly longer-term strategic questions, but I'd like to start with a couple of questions on the balance sheet. So I guess, for Maria really. I mean, last week, you did announce some kind of a risk you packaged to maintain the solid financial foundation of the group. There were a number of things announced with Siemens AG in particular. What I'd like to understand is from an accounting perspective and from a credit rating perspective, how do you expect the deferral of the payments to Siemens and the use of the 5% stake in Siemens India as a collateral for the guarantees to be treated. And then I have sort of a similar question this time related to the commitment to buy a majority stake in the demerged energy business of Siemens India in around 5 years. Again, from a balance sheet perspective and from a credit rating perspective, how will that be treated, I guess, in fiscal Q1? And if I may, perhaps on the free cash flow, the guidance that you provided for the group, I think you said in the call last week, more or less EUR 2 billion of free cash flow negative for Gamesa, which is more or less in line with the operating loss. And this is what I don't fully understand because I mean the CapEx is expected to be greater. Orders are expected to be down. So I would expect some negative working capital swing at Gamesa. Then you also have the usage on some of the provisions you've booked so far. So let me -- well, if you could provide a bit of color on the dynamics there for Gamesa specifically, it would be great.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#11

Sure. How -- maybe let me dissect this question. So first of all, in terms of the measures that were announced last week with respect to [ SIL ]. So again, this is just an acceleration of a transaction that was envisioned in the mid-term in the future. And in terms of the now, like you're saying for Q1, I think that was pretty clear as to what the impact will be. We'll have proceeds from the disposal. We'll have a gain on that disposal as well. And that's something that we see pretty imminent. I think the Ts and Cs on everything is well in hand. With respect to the future, and this is also what I mentioned last week is, of course, this is a transaction that will happen well into the future. Today, what happens is the demerger happens essentially upon sale. And then we wait for a couple of years. There's reasons for that, where then there becomes a swap into the new co, and that's another 3-year wait period. So it's essentially 4 to 5 years into the future in which this happens. And that's why -- and there's different factors to think about. There's many steps between now and then. And so therefore, from a balance sheet perspective, there isn't a liability there. There's also -- because there's a company that's not even there yet. There's multiple factors, the GP versus non-GP valuation. All of these are certainly well set into the future. With respect to the collateral, I think that was the second one. I mean this is in progress as well. I mean, essentially, it's the shares that are there that are put into a vehicle, let's say, and that are used as direct collateral, full stop. It's not more complicated than that. And the last question was on free cash flow?

Christian Bruch

executive
#12

I think it was the free cash flow at the dissection of the EUR 2 billion and the profit loss to the...

Maria Ferraro

executive
#13

Which I just mentioned, so that's how the free cash flow is. I mean, look, we essentially took again those proactive measures in light of the fact that we actually did see that the cash needs at Siemens Gamesa were higher, and that was foreseen to a certain degree because in Q3, we indicated there would be a quality issue, the provisions would be booked. But we also indicated that there will be impacts in fiscal year '24 and that there's additional let's say, consequential impacts that end up coming into fiscal year '24 because even if the onerous contracts and whatever was booked, could be booked in Q3 of last year, we would see a diminished profit profile for some of those contracts as well into the next fiscal year. So it was almost like there was additional consequential impacts that resulted in the amount that we discussed last week, Gael.

Gael de-Bray

analyst
#14

My question was perhaps more on how to reconcile the EUR 2 billion of operating loss with only EUR 2 billion of outflows for Gamesa in 2024, given the expected higher CapEx, cash usage on the provisions and very likely a negative working capital change. So maybe I missed that.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#15

Yes. And I think it's also -- don't forget the business isn't stopping, right? I mean there's still top line coming in for next year and other things that are adding to cash as well as the development of the balance sheet in accordance with what we've seen from the businesses.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#16

Okay. There's one interesting question coming in for Christian, which I would like to take before we take the next question. And that's in relation to SGRE. And it's a strategic question. Otherwise, please have the questions for SGRE for Jochen. But the question is what are the upsides and downsides of having SGRE as part of Siemens Energy and a small addition, if you want to, that one is if we are considering to integrate solar into our renewable product offering, but I think the first one.

Christian Bruch

executive
#17

Yes. I mean, first of all, I mean, let's be clear, I mean all the different businesses have to generate profit pool, right? I mean it's -- and this is why fixing the Wind business, it was all alternatives and they have to generate profits. But there is -- and execution is one of that, but there is a lot more commonalities what one believe really between the different businesses. And I see it today, the quality task force, as an example, is composed by 50% of the people coming from Siemens Energy, and they're helping a lot. We are doing at the moment, Maria showed it in the trajectory on the savings in terms of procurement alignment, which is, at the end, managing suppliers, creating transparency. And it's also about a way on how do we make sure that we have the right people to execute project run engineering. So despite the fact of needing domain know-how, our business about on how you do things. And this is at the end also on how risks are managed. And if you see where things went wrong, how our factory is managed, how are these ramp-ups done, how is shop floor management happening, how do you actually report transparently project risks that is not really related to turbine or wind turbine technology as such is about on how you do things. And I think where we can -- we're better as a group is really making sure that we have this operational backbone available to help the different businesses, let it be Gas, let it be Grid, let it be Wind, [ excel ]. However, I mean, at the end, still also the products have to be designed diligently, qualitatively in the right spot, and we have to tackle the right markets. But definitely, there is synergies from the other areas in Siemens Energy. Solar is, for me, a little bit at arm's length elements. We are looking into this continuously. There had been a, let's say, a smaller part of Solar business done in Siemens Gamesa, which we actually disregard going forward, but we continuously looked in opportunities, whether or not Solar is interesting, but it is on an exploratory mode. It's not a business what I would talk about business today.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#18

Thank you. Over there.

Nicholas Green

analyst
#19

Nick Green here from Bernstein. Sorry to return to the same question as Gael is asking. It's about the EUR 2 billion loss for Wind next year. It's not the provision you take in the EUR 2.2 billion because they're at 0 margin. I think your chart indicated that the project business would be positive margin next year. So it sounds like you've got an additional EUR 2 billion of turnaround costs that you're guiding to, maybe a bigger number of project business is positive. Can you give us details on what that turnaround is, what that turnaround cost is? Because I think in substance, it feels like you committed to EUR 2.2 billion provision a few months ago, and you just increased it to EUR 4.2 billion provision. In other words, it's another large hit to the business. Can you give us the details of why it is going to be a EUR 2 billion loss because it's not fully clear to me. Second question is just on the commitment to the investment-grade rating. Just to be clear here, are you confident that this means you won't go sub-investment grade? Or are you just telling us that if you do go sub-investment grade, you'll get -- you'll become -- you'll be promoted again in the future?

Christian Bruch

executive
#20

First of all, maybe let me -- I'm not getting your logic there, I have to say, right? So there's no additional provisions. There is no additional things that we see. But what you may be have to take into account is there's an element of under absorption in the organization, which comes obviously there. And this is also offshore, right? Because still with the improvement in productivity, we still see an under-absorption element in terms of ramping up the factories. Not sure whether you have the right metrics on what is the gross profit and what is the total cost because there is onerous, let's say, the onshore business is onerous in '24, let's say, completely what you work through, you have the whole structural cost. You may have, let's say, a different view on the structural cost. What you have to see because, I mean, there's the onshore business, but there's also obviously the factories and the, let's say, the corporate functions and so forth, which I think your logic on the cash flow, I'm not following you. So what I can confirm, there is no extra hit or any hidden thing in terms of extra provision. This is not there.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#21

Exactly.

Christian Bruch

executive
#22

And sorry, Nick, the second question.

Nicholas Green

analyst
#23

[indiscernible]

Christian Bruch

executive
#24

Yes. Thank you. Thanks, Nick.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#25

When it comes -- I mean, look, again, I'll say what I said last week, I'm saying it again. We saw that the cash needs were greater than expected for this coming year based on Q3 and the work that was done thereafter. We proactively took measures to ensure that we have the, let's say, net cash position based on the proceeds from disposals and others. I mean, we've got lots of things that we can do to further strengthen if need be. And I think that's exactly what we wanted to do to come back to a net cash position to have a solid balance sheet, full stop.

Nicholas Green

analyst
#26

Just asking if you happen to be downgraded to sub-investment grade, should we be worried about that because that isn't what you're telling us right now? Or you're saying, no, it's okay, we may get downgraded. But over the next 3 or 4 years, we plan to end that in an investment-grade position because you're only just above investment grade at the moment or just at it.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#27

I can't comment on how -- what -- how S&P will conclude their credit watch. I think we've been working with them very closely. They have given credit to a lot of what we have done. That's a process that's in progress as you speak. With respect to, again, what I said in terms of how the balance sheet looks like, the various levers that we have, we'll do everything and anything to maintain that solid balance sheet. And you can see that with what we've already done so far. I think that's our commitment to ensuring we have a balance sheet that is commensurate with an investment-grade profile.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#28

Good. First, Danny and then Ben. Danny?

Danny van Doesburg

analyst
#29

Danny van Doesburg, APG Asset Management. A simple question to Maria. Looking into the future, you mentioned already new projects already hitting some of the milestones and credit terms you want to see. And also referring to slide, I think it was 41, where you say -- where you show a 10 percentage points improvement on the margin of project margins. Is that indicating that future new projects could be maybe even above 10% profit margin? Well, that's a bit of a guess. And then the other thing. If I would buy a Siemens Gamesa turbine from you, let's say, the new one, what kind of security or sort of guarantee I can buy from you in terms of how long the product will last like the blades, the nacelles, et cetera? So in order for you and us to know how much horizon you have to confirm to your clients and when you're off the hook, so to speak, so to give us some security about -- because it's a relative new business. So we don't have much track record about how long turbines in offshore harsh conditions work. So that's a bit of the question behind that.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#30

I can take the first one. Thank you, Danny, for that question regarding the uplift that we see in the backlog margin. The answer to your question is yes, we do see that. And in the past, we used to say -- or if you recall, at the inception of the company, we also had some toxic backlog on the new unit side, that's fully gone. So now the conditions, terms and conditions on all of the businesses, as we demonstrated, have indicated that, yes, those project margins continue to increase into the future, so yes.

Christian Bruch

executive
#31

Maybe I'll take the second one. And just to put it also into perspective to make it also clear, we have roughly installed and operating around 50,000 turbines. 4% of that, right, is the 4x and 5x which create the [ pain ]. 96% of that, let's say, fleet is operating fine as expected since years and decades. And just to put that into perspective, not to create the wrong perception. But the logic is always similar to Gas Services. You sell a new unit and you sell a service contract with it. So the service contract describes on what are you giving guarantees on and how this is related to wear and tear, operating conditions and so forth. Offshore normally as a service business, which is less pronounced than in onshore, simply because there are more sales performance. And then it's more about parts and providing services, which comes also with different liabilities. But generally, I mean, the industry is running on let's say, contract durations on the service side was 15, 20, sometimes even up to 25 years in terms of operation. That doesn't mean that it always covers the full turbine. It's a question of the terms and conditions on how you design it. And that is something what Jochen and the team is rigorously working on to make sure that you -- the customer feels comfortable to operate long-term and understand the lifetime. At the same time, obviously, certain things will be wear and tears, harsh conditions and so forth, which cannot be part of the product liability as such, but more from a service and maintenance contract. And that is obviously where the reshuffling in terms of how this is best done is happening also at the moment in the industry. But that is a relatively -- I mean, even so you say a new product, it's a relatively established model, which operates very positively for the vast amount of the fleet and don't take the current challenges in 4x and 5x to apply it to all the rest of the components.

Danny van Doesburg

analyst
#32

Could you give [indiscernible] on the blades like do you have to design for at least 10 years [indiscernible] and then afterwards supplying...

Christian Bruch

executive
#33

The blades are normally designed for the lifetime, right? And this is on how you -- how we test it. And if you have not done so, we would be happy to invite you to [indiscernible] also to see on how these things are tested in terms of making sure that they can withstand these conditions, which is also the normal experiences as long as the fabrication process doesn't reveal any quality issues, wrinkles or whatever. I think Jochen will talk about that, which then harms the blade. But generally, this is a component which you can easily design for the lifetime, not easily, but you can design for the lifetime.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#34

So just we extend the Q&A a little bit so that we can take Ben and Delphine, so many hands. But let's start with Ben, please.

Ben Uglow

analyst
#35

So I had a couple. Slide 41 was a very busy slide and the moving parts on project margins and cost savings and some other. If I step back and try to dumb it down, what you're really saying is that, in particular, that EUR 5 billion of onshore backlog, you think that you have a line of sight on the phasing of that backlog? And basically, that runs off, and that's why we get there. I mean I just want to make sure I'm not missing the point.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#36

Yes. No, exactly .

Ben Uglow

analyst
#37

So to play -- I hate to do this, not -- I realize this was not a problem of your creation. But the -- your confidence in those backlog assumptions, right, let's be honest, we've been here before on those backlog assumptions. What incremental testing since the last -- the big warning at the midyear, what gives us that confidence that those are the right margins? Is it around cost? Is it around the sample? Can you help us there? So that was question number one. Question number two, my numbers are clearly wrong on your free cash flow slightly. And I didn't realize that your tax and other items with a little footnote was going to be as big as EUR 1 billion, to be honest. Can you just run us through that EUR 1 billion? There's other in there. There's interest costs in there. What's going on in that line because it actually only just gets us back into a positive cash position, I thought it was going to be over EUR 1 billion. So that's the second question. The third question is just governance. And I guess this is a question for Christian. Since you bought out the minority, right, since that, let's say, big governance structure change, how does your day-to-day interaction with Siemens Gamesa change? Used to be run as two separate companies. Is this one company now?

Christian Bruch

executive
#38

Maybe I'll start with the last one and then you take the other ones. First of all, no, not yet, not everywhere, right? But we -- so we still have a very minimal board. My interaction have changed on a, let's say, also driven by the quality task force by a much deeper involvement into the operational stuff. And obviously, this business is, I said it when I started with this company, is about passion for detail. You have to dig deep on how things get done. And obviously, Jochen and myself take a lot of time to reuse quality task force, the root cause analysis, the corrective measures, how do we plan the ramp-ups in the factory, how many blades go out next week and on a really operational level to force the organization to be KPI driven. So it's different than reporting to a board as before on how we run it. What we have not done yet and this is why you see delaying also synergies. We have not integration of legal entities. So we cannot easily say everybody is part of the same group. So we still run, let's say, in certain areas to part of the organization. What we have started to do is now to bring groups together on their leadership. What we started to do is to roll out procurement tools. But a lot of these things are going to come through out '24. And this is where I also do expect obviously benefits coming from in terms of getting our arms around this and helping Jochen and the team really to get the things fixed. But today, we're really also still in a lot of areas [ to ] legal structures, but with a lot leaner governance in terms of bureaucracy, I would say, and much more operational deep dive really into the different problems.

Ben Uglow

analyst
#39

[indiscernible] deal with inflation...

Christian Bruch

executive
#40

Yes. I mean I feel satisfied with the information from the quality task force and the level of rigor in terms of what we're going through. And to your first question also why do I believe I feel more comfortable. I think this is the most extensive, most rough analysis of what we have done. And keep in mind, this will always be a business where you, let's say, get some unexpected because you have long-term operations. You will see turbine, let's say, having some failure here and there. But I think the big tickets, right, the blades, the bearing, really the very prominent things, which cost these hundreds and hundreds of millions, this is something where I'm strongly convinced we have our arms around. It doesn't mean that sometimes something unexpected cannot happen. But also keep in mind, the service business actually meant to actually cover exactly these things. But we have never -- and Jochen can best comment on it afterwards. We have never had such a transparency and openness. And this business at the end is not about avoiding problems. It's about seeing problems early enough and it doesn't cost so much money to fix them. And this is where I think there is a new view in this business. It will still be a lot of hard work, but I feel comfortable with a way on how things are done, and this gives me more comfort compared to 6 months ago.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#41

With respect to the transparency, so you're right. I mean, there's the financial result, interest, et cetera. There's also things like share-based compensation that we need to purchase shares for that goes into that number and other topics. And it's up to EUR 1 billion. Let me just make sure that -- so certainly, those are -- it's the normal topics that happen below the line pension, et cetera, that goes into that EUR 1 billion.

Ben Uglow

analyst
#42

[indiscernible].

Maria Ferraro

executive
#43

Yes, perhaps.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#44

Okay. We are already 10 minutes over time. So Delphine, if you just have one and then maybe we can also kind of try to -- or Christian, Maria can try to answer the questions over coffee -- coffee break. So Delphine, please?

Delphine Brault

analyst
#45

Yes. Delphine Brault, ODDO BHF. Well, only one. You mentioned the need for expanding capacities. Can you maybe quantify by how much capacities will need to increase in the coming years as compared to your current installed base? And -- yes.

Christian Bruch

executive
#46

I would -- if you're okay, it would hint to Tim's presentation because he will talk about the factory expansions what we do in transmission. I think this is what you were referring to, right?

Delphine Brault

analyst
#47

Yes. Okay. Then I ask another one, if I may. Thank you. How much of your backlog is protected by price escalation clauses? I suspect it's 100% of your service contract, but how much is it for the remaining part?

Maria Ferraro

executive
#48

Long-term service program is 100%.

Christian Bruch

executive
#49

100% protected from most of the -- rest, it depends really because you also have some short cycle running products. Also, if you just ship a transformer as such or so, which would then be on rather a fixed price, not an escalation scheme, but I think every multiyear running project would have price escalation in it. And also in Wind, as we discussed, it was not the case in the past. It is the case absolutely today for new orders, what we take in. So I would say there, I feel comfortable in terms of being protected against inflationary elements. The one thing what you have to see, and this is why I said the constraints in the supply chain. Very often, I mean, what you can index is elements like whatever steel, copper indexes, right? Where it's getting -- where you need to be a bit more careful, it's about if you really run into bottlenecks in the supply chain, which limit the capacity of suppliers. Certain parts are not available and drive apart from indexation, certain suppliers are up. And this can only be covered by procurement activities, increasing the supplier base. This is something what you obviously cannot tackle an indexation. But generally, I think on the indexation of the backlog, I'm comfortable.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#50

Cool. We've overrun a little bit -- just a bit. Anyway, so I would suggest that Jochen will start at 2:40 instead of 2:35, gives us a little bit of a chance to get a coffee break. One thing, the toilets are down stairs next to the reception. And if you could please wear your badges that would be quite helpful.

Christian Bruch

executive
#51

And please hold the handrail if you walked down the stairs, right? I have no interest on a safety incident. Thank you.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#52

Thank you.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#53

Thanks, everyone.

Maria Ferraro

executive
#54

Thank you. [Break]

Michael Hagmann

executive
#55

Whilst there's no rush, I think it would be good if you will come back and then we give Jochen the opportunity to talk about Siemens Gamesa. We wait another 15 or 20 seconds until everybody is seated, and settled with cake and [indiscernible]. Right, happy to introduce Jochen and Jochen [indiscernible] Yes. We'll go ahead. Okay. Over to you.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#56

Thanks. Perhaps a couple of seconds waiting is better. Good. So good afternoon from my side as well. A very warm welcome to the world of Wind. As you can imagine, oftentimes, I'm supported by a very strong team in management around me. In the preparation of this meeting, we thought we may also be discussing things like gas or stronger gas or strong headwinds or turbulence in general. But on a more serious matter, it's been very intense weeks, and we're happy to today here now share the plan on what we intend to do going forward. We sometimes refer to a couple of details around our business. I think in this context, it is very helpful to remember a couple of [ co-fact factors, 2 co-facts ] around our business as it stands. So in the last fiscal year, we had a revenue of slightly more than EUR 9 billion. As you can imagine, that was also impacted by the overall findings, which were then later on published. The whole thing led then to an order backlog of almost EUR 42 billion. That's quite a lot also in my view. I think we are now in our sector, #2 as far as the size of the backlog is concerned. In the last fiscal year, we had some EUR 16.8 billion order entry. We sometimes refer to numbers of turbines. Perhaps in this context, it is beneficial to see we've got installed some 4,600 offshore turbines and almost 60,000 onshore turbines, coming not only from Siemens, also coming from Gamesa, also coming from the various, let's say, merger oriented activities, which were there in the past. In total, we find installed some 137 gigawatts of power generation. And also here in this context, not everything is under maintenance, and therefore, it's not in our obligation, but there's also only a part of that. We have some 82 gigawatts of maintained fleet, if you wish. Something which is also sometimes forgotten is we understand ourselves as really a true leader in sustainability. Out there on the booth you can see what we have developed around the recycler blade. The recycler blade in our view, going forward, cannot be just landfill if it's kind of taken off from the wind farm. And there's also information around what we call the greener tower. So the big heavy metal part, which then can be manufactured in a way which is much more or much more CO2 neutral. We find ourselves in a market, which I have to say, looking at some of the data is an environment, which I will -- very seldom had the chance to work in from the positive size of the numbers. I mean if you look at the sheer overall growth of 9%, then you will see that, obviously, it's different in onshore and offshore. We have a CAGR of more than 30% -- sorry, more than 20% in the field of offshore. And with these numbers, we typically follow more the market research, than for instance, just adding up the political targets which are out there, they are even higher, yes. Also onshore due to the sheer size of the market, in my view, is a very attractive market and needs to be seen like this. We have of course, then to answer the question, where and why is such a market attractive? And there we see that markets are not alike across the globe. We see, obviously, in onshore the ongoing, let's say, rollout difficulties when it comes to the installations and the permitting and all that stuff and discussion also most recently had led to the activities in Brussels. And we also see on the onshore side, an increasing influence of Chinese players, especially when it comes to, for instance, regions like Latin America or the Middle East or Southeast Europe. On the offshore side, the expected growth is massive. And that is despite the fact that we've seen recent turbulences in North America. So there was a couple of discussions around some of our customers, as you know. But we also had a lot of discussions, I had a lot of discussions with our customers around the U.K. business, for instance. And end of last week, I was very happy to learn that for the auction round -- for the upcoming auction round 6 in the U.K., there is a substantial change in the conditions for the developer to actually start and run projects successfully. So in total, in my view, still massively attractive and we need to make sure that we get the best out of this. Now if I look at the situation we find ourselves in the Siemens Gamesa, there's always this discussion around external and internal factors. The overall price level, in my view, has come down too fast and too much, which now makes it very difficult for all the players, not just us, for all the players to lift prices again. We see cost increases around the various, let's say, things which did happen over the last years, COVID, we had geopolitical difficulties. We had then the -- yes, additional shortages coming from closures of harvest and so on and so forth. Christian and others did refer also to the Ts and Cs situation, in my view, on the standard Ts and Cs, if we could say it this way, we are by far away from what should be the market standard. We've been extremely generous in the past to accept Ts and Cs, which going forward may hit us. And we had the previous discussion here that sometimes in the field of service, we are bound by some, let's say, 25 years or so of LTP contract. So if I then would say, well, this may be an onshore project, so it takes us some 18 months or let's say, 24, then I have the warranty period. And after that, I have my service contract then I'm kind of bound by these Ts and Cs for some 30 years. And then as such, oftentimes it's not so easy to handle under the given circumstances. Quality issues. I came to that a little later, hit us to an extent, which is certainly beyond what at least I experienced, and that is, of course, a tricky thing, but -- and that was also very clearly communicated on. There were also operational challenges. Operational challenges had to do with and overall, let's say, attempt to master the growth -- to master the growth in our offshore business. We've been slower or slower than anticipated, slower than planned on ramping up capacities in different -- of our plants, and I will come to that as well. These are issues which I would attribute more to our, let's say, internal situation. And I think this is then the right discussion. Going forward, it's perhaps worth mentioning that things in such an enterprise will not change overnight. So we do have a backlog, and that backlog sometimes has the conditions it was acquired to accordingly. And that means we have to now work off that backlog. And you see with this little graph that we expect, of course, on the service side to be a long bound to our backlog, but also on the new unit side, we have substantial effects on our revenue generation up to '26, yes. So it does mean that if we for instance today establish that something is not necessarily positive, specifically in offshore, where we have a contract, which is not really good. It was fixed in its Ts and Cs and pricing in '21, but it takes us in our revenue into '26, yes. So things on that front cannot change overnight. Of course, we've done a couple of things to optimize the business. And we've been, and that was recently announced further. But also over the last actually quarters, we always spoke about being more selective. So market share as such has not really become a target anymore. We wanted to make sure that we actually can manage our business. The new operating model was talked about by Christian a little earlier. Of course, we've done some activities to focus on our core, on what we understand our core, and the integration into Siemens Energy is ongoing. Five things we want to do in order to rectify our business in order to fix our business. This is a program we've developed. We call it the master plan and it contains the following elements: First of all, we want to fix the onshore business. So we would like to make sure that we can maintain our activities around the 5.X but also from a regional perspective, we potentially want to narrow down our activities. On the offshore side, we would like to make sure that the growth can be mastered. This has the effect of wanting to make sure that the rampup works, but also the cost out needs to happen. The service business needs to be further strengthened, but also we want to be more selective. We would like to make sure overall that the order intake we are looking at is healthy. And then in the end of the day, we want to reinforce operations towards something which we would call operational excellence. Now the quality issues sometimes are extremely relevant for many of us. What happened? We did see deviations on the performance side on some 4.X and 5.X turbines. Out of the overall 65,000 turbines we have installed, these represent approximately 2,800, 2,900 turbines, and only a very small number of those got affected. So this is why we sometimes have to deal with statistics in our discussion. What happened? We did observe material-related issues, for instance, some bearing components. We did see process-related issues like, for instance, on the manufacturing of a blade. The manufacturing of blade in my view, has been a very complex process as such. And we also saw product-related issues around various parts of the turbine, and they also can be seen as a combination of other effects. So we've seen a couple of effects. Statistics then led to the numbers which we look at. We wanted to respond as systematically as possible with the so-called quality task force. The quality task force has three work streams. We're working on the technology side, we are working on the contract side and on the operations side. And I'm happy to say that the analysis, of course, is for the prior one activities or for the prior one deficits is finalized. We've made big progress. And in that sense, the development of the measures going forward is ongoing, not finished, but ongoing. But of course, in Q4, there were no additional charges coming from that. The whole thing is complex because we also have to deal with, in the end, on the new unit and on the service side in total of more than 300 contracts. Those were looked at in a very critical manner, and we started finding agreements with the first customers in relation to those contracts. Obviously, that's sometimes customer-specific and cannot really be generalized all over the place. But it's relevant really that we really are in close contact. And the operations are about rolling out the corrective action, which is in its starting phase, if you see that on the long- and short-term remediation measures, not everything is finalized yet. So the target really, the target is to come back to the market with something which we would understand as a reliable product, nothing else can be sold, nothing else shall be sold. So that means that yes, indeed, for instance, in the previous quarter, we did have the issue that everything was finalized. The contract was ready to sign. We were sitting at a desk opposite to each other, and we could not sign because we could not guarantee, we could not stand behind the requested delivery date for -- because of the situation. So I have reasons to believe our offering as such continues to be attractive, and we will be successful in the market. However, we need to be able to confirm, let's say, the entirety of the agreement, which includes then obviously, the delivery date, and that was the difficulty. Second point is that also in onshore, the markets are not equal across the globe. We've developed a very clear set of criteria to drive us to what we want to serve in the market in the future, four main criteria are derived. We want to have a stable regulatory framework. We would like to make sure that there is a profit pool, which is central in the market. We would like to have a customer landscape, which is not only price down oriented, but also sees a little bit the perspective behind the green energies in this context. And it is relevant for us that, of course, we also have some appropriate offering for these specific market segments. And one clear confirmation for that is that in Europe, we find these conditions. And for the other regions, we are assessing that right now the attractiveness in that sense. It potentially could lead to -- as I was trying to indicate, narrowing down our activities from a regional perspective. Offshore, the growth is substantial, and it was mentioned before that we find ourselves, of course, really a little bit in the sweet spot of all this growth. When it comes to future technologies like floating, but also when it comes to the managing the overall growth as such, and these contracts can be seen such that our manufacturing capacities need to be ramped up. The growth rate, which we predict here from '20 to '25, to '26, sorry, is around 3.5.X, perhaps a little bit more going forward. That is not exactly the market growth. So implicitly here, we say that we also want to become more selective and try to make sure that we actually get the more attractive parts of the market. To make this happen better than in the past, we've developed dedicated cross-functional team approaches at every site below the level of the plant management. We focus on the net output. So we want to reduce really tech times, idle times, what have you, for people who are a little bit closer to manufacturing work. And in the end of the day, there's also one core element of it, and that's the better preparation for new product introduction, NPI, because this ramp-up as such is really determining the success of our related activities. Since we have the pleasure to be close to Cuxhaven. Cuxhaven will be the plant where, I think many of the audience will be going to tomorrow. So there's, of course, then also specifics, which have to be considered here in the case of Cuxhaven and also there, we started hiring earlier. We provided more manufacturing stability via a rather strict engineering change management. We have introduced a different warehouse buffering concept, and we also had to balance better the work per station. If you look at the Nacelle, they work or they find their way through stations in the manufacturing and the whole timing around this, that needs to be pretty much balanced. So in the end of the day, we are very rigorously following up on the targets we've given ourselves towards something which we call standard cost and I believe that will be very successful going forward. Then there was another element mentioned that is the cost out. Cross-functional teams have been working on a couple of ideas. And a couple of ideas is more than 500 because the turbine is a complex thing. So 200 in this case, 200 cross-functional team specialists worked on developing around 500 ideas, detailing them, making sure that they are being put in place and then later on also rigorously executed on. That covers the entire scope of any one project we are delivering on. So that includes, for instance, the possibility of upselling the turbine in the sense of additional value coming out. But it also has the element of, let's say, sheer cost reduction on the components like the Nacelle and the Tower. On the service side, we have to say that we also got hit by the quality issues to a large extent. The results typically or oftentimes and the way of how it's accounted for does depend on obviously the profitability in those projects. But since many of these projects are not onerous, there is still the effect that we see the quality hit as part of the P&L going forward, which then translates into the need on our side to make sure that productivities are being developed to come back towards the original profitability levels. And that is what we are working on. On top, it was mentioned that I believe we still have very risky Ts and Cs in there in our service conditions as such. So service conditions are not always like service conditions. Sometimes the detail matters. And as far as the productivity is concerned, there will be a clear streamlining on our side to make sure that productivity -- productivities are lifted, not only on the new unit side, but also on the service side. That, as such, is not so different. It's probably different to the extent by which we are going to do this. Then there's another thing, and we would like to make sure that this comes across also with relevance, we would like to strengthen the focus on the aftermarket. The aftermarket is going forward for us, a very attractive market. And it has to be sure that we are offering more of our services around this specific element of the market since, for instance, in offshore, around 50% or so of the customers are what we sometimes refer to as self-performers. So also -- although they are self-performance, they also want to be helped with on certain parts of the service activities of a certain portfolio, and this is what we're trying to do there. The order intake, in my view, still has to change going forward. We spoke about the fact that in offshore, we are not necessarily following the market growth in total. So that implies a certain selectivity. And for us, it means that we have, of course, then to look at wherever that is possible, improve profitabilities, and also sometimes introduce scope reductions. So if I would be requested to define this score -- sorry, the core of our activities, I would rather say it goes on to the exit of the gate of the factory, but things like transportation from the factory to elsewhere or sometimes also erection activities don't necessarily have to be part of the core of our activities. And this then translates for instance, in the onshore field to the fact that although a so-called ASP, sometimes the average sales price per unit or per megawatt maybe rather low, it is not indicative for the profitability behind it. We have on low ASPs, sometimes the highest profitabilities. So I spoke about the risk sharing and the limit of liabilities. On the liability side, we still have to see that if I compare what I find here in Siemens Gamesa, with my personal past, for instance, from the Gas Services or the Turbine businesses, but also from Grid, we see that our liability profile is much worse. And in my view, there has to be a trend going into the direction of, let's say, standard industry typical terms and conditions also when it comes to these liabilities. This is specifically the case when we talk about customers, which sometimes are the same. Please remember that oftentimes industrial customers like the big developers like RWE or other Europeans or North American ones, the same customers procure lots from us but also lots from the other elements of our portfolio. So the question is, why do we suffer from worse Ts and Cs. And obviously, in this context, I have to follow also the market because obviously, I mean, if we're the only ones to do this and then everybody else is not following, then this is perhaps not the most healthy solution. But in general, I continue to advocate for this more rigorous application of Ts and Cs in the given trend. And I believe I can say that even sometimes, our competition or my competition is saying the same thing. So we need to come to a T and C profile, which allows us a healthy business going forward over longer periods of time. Operations is always where the money is spent, is also where the benefits of cost out can happen. It's not so easy, though, to achieve a profile which is adequately attractive, I think. When we look at our footprint situation, we started in optimizing it. We started to reduce the footprint. In my view, we will continue to do that. That means specifically for regions outside of Europe that we will closely monitor where capacity reductions can be introduced. It also will mean that on the other side, because we are a little bit in the mix. We have the onshore business with perhaps too high capacity levels. And then we have the offshore business where we are actually suffering from too few capacities right now. So that means on the other side that we still have to focus on those things I mentioned in the course of offshore. And that is, for us, as a management team, also sometimes not so easy to handle, but we are confident that we can manage that. We've had, in some areas, I think the need to rebalance our make-or-buy strategy. So sometimes, the standard approach in many cases around manufacturing was to just make everything in-house. And I think in many cases, it doesn't make sense, so we will reemphasize that. And we will also go for an outsourcing of components to strategic partners where that makes sense. And there is quite a number of cases where this makes sense. We spoke earlier -- Maria spoke earlier about the structural cost reduction by the EUR 400 million. We've given ourselves that target to reduce our structure cost by EUR 400 million until '26, and this is part of the plan to be then on a positive track. We continue to simplify the technology portfolio across the business units, but then also across different components. And perhaps worth mentioning here is that we also have substantially reduced the variance, the variance of what you can buy as a customer because we simply felt that not all of those variants actually lead to revenue so that we've clearly introduced a certain revenue threshold for any one variant to be approved as a variant going forward. But we've also focused on extending the life cycle, and perhaps one of the more prominent examples there is the upcoming [ Mark 6 turbine ] in the field of offshore, where we are actually making for 30% more or so of the output, use of existing investments and capacities in order to make sure that we are much more stable and are much more profitability generating. We spoke about the organizational setup. It was meant to sort of strengthen the product development setup, and that's clearly making progress. And one specific element, which is very close to my heart also is to ensure manufacturing readiness once the 0 of production is coming. And that is a tradition, which was not so, how shall I say, not so often seen in our business space because perhaps also the industry as such is rather new. But I'm, as a person also coming a little bit more from the automotive field of thinking, and that typically leads to the point that start of production is start of production. And then from then on, we go, yes. So that means for me, I would like to make sure that, together with a strong team, of course, that we return to profitability. The next big milestone is '26, it's a breakeven. And there's 5 things we would like to focus on. It's the product quality, of course. We would like to fix the quality issues in onshore. We would like to make sure that we focus on attractive markets. And we would like to also make sure that a lot of the growth, which is foreseen for us in the business in the round -- in the field of offshore that we are able to be benefiting from this in the most adequate way, which typically means capacity is up, ramp up faster, learning curve shorter, manufacturing readiness addressed throughout the product development and then obviously also cost out. That is a very high priority. I spoke about the service business and that we have after the quality hit specifically, lost a little bit of profitability there. So that needs to go back to old profitability levels. Otherwise, it will not be difficult or it will not be easy to maintain our target profitability levels. In general, I believe that we -- actually not only us, perhaps, but certainly us need to make sure that the order intake, which we then in the end of the day have, is sufficiently healthy. And I spoke about the relevance of the pricing, but also about other things like liabilities, time, the inclusion of certain elements into maintenance services and so on and so forth. And in the end of the day, operational excellence is something which we have taken on board as internal homework. We would like to make sure that we live this. And frankly speaking specifically with this one also, I'm as a person happy to be able to say that this is not entirely new for me. I was happy to do this also in the past in Siemens Energy. In my first year in Siemens Energy, with our friends from -- in those days, the gas turbines, so generation, it was called then and also industrial applications. And I think the fruit of some of what we did there is clearly observable right now. On top, in my view, we, in Siemens Gamesa have the management team probably stronger than ever. And it's really a pleasure for me to work with my colleagues to drive these ambitious plans forward. I'm very optimistic that we will be successful. Thank you very much.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#57

Yes. Thank you, Jochen. We've got plenty of questions coming in. But of course, I still need to look at that side of the floor because there -- we didn't allow the questions earlier. So who wants to start the questions? So Phil, over to you.

Philip Buller

analyst
#58

It's Phil Buller from Berenberg. On the topic of onshore, it sounds like we're 100% committed to being in that end market. But at the moment, we're out of commercial activities. So I guess the question is, when will the technology be ready to start bidding again on 5.X programs or order potential? And do you think that the financial terms and conditions that you referred to will be in the right place by the time the technology is ready, I guess, because it is a very fixed cost business, and it's still competitive. That's question one.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#59

Well, thanks. We're working on that with utmost focus, as you can imagine. Outside of commercial activity, perhaps is a little bit broad in my view, is just not signing contracts right now, which we would be prepared to sign because everything else is negotiated. But that unfortunately is the case because, as I said, we cannot really confirm delivery dates. My hope is clearly that we -- well, we come to that as quickly as possible. The bidding, in my view, is very likely from today's perspective that in the course of the current fiscal year, we will be in that phase again. And then the rest, I may understand as a technical consequence.

Philip Buller

analyst
#60

Okay. And then in terms of the make-buy decision, that's quite an important topic, I guess, because some of the issues we've seen on the 5.X appear to be more from what we've bought in rather than manufactured in-house. But from what you presented, it feels like there's more of an emphasis on buy rather than make. So what systems are going to be in place to ensure that we have better control of the quality coming through the supply chain?

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#61

Yes. So if you refer to the quality, then of course, the buy can only come from established and qualified partners. So in that sense, does not provide an additional quality risk. And I think in the market, we have had the experience that in some plants and some lots, we did have difficulties. Yes, I agree. But also there was a learning curve. And in my view, there are adequate partners around.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#62

Vivek, over to you.

Vivek Midha

analyst
#63

Thanks very much, everyone. Vivek Midha from Citi. So I have two questions, one on onshore and one on offshore. So a similar question on onshore. Could you just give us a sense the longer term for the technology? I think the wording on the slide was the 5.X is the mainstream platform. So how confident are you that once you've stabilized the quality issues, the 5.X is a longer-term solution? Or are you still open to a new platform to replace it? And secondly, just on offshore to help us understand, could you give us any indication of how much of the offshore backlog is now onerous? And with those problematic contracts, have you seen any deterioration? Or is it stable with -- in the last few months?

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#64

Thanks. So first of all, onshore. The platform on our side is something which is following release concepts. So there is typically a couple of milestones where we follow improvements, power optimizations, other details, sometimes also [ longer routes ] being active with the 5.X in the market for me implies this. So going forward, once we have fixed the situation, the intention is to have a complete road map in that sense, yes. Offshore. Offshore onerous projects. There are some. Over the last months, I did not see any deterioration, I have to say. Over the last month, I did not see any deterioration. However, I did see a deterioration, obviously, when it comes to the entire fiscal year and what our plan was prior to that, yes? So these effects are there, and this is what led them to all this communication also in Q3, for instance.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#65

Alex, please.

Alexander Virgo

analyst
#66

Alex Virgo, Bank of America. I wondered if you could just develop this point on the manufacturing processes, which sites, where the problems are? Are you happy that you've identified all of the problems? And I guess the time to fix those is what you're doing over the next two years and over the next year, a year to two years. I'm just wondering, can you give a little bit more color and detail on exactly what the problems were, where they were? And I guess, why did you get to that place in the first? Where did you get to that position in the first place? We worked out back what caused that? That's the first question.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#67

Well, I mean, if you're not talking onshore?

Alexander Virgo

analyst
#68

Yes.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#69

Yes. So if we're talking onshore, the problem with the problem is that it's not so easy to detect. If you follow the time line back, we had obviously the Q3 profit warning with the capital market communication. But if you follow them back a little further, you saw that we have prior to that installed quality task force elements with the help of Siemens Energy and also on our side. And prior to that, we also had internal task forces, yes. So the problem is it's not like somebody gives you a presentation. And from then on, you know you have a problem. We were trying to identify these issues. It has to do with the new setup in the organization where we also had changed responsibilities, and suddenly, people were more doubtful about what their outcome in the work was. And oftentimes, it's not so black-and-white. So this is how it developed. It developed over the portfolio of 4.X and 5.X, which then did materialize as far as manufacturing is concerned, in the sites of Lagos, in Portugal and in [indiscernible] in Spain. But I think it would be too shortsighted to look at those sites because sometimes, for instance, for the ForEx issues, we also had manufacturing coming out of China, and we also had blades coming from Mexico. So there is a more complex situation behind this and that all in overall developed into this picture, and this is what it also makes so complicated. And perhaps it's not so easy to understand it either, but it's also complicated that we still until today, have a rather limited number of failures. So a lot of these numbers we are referring to in the sense of accounting, they are around probabilistic assumptions, probabilistic assumptions on how things develop over the time of our responsibility, which is then the LTP duration. So it's not so that I can say, I know everything by now as far as the failure of any one turbine is concerned. What I can say right now is that we don't have new intelligence to change our assumptions, which we have taken in Q3. This is why Q4 did not deteriorate. But technically speaking, we still operate a lot with probabilistic approaches.

Alexander Virgo

analyst
#70

I guess that's what I'm trying to get at, right? I accept the probabilistic point. I totally understand that you don't have any more data to change your views on what might or might not fail. It's more about understanding where you feel the problems have been and why we should have confidence that you've got confidence that you've identified them, that you can fix them because I think that's the bit we're trying to understand here because there's a lot of numbers flowing around in terms of cash out to fix and expectations of when you get back to...

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#71

At the end of day, it is simple. Everything we know of is analyzed. The priority one analysis are completed. And out of that, we have a certain understanding that we can fix those issues. It's just such that not in every case, we do have the final plan yet. So for instance, if the final plan includes a component coming in from China, then this is a discussion we didn't have yet. This is where it comes from.

Alexander Virgo

analyst
#72

Okay. And then second question, I guess part of the disappointment, if I might, phrase it that way over the last couple of quarters has actually been the lack of achievement of your ramp-up in offshore and the lack of traction you had on the productivity improvements there, which I think are all within your power and were always within your power. So can you explain a little bit about why that hasn't really delivered according to expectations? And when you -- within the context of the time frame over the next couple of years, how you'd expect that to come back in?

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#73

Yes. So there were -- it's a combination of things, all of them not so complicated as such, but the combination makes the completeness of the view. We did have some wrong assumptions on our side in the planning in the first place. We then did see delays, for instance, in the civil works of the plants because, please remember, I mean, with this growth, every manufacturing side also is a construction site. So there were delays like on -- the roof was not finished on time or the crane was not commissioned on time or the paint booth was delayed. As a result of that, we then saw that, in some cases, the process qualification, which is needed and which is more emphasized on going forward, the process qualification was delayed, not done on time. Then in some areas, we did see that our recruitment was late because the number of qualified employees were also not there. I think all these things, as such, combine the picture that we are not wanting to see. And I fully agree with you that this is a thing which is hurting us extremely badly, but we need to get ourselves around this. We've now identified teams in each and every site, cross-functional teams who look at the setting to work, who look at things like preventative maintenance, who look at the work planning in a way of tacting the work steps through. We look at the material flow, we look at the quality and its combination. And this is what gives me confidence that going forward, we will be able to come back on plan, however, not overnight, yes? But as far as numbers, for instance, are concerned, for the 6 sites we have this, I think in total, we are having more than 50 people or so just working on this right now and specialists.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#74

Thank you. Sean?

Sean McLoughlin

analyst
#75

Sean McLoughlin at HSBC. A couple of questions from me. Just building on the previous point. I get the Priority 1 analysis is complete. Can you give us an idea of the 1,100 turbines that you'd originally indicated, you have now completed inspection on. Just give us an idea of where you are in that overall process. And again, just trying to understand your level of confidence about no new issues coming out. The second question is more around the onshore strategy. You've talked about adjusting capacity, but there's no -- I understand that maybe you fix the problems first and then you figure out where you want to compete. I mean, does exiting the ForEx actually exclude you from certain markets, just thinking about competitiveness, particularly in the U.S.?

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#76

Well, so first of all, as I said, as the sheer number of product failures on the turbine side is rather low, and that is why we have to operate on statistical models oftentimes. Going forward, we try to validate those numbers. But again, I mean, we typically look at times of responsibility over up to 30 years. And that then does not lead to too many high numbers either. So this is why we -- not only with us, but our quality task force, not only consists of us. It consists of Siemens Energy. It consists of a team of Alix Partner, and we have a kind of assessment layer of the rigidity and of the correctness of the work being introduced also, which is done by the help of [indiscernible] is a German test organization. [indiscernible] is one of those. So this, in my view, guarantees the utmost level of, how shall I say, diligence in all these discussions. And as I said, everything we know of, we analyze clearly and rigorously and not everything is priority 1 because sometimes also there are discussions around the distance between two cabinets or something, which is not the same thing basically in this discussion, yes? So in my view, what we can do, we do, yes? What we can do, we do. And in my view also, as I said, the Q4 numbers confirm that to some extent and also our work confirms this, yes? So this is my opinion, yes? Then later on in the markets, Yes, we do see a variety of differences between the different markets. It's so that we have, with all the work which we have on our plate, not been able to take us through all the related questions and to the appropriate answers. So this is why those more strategic questions are planned for us to be tackled then in the near future.

Sean McLoughlin

analyst
#77

Does this mean effectively that you're not speaking actively or you're not bidding actively on any onshore projects at the moment, as you know..

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#78

For instance, we continue to sell some turbines in Asia. We continue to sell turbines in India, and we also continue to sell turbines in the United States. But not on the bases of the ForEx, but rather repowering projects on the variant which we call the [ 129S ]. So there are -- there is also order intake in Q4, but not coming from those turbines 4.X and 5.X.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#79

I need to take some questions from the web and one actually fits with Sean's first question. And that was if it's correct that the majority of the turbine breakdowns. So going back to onshore, would happen after 2030. And therefore, the cost of fixing the problem could also actually be lower than we have assumed.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#80

Well, this is so far -- so first of all, there is a large portion of that happening at that point in time, indeed. This is what we have to assume. And secondly, this is also part of the ongoing investigations for the quality task force. I mean -- so obviously, we try to react adequately to the timing effect of this. So if a repair or correct if action needs to happen in 35, then this is, of course, adequately considered in our numbers.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#81

One more question from the web, which I really like it was basically coming back to offshore. If you look at the demand picture going forward, the person was asking, shouldn't you price up much more aggressively in offshore?

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#82

Yes. Well, I mean, on those discussions, there's typically a couple of parties involved. Allow me to reference to the customer, I'm not sure -- I mean we tried this various times. Many of you will see tomorrow presentations of Mark Becker, our Head of Offshore, who's sitting over there. Unfortunately, sometimes this doesn't really resonate well with the customer. So they still are interested in pricing on their side.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#83

Right. Alex, over to you.

Alexander Virgo

analyst
#84

A question from the buy side for one. Yes, we haven't also been talking much about the service side. And I suppose, given the length of that backlog. It's yes, an interesting perspective for the long-term margins. So I've got 2 sides. One, just to help us understand why it has been in such a difficult position. I mean given the indexation that we've talked about in previous presentations, the fact that this should be a profitable business. I can't explain it just by the 4.X and 5.X issues, especially given the provision should have taken out the negative costs. And the second is you -- I think in the previous presentation, it talked about project margins in the backlog in the high teens. I presume there's sort of non-billable costs in gross margin that aren't and that's a gross margins maybe below that. I mean, so that's there's a huge delta even to the EBIT margins you're targeting that must be very difficult to cover just with productivity as you're talking about. So I'm just -- I suppose I find it difficult to reconcile that. How can you get from that sort of backlog margins to your target EBIT.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#85

So let me try to answer the way I understood your question. We, of course, are hit by quality issues. Quality issues as such, leads to additional effort, which cannot be compensated by additional income on the service side. So that is such is there. The effort sometimes is increasing substantially, yes? So it's sometimes even more than -- well, what can I say, I think it's significant. I think in percentage, it's difficult to express from the off head, but it's significant. So what we need to do is we need to optimize our structures, try to get more productivity out of the entire spectrum of the LTPs and by this try to alleviate the effects in the sense of the quality issues, we're discussing 4.X and 5.X. And there, we're discussing a limited number of turbines in relation to the onshore part of the 82 gigawatts I'm referring to. So therefore, I think, first of all, there are big effects and the big effects regarding the corrective action, which happened shortly or in the near term. Those effects are there. And then going forward, in my view, only productivity measures will take us back to those areas and we have good ideas to do this.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#86

Well, you haven't had a question yet. So over to you.

William Mackie

analyst
#87

A couple of questions. Firstly, the investment plans at the time that Siemens Energy bought the minorities, there was an independent study, which provided a number of projections for investment across Siemens Gamesa in the offshore and onshore business, the backdrop to your world for the future now has dramatically changed. How have your investment plans changed? We've heard that it's a significant part of the group's CapEx. But how do you see that profile over the next 3 years? Where are you allocating the CapEx and where have you more importantly pulled back from the CapEx? That's the first question.

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#88

Yes, this is correct. In the past, we actually did have further plans for other parts of the world, actually to, first of all, develop new products and then also prepare for manufacturing. So that as such, typically is quite considerable and needs to be looked at with a view on the current situation. So after Q3, the world did change obviously in that sense. Secondly, we have put much more focus on optimizing our CapEx spend as such. We've given ourselves a couple of challenges and we reduced the CapEx spend in relation to previous planning also. So that's also in there. And certainly, going forward also, we will follow the guidelines, which by the way, were mentioned by Maria. So where do we actually spend money and we try to reduce that to the minimum. And also, we've become much more explicit in the sense of requesting external support for investments where that's applicable. So for instance, in parts of the world, there are structurally weak areas where for the generation of labor, additional support can be given that we focus on much more. So in total, we have reduced basically the portfolio by a number of elements and variants. On the side of onshore, we are now readdressing the market attractiveness in various areas, which we mentioned. In the field of offshore, we clearly focused on the Mark VI. In this context, we intend to increase, however, they needed capacity. So that has a little bit of a counter effect. But these are the major points around the CapEx.

William Mackie

analyst
#89

And then coming back to the make-buy decision, which is the second question. You consider you have a reasonable amount of vertical integration across the business. You've made some steps to exit parts of it through the sale of Windar in the towers business, but when you look across the rest of the portfolio, realistically, in this situation today, what scope is there for you to contribute to the group's objective of targeted divestments to release capital?

Jochen Eickholt

executive
#90

Well, the good news is that we typically discuss it slightly differently. So there is no such thing like you have to divest for that revenue or that many people, yes, because that wouldn't make sense, I believe, in that sense. But going forward, we continue to have a look at, first of all, some of the capacities we have. Secondly, we also in our value chain, have a couple of activities where we feel that once they could be combined with, let's say, globally active players in that field that would be more elegant. And that is what we continue to look at. So that is around the electrical business and the gearbox business.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#91

We've already overextended, and we need a little bit of a break before Karim and Tim will talk about Gas Services and Grid Technologies. So I suggest that we cover the questions that you may have during the break with Jochen and reconvene at 4:00 or maybe a minute or 2 before 4:00 and listen to what Karim and Tim have to say then, thanks very much. [Break]

Michael Hagmann

executive
#92

My great pleasure to introduce Karim Amin, our Head of Gas Services. Karim come on?

Karim Amin

executive
#93

Thank you so much, Michael, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Gas Services session in today's Capital Market Day. In the next 30 minutes, I would like to share with you how we see the development in the gas market and also provide you some insights into the gas services business. And I think I want to start by looking at what has changed over the past year. And I looked at -- I mean a lot has changed. I mean it was a very intense year, but the key factors that were important externally and internally that really shaped our business environment. And let me start by the external factors and we look at security of supply. I think there was no doubt that the war in Ukraine and before this also the COVID pandemic had made it very clear that we must balance the energy trilemma between affordability, sustainability and security of supply rather than focusing only on one aspect. And I think this has been very clear and we believe that there is a renewed focus on the security of supply that has changed the way our customers, governments and key energy players are planning their future energy strategies. This has resulted in a revised gas additions demand when you look at the estimations of this year compared to last year. So that's factor number one. Factor number 2 is when we're looking at gas turbines and energy transition scenarios, we have also observed that there is a change in the understanding of how our customers and the various stakeholders are looking at gas turbines as part of the energy transition scenarios. We believe that now gas turbines is rather part of the solution rather than being part of the problem in all gas -- in all energy transition scenarios. Especially when you look at the accelerated introduction of alternative fuels or green hydrogen, for example, as an alternative for natural gas in the future. So these 2, I would say, external factors really played its impact on the last year. Internally -- and I will go into more details later into our slides. Internally, we have really increased our portfolio competitiveness in very attractive key segments of the gas market. And we have deployed a focused customer focusing organization in an operating model that really prioritize end-to-end accountability and helps us to be more efficient and more responsive to our customers. If we look at these 4 factors and we try to see how they influence our business operations and results. And this slide at the results of fiscal year '23. But first, let me recap what did we promise in last Capital Market Day. And this is what you see on the left-hand side of the slide. We promised that we will drive growth that we will add new units to our fleet building on the strong technological leadership of our portfolio and also our hydrogen co-firing capabilities. We promise that we will be selective and we will focus on quality of the margin, quality of the orders, we would put focus on our service business. We will continue working on our productivity and cost out measures and we introduced also last Capital Market Day, our Vault organization with reduced layers, faster response to the customers and also harnessing synergies between the central part of the business, distributed part of the business but also between new units and service. And that's exactly what the team did and it worked. If you look at the numbers on the right-hand side, I'm really pleased today to show you that on the order side, we have reached the EUR 12.9 billion of order entry and this is coming from all across the board. We have very important contracts on the unit side in all regions, in North America, in Latin America, in Africa, in the Middle East, but also a lot in Europe. We have also managed to renew a lot of our existing LTP contracts and added new contracts or portfolio into our backlog. And this trickled down into the revenue and we almost reached EUR 11 billion, so crossed by the EUR 10 billion mark on the revenue line. And I think this puts us in a new projectile for the future as well. When you look at the profit, I think this is a great development crossing the EUR 1 billion and reaching the 9.5% profitability coming from 6.5% the year before. Cash has also followed a 0.9% cash conversion ratio delivered around EUR 900 million of free cash flow. When you compare it to the last year, you see, of course, that there is a contrast but last year had a very exceptional onetime effects with cash conversion ratio of 3.3, a lot of advanced payments were in there, but also deferred payments from special contracts. So I think on the cash side, we are also delivering ahead of our plan. I want to take really this opportunity to thank the entire team in gas services, but also across Siemens Energy for delivering these amazing results. It was certainly not easy. And a lot of people have been working day in and day out to deliver this result. So thank to everybody who contributed to this. In the next slide, I want to take you a little bit deeper and show you what exactly came out of these bookings and how it will impact our business beyond '23. This is an overview of market share, focusing on new units of gas turbines, which is the majority of our business and you look '21, '22, '23 and when you look at '23, market is kind of flat, but we have gained solid market share in very attractive market segments. We've sold in total 69 gas turbines. But when you look at the breakdown, 32 gas turbines we sold in large gas segment and you see that on the HL or H class, there is 12 units that has been sold in this segment. And when you look at industrial, a lot has been sold into the SGT-800 range. What does this mean going forward? I think we look at profitability right now at the top end of our peer group. The 9.5% that I showed you in the previous slide is the top end of our peer group in the industry. So the market share is not coming from gaining order entry without having clear focus on profitability. We continue to improve our gross margin and decide on which contracts we take and which contracts we don't take based on the quality of the gross margin. This high order intake you see on the H class and HL is actually a very important aspect for us because this is the advanced frames, where barriers of entries are high and where the reach of these units in terms of their lifetime and the service revenue that they will generate for us extends for 15-plus years. So this secures our business also into the future. The units that we sold in fiscal year '23 comes also with service potential. We did not book most of these LTPs in the same year because they take some time until you build the power plant and then get the service contracts connected to it. But our estimate and some of these contracts are being planned for fiscal year '24, more than EUR 2 billion of service potential is connected to these new units that we sold in fiscal year '23. I think another important message is 70% of the volume of these new units is either product or system and not turnkey, which is a very important aspect for us because what is important is that we sell the gas turbines, we increase our fleet and we take the service revenue out of it. Turnkey typically adds a lot of volume but it also brings with the volume, lower margins and certain exposure to risk, especially when you look at civil and construction in high inflation markets like we see today and what you don't see from the number of units, but it's a very, very important message that I want to give to you is the digitalization part of our business. We booked the largest contract in digitalization that we ever had in Mexico. You would see more details about it in our booth, where we are covering more than 23 power plants in Mexico for the Mexican utility with 60 gigawatt of asset management and cyber security. So this is going to carry us well beyond 23 into a much better position for gas services going forward. But 23 is -- did not happen only in 1 year. I think to understand the results of 23, we need to look at the context and what has been happening even before 23. And with this, I would like to take you to the next slide, where I will look at a couple of years. So this is a slide where we look at how did we lay the foundation over the past couple of years to strategically position our business for solid profitability midterm and long term. And we built this on 3 pillars. The first pillar is leading technology. And I'm really happy to announce today that we believe we have best-in-class gas turbines in very attractive and key market segments. If you look at the top part of the slide, our 9000HL is the world's most powerful gas turbine. It has been recognized by the Guinness book of record and it's running right now in Duke Energy and in Keadby in the U.K. as the fleet leader for both 60 market and 50 market cycles. This is a very important segment in the market and in high demand, and I will show you in a while why. When you look at the medium gas turbine, our SGT-800 is by far the market leader with 75% market share in this segment. And that's exactly where distributed energy plays a role. Most of the countries that are trying to ramp up quickly their energy systems, think about the reconstruction of Ukraine, think about building capacities in the Middle East, think about industrial customers, looking at decarbonization and combined heat and power, it's the SGT-800 that they look at. And then Christian talked about our project in France, HyFlex where it's the first time we've had 100% green hydrogen production, storage and then 100% firing of this green hydrogen into our SGT-400 gas turbine. The amount of learning we got from that and it's the first time in the world that this application is being happening on industrial scale on a paper mill will open a lot of potential for us also for the entire frames. So the leading technology is really allowing us to create value for our customers. And by creating value for our customers, we are also sharing the benefits and getting our share of pricing power out of that. The second pillar of this foundation is growing our service business. And in the last 2 years, we have added more than 150 units to our fleet. So more than 150 units have been added to our service backlog. This creates right now a backlog of EUR 41 billion. That's what you see on the slide here. So we have -- we stand at the end of fiscal year '23 at EUR 41 billion backlog, 80% of this backlog is service and 20% of it is units. And when you look at the service part, in the last 2 years, we have increased this backlog by EUR 2.5 billion. Not only that, but it was accretive to our backlog. We improved our gross margin by 1.5 percentage in the service side. So this brings us in a very good position to look at the long-term revenues from service that is more and more developed and also at a better position in terms of profitability. The service new unit mix is very important to reach our profitability targets. And also over the last couple of years, we increased our absolute revenue from service by 16%. So right now, we have 16% more revenue from service compared to the beginning of 2021. Once again, this will help us to reduce some of this turnkey revenues I talked about, which are more on the lower side and replace it with service revenues, which are more predictable, long-term, higher in profitability without impacting our top line too much. And the center pillar for us has been always operational excellence. And there, we talk about productivity. We have delivered more than EUR 800 million of productivity measures and cost out measures gross our business capacities. We have our new units turnaround is on track. You remember when we talked a year ago, there was a lot of discussions about rightsizing our footprint, taking some of our capacities down, so our new unit turnaround is on track. And it's actually right now being more and more flexible to allow us to manage load swings and market dynamics. So when there is more opportunities in the market, we are able to tap into that without building fixed cost structures that would penalize us if the market scenario goes down. Selectivity remains to be the rule of everything we do. We typically look at profitability, but also at risk exposure and most important thing for us is the service relevance. We look at contracts that provide us with more service opportunities, better operating profile, more favorably than contracts that does not have the service relevance aspects. And customer satisfaction is our license to operate. Christian talked about Net Promoter Score, and we are very, very encouraged to see that our Net Promoter Score improved by 25% compared to last year actually, which means that our customers appreciate our products, but also appreciates the way we deliver our service and we execute our projects. So now if we look at future. So this was '23, '22 and how we strategically positioned our business for the future. But now let's look at how the market is developing for the future. The slide is in front of you split into 2 parts. The left-hand side is the energy consumption so in thousands of terawatt hours. So this is basically looking at the existing installed fleet and how it's running. And the right-hand side is looking at gas additions, new gas additions per annum. And of course, we have the actuals and we have the way looking forward from '23 until 2030. So if you look at the left-hand side, you see that in '22, there was around 29,000 terawatt hours, and gas was around 6%. The future looks at 2 scenarios. We normally follow the IHS or the Standard & Poor's inflection case and -- or inflection is the base case and green rules. Inflection is basically looking at gas will continue to increase until mid '20s, '25, '26 and then will go down. And by 2050, we'll see the lowest emission -- CO2 emissions from fossil ever. The green rules is more aggressive in terms of rapid adoption of renewable energy and faster exit from fossil. Both scenarios until 2030 does not really change much. In terms of gas, we see that gas will be utilized between 6,000 and 7,000 terawatt hours per annum. As a matter of fact, if we look at our own fleet, the utilization of our fleet in fiscal year '23, was slightly better than that of fiscal year '22. So that's when it comes to the utilization of existing units. When we look at the additions, I think you see a step change from the levels of 2020 and even 2021 at around 42 gigawatt per annum of gas additions. And you see now 60 and then by 2030, we're looking at anything between 57 -- 56, sorry, if you look at the green rule scenario or 72, if you look at the inflection. So within this range, this is what the market models expect gas additions per annum would look like. We have sized our organization to manage this swing. So we are not having capacities on the top and we are not having capacities on the bottom. We are having the agility of our organization to be able to manage that through measures around our temporary work and also around our supply chain and so on. But what I want to share with you is our view on how these gas additions break down. So you look at 4 trends. you look at conventional gas additions. So these are countries building capacities because of GDP growth, because of urbanization, whatever, and that's in 2030, the 40% part you see in the bar. And then 60% of the new gas additions is split between 3 other trends. It's the decarbonization of coal and oil assets into gas is the largest part, 40% -- 50% excuse me. And then you have building capacity with hydrogen or green fuels around 40%. And then you have gas additions for peaking applications to complement the fluctuations of renewals. So these are the 4 trends we see in the market that impacts the new gas additions. And if we at and try to just have a global view of what is happening where, right? On the conventional gas additions, of course, China remains to be the single largest market around 35% -- 30% to 35% of the market, and they are adding more than 200 gigawatts of gas in the next 5 years, but not only China. I mean we see now Saudi Arabia building 40 gigawatts of gas as well and some other parts of Asia, especially in growing economies. So there are focused markets in this area where we just follow the demands of the countries. Coal to gas or oil to gas shift is the second trend. And there, you see very clearly in Europe, you see it in Germany, you see it in Eastern Europe, you see it in the U.S., you also see it in Korea. And you see some numbers in Europe, we expect more than 35 gigawatts of coal-to-gas shift as well as half of the capacity of Korea as announced already to follow this strength. And then there are certain -- the third trend, there are certain countries that really adopt the hydrogen economy. Germany is clearly one of them. And Germany announced and is already tendering and awarding anything between 15 to 20 gigawatts of combined cycle power plant that needs to be hydrogen ready by 2030 50% and 100% hydrogen ready beyond 2032. But also U.K. is following the same track and having a strategy with regards to hydrogen-based gas turbines. And last but not least, is this renewable integration. You see it in the U.S. big time. You see it also in Ireland, in the U.K. and other parts of Europe. So these 5 trends, 4 trends serves -- gives us service volume, maybe let me finish there, gives us service volume with new demand but also with longer reach. And these opportunities, we look at them in this slide and see what should we do to make sure that we maximize our benefit out of these opportunities, but also manage the risk associated with it. Clearly, on the growth on gas, we see step change, especially in the large gas, moving from 70 to 80 units per annum to more than 100 units per annum. And this is really a topic of how do we manage capacities, how do we manage risk exposure, how to improve our supply chain resilience, topics like dual sourcing plays a role, technical validation plays a role, safety stocks. So management priorities are very clear around these topics for managing the gas growth. Service is the second opportunity we see and there is an increased demand for modernization for lifetime extension and for digitalization and there, we need to look at how our customers are making there now. And this model has changed. Cyclic operations provide different opportunities for our customers to charge the -- as operators to charge their customers, and we need to provide them with new service models that takes into consideration stop and start cycles, lifetime extensions of nuclear power plants, many parts of North America, there is an extension of more than 40 years of existing nuclear assets, and this needs modernization upgrades also digitalization and asset management. And then decarbonization of power and heat, hydrogen I talked about, but also heat pumps and district heating. And there, are looking at focusing our R&D investments, and Christian talked about how we allocate our R&D investment with time to profit, size of the market, et cetera. But we have a very focused investment in R&D and we will continue to do so to provide technologies for the energy transition to expand our service capabilities and also to tap into the heat pumps market that is exponentially growing. I want to give you like 3 quick examples of these opportunities that I showed you, turned into real business in fiscal year '23. First one is Mintia is a power plant in Romania. It's a coal-fired power plant, 1,700 megawatts that we turned it into gas. It's under construction right now, booked in the beginning of fiscal year '23 is going to be one of the most efficient combined cycle power plants in Europe, saving more than 6,000 tons of CO2 per annum. We sold in fiscal year '23 more than 21 gas turbines for coal-to-gas applications and in their life cycle, they will reduce the CO2 footprint by more than 500 tons of CO2 over their life cycle. Isle Belle is in U.S., it's the first large gas turbine that fires up to 38% of hydrogen for constellation. This is more than 10 years old. It has been built in 2010 and it really opens the potential for us to upgrade many of our fleets with hydrogen co-firing. We have more than 1,600 gas turbines in the world in countries where hydrogen strategies and regulations is being adapted to be used for co-firing. And last but not least, we have Castlelost in Ireland with our SGT-800. I talked about this machine. 5 units has been put there for peaking application. And as I said, it also opens for us new horizons in terms of our service models and so on. When we look at all these opportunities and we look at where are we going for '25 and '26. I think it's very clear, we have made a step change in our top line. We crossed the EUR 10 billion plus in revenue. We intend to stay flat there and improve our profitability by improving the new unit service mix. We are on our track for the 10% to 12% of profitability in fiscal year '25, but we intend to reach this and stay there. So we are still working on key focus areas to ensure that when we reach this box, we stay in it. And these are the 5 focus areas you see in front of you. It's growing our service backlog. It's increasing the competitiveness of our portfolio and cost out. It's the operational excellence and managing our productivity as well as our capacities remain very focused on selectivity and offer topnotch decarbonization, innovation and technology to our customers, especially in the area of green fuels and carbon capture as well as heat pumps. In a nutshell, I want to conclude by saying, we believe that we are well on track to achieve our 10% to 12% possibility by fiscal year '25. We are seeing a robust gas market with stable long-term prospects. We have leading technologies that enables us to perform in terms of efficiency and power output, but also in terms of hydrogen co-firing capability better than many of our peers. And we will continue to grow our service backlog and decarbonize our fleet. With this, I would like to conclude my presentation and invite Tim to take us through the Grid Technologies. And after his presentation, we'll have the opportunity, both of us, to take your questions. Thank you for your attention. Thank you so much.

Unknown Executive

executive
#94

So also a warm welcome from my side. And I will start a bit differently, with a short video that shows the journey of an electron and gives you a bit of a glimpse of what we do in Grid Technologies. The video, please. [Presentation]

Unknown Executive

executive
#95

And the light is on. So what I want to do in the next 30 minutes, take you on an equally exciting journey on Grid Technologies. And I can really tell you, the whole team and myself are really energized about the opportunities we see. And just to start off, a lot has changed since the last CMD 1.5 years ago. Grid Technology used to operate in a market that was growing 3%, 2%. Last year we have already seen the increase to 5%. And now we see the long-term potential on the Grid Technology market of 10% CAGR until 2030. So market has doubled since last year. And you can also see it in the achievements that we have had since the last Capital Market Days. We had a doubling of the order entry since '21. You see we started at 7.3%. We finished the last year very strongly at EUR 15.8 billion order entry. And it's not just the large HVDC projects that you read about, the [ Tenet frame ] contract, the [ Amprions ] and so on. We have seen an equal increase in orders on the product side and on the service side. So growth throughout the whole portfolio. And you see that in the doubling of the order entry backlog, but you also see that the revenue has been growing much faster than we anticipated. And we've seen that double-digit order growth, and you see that also in the outlook that Maria has presented. And of course, we're not just doing this for orders or revenue, also on the profitability side, we are very close also to reaching the '25 profit margin guidance. And also equally important, we're raising the target for '26 to 9% to 11%. And if you look on the right-hand side, this also comes with a really nice development on the free cash flow. You see the -- you see the CCR, and this is also driven by the large project business. But you also see it in the product business. We have customers in the U.S. that are paying reservation fees for transformer deliveries in 2, 3 years out just to secure their slots. So really strong momentum, and we want to capitalize going forward on that. Just a bit of deep dive on the market. And what -- why do we have the 10% CAGR market growth in the next year to 2030? One, and we've talked about it, the grid in the developed markets is getting old. The majority of the grid is older than 20 years, and it needs upgrades, replacement in order to cope with the big influx of renewables. We used to have grid investments of about EUR 300 billion a year, and that hasn't changed the last 10 years. But you also know we have added massive amounts of renewables to it, over 2,000 gigawatts in the last 10 years. And now the grid has to cope with it, has to connect these offshore wind farms, has to transport the electrons over large distances, and you have to keep the grid stable. And then you look at the projections, 200 gigawatts of offshore wind that needs to be added, quite also onshore wind, solar and so on, and the grid has to keep pace with it. I think the last Capital Market Day, we showed a slide on the investments in Germany, the TSOs. And back then, I said Tenet is increasing the CapEx from EUR 2 billion a year to EUR 3 billion a year, to EUR 5 billion a year. 1.5 years later, that EUR 8 billion a year investment. Similar, National Grid in the U.K., 42 billion grid investment by '26. So the numbers also from the customer side, the CapEx plans, support that long-term growth that we see. And if we unpack that a bit, so the graph shows you how we look at our addressable market based on the products and solutions that we have. And you see that big increase from '22 to '23, largely driven by the European market. But you also see the long-term growth. And it's not just Europe, where we see a lot of activity, it's also the Americas and APAC. A bit different focus on what's driving it. In Europe, very much on the offshore and onshore HVDCs and the grid stabilization. The U.S., a lot is driven also by the aging infrastructure, but also grid stabilization, in the first HVDC projects that we see. And then APAC, a bit of a different picture. India starting, Australia starting. You have the offshore markets in Taiwan and Japan that are coming. And all supported by policy. We have the European Repower EU Act. We have the IRA, where we believe Americas will come now very strongly. But also in APAC, the underlying policies. So if you look at the current revenue, yes, Europe is leading, but with what we see also in the other regions, we're going to expect much more balanced picture going forward also from the Americas and APAC. Equally important in order to manage that growth for Grid Technologies, what we started to do is how do we do the portfolio measures to make our portfolio future-proof. And there's 3 parts to it. We looked also at exits. And you can say, why would we divest part of the portfolio if there's such a strong growth projective? But we also looked at the lower end of the portfolio. We looked at, is there a strategic fit, as Christian described in his opening speech. And we also looked, what are the profit contributions? So the first one, and we have been working on this over a year was the divestment of the [ Trench ] and HSP portfolio. Very fragmented market, over 300 competitors, medium-sized companies that we work with. And also from a complexity, in terms of technology, engineering, probably not the same level that we have with the large power transformers. The second, and we just signed a term sheet 2 weeks ago, is the distribution transformers. Also a market that's very fragmented, smaller size, much shorter cycle times. We hope that in the next 6 months we're going to finish the JV contract and have that up and running the next fiscal year, so October 1, '24. So that also that part of the portfolio will be no longer with us, but managed via joint venture. And that will reduce the number of factories we have in the portfolio by 50%. And so we will go from 43 factories to 22 factories in the network. Less complexity, less investment needs, much more management focused on driving the growth in the large and medium power transformers and the switch gear. The middle box is all about: How do we invest? Christian already talked about the acquisition of [indiscernible], which is a substation, automation company, engineering company. It's one of the bottlenecks. Where do you find these qualified engineers? It closes a gap on our digitalization portfolio. And it also helps our customers. The other one, equally important, was Mitsubishi Electric, on one of the future technologies, the DC grid, where we're going to do a joint development on DC breakers and DC switching in order to also be prepared for the second stage of the HVDC build-out. And then the right-hand side is about partnering. One is how do we expand our portfolio on the software side, the grid control software side? PSI, a leading software company in that field in Europe, we'll use their core software and then build on it with value-add services, and we're going to enter the U.S. market jointly in order to also have that offering. The second is a bit more on the supply chain. It's about decarbonization of the grid. And we have more and more request, what are you doing on your Scope 1? How do we make sure the -- your transformers are greener? Will we work with thyssenkrupp on the Greens Deal also to take the carbon out of our products? So if you look ahead in terms of what portfolio do we need to tackle the energy transition and the grid opportunities, and it's all about how do you manage a grid that gets more complex and that gets more instable? And you can see the splits between product, solutions and our services and digitalization. On the product side, clear focus on the transformers, both large and medium size, highly engineers, highly complex products. It's about switching, and I will go a bit into it on one of the next slides. Also on the Blue portfolio that takes SF6 out. And of course, on the converter towers that are needed to drive the HVDC connections. On the solutions side, the focus clear here is on HVDC, both on and offshore. And at the same time, on grid stabilization, including our storage technologies. And then last but not least, it's about services and digitalization. Services, really driven by the high refurbishment need that we see in the grid, the HVDC build-out that comes also with service frame contracts, the customers that don't have the service teams to do the service, and then also more industry players coming in that don't want to do the service. So also here, a clear focus on those service activities. Not as big as Karim's, but also growing with a nice margin. And then the last, one of the smaller businesses, digitalization. But it's all about how do we help our customers to get more transparency on the data, on the operations they have. How can they control the grid better? How do they also get more out of the assets without adding necessarily more products, more solutions? And I talked about the switching part. And here, a big need of our customers is also how do you decarbonize the grid. And the one part that's the main concern is the SF6 they use in their switching equipment. SF6 is a greenhouse gas that's 24,000 times more harmful than CO2. And it's a huge issue. We have talked a long time about substituting the Blue portfolio at discussions with some of you, that always said, yes, you always talked about it, but the market is ready for takeoff. We have seen, and Christian presented it, the orders that are coming in the U.S., even China, but also with the ban in the EU on SF6 starting in 2028. That market will take off. It's a EUR 7 billion market. And we have the technology that has 0 greenhouse gases, 0 SF6 in there. We have competitors who have a bit of a different solution, but they're not 0, and it comes also with other drawbacks like the PFAS discussion that we have. So overall, also on the switching side, which is a very competitive market, we have the technology to finally make it happen. Then the other big part is HVDC. And we talked a lot about these large projects. I think the important part that I want you all take away, that market is going to increase 6-fold to 2030, 6-fold. And it's going to be a EUR 38 billion market. Now the question is, how do you tackle the market? It's a market that currently in the U.S., EU has 3 major players. So it's a very limited market. lots of customer demand, but it's also how do you tackle that demand with the right risk and reward balance. One thing I want to make sure everybody understands, in those projects, over 50% is actually products and software that we do. It's not all these big projects, these big platforms. They use big converter stations. A big portion of that is proven product. It's transformers out of our factories in Europe. It switched gear out of our factory in Berlin, and the software and converter towers that come out of a factory in Erlangen. We also have an extensive experience, and the learning curve that we went through, and we'll come to that on the offshore side. But we have done over 70 projects already, over 115 gigawatt of connections that we did. Different countries over a long time. So a proven team that is implementing those projects. And over the last 1.5 years, we have worked on the terms and conditions. If you compare a contract we took 3, 4 years ago, to a contract that we're taking nowadays, you will see much more balanced contract conditions in terms of LDs, warranties and so on that we take. And this is also something that we're very selective. One is pricing, but the other one is also terms and conditions. Because with that order growth, we need to make sure we have contracts that we can execute on and that don't expose us to a major risk. The other big part, of course, in the growth is the offshore platforms. Over 200 gigawatts of wind that needs to be connected. And as you see on the left side, this big yellow box, the offshore converter platform, the 2 gigawatt, that's the new standard in the industry. And in order to connect all the offshore wind, you will need over 100 of these platforms until 2030. Three major players in the industry. The platform overall is about EUR 2.6 billion, half of that is Siemens scope. And this, in order to tackle this, this is all about how do we do industrialization of the industry. Started also in very close collaboration with our customers. We set the standard on the 2 gigawatt in Europe, U.K. is on 1.8. But we also said we're only going to do certain technologies, certain sizes in order also to manage the growth, and to get it done. The second piece, equally important, is how do we select the right partners. We have worked with 2 yards, one is Dragados in Spain, the other one is Aker Solutions in Norway. With the growth that's coming, we're looking at 3 more partners. But this is also in conjunction with our customers. They understand qualifying a new yard requires a ramp-up. And that's also reflected in the contract conditions, how we look at time lines, how we look at delivery dates. Equally important. So derisking that approach and, at the same time, also making sure we only take the scope that we understand. And you see that on the right-hand side. Those are standard products that we do. It's the transformers that we have been producing for a number of years in Nuremberg. It's a converter of towers that we built for a number of years in Erlangen. So switching, both AC and DC, all proven technology. And that's the learning curve that we also had from the Excellence Project from 2010, that we only do the scope that we understand and that we're comfortable with. The other exciting part, and we talked about it earlier, is on grid stabilization. And it's not just about connecting the renewables. It's also about how do you keep the grid stable. And I think there we have a unique product offering that I don't see any of our competitors have. It's a market, by the way, that grew in the last 2 years 4-fold, and the projects are also getting bigger. And you basically have 2 options, how you do grid stabilization. You do STATCOM, which is based on power electronics and converters, or you do it with Cincon. And the Cincon is a large rotating mass that actually Karim is building in Muelheim, which is a large generator. The innovation that now comes is that, if you combine a Cincon with a battery storage, you actually meet the customer demand and cannot only do the stabilization of the grid but also the energy storage. We just booked the first order in Ireland, Shannonbridge, EUR 80 million. But it's also a unique combination because Hitachi doesn't have business that manufactures generators. So the combination also allows us together with the ability to integrate into the grid integration on the software side to also participate in the market that we believe is equally big, has equal growth rates going forward than the HVDC. So at the end, it's not just about all that opportunity in the market but also how do we execute on it. How do we make sure we have that stable, reliable operational approach? Left-hand side of the chart shows you our order backlog, EUR 23 billion. It grew EUR 8 billion from last year. And you see that large portion on the left side, the light blue, which is Grid Solutions. Keep in mind what I just showed you on the earlier slide, 50% of that is products and software. So at the end, it's about how do we ramp up capacity on the factories, how do we scale on an industrial level to make sure we can implement all these projects, and how do we get the head count on board. And we have done, on the expansion of the factories, 3 things. We look how do we get more through the factories, without major CapEx, introducing new shifts, optimizing the flow. That's one of the areas that we tackled earlier on. Then it's about debottlenecking factories. We're, for example, adding a second test field in our factory, transformer factory, in Mexico because that was the bottleneck, the rest, and then we can increase the output significantly by just adding one-off or removing one of the bottlenecks. And then the last one is adding new capacity. And we will build a new factory for large power transformers in the U.S., and we're expanding massively in India, together with Siemens on our Indian factory for the export business. The other one is, you'll ask, where do we get all these qualified engineers? Where do you get the head count? We have about a need of 3,000 people until 2026, qualified engineers. And here also, we're ramping up in all our major locations, Germany, U.K., U.S., at the same time, also using India as a competence up, and Vinod will touch on it a bit later, as well as working with partners like Quest that can also ramp up quickly on engineering resources. And with all that, we're very confident that we'll -- can participate in the 10% growth of the market. It's really about how do we focus on these attractive markets, what I just showed; exit, where we believe we don't have really that competitive advantages, and concentrating on the parts that are growing rapidly. It's about scaling. It's about maximizing the capacity. And it's also keeping the focus on the operational improvements. And with that, we're very confident by '26 we have the double-digit revenue growth. Already talked about the margin raise for the midterm target to 9% to 11%. At the same time, we'll also increase our R&D to 2% in order also to develop the technologies that are needed for the future, and about EUR 600 million in CapEx to expand the capacity in the factories throughout the network that we have. And with that, I would ask Karim back on stage for the Q&A. Thank you.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#96

Right. Thank you, both of you, Tim, and Karim. [indiscernible].

Sebastian Growe

analyst
#97

It's Sebastian here from BNP. It's a question on Grid Technologies and the growth path ahead. So you guided for the double-digit growth through '26, and you have also introduced the 20% organic growth for '24. So how should we interpret this very growth rate of double digits? If you could quantify that, especially in wake of the doubling in the total addressable market. You have also been talking about the EUR 7 billion order intake in '21, up to EUR 16 billion in '23. So if you could also comment on your pipeline to just better understand where you could take the business more structurally.

Unknown Executive

executive
#98

Yes. I think it's a bit of a function on when is what growth translating into revenue. And we're going to see that earlier on the product side. A lot of the big projects where you see the announcements, they're coming at '26, '27, '28 time frame. But you will also see that for next year when we have the margin range at around 20% plus/minus. I think at the end, it's all how that translates into revenue and kind of in that range, that based on timing when the big projects come and with underlying very solid product growth. So kind of keep it in that range compared to what we -- in relation to what we showed for '24 for this year for revenue growth.

Sebastian Growe

analyst
#99

[indiscernible]

Unknown Executive

executive
#100

I think it's a bit lumpy because the big projects are in there. So some years, it might be a little less. Some years might be a little bit more. And it depends also on the momentum and how fast we can expand capacity.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#101

Ben, Will, and then Phil. So, Ben, Will, Phil.

Ben Uglow

analyst
#102

Two questions, both kind of about capacity. Karim, we spent the last 10 years rightsizing the Power Gen business for about 70 to 80 units in 35 gigawatts. And now suddenly, we think that the market might be 100-plus units in 60 gigawatts. I'm assuming that you and your competitors are not about to turn around and start adding capacity. There's only so many shifts and all that stuff that you can do. So at what point do you get into a volume bottleneck situation? And what does that mean for your margin progress? And I guess there is a similar, slightly related [indiscernible]. The last time we had a big power wave in transformers, in high-voltage transformers, the Chinese companies were basically nowhere, they couldn't do 900 kilovolts plus. Now they absolutely can. If you don't add capacity and others don't add capacity, what's the risk that these things start arriving on boats and we actually begin to see proper, because we were worried about it last time, proper competition from the Chinese?

Karim Amin

executive
#103

Yes. Let me start quickly. Absolutely right, and I mentioned this, we don't want to build fixed capacities, and then if the market turns after 2030, then we restructure again. So we actually introduced a certain level of agility and flexibility in this 70 to 80. So -- and it's about supply chain. And you're right, it's reached a certain point where the supply chain can only do so much. And then comes the element of selectivity, then you'll just select the best out of these contracts, which gives you the service relevance. I mean some contracts have very good operating profile for service and some contracts don't, right? So we look at that and we put this into consideration. Christian talks about terms and conditions. So we just go into selectivity this way.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#104

Tim?

Unknown Executive

executive
#105

So really good question. That's also -- the Grid Technology team is -- we're looking at it. How fast can we expand in order to also meet a customer demand who is very reluctant to buy from China? So in the U.S., it's a no-go, certain parts of Europe as well. But as you said, if there's no option, they have to look elsewhere. And that's why we're so much focused on how do we work in the network and how do we also, for example, channel some of the slots out of the European factories that go in other markets to China. One example is out of our own Chinese factories to the Middle East markets and keep our slots for Europe and the U.S. And then the rapid expansion. We can do it fairly quickly in India. We have an existing operation, the U.S. But we also have, for example, in our other factories, like Brazil, we have more slots. It just takes a bit of convincing for the customers to feel comfortable not getting everything from Nuremberg but also some of the others. So we're watching this closely. We're keeping our customers in a close dialogue to make sure delivery times don't get too long. And so far with the plan we have laid out, I don't think that's going to be an issue.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#106

Thank you both. Will?

William Mackie

analyst
#107

Two questions on Grid Technologies, please. The first, just to help us understand how we should think about pricing. Certainly, large elements of your portfolio have high content of electrical steels and oils. So what contribution was the price across the group, of the 17% growth that you achieved? And when we look at your growth projections, what are your working assumptions for that going forward? If there's a large deflation on some of your input costs, or inflation, how will that affect your projections?

Unknown Executive

executive
#108

So pricing, probably say it's about 1/3 of it, that impacted it. And you've seen it on the large projects, and that's driven by also the cost increase. We don't see -- I mean a lot of it is also now going forward indexed on commodities, copper, steel and so on. But we also have the discussion, when is it going to come down, and the question. We don't really see, with the scarcity in the market, that prices will come down significantly. We still have a bottleneck on engineering. We -- our supply base isn't adding that much capacity that you see an oversupply. So we expect pricing to be stable or even going up a bit further on what we see.

William Mackie

analyst
#109

Thanks. And the second is on the operational gearing aspects of the business. You're making a very positive growth projection against an extremely positive marketplace, but your margin expansion is only 150 to whatever that is, 250 basis points, against that growth. So where is the operational gearing in this business in areas like HVDC where you have a duopoly, stroke, oligopoly, and it's exceptional technology -- yes?

Unknown Executive

executive
#110

I mean, one, as I said earlier, projects are longer term. So I mean, what you've seen there is a '26 targets, and a lot of the projects we've been taking now, in the Tenet project, the Amprion project, they come -- they're starting in '26, '27. Second piece is we're operating in a regulated market. I mean there's also so much -- you can push pricing where you see pushback in terms of the regulator and our customers. So it's a bit of a balance. But overall -- and then also the CapEx investments. For example, on these big projects, we're gearing up our project implementation teams, the engineers, and for the time being, we have basically teams running in double the size in order to get the experience base through. So there's a couple of things in there that we need in order to manage the growth. And I mean, margin expansion at this growth rate, I think that's pretty good. Normally, you see growth rates and very little profit, right? So.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#111

Cool. Phil?

Philip Buller

analyst
#112

Yes, great. One for Karim, one for Tim, please. Firstly, 10% to 12% margins is obviously progress from here, but it doesn't necessarily feel like a ceiling from the outside given all the work that you're doing from a selectivity side on the OE side. So is there a reason why 12% is a ceiling? Is there upside risk to 12%?

Karim Amin

executive
#113

Yes. I think we -- again, it's a time horizon, right? So we look at '25, '26, and that's where the guidance is. The business mix between units and service plays a major role in how you step up into this profitability. And we've seen the order entry in '22 and '23 has been EUR 12 billion plus. So we need some time to get this service backlog I talked about really turned over, and then reduce a bit of this revenue that comes from turnkey, and then you are really flying in this flight level of 10%, 12%. And then you add, let's say, the next level of performance. Part also of the restructuring, I think Ben talked about, is still not yet done. So Maria explained the AIP, and big part of this AIP is still happening. Cost is coming out of our organization in '25 and '26. So we are still sitting on this cost. I think that's the guidance right now. We'll see how the market goes. And I think we are constantly, of course, monitoring this.

Philip Buller

analyst
#114

And the next one, obviously, there's a lot to be excited about in grids, backlogs have grown massively. But the fiscal reality is pretty tricky, I guess, for a number of governments. Is there anything in that backlog that is not firm or cancelable or anything that we should think about from that standpoint?

Unknown Executive

executive
#115

No. I mean you heard about [ Orsted ] in the U.S., we're actually doing a project with them. Sunrise, it's -- they now starting to build the platform, so that's going to go ahead. You heard about the [ Vattenfile ] and maybe you've seen it. We just signed the order, not for the [ First Valeas ], but the Vanguard East and West. So it's moving ahead. So we haven't seen it. And you can almost say sometimes what we see in the U.S. is actually good for the market because right now when we look at slots for HVDC offshore grid access, it's 2032 and beyond. So little bit less pressure on the market actually helps all of us to build up the necessary capacity and fulfill what's already in the pipeline, firm and active bidding stage. So I'm not worried. It's, as we said, there's so much that didn't get invested in the last 10 years and there's so much of a catch-up just to get the existing projects connected and the power delivered that we feel very comfortable with the visibility we have.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#116

Akash, over to you.

Akash Gupta

analyst
#117

It's Akash here from JPMorgan. I have 2 questions on Gas Services, please. The first one is on your flat growth target in the medium term. You presented your outlook on the new equipment, which was arrow going upwards, backlog in service is going up. And there will be some inflation adjustment to service contract and nobody expecting inflation to go negative. So why you are not targeting more like low single-digit growth and instead of targeting flat growth? And second one, on Gas Services, Karim, a couple of times you mentioned about new service models. Can you elaborate on what these new service models are and how big drivers for growth in margins they could be?

Karim Amin

executive
#118

Sure. So I think on the flat, we are looking at a new level of revenue line. I mean we have been around EUR 9 billion in '21, and now we are EUR 10.9 billion, right? So at this level, it is flat, right? Because you already added EUR 1.5 billion compared to last year. Now why it is this way? Because, again, of this mix. I mean, we can add, we can get more contracts on -- I mean, Ben talked about the market and so on. But the more you get from the new units and the more you press -- you don't get it on the same levels of service. So it's really a balance between you want to keep the units running into your fleet to make your fleet younger and longer and so on, but you also want to observe this mix. I also want to caution everybody, there is also a lot of cost increase in the gas market, right? So when you look at supply chain and you look at the aviation industry and so on, there is a lot of bottlenecks in the supply chain. And it also pushes the cost up. So we are also careful with this aspect as well. New service models. Typically in the past, you run baseload. And any contract that runs like 8,000 hours a year is a great one for service. And then you charge your customers accordingly. This is how the customer used to get paid in their power purchase agreements. Today, you have a lot of peaking, you have a lot of stops and starts. You have a lot of anticipation of how the renewable load profile is going to look like. And those customers who are available and ready with their capacity to dispatch when the opportunity comes, they really make a lot of money. And we've seen this happening, by the way, in the U.K. big time when you had the low wind times a year ago and so on. So we -- the new service model is to try to enable our customers to anticipate when these windows of opportunities will come, make sure that their machines are available and dispatchable, and also align how we are charging our service fees in sync with how they are making money in this new environment. That's the new service model.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#119

Gael, you had a question?

Gael de-Bray

analyst
#120

I have several, actually. So maybe 2 for Tim to start. What's today the size and the profitability, roughly speaking, of your distribution transformers business that will end up in a minority JV for you? And secondly, how confident are you, you're not going to end up in a kind of a growth crisis echoing the one we've just -- I mean, we are seeing at the moment in offshore wind, especially perhaps around the challenges you may have on recruiting talent. So I guess my question is to try and understand the fundamental differences between wind and offshore, and perhaps if you are actually in competition, the 2 of them, to attract the talent to your respective businesses.

Unknown Executive

executive
#121

So first one, about EUR 0.5 billion of revenue is going to go into the joint venture on the distribution side. What we're not going to do is put our traction and the fluid-immersed transformers into it, which we use on offshore wind, also was a clear focus because I think it's also important to keep that in the family. Profitability in that segment, if you look at McKinsey, it's about 5% to 7% going forward. And of course, I mean, it depends also in the joint venture. It's a large industrial partner that we see very lean, very little cost structure. So I think there's also, compared to what we now make in a market with a lot of tailwinds, even ahead as a lower structure, I think it's a market that's still very attractive. And for a very entrepreneurial player, maybe we can even get up to double digits. Second one, I guess I didn't do such a good job in explaining what we're trying to do to industrialize it, and that was my -- the purpose why I showed you the offshore substation. What we put in there is not new. It's not new technology. It's existing transformer designs, it's existing switching products. It's existing converter technology. At the same time, I talked about software. We upgraded the software platform, but we're implementing it right now. So Viking Link, which connects Denmark and the U.K., is actually one of the first projects where we use that software platform. It's in the commissioning phase. The software is running stable. So what we're going to do going forward is, existing technology, existing software that we put in there, with very carefully selected partners on the yard side, and everybody does their scope. We pushed some of the scope out to the customers like installation, which we don't take but the customer takes. And at the same time, also being very strict about what [ Ts and Cs ] we accept. So that's the mitigation strategy. And a lot of copy and paste. We just signed an order on one of these onshore HVDC links in Germany. It's basically a copy and paste of a previous one. So also there, very much coming from a customized approach where each platform looks different, where HVDC connection looks different, to copy and paste and just using the same technology. In terms of talent, I think it's a bit of a different profile that's needed on the wind side versus the grid side. I mean, a lot more controls and protection we do. I think Vinod can answer the question on the project implementation later on in his presentation, how do we look at talent on the execution side. But currently, we don't really see it. And that's also why -- I think what concerns me much more is the war of talent between us, our competitors and the customers, because the customers are equally ramping up. And that's why we concentrated also on partners like Quest in India, to build up really the competence. Because the European market is pretty empty for these type of skills that we need in order for the grid built out.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#122

Okay. We're running over again, but 2 questions. One goes to Sean and then the next to Alex. So Sean maybe if you could start to sweep across the floor.

Sean McLoughlin

analyst
#123

Two questions for me. Firstly, Tim, the -- where was it? Oh yes, sorry, reservation fees. That was the point. So it's remarkable that you're getting such upfront visibility and such appetite from customers to reserve ahead. We're seeing this in other high-voltage segments as well, in cables, for example. I mean is this a peak of the market? Are we looking at a, I guess, at a little bit of just a fade next year in terms of order flow? Or is this such a strong structural move that whatever new capacity you build, and you have such confidence in the pipeline that, yes, that [ strength of the team ].

Unknown Executive

executive
#124

Yes. I could let Ben answer that because he talked about the super cycle last time. But -- so I stole it. No, we see that. I think it's the limitation I have with capacity and capacity ramp-up, because I think at one point delivery times just get too long where customers get -- either they get very nervous or they look elsewhere. And that's why we want to give them confidence with the ramp-up and the discussions we have with them. What do we do in debottlenecking, getting more capacity through, and the additions? So overall, with the project pipeline we see. And at the end, you have to connect all these renewables and you have to keep the grid stable. I don't think there is an another option because the electron has to go from A to B. And it's not only Europe, the U.S. is coming. We see it in India. We see it also in other parts. So for me, it's a structural shift in the market. It's catching up to the investment levels needed, plus what goes on top of it in order to build the foundation for all these renewable additions.

Sean McLoughlin

analyst
#125

A question for Karim. On the hydrogen-ready turbines, it's quite a large proportion of the 2030 market size. We know that hydrogen has struggled a little bit in -- to accelerate. I mean, how concrete do you think that market segment looks? Or is hydrogen ready actually just a switch that you can flick on an existing gas turbine that allows you an easy retrofit? Just any color on that?

Karim Amin

executive
#126

It is an easy retrofit, right? So it's not a switch that you flip, because you also need to look at the balance of plant, not only the gas turbine but all the systems and how -- I mean hydrogen is highly flammable. But it's not really something that you would need to think about it's prohibitive or something. We have already reached levels of hydrogen readiness that the industry is not able to cope up with. So constantly we are asked the question of how much hydrogen can your gas turbine burn? And the -- we always answer and say, how much hydrogen do you have? Whatever you have, tell us and we can burn it, right? So I think that's not an issue.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#127

Okay. Last question goes to Alex.

Alexander Virgo

analyst
#128

Alex Virgo, BofA. Tim, I wondered if you could just dig a little bit into the distribution transformer JV point. I'm quite intrigued by that because the growth that we're seeing on the medium voltage and the distribution end is strong. And is that just a question of we want to focus on the power end and the transmission end, and we're not the best owners of that technology? Just trying to understand the dynamics because...

Unknown Executive

executive
#129

No. It's one part. And also if you look -- go back a bit on the history, 3.5 years ago, when we did the carve-out from Siemens, we got the distribution transformers, everything else, distribution, stay with Siemens, and also the parts that are a bit more profitable than the transformer. So for us, it was much more. We needed on certain industrial applications. I think traction is one, where we feel we have a very strong position, also on the wind side. But doing pad-mounted transformers, for example, to connect small solar fields, it doesn't fit our approach, and we're missing all the other pieces that would make it worthwhile from a profitability and solution approach.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#130

Thank you very much. Thanks, everyone. If we reconvene at 5:30 for the last session with Anne-Laure and Vinod. So we've got 10 minutes break. Thanks, everyone. Thank you, both. [Break]

Michael Hagmann

executive
#131

Right. We are now heading into the last session. I'm trying to get Anne-Laure's attention. So yes, so after the last session, we're going to have the session on Transformation of Industry, Anne-Laure de Chammard. She will start before Vinod will be talking about the global functions. Thank you, Anne-Laure.

Anne-Laure Parrical Chammard

executive
#132

Thank you, Michael. So hello, everybody. I'm very happy to be presenting Transformation of Industry, and I will first take a little bit of time to present who we are and what we do because I know we are a very diverse business. So we support industrial process decarbonization through 3 levers: energy efficiency, which is tackling the need -- the brownfield need of our customers to be able to consume less energy; electrification, which is the conversion of our processes from fossil fuels to electricity; and hydrogen, this is more specific for the hard-to-abate sectors, where the processes cannot be easily electrified. And there, they convert the fossil fuels to hydrogen and e-fuels. So we have 4 businesses to address these levers. First one is steam turbines and generators, STG. There, it is tackling the efficiency topic by, for example, converting the heat back into electricity. We have electrification, automation and digitalization, which is electrifying the industrial processes in maritime, offshore and process industries. We have sustainable energy systems, which is producing the electrolyzers and the Power-to-X systems to be able to produce green hydrogen and e-fuels from the green electricity. And we have compression overall, which is spanning across the 3 decarbonization levers, which is transporting and storing the fuels, be it natural gas, heat, hydrogen or compression. And it's important to note that compression has today the largest fleet in hydrogen compression -- hydrogen compressors and CO2 compressors. So overall, it makes up for EUR 4.4 billion revenue and EUR 7.1 billion backlog with 4 balanced businesses with SES really poised to grow. Let's see now what has happened since the last CMD 2 years ago. We've been through a huge turnaround. We've been going from minus 2% in '21 to plus 5.1% in '23 ahead of plan. And this has been possible through the huge work and structural transformation that has happened and that the teams have been able to lead. We've been able to save EUR 570 million of structural changes that will continue year-over-year. What are the 3 drivers for this transformation? First, footprint optimization: we've closed and rightsized 11 manufacturing production sites and service workshops; second, portfolio streamlining. We divested from underperforming or noncore businesses, such as water solutions or engine business; and third, operational excellence by improving productivity, quality and delivery time. This huge transformation has really enabled a step-by-step continuous improvement in our profitability of more than 700 basis points ahead of plan, and this is securing the fact that we will reach our target in '25 and even raise it further in '26. Let me now zoom in each of the 4 businesses because I think it's important to give you, as Christian and Maria were saying, that the businesses are very different. So it's important to give you the right level of details to understand how each of them behave. So first of all, you have STG and CP. These were true, true turnaround cases because you see they started in '21 with very low or even negative profitability. There, the turnaround was massive. STG was able to grow its service share up to 60%. It has achieved its turnaround while exiting for coal since 2020, and it is now the most profitable steam turbine OEM outside of India. Compression has reduced its footprint by 30%. Because of the booming market that is happening today, was able to now be extremely selective and focus on the right type of profitable markets, such as electrified LNG, for example, and has been growing its service share. And then you have EAD and SES. There, they are focusing on growth. EAD was able to exit its noncore businesses and really realign its portfolio to where the nice, attractive, profitable process industry markets are as well as maritime and offshore where it has a very well-positioned portfolio. And SES, with the huge hydrogen megatrend that is starting, is among the top 3 in order intake with 1 gigawatt of order backlog expected by the end of this year. And it just opened its Gigafactory, producing 1 gigawatt of electrolyzer capacity per year today and scaling. This profitability is going to continue further. How? Through 3 drivers: we're going to focus on increasing the service share, on selectivity and on operational excellence. First, increasing the service share. We have a huge fleet, 85,000 installed units. This fleet, plus the digital offering that we have, is going to continue to grow our service further. We plan to maintain more than 50% of service share for STG and CP while growing in new units. It's also important to note that we have a very strong service backlog that we've been able to increase by more than 50% in 2 years while at the same time increasing its profitability by 250 basis points. This has been possible by different things. First of all, a very high demand for profitable modernization and upgrades. And second, the fact that we've reorganized our setup to allow for better synergies between new units and service, and therefore, to better penetrate our fleet. It's also important to note that the very strong service network that we have in Siemens Energy is also going to enable us to be really -- to have a key differentiator for our electrolyzer business that we are going to be able to serve as it kicks in. Second driver is selectivity. There, we have a very, very nice, growing and favorable market. And at the same time, as I was telling you, we've been able to reduce and really have our capacity that is now optimized. Because of that, we are now able to be extremely selective in the type of project that we take to improve both our price and our risk profile. And this, you can see in the fact that our orders -- the gross margin of our orders have improved by 400 basis points. And this will trickle into our profitability as our projects get executed and go into revenue. And finally, operational excellence where we're going to focus on on-time, on-quality delivery; supply chain resilience; improving our customer satisfaction that we've already improved by 32% last year, and this we will continue; and focusing on streamlining our overhead costs; as well as being super focused on CapEx-efficient growth with a CapEx intensity below 1%, although we're growing our hydrogen factors. So I've talked about the turnaround, what's happened and what is coming. Now I'd like to focus on our market. The market for industry decarbonization is huge. 30% of the emissions come from the industry. The companies are right now pledging to drastically reduce their emissions, most of them before 2030. And they're investing huge amounts in brownfield for energy efficiency, electrification and hydrogen. And this is happening now in this current decade. What does this mean for TI? This means overall [ intent ] CAGR growth in the coming decade that will be driven by 3 things. You see the conventional part will remain stable as energy efficiency is going to grow, and this will fuel the growth of our service business. Then you have electrification, which will grow by 9% as the industry is shifting from fossil fuel to electrification. And this is going to also be fueled by the whole electrification that is happening, growing from 22% to 50% globally. And finally, hydrogen is going to grow by 37% there, as we said, because the hard-to-abate sectors are going to shift towards e-fuels. How are we going to adapt to that? We are actively shifting our portfolio towards clean tech to be able to adapt to this rising demand in decarbonization. First, in terms of market segment, we're going to go from -- transition from oil and gas to diversifying to more and more process industries because this is really showing the journey that these hard-to-abate sectors are going through to achieve 65% of process industry in terms of market segments. We will still also continue to address the oil and gas sector as they are also decarbonizing through energy efficiency, electrification and hydrogen, which, for example, the big surge in electrified LNG that is happening right now. Then across all these markets, we will shift our offerings from conventional to decarbonization, electrification hydrogen. And there too, we are reaching -- we're going to reach by '26 60% of decarbonization offerings. This is electrification like offshore electrification, low-carbon maritime, electrified LNG, heat decarbonization. And in hydrogen, this is our electrolyzers or hydrogen and CO2 compressors. We will be able to manage the shift by investing EUR 0.5 billion in R&D in the coming 3 years with 80% of it dedicated to this future decarbonization portfolio. Let me now give you a little bit of examples of how this -- our portfolio serves this demand for industrial decarbonization both in electrification and hydrogen. I'm going to start by the hydrogen part. When we produce hydrogen, our SES business is providing the electrolyzer to be able to produce the green hydrogen from water and green electricity. This hydrogen is then transported and stored using our compressors. You can then -- if you want to produce e-fuels, you can use our steam turbines that can help produce the steam that will help for the carbon capture. And this carbon will then be transported by our compressors, be added to the hydrogen to produce e-fuels. This whole process also has a lot of waste, 25% of it is waste heat. There too, you can reuse our steam turbines to be able to convert this waste heat back into electricity and increase the efficiency. And overall, EAD is providing the electrification, the automatization and the digital solutions that go around it to be able to operate this plant. Another example is industry electrification and decarbonized heat. Most of the energy-intensive industries need to have a lot to produce a lot of heat in their process. And to produce their heat today, they mostly use fossil fuels. And there, our offerings enable to electrify and decarbonize this heat production, and this is something that is growing a lot in the industries. And we do that by providing turbo heaters, steam compressors, waste heat solutions -- waste heat recovery solutions or heat pumps. So these are examples of how our products come into play to help the industry decarbonize, and this is really happening now. A few examples of current projects that are happening on electrification, carbon capture and hydrogen. In electrification, we're providing electrically driven compressors for the gas processing facility. And by doing so, we're reducing by 80% the CO2 emissions of the process. In carbon capture, another example that is producing blue hydrogen and ammonia. There, we provide the steam turbines in the steam methane reformation process to be able to produce the ammonia. Or in hydrogen, we provide the electrolyzers, the compressors and all the electrification, automation and digital twin system around the plant to be able to provide the e-fuels that will decarbonize the maritime sector. So these are concrete examples that are happening today. So I was telling you about how we did our turnaround, how the market in industry decarbonization is booming and how we are adapting our offerings and our portfolio to be able to capture that. Let's now see how this translates into numbers. By 2026, our 4 businesses are poised to continue this profitable growth journey. STG and CP will continue to focus on profitability to reach 9% to 11% profit margin. They will do that by continuing to grow into service and focusing on fuel shift and decarbonization. This is through biomass, waste heat recovery for steam turbines, for example, and through hydrogen and carbon capture for CP. And CP even plans to reach 50% of its portfolio, which will be decarbonization portfolio. EAD and SES will continue to focus on growth. They're going to be capturing the megatrend of electrification and hydrogen that are happening right now in the industrial sector. EAD will focus on the key sectors that can -- that need to be electrified, such as process industries, offshore and maritime. And it will continue to improve its profitability through selectivity and a higher service mix. SES will continue to scale up its factory to reach more than 4-gigawatt capacity per year in 2026. And as it scales, it will become profitable in 2026. If you sum it up, in a nutshell, for Transformation of Industry, our turnaround is ahead of plan with more than 700 basis points of profit improvement in 2 years, ahead of plan. We have a very strong foundation to further expand this profitability through service growth, through selectivity, operational excellence and through low-capital intensity growth. We are in a tremendous market that is happening right now of industry decarbonization and that will drive 11% market growth through the need for energy efficiency, electrification and hydrogen. And therefore, we're shifting our portfolio to reach more than 60% in clean tech by '26, shifting towards process industries and decarbonization. And because of that, we raised our target for '26 to reach high single-digit revenue growth and a profit margin of 7% to 9%. I will now give it over to Vinod to present our Global Functions.

Vinod Philip

executive
#133

Hi and good evening to all of you. I know it's been a long day of getting a lot of information, so I appreciate your patience and attention as I present Global Functions. Earlier today, Christian talked about Global Functions being the operational background or the backdrop and the backbone of Siemens Energy. So what does that really mean? So what I want to do today is to do 3 things: one is to introduce you to what Global Functions is all about because it's a new organization that went live on October 1 as part of the new operating model; the second is share some of the achievements that the Global Functions team from around the world has worked really hard over the past year, together with the business areas so that you get a feel of what are the sorts of impacts we are having; and the third is to end up with an outlook on how we see as the Global Functions supporting the business areas in achieving their targets that my colleagues just presented. So when you talk about Global Functions, we group it into 3 clusters of functions. These are a total of 9 functions plus 2 strategic enterprise-level projects and the 3 competence hubs in Mexico, Romania and India. These 9 global functions have been grouped into 3 areas. A set of functions that support execution. These are the functions of project entity, which drive all the project execution around the world, procurement, logistics, quality and safety. The second cluster is what we call the digitalization cluster of functions. These are primarily IT, cybersecurity, software and enterprise data and analytics. And the last function is the function of innovation that develops the technologies of the future that can then be picked up by the business areas and take it to the market as the technologies mature. So when we talk about the main targets of Global Functions is these 5 things you see on the screen. One is to make sure that the growth that you saw Tim, Karim and Anne-Laure talk about to make sure that we are supporting this growth in the business areas through execution and supply chain. You heard a lot about supply chain in the course of the day, and our job is to make sure that the resiliency of the supply chain and the availability of the supply chain is there. The second is to make sure that as we get more and more digital as a company to leverage AI, data and automation to drive up business performance. The third is to make sure that we transform the enterprise. And I have a couple of examples on how we are bringing in innovation, new ways of working and also the ERP system integrations to drive up the operative performance of the businesses. That is really important to make sure that we are really differentiating on the way we do things in terms of our processes. How do we create a simple, harmonized, consistent process landscape across the company? And last but not least, it is laser-focused on cost savings, both functional cost savings within these functions that I talked about as well as trying to make sure that we really drive home and bring home the synergies together with the integration of SGRE. And when we talk about Global Functions, this is just to give you a sense of the size and scale of the organization. And in each of the cases, it's really about making sure that we have the right people with the right skill set available at the right time where the business needs them. So it's about capability deployment across the businesses. It's also about providing world-class infrastructure of services, be it IT infrastructure, be it procurement support, be it logistics. The Global Functions, and this is what I talked about last year in the Capital Market Day, is also about driving innovation, being the anchor point of innovation. And to do this, we had launched in the course of '23 innovation centers around the world. We have 4 innovation centers: one in Orlando, the other one in Berlin, the third in Abu Dhabi and the fourth in Shenzhen. And these innovation centers work hand-in-hand with the experts in the business and the region together with customers to develop and scale up new technologies by being close to the customer. I talked about software and data. So we have this group that takes the requirements from the businesses on what they need for their digital products and then bring them into software application processes and then deploy them back into the markets through the business areas. And last but not least, making sure that we have a strong process excellence and governance model across the company so that we do everything right in the proper way. So now I'm going to go into a few deep dives. I'm going to deep dive a bit into project entity, into procurement and so forth. Let's talk about project entity. Christian had said earlier today of how he sees the relevance of project entity. I'm not going to repeat what he said, but I want to highlight a few things. One is, as of today, project entity is responsible for the execution of all the large complex projects on behalf of the business areas across the world. So today, we are responsible for 104 projects. And as you can see, that number is going to increase by 30% over the next years as the grid business, the gas business and the TI businesses grow. Project entity is also involved from the whole process from the start from the tendering side because that's also where a lot of the project risk assessments have to happen, a lot of the costing has to be laid out and to make sure that the senior project directors who have a lot of experience from site are working hand in hand with the sales and proposals teams upfront to have the right sort of bids out there. Then in terms of execution, it's really about top-notch project management, engineering, execution, civil and all of that to make sure that we also deliver these projects in the right way and then making sure that as we go into the warranty phase, interfacing with the service organization and managing the customer expectations as we transition the project from the new unit into service. We want to make sure in project entity that we look at 5 things always. The first is around setting up the standardized tools and processes so that we can have a consistent way of doing large projects. Here is where there is a lot of best practice sharing that project entity enables between Gas Services, Grid Technologies and also looking at now the emerging projects on the hydrogen side. Another very important point, Christian talked about this and I just want to highlight this, is about carrier development. We have today already cross-trained about 20 -- 10%, and we'll get to 20% by '24 of senior project managers, directors and experts from working on Gas Service projects to Grid Technology projects. And this serves 2 benefits: one is you're able to make sure that the best practice adoption and transfer takes place, and second is you also can then build up the carriers so that people have perspective. And this whole project execution area becomes something that's attractive. The other thing we look at very strongly is NCC reduction and improving productivity. Because as you see, as the project scale, we need to make sure that we can get more productivity out of the teams. And by using the right sort of standardized methods and tools, digital simulations, modeling, we are able to really improve this productivity, and this is a key area of focus for us. And then, of course, it's also about how to manage partners. We are developing a global partner network so that we can work with the cost-effective, capable resources from different parts of the world to handle this ramp-up in projects. Another deep dive is around supply chain, so to give you a sense of what are the sorts of things we are looking at in the procurement and logistics functions. As the markets grow and as the businesses grow, we want to make sure that our supply chain is resilient. So to do this, we are focusing, for example, in these 6 areas on how to make sure that we are creating and building a resilient supply chain. Supplier risk reductions. Over the past 12 months, as you can see, we were able to reduce the number of risks -- high risks in the supply base by 30%. Making sure that we are multi-sourcing key components so that we are not bottlenecked. Introducing new suppliers, for example, in Mexico or India to be able to provide us cost base that is much more competitive. Also making sure that with the right sort of stocking concepts and capacity reservations so that we are also making sure that the material that the businesses and the factories need are available at the right time. That also means building up strategic partnerships. So this procurement team, together with the logistics team over the last 12 months, has been putting a lot of these fundamentals in place on the enterprise level that then provides the backbone, as Christian talked about, to be able to support the business areas. And you see some of the examples of how this has been resulting in bottom line impact. Speaking of bottom line impact, it's also important to give you a sense. And these are some of the savings that have also been showing up in the business areas that has been supporting the margin expansions you have seen. In '23, about EUR 400 million of savings through procurement has been delivered to the business areas. And as you can see, it's split between material cost productivity, which is around, for example, design-to-cost standardization, material substitutions and purchasing price changes, more e-auctions, process improvements and so forth. So this is also something that we track very carefully within Global Functions to make sure that year-over-year, we're able to bring savings that then get passed into the business areas in order to help them meet their targets. One area that we are really focusing on today and going into '24 is this whole field of cost-value engineering. This is an area where very often, we don't spend enough time upfront. So what happens is you get market requirements, you design a product and then as the product is launched, you go into your cost-out cycles. But with the proper cost-value engineering methods, some of which are listed over there, involving the suppliers early, doing a lot more should costing, building into a design process workshops together with partners, you are able to build into the design of the product, the right sort of cost focus so that at the end of it, when the product is introduced to the market, you're either at product -- at the target cost or you're very close to it. And this then avoids rework cycles later. And as you can imagine, with the market growth that we anticipate, we don't have the time to have too many rework cycles. So trying to do things right the first time is an important part of what we do in procurement so that this cost-value engineering capability becomes really a company standard. Switching from the execution side to a bit of a snapshot on digital. So you heard Anne-Laure talk about it, Karim talk about it and Tim talk about digitalization becoming more and more relevant in their respective business areas. So we now have a group based of software engineers and data analysts who are providing the software factory for the businesses. And looking at 3 main things: how do we build and deploy software-defined AI products, how to make sure that these products are available and deployable through the cloud and also bringing in a lot more automation and analytics. Today, we have over 30 digital products in our portfolio, and that number keeps growing. And we also try to make sure that we deploy these products across the enterprise. So while there might have been a product for power plant optimization that was developed in Gas Services, that is a product we could also use in TI when we talk about, for example, a hydrogen plant. And so this sort of a cross-company application of digital products, together with the development of new products, is a key part of our digital team. And here you see an example of how we're able to use modeling, AI and automation to be able to predict. And this is also what Karim talked about in terms of the new business models to be able to help our customers anticipate operative cycles and use that to actually either improve performance, reduce fuel consumption or tap into the price spikes in the market. And this requires a lot of digital capabilities that we are continuing to develop and also will be key to the grid business, as Tim talked about. In the same area, there is also another topic which is front and center for Global Functions, which is around the standardization of our ERP landscape. At the carve-out from Siemens AG in 2020, we had 23 ERP systems across the company. This comes from the various legacies that the Siemens Energy company was combined from. And now the goal is to reduce this complexity and bring it down to a company-wide ERP architecture and platform based on S/4HANA. And we have made good progress over the past 18 months. And actually, last month, we went live with the first rollout, where we have implemented the first application of S/4HANA in the electrolyzer factory in Anne-Laure's business in Berlin. And over the course of the next years, we will continue to roll out the S/4HANA platform across the company so that we can create benefits. One is financial transparency to be able to have one source of enterprise data that can be used to make better business decisions. The second is to make sure that as we transition to this S/4HANA platform, we can also simplify and automate our processes. And the third is to make sure that by having all of this in a single source of truth, you're able to also optimize planning and other operative activities. This topic of processes is also very important for Global Functions. And this is something that's what I would call the blocking and tackling that happens behind the scenes to make sure that the operations are performing at a high level. And this is an example of how we are going about this. Today, in Tim's business, we have over 20 factories that are being -- are operating as a network. And in order for Tim and his team to be able to provide the products they need to provide, it is about load leveling between the factories to be able to optimize information flow and material flow so that this network of factories and grid technologies can increase their overall output. And so to do this, we have actually also installed across the company a global process owner network. We have defined 30 global process owners who are 30 business leaders at the N-1 or N-2 level who are responsible for developing an end-to-end process. So we have global process owners for manufacturing as an example, global process owner for service, global process owner for procurement. These 30 global process owners, their job is to develop this enterprise-wide process landscape that can allow us to do things like load leveling across factories. By doing that, we are also able to simplify the company. We were in the last financial year able to reduce process complexity and process documentation by over 20%. We were able to reduce IT applications by over 20%. And this all adds up. Maria talked about step-by-step. All of this adds up step-by-step every year in terms of how we can improve the overall performance of the company. From digital, I want to now switch to innovation. Last year, when I was presenting, I was talking a lot about the innovation strategy. And we talked about a few things last year. One was we talked about developing a new R&D allocation and tracking model based on clear KPIs. We also talked about launching the innovation centers. And I'm happy to report that as of now, we have had good progress on both. We were able to achieve all our main R&D KPIs for '23. All 4 innovation centers are up and running, working on customer projects in the different regions. In addition to that, we were also able to follow through on shifting more and more of the R&D to be service-relevant, and that's also what you heard Karim present in his presentation. And you also heard from Tim and Anne-Laure about how the investments towards future technologies is also increasing. So we are well on track to make sure that we are investing our $1 billion-plus R&D more wisely in a portfolio approach with clear KPIs and driving it close to the customer so that it is not only the efficiency of the R&D that goes up but also the effectiveness. And this is just a snapshot to give you a sense of how we manage this R&D portfolio. We look at things in 3 horizons of time. The first is what we need today to be able to deliver customer value today. And you heard those examples, and I just want to pick up one of them because it is relevant from a service perspective, mods and upgrades. We are deploying today technologies into the large gas turbine fleet, where, for example, in this case, we are improving the efficiency and power output of the F-class and H-class units that is a fleet of over 500 relevant units that can then allow Karim to drive up the competitiveness of the fleet and also the margins on the service side. In the midterm, we are also looking at things that will come into the market over the course of the next 3 to 5 years, and Anne-Laure briefly touched upon this, is the hydrogen compressors. This is where, as the hydrogen market grows, we need to be able to develop high-efficiency compressors that are able to move hydrogen fluid, which has got a totally different dynamics. And this is also what the teams are building up. And then in the long term, the markets are still pretty early, but we are starting to look into it, for example, our inductive heaters or CO2 electrolyzers. And one important point I want to bring to your attention here is we are trying to leverage our core competencies from one area into a new area. So when you talk about these inductive electric heaters, this is a decarbonized way to produce industrial heat. These heaters can operate up to 1,000 degrees centigrade, and they are based on the knowledge we have gained from our electric generators business. So we are able to use the electromagnetic capabilities and expertise in generation and use it for industrial inductive heating. Another example is CO2 electrolyzers. We are working right now in partnership with an oil and gas major, where we are looking at combining direct air capture that Christian talked about with our knowledge in electrolysis to do conversion of CO2 to ethylene in one step. And if this technology hits the ground and we are able to get through the maturity levels, then this could be a big step for the oil and gas industry. And this is why we are already in early partnership with a European oil and gas major, who is very interested in working with us over here. We have over 50 base patents on this. So we also, from an intellectual property point of view, are pretty well protected. So this is just to give you a sense of how we will continue to focus on innovation and make sure that this innovation is managed in an effective manner and also very much customer-centric. Switching gears again, I want to talk a bit about costs and synergies. So Maria had presented this in her presentation that as part of the Siemens Gamesa-Siemens Energy integration, we have synergy targets out there. And as you can see, about 80% of that synergy target is coming from the Global Functions area. So this is something that I, along with my Global Functions team, is very much focused on to make sure that over the course of the next 2 to 3 years, we are successfully delivering on the synergies. And you can see in terms of our time lines, what sort of targets we have set. Another area where we believe there is opportunity that we will continue to drive is around procurement and logistics. If you look at some of the main commodities, and you see 4 of them here, around field services or machine parts or large steel fabs or cabinets and low-voltage switchgear, when you combine the procurement volumes of Siemens Gamesa and Siemens Energy, of the approximately EUR 20 billion total, there is a 45% slice that is combined in terms of overlaps. And here is where we believe that we can really make sure that with the right sort of optimized sourcing methods, supplier capability assessments and also demand bundling, we will be able to produce bottom line impact. And this is something that we will be very much focused on in the course of '24. And with this, I want to bring my presentation to a close and highlight a few things. One thing is Global Functions as the operational backbone is off to a strong start, and we will continue to work hand-in-hand with all the business areas to make sure that we have this operational infrastructure to support their growth. We will make sure that there will be a financial focus -- a strong financial focus on this to deliver our synergies and cost savings so the business areas can also achieve their margin targets. Second is to support growth. As the businesses grow, the projects have to be managed in an effective manner, and this is going to be an area where we really put our focus on. Third is continue the transformation journey of the company. We talked about ERP integration, we talked about innovation. These are things that we have to make sure that we keep driving. And last but not least, also in innovation, it's about creating customer-centric innovation. And one area I want to highlight over here is not just working with customers but also with governments and other agencies to leverage our R&D funding, and we were able to make some good progress over the last year. So all in all, I just want to get across to you that Global Functions, while it may not be on front stage, is absolutely active in the backstage and giving all the operative support the business areas need to be able to meet their respective targets and by doing so, provide the right sort of customer value creation. Thank you very much for your time.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#134

Yes. Thank you, Vinod, and thank you, Anne-Laure. I think it was because Anne-Laure was so succinct so that we are so good on time and have plenty of time for questions. And we'll still probably be a little bit early. So who wants to start? Danny, over to you.

Danny van Doesburg

analyst
#135

Vinod, for you, the question, to understand how your role is in the company and to -- how it works in practice because it looks that you could be both restrictive and both as an opportunistic kind of a catalyst for the business units. And then, of course, as within Siemens as a bigger, broader and maybe you as well, that cash conversion is really important. So if business unit managers go for their sort of targets on achieving these targets on the cash conversion and margin targets, how should I look at it? Because it can -- I can imagine from your pictures that 60%, let's say, on projects is coming from Gas Services and maybe 10% of only Transformation of Industries. But is there also an internal competition? Because I imagine if I'm a Gas Service business manager and you're doing a good job for me, Anne-Laure will be quite envious and say, well, you have to do a bit more for me. How do you struggle with this sort of -- yes, this balancing act, I guess, and...

Vinod Philip

executive
#136

It is a balancing act, and I would call it constructive tension, yes? Because I do believe it is important, and we are looking from 2 sides. The one is also the project managers, the good ones, also want to have the opportunity to be able to work in new areas. So what we have done is we have created a pool of project experts who are actually not going to be the full-blown population. So we will still have in the full-blown population, a group that is dedicated to Gas Services, and that would be based on the load plan we get from Karim's team. There will be a group that is based on Grid Technologies, and there will be a group that is supporting the TI business as it grows. We will be hiring a lot of these future project resources in our competence hubs, be it in Mexico or Romania or India. So there's also the cost-effective ramp-up of resources. And we'll have a pool of experts who could move between projects. So it's not too much of a, I would say, deviation that we are in a place where it's just a few project managers that everybody is going after. So we try to balance it in that sense.

Danny van Doesburg

analyst
#137

And do you -- have you -- do you share maybe some responsibilities with the CFO in the terms that in a normal company with a big diversified portfolio, of course, it's very important that those business units who generate above group average returns get the best capital allocation and those who have a bit of underperforming have to reduce cost before they can maybe get more capital allocation. Is that something you get a sort of framework for the running here, which is allowing you to, yes, to organize your own work? Or do you sometimes also advise CFO to say during the year, it's better to trim Transformation of Industries and maybe give a bit more power to the Gas Services industries?

Vinod Philip

executive
#138

No, I think we don't try to trim anything because I think it's also important that the long-cycle business, like hydrogen and so forth, we have to give it the right resources so the market also develops. But to be quite honest, as of now, we haven't gotten to those volumes where we are really having a massive competition between hydrogen projects competing with gas. So I think right now, we are still in a place where with the growth in gas and the growth in grid, that is covering 90% of what we do. And then over the course of the next 2, 3 years, as the hydrogen business grows, we will look at it. But I can also assure you that we have very clear cost targets in terms of costing rates, productivity that we also tailor to the businesses so that we don't overburden for example, a new business project, which is an early tech with a cost structure that may not be right for it. So we also have different costing rates that we try to manage.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#139

I think we stick to the pattern and go from right to left. So Akash?

Akash Gupta

analyst
#140

Akash from JPMorgan. I have one question to each of you. Starting with TI. So my understanding previously was that you have 4 businesses which are independently managed, they have their own P&L. And today, the new learning was that there are projects out there where all 4 of them could have something to add to those. So the question I have for you is more about go-to-market strategy for such projects, like which business takes a lead? Or do you have a team at a TI level which basically goes and identify these projects where all 4 expertise or maybe in some projects outside TI expertise can be used? So that's one. And for you, Vinod, obviously, this sounds quite interesting in terms of the role that these Global Functions are playing. My question is more for incentive schemes like depending on how people under you deliver the job, a project can be a good project and a project can be a bad project. So how do you incentivize to make sure that they are motivated to deliver the best returns for the company?

Anne-Laure de Chammard

executive
#141

So thank you very much for this question. First, I mean, the 4 businesses are -- indeed, there are demand from customers, for example, to have electrolyzers and compressors and different components. It's not only within TI. It's also -- typically, we would have requests from Grid Technologies for electrolyzers or we would have request between steam turbines and gas turbines, for example, for some industrial customers. So there, we have a year ago, reorganized completely the group to be able to have very strong regional organization. This is the go-to-market, which is across business areas, across businesses, across P&L. And their job is really to address the customers with these different needs to be able to propose the right type of offering in the go-to-market. And then in terms of having the technical support and resources, we also use the project entity, which have all the different types of experts as well to be able to provide these offerings to our customers that are transversal.

Vinod Philip

executive
#142

Yes. And I think on the incentive, it's always a mixture. We have roughly half of the targets are corporate targets and half of the targets are individual by the function linked to who their main interfaces are. So in the case of project entity, the colleague who runs project entity, [ Hussain Sukari, ] he has got individual targets that are very much linked to the performance of project entity. But on his team, he has people who are more geared towards Gas Services or Grid Technologies or TI. So it's a combination of corporate targets plus business- or function-specific targets that then allow us to do that refinement so that people have to be able to support the businesses that are their primary interfaces. In procurement, for example, there are people assigned to the different business areas as business partners, and their targets are pretty much the same as the business area targets. So this is a sort of a combination. You have a hybrid, corporate targets and individual targets aligned with the businesses.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#143

Okay. One more from here before we go there. Vivek?

Vivek Midha

analyst
#144

Vivek Midha from Citi. One question each, please. Firstly, on the Transformation of Industry business. Just a follow-up on the STG business. So you're effectively in the margin corridor you've indicated for 2026. You highlighted, for example, service growth. So even if you had a good year for outages and so on in '23, you're still indicating you're growing that. But the margin isn't really changing. So could you maybe talk about the -- sort of the drivers from here? And then a question for Vinod on Global Functions. So I think in your backup slide, there's the indication about ERP harmonization within Siemens Gamesa. I mean, can you give any indication as to by 2026, how far are you in that journey? And how do you navigate, I guess, the nuances of Siemens Gamesa selling very different products? How do you adapt to that?

Anne-Laure Parrical Chammard

executive
#145

So for STG, the overall -- I mean the gross margin -- the operational margin is going to continue to grow slightly. We are maintaining the service share. We're also shifting the portfolio towards more and more decarbonization to be able to make this portfolio future-proof. And this year, we did have a small foreign exchange effects that make this margin, actually the operational margin will continue to grow. Yes, that's, I think, the main topic.

Vinod Philip

executive
#146

And I think on the ERP harmonization, that's a good question because actually, in this case, SGRE had started on their ERP harmonization a couple of years before us. So what we are doing there is we're actually taking the best practices on the SGRE side on their SAP journey, and then you're bringing it in. So it will end up with probably 2 systems. One is going to be more for the regions that is coming from a different background coming from the SGRE side and one for the operations that's coming more from the GP side. But the intent would be to then take the best of both worlds when it comes to the ERP systems because I think over there, we have some good examples to learn from.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#147

Okay. Nick?

Nicholas Green

analyst
#148

Nick Green here from Bernstein. Vinod, a question for you here. You run through various techniques, should cost procurement, Six Sigma, smart factory, global process owners, et cetera. To what extent have these functional techniques been deployed with Gamesa for the last couple of years? Just help us clarify if this is a brand-new thing that you're taking to Gamesa or whether you've been working through the difficulties in the last couple of years.

Vinod Philip

executive
#149

Yes. So in terms of Siemens Gamesa, right now from a global functions point of view, we are starting out. So we are starting in the area of procurement to start bringing some of these methods in. And also, as Jochen mentioned, even on the Siemens Gamesa side, they have started that. So now we have put together technical teams for the product development process to see how can we bring in much more [indiscernible] cost. So that's happening as we speak. This is not something that we had, let's say, 2 years ago. But now since the integration has started, we are now starting this off now. So procurement is, as we speak, building in those CVE methods together with SGRE. And the second area is also we are looking at the whole PLM process for SGRE. And we have our experts working together with the experts from Jochen's team to bring in a much more rigorous process around the product development process that now, for example, when you talk about manufacturing readiness, a part of that is also what you saw in CVE because you're bringing into the early development the needs of manufacturing so that you can actually have it much better cost set out later. So that's going on as we speak right now since it's early months.

Nicholas Green

analyst
#150

And the decisions over buy-versus-build decisions about operational footprint rationalization, again, is that being led by your team effectively as the procurement function or you're just supporting Jochen's team?

Vinod Philip

executive
#151

On the manufacturing side, it is Jochen's and Jochen's team's responsibility. When it comes to procurement, that's where we are getting more involved in developing a joint operating model. So that is something we're doing right now.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#152

Okay. Any more questions to the left?

Unknown Attendee

attendee
#153

Calin Little from the buy side. Just a quick question for you, Vinod. We heard from Jochen on these probabilistic models as it relates to the contract liability, et cetera. Does your team have a role to play there in sharpening these given the analytics? And -- or is that a bit out of scope for your team?

Vinod Philip

executive
#154

So exactly. So in the task force, so as Christian mentioned this morning, we have a lot of experts from Siemens Energy, who have been staffed or delegated on this task force. And there is a team from data analytics that is part of this quality task force. So they are supporting the teams here.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#155

Any last questions before I would -- Danny -- Sorry, then will after Danny.

Danny van Doesburg

analyst
#156

No, quick one. We haven't talked this day about guarantees or all this -- well, topical topics we've seen over the last weeks. But is it also the procurement department, if you know you're playing a role there as well for, let's say, on securing the guarantees and performance bonds and all that stuff on the projects, the one you're managing. Are you involved in that as well?

Vinod Philip

executive
#157

Not right now.

Danny van Doesburg

analyst
#158

Not right now, but you will?

Vinod Philip

executive
#159

We will see how we develop the procurement operating model first. And then because on the guarantee side, it's coming more from the commercial side, so at this point in time, we are not actively driving that. But I can let Christian, if he wants to add later in his closing comments, he can add to that.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#160

Okay. Will?

William Mackie

analyst
#161

Question about TI as a group. To what extent do you review and consider the real synergies that exist from a cost perspective or a revenue perspective or even a capital perspective with the rest of the group and within the division, how do you rank them? And I suppose, ultimately, to what extent are they -- do they exist as you being the best owner rather than somebody else being the better owner?

Anne-Laure de Chammard

executive
#162

It's a very fair point, a very fair question. And it is something that, I mean, as any businesses, we're constantly evaluating -- is it the different optionalities on it saying, okay, are we the best owner or not. Today, we believe that for the different businesses; for hydrogen, there's a lot to leverage from, for example, the whole organization in terms of leveraging the project execution teams, the procurement bandwidth of the group for the supply chain, the service as well. So today, we believe this is something that we need to scale in-house and keep in-house. EAD for electrification, the same thing. We see a lot of synergies with the rest. Compression, we also see it as still in a ramping up phase in terms of profitability. So we really see all these different businesses as today, having a real meaning within Siemens Energy. But of course, it is options that we can always consider that we review. Yes.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#163

Cool. With that, I think we're closing that round of Q&A. Thank you, Anne-Laure. Thank you. Vinod.

Vinod Philip

executive
#164

Thank you.

Anne-Laure de Chammard

executive
#165

Thank you.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#166

Christian is coming back to the stage.

Christian Bruch

executive
#167

Yes. Thank you very much -- is it on? Thank you very much, Michael. And thanks very much to you here in the room, and thanks very much to everybody really on the live stream of being with us really the whole day. I think this has been a dense afternoon, and I hope you could take from it, let's say, a lot of new information, which help you, obviously, to understand our company. You have seen that a lot of things have been going on. Lots of things have been happening since the last Capital Markets Day. You also have seen a leadership team here, which is fully committed to do 3 things: deliver profitable growth, fix wind and maintain a solid financial foundation. And in case there are still questions open, please, I mean, like Michael always says, we have a very approachable Investor Relations team and helping you to really understand how the company is moving forward. As I said at the beginning, 2023 has been a year of light and shadow. A lot of good things have been happening. A lot of headwinds have hit us. But I hope you have seen also the energy which sits in the company in terms of really turning it around. You also hopefully have seen how relevant the company is in the different fields of the energy transition, and what potential is there also going forward in terms of driving the businesses. So once again, many thanks for staying with us the whole day. Thanks for all the questions and the interest. We highly appreciate this, and I'm very much looking forward to continue the discussion with you in the weeks, months and years to come. Energy transition only goes step after step. That is sometimes painful, but it can be a lot of pleasure. And as I said, we are fully committed as a leadership team to deliver this profitable growth to fix wind and maintain a solid financial foundation. And with this, many thanks to all of you. Thanks to everybody on the live stream, and thanks to everybody here in the room. Stay tuned, stay healthy. Thank you very much. Thank you.

Michael Hagmann

executive
#168

Thank you.

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