Soluna Holdings, Inc. (SLNH) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

January 18, 2024

NASDAQ US Information Technology Software special 25 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Graham Mattison

analyst
#1

Hi. Hello, everyone, and welcome to the water tower fireside chat series. My name is Graham Mattison, one of the publishing analysts here at Water Tower and our sustainability and industrials practice. We're excited to have with us today John Belizaire, Soluna Holdings. I should remention that Soluna's safe harbor statements can be found on their website and in their public filings. As a reminder, this call in all of Water Tower's research is available to all on our website. We will be taking questions from the audience. Those can be submitted via the chat function on the webcast. Hopefully, we'll get to all of them, but our apologies if time does not allow.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#2

So with that, John, great to have you back. And first question is, earlier this month, there was a PR out about the carbon footprint of your data centers. Can you give us a quick summary of what that report said and give us some context as to why it's important and what it means for you?

John Belizaire

executive
#3

Hey Graham. Thanks. Happy to do so. And thanks for having me back on these fireside chats, I always enjoy them. Happy New Year, and I hope you had a great holiday. I think it's still safe to be saying those things now. So yes, we did put out an update recently that included a -- I would say, a really important announcement around the carbon footprint of our data centers. It was focused around the Dorothy project. And essentially, what we did is we hired Resurety, they are a software and solutions provider that are dedicated to accelerating the world's transition to zero carbon futures and they've analyzed Soluna's carbon footprint using the metric of something called Local (sic) [ Locational ] Marginal Emissions or LME. And LME is really a measure of the tons of carbon emissions displaced by 1 megawatt of clean energy. So by way of example, if you if you put 1 megawatt on the grid at a specific location, and that fires up 1 megawatt of a coal plant, then you just added 1 megawatt or a certain footprint of carbon. And so it's very location specific, and it's a point in time specific, which is super important because when you're analyzing carbon emissions, you really want to take those factors into account because averages don't really tell you a lot. We wanted to do this independent analysis because we feel it's important to validate what we've always believed about our facilities and that placing them with renewables, consuming wasted energy would create a completely new standard for data centers. And we're happy to announce that the independent analysis found that compared to our data center counterparts in ERCOT in the West territory of the state. Project Dorothy emits 18% less carbon annually. And it should be noted that ERCOT West is a renewable heavy region, and so it has a lower LME rate than ERCOT overall. And that's something we are consciously doing, putting our facilities where there's more green electrons and more importantly, more wasted green electrons. And by doing that and a number of other things that we do in our design, it allows us to be almost 20% less carbon intensive than other debated centers.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#4

Got it. There was also a figure in the report about 40% cleaner. Can you explain the difference between those two?

John Belizaire

executive
#5

Right. So the first number, 18% is the sort of headline of the announcement is the LME method. So that's the method I just talked about. It measures our footprint at that location. And again, the report found that we emit 18% less carbon than traditional around the clock data centers located in West Texas. So if they take a data center that might be running a Netflix stream or something like that or other types of high-performance applications. If we did the same thing in our facility or if that data center was doing AI, if we did the same thing, we would emit 20% less carbon, give or take. Now the 40% is related to a study that came out sometime last year that was highly publicized by New York Times. It was a New York Times study that was assisted by WattTime, which is a similar company to REsurety. We chose REsurety in our analysis because they've got a way more advanced data set, much higher granularity in terms of location. I think WattTime has probably 7 or 8 locations in terms of zones that you can be in, REsurety has thousands of them. And so they really have a more robust data set. What we did is we went back to that New York Times WattTime and just for everybody's benefit, what the WattTime study said was that, hey, you carbon data center -- you crypto data centers out there are actually not helping the environment. You actually forcing more carbon to be emitted. And here's a stack ranking of all of the different data center counterparts. What we did is we looked at that report and it found that a sort of an average megawatt in their sample set, induced emissions of call it, 4,188 marginal [ carbon ] tons per year. So take an average megawatt being produced by or is consumed by these crypto places based on their location and whether the power was there, call it, 4,000 CO2 tons per year. Now what we did is we took a similar methodology. We used the same methodology, but then we used our location in the analysis and reran the model. And what we found that due to Dorothy's location in that renewable rich part of Texas, and our ability, which is super important to use the curtailed wind energy induced an emissions level of 2,657 carbon tons per year. That's almost 40% less than our data center counterparts. And that's what that second number was meant to portray that depending on how you look at the analysis comparing to traditional data centers compared to crypto using the WattTime analysis, we're significantly less, and that is a -- in our view, a pivotal point for us because not only have we proven we can build these behind the meter models, develop partnerships with renewable energy power plant partners we can execute and build the facilities and get them monetizing that energy, but we're actually doing something better for the environment, which has broad implications, you asked me what's the -- what's the significance of this. One, it proves the Soluna business model works; two, it positions us well for AI, Graham. There's lots of talk about the growth of AI and what's going to be happening around that compute. And we believe that what we've done here with Dorothy on the crypto side is a great blueprint. It's a better mousetrap for the future of computing. And here's why. AI has 3 key challenges that no one is really talking about right now. We talk a lot about the carbon emissions, the fact that crypto was bad for the environment and so forth. But we don't really talk a lot about traditional data centers out there, how much energy is consumed, et cetera. And we're now talking a lot more about data centers and compute because of the rise of AI. AI has 3 key challenges. One is that it's really hungry. So if you look at the power density of AI compute compared to other high-performance compute that might be sitting inside of a traditional data center. It's energy demand is exploding. If you look at a typical rack, and I had to explain this to someone yesterday, if you walked into a data center and you look at a rack, you've got the raise floors and everything, that rack consumes somewhere on about 7 to 8 kilowatts for that rack. You've got a bunch of machines and CPUs running all sorts of software. If you were to put AI in that same space, it would demand 10x the amount of energy, somewhere around 50 watts to 60 watts of energy -- i meant to say kilowatts of -- 7 kilowatts to 8 kilowatts versus 50 kilowatts that's 10x and so if you look at that data center all of a sudden you need a lot more power and you need a lot more space to crunch in that much energy demand and anecdotally there is a view that AI will consume over the next decade more power than the entire global to data center space alone, there are some sort of projections that I've heard sort of reaching 20 gigawatts to 30 gigawatts. So if you're tracking with me so far, Graham, AI is hungry, right? The second, it's thirsty, actually, traditional data centers particularly use a lot of water and water consumption to drive the heat rejection and cooling management and these chips get really hot, very similar to crypto. Microsoft use an equivalent estimate of about 2.8 million glasses of water to train ChatGPT. And that's due to this concept where heat exits the building. It goes into a cooling tower, and they use evaporation to cool that. And so there's water being pulled out of the ground and evaporating, that's a high carbon footprint, right? That's a high issue from a scope 1 and 2 perspective. And then the last thing is AI is dirty. So it's -- these facilities tend to be based in population centers. Most hyperscalers are in Virginia, Arizona or these places where you've got big access to bandwidth closer to the use of the compute. But if you look at data centers on a global basis and the U.S. greenhouse gas emissions, if you will, 2% of the emissions are due to traditional data centers. On a global basis, power consumption and greenhouse emissions is a pretty significant as it relates to data centers and over half of that emission is coming from the U.S. alone because we have half of the data center footprint on a global basis. If you look at GPT, Gopher, Bloom, OPT, they are consuming somewhere around 900 tonnes of carbon emissions, these are big numbers. And so what we're doing here can be applied to addressing these issues by building a new type of data center that's based completely in a completely different location that could create a more sustainable, scalable AI platform. I know that's a long answer to your question, Graham, but we've been thinking about this a lot, and we're pretty excited about this.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#6

No, that is great. And I mean it's -- I think very -- I've seen from the beginning, it's unfair that the New York Times painted everybody with the same brush because not all data centers are the same. And the locations are different, and it's kind of intellectually I'll say it. I think it's intellectually dishonest to try and not look at them differently because it is different if you're in a low -- high renewable place versus not. So I mean, it's great that you were able to do that and you report and actually separate the difference and show that. But on that issue about the power demand, I mean, that's a considerable issue that with this country and the world is going to have to face because the power grid adequacy of reserve margins are getting tight. We've seen what's happened over the last few years and the heat at the peaky levels, there's not enough power there. It's a problem that's going to have to be solved and nobody wants to build large baseload power plants.

John Belizaire

executive
#7

That's right. Yes.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#8

So the solution is going to have to be found around it. And that's where demand response is probably one of the biggest things that are out there, which ties into how you set up your data centers.

John Belizaire

executive
#9

Exactly right. Most data centers -- traditional data centers are around the clock facilities. They are not resources for the grid. We're using our -- sort of better mousetrap, if you will, can achieve greater efficiency through then our ERCOT counterparts because of our proprietary Maestro OS software, the fact that we can utilize the advanced aerodynamics and thermal dynamics of our facilities to cool the facility without using water. The design enables the energy consumption by the facilities that almost entirely goes towards powering the computers and the operations. And more importantly, we can serve as a demand response solution for the grid. So imagine our entire facilities are full of AI compute, let's say, and so we're delivering massive compute capability to the marketplace as the demand rises our carbon footprint is significantly less than a traditional data center and our flexibility powered by our proprietary technology then allows us to deliver a resource to the grid that it can use in emergency situations where it needs more power, and it needs to be able to bring more of that green energy to the grid to power situations where as we've seen with some of these cold snaps or the heat the heat explosions in the summer. When you put all of that together, we're creating a new type of data center that enables greater renewable energy integration sustainable computing and a utility scale demand response solution, which helps shape the future of the grid and the future of computing.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#10

Yes, because ultimately, when you need more power, you are, they put on more megawatts, which is going to be challenged or you do the megawatts, just take it away, which is demand response.

John Belizaire

executive
#11

Exactly.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#12

So were you surprised by the results of the study?

John Belizaire

executive
#13

I think, as I was saying earlier, we've always felt at our core that what we were doing was the right approach. It just made intellectual industrial sense, industrial logic. When you look at the fact that there's massive amounts of green electrons being produced that aren't monetized. Why can't that be a resource for computing? And why wouldn't that produce a lower carbon footprint. The question was, how would you be able to prove that and how would you analyze that? And so I think the report proved what we felt instinctively would be true. And it highlights how the REsurety approach to doing LME with high granularity allows us to do the analysis in the best way. And what excites me is that now we can point to this analysis and say, team. We're doing the right thing. Investors were doing the right thing. And to the world, "Hey, look at this innovation, this could be a powerful tool for helping us with climate change. So it's very exciting. It was it was really energizing for the team. And I would say that we're pretty jazzed about the opportunity ahead of us.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#14

What's the feedback been like so far in terms of the -- from project developers or other wind farm owners rating grid operators.

John Belizaire

executive
#15

Feedback has been great. We've had the power plant owner sort of give us a high five. We've had some new investment partners that we have been in discussions with around Dorothy 2 and our AI initiatives, very encouraged by the report. And we recently discussed the results of the study with Rob Day, who is an investor and Co-Founder of Spring Lane Capital. As you all know, they're one of our major investors on the project level and we've got a podcast out on our clean integration series that I encourage everyone to go listen to. He does a great job of sharing his experience with this type of analysis, right? There's never -- there's no perfect approach to doing this because all of this stuff is very new. He was encouraged by the 18% level that we were able to produce. And one thing he said, I won't spill the podcast for folks, but one thing he said which really struck us was imagine the entire data center industry was able to drop their carbon footprint by 18%. That would get us really close to our goals really fast. And so it put things in perspective and so far, the feedback has been very positive, and folks are very encouraged by what we're doing now.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#16

Yes. Actually, I would encourage people to listen to the podcast. It's great, you'll all see it gave a lot of detail in terms of how those measurements were done and that whole process of how you guys approached getting an accurate and defendable metric. And I think also just in -- if you look at it from corporations or investing standpoint, the ESG wave has kind of gone and a lot of companies were maybe greenwashing it or what have you, but it's companies are under a lot more pressure right now to actually show results. Just saying you've got a green strategy. It's kind of like saying the dot-com strategy for us that's old enough to remember it. But yes, you're actually showing it. And here you've actually got a legitimate proof that you can turn around and deliver the numbers. And also solve their problems, too. And as we talked about before, one of the advantages for Soluna is that this actually helps the economics of wind farm operator. So that should put more renewables on the grid.So I know we're coming...

John Belizaire

executive
#17

That's a good point. Just the wind farm owners as they look to partner with us, it's very helpful for them to know that not only we're helping them economically, but they're adding an innovation that's also benefiting the grid and not creating harm to the grid or to the environment. I think that really drives more affinity towards our brand and will certainly help grow our pipeline over time.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#18

Yes, you guys have a better mouse trap. I know we're coming up on the end of time. So in wrapping up one question, it's also one that came in from the audience, too. As you sit here in mid-January, what should investors be looking for as we move into 2024 in terms of milestones?

John Belizaire

executive
#19

Well, Soluna is in a completely different place than we were last year. Last year was a bit of a crisis year for us when I was ascending to the CEO seat, I probably was walking around with camouflage gear and with a Provost because that was definitely a wartime mode. And over the course of the last almost 9 months or so, we've really been turning the ship. We went from Q2 where our revenues and profit was changing as we were restructuring our business model. And then that has changed over the last several quarters going in the right direction, up and to the right, if you will. So 2024 is really a fresh start for us without all the crisis. We're focusing all of our energy on growth. We want to hit it out of the park on deploying Dorothy 2 with -- including the Helix AI facility in there project Kati. And by the way, we're moving to the proper pronunciation of Kati after Katalin Kariko, Nobel Prize winner that we named the facility after. So it's Kati for those of you who are confused out there, I've said it a few times, different ways. And getting Kati through the planning process, so that facility, that project is shovel ready and ready to build. And I sort of want to walk you through what's been happening across the facilities, right? So Project Sophie, we have completely restructured that project. It's all hosting now and with this profit share component and it's become a very successful site for us. We've attracted some of the largest Bitcoin miners as partners in that facility. Dorothy 2, the 50-megawatt facility that we're going to be focusing on launching this year, is we're going to be -- we're actually very close to starting the construction bid process to get quotes so we can finalize the CapEx requirements for that. And we've been working on procuring long lead items for that project. Workout model has been updated and Helix design is underway. Dip and his team were actually visiting with one of the top data center design firms in the very cold part of Wisconsin, this past couple of weeks and I mean they came -- they came back with some very exciting designs and approaches to that facility. So I'm really looking forward to that. And at some point, when we're ready, we'll have to get Dip on the call. And then -- and we've been sharing with folks the progress on Kati. All the studies have been completed, and we've submitted those to ERCOT. So it's really up to ERCOT to get back to us on clearing sort of those final sets. So we're hopeful that, that will be done by the end of this quarter. And we're actually at the final stages of the definitive PPA agreements for that project as well. And so the only thing left is negotiating with the landowners, and we plan to finish that at the end of this quarter too. So it's just a lot underway and it's all about growth for '24.

Graham Mattison

analyst
#20

Certainly, a different place than you were a year ago. So congratulations on that again. Well, that wraps up our time. John, thank you so much for joining us today, and thank you, everyone, for participating in the podcast. To learn more about Soluna, please visit their website or access our research on the Water Tower Research website. Also like to read the views expressed in this fireside chat may not necessarily reflect the views of Water Tower Research LLC and are provided for informational purposes only. This fireside chat may not be distributed or reproduced without the written consent of Water Tower Research and should not be considered research nor a recommendation. Water Towers Investor Relations firm, not a licensed broker, broker dealer, market maker, investment bank, underwriter or investment adviser. Additional disclaimers can be found at watertowerresearch.com. That, thanks very much, everyone.

John Belizaire

executive
#21

Thanks, Graham.

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