Tieto Oyj (TIETO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 30, 2022
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executive[Presentation] Good afternoon, and welcome to Tietoevry's 2022 Capital Markets Day. My name is Tommi Jarvenpaa. I'm the Head of Tietoevry's Investor Relations. I am extremely excited to see so many of you attending our event, live here in Stockholm. Also, a warm welcome to everyone following our day over the web. Today is all about accelerating value creation. We will provide insights into our strategy execution, our business portfolio and uplifted financial ambitions. Our businesses will provide details about their market opportunities and outlook going forward as well. This morning, we announced big news; a strategic review of Tietoevry Transform and Tietoevry Connect as a combined business will reposition our company. How? This, you will find out in the next few hours. Regarding the practicalities, we will be having a Q&A session after each presentation. And then at the end of the day, we'll have a joint Q&A hosted by our CEO and CFO. We will be naturally taking questions from the audience here in Stockholm, and then also over the web. We will start the day with the theme of the day, accelerating value creation. I'm pleased to invite our President and CEO to the stage, Kimmo Alkio. Please welcome.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveA very warm welcome to a very exciting Capital Markets Day here at our new Arenastaden office in Stockholm. What an exciting afternoon, I believe we will all have. Our focus today is to share our perspectives to accelerate value creation for the company. In this opening session, I'll be providing an overarching view on the opportunities on hand, and the concrete steps to drive shareholder value. Naturally, a great deal of business-specific insights will be provided by the respective executives during the afternoon. I'd like to, in the beginning, actually emphasize all of my main messages and to a large extent, the theme of the day. First of all, the market dynamics continue to be attractive, and call for specialization. We are making fine progress in becoming a highly specialized and a highly competitive company per business area. Second of all, we are actively reshaping our portfolio and seek for optionality to maximize the potential of each business. The core of today is around reconfiguring the longer-term portfolio and identity towards higher growth software and digital engineering. In addition to the strategic review of banking, as announced in July, we have today announced the strategic review for the combined Transform and Connect businesses, recognizing the specific needs and opportunities for the managed services business. And furthermore, the third core part of today, naturally around our updated financial ambition for 2025. Revenue growth based on some of the specialized businesses, 8% to 10%; profitability, EBITDA adjusted, 15% to 16%; and capital allocation, focusing on reinvesting in businesses to accelerate profitable growth and continued attractive increase of dividends, annually. And I'll be diving into the respective areas during my opening presentation. I'd like to first start with a bit of a high-level perspective of our role in the market and society. We play a very significant role and part in helping the society to advance to be more competitive, to be more sustainable. Our role tends to vary depending on the customer engagement in question all the way from supporting welfare societies through our software solutions, managing the data assets across the Nordic Society, furthermore, for providing the technology backbone for many industries and financial institutions. And our 24,000 professionals globally take enormous pride in developing the digital futures with our clients and enjoying the type of a learning as a lifestyle concept in advancing in all of our professional careers and ambitions, extremely meaningful role in supporting our clients and the society at large. A part of our role-enabling sustainable and digital societies is to ensure adequate shareholder returns. We have delivered solid, consistent financial results over the last years. This would be visible in terms of our consistent development in profitability, cash flow development, dividend attractiveness, fair also to highlight the rapid deleveraging within 18 months of the merger. We have believed and continue to believe in the importance of continuous and sustainable financial performance improvement. And naturally, we expect to continue this and look for even accelerating further. Next, I'd like to confirm some of the main customer and market drivers as this is kind of the core of our profession on a daily basis. The customer dialogues tend to be very consistently around the types of things around building enterprise efficiency, building agility, building competitiveness for our clients. Competitiveness through embedding data, data insights into our customers on products and services, increase agility through cloud adoption, driving efficiency through automation, utilizing the likes of machine learning, artificial intelligence to make our clients more nimble extremely meaningful insights provided by Tietoevry to our clients to achieve their own ambitions and strategies. Second fact I'd like to pinpoint to, which is not necessarily new news, but important to confirm. The market dynamics are attractive the shift towards cloud-native technologies, towards investments into data, data-related insights is gaining continuously very favorable speed. And this naturally opens up new opportunities for ourselves. In parallel, fair to recognize the more traditional side continues to see type of price erosion that we have seen historically. Market momentum, I would clear and the main drivers are very consistent and clear in the industry. With these factors in mind, we usually believe in the importance of specialization, creating trust and insight in every client engagement and the specialization has started to work already in our favor. This is visible in the customer relevance, winning more type of business in the identity sales, talented attraction and naturally value creation as well. We continue to capture market share and competitiveness through our specialization based strategy as announced in October of last year. We address the market through our specialized businesses in the categories of digital engineering throughout Tietoevry Create business. We addressed the market in the category of software and software platforms through our 3 software businesses, and the managed services type of business structure, business model through Tietoevry Transform and Tietoevry Connect. Businesses went live in January of this year and first 3 quarters, absolute defined progress as such. As a company at the group level, we naturally seek for ways of gaining further speed in looking at the growth scale and optionality of each business. I wanted to confirm the strategic intent as announced 1 year ago. Based on the discoveries and insights of the respective businesses, we naturally identify highly unique type of growth and expansion opportunities by business area, whether we think about the growth profile of the market worldwide. Whether we think about the geographical expansion opportunities which the businesses will be sharing during the afternoon. So these are some of the factors. But by nature, within a specialized strategy, these are the discoveries. Furthermore, important to highlight that each one of our businesses have a highly distinctive peer group that naturally we seek to actually be profiled against and looking for actually competing extremely well within the peer group. By nature, the respective peer groups have also their own value profiles. Historically, Tietoevry, we would have been identified a bit more in the category of IT services towards the lower part of the page shown. And with the ambition we have is naturally to be recognized within the categories where we aim to be one of the best in the world. I wanted to also highlight that the foundation that we've built over the years opens up new opportunities to accelerate our growth scale and financial returns. The background being that the merger in 2019, as announced in 2019 created new type of scale. Our search and main message in 2019 was that, that this would be by far the best intermediate step for both companies. What followed in -- practically last year, end of '21, we announced our new specialization based strategy, focusing on increasing competitiveness of all the businesses. And with this in mind, and the market development worldwide, we see a tremendous opportunity to reconfigure our portfolio for higher scale and value. Set of businesses having a quite distinct profile from a growth and scale standpoint. Practically, the businesses that make up the software businesses and digital engineering actually enabling the type of pure-play software and digital engineering to be participating in the rapidly growing and expanding global marketplace, and separating the managed services and transformation businesses as a combined entity. I'd like to open up furthermore a bit more the distinct dynamics between the business types. When we consider the software business, digital engineering, these are businesses with significant international expansion opportunities, software, IPR and global talent pools in the centerpiece of scaling, expanding and the likes. For managed services and transformation, having a strong Nordic-level position with long-term customer relations, continuously seeking for drive for scale and efficiency, highly differentiated type of business logic. As of today, 60% of the business mix is software and digital engineering with strong growth and profitability, naturally 40% in the managed service and transformation. And today, as mentioned already a few times we have announced a strategic review for the managed services and transformation type of businesses in order to be able to successfully build both the higher growth, higher scale and the managed services and transformation-centric business. Furthermore, each one of our businesses aim to be amongst the best in the market. More will follow in the afternoon, I'd like to do a short synthesis of each one. Basically, the foundation and the competitiveness today is already at a competitive level. In the case of banking seeking for becoming a leading European banking and payments with the company, significantly software, software platform-driven. For Tietoevry Create within digital engineering, a leading digital engineering player globally with a very distinctive peer group and global market opportunity. For Care, specializing healthcare, welfare, a leading health tech software provider initially in the Nordics, over time within Europe. And then finally, the industry software, a portfolio of fine performing well positioned, a bit smaller software businesses. And furthermore, for the combined Transform and Connect, a leading Nordic, potentially European, focusing on enterprises, public sector, multi-cloud and total modernization agendas for the enterprises. So really distinctive opportunities unique in nature. I'd like to furthermore carefully go through the 2 strategic reviews that we have announced. In July related to Tietoevry Banking with the objective of realizing the value of the banking software business as a potentially independent listed company. And I'll go into the status update on the next page. And to confirm, I'll also talk about the foundation in a bit more detail of the announcement of this morning. I'd like to confirm the progress and schedule, planned next steps for the banking strategic review. As announced, Tem is to potentially operate as an independent listed company. This is progressing fully on schedule, and towards second half 2023 conclusion. Main actions currently are related to carve-out and public company readiness, including legal structures, strategy as an independent company and long-term business plans. Listing preparations and potential transaction structures to be evaluated and concluded during the second and the third quarter, summer time frame. And implementation shall follow the potential deal structure conclusions, and naturally subject to existing market conditions at that point in time. Then I'd like to go through, carefully, also the announcement from this morning, the strategic review for Transform and Connect, combined that could result in a potential sale or listing as a spin off. Combination today is highly competitive in this domain, covering services across business processes, platforms and infrastructure with the largest Nordic customer base and multi-cloud platform available for each one of our core markets. As a starting point, 90% of Transform's key customers are also Connect customers, ample amount of existing collaboration and even dependencies between the businesses. We have very significant capabilities with approximately 8,700 professionals across Nordics, Baltics, Czechia and India, and also attractive combination of onshore closed with customer proximity, offshore for price competitiveness. Process and way forward expected to take 12 to 18 months, and combining the operations will be the first step very much in the first thing as we enter 2023. And very important, as we've done dialogues with our customers in the recent hours that the customer engagement and overall market operations continue fully as normal, with a very strong agenda delivering high-quality services, driving expansion in the marketplace, no expected disruption to the market activity on either business. I'd like to move now to the next stage of my presentation, the financial plans and ambition. Based on the combination of our belief on continuous performance improvement, market potential and our specialized businesses, we are further elevating our ambition levels. As mentioned in my early summary: revenue, 8% to 10%; profitability, 14% to 16%; leverage target to be between 1 and 2 in; and the dividend attractiveness to continue with the aim of increasing base dividend -- increasing dividends annually, very important objectives. And Tomi, our CFO, will actually elaborate in further details regarding also the capital allocation. Then to the business views, which will be really interesting throughout the afternoon. Our ambition will reflect the distinct dynamics of the different businesses and the market opportunities, and well visible are the factors that the -- the software businesses, digital engineering, very healthy growth profile and continued improvement in profitability. We are actually seeing performance improvement in all of our businesses. Naturally, software and digital engineering expected to be leading the performance acceleration and value creation. Overall, we aim at a step change in our growth profile while consistently improving profitability. With this in mind, and in consideration of reshaping the portfolio and longer-term identity of the company, it's fair to highlight also the performance profiles, the ambition levels for the 2 types of businesses, software and digital engineering with a global reach, growth between 12% and 14%, adjusted EBITDA up 17% to 19%. And I would claim very much in alignment with the market opportunity on a global landscape within the respective businesses. Similarly, when we look at the managed services and transformation relative to market development, growth of 1% to 3%, and continued improvement in profitability between 9% and 11%. This is very interesting from a standpoint of very firm performance improvement and the identity development towards higher growth, scalable businesses over time, especially in software and digital engineering. Implementation, we believe will follow also very naturally. We embarked on the specialization-based strategies, end-to-end businesses in January. We are fairly well on track with all expectations for 2022. In the next cycle, '23, '24, we naturally expect to be concluding the strategic reviews and accelerating M&A in the businesses where we expect the greatest combination of growth and scale. And then from there onwards, looking into next wave of market development, by that time, leading edge businesses, and looking at the next stage of opportunities. The digital agenda in the world market will continue to be attractive. I think we leave fantastic doors open for further innovation in the next cycles to come. I would also like to highlight the importance of the foundation of our agenda coming through our people and values. Values serving very well our employee base worldwide and tangibly benefiting client engagement, values of openness, trust and diversity as well as transparency. Our focus on employee well-being and engagement has continued at a really high level throughout also the highly turbulent times of the pandemic, and followed by the war in Ukraine. I want to take a special note that we have done our utmost for employee safety, and are proud of our Ukrainian colleagues for tremendous resilience. Continuous learning is actually the name of the game in our business, in our professional lives, in tech sector. And it is extremely positive to see that our colleagues in the company are discovering further opportunities at an elevated level for continuous professional advancement and continuous learning of new technologies, new type of business models. I also want to highlight that we have progressed really well in attracting talent in a highly, highly active market. I'd like to conclude my -- some of my consideration with the topic of high importance, ESG, which is an integral part of our business agenda, whether through enabling digital solutions to our customers or reducing our carbon footprint or driving ethical practices across entire -- across our own entire business operations even to our subcontractors, it's very important priorities for the company. We have ambitious targets, as an example, gender neutrality by 2030, and we strive to reach these on a daily basis. Furthermore, the ESG targets are also part of our long-term incentive plans. Now I'd like to recap my and our main views of this opening session, and to a large degree of the day. Our employee and sustainability agendas are very integral parts of our future aspirations. We are making good progress with our specialization based strategy, opening up avenues for further innovation and business expansion. We are taking very precise and active decisions with our portfolio and related identity. It's time to renew the company even faster. And as recognized, we have updated our financial ambition for higher shareholder value. What a very exciting agenda we have, exciting, highly transformative, highly energizing. Thank you.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you very much, Kimmo, for an interesting presentation. As a reminder, we will take questions both from the live audience here and also from the webcast. But let's start here from the room. And when you have a question, please raise your hand then wait for the microphone and then state your name and the company. So...
Daniel Djurberg
analystYes. My name is Daniel Djurberg from Handelsbanken. And first, I would like to congratulate on this decision. I think it's really interesting. And -- but looking at -- if you see any negative, so to say, in this potential new structure with regards to overhead functions that might be common for all the group, i.e., would you -- would it be fair to use some kind of shared service company for this -- to minimize the potential overhead that will be tripled going forward.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo we are already highly mindful of making sure we continue to optimize, the centralized functions of the company. Work has already started.
Daniel Djurberg
analystInteresting. And also a little bit on timing, why -- I have several questions today from customers that was asking. Okay. But why right now ahead of this recession, perhaps around the corner and so forth.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo overall, if you look at the combination of how the -- our industry is developing worldwide, what is the potential we have given the 6 different type of businesses we have, I think it's a fantastic time to move ahead. There's no reason to wait. The market is there and we can do better and take the specialization a few inches forward.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Daniel.
Sami Sarkamies
analystSami Sarkamies, Danske Bank. I have a question on the target setting. What gives you the confidence if we look at track record on growth before this year, you've been typically around 3% organic growth. So why do you think you can keep up the current good level and even improve on that going forward? And then secondly, on margins, during the past few years, you haven't made as much progress towards targets as you would have liked to. Now you are targeting quite a material step up in the coming few years. So where does the confidence come from, this time?
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo I think of common nature regarding the growth and margins are 2 factors. One is that naturally the perspective of the 6 businesses foundation that we'll be hearing more about. That's super important. If I may, I wouldn't now give a company average because the real is very different per business. From a -- and I'll, of course, address both in a bit more detail. From a growth standpoint, traditionally, we have had such a significant kind of a dependency on the legacy side, on the much more on the proportionately. And now we just see software -- and digital engineering, accelerating kind of that is moving tangibly forward. And then from a margin standpoint, naturally, in the current era, we are all impacted by the inflation. And nevertheless, we are -- we continue to make consistent progress. And question is the trajectory of the curve. But again, going back to the potential of each one of the businesses and the business mix towards more scalable businesses.
Sami Sarkamies
analystOkay. And then secondly, if I may, also the timing is quite aggressive. We think about 2025, it comes fairly quickly as mentioned, you will be quite busy with this structural changes until '24, next year will probably be quite tough regarding business conditions. So there's not that much kind of like room for the actual improvement to take place.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo naturally, we are all mindful of the macro environment. Currently, we are not seeing slowdown. So that's 1 factor, and the comfort and confidence of the businesses to be progressing. Now of course, we now talk only about '25. We'll talk later -- at a later stage on '23. So it gives us good comfort that now we have 4 quarters of accelerated growth behind us. So I think we are starting to turn the corner in quite a favorable manner.
Felix Henriksson
analystFelix Henriksson from Nordea. I have a question regarding the revenue growth target. So just wanted to confirm that what role does M&A sort of play in achieving that target. I know you mentioned something about Create & Care specifically. And then obviously, your target commence acceleration in your revenue growth. So I'm just wondering how sort of linear do you expect this acceleration to be, especially when we consider that the next year will likely -- there is a recession, and there potentially has been some sort of pull forward in IT spend as well over the pandemic.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveJust to be clear, in our revenue ambitions, it is, to a very, very large extent, organic may include smaller M&A, our typical definition. And then on the potential linearity, if I may, that's a bit -- I wouldn't like to guess that answer currently, there will be a slight difference per business. So some of our businesses have good growth velocity, and it's a bit dependent on how fast the business mix evolves. But no, I don't believe in any of our plans ever on like ad hockey sticks at the end. So we'll come back, of course, maybe a bit later on. But I think we have fairly fine track record and believe on the importance of sustainable performance improvement then the curve, of course, no details yet.
Felix Henriksson
analystRight. And then a quick follow-up, if I may, on creative banking, where you see the addressable market, also being global in a sense. So you might address this later in the segment presentations, but I just wonder if you wanted to highlight a bit on the go-to-market strategies globally for each of these businesses as well as the sort of traction that you've had so far?
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo if I may, sparing and guidance to our businesses is to be very mindful on the timing and readiness of global market expansion to make sure that the investments and revenue streams always come roughly at the same time. So I don't think we'll be investing too fast before we verify that the scalability of the products and services are there.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThanks, Felix. And then next one. It's over there. Yes.
George Webb
analystGeorge Webb from Morgan Stanley. Two questions, maybe one, which is always a bit dangerous first. But when you think about 2023, potential downturn. To what extent do you think this time could be different from a demand perspective because cloud, digital, et cetera, so central to companies visions and their strategies that actually supports demand through next year, even if there is a mound recession? And do you see that in your work pipeline? So I'll start with that one, and then one follow-up.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveMy current belief in my mind, my data points and many other people in the industry that kind of a cloud movement investing into data, data assets will likely not be that much impacted. Time will prove. But the probability of investment levels being high, I think it's fairly high. One factor. The second point I want to highlight that in the case of a downturn, we are likely one of the more resilient companies given the business mix, what's in the backdrop of the business mix is for a lot of our businesses, long-term contracts, long-term commitments. So -- but we are, of course, always mindful of the -- reading the signals ASAP, what might be coming.
George Webb
analystVery clear. And then secondly, on M&A competency. To what extent does each of the individual business units have that competency already in place? Or does that still have to be built out?
Kimmo Alkio
executiveOn purpose, this is very centralized. We have a very good small team that is active on M&A, of course, supporting the business leaders in this.
George Webb
analystWill that change moving forward? Or will that structure remain in place in the same way?
Kimmo Alkio
executiveWe'll rethink of course, however, the faster scale each of the businesses, so optimizing has to do with the other question earlier ensuring that we don't bring duplicate typical structures too fast, total efficiency. We -- I expect we can be very mindful of.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you. Then in the back row, there's one question. Okay. Right there.
Jaakko Tyrväinen
analystJaakko Tyrvainen from SEB. Regarding the growth ambition in Create segment, how you are prepared and how you're going to solve kind of the challenge regarding the talent need to deliver such growth? We know that market is very tight on that side as well.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveI'd love to give you a long answer, but I'll leave it for Christian. I know he'll want to talk about it. So very briefly on the Create side, the likelihood of very attractive global demand, very high. We have already a good footprint of capabilities around the world, actually to build and expand the talent pool. And that is already actually working in our favor, having a light kind of front end in the respective market like North America, very strong back end. So we expect that we can turn that machine even to a higher clock speed. He'll talk more about it.
Jaakko Tyrväinen
analystOkay. Great. Then another one on the planned strategic review on the Connect and Transform businesses, if we assume that those will be ended up in some kind of a consolidation game, what are the key synergy sources if you end up in marriage with the same kind of a peer company. What kind of a level of synergies should we assume for such a deal?
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo understandably, I will not speculate on the potential outcomes. What I can confirm from the customer dialogues in the recent hours and recent days that people tend to understand scale is important, scalability, the right investment needed for that type of business model, totally different from software. So the understanding that scale is important, the required investments exactly which outcomes -- I don't go and speculate into, we'll discover them throughout the rand customer commitment and importance of that continued client engagement at a very high level, and we look at as we make progress with the strategic review.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveOkay. Let's take one question from the online audience as well. There's a lot of services sold internally within Tietoevry. How big of a challenge do you see in a situation where the units are separate companies? How does that change the dynamic of the company?
Kimmo Alkio
executiveSo this question was a fair one, already in January this year, as we shifted to the specialized end-to-end businesses. And we've been very clear that all the businesses partner with any other business or company which creates value for the business in question, and that will continue. So subcontracting internally or subcontracting with external parties, standard procedure within all the businesses.
Aditya Buddhavarapu
analystThis is Aditya Buddhavarapu from Bank of America. Just a couple from my side. In terms of the structure of the potential disposals or spin-off, would you be looking at keeping maybe a stake in some of those assets to participate in future value creation? And then second, when you think about the structure of the group after you dispose of Transform and Connect, how does -- how do the software and Create businesses fit together? And why is banking maybe separate from that? And you've also done -- bring a review of banking. So why not keep banking as well within the structure given it's growing faster than, let's say, industry as well.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveThank you. So first of all, regarding the strategic review for Transform and Connect. So the outcome of the alternatives we will see during the process, I wouldn't speculate exactly which one. We'll discover and consider within the program itself. And then regarding our software and digital engineering, we've talked about for the past year on the optionality for each business to become one of the best in the world. So we'll be looking at that very dynamically for the quarters and years to come and -- meaning that the best possible path for all the business is the scale. So with that in mind, I wouldn't paint a picture of any type of endpoint model at this point in time.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveAll right. Thank you. Thanks, Aditya. Any more questions? I guess we are then done with the first Q&A. And obviously, there will be more opportunities questions from Kim at the end of the day. We will now move to the first business section of the day. We will start with the theme the Nordic leader in Managed Services and transformation. And our first speaker will come from the Transfer business. She will explain how focused market approach is enabling performance improvement. Satu Kiiskinen, please welcome.
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveThank you for the introduction, and a warm welcome on my behalf as well. I will -- I'm excited now to share with you what we do in Transform, what our team of transformers do, where we focus and how we drive performance. I have -- I will walk through 3 main elements in my presentation. Kimmo talked about specialization. So I will explain what our specialization in Transform means, and where we focus on. Secondly, I will open up the dynamics for growth, and how we grow. And thirdly, I will talk about our strengths, how we win in the market, and why I believe that we have actually carved out a very unique position for ourselves in the Nordic market. And I will summarize our financial ambition towards the end of the presentation. At Tietoevry Transform, we are driving enterprise-wide transformation for our customers. So what does that actually mean? Our customers are sort of driving 2 agendas at the same time. First, they need extreme efficiency. And secondly, they want business agility to be successful and competitive in their markets. We support them in complex, large multiyear projects that aim at, first of all, modernizing their application and infrastructure. And secondly, we are helping them to improve their total cost of ownership in their operations. And thirdly, it's all about data and technology. We help them improve customer experience, and improve their decision-making with the help of data and analytics. We're in Stockholm today, and I cannot start with any other example, but city of Stockholm. I'll share 2 examples, and city of Stockholm is the first one. City of Stockholm is driving an ambitious initiative on smart city and becoming climate-positive by 2040. We are building a next-generation IT solution for the city's administration as well as municipal-owned companies that enables them to free up capital in their operations and then reinvest it to build a smart and sustainable city. My second example is all about data and technology. And Kesko is one of the largest retailers in Finland. Among other things, we are helping Kesko in their grocery retail division in real-time retail. So when you or I, any one of us, order groceries online, one of the most critical things for us is that we want to know when exactly is that delivery on our front door. In real-time retail, we are building a comprehensive data solution that empowers Kesko to improve their logistics as well as the customer experience in terms of predictable deliveries. So in order to be successful in what we do, we have a very clear focus, and I'll talk about -- in terms of customer services and capabilities. And I'll talk about that next. Our customer focus is on the Nordic headquartered enterprises as well as public sector organizations that have a relevant IT spend between EUR 30 million to EUR 300 million. We estimate this market to be approximately EUR 10 billion. And to these customers, we want to provide a complete set of services. So we advise we develop we run and we transform their entire IT portfolio. And to do this, we have a unified model covering infrastructure services, application services, business process transformation using data. And we use our capabilities, covering IT managed services, core ERP renewals and data-driven digital services. This is, like Kimmo mentioned, 90% of our customers we have a unified model with Connect in terms of application and infra services. And this frame of -- these capabilities, I will come back to when I talk about our growth and the dynamics for growth. It's important to keep in mind. Our selected customers really are the cornerstone of Nordic society, and they play a really crucial role in all of our daily lives. Let me share some examples. What impact our team from Transform has on a daily basis? So first of all, 62% of all roundwood in the Nordics go through our systems and find its way to the mills. Secondly, 31% of the pensioners in Norway get their pensions on time with the support of our team. And we ensure that 5 million invoices are processed annually to keep city of Stockholm running. And 83% of daily grocery trade in Finland run smoothly when our team supports our retail customers in Finland. How impressive is that? Quite remarkable. So let me now elaborate on the dynamics for growth. As you see, our portfolio is really like a sample set of the Nordic IT market. It includes both the fast-growing data and digital services as well as the traditional services where growth is more moderate. We grow through increasing our wallet share with our existing customers. And secondly, the nature of our business requires that we close new large deals and acquire new customers. We select customers where we can deliver a full set of services. And typically, the contract period is from 3 to 5 years. Large customers and large account management is one of our key capabilities, and we invest in it. We are also experts in renewals. We have been with our customers over several technology waves and business model changes, and this deep custom knowledge actually becomes a key asset for us in the marketplace. And this gives me a great bridge to talk about our strengths, and how we win in the market. I mentioned that I believe that we have a unique position in the Nordic market. We help run cities. We keep the wheels for manufacturers rolling. We're in the middle of the retail supply chain. We maintain the legal system that supports our democracy. So our customers really truly are the cornerstone of our Nordic economy. So in order to bring value to our partnerships, our teams have really deep knowledge of our customers' businesses and processes. We are committed to long-term cooperation beyond the contract period. Almost half of our customers have been with us for more than 20 years. So that's definitely one of our key strengths in the market. Secondly, we do what is right for our customers, and we are open to use partnerships, including best-of-breed technology partners. We have a very balanced delivery mix. 1/3 of our experts of our resources are in the Nordics. 1/3 in nearshore, and 1/3 in offshore country in India. And we are flexible to adjust our delivery mix to have the right delivery mix for the customer in question. We also have a repository of best practices and a comprehensive set of services to drive real business efficiency. And finally, sort of we have been awarded 2 times in a row for our automation solution which, by the way, I have mentioned our recent large wins, was one of the key criterias for Aker BP when a couple of weeks ago, we announced that they selected us as their IT services and transformation partner. So our peer group is in this market, as you can see, are some of the largest names in IT. I come to scale. So in order to be successful, we are driving scale through unified global delivery, automation and selected partnerships. I talked about our delivery mix, over 50% of our professionals and experts are outside Nordics. I mentioned about our automation solution. So AI-driven automation is really starting to play a bigger part in driving scale in our managed services deliveries. As we automate in fixed price deliveries, our labor needs reduce, and we are able to redeploy those professionals then to billable work with -- in other projects. And this year, we have increased our automation with 150% in -- during last year in terms of automation. We're also driving scale through reusable assets. This is extremely important, by the way, for example, in Cloudified ERP implementations. And in delivery, our delivery model enables us to work in an open ecosystem, and without locking. So we also may work jointly with our peers to create value for our customers. So I'll come to the financials and our financial ambition. By 2025, we aim to grow around the range of 2% to 4%, and we are committed to deliver adjusted EBITDA around 10% to 12%. Our growth is really driven by increased volunteering with existing customers as well as these new customer wins that I talked about earlier. Growth is also driven by -- through business mix change. So we are really, really keen to get the growth in cloud-driven next-generation services, and we are betting on that. In terms of profitability, I will address our short-term profitability on the next page. Overall, in profitability terms, also, increased share in cloud, enables us to drive automation and therefore, an important driver. And we are driving a continuous way of working, where we are able to redeploy people and be agile in talent deployment and, therefore, increase efficiency. Customer pricing increases are also 1 element for our profitability as a driver. So we have been facing some challenges in terms of profitability during the first part of the year, and we have taken clear actions to mitigate that. We have an ongoing performance improvement program, and we have been driving the price increases with our customers, and we are continuously optimizing our delivery mix in terms of redeploying our professionals to billable work and optimizing the pyramid. And I believe that with these actions, we are able to sustain the margins and drive our ambition towards the 2025 profitability range of 10% to 12%. All right. I have come to the end of my session, and I am summing up with these three messages. To go back to the specialization that we are so excited about, so we specialize in driving the enterprise-wide transformation using technology. And I want you to remember that we focus on large customers with multiyear contracts. And that, I think, brings us stability even though there might be some turbulent times as the questions already indicated during Kimmo's session. We do have a really unique position. Our margins are really driven by continuous efficiency, and we are committed to drive that, our financial ambition, to finish 2% to 4% revenue and 10% to 12% in terms of adjusted EBITDA. Thank you for your interest in Transform. I will now be open for questions.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Satu, for a very inspiring presentation. Let's take questions. Daniel here in the front row.
Daniel Djurberg
analystDaniel Djurberg, here again, from Handelsbanken. A question a little bit on pricing on the cost level also that you see in the market. Obviously, we see higher cost levels across the board. And energy, I guess, is one of your cost items that has been impacted. Can you comment a bit on this? And also if your contracts contain some kind of CPI adjustments in the terms that you have so far? So you can give an overview of the pricing versus the cost implication here.
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveYes. So our contracts are, of course, unique and -- but depending on the customer, we have different terms in terms of, for example, cost of living. When we talk about the sort of application management that is very sort of labor-driven, and then I will leave it to you to comment on -- from Connect side on the energy.
Daniel Djurberg
analystYes. That's fair enough. And another question, if I may, is the automation, you mentioned was up 150%, I think, year-over-year. How do you measure this? It looks like you are up to some 60%, while targeting 80%. So what is the automation measurement?
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveSure. We are driving automation in terms of automating all sort of transactional work and ticketing and so on. And that is the sort of basis for the labor reduction intensity as well as the KPI.
Sami Sarkamies
analystOkay. Sami Sarkamies, Danske Bank. Can you please talk about some of your main challenges in the recent years? Why have you lost customers, not won too many new customers, and there's been also quite severe margin erosion.
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveYes. I -- interesting interpretation. I mentioned that actually, we have actually very good customer attraction, 40% of our customers have remained with us for over 20 years. So I think we are actually really good at renewals. We have a very strong order intake during the last 12 months. And I think we have a sort of good position to be competitive in the market. The market is actually very competitive.
Sami Sarkamies
analystAnd are there any improvement measures you have taken? And when do you think this will bear fruit?
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveSure. In terms of margins, like I mentioned, the first half of the year has been challenging for us in terms of profitability. And we have initiated the performance program where we are addressing 250 roles, and driving the performance. So the first impact of this program was -- seen towards -- only towards the end of Q3. So that -- those initiatives continue.
Felix Henriksson
analystFelix Henriksson form Nordea. As one of your profitability drivers, you also described the delivery mix and the competence permit. So I just wanted to dig into that a little bit more. So I'm just wondering if this means sort of deploying more sort of junior talent and so on. How sort of long of a lag should we expect from these actions to improve profitability? And how do you sort of see yourself as an employer for example, for junior talent, and your competitiveness on that front?
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveYes. We have a graduate program, and we are sort of recruiting graduates on an annual basis. And I think in that, we are sort of gaining a lot of attraction as an employer. When it comes to the pyramid change, for us, the nature of our business is that we are in a continuous cost optimization. This also gives great career paths for our personnel. They are sort of able to move from sort of application management type of deliveries into project work and vice versa. So I see the pyramid and the kind of like redeployment or we call it smart redeployment positive in terms of our personnel. And it is, of course, important for us in terms of efficiency as well.
Felix Henriksson
analystOkay. So continuous work.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Felix. And last question then, over there.
Unknown Analyst
analystHello. [ Mats Wilander ] [indiscernible]. So if you're going to grow in 2025 by 2% to 4% and achieve 10% to 12% EBITDA margin. Do you -- I mean you need to decline some business in order to get to profitability. So do you expect the growth to be like accelerating first coming down and then accelerating? Or how do you expect the growth pattern to look like?
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveSo the business mix and our portfolio includes the traditional services part that is by default in the market, declining business. So we do have high-growth businesses where demand is high. For example, data currently Cloudified ERP is in great demand. So I think the business mix change over the years is 1 key driver for the growth.
Unknown Analyst
analystAnd growth to 4%, is that in 2025 then? Or will it be sort of 2 to 4 every year? And -- I mean do you see what I mean? You will trim some of the business to get a higher margin, but that means you will take out some business.
Satu Kiiskinen
executiveSo that I will leave then -- I think now we have given the long-term growth. So I wouldn't speculate on the fluctuation.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you. Thank you for the questions, and thank you, Satu. The second business presentation will continue the theme, Nordic leader in managed service and transformation. Our next presenter will tell us how our unique Nordic multi-cloud services are driving scale and value. Johan Torstensson, please welcome.
Johan Torstensson
executiveSo it's my pleasure today to talk about how we connect over the last 2 years, have built a unique Nordic multi-cloud services, which will drive both scale and value, not only for our customers, but for our shareholders. What is happening now in the market is that we're seeing the increased demand of what with something we call digital sovereignty. And we in Tietoevry Connect is capturing that part of the change right now. And let me just explain what we mean with digital sovereignty before we go on. Digital sovereignty is all about that we all now are demanding digital solutions to live our life, to drive our companies for society. And that is moving very fast, but there's 2 things our customers are now questioning and asking about. First, data. Who is managing my data? Where is it stored? Who can access it? Am I sure it's the right people who do this? Number one. Number two, how do I make sure we have resilient solutions? So if you have something bad happening, a cyber-attack or even worse, that somebody cut the network connection to the Nordic society. Can I still run my city, my company, my life? These things are now driving changes how our cloud transformations are going. And we have put ourselves in the Nordic-leading position for multi-cloud services to gain the growth in cloud. We are uniquely positioned to actually capitalize on this multi-cloud journey and the sovereign in each of our customers. By us driving this trend and driving this actively, you would see a large transformation of the service portfolio of Tietoevry Connect to more multi-cloud services, which will drive a sustainable profit improvement over the years. So we in Connect do mainly 3 things. We have unified and secured infrastructure and cloud platforms to take care of our customers' data. Number two, we have the people to help our customers transform from traditional infrastructure to the new modern cloud services on that journey in utilization. And finally, in the multi-cloud era, we have the modern, highly automated managed services to manage our customers' complexity across these different platforms. And one great example to talk about this, which I want to mention is actually customer, Able. Also customer who asked Tietoevry, I need to go on a much faster digital journey. I need a digital platform, a cloud platform for help with that. And my team in Connect, together with my colleague, Satu's team in Transform, joined forces and actually building the cloud platform, the hybrid cloud for them for the future. We're helping them transform, and we now are managing their solution. So Able can keep on being competitive in the market. The market is shifting and there is a healthy demand both for private cloud and public cloud because of the reasons of the sovereignty requests. It is the public cloud, which is driving the fast growth in making this market in Nordic a EUR 6.1 billion market. But there is a large part of the growth coming also from private cloud. So it's the combination of these 2, which drives it. While the traditional infrastructure continues to shrink as people are moving their workflows to cloud. Also, it's important to see the end-user part of this market, which is a part of what we are doing in Connect, which is growing slowly, but it's a stable market as people need demands of how to access the data for the people and making the people more efficient. But what happens then when the workloads go to cloud? How will that impact us in Connect? Well, what we are seeing is with our customers right now, and in the market, not everything is going to the public cloud. It's a large part, 50% to 60% of the volumes, the workloads are going to cloud, public cloud. But when it goes there, yes, the actual platform is the hyperscalers who are going to have that revenue. But all the projects and all the managed services on top of this is actually up to 40% to 60% of the same type of revenue as we had in traditional infrastructure. In addition, 25% to 30% of the volumes go to private cloud, where a company like Connect will still have the full product services, the managed services and the platform services. And then we have a part, which we nowadays call special purpose platforms. You can call it part of the traditional infrastructure. It's a certain part of the workloads, which you will never move to cloud. It will not perform. You need dedicated hardware for this part. And that's why as long as the customer keeps those applications, it will run on this, and we will continue to do this. This kind of change in the market will then drive this change of the portfolio of Tietoevry Connect. We will then go from in the past, having over 50% in traditional infrastructure, coming to a situation by 2025, where it's just over 25% of our portfolio is traditional infrastructure. The rest of the so-called capacity is in different clouds or in specialized services. This is driven by that we actively will move our customer now to the cloud. We will not sit and wait, we'll actually move them actively. It's a very important part of the story. What we also see is the demand, of course, of the cloud helping us to move this change, and we're also seeing that the whole cloud-first strategy will drive this and help us on the journey. When it comes to the end-user part, that one, we will follow the market and we're seeing we have a very attractive portfolio, but that will be the same part of our service performance before. So why should the customer choose us in Connect? Why not somebody else? Well, the point is that we have a full offering, end-to-end offering, for our customers through the whole cloud journey. That means that we can help them with their traditional infrastructure. We have the people who can actually help them to decide which platform to go to. So they don't make mistakes. Then we transform them with our 1,000 people we have in our professional services. And finally, we manage their multi-cloud across the whole part. We are then unique in the Nordic to actually being able to do this as we have a full scale service integrator. Our presence in the Nordic means that we also can help our customers who demands to have Norwegian people in Norway, Swedish people in Sweden, Finnish people in Sweden -- in Finland, I should say. I might be a little bit of a wish from a Swedish person here, but have them and actually even being security cleared. We can do that or if the customer says it's enough with EU. We drive it and we deliver from our big, large center in Ostrava, which have 1,800 people. In addition, strong partnership is important. We have -- again, have a long partnership with VMware. We have won their prices of the most innovative cloud, the first Nordic sovereign cloud in place. We have announced our new relationship with Google last week where we will drive the whole Google partnership across the Nordic countries, and Microsoft has been there for the last couple of years as a really strong growth partner. Finally, we have the flexibility, which customers demand. both when it comes to the data, where to have it, they can have our platforms in their data center if they need and if they're part of that part. They can have it in our data center or they can have it in the public cloud, where we manage it for them. And the great part is that this is nothing that we start right now. We have 600 of our customers now using our cloud services. And one of my favorite is actually 14 municipalities up in the northern parts of Sweden, which is called Norrbotten. They came together because they were too small go about cloud services themselves, but they understood the need of sovereignty and how to protect their inhabitants of those municipalities. They came together, looked for a partner who could actually build a modern private cloud in their facilities up north and then help them to move all the workloads and manage this. These are one of our best friends right now on how to do this. That's 14 municipalities out of 290 in Sweden, which is a great potential. Another great customer is Ilmarinen in New Finland. I think they have -- probably have one of the fastest move into public cloud. We have to move 80% of the workload into public cloud, in the growth part, we run the product with them, and we're now managing it. So as you can see, we are both in the private in what we call the Tietoevry Sovereign Cloud and we're doing this with public cloud. But in order to stay both price competitive and also to drive sustainable profit, this is, as you heard before, a game of scale. The game of scale starts with actually having workloads, having customers, having their applications and running them. We have the largest number of customers in the Nordic. We have the largest number of workloads, which are ready to be transformed with our customers. When you have that, you need to move them to scalable platform. We are the only company who has the same private cloud architecture in Finland, Sweden and Norway, which means that we can do sale over between these countries, especially with NATO coming, that is a very interesting part for a lot of our customers to have the possibility. And that means that you have the same architecture. Nobody has that for the private cloud in those 3 places. We have the strong partnerships, which both drives that we have the latest innovative solutions when it comes to cloud, but it also drives the price point that we make sure that we have the right price point for us, which we can share with our customers. Then you need to have a highly automated operation. This is about standardization. This is about building an IT factory based on AIOps, so you can reuse it over and over again. We have that now based out -- especially Ostrava, but at the same time of tooling can be used in all the countries and out of India. And finally, it's about competencies, people who can redo the transformation for the customers using structural capital in order for doing it faster and more efficient than anybody else in the Nordic. This kind of movement has already started and has been needed for us to change our financial situation. We have driven this over the last 2 years and again this year to actually increase automation, centralizing operations and driving, for example, down our SG&A cost. This part has led to that we now have a headcount reduction of 7%. Now productivity on the highest level, revenue per FTE has gone up by 5%. And this, of course, then lead to that the profitability moves in the right directions over the quarters. We are on this journey right now, where we have set the foundation. And I want to say that again, the last 2 years, we have set the foundations, both when it comes to technology, getting the platforms in place, but it actually had to do about gaining back the trust with our customers. The trust comes from 2 things: deliver to your commitments and having a future road map, which they think are attractive. That is now in place. So now we can accelerate the move of our customers' workload to the highly automated, more profitable cloud solutions. When we do that, we will consolidate data centers. We will also consolidate our legacy platforms, our old cloud platforms to fewer to actually mainly 2 to 3 old, the standardized ones. And what we will then do to drive growth right now and over 2025 is following the data. The data does not only come from the enterprises, but we have new segments which we are right now exploring and winning deals in. The software companies. The software companies who want to sell SaaS to the health sector in the Nordics, to the public sector, they need somebody to run it in Sweden, in Finland, in Norway. They come to us, we run it for them and their software is powered by Tietoevry Connect, just to quote one of our customers. In addition, we're seeing the possibility to use channel partners, to actually going after the SMB market where they want to have the standard cloud platforms, and they want to have a private cloud alternative to the public clouds. What we now are seeing is that with this change, we will move away from actually being an organic shrinking kind of business to go back to growth again. And the growth will come from the multi-cloud trends. It will also come from the technology partnership and go-to-market partnership with the companies you saw on the previous slide. We will also expand into these new market or segments, which will bring more data coming to our cloud platforms. And last but not least, it's all about solid customer retention because we build back the trust with our customers. The profitability is, as we said, coming from the shift into the cloud services that we go into the much more highly automated managed services part and the consolidation of data centers and platform to fewer. When we do this, we actually will also drive down the investment per revenue from 5% to 4% coming to from that our data centers will be more colo data centers where we don't own them anymore. And also, when we move our services to public cloud services is less investment in the actual platform that's done by the hyperscalers. I just want to finish off with saying that we, and actually together we transform, are running the Nordic society. We have a very important place to play. Right now, my people are down in the European Commission, where they have asked us to come and talk about Nordic and sovereignty. This is us as the partner to talk about in EU how this should be run. This is done in a market which is growing 9% year-over-year. We have established our platforms ready to take on the growth and the transformation. We will proactively move our customers to these platforms, which will drive the scales on platform, data center, partnership and automation. And this will lead to that we will have a profitability by 2025 of 8% to 10% EBIT adjusted, and we will have 1% to 3% growth. With that, I'm ready for some interesting questions.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Johan. We have now time for a couple of questions. Who would like to go first?
Daniel Djurberg
analystDaniel again from Handelsbanken. I guess, it's better to rephrase my first question before -- to you, Johan, on the cost side versus what you have on [ CPIO ] and the terms you have with the customers today. And also, if I may, a little bit on security, while doing the hybrid cloud, the private -- and also with the hyperscalers, how do you secure the cybersecurity between those APIs, so to say?
Johan Torstensson
executiveSo first, I think the question about, again, our cost versus our price and the contracts, if I understand right. Understood that. Yes, and actually, our managed services, contracts or long contract with usually fixed prices. So the energy part can be addressed in new contract. It actually will not -- it's not possible in the same way for that. We have certain indices for certain customers. So we have that as some standard, but there are also customers where we have promised our prices for a number of years. That's why we add the value to them on that part. So we cannot fully gain that into it. When it comes to security part, this is where how do you make sure that you have the right security between private and public cloud. First, I want to say one thing, nobody can ever beat the investments, the hyperscalers doing in the public cloud. That's why we will never argue about where you can get security. You can get that in the public cloud. The interesting part is how you do it across. And here's why our partnerships are important. We are working now closely, we announced with Microsoft, that we will be their partner using their technologies so they can use that in the Micro Cloud, together with our private cloud. So we will build those solutions with a hyperscaler, which goes across. VMware is another, who helps us to build the foundation across this. So it's very important for us to have the right partnership to build those, which we now have.
Sami Sarkamies
analystSami Sarkamies, Danske Bank. In the recent years, you've lost important customers and have not been able to reach market growth with your multi-cloud offering have also suffered from weak profitability. Can you please explain what you have done to turn the course around and what measures still need to be done in order to reach the targets?
Johan Torstensson
executiveYes. So if you look historically, we have been suffering for losing customers, as you said. That comes from dysfunctional relationship, especially which came from one of the companies from the EVRY side in the past, which drove down the trust with the customers, and that's why we got the churn happening. In order now, we have built back and build back that trust with customers to show that we are delivering to our promises when we in-source this back and have built up. So now we have gained the trust back. We're seeing that in our, we call, our survey with our customers. It's going up. They believe in our quality again. So that is our sign to do that. The other one is why should we now growing? The specialization of the businesses, which we have done in the last 9 months has been very beneficial for Connect. Because in order to sell the cloud, you need to understand cloud. And by now, we have the specialized salespeople who can actually sell our portfolio, whether it was in the matrix, they need to sell a larger portfolio. So this is them the way to gate. And we're seeing that in both our pipeline, our winning ratio that this is going in the right directions.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Johan. I think it's now time to finalize this Q&A. So thank you very much for the answers. Thank you for the questions. And now it is time for our first break. Let's be back in 10 minutes. [Break]
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveNow welcome back to Tietoevry Capital Markets Day. We are now moving to the second part of business presentations. We will be hearing how we are accelerating value through software, and we will start with the banking business, Christian Segersven. Go ahead.
Christian Segersven
executiveThanks a lot, and welcome, everyone, also on my behalf, and I hope you enjoyed the break, and I can see that some of you are still enjoying some of the delicious servings that we have here. I had the pleasure to tell you a story about expanding financial services software business with a substantial value potential. Due to our competitive software portfolio and expanding global partner network, our addressable market is significantly increasing. And we can clearly now uplift our ambition for further global expansion. So let me now introduce you to Tietoevry Banking. As a foundation of our business and our success, we have a competent global teams, who are actually uniquely trained in both the industry, the financial services industry, as well as software and modern technology. The other leg that we obviously stand on is our competitive software solutions and very broad portfolio of softwares. We are actually covering all aspects of modern banking, making our customers more agile, innovative and actually highly competitive. Our competent staff, in a combination with the software assets, is actually opening up a substantial, global and continuously expanding addressable market for us. We have a solid financial platform to stand on as we now embark on a journey to further expand even more aggressively with a clear global ambition. So today, our business is roughly EUR 0.5 billion, growing double digit, with a solid and ever improving profitability. We have delivered now double-digit growth for -- or close to double-digit growth for 7 consecutive quarters. And we will make sure that trend continues. So due to our size and solid financials, we can invest adequately into our portfolio, both improving functionality, as well as technology. Our recurring revenue base is year-to-date, 69% and constantly growing. We have a very low churn and very loyal customer base. And due to our global capabilities of scalable software solutions and directly addressable market is rapidly increasing and as we speak today, at EUR 8.5 billion. Our share of global revenue is 30% today, and we have a clear ambition to further expand internationally and globally to change that mix even further towards the international side. I want to highlight the global nature of also our almost 4,000 people. So they are located in 13 countries all around the world. And our global presence actually gives us a unique sourcing base in the era of a talent war that also my colleagues has talked about. Our employee satisfaction also being very high is naturally helping us to keep our attrition low. That's extremely important. What obviously gives me and the whole banking team great pride is our very loyal and satisfied customer base. We have over 400 customers spanning from the global Tier 1 banks, like the Bank of Americas, the Morgan Stanleys, the INGs, the HSBCs to the Nordic Tier 1s from the Nordeas, Handelsbankens, the DMVs and the likes. All the way to the fintechs and international payment provider, which is a segment actually growing very, very fast, also expanding our addressable market. NPS at 47, the Net Promoter Score at 47 in a combination with a very high customer loyalty. It must be seen as the best proof one can get in terms of doing things right. So to support our market expansion, providing us with speed and scale, we are working more and more with global partners, such as Microsoft and AWS mostly on technology and public cloud, obviously. CGI, helping us in implementing, integrating in the North America at their home turf. IBM, a global partner that have capabilities that actually can strategically help our customers in their transformation, utilizing our software assets. They have capabilities to implement, to integrate and they can even deploy on their global, actually, financial public cloud technologies. Naturally also in the cards business, Visa, Mastercard as the global giants are partners that we work with. Let me now introduce you to what can be a little bit complex, which is our very, very broad software portfolio. It is actually divided into 6 distinct domains as you can see here, and they also reflect the main areas of banking and financial institutions. And I would just like to make things a little bit more easy. So when you think of that you, as a consumer, apply for a loan, you apply for a credit card, you withdraw cash from an ATM machine, you make a bank transfer, you pay for your groceries with, nowadays, maybe your watch, your phone, your credit card, you trade or share of fund if you are an investor, you transfer money to a friend here in Sweden, you use Swish, right? In Norway, there is Vipps, in Finland, we use mainly MobilePay or Siirto or you shop online. These are all tasks when you actually interact with our technology and our software. So one could say that we make the financial system spinning, and we're keeping it running on a day-to-day basis. So a couple of examples of our value propositions here. So our Banking-as-a-Service platform is a fit-for-purpose, scalable compliant and API-based modular banking platform. Actually running over 100 customers already today with over 12 million bank accounts. Last week, we actually onboarded 6 new -- the newest members of our platforms, 6 banks in the ICA Group in Norway. So this is a growing community of banks running on our platforms. Cards-as-a-Service is a full value chain for modern card services and ATMs, processing 6 billion card transactions on an annual basis. And we produce, personalize and deliver over 20 million credit cards yearly. Our full suite of payment software enables the real-time economy with already globally over 200 customers in 60 countries. One of our most global business domains, actually. Financial crime prevention, as everyone understands in the era of instability in the world, is, of course, a domain that grows all the time. Here, we have best-of-breed identity proving, know your customer, anti-money laundering and fraud prevention and detection software. Real-time monitoring over 4 billion transaction on an annual basis. Just to give you a few examples of the areas we work in and a little bit also sort of giving the understanding of the size and volumes that we operate and process on a daily basis. To give you a bit of perspective and potential benchmarks, I want to briefly show a sample set of our global peers here and how we actually differentiate. So in the Nordics, we have a dominant position, and we have been part of building the industry already for 50 years. The Nordic banking market, as we coming from the Nordic knows, is seen as the most sophisticated in the world. And being the leader here actually gives us a great position to further expand internationally. Our solutions that we have been creating for over 50 years are seen as the most innovative, and we make great pride in being the frontrunner in the industry. Already in the 1990s, latter part of 1990s, we launched the first Internet bank in the world. And some years later, the first mobile bank in the world. That actually run on the WAP technology, for those of you who remember. We have a proven track record in outperforming the competition in efficiency, like, for example, in cost/income ratios for the customers running on our platform. This is, of course, extremely important for us to be able to show that the customers running on our software platforms have an ability to be more cost efficient than their peers. Our customer satisfaction is very, very high, and they appreciate our unique industry expertise. As said, so we do have a large directly addressable market for our software. And we have set clear ambition and priorities for our product segments to expand and conquer new ground internationally. With our payment cards and financial crime prevention software suites, we have a clear ambition to expand further into Europe and even North America with some of them, Wealth and Banking as a Service having a more Nordic Tier 1 focus. Most of our investment as we are a software business goes into the software portfolio and into our product. And what we also invest into go-to-market into our partner network and naturally also to educate our people. So to take a little bit of a break in just me talking now, I will show a short video highlighting the importance actually of our partners and the collaboration and cooperation with the global partners. They are very key for us in our now and the world to rapidly expand our global market footprint. So let's take a view. [Presentation]
Christian Segersven
executiveSo as we could hear, of course, for us, it's extremely important to be able to work with global giants in the industry such as, for example, IBM that have been sort of a major player and are a major player in the industry, helping us to digitalize and transform. This gives us a huge reach and also, of course, sort of scale and speed in expanding our markets internationally. So to conclude, I'm proud to share with you our financial ambition for 2025 in terms of both revenue and growth. So in terms of revenue, we are uplifting our ambition to 10% to 12%. That is driven, of course, by the market momentum and our large customer base where we are able to cross-sell and upsell. Also, of course, the market expansion and fast-growing global pipeline, especially in the area of cards, payment, credit and financial crime prevention. And of course, as we saw also here in the video, the strong global partner network that gives us speed and scale internationally. In terms of profitability, we are uplifting our ambition to 16% to 18%. Here, we are continuously driving standard software practices, which gives us a scale and efficiency, modernizing our technology to more efficiently be able to run our softwares, also expanding as a service business models to further move the revenues to becoming more and more recurring. And the talent base I refer to, our global talent base, here, we always, of course, trying to optimize where we source our talents and how we and where we create our software. So to finalize a couple of key takeaways also from my side. So first of all, as I said, we have a constantly improving and evolving very, very competent talent base and software portfolio that enables us to actually digitalize the full financial services industry. We have a global customer base and an ever-increasing addressable market and our pipelines globally especially improve all the time. We have a solid financial performance track record and a clear ambition to grow and improve even further. So this concludes my presentation, and now I'm happy to take on questions.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Christian. I think we have time for 2 questions, if you keep answers pretty short. Let's start with -- yes. Aditya, at the back.
Aditya Buddhavarapu
analystAditya Buddhavarapu from Bank of America. Just very quickly, if I look at the current targets, 10% to 12% top line growth, 16% to 18% margins 2025, compare that to the previous targets for 2023, which were around 6% to 8% top line at 18% to 22% margin. So now you have higher top line growth, but the margin guidance is low for 2025. I mean, what's driving that? And then very quickly, are you seeing any decision-making delays from customers? I think one of your European peers flagged that recently. So are you seeing anything on that -- based on some macro concerns and customers?
Christian Segersven
executiveOkay. So I captured -- yes, 2 questions actually. So first of all, yes, due to our now more aggressive market expansion, we are able to uplift our growth ambition, which is great, also comes through the network of partners we work with and standardizing our software that it scales. So that is one. That's a positive thing. It is true that we take down the profit ambition from 2020, the last CMD, a bit, actually 2 main drivers here. One of them is the inflation that hits us both on technology and on labor cost. Another aspect is actually the carve out and related reclassification of tax grouping, which is a little bit of a complex thing that actually gives us a little bit of headwind as well. So those are the primary reasons. Obviously also aggressively investing now in growth and expansion that usually tends to have a little bit of an impact on profitability. So those would be the main reason.
Aditya Buddhavarapu
analystAnything you're seeing on customer...
Christian Segersven
executiveYes, sorry. Yes, not actually at the moment. But of course, we are trying to have our sight in the binoculars at all the time. But our -- the demand for our services keeps on being high, both in terms of upselling, cross-selling, where we are already and growing global pipeline. So we don't see that yet, but we are, of course, cautious on the situation in the world.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveLet's take one more. Yes, Jaakko is the first one.
Jaakko Tyrväinen
analystJaakko Tyrvainen from SEB. Looking at your Nordic customer base, how comprehensively they are using your solutions, i.e., is there significant upsell potential still with the Nordic clients or does the Nordic growth have come from outside the existing clients?
Christian Segersven
executiveYes, that's a great question. So for all our business domains, for all our software, there is significant potential to still grow in the Nordics. So definitely, we are not finished here. We have significant potential. However, naturally, the potential in Europe and internationally, globally, is even bigger because our market share are much smaller. So definitely, all our services are growing and we have potential to grow in the Nordics. However, the focused investments in taking some of them now more aggressively into the international arena where there is even bigger potential. So our addressable market that we now talked about of 8.5 means a combination of the Nordics as well as European. This is not yet global market that we are talking about. But European international, European plus, I would say.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveAll right. Our next speaker is running not only one, but actually 2 of our software businesses. We will start with Care, and Ari Jarvela will come to the stage to explain how we are expanding high-performing Care software and accelerating value creation. Ari Jarvela, go ahead.
Ari Järvelä
executiveGood afternoon. Pleased to go through how already high-performing care business will accelerate the value creation further. Tietoevry Care is the leading Nordic social care and health care software provider. We develop open and modular software for full care value chain. We have a consistent track record of delivering excellent financials in the Nordic markets. We have 4 distinctive software families: Health care, social care, care analytics and laboratory. We are the market leader in Finland under health care in hospital information systems and care analytics. Our social care and laboratory software are Nordic leaders. We create value by innovative software developed in close collaboration with our 1,500 customers. We are EUR 230 million in revenue, of which close to 70% is required. Our software cares for millions of citizens annually in the Nordics. In helping 50,000 care workers to serve 4 million patients in Finland, by facilitating 10 million Nordic citizens with our social care software, exploring 500 terabytes of data for better treatment and processing 300 million laboratory results annually to help doctors to find symptoms for faster recovery. I have here 2 customer cases. One is from Helsinki University Hospital, where our data platform combined with AI solution has revolutionized the diagnostics of rare diseases. We compiled the data, integrate the data from 70 back-end systems, utilize our AI and machine learning solution to understand the data quickly. We have an intuitive user interface for researchers and doctors. And with this, we have brought significant cost savings for the hospital, and the diagnostics and the recovery has started quickly. Not to mention the benefits for the patients itself. Actually, based on some of the results, we have examples where our AI has detected the rare disease several years before it was actually diagnosed. So a cool story. The second thing is from [indiscernible] Skelleftea municipality here in Sweden, where we have implemented a full-scale social guest system. The municipalities can apply the financial assistance, as an example, anytime, anywhere. For social care workers and the municipality, we have automated the back-end workflow including the decision support for better case management. When looking at the Care market overall, we can see aging population with increasing amount of chronical diseases putting a huge pressure to the whole care system. And I would even claim that without a giant leap in digitalization, the whole system in the form that we know today is in danger to collapse. On the left-hand side, you can see the multilayered service model provided by several private and public sector service providers, not actually being connected with each other. And this has brought the challenges like disparate systems bringing inefficiencies to the whole value chain. The patients or even lack of holistic user patient experience, too much cost is carried in the high-cost settings like secondary care at the hospitals. And compared to any other industry, I claim that the health care sector has fallen behind in the pace of digitalization, partly because of the lack of usage of open standards. These challenges has brought the demand of the convergence of social and health care to drive the lower cost of health care settings like home care and virtual care. In order to be able to do that, the care system needs to be personalized. There needs to be a digital interface for citizens. And to be able to do that, there needs to build the data fluidity between the systems. To detect the persons early enough, symptoms early enough and to start preventive actions. And these, too, requires open modular architectures. We at Tietoevry Care, we are uniquely positioned to capture this demand because, number 1, we are the market leader in both social care and health care. In health, we are in the top position in this social care, health care conversions. Number 2, with our medical device directive certified data platform, together with our AI capabilities, together with our proven references, we are the partner of choice in data-driven care for better clinical and operational decisions. And since we are the pioneers in this open and modular software architecture, we can bring this digitalization efficiency widely in years in the Nordics. We have an attractive market here in the Nordics. Total addressable market for our software is approximately EUR 700 million, growing 6% to 8% annually. But there are certain pockets like this care analytics, where I expect even 30-plus percent annual growth. We are the market leaders in Finland and in Sweden. In Norway, we are in top 3. I expect huge step-up in the market share in Norway, but also in Sweden. In order to be able to capture this opportunity, we are elevating our software R&D investments from the current 11% up to 13% to 14% level. The capitalization will be from current 2 percentage points up to 3 to 4 percentage points. The main investment areas is to further personalize also our software from citizen's point of view, but also from the care worker's point of view. Build the next-generation operational excellence software suite to integrate social care and especially primary care in the health care sector. Third bucket of our data platform and care AI solutions for rapid scale up, and continuing the transformation to open architectures, including Software-as-a-Service in certain software products. With this market opportunity and the investments, I firmly believe that we can reach the growth rates of 12% to 14%, with extremely healthy profitability levels. The growth drivers overall is to increase the share of wallet, especially, like I mentioned, in Norway and Sweden, with the full social care and health care suite, increase the addressable market with our care analytics software and operational excellence. Some part of the growth is coming also Software-as-a-Service transformation. Profitability drivers are twofold. First of all, we are elevating our investment levels to capture this growth opportunity. But on the other hand, we have a relentless focus on our internal efficiency, especially in software R&D through automation, as an example, in testing and deployments. We are already on an extremely healthy level when it comes to both software and regarding revenue. I see the main shift happening now to gradually increase the portion of Software-as-a-Service. But I still claim that during the next few years, the Software-as-a-Service model will remain in relatively modest level at Care because of the customer requirements, especially in data privacy and business continuity or operational continuity. The recurring revenue will go up from current below 70% level, somewhere to 73% accordingly, driven by the Software-as-a-Service transition. In the next 2 years, the main focus is to win the Nordic social and health reform. We know that Finland is embarking the social and health care convergence, establishing well-being areas. We want to be the key driver of that transformation. Sweden actually has the legislation initiative in the same area, how to ensure the data connectivity between social care and primary care. After FKJ in Norway, Norway has the similar ambition, to integrate social care, elderly care, the primary care for faster recovery and move to lower cost of care settings. We want to be in the pole position and the vanguard of that change happening. '25 onwards, we are pursuing the selected European market with proven products. But I want to confirm that the financials presented are only covering the Nordic part, and we will come back to you with this European strategy when the time is right later on. We are the high-performing business. We are the more Nordic leaders in health and social care sector. We are the other pioneers in open and modular software for the full care value chain and we have extremely high growth and profitability ambition and proven track record to deliver that. Thank you, and it's time for questions.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveExcellent, Ari. Thank you very much time for the questions. George?
George Webb
analystIt's George Webb from Morgan Stanley. A couple of questions. Firstly, in Kimmo's section at the start, those are mentioned that Create and Care will have a focus on scaling in 2023 and 2024 inclusive of M&A. Are there any specific areas that you're interested in as the division heads? And are they tech-focused? Footprint focused? And then just secondly, on the SaaS strategy, it looks like there's still going to be a big chunk of license and maintenance in 2025. So is this a pull-based approach, you're going to offer customers both choices? Is that the idea?
Ari Järvelä
executiveYes. Okay. Thank you for the question. The first one, on the financials, like Kimmo mentioned, includes only certain small bolt-ons. Otherwise, it's organic. We do have certain ambitions. Of course, what comes to that direction, I would say that especially '25 onwards, possibly if we are looking at the other markets, but I wouldn't start to speculate now until we have a firm plan. Software-as-a-Service, we can offer certain amount of -- certain products in our portfolio are SaaSified, and we can offer them both from Software-as-a-Service or on-prem. The wide portion, like I make an example, this hospital information system. At least so far, customers are relatively reluctant in going, especially the public cloud. And the main reason, 2 main reasons I already mentioned, is this data privacy. And secondly, the operational continuity. They want to ensure that they will not be disturbed by any network challenge here and the likes. And I would say that the latest conflicts in Europe has even strengthened those opinions based on my discussions with several customers.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveSami?
Sami Sarkamies
analystSami Sarkamies, Danske Bank. It would be interesting to hear comments regarding the Finnish health and social care reform as this would seem to create plenty of demand for you. How do you think it will materialize? Will it be more about replacing existing systems with new ones? Or is there just going to be a lot of system integration and professional services type of integration work?
Ari Järvelä
executiveThis is a bit speculative because I have to say that those well-being areas, they are only now about to be established. I have had several discussions with the leaders who has been nominated. It will be a step-by-step approach. The first 6 months, I would guess, is focused on administrative system softwares, like payroll and the likes. But then what comes after? It's still actually pretty much open. I would claim that in -- at least based on some customer dialogues, that they keep the transactional software, for example, hospital or patient records and the likes, pretty much as is the first stage. And then they introduced like we have now the new software suite for operational efficiency to integrate that on the data level and same with this data analytics and AI. And that would be the first step. Over time, I guess that there will be harmonization of core systems also. But most likely something like that, step-by-step approach. For sure, there will be plenty of opportunities in professional services also for us, because our customers need a lot of guidance and help in how to do this architecture, actually, and help them also implementing that.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executive[indiscernible]
Unknown Analyst
analystMarcus [indiscernible]. So you almost achieved a Rule of 40, you're aiming for Rule of 40, at least. So how do you work with prices? I mean, how long contracts? Do you have inflation clauses? So how do you sort of work with pricing power?
Ari Järvelä
executiveYes. We have the clauses in most of our contracts. So they are typically tied in certain indexes like labor cost increases and the like. So that is happening. So we have relatively well mitigated inflation from that point of view. Was there another question?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes. I mean, with costs moving around, just to make sure that you're sort of resilient.
Ari Järvelä
executiveYes. On the cost side, of course, like I already mentioned, we still have an opportunity to improve in -- especially in R&D efficiency. It happens through automation, in deployments and testing, as an example. But some 25% of our workforce is currently in lower-cost countries. And I can see somewhat increase in that going forward also.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you. And then last question from Felix.
Felix Henriksson
analystFelix Henriksson, Nordea. I'm still trying to wrap my head around the sort of Software-as-a-Service penetration of your business. Could you just then clarify what exact parts of your business can be SaaSified, as you mentioned, that some can and some cannot?
Ari Järvelä
executiveYes. Okay. What we can and what is already now fully SaaSified is, for example, of our care analytics. That is part. That represents currently less than 10% of our revenues. But the amount is increasing. Like I mentioned, I expect some 30% growth in that one. So that can be SaaSified. We have this operational efficiency, especially the social care part of the software, we have a Software-as-a-Service transformation ongoing. I see slower pace in hospital information systems with the reasons I already mentioned.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, and thank you for the questions. And Ari, ready for the second round?
Ari Järvelä
executiveAbsolutely. Okay. And I continue smoothly to TietoEVRY Industry. TietoEVRY Industry is a portfolio of specialized software and platform with the potential of accelerated growth. We are EUR 270 million in revenue, serving 5,000-plus customers in more than 50 countries. 69% of the revenue is recurring. We develop software to niche market segments. We want to support the critical functions and processes of our customers. And we add more value through data and advanced analytics integrated to our software. We are the market leaders. We focus on market-leading softwares and platforms. Public 360 is our case management with 20% market share in the Nordics. We have 45% market share in learning and school administration software in Sweden. Our production system for paper mills is globally the leader. [indiscernible] process automation has 50% market share in Norway, 20% of consumer-related billing and invoice volumes is driven by our platform. And we have a growth in energy utility sector related to asset and data management. 700 million transactions in our industry [indiscernible] to keep supply chain of food and medicine up and running in Norway; 300 out of 500 paper mills, which use the standardized software, has selected our TIPS. 300,000 civil servants in public administration use our Public 360. And we process 230 million invoices from large banks, financial institutes, credit card companies and telcos to consumers. I have 2 customer examples here. One is from Public 360, where -- which is trusted by the government offices and ministries in Finland, Sweden, Norway and Denmark. Policy making, including the legislation preparation, requires secure, traceable, correct follow-up of any and all reviews, changes and approvals of the document. And we have brought this capability to the core of national decision-making with automated workflows. Our distributed energy solution is one of our [indiscernible]. Cloud-native platform to help energy and utility companies to balance their supply chain. SP1 has connected multiple distributed geothermal heat pumps to our platform, and we have established one virtual power plant. And with this, they can manage the heat production in comparison to electricity consumption. And we have brought significant cost savings when SP1 can avoid the peak prices of electricity. Like I mentioned, we focus on specialized software for niche market segments. And when we are developing and having this focus, we have a clear criteria of how to do it. Number one, when they have specialized the niche products, typically, there's less competition from global giants. Typically, this segment is too expensive [indiscernible] software development. And with this, we have created competitive position. We support the critical functions and processes, and with this we have achieved the stickiness and sustainable pricing. We want to be the leaders in each of the segment that we are investing in. And with this, we achieve the scale and good profitability. And all of our softwares, they are self-funding when it comes to investments, and they are all cash-generating. With this, we have 5,000 and increasing amount of customers with extremely low churn, high level of recurring revenues and excellent profitability. The market. In this segment or TietoEVRY Industry, to be honest, defining exactly the market is a bit difficult. We estimate that to be EUR 2 billion in paper segment. It's global market, other segments presented here are Nordics. We have ample room to grow in paper, where we increased our addressable market by moving from traditional paper industry towards tissue and packaging. In Energy & Utility, the current energy crisis actually has boomed this demand of our distributed energy solution, and we have many, many discussions ongoing at the moment. This whole product suite is just launched. For data services, billing and invoicing and public sector, we see stable development, and we have ample room to increase our market share in the Nordic countries. We have a diligent investment to our software, representing some 8% of the revenue. The key investment areas is case management moving to Software as a Service, expansion -- the production -- paper production system to tissue and packaging. For all of our software naturally, we are all the time adding functionalities to drive more value and create more addressable market. We have continuous technology renewals, especially in our platform businesses to keep the profitability high. And then we bring in automated workflows to our customers and add value through that. With the market potential, with the smart investments, we can accelerate the growth to 8% to 10% with sustainable 20-plus percent profitability. The growth drivers are software as a service transition and market share increase in Public 360, expansion of our data production system and market share increase in billing and invoice and data services in the Nordics. The profitability improvement drivers are two-folded. First of all, we have hard pruning of our end-of-life products. And then we improve our R&D efficiency by increasing our offshoring ratio from current 30-plus percent to 40-plus percent. And we increased automation, especially in testing and deployments. And this automation happens naturally when we are doing the SaaS transformation. We are on a healthy level, both in software revenues as well as in recurring revenues. What I see currently is still room for improvement in software as a Service and subscription-based business model that is also driving the financial visibility to our software businesses. Similar to health, also here, the professional services will remain in the important role since we are doing our own software consulting, integration and implementation work. Near future focus is three-folded, grow and expand our existing prospects, case management, data services, paper production system; and drive the portfolio pruning, including the end of life of certain products; '25 onwards, we scale this further up with possible market expansion, but in a similar manner that in health, I'm not starting to speculate now, we need to be ready for that. Dear to every industry is a portfolio of profitable specialized scalable software. We want to be leading in the selected segments. We are well positioned to deliver the value and attractive financials going forward. Thank you and time for questions.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThanks, Ari. Excellent presentation again. Questions, let's take Daniel here in the front row.
Daniel Djurberg
analystAnd 2 questions, if I may. First, on the revenue mix, you aim for 57% Software as a Service coming from 48% roughly last year. And my question is, is this mainly from the new deals you take that is more Software as a Service tilted or is it also including a large chunk of migration of the existing?
Ari Järvelä
executiveYes. Thank you for the question. It comes mainly with the new deals and the biggest growth is in Public 360 case management. In our current portfolio, the biggest part of the Software as a Service is in data services as well as in Billing and Invoice. And we have a growing part in Public 360, and it comes from big part from the new customer acquisitions, who are utilizing our software mainly as a Software as a Service.
Daniel Djurberg
analystAnd also, if I may, on the expansion towards tissue and packaging segment for your paper production system. Can you comment a little bit on that market when it comes to competition, for example, will you need to compete with like SAP, et cetera, for this and also where are you in the investment phase towards this expansion?
Ari Järvelä
executiveOkay. I take the first one, we have started the investment already in '21, in '21, we had existing software package. And we have a good traction in the market, and we have plenty of references and customers also up and running. So from that point of view, it's good. The position where we are, we are actually -- you referred to SAP, which is the ERP layer. So our system is so-called manufacturing execution system, which is on the factory level. So it's between this ERP and the base automation. And the main competition is not coming from traditional software companies. It's more companies like ABB, Honeywell and the likes. And yes, there will be a certain amount of competition, but we have got an asset, good traction in that expansion and that business is growing rapidly.
Felix Henriksson
analystFelix Henriksson from Nordea. On the sort of road map slide, you showed that portfolio pruning is an active exercise and you're seeing what you're doing with the sort of nonperforming businesses. So can you disclose any sort of metrics on how large a share do you actually consider your business to be sort of nonperforming? And then to follow up on the structural theme, you sort of compare yourselves to [indiscernible] consolidation software. So do you sort of -- are you actively scouting for M&A targets to grow by that?
Ari Järvelä
executiveOkay. What comes to M&A targets, so in the numbers, we have that small bolt-on M&As included. Otherwise, it's organic. Going forward, there might be templates or possibilities '25 onwards. But for now, we are focusing on organic growth with certain bolt-ons. The first question was related to portfolio pruning, which we -- so like in all portfolio businesses, we have a certain amount of legacy systems. In our portfolio, it's relatively minor. We don't have huge amount of so-called [indiscernible] portfolio. It's about 10%, less than 10% actually of our revenues. But we require and we want to speed up the portfolio pruning to have all the good crown and start this growth trajectory.
Eirik Thune Øritsland
analystEirik from ABG. So to my understanding, at least the case management market is relatively consolidated. So in which markets do you expect to see the largest potential in taking the market shares going forward?
Ari Järvelä
executiveWe are [indiscernible] in Finland as well as partly in Sweden. Those are our target markets. We have a good and I would say a dominant market position in Norway. So there, I can see a relatively modest market growth.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveNow we have time for one more question. If there's anything. If not, thank you, Ari. It is now time for our second break of the day. Let's continue in about 12 minutes, so at 3:45 local time. [Break]
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveWelcome back. We are now moving to the third part of our business presentations, and we will be hearing how we are accelerating value creation through digital engineering. I'm pleased to welcome Christian Pedersen to the stage.
Christian Pedersen
executiveThank you, Tommi. And on behalf of the full TietoEVRY team, it is fantastic to be here today and get this opportunity to introduce you to our exciting business in the field of engineering, data and design. The world is going through a green and digital shift. Both, private companies and public organizations are turning to digital to create new services and new products to improve their current service experience, reduce the environmental impact of their operations and to uplift their efficiency and productivity. This green and digital shift is creating a massive demand for our services, and we are well positioned to capitalize on this and aim to capture and create value for all stakeholders, our shareholders, our employees and our customers. When you think about our business, I would like you to think and remember 3 things, that we're advanced, that we're impactful and that we're global. I'm going to talk you -- talk you through all 3 characteristics of our business. I'm going to support and illustrate with customer examples. And we will start with Advanced. We are a highly advanced engineering, data and design business. Four, and with our customers, we build large-scale, data-intense systems that makes an impact. These large-scale systems are being built utilizing the latest technologies supported by modern tool sets and modern ways of working. Our engagements normally start small. We start out building a feature, several features become a function. A group of functions becomes an application or a digital product. That application or digital product might evolve into a platform. And some of these platforms even become their own companies or their own business. Whatever we are asked to build, we are often asked to enhance further, develop and improve. So the typical engagement cycle starts small, it grows, and it's long-lasting. As an example, [indiscernible] take our engagement with Goodyear. It started out originally with a small team, developing a small piece of software. Today, this is a very large team. The small piece of software has evolved into an advanced application. It's location-aware, it's data intense, it's a predictive tire maintenance systems that improve road safety, introduces better cost efficiencies and it reduces CO2 emissions for anyone equipped with a car or a truck that has Goodyear tires. Then I would like you to think and remember us as impactful. We aim to work on things that matters, matters to our customers, matters to our employees and matters to society. As an example of that, I'll take the work done together with Offshore Norway. Together with Offshore Norway, we developed something called virtual inventory. Virtual inventory enables the 12 operators on the Norwegian continental shelf to share spare parts and tools. You should think of it as any of the shared economy platforms as consumers get to use and benefit from. The industry themselves, they've saved NOK 1 billion and avoided downtime due to better handling and sharing of spare parts and tools. Then I would like you to think of us as global. We normally and in most engagements, work in a global engagement model. The global engagement model means that we will deploy and start the engagement with vertical competent, slim stateside team. From there, we will scale the engagement, utilizing our global competency centers to the benefit for ourselves and also for the customers. All 4 examples that are present behind me are global in nature. I'll take the 2 latest ones. Quite recently, we announced a partnership with HaleyTek. Together with HaleyTek, we're developing the next-generation infotainment systems. That will be found in current and future Polestar and Volvo car models. The engagement started off with automotive experts, and we're scaling the delivery by using our global competency center. Six weeks back, we also announced a partnership with Bose, same model. Our consumer electronics experts working together with our automotive experts on the initial engagement, start the engagement, and we scale out the delivery by building a new engineering center of excellence for Bose in Warsaw, Poland. Then to give a little bit more insight on the global nature of our business. I'll introduce you to this map. So we do business in 3 core markets: Nordics, Western Europe and North America. Almost 50% of our business and revenues originate from outside of Nordics. As for talent, 2/3 of our talent is located outside of Nordics; Asia Pacific and Central and Eastern Europe. I think also I'd like to underline that some of the big markets for business is not necessarily the same markets for talent. And then I would like you to introduce you to how we view our business. For us to be truly successful, for us to play in the legal the best, for us to compete and win against our new peers, we look at our business in 4 dimensions. Four dimensions that we need to grow, manage and develop in. First and foremost, we compete for business. A large and fast-growing market. Then, we do not only compete for business, we also need to address, compete and win the talent. Thirdly, we need to manage our expertise, skills, capabilities and competence agenda. And finally, we need to lead our performance and drive our scalability. In our business, the key performance factor are on the revenue side, how well we do talent attraction, and retention, how well we do utilization, how well we do pricing, and we need to clearly manage our costs. The key scale factors in our type of business is how well we manage and develop the pyramid. And even more important, how well we manage and utilize our global competency centers. Then, I would like to remind you that these four dimensions should not be seen in isolation. If we are successful in winning business, winning interesting engagements, it's easier to win in the talent market. If we are successful in driving our scale, it's more likely that we will win business. So these 4 feed on each other. And I'll now take you through all 4 and our plans on how we are going to develop, grow and improve in all 4 dimensions. I will start with the market. So we're addressing a large market. We're addressing a market of EUR 500 billion, and it's growing rapidly. We are expanding our business in Western Europe and North America, and we are doing that by leading with our 3 global segments, Automotive, Telecom and Consumer Electronics. All 3 segments are growing rapidly today, with growth rates of 20% to 50%. We are leading with the global segments. And then we are hoping it to be the global engagement model. So whatever business we're in, we will have a small state site team, and then we will scale the engagement using our global competency centers. As we do see business growing through the 3 global segments, we're looking into establishing ourselves in several new global segments, where we see strong software and data engineering demand. Then moving to the talent side of the equation where the situation is very different. Today, it's 40 million open tech positions worldwide. We believe that, that number is going to quadruple over the next 5 years, meaning that there will be 160 million open deep tech jobs available worldwide. [indiscernible] in the talent market today. I'll give you a few data points on how we're doing in talent retention and attraction. We've grown our talent base in TietoEVRY Create with close to 6% so far this year. We have a high and rising employee engagement of 85%. And we have a very high employee Net Promoter Score. That being said, and with the backdrop, what we do today will not be good enough to win in the talent market of 2025 and 2027. So we aim to uplift our talent agenda even more and we are doing that by first expanding our addressable talent market by establishing ourselves in new sites in Europe. Then we are driving our continuous learning and development agenda for our employees, and we have a huge opportunity in coupling all the engagement we have worldwide and exposing that to all our employees. The combination of the 2 will allow our people to grow and create career opportunities for themselves that we're not able to provide today and that will set us apart from the rest of the competition. Then we need to drive our competencies, skills and capabilities agenda. We will continue building out our horizontal capabilities. The 4 key practices; design, cloud, engineering and data. Then we will continue to add vertical expertise that I talked about and we will combine the 2. We will combine the leading horizontal experts and the leading vertical experts into an advisory function that will be able to lead our customers on and through their digital journeys. Then the fourth dimension, on performance and scalability. There's 2 performance factors where we have room to improve. We can go faster than we are doing today. We can go faster in talent acquisition, and we can go faster in the time from people join us to redeploy them in meaningful engagement. The other performance factor that we can improve on is pricing. The world around us is changing. Digital is becoming a business priority. Our barriers shift from the traditional IT side to business. The other dimension is that as the world shifts to -- or digital shifts towards business, we also -- and this demand/supply situation changes, meaning that demand massively outstrips the supply. Combining the 2, we will drive our pricing logic to value-driven pricing. Then on the scale factors. Leading with the global engagement model will help us and our customers to grow faster and get their services and products delivered faster. So leading with the global engagement model will be key for our uplift. And then we have one thing we can improve on, and that's our large customers, they would like us to do more for them. So we will concentrate our resources on our key customers. That's important for many things, including growth and profitability, but also because we would like to work on things that matters, as I said in the beginning, in combination with larger engagements, working on things that are important, drives our employee engagement, and also our employee retention. So combining the 4 dimensions, competing and winning business, competing and winning talent, driving our expertise and capabilities agenda, and driving performance and scalability, we aim to deliver 14% to 16% revenue growth where the revenue growth will come from the global segments, driven in North America and Western Europe and starts in our global competency centers. For profitability, we aim to lift up to 14% to 16%, where the key contributors are the operational efficiencies, I talked about, the pricing transformation towards value driven, on the basis that business are now buying our services and the fact that the world is resource-constrained. Then the global engagement model will also help us towards the profitability ambitions we're putting forward today. And then to sum it all up. We work on things that matters, matters to employees, to customers and to society as whole, the large demand for our services. We are expanding our addressable market, both on the business side and the talent side and combining that with our scale and performance factors. Our 2025 ambition is to deliver 14% to 16% revenue growth and 14% to 16% profitability. With that, I'm actually going to end here and open up for questions. Thanks for listening.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Christian. Very impressive indeed. Questions, Sami, I think was the first one here.
Sami Sarkamies
analystSami Sarkamies, Danske Bank. I think there have been some concerns earlier today regarding the business outlook for next year. Can you tell us what you're seeing at the moment when you look at your customer base [indiscernible] will happen next year to create a thing about the growth momentum?
Christian Pedersen
executiveYes, there -- I mean, there are certain signals that the economy is moving into a slower growth pace or even declining, right? And currently, we're still resource-constrained. We have a still larger demand from our customers than we can supply at the moment. So that's still the situation, as I'm standing here today. We do see some softer signals but -- and we follow it closely, but nothing major at the moment. On the other hand, I think if you look at the development in the last 2 years, the market has been growing extremely rapidly, right? And we struggled to keep up with resource side. So maybe it's beneficial if it slows down a little bit without actually asking for a major downturn.
Sami Sarkamies
analystAnd then maybe a follow-up. How comfortable are you with a 15% organic growth target? It's a bold number. And I mean, obviously, you need to be finding good demand, and you also need to be finding resources. So is that a doable number?
Christian Pedersen
executiveYes, it's doable, given that we manage to drive our business on the 4 dimensions that I took you through. It's absolutely doable. It doesn't come easy, but it's possible.
Daniel Djurberg
analystYes, just a question on [indiscernible] center. And according to the map, you are aiming to supply a lot into Europe from China, also thinking if you can share with us the current status and the -- also when it comes to order backlog, et cetera, if it's business as usual, given the trade war, et cetera, we see world ramping up and the strategy with China?
Christian Pedersen
executiveGood question. And we have around 1,000 employees in China today. And we're deliberately, all the new sites we're setting up is in Eastern Europe and Central Europe. So although 9,200 people today, we're very resilient in the form that we have people spread around most of the world. And we're deliberately now investing and building sites in Central and Eastern Europe. The business is still going fine from China.
Daniel Djurberg
analystPerfect. Then you see no hurdles from [indiscernible] things that -- because you supply mostly towards Europe, I guess, from China or [indiscernible].
Christian Pedersen
executiveOkay. So all our customers start to take service from China today. They are also present with big operations in China themselves.
Jaakko Tyrväinen
analystJaakko Tyrvainen, SEB. Could you elaborate a bit how has your kind of employer brand or employee satisfaction developed since the announcement of this new segment or division structure last year? And how does your kind of employee brand differ between the Nordics and then looking at globally?
Christian Pedersen
executiveYes, starting with the talent attraction, so since we announced the new strategy last year, we've done 3 surveys this year on employee engagement, and it's been rising throughout the year in TietoEVRY Create. So in the last survey was collected 3 weeks back, I do recall, and we were rated a high 85%, and it's been rising through the year. Then we've added 6% -- we've added 6% to our talent base this year in Tietoevry Create. And then as for the talent attraction and the talent brand, it's somewhat different in the different markets. We have a very strong brand in the Nordics. I think the good news when we look at this congested talent market is that we're big in some of the small talent markets of this world like the Nordics. And then we have ample room to grow in Eastern Europe, Central Europe and Asia. And that said, a lot of the people that do join us, they say that although many options, there's very few with a Nordic heritage and Nordic value set. So in that sense, we are a little bit different from our competitors in those talent markets.
Jaakko Tyrväinen
analystThen a bit of a technical one on the sales and growth. How much share of the international revenue is coming from the Nordic customers that you have?
Christian Pedersen
executiveSorry, can you repeat?
Jaakko Tyrväinen
analystMeaning that the global revenue outside Nordics, how much -- how much share of that is coming from the Nordic clients that you might have?
Christian Pedersen
executiveYes, I don't have that number in my head, I need to go back and actually figure out. But fundamentally almost 60% of our revenue regions from outside of the Nordics.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveAll right. Time to move to the last presentation of the day. We are well positioned to deliver attractive shareholder returns, and the day will be summarized by our CFO, Tomi Hyrylainen.
Tomi Hyryläinen
executiveGood afternoon. So as the last presenter of the day, I have the pleasure to summarize to you why TietoEVRY is an attractive investment opportunity. Let's start with our value creation proposition. The foundation of our value creation proposition is the uplift in financial performance of our 6 specialized businesses. We have today heard the market opportunities of the respective businesses and how our managing directors will capture the growth opportunities while delivering improved profitability. Second, we intend to accelerate value creation from the strategic reviews of Banking, Transform & Connect, as explained by Kimmo earlier. Thirdly, we have an optimized capital allocation policy, which is supporting the profitable growth of the businesses while continuing with attractive dividend levels. Before looking at our new uplifted financial ambitions, let's look at how we have progressed towards our old ambitions, which were set for 2023. On growth, we had an ambition to grow 5% and with our guidance for the year of 5% to 6%, we are tracking well to reach that ambition. On profitability, our ambition was 15%. And with our guidance for the year of [indiscernible] 13.1%, we are tracking below that ambition with one year to go. Now needless to say that this high inflationary era is impacting the pace of profit improvement for the company. And I will talk more about this later in my presentation. On one-time items, we aim to be at around 1%. And this year, we are tracking towards 2%, and that is impacted by the exit from Russia, the continued war in Ukraine, and somewhat higher one-time cost from the performance improvement programs in our businesses due to high inflation. On dividends, we have been increasing dividends annually with one exception of the COVID-19 year, and we have reached our leverage target below 2 well in advance, as commented before. So it's fair to say that we have made solid progress towards our '23 financial ambitions. Now let's look at our new uplifted financial ambitions. Our growth and profitability ambitions are business-specific. As aggregated at group level, our growth ambition is 8% to 10% and profit ambition 15% to 16% as adjusted EBITDA. Now it was commented before as well, but still important to summarize, the growth ambition includes only minor bolt-on M&A and anything larger will be adjusted for. On leverage, we have defined an optimized healthy leverage range of 1 to 2, and I will discuss more about that later in my presentation. On dividend, we will continue with increasing dividends annually. On this slide, I have a summary of the financial ambitions of our businesses. As you can see, we have 2 very different performance profile businesses. With software and digital engineering, including Create, Banking, Care, and Industry, the combined growth is from 12% to 14% with adjusted EBITDA of 17% to 19%. On managed services and transformation consisting of TietoEVRY Transform and Connect, the combined growth is 1% to 3% with adjusted EBITDA of 9% to 11%. Having this very two -- very different performance and valuation profile businesses in the group is not optimal from the capital markets point of view. It creates a valuation discount for the group compared to the sum of the parts valuation. We believe that the announcement made today on strategic review will release this valuation discount for the benefit of our shareholders, while ensuring better growth and scale opportunities for the respective businesses in the future. In this slide, I will explain to you how TietoEVRY is positioned in this era of high inflation and the potential macroeconomic slowdown. The key point to understand is the length of our customer contracts. And on the right-hand side of the page, you can see that approximately 60% of our revenues come from the long-term contracts with our customers with committed revenues. The smaller share of the long-term contracts is with Create, followed by our 3 software businesses of Banking, Care and Industry and the larger share of long-term contracts in our Transform and Connect businesses. These long-term contracts provide us good resilience towards any potential macroeconomic slowdown. This resilience does not, however, come without some negatives. So this resilience impacts or has a lead time how we increase our customer prices. We estimate that the lead time for us is 6 to 12 months, which means that as of today, we are not fully able to mitigate against this sudden high inflationary cost increase. That's visible on the left-hand side of the page. Moving into our investments, we aim to invest into profitable growth. For us, this means that we have defined a group level investment frame, which takes into account the business-specific needs. To ensure effective capital allocation, we have defined investment return criteria, which aims to deliver business-specific accretive returns. All investment decisions are made in the specialized businesses. We invest primarily in 2 categories, in offering development and in fixed assets. Our offering development investments are focused on software and solutions and are in the range of 4% to 5% of revenues, of which 1% to 2% of revenues is CapEx. On fixed assets, our investments are approximately 1.5%. And those are focused on data center technology refresh and facility upgrades like this fabulous location where we are today, Stockholm Arenastaden. TietoEVRY has a strong financial position. We have robust capital structure with secured liquidity. Our liquidity is secured through our healthy cash balance, well-functioning commercial paper market and unused revolving credit facility of EUR 250 million. We aim to continue with strong cash flow generation, which is supported by the uplift in performance of our 6 end-to-end businesses as discussed before. We have defined an optimized leverage target range of between 1% to 2% of net debt-to-EBITDA. This means that at the high end of the range, it tells you that we do not intend to be a highly-leveraged company. At the lower end of the range, it tells you that we do not intend to run an inefficient capital structure in the company. We have set potential activities, which are mentioned in the slide as well when we are above the range, 2x, we focus on deleveraging with only limited strategic M&A potential. When we are below 1x, we consider extraordinary shareholder distribution in a way of dividend or share buybacks. Now into our capital allocation policy. Firstly, we invest back into our businesses to support the profitable organic growth of our businesses. This relates to the 4% to 5% of offering development, which I talked about before. Second priority is to increase dividends annually and to invest into strategic M&A, primarily in the businesses of Create, Care and Banking. The third priority, extraordinary distribution to shareholders, is relevant as discussed when we are below 1 in our net debt-to-EBITDA metric. Here is my key slide. So why is TietoEVRY an attractive investment opportunity? We continue with our attractive dividend policy of increasing dividends annually. Our share price development is supported by many favorable elements such as improved growth profile to 8% to 10%, improved profitability to 15% to 16%, realization, the value from the strategic reviews of Banking and Transform and Connect, and good to remind of the resilience of our businesses. So this is how we intend to maximize shareholder return at TietoEVRY. Thank you. Now time for the Q&A.
Tommi Jarvenpaa
executiveThank you, Tomi, and welcome team to the stage as well. Now we are ready for the final Q&A of the day. Who would like to go first? So there's no more questions from anyone anymore. Good. I think everything is clear. So thank you, everyone for participation. And then I'll hand over back to Kimmo now for final remarks.
Kimmo Alkio
executiveThank you very much, Tommi, and everybody. And by the way, there is time for dialogue still, although there were no immediate questions, it seems like. So first of all, we all sincerely hope that you have enjoyed, everybody here in Arenastaden and online, the insights through our -- to our specialized businesses and the leadership of TietoEVRY. I also hope you are getting a very tangible feel for the market opportunity, value creation opportunity we have as a company, the firm moves we are making in terms of evolving our portfolio, our business mix and our identity. And we believe there is a very tangible and further upside for our shareholders, and we are extremely driven to deliver on what we have put on the table today. On our behalf, thank you very much for joining. Thank you very much for the active participation, great questions, and we all look forward to continued active dialogue with you. Thank you.
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