Time Technoplast Limited (TIMETECHNO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
August 16, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Hitesh Taunk
analystThanks. Welcome to the Q1 FY '22 Earnings Call of Time Technoplast. From the management today, we have Mr. Bharat Vageria, Director, Finance and CFO; Mr. Raghupathy Thyagarajan, Director, Marketing; and Mr. Sandip Modi, Senior VP, Accounts and Corporate Planning. Sir, I would request you to please start with your opening remarks. Over to you, sir.
Bharat Vageria
executiveGood afternoon to you all. And it is for -- as I just told you that this is the Q1 call. And we are here essentially to talk about our result of the Q1 FY 2022, and outlook for the rest of the year. The results are already announced, but I will just walk through some of the key financial and operational highlights. The key numbers are: During the Q1 FY '22 -- and previous year figure also, I will read it. On a consolidated basis, net sales stood at INR 755 crores as against INR 475 crores of the previous year same period. I just would like to remind you, in the previous year, same quarter, it was the COVID first wave was there. And around 40 to 45 days national-wide lockdown and some of the units were disturbed. But they have now become the useful of running the units by the way of using the digitization. And this year also in especially Q1, some of the locations, especially Telangana, East Region, Kolkata, there were some disturbance was there in Chennai region. But in spite of that, company have achieved the net sale stood at INR 755 crores as against INR 475 crores in the previous year. EBITDA stood -- EBITDA was INR 101 crores as against INR 54 crores. PAT of INR 29 crores as against a net loss of INR 12 crores. Cash profit, INR 68 crores as against INR 26 crores. In terms of the -- compared with the corresponding quarter of previous year, net sale increased by 59%, India, around 67%, overseas is 47%. Volume increased by 57%. There is a great difference of volume and revenue is around 3%. EBITDA increased by 86%, PAT increased by 344%. The EBITDA margin was 13.4% as against 11.4% increase by 200 basis points. I recall my last conference call is after the Q1, which was -- happened when my EBITDA percentage was 11.4%. That is because of some of the cost fixed expenses, which when the utilization will increase, revenue increase automatically, it will be set off. For example, salary, wages, rents, interest, these all are from the fixed expenses continue expenses, whether business is there or not there, we have to absorb that cost. Therefore, it is straight looking that 2% jump, 200 basis point jump in EBITDA. Share of the business, established product value-added products, value-added products grew by 52% in Q1 FY '22 as compared to Q1 FY '21, while established products grew 61%. The share of the value-added product has been 20% of the total sale in Q1 FY '22 as against 21% in Q1 FY '21, almost the same. Share of India and overseas business. Normal cafes, it is always 70% and 30%, but now I have seen the -- in Q1, the share of the India and overseas business, 62% and 38% as against the previous year, 59% and 41%. I will clarify here the COVID effect in the previous year, the India was much, much more compared to U.S. Therefore, we have seen the 59% revenue was in India and 41%. Now this year, same quarter 62% little, little improvement is there as far as India part is concerned. And I think except Q1, which was the major effect of the Q2, now it is witnessed everywhere, COVID cases are reducing day by day. We all know that in the month of March, April, COVID cases reached to 3 lakhs, 4 lakhs cases in a day, which is now reduced to 30,000 to 35,000. But I think, as everybody knows -- everybody is worried about COVID third wave, but I think government is also working hard on providing the vaccination to most of the people. And every company is also taking care of their all staff strength, manpower people. So that is benefiting the company. And the corona cases will be reduced. Total debt in this Q1 is reduced by INR 22 crores from the year ended finance year 2021. These efforts will continue. The total CapEx incurred during the Q1 FY '22 was INR 30 crores, which includes INR 14 crores towards the capacity expansion, retaining automatation for established product, INR 16 crores towards value-added product. As value-added product always we mentioned, is the IVC, CNG Cylinder, LPG Cylinder and MOX film. This 3 are the product considered under the value-added product where company is more focusing and increasing the revenue. We all are witness, and we all are -- I would like to again update value-added product where the company has an EBITDA level in the range of 18% to 22%. The established products where the EBITDA margin is in the range of 12% to 14%. The company is more focusing on the value-added product, even though established product will also grow as the industry will grow. Now I would like to open the floor to the answer necessary questions. And thank you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We have the first question from the line of Kajol Jain, who is an individual investor. Ms. Kajol Jain, please go ahead with the question.
Bharat Vageria
executiveI think you can take the next one.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Ms. Kajol Jain, please go ahead with the question.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAm I audible?
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes, yes.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. First I'd like to congratulate Mr. Bharatji for such fantastic results. Yes. My question is on the lines of CNG cascade. So my query is that so as we can see that many electric buses are now on the road and government is pushing the electric vehicle buses project. So how -- do we see it as a threat for our CNG cascade in anyway? Or what would be your view going next 3 to 5 years?
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes, yes. I just -- last conference call, it was in the end of the May. When we have stayed in the month of May only we got the approval for onboard application for CNG cylinder, Type IV, right?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes.
Bharat Vageria
executiveRecently, my marketing team has started talking to the OEM people. Now we are in the process of talking with some of the OEM directly because every -- we have a standard 2 cylinders, 60 liters and 156 liters. Okay. So I think that definitely market is there. And in our analyst meet also we have mentioned projections, in fact, how many business can be come on account of this onboard application, which we are expecting by 2024, the 210,000 buses we are expecting a total number of the buses by road. Out of that, we are expecting conversion in CNG around 85,000 buses. And number of the cylinders per bus required is 8 number. So total number of cylinder we are expecting around 6,80,000 cylinders. And this market -- potential market in the 3 years can be INR 5,000 crores. It's a total estimated business can be of the cylinder business as far as onboard is concerned. Now I will give this to Mr. Raghupathy Thyagarajan, my colleague, Director, who will give more details about the CNG cylinder.
Raghupathy Thyagarajan
executiveKajol, very specifically replying to your question as to whether the CNG growth will be affected by the potential that is coming from the electric buses, I must tell you that as far as CNG is concerned, the government has rolled out a very ambitious plan to ensure that the CNG availability is improved. So far, the availability of CNG has been focused mainly in the Northern NCR region, I would say, and probably some parts of Gujrat and Maharashtra. That is where you will see the -- most of the CNG growth has really taken place. Now as per the last geographical areas that have been allotted by the government under the offices of PNGRB, they have given an ambitious plan to a lot of companies who have -- to whom the geographical areas have been allotted. They have said that the current availability of CNG which is covering about -- almost about 15% of the country or region will have to be increased to almost about 80% of the country. They have allotted -- they have made an ambitious plan that the number of CNG stations has to go up from maybe 1,500 to 2,000 currently to almost about 10,000 CNG stations over the period of 8 to 12 years. So the availability of CNG improving, this is likely to definitely grow. There is no doubt about it. At the same time, there is a valid question as to -- I mean, CNG growth is also taking place primarily because of 2 reasons: a, it is a clean gas. So you have lesser pollution, number one. And number two, it does not really hit the -- make a deep hole in the pocket of the consumer because as on today, with the price of the petrol and diesel that is going on, when you use CNG, you're actually reducing your operating costs by almost about half. So there is a good potential for CNG as we go forward. But as far as the electric bus are concerned, there is a lot of infrastructure issues that are yet to be addressed both by the government and the industry. The biggest supply chain issue will be coming with regard to the battery, which is very difficult. The technology is not yet established. Most of the lithium ion batteries are available mostly out of China. There are no other dependable sources that are available worldwide. So that is a very big question mark, plus the fact that the infrastructure has to be providing for a large amount of charging stations and the charging time that will be involved that also has to go down. So as for the experts that are there, they would say that electric industry -- electric buses industry or vehicle industry will be known little more evident in the next 7 to 10 years without -- before which it's very difficult to take a call on the electric vehicle industry.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay, sir. Got it. Sir, just a follow-up question. Do we have any -- will we incur like any CapEx expenditure towards this?
Bharat Vageria
executiveCapEx for?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeWill we incur any CapEx expenditure for this CNG next year?
Bharat Vageria
executiveOf course. In fact, we had initially last conference also we had told, CNG expansion we have taken because the new product we have taken under consideration in this last 6 months only because CNG, as we have mentioned, we have initially done the CapEx of around INR 25 crores to INR 30 crores. Out of that, we can generate revenue of INR 55 crores to INR 60 crores, for which we have already got the orders for this year. Now the further orders are ongoing because CNG and LPG both are the different cylinders, size of them also different. So as far as CNG is concerned, first, we are tying up, and we are negotiating with some of the other CNG applications also. So expenditure this year, we will do when the order booking will be more. And as per the market need, we will do the CapEx. So -- but normally, as we have mentioned, the normal CapEx is in the range of INR 75 crores to INR 80 crores from my existing business and additional CapEx whatever will be there for the value-added products, which includes the IBC and the mainly for the CNG because LPG already we have a capacity, and we are first utilizing our existing capacity.
Operator
operatorMr. Sanjay Jain, please go ahead with your question.
Unknown Analyst
analystHello. Can you hear me?
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes, Sanjay.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. Yes. Sir, I wanted to understand about this LPG cylinders, that 30,000 cylinders that you got order. So what is the progress on this? And what is the scalability? What is the response from the market or what stage it has reached? And which shipping unit it is been on?
Bharat Vageria
executiveI -- if you've gone through my press release, we have very clearly written update on the back to the order first time because the long back, we have supplied 40,000 cylinders. Now after that, we have taken the initiative, we have given the presentation to the government that nearby countries are using our cylinders and why this Indian government is not using. We have given our presentation to the central government also. But out of that, currently, the orders, which is under process, and it is already supply has started to the orders which we have got it from the government companies. And we are expecting, after going this cylinder -- and another thing, steel prices cylinder has also gone up substantially. So that will be more competitive advantage for government to use the composite cylinder and additional advantage of the life sale. And additional features is available in the composite cylinder.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, my question is that this 30,000 cylinder order, we just got it, so we've not yet delivered it, right?
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo, no. Started delivering. Started delivering. You will come to know.
Unknown Executive
executiveAnd has the government -- I mean, are these cylinders out in the market?
Bharat Vageria
executiveSir, it is going to take some time because it just orders received, I think press release given on the August 4 only, after on -- 1 day before only I received the order. So after that order, we need to prepare as per their specification. As per there want, we have to supply them, then it will go for the testing of the PESO approval and their nominated agency will test it, and it will go to the filling station. And if -- I think in market, these cylinders should come out in the next quarter in the public place. There as some distribution time take place between the company.
Unknown Analyst
analystI see. Is there any -- somebody else also supplying such cylinders because I remember having seen some tweets by Indian Oil Company which say that it is ready available in the market.
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo. I think you are talking about the one -- another private gas distribution company, who is selling the cylinder filled with the gas, that is called GoGas company. You are talking about that company?
Unknown Analyst
analystPerhaps, yes.
Bharat Vageria
executiveI think I've also seen on the media on Aaj Tak something media channel, I have seen GoGas. And GoGas is also buying from us. It's also -- GoGas is the Confidential -- have you heard the name of the company called Confidence Petroleum?
Unknown Analyst
analystNo, I have very little knowledge here.
Bharat Vageria
executiveOkay. Fine. I think I'll tell you the Confidence Petroleum is a metal cylinder manufacturer. And at the same time, they are providing services of the gas filling station to the government companies, OMC, he provide the gas filling. And they have started their separate company called Confidence Petroleum and Futuristic Limited where they have launched their own gas distribution scheme in the metal as well as composite cylinder. And we have a signed cooperation agreement with the -- this GoGas, who are the -- we are also given a preferential for supply of the composite cylinder to GoGas. And they have launched in India, many places, they are in the process of recruiting their own distributors for this GoGas composite cylinder. So GoGas right, company.
Unknown Analyst
analystMy question -- yes. Okay. Yes, good information. The point is that if you are already supplying to GoGas and GoGas is already commercializing these products then what are we doing with OMC? Like already that...
Bharat Vageria
executiveIt is very large because always -- it's the largest OMC gas and these are the private gas distribution company. Government supply is always in terms of the present also population of cylinder of the government companies is very, very high.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So basically, it means that the product is already accepted by the regulator and established in the market. Now you're just going to get a...
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes, there is a -- there is a going of only circulation point of view because the product is approved by the government-nominated agency called PESO. It is caution of just buying and launching in the market. It hasn't started.
Unknown Analyst
analystRight. And any market feedback you got from the experience of GoGas? How are customers receiving it in terms of the additional payment they have to pay to get this cylinder instead of sealed cylinder. Any feedback on that?
Bharat Vageria
executiveMy director Mr. Raghupathy will explain you about this -- GoGas about and this distribution channel.
Raghupathy Thyagarajan
executiveAs far as the composite cylinders are concerned, the biggest advantage that they offer to the consumer on a day-to-day basis is that it is extremely light in weight, and you can view the level of the gas inside. People who have received this composite cylinders have been finding it extremely wonderful. It's a next-generation kind of packaging for LPG. And it has received very well -- very good response. Of course, in the realm of use of these cylinders is with the public sector units like IOCL, HPCL, et cetera. To a large extent, that was also limited to the fact that any government company would go in for such a purchase only when the price savings are there. We, in the meantime, continue to market these composite cylinders. We supply to almost about 40-odd countries globally where these composite cylinders are -- where the LPG is marketed privately. In India of late, there is a tremendous amount of -- interest that gets generated back to LPG and composite basically because of 2 reasons, a, the differential pricing between composites and steel has come down substantially as Mr. Bharat Vageria told. And secondly, overall, availability of steel cylinder continues to be a problem with the availability of steel being a very big situation challenge as on date. So those kinds of interests are kind of pushing the interest towards composite. And consumer reaction is already validated that they -- they have found that wherever the composite cylinders have been introduced, their market share have always gone up as compared to the companies who have not adopted composites.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Nilesh Shah from Arrow Investments.
Nilesh Shah
analystThis is Nilesh here. [Foreign Language] I just wanted to know where is Mr. Anil Jain? I think he was not at the analyst conference. I hope everything is well with him and all is fine and...
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo, no, no, all is fine. In fact, all is fine. He had gone with some customer meeting because some urgency was there in reference to the CNG impact discussion. Some...
Nilesh Shah
analystBecause he was missing at the analyst meet as well and he's not in...
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo, no, [Foreign Language] but suddenly that meeting was fixed up because today was the finalization of that deal. I cannot disclose the name of the company, but because of this thing. But definitely, he's there. He's fine. Well everything. Therefore, Raghupathy is here to explain whatever is need reference to CNG, LPG or any other products on the market.
Nilesh Shah
analyst[Foreign Language] This is the only question I had and are there...
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo, nothing. Nothing. No, everything is fine. Don't worry. All our safe. Everybody is safe in the company. And all the people are here to tell you, each and every person in the company, we have provided the vaccination to people. Most of the people have taken two vaccinations. Some, including the worker I'm telling, first vaccination has been given. Second has the -- time gap is there for the 84 days. We are going to arrange for all the worker because if worker and people are safe, then company is safe.
Operator
operatorWe have the next question from the line of Gayatri, who's an Individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeCongratulations for the good results. Sir, I would like to ask, since the Board has recommended an increase in the share capital from INR 32.5 crores to INR 52.5 crores. How will you ensure that the share value of the present shareholders will not go very low, sir?
Bharat Vageria
executiveI tell you because this question after going this published result, many people have asked me. One thing I tell you, nothing on the table, nothing on the agenda. It is just some of the Board members and this thing have told to the members. One of my subsidiary company, you must have seen in the result, TPL Plastech who were -- some bonus is there, and that is announced because the liquidity is -- was very, very poor in that company. INR 10 shares and liquidity, hardly the share capital was 78 lakh shares. And out of that, 75% owned by the promoters, 3% owned by the government -- transferred to the government and 5% is still in physical. So liquidity was not there. And that company has completed almost 28 years and they have announced the bonus. So now, and this meeting only told because I have received -- the question you are asking, I have received this call in the last 3 days. Is there anything company want to place the shares? Is there any plan for the right issue? I'm clarifying you, nothing is on the table. It is just approval in the AGM because AGM once in a year, so it is just keeping in mind in the future of the company. If any time Board decide, whatever way of this, but nothing is on the table as on today.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Hitesh from ICICI Securities.
Hitesh Taunk
analystSir, my question -- I have 3 questions. First is, how has been the demand scenario post ease of the lockdown situation starting from the July? So we got the number of Q1, but if you could throw some light scenario, which is building up for the upcoming quarters? This is my first question. And sir, my second question is -- pertains to the PE pipe segment. That segment has remained a bit laggard as far as the overall segment is concerned. So if you could throw some light on that segment also because your order book, I think it's INR 210 crores as of now. So please, this is a 2 question from my end. I'll come -- I have more questions to ask. I'll come in the queue.
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes. Thank you, Hitesh. One thing first, you asked about the Q1, as you have seen from -- compared to previous year, growth is there. Q2, I tell you, as the Q1 of this FY '22 is affected, which is affected because of COVID second wave. After that we have also seen some demand is increasing. Chemical industry is growing. Export -- it is evident from the export data also that India exports increased almost. In July also, it has increased by 50%. So export of the chemical and specialty chemical is increasing, and that is evident from the growth in the chemical business also. Because whatever previous year already, you have seen some value was up and everything have been normalized now. So this year, as the business as far as packaging is concerned, as the chemical industry will grow, this business definitely growing packaging segment which is almost 70% of my total revenue. Now you asked about the PE pipe business? Yes, I agree. Always we have seen the PE pipe business normally take place in the second half of the year because during this first April, May, June, always business is good. But as far as this quarter is concerned, business in the range of -- how much we did? Around INR 31 crores?
Raghupathy Thyagarajan
executiveINR 32 crores.
Bharat Vageria
executiveINR 32 crores we did, but we are quite hopeful. We've been able to get our targeted revenue of this current year, which we have projected around INR 250 crores to INR 275 crores, which I've been assured by marketing team, they are going to achieve it because the government has also given guidelines to each of these states. Infrastructure activity, they are not going to compromise. But measure this is the time when the people analyze orders, give the tenders, this is the time. And education will take place in Q3 and Q4.
Raghupathy Thyagarajan
executiveAs the monsoon goes away.
Bharat Vageria
executiveAs the monsoon goes away because everybody is aware, the monsoon very difficult to dug the ground and they cannot lay the pipe.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. Sir, continuing with the same question. I just want to know if you could throw some light on the segment -- across the segment performance. We have MOX films also where the demand scenario was a tepid as well as we have a composite cylinder. How has the growth on that segment also...
Bharat Vageria
executiveI tell you, compared to previous year, same quarter, if you will see the packaging item, excluding the IBC, all other means packaging products, excluding the IBC, we have seen the growth in FY '22 compared to this around the 59% we have seen. PE pipe business, the last year corona was very, very active and even working was also very difficult. Last year, Q1, we had INR 17 crores as against this time, we do INR 32 crores so 90% growth. Value-added products, especially in IBC, we have achieved a growth of 64%, composite cylinder, 62%, MOX films 15% because this year also COVID second wave has affected business as far as MOX films are concerned. Overall growth is 58% in terms of the volume and this revenue.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. So -- and overall, if I want to understand what is the current utilization level, which is in June -- sorry, July and August vis-a-vis Q1 FY '22. Ballpark figure or average number, if you could talk?
Bharat Vageria
executiveSo as far as -- I can tell you the statement given that we don't provide the guidance part of it. I can tell you as far as compared to Q1 FY '22, definitely, there will be the percentage of increase of around 10%. I'm expecting in this quarter further, 10% to 15% of utilization only.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. Okay. So that much of improvement in the utilization level?
Bharat Vageria
executiveUnderstand.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. Okay. And sir, what was the -- how much revenue we have booked in new CNG cascade type cost in this year -- in this quarter, Q1 FY '22?
Bharat Vageria
executiveI tell you because CNG bookings, the first time we have started very well, and this is the first year where we have supplied this CNG cylinder for cascade and onboard applications, okay? Two was, it was very, very negligible because only the cylinder we have supplied. But as far as Q2, Q3, Q4 are concerned, order booking is concerned, we have already updated press release that we have an order book of around INR 84 crores in terms of the value. Okay. So another is under discussion is on with some of the tender for 200 around cascade. In terms of the value, I can say INR 150 crores in terms of the value we've worked out. So many parties are there where our discussion is on. But one thing I'm glad to tell you, wherever we have supplied in this Q2, some cascade we have supplied in June, some cascade we have supplied in July, and still it is ongoing, but the response is coming very good, overwhelming response we are getting and people are quite satisfied in the quality and the product which we are supplying to them. First thing I mentioned in the beginning itself, my existing investment in CNG cylinders, which we have beat the CapEx point of view, INR 25 crores to INR 30 crores. Our original estimate of the business was INR 55 crores to INR 60 crores in this year. But we are sure at the end of the year, definitely, this number is going to be increased based on the response which we are getting it.
Hitesh Taunk
analystGreat. And sir, what about the LPG cylinder which we have received for trial purpose? This is a kind of 30,000. And how much for the year are you expecting?
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes, yes. No, no. It is -- I tell you, the cylinder which is to be supplied on a -- I think, ASAP, okay, so it means the 30,000 cylinders we will supply in this quarter only. And we are expecting further after going this use of this cylinder they are definitely because of the initial -- and as we have mentioned, is the backflow of the old pending matters, or old pending decision, which was spending with the government to OEMs. Definitely, I can -- we can estimate from the good quantity and good volume from the OEM.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Sanjay Jain, individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeCan you hear me now?
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes, Yes.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. Just a technical question. You said -- claimed that this composite cylinder doesn't explode whereas the steel cylinder explode. I try to search the reason, but I couldn't -- so could you help me understand what is the technical reason why this...
Bharat Vageria
executiveYes. Yes. Yes. My another colleague Director will explain to you the explosion -- on how it is explosion-proof.
Raghupathy Thyagarajan
executiveBasically, the steel cylinder -- the LPG has an operating pressure of almost about 20 bar, whether it is used in composite cylinder, or for that matter, steel cylinder. And as per the PESO rules, they have a bus pressure of about 70 bar or so. Steel when it is used, you normally use a thick gauge of steel to make a steel cylinder with the weight of limitations, et cetera. There is a certain limitation in terms of what is the thickness of the steel that you can use it for a 70 bar. Whenever there's a heat that gets generated in the event of a fire, the pressure inside these cylinders start developing very, very rapidly. As LPG would say, it is a liquefied petroleum gas because it is in liquid state. It stays in that stage. But the moment that the heat, the liquid starts evaporating and there is a huge pressure that gets developed inside. And in that case, what happens is that these steel cylinders are unable to hold back the pressure, so it kind of burst out. And so whenever there's a bursting of the steel cylinder, it explodes and you have the shrapnel and everything flying away and there is literally a bomb kind of an effect that takes place. When it comes to composite cylinder, in terms of the structure, you have a PE liner inside, which is gas tight. And then you -- it is bound by glass fiber. In the event of any such eventuality where there is an increase in the temperature of the gas inside, and it has become liquid because of the heat and the fire outside, the PE liner is the first one, which will get melted over a period of time. So in that case, what happens is the LPG gas kinds of permeates through the fiber. The fibers are so strong, even in the event of the full thrust of the heat, the fiber does not get burned. It remains intact and it has the necessary strength to hold back. So fiber because it does not get burst and the inner liner kinds of melts away, you have gas which permeates and it oozes out like you have a small bonfire at the corner of the house. That does not take any explosion, so there are no any collateral damages that takes place. So this is in short how the technical comparison takes place in the event whenever there is a pressure buildup of LPG in a cylinder.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Hemal S, who's an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeI have a few questions. One is in your EBITDA margins for the remaining part of the year, we used to clock around close to 15% several years, a couple of years back. Do you expect now, given the view that you have towards COVID, the reality of vaccination and everything that we see, do you believe your margins will improve going forward in the next couple of quarters? Or do you have any guidance for this year in terms of EBITDA margin?
Bharat Vageria
executiveI tell you, in fact -- had you attended the last time conference call?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeNo, I may have missed it.
Bharat Vageria
executiveOkay. In fact, I told you that except this 2021, there is a -- COVID was affected very much. We are back to our normal period of 2019, '20, where we had achieved our EBITDA in the range of 14%, and the turnover was in the range of around INR 3,600 crores. So initially, when we have taken our guidance that we have taken this year, we will be back to the revenue of our 2019, '20. And definitely, as far as EBITDA part is concerned, at least, we are expecting the range of anything between 14% to 14.5%, definitely. We internally keeping our guidelines. And because of the -- this will 2 ways, as the business will grow. And another thing as the value-added product itself is also will be going to be increased, so this too will contribute and EBITDA will be in the range of, as I mentioned to you, between 14% to 14.5%.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeExcellent, sir. Sir, one more question I had was, I may have missed it, I joined the call a little later. What is our net debt as of this quarter? And what is it expected to be at end of the financial year?
Bharat Vageria
executiveReduced -- as far in the beginning of the year, it was -- beginning of this year, around INR 800 crores was there. And definitely, as we have projected INR 20 crores reduced this thing. And we have -- I tell you, we have kept ourselves in that 3 or 4, I can say guidelines, okay? We would like to have our ROC more than 19% in the next 3 years' time. Our debt will not be more than 2x of the EBITDA. This is our internal guidelines, we have kept in that. Another thing, you are not attend last call, but we have kept another INR 60 crores asset which we have identified, not for usable from our existing businesses, which we have identified for sell as an opportunity arise, and we get our value and that will also be utilized for the business purpose, okay? So definitely, we are on that line. If possible, wherever to the extent possible, we will reduce the debt where debt cost also, we have mentioned many times, it is in the range of around 9% to 9.25%, you have a debt cost. And our focus is improving the ROC by proper use of the debt wherever there, and increase the sale of value-added product. That's our main objective.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeJust one final question from my side. I mean you have done some exceptional stock on the CNG side from last year in terms of innovation. And no doubt, the approvals you've got and the orders that you have been receiving in that area. My only question of submission is when you create -- you are using the right way, I guess, you're doing the CapEx as you find more opportunities in that space, and you're burning it. But if I take it like 1 year or 2 years down the line, and I'm also assuming the payback period is very good in terms of these CNG composites or CNG cylinders, what is your outlook in -- because the opportunity of giving -- once I had seen was close to like the whole market size being in INR 8,000 crores, INR 9,000 crores, INR 10,000 crores, and then you have split out the different opportunities in terms of CNG of different functional area basis, whether it's the bus, whether it's the cars or the autos, different areas that you have speeded up nicely. My only question -- how much CapEx would you envision? And how much market share do you believe, given that you are one of the only approved player in this space or in the worldwide maybe top 3 or top 2? How much size do you believe in the next year, given the marketing that you're doing, do you expect the turnover to be your -- CapEx spend to be to achieve that turnover in the next 1 or 2 years? Not this year, maybe next 1 or 2 years?
Bharat Vageria
executiveSo I got your point. I think if you would have attended my analyst meet, which was in June, I explained the entire guidelines there and that presentation is also available whereas we have given a INR 5,000 crore company by 2025. There, I have mentioned my road map also for the next 3 years' time. And there I mentioned very clearly, my profit after tax by '25 will be INR 1,235 crores, increase in debt negligible. Nothing will be there. Source of the funds, increase in net fixed assets by INR 105 million. Then increase in net current assets INR 230 crores, repayment of the debt INR 195 crores, application of funds, INR 530 crores, surplus for dividend payout, shares buyback, development of the new products, reduction of the debt is INR 705 crores would be available by end 2025.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. And in this projection, you will see the growth from '22, '23 onwards or mainly towards more towards '24, '25?
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo, it doesn't because once we are out from this corona period, and we are going back to our track of '19, '20, from INR 3,500 crores of this '22 to INR 5,000 crores, the INR 1,800 crores revenue increase in the next 3 years' time, '23, '24, '25.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeFantastic. And I appreciate this. This is very clear to me. And I will look at that presentation you have published.
Bharat Vageria
executiveIf you have any query at any time, you can call to my relationship manager, Mr. Digvijay. His number is provided. An entire detailed presentation in analyst meet on this -- on June 21, it is available.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeExcellent. I will definitely look at it.
Bharat Vageria
executiveYou can see the 3 guidelines here. And there we have mentioned about CNG in detail, how -- what's the CNG market and what the CNG market all over in the next 4 years' time? What we can capture it? How much business we can capture from the CNG? And that is -- again, that is not included in my revenue. CapEx is also not given in this revenue.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Hitesh from ICICI Securities.
Hitesh Taunk
analystSir, my question -- you talked about the margin, I just wanted to know how the prices of raw material moving around for us like, for SGP price? If you can throw some light on the raw material price movement which has happened post Q1 FY '22? And are we able to pass on all hikes or say, if it is increased?
Bharat Vageria
executiveOf course, it's a good question. One thing you know, my 92% business is B2B with the OEM directly business. And always, we -- you have seen my EBITDA level also except this corona period, in the range of 13% to 14.5%. And that is possible when we have a understanding with OEM, if price decrease is there, we pass on to them. Price increase is there, we pass on to them. Especially, you have asked me about the PE pipe business. Pipe business is, again, is a tender-based business, but whenever we take the tenders, we always keep the contingency in hand. And the polymer prices are concerned, you know that you have the exceptional period in the -- period I can say December to March '21, afterwards, price now streamline and normalize. And we are expecting as the new capacities are coming because there is too much disturbance in the month of December till March in U.S., there was some -- earthquake was there, there was some decreasing was there, some plant was under shutdown. But as I heard, India is also capacity is increasing. New plants are coming up of HEML, expansion of Reliance is also there. Some expansion of GAIL is also there. Nearby expansion is ongoing. Supply from the U.S. is going to be normalized. Currently, major problem in India import and export and the prices of the polymer had increased because of shortage of containers. But I heard companies who are manufacturing containers are increasing their capacity, increasing their capacity of manufacturing containers. The availability of container will improve, then definitely prices of -- the shipping rate will go down. And the prices will normalize because we have to see the overall 12-month average price. We don't expect any much price increase as far as polymer part is concerned. And one thing is very clear, the steel prices are also going not to be down because iron ore prices, other prices have increased. Use of the steel has also increased . And definitely, we are very clear. If the polymer prices are -- steel prices and polymer prices 2.2x. If the polymer, steel prices are in the range of $800, polymer prices up to $1,500, it is at par, I can say. But polymer prices currently, I can say, in the range of $1,150 to $1,200, it is quite competitive, and that will give the more competitive advantage to convert metal products to the polymer products or composite products.
Hitesh Taunk
analystSir, I just wanted to know if suppose the prices of the polymers are in the peak and the same is with the metal cylinder. So do we see kind of delay in ordering in a Type IV CNG boarding cylinder, or say -- or customers are -- will be waiting and seeing the prices going to decline going forward, and then we'll put the order? I mean I just wanted to know whether such a steep price hike make our customers to delay in some orders -- placing in orders?
Bharat Vageria
executiveNo, no, no. As you know, it's the first time in India Type IV composite cylinder approval, we got it, okay? So there is no question of any price or something. I tell you -- I'll just give you the one simple example of using the Bisleri water versus the normal water, okay? You know that how Bisleri water has become huge in spite of what was the earlier price? What is the price today? People have used on account of the health advantage, everything, so Bisleri water has huge increase. So CNG cylinder has a revenue benefit, 50% cost having a recurring cost. They don't see the capital cost investment onetime. They need to do the onetime capital cost because the recurring cost is more. They will reduce the 50% their recurring cost. There is no question. Only if any new company want to buy the composite cylinder, they will go slowly, slowly increase. If we need 100 CNG cascade, he will buy maybe 50 steel, may buy 50 composite. And they will -- he will make a composite for at least the next 6 months, then he will come back again. This is a question of usability.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. And sir, my next question portends to...
Bharat Vageria
executiveSo when you are talking about this, 25 years back, the India use of the plastic drum was negligible. Everything was under steel. Now in 25 years, we have seen 60% product converting from metal drum to plastic drum, in 25 years because of the advantage of the using the plastic room, lightweight, no rust, no pelt building up, like that. Easy handling.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. Sir, could you give some guidance on the CapEx front, sir? What is the CapEx front for FY '22 for the rest of the year?
Bharat Vageria
executiveIn fact, you have seen in the first -- this thing, INR 29 crores is there, that is including value-added product or something. As I mentioned, in the normal period, CapEx required for the maintenance CapEx and some kind of the automation reengineering INR 70 crores to INR 75 crores for that and balance for the value added. But I think apart from CNG, CNG we have not yet quantified the amount of the expenses, but very -- looking to the current position, which is ongoing, we can estimate anything between INR 125 crores to INR 140 crores, we can take under our estimation in the present circumstances.
Hitesh Taunk
analystOkay. And about that debt reduction plan, sir?
Bharat Vageria
executiveIt is there, of course. As I told you, the business -- definitely business is growing, earning is there. So definitely, we've been going to reduce the gap also as the -- time to time.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] As there are no further questions from the participants, I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Hitesh for his closing comments.
Hitesh Taunk
analystThank you. Sir, I would like to ask Mr. Bharat for the closing comments. Sir, can you please...
Bharat Vageria
executiveThank you very much for taking your time out of -- I can understand your busy schedule, to understand the company's Q1 results. Definitely see you again with a good report and good performance in the period ahead. Thank you to all. Stay safe. Yes. Thank you.
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