Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
June 5, 2024
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Robert Oliver
analystThanks. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining us for day 2 of Baird's Global Consumer Technology and Services Conference. I'm Rob Oliver. I follow the SaaS and application software sector here at Baird. And it's my pleasure to have Brian Miller, the Chief Financial Officer from Tyler Technologies. Tyler is one of the most exciting companies we follow, a mid-cap top pick, a really durable growth story. Brian is going to start with a few slides, just very quickly to level set in case there are those who are new to the story, and then we'll dive in with some questions. We can make it interactive, so please don't hesitate to hit me with questions, and we'll try to squeeze in as much as we can. There will also be a breakout afterwards. So good morning, Brian. Thanks again. Good to see you.
Brian Miller
executiveGood morning, Rob. Great. Thanks for having us. I'm just going to run through just a couple of set up slides just, again, for those people who maybe aren't as familiar with Tyler. So we're an enterprise software company focused on the public sector vertical market. We work exclusively in the public sector, but we're very broad in the public sector in terms of the levels of government we serve, primarily local, but we have a presence in the state and federal spaces as well and the breadth of products that we have. We provide a wide range of mission-critical software products that power the back-office functions of government and also have a significant transaction-based business on top of those software products. We're a growth story, a long-term growth story. Our market, as you can imagine, is not the fastest-moving market in the world, but a very consistent and stable market. So we have an ongoing shift towards SaaS and growing our recurring revenues. So our recurring revenues have had a 22% CAGR since 2018, and our SaaS revenue growth is in the 20s since 2019. And we still have a relatively small market share. We're the leader in this space, but still have a tremendous amount of runway. The market is very, very fragmented, and we continue with high win rates to gain market share as new deals come along. We are the largest company providing -- exclusively providing software to the public sector. We're now about 83% recurring revenues, a strong generator of free cash flow and very, very sticky customers, 98% gross retention over a very long period of time. And you can see here across the bottom, sort of a summary of the products we have from Public; Admin; ERP; Courts & Justice; Public Safety; Platform Technologies, which includes our payments business; Tax and Appraisal; Specific Services; and K-12 Schools. So a wide range of areas of government that we have software to address. So really, we've been in the software space since 1998. I joined the company in 1997, just as we were entering this space. So really, for the first almost 20 years, we were building that base, both through organic growth and acquisitions, adding products, adding customer base. And then 2018 through '22, '22 is really as we started to make the transition to the cloud and really a greater focus on integrating our products and creating more of an integrated solution set and talking about the Connected Communities vision we have for governments being able to share data, work better within a given jurisdiction or across jurisdictions. And now since last year, we really reached an inflection point in our cloud transition. First time that our cloud revenues are now greater than our on-prem revenues. And we also reached the trough in the margins around that cloud transition. So now we're really at a point where growth is accelerating, margins are improving and it's sort of the next stage of our growth. We had an Investor Day last June and set out midterm and long-term targets. Really, our goals are around driving that recurring revenue growth, improving our margins and driving higher free cash flow. There's 4 basic pillars to that growth, leveraging our installed base. So we have this tremendous installed base that's taken decades to acquire. It's a big cross-sell and upsell opportunities there, and we'll continue to grow that through M&A, expanding our TAM, particularly in building our presence in the state and federal markets, and again, both organic and using M&A to do that. Our cloud transition, there's a number of aspects around that, that we'll talk about, I'm sure, but driving higher free cash flow and recurring revenue growth as we continue to execute on that cloud transition. And then growing our transactions business. We really expanded our presence in the payment space through the acquisition of NIC in 2021 and are in the -- still in the early stages of driving that payments business down into our software customer base. Our goals for 2030 that we set out: recurring revenue growth of 10% to 12% between now and 2030. Total revenues approaching $4 billion, and these are all organic targets without M&A. And recurring revenue growing to more than 90% of our total. Margin expansion, we were at 23% operating margin in 2023, and our target is for that to exceed 30% by 2030. And free cash flow. There have been some impacts around cash taxes that are affecting us in the short term. But right now, our margin is in the high-teens, and we're looking for that to be in the high 20s and to generate more than $1 billion in free cash flow by 2030. So that's my setup, and we can move on.
Robert Oliver
analystGreat. Yes. No, exciting, appreciate that. So Brian, you guys were coming off of a very strong Q1 and took up the guide a little bit. And sort of uncharacteristic of you guys to kind of raise this early in the year. So maybe talk a little bit about what you're seeing in your end market right now? What the conditions are at local municipal government and what gave you the confidence to put a slightly higher number out there?
Brian Miller
executiveYes, we did outperform, I think, both The Street expectations and our internal expectations by a fairly wide margin in the first quarter and did raise our outlook for the full year based on that. In general, the backdrop is really good in our space. We've talked about really, for several quarters now, being a very, very active market, leading indicators like the number of RFPs we're responding to, the number of demos we're doing are certainly well -- have come back to pre-COVID levels in most cases are well exceeding those. So really pretty close to all-time highs in terms of activity. The budget backdrops are, they vary from place to place and different levels of government, but generally, it's a pretty strong budget backdrop. Local governments often are funded. Property taxes are a significant part of local government funding and property taxes aren't under a lot of pressure right now, property values remain pretty high. Just the broader revenue sources, things like licensing and permitting and sales taxes, I mean, just most of their revenue sources are pretty strong. So we're seeing a lot of activity in the market. There's also a big push for digital modernization and they have the funds to do that. And then it's also supported by the ARPA funds, the stimulus funds from post COVID. They've got until the end of 2026 to spend those funds. A lot of those have been allocated internally, but haven't yet been spent. So that's at least somewhat of a tailwind that we think will continue through the next couple of years to kind of give them confidence in their budgets. Budgets, a lot of governments have June year-end. So new budgets will go into place July 1st and the indications we generally see are that those budgets are very similar to last year. So it appears to be continuing to be a strong active market for us.
Robert Oliver
analystYou mentioned the push for digital modernization among your customers. It's a different journey, if you will, then with for-profit companies and enterprises, very different and perhaps longer and you've got to be more patient. But talk about where we are right now in that drive to modernization. I mean, I've followed you guys a long time, it does seem like while there's still people who are over-my-dead-body cloud, there's many more that are willing to step up and kind of embrace future technology. So where are we at this moment?
Brian Miller
executiveYes. In government, not surprisingly, generally lags behind the public sector in terms of adopting technology change in general, governments obviously are not profit motivated, they're not ROI driven, they don't have competition. So those things that often motivate private sector enterprises to be more innovative or -- and often use technology to do that, don't really apply to government. In general, governments do want to provide better service to the citizens. There's certainly a demand -- or a desire on the part of citizens to have government provide better service. People want a more consumer-like experience when they work with government, and that's often not the case. So governments often use software solutions for a lot longer than you'd see in the private sector. So often, we're replacing a system that isn't a few years old, that's often decades old. So probably the average system we replace is 20 years or more, and it's not uncommon that we see systems that are 30 and 40 years old. So that's kind of the core demand. The basic this system is about to die and I have to replace it and that's kind of the normal driver. But I think we are seeing more and more of a push, especially post COVID, where people have to do more things online, want to do more things online and the existing systems don't necessarily support that. Governments trying to support remote work, that wasn't something that most governments were very good at adopting or adapting to. So a lot of those things are driving a little bit faster pace of adoption of new technology. Governments, in general, are facing a shortage of workers, lost a lot of workers during COVID and really have struggled to rebuild their workforces. So they have to do all these functions. They have to bill utilities and run a 911 system and run the courts and the jails, but they're trying to do those things with fewer resources, and so technology is one of the ways they look to do that. They've also been slow to embrace the cloud. But we're really seeing that change much more rapidly. And it's taken -- I talked about our cloud transition sort of being a long-term journey for us, but it's really accelerated in the last couple of years, and we see that continuing as governments are now much more open for a variety of reasons to that move to the cloud. Now generally, it's kind of not whether they're going to move to the cloud, but when.
Robert Oliver
analystGot it. Let's take the opportunity now on that to talk about the long-term targets that you set out last year. So 10% to 12% organic revenue growth. You said 75% to 85% of customers would be in the cloud and $1 billion in free cash flow approximately exiting 2030. What did those targets contemplate in terms of macro payments attached, cross-sell?
Brian Miller
executiveYes. I mean, in general, this is the first time we've really kind of set out those long-term targets over that long of a horizon. But generally, they contemplate kind of a normal macro backdrop, nothing spectacular, probably not as strong as we're currently seeing, but kind of a normal backdrop. And we're not immune to broader economic conditions. But we're pretty insulated. I mean most of the things we do are -- the solutions we provide are essential. Generally, when it's time for them to replace a system, it's a nondiscretionary decision because it's an essential system that's at end of life. And now as we're close to 85% recurring revenues, those are very, very stable. So assuming that normal macro backdrop is, I think, reasonable. Payments. We're looking for payments to grow slightly ahead of our overall growth rate. I think we said 10% to 13% CAGR over the next 7 years. I think that's certainly in a place where we have an opportunity to outperform. We're in the early stages of driving that cross-sell. But we talked about the size of the TAM for payments just in our existing customer base, and it's very large. So we're -- I think that's an area where we have an opportunity to outperform. And what was the third...
Robert Oliver
analystPayment, cross-sell.
Brian Miller
executiveCross-sell. Yes. Cross-sell is a big thing. I mean we have this huge customer base, our average customer has 2 to 3 products from us, could have 8 to 10 products from us. It's always been a part of our story, but it's something that, especially since the acquisition of NIC and the payments platform that we have now and some of the other transaction-based revenue streams as well as the opportunity to sell our Tyler software products at the state level through the NIC relationships, it's something that we're, I guess, much more intentional about today, and we've made a number of changes and initiatives within the company to make sure that we're doing everything we need to, to facilitate those cross-sells and seeing some really good early, I guess, I'd call them, early successes, but cross-sell and upsell is certainly a big part of that sustained low double-digit growth, but it's also something we're very confident about.
Robert Oliver
analystOne of the takeaways for me coming out of your event at Indi, which there was no formal update to the financials, but you did have a management lunch, was how each division now is incentivized and working more closely on this cross-sell motion. Let's talk a little bit about that in the context of the model transition. I think investors are used to a normal like sort of typical SaaS transitions that happen. Yours is different. You have a lot of products over 3 different buckets. You've got to get some customers ready for the cloud before they move to the cloud. So maybe talk about some of the ways that your model transition is unique and what you guys are doing now to prepare to hit those targets?
Brian Miller
executiveYes. They're challenges and a lot of opportunities around our cloud transition, and it is a little bit different than probably some that investors have seen. It's been a long time. We started -- we traditionally were an on-premise license and maintenance model and then really almost 20 years ago started offering products either in a subscription, really a hosted model hosted by -- at a Tyler data center or on-prem and let customers decide. And we had a very, very gradual adoption over a number of years. And then 2019 was really kind of the point where we said we are a cloud-first, and we are going to start pushing customers to the cloud and did a number of things around that. We partnered with AWS to be our primary public cloud provider and launched a path to get -- to exit our data centers and move into the public cloud. Made a lot of investments in our products to optimize those to run more efficiently in the cloud, incentivized salespeople to sell cloud over on-prem. And so that transition really accelerated going from 50% of our new business in 2019 being in the cloud to now close to 90% of our new business in the cloud. Along the way, so most of our new business now comes in the cloud, but we've got a huge base of on-prem customers that are still using our solutions on-prem. And at the end of '23, only about 15% of that customer base had migrated to the cloud. So there's a revenue uplift as those customers move to the cloud, margin uplift and opportunity to upsell and sell more products in conjunction with that move to the cloud. But as we drive those customers to the cloud, there are a couple of things. One, what I mentioned earlier, for a while, a lot of customers were reluctant to move and you may be a little fearful of it or just didn't like the change, didn't fully understand what it meant for them. But that's really changed quite a bit in the last couple of years and even at Connect, our user conference a couple of weeks ago, a lot more, I mean, noticeable shift from a year ago in conversations with clients around their openness, not just their openness to moving to the cloud, but their desire to move to the cloud. But as you said, we have a lot of products. Often with a lot of products, we have a lot of versions of products. So we have a version sprawl and that's happened over many years. And so as we move to the cloud, all the customers move generally to 1 version of the software. They're all on the same version. They upgrade at the same time. That certainly helps us from a efficiency standpoint, the cost -- the development costs, the support costs around having multiple versions of multiple products is quite high. So we're in the process. One of the gating items of the move to the cloud for our on-prem customers is they need to upgrade to the current version of the software before they move to the cloud or when they move to the cloud. So we've been sunsetting older versions of products, encouraging clients to upgrade and in some cases, mandating that they upgrade as we sunset some of the older versions. Made a lot of progress with that in the last couple of years. So we're putting more customers in position to be able to move to the cloud along with their desire to move to the cloud increasing. So that provides us -- that's one of those drivers of margin uplift as we get through that version consolidation. But we expect to see that pace of flips continue to increase and -- both in terms of the number of flips and also the size of flips. And I'd say still more of our larger customers are still on-prem. It's a little bit bigger task for them. But -- so we're -- we expect that to accelerate. And as you said, we expect 75% to 85% of that customer base to have migrated by 2030.
Robert Oliver
analystGot it. One of the areas that spend, hasn't been a straight line, but I think it's fair to say now it's been a success story for you guys is public safety. And that caught my attention and indeed, just each time I met you at an event, I see the rise in interest in public safety moving to the cloud more quickly than you guys expected, which is a positive. On the other hand, one of the most competitive spaces you guys are in with a lot of different people going after the dollars within public safety. So talk a little bit about your approach in public safety, what you guys are offering? And is the cloud move a competitive advantage for you guys given the installed base you have with municipal ERP and Courts & Justice and the ability to cross-sell public safety?
Brian Miller
executiveYes. Public safety has been a real bright spot for us in the last year. And public safety from a software perspective for us, it's kind of 2 primary areas, it's computer-aided dispatcher 911 systems and police fire and ambulance records management system. So maintaining all the records, arrest reports and incident reports, all the paperwork that goes with that. And then there are a bunch of ancillary products around that, things like mobile enforcement, so digital traffic tickets using a device instead of carbon paper. So we have -- and then we also have corrections, so we have jail systems. And then we are the -- by far, the dominant provider of court systems. So an adjacent market, different product set, but clearly adjacent. In the public safety, as you said, it's a very -- it's a competitive market. There are a lot of good competitors. Some of the bigger ones are like Motorola Solutions. Axon is sort of dipping into the software side. There's some cloud, I guess, sort of start-up or newer entrants in the space. Intergraph. So there's a wide range of competitors there. We have invested pretty heavily in public safety since, really, we acquired a business in that space in 2015. We have a really well-defined cloud strategy there. And public safety is a market that has been -- of all of our product set, it's been the market that's been slowest to embrace the cloud and really -- for a long time, really resisted it. They really weren't comfortable putting a 911 system in the cloud, and it's just been a lot slower. So when we talk about 90% of our new business coming in the cloud, the biggest part of the 10% that's not in the cloud yet in terms of new customers is public safety. That also has shifted pretty meaningfully in the last -- just really in the last year. We -- I think probably 3 years ago, we had no new customers coming to us in the cloud. Last year, it grew and by the fourth quarter, I think 45% of our new business was cloud. In the first quarter this year, 75% of our new business was cloud. So I think it's a combination of our market being more open to the cloud, seeing some successes with other entities that have been in the cloud and ransomware and cybersecurity is the big driver there, where public safety agencies or their peers have been hit by ransomware attacks and believe that their securities can be more effective if it's -- if the system is hosted in the cloud. So we're seeing a really rapid move there. We're also pushing quite a bit more. And so that combination has accelerated that move, I think because we do have a -- our products are -- we've made a lot of investment in the cloud around our products in the last couple of years to be ready for that change. So competitively, I think we're positioned really well there. And I think the other strength we have is that we have these integrated solutions with courts and public safety. So we have a strong competitive set in public safety, we've got competitors in courts, but we're really the only company of any size that has both of those solution sets. So we can offer 1 integrated solution all the way from a 911 call through an incident, an arrest, a jailing, a trial, all the way through probation with 1 set of solutions. And with a lot of jurisdictions today, that would be 8 or 10 different solutions potentially from different vendors that is difficult to operate.
Robert Oliver
analystGot it. A few years ago, you guys acquired NIC, the only public company you've acquired. You've made many acquisitions over the years. I think it's like a core competency that you guys have. That opened up 2 opportunities for you, 1 in payments and 1 in state government. So I'd like to just touch on each of those. How should we think about the opportunity for Tyler at state? What's the right way to think about it? Historically, haven't thought of you guys selling your software into state governments and yet it seems there is an opportunity to get Tyler product in through some of the master enterprise agreements that exist within NIC.
Brian Miller
executiveYes. NIC was a very complementary acquisition. They operate mostly at the state level. We operated mostly at the local level. We're mostly sort of back-end software. They were mostly front-end digital access to state governments. So they would build the websites, build the portals, provide access to a back-end system like a motor vehicle registration system to renew your license plates or your CPA license or a wide range of government services and often would sort of build custom interfaces and provide that access to government around these back-end systems often which are homegrown legacy systems, but they didn't really build these core systems. Their business is a sort of unique business model and that is totally self-funded. The state typically doesn't write them a check. It's funded by user fees. So if you renew your driver's license, you may pay a $5 service fee that goes to us that funds all these services we provide. And then generally, we're also processing that payment and making money off of that. So very complementary. Tyler has a lot of software products that have applicability at the state level, but we -- typically, we didn't have a sales force focused on that, we didn't have those relationships. So it was a market that we had limited exposure to. And so through these NIC master agreements and these deep relationships they have with 30 states, we have now the ability to drive more cross-selling to be aware of opportunities sooner, to often avoid a competitive process and sell Tyler software into the state governments. And that's something, again, we had a lot of sort of work to do to get that sales motion in place, build those relationships. But now it's really well underway, and we're starting to see some really good successes across a wide range of Tyler products. The cross-sell going the other way is taking the NIC payment platform, which was almost entirely at the state level. NIC processing more than $50 billion a year in payments. So really deep strengths and functionality around their payment platform. So taking that and integrating it with our Tyler software products so that we have an integrated payment solution around things like we provide utility billing systems, traffic ticket systems, licensing and permitting systems, property tax systems, all these things facilitate payments to governments. And now we can be the payment processor by integrating that software or integrating that payments platform with our software, we actually provide more value to the customer. We can automate reconciliation process as we can provide better reporting and analytics. So there's a value over a, say, just a generic horizontal payment processor. We're in the very early stages of that. I'm really seeing that attachment start to grow. I think we did something like 170 new payment deals with Tyler software customers in the fourth quarter. I think it was 280 in the first quarter. That adds -- the first quarter payments deals added -- will add another $9 million of ARR. So we're starting to see that really attach well. So selling it back into our current software customers and selling it with the new software deals. And then there's a whole other side of it around disbursements, which is almost doubles the TAM there that we're really just getting started in as well.
Robert Oliver
analystGreat. Lots of exciting things happening at Tyler. Unfortunately, we're out of time. Please join me in thanking Brian Miller. Brian, appreciate your time today.
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