Agfa-Gevaert NV (AGFB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 9, 2023

Euronext Brussels BE Health Care Health Care Technology earnings 56 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Hello, and welcome to the Agfa Q1 2023 Results Conference Call. Please note, this call is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand you over to Pascal Juery, CEO, to begin today's conference. Please go ahead.

Pascal Juery

executive
#2

Thank you very much, and good morning, everyone. I'm sitting here in Mortsel with the executive committee team and Viviane Dictus, in charge of Investment Relations. So we're going to walk you through the Q1 results for Agfa. Of course, it's a quarter we're also going to explain the treatment of the divestment of offset and its impact on the group. But if I first turn to the business, rather a good start of the year for the group overall. Let me start with HealthCare IT and let me start by reminding everyone that HealthCare IT is a business that is 50% project based that therefore, we have quite some variation in terms of level of activity, mix, and project implementation quarter-by-quarter. So indeed, after a very strong Q for the Q1 activity was, of course, more subdued, but it doesn't mean that there is a change whatsoever in our business. Two things. First, we continue to have a very, very dynamic order intake with 25% increase over the last 12 months. And this order intake has also a good mix, meaning the high-value part of what we do is overrepresented in this growth. So there is nothing broken here. On the contrary, we continue to have momentum in the market. Short term, it's fair to say that, yes, I mean, we're impacted by cost inflation, but also by the mix of projects that we've been implementing in Q1. I'll come back to that in the outlook, but I want to stress again that 50% of this business is a project-based business, and therefore, variation quarter-to-quarter, and especially this year, first semester will be a lot weaker than second semester, which was already, by the way, the pattern last year; kind of. DPC, very pleased with the strong recovery of the business. Basically, firing on all cylinders; price, cost reductions, and as well volume growth in our target in our growth engine and especially ZIRFON and digital printing, I'll come back to that. Radiology Solutions, a rather stable first quarter in radiology. The first quarter is always a weak quarter also on the base of the very strong Q4 quarter in '22. Here, I would say, film volumes are quite okay, and we've seen the film consumption in China going back to normal now for state and staying at the same level. However, we still have margin pressure in China coming from the inability to increase price, specifically in China. They are actually has been delivering quite well for the quarter, positive trends in sales and profitability. So overall, in the new parameter of the group, an EBITDA of EUR 13 million. Net results very much impacted by, of course, the impact of the Offset divestiture will come back to that in more detail. But first, I would like to hand over to Dirk De Man, our CFO, who will walk you through basically with the completion of the sale of Offsets is impacting the group on.

Dirk De Man

executive
#3

Thank you, Pascal, and good morning, everyone. So indeed, we completed the sale successfully on April 4, so the closing of the transaction. Now obviously, that has quite some impact on our reporting. So we are now grouping the activity in a new division called Contractor Operations & Services former Offset, for short, we'll just call it CONOPS as an acronym. And as of Q2, the CONOPS division will represent all the agreements that we have with the external party and the rebranding of Offset is ECO3. The turnover in that division will be the supply agreements with, obviously, the cost of goods related to that to those products. But we'll also have a number of support services that will be accounted for as other income and the costs related to those services will be covered in the different G&A lines. Now as the transaction closed in Q2, we are already reflecting the assets situation previously. So in Q1, we reflect the financials as if it was already in place and also the comparative period of Q1 last year has been re-presented accordingly. There is, however, one key difference to show is that in the stranded costs related to offsets, they have been treated differently in the 2 years. In the Q1 '22, the stranded costs are reported under CONOPS. And then as of Q1 '23 and going forward, these are already absorbed by the 3 remaining business divisions. As Pascal already said, the impact of the offset sales resulted in the remaining impairment on the offset assets, which came in at EUR 47 million, which was at the lower end of the range we gave at the Q4 results. And we do expect the cash impact of the offset transaction to be around EUR 28 million, spread over Q2 being the proceeds in Q3, the closing balance sheet. And the number is a bit higher, as you may recall. So there is the base price, which is also the variance in working capital and the increase to EUR 28 million is related to the working capital that was built up. Back to you, Pascal.

Pascal Juery

executive
#4

Thank you very much, Dirk. So if we look at the P&L real quickly, you see top line growth, and it's mainly coming from DPC and to a lesser extent by HealthCare IT. Radiology being more or less flat, I would say. Very happy to see gross profit increasing significantly but in absolute terms is also in margin. A year reflecting the emphasis we have on pricing and a lot of price increase initiatives have been implemented across the businesses. Also very pleased in the context of extremely strong inflation by the performance in SG&A due to our transformation program. Not only we can animate the impact on inflation, but even go a bit further in terms of cost reduction. What you see in R&D is really the reflect of scope actually in the Inca integration. Apart from that, R&D remains flat, I would say, at the group level. So overall, an adjusted EBITDA that is rather favorable versus last year. If I turn to net result, well, what's influencing really the net result; 2 things. We continue to have a lot of restructuring, restructuring effort and a bit of nonrecurring impact as well. And indeed, the offset divestiture as already explained. So overall, happy with the top line for DPC and what I like very much in the top line, it's really the area we want to grow that are growing. I'm really happy to report that we have sold during the quarter our first onset machines, meaning Inca-related with Agfa inks -- it took us 9 months actually to do that. Believe me, 9 months to develop and sell commercially and now settings is a pretty good performance, actually. ZIRFON membranes, we'll come back to that as well, but a very strong quarter that will continue throughout the year, but really it's taking off. For Healthcare IT, as I said, activity of order intake is high. Revenue has increased. It's more price impact than probably volume impact. Nevertheless, a bit more subdued performance in the bottom line. I think we are going to see a year in which HealthCare IT EBITDA will improve quarter-by-quarter and Q4, just like last year will be the strong quarter of the year. So overall, I would say, very reassured also specifically by the fact that we could turn around DPC through our actions swiftly back to profit on gross motor. I'm going to turn back to you, Dirk, to comment on the cash flow.

Dirk De Man

executive
#5

Yes. So in terms of the cash flow, you can see as is usual, the seasonal build of working capital, and I will get back to that later. CapEx pretty much in line with last year. Pensions is maybe a bit higher than we would expect, but that's mainly related to the timing of some pension payments, which normally fall into Q2 but this year fell into Q1, mainly for practical reasons, not having to buy and sell assets in a very short period of time. So overall, our guidance for the year remains the same as well as then restructuring at a relatively high level of EUR 11 million. But there, again, for the year, the P&L guidance on nonrecurring and restructuring remains at the level which we communicated before, let's say, around EUR 35 million. So leading to a net negative net cash flow of EUR 39 million. And if we switch to the next slide, as you can see on the net cash position, the impact is actually higher. And there's 2 elements I would like to highlight. One is that in the context of the transaction, we were repatriating cash in line with the agreements with the buyer that included cash also in the joint venture for which, obviously, when we give them back, we need to dividend also to the joint venture partner. So that was a material impact. As well as the results of the assets held for sale. As I mentioned, the working capital also increased in Q1, and that also had a negative impact on the net cash flow. So obviously, the working capital has been, as I said before, recuperated in the cash proceeds that we expected a later point in time. So let's maybe move to the working capital. And indeed, the working capital increased versus Q4 but also versus Q1 last year. The key corporate sits in inventories. Now I have to remind you also that last year, we did not yet have Inca included -- that represents about EUR 16 million of the EUR 26 million of increase in inventories. So you can see now that also on the days on hand for inventory, we've seen a decreasing trend. DSO, while increasing in absolute also decreased in days. So showing that, that is mainly related to the growth that we're seeing. And on the other hand, trade payables, that's a negative impact in terms of days where, obviously, we're working on spend reduction, which is also reflecting an inventory reduction, which is reflecting on the DPO. Overall, versus last year, we're at the same percent of sales, at least we tried -- we were able to undo some of the increases that we have seen across last year. And as it was a question last time, this is actually representing the 3 divisions added. So before restatement, it would have been around 28% last year and that went up to 33% restated for the 3 divisions. It does not yet include any working capital related to the contractor operations division as we will only find out in the coming months how that working capital will evolve, and it was hard to simulate on a historical basis. So it only includes the 3 divisions. So that's basically it. Back to you, Pascal.

Pascal Juery

executive
#6

Thank you. HealthCare IT, let me switch to HealthCare IT. So sales, you see slightly up versus last year. Gross profit impacted by the mix of projects we implemented during Q1 that it was less favorable, I would say. SG&A increase reflecting just the cost of inflation and investments made in '22. So EBITDA below last year. But again, I will see business that you need to look at for the full year and you will have variation quarter-on-quarter on this year, as I said, it's going to be building up during the year. So happy with the order book. Actually, you see your own software passing the order book is increasing even faster, and this is good news because this is really what's driving the profitability of the business. We landed actually what we call a net new contract in the first quarter. So meaning, actually, we have now a contract with a new hospital team in the U.S., mainly across Dakota, which consumed a significant hospital chain. This is the largest what we call net new contract that we have won over the past over the past year. So very significant event for us. One thing also I need to explain is indeed the order book is growing very nicely, but the portion of the order book that is managed services is growing. What is managed services; it means we have actually a multiyear contract instead of one-off implementation contract plus SMA postpone. Actually, we are spreading revenues over more years. These are very profitable contracts, but that also tend to delay a bit the implementation of the orders, given the nature of this contract. This is good news because it's actually sticky business that is more recurring. But short term, of course, it's hurting us a bit compared to taking all the projects in one shot. When we will be moving more and more to cloud solutions, will certainly adopt the SaaS model. The managed services, you could argue is a bit in between. It's already spurring the revenues later. Personally, I think it's good news for the business. So overall, I'm not changing the overall guidance about the potential of the business. Remember that we changed, I would say, the vast majority of the leadership team last year. We still have a lot of new people in this leadership ship team, and I still stand very confident about our ability to deliver our strategic road map. Radiology Solutions. So rather flattish, with DR increasing a bit, film relatively stable, and our CR business declining. Rather flattish also in terms of EBITDA but you see that the gross profit also here is influenced by price actions that we have taken across the business with the exception of China. So basically, they are good improvement in profitability. Medical film; okay in volume, still pressure in margins from China, and self-help measures are also helping us dealing with the situation. Now let me turn to DPC. Clearly, a very complex and bad performance during the second semester of '22. I was personally confident that indeed we could recover quite quickly on this front, and I think this quarter demonstrated it, quite well. Actually, DPC is the most dynamic in terms of top line. Of course, you got the Inca impact in this top line, but even without the Inca impact that would still have been a double-digit growth for the business. Strong recovery, also strong growth of gross profit, absolute sales but also margins. SG&A, I would say, here again, you see you have the impact of Inca. So that's why we see a division also increasing SG&A, but certainly not in percent of sales. And same comment for R&D. This is the impact of the Inca acquisition. Adjusted EBITDA is probably up and clearly, I would say everything has been contributing. Digital Print, it's a strong validation for us even in a subdued economic environment. Our ink sales continue to grow very nicely, meaning people continue to print digitally very much. First 3 Onset, which is the Inca brand actually has been sold in the first quarter. So we are pretty pleased with that. More importantly, we are also getting ready to start in swap with the installed base. Actually, we are finalizing today the very extensive testing of our inks at an existing customer and that means that we will soon, what I assume, we are already starting to do that, actually, to swap the existing base of Onset to Agfa inks, which is also a reservoir for us of inter-business. Industrial inkjet has not yet recovered, but it's showing, I would say, signs of life. It was a tough market for us in the second half of last year in view of the energy prices. People stopped doing home improvement. It's a bit back, I would say, although still a way to go. And even the volumes for OEM inks are starting to pick up as well. So overall, well oriented. ZIRFON, we sold more in Q1 and in the full year '22. And we almost did in the quarter 2 years of sales, '21 and '22. So we are really happy, but I want to stress that for the time being is still a product for which we are in full industrial development. And therefore, it does not contribute yet to the EBITDA of the group. It's soon well, I believe. But first, we are spending a lot of resources to get it tried for our customers and the market. And second, given the very strong quality constraints that we are setting ourselves. For the time being, we still have a weak productivity in our industrial operations. All this will increase and it will contribute, but I want to stress it. We've got the top line of ZIRFON, but unfortunately, today not yet contributing to the bottom line. And for me, it's good news because it means, yes, we have a huge potential to unleash here. This being said, not everything is easy. Electronics industry continues to be very subdued. Everything that's related to PCB and exposed mainly to China is still impacted by the current economic environment. PCB plants in China are operating at a low rate of utilization, that reflects on our business. In this context, we had price increase actions pretty much everywhere that has been building up during the quarter and for which we expect a higher impact in Q2 than in Q1. Actually, we did some cost reduction as well and combined with the growth we have restored for cuts. I want to stress as well that we have been setting structuring the business also by adding some talents to the group. And the way we are structuring the DPC today is a long business unit on digital printing solutions, business units and energy transition, meaning the ZIRFON membrane mainly, of course, and business unit and the rest of the business, which is industrial film and foil and print solutions. So that's what we see. CONOPS, the new division, yes…

Dirk De Man

executive
#7

So these are the numbers of the CONOPS division. So as already explained the supply agreement and the support services. And as of Q2, it will be the real reflection of the relationship with ECO3. In Q1, we already reflect the financials as if the agreements were already in place. And we also re-presented the Q1 period for 2022. As I said, the turnover represents the supply agreements and the income related to the support services is in other income. The key point here, as you can see year-on-year that sales went down, which is reflecting activity differences in the Offset division. But you can see the adjusted EBITDA going up, and this is related to the fact that in 2022, we are reflecting the stranded costs as part of CONOPS and in 2023, these have been absorbed by the other 3 divisions. On the left-hand side, you can see the numbers for Q1. So the EUR 4.8 million is part of the CONOPS P&L that you see. The EUR 2.5 million in Q1 is absorbed by the 3 divisions. So each time when you look at the divisional results, these are including those stranded costs, primarily to DPC and Radiology to a lesser extent, also in HealthCare IT. For the year, '22, these stranded costs were amounting to EUR 14.1 million. So that means that it's decreasing quarter-on-quarter, but also in '23, the total is expected to be around EUR 7 million, so also decreasing a bit during the year. So this is basically a division that you couldn't expect to have an adjusted EBIT of around 0 since it's really a supply agreement with the buyer of the business and not necessarily designed to make profit.

Pascal Juery

executive
#8

Thank you very much. So let me turn now to the outlook, and we gave an outlook back in March. We said clearly that we were expecting a recovery in profitability in '23. We stand by the statement today, no change. HealthCare IT, we are probably a bit more cautious in the way to express it because we've seen in the more uncertainty regarding the timing of the order book execution and a bit of pressure on costs that we are taking action on, by the way, as I speak. So we are expecting a weaker first half of the year and indeed, the business will pick up quarter after quarter. So indeed, there is an uncertainty regarding the delivery of the order book. As I said, it's a business that is project-based today, even if now we sell more and more managed services, which are more recurring, still mainly this and that explains the variation. No change on Radiology Solutions and no change on DPC. We just demonstrated that we are able to do it. And we say we probably are more assured today with this view than we were within a couple of months ago, I would say. So that's a bit in a nutshell for the group. We are continuing all the actions we are having, meaning implementing our transformation program on the cost side, meaning implementing price increase actions, and I'm here and there, I would say, fine-tuning in cost management for the group. The overall view is unchanged for the group for '23. Just a word on sustainability. We continue to develop our action plan in the various areas. We have been chosen to engage on. I would say today that our main growth is in safety. We still have a performance that I believe is not up to par with the industry standard and actually, you should say, the industry best-in-class practices. So it's an area for us of really highlights and priority. We are making progress on our diversity, equity, and inclusion drive. We have now Employee Resource Groups in place, delivering already some ideas and initiatives. And we have more initiatives also in the sale of CO2 reduction. We indeed are investing in electric boiler and it pumps in our Belgium site in order to reduce our footprint as well as looking at expanding our PV footprint as well. So I want to stress again that the sustainability is indeed part of the priorities and the way we drive our business. I'm going to stop here, and of course, take the questions of our analysts.

Operator

operator
#9

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Guy Sips of KBC Securities.

Guy Sips

analyst
#10

Yes. Three questions from my side. First is on the Inca ink swap potential. So can you remind us the installed base? And do you have some targets on how many do you want to swap before the end of the year or in 2, 3 years' time? Do you expect 20% of the installed base to swap to Agfa inks or is that too optimistic? And is there any impact on working capital as these things are quite expensive. That's the first question.

Pascal Juery

executive
#11

You want to -- you have more questions that you want to leave or shall we answer first this one?

Guy Sips

analyst
#12

It's up to you?

Pascal Juery

executive
#13

So it's...

Guy Sips

analyst
#14

On Radiology, question is you're hinting that in China, yes, the volumes are recovering but there is still margin pressure. Are there any actions taken? And what's the current situation in China? Do you see any an improvement? And then the last question is on CONOPS side. Can you give us some more color on -- yes, is this the first quarter? Is that a good guidance for? Or is there any seasonality, I mean on the volumes? And also, yes, on the margins, I think you already indicated that you're expecting a 0 margin. Every quarter is best guess or is that wrong?

Pascal Juery

executive
#15

Okay. So first, thank you very much, Guy. Vince, I'm going to turn to you for Ink swap; so timing, potential, size of the price...

Vincent Wille

executive
#16

Sure. Without getting into too many details, but I would say there's somewhere between 150 and 200 installed printers that are kind of an addressable market for us, if you want. Now this is a multiyear program. It's not something that we expect to do, of course, in the next 6 months. But we have a very clear plan for ourselves based on our own sales of new machines, to also the existing customers, and then also addressing customers that are users of existing inks and to swap them to our inks. So I would say it's in the next 3 to 5 years, we do plan to be able to switch probably not 100% because not all these customers are also using the same ink types and so on. Some are very specific users, but the majority of those things should be addressable for our ink set.

Pascal Juery

executive
#17

So over 50% of the installed base will -- is our target...

Vincent Wille

executive
#18

Yes.

Pascal Juery

executive
#19

Right. Good. Let me turn maybe, Dirk, to CONOPS...

Dirk De Man

executive
#20

Yes. On Coops, I think the obvious problem is that we have no direct visibility on the evolution of the ECO3 business. But yes, I would say it's a representative quarter in line with what the normal Q1 is and obviously, the support services will change over time as we hand over, but not a major impact in the first year. And turnover will go with the -- primarily the on business that ECO3 will be doing with the external market. So it's hard to give guidance, but I think the key thing is that bottom line-wise, it should be nothing to around 0.

Pascal Juery

executive
#21

Okay. Regarding radiology for China. So as I said, the volumes are back, no issue there. The volume-based procurement practice of the Chinese government has resumed. Actually, we are right in the middle of one, which is multi-provinces. However, I want to stress that we have a much better understanding of the marketplace in China and the situation on DPC. Now remember that during the past 3 years, we could not get to China, but we have been now to China, myself and with the head of the radiology film business. We know how to play in DPC. We believe we are positioned now to not only maintain our market share but probably even benefit a bit from it. So overall, we are not expecting any deterioration and especially, certainly not versus the assumption we have in our own budget. Things are being deployed as planned. In the meantime, in radiology, as you've seen, we have taken a significant restructuring effort actually that we announced end of November to address, of course, the challenges we have on the margin given the inability to compile in China. So we are taking action also everywhere, including, by the way, in China in our cost to serve to reflect on this situation.

Guy Sips

analyst
#22

And last question from my side. During the full year conference call, you were guiding for EUR 37 REBIT for 2023. Is that the number that you can reiterate?

Pascal Juery

executive
#23

I'm not sure we gave a specific number, but the number growth is perfectly in line with what we have in mind, I would say.

Operator

operator
#24

And we now move on to our next question, which comes from Maxime Stranart of ING Bank.

Maxime Stranart

analyst
#25

Three questions on my end as well. First of all, looking at DP&C, which was experienced a strong performance over the first quarter. Could you shed some light on what was the pricing impact the volume and the scope impact that would be helpful. Secondly, looking at Agfa HealthCare and the guidance you provided, as you mentioned in the call, you look more cautious on the EBITDA growth. Could you again explain what you mean by delayed growth compared to the guidance you previously stated of double-digit EBITDA growth in 2023? And finally, looking at working cap. 33% of sales, if I understand it correctly, now that offset results. Where do you see this going over the medium term? That would be all for me.

Pascal Juery

executive
#26

Thank you very much. On DPC, Maxime, it's a bit difficult to slice and dice. We do have an impact from everything. Clearly, pricing. On top of that, as I said, it was done -- it's still being done today. So we had -- the impact is building up over the months and has built up in the quarter will continue to have an impact in Q2. Volumes is positive almost everywhere, except what is related to PCB and some areas of industrial markets as well, but all the rest is contributing very positively to volume. The most important for us being inks and their funds in terms of volume growth. So it's a bit difficult to slice and dice given the complexity of the activity, but clearly, it's volume and price and also some action on the cost that works well in DPC today. Regarding HealthCare, what we mean by that is we have an order book, and we look at the way this order book is going to be deployed in the next quarter with which projects will go live, will be implemented, and whatnot and this is the way we look at our business. But the world is not perfect, and we are pretty much also depending on our customers and customer readiness for implementation. And that's what we are seeing right now. We are seeing some delays in implementation of the order book, which means we are slightly more cautious indeed on delivery and it's a fine line. And that's why we are saying what we are saying because when we look at this, meaning by the end of March, by the way, our order book was actually a lot higher than last year as we took a lot of orders that, of course, were not implemented. So that's what we mean by that. And I stress again, the fact that the increase of the order book reflects also an increase in our managed services part, which means, again, that we are, instead of invoicing on go, a big project. We invoiced on a multiyear contract along the life of contract and that also has an impact. And frankly speaking, the success we had in managed services is probably a bit higher than what we expected. Actually in this area, which again is a good news for you. Nathalie, you want to add anything to that? Or...

Nathalie McCaughley

executive
#27

No. Actually, I want to concur. It's actually that the volume came 3x higher than expected. So it's a good trend in the long term, but it means lower revenue deflation.

Pascal Juery

executive
#28

So it's more a slower revenue recognition…

Nathalie McCaughley

executive
#29

Yes.

Pascal Juery

executive
#30

Over the next months? But again, I repeat, nothing -- we're still in good shape in HealthCare IT. And then your third question regarding working capital. There, I think we can say cost offset indeed the working capital percentage of sales offset somewhat lower. Dirk, can you comment on that?

Dirk De Man

executive
#31

Yes, indeed. So as I said before, it's a 5-percentage point difference that you take Offset out. I think looking forward, we are working on programs to reduce working capital as a key priority. The focus is really on inventory and we do see opportunities. Some of it may come quicker. Some of it may take a lot more time to implement. So it's not a short-term but rather a midterm project. But we do see opportunity, and I think it could be in the range of 10% or 15%, but we still need to firm up exactly how that time line will work and which kind of projects we will be able to implement at which point in time. So there is opportunity to plan to reduce the inventory levels versus today.

Pascal Juery

executive
#32

No, indeed, I want to stress that, as you know, we had a transformation program that is quite important, and we were doing things. We couldn't do everything at the same time. So we took care of a lot of things. And you see today, by the way, the results in the management of SG&A of the company. But right now, the one major project that we are opening -- that we have actually opened for '23 with a structural working capital project on which we are working on. So we shall be in a position probably the next results announcement to be a little bit more precise, hopefully, about what we want to achieve with the order of magnitude that you hear from there is the right one.

Maxime Stranart

analyst
#33

Okay. Thank you for that. If I may, just coming back on Agfa HealthCare and what does it mean for the adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year?

Pascal Juery

executive
#34

Yes. Well, I told you, I'm not going to give more details today.

Operator

operator
#35

Thank you. And next, we have Laura Roba of Degroof Petercam.

Laura Roba

analyst
#36

Two questions from my side. First, a question on ZIRFON. So as I understand it starts to contribute to top line. And then my question would be, when would you expect it to start contributing to bottom line? And then a question on HealthCare IT as well. Could you elaborate a bit on the evolution of the gross margin? And how confident are you that you will see an improvement quarter-by-quarter there as well?

Pascal Juery

executive
#37

Okay. Thanks. ZIRFON, indeed, Laura, very good question. No, seriously, I expect ZIRFON to be positive in this year. But again, let's remember that we started kind of industrial operations for the fund in actually Q4 last year. That's really when we did it. We have 6 months behind us. We are making a lot of improvement, a lot of changes all the time. But that's really -- that's really in full development swing industrially. We know where we are going, and I would expect ZIRFON contribution to the bottom line to be slightly positive this year, but nothing spectacular yet. We have improvements that are planned in the existing industrial operation. But it takes a bit of time to implement. Every time you make modification in your hardware. It takes a bit of time. But I'm very confident going forward. We are also at a point where we are learning. We are extra cautious on the quality of the membrane, I would say, without a joke that everything is being looked at through a magnifying glass in order to make sure that our membranes are absolutely flawless. So we are doing all this work that is very costly, but that is work that will enable us then to have an automatic quality control through cameras and things like that. But we are doing all this work upfront, which is why we are not yet contributing to bottom line. But again, it's going to turn quickly. But the question of HealthCare IT, the gross margin is influenced basically by what you said in the quarter. We are selling a full solution to customers. So it could start if our customers are requesting it. Hardware, but also our own software, third-party software that are embedded in our offer as well as our services, and all these components have a different margin points. You would easily understand and when we sell hardware, we don't have a margin of 70%. We have a much lower margin, which is still pretty decent, but it's a much lower margin. When we sell our own IP, then the margin is 100%, basically. When we sell third-party software, you will have a different price point than your maintenance services or your implementation services will be priced also differently. So all this is making actually the mix -- and this is the reason why you can have fluctuations quarter-on-quarter, especially in an inflation environment. But Nathalie, if you want to give a bit more color. You are welcome.

Nathalie McCaughley

executive
#38

Yes. And we mentioned the cost increase and that creates the fluctuation depending on the mix. So there are variables. And based on what is being executed within a given quarter that result into the gross margin being impacted favorably or not.

Pascal Juery

executive
#39

And today, indeed, we are in a cost inflation environment. We are implementing today a project that has been sold a year or 1.5 years ago as well. And when you sell a project to fix your price. So again, you are asking a bit of a delay of inflation, but it does not reflect an inability to price just reflects that -- Again, this is a market that was set in a way that was set actually for a non-inflation world. Now we are in an inflationary environment, but it's a bit of a time adjustment as well that we need to have in this. I hope it clarifies Laura.

Laura Roba

analyst
#40

Yes, it's very clear.

Operator

operator
#41

And our last question for today comes from Alexander Craeymeersch of Kepler Cheuvreux.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#42

Yes. Just wondering on HealthCare, how much was the order book essentially in Q1 last year versus EUR 245 million you had on the full year basis in revenue? Second question would be, given the central procurement in China, where I remember you recently had some local success in terms of project wins. Could you just give us some insights into your development and project wins at the national level? And then the third question would be, how we can now expect working capital move over the rest of the year given that the inventories have increased again in the first quarter?

Pascal Juery

executive
#43

Okay. So thank you, Alexander. So first on HealthCare IT…

Viviane Dictus

executive
#44

Yes and then the other question...

Pascal Juery

executive
#45

I'm not sure we fully got the question actually, Alexander. Maybe if I can ask you to please say the question just to make sure we are giving you the answer you need.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#46

Well, I'm trying to quantify a bit the number a bit of the order book in an absolute level. I mean the order book is up so much percent, 35%. But I was just wondering how much is it in an absolute level. And that's why I was asking for the order book, how much it was essentially 1-year versus the full year?

Pascal Juery

executive
#47

In absolute level the order book, okay. First, we have not communicated absolute numbers on the order book. What we are communicating here is really the order intake of the last 12 months versus the last 12 months, okay? And this is what is up 25%. -- okay? Not the other -- then that's order intake for the quarter. Order intake is a flux, is a flow. Order book is an inventory, okay, the stock. And the order book actually also for the first quarter has increased quite significantly, reflecting exactly what we say, meaning we have a bit of a delay of an implementation in the order book, okay? That's what I want to convey to you. And it has nothing -- the order book has not increased by 25%, but it has increased double digit versus the end of the year, okay? But again, order intake is a flow. This is what we take as new orders in the quarter. Order book is our stock of orders that we have yet to deliver, okay? I hope it clarifies.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#48

Okay. So on the order book, where do we stand there now?

Pascal Juery

executive
#49

Order book, we are standing at the end of March, double-digit more than the end of the year, actually. But we have chosen to communicate on order intake, which is a key leading indicator, which is again the flux, the number of orders we take in the quarter that we compare to last 12 months -- where we are this year versus the last 12 months on a rolling basis. Okay? And we give also -- the second number we give is actually what we call the highest value component of the order book, which is on software. And here, we say the overall order intake for the quarter -- sorry, for the quarter order intake, plus 25% on IP, plus 35%, reflecting the quality of the order intake. Okay? Dirk, you have anything to add? Your second question regarding working capital quarterly…

Dirk De Man

executive
#50

Yes, I would continue to say that we'll see the similar seasonality that we see as before, which means usually in Q1, there's a strong buildup that continues over Q2 and then eases off in the second half of the year, getting to the lowest point in Q4.

Pascal Juery

executive
#51

Yes, we are emptying, I would say, the inventory on some key products by the end of the year. So you have absolutely a seasonal pickup in during the first half and a decrease during the second half of the year. And this year will be probably different. What we are trying to do is actually to make the increase a lot less than the year before, but we still have an increase in Q1. It's absolutely unavoidable for us. That was it or have I forgotten something Alexander? I think you were asking about China, right?

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#52

That's right, yes.

Pascal Juery

executive
#53

China, as I said, we have learned how to play the game of the DPC. We indeed had the first success on tender this year, but it was relatively minor, but it was for us a kind of a good test. The real story is actually, there is right now DPC process on 5 provinces that have regrouped together. And this is really where we are expecting right now the results. So I cannot tell you more. At this point.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#54

Okay. So at one level, you cannot give us any more...

Pascal Juery

executive
#55

No, I cannot tell you that -- I don't see anything that would be different that we have planned for, but there are things in planning right now. I don't have yet the outcome.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#56

What did we plan for?

Pascal Juery

executive
#57

Sorry.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#58

What is the plan for -- you mean the guidance?

Pascal Juery

executive
#59

No, we stay with the same thing. We said all along, meaning radiology will be stable for the year.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#60

Okay. So if you win the standard at national level, you will be increasing that guidance.

Pascal Juery

executive
#61

I'm not sure I got the reasoning Alexander. If we win, it doesn't mean we need necessary to win more volume in this tender, Alexander. It's not a winner takes all kind of tender. It's basically an allocation of volumes in provinces. And I'm not expecting -- well, I would not be expecting a significant share shift in this area. No. Pretty stable. Okay.

Alexander Craeymeersch

analyst
#62

Okay.

Pascal Juery

executive
#63

Any other questions?

Operator

operator
#64

At this time, we have no further questions in the queue. So I'd like to hand back over to you for any additional or closing remarks.

Pascal Juery

executive
#65

No, no, thank you very much. Thank you very much. Thank you very much for all being here. I repeat the start of the year. Indeed, that shows a strong rebound of DPC, Radiology, which is pretty much in line with our expectations and HealthCare IT implementation that is a bit more complex. But again, I want to stress that nothing is broken and that on the contrary, we continue to make inroads, actually in the market, showing that our product and technology are well suited. So no worry there. And again, HealthCare IT is a project business. You can have very different results quarter-to-quarter. This being said, the more we will go to managed services and tomorrow, probably to a subscription model as well. The less this will be lumpy, but that's a transition that will be taking a lot of years, of course. So thanks very much for your attention and speak to you soon. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#66

Thank you for joining today's call, and you may now disconnect.

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