Capita plc (CPI) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
March 5, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveGood morning. I'm Adolfo Hernandez. I'm the Group Chief Executive at Capita plc. Thank you very much for making it to this busy room today, but also, thank you very much to those of you who are listening or watching remotely as we present the 2024 financial results. These are my sort of first full set of results as such. I joined the company an eternity ago, it seems, certainly in the middle of January of 2024. So besides sort of doing the normal reporting, I'm still hoping to share some more of my learnings and recommendations and things that we've been doing over this past year. Also in the room, we're going to have Pablo, our new CFO, who took over from Tim Weller in the summer. He's had a very busy 6 months of induction into the company. And just really excited to get going with this. But before we do that, I'd like to draw your attention to the disclaimer slide and start with a little recap of the Better Capita slide because I think it's a good framework to remember. As I said when I joined back in January, it was a very ambitious onboarding plan. And I travel extensively to meet our colleagues, our customers, our operations, our call centers. I really wanted to get under the scheme of what we did at Capita and how we did it and why we did it and how much money we made or not as the case might be. And I really wanted to understand where we were winning and why and how often and where we were not winning and why and where we were making money and where we were delighting customers. We did a true 360-degree analysis of the company. We formulated as an executive team and the Board a strategy that we signed off at the beginning of May, and then we came out with a capital markets update back in June, where we just sort of presented what we wanted to do with Capita. For many of you who might be new to the Capita story and who might not have been there, let me just quickly recap that part of my wow on the onboarding was to see the strength of the relationships and the customers and the understanding of the business processes that our colleagues had. That was a really solid foundation. It was something I was hoping to find, but there's never certainty until you really get there. That was a really strong foundation. But the disappointment was that at the time, we hadn't managed to translate that value, that great work we did into financials. The financial performance was very disappointing. So when we said we wanted to build a Better Capita was about building on the strong foundations the company had, really just making sure that we get a more operationally focused Capita, more tech-enabled Capita, a leaner, nimbler Capita, building a better company for and with our colleagues and one that was able to produce financial results that were commensurate with the great work we did. So that was the strategic agenda that we embarked upon. We've been super busy. 2024 has been, I think you can call it a deep root and branch transformation of Capita, has been a pivotal year, very foundational year. I'm really looking forward to sharing with you now everything that we've done in the sort of 4 pillars: the technology, the efficiencies, the delivery, and the Better company. But before we do that, I think it would be more appropriate if we let Pablo introduce himself and run us through the numbers, and then I'll come back and do the rest of the session. So bear with me for a second, and Pablo will take us through the numbers.
Pablo Andres
executiveSo thank you very much, Adolfo. And good morning to everyone. And to those of you in the room, actually, thank you for making your way across the Barington. I will start by introducing myself. Pablo Andres joined Capita in July, August 2024, and was born in Spain, as you can see, but I've been in finance roles in the U.K. for 20 years already. The most relevant and recent at G4S. Throughout my career, I've enjoyed working in exciting transformational roles where I can apply my energy and transparency to drive shareholders' value. And when I looked at Capita from the outside, what attracted me was a company that was close to finishing its restructuring with a new CEO with the right strategy and the experience to transform it and the opportunity to be a key member of the team delivering that strategy and delivering the value I know this business is capable of. Now that I mean the inside, well, actually, what I have observed even with more clarity is that the ability that Capita has to deliver this transformational strategy is huge. It has a high caliber and hard-working team willing to succeed together. And I believe we can help this business to achieve its potential. The first thing I have done is expand the segmental reporting. I thought that the increased transparency would allow stakeholders to better understand the performance of its business and the intrinsic value of each business. I'm also seeking to provide further clarity on other areas, such as key changes in operating profit by segment and working capital by segment, separating deferred income and CFA to show cash back profits. I trust that by starting with the actions above, the market will better understand our business, and we'll be able to measure our progress as we deliver our strategy. So, now moving into the financial highlights. The group revenue declined by 8%, reflecting the impact of prior year contract losses and delayed mobilizations, the exit of low-margin contracts together with the progress we have made exiting closed book life and pensions, and the reduction of volumes in the contact center telecoms vertical. Operating profit increased by 5.5%, reflecting in-year savings of EUR 90 million from our cost efficiency program, offset by the revenue reductions I have described and the non-repeat of positive prior year one-offs of around EUR 34 million. This delivered 50 basis points of operating margin improvement in 2024. Free cash flow was an outflow of EUR 122 million, similar to 2023. However, it reflects the end of the pension deficit payments and costs associated with the cyber incident. Costs of EUR 45 million in delivering our cost efficiency program and a more sustainable approach to working capital management. We have delivered ahead of schedule annualized cost savings of EUR 140 million. Our net financial debt gearing has reduced to 0.5x EBITDA. And our lease debt, including sublet lease receivables, is around EUR 250 million. So now, moving on to the profit reconciliation. As you can see, the key items between our adjusted profit and reported profit are the EUR 171 million gain on the disposal of Fera Capita One, the investment in our cost reduction program of EUR 28 million, following EUR 54 million of P&L costs in the prior year and goodwill impairment of EUR 75 million. Goodwill impairment relates to the contact center business and is mostly driven by the lower revenue base for the projections made in 2024, including lower volumes in our telecoms vertical, which are expected to remain subdued in 2025. Now, before we dive into the details segment by segment, I thought it would be helpful to show the overall picture of the group with the most material items in each division. The table shown on this slide shows the adjusted performance for each of the divisions and a summary of the key movements within each division. I am not intending to cover financial performance here in this slide. I will provide the details in the following slide. However, in here, what you can see is, firstly, Public Service, which had a significant top line and profit headwinds during 2024 but has made overall good progress on margin, supported by cost-saving initiatives. This business delivered an EBITDA of EUR 126 million with a 73% cash conversion. The Contact Center business has had a more difficult year with the impact of prior year contract losses and one-offs and the reduction of volumes related to the telecoms vertical during the year. All of these together have eliminated the benefit of the cost savings with results showing a net loss of EUR 6 million. On an underlying basis, through the benefit of our further efficiencies and strategy, this business should be able to deliver market comparable margins as we execute our strategy set out in the Capital Markets Day. Our pensions business is an attractive, growing business. It's managing defined benefit schemes and pension consultancy services. It is winning new mandates and improving margins, and it's delivering solid cash conversion with an EBITDA of EUR 34 million. Finally, regulated Services. It is made up of businesses we identified in the Capital Markets Day as managed for value. It includes our closed book life and pensions business that we have signaled our intention to exit. We made good progress during the year with one remaining customer to agree with exit terms, and we are working hard to agree to a resolution. As previously disclosed, we expect overall cash outflows of GBP 20 million per annum until we exit this segment. Finally, we have the cost of running the PLC separately reported with its working capital, showing the reduction of usage in the factoring facility this year. Now, moving into the details for each segment and starting with Capita Public Service. Revenue saw a reduction of 0.9% as we saw the impact of contract losses in previous years. We exited some low-margin contracts, and we had a more disciplined approach to bidding at appropriate margins. We also faced the impact on the revenue line from the delayed mobilization of 2 contracts won in 2023, and these were mostly offset by new wins and indexation. Operating profit increased by almost EUR 20 million or 28%, and this was mainly driven by the results of our cost reduction program, partially offset by the previously announced contract losses and the impact of EUR 15 million that we had in the Smart DCC business. The year-on-year impact in the Smart DCC was mostly driven by project work that concluded in 2023 and the 2023-2024 Ofgem price determination that delivered significant cost disallowances. During the year, we have tightened our commercial and operating controls in the Smart DCC business, ensuring a more robust evidence trail is kept, supporting the efficiency of all costs, as well as meticulously documenting all activities undertaken at the request of our client. Cash conversion during the period was reduced to 73%, mainly reflecting the overspend on the contracts that had a delayed mobilization and a more sustainable approach to working capital management. On to the contact centers. Before I dive into 2024 performance, though, you will recall that at Capital Markets Day, we gave an indicative margin for contact centers in 2023 at 0.7% positive, reflecting a significant opportunity versus our peers. You will see in the slide that the margin for 2023 has been restated to a negative 0.5%. This has been updated following a more detailed calculation of overhead allocations. But most importantly, this does not change the key message. We have lots of work to do, and there is a significant opportunity in this business to get margins in line with peers. Going back to the top then, revenue in 2024 saw a decline of 18%, reflecting the previously mentioned one-off benefit of our VMO2 contract, prior year contract losses, and lower volumes within our telecoms vertical that are expected to remain subdued in 2025. Operating losses were EUR 6 million compared to EUR 4 million losses in the prior year as prior year losses of EUR 4 million benefited from the exit of the previous VMO2 contract that delivered a one-off accelerated DI release of EUR 10 million and a further DI of EUR 8 million. Without this, the business would have made losses of EUR 22 million in 2023. So during the year, we delivered material cost savings by significantly reducing our footprint in property and increasing our nearshore and offshore activities through the opening of the new global delivery centers in Bulgaria and South Africa. However, these savings were partly offset by the reduction of volumes, the continued investment in new technology products with our hyperscaler partners and on a year-on-year basis, and the non-repeat of the 2023 one-offs. Operating cash flow was close to 0 during the year, reducing from EUR 20 million in the prior year that benefited from the timing of payments with VMO2. Moving on to our Pensions business in Capita Experience. In 2024, revenue increased by 5.1%. We saw volume increases with clients like PIP, together with some benefit of indexation. Operating profit improved by 8.5%, supported by the savings from our cost reduction program and operational leverage from growth. Cash conversion also improved to 98% as we worked hard to improve our billing cycles to drive what should be a more appropriate level of cash conversion from this business. Turning the page to our largest remaining Managed for Value business. Regulated services is mostly our closed life and pensions business, where we have made significant progress agreeing to exit contracts during 2024, including the agreement to exit a client signed last month, and we will deliver these exits over the coming years. Exits are now agreed with all but one customer, with whom we remain in active dialogue. As a result of these exits, as expected, we saw a decline in revenue and profit in 2024. Additionally, you remember that 2023 included a EUR 24 million one-off commercial settlement and the cash one-off from a contract termination. The cash consumption of this business during 2024 was EUR 14 million, reflecting payments from customers as we exited them. And we continue to expect cash costs of around EUR 20 million per annum. As you well know, this is one of our highest-priority areas to resolve. We have made huge progress during 2024 and the beginning of 2025, and we have good engagements in discussions to exit our last customer. We will provide an update when we get to our resolution. Moving on now to cash flow on the next slide. Our EBITDA was EUR 186 million, EUR 10 million lower than the previous year, and this was mainly driven by lower depreciation and amortization due to the continued progress in our Property Rationalization Program. We then see the net of deferred income and CFA 2024 showing a more normalized level of around EUR 50 million compared to EUR 100 million in previous years. Other working capital shows a EUR 53 million negative outflow, reflecting a more sustainable working capital management approach in 2024 and the non-repeat of payment phasing on the VMO2 contract in 2023. Noncash and Other adjustments include mainly movement from provisions that get us to an operating cash flow of EUR 72 million in 2024. Operating cash conversion in the round mostly reflects the reduction of DI and CFA to a more normalized level and the adjustments to a more sustainable working capital in 2024. I expect cash conversion in 2025 to be around 55% to 65%. We then have the end of the pension deficit contributions, remaining costs associated with the cyber incident, and the cost to achieve our cost reduction program that delivered EUR 140 million of annualized savings in 2024, well ahead of schedule. All of this left us with EUR 16 million of cash generated from operations, excluding business exits. So now, turning to the remaining parts of the cash flow and net debt. We start at the top left, in the previous slide, with EUR 16 million cash generated from operations. We then invested EUR 50 million in CapEx in contract delivery, cyber, and new technology solutions. We paid our interest and taxes for EUR 41 million, and we saw the steady reduction of lease payments to EUR 48 million as we continue our property rationalization program. All of this resulted in free cash flows, excluding business exits of EUR 122 million outflows. And we expect this number to become positive from the end of 2025 through the delivery of our strategy and cost savings. We now continue below free cash flow, excluding business exits. We generated EUR 258 million from trading and proceeds from the disposal of Fera Capita ONE, and other cash flows and noncash movements reflect our new leases of the London headquarters and the global delivery center in South Africa. Our closing net debt was EUR 455 million. That includes EUR 66 million of financial debt and EUR 349 million of IFRS 16 lease debt, but let's not forget that the headline net debt excludes EUR 96 million of sublet lease receivables shown in the balance sheet. Liquidity and net debt are on our next slide. As you can see, the year-end position shows almost EUR 400 million of total liquidity, including $250 million of the RCF available for use. Considering the maturities in 2025 and 2026, including those repaid in January, we have announced this morning the issuance of a USD 94 million private placement, which strengthens our maturity profile to deliver our strategy and transformation at a cost below that of our current RCF. We expect net debt-to-EBITDA to remain below 1x at the end of 2025. So now, turning to our summary for the 2025 outlook. You will see that we are providing quite a bit of granularity on this slide. In terms of revenue, we expect the group to be as a whole broadly flat, with low to mid-single-digit growth in public service and mid-single-digit growth in pensions, offset by high single-digit reductions in contact centers, driven by the volume reductions described previously and the continued conscious reduction in our closed book life and pensions. We expect operating margin of the group to show modest improvement in 2025 with progress both in public and contact centers through the delivery of the cost efficiencies stable margin in pensions and a significant deterioration in regulated services as we make progress on agreed exits and continue our negotiations with our last customers with closer alignment with profit and cash flows than in previous years. In terms of free cash flows, we are pushing hard in H1 with our efficiency program to ensure we deliver the committed annualized savings of EUR 250 million by the end of 2025. For 2025, we expect cash conversion of around 55% to 65%, delivering a free cash outflow before business exits of EUR 45 million to EUR 65 million, and this number already includes EUR 55 million associated with the investment in delivering the efficiency program this year. That means that we will be turning into a positive free cash flow from the end of this year. We have also continued with housekeeping activities this year. And subject to relevant approvals, we will be completing a 15-for-1 share consolidation and the share premium reduction. So, summarizing based on everything I have seen since joining Capita, we remain confident in delivering the medium-term targets as set out in the Capital Markets Day. With this, I will hand over to Adolfo.
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveAll right. Thank you. Thank you, Pablo. Yes, it is a very thorough work on the additional sort of transparency, housekeeping, and definitely the focus on the different business units. I think it's good to see everything and see everything with the right numbers so everybody can see what it is that we're trying to drive and where. And I think it does highlight both the progress that we've made in 2024 and, very importantly, what I said at the top: the mandate we have to do better. I think there's still a significant opportunity to get to, first of all, that medium-term guidance and then go from there. So, in terms of plan and again, for those of you who have just joined Capita story, obviously, we are one of the largest business process services providers in the U.K., Ireland, and Central Europe. And what we do is deliver extremely complex outcomes for our customers. If it's complex and requires business process understanding and excellence, if it requires the best possible technology, and if it requires the best possible humans in the loop, that combination is what we do to deliver those outcomes in the countries where we operate. And we will do that, whether it's delivering to the citizens of local government or whether it's providing services in partnership with central government departments or helping across national preparedness, defense space or addressing hundreds of millions of queries from end users and consumers in telecommunications, utilities, financial services or dealing with vulnerable citizens across the board. We're extremely proud of what we do. And what we do is an integral part of the social fabric of the countries where we operate. We aim to continue doing just that by doing better and getting a better financial return for it. A year ago, I stood here and said with you is, when I'm joining from the tech industry, I've got very much of a tech career. In my last assignment before coming here, I was at Amazon Web Services. As I said, I was sharing with everybody that what I had seen in the tech world led me to believe that technology was going to fundamentally transform this market. And that if there was one market where we're going to see a significant reconstitution of components and value creation, it was this market. I probably said a year ago; I think nobody now would doubt that. I think a year later, it is very, very clear that that's the way this industry is going. I am very pleased that we made that call a year ago, and we really went and doubled in that approach because that's just there. We have seen probably more change in the makeup, the strategic makeup of the BPS market in 12 months than we have probably seen in the last 12 years put together. This is definitely happening now. As we have embarked upon this transformation, we're taking advantage of saying, okay, what do we know about our business processes from our customers? And let's try to map those business processes into tech opportunities, whether it's user registration to use new services, whether it's processing our medical records, whether it's getting automation of debt collection, whether it's driving efficiencies and supporting better calls and better experience in our call centers. There is a lot that we know about our business processes. Let's just map that into tech, into AI, into augmentation. The second thing that we need to do is not just do it for the sake of a PowerPoint and not for the sake of just ticking a box, but deploying it at scale so that it matters. It's still early days, but what you're going to see later, right, by the end of this year, over half of the revenue of our call center will be supported and augmented by AI. So we're doing this not just to prove that it works but to really have a material impact in our operations. The other thing that I said a year ago was that I didn't believe we wouldn't build all of these technologies ourselves. Coming from the world of tech, understanding what a hyperscaler technology partner can do, understanding the wagon of innovation, the click and the fast innovation that they do, the amount of very general purpose innovation that they bring, it didn't make sense to build it. What we needed to do was to partner, select, and orchestrate the best experience based on them. And I think you're going to see a lot of what we've done in terms of hyperscaler partnering and repurposing our tech efforts and organizations and talent to sort of add that orchestration level and bringing in our Capita special source on top of the partnering solutions. It was really important to start shifting from service as FTE to service as software. This industry has been serviced as FTE, and it's been about labor arbitrage for way too long. So now, as we have embedded into recruitment, we've been looking at high-volume recruitment as an opportunity. I mean, last year alone, we hired 10,000 people, right? So we do a lot of high-volume recruitment. And a lot of our customers do high-volume recruitment. Instead of going about it traditionally, we have gone with AI agents, and we have created a software capability on the back of agent force to create that type of innovation. When we're doing be it generation, we're doing be it generation on the back of AI, when we're looking at providing user registration services for new services that are going live, for example, in Transport for London, we're doing that now instead of just throwing hundreds and hundreds of people in there, we're just doing it with tech and lesser people that are more equipped. So that's part of our implementation. And the human in the loop, AI, I believe this is sort of an attempt that was going on by MIT. And I believe it describes really, really well the future of this industry because even though the press would love to arbitrate that there are start-ups that there are capabilities that are going to be agents that are going to take over the world, the reality is that it's always going to require to have a human in the loop. Let's let technology do what technology does best: fast processing of information, high-volume information, automation, and repetitive tasks. And let's just make sure that we've got the right humans with the expertise and the empathy and get the 2 of them working for one another to deliver that. And I think in Capita, we've got a big advantage there. And then we're going to build this at scale. These things can't be examples. They have to be the menu. And you've heard me talking about the menu, and the menu is growing. Sameer Vuyyur, our Chief AI and Product Officer, is on the back, and we're going to be talking about him and the mission he's taken on. We're going to be building this at scale. This is going to be the full menu. So this is happening to us, it's happening to all of our industries, probably happening more to those that have a high content on professional services that is happening to others. I'm really, really excited because this is going to recreate the value chain. And I believe that by doubling down early on and doing it with purpose and intention, we're going to be really well positioned. So the next sections are going to show you some early fruits, some early green shoots, some early validations of what we're doing. Obviously, this will take time. We can't expect to see 12 years of the old world materializing into the financials in 1 year. But I am confident that we're starting to see now that when you start looking at the business over a compounded 3-year view, we're going to start seeing that evolution there. The other thing that's happened in the market, particularly in our largest and most important market, which is the U.K. public sector. This over the last couple of months, we've seen certainly from the Prime Minister down everywhere in government, an absolute drive to not just distrust AI as it probably was until recently by looking at AI as a key enabler to solve some of the challenges that we've got to deliver citizen service, to deliver the services that the civil service is trying to do and to do that within the new realities of the budget situation in the government. And I think the playbook, the AI playbook, is ambitious. It's still to play for. It needs to be mapped into particular legislation and projects and this work to do in contracting, but it's certainly a fantastic start, and I think one that should help us move the country forward and one where I believe that as a national trusted partner, a sovereign trusted partner for the government, we're in a better position to leverage going forward. So, I'm quickly back on the 4 Betters. I mentioned Sameer's side of the back. Sameer joined us from Amazon in November. And he has inherited, and he's putting together a new organization. His job is to deliver this AI as a service to our organization and do that at scale. He's inherited the best of the people that we already had in Capita, and we did have a lot of people that were just buried into contracts that were buried into different organizations that were somewhat hindered back by our sort of broken approach in the past to go about these things. He's also bringing in successful entrepreneurs, bringing people from Amazon, people from Salesforce into the organization to really just go and orchestrate people who are cloud native, people who are digitally native and people who have been working on AI already and are able to orchestrate all of these solutions, working in a very agile form, somewhat different from the rest of Capita, living closer to the customer, a lot more faster cycles, less bureaucracy, a lot more faster innovation and always thinking back from what is the customer value and working backwards from what is the customer value. I think he's got a big job, but he's got the easiest job in the planet because all he has to do is to choose from the best of the sort of $1 trillion investment innovation that the hyperscalers are putting out there and figuring out what is relevant to each of our customers' business process, when and how and why. So we're hoping that we will be able to derisk a lot of what we're doing there. And it's a good example of the derisking and acceleration of AI when I mentioned an announcement we made last week of the Capita AI catalysts as a process where Sameer and Sameer's team will go into customers initially and will do for free exploration, pilots on where AI can have a transformational effect and start running those. And then, if they are successful, then we can go and transform it into a project. So really excited about what we're doing there. Obviously, we didn't wait for Sameer to arrive. We have done a lot of work since the beginning of the year. I've mentioned the privilege it has been to be one of the first companies in Europe working with Salesforce on the agent force implementation. But we said we've not stopped there. We've launched the Capita contact solution on top of Amazon Connect. We've done the catalyst with many of them. We've launched Agent Suite, which we presented in July, and Corinne, who's also at the back of the busy deploying across all the call centers. It's something that we built with Amazon as well, on top of our Bedrock platform. We are deploying Copilot aggressively internally, 1,500 people, growing up to 5,000. We've created some sort of internal tech venture with groups and operations teams that can come and pitch on how they think they're going to use Copilot internally, what benefit they are going to get, and what is the return on investment. Based on that return on investment, we will fund them for the project. We will give them the technology. And we're really just making sure that this innovation, this fever sort of happens not only top down, but it's also happening bottoms up. And we're really quite encouraged by what we're seeing there. And then, very importantly, in the area of IT managed services, a lot of our customers have big, complex heterogeneous, and sometimes out-of-date IT stacks. So IT managed services is very important. Very pleased to report that not only have we now moved our internal IT operations on to Service Source, but we're now in a position as well to take the market-leading platform to market to do managed ITMS for our customers on top of Service Now. So these are just a few examples, and you've got a quote there from Zara and just to show you that this is happening. But some of you might be saying, well, where do I see the other operations? Well, if Corinne was here versus the back of the room, she would be quickly telling you, well, I'm really, really busy deploying all of this in contact centers because whether it's my support staff that are already using this, I plan to have by the second half over 5,000 agents already being augmented in the day interactions with customers by Gen AI through the use of the agent suite and having that at play across 20 campaigns, and I referred to in excess of 350 million of revenue of call centers already being augmented to do that by the end of the year. So this is a really important thing. And we're seeing value already, as you can see from customers, our customers starting to see that it really works. Very importantly for us, our colleagues are starting to see the value. They can see how the quality of their day-to-day engagement is improving and how they are just doing more high-value work. And when you talk to them, they absolutely love it. And those who still don't have it are now just lobbying internally to also get the wrong AI assistant, which is a fundamental change for some of the sort of fear and stuff that you read in the press. So, it's really impressive about what we're doing. Similarly, in our public sector business, Richard has also been really busy. And we've been talking about how we've been using AI and simulation and some of the great work we do for the Royal Navy. We've been talking about some of the work we're doing for number pay recognition and some of the work that we do for user registration for transfer to London, probably less known some of the great new work that we've been doing with local public authorities, where we have created an APian-based automation that allows you to effectively have a very efficient workflow to enable a local authority to go after that very unpopular task called HD. And give us that responsibility, an outcome-based service fully delivered by Capita on the back of this technology, which is what we're quite hopeful for. And then similar, when you're dealing with something as critical as medical records in this particular case in the context of recruitment, how you're going from 29 to 12 days, really removing a lot of the lapse time and cost and inefficiency out of the system by deploying digitally trusted, and I'm going to underline the word trusted, not everybody could do the technology, but can you do it trusted and verified extraction of medical records and getting sort of digital consent. So your information can securely move from the source, normally the GP practice, to the target in this particular case, arm your recruitment safely, securely, and efficiently. But it's also happening in pensions because pensions are another market that is changing. It's moving. And as we said, we see there is more potential opportunity if the government brings some additional legislation there. But already, the move to digital is there, is very real. We've now got over 1 million people who are engaging on the online portal. We've got a 137% increase in online engagement as a whole. Most importantly, we've created a new tool called Digital Mover. This actually allows over 6 million people to stay in touch with their address and their pension and avoid a number of problems that have been associated with discontinuity. But going forward, we are building now a very digital pension front end on the top of the Microsoft Dynamics platform that is going to give us the ability to bring everything in that sits in the Dynamics platform. We're going to be able to do profiling. We're going to be able to do a lot of AI out of the box, Copilot, a number of things, mobility, mobility apps, to really make sure that we bring a really good experience, not only for the digital trustees but also for the end members. I'm very excited about the work that we're doing here. We see a lot of acceleration. By the way, a lot of the Capita digital pension platforms are now also going to be built on Amazon Connect for telephony. So again, we're bringing in the best of the different hyper scalers to get that benefit. I was with a customer recently a couple of weeks ago, and they were just telling me how in all they were, how the efficiency was of running this platform on top of Amazon Connect, the amount of information that they had, how much the customer service productivity have gone up and the insights that we're getting. So really excited about this. All of these things that I'm talking about are already making it into our go-to-market. They are standard practice and a standard component of our value proposition as we engage new customers. So a lot is happening in AI, a lot happening to take advantage of once-in-a-generation opportunity, and a lot happening in the time where this BPS segment is changing. But this will look like it wasn't anything by the time we're done with 2025. We have a really aggressive agenda, a really disrupting agenda here for 2025, and it's an area that I'm spending a lot of my time on because I believe it is going to unlock a lot of the old locked-away value in capita. To do that, we also need to create space. We were already spending too much money. I stood here a year ago, and I said we were spending GBP 2.6 billion in costs to generate GBP 2.6 billion in revenue. And that doesn't add up. Certainly, when you then need to create the space to do this thing. We increased the GBP 60 million target to EUR 160 million, and then the GBP 160 million, we will increase it to EUR 250 million. We were going to do the EUR 160 million by June this year. We ended up doing EUR 140 million by December, as you heard from Pablo. Net-net, we are ahead of time, and we are ahead of quantum. And we're doing it because it's the right thing to do. And we're doing it because as we're doing it, we are learning that there are opportunities to be nimbler. There are opportunities to just reorganize. There are opportunities to look at things differently. And we are looking everywhere, everywhere. From applications, where do they sit, what is the model of the applications, what's on the cloud, what's not in the cloud, what's the organization level, and what is the management ratio? We are looking at absolutely everything. And this is one area where we are not going to let go because I think our customers are demanding continuous improvement in our pricing. We need to be more competitive every year, and this is not something that is just us talking. This is what our customers are asking us. So we have to become a leaner organization. As you become leaner, and this is something that I learned in Amazon, frugality makes you creative. It will force us to think about things in a way that we haven't done before. It will force us, and it's already making us question some of the sacred cows because we just simply don't have the time or the money to waste. And we're going to be very, very driven on that. On this one, I have to say the new employee count at the end of the period is 34,500. And that has included a number of moves, as you've seen in the Fera disposal. You've seen the Capita ONE disposal. We had 2,000 people leave the business under terminations. We hired close to 10,000 people this year as well, and we've had about 9,000 people in attrition. So there's a lot of movement in people. Net-net, we're getting smaller to get feeder to build the capabilities that we will need in the future. But it's not everything about cost cutting is a significant part. I think as we go to deliver that growth in profit and cash back profits, there is a lot of things that are in the mix. So I just wanted to sort of highlight a number of things that we're doing. So, the sales pipeline is getting a lot of attention from our divisional CEOs, Corinne and Richard. We now have a pipeline of approximately $11 billion, and this is an important number, of which $5 billion have a technology or AI or a hyper-scaler underpin. That's a significant number. The focus now is on the right ones. I think Capita has had somewhat of an unscattered approach in the past that is expensive and it's highly inefficient and it just doesn't yield the right number. So we've been more focused on where we're going after because we've got the opportunity to really increase a number of what I call important win rates. In the midsized deals in the public sector, right, we've only winning like 1 in 2. We've got to do better than that. So, Richard's got the mandate and the plan working with his team to improve the win rate on these midsized deals, which are important for the profile of our business. Similarly, Corinne has the mandate to improve the win rate in the call centers. I think it's important as well to just think that you need to do that. But at the same time, we need to deliver well. We talked about the 2023 projects that became part of 2024. It just doesn't help. When you don't deliver or when you mobilize late, when you have issues, we've had north of EUR 20 million headwind for that project from 2020 to 2024. So we have to stay really focused because I think as you win more and better and you win more margin discipline as you make less mistakes and if you win in the right places, obviously, we've got the opportunity to compound that with less cost and more innovation, higher differentiation that yields an improved margin and obviously sort of real margin, real profit backed by cash. And actually, as I look at this, I look at it, and I am confident. We have to make this space, and we are making this space. We have to fix the basics, and we're fixing the basics. But at the same time, you have to build the future. So, these are the 3 waves of any successful transformation. And I think, hopefully, from this narrative and some of these proof points, you see we are doing all 3 things at the same time. We talked about the importance of customers and delivering to customers and winning, and I will let you read that at your leisure, but I'm going to highlight one number, which I think is extremely important for me. It's probably the one thing I'm the most proud about, and I think our team is feeling good about it, which is the improvement on the customer Net Promoter Score. At times of change, at times of uncertainty, at times of people reductions, at times of news in the media. When you are introducing a new value proposition and you get a new team, it's really important that one learns how to protect the customer franchise. The ones that really get closer, really customer sense that there is intensity, customer sees that there is innovation, customers see there is value, there is good handholding. And I'm really pleased to see that we nearly doubled our customer Net Promoter Score in arguably really difficult situations. So I'm really hopeful that we will continue to do that as we go forward. We talked about the importance of some of the poor win rates that we need to be there. We started well with a number of deals already won early in the year, a lot to play out for, and we are certainly encouraged by the focus that our divisional CEOs have on the winning space by winning the right things. And to that example, I thought I would just share 2 examples of -- 2 what would have been bad stories that we turn into good stories. The one on the left is in the public sector. The one on the right is in the call centers, just to sort of give you a flavor. So the one on the left is a project that isn't going too well, where we weren't successful. We had an opportunity to re-tender for a variety of reasons. We retender introducing the new value proposition of Capita. We introduced a lot more automation capabilities and workflows in the back end. We introduced some hyperscaler, some consumer tech into the front end. We put a valid, more cost competitive, and we won the retender as we were hoping. Really, really well done by the team. Really proud of them. Similarly, client B in the call center business is a loss-making contract, one that we couldn't just get it to work under the wrong, the old way of doing these contracts. We found a way to terminate the contract and walk away. So as the customer came out to market, we re-engaged, but we re-engaged with them now on the basis. Now that there is no contract, this is how we would do it. This is how you would do it in 2024. We engage with them with more innovation, automation, gamification, and offshoring, putting in the right blend of ingredients that you would do today, and we won it. There might be examples, or there might just be 2. But I think it's just indicative that while it's still very early days, it's starting to work. Managed for Value, I think, Pablo, you covered it really well. I just sort of want to sort of put it there graphically in the bucket. So we've done the disposals that we talked about Capita ONE and mortgage are already signed but not completed. We talked about the very important reduction of these 8 evergreen contracts that we had just 2 years ago down to just one now. So, 8 to 1. We need to work and get that one resolved. And both on network managed services and on IT managed services, we're doing some transformational work at the core still just to figure out what is the best partnering opportunity. The bottom one is the partnering with ServiceNow, and we're still defining how we're going to do that in networks. But as important as everything is around technology, efficiencies, delivery, and customers, none of this would be possible without our colleagues. We have a really unique blend of skills in the company in multiple countries, multiple locations, multiple processes, a lot of very different job families. And it is really important that they sort of come together and feel they want to go and fight every single day for this change, for this strategy and for their customer. And I think you got there are a number of metrics. The ones that I'm sort of calling out in a difficult time geopolitically is diversity. I think diversity and inclusion are things that stand out for us that we believe in and I think the numbers show that we are a good employer and that we are fostering and driving diversity and inclusion practices and something that we're really proud of across the board. And then it's learning. I think the great work that we're doing in terms of learning and opening and creating data academies and AI academies and the work that we're doing with apprenticeships, open to a lot of people. Now we're going to have 1,500 people enrolled, management academies. It is important for everyone in the workplace to learn. It is critical for everyone in Capita to develop their career towards this new one. And we're putting a lot of investment into this and definitely to see that. There are a couple of other numbers there. Obviously, Net Promoter Score has gone down, which I do understand in times of changes, there are times of layoffs, times of discontinuity, and times of difficult decisions with regard to salary increases, and all of these things make it's hard to recommend your best friend to come and join you. But when you look at engagement, engagement is the one that really matters to me in this part of the transformation is holding high. And I think, ultimately, our attrition has gone down from being in the 30s to then go down to 30 to then now in the mid-20s and is now in the early 20s. So it's definitely going in the right direction. There's a lot of more work to do. We owe a lot to our colleagues, but I think they are starting to understand that it needs to be balanced. I actually also quite like the internal mobility, 20% up. It's important that there are job opportunities inside the company. So, as you can see, this has been a busy year. I don't know how it comes across, but there's just been a lot going on. It's been a really pivotal year of one where we're putting a lot of the foundational work upon which we're going to be building this new capital that is going to take advantage of what the future is bringing to this segment. As I said, it's a deep root and branch transformation. We are looking into everything, every single business process, every single area. There is no area that we are not inspecting because I think it's important. And I think we've made a lot of progress across technology, efficiencies, delivery, and building a better company. But there is still a lot more to do. This is year 1, and it's not going to just be immediate. So you'll be asking, what about 2025? What are you going to be doing? Well, I think you've got it up here. These are the 6 key priorities that the executive team is working on with the senior leadership team and across the company on. We got obviously our cost transformation and efficiencies. That's there to stay. We've got sales effectiveness, as we talked about in terms of how do we generate the right deals, the right wins out of the existing opportunities, and the product and innovation engine that has to be accelerated. Then, the underlying technology foundations everywhere else in the company that underpin our delivery and our day-to-day provision of services to our customers. The operating model that I just described is how do we deliver to that strategy and how do we change both the front office, the tech office, and the back office. And then, as we ramp up, how do we transform more and further the culture so the culture becomes a high-performance culture driving the business forward? So I think with all of these and all the things that we've built in, we believe that we're on a good path to reiterate our medium-term objectives and guidance of 6% to 8% on operating margin, the free cash flow conversion and the revenue, the low to mid-single digits on the later period. So, a summary, I would just say, remember, the BPS market and BPO market are changing, and it's not incremental change. It is a structural change. And technology is going to be the biggest accelerator. It's going to be the biggest disruptor, and we're doubling down on it. And we started doubling down on it heavily a year ago. However, as important as technology is, it is the human in the loop that is going to drive the difference. So you need to get both things right because I think the human and the expertise in the business process is what really differentiated technology on their own won't be enough and it won't be trusted. And I believe that we can orchestrate that value proposition really, really well. We have trusted relationships with our customers, and they were hoping for more innovation, and now they're starting to get that innovation. So, early days, modest financial progress in year 1, but I think we are well underway to build stronger foundations for a better business and a better capita. So, with that said, I think we'll just open to Q&A.
James Rosenthal
analystIt's James Rose from Barclays. I've got 2, if I may. And if I can do them one at a time. The first is on the pipeline. You have GBP 5 billion related to AI-related projects there. Is FY '25 still a year of preparation and internal focus? Or are you now at the point where you can go to market with the right cost base and the right offerings? Do you expect much higher win rates and conversion of that pipeline?
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveI think it's both. I think we still have to do some work to prepare in some areas. But in some other areas, we're ready, and we're already engaging. I mean, we already have a more competitive cost base than we had a year ago. But not as competitive as we will have it in a year's time as a function of what we announced. From a technology perspective, we've built a number of areas and where we're ready in a number of areas. But I know that come summertime, we will have a lot more AI agents available that we're building as we speak that we will be able to take to market just then. So we are in a much better place for certain segments today where we do really well, and I think we are well equipped. But for others, it still is a work in progress, and this is where Sameer and the team are working hard to get to.
James Rosenthal
analystAnd secondly, it's on the contact centers, and I appreciate the additional disclosure you've given there. It's a question about the long-term commitments you've got to the business and the long-term opportunities you see there. Your volumes have been struggling for a while. It doesn't really generate that much cash. It's competitive. Is it worth taking up so much of your time and your cost savings, or are there potentially other ways to realize value from that business?
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveYes. So if you look at the contact center market, it's a market where people are making money. We just didn't. And we didn't for what we discussed, I think Corinne presented at Capital Markets Day, we didn't do the right things at the time. We missed the boat on getting the right offshoring and nearshoring in-country balance. We missed the boat on automation. We missed the boat on MI. We missed the boat in a number of somewhat foundational things. Now that market has been transformed the fastest. So a lot of the dynamics in that market are now about call avoidance, customer intimacy, apps, and a number of things. So it proves an opportunity for us to play in the new market at the right time. So right now, this is not a pie in the sky that I believe I can make money. But it is I believe we can at least catch up with our competitors. And for the time being, all we're doing there is optimizing, injecting in these capabilities, injecting in these new ways of working, changing how we go about it to market. And right now, we've turned around, I think that Pablo did a really good bridge. I was adjusted and was losing money significant in '23 because I think that is just on the cusp in 2024. And I believe we still have a platform to make more money there.
Christopher Bamberry
analystChris Bamberry, Peel Hunt. Three questions, I can take them in turns. First of all, looking at the free cash flow, you came in towards the bottom end of the range of EUR 120 million to EUR 140 million. What determined that? And how does that flow into your guidance for this year? I mean, I guess, thinking about things like you went to a more sustaining working capital position. Have you got there? And your thoughts on deferred income for this year as well would be great.
Pablo Andres
executiveThank you, Chris. So I want to say something that is not correct, but actually landing free cash flow in this company, it's a company with a very small free cash flow number or a very small profit number. But actually, we have EUR 2.5 billion in revenue and expenses. In the last 5 days or the last 4 days, I think we collected EUR 50 million. So landing exactly a number of free cash flow is a matter of a lot of planning, a lot of working hard with our clients, but also on how the last days of the month end up panning out in a period like Christmas. So we landed in the place where I expected to, to be honest. I ended up comfortable. But when I was saying in 4 days, EUR 50 million of receipts where you don't have control, it could very easily have swung in a different direction and made the headlines without actually being a fundamental issue in the business. So from that perspective, what I think we've been doing is taking a more conservative approach, not wanting to go hard in cash flow management. And I think that leaves us exactly where we wanted to be when providing the guidance, which is from now on, it's business as usual. And I think we've got the right platform to just continue through 2025. In terms of DI and CFA, that's another complex one. In the round, over time, every contract that you win, every contract you lose, and every change in a contract can affect DI and CFA. It is true that we had a structural deficit of lack of CFA with a lot of DI, and that structural deficit is reducing from EUR 100 million to EUR 80 million last year to EUR 50 million this year, which I consider that with lots of ups and downs inside is broadly where it should be for 2024, 2025, perhaps '26 to after that, continue reducing. But yet again, it depends on the contracts you're managing. It's a live beast. And in the round, it's by chance again in a way. It's where I believe it is structurally in the right place, subject to movements, but at the right new level.
Christopher Bamberry
analystAnd the second question, what's the major rebids you have this year? And how confident are you in retaining them? The major rebids this year?
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveA lot of the major rebids happened last year. We're dealing now with a number of extensions, some significant extensions, which I am very comfortable with. There was a number I didn't mention, I think, but you probably saw it there, the north of 90% renewal rate. And I think when I say the best attack is a good defense. The first thing you have to do is just make sure that you rebid your base. You retain it really well because they know you, and then you got the value proposition. And then, from there, you can go on to win new business. So, I'm fairly confident about the deals that we got on the rebid. But a lot of the rebidding area, particularly in Korean world in contact center happened last year.
Christopher Bamberry
analystAnd final question, of the EUR 260 million of gross cost savings, how much do you actually expect to have delivered in a year by the end of this year?
Pablo Andres
executiveWe are working through it. I'm not going to commit to a single number right now. I'm confident that we will deliver the full EUR 260 million, absolutely, but it is worked through. It's not as easy as the first phases of a transformation. It requires redesigning of processes, redesigning of IT, and injecting Gen AI into our processes. It's not as easy, and I don't want to commit to a number.
David Brockton
analystIt's David Brockton from Deutsche Numis. Just one question area, please, in respect of the reinvestment of some of those cost savings, you're still earmarking EUR 50 million reinvestment. Do you now know, and have you identified where that EUR 50 million will go? Can you give any more insight into it? And also, as you deploy that, how do you make sure it doesn't become EUR 75 million, EUR 100 million, or more?
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveWell, the second part of the answer is really easy. It's management discipline. It will not become more than it needs to become. As a matter of fact, we will not invest or reinvest the EUR 50 million unless we're 100% sure that we're going to get the right return. A lot of investment or reinvestment is going to go into building those AI agent capabilities because that is what enables a better service delivery, more competitiveness, and then additional cost savings in the organization. That's going to be a significant part in there to be able to get that scale. Then there's going to be deployment of those innovations or whatever we will do to go and then deploy across call centers, operations, customers. So it's what I would call last-mile deployment of innovation. And then there is going to be some commercial investment. There might be opportunities where we see that they might not just be ideal if we come with it, but we know we need to win them. And because we have a good opportunity to be strategic about them, we can see how we can transform the cost base. We can see how we can inject, and I want to have that ability also in the P&L. So all 3 things together would sort of amount to a maximum of 50, provided everything has a positive return. I mean, you talked about the Copilot investment we've made that has a positive return. So in a perverse way, most of the reinvestment is actually coming out with a positive at the other end as well, which is really good.
Helen Parris
executiveIt's Helen. I've got some questions online if I can forward them on. So the first one is from Andrew Brooke, RBC, who's asking how much of a headwind the Army recruitment contract in terms of revenue and margin perspective when it drops out in 2027.
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveWell, so first of all, let me just put this out there. We're the only outsourced government contractor who knows how to do this because we are the only ones doing it today for someone in the case of the Army. So when we bid for that contract, and this was like in my first few weeks in the role, we have to make the decision very quickly. We made a decision to just bid for quality, not to beat to win. There's too much at stake here. There's national deters. This is too important to the forces and too important to security. And it's too much risk for a company to just sort of go and beat to just win and then figure it out. This was not a contract where you just take a commercial risk. So, we price to deliver based on our knowledge. Obviously, that disqualified us and somebody else. That said, we're still working with the Army on Army recruitment, really joined really closely. In theory, the transition should go in 2027. And I have to say in theory, because this is a major undertaking, as you know. So far, the Royal Air Force and the Royal Navy are doing this themselves. So there is a significant amount of normalizing, figuring out a transitioning plan that needs to happen with them to, with us with the forces. So if it happens in 2027, that will be when it happens, but it's still to be seen when it will happen. It goes up and down based on scopes of work and additional pieces of things that we do, it could be anything between EUR 70 million and EUR 90 million from 2027 or 2028, whenever happens.
Helen Parris
executiveOkay. Thank you. As you know, we have a number of retail shareholders. So I think I'll just put this in one question, which is, could you reinstate what our dividend policy is and when dividends could be restored?
Pablo Andres
executiveYes. Our dividend policy was set out very clearly at the Capital Markets Day, and it hasn't changed. So first, we want to deleverage the company. Then we need to invest in the business. Only after those are done will we consider dividends and capital returns.
Helen Parris
executiveThen the final one from online is, could you update us on the international sales effort, which I think is probably a contact center-related question?
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveYes. Well, there're 2 sides to it. So from a public sector perspective, there is also an international cooperation work that we are starting and where we're working with the forces who are sort of facilitating, enabling some engagement with friendly nations where they want to participate in some of the work that we're doing for them in the United Kingdom. Some of our offerings are already offered internationally. Look at our fire service college; a lot of the service we provide out of our service college in the Cott walls is for international firefighters as well there. So there's that angle that is an emerging angle. And then internationally, when it goes to Ireland, we're seeing probably a better progress in Ireland that we have seen in Germany. We have a successful campaign in Switzerland. But yes, it's sort of there we do international just sort of summary; it just depends. But some areas are going well, and others are still challenged. Germany is still challenged. Switzer is doing well, and Ireland is doing well.
Helen Parris
executiveI've got a very detailed question here for you, Pablo, from Michael Brown. He said at the December RNS that I believed that the incremental EUR 90 million of cost savings would be H1 weighted. Is this still the case? That's the first part.
Pablo Andres
executiveWe are working hard to be able to deliver the full EUR 90 million. The more you act in the first half, the higher the chances you get to deliver the EUR 250 million in total exit run rate. Therefore, yes, we're working hard in finding the solutions and putting them into implementation, ensuring that at least by June, we do have a line of sight of how that builds month by month to deliver the year savings.
Helen Parris
executiveSecondly, how much of the EUR 140 million cost savings identified in 2024 will annualize in the full year 2025?
Pablo Andres
executiveThe full of them.
Helen Parris
executiveFinally, is it likely that full year '25 will see the full exposure of the EUR 50 million reinvestment? Or is it likely that this will be an annualized number that falls into full year 2026?
Pablo Andres
executiveSo right now, the way the business models have been built is that they are assuming that this is flowing into the baseline for the next few years. It's something that we're figuring out as we speak, depending on where we choose to invest. So if we invest it on commercial terms in a contract that we think is the right thing to do, it will flow through. We are not taking an aggressive stand in our models or in our expectations, trying to say that we're going to bank it as a one-off. We will work through it and deliver what's right for the company.
Helen Parris
executiveNo further questions.
Adolfo Hernandez
executiveOkay. Well, that's the case. Thank you very much for your interest. Thank you very much for the support, and I look forward to seeing you at the next event. Thank you. This concludes the webcast.
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