Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 24, 2020

New York Stock Exchange US Materials Metals and Mining conference_presentation 30 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

David Gagliano

analyst
#1

I think -- good to go? All right. Is this -- there we go. All right. So we're going to mix it up a little bit now with a fireside chat format. Joining me is Richard Adkerson, the Vice Chairman, CEO and President of Freeport-McMoRan. Freeport is the world's largest publicly traded copper company, also a major gold producer. Core assets are in Indonesia, North America and South America. Technically, Richard's time with Freeport began in 1989, when he was hired on to be the CFO of the newly merged Freeport-McMoRan, but it actually dates back slightly further than that. It actually goes back to 1970, when he was a very, very young -- very young accountant and one of his first clients was McMoRan Exploration. Obviously, he's one of the most tenured senior managers in the copper industry. And so what we'd like to do today is step away a bit from the typical Q&A session that you hear on the conference calls and dig in a little bit more on some of the bigger picture issues facing Freeport and the copper industry. So we are going to take questions from the app. And obviously, I've got a few as well. So we'll just fire away. But with that, I know you've got a few prepared remarks, so.

Richard Adkerson

executive
#2

Yes, Dave. Great to be back here at BMO. I've done so many of these. 1970, man, that's a long time ago, wasn't it. Actually, the Freeport-McMoRan merger was '81. I joined the company right with the discovery of Grasberg. So that's what made me change my career from public accounting, working with natural resource companies all along to here. You and I have had a long history together, going back Dan Roling and different places you've been. So it's great to be here. I'm just going to say a couple of broad-based things about our company, where we stand right now. You could have arranged a better day for this, Dave. So it's -- so talking about Freeport. We've had a very interesting history. And we're in a very good place right now with our company and moving towards the strategic objectives that we're moving towards. Freeport is the world's foremost copper company. Looking beyond the current coronavirus situation, which we all hope, mostly for the people that are being exposed to it, will be resolved shortly, but it's uncertain right now. Copper is the best positioned, I believe, of the major commodities from a fundamental supply-demand standpoint. It's absolutely essential in the world's economy, in construction, automobiles, everything. We just saw huge copper panels behind these screens here. And then it also benefits from the move towards carbon reduction economy with the amount of copper that's required for alternative energy generation, electric cars and the like. And then copper is really supported because of the scarcity of supply. The major producing copper mines today were generally discovered decades ago. And so it's -- we're very pleased to be focused on copper. Our set of assets are large, high-quality. We're a recognized leader technically, in developing resources, in construction large-scale processing facilities and in efficient operations that span the scope of copper mining, but also the globe in terms of geographic exposure. We have a long-standing track record of successfully operating mines that are among the very largest in the world. We have a benefit at Freeport that we operate all the mines that we own interest in. And that gives us the chance to share experiences, supply side issues, equipment, people and so forth. Our assets are really long lived. They're durable, and they have significant embedded options for resource development in the future. We have strong established franchises in the U.S., where we supply roughly 1/3 of the copper to the downstream market from our mines in the U.S., in South America, in Peru, in Chile, and also in Indonesia. Through our strong execution over the year, we've gained the trust and respect of our partners and host governments. We're very well positioned in all of the countries where we operate from that standpoint. In Indonesia, we've been the industry leader for -- since the early 80s, right now, in block cave mining. And that's critically important in achieving our goals of converting the Grasberg mine from this huge open pit, which we stopped mining in the open pit in December, to what will be the world's largest block caving operations with over 200,000 tonnes per day, 200,000 tonnes per day coming from the underground to feed our mill. We -- our Americas assets are really good, strong assets, as I said, U.S., Peru and Chile. And that's -- roughly 70% of our copper production comes from the Americas now. This is a special picture to me. I first went to the site where this pit is located in 1988, took a picture of the exploration drill that was drilling at that point. And now we've completed mining this pit. It's 2.5 kilometers across, 1,250 meters deep. It has had 5 billion metric tonnes of material taken out of it, almost 2 billion tonnes of waste of ore, which then is processed, and we have to manage the tailings from that. It has, over time, at PTFI, produced roughly 35 billion pounds of copper and over 50 million ounces of gold. So that's our history. And now we are focused on moving to the underground. And as exciting as that history was, our future is equally as bright. It's an operation where we are extending the underground. We've essentially, at this point, developed all of the infrastructure for this. It's a multiyear process. Personally, I look back and I think that was the biggest risk that we faced, was in infrastructure development. We've invested in it for over 15 years, and now we've got the infrastructure basically behind us. And now we're beginning to mine on a way that we've been mining for years, on a scale at multiple locations underground that -- of the scale that we've mined for years, and we're meeting our targets in ramping this operation up. You saw that in our fourth quarter earnings release, and now we're moving forward with it. So where we are at Freeport right now, we're executing on our major initiatives, the principal one being this Grasberg operations. And we are also developing a mine in Arizona called Lone Star, which will begin production this year and has significant growth opportunities, low capital, very good returns. We've got an initiative to improve our efficiency using data analytics that we're executing. And with success in that, and we're increasingly confident with success, even at today's cash flows our -- copper prices, our cash flows will double, our costs will drop, and we're situated to benefit from an opportunity, which I believe is real, to have more positive copper markets when all this comes together. So we're limiting our strategy right now to executing that plan. We're having success with it. We have confidence about doing it, and we're looking forward -- we're really looking forward to the future. So Dave, with that, I'll turn it over to questions.

David Gagliano

analyst
#3

Okay, great. Thanks for that summary. So I'm going to go right -- cut right to the topic of the day, at least from my seat. We've actually seen a lot of press regarding Freeport and M&A activity. I was wondering if you can just comment on your views on Freeport and M&A activity.

Richard Adkerson

executive
#4

Yes, I read the papers too, as do our partners and as do government officials around the world. So now is just not the time for Freeport to think about it, doing a big strategic move. Stock price is just too cheap. It's not just market conditions, but where we are with our production being in a trough period as we stopped mining from the pit and as we're ramping up our underground. And so clearly, we're -- I've said before, we're in a show-me mode. Market wants to see us execute this. We're doing it, but we've got ways to go. And so now, it's simply not the time for us to think about doing anything. It wouldn't be right for our shareholders. And as I talk to our shareholders, there's consistent support for that.

David Gagliano

analyst
#5

As a follow-up, when do you, in your view, think is the right time?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#6

Well, okay, let's envision a scenario. And all this time I spent in the commodities businesses makes me not feel that I'm smart enough to define markets in short term. So I'm very confident about the long-term situation for copper. But let's say a scenario is that the copper markets are better 2 years to 3 years from now. We will have completed the ramp-up. We will have our production back to normal levels. You saw those numbers, really remarkable numbers just from Grasberg, 1.5 billion, 1.7 billion pounds of copper and well over 1 million ounces of gold annually. Our cash flow is doubling. That will give us the ability to further strengthen our balance sheet. We were in a tough situation 4 years ago, as we -- it was truly a workout situation. And 4 years ago, I was returned with the responsibility for running our company. We took the steps to get the balance sheet in a very positive situation. But experience has said, the stronger the balance sheet is, the better off you are in this business. So with cash flows, we will take further steps to strengthen our balance sheet. It will give us a chance to focus on shareholder returns, either through dividends or stock buybacks, depending on the marketplace. Today, I'd be buying stock back if we were there at that point. And then we have a number of internal growth projects that we're assessing. We're going to be very disciplined about doing that. So we're not making those decisions now, but the range of options would be broad, and it will be a fun time. I mean, quite frankly, it's the reason I'm here. We're looking forward to seeing exactly what we do, do. It will be focused on what's best for our shareholders. So we're going to be talking with our shareholders and listening to their views. The one experience that I got from Freeport's unfortunate experience with oil and gas deal was that the Board didn't listen to shareholders. And I told them that, so -- they did it anyway. But when a company makes a decision to go contrary to what the shareholders want, you're really exposed, particularly if things don't turn out like you hope they would. So when oil prices dropped, copper prices dropped, we were upside down. And so that's something I'll never forget.

David Gagliano

analyst
#7

I guess, you're not getting into the oil business again anytime.

Richard Adkerson

executive
#8

No.

David Gagliano

analyst
#9

Okay. It's pretty obvious question.

Richard Adkerson

executive
#10

Did you all get that? No.

David Gagliano

analyst
#11

Just switching gears.

Richard Adkerson

executive
#12

And I grew up in the oil business. It's not bad. It's just shareholders look for Freeport -- we -- before Phelps Dodge, in 2007, for -- from the time I joined the company to 2007, we were a company that was a copper-gold company, single asset, it was 2/3 copper, 1/3 gold. And we never could get that -- we can -- you remember this. We couldn't get a good response from the marketplace for it because our goal wouldn't get the goal multiple and yet, we had a higher multiple than other base metals companies. And so that's what led us in the early 2000s to try to do something strategically with FCX. We tried to get somebody to buy us. That didn't work out. And so we ended up acquiring Phelps Dodge to where we then made our commitment to the copper business, and I think that's the right commitment. And I'm really optimistic about what that means for us in the future. We'll have our day in the sun.

David Gagliano

analyst
#13

Somewhat related question. A comment on your views, I think you may have, but product diversification, commodity diversification, how do you feel about that within Freeport?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#14

Well, you remember the big discussions before the 2008 financial market, the model for success was metal diversification, strong balance sheet. And I would debate the CEOs at the time. I've lived through like 3 generations of CEOs. And I would say, the real key to success in this business is asset quality. By quality, I mean long lives with an attractive cost structure. So I can never see us, with the Grasberg being such a great asset, of diverse -- selling interest in it just for the sake of diversification because of the correlation of economic impacts on different commodities. That was validated in 2008. So I think we are going to be focused on having high-quality assets, long lives, attractive cost structures, running them the right way, being responsible to communities, that's been part of our DNA all along, to our workers, to the environment and to communities around us. So that's what we're going to do.

David Gagliano

analyst
#15

Great. So just switching gears, drilling down a bit into Indonesia. Obviously, significant transaction. Negotiation was completed in 2018. It's been over a year now, and the question is, how does Freeport Indonesia feel? How do you feel? And how does Freeport feel and Indonesia feel about the sustainability of the current agreement? And what's changed since the deal was signed?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#16

So it was a long run. I mean we started -- they passed a new mining law in 2009. In 2011, they began trying to alter our contract. And we stood up for our shareholders and resisted that. Along with that, we had labor problems. There were security issues at site. There was environmental claims that we thought were unsupportable, and so we resisted that. We reached a low point in 2017 when early in the year, we filed for international arbitration over our contract. Everyone recognized that wasn't the desirable outcome for a long-term asset like this. So that began the process that we worked on through 2017, 2018 that led to the agreement we reached in December 2018. And the government achieves its objectives of getting a 51% equity ownership in the asset because Rio Tinto made a decision to sell its joint venture interest to the government. We essentially kept Freeport's existing interest through this. And so today, the government has basically 75% of the economics of the project through taxes and share ownership. They exacted from us an obligation to build a smelter, and we're in the process of doing it. In return, we got approval of our contract extension to 2041. We have stabilized and fixed financial and legal terms. We resolved all these environmental claims. And we continue to operate the business, which was a requirement for us through a shareholders' agreement. So everybody was happy. The President was happy. Everybody was happy when we signed it. Here we are over a year later, I was just in Jakarta. And I can tell you, it's worked very well. Our interests are now aligned to buy Rio Tinto, the state-owned company, Inalum. They call themselves MIND ID now, went to the public market, issued $3 billion of bonds, not guaranteed by the government. They have ambitions of growing that business and doing additional financing. For them to service their financing, they have to see success in this operations. They learned enough about it to know that it was very complicated, and they needed the resources of a global copper company like Freeport to take this on. And now we're aligned. And so I believe it's sustainable. What's changed is that the President, Joko Widodo, was elected for a second term. There's some changes in the cabinet. We all believe that stability is the key right now at this stage, so that we can complete the underground ramp up. We retained the economic interest of our -- the economics of the Rio Tinto joint venture through a shareholders agreement. Ultimately, the government will get 51% of the dividends. Now we get most of the dividends. So we're all happy. I'm -- personally, I'll tell you, I'm happier than I've been in years.

David Gagliano

analyst
#17

Excellent. I don't want to completely dominate the Q&A. Any questions from the floor? Okay. I'll keep going then. We're going to just switch gears for a second. On the -- obviously, a lot of talk about ESG, and the question is, how do you think the industry is doing in managing ESG risk? How has that changed in your career? And specifically, can you comment on how the ESG issue has affected Freeport, if at all, in terms of the way you do business on a day-to-day basis?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#18

So the industry's record over time has obviously been spotty. And I mean it depends on how far back you go. But with the way the world's changed in terms of the expectations of local governments and as you've gotten a connectivity of human rights, environmental issues, people working together across the world, the industry is having to respond to it. That led us to form ICMM, which I have served as Chairman for 2 terms and I think the longest-standing member there now, but it's been very effective in addressing these issues. And it's a collection now of 27 of the world's largest mining companies, and we're addressing it. From Freeport's standpoint, we got an early start because of the Grasberg mine, which Freeport began operating at the site in the early '70s. And it's very complicated, as complicated a situation as you can get. It's -- the mine was at 14,000 feet. It rains 200 to 400 inches a year there. It's one of the highest mountain ranges in the world. There's an indigenous population there that's racially different than the rest of the Indonesians. Their religion is different. They were incredibly undeveloped when I first went there 30 years ago. And so we had to be a contractor for the government because the government had the contract. And the government of Indonesia has changed over the years. It was ruled by Suharto through 1998 and then emerged as a democracy, and that's created changes and complications in certain respects. And then the indigenous people have grown. And so we knew we had to meet our obligations to the government, but we could not be successful without being responsible to the local people. So 1996, we committed, with Rio Tinto, 1% of our revenues voluntarily to support a fund that is now reaching over $800 million. We started employing Papuans and training them. These people were as undeveloped as any people you could find around the world. Today, we have about 30,000 workers at Grasberg, 40% of those are Papuans. We have 10 vice presidents that are Papuans, and we just named our first Papuan director. And so we're committed to doing that as we go forward. It's great to go and watch this underground operation. And by the way, tomorrow night, at your event, there's going to be a Freeport booth where we've got a virtual reality tour of the underground, and you'll be able to see this, but see these remote-controlled robotic underground mining operations being conducted at the surface with a group that includes a large group of Papuan women. It's just a great thing to see. So we've been leaders in the ESG movement, we'll continue to be. We're working now actively with ICMM and dealing with this tailings safety initiative, which is very complicated. But the industry just has to deal with this. It's a reality, plus it's the right thing to do.

David Gagliano

analyst
#19

I think that's the first tour of Grasberg in over 20 years. Even if it's VR, it would be great, and I think it's...

Richard Adkerson

executive
#20

Worth seeing. It's kind of -- it was my idea. My son gave me one of these virtual reality things to play with. And I got on Google Earth, and I went down to the coast and followed the river up and went up to the mine. And I said, because we're getting this flood of people from Jakarta who want to come see the mine, I said, let's go underground with this. And so it was technically kind of a challenge, but you can literally go through the pit, go into the port, we'll see all the massive infrastructure that we have there underground. It's worth seeing.

David Gagliano

analyst
#21

Okay. We've got a couple of questions from the app. First of all, what's the impact of coronavirus to you and the copper industry so far? And do you expect force majeures going forward as we've seen from some other commodities?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#22

So in advance of this presentation, I checked around to see what was going on within our company and talked to some of our suppliers. And to date, the impact in terms of supply chain issues is relatively muted. And we're still shipping concentrate to China. Copper inventories are building, of course. You see that in Shanghai and in LME as a big part of China has just been shut down now. So it's having an impact on copper consumption that's building up inventories. To date, for example, Caterpillar factories in Northern China are working, and we're not experiencing significant supply chain issues. We had a business round table call last week with the Secretary of Health and Human Services in the U.S. and people from the Communicable Disease Center and the White House. And we're all being prepared. Look, we've got 30,000 people in the highlands of Papua living together in close quarters and working together. And we've got to take precautions, although Indonesia to date has not had reported cases. But it's -- right now, it's a big uncertainty as we see into this morning's news about the spread. And what they told us was, this is an easily communicable disease. The effects have not been as serious in occurrences as -- for affected people as MERS or SARS. So anyway, it's a question right now of being prepared.

David Gagliano

analyst
#23

Okay. Another one from the app. Can you comment on your debt position, debt reduction versus -- your view on debt reduction versus dividend payout?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#24

So right now, with lower production and with the dropping copper prices, our cash flow is being used to complete the capital project of the underground ramp up. And so our debt has creeped up a bit, it's still at a level that we're comfortable with. And we just did a bond offering, a successful bond offering, last week where we raised $1.3 billion to refinance some maturities. So we've pushed that -- continue to push out our maturities. And by the way, even with the coronavirus overhang, we did this at 100 basis points lower than the financing we did last August. So Freeport's position in the credit market is being restored and has been restored. But when we get additional cash, we are going to pay down some more debt and get that to a reasonable level. 2011, we had 0 debt, and I like that. But we're not necessarily going to 0 now before we begin shareholder returns.

David Gagliano

analyst
#25

Okay. Somewhat related in a certain respect. You've been bullish copper throughout basically. And obviously, there's been some ups and downs during that time, and looks like today is going to be a bit of a down day. But how has the volatility in copper prices affected the way you manage capital investments, capital allocation?

Richard Adkerson

executive
#26

So when I joined Freeport in 1989, I looked at the copper market, and at that point, it was really a cyclical business. China was not a factor in the marketplace. It was developed economies. And when the business cycle would turn up, copper demand would turn up. It was a fractured industry. Projects would be developed. There were a lot of available projects in the '90s that got developed. And with the time lag, copper would come onstream. Business cycle would turn down, and you had a copper cycle. 2003, when I became CEO, you may have been there at that conference that I first started talking about this. The price of copper dropped to, at one point, below $0.70 a pound. No CEOs in the industry thought it would go above $1 in the foreseeable future. And yet the world came out of recession, China started emerging. In about 2006, copper was at $4 a pound, totally unexpected. Everybody thought at that point there would be this wave of new project development. I remember one of my friends, who was a CEO of another company, saying, we don't want -- when the price of copper was 75%, we don't -- $0.75, they said, we don't want to see a higher copper price because it will bring in uneconomic investment. The world turned around and all of a sudden projects weren't there, geologically, and there were other barriers to projects, and even though mining companies have grown to have very substantial resources. You listen to each of the larger companies, copper is high in their strategic priorities. But here we've been now since '73, we've had to go through the financial crisis and other global economic things, but people have been trying to develop copper resources and we're still scarce in supply. And that's what probably makes us such a good business to be in.

David Gagliano

analyst
#27

Okay. And with those very optimistic remarks, but accurate, unfortunately, we have to wrap it up.

Richard Adkerson

executive
#28

Sure.

David Gagliano

analyst
#29

But thank you very much. Thank you.

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