Gujarat Themis Biosyn Limited (506879) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
November 12, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day, and welcome to the Q2 and H1 FY '22 Earnings Conference Call of Gujarat Themis Biosyn Limited. This conference call may contain forward-looking statements about the company, which are based on the beliefs, opinions and expectations of the company as on date of this call. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Dr. Sachin Patel, Director at GTBL. Thank you, and over to you, sir.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThanks very much. Good afternoon, everyone. I would like to wish you all a very warm welcome to GTBL's earnings conference call for Q2 and H1. I would like to begin by expressing my gratitude to you all for taking the time to join us today. Unfortunately, Mr. Rajneesh Anand will not be able to join us for this call as he is not feeling well. However, we have on this call with us Mr. Tushar Dalal, our Group CFO; Mr. Sangameshwar Iyer, our Company Secretary, Group Company Secretary and Compliance Officers; and Bridge IR, our Investor Relations team. Since this is our maiden earnings conference call, I would like to share a brief overview of our company and its recent developments before we get into the business and financial performance. GTBL was established in 1981 as a joint venture company between the government of Gujarat in form of GIIC and Chemosyn, and subsequently, it became a listed entity in 1984. GTBL has grown over years to collaboration with various other players such as the Pharmaceutical Business Group that is PBG and Yuhan Corporation. In due course of this time, GTBL established a strong R&D, which enables us to develop its own expertise and fermentation products. Today, GTBL is one of the few fermentation-based manufacturers of pharma intermediates in India with a robust technical know-how and capabilities. We have an environmentally friendly and sustainable process using a aerobic bacteria for fermentation. Our current product portfolio grew with rifampicin in 1991 and lovastatin in 2003. Subsequently, the company started manufacturing Rifamycin S as an intermediate for rifampicin. During the year 2020, we changed our business model from contract manufacturing to own manufacturing and sales model. After fulfilling all the contractual obligations, we were able to make the strategic shift, which has led to improved realizations and substantially improved margins. This change gave us better access to market and a competitive advantage to command better margins. Our current product portfolio comprises of Rifa S that is and Rifamycin S and Rifamycin O in addition to state-of-art manufacturing facility in Vapi, Gujarat. We are also expanding our R&D base to focus on new product development. As mentioned earlier, fermentation-based process for intermediate development has its own challenges. But with our own long -- but with our long experience of product development and making it commercially viable or confidence in time. I hope you must have gone through the presentation where we have also mentioned about our road map for development and launch of new [ intermediates ]. Also, we plan to move up the value chain and forward integrating to manufacturing APIs. As for numbers, the impact of the change in the business model is evident in the performance over quarters since the shift, firing, minor fluctuations due to lockdowns. Now coming to some key recent developments. As you're all aware, during the last 1.5 years, the world has witnessed an unprecedented calamity in form of the COVID pandemic, which brought the whole supply chain and the entire economy to a staggering cost. It impacted every aspects of our lives from personalized sales to businesses and industry worldwide. Like every other business, we were also impacted by the logistics and supply chain here due to various lockdowns to curb the virus outbreak. The second wave also led to a lockdown in the beginning of this fiscal year. However, being in the pharmaceutical sector, we were able to continue to cater to our health care industry. During the first quarter of '21, we undertook a planned -- sorry, during the last quarter of '21, we took a planned shutdown of our plants for approximately 3 months. This was from maintenance and upgradation of the facility which is done periodically. As a result, we were able to improve internal operations efficiencies when we resumed operations. On another note, we recently concluded our strategic partnership with South Korea based Yuhan Corporation and bought over their stake in a company to the parent companies, group companies. While Yuhan has been one of our oldest technology partners, the association had come to a station and there was no further value addition for either of the 2 companies. The decoupling was enable us to better formulate and execute future growth states in the later. Going forward, we are focusing on R&D and new product development and strive to expand our presence in the value chain and overall market. Now coming to the financial performance. I shall hand over to Mr. Tushar Dalal, who will take you through it. Thank you.
Tushar Dalal
executiveI am Tushar Dalal, Group CFO of GTBL Group. A very good afternoon to all of you. Now let me take you directly to the Q2 for the financial year '22. We reported INR 35 crores in the revenue during the Q2 financial year '22, 28.86% year-on-year rise. This growth was driven by higher volumes and better product mix. Our EBITDA excluding the other income for the quarter was INR 18.45 crores, an increase of 25.1% year-on-year, and our margin was 52.63 percentage. Our PAT during the quarter is INR 13.79 crores as against INR 11.35 crores in the second quarter of financial year '21, an increase of 21.5%. Net profit margin stood at 39.35%. The earnings per share for this quarter is INR 9.49. The [indiscernible] capital per share is only INR 5. For the half year end date H1 '22, we reported INR 67.49 crore in revenue during H1 '22, 57.46% year-on-year rise. Growth was driven by a strong rise in the volumes and the improved product mix. Our EBITDA, excluding the other income for the period stands at INR 35.17 crores, increasing 64.84% year-on-year. EBITDA margin is 52.11%, an improvement of 233 basis points. For PAT, during this half year is INR 26.71 crores as against INR 16.92 crores in the first half financial year '21, an increase of 57.8% (sic) [ 57.9% ]. Net profit margin stood at 39% higher by 11 basis points. Earnings per share for this period is INR 18.39. This is all from our side. We can now take the questions. Thank you.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Srinath V. from Bellwether Capital.
Srinath V.
analystJust want to get a better understanding of who are the key players in this market since this is the first con call, and we are just trying to understand your company. What will be the total fermentation capacities in India? And who are the key players? And I'm told that there's pharmaceutical application and nonpharmaceutical applications also for fermentation like [indiscernible] and so on. So I want to understand the dynamics and where we stand in this -- the whole picture. I'll come back for the second question.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think as a company, we are purely focused on pharmaceuticals. So we would have little knowledge on the fermentation sector, which is not pharmaceutical based. As you rightly pointed out, you have sectors like food supplement, at the same time enzymes, too. So I would not get into that. But from a pharmaceutical perspective, there was a time where there were almost about a dozen or even more companies in India, which unfortunately could not stay for a very long time due to the competition that -- the pricing competition that came from China. So at the moment, there is probably a handful of companies that still remain. But as an independent company, I think it will be con call that we're one of them. And there are 1 or 2 more which are coming up as independent fermentation basis companies.
Srinath V.
analystAnd this China competition that the whole industry faced a few years ago, was this driven by what -- which are the price cost levers that they had? And I can see power cost is a significant part of your process. But outside of that, what were the other advantages that China had and what has changed in the last 2 years for this migration back to India?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think there have been 2 factors. So one is as you very rightly pointed out power. In case of fermentation, the largest cost in terms of utilities comes from power. The raw material cost is not as significant as the cost of utilities, which is essentially power. So that is definitely one. And as one sees across sectors, not just fermentation, but across sectors due to the increase in power cost of tariffs in China and also the unavailability of the same in certain areas that has been a disruption in supply chain, at the same time, prices also. So we have -- I don't think it is only related to fermentation, but overall, you have seen increase in prices of products coming from China, and this is one of them. And I think the only difference over here being that there are not too many companies that still continue to be in fermentation of pharmaceutical products in India. So we believe that there is a unique position that all those companies who are in the fermentation sector for pharmaceuticals that are there in India have going ahead.
Srinath V.
analystA little basic question out here. So what is the complexity in fermentation that a large player who -- either the API large player who is buying the intermediate from you or the formulation player who is buying API is not doing the same thing in a captive manner, because our Indian pharma companies are largely champion companies who have now gained significant global market share in formulation. So what is the complexity of -- what is the specific reason why large companies don't prefer doing this in-house and would have players like you or Chinese players kind of handling this complex product?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThe complexity starts from the fact that you need to have access or you need to be able to develop those microbes that are going to produce this product. That is only the beginning. The second part is they behave, these microbes behave very differently when you move them from a laboratory to 50,000-liter fermenter. So the economics completely, I mean, changed. So that is the second part of complexity which is there. The third is how do you design these kind of fermentation facilities from lab data to commercial data. So that's know-how and that knowledge is very important, which not too many people have. And fourth is -- which is probably easier, I would [indiscernible] this the CapEx, which is required. So you may start in the laboratory, but for example, a replacement value of a facility that we have right now would be upwards of INR 200 crores, excluding the land and the paraphernalia that goes with it. So that is the kind of CapEx that you need to put in while not knowing a lot of what is going to happen from the laboratory [indiscernible] panel production. And then there is time, because it will take at least 2 years, if not more to set up this facility. Followed by that, it would take even more time for regulatory approvals to come. And so there is a good gestation period besides the risk which is involved in going quarters.
Srinath V.
analystGot it. Got it. And then last question before I get back into the queue is I want to understand from, again, a macro picture which are the therapeutic areas of products that use fermentation in the API? A significant portion of the API value is being derived out of fermentation. And so from where we stand here, I would like to understand the 5-, 7-year opportunity in therapeutic areas. And again, there are a lot of biologic products that are coming in from new drug discovery. Is there an opportunity in that space also in small batch production? So if you could kind of map the current fermentation landscape and how is it likely to change over the next 5, 7 years?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo I will address the question into 2 parts. The first is the therapeutic categories that involve fermentation, they are wide in [indiscernible], because you have something which is starting from penicillin derivatives to other anti-infectives and then you have something which is even in the field of statins, which is cholesterol reduction. So it is more depends upon what is the synthesis or how one product is produced more than therapeutic category. And our selection again is for products that we want to work on or we are working on in terms of the future is not therapy dependent, but it's technology dependent. What are we going to be good at in terms of producing, we believe. So that is going to be the strategy going ahead. And with regards to biologics, that's a completely separate area, we are not into it as yet. We don't know what we will do going ahead. But at the moment, our focus is on secondary metabolite fermentation product and not biologic. I hope that answers your question.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Keshav Kumar from RakSan Investor.
Keshav Kumar
analystSir, since December 2019, our margin has expanded considerably and your disclosures had attributed the change to change of the business model is the reason for the same. But I noticed that you had also started making rifamycin O, which is used for rifaximin around the same time. So how much of the shift or growth has come about due to Rifa O?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo the change has come in because of the change in business model and not necessarily in terms of what we are producing, whether it is Rifa O or Rifa S, because the concept essentially is that before that we were working on a cost plus basis or a fixed margin basis. And then we started working. We went out after concluding all those contractual obligations. We came out of it, and we started moving to market price-based model. So that was a big change that led to change in the margins rather than one product over the other.
Keshav Kumar
analystAnd sir, on your website, I can see that it's largely a 2-product company. Is that right?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThat's right.
Keshav Kumar
analystSo sir, could you elaborate if we do get a substantial chunk from Rifa O? Or is it not largely contributing a lot to the overall picture?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo I think it would depend from month-to-month. Overall, we would say that it is probably evenly balanced out.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Puneet, an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAm I audible?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes, yes.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeCongrats for the wonderful results. Sir, I have 2 questions. One is on the sales and operating profit margin. So can we consider the recent run rate of INR 30 crores, which is very good actually in the last 2 quarters. Is it sustainable? Along with your operating profit margins of 50% approximately. So one, it is sustainable and from where it is coming. Is it because of volumes or something else? That is question number one, if you can answer first.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo I think we would not be making any forward-looking statements in terms of what is going to happen ahead. So unfortunately, I will not be able to answer that particular question. With regards to where the margins are coming from, I think it is efficiencies and market price-related pricing with better efficiency. So that is where the margins I would say are coming from.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSir, my second question would be what is your capacity utilization as of now? And any further plans for CapEx in the coming quarters or months?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveOur current -- so last -- in the last financial year, our capacity utilization was about 75%. In the first 2 quarters, we are close to the almost complete capacity utilization. And we have significant CapEx plans going ahead considering that we want to increase the number of products that are there. We don't really feel the need to increase capacity for our current products, but we definitely see a lot of opportunity in terms of introducing new products, which we are working on in the facility.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo are we expected to be launched within this current financial year? Or the plans are further ahead?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveIt would be further ahead. There is a gestation period should be for the financial.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Ranvir Roy ], Individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendee[indiscernible].
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI'm not able to hear you very clearly.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeIs it better now?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNot completely.
Operator
operatorSir your voice is breaking up, maybe request you to move to a better reception area, please.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeIs it better now? Am I audible?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. Sir, I wanted to talk about the earlier participants of [indiscernible]. Sir you just mentioned that the plans are significant, but -- and the CapEx will start contributing from the next financial year. Is that correct understanding?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes. The return on the CapEx would be in the next financial year or even the year after that perhaps.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. And this will be of production similar lines? I mean that the fermentation area [indiscernible]?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveOur business will be focused on fermentation products, yes.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd sir, presuming I mean CapEx, I mean, would be larger [indiscernible] accruals [indiscernible] in the kind of cash related [indiscernible]
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI am not able to hear you very clearly unfortunately.
Operator
operatorUnfortunately sir, your voice is very faint. We are unable to hear you clearly.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeIs it better now?
Operator
operatorYes, sir.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo the CapEx would be largely funded from internal accruals? Or how did this -- I mean, or debt funding has also been acquired for the CapEx?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveFor moment, it will be internal accruals, but we are open to moving to debt, too, considering the fact that the project cost is anticipated to be in the vicinity of about INR 200 crores plus.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. Okay. And this INR 200 crore CapEx, if you guys have [indiscernible] like entire INR 200 crore CapEx commissioned over the next financial year or the year after that?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNo, it will be spread over 2 to 3 years.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Nikhil Upadhyay from Security Investments.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystCongratulations on a good set of numbers. Continuing on the discussion, you mentioned that basically, if you look at in last one year, the way government has moved around on the fermentation sector or in the [indiscernible] -- and the PLI teams which are coming up, are you looking at participating in any of the PLI products? Or is it purely new products which you are developing?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNo, our strategy is not focused around PLI products. Unfortunately, our products don't match what we are looking at. So our products are pretty much out of that box.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystAnd what -- can you just share what is the pipeline of product in terms of number of molecules? Would it be like 5, 7 molecules in -- which are currently in the R&D stage and would be build up?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe're looking at 6 products for now.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystProducts, and these would be like their commissioning would be in line with the [indiscernible] commission.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveAbsolutely.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystAnd a large part, what we understand is from discussions with various players is like China was a key player in the fermentation facility globally and even in India. These 6 products, would it be largely like import substitution kind of a market which we are looking at? And given on export in the fermentation-based products, has there been significant price, prices have gone up significantly where you see that are entering those molecules may make sense now versus earlier?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think -- so the strategy that we are going by has to be a mix of replacement of imports, plus new products, which have literally just come out. So we can't work on a strategy, which has been clear replacement of China. I don't think it would be a -- let's see something that would be great. So it is a mix of both. And our product selection and how we intend to commercialize the same is also very clear in our plan. Obviously, this is something which would be I think trade secrets at this stage.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystJust my question could be a naive a little bit. But -- what we understand is like the reason why most companies, as you mentioned, is that the CapEx is a major deterrent in terms of any new player entering the presentation fermentation manufacturing et there are many very limited capacities in India or players who are able to do it in successful base. How do you see the scenario playing out? Because what has happened is that the pricing has also gone up for many of these molecules with the issues around China Incrementally, there could be more players. So is it capital the only reason for not putting capacity? Or is it like the ability to handle the molecule in a successful way or larger [indiscernible]?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo I think the 4 points that I raised, I in fact, raised capital as only the fourth point, which I said was insignificant because you will always be able to find capital. So I don't think that is a deterrent if projects have viability, I think it is more of the know-how and people. These are the 2 key points I believe in this industry going ahead. Capital will come from one source or the other in my opinion.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystAnd lastly, you mentioned like 3 years back, there was a change in the contractual terms from cost per model. So can you just educate me what was the earlier arrangement and whom we had the arrangement with and what was the reason for the change in model. So is it like that it was -- we decided to end the contract, the customer is the same? But on a new price basis, we have entered the contract because I'm new to the company, so I don't know what was the history of earlier and now what is?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo we had a contract which was a cost-plus-based contract where we had 0 risk in terms of the cost to be covered, and we had a fixed margin business over there. And from there, we decided that we are -- and we were working with a single company. And we decided that we would like to come out of that, take the risks. We should come with moving into non -- with a market price model rather than a cost-based model, which means that if we were not able to sell, we would have a problem. But we decided to come out of that contract and enter into a sales contract, which was market price based.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystThis contract was not related with our parent company, maybe was in the content [indiscernible] ?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes, it was an independent company. It was nothing related to the parent.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhwanil Desai from Turtle Capital. As there is no response from the current participant, we move to the next question from the line of Vaibhav Badjatya from HNI Investment.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystJust I have 1 or 2 questions. So on the existing contracts that we have with the customers, if you can help us understand what is the general typical nature of the duration of the contract and how the price resetting mechanism [indiscernible] I mean -- is it resettled every 1 year, 2 years, 3 years or -- and what is the general tenure of the contract?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo I would only say that fairly they're stable contracts. Anything beyond that would be difficult for us to put out in the public domain.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Karthi Keyan from Suyash Advisors.
Karthi Keyan
analystSir, more of the same set of questions. So just trying to understand the business a bit better. My first interaction, so kindly bear with me. A couple of things you talked about developing 6 different products. So can you talk about the process involved in developing new products? And is any of this coming from a customer request or do you develop these independently? And secondly, also the capacity you are planning to put up, can you give us a scale perspective in terms of what percentage of the local requirement would this be able to meet or global requirement? I wouldn't have a context, if I may. Talk about that. And also is there any dependence on China for the basic material sourcing the microbes, basic [indiscernible] or whatever, would those be coming from China? These are the 3 broad questions that I have.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo think in terms of -- I'll address your second question first in terms of the capacities, we are the total fermentation capacity we have at the moment is about [ 450 ] cubic meter. And we are planning to double this, for which we have already received the EC clearance -- so that's on the capacity side. With regards to raw materials or anything else associated with this project, we are not depending upon China. And could you repeat the first question again? Was it with regards to the product?
Karthi Keyan
analystI was asking you about the product development cycle involved and whether there is any customer input involved in the past?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes. The products are developed in-house, which means that we are not expecting nor are depending upon any customer to provide us any help on this particular front. In terms of the cycle, it typically involves having the strain, growing it in the laboratory, growing it at a pilot facility, understanding the strain, how it grows, what is the most productive, most efficient way of reducing it and then scaling it up to a commercial level. So it's a step-by-step process. At each stage, you understand what are the environmental conditions, which are best suited for a microbe to grow and produce what you wanted to produce. And that's how the process works. And finally, when you move to a large market, you have to figure out how you won't be able to extract the product of interest from this broth, which has a lot of things, including the microbe to its pure form that is required as a pharmaceutical product.
Karthi Keyan
analystBroth contours, I understand. What I asked you was what was the time involved in developing these 6 different products. And so if you start today, by when would you be able to commercialize a particular product?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo we envisage that in about 2 years, we'll start producing them for the Indian and the ROW markets and 3 years for the regulated markets.
Karthi Keyan
analystSo in 3 years, you will be able to target the regulated markets?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes.
Karthi Keyan
analystInteresting. And when you said that there is no China independence, so these are locally available basic materials as such?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes.
Karthi Keyan
analystInteresting. And would you be able to indicate the areas -- the broad areas, at least to say, therapeutic or otherwise?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNo, unfortunately, not because that would, it would give a very clear idea in terms of what molecules we would be perhaps working on.
Karthi Keyan
analystAnd in terms of yield, would you be able to confirm whether you are at a reasonably commercially, [indiscernible] viable company? Have you been able to achieve that? Would you be able to say anything on that?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes, that's we can because we cannot compare it with other companies because we don't know what's necessary the yield is, but we can compare it with the market price.
Karthi Keyan
analystRight. And you think that you are in a good place?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe are in a good place, yes.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Pratik Poddar ], and individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSir, just a bit curious. When I look at your balance sheet, the CWIP is INR 4 crores, you talked about INR 200 crore CapEx. I'm just trying to understand where you get this confidence of -- even if I look at your net fixed assets, they're just like INR 17 crores, and you're setting up a INR 200 crores kind of a CapEx, where is this confidence coming from? And when does this CapEx really start contributing to your revenues? Is it H2 of FY '23 or FY '24? That's question number one.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think we -- in terms of confidence, we see an opportunity, and we see cash flows. And both these things combined together we feel that -- and we have the knowledge. I think probably the third part was the most important, the knowledge and the know-how to be able to do that. So that, I think, gives us a reasonable confidence that we should go ahead with these projects. And with regards to when the projects will come to, it could be end of '23, beginning of '24. But I would say 2 years from now, we should be in a position to have something for the Indian or ROW market, Indian and/or ROW market.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd sir, what is the size of opportunity of these 6 molecules not getting into the names, et cetera? Just broadly, what kind of potential are there for these molecules?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo the way we are calculating it is that if we are doing a CapEx of INR 200 crores, we should be able to see an ROI within 3 to 4 years.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeThat's really helpful. And lastly, sir, is it fair to say that you are a company since 1981. Was this contract manufacturing, something which was a shuttle to you? And once you got out of that contract that now we will see the true potential or you can see the true potential of your R&D getting commercialized on this?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI wouldn't say that. I think the contracts that we had before was also a very important one, because those were turbulent times in this industry. The opportunity that we see at this time did not exist at that time. So I think it's a question of standing in the right place at the right time.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd when you talk about -- sorry, circling back to the ROI question, when you talk about 3 to 4 years ROI, is it post-tax, pretax?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThese are pre-tax.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd lastly, sir, any specific reason that is such an old company, we've got tested in '84 as we talked about -- yet we're not scaled up. So any thoughts as to why has that happened?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNo, I think as I said at the start of the first question that came in the fermentation industry in India went billion times. So there were lots of ups and downs, and you see all major companies -- I mean, all the major companies have fermentation units. But at some point or the other, decided to stop that. And the reason essentially was that the companies were bleeding because of the pricing pressures which were there, which has changed, which has changed now, not from only a pricing pressure angle, but globally, companies are also looking at building up supply chains, which are varied. So I think both those things combined together make it an interesting area to be in.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeAnd sir, are these margins, which you've reported sustainable? Last question.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think what you're asking me is to speculate what the pricing of the product from the world is going to be growing somehow, right? It is hard for me to say that.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhwanil Desai from Turtle Capital.
Dhwanil Desai
analystAre you able to hear me?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes.
Dhwanil Desai
analystSachin, the first question is -- so you talked about the profit or the difficulty level in the fermentation side where when you scale up to commercial scale, how the living organism behave on a much larger reactor, it is very difficult to predict. So when you go into the CapEx mode, I'm sure that the risk is where you scale up from less scale to the commercial space. So how do we handle that risk apart from having the prior experience? How do we handle that with?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think that is what you said is the key thing, [indiscernible]. That is probably the most important aspect in terms of designing facility in terms of new products that you want to set up. So for example, this current facility was also set up or the modification, the key modifications were made with the technical collaboration that we had with Yuhan Corporation at the time. And through that experience of working together for so many years, we have learned how to do the same. So that is where the correct slide is, we believe.
Dhwanil Desai
analystBut is it a possibility that for a different molecule when you actually go for scale up, it may take much longer than anticipated, and we may have to kind of realign the process, all the parameters and the stabilization time line can be different than what we anticipated in the beginning? Is that one of the....
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNo. No, it is absolutely possible. The entire exercise from day 1 till even after 15 years of production is a resistive one, whereby we have to keep on improving the thing. There is a continuous process, improvement is a continuous process in this area, like most areas, I think.
Dhwanil Desai
analystOkay, okay. Second question, Sachin is, I think you mentioned if my understanding is correct that the replacement CapEx required for what the setup that we have today can be close to INR 200 crores. Now it means that for the incremental CapEx that we are going to put up, the typical asset turns would be somewhere between 0.7%, 0.8%. Is that the right way to look at it?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSorry, I did not, I could not follow your question.
Dhwanil Desai
analystCurrently, we are doing, let's say, 2 capacities, you will do INR 140 crore of revenue in our existing setup. And if somebody else was to put up this setup, it may cost him INR 200 crores. So is that the right asset to revenue ratio for the incremental CapEx?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo I think someone asked a question with regards to what is the revenue that we would expect from the new CapEx that we are putting up. And I responded that this is the ROI we expect, because the revenue is, I think, not as material as the margins that we're going to make over here, because it depends upon what we produce. Sometimes in this particular case, for typical API industry to have this margins, you would have to have significantly larger revenues than what we are having -- what we are seeing right now. I absolutely will agree with that. So I wouldn't go by revenue, I would more go to bottom line.
Dhwanil Desai
analystOkay, got it. And last question. So I think you said that we have the products, which we can commercialize over time with the new CapEx. But in terms of the overall product basket or the theme that you look at, how many products go you start with? And then finally, at the commercialization stage, you may end up with 4 or 5 products. So that ratio for number of products that you work on because how many product gets commercialized, if that is like what to 3 is to 1, 4 is to 1, how does it work?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think it's a good question. It's a good question. One cannot expect that everything that one works on will actually reach the market. But I think we would have to work on a dozen products to get stick out. That's for sure.
Dhwanil Desai
analystOr it can be more also? I mean because typically, [indiscernible].
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYou're right. It could be more, but right now, this is what it is . With time, on time, we will figure out what more is required.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Alisha Mahawla from Envision Capital.
Alisha Mahawla
analystSir firstly, I'd just like to understand that like you mentioned earlier in the call, the CapEx that we're currently talking about will sort of commercialize only towards the end of '23, '24 and our current capacity is also utilized. So in the interim over the next 1 year, where is the growth going to come from? Is there scope to debottleneck or change our process or product mix or anything on those lines?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe are working on multiple strategies in terms of what we could do over the next couple of years. But I'm not absolutely clear on it, but it's a work in progress.
Alisha Mahawla
analystSo for the timing, I think the current run rate is sort of what will -- what we will be able to achieve something commercializes, got it, okay. And the tuberculosis drug that we do, what is the contribution of that to our overall revenue?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo it's pretty much the same as -- I think this was a question which was also asked how much is Rifa O and how much is Rifa S. So it's pretty much in line with each other. There is no one which is bigger than the other, depends from month to month.
Alisha Mahawla
analystSorry, I didn't get that.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI said it's pretty much the same. Both of them are pretty much the same. The 2 products that we have are pretty much the same. There's not a large difference between the 2.
Alisha Mahawla
analystNo, I understand. I'm just trying to say that putting those 2 together, how much would that contribute to the total revenue?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executive100% because the 2 products...
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Srinath V. from Bellwether Capital.
Srinath V.
analystSo this -- a few clarifications. So the CapEx that we are putting, again, very basic question, does it come in a phased manner or we'll have to get all the reactors together at one go? So this INR 200-plus crores CapEx, how would this play out from capacity addition that we could utilize to generate revenues?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo it would be in the phase manner, most definitely. It will not be a single order that we'd be placing. It starts -- this CapEx includes a gradation of certain parts of our facility. It also includes setting up a new R&D facility CGMP pilot facility. So there are multiple steps involved in the particular process. It will not happen on one day.
Srinath V.
analystOkay. And so how would the cash outflows kind of play out? I'm looking at both from ability to generate revenues and the expenses that it has -- so how would this kind of play out broadly over 2 years?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo about 30% of this -- about 30% to 40% of it would be in the first year and the rest of it would be in year 2.
Srinath V.
analystSo first year would be largely more stable in the construction part of it in the second year, the heavier part is because the machineries are purchased, right?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThat's right.
Srinath V.
analystThe second question I would like to understand is how much of your product segment, the spot prices I do understand that historically, we've done a lot of contract manufacturing at that point of time, the spot price is immaterial to us, but more from understand...
Operator
operatorIt seems like we lost the connection for the current participant. We move to the next question from the line of Vaibhav Badjatya from HNI Investment.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystJust one question to kind of -- if you can answer that. See, we have done this business model change from December 2019. So what was the trigger to change the model? Because why it was not done earlier and why it was not done later? What was the trigger point here, which has allowed us to change this whole model?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveOur contract was getting concluded at the time. And we saw a market opportunity, whereby we felt that this is worthwhile taking the risk of getting into business ourselves.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystGot it. And secondly is Chinese competition. So how -- why they are not able to compete now? See, I'm not talking about what has happened post COVID, their supply chain disruptions and China Plus One is strategy currently going on. But our margins have improved even pre-COVID for December '19 and March '20 as well, which is pretty much pre-COVID. So our pricing was quite attractive even at pre-COVID level. So it seems like we had the pricing power even pre-COVID period. So what has changed from the Chinese side in pre-COVID era, which has allowed us to have such a good pricing?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThe prices of fermentation products and of even nonfermentation products have increased from China, not just during the COVID time, but even before that.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystYes. So I mean, I wanted to understand why it has increased. I mean, why there was a price increase from Chinese players? Was it some additional taxes that with by the government or some kind of power subsidy going away for them what has caused them to increase the prices?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI wouldn't be able to say for sure what exactly the reasons were, I think probably most people wouldn't be able to say for sure, in fact, what could even be, whether it is power subsidiaries removed, whether it is export incentives removed, whether the financial costs have changed, whether environmental regulations have come in or whether it is an amalgamation of all these things. But the fact remains that for a lot of products of all prices have gone up.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystAnd lastly, can you help us understand or if you can name a few of the Chinese players for both of our products, I think that would be really helpful for us.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI will not be able to tell you at the top of my head. I don't think there's anyone from China who's offering Rifa O. With regards to Rifa S there will be, but it's not something that I would know but we can -- but it would be easily available from the public domain information, I'm sure.
Operator
operatorNext from the line of [ Ranvir Roy ], an Individual Investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeI had just one question. How is the revenue across brands? Like what is the client concentration and maybe the top 10 trends would contribute how much of percentage of revenue?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI'm sorry, did you -- what was the question?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeHow many clients do you service for? [indiscernible] like top 10 clients for you contribute how much to the revenue?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe are working on a contractual basis with 2 clients at the moment, and we are adding another 2.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo it's largely the revenues coming from 2 clients, correct?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThat's right.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Nikhil Upadhyay from Security Investments.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystMy question was, sir, when you are doing the INR 200 crores of CapEx and considering the market environment, which we are seeing in terms of fermentation-based product? Do you -- like most other companies who are the leaders in their product segment or are taking -- are undertaking a [indiscernible] is it generally have a good sense of the demand from the customer or customers are generally giving surety on the volume? So do you have any sense on -- like do you have any confirmation with the client and basis which you are undertaking for the large CapEx? Or is it like the market development would be done post the CapEx? Just to understand how we are going about it?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe have a fair understanding in terms of what the market size is and who is doing what in that respective product in the world, and also a strategy in terms of how we are going to commercialize the product that we have selected. I think beyond that, it would be difficult for me to comment on.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystSecondly, my question could be a bit naive. But like in many chemical processes, what we understand is the chemistry, which is the chemistry and the ability to improve the yield, which creates a big difference -- but then when we are going into the fermentation, you mentioned that the ability to work with the enzyme and checking on how it operates in our DAP environment while in a manufacturing environment, become differentiator. So -- but in similar lines like many companies work on a similar chemistry, like either chlorination, not that kind of a chemistry to improve the process and improve the yield. So in fermentation, also, are there similar line around which you would focus on in terms of enzymatic technology? Or is it like it could be across multiple domains? And our current fermentation capacity, are they restricted to a product or they can be used across products?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveFirst of all, what we are doing is very different from enzymatic chemistry. That is a completely different area from what we are talking about here. Enzymatic chemistry facilitates reaction A to reaction B, while we are producing something with the microorganism. So it's a different area, right?
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystWhere I'm coming from is like a similar line of enzymes, we would be more comfortable working at or is it like we are not restricted, we can work with multiple line of enzymes. Is there some [indiscernible] around the working process around the R&D process? Just to understand this could be a very basic question, so...
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes. So it is -- we are in a position to handle multiple strains of or various strains of bacteria or fungi, it is not necessary that it is only one still a time that we need to work with.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystAnd are the capacities restricted to a particular product or they can be used across products like many in chemical companies, people do campaign production and then use the capacity for some other products. So for fermentation, how does it work?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveIt cannot necessarily be used for all products, but it can be used for a few products. You have to be selective, because each product has its own requirements in terms of size of fermenters and also the downstream part, which is essentially purifying the materials from this microbial broth, which is there to a final API. So it is not materially possible to use the same plant for all kinds of products, but for a few kind of products for sure.
Nikhil Upadhyay
analystAnd lastly, based on our current gross block and the new CapEx, which we would be doing how many fermenter you would be putting in terms of number of machines. And so you mentioned that we would be doubling the capacity almost 900 cubic liter, but that would be like across how many fermenter would you say? Or how should we think over again?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI think you can only talk about volume. Now we do not talk about how many fermenters because it depends product-wise. Some products may require fermenter with 7 cubic meter, some products may require a fermenter, which is 100 cubic meters. So we can only shop in terms of overall volumes and not number of fermenters.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Keshav Kumar from RakSan Investor.
Keshav Kumar
analystSir, for Rifa O and S both, do we have domestic competitors?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveFor Rifa O, no, we don't. For Rifa S, no, not really. We don't have national competitor.
Keshav Kumar
analystAnd are we choosing a molecules with the same strategy that we have limited competition domestically?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThere a few manufacturers of fermentation products domestically that most of the products you will select in fermentation would not have any too much competition, more than 1 or 2 players that's for the sector.
Keshav Kumar
analystSure. Sir, just trying to draw the demand and supply scenario, so you mentioned that we have 2 customers currently. So is there a substantially more domestic demand for the same molecules, I believe for Rifa S there won't be. For Rifa O more growth will largely come for us in the future from the new molecules only?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe plan for growth from new molecules. The reason being that we would like to make sure that the risk is divided over a few products, not just 1 or 2 or 3, but many more and multiple customers. But we don't want to become -- we don't want to go to a scale in any of the products where we are saying that we are going to have much percent market share. We have been very clear in terms of what is the market share we would like to target. So that it enables us to get our pricing, what we want with the forward integration strategy with a respective customer, even though not identified.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Vaibhav Badjatya from HNI Investment.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystJust reflecting on your earlier remarks. So I think earlier you said that you had -- you currently have 2 customers and you're adding 2 more, right? Am I correct?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveYes.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystSo we don't have any more additional capacity for next 2 years. So how these new customers are going to get served. Is it like there will be reduction in offtake by existing customers? And the tone will replace them? Or how is this going to work because we don't have additional capacity as of now?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveI wouldn't say that, right? Because we mentioned that the capacity utilization in the last financial year was 75%. We have 25% capacity.
Vaibhav Badjatya
analystAnd we can actually go to 100%? Or I think will it be feasible to do that?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe hope so, it was 100%, at least close to that. There have been sizable improvements which have been made in the plant during the shutdown, productivity has improved.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Jaiveer Shekhawat from AMBIT Capital.
Jaiveer Shekhawat
analystMy first question is in relation to the split between the Y-o-Y volume growth and the realization growth. Can you highlight that?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSorry, could you repeat that, please? Y-o-Y?
Jaiveer Shekhawat
analystCan you please break down the revenue growth? So how much is it coming from volume and how much is because of higher prices?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveThe pricing has pretty much remained the same. There hasn't been a very big difference over last year and this year. But as you can imagine, in the last year, the first quarter was [ disturbed ] for everyone, right?
Jaiveer Shekhawat
analystYes. And second question was actually in relation to the prices itself. Now given that we have seen RM inflation over the last 3, 4 quarters, across commodities and across sectors. I understand that the RM cost doesn't come a big chunk of your overall revenue. But have you been able to pass on these -- and I mean, are you able to pass on these historically as well to your end customers? And how much time does it take to actually pass it on?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveNo, we haven't been able to pass it on and our contracts are such that we would not be in a position to pass on the RM costs to the end buyer. And that is something that we'll have to absorb.
Jaiveer Shekhawat
analystAnd finally, if I can understand your key raw materials, given that most of your suppliers would now be passing on the higher prices to you guys. Could you help me understand what are they? And probably because of that, are you also expecting a contraction in gross margins going forward as well?
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveWe don't expect a major contraction in gross margin, maybe a couple of percent here and there. A lot of our raw materials in fermentation are national products, unlike in chemical synthesis. So those national products have not increased by that percentage. But yes, we do consume solvents for recovery. And there is a increase in rates that you see. But as I said, the impact of that would be a few percentage here in there.
Operator
operatorAs there are no further questions, I would now like to hand the conference over to Dr. Sachin Patel for closing comments. Over to you, sir.
Sachin Dinesh Patel
executiveSo thank you very much for organizing this. And we look forward to meeting everyone during the next call. Thanks again.
Operator
operatorThank you. Ladies and gentlemen, on behalf of GTBL, that concludes this conference. Thank you all for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.
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