Infratil Limited (IFT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 15, 2026

NZSE NZ Financials Financial Services investor_day 286 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Alison Gerry

executive
#1

Welcome, everyone. I'd like to begin today by acknowledging the Gadigal people of the Eora Nation, the traditional custodians of Tallawallada, who we meet today and pay my respects to elder's past, present and emerging. I also extend my respect to all Aboriginal and Torrest Strait lenders with us today. Welcome. I'm Alison Gerry. I'm the Chair of Infratil, and it is lovely to see so many of you in the room today. It is a great room. We may be missing the views of the Harbour Bridge, but I'm sure we will adjust to that. It was also great to see many of you at our work on drinks last night. For those of you who may not yet be investors in Infratil, I thought I'd start with this map, which shows the global diversity of our asset portfolio. Some of those dots may look like they are in the Pacific Ocean, but they're actually in New Zealand. We do receive feedback that Infratil can be complex to understand, given the number of assets, and we're working on addressing that by refining our portfolio. We also acknowledge that TV investors have had an advantage. They've had 32 years to get to know us. So in the spirit of trans-Tasman cooperation, we've decided to hold our Investor Day for the third time in a row in Sydney. One of the great things about Infratil as you have a great bunch of Kiwis in the room today, including many of our New Zealand investors who are happy to promote our Australian businesses and also impact their knowledge. But Infratil would really welcome more of you to join our success story and be supporters of Infratil as shareholders. You can't -- you might be able to see from the slide, I can't quite see the angle of that, but hopefully, it shows you that more than half of our portfolio is now based in Australia. CDC is our standout business, and they have had a stellar year, and we're going to hear more from the team later today. Moving to our Board. We have 6 of the Infratil directors with us today in the room. So please do feel free to introduce yourselves to ask or ask us questions in the break. And I might just get the Infratil directors who are here to stand up so you can spot them. Great. We have got Anne, Andrew, Kirsty, Brad, Jason is here somewhere. But Paul Gough, our London-based director, can't make it today and also our newly appointed director, Tiffany Fuller also has a previous commitment. Peter Springford retired 3 weeks ago at our Annual Shareholder Meeting after almost a decade on the Infratil Board. Both Tiffany and Brad are Australian-based directors, and we're really looking forward to having their perspectives around the Board table. This slide is a summary of what the Board calls our strategic KPI dashboard, and it illustrates the key areas that the Board is actively monitoring. First and foremost, and you've heard me say this many times before, our cornerstone goal is to deliver shareholder returns between 11% and 15% per annum after fees and taxes over a 10-year period, and this is based on share price growth and assumes that dividends are reinvested. We're really proud to have delivered more than 18% per annum returns over the 32 years since betas inception and our performance compares favorably to listed infrastructure companies that we have been shaped against across multiple time frames. And I might draw your attention to a recent executive summary of a report that the Infratil Board has commissioned on a benchmarking exercise that you might like to have a look at. It makes for great reading. Another measure that we follow closely is our calculated net asset value or NAV per share after fees. And we know there is typically a discount to NAV because market views on value can differ from the independent or market-based values that we use for our portfolio companies, and we're seeing a little bit of that in the fleet for sure. But we also know that we can do more to house markets understands the value in the longer-dated antral valuations.. This is a large reason for us being here today who can hear directly from us and hear from our portfolio of companies as to what we see ahead of us. We're also continuing to enhance our disclosures. CDCs shift to reporting on leasable and future contracted capacity is a good example of that. But we're always happy to hear from you as to -- are there any other areas for improvement. We know investors are cognizant of active and sector concentration risk, particularly with CDC's strong growth. And the Board monitors this risk, and we've seen quite a bit of time pretesting CDC's valuation. Last December, Infratil received it to inaugural BBB+ credit rating from S&P Global Ratings, which we're really pleased with and a little bit surprised us. But the rating recognized the strength, quality and resilience in our businesses and has provided us with very clear credit metrics for us to operate with them. ESG reporting is another focus area because decisions grounded and responsible stewardship are part of creating long-term value and managing risk. And we're very pleased with being recognized as leaders this year and various external assessments, particularly I think it was Morningstar Sustainalytics. Finally, on the slide, portfolio company relationships and resourcing are an area we're paying closer to pension to, greater collaboration between our portfolio companies is something that could unlock more synergies and value. and you're going to hear more about that today. Turning to the agenda. We want to stay to be interactive and help everyone's understanding. So there's going to be lots of opportunities for presenters to ask questions throughout the day. Jason is going to kick things off with an update on Infratil's portfolio strategy. We're then going to hear from the Morrison team of Paul Newfield and Will Smales, on how Morrison's own growth supports Infratil through asset management and new opportunities. After morning tea, the Longroad Energy team will give us an update on how they're moving to capture value from the exceptional demand for energy in the United States. We'll break for launch, followed by [indiscernible] one update on the New Zealand telco market. And we've got Nick Judd, our incoming newly appointed CEO, who's going to give us his perspective. The CDC team will then take us into the fast-paced world of server centers, and we all know we could spend many hours on this topic, but we're aiming to wrap up at the latest at 3:30. So with that, I'd like to hand over to Jason.

Jason Boyes

executive
#2

Good morning, everybody. Good to see you all. Thank you for coming along. We've been looking forward to this. What a time to be alive, right? I feel like when I get down from the stage, it probably will have changed again. But if you like me thought you're in an alternate reality or woke up and we're dreaming, seeing the President calling Jensen Huang on stage at the all-in conference yesterday morning, you'll be as excited as I have to find our way tonight. I think I should thank you for being here rather than the all-in conference. Maybe we should move it and go there next year because it seems to be the center of our world at the moment. But we are much more modest than that. We do have things to say about AI slowdown. And actually, the thing I was most prepared to talk about, which we should still talk about, I think it is probably more meaningful is rising long-term real rates, which particularly relevant for long-term contracted infrastructure like the stuff we build. But let's get going. I wanted to start with a couple of introductions or 3 actually, and then I'll get on to the portfolio strategy update on those fun topics I mentioned. We made some recent changes in the kind of executive structure, I guess, at Infratil at the start of the year. The idea was really to create dedicated roles focused on execution across what is now quite a big distributor portfolio, finance, which has become bigger as well and also investment. And so we have Andy Carroll, who was CFO. I'm getting an echo here, who is CFO, who's moving into the COO role. And his job really is to set and reset the priorities across the group and then ensure that they're executed in kind of the right sequence, which is a material drop now. And then we have Matt Ross, who is Deputy CFO, and we slated he can step up into the CFO role, which means we don't miss a beat in that seat because he has a long history with longer than both Andy and I actually. And then lastly, we created this new role, which Lee Coker took focused on investment and his job is to curate the pipeline of both internal and external investment and reinvestment opportunities. So as a board, as a leadership team, we can rank those next to each other, put those next to our funding availability and come up with clear direction back to our teams and our portfolio companies about how we want to allocate ultimately finance the capital. So those people are around the room, they are versatile players and coaches. They draw extensively on the larger and deep Morrison team to actually get that done with these guys alongside me and a few other people are the kind of fulcrum points of all that. So if you see them around they're important people, if you've got investment ideas, frannkly, you got other questions about the other guys. So now strategy. So last year, we put up this slide, which showed our portfolio strategy divided over 3 pillars. You have cash flow and then mature and future growth. And the 3, I think, key takeaways that we wanted you to get last year were this idea that we saw going forward, focusing on a smaller number of scaled maturing growth engines as in Longroad data centers and renewables, in particular, which would be supported by divestments of these core assets, ones that we couldn't see scaling in our portfolio, both to create that refinement, but also the funding required to fund their growth, which is a big question on people's mind. So that's point one. Point two really was that we saw the pathway to getting our operating cash flow back in balance to make the dividend sustainable. It's an important piece, I think, of the frit story. We're not necessarily trying to grow it, but I think making it sustainable over the long term has been an ambition, and I think we've made good progress on that over the year as well. So focus, divestments, done cash flow kind of 3. And then what do we see during the year? We obviously saw progress on divestments of $600 million done on the last of that first batch still ongoing and then announcing that further divestments were on the horizon as all another $1 billion we talked about at the full year. So that continues. We saw good progress on the operating cash flow metric with excellent products from one indeed, and they'll talk more about their pathway to making that sort of level of distribution sustainable. And then obviously, we have great progress from CDC and longer. And the CDCs in particular on the operating cash flow metric makes it such a shorter route to free cash flow being available from them for reinvestment or distribution. But really underpins the main theme that we're seeing continue from last year into the years ahead that's driving our portfolio level thinking, which is this. So I think everybody is seeing and maybe we can flip through this. But we're seeing surging token demand all around the world, driven by the capabilities of the model is getting better and better for coding, cybersecurity, all these sorts of things. And then in parallel token costs falling as open source models become available and people are able to shift their workloads as they get comfortable with where the frontier is at on to more optimized systems to enable them to generate the that are more cheaper, which again drives more adoption, more token demand, and so it goes. There's no doubt modal competition that's intensifying with that theme, the frontier is challenged to keep pushing the frontier to keep being the first point that people go to, to decide how they're going to implement AI. But there seems to be very real benefits that enterprises are experiencing. We're adopting it in the areas that I talked about and more that continue to drive the system over time. And Pat now is a good time to pause on this AI slowdown ideas. I mean, even with where the models are at today, their capability, that on its own will continue to require significant investment in infrastructure to serve that capability across all enterprises you can make use of them. We're not even using all of that yet today as well. And I saw overnight, Satya Nadella, Microsoft's CEO, was saying more or less this at the all-in comp as well. Even if you pause the frontier, which is obviously pushing out in all directions, actually serving up and making use of exactly what we have now, will continue to require significant investment, particularly because of the next feature that I wanted to talk about more today anyway, which is the supply constraints that are in the system for building the infrastructure to serve these workloads. And they just do all across the team and all across the kind of supply chain and things like semiconductors, I think, are well understood and obviously, a big trade over the last few years. But the thing that we see as staying constrained for a longer period of time is the delivery of power at scale to these data centers. And that's because these power systems take a long time to build, and they always have. It takes a long time to deal with the grid to get your projects approved. There are all sorts of nuances to getting financed and built. And sometimes they run late. So our central thesis is that at layer and at the data center layer, that is a 2-year, 3-year lead time piece of infrastructure. And much was talking about this last night, you don't stop that now, right, because the frontier might be flying to where it's going to push out by a few months by a year. You actually have to build now in order to be able to deliver that capacity in 2 or 3 years' time. And this is why, right? So you see massive demand infliction for data center capacity growth. And then this chart in the middle is pretty interesting. I think it's a Goldman Sachs one, which shows even with what we're expecting to build today in the U.S. on the power side, they're still projecting an 80 gigawatt shortfall of power or the sector in 2030. To give you a sense of that, I think I was talking to Paul Gaynor last night, the best year that U.S. renewables industry has ever had is 40 gigawatts. So that shortage isn't going to go away. It's going to be short. And it's going to be short whether the models move the frontier or not because we still haven't got enough infrastructure to serve out what we've got to everybody who could benefit from it. Is our core kind of belief that is driving our portfolio thinking. In that sort of environment, the sort of second box on the right here. We believe that existing platforms with long, strong track record in developing responsibly in this space, which is an increasingly important requirement for having a long-term business with advantage access to supply chain and suppliers with big pipelines of projects that can be connected in any time frame. We've talked in the past in the U.S. about interconnection time lines being 5, 7 years. And we are developing projects now that we're putting into connection queue literally that long ago. So unless you have been in this game for a long time, you're not going to get your projects developed. And it's giving that way in data centers, too, I think. Those sorts of platforms in a scarce environment are going to be well placed to obviously deliver good capacity. But I think also at least maintain strong returns on equity in the space. as delivery costs continue to change as this long-term interest rate theme plays out and whichever way it plays out. And this is where we see the returns generally sitting from our research at Morrison, you probably got your own. But you see this trend of expanding returns on equity, EBITDA per dollar of CapEx as you move right along the AI infrastructure value chain. Certainly, as you move to the right, well in excess of an investment-grade cost of capital. But what you also see is as you're on the kind of, in my view, right, probably lift on yours at the neo cloud end of the circle. You get shorter tenor basically, shorter duration of contracting, which obviously goes with a shorter asset life and then you're getting higher returns. But in general, on the other end of the AI value chain, which is where we are at the moment, you're getting long contracted duration cash flows with good margins over your cost of capital that are very attractive, I think, to us as an investor who is targeting that sort of 15-plus zone. And so it should be no surprise that we see a real advantage position for our existing businesses to continue to develop, both in those verticals, if you like, in the value chain as we are today, but also to continue to build an adjacent options around each of the verticals as we see some of them converging. So there's kind of 3 areas here I want to differ. One is at that power and data center level, the 2 columns on the left. There's all those adjacent options that each of those businesses can, and I'm sure we'll be looking at, and you'll hear some of it today. If you're at the energy level, you can run more merchant capacity. And so if you're worried that power prices and interest rates are going to go up and your long-term contracts, are going to be stuck because you've got a fixed revenue line, then you can start running more merchant capacity, more firming in storage and capture more of those -- more of that kind of in contracted period return increase to balance your portfolio. You can look at transmission extensions, which definitely the Longroad team will be looking at. And then on the connectivity side, we have on fiber out and the fiber and connectivity space. On the data center side, we think about geographic diversification lot, and I'll show you how we're thinking about that just in a minute. And then there are lots of different sovereign applications. I point before, we don't have the infrastructure to see about everything we've got today. A lot of the stuff still needs to be built in a lot of countries and our existing position for all the reasons I talked about before, gives us an advantage, a reason to win in those spaces, I think. A super interesting part, I think, just for now or most immediate really, is this idea of integrating power and data centers together, which I think I talked about at the full year. And you've seen the first example of that within the group with CDC and contact entering -- announcing a joint venture to explore developing their site in Taranaki, which has been a fantastic way to think about how can we reuse existing infrastructure. In fact, can we sit a data center in a place where it already had an industrial use. And how can we already have a strong story about where the additional power is going to come from to power. So I would see more of those ideas as needing to be on our radar over time and a great opportunity for the Longroad team as well. We've also looked at their own pipeline, and we'll talk about how they see this developing in the U.S., which is a real theme. But it doesn't end here, and this will change over time. So think about as kind of the most near-term focus at that end of the value chain. But as this story rolls out, there will be more opportunities to the right and some of them we are seeing already. So Infratil has had a great history, I think, of buying incumbent businesses, transforming them and then deciding whether you're a long-term holder or not. And we're seeing the ability to use AI and deploy it at scale with an existing businesses that have strong defensive characteristics as ways of creating returns that you wouldn't necessarily ordinarily expect out of these businesses. One end is a very large example of that, and you've been hearing about their AI transformation story and they've reviewed a couple of other ideas this year with the owned fiber and [indiscernible] as ways to kind of optimize your return out of and optimize the way people think about them. Health care is very much live in this space as a major thing there, driving productivity. We would expect to see more opportunities like that in the future as well. That Infratil is still very interested in addressing. It's definitely part of our DNA and part of what differentiates us. It will just be finding the right time when the capital is available. And when the opportunity presents itself to do it, but I would definitely put that on the radar as a theme well within our capabilities long term. And then as you roll out into the future, physical AI is still a big focus area for us. We've been talking about automated logistics and things like that for a couple of years now, and this seems to be even closer and closer. And Will is going to talk about a couple of ideas. Morrison has been interesting at a scale. That's a bit small for Infratil now, but certainly we'll get the benefit of learning from those has more scale opportunities in this space come out. So the big thing is not everything is AI, but we have an advantaged position to build out into the AI infrastructure and beyond value chain, starting from our strong bases in momentum in power and data centers. And so you can see this expressed in the portfolio proportion. This is an updated version. I was showing CDC in the portfolio, the energy businesses and the others. And you can see on the right, I talked about geographic diversity, pretty good diversity actually in the energy space and as a thought on our mind in the data center space as well. So clicking on data centers. Rick will talk a lot about this as his team later on. But we see strong growth but also strong downside protection in the space. And we see them as being well positioned to address adjacent options. So at the bottom there, you've got a graph that's showing the sort of proportion of the independent valuation today that is sits in existing operating data centers or contracted data centers that we are in the process of building the CDCs and the process of building. And you see over half of that valuation is really an existing operating businesses. So if you stop doing any more business today, you're still on a path to over $2 billion of EBITDA and an incredibly strong operating free cash flow, if you're not investing at all, which I think is a great downside predicted position to be in. And Greg will talk about how they continue there, but really a highly differentiated platform on multiple metrics to be well positioned to continue to develop at attractive returns on equity, supported by a strong funding platform. Kao is there, they've had their own strong growth, different business, but actually addressing an interesting slightly different niche from CDC provided some geographic diversity as well and some good prospects ahead. And then on the energy side, clearly, the U.S. part of the business is accelerating the most strongly. And again, strong downside protection, I think, in this business as well with more than 50% well over actually of that business represented in existing assets that are long-term contracted or assets that we're building now that are long-term contract. And in this is -- the contracts are comprehensive, right? You've got a long-term contract over 17 years on average. It's covering 96% of your revenue, and the counterparties are plus rated on average on the other side of these. That creates an incredible base from which the business can grow in all environments. They're seeing strong growth and acceleration as well of the row and a little bit of an upgrade from entertain terms of what their outlook is. On the other renewable energy businesses, we see those as developing longer-dated options in exactly the same place over time. So they are adjacent to Longroad as the kind of core, if you like, and creating longer-term options as different markets catch up with the U.S. on developing their AI infrastructure over time. And there's a good spot to talk about the whole real rate thing. So probably in the portfolio, the long row valuation is the most sensitive to long-term raising real rates, particularly if that is persistent and the reasons to believe that could be. To give you a sense of that on the operating -- and this is because on the operating side of the business, you've got these long-term contracts, right, and the freights go up, you can't really do anything about creating more revenue very easily. There are some ways -- to give you a sense of that, I think 50 basis points increase in risk-free rate is about $160 million impact on the Opco valuation. So it's about a 4% movement in the valuation. So it's pretty tough to give you a sense, it's probably also about 1/3 to half of the year's work on the development side of the business. So you can work really hard and do what you said you were going to do. And then bits on the rate and your valuation plan. So that ends a little bit what it is. I mean there are 2 counterbalances to that are natural within the business. One is theoretically, if interest rates remain higher for longer, then the merchant power price should increase as well because the cost of all the kit that's been gone on the system is going to be high. Unfortunately, that takes a long time to come through merchant curve and long term to turn up in your valuation. But that is in theory what should happen, which is why I said, well, maybe you should run more merchants now to enable you to capture that earlier to help counterbalance long-term rates to say, end up being [indiscernible] higher, which is something I know on the team's mind and on -- also our mind as well. And the other counterbalance is that on the development side of the business, we've seen for a long time that you were able to capture cost increases in the development side of the business through increasing PPA prices, particularly cost increases that are pervasive across the industry. So everybody is facing a particular change, interest rates in this case is actually one of the biggest development costs. And so that picked up in PPA basis. So while it hits your back book, your Opco certainly before merchant cares come up. On the development side of the business, you shouldn't see that impact at all. This is a feature for the CDC valuation as well as you look at it. But because they're developing at, as you saw on my return slide at higher returns on equity, there's a lot more headroom for that development side of the business to counteract this thing. But it's definitely something to be aware of. We don't know whether long-term rates will be higher for longer either. In some ways, in this scenario, the kind of AI ended of the portfolio will be going great guns, but it will all need power. So somebody will need to figure out how to make that kind of work. And all that contracted capacity that I talked about looks like this if you roll forward a couple of 3 years. So in the middle of there, you've got our updated guidance for FY '27. If you take into account CDC's contracted earnings at -- the team are working hard to deliver the data centers in order to make that real. And then you take account of what Longroad is predicting will be their kind of in-year returns in 2029. You can see that CDC and Longroad on its own, our share of the EBITDA will be as big as everything that we're generating this year. So it's a high visibility to a very material increase in the in-year EBITDA of the group, as big as it is today just from those 2 businesses based on what have contracted today. This is an update of the funding slide we showed last year, and we show now showing the impact of divestments and also reinvestments in the period, showing our funding flexibility continues to be good. And obviously, there will be future divestments in there, and we continue to enjoy benefits of our credit rating to enable us to deepen the funding that's available as well for what's the hit. We'll continue to do that. Okay. So what does that mean for my pillars, Jason? A little bit, I think. This is kind of a reversion of it. So you remember, Pillar 1 is the cash flow generated. I think we're thinking more about that as having sufficient cash generation across the business. And this represents that CDC is a growth platform, but also has the ability to pay more cash flow through to the group to meet the needs that I talked about before. So it's sufficient cash generation. So just really a subtle change. But I think the lines we're blurring between 1 and 2, so we as well address that to keep this current. Biggest change really is in Pillar 2, where we see scaled growth engines and their adjacent options. So should think about Longroad, for example, and then you have adjacent opportunities in geographic diversification. So the smaller businesses that are generating long-term options. But then there are also these options that we talked about upper advances positions like where power and data centers can work together. So a joint venture between a CDC and a contact. And there are lots of those things, all that whole list that we put up on the screen are the types of things that we think are worth spending our time on leveraging our advantage position to get into versus going and looking for too hard, Pillar 3 just now. Pillar is still there. It's our future options and emerging sectors. Today, I would say that's probably the health care idea. That definitely was the way we thought about it going in. Obviously, one of those businesses is in the sales process now. And we also have clear vision, which we haven't talked about before, which is a venture capital investment in prettily a number of years ago now. And the idea is it gives us line of sight on to new technological innovations that are difficult as an infrastructure manager of that's happening in the venture capital space. And I think that investment and maybe others like it are becoming more and more relevant as we try and figure out what is beyond this kind of next frontier of AI, what are the new business models that actually we should be considering as future infrastructure. I'm not saying I'm going to do it, but it's an important thing to -- I think it's an important differentiator of Infratil that we're able to do participate in that venture capital sector. This one happens to be in the U.S. and try and look ahead to what could sit well alongside a portfolio founded on power data centers and the adjacent options around them. Everything else stays the same. We're still fundamentally thematically driven long-term societal needs that we want to be able to deliver as Infratil and Morrison team. It has to have infrastructure characteristics. The long-term contracted cash flows are going to be a big part of the portfolio forever. We still need to have strong capital discipline. So although I'm talking about longer-dated options in our offshore renewables assets, they don't get a free pass. It's not a free ride to create options for 2040, 2050. We have to do our jobs to allocate the right amount of capital to the right prospects. Not all of them will come off, but we're conscious that, that is very important. And we haven't changed our target return nor our desire to continue to beat the heck out of it as best we can for you as investors. So let me finish. One of the key messages that I hope you've taken away today, we still feel the portfolio is incredibly well positioned to build out around an incredibly strong core in the AI infrastructure space. We got a nice upgrade from CDC team today. I'll let talk to that. We have good funding capacity now and a pathway to continue to improve that as the investment opportunities emerge. And I would really say we're going to be focused around adjacencies a lot. We're going to continue to scan for that third sector. It could be a big scale one we can transform, could be some of the exciting ideas we are talking about, but we'll be very careful on that, I think, as a team while we finish the job in and around the core sectors, but it will happen maybe longer term. And we're super excited. I think the world has changed though stood up here. change tomorrow night. But who knew what a fantastic time to be alive and what a fascinating space for us all to be involved in. So thank you for coming. Thank you for your attention. I hope you have an interesting day, and I might see you right at the end of it.

Unknown Executive

executive
#3

Good morning, everyone. I want to give you a quick update on the Morrison business. Obviously, we're a private business, not a listed business, so there's less known about us, but the relationship between us and Infratil is so critical for both of us. We wanted to give you an update on what we have been up to. The picture that will pop up here in a moment is a great way to tell the Infratil story and the Morrison story in one page. This is the [indiscernible] wind farm with the Infratil Board standing in front of it in the late 1990s. Anyone who has a long memory will know David Newman was tall, but he wasn't that tall. So there's a little bit of a story here about scale, also obviously about Board diversity. I think we've come -- made some progress on Infratil Board. But to go back to scale, when this wind farm was completed in the late '90s, it was the largest wind farm in the Southern Hemisphere. And those are Vestas V47s for the tech out there, massive 660-kilowatt equipment, and there were 23 of them. So it's about 30 megawatts there, second -- our first largest wind farm in the Southern Hemisphere at the time. You'll hear about [indiscernible] today that the Longroad team are working on. That's 90 to 100x the size of this. But obviously, some time has passed. And if you think about that, that sums up the Infratil Morrison model, right? We try to be early ahead of the market. When you find a great space, you build advantage in it and when you find a great team, you back then, and then you grow scale. And over time, you get bigger and you diversify not just the gender mix of your board, but also the set of options that you can bring into a portfolio. So keep that in mind as we go through a few slides about our business. This is a regular slide I've put up the last couple of years, just to give you an update on a few key numbers. The most important is the one Alison mentioned earlier. The track record that is still 18% per annum net returns for now 32 years. So that is ultimately all that matters and everything else we talk about is just the ingredients to that. In terms of Morrisons business, just to give you a sense of our growth, we're about [ NZD 60 billion ] of AUM now. So that's grown 25% in the last year. To be honest, that we're a bit flattered by the weakness of the New Zealand dollar. Our assets are a lot in U.S. dollars, AUD, euro these days. But good growth across the portfolio. The team today, I think on the slide, we have 225, probably if we did a headcount, that will be 230. We were -- I think when we put up this slide last year, we're about 215. So net increase 10 to 15 people. But underneath that, there's actually something really interesting going on, which links back to Jason's points about AI really. Ultimately, and I'm sure you're seeing this in your own businesses, the ability to analyze publicly available data is rapidly becoming a commodity. And so where real value accrues is secrets, private information, wisdom, the ability to make judgment calls about that private information and influence the ability to actually make real-world change in businesses. And what that means for our team is much more focused on doing what -- Morrison always started like grab really, really senior operators from industry, don't just build the business with finance jobs and use those people to fundamentally support, grow, transform the businesses that you invest in. And we'll talk a bit later about a few of the folks that have joined. Other important number on that page is one about alignment. So Morrison on its balance sheet owns over NZD 500 million of Infratil equity as of a few weeks ago. I'm not sure what that number is today with the movement in the share price, but it will be back there soon if it's dropped below. And that's just what our balance sheet owns. Obviously, you see the disclosures from the Morrison family from [indiscernible] from me. You don't see them from everyone in the team, but a lot of us also invest directly. That's really important because that performance number is driven by having an owner's mindset. And so us always thinking of every Infratil dollar as our own. Importantly, that applies to Morrison as well. So almost all of our staff and their families have their wealth and their future generations of family wealth tied up in Morrison and Infratil equity. And that really does make all the difference when you're asking people to go the extra mile and really think long term about the business. So if you do the math, it's on average just through our Morrison balance sheet ownership over $2 million of equity per employee and then you add to that the direct holdings of the team. So that owner's mindset is super important. I know there's been a few questions about the partnership we announced a little while ago with Sumi. So I don't want to touch that on that because, obviously, that is the first time we have stepped away from this model of Deloitte Morrison Trust, the founders and the family being the only shareholder and the team being the only shareholders and Morrison. So first of all, who is Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank. There's a lot of different consumer Sumimoto and Mitsui out there in the world. So we should be clear about who we're talking about. They are the biggest trust bank in Japan. They're the #1 gatekeeper to the Japanese corporate pension fund market. And what's the partnership? They have appointed Morrison as their preferred global manager for infrastructure. Why did they do it? Why did we do it? Actually, the same story for both of us. Japan has gone through 3 decades of deflation and negative real rates. And all of a sudden, it has flipped to the other side. And so capital is being mobilized by the way, is the second biggest pension market in the world. So our massive capital pool is being mobilized towards higher returning, more actively managed assets, but also with downside protection and inflation protection infrastructure. So really interesting for them, really interesting for us. I think really interesting for Infratil as well if you think you now have preferred access with the best gatekeeper to this joint capital pool. That should, over time, increase our access to capital for Infratil and for all the Morrison clients. Also, there's an amazing thing going on in Japan right now with positive real rates. Balance sheets of the corporates are under pressure to get efficient. And so you are seeing a lot of corporate carve-out activity embedded infrastructure assets being pulled out. The only way really to access that is to have a really trusted relationship with those organizations and that is what Sumi has, plus transformation capability, infrastructure investment capability, which is what Morrison has. So don't expect overnight results. That's not the nature of Japan. And also for Infratil, obviously, we have an incredibly high performance targets. So even in a rising rate environment, not every deal we see in Japan is going to be right for Infratil, but I do think it's really interesting. Most importantly, there is no change to the control of Morrison. And in fact, as part of this, we have locked in, I would say, in perpetuity, certainly as long as any of us are around the idea that Deloitte Morrison Trust left behind by our founder, plus the team will have positive control Morrison. But we will have one of the very senior executives of Sumi join our Board, which will be great just to keep driving the strategic benefits and alignment. So happy to answer any questions people have in the break about that, but I did want to share it. Last point I'll make before I hand over to Will Smales, it's about people. Where do we invest as we get a stronger balance sheet, a bigger business. We invested primarily in talent and in investing in our own products and being glad recipients and the Board decide to pay us performance fees and script, having a balance sheet that can happily accept that. So on the talent side, I'll touch on a few important additions since we spoke last year. Brendan Scollins has joined us as Head of North America, the role previously held by [indiscernible]. Perry has moved to a different role still in New York, running our global capital formation. Brendan, you'll see from his bio has been Global Head of Infrastructure at one of our global -- digital infrastructure at one of our global competitors and previously Head of U.S. TMT and another competitor. So great track record, great ability to invest and grow, particularly our digital infrastructure business in the U.S. Gianfranco Saladino, classic European, Italian lives in Switzerland, educated in Germany and previously ran the European value-add strategy for another of our competitors. So really adding more of that language breadth capability. And Todd Win actually came with great references from our friends at Longroad, a guy who has been a Chief Executive at another major U.S. renewable developer adding to our operating capability. So think of him like you all know [ Deion Campbell ], most of you know Don Campbell, like getting the Deion Campbell of the U.S. to support us there. I won't talk about all of the nonexec appointments, but we keep trying to add more perspectives and insight around the boards of our portfolio companies, but also around Morrison. So the one I will mention is those in Sydney, Kurt will be down here next week and so later and time them let us know. Kurt is the foundation member of our Morrison Advisory Board. He was back in [indiscernible], if you remember those days, he was Obama's Asia SAR. And then the last white house, he was the [indiscernible] responsible for into Pacific region. Right now, whether you like it or not, geopolitics is about the most important thing in the world of investment, so fantastic to get his perspectives. I won't talk about everyone on these pages, but you'll have the slides available. Lastly, to talk about a few Morrison people who are in the room today who aren't speaking, but so you get a chance to say hello to them. You don't necessarily hello to Philippa Harford. You probably remember her well, former CFO of Infratil. The reason I want to talk about Philippa is she's an operating partner at Morrison, sits on some really important boards for Infratil. Great example of the magic of this model like how do you -- in a normal corporate, the number of really senior execs you can have is constrained by the org structure. What we can do for Infratil is hold on to amazing talent and apply them to the businesses where you need them. We can have kind of a surfit of capability and senior executive talent. So great to have Philippa around and please grab her in the breaks if you'd like to get an update on the businesses she's involved with. Grace is an unfamiliar face. I might ask Grace to stand up if you don't mind, just everyone sees you. She's wearing a bright red jacket so everyone can find there. Grace this year, I've been with us a number of years, but this year became our Head of Australia and New Zealand as Peter Coman transferred up to Europe. Grace is a very long-term infrastructure investor and a wonderful person to know. She runs our investment team across Australia and New Zealand. And lastly, Clayton, who a lot of you will know, I'll finish on Clayton because I started on the picture of [indiscernible] Wind Farm. Clayton is kind of the bookend of that story. Clayton's career started out in Trustpower, the folks who built that first giant wind farm. When we created Tilt out of Trustpower, Clayton moved to Melbourne and became the Chief Development Officer. When Tilt was priced out of our hands by a great offer, we managed to hold on to Clayton and Deon within Morrison. He then went into Manawa with a really important job to do transforming that business and then driving the sale of that through to Comtech. So if you think about that long span of our involvement, like 1994 in Trustpower, Clayton wasn't quite involved right back then, but all the way through, that shows the way we try and transform these businesses build. When you hear about what we're doing between Longroad and CDC, I think that gives you another example of how we can step in, but also goes back to Lloyd Morrison, who was on that first picture. One of the first things Lloyd said to me is I'm a magpie for talent. And so when you meet an amazing executive, you hold on to them and you work out how you can apply them and you work out how you can give them an incredible career path. They couldn't have an ordinary corporate working around the world on your portfolio. So grab these guys on the break. I'm going to hand over to Will, who will talk a little bit more about investment activity. You can tell Will has been living in the U.S. by the size of his coffee. You can tell Will has been living in the U.S. by the size of his coffee.

William Smales

executive
#4

Good morning, everyone, [Foreign Language] as we now say at Morrison. I'm Will Smales, and yes, the clue is in the coffee. That's a large McDonald's regular coffee. The line at Starbucks is too long. So I went to the second best. So I'm Chief Investment Officer at Morrison for the last 5 years have been based in New York, now relocated back to Sydney, but obviously spending a lot of time across Morrison's business globally. I always start with -- and by the way, I'm going to speak today to keep up I'm going to start with the purpose. So to invest wisely in ideas that matter, and that's Lloyd Morrison's Founder, to invest wisely is hopefully intuitive for all of us in the room, but what that is, is a very well-developed rigorous investment process where we say, no, almost everything we see. And I'll talk about later when I represent some of those statistics that we review on behalf of Infratil. But importantly, on that purpose, what are the ideas that matter. The ideas that matter, remember, are the businesses and assets that have infrastructure characteristics that come together against the investment themes that we're prosecuting and importantly, underpin the wealth and prosperity of society into the future. And that purpose hasn't changed as Morrison and Infratil has scaled. What has changed is the capability Paul was referring to, to apply against that purpose. And it's important to work out, so what does investing wisely and creating value for Infratil mean in the current environment. We are against this incredible sort of AI transformation backdrop. And I was in Texas the week before last and often one of the largest data center conferences. And my experience of the day sort of sums up where we are in the world. So as I walked into the Marriott in Downtown Austin, protesters were barricading the entrance to the conference center. And they were videoing every participant entering the conference center. On that same day in Austin, they were the leaders of some of the largest data center business in the United States in front of the Texas Center trying to explain their obligations on social responsibility, social license. At the same time, that day, I had ridden in a robotaxi to the hotel looking at the door cyber cabs, starting to roll out on the streets of Austin ahead of their launch in a couple of days' time. So that would sort of explain that in Texas, which is becoming one of the largest data center markets, certainly in the U.S. and definitely the world, we've got social license pushback. We've got protest, yet we've got autonomous physical AI rolling out in front of our eyes. So that is the context of what we're dealing with. And as investment professionals, we've got to navigate through that. And investing wisely means having conviction in the trend. So we've got to be brave and bold and allocate capital and take risk. But we also need to be really, really careful and make sure we can pick through the height and constantly check ourselves and say, what could slow down this massive trend. And then the final point -- if you think about what are the trends underlying this, if you think about energy, we often with the AI height, we forget that there was still this massive underlying trend around energy transformation. So decarbonization of our electricity system and rise of electrification full stop. That trend is going on unabated, even underlying where the AI trend is driving things. The same is true on compute. So we're hearing a lot with CDC that we're deploying GPUs on behalf of training and inference workloads. But the reality is we still had strong underlying cloud demand already happening within CDC and that trend hasn't slowed either. So it's order -- it's important to pick through all of this. And then the point Jason made is against this backdrop and these incredible trends, we've got a massive head start. We've got really scaled positions for Infratil with amazing management teams who are able to access this trend and do it with an information advantage. So when the Longroad team think about deploying capital against the new renewable development opportunity or Greg is thinking about in capital against a new data center, the expertise, the information, the use of experience they have to decide to allocate capital at the right time is huge. It is very hard from someone from the outside to compete against that. And that's why we're so advantaged in Infratil. And by the way, through all that, we are still finding really, really exciting ideas, which could become 2 or 3 ideas for Infratil. Last year, I laid out the investment process for Morrison. Again, this will not change. The important point to remember is the way we work at Morrison is it's an end-to-end process. So the same people who are thinking about what's on the horizon, what investment should we make are the one [indiscernible] to those opportunities, executing those opportunities, participating in the asset management, then ensuring that company plays a role -- the right role in an Infratil portfolio or another portfolio of Morrisons. That sort of accountability end-to-end is really, really important. I do want to talk about asset management, and what is asset management. First and foremost, our objective is to make sure that we are supporting the development of highly capable, independent companies that are invested by Infratil. And how do we do that? We do that through governance. So we are applying best practice governance. We're making sure we're governing these entities properly. We're making sure that we're working with the existing management teams to make sure they've got the right capability around the table in the odd instance where we're talking about changing senior management. That is the role of the Board and the shareholders. But importantly, we're sitting together as shareholders, with management and the Board the green strategy in setting the risk profile for these entities, primarily, that's what asset management is. But we all know that the businesses that Infratil Morrison invest in are at different stages of development. And importantly, Morrison is like a backstop. So if you've got bursty demand, you're wanting to do a big refinancing, you wanting to undertake a piece of strategic M&A often those capabilities aren't embedded in a portfolio company. And quite rightly, so be they may only be doing one of those transactions once every few years. But those capabilities are within Morrison and they're on call to all of our portfolio companies. And that's a really important element of asset management. The other piece is what Paul mentioned, a deep bench of operating expertise. So when we're trying to work out what our cybersecurity setting [indiscernible] portfolio company that capability probably exists in Morrison or it exists in another portfolio company. So our job is to bring to bear the Morrison expertise but also to coordinate across the portfolio. Yes, some big numbers under there. So Morrison today is managing 32 assets. Not all of those are Infratil assets, but the network, the experts, the capability is available to every invite asset. And here are some -- a couple of really, really good examples, and you'll hear from the one on New Zealand team later. But when we made the investment in Vodafone New Zealand 7 years ago, we were doing that on the basis of 2 very basic underwrites. One, we could separate out what was a subsidiary of Vodafone Plc and stand up an independent proudly New Zealand telecommunications company. And by investing in the network, we would create a leading platform in New Zealand to then drive a series of cost efficiencies in that business. That is what we underwrite with the original investment. And I think management and the Board and the Morrison people have done a wonderful job executing on that. But we also knew that there were huge amounts of infrastructure sitting within New Zealand. And you can see it there. So first, the tower to separate it and so you'll hear from the EonFiber folks identifying the fiber assets within New Zealand. And then we recently announced Aramco idea. The you can pull your radio access network resources, drastically reduce your future CapEx expenditure and still deliver a better outcome for New Zealanders. Yes. That's a really good example of how relentless asset management drives those outcomes. Those outcomes are really, really hard for management to achieve and they're really, really hard for owners and boards to achieve. The beauty of Morrison is we're able to align our collective efforts and achieve some of these things. Jason referred a little bit to any time. So this is the idea that you could take capability out of Qscan and RxANZ and bring it together and create a brand-new teleradiology business. And what does that mean? It's this idea that you can decouple the service of reading a scan. You can make that highly automated driven by AI, and you can scale it globally without needing the machines. Now creating that business, and there's some folks in the room who actually made that happen is really, really hard work. And day 1, you start with a really, really small business. So you're only going to expend that time, effort and energy to carve out that business and create that platform if you believe in the long-term value that, that can deliver to Infratil. So Morrison should be eking out in every corner of Infratil's portfolio value, applying sort of extra resource to creating that and then delivering that. And then importantly, we'll hear later how by connecting CDC with Contact, connecting Longroad and CDC together, we're hopefully able to unlock other opportunities in the portfolio. That collectively is a series of examples of asset management. Right. So if you go back to that process slide, remember, right at the front is this idea that we're conducting research to identify what the new ideas that matter. I showed this slide last year, and you wouldn't be surprised that in the last 12 months, we've produced a huge amount of internal research. And that research is available to the Infratil Board. We share that information with the Infratil Board. And very importantly, what that research does is it helps us position and curate a pipeline early. And this is a snapshot. And by the way, there's way more actually than 200 opportunities over the last 12 months. But you can see the geographic diversity. You can see the increasing role of North America in our pipeline. You can see the split by sector. But then importantly, on the right, we've listed some of the ideas that have been driven by research that are now starting to show up as opportunities in our pipeline. Some of the words the autonomous mobility, sovereign AI, digital registries. These ideas are starting to fill up the pipeline, which means we're more likely to see them as high conviction investment opportunities. And if you remember, I said we mostly say no to everything. This is a bit of a snapshot of what it looked like for Infratil over the last 12 months. So we delved deeply into 20 opportunities for Infratil. And anytime radiology, which was an internally generated opportunity was the only new investment opportunity. That is success. Actually, that is success. It is absolutely okay for Infratil, for us for Infratil to spend a whole year, look at 200 opportunities and invest in nothing. In fact, you should be really pleased we're doing that because we're looking at a huge selection of opportunities and being very, very selective. But we did invest in some great ideas this year at Morrison, and you can have both a great idea and the idea not being right for Infratil. And as Jason mentioned, some of these ideas are very early stage, so not relevant or important to the context of a very large Infratil portfolio. But I'll talk through them quickly, some of these ideas, and it will give you a feel for the types of thematics that Morrison is thinking about. So Polaris, so this is a dedicated cold storage platform based out of Singapore. The trends we're backing there are food security. Singapore is an island nation that imports all of its food. It is incredibly important for the government to have security of food supply. That needs to be refrigerated in a lot of instances. So long-term high-quality counterparties contracting that capacity. And then the ability to expand that platform in a highly constrained, geographically constrained market, coupled with the rising demand for specialist pharmaceutical products that need to be refrigerated. So that's a trend we had observed for a while. There are research papers we produced, and we found an opportunity, we executed on that opportunity. Phil, similar point. So this is a greenfield platform in the United States. In the United States, as there are -- is in Australia and New Zealand, incredible pressure on the pharmacy supply chain, particularly for pharmacists. So pharmacists are incredibly highly trained individuals. They're trained for 6, 7 years. In the United States, a lot of them spending time at the back of the pharmacy fulfilling scripts. Those scripts can now be fully automated. So they can be done in a centralized facility by robots, counting pills, putting labels on bottles, putting them in a paper bag and then dispatch them back to the pharmacy or to your home. So in the United States, some of the largest chains like Walgreens, CVS have the scale and capital to build those automated facilities, but even they struggle in certain regions of the United States. What we're introducing is a shared infrastructure model. So Morrison will build and own the centralized fulfillment facilities and make them available to all participants in the market. So again, greenfield platform, really excited, backing that physical AI automation trend. And Orange, that's the JV in France. So this is the recognition that nations must have GPU capacity onshore. You need GPU capacity to process your sovereign workloads. But importantly, you need that capacity to be made available to create an AI ecosystem in your country. We partnered with the largest telco in the region to build sovereign AI capacity in that region. Again, a much smaller scale platform. And in case you hadn't noticed, Infratil has huge exposure to this trend. So it didn't need additional exposure in this format. And finally, -- it is a pretty exciting time. And Jason mentioned it, but the way we're thinking about this current AI trend that's washing over the world is what are the enduring constraints in the system and mostly their physical constraints and infrastructure-like constraints. And Jason talked about power. Connection to power, we think is the most enduring constraint. So we are spending a lot of time thinking about in our existing platforms or new platforms, how we do that. If you go -- the other interesting thing, if you think about the second one, sort of AI-driven productivity and transformation, we have learned a lot with the One New Zealand experience, and it will be great to hear the executives talk about that. But where you see Morrison or Infratil's name associated with complex operating businesses, this is what we're up to. We're taking a view that AI can dramatically reduce operating complexity and basically shrink the business down to the core infrastructure embedded infrastructure. And where you have large-scale platforms with embedded infrastructure and a shrunk complexity, you get really great enduring investment thematics. So where you see our name associated with that, that's what we're trying to do. Finally, on the right, physical AI. We've barely touched the applications of AI in the modern world. Yes, we've seen displacement of a few software engineers or increased productivity of a few software engineers. The next wave that's going to come through the economy is physical AI and how we position to provide that will be critical. And Morrison is already, if you think about that pipeline I showed you, thinking about many physical AI infrastructure investment opportunities. Thank you.

Unknown Executive

executive
#5

We do have 5 minutes for questions, which can either cover the Morrison piece or if there's anything around Jason's introduction, we might hold the specific company pieces till when the investee companies actually present because they're going to obviously talking about things in more detail. So maybe at a sort of capital allocation level. So...

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#6

First question for me, just on how you think about the portfolio in terms of -- The data center assets, once they become mature or once become developed, like do you want to hold these for maturity? Or do you think the success over the years has been monetizing these assets? Is that going to be a story that will play out in the next 5 years from, do you think? Or will you hold them?

Jason Boyes

executive
#7

It's definitely an option. I mean, Greg has talked about this before, anyway talking about it, but today, it's sort of easier said than done, finding the right way to do that. for our customers, for the team in terms of operating them and then obviously, from a capital allocation efficiency perspective. But that is definitely a work stream that's going on, and that technology is sort of being invented around us. I would repeat what I said before is we don't need to invent it, but it's definitely something that we should keep an eye on just portfolio mix exactly.

Philip Campbell

analyst
#8

Yes, Jason, it's Phil Campbell here from UBS. Just wanted to get a bit of a clarification just on the change to the Pillar 1 of the cash flow, sufficiently cash flow generative, it would be quite good to get your views on what that actually means.

Jason Boyes

executive
#9

Well, we've got -- what do we need a year, Andy, like 400, keep the lights on. So basically, we need to across the portfolio, a steady stream of kind of 400 and one is providing nearly half of that, get a good chunk out of the airport. We do get a bit out of Contact Energy, obviously, which is in the energy spot and then the balance really from -- across the portfolio, but clearly line of sight to CDC doing that. Is that kind of what you're -- I think I only put those to there because that's kind of their primary role, but it comes across the portfolio, which is kind of why I made it a principle rather than there are only these 2 ones in the box, we're curing it from across the platform.

Owen Birrell

analyst
#10

It's Owen Birrell from RBC. I just wanted to touch on something that kind of made a small entry into one of those slides around the $1 billion worth of potential divestments because we talked about all the assets you have, and it seems like you quite -- it appeared on those slides, you're quite wedded to them. Just wanted to get a sense as to how you guys are thinking about that $1 billion of divestments. Is it existing assets? Or is it spin-offs of parts of existing assets such as the tower sale going forward? Like how should we think about that?

Jason Boyes

executive
#11

Yes. I think -- thank you for asking the question because I didn't mean to put everything there in the portfolio for ever. I'm just trying to give you a sense of where they sit. So there will be elements of spinouts of existing assets that have been talked about as well. We're obviously midstream on, I guess, roughly half our health care portfolio, probably our view hasn't changed on that. in terms of future optionality. So it will be a bit of both. Nothing has really changed there. I think what I was more trying to signal is there's a bit more tolerance for smaller scale, longer-dated options in and around our core pillars. And so we were reflecting asking Galileo to get up to $3 billion or EUR 3 billion in 3 to 5 years in that market is unrealistic. But then you sort of say, well, do I want to be completely out of the European market with options in the part of the AI value chain that seems to be the most scarce and enduring forever? Or would you go out and then buy back in? So like we should think about that a little bit harder, I think. So more tolerance in and around the core pillars, I think, for starting smaller scale. And even some of the adjacencies, right, to transmission or something Again, if it's related, it's not dragging too much in and around our core pillars, maybe you are right to start smaller and build up in and around those core pillars. I think if you're a future option, a genuine future option is probably a little bit less flexibility.

Grant Swanepoel

analyst
#12

Grant from Jarden. Question around CDC and contact. CDC's strength is obviously building data centers and that -- with that comes the contracted demand that we will focus on. Why would you dilute that by moving into something where the power supplier gets a share of that IP?

Jason Boyes

executive
#13

You came out the CDC team version of that. Maybe to zoom out just from that particular idea. I think there will need to be clear advantages for the data center operator to do that. There will be things like speed to power that is consistent with the kind of social license requirements that we've talked about as well. So I think that will be case by case, looking at situations where you can get there faster at a scale than maybe you could otherwise with a strong social license story. So individual situations. And then really, it just comes up to the dynamic at the time as well.

William Smales

executive
#14

I think it's also within those JVs, right, Jason within those JVs, we're also thinking about how each party then gets value from that. And depending on what the party brings, probably determine what they will receive out of that JV. So as we go through those setups, we're thinking very....

Jason Boyes

executive
#15

Way that you're getting a fair share of the benefits of that particular site. I think...

Grant Swanepoel

analyst
#16

Demand is running so far ahead of what you can supply at, you'll keep looking at those sort of opportunities.

Jason Boyes

executive
#17

I think we should. Like one of my reflections on that AI value chain where you come up with the returns is that we're selling a power cheap. -- like if that is really the key gate, why are they not similar to further up the chain, particularly when you go all the way to the right, right, and you see the crazy returns you get from using that power. So I think that will shift naturally over time. But at this point, why shouldn't power more in this environment? I don't know.

Stephen Hudson

analyst
#18

Steve Hudson from Macquarie. Just 2 for me, just following on from that question. Is it grid connection? Or is it electrons, green electrons that's sort of really the enabler now for data centers. And I was sort of interested in all 3 of your touch points there.

Jason Boyes

executive
#19

Look, I think it's going to be both, right, as social license stuff comes to the fore everywhere. And clearly, there is an issue of transmission that probably creates the obvious constraint physical constraint. But unless you come with a good power story, which I think was probably the advantage of the Comtech JV in particular, it's not a sustainable business model. I think I don't know.

William Smales

executive
#20

No, I agree with that. I think the grid connection is a somewhat binary outcome. You must have a grid connection to be able to stand up your data center apart from the odd behind-the-meter stuff. I think the green election thing then becomes what is the cost of your electricity and how much are you being asked to contribute to that cost of a supplier. So that for me is more a variable, whereas the actual connection to the grid is a hard constraint that you've got to overcome. So in that sense, the grid connection in my mind is comes first, and it's probably more important. Having said that, we still need to secure green electrons as well.

Stephen Hudson

analyst
#21

So your 4 fathers had it right in the '80s, really, given the sort of DNA of the company.

Jason Boyes

executive
#22

Yes, I want a bit.

Stephen Hudson

analyst
#23

I want a bit. And just interested in your comments on infrastructure. And I think, Jose, you sort of said -- it's downside protection and inflation protection. Of all of your assets, which actually provides the inflation protection best? Because I was a little bit surprised with what you said about Longroad because presumably -- sorry, I'm answering my own question here, but presumably, some of those PPAs are indexed in the same way that the contract...

Jason Boyes

executive
#24

Indexation anymore. You have CPA linkage and a bunch of escalators in data center contracts. It's all in the bell already, right? So change the assumption, you'll get a different outcome still. The airport is the best inflation-protected assets, it's not very hard to figure that out the way the regulated asset base works. So that's one is actually not bad because you can reprice more often. And as long as your market structure keeps right in the consumer side of mobile in New Zealand, it is -- market structure is good. So yes, I would start -- I -- in my head, I go airport wine and then data centers with limits. The other thing to think about is half of the valves of the data centers and the energy businesses is development, and you can recapture all that inflation in your new developments as well. So...

Suraj Nebhani

analyst
#25

Suraj Nebhani from Citigroup. Just one question for you, Jason. You mentioned in the presentation around interest rates impact on Longroad. My understanding is NAV growth is a big part of the story for Infratil as you grow the value of the businesses. How do you think about that with higher interest rates? And I guess a follow-on to that is why are the return requirements not changing if your funding costs are going up?

Jason Boyes

executive
#26

I think part of the answer -- maybe to answer your last question first is the hurdle is pretty high anyway. It's pretty clear between that and long-term interest rates. And we're not -- we're in private markets really. You can't just change on the fly. So there's value, I think, in just keeping it clear with your teams what your absolute return we've had this out of the back of COVID when interest rates were flying all over the place as well, inflation expectations are flying all over the place. I think on -- in terms of the NAV with real interest rates, you're just going to have this headwind for your existing long-dated contracted assets, which is half of data centers, half of Longroad. And then you're going to have to catch up through the price at which you pay at which you sell your new developments, which is basically the other half of the business. So I mean, I think of it as actually reasonably balanced for the defensive and the aggressive at the end of the day. It's kind of interesting, right? If AI slows down, then I think there's every reason to think real rates are pretty low. And so 50% of your valuation is now, that could easily become 75%, right? So -- but then if it charges hard, then actually 40% of the in development, this is AI charges hard, but that pushes long-term growth higher, which means long-term real rates are higher is kind of thesis. If that's true, then the DevCo looks pretty undervalued to me because your DevCo will run harder. You'll be able to -- for all the reasons I talked about with these physical constraints, you'll probably capture more. So I think it's kind of difficult right with a snapshot. But either way, you should have these counterbalancing forces in the well. But as long as we continue to execute well and as long as we're right on the physical constraints and as long as demand continues, which are all the things we talked about today, there's every reason to find your way back to kind of the central course that we're.

William Smales

executive
#27

And we've been running against this headwind for a while now. So I mentioned sort of 30-plus assets across Morrison, almost all of them are doing regular independent valuations. So we have a very good view of how valuers are thinking about risk-free rates. So obviously, this trend of rising rates has been a headwind for a while in all of our independent valuations. I guess the point, Jason and I -- we're seeing like when does this let up? Like when do we actually see valuations from a risk-free rate position stabilizing. And I think we're all on edge at the moment in terms of what we're seeing in long-term treasuries.

Unknown Executive

executive
#28

If you think about what's really going on there, right, it is we've gone from a world where there was too much capital chasing enough assets to one where actually the world is quite capital short. And increasingly so, the way governments are going plus AI CapEx boom. So I think when you hear from the Longroad guys and they talk about their recent acquisitions, that shows the advantage of having operating capability and flexibility to act across the Morrison business. We've probably seen in that renewable space the attractiveness of the opportunity set in U.S. renewables just kind of go through the roof as rates have risen and you've had people being capital constrained. So I think that's the other half of it right like how can you access speed.

Jason Boyes

executive
#29

Yes, from your platforms when the world becomes capital short.

Unknown Executive

executive
#30

Break there, but thank you, guys. We're going to have a half an hour break and then start back just after quarter 2. So thank you. While we have the Longroad team come up, I was reflecting in our recent Investor Relations travels, we've been in the U.S. and Asia over the last probably 4 to 6 weeks. What's been really interesting is historically, and it's just the nature of the business and where the growth has been -- there's a lot of talk about data centers. We probably spend 90% of our time talking about the data center industry and obviously, CDC. What's interesting in the last sort of 2 to 3 months is that's now been balanced out by people wanting to talk about power and the access to power. And that's regionally and it's globally. And obviously, we've got -- we're pretty excited about the business, which isn't a new business. It's 10 years old next month, I think October 4. And these guys are sort of acquired achievers within the portfolio, and they've got probably an incredible position in the U.S. So I welcome them. I do want to acknowledge Michael Alvarez, who's sitting at the back there. We normally have him up here somehow he's managed to get out of it this year, but please ask him at lunchtime or any time during a break because there's a wealth of knowledge and experience.

Unknown Executive

executive
#31

So thanks, Paul. Okay. Thanks, [indiscernible]. Good morning, everybody. We're going to try not to be quiet this morning, Mark. We've been quiet achievers, but we're going to hopefully make some noise today. I do want to introduce my colleagues, Pete Keel and Charles Spiliotis as well as Flesh just mentioned Michael, and then Jeremy Law is here, too. He's our new COO. I'll talk a little bit about that in a second. But thank you, Allison. Thank you, Infratil Board. Thank you, Jason, for inviting us back for another tour of duty here in Sydney. It's beautiful to be here. We're really happy with the progress we've made over the last 12 months. We're going to go into some details. We actually have a pretty solid slide deck for you all to go through. So we'll give you some color on what's happening in the market, what's happening with some of the challenges and opportunities in the U.S. We'll talk about our business, our outlook for really kind of to the end of the decade to end of 2029. We are turning 10 years old, believe it or not, in a couple of weeks. So I look around the room, and we weren't invited to this 9 years ago. We didn't make the cut. But we've made a lot of progress. We're super supportive and very happy with Infratil as our investor. We've also had great support from NZ Super Fund and more recently from MEAG. So we're really, really excited about the next 10 years. But it's given us a little bit of time to reflect on where the business is going. And we've been -- and I'll talk a little bit about that, but we call it next gen, the next gen of Longroad. So 10 years down, 10 years to go, a long way to go. But I think the general theme of NextGen is what you think worked well for you over the last 10 years. It's probably not going to work that well for you for the next -- sorry, for the previous 10 years, it's not going to work that well for the next 10 years. So we've been trying to embrace that, reinvent ourselves, a little bit of a management team shakeup, and we're trying to get -- make sure that Longroad is ready and built for the future. So again, let me kick in and let you know what's happening in our business. So market demand, Jason talked about it this morning. Charles has some slides, but a really generational opportunity in the power business and the renewable business in the U.S. Think about anywhere from 150 to 190 gigawatts of installed capacity between '27 and '29. So that's an unbelievable market dynamic that we haven't had since we started Longroad. We are really happy to update our guidance. I'm going to talk a little bit about that on the following couple of pages. We're increasing our gigawatt target 25% and our EBITDA target quite a bit more. In order to do this growth -- to hit this growth curve, we need capital. We're really happy that Infratil invested in our internal round in March that they reported out on that earlier this year. And that capital has us funded into 2027. And then we're also starting an external capital raise in a couple of weeks where we're going to try and find the next block of capital that's going to fund us to the end of the decade, maybe roughly $750 million to $1 billion of capital. The renewable business remains challenging. There's all sorts of issues. I'd say the top 3 friction points right now in our business, regulatory that has a lot to do with tariffs, executive orders, that have not a lot of definition. What do we do with this? We don't know what this means. So there's definitely some regulatory friction. The cost curve has gone up everywhere, right? Inflation is real. It's gone -- panels are more expensive, batteries are more expensive. EPC costs are more expensive. Interest rates, we'll talk about. So the whole cost structure is going up. But luckily, because of this market demand, we feel like we're getting a fair bit of relief from the PPA counterparties. The one other thing that Charles will talk about a little bit is interconnection queues that are pretty remarkably long. So that's another point of friction. One of the places where we made a lot of progress over the last 12 months is on our digital infrastructure strategy. It's a little bit adjacent business from our core business of renewable power, but there's a lot of overlap. And I don't want to steal Charles' thunder, but we have roughly 10 gigawatts of data center opportunities that are adjacent plays with our existing portfolio. And then I touched on this management team. This is the next-gen thing. If you look at that logo there, how creative is that, right? It's see the 10 long road, 10. So that's just what a bunch of finance and engineer guys can come up with. But you can see it a decade down the road. So this is this next-gen concept and ability to refresh our management team. We spent the last 18 months thinking about succession. -- and at the request of our very diligent Board of Directors. And we put a lot of effort into it and a lot of thought into it. And we made an announcement in July about kind of the next generation of leadership. So we're really, really happy with where it came out. It was a ton of work that everybody put into it. Okay. So on the guidance. If you look at -- so last year, the gray bars are what we told you last year. And we didn't tell you anything about 2029 last year because we didn't know. But assume that we were going up 1.5 gigawatts a year, so 10 to 11.5. You can see that the number went from -- if you imply that 11.5 gigawatts in 2029, are now -- our guidance is now over 14 gigawatts. Last year, we told you at the end of '25, we were going to be at 5.5 gigawatts. We came in a little bit below that at 5.3. The project that we thought we were going to close in December actually ended up closing in March. So it just slipped a little bit. We're on track for hitting 7 gigawatts by the end of this year, just a little bit under that. We've had a few assets that have kind of swapped in and out. The blue bar is what we have. We have a fair bit of work to do for the rest of the year, but we expect to basically hit our targets. One of the things that we're -- I'm going to talk about a little bit is this -- and I know Paul talked about it, the Amuagosa acquisition. And that's really the main driver for us revising our guidance upward. So we used to talk about doing 1.5 gigawatts a year. We're now averaging 2.5 gigawatts a year. So that might not sound like a lot to you guys, but it's a big lift. So we're really happy with where the guidance is at this point. And on the run rate EBITDA, same story. The numbers are a little bit different. You can see, again, we told you at the end of -- we told you last year, at the end of '25, we'd be at 380. We're actually at $410. We're going to outperform our expectation a little bit this year, mostly due to asset mix. And then you can see we get to $1.2 billion of EBITDA in -- by the end of 2029. So that's a pretty sizable business. This is this kind of -- again, I'm trying to get everybody to think about next gen. We're not this start-up little company anymore. This is a really big company. Pete is going to talk about what does that mean? When we're at $1.2 billion of EBITDA, what does that mean for our financial stability, future? What kind of options do we have at that point? Okay. What have we been up to? So we put 2 projects online so far this year. Like I said, we've got another 1.1 gigawatts to go. I mentioned the Infratil $300 million equity raise. We have a 36 gigawatt platform that does not include the data center business. That's just our core business of wind, solar and storage. One of the things that's become like remarkable -- if you asked me 10 years ago, how much do you think you have invested in your pipeline, I'd probably say, I don't know, $250 million. We have $1 billion invested in our go-forward pipeline. So that just goes to the scale. Pete is going to talk about scale, making sure the business has scale and having our -- having access to our operating portfolio gives us the ability to finance some of that a lot more efficiently. But $1 billion of -- so we've got $1 billion of forward of development capital working on deals that are out into 2032, 2033. One of the big questions last year was OB3 and actually came out in a very constructive way for us. One of the things that came out of that was the rules around tax credit qualifying or safe harboring our projects. You can see we've got 15 gigawatts of projects safe harbored. You ask, hey, if you're only trying to go from 7 to 14, that's 7 gigawatts, why do you have 15 gigawatts? And the reason is we're not exactly sure if projects are going to fall into 2029 or 2030. And therefore, you have to almost overprocure to make sure that you've got coverage in the instance that it slips from 29 to '30. And then the digital infrastructure pipeline, I don't want to, again, steal Charles's thunder, but we've been spending a lot of time on it. We've been learning a lot about the data center business. And there's these 2 businesses, the power business and the data center business, are inextricably linked, and there's no question about that. And I'll talk a little bit more about the Ammeragosa acquisition on the following pages. As you can see, it's a big one, 2.8 gigawatts of solar and storage in Nevada. I'll give you some more details in a second. Here are some pictures of projects that we put into service, 1,000 miles. This is in Texas, but it's not an ERCOT. It's an SPP. And then Sun Pond is the fourth -- some of you have heard of SunStreams. Some of you have been to SunStream. And this is the fourth installment of our SunStream strategy. So it's been a great way to grow off of that initial investment. This is what we've done so far this year. Fremont is a project. This is the one that slipped from '25 into '26. a nice little deal in Utah with UAMPS, which is a conglomeration of municipalities in Utah. And then Milford Transmission. So this is a project that we've -- I'm sure you guys have heard of Fervo. Fervo is a geothermal company that actually has their first big power station right next to our wind farm in Utah. And they are -- we are actually selling them transmission services so that they can evacuate their geothermal power into markets West, so into California and other parts of WEC. So it's been a -- this is a good example of playing offense. Again, we have this -- we have a pretty sizable portfolio, 35 projects -- and one of the things we're trying to be a little bit more thoughtful about is how do we leverage our existing portfolio. You're going to see that in Vivid color when we talk about the digital infrastructure strategy. But this is another great example of basically leveraging our existing assets on this transmission deal. And here's what we have left for the rest of 2026. Notch Peak is a project in Utah. Again, it's same kind of strategy as leveraging. It's actually at the northern terminus of this transmission asset I just mentioned. We actually acquired that project from another developer and then we've contracted with an existing relationship that we have, Southern California Public Power Authority. So we hope to get that deal closed pretty soon. Rosemary is a nice little deal in Fresno County, selling power to AVA, which is a community choice aggregator in the East Bay of San Francisco. Raven is a small deal. This is -- I would call this more of an experiment for us. It's an experiment that we thought about kind of rolling up these small distributed assets. I think financially, we did fine on this deal. But in terms of the roll-up strategy, it didn't really make a whole lot of sense for us, just given the scale, right, 31 megawatts. And look, we're trying to do 2.5 gigawatts a year. And you can't -- you just can't get the bang for the buck on the human resources side. And then Milford Transmission 2, this is a further expansion of the deal I just mentioned on with Vrbo. -- again, leveraging excess capacity that we have in the transmission line so that they can evacuate power to Points West. And then finally, Amagosa. So Amuagosa is just if you're in Las Vegas, it's probably an hour drive to the Northwest. It's very adjacent. It's kind of across the state line from Death Valley in Area 51 for those people who have that kind of interest. It's an interesting deal. This deal was actually initially developed by NV Energy. NV Energy is the utility in Nevada, and it's a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway. They were developing it on the back of a pretty big transmission build-out that they're building kind of a north-south link called GreenLink and Ammeragos is like right in the middle of it. And it is a hugely important project for them. But from a regulatory point of view, they could not actually end up owning this project. So they decided to put it out to market to the developer market, and we participated in an RFP and we're successful. So there's still a lot of work to do with Amereigosa. I think just a couple of points to make. Number one, what's driving the Nevada growth is data centers. Nevada, NV Energy receiv something like 20 gigawatts of interest for new data centers. So from a siting point of view, Nevada has a lot of advantages. And you can see the demand. I think the system is only 15 or 16 gigawatts in Nevada. So they got almost as many -- more than their entire installed capacity in terms of interest in data centers. So having energy and renewable energy in this project is a hugely important factor for NV Energy. The other interesting thing is that the project comes with a PPA, actually 2 PPAs is 2 phases. And in the PPA, there's an indexation mechanism for the world without tax credits and the world with tax credits. So if the project is -- right now, the projects are expected to qualify for tax credits in '29 and '30. But if one of the phases slips, there's actually a mechanism prebuilt into the PPA that provides a higher price so that we have -- so that we can actually build the project. So that just gives you a sense of how critical this project is to NV Energy. And it gives us also a lot of comfort that it's not going to -- we're talking about pretty substantial development dollars at risk. And we want to make sure that at the end of the road, there's going to be something to actually build. So this gives us the comfort to do it. So we're really, really happy with it. I'm going to turn it over to Charles to talk about the market.

Charles Spiliotis

executive
#32

Hi, everybody. We've been doing this a long time. The team here, obviously, we've been at Longroad for 10 years, as Paul said, before that, a company called First Wind. I think something that we're pretty excited about is what you see on this slide for the balance of that time, right, it's been a renewable energy development in the U.S. has been a highly politicized investment, highly environmentally driven, right? If you were a proponent, that just meant that you're one of these Democrats wasting money, tax credits, right, all these sorts of things. I think that's a pretty -- it's a pretty tough characterization. But that, nonetheless, was certainly evident as we went through our lives and you went through -- you operate in different states and different regions that have very different opinions about what we're doing. I think this slide captures a real significant shift that we're all extremely excited about, which is while there's still politicization as we see in Washington, it's a much different feeling when there's such significant demand for new energy in the U.S. driven, of course, by by the digital build-out, onshoring, manufacturing, electrification of vehicles and everybody wants to ensure that we are ahead in the AI rates and that we have the infrastructure required to sort of retain the position that we have. That's a pretty huge shift for what we're doing on a daily basis, right? We're out in a lot of rural communities. We're out in a lot of places where historically, there's just been real challenges. And now it feels much different. There's just like a real significant shift in the way that we talk about what we're doing, grid reliability, right, need to get the electrons online to support hyperscalers, support new manufacturing across the U.S. And that feels sort of really satisfying, I think, for the people up there doing this who feel like we're doing really important work. Here's some of the growth. Yes, I think we talked the sort of theme of several of these next slides is the U.S. is a big place. We are doing a lot. And you see up there in terms of 3% annual electricity market growth, somewhere in the 2% to 3% across basically all expert analyses on what we can expect driven by some of the items -- some of the sectors that I mentioned before. The numbers today are actually relatively small, right, in sort of installed base of data centers in the U.S. and the growth is significant. We talk all the time about hyperscalers, but you can see right here, about 78 gigawatts by 2030 of demand outside of the hyperscalers, right, give sort of a sense of the size of the opportunity. We're looking today at $40 billion, $50 billion per gigawatt of digital investment. So sort of the scale at which load is growing in the U.S. is pretty amazing when we consider basically we did this for the first 20 years with no load growth, right? And we are almost entirely building new renewables in order to take coal offline. And it's a very different goal today. There we go. That's still happening. Coal is still not economic in the U.S. and never will be. There will not be a new coal plant built in the U.S. Only the pace at which they are retired is really the only thing that folks in Washington and elsewhere, state-level administrations can control to a certain extent, but sort of the inevitable is happening, and it's just how quick across the country those plants are retired and replaced by renewables. Here's the numbers on gigawatts. So right, just to scale the market. I'm going to slightly increase the numbers Jason said earlier, but about 60 gigawatts of new generation built in the U.S. last year, about 90% of that is renewables. So somewhere in the 55 gigawatt range. It's where all the money is going. It's where all the opportunity is if you want to build new infrastructure fast at economic rates. And I think the numbers here are pretty staggering, 70 gigawatts, right, is a number that I think I don't think a lot of us would have believed a few years ago. But incredibly -- incredible opportunity for us, the market dynamic sort of all the way across the country. For now, a lot of it is in certain places where trying to take advantage of the tax credit before 2030, right? So certain markets that certainly are focused on locking in lower prices for the grid, local grid or elsewhere. And then some markets that just have incredible load growth and they need the power really at whatever price it requires so long as it's fast. Here is the challenge slide that Paul alluded to before. So there's a lot of challenges in our business. It's always been highly volatile, right? Washington has always had a pretty big impact on what we're doing in some way or other. Now we have tariffs. That's sort of that's sort of a new one in terms of the way we've been planning, right? We had it since the first Trump administration to some extent, it's always been more manageable. The volatility is really the hard part, right? So we're trying to buy equipment, trying to build really long-lived assets. It's taking longer to acquire the equipment, as Jason talked about the supply chain challenges, things like that. A pretty big shift we've had in terms of what we -- what Jason was talking about earlier in terms of locking in the revenue, right? You still have all this volatility on the cost side. It's been a pretty big shift in terms of when we are actually locking in those power contracts, right? When we were doing this 10 years ago, used to want to sign the PPA as quickly as possible, invest as little money as possible, sign the PPA and then go invest aggressively to get projects built. That's sort of the opposite of what we're doing today, right? We're out there investing in interconnection positions and land, trying to find the best sites that we possibly can, knowing that if we do that, we develop the best projects that there will be a revenue contract at the end, and we'll be able to manage the cost side and be able to guarantee that, that is a profitable project. So it's a very different dynamic for us. We've been able to manage it, I think, well with a lot of our OEM relationships, right? So for solar, we've gotten up here and talked about before. We have about 3.5 gigawatts under our frame agreement, still kind of fixed price locked in, not subject to the tariff regime. That's a pretty big advantage we have today. There's a lot more domestic manufacturing in the U.S. than there was 3 or 4 years ago, right? That has been a real change. That's on panel side, battery side, new cell manufacturing. There's a lot of opportunity for folks like us. And a lot of it is at the scale we're operating at, right? So very difficult if you're a small developer to go out there and lock in a lot of these costs at scale. both because manufacturers want to talk to the end users, the ones who are going to own the asset for the long term, who can do really large volume. So that's been, I think, a real competitive advantage of ours. Build costs are going up, right? All this stuff is -- labor is a huge input cost, right? Construction competing for the same labor that the data center folks are, lots of commodity price increase, tariffs, of course. But the PPA market has been receptive, right? Prices are still at a very competitive level. point I just mentioned earlier, right, we're able to sort of lock in a lot of these issues before we signed that PPA. And it's been -- it's only moved one way over the last several years, but we've had pretty good success in terms of optimizing to provide the best value to ratepayers while still building economic projects. The last one is the interconnection queue. It's one you hear about a lot. I think this is why we feel so positive about our development pipeline and positioning. We've invested in our interconnection queue for a long time. I think in many places in the U.S., 7 to 10 years is not unusual, right, nowadays. So we have a 35 gigawatt pipeline, which I'll talk more about. That's a lot of investment that's happened over the last 5 to 10 years. right, in terms of trying to get us to a place where we have these positions. We have competitive advantage. We're always doing a ton of analysis around where we see new transmission investments happening, where we can position ourselves best. We have a really strong interconnection team. A lot of the tools that are available to us now, AI and others can only help us create leverage for us to accelerate, do better analysis, find more opportunities. So it's expensive. It takes a long time, but it's another reason that having a bigger platform is really advantageous. This is another -- the U.S. is a big market slide. So on the left hand here is kind of corporate PPAs first half of this year in the U.S. versus the the rest of the world. There's a lot of activity. And you can see in 2025, right, 66 gigawatts of corporate PPAs signed, which is a pretty staggering number. Some of those are shorter dated, some of those are longer dated. But in terms of the continued demand, hyperscalers and non-hyperscalers, right, that trend has certainly not slowed, and it looks like 2026 is going to be similar, especially as certain folks are trying to lock in renewables while the tax credit is still available to them. Here's the lowest cost source of new generation slide, which is renewables is incredibly competitive. the speed point, I think we've already made, we can move faster than most of our competition. But despite a lot of the friction and sort of tariff-driven skewing of the economics, it continues to be incredibly competitive product. And as we start to plan for post 2030, which is when the tax credit for solar and wind expires and largely today expect it not to be renewed. This is the unsubsidized slide that we really view as incredibly important, right? Because I just mentioned 7 to 10 years, right? So we're making new investments today for 2035 projects, right, 2033 projects. We need to feel comfortable that we're competitive in those projects. So some of what you see here is some of the benefits of the technology improvements. The battery storage is probably the one with the most room to grow. On the solar side, we will see continued efficiency of the technology. But in terms of the shape of battery storage is it still has significant gains, we think, to be made in terms of competitiveness, cost and long-term durability. So that solar PV plus storage utility is really where we're focused. And we think it can be competitive with gas for the long term, which is really the -- it's really what we're competing against in most of these applications, gas takes longer. It's gotten much more expensive, right? Cost of new gas plant has probably doubled over the last 3 or 4 years. We've seen inflation as well, as we've already mentioned. But when you think about the speed factor, when you think about sort of the lower risk nature of it, we're feeling really well positioned. And this slide is showing sort of the point that I already made, right? The right-hand side here, California, Arizona and ERCOT. So markets where we are focused, we feel really good about our competitiveness. That lowest unsubsidized LCOE analysis is, of course, across the whole country. where our pipeline is most heavily focused is the Western U.S. and in particular, the Southwestern U.S., which has the best solar resource in the country as the sort of most available land, right? So you can build a really large scale. And so a place like Arizona, which has, call it, the best solar resource in the U.S. has a battery storage tax credit, which lasts for another decade, right? So that's sort of -- you're sort of getting a bit of a soft landing, as we say, with the battery storage credit extending for that time period. And so in Arizona, in California, right, a solar plus storage product will be incredibly price competitive for a long time, we believe. And the sort of charts here on the right, I think, illustrate it. I already talked about the best outlook and why we feel really good about the declining cost curve there and technological investment and improvement that's happening, a lot of domestic manufacturing and domestic investment in the battery supply chain. And in terms of the markets, West is where we're heavily focused. MISO and SPP are sort of growth markets for us where we see a ton of the data center demand and relatively underbuilt in terms of the wave of renewables. And so we continue to make investments there, some of the projects that Paul highlighted earlier. So we see a lot of opportunity in those markets. This is getting back to the plan that we have here. 2025, we're about 1.5 gigawatts, 2026 and 2027, right, similar numbers. Trying to illustrate here that we have a lot -- we have a big pipeline. We have a lot of coverage on our pipeline. And so even though we say we have a 1.6 gigawatt goal for next year, we have 7 gigawatts of potential projects, right? Our business is highly volatile. Things generally take longer than you think they should, longer than you think they would. And so we need to have a lot of options in order to make sure that we can hit those targets. You expect you have the best project and you bid the PPA and you miss, next RFP is a year away, right? So I think for us, it just goes back to why we feel really good about that $1 billion that we spent investing in our pipeline and creating options all over the country to try to create real diversity and ensure that we can grow at the rates that we hope to grow at. You see the step-up that Paul mentioned in 2028 and 2029, that's on the back of the Amargosa project that Paul went through. Okay. Digital infrastructure. I'm trying to remember if we sort of teased this at all last year, this is the first time, I'm not sure. We're pretty excited about this opportunity. I'm personally spending a lot of time on it, right? So I think if you look around Longroad's portfolio and where we view sort of exciting opportunities, we have 6 gigawatt going quickly to 7 gigawatt here operating fleet, which means that in those 7 gigawatts, we've been doing business in these places for a long time. We have relationships with landowners. We have relationships with the interconnecting utility in most of these places, we have growth already planned or place or we would like to expand or grow or find other ways to do more in these places. We have familiarity with the permitting regime and probably local relationships. So that's sort of the most obvious, right? It's like we have this operating fleet at 7 gigawatts today. It's going to be 14 gigawatts in 3 years, and there's a whole lot of options in there to leverage the work that we're already doing and find ways to invest in digital infrastructure. It's really two ways that we can do that. One is it's probably three ways we can do that. There's obviously co-locating a campus with our renewables which is certainly what we're doing in a lot of places. There's the opportunity to do smaller scale, right? So when we talk about -- when Will is up there talking about the folks out in Austin protesting, right? They're probably not going to protest at a solar site that's already 5,000 acres, and we're using the same footprint, and we're adding relatively modestly with no permitting requirements and no real interconnection requirements, right? So those are pretty, we think, interesting opportunities because of the speed and the relatively low friction of investing in smaller scale. We think the U.S., the opportunity set at the smaller scale is really interesting because it's really hard to build these 1 gigawatt, 2 giga right? Elon wants to build 10 gigawatts and beam it up from the moon and do all sorts of stuff. That stuff is really hard, and that's where you get all the attention on are we -- are you increasing our power prices? How much water are you using? Are you compensating us with your property taxes enough or all you guys in Silicon Valley getting too rich. But the -- at the smaller scale, it's a really productive use already on the land. It increases property tax for the region without any real incremental infrastructure at scale. So we think that's a really interesting opportunity. And it's -- I think the third one beyond the co-located and we'll bring Google and we'll bring hyperscalers and we'll bring Neo clouds and invest aggressively together is just that we really see as an opportunity to drive new renewables, right? So in a lot of places, beyond, we'll partner with a hyperscaler and they want 500 more megawatts, and we'll build 500 more megawatts. We're also seeing opportunities within our portfolio where somebody is building a data center in SPT, maybe it's in the same state, maybe it's one state away, but they need a whole bunch of renewable capacity in order to sort of make it work, right? So could you build some battery storage and sell us the capacity rights for that battery storage over the long term? That's a pretty interesting opportunity that probably wouldn't have existed because the utility is probably not going to contract for that directly. And that's an opportunity that probably didn't exist a few years ago. There's also -- so in several markets like that, like in Arizona has a similar program, right? They know that everyone who wants to build large-scale data center, of which there are a lot, is not going to be able to co-locate a gigawatt of solar and a gigawatt gas plant and whatever else they need. And so they have sort of a subscription model where you can go and find Longroad and say, "Hey, Longroad, can you build your solar and storage projects in a slightly different part of the grid?" And we'll connect you with the data center developer and all of a sudden, you can accelerate what you're doing, you can do more faster. And it's advantageous for the data center developer, advantageous for us and it's advantageous for rate payers. So we're pretty excited about these opportunities. I do feel like it's changing every day, as we said, right, by the time I finish this talk, right? There'll be some other development item in one of our markets that I missed. But we see just an incredible amount of opportunity, and it just goes to like we have been investing in these options for a long time. We've spent -- in the case of Milford, we've spent 20 years there, right? We spent 20 years there, and we have plans to build new stuff each of the next 3 or 4 years, right? And that new stuff is solar and battery storage and transmission and digital infrastructure. And I think it just goes to -- it's a very long-term business. You have to invest and you have to create options and let those options grow. Here's a little highlight of what we see as the current footprint. The yellow dots are the operating fleet expansions and the green are kind of greenfield opportunities where we have already contemplated renewables, but we haven't built anything there yet. And we have a lot of opportunities that we view as pretty mature. on the left-hand side of the page, you see there in green are the grid load, the potential compute. And then in black, we show sort of the expansion of renewables that we hope will help drive that growth. So I feel like I went a long time. I'm going to hand it over to Pete. Great stage. Thank you.

Pete Keel

executive
#33

All right. Thanks, everybody. So what I want to do is build on what Paul and Charles talked about here, but really from a financial perspective and maybe help you connect a few dots in terms of how to value the company. It's always a question that we get, JP and Matt in flesh. So I'll see if I can help you with that. But just to get into it a little bit, so Longroad is an integrated developer, renewable -- integrated developer, independent power producer in the renewable space. With -- I'd like to think of it as an option on digital infrastructure. And so what I mean by that is our base plan, we're going to double the company over the next 3, 3.5 years. That excludes anything that we do on digital infrastructure, right? So that would all be incremental growth. And it's a really kind of nice option on the pipeline, the portfolio, the asset base, the capabilities of the team, all those things. So down below the holding company, we've got an Opco, 6.9 gigawatts by year-end 2026. And that is going to produce about $540 million of run rate EBITDA. I'm going to talk about run rate EBITDA. It's a question we get a lot, right? And what is that? So we'll get into that. And Jason talked about the contracted nature of the cash flows. I think something to touch on there, right, as we talk about interest rates. And how does that impact that? And isn't it kind of bad to have all those contracted cash flows there in a market where interest rates are going up? I mean we certainly don't think so. And one of the offsets to that is just what are the residual value of these assets look like. These are 40-year plus assets, and we're contracted for the first, on average, 20 years. And so you've got a lot of recontracting available to you. And if rates are up, then power prices are up, and that is a nice offset. Now that's a long way off. I get that, but that is some offset to what you're seeing in the sort of the existing asset base. And then on the development side of the business. And maybe you could segue to that. In a higher rate environment, provided that the PPA prices move with that, right, and we're still kind of able to make the math work and there's still demand at that higher level. Now you've got upside, right, on refinancing that you didn't have before. If you create these deals in a low interest rate environment, all the sort of the upside is kind of sucked out of it on the front end. The game used to be in the super -- in the ultra low rate environment, build a project at 11% levered return. But nobody wants to hold it at 11%. So exit it at 9% or 8% and make that spread. And now you brought profit in on the front end, but it has to be a develop-to-flip model because it's not interesting for an investor like Infratil to own that asset. But now all that lifts, right, and now we can generate levered returns on the build and hold in the mid-teen range, maybe a little bit higher than that. Now you've got an asset that you can hold as well. And you've also got a ton of refi upside in the future. So I think that's the silver lining to a higher interest rate environment. And we got into this business 20 years ago. And I remember because I got my first mortgage back then, 30-year mortgage. And it was 6.6%. I thought I got a good deal. And now the world is going crazy because mortgages are back at that level. But really, it's just kind of getting things back to normal. Bottom of the page here, the investor base. So we're excited that Infratil is now our largest investor. They've been with us since the beginning. They've been incredible partners. It's been 10 years. We're looking forward to the next 10 years, Jason. The equity part of the -- that's only -- the equity piece, right, that Infratil piece, that bottom line, that's the most important part of the capital stack, but it's actually the smallest. So we do about 90% plus other people's money, OPM, we call it, right, where we're bringing in other investors into the project to finance these deals. And you've got to have access to that capital. That's just how the market works in the U.S. And if you're good at raising this capital, and we are, then you're as competitive as the biggest guy and you're certainly more competitive than the small guys. The products are on the kind of left side of the page here, tax equity. That's a way to monetize tax credits. I'll talk a little bit more about that. And then the right side is the debt part of the capital stack. And then the middle is the opportunity to sell down assets at the project level. We've done a lot of that historically. We'll probably do it here and there in the future. But the base plan that we've laid out has us retaining ownership of 100% of the projects for the next 3 years. So we'll see how it goes. This is a tool, but it's a tool that we don't have in the base plan at the moment because we've got a plan that assumes we retain ownership of all of the assets. The other thing to mention here back to the rates and the rate environment is what's our exposure to interest rates when you look at this kind of 90% piece of the cap stack, right? So everything on the operating and construction portfolio is hedged, from a rate perspective, and it's hedged over the duration of the debt. So we put a piece of debt on. It typically amortizes -- it's scheduled to amortize off over the life of the PPA, power purchase agreement. So you kind of lining up my contracted revenues with my debt and you get those things to fade away together. The rate is hedged for that entire period of time. And we hedge that at financial close start of construction, right? So you take that risk away for the operating and the construction fleet. The development side, it's a little trickier. It's harder to get a rate offset in place on a development asset. But we've got -- we found a product we really like, deal contingent hedge, where once we get a PPA in most cases, we're able to lock in our interest rate as well and kind of take that risk away, right? So once we kind of get that PPA and that revenue line is locked, then we're trying to lock in all of our input costs with cost of capital being the biggest one. That's how we manage that. All right. Let's get into the business a little bit more and the numbers on a kind of a detailed level. So run rate EBITDA, $540 million of run rate EBITDA on our operating and construction fleet, that 6.9 gigawatt fleet. What is run rate EBITDA? Why do you guys keep talking about this? Really simply, it's the annualized EBITDA or unlevered cash flows that our operating and in construction projects create. Very simply put, it excludes tax credits that have been allocated to tax equity. So we get -- when you look at kind of our value stream, and I use that word intentionally as opposed to our revenue stream, our value stream. We are paid for producing electron or capacity, the ability to produce an electron like in a battery. We receive revenue, cash revenue for that from whoever the counterparty is, our customer. On top of that, we qualify for a federal investment tax credit or production tax credit as the case may be. And that's an incremental stream of value. Now I'm sure there'll be some Q&A at the end about how does this business perform after that's gone. And I think those are good questions, and we're happy to talk about it, and we should. But let's just stick with the kind of the here and now and understanding those sort of two components. So here, I'm only showing the -- that kind of that revenue side of it, right, the cash flow side of it. And we'll do $540 million run rate on the 6.9 gigawatt fleet. But the calendar year, this calendar year, we're going to do $290 million. So a pretty big difference. And why is that difference? Well, you can see the sort of the components and you start to put this stuff into annualized revenues, and you can see how it stacks up. So we got to get full year of production on our existing fleet. Some of those operating projects are -- were only partial year this year. They're going to be full year next year. We've got projects that are in construction. We've got projects that are going to go into construction between now and the year-end. And you got to capture the true earning value of all those assets to really start to apply kind of multiples that make sense of the business. Here's another look at it. So $540 million again of run rate EBITDA for our 6.9 gigawatt Opco. And -- but if you look at how that comes on over time, calendar year 2026, we're going to do $290 million. It actually takes 3 years for all this to come online. But the value has been crystallized today. Like if we went to JV and said, here's our growth plan, he'd be like, get out here. That's -- this stuff is all done. This is not the growth plan. This is like this is growth that you've achieved because it's just a matter of time before these projects come online. And why is that? When we get through the development cycle and we get to the start of construction, that's the big derisking event. That's the big derisking event. At the start of construction, the risk is kind of out of the asset. And a great evidence of that is at the start of construction, we'll put in place nonrecourse construction loans that convert into term loans where lenders are coming in for 90% of our cost at SOFR plus 150 basis points, and there are only recourses to the asset. That's it if things go wrong. And so that's how well structured these deals are from a risk perspective that you can source that kind of capital, put all the recourse on the asset. And that's why the market in the U.S. doesn't really perceive and that's why we, as managers don't really perceive a lot of risk in the construction cycle. It's a lot of work, and we don't take that for granted. We've got to execute. But from a risk perspective, it's a totally different thing from a development project. Okay. So that's the Opco. Let's talk about the Devco side of the business. Here's a slide that Charles showed you before. He showed you in megawatts, I'm showing you in dollars and give you a sense of the capital needs of the business, and I want to talk about how we're going to fund it. 2026 is -- that goes to the operating and construction portfolio. So that's kind of part of that 6.9 gigawatts. And we've got a little bit of work to do between now and year-end to get all the remaining gigawatts on board. It's about 1.1 gigawatts left to go. But that stuff is kind of in the bag. And that's sort of easy for me to say, I'm down here in Sydney, drinking flatlights and the team back in U.S.A. is drinking McDonald's coffee, and they're like working their tails off, right, to get that stuff done. But they're really just in the final throws of getting the project financing documents in place. So it's a lot of work, again, but it's pretty low-risk work. So now '27, '28, '29. That's about a $10.8 billion CapEx program excludes data centers that we've got in front of us. And most of that is going to be sourced with third-party debt, tax equity. We've got an expansion of the existing holding company debt facility. And then there's an equity component. We need about $800 million of equity if we're going to retain ownership of all this. Some of that we have today, most of that, we're going to go and get as part of this capital raise that Paul mentioned. Here's another look at kind of sources and uses, how to fund the business. But I want to talk about this one in the context of tax equity and tax credits because I'm to try to help everyone connect the dots in terms of value, okay? So $10.8 billion of CapEx, tax credits allocated to tax equity will fund about $5 billion of that, so 40%, 45%. Those tax credits are incremental to EBITDA. So when you say, okay, tax credit over here, I got tax equity over here, I think of tax credit as kind of the asset, the value stream, you think of tax equity is kind of the liability and they offset. And now I'm left with a net CapEx number of $5.8 million. And how do I pay for that? I pay for that with EBITDA with unlevered cash flows that the assets are generating, and that's also higher in my return on equity. So if I kind of piece it all together, at the end of the decade, $1.2 billion of EBITDA and $8 billion of net debt. I take away tax credits that are allocated to tax equity. I take away both of those things. And I've got an apples-to-apples comparison. The net debt number has been adjusted to say, here's what the debt balance is going to be at the end of construction. Once the dust has settled on everything, this is what we expect the debt balance to be. And I can start to do some math, and I can apply a multiple to EBITDA to get to enterprise value. And I've got a net debt number that makes sense that's apples-to-apples with EBITDA, and I can back that off to get to equity value. And if you looked at these numbers a year ago and you compare them to where we are today and you held your multiples constant, we've got an equity value that is about 50% higher than what we talked about with you here last year. And so it's really fun to come down here and report those kind of results and report this sort of business model and business plan that we put together. We're going to double the size of the company in the next 3 years. We've got data center upside on that. And we've got an incredible team to deal with. So we're really excited about the opportunity. I think one of the things that we are most excited about when we think about the sort of the vision, the mission for the company is really to be part of the solution, right? When you look at the U.S. and the need for electricity in the U.S. and to be able to deliver that to our customers in a competitive way and for the sort of the greater good, right, in terms of those electrons being renewable. And that's a real kind of motivator for the entire team. So with that, we have for questions.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#34

Can you just go back to that slide where you sort of talked about the amount of projects you have, say, for next year versus what you'll actually deliver? Like can you just talk us through sort of what goes into selecting the projects that you go forward and why some of them fail or don't sort of [indiscernible] the construction hurdle?

Pete Keel

executive
#35

Yes. What was the slide that you want to meet...

Jason Paris

executive
#36

Charles coverage? Yes. I mean, for the most part, it's not that they're going to go away. It's that they're going to be pushed out. I mean that's generally the case. And the revenue contract is certainly a big piece of it. The interconnection time line is also a significant piece of it. So we talked a little bit about the interconnection challenges. It's a moving target we have in the U.S. Obviously, a lot of generation in the queues, a lot of generation once to get online. problems you have that is an ongoing battle is several projects in one part of SPP, [indiscernible] a market. They apply to come online. They're all 300 or 500 megawatts. We get the transmission upgrades required from the utility, and that number is too big, one or two or three or four of those projects is dropping out. Two drop out, maybe you don't need as much transmission upgrade or maybe you do, and it's just split between two parties. So some of those and then like how long does it take for the utility to build those upgrades. The supply chain stuff we talked about has meant that a lot of the utilities are taking a lot longer to enable the upgrades that are required to bring on the new generation. So most of it is timing. And I would say those are the two biggest reasons why a project might hit that kind of blue area versus one that's going to be pushed off. It's generally those two.

Unknown Executive

executive
#37

I think a good example this year, like this current -- what happened in 2026 is we had a project in California that was in our plan up until maybe 3 or 4 months ago. And it became very clear that we were not going to get to the finish line with the counterparty by the end of the year, the revenue counterparty. So we shook our portfolio around and like what else is in there that we can do? And is there anything that we can bring forward? And what we're bringing forward is a project in Hawaii that's been under development for a fairly long time. It's got a PPA. We're just waiting for kind of one little permit that we think we can get before the end of the year. So that's the kind of bingo that we're -- or the juggling that we're doing to make sure that we continue to hit the numbers.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#38

Can you hear me? With this capital raise of $750 million going external, I'm just interested on what sort of pricing you'd be putting on that. When I reference that to your March independent valuator update movement to the June one, where your independent valuation went down 4%, I take it rates are rising. But since March, you guys have doubled your cadence of build-out. Does that imply that the independent valuator is seeing your new build regime as NPV 0?

Pete Keel

executive
#39

Well, I think we're going to find out what the market thinks of the value when we go to market. And so that will be a great external value point. The independent valuator has their approach. It might -- it's probably a little bit different from how we think about the world. But one piece of light I'll. Shed on that is the independent valuator heavily discounts the pipeline. And so they probably -- these Amargosa projects, for example, they probably value those at $50 million, just off the top of my head, but not much, right, relative to what those things are going to be worth once we get those in the ground. So I wouldn't sort of read too much into that and their approach other than just know that the new growth is heavily discounted under the way that the appraiser approaches things.

Suraj Nebhani

analyst
#40

Suraj Nebhani, Citigroup. Just one quick question for Charles on the data center plans. Can you just touch on what's likely to come up near term? And I guess a related question is on the levelized cost of energy slide. I noticed the combined cycle gas turbine costs were lower than solar and battery. We are seeing a lot more of those projects going up as well. How do you think about the competitiveness there for renewables?

Jason Paris

executive
#41

Yes. I mean I'll start with the LCOE one. So I mean, I think the point that I tried to make, right, this is the whole country. So I think that's one important point, right, the sort of average of the whole country for the most part, like the places that we're operating in, let's just use Arizona, right? That will be on the very low end of the solar side. And battery storage side, we expect the cost curve to continue to come down. So -- and then you look at the gas combined cycle side, $51, that's probably like Texas or Alabama, right only, like not places necessarily that we are competing in, in order for them to build that cheaply, right, because there are costs associated, like higher costs associated with a lot of the places that we're operating in, right, like higher labor costs, higher transmission costs, et cetera. Obviously, places like California, which is not going to build a lot of new gas or Hawaii to Paul's point. So yes, it's very different. U.S. is a big place. Every state is a little different. And so I think it's hard to generalize in that respect, but we feel really good about the competitiveness of the markets we're investing most heavily in. And then sorry, your first data center point question was? Yes, maybe just go to the last of my slides, Pete. Yes. So like the ones -- I mean, Texas has been the most aggressive place, right, the most activity. Obviously, we have -- one of these is a large operating campus where we feel like we have an advantage. The second one is not an operating project, but a late-stage ready to build, I'll call it, a development project. So it has solar ready to build, it has battery ready to build. It has gas basically on-site, ready to build if you want to build gas there. So Texas, I think from a speed perspective, is -- continues to be an incredibly efficient place. Permitting requirements are effectively nil, right? Like you're sort of -- it's permitted by right. So you don't have a lot of the same restrictions as you have in other places. Obviously, the PUC is trying to weigh in on the ridiculous amount of data centers in the queue. So there'll be some external factors affecting things. Utah, I think we're excited about because like I made the point earlier, right, we've been in Milford for 20 years. Our landowner for the other dot there is the largest landowner in the state, a lot of sort of political advantages, and we feel like it's really well cited. So we'll see. I mean there's a lot of dots on here. I could be surprised, right? There's some dots on here that are really large. So you talk to some -- the SpaceXs of the world, some of these guys are Google like they want really, really big, right? So certain places sort of are more likely to be able to build really, really big and maybe explore some of the fully behind-the-meter opportunities, right, which are less common, but growing as these things happen. So I'll probably be wrong no matter what I say, but I think that gives you a little bit of sense of how we think about it.

Owen Birrell

analyst
#42

Yes. Do you mind if I do one quick one for Charles, one quick one for Peter. Charles, just to follow up on the 5 gigawatts of near-term data center opportunity. Just can you dig into the potential economics a little bit more, like specifically, would you still need to buy or lease the land? And like what sort of CapEx per megawatt or total CapEx is it for the 5? And then -- sorry, the last one is like what sort of yield on cost are you going to get on that CapEx? Maybe I'll just quickly follow on for Peter, if that's all right. Like just looking at your long-term projection, that $1.2 billion EBITDA versus the $14, you're kind of implying like 80,000 per kilowatt, I think, in terms of the yield. And just thinking back to what Jason was saying earlier in terms of trying to PPAs going up and you guys trying to go more towards merchant. I'm just wondering, is that conservatism? Or is that like that Amargosa asset mix that's bringing it down? Or like -- because you're kind of assuming no increase in yield in future?

Jason Paris

executive
#43

Sure. Yes. I mean in terms of the way we think about it, the scope that we would likely have, I think we're thinking $3 million to $10 million per megawatt is probably the portion that we would be responsible for, and that's incremental to the renewables, hopefully driving incremental renewables and/or battery storage as well. So 3 to 10 out of 40 to 50, which is what we sort of think about for a large-scale campus today. Obviously, we're not buying chips in that example. And then a lot of the other HVAC cooling sort of stuff that is cost intensive.

Pete Keel

executive
#44

Yes. So we don't focus too much on EBITDA per megawatt as a metric. We focus really on -- I think because our mind is really on the asset by asset level. And what do we need to earn on any particular asset, and they're all unique. Some have lower cost profile, higher generation, but maybe in a market where power prices are lower, some of the opposite of that, Hawaii would be the extreme example of high power prices, but high input costs. And so what we're trying to do is really put deals together that work and some might be much higher kind of dollar per megawatt EBITDA. Some are going to be a fair amount lower. We're targeting per unit profitability at $250 a kilowatt. So that's really what we kind of drive the team toward. Historically, we've targeted $200 a kilowatt. Jason gave us a hard time about that because we kept outperforming it. And it's like you can only get away with underpromising and overdelivering for so long before...

Unknown Executive

executive
#45

9 years...

Pete Keel

executive
#46

But that's really how we sort of manage the business. And then whatever falls out in terms of dollars per megawatt of EBITDA is really just sort of a consequence or an output. It's not really a driver.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#47

Okay. Jason talked earlier about taking more merchant risk. Can you talk to that specifically around the appetite for that? And then secondly, the adjunct to that is what it means for funding structures for development.

Pete Keel

executive
#48

The second part was for funding.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#49

Yes. So you're taking merchant risk rather than a PPA your capital stack and potential amount of equity required.

Pete Keel

executive
#50

Yes. I mean that's sort of the point, right? So easy to say, let me take more merchant risk, capture more upside. Challenge with that, volatility in your annual numbers, which nobody likes. And the second part is it requires a lot more equity capital to undertake that strategy. So we haven't seen the need to do it. We've been able to find PPAs that we think are really attractive. And therefore, you can get -- where we're not sort of taking a discount to market, right? We're seeing PPAs that are good market rates. And then that allows us to get a much cheaper cost of capital on the project. That's kind of the math that we do. And that sort of always leads you to -- let me take the PPA. I think the merchant exposure is really on the back end. That's where we've got a fair amount. And these PPAs come off over time. This Milford project, the wind project that got us -- that sort of got us started out there in Utah that we've been able to expand so much around over the years. That was a 20-year PPA. We actually developed that project back at First Wind and 15 years ago. And so we're getting to the end of that deal. So I think that's probably practically speaking, the bigger opportunity is the recontracting. And when you get to that point in the life cycle of the project, it's delevered. So you don't have to make this choice of, I give me more merchant exposure, but I'm going to have less debt, therefore, more equity. You've got a delevered project, and you've got kind of a lot more degrees of freedom in terms of how to recontract it.

Stephen Hudson

analyst
#51

Just on the equity raise, would you contemplate sort of equity coming in at a project level, if that's possible rather than the holdco level?

Unknown Executive

executive
#52

No, we're trying to raise capital at the same level that Infratil and our other shareholders are.

Stephen Hudson

analyst
#53

That's clear. And just you mentioned just helping us in terms of what the independent valuation might look like post 2030 if you switch on and off the tax credit. Just interested in that.

Pete Keel

executive
#54

Yes. So well, -- the tax credits that are in the plan through 2029, we're going to get those tax credits, right? So we'll receive those. There's not -- there's execution that we need to do to get those, but those won't go away. So the question is really around the tax credits is, is this business viable once those tax credits are gone? That's the sort of the threshold issue. And so we believe it is. We're investing in 2030-plus pipeline. And the reason why is there's a few different things. First is if you look at what's actually going on in the tax credit environment, the battery portion has a tax credit through 2033 start of construction, 2037 in service. So you've got a ton of runway on the battery. And that was very intentional if you look at how the legislation was drafted. And when you look at our pipeline and our forward CapEx program, about half of the CapEx program is the battery. So we still have a tax credit for about half of what we're doing. And then so it takes you to the other half, right? And can you provide a product that is cost competitive on an unsubsidized basis. And the projections from all the experts say, well, you can't. We're really competing with natural gas. You get a lot of questions, nuclear and coal and nuclear plant -- coal plants are just -- they're just not competitive on an economic basis, it's really that simple. And then nuclear is so far out, and it's much more expensive. So it's really kind of solar and battery versus gas. And that's where we see the sort of the industry going. And we compete well with gas. And it's really complementary technology in terms of enabling new renewables to penetrate the grid.

Unknown Executive

executive
#55

But I think the point to make, though, is in this market where the supply-demand dynamic is so strong, we're not competing with gas because customers need it all, right? If you talk to a data center developer, hyperscaler, they want gas, they want renewables, they want storage. So it's not -- we're not even competing. They just want to get access to the actual -- they want to know that you can actually deliver the project within a certain -- not in 2035, like can you give me something in 2029. That's valuable, whether it's gas, solar or anything, that's what's important.

Unknown Executive

executive
#56

Okay. I think that's a good place to end it on. Thank you very much, guys.

Unknown Executive

executive
#57

Thank you and good afternoon, everybody. For those of you that haven't met me before, I'm Nick Judd, recently appointed CEO of all of 2 weeks. And joining me on stage, I have Kieran Byrne, recently appointed CFO of all of 2 weeks, but have been with the company for longer; and Richard Mooney, who's CEO of our EonFibre business. We actually thought we did quite a good job of the presentation last year, but it seems like we've been downgraded to the after lunch slot. So maybe that was a bit of misguided on our behalf. The other term that I heard was we the warm-up act for Greg Boorer and the CDC team. So either way, we're looking to outperform this year and see if we can get a better ranking slot next year. So we'll see how we go. So today, we're going to talk about a few things over the 40 minutes and then obviously leave some time for questions. But -- there's a couple of messages that we want to reinforce. One, why we believe we're winning in market and the external data that points to that. We want to talk through, obviously, the strategy and where we're at with this change of CEO. As you can expect, there will be some tweaks that we will make, but we want to be clear that, that is an evolution of strategy, not a revolution of strategy. And that's because of the great work, obviously, that has been led by JP and the Board over the last 7 years and how we've transitioned from Vodafone through to One NZ and having that brand so well established in market. We'll obviously talk a bit about RANCo, which I know has got a lot of interest and a lot of questions so far, and Kieran will touch on that. But also, he'll touch on where we're going with our network aspirations and why we are starting to invest in what we see as a driver of growth for us through Horizon 2 and Horizon 3 and to give you a sense about how we see that playing out. And last but not certainly not least, it's a good timing for Rich to join us on stage and talk about EonFibre, which has now been running as a separate business and how that business is shaping up. He'll talk through, I guess, how we're seeing that market play out and some of the opportunities that we have, which are now coming into focus quickly and the opportunity with that being a separate business. Just touch briefly on the executive team because I am fortunate that the exec team has already sorted. And that's a real credit to JP and Jodie King, our previous Chief People Officer, because we were able to take talent within the organization and fill the roles. And so Kieran, you'll remember, for those of you that were here last year, was our Chief Technology Officer. He stepped into the CFO role. that's enabled Sharina Nisha to step up. And Sharina is a 30-year veteran of our company. She has previously almost latterly been leading our T1 transformation project and doing a fantastic job of that, and she has absolutely earned her seat at the table, and we're incredibly proud that she's joining us. And then we've had Sonia Fernandes join us from a Chief People Officer perspective, who joins us out of Washington, but has spent time in New Zealand, Australia and across the Asia Pacific and brings a really good experience about organizational transformation and how we face into the impacts of AI and automation, which we continue to lead on certainly in a New Zealand sense and how we go about it. Rich Mooney is sitting out there by himself on the side, and that is because he actually reports into obviously, his own Board, which is made up of both owner shareholders and independent directors. I'm not going to spend any time on that apart from two numbers. One we're incredibly proud of is we were awarded earlier this year for the fifth year in a row, the best network in New Zealand by umlaut. And while there's different measures and maybe some competitors have a different view, we unashamedly and very proudly believe we've got the best network, and that's proved by the performance stats that we look at and see. And our job -- our team have done an incredibly great job of building that from where it was pre-Infratil ownership to where it is today. It still takes the majority of our CapEx investment. And as a result, we continue to invest in that and obviously build out 5G capability. And the other number I want to talk on is one that's actually going to change tomorrow, which is our retail store number, which is we've got 58 today. And as of tomorrow, we'll have 59 when we launch Tauranga City again. And why that's important to us is because it's a really integral part of our sales story and our sales momentum at the moment. As we launch stores, we are outperforming every business case that we put in place. As we refresh stores, we're getting better service metrics, better sales metrics. And it's probably a story that we don't talk about often, but it's actually quite unique to a lot of other industries where people are shrinking back to digital only. As handsets get more and more expensive, people want to touch and feel them and people still want human context. And so that you will continue to see expansion and investment in retail stores as we go forward. The next slide, actually, I won't talk to because it sets up a bit of an agenda for the day and probably a checklist as we go through each of the areas. But what I would say is a headline sort of statement is we are very pleased with our performance today in what has been quite a challenging market. And we're pleased with the investments that we're putting into areas like AI and automation, some of the value we're starting to see through that. We're pleased with how our transformation project has gone, and we're in the third year of the 3-year program of that. And those investments will drive increased earnings and cash generation in the future, which we obviously know is incredibly important for our owners, as Jason talked to this morning. This will be somewhat familiar to you because it looks very similar to our strategy on a page. And so as most new CEOs do, we have this chance just to stand back and reflect about how we think through our strategic priorities in. For us, the purpose and the ambition haven't changed. We still want to be the best at what customers value the most. But what we have tweaked is we've changed the pillars. The pillars that we had last year were best network, best solutions, best people, which were actually capabilities that we have in the organization. But where we're at now, we want to be really clear about how we win and how we drive future value growth and future cash generation. And so the first pillar on this is actually embedded in that AI and automation investment that we're putting in. We want to be a much simpler and a much smarter One NZ. We know we can drive significant efficiencies at a scale and pace that we haven't been able to before because of the complexity of our business. We've got confidence that the skills we've built through the PoC and some of the value that we've created through AI initiatives are actually now going to enable us to be able to scale efficient growth and efficiencies and cost over the next couple of years. And so one of the aims for me in the next 3 years is that we drive really aggressively around radically simplifying the business. I don't think that this is an option for us, and it's not an option because I think business models are going to start changing so much faster with the way AI is now playing out on our landscape. And so we have to try and throw off some of the anchors of the past of being a 35-year-old telco company and have the flexibility and agility to roll with that. We've got confidence we can do that. We will be leading with an AI-first human where it matters methodology and some of the skills and capabilities that we've built over the last 2 years will really help us in that radical transformation that you'll see. The second one, best place to buy a phone, you might think is a bit narrow. But what we have learned and what we'll talk more about through the strategy is actually we know that if we get the phone and that phone purchase that we have customers that are stickier, they move up the product stream in terms of the value stream from a mobile phone product perspective. They churn less. But more importantly, it actually becomes our doorway into how we win their home. And off the back of it, we can win the broadband proposition. We can win their companion plans. And so while it seems focused on the phone, it's actually not. It's about our unlock through the front door about how we win that home and get much higher customer value out of the home rather than the individual. And we'll talk a little bit more about that today. And then lastly, Kieran will touch on this in some depth. We want to be a network of choice in both Richard's EonFibre and Kieran's space. previously in technology, we have an ability as we go forward, we think, to build -- move from the best network to a network platform that will actually drive the next wave of revenue growth for us. And so the investment that we put into that is quite important and central to how we continue to grow. Now while we're obviously unashamedly targeting to win in market, we know that we have a core responsibility as well as one of New Zealand's largest employers to make sure that we're focused from an environmental, social and governance perspective. And we're very proud of the progress that we're making in this space. We've got a small team that drives some really good outcomes. And there's a couple of highlights that I just want to call out. So probably the single most important number on this is the GRESB assessment, where we moved from 79 out of 100 to 95.5 out of 100 over the last year. And what that signifies is it signifies that the time that we've spent on purchasing certified renewable energy to reduce our Scope 1 emissions, the e-waste programs that we're running, the focus we have on inclusive workplace and diversity and the focus on partnerships with e-waste and others is actually showing through in how we're measured and tracked from an external benchmark. And so it's a number that we're very proud of in terms of particularly the movement we've made. And in addition, and aligned with that, we also have Te Rourou, our foundation, which we probably don't do a good enough job of talking about that has been around for decades and focuses on youth and how we can advance better outcomes for youth through digital enablement and other activities. And so that program has had some really great success stories that we need to do a better job of amplifying. But yes, we are very proud of that. Before, I guess, move into talking about how we're winning in market, it's probably just worthwhile touching on market dynamics at the moment. And so when we spoke probably 12 months ago, we've just come through the 6 months before we've seen the trade tariffs come on. New Zealand has started to look a little bit better, then it got the wobbles again. Same story happened earlier this year where things were starting to look better post summer. And then obviously, with the advent of the war, New Zealand got the wobbles again. Anecdotally, certainly, the feedback we're seeing through our customer base is that there's actually more positive momentum starting to shape up. Probably won't be helped a little bit by the election going on at the moment. But actually, when you look across the board and even through probably the worst of the sectors such as construction, what we're starting to hear is actually that there's some green shoots everywhere. We're seeing this in some of our footfall numbers. And so our Apple iPhone presales just went live on Sunday, and we're up double digits on last year, which is good, particularly given the handsets have gone up in price again. That's partly, I think, related to our proposition in market, but also is a good indication of market overall. And we are seeing more positive signs such as, I think, Monday's announcement that net migration is starting to turn around. So while there's been really subdued growth in the overall market for the last 2 or 3 years, we actually have expectations that there is going to be a better level of industry growth over the coming years. From our perspective, we don't need that to be exponential. We don't need migration to go back to sort of '21 to '22 and the start of '23 as it was. And so that's not built into our assumptions around how we think we can get to a mid-tier -- mid-30s EBITDA margin over time. So I guess why do we keep saying we're winning in market? And for us, we obviously look at our internal financials, and we can see we're doing pretty well in comparison to our competitors. But the data that you see on the screen here is one of the better industry benchmarks, which is IDC data that we all contribute to. And I think it's important to pull out a couple of points in here because I think they reinforce our story really well. And that is for the last 2 years, we've led in overall mobile growth, and we've captured on the NZ brand alone, almost 60% of the overall market growth through that 2 years. That doesn't take into account the fact that in the MVNO base, we're capturing a good chunk of that as well. And so when you put that on, we are far and away capturing the most significant portion of growth in the market versus any of our competitors. And that shows in the market share graphs that you see up top on consumer mobile revenue share, where obviously, every year, we've had a 1% increase. It's hard to move the market by percent. So it doesn't look a lot. But what it does mean is in that pay monthly segment, we are now neck and neck with Spark when we previously had quite a sizable gap. And so we have the momentum in the most valuable sector of the mobile category. And I'll talk about what underpins that shortly. But obviously, one of the elements that we have quite unashamedly led on has been price increases. And so for 10 of the last 12 quarters, we have seen ARPU growth. In fact, this was up to March. And I can tell you for June, we've also had another quarter of ARPU growth that now means that we're sitting at around $51. That's market-leading, and yet it's not impacting our acquisition, as you can see from the other numbers. So our customer proposition now is strong enough that we can hold an ARPU premium and we can acquire better than what our customers can. And that strategy for mobile growth is built on two things. It's a differentiated customer proposition and it's better customer service than what we had. And so on that first point, you would have heard us talk certainly last year and I think the year before around one wallet or phone dollars. And effectively, this is a loyalty scheme like Airpoints. And what it does is that it means that as people purchase more products with us or engage with us, we effectively give them phone dollars, which they can then use on their next handset. And that is becoming more and more important. For those of you that followed the iPhone launch last week in terms of the foldable phone is now coming out. The starting price for that is now $4,500. The top end product price is $6,500. And so handsets are getting more and more expensive. The chip shortage is adding to that in terms of -- so that's not going to change anytime soon. But again, we know that if we win that moment when somebody needs a handset, we get the value creation off the back of it. And so for us, that proposition is built on three things. One, it's built on that best network, so people can trust us when they join us. Two, we believe that our sales and our service is getting better and better, and I'll talk a little bit more about that in the second service section. And three, this one wallet proposition is, at the moment, we're the only one with that in market. And it becomes incredibly hard for others to mirror because the way we actually enable that was through removing a whole bunch of discounts on our plans a couple of years ago. So if somebody else wants to try and take us on that, it would be a direct hit to their ARPUs and very, very challenging for them to do. It provides us with a competitive advantage in that consumer space that's very, very hard for others to mirror and as you can tell, is gaining momentum. It shows up in things like reduced churn. So we get 1/3 less churn for people that are engaged in the Wallet program. It shows up in us winning more broadband and companion plans, as I said. So it's margin accretive in two ways, both in revenue growth, but also in less revenue dilution. And so it's a really important part of our consumer proposition as we go forward. And then the other side of it, which we again haven't talked so much about, but it's actually the service side. So if you went back a couple of years ago, on average, people had to call us once a year. Now obviously, some people call a lot more than that, but across the customer base, it was once a year. Within a couple of years, we've moved that to 2 years. And actually, with the AI and automation side, we believe that we can move that significantly again. And the ultimate aim for us is that no one needs to call us. That would be ideal because if we can get ahead of some of that stuff through the use of AI and insights, actually, we might be calling people the other way around to say, "Hey, you've got a problem, you need to look at this." Now that's Utopia. We're not quite there yet, but it's a real focus for us because we know that if people don't have to engage with us, there's less chance of problems, the Net Promoter Scores go up. And again, they stick with us and stick with us for longer. So it's a big focus for us. In our retail environment, we've just launched Retail 3.0 in our Albany store. And if you're in that neck of the woods, it's worthwhile going to see. And effectively, what we've done is we've created a whole lot of self-service portals, which are getting better take-up than we expected from the business case. And what that means is two things. One, people don't have to wait in line to get serviced. But even more importantly, it means our salespeople can sell. And so our sales numbers are up in those stores. It allows them to -- particularly with the iPhone launch and other stuff, it means that we can engage with people a whole lot more quicker, which obviously drives bottom line benefit. So it's a good example where a focus on service drives good outcomes from a sales perspective also. The last piece that I want to talk to is just enterprise. And this is one area of the business where it's challenging and remains challenging. So we're continuing to see quite aggressive propositions in the mobile space in terms of -- and while the rate of decline in mobile ARPUs has slowed, it definitely hasn't stopped. And I don't think it will for some time based on some of the behavior in market. And so for us, that's meant that we have taken a different focus to how we try and win in that space. We've launched a product called Unlock, which effectively gives the employer the choice to slim down their corporate phone proposition. And in return, we've come in with an employee plan proposition based around phone dollars that offsets the fact that they're now going to have to pay for their mobile phone. So a double win all going to plan. The employer gets a reduced cost. Obviously, we get the customer, but the customer gets an ongoing loyalty program that then funds their next handset. So there's not that employee disquiet over it. We've got a pretty good pipeline for this, and we believe that it will be both a retention and an acquisition tool. And so the whole organization has swung behind it. There's been a few challenges working through the product proposition and how it lays out and every organization is different. But all of the One NZ employees are now on it. And so we've worked through that and they are now advocates for pushing it out. So that will be a key tenant for us from a product perspective. And then we've made some changes to our structure in terms of the segmentation of how we think through that base. And we've split our strategic customers from our mid-market base and then we have business and SME. And that's quite important because that top end of town requires a lot more bespoke solutions. Mid-market just has to be plug and play. We've got to get away from doing bespoke things in that space so that we spend less time on admin and drive more efficient margins through that. And then lastly, in that space, we've taken all of the sales channels, and we put them under Chris Fletcher, who drives really strong sales disciplines right through that function and is doing a great job of leading that team. And so we're in a good shape with that. On the ICT side, we've got a couple of really good resigns that are in the bank, a couple we've managed to build out propositions along with our cybersecurity business defend. And so it's a continued focus for us, a continued challenging market, but one that we're not backing away from as we go forward. So I'll leave it there and pass over to Kieran to talk through the next pillar.

Kieran Byrne

executive
#58

Thanks, Nick. So we talked about a simpler, smarter One NZ being a new pillar of the refreshed strategy that Nick just talked about. And the -- why that's really important is One NZ is like any typical telco, where over time, we've grown through acquisition. We've taken on different organizations, and we haven't necessarily cleaned up the IT stacks that sit behind that. So we find ourselves in a situation where we have a lot of complex legacy products and a lot of complex legacy processes and platforms that sit around that, too. So what we decided 2 years ago that we were finally going to solve this problem, and that's when we started to think about this T1 program, which is transforming One. And we kicked that off. And really, that is a program around modernizing our IT estate, our customer-facing platforms and moving all our customers from their current legacy platforms onto this new modern architecture. A year ago, I stood here and I talked about we're about a year into the program, and we were starting to -- just about to migrate our prepaid base. The good news is the program has remained on track and on budget with successful cutovers. We migrated over 2 million active and pre-active connections from our prepaid base onto the new stack shortly after the discussion last year. And then since then, we put our entire pay monthly base now in the new stack as well. In about a week's time, we've got our final major release of the program, which really sort of breaks the back of this program. We will move our pay monthly products into the new stack and start migrating all those products over. So it's been a really, really great project. It's been a challenge, but we've built up some really sort of strong project disciplines around transformation in the organization as part of that. Other highlights is the simplification that's happened as a result of that. So 98% of our mobile connections are now on in-market plans. We've gone from 130 prepaid plans down to 6. And we've gone from over 700 pay monthly plans down to a few dozen now with a little tail to clean up to get that from 98% to 100%. And we're making really good moves in broadband as well. And that's across -- that's not just consumer, that's 98% across consumer, business and enterprise as well. In terms of benefits that are coming through, we're starting to see the benefits being realized off the back of this project. So we're seeing reduced failed orders, so less manual intervention around orders. We're seeing average handling time in the call center reduce as they get used to using these new platforms and systems. We're also seeing massively increased IT reliability. We've seen incidents in IT almost reduced by half since we started this program. And also the speed at which we're able to get to market now has really radically transformed from taking months to create new products to literally now creating them in hours. The next thing I wanted to talk about was AI. So stood up here a year ago and talked about One NZ, we were going to make a big push on AI over the next 12 months, and we have. So we've launched around 50 different AI solutions in the business across the different domains. And I'll call it, there's a lot of smoking mirrors around AI adoption in enterprise at the moment, and it is difficult. And we've experimented a lot. We've learned a lot along the way, and we've had some really good successes. So I wanted to talk about a couple of things today in areas where we're really finding a benefit from AI in our business. We are a telco, but increasingly, we are a software business. Telco platforms are becoming very software defined, and we spend tens and tens of millions of dollars a year on software development. One thing generative AI is very good at is software development. And so what we found is that is probably the #1 opportunity in our business for reducing material cash from our spend. We found it as other businesses have complex to deploy these tools and get people to develop them and use them. And what we've found is the best approach is standardizing a tool set that everyone can use and then driving productivity with top-down targets. So we've created what we call a software workbench, which uses the best-of-breed tools we can find, which supports architecture, it supports software development, it supports business requirements, it supports testing, gives these standardized tools to teams, and then we've literally gone through and reduced their budgets by 25% and force the productivity through in that way. And we found that's the best way to get adoption in the software space. And we've still got a lot of work to do, and there's a lot of opportunity, and we'll keep working on that software development life cycle as it's the #1 way that we can reduce cash spend as part of AI at the moment. So that's the generative AI side. I wanted to talk a little bit about Agentic as well because I think 12 months ago, there was a lot of talk about Agentic AI, but it just didn't work. And it certainly didn't work in the context of a business like ours and mission-critical infrastructure. Since about, I'd say, April, May this year, the capability has been out there to really take advantage of Agentic. And I'm going to talk about one solution here, but I really want to talk about in the context of what we're going to do next. So I want to talk about this network concierge AI agent. So what that does is that takes a whole of telemetry off our network. You can basically give it the mobile phone of someone and a problem they're having, and it will go and diagnose that problem. And so that's something that an engineer would do typically, and it would take a certain amount of time. We've now got an AI agent that we can put that information in and it will come back and it's saving the people who are doing those diagnosis about 75% of the time. So on its own, that's not going to transform the economics of our business. But as we go forward, we're thinking about how do we start to really redesign processes around human and agent interaction and all the data and automation associated with that. And so we are a process business as a telco. And so we're now going through a methodology where we go process by process through the business. We start to design out what that work looks like in an Agentic world. We build the agents, we build the data products, and we redesign that to get the value out of that. We've just started that process now, and that's going to be a big focus of the next year is a complete process we of our business around Agentic technology. The other thing that's not on this page, which I'll mention as well is we're starting to experiment with our own in-house AI as well. So we bought a couple of GPUs. We've got our own open source models on them, and we're starting to actually deploy that on real use cases inside our business. And that has sort of two advantages at the moment. It not only saves us token costs from Frontier labs, but it also -- we can start to think through if we can do this to ourselves and start to put these workloads on our own environment, we've got a set of enterprise customers who are equally trying to solve the same problems that we are. So by trying this on ourselves and understanding what we can do, we're going to see if there's an opportunity for us to support our own enterprise customers with their own sort of sovereign AI solutions. So the next topic I wanted to talk about was around our network and how we see value being extracted from our network in the future because we see a lot of change happening in the world at the moment, and we want to be the ability to make the most of that change that's occurring. There's a number of trends happening around us, which give us a strong conviction that there's a growth opportunity coming that if we can pivot what we do in the right way, we'll be able to capture. And really, that centers around this AI revolution. We talked about generative AI and Agentic AI in that previous section. But when we start to make the move into physical AI and devices and sensors and robots and drones around this world, they all need to be connected back to a physical data center. And the telco is obviously in a prime position to be the bridge between that physical AI endpoint and the cloud intelligence that it needs to talk to. It requires us to think about things differently. We need to think about different types of connectivity for different applications, which is something we haven't done before. And we also need to think about how that connectivity can be consumed in different ways through third-party innovators and ecosystems rather than through the direct sales that we do now. So we're starting to work towards this, and we're starting to prepare ourselves for this future by thinking ourselves more than just a network, but more like a digital connectivity platform that can sort of empower an ecosystem of developers to use connectivity to deliver some of these productivity solutions. And one of the foundations of that is our 5G stand-alone core, which we're currently in the process of deploying. And with that capability, we're going to be able to do this new technology, we're able to slice the network up into different lanes for different applications for some of these new and emerging use cases. And so what that actually practically looks like is you've got a traditional telco model where from device through the infrastructure, we hardwire products through there. Everyone goes through the same lane in the network. All the innovation is done in-house. And we think about different sort of technology, satellite as sort of resilient complements to our network. What we want to ultimately pivot to is a connectivity platform where the capabilities of our network are exposed through APIs to an ecosystem of developers who can take them and do really good things with that connectivity and do the selling and the productization and the innovation for us. So we're moving the innovation out of the inside of us through the outside. And we also want it to be infrastructure agnostic. So we want to expose connectivity products where the customer does not care whether it's satellite, whether it's wireless, whether it's a fiber, they just want a connection from A to B, and we choose the most appropriate input for that. I want to give a practical example of where we're actually making some progress in this domain. And Holter is a New Zealand business, which a lot of you from over New Zealand will be familiar with. But for those that aren't, it's an agricultural sector business that creates collars for farm animals. Those collars do a few different things. They can obviously monitor the health of the animal. But the real interesting use case is geofencing. So they both the cow in each direction and what they can do, the farmer can control where the herd of cows goes to and effectively, without fencing a property, can move them around the property and get more -- much more sort of yield out of the property. It's a really interesting concept and a huge productivity driver for farmers, obviously. And what we've done is we've actually partnered with Holter because in a lot of these instances where it doesn't make sense to build fences in these remote farms, there's actually not mobile connectivity. So we've created them a solution where -- when there's a mobile network, the cow collar talks to the mobile network. When it's not there, it talks to the satellite network. So from the collars point of view, it's just got two different networks depending on where it is, and it delivers the same solution back to the data center. So what's great about this is exactly what I alluded to in the previous page is we haven't gone away and talked to farmers and created a product for a farmer. We've gone and done some work with an innovator who's bundled connectivity into a product that's delivering a productivity outcome for the customer. And so they're effectively doing the selling for us. They're taking our connectivity, consuming that and then taking out. And now we've got tens of thousands of cows on our network, which is growing every month at the moment. And I see this just as a thin edge of the wedge. There's going to be dozens of these opportunities if we can find the right partners who can take connectivity and innovate off it, there's a massive growth opportunity for us. Now this one. This isn't an opportunity that's going to require hundreds of millions of investment in some sort of wall idea. We've already done this. We've built this platform already, and it's already powering our retail and wholesale business through APIs. It's a cloud-native platform built on GCP with our own development team, gets us away from expensive global SaaS platforms. And it really is world-leading, so much that another telco has actually licensed it off us, and we've got more interest as well for this platform. It's powering our wholesale business, which is doing really well. You can see from the chart there. We've taken 60% of the net ports in the wholesale market over the past 12 months at strong ARPUs and margins. And as Nick said, we've got a strategy to really premiumize our main brand and really focus on that premium pay monthly consumer segment. Wholesale is a great way for us to address some of our competition with the skinnies and the 2degrees of this world who are focusing more at that low end of the market. And we're also launching new products on this platform. So we've got UFB, we just launched, which is fiber consumer broadband. 5G FWA is a new product that we're launching. And with our 5G stand-alone deployment, we'll be able to create 5G FWA products, which look much more like fiber products. We'll be able to have much more assurance around speed and throughput on these plans. And that will allow us a new wave of growth through our retail and wholesale business, we're able to go after broadband connections with a new fixed wireless and highly capable product. So the final thing I wanted to talk about, which I'm sure everyone is very interested in, is announcement we made a few weeks ago about a Iran radio access network sharing agreement with 2degrees, purpose of which is to basically improve the efficiency around deployment of mobile infrastructure in New Zealand. So a bit of information about that, and there are certain things we won't be able to share today just to preempt some of the questions, but I'll try and answer everything I can. So it's a separate entity, 50-50 JV between us and 2degrees, providing managed services back to each of the parties. Really important here, but our core networks remain within the ServCos, within the 2degrees and 1 Servcos. Spectrum remains within the ServCos as well as does the satellite assets and all the backhaul as well. What that practically means is we are running different networks. We're going to share certain infrastructure, but it's non-differentiating infrastructure that sits on poles. You'll be able to take a One NZ and the 2degrees handset, you'll be able to stand the same distance away from a pole and you'll receive a different experience because the smarts behind our network, the spectrum, the core network remain in our businesses. We share the things that are non-differentiating. And it's going to enable us to deploy much more efficiently, deploy faster, get access to new technologies in the radio network at a faster space and it doesn't affect at all the independence and the competition that we drive between One and 2degrees at the retail layer. I'm sure we've done the research, but this is very consistent with international presidents. There's a lot of movement towards these infrastructure sharing agreements. It just makes sense. The days of seeing 3 poles standing beside each other out doing exactly the same thing doesn't feel like a sensible way to deploy infrastructure, and so this is a move to do that. It's obviously it needs to go through Commerce Commission approval in New Zealand. And so it's been submitted the application at this point. We're expecting that process to take sort of 6 to 8 months. So we're aiming for completion of this pending obviously approval of that process sometime in the first half of next year. So that's all I'll cover. I'm sure there'll be some questions on that at the Q&A, but I'll hand over to Rach at the moment to talk about EonFiber.

Rachel Drew

executive
#59

Thanks, Kieran. So what I propose to do is just to give a quick update in terms of who EonFiber is, just to remind everyone in the room and then talk through some of the market trends that we're seeing and then how we're performing in line with those market trends. So EonFiber is one of the largest infrastructure owners in New Zealand. We have over 11,000 kilometers of terrestrial fiber and a range of subsea assets in and out of New Zealand. So we've got subsea assets connecting the North and South Islands -- sorry, I just realized I've gone too far. Yes. Just so you got the map. We've got a range of subsea assets that connect the North and South Islands. We've got an ownership stake in a subsea system that connects Auckland through to Sydney. And then we've got capacity and IRUs on all of the subsea systems in and out of New Zealand. We specialize in providing high-capacity bandwidth infrastructure type services to a diverse and growing customer base, everyone from One New Zealand to all of the local New Zealand telco operators through to all of the hyperscalers, neoscalers, CDN players and international carriers. FY '26 was our first full year of operations. We separated from One New Zealand at the back end of 2024. Since then, we've migrated all of the customers, all of our direct customers away from One New Zealand to EonFiber. We've invested in stand-alone customer-facing systems, kind of further cementing independence from One New Zealand and ring-fencing all customer data. We've entered into a long-term agreement back into One New Zealand for the provision of fiber services into One New Zealand. And we've completed an investment to upgrade our national optical network. So effectively, we've got a brand-new optical network up and down the country. So what that's given us is a high-capacity network up and down the country, connecting all the major cities in New Zealand, all of the data centers across New Zealand and all of the cable landing stations in New Zealand. And what the chart on the right shows as well as connects up all the existing data centers, actually, our fiber network is very close or pretty much adjacent to future data center zones. So these are locations across New Zealand that have been identified by Investor New Zealand as suitable locations for future data centers and AI factories based on their proximity to renewable power, grid connections and substations allowing them to get stood up relatively quickly, relatively low seismic risk and then also fiber connectivity. But increasingly, as I'm sure you know and have seen in other markets, the data centers are going to the power source is not necessarily where the fiber is. But we just happen to be adjacent to all of those data center zones. So -- yes, EonFiber is really well positioned to support New Zealand in that next phase of digital infrastructure growth over the coming years because of that -- because of our national network. In terms of trends, so a lot of those trends were discussed earlier on today. But what we're seeing in New Zealand is AI or certainly nascent AI demand is coming through. Cloud migrations is driving significant increases in bandwidth requirements from our customers. What's interesting is where that bandwidth increase is happening. It's happening between data centers, across the national networks and across subsea networks. What's different is the prior kind of growth in demand, a lot of that was access driven at the access layer. A lot of this demand is now growing in between data centers, across the national backbone network and across the subsea. These are trends that New Zealand is not at the forefront here. The U.S. and Australia seeing the same trends or certainly accelerated trends. Locally, both Telstra and Vocus have invested or are investing significantly on their terrestrial fiber network to cater for that demand. And New Zealand is increasingly viewed as an attractive destination for future data centers due to a number of key advantages. So firstly, the abundance of renewable power. So by the end of 2027, over 95% of all power generated in New Zealand will be renewable. Secondly, its location. So it's relatively close proximity to Australia and the fact that actually increasingly the subsea -- the global subsea traffic is moving to this region. So New Zealand is effectively on the trunk of subsea traffic that goes from Asia Pacific through to Australia and New Zealand and onwards to the U.S. The third reason is around climate. If you've ever been there, you'll know it's colder and typically wetter, both of which are conducive to data centers. And then the final point, I think, just around why New Zealand hasn't been at the forefront in terms of data centers up until now is because historically, when the hyperscalers have looked at New Zealand, latency was an issue in the past. What AI has done is change that location equation because there's a wide range of AI applications that don't require low latency. And so those customers are now looking at New Zealand as a viable destination for those types of workloads. So all in all, just in terms of that -- the context of the market, so how is EonFiber performing. So FY '26 EBITDA of $64 million and growing at over 10% per annum, both historically and on a forward-looking basis. We're currently in the midst of delivering a large hyperscaler subsea contract in Q4 of FY '27 and the full year benefit will flow through to '28. In terms of the drivers of the demand, I think it's -- there's a distinction between what's driven our demand over the last 2 years or so versus the forward-looking. So over the last 2 years, that growth that we've seen has been a mixture of One New Zealand and external demand. The One New Zealand growth has come from increased mobile backhaul as One New Zealand deployed more sites and upgraded more sites to 5G, which required higher capacity, whereas the forward-looking growth that we've got in our plan is pretty much all external growth driven by the trends I've just been talking about. So in terms of -- if I was to summarize, EonFiber is a leading bandwidth infrastructure provider with unique terrestrial and subsea assets and is ideally positioned to capture the next wave of growth in New Zealand as AI and data center connectivity demands continue to Thank you very much.

Unknown Executive

executive
#60

And I'd just like to clarify, those 10,000 cows aren't captured in our market growth number, just you wondering -- no. So I guess why are we so confident at the moment? One, just to summarize, we know we're winning in market. We know we've got a differentiated customer proposition that's landing with customers. So we're confident in what we've got and how that's playing out. Two, we've got the strong support of our owners to invest in the platform that we believe will drive the next wave of growth, which Kieran talked through. Three, we've actually built muscle and capability through the work that we've done on AI and automation that now we believe we can drive a much simpler organization at a pace and scale that wasn't achievable before AI. Four, Rach talked to EonFiber and the opportunity and the tailwinds that we have behind that business, and we are situated really well to capture on that. And so we're very confident in that business plan, in fact, and exceeding that business plan. And then five, Will actually talked about this in his presentation. The disciplines that we're helping to build in the organization around capital management are getting better and better and it's a constant focus for us. We know we can still get better at that. Every year, as we go into planning, we try new methodologies, new approaches so that we're getting clearer on every dollar investing, driving a return back into the business and being crystal clear and holding people to account to that. And so when you weigh all that up, that gives us confidence in these medium-term targets. It gives us confidence that we can continue to grow our cash generation, and it should give our owners confidence that hopefully, that dividend check continues to grow. Apologies, Mark. Over to you.

Mark Tume

executive
#61

I was going to say, I think the first time in a number of years, we haven't had a mention of the warriors or some of the quiz that have required a jersey...

Unknown Executive

executive
#62

We haven't lost our passion for them, by the way. We still believe they're going to win just a small hiccup last weekend.

Mark Tume

executive
#63

So we'll happily go to questions if there are any?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#64

Just first one on broadband. Obviously, we've had in New Zealand 2 or 3 main telcos have been declining in terms of total broadband subs. And you don't split out fixed wireless, but can you sort of give a breakdown of what fixed wireless has been doing? And then with 5G fixed wireless, what's your sort of targets on the back of that? Can you -- how much can you grow fixed wireless by either connections or some monetary value?

Unknown Executive

executive
#65

I'll start or you want maybe...

Unknown Executive

executive
#66

So we haven't publicly talked about FWA. We -- it's one thing Spark has done very well actually when we look at it. They did a good job of getting that and holding on to that base. We had a go at it a number of years ago, and we didn't do a good job of holding on to that base, and we saw enormous churn and the customer proposition was poor. With the build of the network now and the AI smarts we've got, we're confident we can put a really good customer proposition in front of it. And we've got a base there that, obviously, this is not new acquisitions. It's actually migrating customers that we've got today across. The margins that are available, I won't go into in depth, but needless to say, it's pretty obvious from some of the pass-through charges that we get through the LSCs, which are pretty transparent. So there's an undoubted margin benefit for us if we do that. The counter to that and being completely honest is New Zealand probably has one of the best fiber networks in New Zealand, and it was incredibly good rollout. So it's not going to be easy. We need to be quite targeted and quite focused, and we're actually spending a bit of time now just starting to build our customer proposition and what that looks like and how we change some of the perception that we probably had. So we've got a bit of work to do. And obviously, it needs to align with as we roll out the 5G core network and actually have the right customer experience coming off the back of it.

Unknown Executive

executive
#67

Yes. I think the flattening of the fixed wireless opportunity is down to 4G really being saturated. And so as we're moving to a 5G world, now we've got 70% plus of the population covered with 5G. We've got this 5G stand-alone core technology coming and a lot of 5G spectrum. It's a real opportunity to drive the next wave of growth in there. And I mentioned in the presentation, that we can now create a much more fiber-like product. So actually a real competitor to the low end of Chorus' product and perfectly sufficient for 80% of the population's needs. So now it's about creating that proposition and targeting those customers because obviously, there's a huge margin advantage for us as well. I think the other thing just to note is the reason we haven't been able to go really hard at this already is the prices of the modems have been very high. That's come down a lot now with global rollouts of 5G stand-alone. So we've actually got all the sort of conditions are coming back together to have another go at this.

Philip Campbell

analyst
#68

Nick, it's Phil here from UBS. Just a couple of questions from me. One, how do you measure the economics of the One Wallet? And then the second question I have was just you might be able to answer this. But over the medium term, what do you think the CapEx to sales ratio would fall to as a result of Rainco?

Nick Judd

executive
#69

So the second one, we won't answer in detail in terms of -- but obviously, it helps underpin us going to 11% or below from a general guide. The first one, we actually spent quite a bit of time on that because we look through the customer lifetime value of the product. And the way that the accounting side of that works is we take the actual cost of that in an ANR hit upfront and then obviously get the margin accretion over the lifetime value of it. So it's something that we're continuing to monitor and tweak because this is, again, down to the benefits of AI. We can now do a lot more targeted offers. So one of the things we didn't talk to was the fact that we don't necessarily have to go above the line with as aggressive offers because we can actually make more targeted offers and behind the scenes. So the discounts of handsets, hopefully, over time, that enables us to play less in that space, which obviously we have to fund because the margins on those handsets are so low. So we look at it through the lifetime value of the customer. And effectively, we correlate the offer up the front with what the expected term of that IFP plan is and correspondingly, the monthly earn that we get off it.

Unknown Executive

executive
#70

We're going to invite the CDC team to come on the stage with a short video that's going to played first and then David and Greg will join us. [Presentation]

Greg Boorer

executive
#71

Thank you very much for coming along today. So today, you're going to hear from myself and David. David has been with us now for just past his probation period. And so he's relatively safe. And I think notwithstanding his poor choice in great varieties in his wine preferences, he's not a bad and he's doing a fantastic job in that role. I want to talk about lots of things today and really keen to get to the end and answer as many questions as people have. And -- but one of the main things I want to talk about is the differentiation of CDC relative to the rest of the industry. And that's on multiple levels, which we'll talk to. I feel very privileged to be right at the heart of a lot of the conversations around digital infrastructure, AI, energy, all of those things. And I do feel for a lot of people in this room because even if you're only one step removed, 5% or 10% out of the center of the universe type of thing, it's actually really, really difficult with so much noise out there to believe what's real, what's not, where it's going, how the geopolitical overlays, regulation, government regulation, what's real, what's not, where the risks are, all of those things. But rest assured, we live and breathe this all day, every day. And I can certainly see after being in the business for 20 years, I can see through the noise to see what's real and make sense of it, and we continue to do a pretty good job of that along the way. And so when I talk about the points of differentiation, there's a few sort of key pillars. And a lot of the folks in our industry, they might not necessarily even understand a lot of the things that I'm about to say. And the reason for that is people have a real sort of short-term focus in many ways at the moment. There's a huge amount of speculation. We're not speculating. We're not working necessarily on a real estate project-by-project basis. We're thinking about a digital platform and the value in that platform is longevity, is the retention of customers and the velocity of creating new customer contracts with our existing customer base and how quickly we can grow that over time, and that velocity is really important. And so at the center of the velocity, we start with security. Now the world is not getting any safer. It's getting more dangerous all of the time, geopolitical cybersecurity, all of those types of things. And all of the customers are craving the same sort of security protections that government has enjoyed for 20 years. Now I didn't know at the time, but actually did something that in hindsight was really smart, but it was really hard, is that we started at the sort of really hardest end of government. Government is the hardest customer because they really have high standards from a security regulations, the audits, reporting, all of those elements. And the security was always the biggest hurdle. And we were lucky that we started or unlucky, but lucky in hindsight that we started with at the intelligence agency end of the spectrum because if you can satisfy their requirements, you can satisfy everyone else's requirements. And that now has gone through all of civilian government and then into now the critical industries of Australia under the various critical infrastructure legislation in Australia. A lot of the organizations, if they were disrupted, they would have a similar impact to the disruption of Australia. Those organizations are now flocking to CDC, and they're all the biggest and best kind of organizations in banks, utilities, transport, logistics, even all the research organizations, education and the likes. And so that's just another pillar of our customer base, and it's all been based around security. Now what people fail to recognize is that often is that the government is the biggest consumer of IT products and services in Australia. And a lot of the other organizations that are in our data centers continue to serve government through our ecosystem. And so our government, I guess, penetration in the market is even much bigger than people first realize. And a lot of that is down to the security that we have. And in the future, cloud computing is so key to the delivery of a lot of the services on behalf of government and also enterprises, and it's completely integrated, and they need to have the same or similar security settings as well. But in the future, that proximity to the most important data in Australia is going to be super important for the AI deployments that we're having. And AI over time, that will also require the same or similar security settings that we have for all of our other customers. And so security, it's been sort of the first starting point for us, and it continues to be super important. And the good thing about security, if you do it -- if you try to retrofit security on a footprint-by-footprint basis or a building-by-building basis, it's quite difficult, quite expensive. It's impossible really because of disruption. But if you build it as part of your DNA from day 1 and you do it at scale, you're actually not incurring a significant or material cost overhead to build to the highest security standards, which gives you the ultimate optionality with customer choice in the future. So security is great. The availability element, people still talk about Five9s and whatnot. We guarantee and deliver 100% uptime for our customers. And as I stand here today in 20 years, we've never had to pay out SLA sort of penalties or anything of that nature. So the availability is super important. Now number three, optionality, I believe, would argue has been the biggest contributor to CDC's success and is a massive point of differentiation. So when I started the business, I may or may not have said this to you people before. But when I started the business, I hated data center people because data center people give you a list of constraints that you have to work towards. And I'm an IT person at heart, and I'm just learning this data center paper. And the data center sort of world, they -- it's completely sort of out of step with the way technology evolves. So people think they build real estate and they think in real estate terms, so they build a piece of real estate. And then over time, that piece of real estate becomes progressively and increasingly at an accelerated rate, disconnected with the technology that needs to support because it's built for a point in time, and we all know that technology is rapidly changing. And so when we started the business, we did something crazy, which is we reticulated liquid in data halls 20 years ago so that we could closely couple cooling to IT equipment. We could also adapt and change footprints almost infinitely to changing technology over time. What we also could do is, over time, we could also do much higher densities in the same or similar footprints. And that really attracted the attention of the most important research organizations in Australia. And then the research organizations started deploying high-performance computing infrastructure in our facilities nearly 2 decades ago. And then 15 years ago, we did our first direct liquid cooling to the chip supercomputer deployment inside a CVC facility. And that was really like cutting edge. And the thing about supercomputing, supercomputing is like Formula 1. And what happens in Formula 1 is a lot of the innovations of Formula 1 find themselves in passenger vehicles 10 years later or maybe less. So today, if I think about it, supercomputing is still Formula 1, but passenger vehicles is all of the AI deployments. And we've been doing that type of deployments for 15 years. The whole world shifted and not a lot of people have this experience. And so our facilities, even the oldest one today, 18 years old, is still capable of supporting the most sophisticated computing infrastructure in the world today. And all of our facilities, all those 20-odd that are operational and the ones that we're building will be. They're certified by NVIDIA to the highest, most -- the next-generation computing infrastructure that will be deployed. And in that 20-year period, almost 20 years of operation, we've had 0% churn because our underlying facilities have always been able to adapt to changing technology over time. We have all of this liquid cooling experience where that's a really rare element in the world. And as a result of that, we've worked closely with all of the leading hyperscalers to, in many ways, co-develop all of their liquid cooling architectures and deployment methodologies and commissioning activities. And CDC today is the home of one of the largest direct liquid cooling AI footprints of most of the hyperscalers, and that's all in Australia today and live and sets us really apart and puts us in a great position for the future. So that optionality, the ability to adapt to changing technology over time, don't underestimate that because it's really, really valuable and our customers love it. And the biggest mistake people make in the data center industry is to think that the -- it's sort of set and forget this whole notion that you can -- you build a building, you sign a lease and then that's a mature asset, fully leased, then there's nothing to do anymore. Well, that's called an office building. It's not a data center. A data center, every rack, every row, cabling, like it's an ecosystem that changes every single day. And if you don't have a closely coupled relationship in terms of the success of your customer inside your facility, and if you don't have the ability to adapt on a rack-by-rack basis to different technologies, different cooling architectures, air cooling to liquid cooling and different ratios within each data hall, then yes, of course, you'll get business. If people are desperate and there's no other electrons available, but you won't be first choice. And CDC is the first choice. And we have -- and we could sell every electron that we have as a result of all of this. And the real challenge now is just getting electrons into the pipe at an accelerated rate. The ecosystem, the ecosystem is important and again, differentiates us significantly. 96% of our revenue comes from high investment-grade counterparties. There's not too many data center operators in the world that can say that. And the ecosystem, we don't want to be all things to all people. We don't want to have 500 or 600 customers. We only have about 100, 110 customers today, but they are the most important customers across government, across the critical industries of enterprise and also the hyperscalers. There's a handful of -- neo clouds as well that we work with closely with NVIDIA and others to support. But again, 96% of our revenue comes from that ecosystem. And it's really a funny thing. Once you get an ecosystem up and running and you get all of these sites connected with fiber and you have the same standard operating procedures, the same security domains, all of those things across all of those facilities, then the more government and enterprise you have inside your facilities, then it's a big flywheel then the more attractive you are to more and more cloud and AI sort of computing deployments. And then the more AI and cloud computing deployments you have, then the more valuable you are to the government and enterprise customers. And even all of those, and there's a slide later on, but all of those different market -- target market segments of the market, they're all growing. Some are faster than others. But there's always this notion that at some point in time, cloud was going to cannibalize this other business, and it's just not the case. You heard it here tonight with One NZ. One NZ or -- it's One NZ, the fact that they've deployed their own GPUs. There's going to be a renaissance in hybrid computing because there's going to be a trade-off between sort of the creation of your own tokens locally with your own models, combined with leveraging on a case-by-case basis, the larger models that people need for different types of workloads, and there'll be lots and lots of different permutations of that. And the nice thing with CDC, we're not just one data center with one customer or a data center platform with 5 or 6 customers or a data center with 500 customers, we're actually perfectly positioned to win on whichever way technology goes into the future because the most important consumers and the most valuable companies and government agencies are already inside the ecosystem. So the ecosystem is super important. We'll talk about this later, but the social license to operate, that is as well as a grid connection and all of those things, that's becoming the most important thing, the most difficult hurdle and community engagement, governments and councils and things, they're hands off. It's all care and no responsibility. They've left it up to us to lead the charge. And on that, CDC has impeccable sort of history, track record of doing the right thing for a long period of time. It's well sort of documented that I started the business in 2007. And at that time, we're at the end of the Millennium drought, and I didn't think that it was the right thing to do to build -- there's no regulations. Nobody was asking for it, but I just didn't think it was the right thing to do to create a new industrial consumer of drinking water at scale, when we're all sharing with buckets so that we could water the garden. And so nobody asked for it back then, but it's become really important now. And we're the only data center of the scale that we operate at in the world today that doesn't use any water, and that's a key differentiator. And when you start to talk about with local communities, and I stood in front of communities and stood in front of councils and they've got the pitch forks ready to do in, you actually start talking about some of these elements and then the sort of the fear goes away. And by the end of that, they're asking, we've actually got more land if you want to build more data centers. So the sustainability is really important. And since 2007 because government was our customer and government, that particular year, 2007 [indiscernible] was when we had the election was fought and won on the greatest moral challenge of our time, which is climate change. And so we immediately decided that we would offer renewable energy and because government has got to eat its own dog food. And so government was consuming renewable energy. So we've been offering renewable energy, zero water solutions with really, really low energy efficiency ratios for 20 years. And so the new rules and regulations that government is trying to bring in, some proponents in our industry and new entrants that are coming in and may or may not be here in 5 years' time. Their businesses might be here, but they may or may not be here. A lot of these people, they don't really have this long-term view of how the world works. And as a result of that, a lot of people are trying the data center industry are trying to talk the standards and government off a cliff to the lowest sort of common denominator, where I'm really supportive of making the bar high because, one, we've already operated at that level. But two, we can't lose the trust of the communities, and they've got really valid questions to ask, and we should be able to answer those questions and not dismiss them as a hurdle to doing business because they have valid concerns. And we need to think about what our system -- our facilities are going to look like and operate in 20 years' time. And that's where we're really, really careful with site selection. And in a perverse self-punishing type of way, it's actually a nice thing in some instances because it's another barrier to entry and actually helps us remove a lot of the speculators from the market, which is the sustainability element. So -- and as of today, the only data center business that I know of that's 100% net carbon zero in 2026 across all Scope 1, 2 and 3 emissions, which is pretty cool. And that gets you a long way when you're talking to the regulators around what good looks like now and into the future. The scale is important. Our scale today, when you think about some of the facts and figures that we'll talk about soon, the scale gives us the ability to circumvent in many ways, a lot of the challenges of organizations that are thinking about the business, their businesses on a project-by-project basis, and that's access to long lead time equipment, making commitments earlier, all of those things because we've got a production line of long lead time equipment that we've ordered ago, so that's here on time. And then we're just pushing out, but thanks to standardization, that infrastructure to the appropriate project at the appropriate time. So scale has given us a big advantage. And I'd hate to be starting my business. I started in 2007, and then we had the TFC in 2008, which was a lot of fun. And then -- and so today, I don't think you could necessarily do what I did in 2007 and 2027 just because the game has change, the scale is different. The barriers to entry are incredibly high and relevance is important, and you're not relevant unless you're talking about big scale and you tick all the other boxes, which we've managed to do. And finally, densification. This is -- I love this because I'm actually a data center operator. I'm not a financial engineer. And I love what I do, and I get excited about every data center tour that I do because I get to see one of my children again. And these data centers, they're just like the most massive big boy train set because they're just all these combination of cool elements that are stuck together. It's the melting pot of all these different engineering disciplines that I love. And if you get all of that right, then you've got a significant advantage because we're not just building a piece of real estate for a point in time. We're building something that can adapt to changing technology, customers, security, densities and whatnot. So this densification, the current average rack density that we're deploying for AI deployments, for example, is 132 kilowatts. When I started CDC, it was 0.5 of a kilowatt was the average in Australia. Think about that, 0.5 a kilowatt of power in every rack. And then so I did something crazy. I said, well, the minimum we'll offer is 5 kilowatts of rack because no one else could do it because no one else could do it because of floor density, power and cooling constraints. And then suddenly, people realized that it was cheaper to rent one rack under one piece of roof supporting 5 kilowatts than renting 10 racks at 0.5 a kilowatt each. And so we sort of got going. And others didn't have the technical levers, therefore, the commercial levers to compete with us. And that densification story continues. The average cloud density now is about 13 to 15 kilowatts of rack. The AI footprint, as I said, 132 kilowatts of rack, and we're deploying hundreds of these things at the moment. But next year, from April next year, it will be 220 to 250 kilowatts of rack. And so the magic here is if you've built a portfolio of data centers, and it's in here, there's some numbers there. I just say round numbers because I'm not very smart, 1 gigawatt of capacity, I estimate that we could squeeze 100 to 150 additional megawatts of capacity out of that existing set of shells with a very, very small growth CapEx component. because of the flexibility and fungibility of the architecture and the engineering inside our facilities. And that will be a combination of simply densifying the footprints and then upscaling over the course of the contract, people's capacity requirements. But it's also -- Jensen has talked about moving the operating temperature of silicon from 26, 28 degrees that it is at the moment to 45 degrees. Now the moment that we sort of get closer to that, and we're moving closer to that all the time, then suddenly, all of this energy, these precious, precious electrons in the world, we can redirect that because of the flexibility of the architecture that we've already got in our existing facilities from the mechanical cooling electrons into leasable revenue-generating electrons in the same physical shelves. Now that's incredible. But I don't think people are talking about that because they probably don't really get it. Because they haven't lived and breathed the customer requirements based with technology at the coal face. And certainly, there wouldn't be too many CEOs floating around that have cleaned the floors of their data centers at some point in time, and that's me. So the densification is a real sort of upside and there's nothing in what David says includes any yield optimization for densification. So just tick tick and just think about how undervalued we are. So if you wrap all of that up, then you have like an incredible sort of picture in front of you, which we're really proud of. This is like 20 years of my life's work in front of you today. Because we've been really disciplined with the way that we've used -- we've used money over time. And I say to people, like a lot of people in data center world, I think this is a get rich quick scheme. It's not. It's a get-rich slow scheme. And I'm just lucky that I've been doing it for 20 years. And so because we've been reinvesting constantly with the support of our wonderful shareholders, and we continue to reinvest a lot of free cash flow. There's only 3 data center operators in the world that have an investment-grade credit rating, and we're one of them and probably the closest to the center of the universe when it comes to the AI kind of revolution. And what does that mean? It says those available debt facilities, $11.4 billion, which we've also worked really, really hard to establish. We've got access to bigger, larger pools of capital than other people. And our cost of capital is like -- is ridiculous relative to the market, something in the order of 6%. And that's great because it just makes it as every year goes by and as every $1 billion is invested, we just get further and further ahead in terms of our ability to execute, our ability to grow the pipeline, et cetera, et cetera without tapping our long-suffering shareholders for additional equity. So it's going really, really well from the capital side of things. And really, when you think about it, the constraints are really simple, capital, chips and electrons. And capital you can eventually solve for if you pay enough risk premium, but we don't have to pay much of that. Chipsets are relatively well sorted, but electrons is where the field of play, the battle is at the moment, and we do a pretty good job of that. Average weighted lease expiry is still 28.7 years. And people think about what's the re-leasing risk, the re-leasing risk, the re-leasing risk. There is no re-leasing risk because our existing customers, we can adapt to changing technology. It's so much more difficult to move than to stay. And if you love the operator and they've loved you in return, then it's unlikely that people want to move and a 0% churn rate over 20 years indicates that. But that's the old world, not the new world. The old world was storage and processing of data. That's cloud, that's enterprise, that's government. That's not the AI world. The AI world is the generation of intelligence. And there is not enough supply for all of the demand for the intelligence that needs to be generated now and into the foreseeable future. And so -- and those electrons, that will be the most valuable thing. So those electrons will continue to be in demand regardless of who plugs the computers or who's financed the computers or owns the computers, that they will continue to be in demand. And so don't worry about re-leasing risk, but that should give you a lot of comfort in those types of numbers there. We talked about energy. We talked about water. We don't use any. And then our pipeline. So we've got about 355 megawatts of revenue-generating capacity today. And there was a slide there about in, I think, Jason's presentation around signing a 555-megawatt contract. So we took -- it took me was a bit lazy. It took me about 18 years to sign 200 megawatts of capacity, and then it's taken me 12 months to sign another 800. And so I'm sort of starting to find my feet, training wheels off, and we're away. But no, we signed now like it's more than 1 gigawatt of capacity. But again, if I had 5 gigawatts of capacity today, I would sell 5 gigawatts of capacity today, and that's what we're working on. We're very conservative here because we've got very, very conservative institutional investors behind us. And so we only put into this slide here, what's absolutely -- we own the land. We've got commitments on power, and we're working through the consenting process in the appropriate locations. But rest assured, there's a [ conongle ] line of additional capacity beyond what's here. So we're building 1.35 or that sort of building and operating. We've got about 2.6 up our sleeve that we're trying to accelerate the delivery of, which -- and that 2.6 I probably have genuine demand, and it changes every night because I get text messages every night about more capacity, probably 8 to 10 gigawatts of capacity that I could deploy, I could contract if we had it. And so that's what we need to be able to sort of work through into the future. And that's in Australia and New Zealand. And it is true New Zealand, although it's more expensive to develop there because of the geological risks and what -- how you've got to build a building and a blade rains all the time and the earth soft that -- but it is actually again becoming a more and more attractive location. And that's one of the reasons I'll talk to Contact in a moment, but that's one of the reasons why we're a bit more up and about and a bit more positive on New Zealand than we've ever been before. Because this business has pivoted completely from me competing for business to me allocating capacity to the appropriate customers as that capacity matures and becomes available, which is remarkable when you think about it. So that's where we're operating today. It's been a wonderful journey, and it's very, very exciting, and there's tons more to talk about in the near term. So that -- there's lots of green there. Some people might argue that the capital expenditure should be red, not green. But I think about that as an investment, and we are getting terrific returns on every dollar that goes into the ground. But everything is on the up. People talk about it. I don't really think about it because I'm thinking 5 years ahead. But apparently, it's interesting that we've had an upgrade in our EBITDA. So it used to be $680 million to $720 million. Now it's probably more likely somewhere closer to $750 million. So that's exciting, but it doesn't deter from what I do every day, which is just trying to keep the machine moving faster, which is great. Now when we think about just some examples of the locations and these buildings, these are beautiful. And a lot of people think that you can have a data center that's just quite functional, I believe, in form and function. So I think you have quite a functional thing, but it can also look great. And buildings, again, we continue to -- we're building 9 data centers at the moment, and that will continue to increase. The size and scale of the data centers will continue to increase. Melbourne and Brooklyn, we've got Brooklyn 2 next to Melbourne. The Brooklyn one is the small one on the left and the bigger one on the right is Brooklyn. That's about 120 megawatts of data center capacity. That's all now operational in recent times. Eastern Creek 5 and 6, this is a good story about densification. If you think about the buildings on the left, closest to the old Coles depot there, that's 100 megawatts of data center initially designed, but 150 megawatts of data center deployed in the same shell as an example of densification. And the IRRs on that building are off the charts as a result. Marsden Park, that's Marsden Park 1. So that's our very first sort of data center so that we've got a little footprint there for people to connect all the comms to and all of that. But behind that, there is 550-odd megawatt data centers getting built behind it right now. And so there'll be 720 megawatts of data centers. I'm a few days away from selling the last building, and then it will all be sold, and that will all be delivered in the next couple of years, which is great. Hume 6, we're still building in Canada because there's lots of demand. But that's only probably a 30-megawatt building in Hume 6, that's a new one that's just gone live. Bird 1, that's a new campus, and that's brand new. And Auckland Campus 2, this is the biggest data center in New Zealand, about 35 megawatts just up the road from our original location in Hobsonville. And that's just about, if not completely sold today. And that's why we've got to move and build the next data center at Silverdale, which is already consented and approved as well. So New Zealand continues to go well for us, but we are looking at doing bigger and bigger developments over there as well. Full on into construction, Laverton, we've got -- that's Laverton 1 and 2, and it was only seems like the other day that we returned soil on Laverton 1 and 2. There's 75-megawatt data centers each. We just got planning approval for the third one, which is lucky because I've already sold it. So that's 3 and then we bought the land across the road where you can put another 3 of those. So we have full noise on that. And this is exciting like Perth. Perth is going to be great. Like Perth is going to be a big data center market at some point in the future. It's just got [indiscernible] of renewable energy. It -- the sun shines a lot, and then it gets hot there. But when the -- in the evening, you get the Fremantle doctor comes in and wind power is really, really good. So you can get a high percentage across the year of genuine renewable energy 24 hours a day with less requirements for batteries and storage and other things. So we're excited about that. There's -- it's been an interesting community engagement activity, but we've won over the community, and they love us. We've had all the councils and things over to the East Coast to actually look at our facilities. And then when you can talk about acoustics, you can talk about renewable energy, you can talk about not using water. You can talk about the community impacts of what we've done in our community over the last 20 years in terms of benefit sharing, community work, charity work, sporting organizations, then people get pretty excited about us being in their jurisdictions, which is great. And that's -- well, there's, there's Marsden Park. So they are the data centers on the previous slide that have come online this year, and these are the big locations that we're building at the moment. And that's a 150-megawatt data center on the left next to Marsden Park 1, Marsden Park 2, and there'll be more MPs there. And all of the stuff that we're talking about, the 1.3 gigawatts of development that we're doing at the moment, all of that's on land that's already consented. Everything is -- all the power is there. The only risk is execution on what we're doing. Much of the same way that [ Longroad ] talked about the pipeline. We're the same. You can't sort of -- these days, speeds about everything. So we've probably got close to $1 billion of land, and we're working on our pipeline constantly. And when there's an allocation each and every month -- each and every year, sorry, for additional pipeline. And as you get bigger, obviously, your pipeline wants to be bigger to maintain the same velocity and trajectory of growth, and that's what we're pushing hard for. This is the new Kemps Creek site that we've got initially, I think, about 500 megawatts planned there, and that's going through the consenting process at the moment. Now the only real risk here, and we'll talk about the contracted capacity that we have done. But the real risk here is around just the execution. And on the execution, all of the locations that we've talked about, we've got the power locked in. And all of the sites that we're not even in the presentation today, we're working on power 2, 3, 4 years in advance, grid-connected power because behind the meter gas and whatnot, it might be a thing in the United States, but it's not a thing here. It just ideologically, I think it will be difficult to get off the ground. So the grid is key, and we're ahead of the curve. And because of the size and scale of CDC, we can do that. And the rules and regulations around what you have to have in place to apply for and get a power consent today, there's quite a high bar, which is another barrier to entry, of course. Long lead time equipment because of the standardization of our model, as I mentioned, we have long lead time equipment locked in because we've been partners with these organizations for 20 years, we give standing commitments. We're not ordering on a project-by-project basis or ad-hoc. It's more of a strategic relationship with the Vertiv and the Schneider Electrics of the world. We have queue prioritization, pricing benefits, all of those things because we're underwriting there, in many ways, their factories ahead of time. And so we're not seeing the challenges that other people in the industry are having. And this strategic engagement where we always make the hardest, longest decision is the best decision. And those hard decisions are going into communities before you lodge your development application. The last thing you want them to do is to see that there's a data center getting built, and you're always behind the 8 wall. So we're engaging with the community early, state governments, councils, doing tours of our data centers consistently. I'm doing 2 days a week of education sessions with people, but it's absolutely the highest and best use of my time at the moment because it's a massive differentiator. And we try to find local subcontractors. We've built incredible businesses have grown up around CDC with incredible loyalty across all the different subcontracting disciplines to CDC because we've changed people's lives, and they've shown loyalty to us, and we continue to show loyalty to them. And as a result of that, we go much faster than most people. With regards to the joint venture, I think you'll see more joint ventures in the future because just the velocity, like it's just the velocity if you just wanted to do, it's like a hyperscaler doesn't build all their own data centers because that they can't do it fast enough. And so if you can bring like the contactor, a great group of people, leading kind of renewable and infrastructure folks in New Zealand, and they've got a great site down at Stratford, which is a disused power plant with all the electrical infrastructure in place. So it's not like it's a greenfield location. It's -- there's existing infrastructure that we can tap into. They've got existing relationships. They've been there forever in those locations, very, very similar to the Longroad story, leveraging existing infrastructure. So you don't have those costs involved. And if we -- if that means that we can move faster and we can share the upside and share the downside risk and if it makes sense for us, noting that we're only going to do a joint venture if our -- what we bring to the table is adequately valued in terms of the customers' experiences, the technical capability, the construction expertise, all of those things and obviously, the capital. If all of that is valued satisfactorily and it makes sense, then we'll look at JVs because, again, it's just about the velocity of moving as fast as we can in a world today where, again, you can sell every electron attached to a data center that you can get. If you're the right company and you've got the right track record and you've got the right set of counterparties, you can definitely do it. So with that, I might hand over to David to talk money.

David Collins

executive
#72

Good afternoon all. It's great to be able to come and talk to you. One of the hardest things in my job, and there's many hard things, but one of the hardest things is I have to speak after this guy. So really what chance have I got, but I'll do my absolute best for you today. It's great to see some familiar faces here also from my previous slide. So thank you for coming. Starting with our contracted capacity at CDC. Our capacity is now at 1.1 gigawatt. That's contracted capacity. You'll recall last time we spoke, it was 1 gigawatt. So we have actually contracted another 70 megawatts in new contracts over the last couple of months, which is very exciting. And indeed, since May, just over 625 megawatts of new deals for CDC. As you'll recall, on the 5th of May, 555-megawatt contract we announced a beautiful symmetry of numbers. I love numbers, and it's easy to remember. It was with a high-end investment-grade rated hyperscaler, 10-year deal with 2 10-year options, which we think really underscored the value that we bring to the market and the esteem that we're held in by our customers that we will be able to contract on that basis with such an impressive customer. On the right-hand side of the slide, you can see how our megawatts turn into revenue earning over the next 3 years through until full year '29. Starting on the left, the 350 megawatts is what we are physically billing today, that is revenue earning today. You'll recall last time that we spoke a few months ago, that number was 220. So we've converted another 130 megawatts into revenue earning over that period of time. And looking through to full year '27, we have another 100 megawatts or so that will become revenue earning by full year '27. If you roll the clock forward to full year '29, by March of 2029, we will have completed and rolled out the 555-megawatt contract. And indeed, all of the 1.1 gigawatt contracted work book will be revenue earning by March of '29. So a really busy and exciting couple of years that we have in front of us. What does that mean for earnings for our business. Firstly, we are talking today about an upgrade in our full year '27 EBITDAF from previously $680 million to $720 million up to a new range of $710 million to $750 million. There's a couple of things that are driving that. Firstly, the 70 megawatts of new contracts that we've announced, which will roll out over full year '27 and full year '28. Secondly, some OpEx savings in our business. And thirdly, we provide managed services to some of our customers, which in simple terms is installing equipment on their behalf and managing that process. We have been able to earn some additional margins through procurement savings, which have flowed through to the bottom line for full year '27. So $710 million to $750 million is our updated guidance range. Looking through to full year '28, we still expect EBITDAF to exceed $1 billion. And very importantly, by the time that the 1.1 gigawatt is fully revenue earning and fully handed over to our customers, which is March of 2029. On an annualized basis, we will have EBITDA of $2.2 billion. So specifically, what that means is for full year '30, that will be the first full year at $2.2 billion. But on an annualized basis, it will be in place from March of 2029. In terms of capital expenditure, our guidance is unchanged at $3.8 billion to $4.2 billion, excluding land. We did make a comment earlier on about land and the investment that we're making to help build out our future pipeline. We've given some guidance or assistance on CapEx and what it costs for us to construct. That is unchanged from when we last spoke at mid-teen level million dollars per ICT or per billable megawatt in our businesses. As you would expect, and we'll come to CapEx in a little bit more detail in a moment, we are very careful with how we spend capital and where we spend it, and we point it at the earliest revenue earning opportunity for our business because critically for us, there is -- the more that you can condense the time from when you start spending CapEx to when you hit your first RFS or ready for service date, the more you can compress that, the less funding you need and the higher your level of returns. So that is absolutely our focus as a business. Looking at some of the history of CDC over the last few years, back to full year '23. I think what's really impressive as you look at this and you think about this business over the years and the incredible growth that has happened, particularly over the last 12 months, as Greg mentioned, 800-odd megawatts. But through all of that growth and through the growth in the contracted work book and the EBITDAF for our business and looking forward, the fundamental competitive advantages we have around our weighted average lease expiry and also the quality of customers that we have, investment-grade customers has been maintained. So all the way back in full year '23, we had 90% investment-grade customers in terms of our revenue base. As we sit here today, it is still 90% investment grade. And our weighted average lease expiry is still at a very impressive level of 28.7 years. Our customer base, we started with government, expanded into national critical infrastructure, expanded into hyperscale. So we have a variety of customers. We have high credit strength, and we have quality long-term customers that underpin our business. I'll talk a little bit more about credit rating a little bit later on. But one of the key things that Moody's look at when they rate us is the quality of our customers, the length of our expiry or weighted average lease expiry and the quality of our shareholders, which we've talked about today, all critical to underpin our credit rating. Funding, well this has been a busy space. There's no doubt about it. And for some reason, I seem to be really popular with the banking community. And I just can't quite work out why that is. I assume it's my sense of humor and my overall personality. But I think what it is, is we're actually really busy on funding at present. We have a really strong and well-capitalized balance sheet. As I sit here today, we have over $5 billion of available liquidity for our group, mostly in the form of undrawn debt plus some cash on our balance sheet. You saw on the earlier slide, we've got total facilities of just over $11 billion, $11.4 billion to be precise. And over the last 6 months, we've been very active in the markets, firstly, in the bank debt market earlier in the year. And then from April 21, which is when we made our credit rating public at BAA2. And I should add, we had held that rating on a private basis for the previous 4 years. So the business is very well climatized and accustomed to operating within the requirements of the rating. And indeed, our shareholders have been very supportive of the rating over all of those years, including providing equity support as recently as February of this year at $500 million and then back in late December of '24. So very important to underpin the rating of our business. The public credit rating allowed us to access public debt capital markets. We issued our first public hybrid in June of '26 at $1 billion, our first senior bond in July at $700 million. And we've been active again for the third time into the USPP market just last month, which is due to close in another month or so. So as we go forward and we think about funding our business, we've got guidance in the market for CapEx at $4.8 billion to $5.2 billion. You can assume over the next couple of years, whilst we don't have public guidance, we've got significant delivery in front of us to deliver the 1.1 gigawatt of contracted capacity. So it's important that we continue to diversify our funding base, lengthen the tenor of our debt and, of course, optimize the cost of that debt. So you'll see us continue to be active in the funding markets in the coming months and years. Capital deployment, I've touched on this already. CapEx, it's really important, certainly from my perspective, certainly from our shareholders' perspective and indeed, the debt investors into our business also that we are careful and we are considered in how we spend our CapEx. What I can say to you and what you can see on the slide is that for the current financial year, we are over 90% of our spend is on delivering contracted capacity with our customers. What we're not doing is borrowing funds from the market to invest in speculative build. The majority of it is in contracted capacity. And then to a lesser extent, of course, we are investing in future capacity for our business. And as Greg touched on, the pipeline is very significant for us. That's it from me. So thank you. Look forward to some challenging questions. I'll hand over to Greg.

Greg Boorer

executive
#73

It seems like we're running out of time, but I'm not sure what that means. But -- so just really, really quickly because a lot of people have asked questions around basically, right now, there's obviously a lot of interest in the data center industry. There's been tons of speculation in the data center industry. And as a result of that, there's been a lot of nervousness across the community. Government understands completely the imperative from a future economic prosperity perspective and also from a sovereignty perspective and the national interest overall and the fact that if it wasn't for data centers right now that there would be -- we would be in recession. Government is completely aware of that, and they want to win back the narrative. And the way they're winning back the narrative is to bring down some pretty high standards and expectations on the data center industry, which we're very, very supportive. One of the challenges you have is that a lot of the actual. rules -- planning rules and everything is a state thing and then there's a federal and it's difficult for federal to -- and the conflicts of federal managing state, et cetera, et cetera. But everyone is having a kick in a punch at the moment. And we're -- rest assured, we're across all of those different conversations and have regular, regular audiences with those. And none of this scares or worries or concerns CDC because we are operating and have operated to the standards that they are contemplating, noting that a lot of this has still got a way to go. But we're ahead of the curve and in a very, very good position and very supportive, very supportive of having high standards that we all have to strive up to and not having a ceiling, not a floor. That, again, talks to great certainty, and this does reinforce the strategic advantage that we have across lots and lots of technical, environmental, commercial borrowing. There's a lot of differentiation here. Even our shareholders are even another point of differentiation in terms of being large open-ended investors. That's another advantage. So there's lots of differentiation. So we're not nervous about that at all or in any way. We've talked about a lot of these elements. I probably haven't mentioned the skills element, but we're actually -- we're leaning into with our own academy, creating our own skills to ensure that we don't have a skill shortage. We're looking ahead to what's the size and scale and skills requirements of our team in the future, and we're meeting that internally rather than trying to chase other people's employees. And so that's working really well. And that also develops like an incredible amount of loyalty. And this goes back again, if you take a long-term view, it's an infrastructure company. Contracts are long, sales cycles are long, all of those things. So if you take a long view on most things, you'll do well. Again, just sort of amplifying the sustainability highlights, that's -- there's no other data center operator that has all of these key metrics. Even the PUE, that's a power utilization effectiveness ratio. That's on par with most data centers that [indiscernible] millions of liters of clean drinking water into the -- into the air each year. But that's an annualized number across all of our data centers. And some of our data centers are very early on, and so they're very poor efficiency at the moment until you actually build up the volume of implemented computing infrastructure inside them. And so that number will fall over time as well. And so the takeaway there is we can actually achieve the same energy effectiveness or energy utilization as organizations using water but not use water, which is pretty remarkable. Customer demand it's probably where people have lots and lots of questions, but there's -- don't worry about the notion of how full data centers are. There's no real capacity anywhere. Most new data centers are actually completely contracted before they even get out of the ground. And so that's our experience as well. And there's definitely -- you can see from the chart here, you can see the volume of capital that's going into data centers. But what you can see here is why. And non-AI compute, and so that's classical compute, government, enterprise, cloud computing, that continues to grow. AI training continues to grow. And inferencing is where the big movement is. And it was about 3 months ago, people always ask me about the AI bubble. About 3 months ago, for the first time in human history, the amount of compute on the face of the earth that was dedicated to training was actually inferencing was larger, and that was the first time. And you'll actually see inferencing getting bigger and bigger and bigger. And that just goes to the consumption of AI in economies around the world. And even though we're in early days of that, you're going to see a huge amount of growth in inferencing over time, which just speaks to more demand. So there's basically more demand across every client of CDCs, and we're in a wonderful position as long as we keep building capacity. This talks about the size and scale of what people believe Mandolan McKinsey, the size of the market is. It's currently the operating capacity and revenue generation in Australia is about 1.5 gigawatts, but they think it's going to be about 5 gigawatts. As I mentioned, I think you could just about whatever capacity you could bring into Australia, you could just about sell at the moment. And a few people have asked me, the AFR has reported about Anthropic signing a 2-gigawatt lease with era, a Singapore-based developer of data centers in Central Queensland today apparently. That's -- and saying what does that mean for us? It doesn't mean anything for us. It means what we need to do is bring on more capacity because those types of customers have almost an infinite demand, whether it's OpenAI, whether it's one of Elon's companies, whether it's Anthropic or indeed all of the big organizations that we work with that service that market and others, of course. It's just the demand is off the charts. Just today, one of the most important customers in the world is just desperate to chase another gigawatt of capacity and wants to put it in Australia. Like it's just -- again, it's not a demand issue. It's just supply at the moment is the challenge. I've talked about all the different market segments. All of our market segments are growing. This is about the growth in the last couple of years, and you can see huge volume of growth across all of our different addressable markets. But as we sit here today, government is still probably about 25% of our business and growing, but everything else is growing as well, which is a really wonderful, wonderful place to be. And with that, we would like to invite people to ask questions. Make sure they're all directed towards David.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#74

That's the fun part. Great. Greg, you talked about all this demand, and it looks like you're moving towards 400 megawatts of annualized capacity growth sometime in the near future. What's stopping you from pushing that number even harder? Is it capital constraint? Is it building constraints?

Greg Boorer

executive
#75

It's just -- it's basically constraints. And the constraints -- the #1 constraint is grid connectivity. And so the components that you need to connect to the grid can take -- transformers and the like can take 2 years to arrive. And so that's 2 years. And you can't do much about that. And then that -- those components need to be compatible with the utilities kind of standards and all those things. So it's not like you can get something that's cheap and cheerful and drop it in there. And then to get to that point to order those transformers, you've got to do grid studies and work with the organized -- the AMOs of the world and the utility and get permission to actually apply that volume of capacity to the grid. Because we have a national energy market here. And so that's the biggest choke point. And absolutely, we are opening up more and more of those conversations. And the wonderful thing is you'll see is that there is actually -- and contrary to what you read often, there is actually lots and lots of spare capacity in the grid in Australia. The problem is the capacity is not in contested, congested markets. The capacity is in locations further away from capital cities. And you'll see more and more of that semi-regional and genuinely regional footprints. And we have multiple gigawatt sites under due diligence right now and working through that process. They might not be in here, but that's what I'm really focused on, and that's what I think about when I go to sleep every night is how can we get more capacity faster, but the grid is the natural constraint. I do agree with the Longroad guys that the fastest way to bring in new capacity is a combination of renewables and storage solutions. And even the storage solutions have come a long way. And we're even contemplating in some of these big scale locations to maybe even have 2-hour grid sort of scale battery backup, BE systems to complement our backup on-site generation because that will give us run time without using diesel generation and also be able for us to flex a little bit at different times to help the grid in times of peak demand. So that's kind of the constraint. And then in parallel to that, naturally, we're involved early now in all of the community engagement activities. So they're the sort of activities. It's certainly not capital. We're actually blessed. You saw the numbers there. We're blessed with that, plus the support of our shareholders, which is terrific. But I want to go much, much faster. And in a perfect world, I would love to bring one gigawatt of capacity per annum online. That's what I would like to do. But you need a certain number of electricians, you need a certain number of even tower cranes, tower cranes are a constraint. So within all of those constraints, I think that number, 400 megawatts, I would love that to be like a base, not a ceiling.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#76

I just want a quick second question. Just on the relative economics between New Zealand and Australia from a build cost and a power cost perspective.

Greg Boorer

executive
#77

Yes. It's 30% more to build in New Zealand. And obviously, the depth and skill base is a little bit lower than Australia in terms of these types of construction activities and large-scale construction activities. The closest thing to building a data center is building a hospital, and you can see not many hospitals get built well. And so -- so that's the sort of the cost side of things. So that's where we work towards. And it takes a little bit longer as well just because of the additional construction activities and ground conditions and all those things.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#78

And the power contracts?

Greg Boorer

executive
#79

Power contracts are, I would say, comparable, like in terms of a per kilowatt basis. But the penetration of renewables is higher. And with hydro and thermal, you have a larger percentage of noncarbon-intensive energy sources in New Zealand than Australia. And certainly, since the troubles in the Middle East, New Zealand inquiries are up.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#80

So the only reason why you would go into New Zealand is because you can get capacity there, even though it's more expensive.

Greg Boorer

executive
#81

No, the thing is -- what people need to understand and I laugh like at some of the experts writing in newspapers because they're so off the market, it's not funny. The value proposition from an AI -- the commercial sort of realities of generating tokens versus providing electrons for people to rent data centers is completely different. And so you -- for every $1 billion I build a data center for, like it used to be $1 billion is the most. So if I had $1 billion data center, you could have $1 billion worth of IT equipment in that data center. And so -- and that's like air-cooled computing infrastructure. But these days with TPU technology, TPU technology, those things, it's more like $9 billion to my $1 billion. And so -- but that $9 billion generates a much faster and bigger economic return. And so the actual the most important thing is the time. And so if I can guarantee a time, then actually the input cost, like I could put my data center lease costs up by 20%, and it would have a negligible impact into the cost of delivering a service to the end customer. And so like we're in a great position and people will pay more for certainty because even if you miss the date by a month or 2 months, then that's a material impact when you've got billions and billions of dollars of GPUs depreciating and not generating returns. And the returns are immense if you can get the GPUs and if you've got the technical capability to deliver that as-a-service outcome. You can't have another one. You just going to say thank you.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#82

It's Elyse from Pendal. I've got a 2-part question. But the first one... Talking about densification, can you explain to us how that then flows through into increased returns for the data center? And then going to the second part, which is basically what you just discussed, as the return profile for your customers is increasingly getting higher and once the GPUs are depreciated potentially significantly higher, is there a way for you as a data center operator to participate in the upside?

Greg Boorer

executive
#83

So if you think about -- we've talked about just in round numbers, if a gigawatt of data center cost you $15 million to build. And so then if you can turn that -- if you can add another 100 kilowatts -- 100 megawatts of capacity -- 100 kilowatts of capacity per megawatt, then that additional upside, which is revenue generating, is going to cost you maybe like a fraction of that $15 million because a vast majority of 60% or so is into the Shell and in-ground services and the fit-out costs are probably another 15%, 20%. So it's really a little bit of additional generation generators, chillers, a few more pumps and then you're away because we all already upsize pipe work and electrical reticulation to be able to take advantage of that densification in the initial $15 million per megawatt. So what you're getting is really almost additional revenue for free, like that's the densification portion. [indiscernible] Yes. Absolutely. Like -- and that's a thing they talk to us all the time, and we're monitoring and when they get close to thresholds in terms of hitting the ceiling of the capacity that they've leased, they're really open because that's the cheapest, best way to grow as opposed to having to get another data center. They much prefer that, and it really helps them over the course of that initial contract. And that's why there's no sort of generally no quibbling or challenges when it comes to the end of their initial term and taking options and all of those things. And absolutely, on the other side, we're looking at a range of models from no risk to more risk, where if we want to take on perhaps a lower credit-rated counterparty that's got a higher sort of profitability potential, then we might not want to risk our investment-grade credit rating to have them in our data center unless we actually participate in the profit upside because getting access to the electrons is almost impossible. So if we are good enough to provide that to them, then perhaps in return, we should earn more than just the lease rate. And we're looking at all that stuff.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#84

Can I just dig into just the returns versus cost of capital more with David. Just on the returns, some of your CDC peers are sort of saying they're targeting a 10% yield on cost on hyperscalers. Just wondering if you guys have a comparable target or number that you've achieved. And then just on the cost of capital side, 6% WACC is really, really good. What sort of kind of incremental cost of debt have you been getting in your recent deals? I'm sorry, we don't know you, Greg. Can I follow up on the contracts because you said...

Unknown Executive

executive
#85

Why don't you let him answer... Yes. Certainly, great question. So 2 questions. In terms of levels of returns, I can say some things without sort of directly answering your question. Maybe if I referred to an earlier slide that the Morrison team put out where they put a range of levered IRRs of 12% to 20%. So in terms of levered IRRs, we're probably targeting at the upper end of that range when we look at deals. Obviously, every deal is customer-specific. Probably would prefer not to put a yield on cost number out there, but I know that that you're referring to and the number they put. But maybe if I quite leave it IRRs, that's kind of where we like to get to. In terms of our cost of debt, and we showed on the slide before, what we've been up to over the last 6 months or so. If you were to look at this financial year, full year '27 through till March, so these 12 months, our forecast weighted average cost of debt net of hedging is about 6%. So that's where we sit for the business. And some of the earlier questions, valid concerns about rising bond yields and what impact will that have as we grow our funding portfolio in line with earnings. We have a very active hedging program. So we hedge forward our floating interest rate cost quite a significant period of time. For this year, we're about 95% hedged. Next year is about 80%. And if you went through to 29, which is when we will have delivered the 1.1 gigawatt, we're over 60%. So we've insulated ourselves, I think, pretty well from risk around rising bond yields. And yes, so that's what I would say.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#86

I might have misheard you, but did you say you're about to sell the last building in Marsden Park? And is that like roughly there's 6 buildings, so would that be about 100 megawatts? And then I guess the follow-on question is on top of that 100 megawatts, physically, what could you sell on top of that 100 in the next 12 months?

Unknown Executive

executive
#87

Well, it depends on what we can bring on. But I would be forward selling sites as we get consenting. And so we might be able to sell another 500, 600 megawatts of capacity, just depends on timing of consenting. But again, if I can consent and have line of sight and all of the construction planning in place, if we could do a gigawatt of capacity, we'll sell a gigawatt of capacity. But like right now, that last building is anywhere between -- depending on the configuration of the end customer, it could be 135 to 150 megawatts. No worries.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#88

Greg, can you just talk to your medium-term can you talk to your medium-term ambitions outside Australia and New Zealand?

Greg Boorer

executive
#89

Yes. I think we continue -- like obviously, there's tons to do in Australia and New Zealand and building and developing your own home market is much easier, safer, more predictable, profitable, all those things potentially. But I do think at some point, we are -- if we're going to realize our potential, we're going to have to have a larger degree of geographic diversity. And we're going to have to do that because my crystal ball is not as good as yours. And like I don't know if like it depends, you get a change in government and then there's momentum for some sort of data center moratorium or whatnot, like that's not going to happen anytime soon in Australia today. But imagine if it did, like that would be a disaster. And there's lots and lots of opportunities outside of Australia, where we've been looking at them for the last year or so. And we're getting closer and closer to perhaps doing something. But again, we're not going to sort of risk the mothership in order to do something on a very much an ad hoc or opportunistic basis. It has to really make sense and it has to be absolutely demanded by one of our great customers. And then if that was the case, and we had the right local partnerships and relationships, then yes, we would do it, we would absolutely do it. As long as the shareholders agree, of course.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#90

Thanks for the presentation guys. Just a quick one on the AFR article. Is the 1,400 megawatts sort of it or based on what you're saying, it's basically Stage 1 of a number of stages of demand from them?

Greg Boorer

executive
#91

No, no. It's -- so the particular customer you're talking about, they've given letters of intent to lots and lots of players with gigawatts of data centers because they know that not all of those data centers are going to come to fruition. Even the AFR article, the one there, it still doesn't have regulatory planning approval, so there's still a bit of water to go under that bridge. And Queensland and federal governments are locked in a bit of a battle around how data centers are powered. And so there's potential legislation impacting on the government-owned coal-fired energy generation assets in Queensland. And so like there's -- again, there's so much noise out there. That sounds like a great article, but I've read other articles where other people have already signed leases and actually haven't signed leases. And like -- so I know what's real. What we've talked about is real. And that probably could be real, but there's still tons and tons of conversations and gigawatts of demand beyond that from not only that particular customer, but from the broader ecosystem of opportunity.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#92

Appreciate that. And just one quick one. Just with regards to the conflict in the Middle East, obviously, a sensitive subject. But can you give us some idea of where Australia is global market share could move to as a result of them?

Greg Boorer

executive
#93

Well, it's already -- it's -- like even before that happened, it was already black and white that since 2024, there is like without question, the second largest destination for global data center investment was Australia after the United States. And so the United States will continue to be massive. And Australia is already the second largest destination for data center opportunities. But India has become more significant as a result because of proximity to the Middle East, but not being the Middle East, but also the incentives and tax regime settings that the Indian government have put into place. And that's -- they've -- like CDC is about the same size as the Indian data center market today. And so you can think about like the growth opportunities that there could be in places like that. And so -- and New Zealand will get their unfair share of global workloads as well, I believe, because they're considered super favorable by all of the largest technology companies in the world. And again, that cost to build over there, that flows through that's a rounding error when it comes to the actual cost of the stack. And so -- but I do think Australia, like as long as we do the right thing and we maintain the trust of the community and the populations by doing the right thing, we will be -- we should be the second largest data center market in the world. And geopolitically, it would mean that we are in such a strong, strong position geopolitically if that was the case. And from a sovereignty perspective, economic security, national security, cyber resilience, all of those things, we actually need this compute in this country because having compute in your country now is equally or more important, impossible, but equally important as having your own energy generation in your country that you control.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#94

So Infratil earlier in the day put up the slide around the next step along was GPU ownership. Like have you given any thought to owning some of that on behalf of your customers or customers ask you?

Greg Boorer

executive
#95

We look at that regularly, and that's -- I wouldn't say no to that, but that would be a bit of a departure from our core business. But I think there's ways of participating in that layer of opportunity without actually being the full-blown kind of owner of that sort of activity.

Unknown Executive

executive
#96

Okay. I know we are just over time. So any one last burning question before...

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#97

Just a quick question on the leasing side, perhaps. You talk about passing through increasing costs of potentially 20% is kind of a rounding error. What are some of the changes you're seeing in key terms of leasing with this supply-demand challenge? Just curious to see if you're seeing any new dynamics on that side.

Greg Boorer

executive
#98

It's actually really, really interesting. On one of the most educational things you can do is go through all of the different debt investors' offices and answer all their questions as well because they're always worried about not the blue sky opportunity, but what's the -- how -- whether -- what's going to stop them from getting their money back. And I absolutely understand that a lot of -- because of the demand and a lot of new entrants, a lot of the new entrants are getting very, very much more onerous penalties in their contracts and also really tight sunset clauses if they miss dates and things like that in terms of being able to terminate contracts and whatnot. The good news here is that because of all these customers have been our customers for such a long time, because we've operated on sort of agreed templates, order forms for such a long period of time, the terms and conditions are not really changing, and it's just really about price and inclusions and all of those things, which are really easy to work through. We're being really sensible where our lease rates are probably on the incline, but we're not gouging because I'm not trying to optimize every single project because I know the opportunity in the next project, the next project next project strung together is and that velocity is far more valuable than a onetime deal like a lot of people are chasing. So there's not really any impact on us, but we're also not getting the pressure to drop our prices or anything like that, which is awesome, given the volume is bigger. Okay. I'm going to hand it to Jay to thank the guys and to wrap up.

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