IVE Group Limited (IGL) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 25, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorThank you for standing by, and welcome to the IVE Group Investor and Analyst Call for their financial results for the first half, being 6 months to December 31, 2020. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Geoff Selig, Executive Chair. Please go ahead.
Geoff Selig
executiveThank you, and good morning, everybody, to our results call this morning. We will work our way through the investor presentation that was uploaded to the ASX a couple of hours ago. I'm joined this morning by our Chief Executive, Matt Aitken; and our Chief Financial Officer, Darren Dunkley, who will be all speaking through the course of the presentation this morning. Just by way of introduction, I'll cover Slides 3 and 4 collectively, and then I'll hand over to Matt to walk us through the financial results after that. So beginning with revenue, which Matt will talk on in a little more detail shortly, $340.8 million worth of revenue, impacted clearly still by COVID, and Matt will walk through the various impacts of that. A strong EBITDA number of $59.2 million and net profit after tax number of $23 million impacted those 2 metrics by a reduction in revenue on PCP. Pleasingly though, our gross profit margin remained consistent with FY '20 as it has been for some time. And I think, those 2 metrics also demonstrate our capacity as a business to flex our cost base to mitigate the short-term revenue impacts, but also flexing the cost base that will ultimately strengthen the business on an ongoing basis. If we just move on to the balance sheet, which we'll talk to in more detail a little later, it's significantly stronger over the balance sheet this time last year. $94.6 million cash on hand, our net debt is down to $90.1 million, which is $89 million lower than what it was really at the higher point at the end of March last year following the acquisitions of the Salmat Marketing Solutions and Reach Media New Zealand. And as foreshadowed at our AGM and previously, we have declared an interim dividend of $0.07 per share, fully franked, and that is clearly on the back of not having a dividend at all over the course of the last year. A couple of other things to point on more specifically, I suppose, on Page 4. Firstly, the divestment of our outbound call center IVE Telefundraising, it's really the first business that this group has sold, and the business that we sold was a vastly improved business to what we bought in October 2015. So for strategic reasons, we've decided to sell the business, $16.5 million, all of cash consideration, represented a 5x multiple of EBITDA, FY '20 EBITDA, and a profit on divestment of $4.2 million. So from our perspective, a good outcome and nice to bank the proceeds of that divestment. We also undertook a share buyback that was announced on the 12th of November last year, and as at today's state, we had acquired just under 1 million shares as part of that buyback. And then finally, as previously communicated, we executed a long-term contract with Australian Community Media, 5G contract. And part of that partnership with them was the acquisition for $2 million of selected assets in the main property, plant and equipment in Western Australia. So that would be the snapshot in terms of the financial highlights and the summary. And at this point, I'll hand over to Matt to pick it up from Page 7 on.
Matthew Aitken
executiveThank you, Geoff, and good morning, everyone. So I'm just going to cover the key aspects across Pages 7 and 8 of the investor presentation. Revenue, as Geoff said, of $340.8 million to PCP, was of $352.2 million, includes Letterbox Distribution revenues, so the old Salmat business of $53.5 million. And we estimate a revenue reduction to PCP is circa $50 million as a result of the impacts of COVID-19, particularly in the retail catalog and d travel sectors, where we have seen the most declines in revenue through the period of COVID. Revenue reduction to PCP of circa $12 million reflects the impact of Coles ceasing to produce the letterbox vision of their weekly catalog from the start of September 2020. And as you will note later in the presentation, we comment on our strong and meaningful relationship that we still have with Coles today across other aspects of their business. Gross profit margin, as Geoff said, was consistent with PCP at 47.3%, and paper pricing has continued to reflect the benefits of improved pricing relative to PCP. However, as maybe now, to some investors, there is upward pressure on freight and pulp, but the strengthening of AU dollar against the U.S. dollar is mitigating some of that impact, and we are confident through H2, we won't have a material issue in the space around raw materials. We'll continue to work closely with our supply chain partners. EBITDA of $59.2 million, inclusive of JobKeeper receipts of $14.1 million to PCP of $49.9 million. The business leveraged and streamlined the cost base further throughout the period. And really, over the last 9 months, we focused hard to ensure that we flex their business as we encounter the impacts of COVID-19. And through that time, we've closed 3 sites here in Australia. We've completed the Salmat integration. We've largely exited Salmat's Philippines operations, which has seen a reduction of 95 heads out of the Philippines. We've relocated businesses, and we've continued to refine our organizational structure as we responded to the impacts of COVID-19. EBITDA margin of 13%, excluding JobKeeper to PCP of 14.2% and at net profit after tax level, NPAT, of $20.8 million, inclusive of JobKeeper to PCP, $15.9 million and impact of $10.5 million exclusive of JobKeeper to PCP of $15.9 million. I'll now ask Darren to take you through Pages 9 and 10 of this presentation.
Darren Dunkley
executiveThanks, Matt, and good morning, everybody. So I'll just take you through Page 9, net debt and capital expenditure. Net debt of $90.1 million reflects a further reduction of $47 million from 30 June '20, and also, as Geoff had previously mentioned, an $89 million reduction from a higher point of March -- at the end of March '20, and that was post the Salmat acquisition. Cash at bank is a very strong number of $94.6 million, and our working capital facility of $30 million remains fully undrawn. The low net debt result reflects earnings, including JobKeeper receipts, coupled with reduced working capital as well as the net proceeds from the divestment of the IVE Telefundraising. Capital expenditure. As previously foreshadowed, after a period of investment, capital expenditure has significantly reduced in recent years with H1 FY '21 CapEx of $4.5 million. This is made up of a combination of targeted investment case CapEx as well as maintenance CapEx, continued investment in the group-wide MIS upgrades. They are progressing well and are in line with our planned rollouts. Capital expenditure excludes the acquisition of land and buildings and plant and equipment relating to the ACM's WA operation of $2 million. Our full year forecast for capital expenditure is expected to be approximately $10 million, as previously communicated. Page 10 is cash flow. Very strong cash flow -- cash generation for the period with 119% free cash conversion to EBITDA, an excellent result. And that is reflecting a significant reduction in working capital, driven by excellent debtors collections, reducing our debtor days to a prior corresponding period, targeted reduction in inventory holdings, down $9 million from 30 June '20. Should also be noted that there were no bad debts during the period. Share buyback. Now as you are all aware, I've commenced the share buyback program in December '20 with shares repurchased to date of 990,000 at a cost of $1.3 million. The company will continue its buyback in line with previous announcements. Earnings per share. Earnings per share, on an underlying NPATA basis, is $0.16 inclusive of JobKeeper, and $0.09 excluding JobKeeper, prior corresponding period of $0.12 per share. And just on the dividends, it has been well communicated that IVE caused its dividend, at the start of the COVID pandemic due to the prevailing economic uncertainty, which at the time, was prudent for the business to do so. Given our strong balance sheet and high cash generation, the Board has reinstated its dividend with an interim dividend of $0.07 per share fully franked. Thank you. I'll just hand you back to Matt.
Matthew Aitken
executiveThanks, Darren. So if we just turn to Page 12, I'll just touch on some commentary around customers and revenue. Core to the ongoing sustainability of our business is the value proposition we take to market ensuring we remain relevant by closely aligning our clients' evolving requirements. The diversity of our offer and capability to bundle solutions places us in a strong position relative to a number of competitors across the sectors in which we operate. And we do not have one headline competitor that has an equivalent breadth of offering, and as such, we continue to hold prominent market positions in our sectors. Pleasingly, we had strong new business momentum in H1 with $30 million of annualized new client revenues secured through that period. This revenue growth was across the entire group and in addition to the 18 contracted chips referred to earlier. Specifically, we secured the Letterbox Distribution contract for Spotlight Retail Group across Australia and New Zealand. And this further expands our already substantial relationship we have with SRG that spans catalogs, personalized customer communications and point-of-sale requirements for their Spotlight and Anaconda brands. We were also funded in H1 to manage all of the point-of-sale marketing, kitting and fulfilment for Greencross Vets and Pet Barn. And whilst early days, we're already seeing further opportunities to expand our product and service offering through PPE and Hygiene products and uniforms and apparel. Moving on to Page 14 and 15, these examples illustrate the diversity of our offer to customers, and in particular, how we continue to grow share of wallet through our diverse range of products and services. This diversity in our customers is something that we can talk about for hours and provide countless examples of -- however, I just wanted to focus on a few examples this morning. We've gone deeper into the retail vertical by achieving HACCP certification at our retail display and integrated logistics sites. This has enabled us to grow the revenue opportunity and create a point of difference amongst our competitors in the sector by leveraging our combined retail display production expertise with our substantial existing capabilities in logistics and move into the product co-packing space for our FMCG clients. During H1, we've already seen strong take-up of the service by existing in new clients across the areas of food, batteries, toys and dental products, to name a few, for our customers who are achieving great speed to market, reducing their marketing supply chain costs and are achieving greater merchandising compliance within their retail standards. You'll see some of the inventory relating to McDonald's and Blackmores in the presentation. McDonald's has been a long-term client of ours. And whilst we've always supplied a lot of physical products for McDonald's, be that tray macs or point-of-sale in the restaurants or general collateral and merchandise, you'll see in H1, we've been producing engaging and dynamic training videos for them as part of their $40 million per annum commitment to employee training. So utilizing our creative services capability, we're managing everything from concept development through the illustration, animation and video production for McDonald's. And you can also see that we've created the McDelivery Car Wraps there for their delivery fleet, and these were really well received by franchisees and the local communities that they're still a very favorite to drive into. From the Blackmores perspective, another client we've had a long-standing relationship with providing point-of-sale and logistic fulfillments, we've now expanded into providing crowded services for their digital and social media asset requirements across their own digital ecosystem as well as for environments like the Amazon Web Store. We have continued to grow and strengthen our partnership with Woolworths as we provide a wide array of services, whether that is through their store network or directly to their customers or the consumers. We're partnering Woolworths for managing customer communication requirements for the Everyday Rewards Program, managing catalog distribution to millions of letterboxes each week, providing staff uniforms for promotions and launches and producing in-store marketing campaigns, be that temporary point-of-sale or permanent fixture requirements like the [indiscernible] around the freezer section and the [indiscernible] on Page 15 of this presentation. As many of you would know, we have a substantial capability in data-driven communications. It accounts for about 400 of our staff. What you may not know as well is that we are one of the largest Salesforce marketing cloud practices in Australia, along with a substantial capability in the Diageo marketing technology stack too. In this space, we are providing consulting services to many of Australia's largest companies. We're really proud of our partnership with Nufarm and the work we have done with them on the global integration and rollout of their Salesforce platforms, allowing Nufarm to be better connected with their customers. Having completed the North American rollout, we are currently working with on the deployment in Australia and New Zealand, ahead of turning our attention to planning for Europe. As I said earlier, we could talk about the diversity of our offer and customer relationships to ours, but hopefully, some of the ground I just covered gives you a good flavor for this. If we turn our attention to the outlook statement on Page 17, the FY '21 full year underlying EBITDA is expected to be consistent with FY '20, being $100 million underlying EBITDA for continuing operations. Gross profit margin is expected to remain stable over the remainder of FY '21. Full year capital expenditure is expected to be approximately $10 million, as Darren foreshadowed. Full year restructure and acquisition costs are expected to be approximately $4 million. And forecast net debt at 30 June 2021 will be between $90 million and $100 million. Before handing back to Geoff, I'd like to acknowledge the contribution of all of our staff during H1, the leadership shown by our senior leadership team and the ongoing support of the Board. Back to you, Geoff.
Geoff Selig
executiveThanks, Matt, thanks, Darren. Look, just in wrapping up, just to summarize just a few of the key points. I think, from our perspective, the strength our client relationships, the wonderful staff we have, the flexibility of our cost base and the company's capacity to respond to the impacts of COVID in the half, in fact, the whole of last year than in the half that we're talking about, ultimately came together to deliver what is a very solid financial performance for the business. The strong free cash flow has resulted in continued higher levels of liquidity. And we've seen a very meaningful reduction in debt since March of last year. And it's nice to see the resumption of the dividend through the declaration of the interim dividend. So from our perspective, notwithstanding some of the challenges over the last 6 months, the Board, the team and the business is very satisfied with where we've landed in the first half results. So I'll leave it at that. And thank you all again for your time, and we can move on to Q&A.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Shane Bannan with Bligh Capital Securities.
Shane Bannan
analyst[indiscernible] Could I just get you just recover the impact on revenues, I think you made a comment that COVID had an impact of negative $50 million on revenue being the Salmat contribution coming, which compensated for that. But then you have the $12 million loss of the Coles contract in the back end of the year or back end of the period, I should say. Is that the reconciliation premium in revenue? Is that correct?
Matthew Aitken
executiveThat's correct, Shane. So Letterbox Distribution revenue a Salmat revenue of $53.5 million in the half. We estimate the impact of COVID on the revenue line PCP to be about $50 million. Very specifically, in the retail catalog and travel sectors or most meaningfully, in most sectors in terms of how it's affected our business and the revenue reduction to PCP of $12 million relates to Coles [indiscernible] Letterbox catalog at the start of September.
Shane Bannan
analystRight. So just pushing the dynamic into the current period, seasonally weaker typically by a little bit, probably accentuated by Salmat itself. And just trying to understand the impact of the loss of the JobKeeper coming into the current period, you're forecasting implicitly a lower EBITDA anyway. But that's probably reflected by the revenue as much as the loss of JobKeeper. Is that correct?
Darren Dunkley
executiveYes. Shane, it's Darren here. I mean, we're fully forecasting in line with FY '20 results. And as you're aware, we are no longer eligible for JobKeeper, so there'll be no JobKeeper in the H2 result.
Shane Bannan
analystRight. And that's probably a large part of the step-down. The rest of it is just the seasonality around the revenue line.
Matthew Aitken
executiveYes, yes, that would be right, Shane.
Darren Dunkley
executiveYes.
Shane Bannan
analystAnd so only thing. I mean, one of the points Geoff made, nothing you made before, is that you're quite capable of flexing the cost line. So the presumption is, if you're looking at $100 million of your base level EBITDA on a go-forward basis, we're still saying we can do without the JobKeeper because ideally, the revenue should be building back as things return to normal in the commerce, and we should be able to retain a gross margin on that.
Geoff Selig
executiveThat's correct.
Darren Dunkley
executiveYes. The revenue hasn't quite returned to normal at this point. And I think, if you talk about the Q4 of FY '20, we had an $80 million to $90 million revenue hit in that quarter alone as a result of COVID. And in this half, we got a $50 million PCP just talks the impacts of Coles. So less significant revenue hit and under a 6-month period, but equally, it's somewhat of a mixed bag out there because you've got retailers that are delivering some very, very strong results, but they have a lot of products on backorder as well and JobKeeper has still been floating around the economy. So it's an interesting set of dynamics playing themselves out, which some are positive and some when companies are doing so well for you, maybe they don't need to spend quite as much on marketing. So -- but it certainly has improved from where it was 6 months ago.
Shane Bannan
analystAnd lastly, could I just ask you to just give us a bit of a feel for the Salmat business now? I mean, that presumably is quite a been barely affected by what's transpired. Just your understanding of the dynamic or appreciation of the dynamic coming to this period and ideally into FY '22, how is that stacking up? And how that's relevant from the overall scheme of business?
Matthew Aitken
executiveYes. I think -- so first of all, we wouldn't want to go through this period without controlling that last mile of delivery for the Letterbox chain. So we're very pleased that strategically, we have the Salmat business and now stable in that product and service offering as part of our bundled solutions we take to clients. We've done a lot of work through calendar 2020 to really refine the Salmat business, both from a cost base perspective, but also from a market offer perspective. And it's a very strong business. It still has the leading distribution network in Australia. By far, that's the largest market share in our opinion. So look, it's a core part of our offer moving forward, particularly as we look to self-explore what other things we could do with 14,000 workers going to 7 million letterboxes every single week.
Shane Bannan
analystAnd that capacity is still being retained from the sale of that?
Matthew Aitken
executiveYes. We've not seen a material impact to the Walker numbers or to the network sort of coverage. You can see a lot of pockets here and there. We have lack of international students in the country. For instance, we have strong walkers in some markets for us, but look, we've not had a material impact to the network at all as a result of COVID in terms of our ability to serve our customers' requirements.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Hamish Murray with Bell Potter Securities.
Hamish Murray
analystJust a few extensions on Shane's questions. I'm sorry to go back to it, but I was just wondering, with the $50 million impact, I mean, that -- I think you guys made it pretty clear, that excludes Coles. Does that include a 2-month contribution of ACM? And I guess, how do we think about that ACM revenue half-on-half? I think you said, it could be approximately $100 million over 5 years. Like, is it simply as thinking about as $20 million per annum or is there seasonality in that?
Geoff Selig
executiveYes, a couple of comments, Hamish. The half year revenue excludes some revenue that would have come from our Telefundraising business because we sold it at the end of October. So there's 2 months' worth of revenue that would come out of that business, which is roughly $14 million a year business when we sold it. And the ACM revenues, as we put somewhere in the deck, they transition into the business in large parts through the half that we're in now, so the first half of calendar 2021. So the only contribution really from ACM would be a small contribution from the West Australian operation. And look, that might even net itself out against the revenue that we lost from the $14 million annualized through the Telefundraising sales. So the annualized run rate for ACM really doesn't kick-in until the middle of this year.
Hamish Murray
analystYes, and is it -- do we expect to see seasonality in that, because I guess, it's a bit different from the retailers, isn't it?
Matthew Aitken
executiveYes, not so much. This is Matt here. So not so much seasonality in ACM. I mean, ACM themselves were producing their own markets and titles, which we'll be producing some of moving forward, but they're also producing party for external customers, if you like. There'll be a little bit of seasonality in some of that revenue, but we don't think it will be a seasonal in some other parts of our business.
Hamish Murray
analystYes. And then just going back to, I guess, the $50 million impact, you guys called it out that, I guess, it is heavily weighted towards retail catalogs and travel sectors. My assumption is that, at least sort of thinking about travelers as broadly, I mean, it's a lot of risk that broadly coming on over the next 18 months or coming back to some levels. But how do we think about the whole $50 million? I guess, is some of it gone forever or is it something that we hope to return, either with an 18-month view or 6 to 12 months view?
Darren Dunkley
executiveWell, I think there's no doubt, in our opinion, Hamish, the travel sector will return. The other sectors that we've not called out here, where we've seen quite a decline in and around exhibition and events in terms of how that's affected our premiums, merchandising business and the work we would normally be doing in there. And again, we expect over time, those sorts of things will come back into the market and that revenue will come back. There might be some small sector declines and amongst that $50 million, but we are hopeful that a substantial portion of that does come back over time as market conditions improve.
Hamish Murray
analyst[indiscernible] you guys. And [indiscernible] and I know that -- because its the diversity of your customers and the way everything moves, it's not as simple as ever adding trust wins that you guys do called out. But I mean, how do we think about, I guess, the $30 million annualized new client revenue going forward? Things always are rolling off. Can we just think about that as something that continues to diversify the business and maximize more resilience or is also going to contribute some growth or will this also make way more to normalization?
Geoff Selig
executiveYes, it's Geoff here. I mean, I think as Matt said in that part of the presentation, that annualized $30 million comes from across the group offer. So that revenue does in itself diversify the business anymore. It just is coming from various parts of the product and service offering of the group. So this book, it's a meaningful number. It excludes ACM. Here, we do always have revenue dropping off to use your term homes. But ultimately, we have demonstrated over the years to put aside the last year that we, year-on-year, had organic growth. So there's some good wins in there. The SRG one is not an insignificant win in terms of the Woolworths network. So I think, that's ultimately how we should look at it, is this $50 million worth of annualized new business there. Albeit, we've -- between ACM and the other $30 million -- $50 million, albeit we've seen some revenue impacts. Presumably, some of them are just short term, like we've talked about, that will come back.
Hamish Murray
analystAnd just one more from me on the other side of this, I guess, the standout for myself and how you guys have handled Kalido, it's just been the way you guys have been able to flex the operating costs underneath the GP line. As this revenue comes back, how do we think about the permanence of [indiscernible]? What proportion of it -- a large degree of it won't actually come back and so will it emerge in this [indiscernible] higher?
Darren Dunkley
executiveYes, Hamish, it's Darren here. I mean, the costs that will come back with -- in line of revenue is really the variable labor that really comes back with it. So we expect our gross profit percentage still to remain consistent where it's been at around about the 47%, 48% level, and then the level of direct labor that we need, but we wouldn't expect that as we're increasing -- as revenue increases that we would substantially need to increase our fixed cost base. So it would only be the variable proportion of the labor that would need to come back into [indiscernible].
Geoff Selig
executiveAnd as Matt said, we've also shut a couple of operations down. We've done a whole lot of simplification of the business in part of the back of the rebrand and we moved to one brand. So all these things are permanent. They're all permanent changes to the refinement of the cost base that ultimately flow onto ongoing benefits, and should lead to an improvement or a return again to the EBITDA margin that we're aiming for.
Matthew Aitken
executiveCorrect.
Hamish Murray
analystAnd just one more, and this is the final one, I promise. Just any comments about the market structure and, I guess, capacity in the industry? So a large competitor shut a site in Melbourne. I think it was in the last half. I was just wondering, are there opportunities still to emerge there? And does that make, I guess, the market structure even better, or what are your views around that? And how does it all look anything worth not noticing?
Matthew Aitken
executiveYes. Look, we commented on the landscape semi regularly, and we look at -- given we don't have a headline competitor, we look at the various subsectors that we operate in as part of the door to market on sector, and the competitive landscape remains relatively unchanged, to be perfectly honest, to what has been in the last couple of years. It will just be interesting to see in the first half of this year, calendar year that we're in now, as JobKeeper rolls off. And as we get back to maybe normal trading conditions, whether there's any of our competitors at whatever level that may be in a slightly weaker position or a weaker position as they come out of COVID, we feel we come out in a stronger position, clearly. But there'll be some that have come out of it in a weaker position that we -- the market can be on the ground in Victoria or in New South Wales or wherever we might be competing with. So there's less competitors by a long way than what they were 15 years ago or 10 years ago and 5 years ago. But we haven't seen a material change in the competitive landscape over the last year. So we continue to run our business, focus on our customers, manage our costs to all the things that we can be controlling, and make ourselves a better option to our customers than the array of competitiveness we have out there.
Operator
operatorThere are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Selig for closing remarks.
Geoff Selig
executiveThank you. Thank you again for Matt and Darren. Thank you to everybody on the call, and look forward to picking up on any additional questions or points of clarification offline. Enjoy the rest of your day. Thanks very much. Bye.
Operator
operatorThank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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