Kogan.com Ltd (KGN) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 22, 2023

Australian Securities Exchange AU Consumer Discretionary Broadline Retail earnings 51 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

David Shafer

executive
#1

[Audio Gap] presentation and look forward to that. So I'll hand over to Ronn to play the presentation, and then we'll open up to questions. Thank you very much.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#2

Thank you, David, and I'll play the slide. Thank you.

Ruslan Kogan

executive
#3

Good morning, and welcome to Kogan.com's FY '23 Results Briefing. I'm Ruslan Kogan, the Founder and CEO of Kogan.com, and I'm joined today by David Shafer, Kogan.com's Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer. David and I are pleased to present the group's financial and operating results for FY '23. Since 2006, Kogan.com has sourced the latest and greatest products for millions of customers at the best possible prices. We have created and nurtured thousands of relationships with manufacturers and wholesalers. We have invested to create an expansive logistics network across Australia and New Zealand to shorten delivery times and improve our supply chain. And our customer care team ensures we continue delighting our customers after they've received their products. As our business grew and developed, we evolved introducing the first of our current verticals in 2016, which was Kogan Mobile Australia in partnership with Vodafone. Since then, we have launched many more verticals. We partnered with industry leaders to provide everyday essential services offering incredible value. We use our digital marketing expertise and our platform and community to generate subscription-based revenue with low operating costs. In 2019, we extended our platform to thousands of marketplace sellers, allowing these Aussie and Kiwi small businesses to reach millions of Kogan customers and grow their businesses rapidly. In turn, the Kogan Marketplace enables Kogan.com to offer millions of products online to our customers with no investment in inventory, sourcing, logistics and reduce post-delivery activity. Marketplace sellers are also now able to advertise their best products on our platform. And then we introduced the Kogan First loyalty program to reward our most loyal customers. All of this has contributed to our transition from a 100% inventory-based and capital-intensive online retail business in 2015 to a more sustainable and high-performing software and platform business with growing margins today. This transition has been years in the making. And for the first time in FY '23, the majority of our gross sales and gross profit was generated from subscription, platform and software-based sales. These sales deliver a higher-quality, recurring, lower-risk and higher-margin revenue than our traditional inventory-based product divisions. Along with this inflection point we achieved, FY '23 had many other highlights. The group concluded the year with a strong balance sheet, underpinned by $65.4 million of cash. Our net cash balance grew by $34.2 million during the year, and that was after repaying our bank debt, paying the Mighty Ape Tranche 3 acquisition amount, and also utilizing $10 million to purchase Kogan shares in the buyback that is currently being undertaken. Importantly, we aligned our inventory levels with the current business strategy, allowing us to recover from the inventory clearance required in the first half of FY '23. The alignment of inventory levels, along with the proportional increase in platform-based sales, drove a strong recovery in gross margin in the second half of the year and supported ongoing efficiencies in the operations of the business. With market conditions in FY '23 challenging to the top line, we focused on cost optimization initiatives, and I'm proud to share that we delivered on that plan. Fortifying the business against market conditions has never been more important. We've renegotiated many contracts across our operations with cost reductions now flowing through. I'm pleased that we have made good headway on this initiative in FY '23, and we continue to progress these initiatives as we commence FY '24. Kogan First is a key pillar to the transformation we have made to our majority platform-based sales business. Our subscribers exceeded 401,000 as at the end of FY '23. The subscription has traditionally offered exclusive deals, rewards, credits, free shipping and priority customer care. During the year, we widened the range of products eligible for Kogan First discounts, introduced double Qantas points, increased the reward credits earned and introduced VIP giveaways. Many of these features were introduced towards the end of FY '23, and we expect these initiatives to underpin strong growth in FY '24. Kogan verticals returned to growth in FY '23 driven by our largest vertical, Kogan Mobile Australia. At present, we have the highest number of Kogan Mobile Australia active customers in its history. We also achieved accelerated growth in Kogan Mobile New Zealand as an increasing number of Kiwis recognize the fantastic value mobile plans we provide. Kogan Money Credit Cards also continued its year-on-year growth as the no annual fee rewards card continued to gain popularity. Our Mighty Ape business delivered another solid year of performance despite challenging market conditions in New Zealand. We won multiple awards with the expansion of Jungle Express continuing to impress and delight our Kiwi customers. Throughout FY '23, the Mighty Ape and Kogan.com teams have worked very closely to continue realizing group synergies. These have delivered in the form of improving gross margin from Mighty Ape and savings across a number of service contracts for the group. Finally, the year included the acquisition of Brosa, one of Australia's largest online luxury furniture retailers. Since the addition of Brosa to the Kogan Group, it has been fully integrated and has further improved their buying power and widened their product offering. Here, you can see the second half FY '23 Kogan Group performance. We have included this slide to illustrate the recovery of profitability and the anticipated acceleration of our profitability moving forward. While top line trading results continue to reflect our evolving strategy and challenging trading conditions, our gross margin improved by 8.9 percentage points in the second half of FY '23 year-on-year. This is driven by 2 achievements: the realignment of the inventory to current levels of demand, which removed the need to clear excess stock as we did in the first half; and the greater proportion of our platform-based sales revenue, which are at a high gross margin given the noninventory technology platform-based nature of this business. This culminated in an adjusted EBITDA result of $11.2 million, an increase of over 600% on the prior corresponding half. Soon, I will be passing you on to David, who will provide you with a comprehensive overview of the full FY '23 financial results. The significant transition of Kogan.com to majority platform-based sales business is the highlight of the FY '23 financial year and sets us up well into the future. To put it all into context, in our first year after listing Kogan.com on the ASX, platform-based sales contributed only 3.6% of gross sales and 9.5% of gross profit. Fast forward to today, 6 years later, we have grown that to over 57% of gross sales and over 71% of gross profit. We expect this trend to continue. Our new advertising platform and the verticals returning to sustained growth will further accelerate this. This year was an inflection point, and it's been years in the making. In FY '23, we delighted millions of customers throughout Australia and New Zealand. The quality of their shopping experience is something our entire team prides itself on. It is a testament to and reason for growing proportion of repeat customers we have. This year, that proportion increased to 72%, well over the 50% we achieved 4 years ago prior to the COVID pandemic. It is this group of loyal and engaged customers who are setting the foundation for our future growth. In FY '23, we successfully reduced our marketing spend for group active customer. This was a result of multiple efficiency measures implemented by our marketing team. In addition to this accomplishment, further improvements are expected in FY '24. This is because the majority of marketing efforts in the first half of FY '23 were directed towards the rightsizing of our inventory levels, which impacted our ROI and marketing during that period. Our owned and earned traffic sources have increased to 71% during the year compared to 65% in FY '22. This makes it clear that our underlying marketing efficiencies are working compounded by the benefits associated with growing our proportion of repeat customers and Kogan First subscribers. I have often referred to Kogan.com as a technology company, masquerading as a retailer. Since day 1, we have been at the cutting edge of technology to elevate and enhance our customers' experience and optimize our operations. AI has played and continues to play a big part in this. We already use AI to optimize our marketing, product merchandising and internal productivity. Our projects today include improved search results for our customers, and we're shortly rolling out immediate customer service resolutions any time of day. We will also be producing summarized product reviews to save our customers' time. As the technology improves, we anticipate leveraging generative AI to dynamically create in-situ product placement images. This will enable customers to personalize the product images to their environment and provide savings on expensive product staging and photography costs. Finally, it won't be long before our website content is largely generated and curated by AI to give our customers the best shopping experience. The Kogan market serves as a key driver to grow platform-based sales. It allows us to offer tens of millions of in-demand products to our customers while progressing to a more capital-light business with fewer operating costs. While gross sales have declined year-on-year, given the challenging market conditions faced by retailers, we are focused on achieving strong long-term growth underpinned by having quality sellers on our platform and strict customer-centric KPIs. We have thousands of sellers on our marketplace already and are continuing to onboard more every day. We anticipate growth to return in FY '24 driven by closer engagement with sellers and the rapid expansion of the Kogan Marketplace in New Zealand, which launched in early June 2022. Our exclusive brands represents the majority of our in-warehouse inventory sales. The first half of this year required us to rightsize our inventory levels in line with our strategy and market conditions. Following the successful rightsizing, gross margins have largely recovered in the second half of FY '23, up 12.6 percentage points half-on-half with further recovery expected in FY '24. This division is essential to our business, offering a highly efficient method of delivering unique products from manufacturers to customers. This leads to exceptional value and unique offers that are not available anywhere else in the market and therefore creates a unique proposition for consumers to choose Kogan.com. Kogan First subscribers grew to over 401,000 from 372,000 at 30 June 2022. Kogan First subscribers receive exclusive deals in addition to everyday discounts and free shipping. Subscribers also earn Kogan Reward credits and the ability to earn double Qantas points. Our program helps us build a loyal and growing customer base with an associated benefit in the form of growing proportion of repeat customers. This, in turn, increases our marketing efficiency and ROI. Having just recently introduced a number of new features and expanded the program to New Zealand, we look forward to the accelerated growth of the program in FY '24 as more smart shoppers take advantage of our loyalty benefits. I am pleased to report that our largest vertical, Kogan Mobile Australia, has returned to sustained growth over FY '23. Kogan Mobile Australia along with our other verticals diversify our business and provide best value essential services to hundreds of thousands of Aussies and Kiwis. That's why it's also very pleasing to see accelerating growth in Kogan Mobile New Zealand, Kogan Money and Kogan Energy. All our verticals deliver subscription-like platform revenue while providing customers with incredible deals and savings from what they otherwise would need to pay. As we commence FY '24, I'm excited to announce that we will be expanding our vertical offering in New Zealand very shortly. I will now hand over to David, who will provide a more detailed overview of the financial results.

David Shafer

executive
#4

Thanks, Ruslan. This year has been a tale of 2 halves for Kogan.com. We discussed at length in our presentation of the first half results that the business was embarking on a period of consolidation. This required us to achieve a sustainable level of inventory along with more efficient operating costs and build a stronger balance sheet. I'm glad to report today that we have already started to see the positive outcomes of our efforts through the second half results. Our gross margin has rapidly recovered with further improvement expected in FY '24. Operating costs have reduced and adjusted EBITDA grew more than 600% year-on-year. Additionally, we have rightsized our inventory levels, grown our cash balance and cleared all bank debt from the business. In short, we have successfully rebased the business to become a less risky, more efficient, more nimble and more focused operation, all while delivering exceptional value to consumers. In rebasing the business, we have delivered on our goal of increasing the quality of our earnings via our shift towards platform-based sales, which Ruslan has covered off earlier in our presentation. This is expected to deliver increasing profitability in the business in future years as platform-based sales deliver higher recurring revenue, higher margin and lower inventory risk, all while enabling lower operating costs, too. I will now go over the drivers of our group's financial performance in further detail. The group recorded gross sales for FY '23 of $844.8 million and revenue of $489.5 million. The decline in both gross sales and revenue reflected a rebasing of inventory levels as well as the impact from challenging trading conditions caused by increasing cost-of-living pressures and interest rates. To our shareholders, of course, this is not news, as we have kept them regularly updated about this trend and our strategy. To briefly explain the difference between gross sales and revenue, gross sales reflects the total transactional value of Kogan Retail, Mighty Ape, Kogan Marketplace, Kogan Verticals and advertising income. Revenue reflects the accounting revenue of Kogan Retail, Mighty Ape and only the seller-based fees or commissions received, that is the platform-based revenue from Kogan Marketplace, Kogan Verticals, Kogan First and advertising income. Despite a top line reduction across our product divisions and Mighty Ape, we did achieve growth in Kogan First and in number of our verticals. Kogan First benefited from growth in subscribers as well as a price revision in February 2023, resulting in a revenue increase of 69.6% year-on-year. Within our verticals, Kogan Mobile Australia returned to sustained growth of 3.1% year-on-year. Kogan Mobile New Zealand continued strong growth of 71.5%, while Kogan Money and Kogan Energy grew by 22% and 46.9%, respectively. Gross profit of $136.6 million declined 26% year-on-year, largely impacted by top line performance and significantly reduced gross margin during the period of inventory rightsizing in the first half of financial year '23. Despite this, gross margin did improve 3.2 percentage points year-on-year. The increase was a result of the rapid recovery of gross margin in the second half and the proportional increase in platform-based sales, which drove a gross margin of 34.4%, up 8.9 percentage points year-on-year. Group active customers totaled over 2.9 million as at 30 June 2023, consisting of 2.19 million for Kogan.com and 755,000 for Mighty Ape. We look forward to the opportunity to convert many of these customers to Kogan First and Mighty Ape primary subscribers in order to further enhance their shopping experience with us and deliver even more value to them. Kogan.com's exclusive brands and third-party brands have been the focus of significant rightsizing inventory. As we have previously mentioned, this was successfully completed at the end of the first half and materially impacted profitability in that half. However, we have seen a swift recovery of gross margin in these divisions in the second half, and we expect that to continue into next financial year being FY '24. In line with our product divisions, Kogan Marketplace gross sales declined year-on-year by 28.5%, impacted by challenging top line trading conditions. However, seller-fees reduced by a lesser percentage of 22.2% following improvements in seller management and experience. Towards the end of the year, our new advertising platform went live. The platform allows marketplace sellers to sponsor their listings to enhance search results and gain further reach within the Kogan.com website. We expect the advertising platforms become material in financial year 2024 as it continues to gain traction in these early stages. Growing the ranges on the Kogan Marketplace means that customers have more choice than ever, and the business can become leaner without the reliance on ongoing investment in inventory to drive product range growth and sales. The group grew the Kogan First loyalty program to over 401,000 subscribers as at 30 June 2023 with revenue increasing to $26.3 million, an increase of 69.6% year-on-year. The growth in proportion of the owned and earned website traffic to 71% confirms the importance of the Kogan First program to the business. As we grow our Kogan First subscribers, there will be a reduction in the need for marketing investment, which frees up capital for alternative investments. The unit economics of Kogan First involve taking what we otherwise would have spent on paid marketing to attract and retain customers and share most of that saving with the consumer in the form of better prices and greater loyalty rewards. We have implemented a number of new initiatives towards the end of financial year '23 that have already demonstrated an acceleration in trials and members. We have high expectations for Kogan First growth in FY '24 as a result. This year marked the exit of founder, Simon Barton, from the Mighty Ape business. Gracie MacKinlay completed the first full financial year as CEO, and she was joined in May of this year by Daniel Balasoglou as the new CFO of Mighty Ape. The transition has gone smoothly with no interruptions to operations. I will discuss the financials of Mighty Ape in detail later on. Shifting our focus to variable costs, which consist of warehousing and selling costs. These were reduced by 40.7% year-on-year. While the reduction in selling costs reflects softer trading conditions versus the prior period, the reduction in warehousing costs is due to the significant adjustment made to the inventory level in the business. Importantly, the efficiency of variable costs has improved year-on-year. Variable costs reduced to 8% of gross sales in FY '23 from 8.8% in FY '22. These efficiencies are expected to improve in FY '24 as we roll off more expansive warehousing arrangements to align our warehousing requirements with current inventory levels. Statutory NPAT was significantly impacted by suppressed margins during the first half of FY '23 in order to substantially rightsize inventory and also included a large noncash equity-based compensation accrual, driven by the legacy options award, combined with the continued provision for the likely payment of Mighty Ape Tranche 4 acquisition payables. These noncash elements have been discussed at length in prior results releases. Adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBIT and adjusted NPAT were all significantly impacted by the correction to inventory levels and challenging trading conditions. However, we did see a strong recovery in the second half of the year. As we head into FY '24, I'd like to highlight that the number and value of noncash, nonrecurring items adjusted out of our EBITDA, EBIT and NPAT results will significantly reduce following the conclusion of the accruals of the sizable retention options accounting entry and the Mighty Ape acquisition payables as of 30 June 2023. From the 1st of July 2023, these items have been fully accrued. On this slide, we can see gross profit contribution by each business division. The highlight was the recovery of gross profit and gross margin for the product divisions. On the left, you can see gross profit contribution in the first half of financial year '23. On the right, you can see gross profit contribution in the second half. Following the rightsizing of inventory within exclusive brands and third-party brands, the deep discounting space, allowing for gross margins and therefore, gross profit to recover. While significant recovery has occurred in the second half, we expect further improvements to come in financial year '24. Mighty Ape, Marketplace, Kogan First and Kogan Mobile have all continued to contribute materially to the gross profit of the group. I'm pleased to report that our efforts to increase our operational efficiency are reflected in our results. As we drove down inventory in the business to the desired level, it has allowed cost savings, most notably in warehousing and marketing. This has driven the reduction in variable costs to 8.8% of gross sales in the second half of FY '23 from 9.5% of gross sales the second half of FY '22. Further, IT cost reduction initiatives and restructuring of our offshore customer care teams has provided further ongoing savings through our fixed costs. We have retendered or renegotiated most contracts from insurance to lease agreements to major software services and savings will continue to escalate through FY '24 as a result. As we continue to realize operational efficiencies, we look forward to returning the business to the previously strong operating leverage we achieved from the IPO through to the post-COVID period where we began unwinding inventory following the reduction in online demand. Mighty Ape gross sales and revenue both declined year-on-year by 5.9% and 5.3%, respectively. The decline can be attributed to continuing cost-of-living pressures and high interest rates in New Zealand, which led to a reduction in the e-commerce market in that country. Despite this, Mighty Ape achieved relatively consistent and resilient gross profit year-on-year. This was driven by an increase in gross margin achieved through increased sales of Kogan.com exclusive brands products and better delivery economics from the growing Jungle Express delivery service. Adjusted EBITDA reduced by 26.7% year-on-year as we continued to invest in setting up the business for future growth. This includes investment in IT infrastructure logistics networks and the Mighty Ape team itself. These investments are expected to produce long-term benefits for our customers and the group. The correction to inventory levels was a significant achievement for the group, and, as anticipated, returned the business to adjusted EBITDA profitability in the second half of FY '23. Inventories in warehouse reduced to $60.6 million with total inventories reducing to $68.2 million. This represents a reduction of over 57% since last year. Our inventory levels now align to the current trading conditions. The rightsizing of inventory delivered strong cash flows as we grew our cash balance to $65.4 million, completely repaid all bank debt and reduced our trade and other payables by over $20 million. During the year, we also completed the Tranche 3 payment for the Mighty Ape acquisition of $14.2 million. As at 30 June '23, we have provisioned for the final acquisition payment Tranche 4 within the acquisition payable. The balance as at 30 June 2022 represented a combination of both Tranches 3 and 4. We also commenced our share buyback in May 2023 of this year with purchases till 30 June 2023 totaling in excess of $10 million. The on-market buyback is due to complete by May 2024. We achieved strong operating cash flows in FY '23 driven by the rightsizing of inventory levels, and we increased platform-based sales further driving cash flows. Having completed the year debt-free, we expect our balance sheet to further strengthen with continued healthy operating cash flows. The Board will continue to assess appropriate capital management practices this financial year, having regard to the ongoing share buyback, trading performance of the company and its capital requirements. I'll now hand back to Ruslan to discuss our outlook and some further detail on the exciting things to come in financial year '24. Thank you.

Ruslan Kogan

executive
#5

Thanks, David. Having steadied the business and ended the year with a strong capital position, our team is excited to have hit the ground running in FY '24. Consistent with prior years, we will not be providing earnings guidance. However, we will provide regular business updates throughout the year. The business is fueled with confidence as we enter FY '24. We expect the number of Kogan First subscribers to accelerate following newly introduced features and benefits to the program. We anticipate continued growth in our verticals, and we'll be launching a new vertical in New Zealand this month. We expect a return to growth in Kogan Marketplace, and we are excited about the potential of our recently introduced advertising platform. Finally, we expect continued improvement in our product division's profitability. July 2023 unaudited management accounts showed a group adjusted EBITDA of $3.5 million. Together with David and our Board, I am looking forward to delivering a strong result in FY '24. This concludes our presentation. We look forward to meeting with many of our shareholders over the coming days. For those of you who have questions or are interested in hearing more, please stay with us for the Q&A. Thank you for your interest in Kogan.com.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#6

Thanks for that -- Ruslan and David, for that presentation. [Operator Instructions] I might start with some questions, David, from Taylor Guyot at Barrenjoey. Is the aim to get to pre-COVID EBITDA margins? Or is it structurally higher or lower?

David Shafer

executive
#7

We actually expect adjusted EBITDA margins to continue growing, driven by the mix shift in the business towards platform-based sales. So all the platform-based sales and for our accounts at 100% gross profit margin because they are commission or seller fee-based sales or advertising income. And there's very little operating costs or far reduced operating costs under that gross profit compared with the product divisions, which means that as we see a mix shift in our business, strong traditional 1P retail towards software-like revenue, you do see an increase in EBITDA margins, which is what we experienced right up until midway through COVID when we started unwinding inventory. So we would expect that from here, EBITDA margins continue to climb and will eventually surpass the height of EBITDA margins we achieved before the middle of COVID.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#8

Second question is if the average Kogan shopper frequency is 1.6x per annum, can you tell us what the average Kogan First shopper frequency is?

David Shafer

executive
#9

I can't give more information that's already in the presentation, but what I can say is what we've repeated numerous times, and that is that Kogan First customers are more loyal, shop more regularly and are higher-value consumers to Kogan than nonmembers. They are increasingly representing a greater and greater proportion of our overall sales and profitability and Kogan First growth remains a key part of the strategy of the business. Our ambition is to grow the number of Kogan First members significantly over this financial year. And we think that, that is going to be a significant driver of overall revenue and overall profitability given that those customers are our best customers. They pop commit to us, they commit to us by paying a membership fee. And in turn, they get a huge amount of value. And the underlying idea behind Kogan First is that because we don't need to continue paying marketing expenditures to attract and retain those customers, we can take what otherwise would have been spent on marketing, and we can reinvest most of that into the consumer experience, making a better deal for consumers and making them more loyal. So that is a key driver of the strategy of the business, and we fully expect to deliver on significant Kogan First growth over the remainder of FY '24.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#10

Last question from Taylor and a quick one is second half 23 marketing -- sorry, in the second half '23 marketing to gross sales was around 6%. Does it stay there permanently?

David Shafer

executive
#11

Look, we have experimented in the second half of '23 with some off-line marketing, some of you guys might have seen our billboards, our TV ads. So we have experimented in nontraditional forms of marketing for the Kogan business, which is traditionally focused on digital marketing. We do expect some efficiencies over FY '24, but I can't give guidance as to the percentage of gross sales that we're expecting other than to say it might get a bit more efficient than it was in the second half.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#12

A question from Owen Humphries at Canaccord. Do you expect inventory to increase in FY '24?

David Shafer

executive
#13

We don't expect inventory as at the end of FY '24 to be higher than at the end of FY '23. But during the course of FY '24, inventory will surpass that number and then retreat after peak sales period. So through the year, end of the inventory balance will go above that amount, but we expect that we'll end the year at around the same amount or a little bit lower.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#14

A couple of questions from Johannes Faul at Morningstar. Is the shift to greater platform sales a conscious business decision or driven by customer demand? And if it is conscious, what does it mean for 1P sales going forward and for Mighty Ape?

David Shafer

executive
#15

It was definitely a conscious decision. So it's a combination of both the overall strategic transition of the business over the last 5 or 6 years. We started introducing verticals in 2016. They became a bigger part of our business. We then introduced the marketplace. We then introduced Kogan First and now the advertising platform. All of those additions to our business make us more resilient in the business with more cash flow coming into the business, more different types of revenue coming into the business. And the difference in the last 6 to 12 months is that, that is combined with an active decision to reduce our inventory level following the massive buildup in inventory during COVID. So in the last period, you've had a double contribution, both from the growth of platform-based sales in general and the addition of a new stream from advertising income, combined with an active decision to reduce our inventory level and therefore, to reduce the part of the business that's driving the product divisions. Having said that, we do believe the product divisions are essential to the business, and we do intend to grow them over long term. The product divisions give us a unique selling proposition. They give us something special and unique and different in the market that makes our platform different from any other platform and gives consumers a reason to come to Kogan to buy product that's unavailable anywhere else. So that's our original content. That's something that will drive new acquisition, and that's something that we'll continue to invest in. We'll just do it in a more focused way given that we now have tens of millions of items available on the platform through the marketplace. We don't need to cover the range in our own inventory, we can focus on the highest-moving items and really pick the winners and allow marketplace sellers to cover the full range of items for our customers. So that's the strategy to continue to grow the product divisions or to return to growth in the product divisions, but driven by a more focused selection rather than attempting to cover the range.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#16

Last question from Johannes. Might be something you can't quite answer specifically, but provide a bit of color. What's the retention rate of Kogan First subscribers? And how does it compare to FY '22?

David Shafer

executive
#17

So again, I can't give more information than it's is already in the presentation. Having said that, we have grown our Kogan First subscribers year-on-year. And the growth of Kogan First subscribers has accelerated towards the end of the period. As was mentioned, we expect Kogan First to continue that acceleration into FY '24. And obviously, the number of Kogan First subscribers that we provide is a net number, net of all churn. So if the overall number is growing in the context of top line decline in sales and revenue, that would imply strong retention metrics. And it's not hard to see why there's strong retention given the value that we provide to Kogan First members. So just to reiterate, Kogan First members actually get a product -- a price discount on most inventory-based products. They get free shipping on tens of thousands of items. They get credit back on their entire spend on the platform. They get extra Qantas points and a whole host of other benefits, including giveaways. So the value is there to Kogan First members, and we expect that to continue growing from here.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#18

Good segue into Wei-Weng Chen's questions. Wei-Weng from RBC Capital Markets. And the first one again, you may not be able to fully answer, but on Kogan First membership, you disclosed at your fourth quarter trading update at the time of the release, you had 408,000 subscribers. Where are you at the moment in August?

David Shafer

executive
#19

Again, I can't give more information than it's already in the release. But what I can say is that Kogan First growth has accelerated. We've mentioned that, and that has continued, and given that we haven't adjusted that wording and that we do expect strong growth in Kogan First over FY '24 as we've outlined in our outlook for FY '24. Kogan First is a key driver of the business. We've seen a lot of the additions to the program that we introduced towards the end of last financial year have started to have an impact causing an acceleration in growth.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#20

Second question from Wei-Weng. It seems like from the first half to the second half of FY '23, there's been an uplift in paid traffic. Can you please speak to what's happened there? Prior to today's results, it seemed like that metric was trending lower.

David Shafer

executive
#21

So as I mentioned earlier in the Q&A, we have invested in some more experimental marketing initiatives in the second half. That's been a driver of overall marketing expenditure in the period. It's something we're continually looking at and it's something we're continually trying to make efficient and to assess what's working and what's not working. We do expect marketing to become more efficient in FY '24. But as you can see, we have been a very, very efficient marketer over many, many years. We do experiment with things from time to time and continue the things that do work and kill off the things that don't work and you can expect that to continue into the future.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#22

Last question from Wei-Weng and you did note in the presentation, David, that Kogan.com doesn't provide forward guidance. But Wei-Weng's question is, how should we think about your $3.5 million of EBITDA in July when we look at the first half '24? Is there any reason why you couldn't continue to build on that number monthly from here?

David Shafer

executive
#23

To answer that directly, we don't believe there's any reason why we could not deliver on an improvement in that number monthly from here. We've mentioned in the presentation there are cost efficiencies that we believe are still to flow through in FY '24. The Kogan First is accelerating, the verticals are returning to growth and that the product divisions will improve in profitability over FY '24. All of that ought to translate in improving underlying earnings. And we do believe that overall adjusted EBITDA will continue to climb, as I mentioned earlier. So all of that translates into improved underlying earnings position, notwithstanding the fact that the top line continues to be challenging. We're transitioning the business. We're becoming more nimble, more agile and focusing more on higher-margin recurring revenue streams to deliver for the underlying profitability of the business.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#24

It could segue into questions we've got from Tim Piper at UBS and staying on the $3.5 million EBITDA generated in July. Is that profit figure generated off a fully rebased inventory position, i.e., generating a fully recovered gross [Technical Difficulty] in e-commerce sales and lower warehousing 3PL expenses?

David Shafer

executive
#25

Yes, it is. So we have mentioned that our inventory position has been fully rolled and as the current inventory position reflects the moving forward desired levels of the business. In terms of the operating expenses being the warehousing expenses, which is driving [Technical Difficulty] cost base in July and previously, there are still some efficiencies to flow through in FY '24, incremental to what was delivered in the July results. Having said that, we believe that the underlying drivers of improved profitability growth likely to come from improvement in Kogan First, improvement in verticals, improvement in the advertising platform and ongoing efficiency delivery over the remainder of the year. So the gross margin achieved on the product divisions in July does reflect an ongoing sustainable level. And the overall improvement in profitability is likely to come primarily from those other areas.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#26

Second question from Tim Piper similar to another question, a follow-up question from Taylor Guyot. Is it possible to provide some commentary on the top line performance in July?

David Shafer

executive
#27

We haven't included the top line number for July because the overall strategy of the business is to rebase the business towards lower risk noninventory-based sales and obviously, we have just come off a significant reduction in inventory levels. Prior year comps in terms of the top line do get progressively easier over the remainder of the financial year. And we do expect that at least in the second half, the business will return to top line growth. However, the year-on-year performance does remain challenging right now. And our focus is on underlying profitability rather than pursuing revenue growth for the sake of revenue growth.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#28

Last question from Tim. Is it possible to provide a CAC, customer acquisition cost, figure the way you used to disclose i.e., marketing spend for a new customer?

David Shafer

executive
#29

The overall number of active customers did decline year-on-year in line with our top line results. So in terms of new added customers, there was a decline in overall added customers, which makes the calculation of that metric different year-on-year.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#30

A couple of questions from Ivana Ye. Could you provide more color around specific market efficiency improvement initiatives you implemented?

David Shafer

executive
#31

Yes. So in terms of digital marketing, which is the lion's share of our marketing spend, we're in control of the exact ROI we are pursuing [Technical Difficulty]. We decide whether we want to invest more than the gross profit we might make on the first transaction and have a payback period associated with our advertising spend, but potentially accrue more revenue or we can decide to prioritize profitability and pursue gross profit on the first transaction. So we adjust that regularly in the business, depending on what the strategy of the business is and we pursue that over the course of the period to try and align the business to a more profitable base. So that was the driver effectively making our digital marketing more efficient and focusing on ROI upfront rather than pursuing a payback period associated with spending ahead of our initial investment.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#32

Just quickly, the second last and last question of Ivana. Have you seen any cross-sell opportunities or momentum between Mighty Ape and the Kogan platform? And what's the outlook for Mighty Ape?

David Shafer

executive
#33

Absolutely. So Mighty Ape, one of the main strategic initiatives and synergies that we've been pursuing in respect of Mighty Ape is to introduce more exclusive brand product onto the Mighty Ape platform. When we bought Mighty Ape, private label products was a very small component of their business. If you look at the website today, there's a heap of private label product. That's been driven by, not so much cross-sell from Kogan to Mighty Ape, but facilitating an alignment of our purchasing teams and our supply chains and enabling Mighty Ape to access Kogan.com exclusive brands inventory. That's been a driver of improvement in gross margin in Mighty Ape over the last few years and product selection expansion and making it a more exciting destination for consumers. So in addition to that, in addition to Kogan.com making exclusively available to Mighty Ape consumers, you can also see Mighty Ape product available on the Kogan.com marketplace like in Australia and New Zealand. So there is leveraging of the Mighty Ape product selection on Kogan and there's also the expansion of exclusive brands into Mighty Ape in New Zealand. So yes, there's that cross-selling as you're referring to, and that is one of the primary drivers of synergies in the business. The other one being the expansion of verticals, which we've announced and other initiatives like the expansion of the warehousing platform in New Zealand and Jungle Express, which is the last mile delivery platform.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#34

I'm conscious we've gone over time and maybe one last question. This one is a follow-up from Tim Piper. Can 1P e-commerce become profitable again going forward? Or is it now a loss leader for the services division?

David Shafer

executive
#35

Yes, it can become profitable again. We are focusing on efficiencies and leanness. We're focusing on targeting the highest-moving products that are the winners in each category, and we believe it will return to strong profitability. But it will be focused on higher inventory turn, focusing on the winners high-margin products rather than covering the field in terms of broad ranges of products that we might have used to pursue, given that we now have tens of millions of items on the marketplace available to consumers, we can focus on really the standout winners, which is going to be a driver of making that business division more efficient and more profitable.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#36

David, thanks, and thanks for your time this morning to everybody that joined. Maybe just before we jump off, a final word from you, final wrap in terms of the FY '23 result and how Kogan.com is positioned for growth in FY '24.

David Shafer

executive
#37

This result reflects the culmination of a difficult period for Kogan where we rightsized our inventory level. We've got our balance sheet under control, and we've transitioned the business from higher-risk revenue to lower-risk revenue. We feel like we are a more nimble, more agile business today than we were a year ago or 2 years ago. Our inventory is cleaner than ever before. Our balance sheet is cleaner than ever before. And we now have multiple revenue streams, all of which are producing very strong cash flows into the business, all while delivering the consumer, our promise, which has remained resolute for 17 years, which is the best deals in market. Our mission is to make the latest and greatest goods and services available to Aussies and Kiwis at the best possible prices. And we are delivering on that day in, day out. Our customers are happier than ever as demonstrated by their repeat traffic. And we have a very, very loyal base of consumers in Kogan First that are growing now faster than ever before. So we look forward to FY '24 with very strong confidence that we can return this business to improved operating performance and improved underlying profitability. And most importantly, we can continue delighting customers across Australia and New Zealand into FY '24 and beyond. So thank you very much, everyone, for your attention and your questions today and for your interest in Kogan.com, and we look forward to staying in touch over the remainder of the financial year.

Ronn Bechler

attendee
#38

Thanks, David, and that ends today's webinar. Have a good day, everybody. Bye.

David Shafer

executive
#39

Bye-bye.

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