Power Mech Projects Limited (POWERMECH) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 17, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to the Power Mech Projects Limited Q3 FY 2021 Earnings Conference Call hosted by Nirmal Bang Equities Private Limited. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this conference is being recorded. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Chirag Muchhala from Nirmal Bang Equities. Thank you and over to you, sir.
Chirag Muchhala
analystThank you, Stanford. Nirmal Bang Equities welcomes you all to the Q3 FY '21 results conference call of Power Mech Projects Limited. The management is represented by Mr. S.K. Ramaiah, Director, Business Development; and Mr. Jay Satish, Chief Financial Officer. I now hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks, post which we can take questions from participants. Over to you, Sir.
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Thanks, Chirag. Dear friends, Good evening, this is Satish. It's our pleasure hosting call for quarter 3 and 9 months FY 2021. It's happy to say that the bad is over for Power Mech and the operation has completely come to normal. As we could see, the execution and the turnover momentum has turned from INR 85 crores to INR 200 crores plus, per month. The performance for quarter 3 and 9 months turned to be positive from negative. The impact of COVID continued to be on our operation for almost 8 months. Quarter 3 was a blended quarter for us as October and, to some extent, November month was impacted due to COVID, especially sites like Maitree Bangladesh, where we're executing a contract of INR 830 crore. Similarly, Barh in India and Nabinagar in India, put together, the contract value is close to INR 400 crores, which required large number of manpower with low productivity that impacted, to some extent, month of October and November. However, December month was a great month for Power Mech as all sites were operating normal with full swing. The reported total income for quarter 3 FY 2021 is INR 517.92 crores, and EBITDA is INR 31.45 crores, and PAT is INR 3.13 crores. Whereas if we see during quarter 3 of last financial year, the reported total income was INR 547.44 crores, and EBITDA was INR 74.21 crores, and PAT was INR 36.41 crores. And the revenue mix for quarter 3 is as follows: erection business has contributed INR 133 crores of revenue; civil has contributed almost INR 184 crores of revenue; O&M, INR 171 crores of revenue; and electrical business has contributed INR 19 crores, and higher -- and other income is -- put together is close to INR 11 crores. Whereas during Q3 of last year, the contribution from erection business was INR 201 crores, civil was INR 147 crores. O&M business was INR 162 crores, and electrical was INR 34 crores. And in terms of variance, if you see, like, the mechanical erection business is down by almost INR 68 crores, as compared to quarter 3 to quarter 3, that has come down by 34%. And civil, it has gone up by INR 36 crores, which is almost 25%. O&M, more or less flat, slightly gone up by INR 8.8 crores, which is 5%, whereas electrical is down by almost INR 15 crores, which is 43%. Similarly, the reported total income for 9 months FY 2021 is almost INR 1,142.32 crores, and EBITDA was -- EBITDA is INR 21.05 crores negative, and PAT is INR 81.26 crore cumulative negative. Whereas last year for 9 months, the total income was INR 1,575.98 crores, EBITDA was INR 211.52 crores and PAT was INR 99.91 crores. And in terms of contribution, the mechanical business, we did close to INR 280.53 crores, whereas last year, it was INR 559 crores. So there is a dip of almost like INR 279 crore. Similarly, civil, we did close to INR 358 crores of turnover, whereas last year, it was INR 429 crores. This has come down by INR 70 crores. O&M is close to INR 438 crores, whereas last year, it was INR 474 crore. So there is a marginal dip of INR 36 crores. Whereas mechanic -- erection -- sorry, electrical business, it is close to INR 50 crores, whereas last year, it was INR 33 crores. So there is a dip of almost like INR 54 crores. Comparatively, operation has completely turned to be positive towards normal direction during quarter 3 as compared to quarter 1 and quarter 2. Quarter 1 and 2 was a washout year -- a washout quarter for us, whereas quarter 3 is a blended quarter where we could see some sort of impact for 1 or 2 months, but whereas December was a complete normal quarter. So this is a positive sign for us. The execution cycle has improved substantially, major projects like Maitree, both civil and structural work at Bangladesh, Barh, Nabinagar and Neyveli, the domestic sites where we execute the mechanical work. There, the manpower requirement was high. And to some extent, we had a little setback even at Ramayampet canal work at Telangana. So we can very much say that, and we are very much confident, of seeing quarter 4 as a completely normal quarter with turnover momentum appropriate INR 200 crores plus, per month, and this is expected to be continued because December, we have crossed almost INR 200 crores of turnover, and that momentum is expected to be continued going forward. Operational costs to be completely proportionate to the normal execution level and margins can be maintained. Depreciation cost will continue to be in the range of INR 9 crores per month going forward for next few months. And finally, the finance cost, there will be some reduction during quarter 4 as compared to last 3 quarters with the reduction of overall debt level. And the share of profit from JV expected to be marginal. So this will help us to reach to the normal level completely for the complete quarter of Q4 because the momentum of reaching to normal, we could see from December quarter onwards. So the turnover of INR 200 crores per month versus loss in terms of extraordinary cost and maintaining the margin. And in terms of our receivables, the receivables are around INR 467 crores as against INR 542 crores as on March 31, 2020. The inventory level have continued to be around INR 122 crores, and the retention money is close to INR 290 crores as against INR 309 crores as on March 31, 2020. And if we see like the peak borrowing of the company went up to INR 590 crores, as we discussed during the last quarter, due to delayed receipts from customers. And the peak net borrowing went up INR 460 crores. But -- however, now the debt level has come down from INR 590 crores to INR 530 crores, and the net debt level has come down from INR 460 crores to INR 370 crores. This is a positive sign, and this will help us bringing down the finance cost during quarter 4 of this year. And if we see like the average collection has substantially improved, which used to be INR 125 crores to INR 130 crores per month, now we could see the collection picking up from INR 175 crores to INR 200 crores per month on an average. This has helped us to maintain our operating cash flow positive for 9 months by almost INR 52 crores, which is really exciting. If we see last year, for 9 months, the operating cash was negative by INR 68 crores. And for 12 months, it was negative by almost like INR 48 crores. But whereas -- during this year, for the 9 months, in spite of a lot of challenges, tough time constraints, we could still able to improve our cash flow. So this helped us to maintain the operating cash flow positive by almost INR 52 crores. And we're expecting the operating cash to be positive by at least INR 65 crores plus, by year-end. And one of the most exciting [indiscernible] is like the order book is quite healthy. During this year, up to date, we have added close to INR 3,900 crores of orders, and we're expecting to add a few more orders before this year-end. And we're expecting some healthy orders from the O&M side. And if all go, we may add INR 800 crores to INR 900 crores from the O&M business itself. Considering our order booking, we are confident that year-end, we'll have a backlog or a book of close to INR 7,600 crores to INR 7,700, crores, which is quite healthy. If we see the history of Power Mech, the conversion ratio used to be almost 40% to 42% of our backlog order book. Now with the addition of O&M orders of INR 800 crores, our backlog of O&M business is going to be quite healthy. So we're hoping of some positive growth in the O&M business, too. If we take the conversion ratio of 38% to 40%, which is quite conservative, we're very comfortable that we'll have a strong execution cycle for the next few years, especially FY '21 and '22. If we see the turnover execution cycle, the run rate is close to INR 200 crores plus, per month. December, we had almost like INR 210 million, INR 220 crores. And we're confident that January, February, March, the execution cycle will be minimum INR 200 plus crores, per month, so which will leave us a quite strong revenue cycle for us. And this momentum will continue going forward. Now I request Mr. Kodandaramaiah to add a few more developments?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveThanks, Satish. Thanks, Chirag and the team. As an update on the other aspects of the business and the marketing and the order booking side, as we have seen, the last year backlog was standing at INR 4,575 crores, and now with the order booking of last year of INR 1,953 crores. Now as in February middle, perhaps now we have reached a figure of order booking of INR 3,904 crores, and the backlog has gone up to INR 7,353 crores, a rise of 60% compared to the beginning of the year -- of this year, 2020/'21. And the major growth areas have been back, in the ETC business, mechanical side, there has been a 13% growth in the backlog of INR 2,330 crores against INR 2,054 crores. And the civil side, there has been a quantum jump to 3x. The backlog now stands at about INR 3,785 crores against the backlog of INR 1,227 crores. O&M is more or less static till the -- this one. Of course, the new things, we will explain it about what are revenues which have happened. And then electrical, there has been a dip in the backlog. Now the broad spectrum of the business breakup has been the power sector continues to dominate in the combination of works regarding the mechanical works, O&M business, civil, structural and various other aspects. That constitutes 65.4% of the order backlog constituting INR 4,750 crore. And in the case of nonpower, it is INR 2,603 crores, which is 34.6% of the apportioning to the nonpower business. Now the domestic -- the business has increased. There has been a dip in the international order booking in the current year, maybe possibly due to the COVID conditions outside prevailing in many places. And the domestic order backlog is INR 6,267 crores, constituting 85% of the backlog. And then the international business is around INR 1,086 crores, consisting 15% of the backlog. These are the broad spectrum of the ordering position and the backlogs available that gives a good vision for us to carry on from here. Now coming to some of the key aspects of the conversion and the way work has been going on in many of the key projects, what I would like to update is that in the case of Bangladesh, there is a major job, which we are doing -- executing it, and that is around INR 860 crore. And there was -- there has been a setback there substantially in the first 2 quarters, and there was some pickup in the third quarter. And this INR 860 crores, we have about over 35%. And now it is picking up, and the billing is going up to INR 20 crores per month. That's the positive side. Then in the Yadadri project also, about INR 800 crores, there has been an upswing also in the billing, which is going up from INR 11 crores to INR 15 crores -- INR 12 crores to INR 15 crores. And about 15% of the work has been completed. And the other major customer, JSW, between 2 projects worth of INR 400 crores, we have completed almost 50% of the work completion. Then the cross-country pipeline packages, what we are doing with Adani, and then another 2 IOCL projects worth about INR 325 crores, now we have completed 65%. Then Dangote is a major export job, $76 million, and that is going on pretty well. Perhaps we should see an early end of completion and the benefits of that. We have completed almost 70% of this job. Ramayampet canal has now picked up momentum. Out of INR 373 crores, 40% work has been completed. Then Sadulpur electrification, railway electrification, INR 350 crores. About 45% of the work has been completed. So this is how the major projects are there. There are so many other projects, which was explained. One positive thing is that perhaps we will see at the end of the day, in another 6 months, for the Barh project, even though we have got issues on the -- with Doosan and also Nabinagar. Both the cases we are pursuing contractually the matter. We'll see with the COVID making getting eased out, perhaps we should have some resolution in this year -- coming year. Now on the O&M side, certain positive things are there. We have diversified into material handling packages of nonpower sector, Tata Steel -- Bhushan Steel projects in Angul that is about INR 80 crores. That is a major breakthrough. And we've also taken the job earlier at Barh of another INR 100 crores. So that has added to the total order booking on the O&M side. Now the focus is on the nonpower side, and the present backlog, about INR 1,000 crores, INR 996 crore to be exact, the aim is to jack it up to [ INR 12,500 crores ], and the focus will be some of the projects which are getting renewed at Jharsuguda and also with Vedanta Group, there is a good traction on that. And if it fructifies, perhaps it will be positive in creating a backlog of more than INR 1,500 crores by end of the year. That should be a quantum jump for the operations of the O&M business as it is a continuous revenue earner. And also the road projects are taking shape. That is around -- roughly around INR 800 crores, both in Mizoram and Karnataka states. That is the arrangement we have with our partner. Then the new initiative had been the drinking water project, which is -- we have taken up in UP that is around INR 449 crores, it is Meerut and Etawah division, within [indiscernible] division. Then the scope of the work is roughly around 450 villages to be provided a drinking water system. The concept of this drinking water is part of the initiative that has come from the -- from the Ministry of Drinking Water and Urban Renewal Systems. Their major scope is around the pricing systems, around 20%; then the bore wells and pump houses, around 43%; then rest of the [ tube wells ] to 18%. Then there is a scope for O&M operations for about 10 years, which stands at 5% of the contract value, which will happen after completion of the job, which is around 21 months. And there is a portion for a 10% interest in advance and 95% pro rata payment. So this is a major initiative, which we have obviously taken. And that should give more -- because there is going to be a huge investment in terms of the drinking water as part of the PM's initiatives. Now coming to the other aspects of the business interests, what I would like to highlight is that we are following the traction related to the investments being planned in the next 5 years, which has already started, under the NIP, National Infrastructure Pipeline, which is a huge investment of INR 111 lakh crores, with major investment in energy sector, roads, railways, then urban schemes and also irrigation schemes. For this is where some of the things are new to our business, which has come in the roads and the drinking water system is part of this investment and is going on. And railways, we are already there. And railways, the investment is expected at about INR 13.37 crores within this period, and we have seen that nearly INR 1.5 lakh crores of investment is taking place in railways, in so many segments of railway development. Then O&M is continuing to be a focus area. Now the area what we are looking at is the 39 plants we are operating, 65,000 megawatts of plants under operation, mostly under the IPP sector. And recently, we have made a major initiative in taking the orders from the NTPC, that is about 5 plants, about 7,600 megawatts. And the next focus will be captive sector, which has got an installed base of about 65,000 megawatts. That should be major, too. And the nonpower sector related to steel and material handling, iron ore handling, coal handling. And we have already made an entry, as I said, in the case of Tata Steel, Bhushan Steel project and also Nagarnar with NMDC, that is a major initiative. And now the other thing what we are trying to look at is that we have made an initial tie up with Thyssenkrupp, who are the world leaders in material handling packages, and we are now working on a couple of projects, jointly bidding it on a consortium or a joint venture basis because Power Mech has got the credentials to completely execute the job as a single point responsibility in undertaking engineering, civil, structural, mechanical, electrical jobs. And Thyssenkrupp is happy to provide the engineering support and be the technology partner and equipment supplier. This combination has been worked out. And perhaps, if this is successful, the first project we are going to fructify is related to the Adani Enterprises Limited job coming up in Kurmitar, Odisha. That project is estimated to be around INR 450 crores, which should be shared between us and Thyssenkrupp. And like this, there are a lot of other projects coming up in the iron ore handling, material handling, coal handling and other fields. And all these places, wherever, based on the opportunity, we are trying to bid on the same thing. Now, certain other developments, what has to be updated is that the O&M side, one factor which is going to change the O&M philosophy is that because of the reduction in the plant load factor from 70% to 52% in the present situation, the opportunity in O&M has gone up because maintenance practice has undergone change and more shutdowns are coming in the plant because of the operational metrics has undergone completely changed because of the increase in the scope -- or increase in the generation from the renewable sources. And that is more to go up as the years pass by. But it is expected, the plant load factor of the entire grid in the next 8 to 10 years will come down to less than 50% and perhaps major changes will undergo will be -- will undergo in the case of operating the coal-fired plants, and the maintenance costs are possibly expected to go up. And then as a matter of policy, for the time being, we have taken a little bit of a backseat on the FGD business because FGD was not stand-alone working as a very remunerative package because of the low prices going in the market. And there were a lot of contractual issues involved in structuring it and also bidding it. For the time, we have taken a backseat, and more than that, the value of the work was not substantial for our present operation. So that is where the thing we have said on the present view. But Bangladesh, we are there fully established. INR 830 crores. We are doing Maitree project 2 [ 660 ] megawatts. And Bangladesh has got huge plans for expansion from the present capacity of 20,000 megawatts to 31,000 megawatts mostly in the case of gas and the coal-fired plants because they want to ramp up their generation capacity for their growth. And that is where the opportunity is expected, and we should take it forward. As far as the international business is concerned, yes, for the time being, the opportunities are not popping up much in the Middle East and other places. We are happy to complete the ongoing jobs in Nigeria and other projects, about 10 projects at all we are handling it. And regarding the rest of the projects, perhaps things have to improve a bit. Now as far as the deployment of the manpower resources and the workforce is concerned, it has come back to normal. It was very low at INR 4,000 to INR 5,000 2 quarters back. Now it has reached the pre-COVID level of over 13,000 manpower at site. That is where the confidence should come and what Satish was telling that we should be able to get a turnover of around INR 200 crores positively every month. And with the expected backup of around INR 7,000 crores to INR 7,500 crores, perhaps next year, we should look for a continuous generation of revenue and positive growth in the business. Thank you very much.
Operator
operatorSir, shall we open up for Q&A?
Chirag Muchhala
analystYes, please.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Pratiksha Daftari from Aequitas Investments.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystSo I just wanted to understand that with the commodity prices rising and what we understand that probably cement prices are also rising, how do we see the impact of these rising prices on our profit margin? And how much of this is factored in the recent orders that we've received and current order book?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Thanks, Pratiksha. Yes, it's Satish here. Yes, if you see -- this will be a concern for mostly these projects where we have a little bit of supply component, okay? So most of the civil pie. So more than 75% to 80% projects will have this escalation price variation clause. With the variation of the material, so we have right to claim with the customers. So maybe 20%, 25% of where the prices are firm. So it's inbuilt because -- so there was a time when the prices were low, we have enjoyed a better pricing. So this is inbuilt, this should not be a worry for that, and this should not impact our margin.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystOkay. And could you just repeat the receivable number that you mentioned? And is that the receivables as we speak? And how does it compare to last year same quarter?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. It was -- so it's INR 467 crores, madam. Last year, it was almost like INR 542 crores.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystOkay. And so what kind of collections are we experiencing, monthly run rate for collections in Q3? And how does that compare to Q4 right now?
Jami Satish
executiveIt has picked up now. It used to be INR 125 crores, INR 130 crores, INR 140 crores. Now it's ranging between INR 175 crores to INR 190 crores, INR 200 crores. So December, we have seen close to INR 180 crores, INR 190 crores, so we expect it to be in that range, maybe slightly more than that.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystOkay. And how does this compare to the first half of the year?
Jami Satish
executiveFirst half, I think, it was almost like 50% of this collection because hardly -- quarter 1 was like hardly like INR 100 crores, INR 110 crores. That was the run rate per month. Now it has almost doubled actually.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystOkay. All right. And do we have any targeted -- targets for reduction of short-term borrowings and bringing down the working capital cycle? How do we expect that to pan out for the next 2, 3 quarters?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Now the collection cycle is improving. Apart from that, BHEL, on an average INR 7 crores to INR 8 crores is releasing the final bill. So that is a plus point for us. So this will help us to improve the operating cash flow. Because if you see like first -- now the cumulative 9 months itself, we had operating cash flow positive, so that helped us to slightly reduce the debt. The peak debt, which used to be almost like INR 590 crores, now that has come down to INR 530 crores. So quarter 4, we think there will be a slight reduction. So on average maybe every month, we're planning a reduction of INR 8 crores to INR 10 crores.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystIn short-term borrowings?
Jami Satish
executiveYes, yes.
Pratiksha Daftari
analystOkay. All right. And what is the cost of debt -- average cost of debt right now?
Jami Satish
executiveIt's around close to 10%, madam.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Rishikesh Oza from RoboCapital.
Rishikesh Oza
analystSir, just one question from my side. So roughly 40% execution on an order book of INR 7,000 crores and an 11% EBITDA margin for FY 2022. So do you think this is a fair assumption?
Jami Satish
executiveYes, it's possible, sir. If you see the backlog order book to our conversion, it used to be almost 40% plus, okay? So we are assuming, if it's conservative, 38% to 40% also is going to be, that is the range what we need to execute. And our normal margins used to be -- the blended used to be 12.5% to 13%, that is the number what we used to. But of course, first half, we... [Technical Difficulty]
Operator
operatorExcuse me. This is the operator. Participants, the line for, Mr. Satish has dropped, Please take a moment while we reconnect Mr. Satish. We have Mr. Satish on the call. Sir, you may go ahead.
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Sorry, it was disconnected. So our normal margins used be in the range of 12.5% to 13%, okay? Now because of COVID and all, there was some impact in the operational cost, so that squeezed our margin. So going forward -- because December, we saw good execution and contribution in terms of the margin because of the absorption of the cost. And this trend, we are seeing quarter 4 is going to be complete normal for us, and that is going to continue.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions]. The next question is from the line of [ Darshil Jhaweri ], an individual investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeI just wanted to check on the debt, you mentioned INR 8 crores to INR 10 crores reduction. So was the debt outlook for FY '22 in the interest cost? And on the margin front, you mentioned like fourth quarter will be completely normal quarter. So 12% margin is what we are looking at going forward into fourth quarter and FY '22?
Jami Satish
executiveSir, in terms of debt, yes, there will be a reduction of both the short-term, and by short term, I mean the working capital as well as the term loan because we have close to INR 530 crores of debt at growth level and the net level is INR 370 crores. So we were successful bringing it down the last 4 to 5 months. Now this trend will continue. We are expecting, at least if all goes well, at least INR 60 crores -- around INR 60 crores to INR 70 crores of reduction next few months. So that is the target now. And sorry, sir, can you repeat your second question?
Unknown Attendee
attendeeIn terms of margins, like fourth quarter and FY '22, 12%, 12.5% margin is what we are looking at for next quarter?
Jami Satish
executiveSir, you see, December, we had a very comfortable number, it was -- which was very close to our normal margin. Now though the execution cycle is completely normal, okay, of course, there is a little bit of safety cost and all is there, but which we have factored. So we are expecting this to be completely normal margins for quarter 4, sir. And that trend will continue.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeYes. I understood. By normal margin, we are indicating 11.5%, 12% kind of -- that's the normal margin, right? 12% kind?
Jami Satish
executiveYes, yes. But slightly more than that. 12% to 15%, yes.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Dhruvam from HDFC.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, a few questions. Sir, on the O&M, you mentioned that...
Operator
operatorI'm sorry to interrupt, sir. May we request you to use your handset, please? Your voice is not coming in clear.
Unknown Analyst
analystSir, a few questions. Earlier, you mentioned that the scope of O&M is changing because of the change in PLF of plants. So sir, is it possible to share, say, for example, earlier, you were doing about, say, INR 100 crores of say -- this is a random benchmark. Say, you were doing INR 100 crores of execution for a project, how much can that change by because of the change in scope of work?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYou meant to say -- Ramaiah here. You meant to say on the O&M side, what I brought on?
Unknown Analyst
analystYes, you said the scope of work is changing. It's increasing because of the lower PLF and increase in overall activity.
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveNo, there are 2 things which will be there in this very important. One is that the long-term contracts, which are operating 39 plants, that anyway, we make our efforts to expand into both in the power sector and the nonpower sector. That is a business which we have recently quietly established it, and that is where the major works are coming. Now what I meant to say when the PLF undergoes changes because of the share of the renewable power is increasing in the grid. And it is at 24% as on today, could go up to 50% by the end of this decade. Then what happens is that our power plants will come under terrible strain in operations. They have to operate on a day/night basis. Normally, thermal plants are operated on base load stations. So once this change of operation metrics comes into the picture, there will be a lot of wear and tear in the equipment. And after all, the grid cannot work without the -- with only the renewable power. And obviously, a part of the annual maintenance, there will be more of backdoor maintenance, more of preventive maintenance and all. That is almost -- today, it is about -- our -- about 20% to 25% of our business comes from that, apart from the AMC long-term contracts. So that's what I meant to say. Look, that portion of the business also can go. That is where -- because of the -- not as an opportunity, as a matter of operating back, which has to be implemented. And the government has already told the main -- well this one NTPC to create some standard operating procedures for our operating the thermal plant at a lower plant load factor. And that regime will be followed by all the other grids -- other utilities also down the line. So that is the expectation.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it, sir. That's helpful. Sir, second question was now -- sir, one thing was I read through the press release of new order wins, the recent press release, so it says that it is part of a JV. So the order book that we have given is our scope of work, or that is part of the whole 100% thing?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. But this order, we took it because -- for the sake of the credential purpose. So ultimately, we'll be completely executing the order. And the complete financial obligation as well as the execution obligation we have taken, including providing the performance BD and all. So it's been given for the 100% of the land.
Unknown Analyst
analystOkay. So anyway, the whole execution will largely be us. So that will all be reflected.
Jami Satish
executiveIt largely will be us, yes.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. So sir, now we have a very decent order book, about INR 7,000-plus-odd crores. And even if I assume a 30% or 40% execution, that is about 2.5 years of order book. And you're looking for even a higher order book after the O&M win, I believe. So a very decent order book. Sir, for the last few years, if I understand, you were building your nonpower side of order book as the power sector is declining a bit, but that had some impact on your working capital. If I see, the working capital was increasing, although the margins were steady. But sir, now with such a size of order book and -- that you have with the 2 to 3 years of visibility, should we, sir, assume the incremental wins will be relatively probably better margins and also relatively at a better working capital, given that you're sitting at a very comfortable position now?
Jami Satish
executiveSir, actually, this strategy, even last 4 months, we have been working. So we are not quoting any projects where we see at least 14%, 15% at EBITDA level. Now -- honestly, now we have given a clear-cut direction too even our business development not to quote for some of the projects. So maybe next few days, the orders, whatever we'll win, maybe from more like from a O&M side because we had a target of INR 4,500 crores. We may slightly exceed because of the O&M 2 projects we are expecting. It's a larger contract of INR 400 crores each. If we win both, probably it will add slightly larger number. Otherwise, we may -- we are confident that at least 1 project will win where there is a renewal contract. And the second, if it did slip, we will add in April. So the idea is now only quote -- look for projects which I just said, like with largely higher margins, with better working capital, because it is slightly full now.
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveSatish, Ramaiah here. What I would like to add, what you say is correct. Now the order book is comfortable. I think we are not hungry for orders in the sense, but we want good orders. I think the -- down the line, what happens is that when the base of the order booking is good, the tendency is to bag good contracts under safe contracts and better contracts. I think that is the -- let's say, this is going to all the BD groups. And that is one of the ways perhaps we can sustain this margins.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it, sir. And sir, this win that you have got in UP for the, I believe, the Jal Shakti-related win. So is this -- can this be a huge opportunity? And I believe currently, we have gone through a JV. But in future, can it be done independent and probably a better margin profile also?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes. We have joined hands with another company for, as Satish told, for qualification, but entire work, we'll be executing to get the full -- and the JV is structured in a way it is recognized by the UP government also. Therefore once, maybe 2, 3 projects, we have to do that. And like what we have done with the T&D and the electrical group also, same thing we have to repeat here. We have to complete 1 or 2 jobs, and then we'll be automatically qualified. And this is a huge opportunity. And every district, every town, perhaps ever village, will be -- the investment is going to be there as part of the NIP plan.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. So in your commentary, you were mentioning that of the scope of work, about 20% was piping, bore well was 40%. I missed the remaining part.
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveNo, it is 20% -- I will recap it again. 25% liners, the line systems; then the 21 -- 43% is bore wells and pump houses and tanks because you need a bore well, you need a pump house and you need a water tank for storage distribution and all those things, and extracting water. Then the other miscellaneous things, 18% civil work, then about 5% goes to the final last meter connectivity to the households. That is how the price makeup is structured. And there is going to be a separate O&M contract, which is -- which will be a continuation of this. Once we complete the job after the contract period and this guarantee period, which is totally equal to 5% of the contract value with some escalation for a period of 10 years. So for every contract, we make it in the case of drinking water business, there is going to be a 10-year O&M business also.
Unknown Analyst
analystWhich is approximately 5% of the order value?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes, yes.
Unknown Analyst
analystGot it. And sir, typically, you used to take contracts where there is no raw material risk. So should we assume these kind of projects are also similar? There is no raw material...
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes, yes. The escalation costs are particularly the piping and other items, material items. There is escalation terms also provided in these contracts.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Anupam Gupta from IIFL.
Anupam Gupta
analystGood to see you coming back on track in the third quarter. So just a couple of queries. Of the total receivables, which you mentioned somewhere around INR 470 crores, what portion is still coming from BHEL? And how will -- and how is the aging of that portion?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. So BHEL will be close to 35%, 35% will be BHEL. And if we exclude Maitree, because Maitree is a big fast-track project where we are getting paid within 45 to 60 days, some of the receivables in domestic, okay, it's going up to 75 days also.
Anupam Gupta
analystOkay. So -- but -- so except Maitree, is -- are you able to recover anything, or that continues to remain stuck largely?
Jami Satish
executiveNo, we are able to receive that. Some like [indiscernible], some maybe 75 days, some maybe 65 days. But on average, the trend is 75 days, that is what the trend now, which is overall healthy because we have been working with them for almost 20 years, okay? There isn't any case of default. But Maitree being an exception that is getting paid within 45 days.
Anupam Gupta
analystOkay. And for the ex of BHEL, which you said, BHEL is 35%, you said. The balance, 65%, that is largely on track? You're not seeing any particular contract which -- where you are seeing delay?
Jami Satish
executiveNo, no, no.
Anupam Gupta
analystOkay. And the recent order which you got the, the UP order which you got, what sort of working capital cycle is likely there?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executive21 months.
Anupam Gupta
analystCurrently 1 -- sorry, 21 months is execution, you're saying, right?
Jami Satish
executiveExecution. This is all like monthly billing pattern, okay? But we said that it is going to be in the range of 45 to 60 days. And the good part is there is a mobilization advance clause also there, okay? The interest is at par with bank rate. So maybe first 2 months, what we need to deploy that we may refer to the mobilization clause. So if it will be -- more or less, it will be a working capital neutral for us.
Anupam Gupta
analystOkay. Understand. Is there anything left of that school order in AP or that is canceled?
Jami Satish
executiveNo, that story is over almost 1.5 years.
Anupam Gupta
analystOkay. You're finally out of that.
Jami Satish
executiveYes, we are completely out, and it's been excluded 1 year back itself from the order books. Now the order book, which we have disclosed, is completely healthy, fast-track projects. Nothing is suspended or on hold.
Anupam Gupta
analystOkay. And execution, which you mentioned, which effectively implies INR 2,500 crores to INR 3,000 of revenue next year. Is that the right number to think?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Now say, December, we had INR 200 crores plus. And seeing the order book, normally, we have seen the first -- Q1, Q2 comparative will be less as compared to Q4. But this year, the trend may be slightly different. The trend of INR 200 crores plus may continue for the entire year.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of [ Darshil Jhaweri ] from -- an individual investor. Please go ahead.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeJust wanted to understand what sort of order inflows we are targeting for FY '22?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes, FY '22, I think by end of the year, we should end up around INR 4,500-plus crores. That should be the reality. And perhaps with the conversion happening at 38% to 40%, INR 2,600 crores to INR 3,000 crores. Maybe this momentum we have to maintain and is possible because O&M will continue to have opportunities in terms of nonpower sector and also repair and maintenance jobs and rehab jobs. And then nonpower, we are now making and trying to make an entry into material handing on an EPC basis, and that should be there. And then these drinking water systems and then the other opportunities in the civil side, infrastructure side, that will get more base, more traction, more focus. And as far as the conventional business is concerned on the ETC business, that is the traditional erection, testing and commissioning of the boilers, we are not discounting much. But recently, we have taken a INR 176 crores job from L&B -- L&T. And whatever orders are expected in future also, some portion will definitely be there. And that is maybe 4,000 megawatts to 5,000 megawatts, which will be added as capacity addition every year in the next couple of years. We'll continue to keep track of that.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeOkay. So this INR 4,500 crores of order inflows, you're talking about FY '21 or FY '22?
Jami Satish
executiveYes, '22, See, as of now, we have kept a target because today, the order backlog is quite strong, okay? Now incremental order bookings, we will take a call maybe after Q2. So as of now, we have taken a target of INR 4,500 crores to INR 5,000 crores for next year. That is the target what we have kept because this still will throw us a good, healthy order book for growth. So maybe in the second half will take a relook of our -- the numbers.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeUnderstood. So if I assumed INR 4,500 crores to INR 5,000 crores of inflows, so my FY '22 order backlog maybe close to about INR 9,500 crores-odd, assuming the execution of maybe INR 2,500 crores to INR 3,000 crores that we are targeting. So on that maybe of 40% execution, so we will be targeting at least about 20% growth in FY '23 as well. So is my understanding...
Jami Satish
executiveWe should, sir. we have to, we have to. You're right, sir.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Apurva Mehta from A M Investments.
Apurva Mehta
analystJust broadly want to know that how is the competitive intensity when you are bidding? And then vis-à-vis past when you were bidding, is that considerably gone down and you are very comfortable in bidding with higher margins? Or because -- how do you feel that?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes. No, I will bring out certain facts of life. I think the traditional business, the competition has come down, I would like to make a statement, particularly in the main BTG plant and some of the packages because of the obvious stress many companies -- construction companies have gone. And the very fact that BHEL had no other option except to give INR 860 crores of orders in Bangladesh for the Maitree projects, or more than INR 800 crores in Yadadri. There was a competition, but we were able to beat them. And there were not a series of orders, then each of the orders we've made a better effort to improve the margins there. Now as far as the new nonpower sector business is concerned, yes, there is a competition, but we expect to score better than others. For example, Adani what we are discussing for the Kurmitar mining job, the mine handling job with Thyssenkrupp is that. Thyssenkrupp is a reputed technology provider. Technology -- it's a very good equipment manufacturer, and we are a strong execution company. But this combination also works in the business. And where the consortium and a joint venture, of course, is there, we don't have to load each other's cost, and there, we'll be competitive. And there we have got 3 or 4 parties will be there, and we are able to make a competition. As far as the O&M business is concerned, yes, the presence what we established in 39 plants that itself gives a head start for us. And then because of the huge base we have created in terms of the operations, manpower and other things, like recently, we have taken with NTPC 5 projects. And each of the projects, now there was an opportunity, and we were successful there. There also, yes, about 5 to 6 companies are there, but they don't have the depth and reach in which we can mobilize it in terms of manpower and resources and also the pace with which we can mobilize. That is where we are able to score over. And private people, they normally discuss it. That's what we would like to say at Vedanta and Jharsuguda and the other places, they're continuously discussing with them because another 5 years' contracts, we are trying to engage with them. That should be INR 800 crores to INR 1,000 crores of business. Therefore, as civil is concerned, I think the same problem. What has happened is that the competition is slowly coming down because of the -- especially with many of the other contractors. I think we have seen many of them [indiscernible], and then so many other players, whatever they sell who were competing earlier, they were the lead players, they are not in the picture at all. Therefore, the bid is open, but we have to select and bid properly.
Apurva Mehta
analystOkay. Sir, other question. Sir, where this currently the -- when the budget was there, people are talking of 100% electrification of the railways. So what kind of opportunities do we see? Because we are a strong player on that side? Do you find huge opportunities coming in? Or this is a very long-term thing and the opportunities will come gradually only? Or do you see fast-track projects coming?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes. That is a good point from you. You see as part of the NIP, the railways are going to invest plus INR 8 lakh crores. Already, if you see the last 2 years, the investment is going up more than a lakh crores and it's increasing on a compounding basis every year. There is an opportunity of modernization of 400 railway stations. Then the next 2, 3 years, they want to complete the railway electrification and broad gauge conversion. And then the bullet -- the new bullet projects which are coming up now, the first -- they are trying to make a huge investment more than a lakh worth. We don't have a qualification, we have to join hands with somebody. And now these bullet projects become a reality, and it is accepted, then a every major city will have a bullet project. And that should give a lot of opportunities for people like us. We are already in the -- we are entered now. Because now, jobs -- what we have done Andhra Pradesh and all, the railway job is just coming to an end, that should give us some references. Railway electrification job, what we are doing with Sadulpur that will be getting completed in another year. That should give us a reference. I think we will join hands with others also. And perhaps Railways is a very good opportunity as far as we are concerned. We are working at least 5 to 6 projects as on today.
Apurva Mehta
analystOkay. So the opportunity size is quite large. So are we very well equipped to execute kind of like 30% growth if we want to do, or 35% growth? Are we equipped to execute such type of large projects and large-sized orders we can execute? Are we capable, or we will need to gear up or we have to need something like this?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveNo. If we go by the present operations itself, for example, we could not have said a couple of years back, INR 800 crores to INR 1,000 crores jobs we can execute in a project site, like what we are doing at Bangladesh, INR 860 crores. At least 5 contracts we're executing there, plus 2,000 manpower is there. Now Yadadri also is plus INR 800 crores. Now for example, at Nigeria, we are doing $76 million. Therefore, today, the demand for resources is over 13,000. But what is happening is that in many areas, we are doing better mechanization. In civil works, there's more mechanization is coming in manufacture of concreting and its usage. And therefore, manpower requirements are also optimized. And as far as our own HR base is concerned, yes, we are gaining up and from INR 1,000 -- INR 900 crores to INR 1,500 crores to INR 2,200 crores, we have done it. Therefore, gaining up 20% to 30% should not be a challenge. We should be able to do that.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Chirag Muchhala from Nirmal Bang.
Chirag Muchhala
analystSir, two questions from me on the O&M side. So firstly, sir, you mentioned that in the nonpower sector, you intend to scale up O&M in both, I mean, material handling equipment as well as the iron ore-related admin equipment side. So sir, is it possible to quantify the current addressable market in India, which this specific segment provides? And who is doing O&M of these areas right now? Are these plant owners themselves doing it? Or there are other companies who are doing it?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveNow, if we look at the recent trends, for example, Tata is one, Bhushan Steel. They have given INR 80 crores job in only a small segment of the business, that is the railway wagon tippler arrangement. That is INR 80 crores of job. Then Nagarnar, we have taken about plus INR 100 crores of this one. That is also a material handling job. Obviously, now, for example, we are discussing with Adani about Kurmitar, if it materializes, already customer has told once the project we completed, they want a joint O&M operation contract to be entered with us between the consortium of Thyssenkrupp and Power Mech. And what I would like to say is that, for example, the Coal India Limited has called contracts worth of INR 10,000 crores. But we entered in 1 or 2 contracts, but prices were highly competitive. All those contracts in Coal India, whatever they're called, they have got a 5-year O&M contract. Therefore, what is happening in -- for the customer is concerned, O&M them in-house doing is costlier than O&M outsourcing it. And they retain their core strength in technology, in technical operations, control room operations, with the key people. While NTPC, for example, why they started offloading the O&M also on an AMC basis? That was not there for the new plants, newer plants they are operating. It's plus 60,000 megawatts installed base, they have taken a huge, almost 10,000 megawatts, they have taken the action. So they also have to slowly, instead of taking the people are where retaining people takes place, they would like to put more and more O&M contracts. That is how perhaps the business should grow.
Chirag Muchhala
analystSo Sir, in this nonpower space, if we have -- I mean done any kind of opportunity mapping across India for these 2, 3 subsegments that has been identified. So any of that addressable market opportunity can be shared?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveNo, I said roughly, what I said was that Coal India has got tenders for about 15,000 megawatts in coal handling. Now coal still is getting the -- what is that? Given the private players also for the main developers. And wherever such a diversification takes place or a disinvestment takes place for the coal and then iron. Iron ore, there's going to be huge demand, thus we have to carry them, ramp up the capacity of our steel manufacturing. For both in coal and iron ore, apart from the traditional players like Coal India, or the -- in the case of the other players, the new players who enter, they may not have all the organization to do O&M also, they would like to outsource it. That is the -- we have not done the exact mapping, but we are on a project-to-project basis as on today and we are doing it. But as the opportunity happens, we will definitely do it, and we'll commit our numbers from that.
Chirag Muchhala
analystSo it will be in this range of INR 20,000 crores to INR 25,000 crores, sir?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes, it should be. I think on a rough estimate, we can take anywhere between INR 25,000 to INR 40,000 of investment are coming in the mining business. I will tell you one more thing. If Kurmitar happens with Adani in a couple of this -- whatever is there, they have already told 3 more mines are coming. Then the day before yesterday, we had a conference call with JSW. JSW has got a mine in Barbil, Orissa. All of them, they are slowly looking at O&M, why we should bring in-house? Better offload it to the people who have got the expertise and who can give us the low-cost solution?
Chirag Muchhala
analystYes. So sir, you were saying that in Coal India's tenders, the competition was intense and pricing was not very attractive. But you are not witnessing this kind of competition and pricing in iron ore or energy-related O&M operations?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveIron ore handling is much more complex than a simple coal handling because there are so many technical issues are involved, and not many players are geared up. Only a couple of players are geared up. For example, Thyssenkrupp is there. They are a fully qualified party. Then there is FLSmidth is there. But FLSmidth has got a philosophy, they only want to supply the equipment. They don't want to give a total project solution. And now for the other players, like [indiscernible], they are not doing so well. And L&T, yes, they have got their own priorities. They want a metal handling division. They have entered in a big way in the Coal India tenders and they have put it at a very low price. That's is why we backed out of those Coal India tenders. We quoted for only 1 job, our prices were higher. We joined hands with Promac India of Bangalore, but we were not successful. But afterwards, we have taken a step back. Therefore, we are looking at private players like Adani, JSW, and we would like to expand on that.
Chirag Muchhala
analystOkay, sir. And within power sector, the areas where high CapEx is taking place, like, for example, renewable power generation or FGDs, so do these areas offer O&M opportunity for us maybe 1 or 2 years down the line? Or there is absolutely no scope for O&M in there -- those projects?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes. You are correct. The FGD is a huge opportunity because 164,000 megawatts is a mandated FGD conversion to take place by 2024/'25. And all of them also will come for O&M. In fact, some of the projects where FGDs have been commissioned also are there, the O&M opportunity is coming up. Therefore, we will continue to pursue those opportunities and FGD is going to be a huge opportunity. As far as renewal is concerned, I think we have tried in a small way in Rajasthan with Reliance Power. But the volume of the work is not that manyfold, like what we get in the thermal or in material handling or other nonpower sector business. There, not like we have to employ 100, 200, 500 people, 1,000 people. Therefore, that is where renewable, we are not concentrating as on today, we are more focusing on these other opportunities.
Operator
operatorThe next question is from the line of Anand Loya, an investor.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSir, I'm going through the revenues. March 2020's revenues were around INR 2,100 crores. And the current year revenues, it fell due to COVID. So can I get any guidance for the FY '23, FY '24 revenues and PAT?
Jami Satish
executiveSir, now -- as we discussed now, if you take the conversion to booking backlog, so 38% to 40%, that the range definitely we are confident of converting the opening order book to our execution. So that is going to be our top line. Because December quarter, we did close to INR 200 crores plus of revenue at book level. Now quarter 4, we are expecting it is going to be INR 200 crores plus per month. So it will definitely cross INR 600 crores for Q4. And for the entire year, for next year, it's going to be definitely slightly more than this number. And in terms of margin, it is definitely going to be our normal reported margins, which is to be 12.5% to 13%. And depreciation, not much CapEx is happening. So more or less, it will continue to be the same in the range of INR 9 crores. And finance cost, we are trying to bring it slightly because we're working towards reduction because Q3, we were successful to maintain the debt at a lower level, and the finance cost kept intact. Now next year, there will be a discount. So definitely, the margin front also will improve in terms of PAT also.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeSo sir, what is the guidance for FY '23 and '24, sir, revenue and PAT?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Now we are targeting again in the range of INR 4,500 crores to INR 5,000 crores for order bookings. So with that, our order backlog for '23 -- '22 will -- definitely will cross INR 8,500 crores plus. So with that, if you take even 38%, 40% conversion, there will be huge -- there will be a reasonable growth for '23 also. And the margin front slightly should increase. Because of absorption of the fixed cost, the margin profile would improve.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I now hand the conference over to Mr. Chirag Muchhala for closing comments.
Chirag Muchhala
analystYes. We thank the management for taking time out and sharing their valuable insights on this call, and we also thank all the participants for their presence. Sir, do you have any closing remarks?
Jami Satish
executiveYes. Ramaiah?
Sudha Kodandaramaiah
executiveYes, Chirag. I think we should take it on a positive note with the turnaround happening from December onwards. And for us, the fourth quarter will be back to normal, and next year will be a growth story. And obviously, we have to focus on 2 things: one is that how to consolidate our margins and improve the operations of the various segments of the business, that is a challenge for us. And some of the new jobs, what we have taken, like drinking water system, maybe we will take on metal handling and some of the newer nonpower sector jobs, roads and then other infrastructure projects, we have to give more focus. And the idea is to take the people, good people in the -- into the -- these segments and make the operations much better. And another area perhaps we are focusing is that wherever turnkey jobs are coming, EPC jobs are there, we want to focus on both on the procurement management side and logistics. That is an improvement, which we have to make it. And as far as the nominal manpower requirements are there, we are able to reasonably fulfill it for our traditional jobs. And new jobs also we're taking care of, and that is being reflected in what we're able to do in all these big-ticket items, big ticket jobs and all. And ultimately, perhaps this trend should continue in the next 2, 3 years. That is our mission, that is our effort. Thanks.
Jami Satish
executiveYes. And one more thing, just international, we couldn't do much because of COVID and all, okay? So FY 2022, some focus will be there on international at least to see that 15% to 18% of our top line is coming from the international market, both on the O&M as well as the mechanical growth. Yes. Thank you, sir. Thank you very much for the call. Thanks, Chirag.
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