Power Mech Projects Limited (POWERMECH) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

August 10, 2021

National Stock Exchange of India IN Industrials Construction and Engineering earnings 59 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#1

Thank you, Ritija. Nirmal Bang Equities welcome you all to the 1Q FY '22 Results Conference Call of Power Mech Projects Limited. Management is represented by Mr. S.K. Ramaiah, Director of Business Development; and Mr. J. Satish, Chief Financial Officer. I now hand over the call to the management for their opening remarks, post which we can take questions from the participants. Over to you, sir.

Jami Satish

executive
#2

Yes. Thanks, Mayank. Good evening, all friends, and thank you all for joining the earnings conference call for the quarter end at 30 June Financial Year '21-'22. And along with me, I have Mr. S.K. Ramaiah, Director of Business Development; and also Jigar from SGA, our Investor Relations Advisors. We hope you and your family members are safe, healthy and continue to take all the precautionary measures necessary to keep COVID-19 at bay. The quarter began with a lot of promise and offered that hope of continuing the momentum gathered in the last quarter of FY '21. You would have all noticed the execution level during quarter 4 of last year was all-time high in the journey of Power Mech. The execution level in a year is cyclical for our industry, quarter 3 and quarter 4 normally add more turnover as compared to quarter 1 and quarter 2 in a year. For the year, quarter 1, again, we demonstrated all-time high execution level for the first quarter in the journey of Power Mech history. This gives us a lot of confidence in our operations for the rest of the year. During second wave of COVID, there were no shutdown in sites or major disruptions like the first wave last year. It still made the company adopt a cautious approach to operations. We continued to follow all necessary guidelines to safeguard our employees at all our sites as well as ensuring that construction and maintenance of operations are running smoothly. With the thrust on infrastructure development throughout the country, the number of opportunities, especially for established and recognized player like Power Mech are significant. Given the multi-domain efforts adopted by the company over the past few years, each of these segments offer tremendous growth opportunities in alignment with our long-term objectives and targets. More importantly, the company is no longer restricted by geographical limitations and with a proven track record, has made a pan-India presence, and the coming few years will see deepen its existing and widen its potential international presence, too. To update with you this quarter's development before we open up the floor for your question-and-answer session. The reported total income for quarter 1 FY '22 is INR 628 crores and EBITDA is INR 71 crores, and the reported PAT is INR 31 crores. Whereas quarter 1 of last financial year, the total income was INR 226 crores. The reported EBITDA was negative by INR 12 crores and PAT was negative by INR 33 crores. And the revenue mix for quarter 1 FY '21-'22 is as follows: Mechanical business has contributed INR 137 crores, Civil around INR 285 crores, Operation & Maintenance close to INR 173 crores, and the Electrical business added INR 28 crores and Other income close to INR 6 crores. In the same quarter during the previous year, the Mechanical business contributed INR 60 crores; Civil, it was around INR 74 crores; O&M INR 120 crores; and Electrical business, it was INR 20 crores. The execution cycle is on a continuous uptrend over the last 2 quarters of the previous year. This quarter, the momentum briefly maintained at a healthy level. While it cannot be compared to the same quarter last year, sequentially, over the quarter, the execution was 100% during quarter 1 of FY '21-'22. Now you would have all seen Power Mech has developed a bandwidth in terms of infrastructure and capability to execute large projects in the range of INR 600 crores to INR 800 crores per quarter and the credentials to take on projects without partnering with larger players in most of their views. This would not just cement the company's position as a credible player, but also add to the margins going forward. Coming to the finance cost, there has been on the downward trend because a lot of measures taken by the management in terms of maintaining debt level and would have not seen the present net debt level stands at INR 330 crores as of now. Similarly, receivable cycle has continued to be around 65 days to 75 days, excluding BHEL and AMTZ project. And the change in receivable cycle is due to change in the business mix and the customer base. Further, the monthly collection cycle has continued to be healthy in the range of INR 200 crores to INR 230 crores per month. This we have noticed last 4, 5 months, and this trend is improving month-on-month. We ended the previous year on a high order inflow and the order book position and the momentum will continue during the year, too. We have been able to close some very good quality orders and are working on other long-term orders across all our business verticals. Overall, the company added close to INR 9,637 crores of orders during this quarter. Considering these orders, the order backlog today stands at INR 16,348 crores including MDO project and the present order backlog stands at INR 7,054 crores if we exclude the MDO project. This gives a healthy order book for the execution cycle that was one of the reasons quarter 4 of last year and quarter 1 of this year has been healthy. And the momentum cycle will continue to be healthy, the way we used to guide in quarter 4. And we're confident that the target we have set for the management will continue to stand. Now I request Mr. Kodandaramaiah sir to add a few more developments in the business building. Thank you.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#3

Yes. Thanks, everybody. Welcome to the quarter 1 call of 2021-'22. Yes, continuing with the update of, Satish, yes, certain developments, I would like to state that. I think last year had been exceptionally good year in terms of adding to the backlogs at the end of the year, INR 7,333 crores. And we had seen a major addition of maybe INR 4,638 crores. Now how to continue the journey in the present form and also that will help us to augment our conversion capabilities also, that is being demonstrated in the first quarter in spite of the COVID second wave conditions. One positive thing is that, as Satish said, there were no shutdowns in our sites, and we are continuing to ramp up the capacity for the manpower. However, the pre-COVID of 8,000 working strength has now almost doubled up now. That should give us the confidence that the conversion will be on track in the current year with a backlog of orders what we have won. The key development in the current quarter has been the Singareni Collieries bagging of the O&M contract 5 years. This is a very important contract for Power Mech in terms of technology, in terms of application and customer requirements. It is a comprehensive O&M, where we did both the control room operation and the offsite operation, outside the control room operation. That has given us a quantum jump into the world of capability in future also to scale up the operations to take control of the control room operations also. That is a major add-on. Of course, taking that into account and also the conversions that happened in the first quarter, the present backlog stands around INR 7,054 crores. And the mechanical jobs is INR 2,232 crores; civil, it is INR 3,300 crores; O&M INR 1,339 crores; and the Electrical INR 184 crores. That is what the breakup of the backlog. Now in terms of the Domestic and International business, the major portion is in domestic. So from the orders what we accumulated in the last year, almost 87%, 88% is in the domestic side backlog, INR 6,189 crores, and the international is INR [indiscernible] crores, 12.3%. Now in the case of Power to Non-Power, the Power sector business is around INR 4,822 crores backlog. And the Non-Power sector is INR 1,232 crores. Therefore, that is how it is as on today. Then, of course, at the current time, we are looking at a lot of new opportunities based on the new investment that's coming in various segments, in the Energy sector and in the Infrastructure sector and then the Metals and Minerals sectors. All these things around INR 10,000 crores of opportunities we are presently tracking and submitted the offers in different segments, in Metals, Minerals, Roads, O&M and various other projects, including the Railways. Therefore, at least the progress and the achievement should be on par with the last year with some of the key opportunities what we are tracking now is the NMDC, 2 major opportunities are there. One is for the mineral processing. This the first time we are attempting EPC technology tender. It is joint venture, partner with FLSmidth, Chennai. And then another tender for the crushing and mineral handling process for NMDC at Kirandul and that is also we are partnering with another world leader, Thyssenkrupp also. These are the 2 major tenders. Apart from that, we are also working on one more mineral processing plant for Hindustan Zinc Limited. This is in partnering with FLSmidth. And presently, in Khurja, we have taken a lead by giving support to Thyssenkrupp for the NTPC 2x660 megawatt. They are technically placed on L1 and they're expecting an order shortly, Thyssenkrupp, since we have given a support for the coal handling plant, that is around INR 350 crores to INR 360 crores. We hope to get that order in the second quarter. Now these are the major opportunities. Then, in terms of current year, we continue to keep -- we are bullish on keeping our target of INR 4,500 crores and in the various segments, in Installation, Civil O&M and Electrical, we hope we will meet those targets with the opportunities available. That is what I would like to say. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#4

[Operator Instructions] The first question is from the line of Pratiksha Daftari from Aequitas Investment.

Pratiksha Daftari

analyst
#5

My first question was that this time, the order inflow was particularly low. I think apart from the mining order, we just had inflow O&M section. So if you could highlight if there are any issues with tender finalization or any other...

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#6

Yes, not exactly, madam. See that 1 tender, which we are lowest along with Thyssenkrupp, they are the lowest. But once we get their order -- their order is expected perhaps in June, there was some delay in that. Now maybe in the first week of September, it'll come. That's what we hope to use that order. And we are also following a couple of O&M orders also with JSW, and that should also happen in the second quarter. And the Railways, about 4 or 5 tenders we have given it, valued about INR 1,000 crores. At least 50% of the orders would mature out based on the competition. But as I said earlier, there are plenty of opportunities. In fact, we are trying to choose the opportunities. And another 2, 3 tenders, we are working with Thyssenkrupp, Pakri Barwadih about INR 175 crores, then Talabira about INR 80 crores. We are working with them. I told you about Hindustan Zinc Limited also. We are working with FLSmidth. Then railway electrification jobs around INR 2,000 crores, we are looking at it. And all these things, and then there are 2 -- 1 road project is there. Therefore, with all these things, the -- it is normally first quarter, sometimes the backlog will not happen because of variety of decision-making process and also tenders have to be called our, something like that. Therefore, we hope we'll be on track for the current year also.

Pratiksha Daftari

analyst
#7

Okay. And last time, sir, we had mentioned that the actual availability of labor was a little bit lower than the required labor. So how does this quarter look like? And how do you think going ahead? Do we see any labor availability issue?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#8

No, I told you in my opening remarks, our -- during the peak COVID time, we had a 50% shortfall in the labor, that is last -- first and second quarter of the 2021. But now it has almost come to the normal. That's why, the conversion itself speaks for that, INR 622 crores what we achieved in the first quarter compared to last year's almost less than 50% of that. That shows that the labor strength is more or less back to normal. Therefore -- with that we should be able to continue to get better results, except for the second quarter because being a rainy season. But I'm sure third and fourth quarter will ramp up to more than INR 700 crores each.

Pratiksha Daftari

analyst
#9

Okay. Got it. And then last time, you had mentioned that there were certain COVID-related extra expenses that we had incurred and then certain impacts of second wave that we were anticipating, which had impacted the margins. So do we expect that kind of expenses to be more sustaining in nature and hence, the margins shall stay impacted?

Jami Satish

executive
#10

No, see, the margin trend we are seeing it's improving, okay? The COVID-related expenses just in quarter 1 and quarter 2, because we cannot ignore the protocols of the customers on the local. So there would be some costs which we need to incur things -- till these things get settled down fully, okay? Maybe the quantum is coming down. What used to be 2, 3 quarters back. And now, okay, that in terms of expenditure, it is coming down, but still, yes, it will continue to add some cost maybe next 1, 2 quarters, we'll continue to be there.

Pratiksha Daftari

analyst
#11

Okay. And may I just -- if you could just share the receivables as on 30th June, along with retention money.

Jami Satish

executive
#12

The receivable is around close to INR 495 crores. And returns on money against -- it's in the range of INR 280 crores, INR 285 crores.

Pratiksha Daftari

analyst
#13

INR 280 crores?

Jami Satish

executive
#14

Yes, yes.

Pratiksha Daftari

analyst
#15

And net debt as on June, you said is INR 330 crores?

Jami Satish

executive
#16

Yes, madam.

Operator

operator
#17

The next question is from the line of Anupam Gupta from IIFL Capital.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#18

[indiscernible] on the revenue [indiscernible].

Operator

operator
#19

I am sorry to interrupt you, Mr. Gupta, but your voice is breaking. We cannot hear you. If you can at least check...

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#20

Is this better? Hello?

Operator

operator
#21

Yes. This is much better.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#22

So my first question is on the revenue run rate, as Mr. Ramaiah said, was that number INR 700 crores per quarter in the second half or higher than that? Because your order book obviously supports higher than that...

Jami Satish

executive
#23

See, quarter 3, quarter 4, yes, we are confident the run rate could be, okay, more or less the same, okay, what you've indicated or maybe slightly more. Quarter 2, it's a mix of monsoon and -- okay. So quarter 1, quarter 2, you will see normally low as compared to quarter 3 and quarter 4.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#24

Right. Okay. And secondly, of the INR 7,054 crore order book, what portion is under execution at this point of time? What incrementally will come up in execution over the next couple of quarters? If you can just give some picture there.

Jami Satish

executive
#25

No. See, now all the projects on ground started. Backlog what we are carrying, all the projects have started.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#26

So INR 7,054 crores entirely is under execution at this point of time?

Jami Satish

executive
#27

Under execution. So for this year, FY '21-'22, the execution what we were planning is, for the substance, it'll come from the existing order only.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#28

Okay. Okay. Understand.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#29

Actually, this year, we have started new projects [indiscernible]. At Buxar, we have started INR 176 crores. Then we have started in Kurmitar, INR 198 crores. Then the Road projects are picking up now. Water projects also is going to start in July -- started in July. Therefore, a lot of projects, which were bagged last year in the third and fourth quarter, that conversion is going to start now.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#30

Okay. I understand. Secondly, you are bidding for quite a few projects with FLSmidth or Thyssen, what is the nature of the partnership to be clear, what do they do and what do you do?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#31

I think this is a typical partnership bringing the strengths from both the organization. It is based on a consortium philosophy. With both, Thyssenkrupp or FLSmidth, we entered a consortium, that is joint and several responsibilities, that is the basis on which PSUs accept the tender because we take the single point responsibility for entire site execution, including engineering of the civil and structural portion. And Thyssenkrupp is a technology partner. They will take the technology part of the entire engineering and equipment supply and the overall plant engineering input. And then they also supervise and take care of the commissioning and guarantees for the entire plant once it is completed. That is how it is. Similarly, the relationship with FLSmidth also, which we have entered for the 1 tender we have quoted for the Bacheli. On the same lines, we have arranged every single point responsibility, Power Mech in the case of site execution, including engineering of civil and structural. And then engineering responsibility of the -- plant engineering responsibility with FLSmidth and the technology part, all the equipment supplies in their scope. But here, some equipment in -- unique thing in the case of Bacheli is that we are also doing some equipment portion on the balance of plant, not on the process side, non-process side for the utility parts, electrical control instrumentation and tool systems, all those things we are trying to source directly, and we are tied up with the reputed vendors for that.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#32

Okay. So in this case, the entire revenue will flow through your P&L and you'll share some margins with Thyssenkrupp and FLSmidth.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#33

No, I think, for FLSmidth, it is 70-30, something like that. 70% of the -- whatever it comes, if it happens, it will be for PMPL, balance would go to the FLSmidth. Whereas in the case of Thyssenkrupp, the ratio is slightly different. It may be around 60-40.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#34

Okay. So you'll have 60% of revenue, effectively?

Jami Satish

executive
#35

Right. The consortium, so we will take our contract value only. So to the extent of our contract value only, the turnover will flow.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#36

So your order book will also reflect accordingly, right? Order book will be 60% of the order book effectively?

Jami Satish

executive
#37

You're right. It's to the extent of our value only it will reflect.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#38

In fact, this percentages, value of the contracts with the respective partners is mentioned is the bid itself.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#39

Right. Okay. And the margins in these projects would be similar to what you generally do, 11%, 12%, or slightly lower because you are...

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#40

That we cannot say. I'll tell you what has happened. Now we have given the first bid and technical discussions have started, then negotiations will take place. Negotiations means PSUs, there's no initial negations. It is mostly on the terms and conditions they negotiate. But the Bacheli, we have completed the set of negotiations. And then in the case of Nagarnar, the other tender we are participating with Thyssenkrupp, we have to start it. We would like to keep slightly better margins looking at our present order backlog. But ultimately, there are big ticket tenders, we would like to see what is the best we can get it and based on the limited competition also, and in both the cases, only 2-2 parties are there.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#41

Okay. Understand. Just 1 last question. On the MDO order which you have won, what is the sort of CapEx -- or sorry, equity investment, which you'll do in the STG? And what is the CapEx that STG will do in the first 2 years? And what sort of ramp up in production and revenue do you see there?

Jami Satish

executive
#42

Yes. This project will be executed -- as I said, it will be executed at STG level. So the CapEx and the additions will happen on the STG level. So it -- the first development will be over a period of 2 to 2.5 years. So over a period of time, we need to infuse around INR 80 crores to INR 85 crores of equity out portion. Of that 74% is ours and 26% is the JV.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#43

So INR 80 crores to INR 85 crores is the total equity, of which 74% will be your share?

Jami Satish

executive
#44

Yes, yes. That has to come from Power Mech and the rest will come from JV.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#45

And what is the total CapEx which they need to do, the STG needs to do?

Jami Satish

executive
#46

It's the -- development period, it's around INR 280 crores of infrastructure and infrastructure cost we need to spend that includes CHP and all other like township-related expense, like drainage, electrical system, storage and everything. So if we put together, it will be close to INR 280 crores.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#47

And the...

Jami Satish

executive
#48

Yes, sorry.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#49

And you have the site in terms of clearances, land acquisition, all that has already been done or it's still -- it's in the process, I need to understand.

Jami Satish

executive
#50

Yes. The land -- it's actually -- we are working as a contractor. It's the responsibility of the owner. So out of 1,100 hectare, already -- 840 hectares is already acquired, being -- because it's being a notified forest land. So that task is completed. So land acquisition is well in control. Now the approval part, it would take some time, where now, along with the developer and the owner together, we are working to see that next 6 to 8 months, the approvals are in place so that we can start the ground activity.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#51

Okay. And just 1 last question on this. In terms of -- I assume this will be take or pay in terms of volume, right? So how is the volume ramp-up and whether take or pay is confirmed? Or is there an end use part of it, which is known for your mine?

Jami Satish

executive
#52

Yes, because the minimum quantity is 5 million tonnes per annum, that's been -- that's the arrangement, which the SCCL has to take. So the end use, they've already -- they have got back to pick end users because it's -- for coking coal, there's a lot of demand now, but the response of end use, it's the customer. Our approach is to ensure that we deliver 5 million tonnes per annum.

Anupam Gupta

analyst
#53

Okay. You said it is coking coal, to be certain?

Jami Satish

executive
#54

Yes. Coking coal. Yes, yes. True.

Operator

operator
#55

[Operator Instructions] Next question is from the line of Dixit Doshi from Whitestone Financial Advisors.

Dixit Doshi

analyst
#56

A couple of questions from my side. Firstly, in this JV, you mentioned INR 280 crores CapEx to be done over a couple of years. So the -- whatever the revenue booking will come only after from the third year, right?

Jami Satish

executive
#57

You're right, sir.

Dixit Doshi

analyst
#58

Okay. Now you earlier also mentioned even in last call that we are targeting around INR 4,000 crores, INR 4,500 crores of fresh orders in FY '22. So I suppose this is excluding this Coal India project.

Jami Satish

executive
#59

Yes, sir, it was -- it is not part of that, as you said, is rightly correct. So quarter 1, we had a target of INR 550 crores. We could able to book [indiscernible], though we have sourced the orders, but still in L1 stage, which Mr. Ramaiah was mentioning. So probably, first week, we may add to more -- first week of next month, we may add 2 more orders. So the target is, excluding the MDO, INR 4,000 crores to INR 4,500 crores, and we are on the target.

Operator

operator
#60

The next question is from the line of Faisal Hawa from H.G. Hawa and Company.

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#61

INR 10,800 crores kind of an order book and another INR 5,000 crores coming. Then can you not do a much better revenue in '21-'22 ended rather than the target which you just mentioned in your opening remarks? And secondly, sir, how do you -- do you see that more orders could come in from Coal India for different geographies now that they are moving on to clear-cut privatization of operation?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#62

Yes. You see the orders what is going to flow also in this year, it'll take a couple of months to start. We are already in the second quarter end. And the third quarter, it'll take a little less as some of these major orders are not there. In the fourth quarter, we'll take away a lot of engineering work, initially prepared to mobilization work. That is how -- we are not accounting but if it starts, it will add on to that. It'll be under INR 200 crores maximum. But we are not taking that into account, whatever our present plans what we have made around plus INR [indiscernible] crores of the current year's turnover is based on the backlog what we have built up after the last year.

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#63

So we could be -- more such orders from different other zones, too.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#64

Yes. Regarding Coal India job, Coal India job that is -- particularly that Kotre Basantpur, that will happen only from the third year onwards. That is maybe [ 2014 end or '15 ].

Operator

operator
#65

Does that answers your question, Mr. Faisal?

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#66

We can get it some more -- we can get more such orders from different other zones of Coal India.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#67

No, that is a matter of taking a call in that investment and then the type of opportunity available and then the project feasibility and then how much we would like to take it also. And then here, it was a specific coking coal related, and there is a lot of demand in that, and there is a sure commitment for offtakes for the entire period of the operation. Those things we have to see. Conventional coal and all that is a different aspect of it. We have to take a call on that case to case.

Jami Satish

executive
#68

So to start with, we have to privilege this project. So we'll see how things will move going forward, but now to start it, we'll focus on this project.

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#69

It also being a very big opportunity over the next 2 to 3 years. And is the Railways now moving like how the Road Ministry has moved with bigger orders and faster movement on tendering, et cetera?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#70

On the Road sector?

Jami Satish

executive
#71

Railways, sir.

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#72

Is it also now as swift as a Road sector?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#73

Yes, Road sector, we are participating. We are already executing 2 jobs, one is in Northeast; another is in Karnataka, nearly INR 1,000 crores. And already about 78% of the work has been completed in the projects. Therefore, we're established there. Now we would like to look at some opportunities then [indiscernible] offers a lot of opportunities. We have to select those issued projects and see -- take a call on that.

Operator

operator
#74

The next question is from the line of Abhishek Poddar from HDFC Mutual Fund.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#75

Sir, congratulations on good quarter. Regarding this NMDC opportunity, what could be the size of these 2 opportunities, sir?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#76

It can be INR 500 crores to INR 1,000 crores.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#77

Per opportunity? So combined would be...

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#78

Yes.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#79

Okay. And this would be, again like an MDO where it will run for a longer period? Or...

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#80

No, they are all EPC contracts.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#81

Okay. Okay. Sorry.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#82

Not MDO or DoT, no.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#83

Okay. Understood. And sir, what was the OCF for this quarter, operating cash flows?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#84

Pardon?

Jami Satish

executive
#85

Sorry, sir, can you repeat?

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#86

The operating cash flow for this quarter and what was the movement in working capital?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#87

Yes. Operating cash flow is positive, so it's around INR 28 crores was due first quarter. Okay and so...

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#88

Right. And can you also give movement in working capital?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#89

Yes. The receivable now if you see like it was there INR 535 crores to INR 540 crores last quarter. Now that has come down to close to INR 500 crores. And the inventory level, it was there close to INR 120 crores. So it's coming around INR 105 crores to INR 110 crores. And the returns on money is, in spite of growth in the business, that still continued to be around INR 280 crores, INR 285 crores. The reason being there is some good amount of collection from the finance business. So that is helping us to support the new projects.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#90

Right. And sir, in terms of sales outstanding in terms of retention money and receivable, could you give that number also how the movement is there?

Jami Satish

executive
#91

Yes. BHL is now on average INR 7 crores to INR 8 crores we are collecting towards the finance bill. Now the Unchahar project, BHEL and NTPC bill, we collected the -- last 40 days, we collected close to INR 20 crores with a good amount of realization. Now you'll see that, of course, and this Maitree and all, it's Maitree and the regular project. In terms of collection, it's now very good. BHEL, Maitree is around 60, 65 days and in India it's coming closer to 80 days, okay. But in terms of finance bill, INR 78 crores collections every month is a very good momentum that's helping a lot in terms of operating cash flow. So we're expecting this INR 25 crores to INR 30 crores of operating cash flow should continue and help us.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#92

Right. And just last bit on the retention money, how should we see the movement here?

Jami Satish

executive
#93

So retention money -- see, it was there INR 340 crores, INR 340 crores. Now it is every month, you see that the trend is coming down. Now INR 280 crores, INR 285 crores instead of -- we're executing INR 250 crores last quarter and this quarter INR 600 crores. It's still -- a lot is coming down. That's an indication of the money is coming down. So you'll see that this number towards the end of this year, maybe close to INR 270 or INR 265, okay? So to see that the variation happening and with the new addition. At the end, the net cash inflow is more to the system. So that will help to move the new projects.

Abhishek Poddar

analyst
#94

Right. Understood. And given the execution will be stronger this year compared to last year's top line of INR 1,900 crores, you are talking about INR 2,800 crores, INR 3,000 crores this year. Still, the operating cash flow will be INR 28 crores positive per quarter. So that number?

Jami Satish

executive
#95

See, maybe quarter 2 slightly, maybe lesser than that because the quarter 1, quarter 2, quarter 3, quarter 4, okay. Momentum you see quarter 1, quarter 2 will be there. Overall, in that trend, we'll be able to execute maybe quarter 3, quarter 4 maybe slightly more, okay? The idea is to focus on the final bill. So I think we should be able to do that.

Operator

operator
#96

The next question is from the line of Abhishek Maheshwari from Skye Wealth Management.

Abhishek Maheshwari

analyst
#97

Sir, maybe one question regarding your pack margins. So sir, considering that [ we're almost back ] to normal and we are already operating at the potential. So we think maybe 5.5%, 6% is profitable for the entire group?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#98

So there is a lot of potentials to -- okay, go towards that number. Now things are improving. So if it's the quarter 4 of last year and quarter 1 of this year, okay, a lot of improvement in terms of our education cycle and all. Now hopeful that the EBITDA margins should really go up to our normal margins. With that, the finance cost, we are trying to bring it down every quarter to some extent so that comes to a very respectable level. So with that, the pack should definitely go up and the depreciation, as you can see, like not much additions are happening. Though it used to be INR 11 crores to INR 11.5 crores per quarter, now that has come down to INR 9 crores, which itself indication of CapEx not much happening. So there is possibility that gradually, it should improve, sir.

Operator

operator
#99

The next question is from the line of [ Ashoke Soza ] from [ Robo Capital ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#100

So my question is what EBITDA margins can we expect ahead? And also if you could guide on order inflow for this year?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#101

In terms of margins, so there is a potential set to improve gradually because we are working with a very challenging environment because things have not completely settled down because COVID, one. We thought now COVID, too, has come down. But the differences working with COVID now we are used to but fortunately sites are not under lockdown and all the sites are working. So at least we should come back to our normal margins gradually. And in terms of order target, as we were mentioning, we are confident that INR 4,000 crores to INR 4,500 crores of orders we'll add this year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#102

INR 4,500 crores is the order inflow for this year, correct?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#103

Yes. Yes.

Operator

operator
#104

The next question is from the line of Mayank Bhandari from Nirmal Bang Equities.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#105

Sir, I wanted to know what is the -- how is the unbilled revenue portion in our balance sheet moving? I think that is about INR 400 crores or some INR 450 crores.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#106

Yes. It is -- now it's coming down because the BHEL final bill turned down, okay, especially the revenue mix is changing. So in terms of mechanical O&M, the certification happens quickly, but whether in terms of civil and wherever the material component is involved, that certification is slightly takes longer term as compared to the erection [indiscernible] them. So apart from that, the BHEL pie of the final bids, where the final bids are involved, the certification takes slightly longer time. Now that pie is coming down. So gradually, you'll see that the amount will come down.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#107

So sir, how -- like how much it can come down in the next 2 years?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#108

As of now, it's around the INR 385 crores to INR 395 crores, okay. So maybe this should come down to INR 350 to INR 360 crores, okay. That is the target now that should come down slowly.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#109

Okay. The volume?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#110

Because as a percentage, if you see, because it depends how much of execution we are doing in a quarter and especially in the last month, that defense for that quarter. So once the final bills and all gets cleared, so probably what will happen is you'll see that the 1 month or 1.5 month bill that will be -- bills there, we'll see the pending certification. So as a percentage, it will come down now.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#111

And sir, when you say normalized margin, how exactly -- how much exactly it's like? Is it 12% to 13%, something?

Jami Satish

executive
#112

Yes. That is what we're working towards, sir. Because now there is a change review in May, okay? There is some supply component also involved. So which change of business mix and the addition of some of the nonrecurring expenses, we have to see that both are balanced. So the idea, it has to get into the normal margins and then probably to take it up, [ because there's a ] higher margin of 14% to 14.5%.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#113

Sorry, sir. This was 13%?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#114

See the normal range is around 12.5% to 13.5%. And you'll see that in medium term, it may also go up to 14% to 14.5%.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#115

Okay. And sir, sequentially, this quarter's staff cost has increased to INR 95 crores, whereas the revenue was [ INR 50]. This staff cost is going to be constant going forward?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#116

Yes. See, there are some -- there are -- because of 2 reasons. One is like we added this for [ singularly ] COVID, okay. So there we have taken some increase of start because of the increase of the O&M order book, number one. Number 2 is there has been a subscription offer to [indiscernible]. We have taken some of them to us. We were there in the top order growth we have taken in our day. So this number may not be proportionate to our revenue growth, okay, because being a fixed in nature, but there will be a slight increase because the business itself is increasing.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#117

Sir, lastly, when I look at your gross margin, this quarter, gross margin has been pretty much at 27% and this is probably at a level of what it was in FY '20. So what has seen in the last 1 year, gross margin has improved in this particular quarter. Why has it improved in this particular quarter?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#118

No. See, that's 2 reasons: one is like the education movement is impressive, so number one. So that your fixed cost is more focused more to your execution because that, to some extent, is constant, okay, number one. Number two, the business mix is like the one, the contribution and other vertical, it keeps changing. So with that, the change in gross margin will continue to be there.

Operator

operator
#119

The next question is from the line of Satyan Wadhwa from Profusion Capital.

Satyan Wadhwa

analyst
#120

I just wanted to check, once the NDA revenue starts, what sort of margin are you expecting from that?

Jami Satish

executive
#121

Yes. So this MDO, because it also needs some developmental cost and all. So it's still early to comment, but internal estimate, it is going to be in the range of 18%to 21% at EBITDA level. That is what we have set up the target for output, probably help to improve and all just to see once the ground activity starts and we start [ upper sizing ] the project. As of now, that is not the target 18%, 21% we have kept.

Satyan Wadhwa

analyst
#122

So this revenue will likely start in financial year '25?

Jami Satish

executive
#123

Yes, sir. I believe it will start, 1.5 years. It's ramping up period in terms of development. It will start from that.

Operator

operator
#124

The next question is from the line of [ Ramesh Raghu ] from [ Equita Charitable Foundation ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#125

Just a simple question on what was mentioned in the last call. There was an opportunity of getting a project from the Jal Jeevan Mission. Could you give us a little bit more color in terms of what kind of margins does one compete for in the Jal Jeevan Mission project? And where are we standing on that particular project? I believe it was about INR 450 crores worth of project?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#126

Which one you said?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#127

Jal Jeevan Mission. So in Q1...

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#128

Jal Jeevan Mission. Yes, yes. Jal Jeevan. Yes, that we have started that work already. Started -- revenues will start flowing from the second quarter itself. And then on both the projects are over 2 years duration. And yes, we've got a [ near ] margins about 12% there, EBITDA margin.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#129

And what kind of competitive scenario are we experiencing there? Because I believe the opportunity would be a very large one going forward.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#130

Yes, in the drinking water [ steam manufacturer ], there is about of competition. There is an opportunity also. That is what it is. I think on the call, if I explained [ bulk result ], there are many players in all these things. Therefore, at least the integral players are there. All the infrastructure players will have their own there. And it is a normal job to be done, to provide drinking water to household, [indiscernible] and some other things. It is a question of structuring a contract and then finding the partner, and the local conditions managing it. Therefore, yes, many manufacturing players would be there in infrastructure, and when we're there, they're there.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#131

Right. But do we still -- are we still comforted when we would ask scheme of things in terms of the margin?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#132

It depends on the circles and the areas and which are the parts of the states where -- under the districts where it is located. These projects will come up and what is the feasibility of doing it. And accordingly, people will select it on the comfort level of the -- of doing these projects. That's how we had an opportunity in the UP that's how these 2 projects will function for the remaining [ INR 800 crores ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#133

Great. One more question. Would you be able to tell us what kind of projects do you end up rejecting? Just to understand the line of thinking in terms of how are we allocating our resources for?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#134

Resources, basically -- one is a material resource if it is an EPC or a material-based contract. Or if it is a service contract, it is mostly -- [ HR ] sense what we have to build up and I am -- the only time we get is mostly engineering expertise near the scope of operation experiences. And in the case of installation jobs, the resources are mainly in the TRWs. It's like workers, the contractors we engaged based on the project size and requirement. And of course, all these works will be supervised and were seen by the Power Mech staff. That is the basic strength we have built up. In fact, today, direct headcount is around 15,000, indirect headcount is around 15,000, roughly 30,000. Therefore, this 15,000 of headcount then takes care of the operation and maintenance that is a substantial portion of the manpower-related jobs. They are operating over 44 plants. Balanced by 1,000 engineer staff and the supervisors and the experts and other things, other stuff will be mainly for taking care of the execution of any of these projects, both in the mechanical side, civil work and electrical side.

Operator

operator
#135

The next question is from the line of [ Rajneev Mohan ] from [ Martha Capital ].

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#136

I have 2 questions, sir. One is regarding what is the net debt level that you're looking by the end of the year?

Jami Satish

executive
#137

Sir, so see, this year, it may -- INR 330 crores is the debt now, okay, maybe another INR 230 crores, it should come down. That is what we are planning. INR 35 crores or INR 40 crores, that's the range.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#138

Okay. So -- and how much of this INR 280 crores that you said you will be spending for this new project? Or how much will be this year?

Jami Satish

executive
#139

So this year, the idea is to keep the approach simplistic as the biggest milestone is the land acquisition that's in place out of the 100 hectares, it's almost 840. Now the next milestone is the approval, so 6 to 8 months. So until that time, we'll be spending more towards facilitating the all the books and the ground [ clearance pipeline ] and all. So at a higher level, it may not be more than INR 5 crores to INR 6 crores during this year.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#140

Okay. And sir, second question is regarding like you have already have INR 7,000 crores of order and you're expecting around INR 4,000 crores, INR 4,500 crores orders. So next year, can you give some kind of guidance, let's say, this year, you're saying around INR 2,800 crores, INR 3,000 crores. So what is the next year's target that you have set revenue-wise?

Jami Satish

executive
#141

So the idea is -- yes, yes. So to have a conversion of minimum 37% to 38% plus to our backlog, that's the plan what we have kept. So if you see the trend past few years, the execution to the backlog is almost like 40% to 42%, okay. So 37%, 38%, the conversion is quite comfortable.

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#142

I think we should exit INR 3,000 crores to '22, '23.

Operator

operator
#143

[Operator Instructions] The next question is from the line of Deepak Poddar from Sapphire Capital.

Deepak Poddar

analyst
#144

Now so you just mentioned about 37% to 38% conversion of order backlog. So I presume with INR 4,000 crores to INR 4,500 crores of order inflow and maybe INR 2,800 crores kind of execution, we will end the year with INR 9,200 crores kind of maybe order backlog. So INR 3,500 crores to INR 3,600 crores is what would be a fair level of execution level that we might target next year?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#145

Yes, it depends. Yes, the idea is 37% plus. Now the additions to see normally what happens by the time we get an order, okay. and it gets fully operationalized. At the ground level, it takes 2, 2.5 months. So with the order book, what targets they have kept. So definitely, it should be 3,000-plus what Mr. Jami was -- is trying to say. So the inflow to the execution, maybe it depends to quarter 3. Quarter 3, how much we're adding in quarter 4 and how much we're adding, okay? So the lag of 2 or 2.5 months, considering that we should be comfortable we should be able to target best percentage.

Deepak Poddar

analyst
#146

Yes. So INR 3,000 crores seems to be a conservative number for FY '23, right?

Jami Satish

executive
#147

That's right [indiscernible].

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#148

See, in terms of [indiscernible] at Power Mech, any order we take, okay. In terms of execution after the contractual targets we are on, okay. That's with Power Mech. So execution, I think, shouldn't be a problem right now. Okay, what quality are we adding? So that shouldn't be -- it's very difficult to sustain its number, but as a percentage, yes, we'll try to work on that.

Deepak Poddar

analyst
#149

Okay. Okay. Understood. And when you mentioned like we'll target 14% to 14.5% medium term, so we are talking about what 2 to 3 years or shorter period?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#150

Yes, sir. You're right.

Deepak Poddar

analyst
#151

And 12% to 13% maybe in 1 to 2 years, the back to normal margin that you mentioned?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#152

That's -- That's true.

Operator

operator
#153

Ladies and gentlemen, this will be the last question for today. This is from the line of Faisal Hawa from H.G. Hawa & Co.

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#154

Well, a lot of these thermal plants may not be operational in years to come. And there may not be even more opportunity in setting up more thermal plants. So are we moving into any kind of EPC for solar and/or any kind of operational maintenance for solar also?

Jami Satish

executive
#155

Yes. So what we have done now is in the...

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#156

Or wind power for that matter?

Jami Satish

executive
#157

Yes, yes. What we are trying to do is that the focus has shifted to non-power. Of course, power is we're [ with ] them, we are doing it and that should be [indiscernible] administration business, domestic and international market. And then the electrical side, whatever is the opportunity comes transmission, distribution. But on the non-power side, I think the solar and wind power, we are not targeting. What we are talking is some of the metal and material metal processing plants. I think there is a lot of investment coming up with the business opening up in the coal sector and then iron ore business and then coal business. And here, the investments are anywhere between INR 25,000 crores to INR 40,000 crores in the next couple of years. And that's where I explained about the partnership we are planning with 2 leading players, MNTs, one is as ThyssenKrupp, another is FLSmidth. That is where we would like to take up EPC jobs. The first EPC job, what we have taken is that Kundesar along with ThyssenKrupp, which we have started the work. That experiment and that this one, we would like to repeat again in the future also for similar type of lots. And there are a lot of opportunities coming.

Faisal Hawa

analyst
#158

And are we also trying to build up our own capability in planning and trying to take up best practices from ThyssenKrupp, et cetera, so that our margins may expand and even we will do the entire job ourselves rather than going for a joint venture.

Jami Satish

executive
#159

I think that is a very good question, what you asked. In fact, what I -- we look at it is that the partnership with both the companies can improve our working also. Because they are profitably multinational companies, they bring a lot of best practices. Therefore, in a way, it is a good learning and good understanding of pushing the projects and they're very focused on project management, delivery system and their control system, project control systems are far superior to many of the players in the space. Therefore, there is a definite amount of benefit. And it is not only that, we are responsible to each of them. If they are responsible for the deal from their side, then they have to take this. And if we are responsible for the delay, we have to take the hit. That's why there is a lot of responsible to interested in these contracts when the consortium agreements are signed, and we cannot afford any losings there.

Operator

operator
#160

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as this was the last question for today. I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Mayank Bhandari for closing comments.

Mayank Bhandari

analyst
#161

We thank the management for taking time out and sharing their valuable insights on this call. And we also thank all the participants for their presence. Sir, do you have any closing remarks?

Jami Satish

executive
#162

Yes, Mr. Ramaiah?

Sudha Kodandaramaiah

executive
#163

Yes. I think what we should do is sustain the momentum and focus to shift to conversion, better conversion, improve the margins to the extent possible, barring the COVID issues and then keep focus on our customer relationship and the new relationship that we have with our partners that we have to sustain it in many cases. This is going to be a new business model, which we have to take it forward for better growth, and I think that is what we did. We would like to have continuous growth in the next couple of years. Yes. Thank you.

Operator

operator
#164

Thank you.

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