PROS Holdings, Inc. (PRO) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

May 25, 2022

New York Stock Exchange US Information Technology Software conference_presentation 31 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#1

Good afternoon, everybody. Thank you for joining us today. My name is Maya Kilcullen. I work on the software equity research team here at JPMorgan. And today, I am joined by Stefan Schulz, CFO; and Belinda Overdeput. Could you just introduce yourself for a few minutes?

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#2

Yes, sure. I'll go first. So I'm Belinda Overdeput. I've been with PROS for 9 years actually in June. I'm the Head of IR. But previously, I spent about 6 years in the field working with our customers, directly implementing and selling our B2B solutions. We've got a lot of deep experience in that space. And I'm joined by Stefan, our CFO.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#3

Yes. Thanks, Belinda. My name is Stefan Schulz. I've been with the company for about 7 years now. Prior to that, I was CFO of an e-commerce outsourcer called Digital River. And then before that, CFO at an ERP software company called Lawson Software.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#4

Thank you. And for those who aren't as familiar with PROS, can you just give a quick overview of the company?

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#5

Sure. I'll do that. So at PROS, our vision is to optimize every shopping and selling experience. And we primarily focus on solutions built on the PROS platform that solve problems related to revenue management, price optimization, price management and configure-price-quote or CPQ. We target mainly the travel industry and then a series of B2B industries such as manufacturing, distribution, services, health care, high tech. We've been around since 1985, but we've been public since 2007. In about 2015, we went and started our SaaS transition, migrated our solutions to the cloud, completely rearchitected our platform and rebuilt them in a cloud format. And today, we are about 255 -- over $255 million in size. About 85% of our revenue is recurring. And about 40% or more than 40% of the world's passengers price are priced using PROS revenue management solutions so travel passengers. And a lot of leading B2B businesses have adopted our technology, the likes of Honeywell, McCain, ExxonMobil and et cetera. So happy to answer any questions.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#6

Great. And so you started off primarily in the travel industry, but B2B has been a big driver of growth over the last several years. Can you talk a little bit about the ARR split today in terms of the B2B segment versus travel?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#7

Yes, you're exactly right. We started out in the travel space 35 years ago. And so travel had a head start, if you will. We just got into B2B about 20 years ago. And today, they're about equal. They're about the same size. The B2B business is, over the last several years, has been a much faster growing vertical for us or set of verticals for us. Our travel industry, if you exclude the pandemic, think of our travel industry growing somewhere in the mid-teens, low to mid-teens kind of thing. And we feel like that's a sustainable type of a growth, absent unusual macroeconomic conditions like we saw with COVID.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#8

And what is -- what have been some of the main drivers of growth on the B2B side?

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#9

Good. Okay. So I'll talk about it. So I mean, primarily, if you think about what B2B businesses are facing today, especially today, if you think about things like inflation, market volatility, supply chain constraints, and then also the whole shift to digital. So B2B businesses are needing to recalculate prices and put those prices out to all of their shoppers and their buyers in different channels at a much faster pace than they ever have before because of everything that's happening. I mean, we have customers that used to do mass price changes once or twice a year that are now doing them a couple of times a month. And further complex of -- making this more complex is the shift to digital. I mean businesses over the last few years, have accelerated to selling their products and services online. And unlike the B2C space, where every shopper or buyer pays the same price, B2B is very personalized in terms of the prices that are put out for shoppers. And so getting pricing right in an omni-channel world, that's where your buyer could be shopping with you directly or shopping in your e-commerce site or shopping with a partner or reseller and making sure they have a consistent experience is a really difficult challenge to solve when you're trying to make it personalized for that individual buyer and understand their history and their long-term relationship with you. And so that's the unique problem that our platform solves. It's end-to-end pricing and CPQ in an omni-channel nature and we kind of play in a CRM and commerce platform agnostic space so we can integrate with any of the major CRMs or commerce platforms to deliver these -- the pricing and CPQ technology. And so I think those industry trends, especially now are leading to even more opportunities coming to PROS as businesses look to try to manage this volatility that they're seeing.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#10

Yes. Just to add to that, if you think about it, we haven't seen inflation like we're seeing now in 40 years. And so the way e-commerce and the way transactions are conducted today is very different than the way it was 40 years ago. So to Belinda's point, the need for speed is unlike anything we've ever experienced. And so what we're seeing is opportunities, because of this economic environment we're in, we're seeing opportunities that we have never seen before because companies have to respond much faster in order to stay competitive. It's -- they can't wait to make these price adjustments. They have to make them real time. And there's no way to do it without tools such as the tools we provide.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#11

Great. And when you are typically signing on a new customer, do -- are they generally coming from a different provider, something in-house or just didn't have an existing system in place before?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#12

Most oftentimes, it's a new -- it's someone who's getting into this for the first time. They've had some sort of homegrown usually spreadsheet-driven type of a process where they update prices. And it's the result of years and years and years of building a complicated template and complicated spreadsheets that help them do that. Obviously, that has risks associated with it. There's a lot of time that is involved in maintaining that. So that's probably the biggest opportunity is companies that are coming at this for the first time. That said, we do also see a large number of displacements. So I'd say 20% of what we book in a quarter could be a displacement of someone else who had a failed implementation or an implementation where the results just didn't stack up to what was sold initially.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#13

And in those instances, who are you typically competing with?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#14

We are typically competing with some of the typical names that we see, such as companies that have been in the space for a long time, a Vendavo or a Zilliant or a Price f(x). Price f(x) is a company that started by the same founders that had worked on Vendavo. So a lot of the same usual suspects are the ones we see. All 3 of those are much smaller companies than what PROS is. And those are the ones where we see a lot of opportunity for displacement.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#15

And so talking about the travel industry, how has travel rebounded from the troughs of the pandemic? And can you talk a little bit about your outlook exiting 2022 in terms of passenger volume and what you see for that segment?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#16

Yes. It's hard to talk about travel without talking about the geography. Clearly, in the United States, the travel has come back much faster than the other parts of the world. So if you go back to the last year, we've seen very positive signals on booking data, on the TSA data. The U.S. carriers have really been able to rebound much faster than, say, the European or the Middle Eastern or the Far Eastern carriers. And we saw an impact from that in our own business. Last year, we had a lot of domestic business with wins at United, Breeze and Hawaiian which was 2 of those -- or all 3 of them were brand-new customers that we hadn't had before. So that's the really good side of it. What's happened on the international side, especially in the Middle East and in Asia, it's been a little slower. And those carriers are very dependent upon cross-border traffic. And if you think about what's been happening even in 2021, a lot of the countries had not opened up their borders yet. And because those borders had remained closed, it really stifled a lot of the business and the opportunities those carriers had. And as a result, that business has not come back as fast. Now as we get into 2022, we have seen borders starting to open up. We've seen international carriers start to show signs of increased bookings and some of the things that we were seeing a year ago in the U.S. carriers, we're now starting to see in the Europeans and in the Middle Eastern as well as Asia Pacific. So from a leading indicator perspective, that gives us a lot of optimism about our business as we carry out through 2022 and into '23. I would say -- I would characterize the overall industry, when you put it all together as a package, it's not back to where 2019 was. And I feel like we could be seeing signs of getting close to that in '23, assuming everything kind of carries out like it is now. A new variant could change all of that. Obviously, some of the things that are happening on the more macroeconomic situation could impact that as well. But as we see things now, we see a pipeline that's improving. We see customers interacting with us, to buy some of our newer technologies, to make migrations to the latest generation of our SaaS solutions. So we're seeing those things happen as a result of what's trending now. And as long as those macroeconomic conditions stay in good shape, we see a very good travel industry for the next several years.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#17

Great. And can you help us understand how the contracts are actually priced. And so what happens if this year an airline increases its passenger volume by 15%. What happens to revenue?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#18

Yes. So it's not an immediate change. So if you think back when we went through the early stages of the pandemic and you looked at software companies that supported the travel industry that had a high degree of correlation between passengers booked and the amount of revenue they received or fees that were paid to them from airlines, those companies took a significant hit. Their revenues dropped like the airlines dropped. Ours didn't do that as much. Ours kind of hung in there, and we were able to maintain a reasonable level of revenue relative to the revenue we came into the pandemic with because of the way we provide somewhat of a fixed nature and cost. Airline executives asked us to be fairly predictable in what they were going to pay, which helped us in downtimes, and it actually slows down the revenue that we get to pick up in good times. That's not to say that we don't get revenue, it just -- it slows it down a bit. And what I mean by that is we do price on a volume-based metric, but those volume-based metrics are in tiers. And those tiers are fairly broad, again, providing that forecast ability for airline executives to know what the cost of our solution will be. So to your point, as we see volumes come back, that's a great leading indicator of what we think will happen to our revenue, but it will happen at the next renewal point, which is there's annual renewal cycle. So at the next renewal point, we'll take a snapshot and say, hey, you're now in this next tier. We're able to charge you more for the revenue management solution and we'll generate more revenue. If they're in that same tier, if they haven't grown enough to get outside of that tier, then the revenue levels will be the same. But we do see an opportunity to grow as airlines continue to grow, but it's not an immediate gratification kind of a thing. It's going to take a little while before that finds its way to our income statement.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#19

I also just want to remind anyone in the audience that you can submit questions online through the conference website, but also feel free to just shoot your hand up at any point, and we have microphones that can come around. So shifting to the B2B side, can you talk about any of the impacts that you've seen from some of the supply chain constraints on your customers?

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#20

Yes, happy to talk about it. So I think, obviously, what's happening right now in the markets is impacting all of us on a personal level, right? We're all feeling it in our wallets with inflation, going to the grocery store, we're like how is milk this much money? But from a PROS business perspective, it's actually been a great tailwind for us from a B2B perspective because of what I was alluding to earlier. As people grapple with these constant changes in supply and shortages that are driving up prices or having to swap out materials and figure out the impact on their margins, they need a system like PROS that's able to handle that flexibly in real time that can help them manage that change and not only recalculate prices to achieve their business outcomes, but actually deliver those prices to everywhere their shoppers are. I think so often, people think about, I'm able to just get new prices calculated and manage this change and simulate it, that's great. But it's also how fast are you able to actually get those prices out into the field so they can be transacted on. And that's what PROS does is we give you the engine to do the price recalculation, but we also give you the way to feed it into all of the channels that you're selling into, whether it's partner, reseller, distributor, e-commerce channel, direct sales channel. And so I mean, I think for us, it's actually been kind of a tailwind recently.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#21

And you also talked about the increase in demand for real-time pricing. What are some of the changes that you've made on the technology side to be able to support that demand?

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#22

Yes. So our solution is built to -- essentially to scale and to deliver prices in a sub-second response time. And so businesses, especially if you think about super high-volume distributors, speed is everything. I mean we have examples of companies that sell auto parts in the B2B space that are using our solutions to sell to all of their mom-and-pop auto shops, but also to power their online websites and price their parts for their customers that want to shop online. And so our solutions are allowing them -- the way we've built them is to be able to scale up and down and support changing levels in volumes and still meet that SLA, which is guaranteed in our contract and is a competitive differentiator for PROS versus the competition, that we're actually contractually agreeing to delivering an answer to your customers in under a second.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#23

Yes. I think to emphasize the point around real-time pricing availability, sometimes -- it's worth mentioning how that happens. So for example, historically, what would happen is we would help companies optimize their price list and price points. And we might do that on a daily basis. We may do that on a weekly basis. It could -- whatever the company wanted to do. However, in environments where prices can literally change within the hour or within the day, based on availability, based on supply levels, companies needed the ability to change prices in real time. And what Belinda was talking about is we're really the only company that provides an SLA on how fast we can recalculate an optimized price on the fly based on the current situation at that particular second. And so that's a very unique proposition that we provide, and it allows companies to maximize their take even when things are in a highly uncertain situation. And it's really one of the things that differentiates our technology.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#24

Can you also talk about the different challenges or needs that a pure e-commerce platform might have versus a customer with an omni-channel presence?

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#25

Yes. So I mean, I think I'll start with e-commerce first, and then go to omni-channel. So from an e-commerce standpoint, I mean the pricing context of selling online, especially in a B2B selling motion is highly complicated. Because you have, first of all, one chance to get that price right. We call it take-it-or-leave-it pricing. You're presenting a price. There's no negotiation. That customer is going to see it. They're either going to accept it or they're going to move on, do more research, shop around to your competitors. And so the way our algorithm works in that environment is it's actually looking at elasticity and understanding how demand changes in response to price, but it's also considering the things that Stefan mentioned like what's happening in the market? What are the commodities prices right now? What are the other things that impact your bottom line? And delivering a price that considers what the customer is willing to pay, how demand may change at that price point and also how your margin may change because of the inputs that are going into that calculation. So it's optimizing for multiple things at once to give that take-it-or-leave-it price the best chance of being taken, I guess, is the right way to say it. And then in an omni-channel format, what we're doing is it's using those same types of algorithms but it's also ensuring there's consistency. And so if I'm a shopper who's called into your call center or I'm a shopper that's spoken with your direct sales rep, there is a system that's tracking the prices that you've seen that's keeping a centralized database of this information so that when you shop online, you see the price that's unique to you or the price that's consistent with what you've seen in the past as you shop around the other channels. Because the last thing a B2B buyer wants to experience is, I'm having to switch between channels at the same company to get the best price. They shouldn't have to shop around within your company to understand the best deal. Everybody has dealt with cable companies and how frustrating it is when you go to Comcast's website, and they're like $39.99 for Internet and TV. And then you call and they're like, we can give it to you for $25, but it's actually a lot more expensive than that. But you get my point of it becomes frustrating as the shopper you're like, how come I see one offer here and one offer there? And so that's the problem that we're helping these businesses solve is kind of getting that harmony and that consistency in an omni-channel environment.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#26

Okay. And can you talk a bit about your sales force, maybe give an overview of how it's structured and then the difference between your sales reps from 2019 levels to what you're seeing now?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#27

So our sales team is structured very similar to the way it was back in 2019 in prepandemic. We're a little lighter than we were prepandemic by, I think last count, 5 quota-carrying personnel. I think we were at 69. Now we're at around 64. That's about where we are. And that basically is reflective of the decrease in demand that we were seeing on travel because of what was going on with the pandemic. We have talked about the fact that we are targeting to be in the mid- to upper 70s by the end of the year, primarily to respond to the demand we expect to see in '23. So the 64 that we have now, we feel is very much adequate to cover the pipeline and the forecast that we have for 2022. Now your question about how is it structured, most of that 64 number that we're talking about now is really focused on both new and existing sales. And so they're responsible for expansions as well as the lands. Now what we're changing and one of the things that we're complementing that structure with is a customer success organization, which is the group that spends every month with our customers and has a much better understanding of the opportunities and the challenges and the things that are going on with our customers are now going to be incented to partner with our -- those 64 quota-carrying people to sell lands -- I'm sorry, expansions to a much greater degree. And so that's a recent change that we've made. We feel like that would create a much better partnership within the organization of the groups working together to expand our -- the amount of our product penetration in a customer and then, therefore, our revenue take and their share of wallet increasing.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#28

And what are some of the main expansion opportunities that you see now for existing customers on both the travel and B2B side? Are there any new products that you're seeing an accelerated interest in?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#29

Yes, I'll start with travel. On travel, it really stems from the airline's desire to have more control over the passenger experience from a booking standpoint. Historically, as Belinda talked about, we've been very strong in the revenue management side of things. We had clearly the largest market share of anybody else in the space. And so that's been our legacy, and it's still, if you will, our bread and butter today in the travel side. However, we've seen a request or we've seen demand coming out of the airlines to say we want to take on more control over how our passengers interact with us when they're going through the booking process. And if you think about some of the technology that we've really recently issued and released, combined with the acquisitions we've done, it's really been about how do we give and provide airlines that autonomy and give them the ability to differentiate themselves versus say, another carrier that might be supplying similar routes. Historically, they weren't able to differentiate themselves because they were all working off of a common platform, typically by an online travel agent. And so by giving them some of that autonomy and helping drive more traffic to their own dot-com site, they're able to provide products and capabilities to the consumer that they would not have been able to do before. And that's why the acquisitions that we've done and the releases we've done have been so important. And the most recent acquisition we did is a digital marketing platform that actually helps drive more traffic to their website. It's the vision behind the EveryMundo platform is that you can actually originate a booking from so many different sites that you hadn't really thought of before. Now one particular plug I'll make for JPMorgan would be is, as companies and investors are looking to register on site, one of the common uses that we're seeing with the EveryMundo platform is go ahead and put the digital marketing advertisement there for the hotel or the airline and say, hey, while you're registering for the JPMorgan conference, you can also book your flight, you can also book your hotel. You can do all of that through the marketing platform, and you can see what the pricing looks like. You can make a decision about your dates, all right there because they've built the technology that brings in the current live feed of what the current prices are, what the current opportunities are right there in that marketing platform. And we're seeing that expand, and more and more opportunities coming that way, and people are having great ideas about how they can create booking opportunities in different scenarios. So there was my quick plug to JPMorgan.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#30

Yes, call us.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#31

Then on the -- that's on the travel side. And on the B2B side, I think the biggest opportunity that we see coming down the pike is stuff we've been talking about. The -- what's happening from a supply chain, what's happening from an inflation perspective is creating a new opportunity that we haven't seen before. And we're seeing customers coming to us and with a little more hop in their step, a little more of an urgency to say these are things that we have to solve. Because historically, we would have solved these kind of things once a year. It would have taken us several weeks, if not months, to go through the whole analysis and then the rolling out phase. We have to be able to do this in days, if not hours. And there's no way to really do that without a platform like PROS. So we see that as a tremendous opportunity.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#32

Right. And can you maybe quantify the market opportunity for both your core pricing revenue management platform and then the expanded opportunity when you look at these other areas like bookings and just the newer products.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#33

Yes. I mean on the B2B side, I mean, we see -- overall, it's a $30 billion opportunity, right? There's significant opportunity there. What we have done is we said, okay, the $30 billion is a bit big. Let's focus on the markets that we've decided to tailor our solutions to and tailor our go-to-market and our messaging to, and that's closer to $9 billion. And so we're just scratching the surface of opportunity.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#34

Great. And then talking about some of the investments that you're making to be able to support these new products. What do you see as the long-term financial model in terms of profitability? Do you see this as a business that can support 20% free cash flow margins in the long term? And what is the path there while also still maintaining these investments?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#35

Yes. No, that's a good question, and that's top of mind for a lot of people right now. And we certainly see the opportunity to get there in the long term. I think one of the blessings and curses of our business model is we're a true global business. And I mean, we have 1/3 of our business in the United States, 1/3 of it is in Europe, and 1/3 of it is in the rest of the world. And we're very unique in that regard. We have a truly global presence. And with that comes a certain level of fixed cost to support customers in all those corners of the world. And so that's why we need scale to -- and revenue in order to drive that type of profitability. And as we do that, as we start to reach scale in the different parts of the world, we will see that profit margin improve. I would say right now, if I look at our long-term model, we don't quite get to 20%. We get kind of in the upper teens. So we get close to that. And so what are the things that need to happen in order for us to do that, it first comes with gaining more and more efficiency on our subscription margins and on our professional services. So getting overall gross margins to be in the low 70s is what it's going to take to do that. We have a path to do that. We've got a track record of making those type of improvements. So I'm very confident we can achieve that in the next couple of years or next few years, I should say. And then the next piece of that is gaining more and more leverage off the technology and the investments that we've made. And because today, our R&D investment is about 30% of our revenue. That's because we innovate. We have a lot of science that goes into it. All of that is feeding inside of our R&D budget and our R&D expense line. As we gain that scale, we will see more and more efficiencies on the R&D side, probably more so than even our selling and marketing side. So you'll see those -- that kind of coming down from an OpEx perspective. So think of it this way. There's going to be leverage that's going to be had in our subscription and services margins to drive, call it, low 70s from a gross margin perspective. And then there'll be natural scale that happens on G&A and sales, but a much bigger level of scale that's going to happen on the R&D side. The other thing that I think is going to help drive some of that scale that I was talking about on the sales side is really centered around making our products easier to consume. One of the -- one of our strategic pillars is being a very easy software company to work with and purchase from and implement and gain value from. And so that's a big part of what we're doing right now is investing in how do we make our solutions easier to consume? We felt like if we can do that and make it even more available to the masses, that's going to drive more volume, there in turn, drive more efficiency to the model and get us to those margins you're talking about.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#36

Great. All right. I just wanted to -- yes. Can you have a microphone?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#37

So how do you -- do you compete with GDS players? That's my first question. And if we take a broader view, like do you compete with those airline vertical softwares like Sabre, Amadeus and IBS Software?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#38

I'm sorry, who was the first company you mentioned?

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#39

The GDSs you mentioned?

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#40

Yes. Yes.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#41

We do. We do compete with the GDS providers, not in terms of their distribution or their passenger services capability, but on their revenue management side, yes, we do compete with them. That's -- historically, that has been an add-on to their primary business around the distribution and the passenger services component, and that's why we have actually competed very favorably with them. That is a core competency of ours. And so that's led to a lot of success for us in competing with them. But yes, we do compete with them, and they're our primary competitor on the revenue management side.

Unknown Analyst

analyst
#42

So do you see, I guess, for the airlines, are you saying they prefer best-of-breed point solutions instead of those large platform players?

Stefan Schulz

executive
#43

That's certainly been our experience, yes. One of the things that we have done is we've been able to demonstrate that the value our revenue management solutions provide exceed the increased level of cost. So to your point, if we're best of breed, there's going to be a price you have to pay for that. If you're looking at bundling a revenue management solution with one of the GDS providers, it can come across as almost free, right? And so then the competition becomes based on, well, can you provide that much more value for us having to pay you the revenue management software fee. And the answer has been yes. We have been able to outperform our competition to such a degree that it's worth paying to receive that outsized benefit.

Maya Kilcullen

analyst
#44

All right. Belinda, Stefan, thank you so much, and thank you, everyone, for joining.

Stefan Schulz

executive
#45

Thank you.

Belinda Overdeput

executive
#46

Thank you. Appreciate it, Maya.

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