RaySearch Laboratories AB (publ) (RAYB) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

February 23, 2021

Nasdaq Stockholm SE Health Care Health Care Technology earnings 27 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Operator

operator
#1

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. And welcome to the telephone conference in conjunction wit RaySearch's Year-End Report 2020. [Operator Instructions] I must advise you this conference is being recorded today. And I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Johan Löf. Please go ahead.

Johan Löf

executive
#2

Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to RaySearch Earnings Conference Call for the Fourth Quarter of 2020. My name is Johan Löf, and I'm the CEO and Founder of RaySearch. With me, I have our CFO, Peter Thysell. And together, we'll try to answer any questions that you may have after my presentation. I will start by giving an overview of our fourth quarter. The COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on RaySearch also in the fourth quarter. The market conditions were challenging in Europe, while we noted a continued recovery in Asia. We also saw signs of recovery in North America towards the end of the year. Then as an example, we received a major order from Johns Hopkins Medicine in the U.S. They have been using RayStation for proton therapy planning since 2017. And in December, they decided to expand RayStation installation to include all forms of photon therapy. Thereby, they will gradually replace all other treatment planning systems. During the fourth quarter, our total order intake was SEK 239 million, representing a 14% decline year-on-year. Our net sales declined 32% to SEK 160 million. The reason for the decline was lower license sales, mainly due to the pandemic. In addition, we do not meet all the criteria for recognizing license revenue for several large orders for RayStation that we received at the end of the year. This was also the case for 2 contracts regarding our new RayCommand treatment control system, which was launched in December. The revenues for these orders are instead expected to be recognized throughout 2021. Due to lower sales, our operating profit declined to minus SEK 15 million, representing an operating margin of minus 9%. In the fourth quarter, our cash flow was minus SEK 21 million. Despite the challenging market conditions caused by the pandemic, 2020 was still a productive year in many ways, with continued focus on product development, cost reductions and efficiency improvements. During the year, we released new versions of RayStation, for example, the new support for brachytherapy and proton therapy planning for eye cancer treatments and improved ability to generate treatment plans using machine learning in Plan Explorer. We also released new versions of RayCare with improved integration with RayStation, interface for interoperability with Varian's TrueBeam machine, and support for multiple parallel patient treatments and workflows. Also, in December, we released the first version of our RayCommand treatment control system, which also obtained market clearance in several European countries. For end users, RayCommand offers uniform management and control of important systems in the treatment room, such as the treatment machine, the treatment couch, imaging systems and patient positioning devices. In December, the first version of our RayIntelligence data analytics system was also released. RayIntelligence will provide cancer centers with a stable infrastructure they need to accelerate the introduction of machine learning throughout the entire radiation therapy workflow. So in summary, RaySearch product portfolio was significantly strengthened in 2020. For the full year 2020, our net sales declined 12% to SEK 652 million, and our operating loss totaled minus SEK 3 million, representing an operating margin of minus 1%. The full year result was negatively affected by currency translation effects related to balance sheet items, and adjusted for that, the operating profit had amounted to SEK 26 million compared to SEK 49 million during 2019. Despite the challenging market conditions, cash flow remained strong at SEK 62 million, and the company's financial position is very robust. Looking ahead, it's still difficult to say with any great uncertainty -- with any great certainty how the ongoing pandemic will affect the coming quarters. The situation has stabilized and begun to normalize in many countries, while other countries are facing the second or third wave of the pandemic. We see continued recovery in Asia and initial signs of recovery in other regions. Overall, we expect the negative effects of the pandemic on the company's sales and earnings to continue for some months to come, although we expect the effects to decline continuously during 2021. Despite the short-term challenges, we are still optimistic about the future. The underlying need for efficient software solutions for cancer care remains unchanged and treatment of cancer patients must go on. We, therefore, believe that the market and demand for our products will normalize and return to previous levels after the pandemic has subsided. One of the effects of the pandemic could be an acceleration of the ongoing digital transformation. The pandemic has radically revealed the major potential and benefits of digital technology, which could be positive for RaySearch's operations in the longer term because the company's software solutions make it possible for cancer centers to increase their efficiency. I will end with a final comment on our strategy. RaySearch's high pace of innovation will continue in order to secure our market position and return to strong growth as soon as the world is in a more normalized state. RayStation and RayCare are already the market's leading systems to simplifying and streamlining the highly complex workflows of cancer centers, and we are determined to increase our lead in 2021. In 2021, more and more cancer centers will introduce RayCare for clinical use and the interoperability with Varian's linear accelerator, TrueBeam, will significantly increase RayCare's market potential and improve workflows for our existing customers. Our teams are also developing tools to support surgeons from planning and performing surgery to remove tumors. In the longer term, our goal is that RayStation and RayCare will form a single system for planning, optimizing and managing combined cancer care within a range of treatment modalities: medical oncology, surgical oncology and radiation oncology. Overall, we see both challenges and opportunities, even though we are currently living in the turbulent time due to the ongoing pandemic. This concludes my presentation. Peter and I are now ready to answer your questions.

Operator

operator
#3

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of Kristofer Liljeberg from Carnegie.

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#4

Yes. I have 4 questions, if that's okay. The first one is I wonder if it's possible maybe to quantify the size of the orders that was not revenue recognized in Q4, if we exclude the ones related to RayCommand? My second question is relating to operating costs and how you think about them going forward. Of course, they are temporarily lower right now, but it seems the rapid expansion in hiring and higher cost in recent years has been geared for much higher sales than what you currently have. The third question is, if you could comment how you maybe see the uptake for RayCare in 2021? And whether you think it will be possible to sell with any large volumes without having connectivity agreement for a broader range of Elekta and Varian hardware products? And the final question is, how do you see the potential to add sales with existing customer from the new RayStation modules that's about to be launched?

Johan Löf

executive
#5

Okay, Kristofer. So I think we need to -- let's start to answer the first 3. We need some, I think, clarification on the third -- on the fourth. So the revenues sort of shifted from 2020 to 2021. It's a little bit more than SEK 60 million plus that we strongly believe will be recognized during the year now.

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#6

Sorry, could you say that again?

Johan Löf

executive
#7

About SEK 60-plus million.

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#8

And is that including RayCommand?

Johan Löf

executive
#9

Yes.

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#10

Okay. And RayCommand is because that could be up to SEK 60 million. So is that SEK 60 million you have included there? Or ...

Johan Löf

executive
#11

No, no. It's less for -- so the separation that was, let's say, after discussion for Q4, maybe it was SEK 40 million RayCommand and SEK 20-plus million RayStation.

Peter Thysell

executive
#12

Second about cost. So that's true, of course, that we have expanded and geared for much higher sales in the past years. And we will now slow down on recruitment in 2021 and consolidate the operating margins before we continue to expand on the program. I don't know if you have any follow-up questions to that answer, Kristofer?

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#13

How are you thinking about traveling and all the exhibition, et cetera, of course, that's probably important...

Johan Löf

executive
#14

It would be much less in 2021 as well. As far as we can see, the only big one that's still on the table is ASTRO. That's in the U.S., but that's -- I mean, it's very likely that, that will also turn into virtual conference. It's very hard to say. But at least for the first half year and the summer, I don't think there will be any larger real conferences. And I will...

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#15

So do you think -- yes. Of course, you hired some people gradually in 2020. But would it be possible to have kind of same operating costs in 2021 as in 2020?

Johan Löf

executive
#16

No, hopefully, it will increase -- the travel expenses will increase somewhat in 2021 for salespeople, application specialists and other people traveling over the second half of the year. That's what we hope. And I think that can start earlier than having conferences with 10,000 people attending. I think that will be more difficult to start than just having -- doing similar customer visits that will happen before. So that's our guess, at least. We are obviously getting better and better in virtual demonstrations, virtually even sales discussions and so on. It doesn't compare to the real thing, but it's at least -- we are improving very much in that area because that's the only alternative currently. And your third question was about the uptake of RayCare in 2021. And I think we have -- we see good signs for RayCare this year. The interoperability with Varian's TrueBeam, even though it's not all of their machines, it's their most common machine so that there are lots of clinics out there that have pure TrueBeam clinics. In many, many of these smaller sites, for instance, the 2 to 3 limit sites in the United States. They are -- since Varian is so dominant there as well, they are a lot of the time TrueBeam clinics. So there is, for sure, many more potential customers that we can have RayCare interoperable with, thanks to this TrueBeam connectivity. Elekta is, of course, still not better yet, but we have discussions and hope for Elekta as well. I think even without any interoperability. Although now we have -- you can turn it around and say we have basically interoperability with everyone except for Elekta, that's one way of putting it as well because we have a lot of other companies that we are connected to and lots of other machines that are connected to RayCare. Besides that, we have RayCare Flow that we are going to push harder this year. So RayCare Flow doesn't really require interoperability. It adds a lot for any RayStation customer. And we have way north of 700 RayStation clinics now, and all of them are potential takers for RayCare Flow, and we can really improve their situation by adding this product, which is done like the first step towards the full RayCare installation. So that we will sort of relaunch that and push hard for RayCare Flow during 2021. So that will be very interesting to see how that works out.

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#17

Sorry to interrupt you. Is that something you have already started to market for again?

Johan Löf

executive
#18

RayCare Flow is marked, but the relaunch under the new efforts will not -- I mean, that will be seen during the spring and in [indiscernible] clinics. And the nice thing with RayCare Flow and with RayCare and with RayIntelligence is that we can distribute these together with our RayStation packages, and they go out to 700-plus clinics every 6 months. And we can have these new products where RayCare Flow and RayIntelligence go along with these packages and be dormant. And then -- so [indiscernible] distribution channel and then [indiscernible] turn them on if the customer wants to buy them or just try them out to start with. So it's going to be -- that's one pillar of our new approach to push for both RayCare Flow and RayIntelligence. Then the fourth, is that...

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#19

Yes. I think that relates to my fourth question. I was thinking about RayIntelligence, RayMachine, et cetera, additions to the RayStation software because you have that very nice customer base.

Johan Löf

executive
#20

Yes, true. And we have a lot of good ideas regarding that right now. As one -- well, first of all, all the RayStation modules, they always -- they are, by definition, distributed with the package that goes out to clinics every 6 months. So that has always been the case that we can turn those on remotely. When it comes to RayIntelligence, RayIntelligence is 2 of the 3 components, RayAnalytics and RayMachine, they are cloud-based. So they are in the cloud. So we don't -- so we distribute those ourselves. The customer gets access via linked and log in, and then we can access the functionality of that -- those modules in the cloud. And those we can update at any pace because we only need to upload them one place in the cloud. There is another -- the RayData module. That's an agent that has to run on the premises -- on the hospital premises on a server inside the hospital walls. And the RayData, that's the module that collects the data from RayStation and RayCare and streams it up to the cloud. And that's the beauty that we can put RayData module, again, together with all the RayStation packages that sent out. So that also simplifies both trying out the product and buying the product because there's nothing to descent. It's just present to begin with in our customer base. But now we have a sizable -- our customer base starts to become quite sizable. So that's a new thing for us to have this customer base to start with and launch new products on -- directly to this customer base.

Kristofer Liljeberg-Svensson

analyst
#21

But do you think these new products -- and if we skip RayCare, but the others, do you think they are enough now to have the license sales to start growing again?

Johan Löf

executive
#22

There are other -- RayIntelligence is not what's going to push the license sales to 2021. So this will be on quite still a low magnitude, relatively small volumes. And also remember that RayIntelligence is a secure subscription offering. That's the only product in our product portfolio that you can only buy via subscription. So I mean, that's good and bad. The good thing is that it's much easier to take on that product. It's a much smaller investment, you don't have to have a tender or anything like that, you can just jump on board, try RayIntelligence for full year and then you can change your mind, but the downside is, of course, that the amount of revenues will be relatively low in the beginning. I think for license revenue growth to start again, one important thing is for the pandemic to slow down, that we can get back to a more normal situation with our customers globally. We see Asia moving along nicely, Japan, China, going quite well. Europe and United States is still slow, but we see good signs in both cases for the recovery. But we need we need to sell more RayStations and more RayStation licenses to drive license revenue growth. And we also need to have some good RayCare sales on top of that. Then we can go back to a nice growth again. Thank you. Any other questions?

Operator

operator
#23

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew McNeill from Fiera Capital.

Matthew McNeill

analyst
#24

Just wondering if you can provide an update on sort of the competitive environment. You mentioned in your opening remarks that 2020 was a productive year, and you've launched new products. So just wondering if you can give us an update just on how that may enhance your competitive position in the market at all.

Johan Löf

executive
#25

Sure. But it's relatively unchanged. We know the players in our field. We have 3 competitors for RayStation, it's Philips Pinnacle, Varian's Eclipse and Elekta's Monaco. On the RayCare side, we have 2 competitors, it's Varian's ARIA and it's Elekta's MOSAIQ. And the relative strength hasn't changed in terms of technology, in terms of performance between these products. So that's -- I mean if anything, we have improved our products greatly, and we do -- every 6 months, we have new versions of RayCare and RayStation coming out. There is a June release and there is a December release for those 2. For RayIntelligence, there are actually 4 releases per year, one every quarter. So that will go a bit quicker. So my answer is that we have -- for sure, we haven't seen anything that would lower our competitive edge in treatment planning area or the oncology information area.

Operator

operator
#26

There are no further questions at this time. Please go ahead.

Johan Löf

executive
#27

Okay. If there are no further questions, I'd like to thank everyone for participating, and I wish you all a good day. Thank you, and bye-bye.

Operator

operator
#28

That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may all disconnect. Speakers, please standby.

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