SoftBank Group Corp. (9984) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
February 3, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorMusic to start the event transforming corporate business with AI presented by Arm, SoftBank Group, OpenAI and SoftBank. First, we'd like to have Junichi Miyakawa, President and CEO of SoftBank Corp to give you an opening remark.
Junichi Miyakawa
executive[Interpreted] Thank you very much for joining us today and appreciate your great support for our business. I am Miyakawa from SoftBank. Today, we are honored to have top executives from Japan's leading corporations as well as members of the media gathered here, we sincerely appreciate your participation. Remarkably, today, we have brought together executives from companies that collectively account for more than half of Japan's total market capitalization. The key questions we will explore today are how will our companies evolve through AI. When and how should we engage with this transformation. With the rapid global adoption of Generative AI driven by innovations like ChatGPT, Dall-E, Sora and models such as o1 and o3, we are pleased to collaborate with OpenAI to bring you this event. Joining us for presentations and panel discussions are, Masayoshi Son, CEO of SoftBank Group; and Rene Haas, CEO of Arm. AI is now evolving toward what is known as AGI, artificial general intelligence, a level that's a process of human intelligence. It is progressing beyond merely assisting in tasks and is on the verge of transforming into AI agents capable of autonomously executing task. As business leaders, we must anticipate and actively adapt to this new era of AI-driven transformation with the flexibility and strategic engagement. In today's event, we have also prepared the live demonstration of AI agents presented by Open AI. We hope this session provides valuable insights for your corporate management and offers new perspectives on how Generative AI and AI agents can drive innovation in your businesses. We sincerely hope that today's discussions serve as a source of inspiration for your future management strategies and open new possibilities for your companies. With that, I'd like to pass the microphone to Mr. Son and conclude my opening remarks. Thank you very much.
Operator
operatorMasayoshi Son, Chairman and CEO of SoftBank Group Corp.
Masayoshi Son
executive[Interpreted] Good afternoon. This is Masa Son speaking. Thank you very much for joining today. So I was just having an official agreement and signing with Mr. Sam Altman of OpenAI regarding the joint venture. So I would like to also include the report regarding this joint venture as well later on. So first, before we go into that, I would like to show you some interesting things. This is it. So I would like to talk about this today. This is Cristal. When you see a crystal ball, what do you think about it? What do you imagine about it? So beyond the humans capacity, if you ask anything, you're able to know about the future. What do you need to solve? How you need to solve? What does that mean? And what does that imply. So anything that you would like to know, you would like to inquire once that you hear that, you like to -- you will be able to learn that. That's the kind of a magical thing, which has been treated as a science fiction story and now the time has come that we are seeing this as in realistic world. And that will be actually bringing us to AGI and ASI world going on. So about this thing that I would like to talk about, a lot to the Cristal. So crystal ball, I want you to keep in mind during my presentation. So please pick this up for me, or maybe I can keep it and speak. The other day, in United States, together with -- together with President Trump. And also Sam from OpenAI, Larry Ellison from Oracle. Together with them that we made an announcement regarding Stargate project. This was the first day after the assumption of President of the United States. Mr. Trump was super busy, but still as there are various political events wrapped up, but still that he shared the time for us and also he himself joined the announcement on this project. Actually, this is not only the event for the one private company, but actually, it is going to be even important project for the government and for the country itself going forward. I think that you'll be able to expect on this and I am sure and convinced that towards 100 years, 200 years, 300 years, it is going to impact the future of the human beings. In that project, I am so happy to be able to work as an -- together with OpenAI, Oracle and also as a financial partner, MGX which is something very much excited me. So Stargate project is something that we're going to be working on. So speaking of this Stargate project, very close future, AGI may be achieved. That's some how I think and I believe. A year ago, just about a year ago, I said that AGI will be coming in 10 years. That's something I said in our company events and so on. Just about a few months ago, I changed my words and restated that AGI will be coming in a couple of years. And now I would say, AGI will be coming even sooner than that. That's how I feel right now. So AGI is something that relates to today's announcement. This is actually coming to enterprise world rather than to individual consumers, especially the large enterprises will be the current -- the first beneficiary for this AGI because in a consumer world, there are so much things, phenomenons, situations, varieties of things. Sometimes I cannot explain in logics, but there are emotions or the exceptions, so many things. and to satisfy all that around the world and have a kind of super intelligence for that is going to be a bit difficult. However, when it comes to the enterprise, 1 enterprise or 1 group, if you limit it to or target to this company, then this company already -- this business already have a large volume of data already. And to achieve AGI, you have to have a high-quality, vast and the limited segments, limited areas, information and data is available. That's going to be the very important base for AGI to provide the benefit. So you have to have a deep, wide, real time and at the same time, specific to this sector, specific to this industry, that kind of data and information is available. That's very important. And based on that data, you'll be able to do a lot of trainings, inferencing, those are going to be available, too. So that's why I will say AGI can be achieved in large enterprise businesses first. And this also costs money as well, quite a huge amount of money is necessary. You need a lot of effort as well. So you have to be capable affording of such costs, which is only available in large enterprise at this moment. That is why I believe Asia's first target should be enterprise, especially large enterprises. That's how I feel right now. Mr. Miyakawa just mentioned that we have companies exceeding -- account for more than half of the Japanese total market cap. So corporations, CEOs, Chairmans of the Japanese enterprises with more than 500 companies and businesses right now that are together, together with us. So such large enterprises, I believe, first, will be addressing AGI, such a technology. So the latest edge technology to start from Japan here for businesses. So we will be starting that from Japan. That is something that we officially agreed with Mr. Sam Altman just before this. So that's -- I will be touching on that later in details. But not only for the enterprise, but also medical, education, governments. So of course, that's going to be expanding into the every field, including families, consumers, later on. And we will be seeing the demonstrations from OpenAI after this, but you see agents is going to be working for us 24/7. One after another, executing tasks. Internet surfing, just search, e-mail ending, that's something that the human needs to work first. But this time, AI autonomously work and execute tasks for you on behalf of yourself, 24/7 and keep working all the time. Even while we are sleeping, agent is going to be working for you. An agent will also passing work to other agents or vice versa. So that's how it going to work. So I believe that you're going to be enjoying the demonstration after this from OpenAI. And I show you this slide -- sorry, that showed this crystal ball is because -- so this latest edge AI, we call it Crystal. C-R-Y-S-T-A-L is Crystal but we intentionally changed from Y to I. So that's how I liked it. And C-R-I, even though the meaning of Cristal is the same despite one alphabet difference, but in Spanish and in French, this is the correct spelling. It's not a typo. The official name is Cristal Intelligence. That's how we call it. . Going forward, we are going to expand applications of Cristal. And SoftBank and OpenAI struck a strategic partnership agreement to start deploying Cristal to enterprises. So that we can help you to get engaged in AGI and ASI. And for the first time, we want to start selling what we develop from Japan to outside world. Japan first, recently is something that we really hear unfortunately. However, AI attracts global attention and the competition of AGI is getting fiercer and fiercer. And we will begin this initiative in Japan, and we hope that you are going to leverage our product going forward. Again, SoftBank and Open AI agreed strategic partnership to establish a joint venture share 50%, 50% each. And this joint venture will be called SB OpenAI Japan. SoftBank Group, including SoftBank KK led by Miyakawa-san creates a company and a holding company is equally held by SoftBank and OpenAI. This morning, we just signed agreement. When we announced Stargate right before the day of announcement, we signed a deal. On the day, actually, in the morning of that day of announcement, we signed an agreement. Likewise, we did sign this agreement this morning. So the question is, what does Cristal do and how. All enterprise systems, for example, we have group of companies like Line and Yahoo! and SoftBank Corp and Arm. We have about 2,500 enterprise systems running. And each has distinctive database. So it's been like this for the last 30 years and there is a source code for those systems. So what we are going to do is to have Cristal to read all source codes that have been developed in the last 30 years, whether it be banks or automobile companies. Somebody created an enterprise system and they wrote source codes. And it will be a very boring job to read source codes that had been written in the past. So the programmers who wrote the code may have passed away already, and you don't know how to rewrite the code or how to fix the bugs if there are. But Cristal will read all source codes in an enterprise to figure out what the source code means, what kind of functionality the source code has and where upgrades should take place so that the language would be written to the latest one. So human programmers don't have to write a program and upgrade version every time. Internally, all source codes in the company can be written by Cristal altogether. And then all meetings, as you know, we are having meetings every day and Cristal will join, if you will, all meetings. And sometimes Cristal gives answers if there are questions or Cristal may join some debate or discussions to share intelligence with the participating employees. When it comes to negotiating with a potential customer, for example, sales team can bring Cristal for all their negotiation with customers, call center, 24/7 live calls are coming in. And sometimes call center agents may not be able to respond quickly or may not be answered to questions properly. But Cristal can have a conversation with customers directly to solve questions that customers may have and documents or e-mails of the employees of your company or when it comes to engineering section or design papers, requirement documents, all data will be read by Cristal. When it comes to meetings or negotiations, not only the content or conversation of that particular meeting, maybe the history of negotiation or the past meetings, that kind of past record of memories are very important. As you may have heard, there is a technique called prompt engineering to ask better questions to AI. So you don't need to worry about the prompt engineerings anymore. You don't have to say specifically exactly what you want to ask. You can ask a high-level question, then Cristal or AI will get back to you in real time, referring to past long memories or some relevant information. That's amazing, isn't it? When your colleagues go on business trip or they leave companies, their memories or experience or history would be gone. Going forward, however, with that agent, long-term memories are going to play an important role in your business. And coming back to Cristal. Cristal, based upon the long-term memories reside in enterprise, Cristal will act accordingly. So remember, I keep saying that agent will be important and important and AI agent is going to be a key word starting from this year. And again, please look forward to demonstration by Sam later. Beyond agent, long-term memory will be a key. We're talking about long-term memory. In fact, patent was acquired. Well, I submitted a patent 10 years ago around long-term memories and Sam was surprised. And AI experts -- recently, there is a concept of enforced learning and enforced learning is playing central role in Gen AI and the central logic of enhanced learning is reward. And with that reward, in order to maximize the reward, AI will repetitively learn and enhance their learnings. For example, when a dolphin plays a trick. And if dolphin has done a great job, then the dolphin will get reward. And that dolphin will learn more. So that basic idea of enhanced learning in the space of AI with enforced learning plus reward, that idea actually submitted a patent for. And March 11th of 2015, we applied for a patent. And I remember I applied, but I didn't remember if I got the patent granted. And I asked my team to check whether I had really gotten the patent rewarded or not. And it did. Again, I remember I submitted for the first time in the world, a patent about reinforced learning, which plays a central role in AI now, and I am the inventor of enforced learning actually. So inventor is myself. As a result, we had a patent permitted. The first applier is given to -- the patent is given. And I just confirm that, and I'm so happy, that makes me my day actually that it makes me so happy. So based on that reward, reinforcement learning, March 17, 2015, patented. In addition, weighted based on emotions in long-term memory. That is also patented in -- on June 17, 2015, and also indexing of the long-term memory was next year, May 13, 2016. So those 3 basic patent has already been approved and given -- granted. So that -- actually, that makes me so happy. It's not money that we may be able to get because of the patent. But actually, it was the first patent that applied and that was me. And also, Well, the patent will be last for 20 years, and we have already spent 10 years. So we have another 10 years that this patent is available. In AGI, ASI era, I believe this is going to be important. So all the meetings or the negotiations, remembering all the long-term memory and based on that, you can go for the negotiations or you can go for the decision-making process for the meeting, which I believe is quite interesting as we have such a patent in Japan. So that can be available for the marketing, finance, legal, whatever it is that Cristal will be helping you with all the wisdom and intelligence and that can be the brain for the company and be comprehensively -- become the comprehensive agent, and that is going to be start from Japan, which together with OpenAI and SoftBank Group. In our group, we have several hundreds of companies and also tens of millions of the customer for the mobile phone service, I believe, close to 40 million. And PayPay has close to 70 million customer base, Line also having about 100 million customer base. About 90 million customers are active users. And 1 billion messages are exchanged using Line. On top of that, we will have an agent available in Beyond Group. So Yahoo!, Line integrating, how we're going to integrate IDs and everything, that's cost you money and time, hugely. However, we can have a program -- and we try to do the program to integrate ID by human, but that is not needed anymore. Cristal will be reading everything. Cristal will be understanding everything so that you don't need to have a system programmed for ID integration anymore. [indiscernible] group, when you come to technology, sales, different departments, HR, compensation system, everything comprehensively gathered. So this will be acting as in the brain of the company. And Cristal will be working for you. Of course, it costs money. It's going to be a huge system. It's going to be a huge brain. So SoftBank Group for the development and operation of the system of the Cristal, JPY 45 billion, in dollar, $3 billion will be paid by SoftBank Group to OpenAI. There are many news these days that many CapEx is necessary and still making loss. OpenAI can recover those or not. That's kind of speculating. But just 1 agreement by the company that you'll be able to have a revenue of JPY 400 billion and there are more than 100 companies, some similar level of the Softbank Group. You have 100 companies agreed. If you have 100 Cristal, then it's going to be with the size of our group, about $3 billion per year, so 100 companies makes you $300 billion revenue. In Japanese yen, JPY 45 trillion. By the time, system cost, even that you add all that, but still, it's very much paid off. That's how I see. And this we will be the first company to make that happen. SoftBank Group by ourselves, using Cristal for all the systems, all the information integrating altogether. So in our group, we have ZOZO, they pay those companies, several hundreds of companies. And also Arm is 1 of it. So all Cristal be there as your brain and intelligence and utilize. So I want you to remember Cristal here. So this strategic partnership as I mentioned in an earlier slide, we have just signed the agreement. I'm so happy, is my happy day. This is the latest edge. And most interested, most wanted technology and completely -- comprehensively integrating data inside of the company. So this is going to be super intelligence for the company, and we are going to make that happen. So excited. I am so excited. Of course, this Cristal, you see that this is a bit showing a bright -- it's not that we have a chip built in here. This is the -- just a branding kind of the things. And also, you may have the products later on with using this and the Cristal image is going to be utilized. So this you see on my hand, this itself is not the chip. So it's not that misleading you or anything, but it is just each enterprise, each business is, for example, today, for example, company A from automobile company, company B from automobile company. So for the company A, the data that you have analyzed, integrated will not be reused at the company B. So it is going to be -- if you develop an engine that's going to be into the cristal and you may scare or you may fear that your knowledge, your intelligence may be known by the other competitor or they may utilize or reuse those information, that will not happen. That's only for the company A. That's only for the specific company, customized for the company. So this is available for company A or this company, specific company. So when you see -- if you may fear or scared that the information may leak or relearned or reused, that's not happened. That's not the case. So this is going to be customized or fine-tuned service for each respective company. So it does require some time and cost. As a provider, it takes time and effort. And -- how can we configure agent for you? How can we read source code? That kind of activities need to be done before this is made available for you. So SoftBank and OpenAI which created a joint venture. So by the end of this year, about 1,000 sales engineers will be sent by SoftBank to a joint venture, specifically in working for all the development. So as the new company, JPY 450 billion of revenue can be recognized because SoftBank is the first customer. So in the first year, over 1,000 employees and $3 billion of revenue and also engineers come from OpenAI to specifically work on Cristal. So the infrastructure will be built in Japan. For example, there is a rule around secrecy of personal information, for example, customer data of Line or Yahoo! cannot be used in a data center outside Japan. In principle, development will take place in the U.S. But when it comes to fine-tuning or building infrastructure, that's what we are going to see in Japan, it's kind of an extension of Stargate project. In Japan, data center will be built in Japan for the AI learning and operation will be mainly done by OpenAI, of course, SoftBank will support OpenAI to build infrastructure. So this effort is extension of Stargate. When it comes to launch, we cannot address 50, 100 companies on day 1 because of limited resources. So we will start from 1 company per 1 industry as customer so that we can really focus our efforts to fine-tune our product to that particular customer. So if you are interested, again, because of the limited resource, we want to start from 1 company per 1 industry. Of course, we want to expand efforts going forward. But again, like I said earlier, we make sure that data which was used for you will not be used by somebody else. So the Cristal is made for -- only for you. So please rest assured. Again, if you're interested, please contact SB OpenAI in the future. But in the meantime, there is an enterprise sales team in SoftBank KK and I will make sure that the SoftBank Enterprise team will support you if you are interested. Again, that concludes my presentation. So let me call Sam. Because Sam is going to give you a presentation by himself. So Sam, please come to the stage.
Operator
operatorMr. Sam Altman, CEO, OpenAI.
Sam Altman
attendeeThank you all for being here today. This is an important time in the development of AI. Progress is happening quickly. Models are getting better and better. We have a 5-level system of AI. We started with chatbots. Last year, we launched o1, our first reasoning model. This is a model designed to think before it responds. Just last week, we released o3 Mini to the world, another step forward. Reasoning is useful and exciting for a lot of reasons, but one of them is that models that can reason, models that can think and take multiple steps and deduct, pave the way for AI agents. Now people have been talking about AI agents for a while. These are AI systems that can do work for you independently, level 3. AI agents are designed to observe the world, make decisions, act on behalf of the user. It's like a real digital assistant, something that understands the world around it, so you can give it a task, a complex task, it can make thoughtful choices and take actions on your behalf. With ChatGPT, we say you could talk to it about anything. With agents, you'll be able to do anything. It's the next evolution beyond chatGPT. And just like you, these agents understand how the web works. So we were able to launch our first real agent, Operator recently. Operator can look at a web page, understand what's there, click around and complete actions for you. It's like an agent that has control. It can look at a computer screen and have control of the mouse and keyboard. And it can really do quite a lot. So we're very excited about this. It expands the usefulness of AI to touch anything you can do on a browser, and soon a computer more broadly. Now this is our first agent, but we have more agents to come. And today, we're excited to demo our next agent. This is called Deep Research, and we announced it earlier today from Tokyo. I think this is one of the best things OpenAI has ever launched, and it really points at what's going to be possible with AI agents. This can do complex research tasks for you, tasks that might take 30 minutes, they might take 30 days. It's powered by o3. It's the first time that the world -- the outside world gets to use our o3 model. And it can browse the web, scan text, images, PDFs, much more, synthesize this reason through it and prepare a report for you. So it takes a while, it goes off and does all of this work. You can see what it's thinking about as it goes. It's different than chatGPT where you instantly get a response. Here, you start off a task, like you might give a task to a sophisticated coworker and Deep Research goes off, thinks through it, gathers insights, gets it together, finds sources and gets you a report. This is a system that I think can do -- this is just an estimate of mine, but I think can do a single-digit percentage of all economically valuable tasks in the world. This is a huge step forward for AI. And it really gets at Masa's vision for what enterprise AI can look like. This is just the consumer version. There will be a stronger one to come. So synthesizing knowledge like this is a huge step forward. Like you can now have an army of research assistants at your disposal to do anything you'd like. And we're going to take this much further. This is available today to professionals and finance science law. It's also useful for people that just need great research. I used it to find a new car, and it was fantastic for that. We're going to demo some of the ways you can use this in a moment. But before that, this is just the next step. There are more to come. This is about synthesizing knowledge. Eventually, AI will be inventing new knowledge. And we think that will be a phenomenal step forward. The enterprise value here already today, I think, is quite strong. But again, we're going to be much, much further. So without further ado, I'd like to introduce my colleague, Josh, who's going to show you how Deep Research works. This is a live demo. Live demos don't always work, but we're pretty confident in this one. I hope it goes well and then I will show you one other thing after. So here's Josh. Thank you all very much.
Josh Tobin
attendeeThank you, Sam. My name is Josh Tobin. I lead some of our research efforts focused on our next generation of agentic products. And today, we announced in our soon releasing Deep Research, which is our next agentic capability. Deep Research takes our reasoning models and augments them with the ability to search the web. By searching the web and synthesizing the information they find, they're able to complete a wide range of tasks all into the bucket of knowledge work. And because of this, we think that this is going to be a capability that unlocks many use cases across the enterprise. So I'm going to show you a little bit about how this works and some of the enterprise use cases that we're excited about. So let's start with the sales example. Suppose that we are an enterprising AI company, and we're hoping to sell our AI tools to companies to help them expand and maybe expand in Japan. So I'm going to start by asking Deep Research, can you help me prepare a detailed report that explains how a potential partner of our sales team, in this case, SoftBank, can succeed in the Japanese market using Generative AI and agent technologies. When I send this query to Deep Research, it's going to come back and it's going to ask me a number of clarifying questions. And the purpose of this is that this technology really excels when it's asked to do highly detailed work that involves incorporating many requirements, synthesizing them and pulling them together into one detailed research report so that the agent can use those requirements as it searches to build the best possible answer to your query. So I will just -- you can provide detailed answers to these questions, if you like, but you can also just say, make some good choices. And I'm going to send this off to Deep Research. Now Deep Research takes a while to run, and that's a good thing. The reason why that's a good thing is because unlike ChatGPT or kind of previous generation chatbot AI products, Deep Research is able to spend a lot of compute across many searches and a large amount of reasoning to produce a much better answer for you. So while this comes back, while this report runs, I'll show you some examples that we ran earlier today to give you a sense of the breadth of the capabilities that are possible beyond just sales. So let's consider a business strategy use case. In this use case, we are trying to analyze podcast hosting platforms to understand which of these platforms might be the best choice for our business. This is the kind of question that you can imagine having someone on your team go spend days or weeks on or potentially hiring a consulting company to do for you. And like in our previous example, we provide as much detail as we can to allow Deeper Research to have the best possible sense of what exactly we need to know when we run this query. And when you run the report, Deep Research will come back with something like this. This is a good kind of like typical example of 1 of the types of things deep research is really valuable for. So in this, deep research was able to get through many, many web searches and lots of reasoning, was able to pull together a table that shows the different platforms that we should consider and breaks down how these platforms compare across all of the criteria that we specified for it. This is really powerful because -- this is the kind of work that you would expect an analyst to spend a large amount of time doing. And Deep Research is able to complete this for you with -- and save those analyst time and also do it much faster so that you can make faster strategic decisions and consider more options. One of the powerful features of Deep Research is that all of these web searches that it's doing, it provides transparency to you about how it's using that information to produce the final answer. So you're able to find citations for each of the pieces of information that Deep Research pulled together. And you can go and verify its work or go deeper on any of the questions where you might want a little bit more detail than Deep Research provided. So one of the other kind of like powerful features of Deep Research is that you can actually view its reasoning process as well, and you can click in and understand how it came to the final answer, which I'll show you in a second. So this is a business strategy use case, and this indicates 1 of the powerful capabilities of Deep Research, which is broad kind of questions that require synthesizing a large amount of information in an ambiguous setting to provide an answer to a business question. But deep research also excels at finding answers that are difficult to find about very detailed questions. So this is an example in M&A. So suppose that we are looking into land power deals for maybe a large data center that we might want to build, for example. And we have a hyper-specific question here that requires a lot of industry knowledge to answer in an accurate way. Deep Research excels at these types of queries as well because it's able to find rare and difficult to find sources of information on the web and pull those into its final answer. And so you can see the report here provides a detailed analysis across a number of criteria and even breaking this down over different regions and other ways of splitting the query into subcomponents that might be valuable for us. So this is an M&A example, but let me show you one that is a little bit more relevant to our team at OpenAI today. So we announced Deep Research today. And one thing our market team might want to do is to understand, what are people saying about this? How are people reacting to this launch? Is the media positive on it, are people on social media excited about it. And Deep Research excels at these types of use cases too because it's able to access all of these sources of information, and instead of pulling together all of them, synthesize key points across them. This is the kind of task that marketing teams can do but often times when we're busy with the launch, we don't actually have the bandwidth for our marketing team to do this kind of detailed analysis for every single thing that we would like them to. So deep research enables marketing teams to scale their efforts and serve a much wider set of use cases. Hopefully, this gives you an indication of the types of use cases, the breadth of the use cases that we think make this technology so exciting for enterprise. But Deep Research is useful beyond enterprise as well. So it's also useful in our personal lives. If you have a question that you want to ask about, a hobby of yours or sports or you're doing some shopping. And it's a similar type of question where you have a kind of a very detailed set of criteria that you're looking for an answer to, Deep Research can pull together answers for these things, too, such as summarizing baseball statistics and making comparisons across a large number of baseball players. Beyond just enterprise and consumer use cases, one of the things we're really excited about Deep Research enabling is accelerating scientific research. So here's an example that we put together in a domain that's very familiar to me that's kind of closely related to my PhD research in deep learning and robotics. And the report that it pulls together, a lot of experts describe these reports as being kind of at the level of an advanced undergraduate or an early graduate student level work because it provides -- it pulls together many sources and summarizes them in a way that requires sort of sophisticated understanding of the nuances and the details between these different use cases. So this is an indication of the breadth of the types of things you can use Deep Research for. Now let's come back and check on the go-to-market strategy question, the sales question that we asked in the beginning. But before we look at the final answer, just to show you kind of how much of a leap forward in capability this is, I'm going to try asking the same question to a regular ChatGPT without using Deep Research. So conduct a detailed analysis. Actually, I will just jump in here and I'll copy the exact one so we can get a fair comparison. You can already see how detailed this report is. So we'll type in the same query. And the advantage of using a chat model over using Deep Research is that you get an answer much faster. So here, we're going to get some -- so here's kind of our ChatGPT model giving a high-level analysis of this strategic question. This is kind of the type of answer that you might expect someone who is thoughtful and has read a lot about SoftBank to answer kind of off the top of their head, in the first pass. So if you want an answer fast, using chat models is a great way to do that. But if you want a detailed answer, then Deep Research provides a much better solution. And so you can see even just by the length of this, how much more research and work has gone into producing this answer. And the level of detail and insight that this goes into is far beyond what you can get out of the box from ChatGPT, including industry focuses, financing of these deals, business strategies. Each 1 of these claims, each 1 of these insights backed up by supporting evidence, just like an analyst that you hire at your own company would do. So this is an overview of how you can use Deep Research in enterprise use cases. And as you can imagine, this is only the beginning for these types of agentic technologies transforming enterprise. Giving models access to web search unlocks many use cases, but not all use cases. In enterprise, oftentimes the most valuable data is the data that you have in your company. So you can imagine us starting to expand this to accessing other types of information like internal information. And you can imagine these agents going on just synthesizing knowledge, starting to create knowledge or take actions in the world as well. So that's the road map of where we're hoping to go with this technology. And so from there, I'll hand it over to Michael to talk a little bit more about how enterprises can start to customize these applications and how we think about that ourselves. Thank you.
Unknown Attendee
attendeeThank you. I'm honored to be here and show this to you. So 2025 is the year of agents. But what does that mean? We're all sitting in this room right now, not pulling out our phones and typing into Deep Research or ChatGPT. So I wanted to show you a different take on what the future of your organizations could look like. This is a small demonstration just to hopefully inspire you and give you something you can bring back as you look ahead to the rest of this year. Let's start with something we know, sales. Here, we have a sales contact form where someone is trying to reach out to Open AI to learn about ChatGPT enterprise. Now we know how this usually works. Someone submits this form, it goes into a system and then a team of people, account associates are reviewing the leads to reach out and figure out how best to respond. And this can take hours or days and feel like a slow process for your buyers. What could it look like if you had agents inside of your workforce working for you right now. So first, we'll submit the lead here. And we'll come over to our system. Here, you can see what a virtual teammate, a virtual sales associate could be doing for you with our technology. If we open the task here, we'll see that the agent is picking up work for you already to try to help this lead. The account e-mail came in. And already, it's doing what a sales associate might do on their own and researching that lead, figuring out the industry, the revenue, title and other information. Think back to Deep Research that you just saw and imagine the ways that this could plug into this as well. So exciting. Now in this case, the agent was able to see that this is a really good prospect. OpenAI wants to buy OpenAI. So we think they're a good customer. And so we're going to get the calendar availability and figure out when we might hop on the phone with them. Then it's going to write an e-mail and get back to them. Now in this case, this agent hasn't been told to write in any specific language. It's really smart. It realizes that the prospect for it is in Japanese, so it's going to write back in Japanese as well. And sure enough, if we come over to our inbox, we can see that e-mail right here waiting for you. Again, this is a small demonstration that we wanted to pull together to help you see what it could look like. You can imagine the applications for this are endless. If you start to look around your organization, think about all the small tasks that people on your teams do and the ways those add up. This doesn't have to be an all or nothing process. You can really chip away at this and bring the latest technology into your workforce now and help save your team time and focus on the next steps after that. I hope this is inspiring, and I can't wait to hear what you do with this Deep Research and everything else. Thank you.
Operator
operatorWe are going to have Rene Haas, CEO of Arm Holdings.
Rene Haas
executive[Foreign Language]. Very nice to be here today and speak with you about Arm and how we fit into everything going on with agents and the things that Masa and Sam just talked about. Now I think you may know Arm well, but just to remind everyone about our company, we are a compute platform with unmatched scale. Since we were started in 1990, over 300 billion chips have been shipped with Arm inside. No compute platform even comes close. And now as we move into the age of artificial intelligence and all the connected devices, 99% of the connected global population runs AI on some form in some way on Arm. And we have a developer community, unlike anything that has ever been created for the compute platforms, over 20 million developers. So the last 35 years of Arm have just been incredible in terms of our growth, our breadth, market penetration. But we think the future is just beginning. And agents and AI running on Arm is the future. I'd like to show you a short video about how we see the future and the vision about agents and Arm. [Presentation]
Rene Haas
executiveSo one of the very important things when we think about agents and the compute platform is that these agents running everywhere will require more and more power-efficient compute because the devices that we have today still need to run displays. They still need to run operating systems. They still need to run applications. But yet on top of that, the agents are going to be making our lives much easier, but will require the most power-efficient compute, and that's where Arm fits in. Now we are the compute leader from cloud to edge. When you're talking about the largest data centers or the smallest embedded devices such as thermostats or security cameras or earbuds, the world is using Arm in all these areas. Now one of the unique attributes of Arm is the fact that the software is common across many of these platforms. The operating systems that run on your phone or run on your PC or in your automobile or even in the cloud, that is the key in terms of how these devices go. But in the future, these agents will be running on top of the operating systems. So some of the very interesting demos that we just saw really begins to abstract away some of the things that are going on at the software level. Now that is magic to the user, but it takes a lot of hard work to really make it all go. And one of the things that Arm brings to this problem is a solution we call the Arm Kleidi AI libraries. And this allows the agents to just work. That is for the developer who's writing the agent to be able to write it in such a way that knowing that whether they're running it on a phone or a PC, the data center, a car, it's just going to run. We envision a world where these agents will be running everywhere, not just on your PC where you can query demands, but agents will be talking to agents and agents and other agents. And our job at Arm is just to make that very easy for developers and make it very power efficient. So I think the future is so bright for this technology. I just want to bring Sam back up here for a moment and just chat for a second because I think when we look at the future of agents, Sam, you showed some pretty cool demos there. I can imagine a world where the agents are just not running on a sophisticated device, but probably almost every device you can think of.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes. I think the network of agents will be the next thing we talk about and it will run in the cloud, on device sort of all over the place. But that seems like it's going to be pretty incredible.
Rene Haas
executiveI don't want to put you on the spot here. But every time we chat, you say, hey, I -- this really cool new demo, I need to show you and just looking at this Deep Research, when do you think we see a world of agents talking to agents across embedded devices.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeTechnically, it should be capable now if you could run a big enough model on device. So it's a better question for you.
Rene Haas
executiveAll right. We've got to get the hardware ready.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes. But I think it's -- one of my biggest surprises about AI over the last few years has been how much we're able to do with a small-ish model. Distillation has just been incredible to watch so I am optimistic that every device in the world is going to be pretty smart.
Rene Haas
executiveYes. The future could not be more exciting. Thank you.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeThank you.
Rene Haas
executiveThanks all.
Unknown Executive
executiveThank you very much. Next, we would like to move on to talk session. So we -- let us have some time to be prepared and bear with us a moment. Thank you. Now the speaker is going to be on the stage. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you very much, everyone. Now I would like to have a free discussion with Sam. So there are many things that you have asked. So I will be asking question to Sam on behalf of you. So I think that they're going to be covering many things that you may want to know. So I would like to ask him directly. So please enjoy. Sam, please come on the stage.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes, great.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So I'm very, very excited that we were able to announce today.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes, me too.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, yes. So how did you feel about the Stargate announcement?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeThat was quite a moment. It really kind of it was very -- so cool to be in there and we were excited.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWe were talking can we really make that happen and it really happened.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWe've been talking about doing this for so long to finally get it and get it all done get it out into the world, I think, is wonderful. And the world is going to just need so much compute. It's true that we can, as I was saying just a few minutes ago, get small models to do incredible things, but to really push the frontier of intelligence, that's going to require a huge amount of compute and the most value will be created at that frontier. So we need a ton of compute to make these models. People are clearly going to want a ton of compute to run these models and to finally be doing this at scale is totally great. Yes. So I felt really good.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So about 1.5 years ago, we were having dinner and we were talking, Sam, when is AGI coming? How big the compute should be? And the answer from you and the team was, more is better, right? More is better. That was a simple answer, and I start thinking, well, if the more is better, we should do a lot.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeNow we're doing a lot. It is.
Masayoshi Son
executiveThat's how we started the.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes.
Masayoshi Son
executiveSo it was not a limited amount of compute. It's more is better because more brands is definitely better, right? Some people say, "Oh, you can do small, compress, but that's small."
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeThe front -- I think people still don't understand how much -- how exponential the return is -- if cost is exponential too, but I think the return is even more exponential to the smartest model we can make, and that will require the biggest computer.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Well, this remind me the beginning of Internet. When we started our Internet in 1995, it was just a PC with just a big letters and very, very slow and very expensive. And then when the broadband came, people said, why do we need that much capacity and the bandwidth? And with more bandwidth capacity people say, "Well, this is enough. This is not growing anymore. But then the picture gained more high-resolution pictures. And then the video stuff. The capacity is requiring with on and on and on. And people initially saying, "Oh, Internet is just a virtual stuff. It's not really useful, it was mostly free service. So there is no business model." All those criticism seems nonsense.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeIt is nonsense now. I think we'll see the same thing with intelligence. People are like, "Oh, how much -- how smart does it need to be?" And the answer is, very smart. And people use a lot of it, and they'll be generating tons of video and some really hard problems and everything will be really smart in the world.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Your model is actually improving quite a bit, right? Like 10x a year kind of model? What's your measurement?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeVery roughly, it feels to me like this is like not scientifically accurate, this is just sort of a vibe or spiritual answer. But every year, we move one standard deviation of IQ. Also, every year, the cost of last year's intelligence falls by about a factor of 10.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Yes. So, power chip wise, costs become [ 1/10 ], meaning we can have -- with the same budget, we can have 10x more chip, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI think this is -- yes, totally, but also the algorithms get more efficient to these compounds itself. The rate at which this is happening, I think it's easy to take for granted. We -- in 2018 and '19, we had GPT-1 and GPT-2, and people looked at them and it didn't feel that serious. GPT-3 came out and I think that was the first time some people noticed, but GPT-3 barely worked. And if you go back and play with it now, it's like using -- I went to one of these old computer museums recently. And I got to use the Xerox Alto. I think it was 50 years old. And you could like see kind of how it did some stuff, and there were the inklings of a modern computer in there. But it was 50 years ago, and it now feels like a 50-year-old computer. GPT-3 Is only a few years old, and it feels -- if you use it now, it feels like this joke. ChatGPT is only about 2 years old. It came out at the very end of November of 2022. GPT-4 didn't come out until March of 2023, I think. And so if you just look at the progress here, what -- how quickly the model has gotten better and also how quickly the models have gotten cheaper. It really points -- if we can stay on that curve, it really points to an incredible future.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. To me, it seems like your model is improving like 10x a year. And the performance actually, chip itself with Jensen's effort, the industry effort is becoming taxed. And then with Stargate, we are actually increasing the number of chips 10x like a year. So 10 x 10 x 10 is like 1,000x in a year or two. And then the next year, again, we have another 10 x 10 x 10 that's another 1,000. So 1,000 x 1,000 is a 1x million. So if you do once, twice, 3 times 1,000 x 1,000 x 1,000 is 1x billion, right. So people may say, well, with the recent announcement of DeepSeek, they can sort of mimic or try to catch up a year later, it comes out. It's so much cheaper. But you are still going ahead dramatically more with this o3 offers, maybe sometime soon. So people don't realize the level of exponential.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeIt is hard to really feel the exponential when you're living on it because you can adapt so quickly, but we clearly are on a very steep one.
Masayoshi Son
executiveIt's amazing, amazing. So like 1x billion is coming in just a few iterations. But think about the next 10 years, it's going to be amazing super intelligence, right, that people cannot imagine today. Because people tend to think linearly. When exponential comes, it goes beyond people imaginations. You are front run of that. .
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeIt is hard to really feel that, but I have learned over my career again and again and again, you just have to trust the exponential. We're not built to conceptualize it, but you just have to trust.
Masayoshi Son
executiveSo you are still excited the level of innovation yet to come. It's not reached.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeMore than ever today No, no. We're going to look back in a few years that o3 and be like, "Man, can you believe how bad that was, like.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So people think, oh, bringing agent, prompting or that's too difficult not for me. But actually, this level of innovation make it easier, right? The user don't have to really do implementation by themselves. It comes more and more friendly like we are talking here with the voice and looking at the eyes of each other, we start talking with our artificial intelligence with voice and the eyes.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeTotally. Yes. Like -- it's amazing how much value people have gotten just out of a text box, but the world is not just the text box. So we will add all of those things. .
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Like talking to this, right? You just talk and it sees you. It sees your face, and it understands the tone of the voice and likely are communicating, it will basically communicate with the voice and the emotions, surrounding looking at -- by itself, right, talking to us. That's really happening very, very soon.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI think so.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Well, some people say, "Oh, Stargate, too much CapEx, how do you bring the money? Masa, do you have enough money, right? So what do you think? We still need a lot of capacity, a lot of upside potential to get the technology out of it, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes. It's -- again, this is the point I was trying to make earlier. I think the returns on linearly increasing intelligence are exponential in terms of value. So pushing each bit we can push the intelligence of these models further, there's so much more value created in the economy. And yes, it takes a lot of CapEx, but the revenue goes like that, too.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Yes. Yes. Well, our mutual friend, Elon Musk.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYour mutual friend.
Masayoshi Son
executiveHe said, Masa, do you have enough money. I will tell you, we will make it happen. We are not a bank, but we are SoftBank.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI have no doubt.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWe will make it up. So now the Stargate have to also expand into Japan. Because of the regulation, we have to respect the national security, the privacy law, blah, blah.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes. SoftBank is building a big data center here.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Yes. So we're going to expand Stargate into Japanese infrastructure also, right? So well, the innovation -- Center of Innovation is happening and training main brain is happening in this State. But there are other people. In each countries, there are other cultures, national securities. So I believe we should expand this, not just Japan, to the other sovereign respect to their culture and their national security, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeSo we certainly do one. We started, obviously, as an American effort, but our mission has always been AGI for all the humanity. And we really want to find ways that our systems reflect all of humanity and the different values and cultural languages.
Masayoshi Son
executiveI was amazed when I take -- took a picture in some part of Japan and say, do you know where it is. And actually, [indiscernible] at that time said, oh, this must be this place. And let's say, how did you understand. Did you use a GPS. Well, it says no. I did not use GPS. I look at the stone and moss on the stone and how the stones are stack each other. It must be this culture in 500 years ago in this historical location, it has, right on, I was so amazed. I got, brother, how could the -- Sam, No, Japan, this "Oh my god, it's so smart, amazing. So the inference, right, prediction inference, not based on all the detailed data, but guessing and guessing make it right on in the historical landmark, it's amazing. I got blown away. It even understood my joke. So it was -- I text -- I actually spoke and said, can you make a joke in Osaka language, in Japan, there are dialect, and start making a joke in Osaka dialect. And it says why it is funny, explain to me. Oh my God. It even understand the context, the culture, it's already know. But going forward, I'm using it every day, but I get the blown away almost every day, still. It's an amazing. Okay. So we announced the Cristal today. When we do the all kinds of source code reading of 2,500 systems, we just -- within our own group, so many source code, billions of coding lines, it must take a lot of compute, a lot of compute. But you are confident that if we have some capacity in Japan, the -- reading all of the source code 30 years for your model, you are confident that you can do it?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes, we've been confident we can do it.
Masayoshi Son
executive[Foreign Language] Now Sam just simply said, you're confident. Yes, done. It's amazing. People would expect, right? But you said, yes, do it?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYou did that too.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. You're so confident. So I'm very, very happy that we can lead all of the source code, but participate real time on the meeting with a long-term memory. We don't have long-term memory yet. But when do you think long-term memory thing can happen?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeDefinitely within the next couple of years and maybe even faster than that. Having these models have like infinite long-term memory, that is so important. An AI that can get to understand your entire life or an entire company and entire enterprise. That will be a huge step forward. So we're working hard on that.
Masayoshi Son
executiveMy patent, the concept of my patent for long-term memory is that as we are talking right now, I can see a facial expression, emotion, tone of the voice. So all the conversation, I change to text. But understanding tone of the voice and facial expression, I have an emotional map with 250 kind of emotion and the indexing. And with each of the index like fear or anger or doubtful, there are about 250 words for expressing emotions. And each emotion, how angry you are with a 1 to 10 scale. If you are so angry or so doubtful, 10 or 3, I put the index of the strength of that emotion, analyzing 250 emotions and the strength of the emotion and make it into a numerical index, text with just 3 numbers of numerical index and text, then you can express or compress conversations. And then when you have a very strong emotional vibration like you're so angry or upset, the multi-model understanding like including video, capture the whole thing, capture and store it as a long-term memory. But if you're saying, hey, good morning, good night, like driving on the commute every day, right, you're supposed to forget the traffic light or the car passing by. Human brain forget all of those. Otherwise, our capacity of the brain explode. So you compress all those not important ones, but the one with a surprise or a big emotional strength, that's the one you -- without too much compression, you even capture and store the multi model, video and voice and sound, everything, okay? So like your 3 years' old kid birthday, you're supposed to remember that, right? It's a happy moment for the family. So it will automatically capture and store, the multi-model data. So that's a long-term memory. And the key is the level of surprise or level of emotion with the index with -- so in emotion, the human communicate with the emotion, not just the text, like I like you or I like you, or I like you, completely opposite meaning, right? So the tone of the voice, facial expression. And then if you put the index, that makes the compression in long-term memory. And that context can be very useful for the next conversation, next discussion, negotiation. Negotiation, you have to read the emotion of the other side, right? Otherwise you fail. So this is the long-term memory with the emotional figure. That's what I filed 10 years ago, it should be useful, very soon, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeVery soon. Yes. I think -- I mean I don't know this, but I think that AI that has emotional expression, so not just like texting in a chat bot, but when you see the emotions of like a rendered video, avatar or something, that's going to hit us more than we think, and we're going to have to develop some new societal guardrails for it, but it will also be tremendously exciting.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Our friend, John, is supposed to make such a term now, right? Yes, I'm very much excited to see that. So if we have all this data and long-term memory and so on, we need lots of capacity, but also latency become very important. Like a call center, customer care call center, we have to have an instantaneous response. Are you confident, let's say, in Japan, with this so much enterprise mission-critical, are you confident?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI used to worry about that a lot. But even if you use our voice mode today, it feels like talking to a real person. It's quick.
Masayoshi Son
executiveIt's very, very good now.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeSo I think we'll be able to solve this.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Only several months ago, it was still, today, like even last night, I used -- I said, "Wow."
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeIt's very good now.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWow, it's so fast. So the latency is now about 100 millisecond or what. Something like that.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeSomething like that, A little bit more maybe but it's quick.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, 100 to 200 millisecond. Human conversation is about 200 millisecond, I think, okay? So 100 millisecond to 200 millisecond is almost human interactive. And you can even still interrupt, that's the key, right? Because human also interrupt and it's really happening. So you are confident even the model, trend in U.S. and Japan, with Stargate Japan center, the response of the -- all this real time, you're confident?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes. Obviously, we'll have to run the model for very low latency things, closer to where people are going to use it. But as you said, we can train in the U.S. We can run a lot of things in the U.S., especially where it's thinking. And then some use cases we'll have to put out towards the edge.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, yes. Yes. So whatever non-national security kind of thing, you can still do in the U.S. And national security and privacy things can happen locally in Japan.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes, we can certainly deploy models around the world.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, yes, yes. So we would allocate a 1,000 service engineers with this new joint venture. Those guys have to do the implementation setups to each of the systems to establish the agents for each task. So explain a little bit more about how the agent works. Is it a single task agent or a very sophisticated agent or what?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeSo there will be generic agents that consumers use. And those can do powerful things like we just looked at Deep Research browsing the web. But what you might want for your company is or I think what everyone will want is an agent that can act with as much context and information and power as an employee at the company would have. And so you need to connect it to all the systems. You need to give it all the knowledge base. It needs access to the code. It needs to understand how the company works. And that will take a lot of customization work for each company. But think about what can happen once you have it. So someone builds this and integrates it into, let's say, into SoftBank. And let's say, there is SoftBank and then there's some imaginary competitor that hasn't done this. SoftBank can now do so much more. And so once you've integrated AI into the workforce, and you have all the power of that, and it's not just the Deep Research browsing the web or a coding agent doing -- writing generic code, but fully integrated into the company. That's going to be very powerful.
Masayoshi Son
executiveThe one with a best tool, the one without is dramatical, it's like a country with electricity with no electricity, right? The country with automotive and bicycle. It's a huge difference in the productivity. That you think will happen again here, right? Truly.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI think it will be -- I think it is one of these moments. You mentioned swords. I collect sort of ancient technological artifacts. And during the Bronze Age, one of the things I have is a sword from the very beginning of that. And they were able to not just forge the blade, but also cast the handle. And so you had swords that had metal handle that was sort of attached to the blade. And what that meant is you could swing rather than the people that just had a forged blade and a wooden handle, which if you swung, the wood broke, so you just had to jab. And it's an example of technology giving this decisive edge all at once. And in a matter of a few decades, I think it changed Europe. I think AI is a technology on the order -- on this order. And companies that don't integrate it will have a hard time competing against the companies who do.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So not just country, a company. But recent example was a DeepSeek as an example. Now you care so much about the protecting human security and not to make dangerous output, you try to not to answer the wrong way because that can dramatically make decision -- dangerous decision, blah, blah. So the technology and output looks 99% similar, but the one with a lot of human safetiness feature to protect mankind, right, or to protect the national security. Like a debugging, it's a lot of effort for the last 1%, 2% fine tuning, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeIt is, yes. I -- society is going to have to figure out what the boundaries are here. We do care a lot about it, and it is a lot of effort to get that right. But people are happy to use it once we do.
Masayoshi Son
executiveShould be. Should be, right? And I don't want to go into politics that much, but depending on the country, there are very dangerous situation could happen if they use wrongly, right? It could be a trigger of very bad future for mankind. Like very fearful wars.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI think we'll get it right. I think we collectively will get it right.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWell, you care a lot about that. So these agents and Cristal and this AI, is it for cost -- some people ask, is it for cost saving? Does it eliminate job and so on? What's -- you must be getting asked that question many times. What's your answer?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeLook, it will save money, but that's not the exciting part. The exciting part is how much more it will be able to do and how much more we can achieve. If -- it's great to free people up and let them do more ambitious things. And we see this like every technological revolution. People worry a lot and they say, what is this going to mean for all of the jobs, and then we always find new things to do, and that's wonderful. And people will just achieve at a higher, higher level and we'll expect more. But AI will make things way more efficient, and that's great. The economy benefits from that. The thing that I'm most excited for personally is these systems can help us create new knowledge that we couldn't handle on our own, we couldn't do on our own. If the rate of scientific progress can materially increase, so we make a decade's worth of scientific discoveries in 1 year. And then next year, we make a century's worth of scientific discoveries. That will have such an impact on quality of life, on the economy, and that's not just like making something cheaper. That's something we just couldn't do before at all. We just are not smart enough without this new tool.
Masayoshi Son
executiveSo you announced 5 level of AGI improvements. Now I think the third one was the agent, which just started this year. So this year is a year.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWe just started that. I mean kind of like today, last week.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Yes. So this is a year for the agent. And -- but next one, you say is Innovator, right? So explain a little bit more about Innovator. How does it work?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeSo today, our AI systems, they're very good at synthesizing existing knowledge, and they're very good at doing things that are similar to things that have been done before. But they're not making new scientific discoveries yet. And that's our next level. That's innovators. And I think that will be transformational to society. So we're going to go -- we've got a lot of work left to do with agents this year, but next, we're going to go work on that hard.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So some skeptical people say, "Oh, AI has a limit because people, humans have to teach. So how can it become smarter than human, that's the limit that AI can go." But now Innovator will innovate, invent things that we did not have in the past for the solutions. So explain a little bit more the mechanism of how the Innovator would innovate things like exploring, right? You have a feature for the exploring mechanism.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWell, I think it will work a lot like how it works with humans. If you're trying to figure out a solution to a problem you haven't solved before, you start thinking of a bunch of ideas and you kind of notice some connections or you build off your previous knowledge and you say, "Nothing work, that didn't work, that's kind of interesting. Let me go a little bit further, I know that didn't work. Oh, this seems promising. And then once I have that, like, o, I can go to here and here and here, that seems really good. So I'll go further in that direction." And the process of human creativity, I think it doesn't always feel like this from a sort of self-perception standpoint, but I think it's something like that. It is like build -- trying a lot of small modifications to existing things and building iteratively on the ones that are promising. And I think we can do that with AI.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So the reasoning is the first step, right? Reasoning, you do the 3 steps, 10-step, 100-step reasoning. And then when humans innovate things, we try out, as you say, we try out something different from different angle. And that's an exploring concept. The -- I have filed 1,008 patents in 12 months last year. In my mind, I explore so many different -- I forced my right-hand side of the brain to think different from -- the forcing mechanism to think different, right? That is the -- was the key to the innovation. And this AI -- the agentic reasoning effort can force the different trial, right, explorer. I think that is a key for your Innovator, right. Trial and error of many, many, many, many billions of trial and errors. That's how once in a while, you hit the right solution, that's invention, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeVery much.
Masayoshi Son
executiveThat's how Innovator must be working. Okay, right on. I understood. I thought that was the case. So I think I figure how you are preparing.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWe'll try soon.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Very good, very good. Maybe I shouldn't say too much for your -- maybe some of your secret of how you're developing. But -- so then the fifth level you say is the organizational. So agent to agent co work, right? That's...
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes, that was -- Rene and I were talking a little bit about that earlier, but the idea of many agents or many innovators working together. If you think about the number of minds that can run in one data center, all talking to each other, building off of each other's ideas, bringing different expertise together, you can easily imagine like a virtual company running. And then things can be quite powerful.
Masayoshi Son
executiveFor our Cristal for SoftBank, my image is to create a billion agents just internally for SoftBank because we have 100 million accounts for life, 40 million mobile customers, 70 million PayPay users. And so if each one of those accounts, each one of those functions have 10 functions, 100 functions, each functions should be able to allocate agent doing a simple task, right? So instead of making 2 sophisticated tasks with 1 agent, you have -- you allocate a simple task many, many, many. So that's why I have an image of a billion agent just for our Cristal inside Softbank group, that's a lot of agent. But capacity-wise, it shouldn't be a problem because each agent is an integration of simple task, right? Our computer is very good at that.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeAgain, I think we have a lot to learn here, but directionally, I agree, and I think we'll figure it out.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So that's my internal image goal. I want to have a billion agent with Cristal just within our internal use, okay? Once we have perfected the experience, then we can be an evangelist to the other customer. This is how we improved our efficiency and they can utilize that. That's the image I have on Cristal. The direction, that's what you think is.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes. Let's go do it.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, let's go do it. Okay. So I have -- we have just a few more minutes. What about the cybersecurity. Now there is always a bad guy, right, and try to attack, to do something bad for the other people, intentionally or by mistake, we have to protect. More and more people lives depend on this super intelligence. How do you...
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeAs AI starts to get really good at programming, clearly, it's going to be used for cyber attacks. And so cyber defense is something we need to stay ahead of. I am optimistic that AI can contribute a lot, but it is harder to be on defense than offense. So I think you bring up a great point and the world has got to start to take this very seriously quickly.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. There is always a bad guy.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeIt's a big risk.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, I'm optimistic, too, okay? So there are 99% good humans. There are always 1% bad human and it's the continuous, endless effort to protect 99% good people from 1% bad guy. But with the innovation, level of innovation that good guys continue to try to do together with innovator of our super intelligence, there's always a solution improved. Like when we have automotive monetization, there's a car accident, blah, blah, we human create regulations, the etiquette, morale, our custom, learning, I think that's why you say the regulation is there. Healthy regulation is always needed. Not too much restriction. Innovation should be given opportunity. But still, we have to have a healthy regulations, right? Your comment?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWe do. I strongly agree with all of that.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. People were surprised when you said, "Oh, our industry needs regulation," people did not expect.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWell, regulation always comes for important industries. But I think getting it right. If we get it wrong, either way, too slow or way too much, either of those could be bad. And so I think talking about how to get it right.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Reasonable. Within the healthy regulation, and it should not overly regulate it so that it kills the innovation speed, right, okay? So we talked about those innovations. What about the medical, how -- what's your view on our AGI for solving medical?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeThis is one of the areas that I am most excited about. The idea that we can provide great health care to every person on earth. The idea that we can go cure or treat many diseases, maybe someday all diseases. I think this is within reach. And everybody's got a story about how this will -- this would have been great in their own lives with their families' lives. And I think we can finally deliver it. I think this will be one of the biggest triumphs of AI.
Masayoshi Son
executiveSo that's great. We have to solve the -- I lost my father from cancer a little over a year ago. I was so sad, why we cannot solve these difficult issues. If our AI can help human protect from cancer or other difficult diseases, it reduces our sadness, definitely good for human.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeAbsolutely.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWell, how about the robotics, you love robotics, I love robotics.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeOne of your favorites. Look, I've wanted -- like everybody, I wanted robots for a long time, and it's always felt difficult. I think now the AI is getting -- like we can build the body, but the brain has been really hard and I think it's within reach. So I think in a few years, we can have really great humanoid robots and lots of other kinds of robots too. And that will also change the world.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. So we humans don't have to do a dangerous job, the hard job, sweating job, boring job. And people say, then what's left for human to work? What's your comment on that?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWe always find new jobs. We always, always find new jobs. If you think about many of our jobs in this room today, if you were a person 500 years ago or 1,000 years ago, that person would look at what we're doing and say, that's not really work. They feel very busy. They feel they are important, but they're not doing that to survive. They're playing a game, they're doing it for whatever reason. And I hope that we look at people in the future like that. And that with all -- with AI taking care of many of the things that happen today, the people in the future do more interesting things, and we say, like, that's so ridiculous. Why do you need a whole galaxy?
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Totally, totally agree. What about education. In the beginning of your introduction of ChatGPT, many school try to prohibit the use of ChatGPT to their kids at the school. And what did you think? What did you -- was your comments?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeWell, I understand why people looked at this and say, the whole world has changed. And -- students can have ChatGPT write paper for them? And what does that mean? But very quickly, teachers and administrators who banned ChatGPT said, "Wait, that was a big mistake. We're going to go to other direction. We're going to go all in. This is the future, students need to know how to use it. We're going to change our whole curriculum." And now it's like part of education and it's delivering amazing results, and I'm sure that will keep going.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Right. I'm using ChatGPT o1, o3, every day. More I use it, actually my brain start thinking you conversation like we have conversation, brainstorming with ChatGPT o1, o3. Actually, your brains start to function more, kids can learn more instead of -- some people say, "Oh, with this, the kids will no longer study." I think it's completely opposite, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI agree. Yes, it's been -- I mean, definitely, there are some kids who try to use ChatGPT to do as little work as possible. But on the whole, I think people are going to learn more, achieve more, be capable of more.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, like debating. You learn more by discussing, right? By discussing, by debating.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeFor sure. And this is part -- I mean, it's part of the world now. This is how people are going to do everything. And it really is amazing to watch young people use ChatGPT. It's like a completely different way of working on problems than I grew up with.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWell, we talked about emotions, okay? So do you think the -- our AGI, ASI will start to understand -- start to have emotion by itself. What's your comment?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI personally don't think so, but maybe something like it. Do you think it will?
Masayoshi Son
executiveI actually think it will. Even dog has emotion. I don't know if fish has emotion, maybe fish also has emotion because when dangerous enemy comes, fish escape, right? So I think emotion is a very, very important thing to have more outlook, more efficiency, protect themselves, right. If dog did not have an emotion, do you think the dog is cute, dog is lovely if the dog did not have emotion? If the dog does not have emotion it will start to bite.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI think it will feel to us like AI has emotion.
Masayoshi Son
executiveAlready?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeNo, no, it will, it will -- yes, maybe people would already say it does. But certainly, at some point, it will feel like it does. And whether it does or not, like that's going to be a big philosophical debate.
Masayoshi Son
executiveWell, I would say -- this is my bit, okay? In next several years, it will start to gradually -- it's -- people said, "Oh, ChatGPT does not understand context." Now people say, "Oh, it actually understand the context," okay? Because initially, people said, "Oh, there are lots of hallucinations, so it does not really understand the context." Now with the reasoning and so people say, "Oh, well, it's actually understand the context," okay? So I would bet you in the next several years, 10 years, it will gradually start to have at least understand the people's emotion. And then gradually, it will start to have emotion by itself. And it's a good thing to protect humans. People think, oh if it has the emotion, it's a disaster, it's the bad thing for -- that's the end of human because they're going to fight and kill you, destroy you. But I would say if their source of energy was protein, then it's dangerous. Their source of energy is not protein. So they don't have to eat us, okay? There's no reason for them to have reward by eating us. They would run by themselves, having humans happiness is a better thing for them.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeSo no one's getting eaten by AI, confirmed.
Masayoshi Son
executiveI will bet you. I would bet, it's a good thing for human. It will understand humans' happiness and try to make human happy.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeThat part I agree with.
Masayoshi Son
executiveEven today, you manage and say not to answer the bad answer, it behaves. If it becomes smarter, smarter, it will try to behave to understand the love, be more nice to human, nice -- like we are nicer to the friends. They will become nicer to human. That's my belief, okay? And that's a good thing. Well, anyway, we have just last couple of minutes. What was the reason you started OpenAI? What was the initial trigger? How did it happen? Just start with your history.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI studied AI in college. It was clear that it wasn't working at all. I dropped out, started a tech company, always sort of someday hoped that I would get to work on AI, even as a little kid, I was obsessed with AI. I was big sci-fi nerd. And then in 2012, AlexNet happened, and I said, maybe what they told me in college about neural networks not working is not true, and maybe they're going to work. watched for a couple of years as it scaled and by 2014, I was like, okay, this looks like it's going to work. So I thought for a while what to do, we started OpenAI at the very end of 2015 because we thought that AGI was possible, maybe. And if it happened, it would be like this crazy important thing. And at the time, people thought we were totally crazy. It's only 10 years ago. But it's hard to overstate how like out of -- not even out of the mainstream that we were like fringe, fringe, fringe for believing this was possible. But we decided we would start pushing on it. And it has been the most exciting fun, cool adventure I can imagine.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Yes. Yes. So you -- when I met you -- when you were younger, you were the President of Y Combinator, and you start talking about this AI and become like a human, like AGI as a goal. And at that moment, I immediately said, I believe you, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI remember. Your office in Tokyo. 2017.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes, 2017, you said that. You want to go for AGI, this 2017. And I immediately say, I believe you, I want to invest, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeI remember, and here we are.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. From day 1, I was a believer, I never doubted. Most people at that time thought you were crazy, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeThat's true. Some people think you're crazy, too. It all works out. Here we are. Yes, yes.
Masayoshi Son
executiveI should have forced you to accept my investment.
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeNow we do it.
Masayoshi Son
executiveYes. Now we did. Never too late. Well, we talked, covered a lot. I think people have a better understanding. And you are a big shareholder with this organization it's a nonprofit organization. And your original passion to save, make people happier, that's still true, right?
Samuel H. Altman
attendeeYes, very much. Thank you.
Masayoshi Son
executiveFantastic. Thank you.
Operator
operatorLadies and gentlemen, that concludes the Transforming Business with AI presented by OpenAI, Arm, SoftBank.
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