The Lovesac Company (LOVE) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary

September 12, 2024

NASDAQ US Consumer Discretionary Household Durables earnings 70 min

Earnings Call Speaker Segments

Caitlin Churchill

executive
#1

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. With me today are Shawn Nelson, our Chief Executive Officer; Mary Fox, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Keith Siegner, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I want to remind you that some of what we discuss will include forward-looking statements regarding future events and how our financial results will look down the road. That includes statements about our expectations going forward, our financial projections, as well as our plans and prospects. Actual results may differ materially from what those statements describe. To better understand these risks and uncertainties, please review the company's SEC filings, including the press release we issued today. You should not view forward-looking statements as predictions of what will happen. Each forward-looking statement made on this call is based on assumptions and beliefs we hold as of today, and we have no obligation to update them, except where applicable law requires. Our discussion today will also include non-GAAP financial measures, including EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA; these non-GAAP measures should be considered together with our GAAP results, not as a substitute for them or in isolation. A reconciliation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures to those non-GAAP financial measures is provided as supplemental financial information in our press release. Now, turning to our Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 results, I'd like to pass things over to Shawn Nelson, Chief Executive Officer of the Lovesac Company. Shawn?

Shawn Nelson

executive
#2

Hello, everyone, and thanks for being here this morning. To begin, I'll give you a broad look at how our second quarter turned out and what we expect going forward. After that, Mary Fox, who serves as our President and COO, will walk through the main growth initiatives we're pursuing. Then Keith Siegner, our CFO, will take you through the financials and several other matters tied to our outlook in greater detail. Now, on to the Q2 highlights: we're happy to report outcomes that came in at or a bit better than what we had anticipated, with total net sales reaching $156.6 million and adjusted EBITDA of $1.5 million. Those figures show net sales rising 1.3% for the quarter, which tells us we keep taking share even as our category continues to face persistent headwinds. Our total omnichannel comparable net sales fell 5.4%, though contributions from new and non-comp touch points more than made up for that decline. Net loss and net loss per common share came under pressure from modest gross margin decreases and SG&A deleverage, partly balanced out by leverage in advertising and marketing — all of which we had foreseen and which lined up with the guidance we gave previously. What supports our performance is a highly productive omnichannel footprint, one rooted in our Designed for Life platform, strengthened by the affection shown through our customer engagement, amplified by compelling marketing, and bolstered by our growing emphasis on product innovation. As proof of that dedication to innovation, during Q2 we brought our PillowSac Accent Chair Frame, or PACF, to market successfully — it drew an amazing response and is exceeding what we expected. In fact, only a few weeks passed after launch before the Accent Chair Frame sold out. Let me offer a few highlights. The post announcing our PACF launch became Lovesac's best-performing single social post ever, racking up over 8.8 million views. Of the PillowSacs sold since launch, two-thirds were ordered together with an Accent Chair Frame. Excitement around the PACF carried over to the whole Sac business, which grew double-digits — up 25% — since we introduced the PACF. Looking forward, we're actively working on additional innovations built around this very successful offering, along with our wider Sacs platform. Yet maybe the most thrilling part is that the PACF has brought about incremental Lovesac market penetration. More than 50% of PACF purchases made since launch came from customers who already owned Lovesac products. And that's only the start of our plan to step up efforts aimed at generating more repeat business, which I'll cover shortly. With the PACF having succeeded, we're delighted to have just introduced the new AnyTable. AnyTable extends the unmatched adaptability of Sactionals into a table, and it marks Lovesac's first move into a neighboring furniture category — tables and case goods. AnyTable fits seamlessly into new and existing Sactional arrangements across many configurations, whether attached to the Sactionals or standing alone and linked to one another. You can expand it, modify it, and reconfigure it. It delivers style, functionality, and concealed storage, and it was engineered with upcoming innovations in mind. There's more ahead for the AnyTable platform. Three-wood finishes are now offered for AnyTable, coordinating with our just-redesigned Sactionals accessories: weathered gray, dark brown, and blonde. On the topic of accessories, we're rolling out a brand-new collection of reworked Sactionals drink holders and coasters, plus the completely new Sactionals tray, all in those same three-wood finishes that tie in with every one of the fresh wood designs from Lovesac. We're getting nearer to a real design perspective for the whole living room, and one day the whole home — if not each product category, then at minimum those that genuinely count to people and the way they go about their daily lives; we're fixing issues folks weren't even aware they faced, using products that are completely distinctive to Lovesac. And naturally, made to endure a lifetime, and engineered to adapt as lives shift. What you're seeing is our Design for Life model in action today: each item complements the rest, builds on top of them, and turns the customer's original Lovesac buy — which might date back several years — into something more useful and more valuable than it was at purchase. No other home brand takes this approach to design or marketing, and we have much more coming. Through these introductions, along with plans for several additional, smaller releases later this year and a big one in fiscal 2026, we're gaining momentum; they'll open up more rooms within the home for us and extend our footprint. Pair that audience with the CRM and omnichannel capabilities we've been building out over the last several years, and we see a massive chance to drive much more repeat business from customers down the road. Before we get into the outlook, aside from the new products we've been working on, there are some really exciting partnerships happening at the moment. To start, we were thrilled to kick off our tie-up with KidSuper, the Fashion Phenom brand, just a couple of days ago during New York City's Fashion Week. So keep an eye on pop culture, fashion, and Fashion Week to catch where Lovesac turns up in the most cutting-edge outlets out there. At Lovesac, innovation is part of who we are, and when you combine that with the strength of our Designed for Life platform, our convenient omnichannel approach, and compelling marketing, we're continuing to take share even as the industry and category environment remains difficult. That approach isn't changing, and it remains our objective regardless of what's happening in the broader economy. Now, obviously, everyone would welcome rate cuts that could give our category a lift, and that might happen; however, based on real spending figures and how promotional things have been in the category lately, we believe the wise move is to keep our industry forecast where it is for now. Because of that, our forecast continues to factor in a 10% decline for the category compared with a year ago. With that broader backdrop in mind, and given where things stand seven months into our fiscal year, we are narrowing the range we've given for net sales. The middle of that range sits slightly below the prior one, but it still reflects an increase over the course of the fiscal year. We remain well positioned to achieve what we set out to do both this year and beyond. Should circumstances change, our teams can adapt quickly and act at speed, and we have the ability to go after growth. In closing, the people on our teams are the heart of all our daily work here at Lovesac, and I want to express appreciation for how they keep committing themselves and delivering steadily while we continue navigating a consumer environment that never stops shifting. Because the addressable market is large and highly fragmented—and our current share within it is quite small, even across the platforms we already have—Lovesac has a lengthy and attractive runway for growth. The stronger position we now hold in the market, a profitable operation that keeps getting bigger, and a debt-free balance sheet together allowed us to announce the share buyback authorization, the first one in our history. As Keith will go over, we plan to keep running and allocating capital carefully, centered on achieving long-term sustainable profitable growth that ought to generate value for every one of our stakeholders. We're eager to share more about our long-term vision at an Investor Day, which we're aiming to hold in our fourth quarter; so watch for further information. With that, I'll pass it to Mary to go through our strategic priorities and progress in greater depth. Mary?

Mary Fox

executive
#3

Thank you, Shawn, and good morning to all of you. As Shawn mentioned, we're glad to report second-quarter results that matched our guidance, even with the category still under pressure. What matters is that net sales rose compared with a year ago, and looking at a five-year view, they stand 225% above where they were before the pandemic, while the category over that same span has been roughly flat. During that same period, our adjusted EBITDA margin is up 430 basis points. In quarter two, we beat the category and took market share, supported by our focus on customers and products along with our distinctive omnichannel Infinity flywheel; we've created a business model and platform that no one else in the category has, which gives us a sizable total addressable market opportunity, strong and rising brand health, best in class touch point economics, and a supply chain advantage. We keep drawing benefits from disciplined spending on our strategic initiatives and capabilities, which widen our addressable market and lift underlying profitability. Now I'll walk through the main highlights of our forward plans for each strategic initiative. First, product innovation — we're glad to introduce several strong innovations this year, beginning with the PillowSac Accent Chair in May. Let me add a few points past what Shawn already covered. Our marketing team brought this distinctive innovation to life by using our Architectural Digest partnership via a 360 degree campaign spanning digital marketing, PR, influencers, and social media, creating excitement and intrigue among consumers, influencers, and media; we generated over 2 billion earned impressions and more than 500 media placements, which built buzz and news not just for the PillowSac Accent Chair but for Lovesac, the brand. We're taking the learnings from that whole process to sharpen how we approach every upcoming innovation launch. The PillowSac Accent Chair is also a strong test for generating more repeat customer business. Current PillowSac owners have been purchasing the Accent Chair Frame, which lets them enjoy their Sac in a fresh way, and lots of them are picking up multiple covers to really accent their rooms. Whether boucle, plush furs, or even seasonal covers like the top selling limited edition pine quilted velvet. It's an enjoyable way to bring in interest and style, and to appreciate the flexibility built into every product Lovesac makes. We see a huge opportunity to capture this and generate additional lifetime value through future innovations. Riding that momentum, we've just rolled out the year's second innovation, AnyTable, with the third coming right after in the newly redesigned Sactionals accessories platform, which includes the Sactionals drink holder, coasters, and a far more contemporary tray. Our teams are incredibly excited to bring these to our customers and are already off to a strong couple of days. We'll keep honing our launch program and repeat customer outreach, which puts us in an ever more effective position ahead of much larger launches still to come. Our material innovation launch is set for early Fiscal '26, and we believe it will widen the field considerably when it comes to where we play in the couch category, which in turn should let us pick up market share at a faster pace. As launch gets nearer, we're eager to tell you more; on Monday we rolled out a first-of-its-kind partnership that brings together Lovesac's creative strength in furniture design and one of today's most gifted and buzzy fashion designers. Through our work with the disruptive fashion label KidSuper, we've introduced a limited edition line of home furnishings that fuses our cloud-like coziness with forward-pushing streetwear. At the center of both this collaboration and its campaign sits our PillowSac Accent Chair, which showcases KidSuper's signature Kissing Design. This trailblazing collaboration makes us quite proud, and so does the buzz and enthusiasm surrounding the launch event, whose coverage exceeded what we had anticipated. Number two is our omnichannel experience. By blending our physical locations with our digital platform, we keep reinforcing our standing as a genuinely omnichannel retailer. To begin, we opened 10 touch points during the quarter, and we're still set to hit at or slightly above 30 new showroom openings across Fiscal '25. Next, over the quarter we rolled out a set of website upgrades that foster lasting ties with both new and current customers and back our goal of delivering a best-in-class omnichannel experience; we rolled out substantial upgrades to My Hub, a single spot on lovesac.com where pre- and post-purchase journeys happen seamlessly. In quarter two, the emphasis was on delivering richer personalization of the shopping journey that mirrors touch points more closely, letting the customer conveniently and smoothly add to, tweak, or otherwise reconfigure their Lovesac wherever, whenever, and however they like; account creation has risen considerably as a result, handing us a bigger chance to connect with the customer in ways that feel more personal and pertinent. For Lovesac, forging lasting ties with our deeply engaged, addressable base of current customers stays a major opportunity and a central strategic priority as we keep rolling out new products that slot into what they've already bought. Early results look very strong, showing that customers are taking well to these fresh features. Our re-platforming to Adobe Edge marked the next thrilling website upgrade, a technologically advanced platform experience that markedly boosts website performance along with data and software integration. A website that performs better helps not just the on-site experience but also Seo and organic search. We're already noticing meaningful gains in those areas, plus better online customer conversion. Crucially, because of our distinctive omnichannel experience, our customer satisfaction scores keep getting stronger and rose sequentially in quarter two, particularly our digital experience. Those scores climbed year-over-year to the highest levels we've ever recorded. Number three is our ecosystem, built around winning over, pleasing, and sustaining relationships with loyal, loving customers. We keep utilizing our marketing mix and spend, particularly through the Memorial Day and July 4th share events, along with better efficiency in return on ad spend and cost per acquisition. Going forward, we'll actively experiment across media to fine-tune our investments for growth, particularly given chances in video, connected TV, search, and audience targeting, plus growing our brand awareness. We still face inflationary cost pressure, particularly in paid search, yet we've become remarkably efficient at bringing the right audience into touch points and to the website, which yields higher conversion rates. We're also thrilled by our progress extending reach on YouTube as an additional tier, not just for brand awareness but across the whole purchase funnel. During quarter two, we kept succeeding at marketing to current customers and experienced robust growth in their transaction count; during quarter two, we finished the infrastructure requirements needed to roll out our first phase of offering services. Last week, we introduced our resale platform, piloting with our own associates ahead of a customer facing experience launch soon. We're quite enthusiastic about our advancements in this key area, using open box inventory to power our endeavor and continuing to build on our promise to create products that are designed for life and supported by circular operations. Now, lastly, making disciplined infrastructure investments and driving efficiencies. During quarter two, we achieved material cost of goods and inbound freight improvements via prudent management and planned infrastructure investments, in both capabilities and technology, whose benefit we keep realizing. As we mentioned at the start of this year, we upgraded our inbound logistics strategy, shifting from a freight forwarder model to a direct carrier relationship, reducing our reliance on spot rates; this has helped us through both better overall pricing and container availability, while de-emphasizing the spot market pricing inflation, and it amounts to significant cost avoidance. From a growth margin standpoint, these savings were offset by an increase in promotional discounting during the quarter, since we continue to see higher promotional levels in the category. We also achieved a 16% reduction in total inventory at the quarter's end, driven by the benefits of recent investments, including our new order management system. We're making strong advancements in our outbound logistics model, and we've successfully brought in local parcel providers in one key market, which helps deliver overall lower costs and improved customer satisfaction. We'll keep expanding this program throughout this year and beyond; so, in summary, we're pleased with the progress on our strategic priorities as we continue to successfully expand the business and make important foundational investments to drive, as well as support, the substantial growth that lies ahead. I will now pass the call over to Keith.

Keith Siegner

executive
#4

Appreciate that, Mary. We'll dive straight into a brief look at the second quarter, and then we'll cover what we expect for the remainder of fiscal '25. In Q2 of fiscal '25, net sales rose by $2.1 million, which is 1.3%, reaching $156.6 million, up against the same period last year. That matched our guidance and showed that we keep picking up market share, thanks to growing both our physical and digital presence, effective promotions, new product launches, marketing efforts, and the outstanding experience we deliver to customers across every channel. For the second quarter of fiscal '25, showroom net sales reached $98.8 million, an increase of $0.6 million, which works out to 0.6% growth compared with the prior year. That gain was driven by 31 net new showrooms being added, although a 5.4% decline in omnichannel comparable net sales partially offset it. We have seen certain week-to-week fluctuations tied to the timing of holidays, promotions, and product launches, yet the trends underneath have remained relatively consistent. Internet net sales for Q2 of fiscal '25 totaled $44.3 million, up $2.9 million, or 7%, from the equivalent period a year ago. During Q2 of fiscal '25, other net sales — the category that includes pop-up shops, shop-and-shop, and open box inventory activity — came in at $13.5 million, down $1.4 million, or 9.3%, compared with the same stretch a year earlier. The main driver of that decline was weaker performance from our temporary online pop-up shops on Costco.com. One thing to keep in mind: going forward, we may engage in a limited amount of open box inventory transactions with Icon so that our warehouses can operate as efficiently as possible. As we noted last quarter, and as also held true in Q2, we believe the quarterly run rate from fiscal '24 can serve as a potential baseline for your models, which works out to approximately $12 million for the fiscal year. Turning to what we sold by category during Q2: Sactional brought in 2% more in net sales. Sac net sales held steady, which was our strongest showing in several quarters, and that's largely because the PillowSac Accent Chair did so well. It's encouraging that PAC sold out on strong demand, leaving us with some backlog, and at this point we expect net sales to match up with demand sometime in Q4. Meanwhile, our remaining net sales — decorative pillows, blankets, and accessories — fell 15% compared with the same period last year. In the second quarter of fiscal '25, gross margin decreased 80 basis points, landing at 59% of net sales, down from 59.8% during the equivalent quarter a year ago. The primary driver was a 110 basis point drop in product margin stemming from more aggressive promotional markdowns, along with a 50 basis point increase in costs for outbound transportation and warehousing. An 80 basis point decrease in inbound transportation expenses provided partial offset. SG&A costs represented 47% of net sales in Q2 of fiscal '25, compared with 41.3% a year earlier. This elevated ratio largely reflects spending on payroll, equity-based compensation, professional fees, rent, and infrastructure. Higher SG&A costs were driven primarily by several items: a $6.4 million increase in payroll, $1.5 million related to equity-based compensation, $0.9 million for professional fees, $0.7 million in rent, and $0.5 million spent on infrastructure investments aimed at supporting both current and future growth. The rent increase of $0.7 million reflects a $1.2 million rise in rent expense resulting from our net addition of 31 showrooms, which was partly offset by a $0.5 million decrease in percentage rent. During Q2, we figure that around $1.9 million in one-time, nonrecurring fees tied to restating earlier financial periods were incurred; forecasting these is quite challenging, and for the last two quarters they've exceeded what we initially projected for fiscal '25. Each quarter, we'll keep calling out any such charges if they come up. For advertising and marketing expenses, they fell by $3.2 million, a 12.2% drop, landing at $23.3 million in the second quarter of fiscal '25, versus the same period a year ago. During Q2, the amount we spent on advertising and marketing came to 14.9% of net sales. In the same period a year earlier, that figure stood at 17.2%. The drop in that percentage stems mainly from expenses tied to our 25th anniversary campaign during fiscal '24 that did not carry over into fiscal '25. We posted an operating loss of $8.4 million for the quarter, versus $1 million in last year's second quarter, which resulted from the factors we just went over. Before we move on to net loss, net loss per common share, and adjusted EBITDA, we'd ask you to look at the terminology and the reconciliation between each adjusted metric and its most directly comparable GAAP measure, all of which appear in the earnings release we put out earlier this morning. For the quarter, our net loss came to $5.9 million, which works out to negative $0.38 per common share. In the same period a year earlier, the net loss stood at $0.6 million, or negative $0.04 per common share. We booked an income tax benefit of $1.8 million in the second quarter of fiscal 25, versus less than $0.1 million a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA totaled $1.5 million for the quarter, compared with $5.3 million in the prior year period. Now looking at our balance sheet, we closed out the second quarter in a very healthy position. To start, we reported $72.1 million in cash and cash equivalents, roughly flat on a sequential basis and up nicely from a year ago. Next, the amount of product we have on hand matches what we had forecasted. We're very pleased with how good our inventory is in terms of both its quality and its size, and with our capacity to keep in-stock levels and delivery speeds that lead the industry. Finally, I'd like to give you an update on our credit facility. When the second quarter wrapped up, it had $36 million in committed availability, with nothing drawn. In Q2, we were able to complete the amendment and extension of that facility. It now runs through July 27, 2029. We brought in an additional $10 million of uncommitted capacity — that's an accordion feature — and we also improved many other parts of the agreement. Taken together, this change gives Lovesac even more room on the financial side to keep putting money into the business and still return value to shareholders. Along those lines, we were glad to share news of a first-ever buyback program. Our Board of Directors approved repurchasing as much as $40 million in outstanding common stock, which we expect to fund from cash on hand and free cash flow we generate later. When, how, at what price, and in what size any buybacks happen depends on numerous factors, and our approach will be disciplined yet ready to seize opportunities. For a bit of basic context, our initial estimate is that we offset stock compensation dilution at a minimum. We're eager to talk through more with all of you over the next several quarters. For additional information about our second quarter financial performance, please see our earnings press release. Turning now to our outlook: near term, our goal is growth no matter what the category does, extending our history of taking share. Beyond that, we're positioned to benefit from a category recovery the moment it arrives, and faster than competitors can. When that happens, the extra revenue ought to produce growing flow through from top line growth into bottom line growth. To be specific, our baseline assumption of a 10% category decline for the full year is unchanged, and it's what supports our fiscal '25 outlook.

Keith Siegner

executive
#5

During the first half of the fiscal year, the category dropped by roughly 12%, which was pretty much in line with what we initially assumed. That assumption also anticipated somewhat improved category conditions in the back half compared with the front half. Once more, if the category does better, we'd anticipate doing better ourselves, and the reverse holds too. When it comes to the complete fiscal '25 year, we're narrowing the ranges in our guidance. Our projection for net sales is $700 million to $735 million. We anticipate adjusted EBITDA in the range of $52 million to $59 million. That figure incorporates gross margins between 58% and 59%, advertising and marketing at about 13% of net sales, and SG&A at roughly 40% of net sales. We project net income in the range of $17 million to $21 million. Our estimate for diluted income per common share falls between $1.01 and $1.26, along with roughly 16.9 million estimated diluted weighted average shares outstanding. Just to remind everyone, fiscal '25 will have 52 weeks, whereas fiscal '24 had an extra 53rd week during the fourth quarter. Turning to the fiscal third quarter, our net sales estimate is $152 million to $160 million, which would mark yet another quarter of marginal growth at the midpoint. We anticipate adjusted EBITDA ranging from a loss of $3 million to income of $1 million. That includes gross margins of about 58%, advertising and marketing at approximately 15% of net sales, and SG&A between 45% and 47% of net sales. Our net loss estimate falls between $4 million and $8 million; basic loss per common share is projected at $0.28 to $0.50, with 15.6 million weighted average shares outstanding. I want to spend a moment getting ahead of the question about the implied acceleration in net sales growth for the fiscal fourth quarter relative to the fiscal third quarter; we're projecting sequential growth acceleration because of a handful of factors. First, there's catch-up on demand shipments for PillowSac Accent Chair and StealthTech, since both experienced shipment delays caused by longer lead times. Second, new innovation that recently launched will get a full quarter of sales along with greater awareness in the fourth quarter, while a year ago new innovation mostly helped the third quarter after Angled Side debuted. Finally, we're forecasting a slight category uptick from Q3 to Q4, though it's obviously still declining as rates start to come down and election-related uncertainty fades after the election; in short, category stabilization and an eventual return to category growth lie ahead of us. In the interim, even as category declines persist, we think we can strike a balance between growing revenues and profitability while investing in foundations and product innovation, which puts us in the best position to create stakeholder value for many years ahead. At this point I'll hand the call back to the operator so we can begin our Q&A session.

Mike Baker

analyst
#6

Alright, thanks. My question about that Q4 ramp has already been covered by you — it still looks pretty aggressive to me, even if I guess I get what's driving it. So, if I can ask something further on that, might you quantify how much pent-up demand you're seeing for the new Accent Chair and StealthTech? What was the length of those delays? My assumption is that you've got considerable visibility into a chunk of that revenue, so could you just size how much of it feeds into that Q4 ramp?

Keith Siegner

executive
#7

Yes, certainly, Mike. So, that impact started landing in Q2, near the end of Q2. A little more will be picked up through Q3, and then in Q4 it's fully settled. It comes to millions of dollars, but it lands in the single digits — so single-digit millions of dollars in transfer that will be recovered in Q4. Our visibility is very strong on when those lead times end and when shipping becomes possible, so that's a number we feel quite confident in. And separately, on the promotional side, we're looking at 30% off.

Mike Baker

analyst
#8

Alright, I appreciate that, it helps. Just two or three more quick ones—at least the sector stats we monitor have begun improving somewhat, and I believe you hinted at the same thing, simply because rates have dropped. Are there any positive signals, anything you could mention perhaps regarding mix or the upper end compared with the lower end, or any indications early on that mortgage rates falling significantly could be benefiting your operations, or at minimum providing some clarity about how the second half might look?

Keith Siegner

executive
#9

Wait, just a moment. I believe Shawn has his line muted.

Mike Baker

analyst
#10

I figured that one had you stuck.

Keith Siegner

executive
#11

Not at all—just give us a moment. He'll be here shortly.

Shawn Nelson

executive
#12

Sure, the most accurate way to describe the current state of our business is that Lovesac has spent a very long stretch in expansion mode. When we examine what competitors are doing, the level of promotional activity has genuinely taken us aback, correct? That stands as one of the — at this point, one of the strongest indicators of what is happening across the industry; as for Lovesac, we have worked hard to maintain our position regarding where our own promotional levels sit, and the durability the business has shown has left us quite satisfied. Given that, claiming we can spot any real green shoots is difficult. We stay extremely watchful about how we map out the business from one quarter to the next, even from one month to the next; and clearly, everyone is monitoring the macro picture. All of us note that interest rates are probably going to decline, which ought to influence this category. However, if you want our perspective as the management team, it is to remain truly cautious about when that impact could actually appear. So from our standpoint, for the time being it is simply more of the same. Beyond that, our business enjoys the advantage of innovation, right? You brought up green shoots. I believe part of why we keep proving resilient, to be fair, is that we keep introducing new products that generate fresh momentum for us, such as the PillowSac Chair Accent Frame, which fuels repeat purchases and, naturally, new purchases too, like the AnyTable that only became available this past week. So for us, these represent inorganic, or rather, non-cyclical sorts of opportunities that we are generating on our own, yet when it comes to industry green shoots, what we have right now is closer to a steady holding pattern.

Keith Siegner

executive
#13

Mike, one more item — a single data point — in case you find this interesting. So during this year, we've noticed some notable patterns in how the Lovesac Credit Card program is being used, which is essentially the financing option our customers rely on. At the start of the calendar year, we informed you that we had observed declines in the share of revenues going through the program, especially among the low end consumer, and that then leveled off across several months. But after that, we encountered these shifts that hit the entire industry — nothing particular to Lovesac — tied to program fees that many banks put in place on programs of this kind. This quarter, the second quarter overall, we wound up seeing utilization of the credit card, as a percentage of revenues, come in several 100 basis points below what we had previously. And it genuinely appears tied to how that program fee was implemented. So we're collaborating with our partners on this, attempting to determine what effect it had on our demand trends overall. How can we adjust our offers so we remain as relevant as possible — perhaps through shorter duration, deferred interest offers, that sort of thing — to ensure we're putting forward the most compelling offer we can as we move into the back-half of the year. So look, should rates begin to decline, and consequently implied interest fees begin to decline, all of that will be helpful too. So we'll manage this, but I wanted you to be aware that following that implementation, we've recorded a decline of a couple of 100 basis points in our utilization rate.

Mike Baker

analyst
#14

Yeah, that's an intriguing point. Thanks for the details. One more brief question: does your outlook factor in any repurchases? You mentioned that you anticipate it will counterbalance dilution, but specifically, as we build our model, should repurchases be part of our projections? And on a broader note, how did that choice come to be? We're aware some shareholder letters were penned during the quarter, so we're just trying to grasp the buyback rationale a bit better.

Keith Siegner

executive
#15

To provide a bit of context, talks have been ongoing with management and the Board for a good while. As we've mentioned on earlier calls, a certain order had to be observed, which involved handling the credit facility's upcoming maturity prior to adopting a shift in capital management approach. So, the credit facility had to come first. With that now complete, I believe the takeaway is that we're quite confident in the balance sheet's strength and how we're steering and equilibrating both the present circumstances and the wish to keep financing all this truly potent innovation, part of which you've witnessed and additional parts are on dotcom. We haven't incorporated any into the projection; that initiative was simply expanded. I did mention on the call, and this is likely the full extent of what I can share today, that we're considering countering the dilutive effect of equity compensation as a solid, sensible baseline. Achieving that would need under $10 million annually. So, when considering your models, that's likely a sound starting point.

Mike Baker

analyst
#16

Thanks. I really appreciate you making the time.

Maria Ripps

analyst
#17

Hi there. Morning, and thank you for fielding my questions. To start, I'd like to revisit the guidance you gave for the entire year. Since Q2 landed roughly in line with what was expected, perhaps even a touch above, could you share your thinking on reducing the width of that guidance, particularly at the top end? It also looks as though a bit of sales is moving out of Q3 and into Q4. Still, when we consider the outlook for the whole year, is there anything that looks different to you today compared with, say, the prior quarter?

Keith Siegner

executive
#18

Not particularly. We feel quite confident about our innovation, yet uncertainty in the macro backdrop persists, particularly as this election approaches. Promotional activity has also ramped up, and you heard Shawn mention this earlier; we've observed certain rivals stretching out and raising promotional levels across the — what was notable at a macro level, and if you examine some of the figures available, headline promotions came in a bit above what they were at Labor Day, and a bit above what they were at Black Friday a year ago. So, we're simply aiming to stay pragmatic, factoring in all of this. There aren't any truly significant shifts beyond that, and we judged it wise to narrow the range.

Maria Ripps

analyst
#19

Maria, thanks for that. Okay, so first, could you bring us up to speed on where you currently stand regarding the ideal count of showrooms, and perhaps all the other ways customers connect with the company? Also, any insight you might offer on the extra lift in revenue and brand recognition that comes from launching additional showrooms at present, relative to what it was, say, 2 years back?

Mary Fox

executive
#20

Yes, hello Maria, and thanks for asking such a good question. What we've consistently communicated is that we foresee room for a bit more than 400 showrooms. And clearly, based on what we're seeing this year, we expect to deliver roughly a net 30. So that potential remains visible to us. Our model gets updated constantly whenever we consider our approach to the market. So we feel quite confident about that room to grow. The second element, which you correctly pointed to, is that whenever a showroom opens, we also observe an added spillover effect benefiting our online operations. And as the share of our business coming from those channels keeps expanding, especially involving certain technologies we've introduced, like what I mentioned regarding My Hub, the two really reinforce each other; this lets you generate sales not only through the showroom but also more widely across every channel combined. For us, showrooms genuinely serve to build awareness, and we recognize that a great many customers wish to visit and physically sit on our couch and try our product. Something notable, Shawn, when we discussed the PillowSac Accent Chair, is that it generated excitement across the entire brand. Folks visited the showrooms to check out this new item, and afterward they'd say, hey, these Sactionals are neat, so they sat through a demo and purchased the Sactional. There's simply so much potential when you return to considering our flywheel, and the capacity to demonstrate, let people try the product, and introduce fantastic innovation that builds enthusiasm for the brand. We perceive a lengthy path forward, so we're quite pleased with how things performed this year and clearly with what's planned for the coming year.

Maria Ripps

analyst
#21

Understood, that's quite useful. Thanks, Mary, and thanks as well, Keith.

Tom Forte

analyst
#22

Excellent. To start, Shawn, Mary, and Keith, congratulations on the quarter. I've got a single question plus one follow-up. Shawn, could you share your present thinking regarding the approach you take to creating new products? What's your view on new lines like StealthTech, and on adjacent items like AnyTable?

Shawn Nelson

executive
#23

Sure, I appreciate that, Tom. Above all else, as we have stated over the years, our design for life concept anchors all of our activities, and just so everyone is following along, this refers to goods made to endure for an entire lifetime and engineered to change over time. In our view, this perspective is entirely without parallel in the marketplace. We can't identify any other home businesses, or honestly any other product businesses, that could match that sort of philosophy, and it extends past what we sell. It genuinely shapes our approach to business. All of our upcoming efforts around services, trade-in, and trade-up, all of which we've discussed previously, truly benefit from this design for life approach to operating. Having said that, I want to restate a point we've made in the past, though not lately. We consider our domain to span from the mailbox all the way to the backyard fence, correct? And we adopt a quite lengthy perspective regarding our company. We feel we are creating a brand that will endure for many, many decades and be deeply cherished owing to our dedication to the ethos I just outlined. So for the time being, we have remained quite concentrated on the living room, with Sactionals plus extensions to Sactionals, among them the latest AnyTable introduction. It is a Sactional, and it can connect with Sactionals, for example, yet it can likewise function independently as a coffee table. Simultaneously, AnyTable was engineered to accommodate upcoming innovation, and that's among the aspects I take the greatest pride in. It possesses traits, measurements, and various components that might let AnyTable eventually become a platform of its own and expand into additional extensions and case goods, and so on. Yet it also lets us, in the closest term, remain tightly concentrated on a business that keeps performing well and genuinely captures market share in a strong manner. That, naturally, is the Sactionals business. So right now it's sort of a hybrid product, and it does carry the chance to develop into larger and wider things. Regarding venturing into additional rooms, say elsewhere in the house, or across that mailbox-to-backyard span, that will arrive. And we are currently working on development, patents, and prototypes in other areas beyond the living room. Still, in the closer term, we stay quite focused, and I believe time favors us. If we were to roll out the next big thing in a brand-new category right now, honestly, would anybody even notice? It's not only factors like the election — it's where the economy stands, where this category stands. There's no way to say it too strongly: what we're going through in the home category is worse than 2008, 2009, and 2010. And fortunately, we're well past a few years into it. So I don't want to sound glib, but Lovesacs has come through it in good shape, and that has genuinely given us room to keep pushing hard into innovation — the kind I'm only hinting at — at a moment when I believe a lot of our competitors have gone through layoffs and likely cut back on much of this sort of thing. And I believe that will let us come out of this strong as the world keeps shifting and evolving and this category keeps shifting and evolving. So we've got both hands on the wheel, everyone focused on innovation, and we're genuinely excited about what lies ahead and genuinely enjoying this chance to invest this way in the business, even while of course we keep a tight grip on expenses and keep trying to produce profits and cash. So innovation is what pushes us forward, and we can't be — it's what gives us energy, and we truly can't wait to share more with you at the upcoming Investor Day. That's probably the moment — and your opportunity — to get the clearest picture, and for us to be a bit less vague about what's ahead.

Tom Forte

analyst
#24

Great, and as a second question, could you discuss gross margins along with contribution margins for newly launched items like the PillowSac Accent Chair and AnyTable? My assumption is that contribution margins would be pretty strong, since absent direct promotion of those items — my sense is that in the past, at least with StealthTech, you promote the Sactional, yet then folded it into that promotion. So I would welcome your perspective on this.

Keith Siegner

executive
#25

Sure. Shawn, go ahead.

Shawn Nelson

executive
#26

Alright, before we move on, I want to quickly address StealthTech since you raised that question and I hadn’t said anything about it — I believe that matters. After that, Keith, you can handle the margin side. For us, StealthTech has clearly represented a significant breakthrough over these past several years, and what you’re going to watch it turn into is essentially — to borrow our Lovesac comparison — the connective fiber linking every one of our upcoming product platforms, and honestly setting us apart as an organization that has adopted technology in a manner quite unlike, naturally, the rivals we face in the Sactional Sofa space — and not merely the sectional sofa space, but across the broader home segment. Whether it’s StealthTech or these fresh developments, we stay extremely rigorous about the way we oversee our gross margin structure and build the products so they can compete while being Designed for Life. A great deal of thought and effort goes into designing and manufacturing these items, yet we remain highly disciplined when it comes to protecting those gross margins. I’ll have Keith offer you some detail on that.

Keith Siegner

executive
#27

Yeah, Shawn put it nicely. As we consider this whole approach — and consider how our comprehensive operating model generates returns on invested capital, plus the role that gross margin plays within that equation — these fresh product launches begin with determining where we compete and the way we prevail, what our comparative brand position happens to be, and which price points buyers will gravitate toward most in our case versus competing options. That informs how we design goods that satisfy those expectations while still delivering the margins we require, correct, to sustain this operating model over the long haul, just as Shawn mentioned, so we are extremely deliberate about this. Then, you know, there are always fresh insights we pick up, like with the PillowSac Accent Chair — here's an item that's completely out of stock because demand has been so strong. How do we handle markdowns or promotional activity and similar matters, especially for newly launched items? There's plenty we can learn from that, and honestly, I'll circle back to something Mary mentioned during the call: since the speed of innovation is truly accelerating, we are fully systematizing what we've learned from cases such as the PillowSac Accent Chair, putting it through testing, and improving upon it before launching the following item with AnyTable, after which we'll keep honing this as we progress into far larger items that are in the pipeline across the coming two years. So this is an ongoing, data-informed practice of fine-tuning, and, however, we do view the whole thing comprehensively — it isn't random.

Mary Fox

executive
#28

Correct. And Tom, regarding the things you asked about marketing — right now, clearly, we're in the middle of the AnyTable launch, and the emphasis there is on moving additional seats and sides, additional Sactionals. Look, your Sactional has become far better thanks to this remarkable AnyTable breakthrough. So it comes back to what the platform can do, and you're able to keep strengthening that platform, and then adding this phenomenal innovation — it's simply carrying forward the same approach we've watched with StealthTech, as you pointed out, and that's what we'll keep doing across every one of our innovations.

Tom Forte

analyst
#29

Thank you, Mary.

Brian Nagel

analyst
#30

Hello, and good morning. Great quarter — congratulations. For my questions, I really want to zero in on innovation, which you've emphasized and which is a major subject on today's reporter call, but I suppose the first thing I'd ask is this: when we consider how your sectors are being recognized, things remain uneven, yet when we consider the top-line growth algorithm for Lovesac — and now, with product innovation arriving, perhaps settling into a steadier rhythm — how ought we to view product innovation as a factor within your top-line growth algorithm?

Keith Siegner

executive
#31

Excellent question. This is something we'll discuss a bit further at the Investor Day that Shawn brought up. See, the true key for us is that it all begins with seats and sides — correct? That's the heart of the business model; that's what produces the profits and the cash flows; that's what supplies the capital required to bring the innovation we possess — a great deal of it in the pipeline — ahead and truly commercialize it and launch it. What we're attempting to accomplish is to balance the reality of the category and the cash we generate that we retain with seats and sides against the unleashing of that product portfolio, if that makes sense, and we must remain balanced throughout this period. If the category were absolutely soaring upward and we had additional cash from seats and sides, we could speed up even more — that's the juggling act we're navigating, and that's what shapes how it appears in the business model on the top line, Brian, if that makes sense. So part of what we're doing is continuing to place ourselves in a position to improve that or accelerate that, should the macro truly generate the profit and the cash flows to support it — and again, the macro is driving much of that element. We'll talk more about it, but that's really a bit of context for how it appears in the model.

Brian Nagel

analyst
#32

That's useful, Keith. Now for my next question — I believe you addressed part of this during the prepared remarks — when we consider the PillowSac Accent Chair and the early demand it's generating, is that coming from people who already buy from you or first-time buyers? Basically, how does that split look in those first sales for this new, inventive offering?

Shawn Nelson

executive
#33

Sure, it's an even split, 50 to 50, and that's genuinely thrilling on our end since repeat purchases are coming in at an incredible rate, which ties back to what was asked before and is fantastic for us when you look at gross margin and net contribution — with these shoppers, there's no need to acquire them a second time, no marketing spend required to bring them back, and that keeps building since the item has kept selling out. That product — incidentally, we keep bringing in container loads of it, and it still moves out as quickly as shipments arrive; so we're extremely enthusiastic about it and all it stands for, and it has simply been a sensation on social platforms, especially the PillowSac Chair Accent Frame. In fact, our top-performing post to date, and keep in mind Lovesac is no amateur when it comes to social media, so that's really saying something. I'd say we clearly connected with people in some way through that item — how it looks, how it surfaces for us, what it does for our brand — and it's an accent chair, something outside our traditional territory, a truly distinctive one that doesn't resemble your mother's armchair, yet it places us into a fresh segment of the category where we previously weren't competing. So it's very encouraging that such a large number of current customers are purchasing it, alongside, naturally, plenty of first-time buyers, and we'll keep pushing further into it. I think the final point there, which is also encouraging for the model — our broader model, which is forever being weighed down by macroeconomic conditions, yet we get these standout moments like this — is that this is something we'll still be offering for at least the coming couple of decades, and that's intentional in how we created it. Truly, when you examine that PillowSac Chair Accent Frame closely, it's constructed the way we describe: built to last a lifetime, designed to evolve. And incidentally, we spent a long time — as basic as that item appears — we spent a long time perfecting it. We could have brought it to market far sooner had our standards been lower. Yet that also means it will keep bringing in new buyers and keep generating repeat purchases for many years within our ecosystem; and we'll simply stack one on top of another on top of another; and I believe once we receive the advantage of even just diminished obstacles, not to mention favorable currents, I think Lovesac will, I think every one of these breakthroughs will truly soar.

Brian Nagel

analyst
#34

Thank you, Shawn. That's very helpful, and I appreciate it.

Matt Koranda

analyst
#35

Good morning, everyone. There's one thing I'd like to ask about. During the prepared remarks, I think Keith mentioned that underlying demand was stable throughout the quarter. Could you give us a little more granularity on how things progressed month by month? Also, is there anything you can share about the trends from August into September — what have you been observing? And would it be reasonable to say that demand is tracking in line with the third quarter guidance you provided? My understanding is that a low-single-digit growth rate is what's assumed in that guidance. Or do we need bigger promotional events down the line this quarter to drive sales?

Mary Fox

executive
#36

Hi, Matt. Appreciate the question. Yes, Keith did mention that Q3 looks a lot like Q2, and things have been steady underneath. We see fluctuations from one week to the next, driven by when holidays land, promotional activity, or new products coming out. Labor Day performed as we anticipated and tracked closely with the pattern from the prior two share events, Memorial Day and July 4. And given that Q2 brought us mid-single to low-single-digit revenue growth, our Q3 midpoint guidance sits at a comparable level. Based on how things went over Labor Day, we have strong confidence in this guidance. As Keith mentioned, the competition was considerably tougher during that Labor Day period. Promotional activity turned out to be heavier than what we'd seen previously. Still, the positive side for our company — something we've mentioned before, and we're constantly running tests on this — is that when our discount carries a three at the front, there's no reason to match what competitors are doing. While they're cutting 40, 50, or even 60 off, our position only requires that 30 off level. We've reaped considerable rewards from striking that ideal balance, one that supports the top line while also pushing gross margin higher. So expect this same approach to carry over from Q2 into Q3. That's our approach for the remainder of this quarter, and we're pleased that we can make good on it.

Matt Koranda

analyst
#37

All right, that helps, Mary. Thanks. Then, regarding what I suppose is the suggested increase in EBITDA margin for Q4, that seems fairly elevated. The middle of the guidance appears to point toward something around the mid-20% area, and that would run a bit above what you delivered previously. Perhaps you all might explain the drivers that would get you there. I realize you offered a few comments on gross margin, but my read is it also suggests you'll achieve meaningful operating leverage during Q4; so maybe you could break down where that comes from, whether SG&A or marketing, which would be extremely useful.

Keith Siegner

executive
#38

Sure, Matt. There are numerous components that make up the earnings equation. Let me highlight two items for you. First, substantial leverage exists on the revenue line, correct, and at the midpoint we're returning to stronger revenue expansion. Second, when it comes to gross margin, benefits tied to outbound logistics will begin to appear, as we've discussed across the prior two quarters. That begins to have a greater effect. We've realized some encouraging early cost reductions beginning now, and from there it builds throughout the remaining portion of the year. So our confidence there is quite strong. On the SG&A side, if you remember, we sustained a large amount of costs through the close of last year related to the restatement; our hope is that this won't persist at those amounts. As a result, you gain leverage there. We additionally observe certain possibilities broadly speaking in areas such as professional fees. Quite a few individual line items in various places feed into this. So in a sense, we aren't excessively dependent on any single line item within this effort. These figures and ranges are ones our confidence in remains quite high right now.

Matt Koranda

analyst
#39

All right, excellent; and may I squeeze in one additional question regarding the financing program you brought up, Keith? You said program fees have begun to take effect, which might have lowered the share of revenue being financed via the credit card program. Could you walk through when that takes place? And it seemed like the ways to return to a comparable financing rate are simply adjusting promotions further. But is there anything additional you can pursue on that side to increase financing penetration?

Keith Siegner

executive
#40

Yeah, this is the kind of topic the providers and sponsors of these private label cards discuss extensively, and they provide plenty of specifics regarding when everything took effect. It's probably better handled by them. Throughout the quarter it has taken hold, and often there's what you'd call a 2% upfront fee now that many sponsors and issuers of these programs have put in place. So that's the thing we were talking about, and we can dive into further specifics on this offline, but you can extend other offers that don't fall under that program fee, that initial 2%; so, we're going to try options along those lines to see whether we move away from our prior program, correct, since we've largely offered equal payments with no interest previously. If we switch and adopt alternative financing offers, does that change behavior? That's what we're trying out at the moment. We don't have those answers yet, but that's what we intend to test and we're going to learn; and we're going to find out whether it makes a difference, we'll adjust and ensure customers have something highly appealing to them, particularly as we head into the major holiday selling season; that's roughly the point we're making.

Matt Koranda

analyst
#41

All right, that clears things up quite a bit. I'll step aside now. Appreciate it.

Alex Fuhrman

analyst
#42

Hi there, everyone. Thanks for letting me ask. There's been quite a bit of discussion regarding speeding up the creation of new items, so I wanted to see whether you could give us some sense of numbers — what portion of your revenue in this year do you anticipate will be generated by newly introduced items? And I realize that's likely simpler to pose than to respond to, given that certain items are aimed more at add-on purchases than others. But is there any way you could put that into context for us? And after that, would it be reasonable to expect that the amount coming from new items will be considerably larger in the following year?

Keith Siegner

executive
#43

Perhaps I'll kick things off on that, and then Shawn, chime in if you'd like to weigh in on any part of it. Alex, that's a solid question, and a tough one to respond to — let me walk through the reason, all right? Take, for instance, the PillowSac Accent Chair Frame; I believe that's an ideal illustration. Since we introduced something so distinctive, appealing, and thrilling inside our Sac lineup, we're aware that we moved additional Sactionals. Are we certain precisely how many additional Sactionals we moved? No — that's somewhat hard to pin down, correct? Even so, it's a highly favorable and productive, brand-advancing approach to draw customers in and get them considering the complete value proposition we provide. Consequently, we move more of all our offerings, right? And that's truly the strength of Lovesac: as we strengthen our ecosystem — our collection of products that are Designed for Life — we believe it bolsters the total value proposition we deliver, and we'll move more of everything. That's my perspective, then. So Shawn, I'm not sure whether you'd like to contribute anything further to that.

Shawn Nelson

executive
#44

Yeah. I believe what you're asking is — I can't wait until the year wraps up so we can finally answer how much of our revenue came from newly introduced items; and I hope that doesn't come across as clueless. As we've mentioned, the PillowSac Accent Chair Frame has blown past our forecasts, and those forecasts were already ambitious, correct? Naturally, we felt great about this item; we thought our launch strategy was solid. And at Lovesac, we don't — well, you could make the case that we ought to have planned more carefully or whatever, I'm not sure. To be fair, this item will still be on the market for many decades ahead. So if we run into some stock shortages right when we introduce it, that's fine with us. There's — we're cultivating a customer base for the long haul; we're trying to establish relationships. It's not only about new items; and I realize that isn't what you're getting at. But it does offer a small window into the way we think, the way we plan. We're simultaneously aggressive and conservative. We'll be aggressive in our market approach. We'll be conservative in the way we sometimes plan inventory, and so on, particularly during periods like this one. And so, we're playing catch-up on that item. We'll clearly find out how the AnyTable performs. And we're facing some longer lead times on certain other items, and so forth, simply given this sort of climate; so, I think, clearly, we have a layer cake that we've constructed for our own models that reveals and responds to what you're asking. But it isn't something we truly discuss openly in the manner you're posing the question. So, I think that as we — perhaps for Investor Day, that's something we could consider, how we address that, because as Keith mentioned, our items are so interconnected, like the PillowSac Accent Chair Frame is tied to the PillowSac and Sac business overall. The AnyTable is tied to those Sactionals. And in the end, if we can move more $5,000, $10,000, $15,000 couches, thanks to this clever table and not merely the table. I mean let me just throw in a mention of all the new wood products we've introduced. New drink holders, new coasters, new trades. I mean come to a showroom and look at these things. We've made a significant push into wood products, which for us counts as a significant push. And it's also, incidentally, us dipping a toe in the water, since wood plays a major role in the home, and we need to improve at it. And I think you'll watch us doing that in real time at this very moment, right? But the endgame is to move more seats and sides and remain highly focused on that in the short term as we keep capturing market share and building momentum against the category. My apologies — we aren't able to offer you a nicer sort of model that would be accretive for analysts in response to what you asked, yet it did get us thinking, and I appreciate that question.

Alex Fuhrman

analyst
#45

That's great, I really value all those details, and many thanks.

Shawn Nelson

executive
#46

I simply want to express gratitude to every investor, all shareholders, and the wider Lovesac family whose efforts keep this business moving forward. Your backing means a lot to us.

Operator

operator
#47

Thanks, everyone — that brings today's conference call to a close. At this point you're free to drop off your lines. We appreciate you taking part.

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