THG Plc (THG) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
October 12, 2021
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Matthew Moulding
executiveGood afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our THG Capital Markets event. My name is Matthew Moulding, CEO of THG. Well, what a year. We came to market in September last year as the U.K.'s largest IPO in 5 years. Since then, we've upgraded forecasts, hired an extra 3,000 people, raised over $1 billion in fresh firepower and brought on Board the world's largest tech investor, SoftBank. We recognize that after just 13 months as a public company, we still have a lot of work to do in educating investors and others. And that is the purpose of today's Capital Markets Day. Our focus today is on the THG Ingenuity tech platform, our rapidly growing technology division, which complements our other divisions beauty, nutrition and on-demand. This event has been in the diary for a couple of months now, but we've been thinking about it for much longer with the aim of giving a more granular insight into THG Ingenuity and helping you to understand why we are so excited about this business. In addition to Ingenuity, we are also speaking about sustainability today, setting out our 2030 sustainability strategy. Phil Pratt, our Chief Sustainability Officer, will talk you through this. We have set some very ambitious goals, including to be climate positive and to offset our historical emissions. Back to Ingenuity. This is a unique platform, which takes brands direct to consumers all over the world in almost any category. It is the highest growth and highest margin division within the group. No other company can offer all these services as a one-stop shop, hosting, marketing, content, translation, merchandising payments, design, warehousing, couriers, customer services and so on. The disruptive nature of Ingenuity, delivering world-class direct-to-consumer solutions in short time frames at a fraction of the cost of other providers, will hopefully be clear. I'm joined today by John Gallemore, CEO of Ingenuity; and Hannah Pym, Managing Director of Commerce. They will take you through a presentation detailing the various aspects within Ingenuity. They'll also run you through some case studies of the kind of work we're doing for clients, really showing you how it works in practice, and we'll also share some customer feedback. We have spent 17 years and invested over $1 billion to get to this position today. And this investment is clearly beginning to reap the rewards. As an example, I'm pleased to say that in less than 10 weeks since acquiring Cult Beauty, we have successfully migrated the business onto the Ingenuity platform. This is many months ahead of schedule. And to be clear, a complete end-to-end re-platforming of a $200 million revenue e-commerce business would typically take years for any other business to deliver. Cult Beauty alone is a case study, reflective of our technology and experience in being able to complete these transformations and execute them seamlessly. Before I hand over to John to start the presentation, I should also say we are clearly aware of the short attack that was initiated against THG in the past 10 days, centering around the capabilities of our Ingenuity platform. It's fortuitous, therefore, that we have the opportunity today with this Ingenuity Capital Markets event to set the record straight on any claims made. With that in mind, following the Ingenuity presentation from John and Hannah, we will also then have time for Q&A to address any questions you may still have. And with that, I will now hand over to John, who will take you through THG Ingenuity.
John Gallemore
executiveGood afternoon, good morning all. I'm John Gallemore, Group CFO of THG and CEO of THG Ingenuity. I'll be joined by Hannah Pym, Managing Director of THG Ingenuity Commerce. I'm delighted to welcome you to our first Capital Markets event. It's perhaps one of the better time capital market events of the year and very, very well attended too. So welcome to everybody. Our objective for the session is to do a much better job than maybe we have done today and explaining what Ingenuity actually is, what we do for our clients, why they use us and from that, what our revenues comprise of and perhaps more importantly, where will our growth come from. Digitalizing and globalizing a brand is terrifically complex and equally expensive with a high failure rate, which is why I saw few brand owners have ever done it. In 2004, THG operated a one territory outsourced website, [indiscernible] a third-party logistics solution shipping just to one territory. At the same time, marketing cash burn and profitability were a real issue. 17 years on, for most brand owners and retailers, not a lot has changed. Consumer demand for digital commerce is here to stay and accelerating. Companies need a commerce platform that is flexible and scalable for today's world of commerce anywhere and everywhere. And this is exactly what THG Ingenuity delivers to our customers of all sizes, industries and geographies.
Hannah Pym
executiveHi. I'm Hannah Pym, Managing Director of THG Ingenuity Commerce. Ingenuity is a platform that has been built over the past 17 years to deal specifically with the costs, points of friction and complexities of globalizing digital brands across a range of categories. Its credentials in this respect are clearly represented in the growth to dominant positions of our brands in both nutrition and beauty. A critical enabler of THG Group's global brand building and e-commerce activities, THG Ingenuity is now increasingly becoming the partner of choice, powering the growth of some of the world's largest brands. This has been achieved through continuous innovation, development and investment in proprietary technology, operating infrastructure and brand-building capabilities. Ingenuity is completely unique in that, it is both a peer-to-peer e-commerce retailer and a service provider to global cross-border commerce operations. The same technology that drives the growth of our Ingenuity partners also powers the growth and success of our own brands. As a result, any developments and enhancements we make to our technology, our operations, our digital or data solutions automatically benefit our clients too. The genius of the Ingenuity platform is that we make the complex simple. This allows brand owners to focus more exclusively on their go-to-market strategy. Confident in the knowledge that THG Ingenuity has the integrated capabilities to deliver with the resilience, speed and know-how across all territories. Transforming processes from complex to simple requires deep expertise and valuable experience and that we have gained from the successful scaling of THG's own brands. Through the process of growing these brands globally, it has become evident that building a successful direct-to-consumer proposition that can efficiently scale and is truly localized to its markets requires significant financial investment, time and resource.
John Gallemore
executiveJust rolling back to 2004, we started with 2 components from this slide, a very basic e-com engine and third-party fulfillment solution. Costs without barrier, we just couldn't afford anymore back then. [ For laws ] that are better capitalized than we were back then, this should then becomes one of solution and vendor selection. For example, which pieces of marketing technology do I need and who is best to provide it and at what cost. The puzzle continues beyond the technology variables into the real-world challenges. Most brand owners just don't qualify to make those decisions, so they outsource their vendor selection process and a yet more cost and reducing solution accountability. So having laid out all the pieces they need connecting and then operating. Again, most brand owners just don't qualify to do this. There are countless friction points and failure points within each component, linking them a lot, that increases this. It becomes virtually impossible to operate an efficient platform, resulting in high technology costs, low conversion rates, low repeat metrics, acquisition costs and consequently, loss-making models. With internationalization, the challenges, costs and risks are magnified. This is why I saw few have been successful in this despite the Internet have been around for decades and why Ingenuity Commerce is so we placed as a solution. Ingenuity is a combination of complex e-commerce technologies, real-world physical assets and infrastructure and perhaps most importantly, brand-building capability. This has seen us take tiny brands in nutrition and beauty to global leading positions. So this is a preceding spaghetti slide laid out. So bear with me while I take you through each component as they are all critical. We start at the top with an e-commerce platform, the bit that comes first for all. We could debate all day about who is the best amongst technology peers, but this is where the comparisons end as this is the only element in our critical wheel where most of our tech peers provide. I'd argue that the addressable market for most organizations that you would consider peers doesn't even cover all of [ bespoke ]. Our solutions and TAMs now start to build. So having selected an e-commerce platform and in many cases, this has been preceded with the selection of the solutions integrator who would typically put these types of projects together. The next issue will be the selection and integration of trading and merchandising tools. Any merchant with more than 1,000 SKUs will need a PIM or product information manager. This allows them to [ load ] products into our website. Thereafter, they'll need a CMS, a content management system. This manages the products on our website, layout attributes and so on. Wrong choices or poor execution will kill conversion rate. This comes out of the box of Ingenuity and is proven to work. Once merchandising tools are selected and integrated, marketing technology comes next. This is all about cost-effective demand generation and conversion rate. The tools required for this include a search engine on site to our customers to find what they want, a CRM engine to monetize and segment the customer base, personalization to tailor the experience to what a customer wants to see, affiliate and partnership management tools, paid search tools and influence the management tools to manage a huge database of influencers and opinion leaders globally. There is bucket laws of potential solutions to each of these, all critical as a marketing cash burn and high customer acquisition costs will kill majority of all digital business models. Again, these all come out of the box with Ingenuity and they are proven. For any digital platform that extends beyond a one country, one small shed model, a sophisticated order management tool is required to deal with the complexities of payment and warehousing, again, out of the box with Ingenuity Commerce. Effective order screening for potential fraud is often neglected but this hidden costs can weigh heavily on any model. It's not just about keeping the bad guys out, but equally as important, not stopping, delaying or even canceling good orders. We outsource service, trying many vendors over 16 years. 18 months ago, we deployed our proprietary version, THG Detect, and the results have been amazing. [ For doing source ] platform, the chargeback rate reduced from 3% to 0.1% and current rejection rate was reduced fivefold and order referral rate from manual checking reduced from 9% to 3% versus their previous supplier. THG Detect is now headless and available as a stand-alone product. For anyone on this call, you may need this requirement, I can offer a free year 1 trial. I can do this because our costs are serving negligible. And again, Ingenuity Commerce clients get this out of the box. Checkout and payment is such an important area. You can imagine experience in a physical store, long queues for tail, payment cards not accepted or even worse, cards declined for no reason. This is the digital conversion rate killer, and most merchants just don't even track it. It's not just a case of having payment options, such as the prevailing tax in, say, the Netherlands, South Korea or China, they all differ. There are so many different types now, credit, debit card, wallets, buy now pay later, crypto and so on. Maintaining pace with innovation here is simply not enough. For example, having the wrong acquiring bank in a cross-border transaction can add 10% onto a standard decline rate. That's a 10% hit to conversion rate. This area is very well served by aggregators, but at scale, the savings are huge by these intermediaries and distributors up to 2% on sales. We built out a sophisticated suite of payment options to suit the global market, and we continue to partner with innovators in this field to add to our capability as before, out of the box of Ingenuity. This not only provides the merchant customer choice, but at significantly lower rates and will be available to merchants. Additionally, our checkout is available headless, plug in into the client solutions, such as with Mondelez and their amazing partnership with S4 Capital. Again, I can make this solution available for free for a 12-month period, excluding any pass-through transaction cost that is because, again, our delivery costs are negligible. So let's move on to real-world assets, beginning with data centers. The relevance here is one of merchant cost and customer experience. Consider a customer in San Francisco, Tokyo, or even Manchester, for example. If I have to wait 30 seconds for [indiscernible], quite simply they won't, they will leave and won't return. The tech giants offer great cloud-based solutions here, but costs will escalate way ahead of any revenue build, particularly as bandwidth heavy video growth to support social channels. We know because it happened to us as we internationalized. Our solution is to turn a big cost center into profit. So in 2017, we acquired a cloud-based hosting business, giving us all the capability we need and also GBP 25 million swing in cost of profit. Revenues from hosting owned clients are not reported in Ingenuity Commerce, but the wider Ingenuity business. Ingenuity Commerce clients get the benefit of the superb service wrapped into the ongoing tech license fees as it's a hosted solution that we provide. It also means that our cost of hosting Ingenuity Commerce client is negligible unlike many of our tech peers. It's a very similar story with translation services. The importance of doing this well isn't just about offering a credibly localized website to a customer in country, which is super important. But there can also be a huge impact to marketing costs if areas of the site driving [ SEO ] performance marketing are translated well. Several years ago, as we accelerated our internationalization, our outsourcing costs were escalating. So we acquired a business with a specific expertise and the client base, again, to [indiscernible] cost into profit. All of our Ingenuity Commerce clients get the benefit of this capability as we internationalize them at pace. We are a brand builder that is fully vertically integrated. Product innovation, development and manufacture, we believe are central to this. We are a digital business that gets access to data points in real time from all over the world. The relevance here is that if we can convert those data points into a faster innovation process than our competitors while guaranteeing high-quality, and our shelves will always be more relevant and attractive to our customers, a key foundation in any brand builder. We have beauty labs in North America and the U.K., alongside nutrition labs in North America, the U.K. and Europe supported by biomanufacturing, ready to drink manufacturing, a flavoring house and pill manufacturer in the U.K. These facilities service both internal and external clients. Revenues from external clients are not reported in Ingenuity at any level. They follow the category. Clients of our U.K. beauty lab are reported within Ingenuity. In 2022, they will fall into beauty alongside our U.S.-based beauty lab, Bentley. Fulfillment, I could and should spend all day talking about this. This area and delivery are arguably the most important spokes in this wheel. It's the only physical touch point with any customer. And from my experience, completely ignored by 90% of our merchants or impossible to do well and cost effectively without GMV scale. Having suffered terrible provision of WMS, warehouse management software, we built our own in 2017, it's called Voyager. This now powers THG fulfillment centers across the globe from entry level CapEx-like facilities, such as 60,000 square feet in California, to 1 million square feet automated solutions in the U.K. As part of our recent collaboration with SoftBank and AutoStore, we're in the process of commissioning a fully automated 800,000 square foot [indiscernible] and retrieval solution in Manchester. Having only accessed this new building in April, we have built the solution inbound over 6 million beauty units and are already dispatching orders. That's quick. The beauty of this model is it removes the complexity of combining both the software and hardware required to power such facilities. Essentially, we take our [ order ] management service, which flows into Voyager or WMS. This wraps around the AutoStore solution, removing that complexity but then feeds downstream into our sophisticated courier library [indiscernible] delivered to deal with a complex global delivery requirements. This product is called FIR/ST. It is flexible. It can plug into any commerce engine, it's quick to deploy as we have evidenced consequently low risk and inexpensive and deals with all the downstream complexity of delivery and any customer service follow-up. We estimate it to be at least 30% more efficient than any manual solution. A metric that is only going to grow as labor cost and shortages exacerbate. Payback on a [ signed ] investment [indiscernible] or any client in less than 3 years. Our standard manual [ void ] system and FIR/ST as stand-alone products with a huge time in their own right. Once first starts to commercialize with third-party clients in 2022, we will be charging a margin in addition to the pass-through costs, and these will be disclosed and included within Ingenuity Commerce. 95% of our Ingenuity clients make use of our fulfillment services. Prior to 2020, we offered this service to our clients at cost. Consequently, at present, we do not include those revenues or postage delivery revenues within Ingenuity Commerce but within the broader ingenuity definition as a cost pass-through item. Next up is print on demand or personalization. This is by no means essential to an e-comm model but a real differentiator. Some of you on the call remember Zavvi. And some of you have probably forecasted downfall. For those of you who don't know, it was an entertainment retailer selling computer games and DVDs, we acquired them out of administration 14 years ago. As with most of the spokes in this wheel, necessity truly was the mother of invention. To evolve that model and deliver profitability, we created a licensing and personalization business. So the capability in that solution is now put to use in product differentiation for some of our confectionary clients. In this D2C model, by adding specific content or packaging, we can take a $5 product and convert to a $25 product while removing the retailers margin. I would suggest you all look to add Quality Street and Toblerone to your Christmas list this year. Sorry, this is one area I can't provide these free for the next 12 months. Next is a really important area, delivery or more specifically, THG Delivered. This is an internally built courier label library. This type of solution is typically plugged in through a SaaS model. Our commerce clients get it for free as part of our solution. However, it extends way beyond that. Delivered connects to over 195 different final mile delivery solutions, accessed for our global network of fulfillment centers. Because of what since learned in penetrating new markets, our data scientists constantly analyze delivery performance, but also customer lifetime value by courier. We allow our customers to choose this service. While reinforcing these options with data points, we all get the benefit of our group scale. It becomes a collective. As we grow GMV, we all get better pricing. Prior to 2020, we passed all delivery costs through to clients at cost. And consequently, this revenue is reported within a broader ingenuity category, not Ingenuity Commerce. In addition, to Commerce clients getting access to this platform, it is now available as a stand-alone product. It can be pulled into any client's commerce platform or even their WMS solution, managing all elements of cross-border trade into taxation downstream from there. Again, if anybody listening just wants our courier label library, they can have it in the first 12 months for free because our cost to deliver is negligible. THG Delivered feeds into Orbit, which is our proprietary customer service interface. We provide the technology and run the call centers that handle all incoming outbound customer contacts across all channels with over 34 languages covered. Additionally, we control all courier e-mail communications to customers, branding them in accordance with client requirements. Courier trucking e-mails linked back to the client's D2C website and not to courier platforms, adding more visits and revenue to the proposition. The small, free, incremental revenue add-ons make all of the difference in a complex global solution where there can be a performance leakage at every point. Just managing this element of the service alone would be very complex for brand owner across so many territories. Orbit revenues are reported within Ingenuity Commerce because their services directly apply to commerce clients, although a small element of the mix. So we're getting closer. We can all spend all day arguing who is the best tech, the best merch tools, best marketing tech, fraud checkout, the best fully integrated warehouse and cross-border fulfillment solution. But what's beyond doubt is that against all of those different competitor sets and TAMs, we are definitively the only solution that has built its own consumer brands to dominate global positions and in more than one category. We are foremost a brand builder and a brand curator. And a brand owner and retailer who's managed to solve putting together a complex cross-border digital solution, which is very few now faces the greatest challenge of all, customer acquisition cost, repeat metrics and the ultimate nemesis, marketing cash burn. [indiscernible] is the one question that seems to obsess the investor community and perhaps for good reason. It's one of the disciplines that THG has excelled in over the years, perhaps reflecting the disciplines and lessons learned when we were trying to survive selling CDs for a penny profit at the time. You could have a beautiful Bentley motor car in your drive, the best invested model. But without the capability to drive a feel of engineering such as that, it will become a millstone and digital history is littered with them. So what is brand building? What is digital brand curation? Is this a content and data and how that interacts with trading and marketing techniques to cost effectively grow our loyal customer base and sales in multi-territories globally. Without the technology and infrastructure, it cannot happen. But equally, those assets are worthless without that capability. Content is at the center of customer communication. It feeds the influencer and opinion leader networks. We have Europe's best invested content production facility in Manchester, which opened last month. To date, no content revenues have been reported in Ingenuity Commerce as this is a service that just hasn't been monetized. As we grow this capability in the new facility, this will form part of this reporting line. For a majority of our commerce clients, we act as a digital marketing agency and also provide trading and merchandising resource. These are skill sets that many brand owners and retailers just don't have. To continue the Bentley analogy, not only do we put the multicar in your drive, but we'll also feel it up and drive it for you. Finally, let's talk about strategy. In the last quarter, we have recorded more revenue in assisting clients with go-to-market strategy, and we delivered revenue in THG's first year. It's small now, but I know how this can grow. So why don't organization just go and replicate what we have here? We have invested over $1 billion in building this capability over the last 17 years. Anyone attempted to build this will find it obsolete way before the project completes. The other alternative is a complex, expensive conglomeration of many vendors across many disciplines, [ assembling a ] solution, we do with cost and failure points with no single accountability for any of it. These types of solutions have been proven to that resilience in times like this. Now that alternative solution will be for some. But I would argue that there are sufficient potential clients who want a solution that is inexpensive, quick to deploy with single accountability and a platform proven to be world-class. And if this isn't enough, they get comfort from dealing with a partner who has proven to be a world-class digital brand builder in their own right. These factors combined to maximize our clients' chances of success. Ingenuity is business in a box. So how does our capability feed into our revenue model? This slide takes the previous graphic, lays it out flat and overlays where we charge and where we report these revenues. Firstly, I will run through revenue sources in Ingenuity Commerce. Given the breadth of services that we perform on a typical contract, the sources of revenue are extensive and led. You can see the solutions we provide across the page with how we monetize an Ingenuity Commerce laid above those services. Below those services, we show revenue that is captured in the broader Ingenuity segment. Technology fees will be charged for site building ongoing platform licensing. These will be at a level consistent with entry-level single territory, flat e-commerce engines, removing the capital barrier for complex global solutions, our speciality. Our components of world-class web platform are included in this license fee, including merchandising and marketing technologies. The extensive range of services that we provide will be charged for as they are consumed by commerce clients. The commerce solution is cloud hosted. So this is picked up in the license fee. All hosting revenues generated are not from commerce clients and so were included in the broader Ingenuity reporting line, as is the case with transaction services unless they arrive specifically from a commerce claim. As mentioned previously, fulfillment and delivery prior to 2020 were passed through at cost and so have not been reported within Ingenuity Commerce. We will review the appropriateness of this in 2022, given the huge TAM and profit stream we see in this function. In addition to technology and service fees, as you would expect, we have an opportunity to monetize GMV and traffic running through the platform. We are partnering with a number of marketing tech providers and digital agencies on various commercial models, reflecting GMV opportunity directed to them. Fraud screening via THG Detect is now charged on a transaction basis. We also partner with various payment providers on revenue share models. Perhaps the greatest opportunity here is a GMV take on both fulfillment and delivery solutions. The cost of these solutions for any D2C business combined can comprise circa 15% to 20% of GMV. A minimal take rate can be material to the model as fulfillment services revenue grows. As previously described, none are reported within Ingenuity Commerce at present. Given the unique proposition of Ingenuity, and then we provide all services in one unified platform, sharing responsibility for proposition performance, our return is largely based on an ongoing revenue share. This ensures that we are motivated to drive our clients' success. This percentage will vary enormously based upon the scale of the operation. The annuity in our model is the take rate on payments, fulfillment and delivery, all GMV driven combined with our performance-based revenue share. Given the nascency of many of our client solutions, these latter sources comprise less than 10% of reported Ingenuity Commerce revenue at present. Not touched upon in the schedule is the potential to grow revenue streams from all of our headless solutions. We will come to that. Given the breadth of solutions and services that we provide in this model and also reflecting the multi-territory approach in our proposition, we averaged 4 sites per claim. We capture a large share of all digital wallet from our clients. This differentiates us from a typical technology peer and reinforces the multiple TAMs that we operate within.
Hannah Pym
executiveThe growing demand for THG Ingenuity is reflected in the unique solutions offers to clients with no comparable solutions provider in the market with the same completeness of service or legacy in growing its own brands to leadership positions globally. THG Ingenuity offers a frictionless and disruptive model. It removes the need for multi-partner relations and minimizes upfront capital investment and enables margin efficiency. With less friction comes less execution risk and less of the client's time fixing complex problems and managing multiple vendors. The solution is also quick to deploy, given all elements of the service are fully proprietary and integrated. Clients can mobilize and scale across the globe at pace, supported by localized infrastructure. Ingenuity's peer-to-peer expertise offers credibility to clients as a platform built by brand owners for brand owners. Having experienced many of the same challenges our clients face where moving online and scaling, Ingenuity provides a proven infrastructure to solve these problems. And with Ingenuity's brand ownership position with online as the predominant channel of growth comes great digital proficiency. This capability funds all elements of e-commerce and merchandising, digital marketing, data and content with an integrated approach across all of these channels. Because of these reasons, THG Ingenuity supports clients in maximizing their chances of success and mitigating their risk. There is no other solution in today's market matching THG Ingenuity, with alternative approaches leaving the brand owner with the burden of managing and orchestrating their own network of technology, payment, marketing, fulfillment, logistics providers, content creators, translators and so on. Before I pass back over to John to explain Ingenuity's growth model, it's worth referencing the Ingenuity partnership with Revolution Beauty, which listed on the London Stock Exchange in July 2021. A great example of taking a scale business from their core home market to a much larger global territory by way of the U.S., doubling GMV since launch and exceeding target by 38%. Here's a snippet from a discussion I had last week with Adam Minto, Founder and CEO of Revolution Beauty about our partnership. Adam, can you tell us about Revolution Beauty and your digital growth strategy?
Adam Minto
attendeeSure. So yes, Revolution Beauty, we're one of the fastest-growing beauty businesses in the world. What we do is we create our own brands and create our own products. And it's perfect playground for us digitally because we launched those products direct to our consumers each week on revolutionbeauty.com. As you know, there's been this big focus on digital pre-pandemic, accelerated through pandemic, and I firmly believe the beauty industry is becoming more and more digitized.
Hannah Pym
executiveYes. Great. And what obviously, we've supported in the kind of international expansion of Revolution Beauty. What are some of the initial challenges when you approach this as a partner, what challenges were you facing?
Adam Minto
attendeeWell, in how we create our products, we always think of the consumer first. So when we set about our digital strategy for revolutionbeauty.com, we obviously wanted to make sure we are prioritizing the experience for the consumer. And the best way to do that is to localize it. So as we were building our revolutionbeauty.com site, which is originally on Salesforce, we started to ship and fulfill globally. And we're shipping obviously fantastically to about 100 countries around the world very, very soon in our infancy. But the challenge is the experience for the consumer in different countries wasn't right. So what we decided to do is follow our retail growth. So our second biggest country in the world at the time. Now our biggest in physical retail sales was the USA. And we started to think about how we're going to localize that. So that's really an extraordinary task for any business. You're a global company, but you're struggling to work out how you can get your operations global, your consumers want your products, but how do you get your back end to meet that task. So when we're introduced to Ingenuity, the idea came that this was an ability to put a fantastic front-end system with localized payment options, obviously, based in market, based in the reality of where that consumer lives and then add the back end, the challenge of fulfillment. And really, that's been the advantage we saw as we approach the Ingenuity partnership. A fantastic localized experience, in particular with payment options for the consumer time, the ability for that consumer to get that parcel fast and quick in-market. And the challenge for Revolution was how we pull that together fast and we've been able to plug into the Ingenuity system very well.
Hannah Pym
executiveGreat. And then I suppose that perfectly summarizes really what the benefit [ end to end ] is within Ingenuity proposition and how it brings together all those different components, payments, fulfillment, run building infrastructure, e-commerce, trading, et cetera, and Revolution has benefited from that, which is great, right?
Adam Minto
attendee100%, Hannah. I mean it's extraordinary building a business and what Revolution needs to try and do is make sure it's concentrating on the things that it does best, which is making sure it understands its consumer and what that consumer is wanting today and what will it be wanting tomorrow. That's part of us building this fantastic global Revolution brands and our product strategies of new categories coming to that consumer. But I believe what we have with Ingenuity is a partner. So effectively, we're dividing and conquering. Our teams work hand-in-hand with your team at Ingenuity to plan the best way to give the consumer the right experience, the right product availability, the right service and the right strategy for Revolution to enter that market. So as you know, Hannah, we've already -- we first met, I think, in September of 2020.
Hannah Pym
executiveYes.
Adam Minto
attendeeWith our first project very fast and launched in January of 2021, our U.S. site, and that's been a fantastic success. We're seeing well over triple-digit growth already in that first 9 months of the project. So fantastic results in what I believe Revolution's biggest retail sales in physical stores are already the USA. And I can now see the path to Revolution's biggest digital direct-to-consumer market being in the USA., I hope to see this next year. And then we took another market in March which is Australia, an area of the world that was impossible to fulfill, obviously, from the U.K. And that has been an even more exciting, I would say, results. So we're up even last week, 1,000% growth year-on-year. Of course, we're annualizing against pandemic times when stores were shut in some cases. So fantastic results in Australia. Australia now is our fourth biggest D2C market, closing in very, very fast on France, in third position. So we're very pleased with those results.
Hannah Pym
executiveGreat. And I think, to that point, it's the accelerated of new public development, right, that Revolution is bringing to market and how digital has been a real facilitator of that and helping connect consumers really quickly to the innovation that you're developing?
Adam Minto
attendeeRevolution is a socially led brand. We're one of the biggest beauty brands on social media, TikTok with the third biggest [ beauty ] brand in the world. And what consumers want and expect is being able to get that product fast when they need it. And obviously, the world of Amazon has meant that consumers really expect phenomenal service. So the partnership with Ingenuity allows us to give that localized experience. We now do simultaneous launches on our U.K. global sites onto our U.S. site in Australia, all exactly the same time. So we launch our products via our Instagram or TikTok page or an e-mail, the consumer can buy it, localize and get that delivery most importantly, in a number of days. And I think the world has seen how extraordinary shipping has changed post pandemic, the long COVID, as I call it. I'd love to have said that was the decision why we made to do that. I'm very grateful we made the decision. We thought of the consumer first in that decision-making alongside our partnership with THG localize the probe, so the consumer can get their products fast at the right price at the right time. And now, of course, the challenges of global shipping means that, that was a very clever decision because we're not seeing those challenges of length of time getting from the U.K. to USA or Australia and cost, the cost would have been extraordinary. And of course, Revolution isn't having any of those problems right now.
Hannah Pym
executiveGreat. Well, thank you very much, Adam, for the time, that's been brilliant to understand. Thank you.
Adam Minto
attendeeGreat. Thank you, Hannah.
John Gallemore
executiveWe think about growth across a number of pillars. These verticals or categories, low acquisition costs and low churn within verticals and categories, a real mature, well-penetrated geographical coverage business with product and service expansion, team expansion and growing GMV. We currently provide services within the following verticals. Beauty is our most penetrated, as you would expect, food and beverage, nutrition and wellness, retail, pet care, fashion, home interest. We've got automotive and garden machinery, media and entertainment, fitness and sports. Given the flexibility and breadth of our solution, any vertical is open tools in any territory. None of our peers disclose churn rate, and this will be the last time that we do it. But for the record, in the last 12-month period, we have acquired 110 new clients and lost 2, 2 small clients. At the same time, our acquisition costs are minimal. This is all the more powerful given our typical contract breadth and length. This gives us payback in less than a month, meaning that our sales and marketing costs are a fraction of a typical peer where you would expect this to run at circa 50% of sales. Geographical penetration. We are a globally mature and well-penetrated organization. For example, Myprotein has over 55 fully localized international variants because it has scale maturity in those territories. The average number of solutions across our client base is currently full. We are opening up the world's largest digital markets to our clients. Our top 10 territories being served to clients at the moment are the U.K., the USA, Germany, France, Spain, Italy, China, Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea, with Russia just outside that list. These are not peripheral markets. We see no reason why any successful client cannot grow their presence to at least 20 territories over the next 3 years, just as Myprotein has done. I've gone to great and I fear painful lengths to explain the breadth of service provision we operate. We operate within too many times to attempt to list them. We continue to innovate product extension. The print on demand and personalization capability, our recall solution are just 2 of these. SaaS-based headless products are now starting to monetize, including THG Detect, our fraud screen engine, our headless checkout, our courier library. Society is our influencer platform, a piece of technology that manages the complex supply chain involved in managing an influencer base of well over 20,000, all available to clients now. But I'm most excited about our solution development in fulfillment and logistics. Provision for warehouse management software at both entry-level and large-scale manual or automated sites is poor. It forced us to solve this for ourselves with Voyager, which works in both extremes and anything in between. The collaboration with SoftBank and AutoStore with the creation of FIR/ST takes this to a new level and out of the box, automated solution. Issue today isn't even how expensive labor has become, is a case of organization who's not been able to source it at any price, automation is the only answer. The traditional solutions are complex, expensive, time consuming with high failure rates. Our solutions solve this. Beyond that, we can ramp and check out and translation upstream with global cross-border delivery and customer services downstream. To small vendors looking for delivery solutions, the barriers are equally challenging, 3PLs and [indiscernible] providers just won't even talk to these people doing them at subscale and too expensive to service. They have nowhere to go. For example, to optimally build a new warehouse, similar to our best-in-class automated infrastructure would require around GBP 80 million of investment, which will deliver around GBP 1 billion of GMV annually. A very simple take rate of 2% on fulfillment and 2% on delivery charges would yield huge savings to those micro merchants while paying back in around 2 years, that potentially is vast and provision is pitiful. To headcount. Well, in back 18 months, we had a business development team of just 3 people. This has now grown to over 70 and it's anticipated to be at 100 by the year-end. We have functions established in the United States and Australia. Given our really low customer acquisition cost to lifetime value, we can continue to invest in this area without impacting on our profit and loss profile. Finally, to GMV. Our end-to-end solution yields take rates at multiple touch points on substantial portion of GMV. In conclusion, our technology is already heavily invested with minimal variable cost to serve in either hosting or sales and marketing. So we removed the capital barriers to clients and still deliver a differentiated profit and loss profile. Our opportunity to build on that model by vertical, territory, product and GMV growth is unique.
Hannah Pym
executiveThe demand for outsourced direct-to-consumer technology is increasing as brand owners are developing their D2C strategies in response to the accelerated consumer shift to online and the associated benefits that the direct consumer relationship offers. The pandemic has driven an inflection point in e-commerce adoption. More shoppers are buying online than ever before across all categories. As retail becomes increasingly consolidated, the need for brand owners to develop their digital offerings will continue to increase in importance. In addition, consumers are becoming increasingly comfortable buying online and are looking to take advantage of the great variety, convenience and information of the buy e-commerce, which drives growth broadly across all geographies and product categories. Consequently, the global outsourced D2C technology market within fast-moving consumer goods is forecasted to grow to GBP 114 billion by 2023. Our track record in growing health and beauty brands makes this the most immediately addressable market, encompassing food and beverage in addition to household products. This is also a category where brands are most likely to require support in shifting to D2C business models having historically sold by traditional grocery and beauty retailers. We estimate the growth opportunity here to be GBP 9 billion in 2023. Due to our increasing breadth, we believe that the revenue opportunity across other relevant industry sectors will exceed GBP 30 billion, which Ingenuity is able to address given the category agnostic nature of the platform, evidenced by the diversity of clients we support today. Notably, our platform is increasingly in pursuit of becoming headless as evidenced in the recent headless site launch from Mondelez Toblerone, launching in September 2021. As our proposition has evolved, our addressable market has further expanded beyond the end-to-end services market. Whilst the vast majority of our current clients have partnered with Ingenuity across the full end-to-end solution due to the convenience this offers, we see additional opportunities to deploy many of our products on a stand-alone basis. These include, but are not limited to, warehouse management solutions, delivery and courier services, digital marketing services and checkout and [indiscernible]. We expect these markets to continue to grow, underpinned by multiple structural tailwinds. And I'll now hand back to John, who will talk through our real-world asset infrastructure and operational capabilities.
John Gallemore
executiveBesides of our global TAM it's in part substantiated by the network of infrastructure we have built over the last 17 years to power the THG Ingenuity platform. With over 300 localized websites, driving in excess of GBP 2.5 billion of GMV, across our own brands and third-party clients with a form of delivering 95% growth over the last 2 years. To support this ever-increasing size and deliver best-in-class customer infrastructure, we have developed our robust network of nearly 200 low-class couriers to support fast final-mile delivery, 31 global data centers to support rapid site load times across the globe, 18 warehousing and fulfillment centers now inclusive of fully automated and print-on-demand facilities. Over 50 local and global payment methods, 10 product innovation and manufacturing labs, 300,000 square feet of dedicated creative content production facilities with 3.6 million square feet of fulfillment capability in build. And it is this global infrastructure that has supported clients like Hotel Chocolat. Another great example of taking a scale business from their core home market in the U.K. in this instance to a much larger global territory with a U.S. D2C proposition, delivering onwards of 340% growth in their customer database since launch in October 2020. We announced a strategic partnership with the SoftBank Group, comprising a significant investment in THG Plc alongside an option and collaboration agreement, which will ultimately facilitate a $1.6 billion investment into THG Ingenuity. We announced some exciting partnerships at the time of our interim results, including FIR/ST, and we continue to work on a diverse pipeline of opportunities. Upon completion, the investment will be deployed across areas, including future-proofing our technology and physical infrastructure, investment in global automated fulfillment solutions, M&A to improve our platform capabilities and building out THG Eco which will enable Ingenuity to provide chargeable services to clients, supporting their own sustainability goals. Growth has been very strong in the first half, with Ingenuity Commerce increasing 166% consistent with both half 1 and the full year in 2020 despite the rising comps. The full Ingenuity division grew 40% in half 1. The number of clients has increased over fivefold since September 2020, growing to 140 in with over 450 solutions now contracted for delivery through 2022. The timing here reflects our clients' road maps. In addition to the launch of these external clients, we have re-platformed both Dermstore and Cult Beauty this year. Cult Beauty was re-platformed within 10 weeks of acquisition. Additionally, our Voyager WMS was also deployed in the Cult fulfillment center just yesterday. Our partnerships with clients are based on both parties been incentivizes to grow. Hence, we work with our clients over multiyear agreements. This slide illustrates how our revenue base is evolving with quarterly recurring revenue more than doubling year-on-year to quarter 2. To illustrate a typical maturity profile of a client over a 3-year period, you can observe from this graphic, how whilst overall revenue is higher in year 3 of a contract, the proportion of overall revenue recurring in nature is also much higher at 63%. In the first half of 2021, clients from prior year cohorts accounted for nearly 70% of total commerce revenues, demonstrating that we are not just retaining clients, but also securing a much higher amount of their e-commerce spend. It is also worth touching on our approach to investment into our platform. And our approach to capitalizing costs, which is both consistent and appropriate for a proprietary platform and is also prudent when compared to a peer group of similar global e-commerce businesses based on proprietary technology. The efficiency of the ongoing investment in our platform is also demonstrated in the very low carrying value on the balance sheet relative to the same peer group.
Hannah Pym
executiveMuch of THG Ingenuity's value can be seen across a number of recent client case studies, whether that be supporting in a client's first full portfolio D2C venture like that of Coca-Cola European Partners or delivering a major platform migration as seen across Homebase. Mobilizing at pace and delivering material GMV quickly can be seen throughout. Our partnership with Coca-Cola European Partners marks the client's first full portfolio D2C offering, launching in October 2020 across the U.K. THG Ingenuity provided a flexible and sophisticated core commerce platform to deliver a unique and iterative customer proposition with product personalization, bundling, gifting and the launch of product adjacencies across complementary brands. Besides a significantly improved accessibility of less well-known brands within their portfolio, offering a marketplace shopping experience and has delivered accelerated GMV through the support of Ingenuity's e-commerce teams. Through the use of Ingenuity's fulfillment network, proprietary warehouse management system, order tracking software and CRM software, the solution has eradicated customer friction points and supported in building a new and engaged online customer base. The partnership with Homebase is part of Ingenuity's strategy to expand into the retail sector and has seen the delivery of a major digital transformation projects in 9 months, a program of work, which will typically span 3 years plus. In this time, we have enabled Homebase to migrate away from their legacy in-house technology platform, developing a dedicated products information management system, along with opening of KPIs to plug into Homebase's distribution center, allowing them to continue to fulfill from their own warehouse infrastructure. In addition, Ingenuity guided the digital proposition and customer journey through deployment of our consultancy services with ongoing support to trade and merchandise the website, generate relevant traffic through ownership of various performance marketing channels, deploy data insight to inform tactical and strategic decision-making and deliver creative digital content to support all elements of the online purchase journey by THG Studios. The Homebase proposition launched in early 2021 and delivers a comprehensive customer journey through features, including click & collect, advanced search, flexible delivery and immersive content rich experiences, including shop-the-look, all powered by THG Ingenuity. Results from launch weeks saw initial traffic levels plus 26% versus pre-migration, testament to the robust SEO migration work and wider marketing channel support, with revenues plus 50% versus prior year and exceeding targets by 100%. These strong results were sustained with average conversion rate plus 25%, and our proprietary CRM infrastructure delivering revenues plus 110% versus the same period pre-migration. The third case study to highlight is Elemis, a category-leading premium skin wellness brand owned by the L'Occitane Group. Elemis partnered with THG Ingenuity in 2020 to accelerate the international rollout of their D2C propositions across Europe and Asia, complementing the existing D2C in the U.S. and the U.K. This partnership positions Elemis for long-term international and digital growth, enhancing existing strength in channels such as specialty retail, spa and travel. Our digital partnership builds upon an existing product development and manufacturing relationship, which we have held for a number of years through THG labs. The partnership with Elemis has enabled them to fulfill their 5-year digital plan in 6 months, mobilizing quickly to drive incremental growth across a range of territories, including Hong Kong, Singapore and the Netherlands. The incremental results have seen Elemis increase their D2C targets by 27% with over 50,000 new customer records generated since launch. William Grant & Sons launched their multibrand site, clink.com, on the THG Ingenuity platform in quarter 3 2021, further to brand development support provided by THG Studios. Following the launch, the client signed a strategic retainer with our digital consultancy team to provide ongoing advisory support for the website. This involves advising on future international opportunities through appraising and validating market demand, delivering on initiatives to enhance the customer journey, inclusive of UX reviews and limited edition collaborations and providing robust customer data insight and modeling to inform quarterly business reviews and upcoming initiatives to fuel future growth. This is one of the many examples of Ingenuity providing digital consultancy services and how they are being commercialized adding value to clients to maximize the online opportunity. And here is what Dominic Parfitt, Head of e-commerce at William Grant & Sons had to say about the Ingenuity partnership.
Dominic Parfitt
attendeeGood morning, everybody. I hope you're well. My name is Dominic Parfitt, and I head up our global e-commerce business at William Grant & Sons. But those of you who have absolutely no idea who William Grant & Sons are, we're one of the world's leading family-owned distillers and the owners and creators of some of the most amazing and dynamic brands within the spirits category. So brands like Glenfiddich, The Balvenie, Monkey Shoulder, Hendrick's Gin, Tullamore D.E.W., Reyka Vodka, Sailor Jerry, Drambuie and the list goes on and on. So over the next couple of minutes, I'm going to talk to you about our recent journey that we've been on to transform our global direct-to-consumer operations, which played a vaguely important role in our global e-commerce strategy. So as part of this process, we looked at many different fulfillment partners and development agencies. But in the end, we landed on Ingenuity as a result of their extensive experience of building brands, direct-to-consumer. The most desirable aspect for me of working with Ingenuity was the fact that the full tech stack already existed, so there was limited integrations. And the opportunity for us to outsource the majority of the business to them, which was extremely beneficial considering that we're just not set up as a business to run at a direct-to-consumer operation. So from start to finish, the team at Ingenuity supported us with the creation of the brand, but also the full end-to-end set up. And as a result, today, we've got a brilliant foundation to build on for the future. Our platform went live back in June, and it's clinkspirit.com, check it out. And the business is starting to scale up, and we've had some unbelievable learnings so far. I'm really excited by what the future holds working with Ingenuity because I think that they're going to help us to unlock growth across a variety of different areas, including marketing channels that we've never been exposed to before, CRM and also building our capability around trading. Thank you very much.
Hannah Pym
executiveThese 4 case studies should help to demonstrate the breadth of the Ingenuity proposition and the value it delivers to our clients. Not only do we strive to drive their digital growth, we are also increasingly focused on doing so in a sustainable way. We're an important part of our client and supply chain and connectivity with our customers, which is why we embed sustainability across everything we develop and everything that we do through our carbon-neutral platform. The group's Chief Sustainability Officer, Phil Pratt, will now take you through some of our ambitious goals and targets in support of our 2030 strategy.
Phil Pratt
executiveHi, everyone. You just heard our goal is not only to have the best e-commerce platform, but also the most sustainable or green platform. But there's more to it than that. Today, we have published THG's 2030 sustainability strategy, which have an overriding ambition to leave the world a better place than we found it. Our strategy is built on the foundation of solid business fundamentals. Over the next few minutes, I'm going to share with you what our key priorities and some of our key targets are. Full details are now available on our website. The strategy is focused on 3 overarching priorities, protecting climate and nature, strengthen our supply chain of circularity and empowering people and communities. Within protecting climate and nature, we are focusing on 3 goals: our primary one, as you might expect, relates to climate change with ambition to be climate positive. Going beyond net 0 and creating an environmental benefit by removing additional CO2 from the atmosphere. To that end, we've already committed to set and publish our own net 0 science-based targets in 2022 and have also joined the business ambition for 1.5 Degree C Campaign. In addition, we commit to removing all the carbon we've ever emitted either directly or through procurement of electricity since THG was founded. Our strategy though is not limited within our own business boundaries. We know we cannot address some of the major challenges facing all of us our own, but also recognize we have the ability and the reach to impact and encourage our suppliers and partners to act. So we have set ourselves targets to encourage others to act as well. An example of this is for at least 50% of our suppliers and partners to set carbon reduction targets themselves by 2025. Our 2 other goals relating to protecting climate and nature are to have a net positive nature impact across all our brands and to use water sustainably across our value chain. Our second priority is strengthen our supply chain and circularity. Within this, our first goal focuses on having an ethical supply chain, focused on protecting human rights and eliminating modern slavery. Our second goal is focused on circularity and transforming all waste into resources. Key circularity targets are to have 100% of our own packaging being recyclable, reusable or compostable by 2025. To emphasize our commitment to this, we've recently joined the U.K. Plastic Pact. In addition, we aim to ensure 0 waste from our operations goes to landfill by latest 2030, and we'll be aiming for third-party brands using our platforms to have 70% of their packaging, either reusable, recyclable or compossible by 2030 as well. Last and by no means our least priority is empowering people and communities with our goals focused on diverse and inclusion, employee well-being and development and investing in our communities. Key targets supporting this priority are achieving 50% gender and at least 15% ethnic diversity on the Board and senior leadership teams by 2030. Eliminating gender and ethnicity pay gaps by 2030 and providing 10,000 people in the community with tech and life schools training also by 2030. So as you can see, our strategy is focused on 3 key priorities: an achievement of 8 clear goals, which are vital for the long-term sustainability of our business and equally important for the planet, our employees, our partners and the communities in which we work. In addition to the strategy itself, we are continuing to evolve THG Eco, which will be key in enabling us to deliver the strategy through services and solutions, such as our RecycleMe initiative which helps consumers recycle difficult to recycle plastics. Our more:trees platform, which enables B2B and B2C customers, plant trees to sequester carbon. And our 2 plastic recycling companies which today already recycle in excess of 30,000 tonnes of plastic waste a year. To close, I'd like to reiterate these are an extremely important set of priorities and goals for THG that we have published today. Along with our newly announced commitments, this strategy formalizes and pulls together the excellent work that has already been taking place for several years across the group, and we look forward to sharing more developments on our strategy over the coming months.
Matthew Moulding
executiveI want to thank you all for joining us today. And I hope that the comprehensive overview of THG Ingenuity has provided clarity on what we do for our clients, why the uses, what our revenues comprise of and where our growth comes from. Myself and the executive team featured today, now look forward to taking your questions. Thanks again.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We will now take our first question from Marcus Diebel from JPMorgan.
Marcus Diebel
analystI have several questions, but if it's just limited to one, I would just ask a question on SoftBank. I guess that's key for valuation of Ingenuity. Could you take us maybe a little bit more in detail about the time line of this? And I don't know if you are in a position to talk a little bit about from U.S. estimate how likely you think that this option will be drawn? I know it's a difficult question, but maybe you can answer this partly, but help us certainly on the time line that would be one of my several questions.
Steven Whitehead
executiveThanks, Marcus. It's Steve here. I'll pick that up. Just in terms of the time line, it's -- we're well inside what we guided to at the time that the SoftBank investment into Plc was made and the option and collaboration agreement was entered into. So we -- I'd say we've got in excess of 12 months from where we said we would be on timing. So we're coming in well ahead of timing in terms of being ready as a corporate for them to exercise their option. So expect that to happen in H1 next year. Certainly, that's how we're tracking. So high degree of confidence on that. In turn, just a reminder to everybody at the time, SoftBank invested in Plc. They're also prepared to invest the GBP 41.6 billion into Ingenuity. It was THG in terms of our corporate structuring that wasn't ready to receive that capital. Since that sort of created the option structure since that time frame in May, I personally -- members of the -- by the team here with daily calls with the SoftBank team or the investee companies. We've launched multiple partnerships across the business and not least in quite significantly, I would say, the AutoStore partnership collaboration relationship is super strong. And as far as shareholders go, we're delighted with the trading since we entered the option agreement with them in the Ingenuity business has been super strong. So for those reasons, we've got a high degree of certainty around the option being exercised in H1.
Marcus Diebel
analystMaybe just as a follow-up. Given the valuation today, there would be a scenario that potentially this option could be drawn earlier at potentially a different price. Is that something you would consider? Or is it really that you stick to the current plan in terms of timing and also effectively the auction price or strike price?
Steven Whitehead
executiveYes. I understand the question, but the reference price for the option is the agreement that we have with SoftBank for the valuation of Ingenuity. And all the Ingenuity is done since the time that, that option is entered into is deliver and deliver more than we had at that point in time. The valuation won't change. That's the transaction. That's the option agreement that we've agreed with them. There isn't a read across into THG. It's about what is the value of Ingenuity. That's the entity they will own 20% of post the option exercise.
Matthew Moulding
executiveMatt Moulding here. We couldn't it any sooner in any event because we need the entity to go through all of it. It's corporate [ planning ], duty transfers, novation of both the contracts and agreements, which is what takes the time, systems and processes to make it a stand-alone entity. So this is -- that's what drives the timetable as opposed to anything else.
Operator
operatorWe will now take our next question from Andrew Ross from Barclays.
Andrew Ross
analystThat was a helpful presentation. My question is on fulfillment time payments, which, as I understand, you've been passing through 0 margin today. And if I did understand correctly, you're going to start to take a take rate yourself as of next year. Can you just help quantify that for us? So what is the kind of net take that you guys could make? And what is the uplift in economics that you might get from existing partners when you make that change?
John Gallemore
executiveSure, Andrew, John here. I'll take that one. Look so think about it in terms of how it comprises against GMV in terms of the 3 elements. So typically, a merchant transaction costs will cost only 2% to GMV. If you think about warehousing and fulfillment, look, at the moment, [ that escalate ]. And depending on your returns rate profile, that can be anywhere between 5% and 10% of GMV in terms of your warehousing costs. And then again, dependent upon your international profile delivery, i.e., postage cost can be 10% to 12% of GMV. So effectively, what you've got is somewhere between 17% to 25% of GMV that any merchant will suffer in respect to those 3 elements. So then if you were to think what would be a suitable margin against all of those elements. I think depending on these different markets for fulfillment. If you got a micro fulfillment client, as I described on the call, who is subscale, they can't even find someone to do the warehousing for them in the U.K., their own [ mail ] wouldn't even talk to them. There's too small. So there's opportunity there to save those types of merchants a substantial amount of money while still generating substantial margin for ourselves. We use the [ casualties ] if we would choose to take a 2% take rate on fulfillment and delivery. The numbers there can be vast and can pay back an GBP 80 million investment in 2 to 3 years. Look, so we think about perhaps a 30%, 20% to 30% margin across those range of GMV takes will be a good place to start. So I think the answer to your question is it could be huge.
Andrew Ross
analystJust to follow up there. You think your take rate could be 2% of the GMV? Or do you think it could be -- or 2% will be 20% to 30% margin...
John Gallemore
executiveIt depends on the client. There's a huge range of potential clients at the moment, Andrew. So if talking about a micro plant for fulfillment, you can't actually get a provision at the moment. Then there's more opportunity for margin there. But I think as a standard fulfillment delivery model, we have the opportunity to -- just to add [indiscernible] in all services. And it will depend on the client, it depends on the scale, but it also depends on the type of service we can provide to warehousing. I mean, as I touched on the call, we could put just warehousing software into someone's warehouse, and we could just run that for them. We could take a client's products and put them into our warehouse and do it that way equally, we could build an automated solution for clients. It's not just about GMV take as well. There's also the opportunity for software as a service across all of these elements. I think just fulfillment, there are some good models out there whereby providers providing to a checkout and do the end-to-end global e-commerce delivery and get very good valuations from doing it and very good metrics. I think the key to highlight is that's just a very small part of the service that we provide and one that at the moment isn't properly monetized.
Andrew Ross
analystOkay. Cool. I mean maybe just as a follow-up then. I mean, I think consensus got about GBP 50-ish million of revenues in Ingenuity Commerce this year and GBP 90-ish million next year. Should we be thinking that the monetization of payment and fulfillment is kind of part of that GBP 90 million? Or is there some more that could come on top?
John Gallemore
executiveYes, at the moment, that doesn't -- as I said before, we've been treating fulfillment and postages just a pass-through at. It was some naivety of our model back in the earlier days. So majority of our claims as they get the service free. So that's something we'll be looking to change both through this year and into next year. No change in guidance. No change in guidance, if that's your question, Andrew.
Andrew Ross
analystOkay. Perfect. Okay. But just to be clear, though, if terms of how to think about my guidance, the GBP 90 million already absorbed some expectation of monetizing payment and fulfillment or they're best potentially some conservatism that you have baked in around that? Just to understand what's in that?
John Gallemore
executiveNo, there's nothing including that GBP 90 million for those services. I see that as all [ loops ] are potential in the model.
Operator
operatorWe will now take our next question from Rob Joyce from Goldman Sachs.
Robert Joyce
analystSo I've got a couple. I guess just to build on Andrew's question there. I mean are you able to give us just a broad ballpark now what you see the take rate potentially being if we take the elements you just discussed? Is there just a take rate range people can think about? And then following from that, I guess, if we look at this business now as a stand-alone entity you're going to be presenting. I think previously, you've talked about a 70% margin generally across the Ingenuity piece. But my understanding was that because some of the cost was allocated elsewhere. Are you able to give us an idea of what the Ingenuity margin profile looks like as a stand-alone entity? And then just one follow-up in one of the slides. I think you mentioned a GBP 30 billion revenue opportunity in the next couple of years. Just wanted to be clear, that's as the platform stands now and that is comparable to the GBP 50 million there or there about consensus has in there for 2021?
John Gallemore
executiveYes, lots of it. If you just talk it down through the composition of the P&L account and why we guided to 60% to 70% EBITDA margins when we listed the business. So in terms of the cost of sales, I think I pulled out one of the points in the presentation that we have our own hosting business. And so we don't have to suffer hosting charges to deliver services to clients. But in addition, the technology that we are serving is already very well invested. So when we're providing solutions to our clients, it's largely an out-of-the-box solution. So our cost to deliver loss services are very low. So we have a very high gross profit retained in that model. Then looking down into our expenditure. So typically, an e-commerce payer would spend 50% of sales on sales and marketing budgets. Now we've touched, our churn rate is very, very low at the moment. And our acquisition rate is very high. So we're getting payback on a new client in less than a month. And these are typically long-term deals with many services laid on top of each other. So the model is working very well. And that's why we get such a high EBITDA retention rate. Okay, that's the 60%, 70%. Now in terms of take rates on fulfillment, as I mentioned before, fulfillment has largely been pass through at cost to date. We'll have different clients who will be prepared to pay different amounts of money and that will come down to scale. So I'm not going to guide to any improvement in margin as a consequence of that more to the fact that it's just a huge opportunity. The reason we see it is such a huge opportunity, I mean the world is screaming with pain at the moment in terms of an inability to get products delivered to customers, to get products put into warehouses. So there's huge friction at the moment. We have a solution that caters to that. And then that, to some extent, touches on your third point in terms of the TAMs that we address. So the key point to pull out there is that we're often compared to technology peers who provide very, very distinct services across a very small area of what we provide. So if you were to think about the various TAMs that we do address and the addressable markets that we address, both geographically and elsewhere, then there's no limits on that. And that's the point we're trying to get across. So we're not just providing an e-commerce platform. We're providing an e-commerce platform that's got all the marketing technologies embedded. All the trading and merchandising tools that you will need. Alternatively, you can go and find a lot of solutions like that, and they have TAMs in their own respect. We then go through -- I'm sorry to repeat it, but I think the point needs pulling out. We've got all the various fraud screening capability, the checkout, the fulfillment, the delivery, the studio work, the digital marketing agencies. We provide the people who run these websites. So there's a huge potential TAM for us to address, and that's reflected in the very high average revenue per client that we achieved. So I think the point we're trying to get across here is think about the full extent of the services that we provide when you're assessing -- does that help in terms -- I can't answer directly on the GBP 30 billion, but the point is we address so many different potential TAMs?
Robert Joyce
analystI guess the question on the GBP 30 billion specifically, is that relevant -- is that GMV of what the clients of them are selling online? Or is that relative to the GBP 50 million revenue that comes to THG? [indiscernible].
John Gallemore
executiveNo. These are the size of the markets, right? We have the capability to penetrate those markets and take share from them, okay? So for example, marketing technology has a TAM of its own respect. Fulfillment has a TAM, delivery has a TAM. There are TAMs all over the place that we address those particular markets. So the point which I want to get across is, we operate in many verticals, many territories, many products, which means that our overall addressable market that we can go at is vast.
Robert Joyce
analystUnderstood. And then one final one, sorry, [ it's been off place ]. But obviously, you mentioned that it's a very high margin drop through a minute because of -- you don't have to spend that much on marketing. But given that material opportunity, do you think the opportunity is potentially to push more into the marketing to really educate people about this breadth of products and sort of trying to drive some more of the top line that way?
John Gallemore
executiveYes. Look, I think we all hold our hands [indiscernible], we've done a fairly poor job of marketing ourselves, both corporately. And look, the fact that we spent very little money on marketing. And that we get payback on a new client in about 2 weeks' time and most clients are on 3- to 10-year contracts. So it would suggest that we should perhaps press the accelerate button in terms of our marketing spend, yes. It's certainly a big area of growth to come.
Operator
operator[Operator Instructions] We will now take our next question from Alastair Johnston from Kintbury Capital.
Alastair Johnston
analystIn your presentation, you mentioned having 10 innovation labs, and I presume Claremont Ingredients is one of those. That had a very, very good margin when it was acquired. Could you possibly just give some insight into that business in terms of the patents that it had or the specific IP, which drove that very high margin?
John Gallemore
executiveI mean the key benefit, just to remind everyone, when we do any form of vertical integration play like that. It's around how it can deliver either synergies or it can product development or most likely both. So not just Claremont, there's also Brighter Foods, which was around the bars manufacturing based out of Wales and then there's a small business called [ Berrymans ], which is a ready-to-drink business. And that's all about driving the brands that we have in nutrition in terms of their product category expansion, but at the same time, driving synergies for us where that margin you talk about, we're paying to other brand houses so we can bring that in-house to do that. And so it's not necessarily that what we're buying there is any specific IP per se, such as a piece of licensing tech or something like that, it's really around the capability that give us in terms of developing flavors for all the different territories that we would need. So Claremont is all around flavoring, Bright is all around bars manufacturing and [ Berrymans ] is all around drinks manufacturing. And those 3 things. It's all about the category expansion. So that's what drives those pieces of M&A. They're all quite small in terms of revenue, but it's about underpinning long-term growth rate for our nutrition brands.
Alastair Johnston
analystIs that to say that the margin will kind of disappears so to speak when it becomes into the group. But was there something one-off about that margin last year before it was acquired?
John Gallemore
executiveNo, what we do is we expect it to keep supplying external parties. And so that margin stays as it was. Then what it should then do is deliver incremental margin for THG, but what you wouldn't expect happening is suddenly that those -- the revenues of those small businesses suddenly explode because we do -- we start serving more external partners. This is all about, yes, those revenues are probably going to stay somewhere broadly where they were that should contribute and help turn a cost center to a profit center and then deliver further synergies in product development on top. So it's about what it can bring for the long term whilst maintaining what it had.
Operator
operatorWe will now take our next question from Catherine O'Neill from Citi.
Catherine O'Neill
analystSorry, just to go back to the point about it starting to charge on fulfillment postage, et cetera. I just wondered if you're having conversations with clients now on sort of shifting towards charging and how those are going? And then also, just more broadly, I know during the IPO, you identified opportunities with SMEs and product type plug-ins and talked about imagination. I just wondered if you can provide an update on those initiatives?
John Gallemore
executiveOld new claims, charter margin on fulfillment and delivery. But I think the key point beyond that is we're also talking to new clients about other potential solutions that we can provide for them. So I've got 3 ongoing now at the moment with a couple of major global CPGs, but then a more low class digital business where they're looking at fulfillment solutions within their existing infrastructure. And in that respect, we can help them back put in either an automated macro solution or just even a manual WMS solution within existing infrastructure that they have. I think that reflects an evolution of their model whereby 18 months ago, perhaps they were wondering about D2C. Now that their thinking has moved on to where we're past that point. We now need to start thinking about how we use our existing infrastructure to get closer to our customers with our D2C deliveries. I think that's a key point of evolution, but similarly, any online businesses relying on a 3PL at the moment, which is largely manual will be suffering extreme cost pressure at the moment. The cost of those types of solutions are growing. As I mentioned, the provision for alternative solutions is really thin. And we know because we've been through it all. So we have the solution. We can give you a carbon copy of the facility. We've just commissioned now within Manchester. And just to remind you all, this is an 800,000 square foot automated solution. We only entered the building in April. We've currently moved in now 8 million units, and we're shipping orders out, and that's all within 6 months. And that kind of speed in automation just doesn't exist. And the reason it doesn't exist is with a normal solution, with reliance on solution integrators who do a selection of various software, various physical solutions, and it takes a long time, cost a lot of money becomes complex, we have that solution. We have it at an automated level be for a macro site or a large site, we have a manual solution, put your WMS into any place you want. As I mentioned, we're commissioning Cult Beauty's warehouse yesterday and today with our own WMS in that facility. But if that doesn't work for you, you're a small merchant, and you've got no one that can do delivery for you. Maybe you're moving out of your garage or your small facility and you scale it up. It's very difficult for those types of organizations. So with the investment we're making, not only in our own warehouse and infrastructure, but also in the product, and we can cater to all of these different types of clients be macro services through to actually build new solution bespoke yourself because we've got the capability and we've got the experience of doing that. And because we control the software, we simplify it. Sorry, Catherine, there was another question?
Catherine O'Neill
analystYes. No, I was talking about also more broadly on your engineered e-commerce services. I think during the IPO, you talked about additional opportunities via imagination [indiscernible] sort of specific separate plug-ins. I just wondered how you're progressing on that front or whether they just sort of say much going on with the core commerce solution that you remain focused on that?
John Gallemore
executiveA good example, I guess, the product extension, both in terms of the technology and the capability would be -- I spoke about Toblerone and Quality Street on the call. So Quality Street is a confectionery brand of Nestle and we've built a specific technology solution for that, which allows the customer to register their own name and effectively choose the types of sweets or candies that goes inside the product and also leaves a message in a card. And that takes a specific piece of technology that we've built specifically for that. But then it extends downstream into -- we actually provide the chilled warehousing environment where we store the product. We then the keep the product. We put this -- the candy into the tin, we print the tin lid, we put the card in the tin and then we manage to downstream services. And it's a similar operation for Mondelez with their Toblerone. Albeit in that instance, we don't provide any of the website, you see we just plug the checkout and the downstream capability that I just described into that. So I think those 2 is kind of a vertical extension, but also an extension of the technology, and the physical operation probably demonstrates your point very well.
Hannah Pym
executiveAnd just to build on that Catherine. I think since the IPO, clients now have access to the CMS and so come trade the platform themselves, which is a development versus September last year and increasingly seeing that across a number of new deals where clients are definitely interested in deploying the platform but wanting more control. Now the view is that, that is fully headless with no THG trading and merchandising support sort of mid next year. And that just rolls back to your question on, I suppose, imagination [indiscernible] and that truly had the set up. The point that we haven't touched upon as well as is things like the warehouse management proprietary solution being standalone and available to clients today. And to John's point, increasingly talking to a number of our current clients as well as new prospects, really about deploying that product into their infrastructure.
Catherine O'Neill
analystOkay. Actually, just one more point. Obviously, you're very excited about FIR/ST, given the tie-up with AutoStore. Could you maybe just talk about what you see as sort of the execution risk around rolling that out and getting sort of clients to take up that solution?
John Gallemore
executiveYes. Well, look, I mean, I just described, so we're rolling out that solution of ourselves in 6 -- over the past 6 months, we deployed that solution. And that was with an integrator assistant who was with it because that was the only model. Now as we engineer our software back into the automation solution and the risk in deploying it anyway, diminishes because we control it and we control the interaction of the hardware and the software. So in that respect, I've got absolute confidence in our ability to deliver at many sizes from a macro site through to the fully automated large-scale sites, and it doesn't differentiate between category product or geography in that respect.
Steven Whitehead
executiveSo just on that point, it is addressing an enormous market. And in terms of the execution risk is exactly the same from any deployment of our existing prebuilt technology.
Operator
operatorThat concludes today's question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back to Matthew Moulding, CEO, for any additional or closing remarks.
Matthew Moulding
executiveWell, thanks very much, everyone. It's quite a lengthy session for people to dial in to. So thank you for bearing with us. We'll obviously have, I think, a Q3 update towards the end of this month that we put the details out there. So no doubt, we look forward to speaking to everyone towards the end of the month. But thanks again for your time. Thank you.
This call discussed
For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to THG Plc earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.