Walmart Inc. (WMT) Earnings Call Transcript & Summary
April 9, 2025
Earnings Call Speaker Segments
Operator
operatorToday's event is being recorded and management may make forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, the factors identified in our filings with the SEC. Please review our entire safe harbor and non-GAAP reconciliations on our website at stock.walmart.com. [Presentation]
Doug McMillon
executiveGood morning. Welcome to everyone that's participating virtually. And for those of you that are here in person, I hope you enjoyed yesterday's visits. We really appreciate you making the effort to be here. It's helpful when you can experience things firsthand. When you put together what you saw yesterday, what you'll see today and what many of you saw in Florida at our last conference, you can see how different our supply chain and our business is becoming. We're excited to share what we're doing at Walmart and how we're changing as a company. We're executing our strategy to improve how we serve customers and members while changing the shape of our business model and driving higher returns. This is a long-term strategy, and we're still in the early innings. Before I give you an update on our business, I want to acknowledge the environment that we're in and that it's changing. And I know many of you are all working through how that might influence the choices you make in a business like ours or the investment choices you make. John David and I will talk more about the short term before we begin Q&A later this morning but I want you to know how confident I remain in our company. I've seen us navigate times like the period after 9/11, the global financial crisis, the pandemic and more recently, high inflation. While in the short term, we're not immune to some of the effects, we are positioned to play offense. Nothing about the current environment impacts our confidence in our business or our strategy. The changes we're making add even more strength and flexibility for our future. We're focused on the strategy we're implementing, and I hope you will focus on that during our presentations. We'll come back to the short term but this multiyear plan has the ability to create a lot of shareholder value. The headlines for today are: first, we're driving growth by improving customer and member experiences. People are choosing us because we're even more relevant in their lives. We positioned ourselves to serve people how they want to be served, and we're in a set of businesses with a lot of headroom. So this first point is about top line growth. Second, we're creating shareholder value by strengthening our business model. We can invest in lower prices, invest in our associates and invest in technology while growing profit faster than sales, strengthening cash flows and delivering higher returns for shareholders. You'll hear a lot of detail today on the rest of this plan from the team. You'll hear about the performance of our stores and clubs, our e-commerce business, including marketplace and how our newer businesses like advertising and membership are scaling. I want to invest my time on why I believe we're going to be an increasingly successful company over time. We'll earn more business due to a combination of our purpose, our culture and how we use technology to put our unique assets to work. As I look around the world, I don't see another company like Walmart, and I wouldn't trade hands with anybody. We're positioned in big markets with a strong set of related businesses. We're proving we can learn, change and innovate, and we know how to execute. We're an and company, we're people and tech, stores and e-commerce, innovation and execution. I like this description of our company. We're a people-led, tech-powered omnichannel retailer, dedicated to helping people save money and live better. I'll use this description to frame my time with you today. I like that it starts with we. We're a team. As Sam Walton said, the secret is that we're all working together. We believe it will be our culture, our humanity that differentiates us even more in the future. So this description starts with we and people-led because we know it's our people that make the difference. You can see my direct reports on the screen, and I want to express my gratitude to them. Each one of them is an extraordinary leader. And the way they're working together to learn, lead change and transform our company is impressive. And it's not just us, of course. We have a very deep and experienced leadership team. Sam Walton moved leaders around, and we still are because it expands our perspectives, teaches adaptability, develops and reveals leadership skills, and it strengthens our culture. Many of our leaders have cross business units, functions or merchandise categories. We're developing their digital acumen as well as strengthening their retail capabilities. We're looking for altruistic servant leaders that enjoy learning, driving change and cannot stand to lose. This group is special and this company is unique. We have a set of 4 core values. We respect each other. We act with integrity. We do everything to serve our customers and members, and we strive for excellence. Our behaviors, which form our culture are meant to bring those values to life every day. We're clear on the short list of things that we want to keep and strengthen like our purpose and culture, but we're wired for change on the rest. We're a ladder of opportunity for people. You can start anywhere and climb as far as your capabilities and hard work enable you to go. Over the past decade, our investments in wages have helped us reduce turnover and retain talent. Not only are we investing in wages, cash bonuses and health care, but we're also paying for educational certificates and degrees. You don't have to have a college degree to succeed in our company, but if you want one, we'll help you get one. Either way, we'll help you get the skills you need to advance your career. We now have more than 1.1 million people with retirement savings in our 401(k). And we have more than 475,000 associates participating in our stock purchase plan, up 16% of participation since the 3-for-1 split last year. 81% of those who participate are hourly associates. Our associates benefit when you, the shareholders benefit. We have a culture and incentives that encourage people to stay and build a career. We love that a truck driver now makes up to $115,000 in their first year. Last year, our top-performing U.S. store managers earned more than $500,000, and more than half of all store managers earned a bonus of $100,000 or more. Our top-performing market managers earned up to $620,000. We'll keep investing in our people, because happy associates, equal happy customers. Prioritizing people doesn't mean that we can't be great with technology. We can do both, and there's power in the end. We believe the combination of a purpose-driven people-centric culture with world-class technology is the winning formula. We're increasingly tech powered through a combination of digital and physical assets. Consider how the combination of technology, our vast amount of valuable data, the physical automation we're deploying through our supply chain and the tools we're putting into the hands of our people can result in better customer and associate experiences and eliminate or replace tasks. Our ability to personalize, our ability to anticipate, our ability to better flow inventory to grow sales and reduce costs are different now. We have the most capable group of technologies that we've ever had and a set of relationships with other companies that help us drive innovation with more speed. We've been using machine learning and AI for many years for customer personalization to enable our associates and to improve inventory flow. Much of that work has been driven by traditional predictive AI. In more recent years, generative AI has been playing a bigger role. And when they're early stages of putting a Agentic AI to work. Digital agents will operate independently and manage complex tasks and physical AI that mimics the complex environments in our stores, clubs and supply chain will help optimize our decision-making. This morning, when you hear one of us say AI, you can think of it in all of those forms. When it comes to customers, here are 2 examples of applications. First, we built a personal shopping assistant named Sparky. Last year, we shared how AI helped us enhance our product catalog and improve solution-based search. Looking ahead, we're excited to introduce a new way for customers to shop with us. Sparky is an intelligent assistant that does things like help customers explore new products, plan a birthday party or complete their weekly shopping mission. Very soon, Sparky will be available to all of our users on our apps and sites. It's learning and improving every day. Second, we built a tool called Trend-to-Product, which helps us with product to market speed. Our first apparel collection designed with Trend-to-Product arrived last month. It took out 18 weeks of our typical time line, and we saw strong sell-throughs. Kath will share more about this later. Using tech to get faster at our scale without compromising on quality, value and our supply chain standards is really exciting. When it comes to associates, here are 2 examples. First, we built an AI assistant for our merchants, and we've named it Wally. It does things like analyze sales performance across stores, markets and channels for our buying team. It can diagnose why a certain item is under or overperforming and help us improve inventory management. It will transform from being an AI assistant to an AI agent that fine tunes our item, quantity and inventory flow decisions. Second, our developers and engineers have AI tools to aid our development life cycle from planning, riding and testing code to data analysis and troubleshooting. In addition to how AI is helping us strengthen our business, we've been getting better at leveraging the tech we build across our business segments and geographies. We're investing in and becoming stronger with regard to technology, while simultaneously remembering that we're in the people business. Tasks will get automated. Jobs will change. And many years from now, we'll still employ a large number of people and be happy to do so. To us, the term omnichannel just means we serve people however they want to be served. We'll be present when and where they want to shop and would be good at all of them. Customers want 4 things from us. First, they want the best quality, the best value on quality merchandise. So as always, everyday low prices are important, price leadership drives our business. Second, our customers want pretty much unlimited choice. So our assortment is now hundreds of millions of items and growing over time. Assortment breadth drives our business. Third, they want to be delighted, whether that's experiencing our merchandise and associates in a store club, picking something up curbside, having it delivered to their doorstep or into their home. We're going to keep getting better in store and in club through our investments in our team and remodels. We're going to keep getting better at accuracy and speed with regard to curbside pickup and delivery. Store fulfilled delivery keeps growing and is an important differentiator, having stores in clubs so close to so many people is a huge advantage. Our coverage of U.S. households with same-day delivery has grown by 22% over the last 2 years. We reached 93% of U.S. households today and are still expanding. Whether it's being delivered from a store, a club or a fulfillment center or whether it arrives on the ground or through the air with a drone, we're getting things to people faster. The variety of experiences we can provide is unique, and we're doing a better job telling people just how large our assortment has become and how fast we are in delivery. Days are becoming hours and hours are becoming minutes. Convenience drives our business. The fourth dimension is trust. People want to do business with companies that treat them fairly and take care of them when there's a problem. And these 4 dimensions are how we bring our purpose to life. Helping people save money and live better is our reason for being. Live better includes helping them be healthier by keeping prices low for fresh food, it includes helping them save by providing easy access to financial services that reduce friction. It includes taking action to protect our planet. And it includes helping strengthen communities with the jobs we create, the taxes we pay, the hours we volunteer and our charitable giving. Last year in the U.S., we donated 752 million pounds of food to food banks, spent $1.1 billion with veteran-owned businesses. And we've hired more than 400,000 veterans and military spouses since 2013. We help communities respond and recover when disaster strike, Walmart and the Walmart Foundation have been actively involved in delivering food, water and supplies to communities affected by natural disasters, including in Asheville, North Carolina in September. Communities like Asheville are not just some place we serve, we're a part of that community. Our purpose, strategy and strengthened financial future are aligned. We've got the right business model design, and we're executing against it. You can think of our business as a combination of the traditional retail store P&L and a second P&L comprised of newer digital businesses that start with first and third-party e-commerce and include membership, advertising, fulfillment as a service and data monetization. The combination of these 2 P&Ls creates a third and more compelling P&L with stronger growth, better margins and higher returns, and that's across countries and segments. Over the years, we've demonstrated capital discipline. We've invested aggressively in new growth opportunities like Flipkart and PhonePe. But we've also closed underperforming stores, clubs and clinics, exited countries and discontinued businesses that didn't have a clear path to success. You can see the addition and subtraction beside me. We're now in a set of businesses that have runway and are complementary to each other. We'll continue to be good stewards of capital. So to summarize today's headlines, First, we're driving growth by improving customer member experiences. We're positioned to serve people how they want to be served, and that will drive our top line. We'll keep investing in our stores and clubs and add some new ones, and we'll get even better with curbside and delivery in its various forms. We're positioned well digitally, not just physically. We're growing our business not only through our app and site, but we're growing via social commerce, and we'll grow through our personal shopping assistant, we'll be where customers are. Second, we're creating shareholder value as we evolve our business model and apply technology to improve productivity. We can improve return on investment even as we invest in our future. We're an and company, people and tech; stores and e-commerce; innovation and execution. We like our position and we like our plan. We wouldn't trade with anyone and we're just getting started. John David, I'd like to turn it over to you. Please welcome John David Rainey.
John Rainey
executiveGood morning. Thank you all for being here. At our last investor meeting in 2023, we outlined these building blocks of value creation, growth, margin, returns. We still believe that these are the appropriate focus areas for us today. If there's a message that we want you to take away from these 2 days, it's this. We have fundamentally changed as a business. We've made years of thoughtful strategic investments, investments that have positioned us to serve our customers and members through an omnichannel model, which has resulted in a financial model that yields much higher returns. Importantly, we believe that we have unique competitive advantages that make this durable. At our last investor meeting, we talked about the investments in our business that we've made over the last 10 years. Investments in associate wages, investments in price, investments in technology and an improved customer and member experience. And we said that these investments have positioned us to achieve much more attractive financial outcomes going forward. We outlined the financial framework that you see in front of you. We said that we expect, on average, sales to grow about 4% per year. Some years, it may be more, some years, it may be less, but on average about 4% per year. And we said that we expect operating profits to grow faster than sales. In the 2 years since we've delivered on those commitments. Our top line has grown over 5%. Operating income has grown almost 10%, and while the market may be a little nervous about consumer sentiment at this very moment, there's nothing, nothing that changes our view on our ability to deliver this framework over the coming years. We find that our investments are yielding results, and our strong profit growth has come with significant contributions from e-comm and newer businesses like advertising and data, while profits in stores and clubs continue to grow. We still believe that this is the right financial framework for our business today. This doesn't happen by accident. This is the result of execution from what we believe is the best group of employees in retail, our associates, being people-led and tech-powered, it's not just a slogan. It's one of the things that makes us unique. It's who we are. Let's zoom out for a second and take a 5-year view of our business. We've invested heavily in automation and technology. And as a result, we've seen our assets increase about 2.5% per year. Those investments have resulted in a different design for our business, an omnichannel fulfillment model that serves our customers and members however they want. During this period of time, our sales have grown over 5% per year, outpacing our asset growth. Said differently, we've increased sales by over $150 billion without adding any meaningful number of stores or clubs, resulting in improved asset turnover. We're getting more out of our stores and clubs than before and e-comm has contributed to 50% of that growth. The strength of our underlying retail and eCom business has allowed us to grow into newer businesses. And as a result, overall profit growth has been faster at 6% annually. This improved asset turnover, along with better profit conversion on sales has resulted in ROI expanding nearly 200 basis points. We've set off this virtuous cycle, investing in the business to drive above trend line growth at higher incremental margins, which in turn allows us to reinvest back into the business and generate improved financial returns for shareholders. This cycle should result in ROI continuing to improve into the future. Our business has fundamentally changed. In fact, I would argue that if you put these last 5 years on the page with the next 5 years, the hardest thing to believe on that page is the last 5 years. Our business, particularly our newer businesses have momentum. We are truly and uniquely a scaled omnichannel retailer. We are one of one. Historically, we've been primarily known for low prices. Today, our value proposition extends to convenience, and that resonates with a wide range of customers and members in important markets around the world. We now serve 93% of America with same-day delivery. In China, the majority of our e-comm orders are delivered in less than 1 hour, and we're scaling up quick commerce options in India. As we've made the necessary investments to offer channel choice to our customers, we're seeing the attractive incremental margins that come from more digital businesses. Our e-commerce business is approaching 20% of sales to date and over the next 5 years, we expect it to contribute 50% -- 50% to top line growth. What we have built is a different business model, one that drives improved returns. And importantly, we believe this is sustainable. It's durable. We have a retail customer base of about 270 million weekly customers, one of the world's largest and a global network of stores and clubs to serve them. Adding digital capabilities, our customers and members now have a variety of options to shop. The challenge in scaling any digital business, is customer acquisition. We had that already with hundreds and millions of customers and members coming to our properties each week. Our digital channels now let our customers and members shop with us however, whenever and wherever they want. These past few years, we've been investing to transform the shopping experience. In the U.S., we now offer next-day shipping, same-day delivery and express delivery as fast as 1 hour as options. And we believe that we can do this better than anyone because more than 90% of the U.S. population is within 10 miles of a Walmart store. What enables all of this is our industry-leading supply chain network and our highly committed associate workforce. As you experienced yesterday, we've been investing significantly in supply chain automation and in tech tools to empower our associates. This gives us the ability to operate at scale and speed. We have a very large customer base. And our leadership in high-frequency food and staples is the starting point for shopping basket, and it keeps our customers coming back. We're expanding our assortment, especially in general merchandise, which is complemented by our marketplace growth. And our membership programs, both at Sam's Club and Walmart Plus, have been very popular with our customers and members and their growth, especially Walmart Plus is helping expand our customer base and increase customer loyalty. To give you a data point on how impactful this can be, total digital spend from our Walmart+ membership base has grown at a rate of over 50% over the last year. Omnichannel accessibility, price leadership, assortment, membership programs, these are a winning combination and are helping us gain share, improve engagement and build loyalty. We're winning with our customers, and that gives us an opportunity to deepen our relationship with suppliers and sellers and offer them additional services like advertising and data. And our membership base and customer relationship opens the door to the growth of our financial services business. These businesses ads, data and fintech have grown at a 40% annual rate over the last 4 years. And I'll tell you, and I think this is important. That's a good way to think about the growth in these areas over the next 5 years as well. With that level of growth, these areas will increasingly become a more meaningful proportion of our business mix over the next few years, and this is happening across all of our segments. We've talked about the key pillars of our omni strategy including membership and marketplace and the value of adding ads, data and fintech on top of that. With the evolution of our business mix and our international presence, this view of Walmart will help understand the full spectrum of opportunities available to us. The orientation of this chart has sales growth on the Y-axis and profit growth on the X-axis. Our U.S. stores and clubs are the foundation of our business. And it's where we derive the majority of our profits today. To that, at our presence in various international businesses, which are growing sales and operating income at an even faster pace. Across all markets, we're mixing into digital commerce and services. U.S. -- the U.S. e-commerce opportunity and our China and India businesses are particularly significant. They're delivering high sales growth and delivering high incremental margins for the enterprise. These are all highly interconnected. They're stabilized by a strong foundation with several high-growth digital areas. The point that I want you to take away from this slide is this, the fastest-growing parts of our business also have the highest incremental margins. We expect that 2/3 of our profit growth over the next several years will come from these digital and high-growth businesses. And that's why we believe that we'll continue to grow profits faster than sales. Our omni strategy combines physical and digital businesses in a way that creates synergies between the two. Over the last several quarters, we've consistently made progress and improving the financial performance of our e-commerce business. Last June, at our shareholder meeting, you asked me about the timing of our e-commerce profitability. And I said that we expected it in the next year or two. We're pleased to share that this quarter, the quarter that we're in, we're seeing e-commerce profitability in our U.S. business, and we expect to achieve profitability on an annual basis this year. This is a milestone moment for our company and we expect to see the benefits in margins in the future years. To sum it up, we are uniquely positioned with our combination of omnichannel strength supplemented by a growing marketplace and membership count, benefiting from the network effect of our market presence. We're building higher-margin ads, data and fintech businesses and also expanding our penetration in these high-growth international markets. Our time-tested operating model emphasizes low prices to customers and cost management discipline, made stronger with our focus on technology and automation. This has taken time to build, but it will provide continued benefits over the long term. I want to talk about our capital structure for a minute. Over the last 5 years, we've increased the level of capital investment in our business, but that's driven improved returns. ROI has expanded 200 basis points. Operating cash flow has increased almost 50%. And we've done that while improving our leverage ratio, giving us more flexibility going forward. We'll continue to invest in the business in high-return projects like the supply chain automation that you all saw yesterday. And we'll make the necessary decisions to stop the things that we should stop. We'll continue to improve ROI, and we'll target a leverage ratio in the range of where it is today, maintaining our investment-grade rating. We like our position. I wouldn't trade it with anyone. This slide is a good framework for how you should think about our business going forward. The orientation of this chart has percentage growth on the vertical axis and our planning horizon or time on the horizontal axis. We're confident in the durability of our business model. And we see a consistent financial framework of sales growth of about 4% per year on average. And we've told you that we expect operating income will grow faster than sales leading to margin expansion. As these new higher-margin businesses scale, they'll have an outsized contribution to our profit growth, which is depicted here. And we've also said that as a percentage of sales, CapEx should generally be in the range of 3% to 3.5% over the next few years. This simple but powerful framework has a lot of potential for shareholder value creation with profit growing faster than sales, operating cash flow will mirror that and grow faster than sales. And with CapEx tied to sales growth, that results in free cash flow growing even faster. With these excess returns, we have the ability to invest in the business and see outsized returns for our shareholders. And we would generally expect that capital return to shareholders will be in line with the growth in free cash flow. This is what excites me about our business. This is what excites me about the opportunity in front of us. And I feel like we're just getting started. Before I wrap up, we know the current operating environment is on everyone's mind. And so I want to spend a couple of minutes on our expectations for the quarter. We're one week into this new tariff environment, and we're still working through what this means for us. As a reminder, though, more than 2/3 of what we sell in the U.S. is made, grown or assembled in the U.S. The third that we import comes from all over the world, but China and Mexico are the most significant. Our priorities in this environment are what Doug mentioned yesterday. We want to keep prices low. Our team is experienced with managing price over a portfolio of items. We want to manage our inventory well and we want to manage our cost. For the current quarter, the uncertainty and decline in consumer sentiment has led to a little more sales volatility week-to-week and frankly, day-to-day. But we still expect Q1 sales to be in the range of guidance of 3% to 4% growth for the quarter. And I'll remind you that we're lapping the 100 basis points headwind from leap day this year. Operating income has been harder to predict, and we've widened our internal range of scenarios given the current backdrop. When we guided Q1 in mid-February, we signaled that we expected pressure on OI growth, and that remains the case. There are 3 things worth noting here. Category mix has been less favorable than what we expected at the beginning of the quarter. General merchandise sales were softer earlier in the quarter, but they've improved as the quarter has progressed. Second, we see opportunities to accelerate share gains and are more maintaining flexibility to invest in price as tariffs are applied to incoming goods. And lastly, and maybe unrelated to the health of the business, we also have a couple of expenses that are coming in higher this quarter. The largest of these is related to casualty claims expense. And in total, these amount to about $200 million, which for us is about 300 basis points to OI growth. Our guidance for sales and operating income growth for the full year remain unchanged. So in closing, we're focused on the long term. What history tells us is that when we lean into these periods of economic uncertainty, Walmart emerges on the other side with greater share and a stronger business. And we don't expect this current period to be any different. We'll update you on Q1 performance when we report on May 15, but I want to repeat, nothing, nothing about this current environment changes anything that we're discussing with you today. There is a consistency in what we're sharing with what we said 2 years ago. Our business model is more diversified, it's more durable. And I would argue that it's more relevant than ever in this current environment. Thank you. I'll turn it over to Kath to discuss our International segment.
Kathryn McLay
executiveGood morning. We have an extraordinary story to tell at Walmart International. It is a growth story for sure. It's a story about innovation and the future, but it's also a story about lifting people up. Our 500,000 associates, the 95 million customers and members we serve every week and our reach across 18 countries around the world. And I'm really proud of the story in Walmart. At our last investor conference, we shared these goals. By 2028, we would reach $200 billion in GMV and double our profits and share of our business from e-commerce. By doing that, we would double the size of Walmart International's business. John David talked about the growth targets we expect to see in the coming years for the enterprise. And the International segment is a key driver of that outlook. Walmart International is accretive to growth on the top and bottom lines today, and we expect that to be even more pronounced looking ahead. We are going to continue to improve our operating margins and our return on investment by delivering strong growth in key markets like Mexico, China and India and by reducing our e-commerce losses. In India, Flipkart and PhonePe are driving economic growth. They're bringing jobs and innovation in one of the largest markets in the world, and we are thrilled about what the future in India holds for our business. So we are on track to meet these goals that we laid out, and let me tell you why. It starts with how International is driving results. First, we're in the right markets to win. Several years ago, we made the decision to restructure our portfolio. That meant we divested from some markets, and we reinvested in those where we expect to see sustainable growth. Secondly, we're becoming more omni. Our goal is to be the leading omnichannel retailer in every market where we operate. That leverages our store network, and we are making great strides in doing that. And over the past 2 years, we've increased e-commerce sales by 45% as we bring value and convenience to shoppers. Finally, we're innovating, sharing what we learn across markets and developing learning agility. I want to get into this a little bit more later when I'm joined by 3 of our market presidents, but I feel like this is a muscle that we're quickly building and I believe it will pay dividends. So coming off a strong FY '24 and FY '25, we're being intentional about investing to maintain our growth over the long term. We've made investments in customer acquisition, in the business model and -- sorry, in the business with a focus on stores, clubs and automation and as well as into fast delivery. We've seen that we can make these investments as well as still improve ROI. So we're driving growth through investment in our customer experience, and we're creating shareholder value by strengthening our business model. This is my first time in front of you since I stepped into the role about 18 months ago. I know many of you from my time in Sam's Club as well as in neighborhood markets. But I have found international to be something entirely different, and I mean that in the best way possible. We have a saying that we bring Walmart to the world, but we also bring the world to Walmart. But what do I mean by that? Well, what I mean is that one of our roles for the enterprise is to open up the aperture of what retail looks like around the world. And we're doing that by the role we're playing in our markets. And I think that allows us to see a little bit into the future somewhat. Since joining International, I have traveled the globe. In this role, I think you really have to be out in the market, you have to see our business, you have to be in outsourcing operations firsthand and up close with our leadership teams and with our associates, with the customers and members, and I have. Here is what I have observed, I like our strategy, and we're executing it well. We have a great leadership team. And our culture is embedded in our markets. And I want to linger on that point for just a moment. As you know, we're not complicated in our approach. We want to help people save money and live better. And in International, I believe that purpose is even more deeply felt by our customers. I want to share with you a few examples of what I've seen. In our Central American market, a segment of our customer base has $1.17 per person per day to feed their family. That's less than a typical cost of a cup of coffee. So you can imagine the importance of everyday low prices for these customers. But one of our merchants there noticed that bananas weren't selling well. And that is a surprise because the staple of a Central American diet is bananas. It turned out that we only sold bananas by the bunch, which costs more and could spoil faster. So we started selling individual bananas at $0.8 a piece. This provides a nutritious affordable snack for our customers and sales of bananas went up. In Chile, Walmart is the only retailer that serves a remote island just off the coast of Punta Arenas. The island is called Puerto Toro, and it is almost the further South town on the planet. We deliver goods by boat. And I met someone when I was in Punta Arenas who told me that their parents save 60 hours a month in travel because Walmart now comes to them. And in China, a member told me she doesn't have to shop around for the best prices. Why? Because of trust. She trusts that Sam's Club is always going to have the lowest prices on whatever it is that her family needs. There are dozens of stories like this in our markets, and they all say the same thing. Walmart helps people save money and live better, and I'm really proud to be part of that. As I mentioned earlier, we're driving growth through our investments and our customer experience and we're creating shareholder value by strengthening our business model. Let's talk more about our growth, I showed you this slide a few moments ago about our goals. These goals are attainable because our associates wake up every day thinking about one thing, our customers and our members. That looks different in each market, but we're more alike than not because our purpose and our values are constant. Our culture is strong, and we share our founders Maverick Spirit to embrace change. Driving that change is our user technology. Doug called our newest innovation Trend-to-Product a way to get faster at scale and it is by identifying what's cool, while it's still cool, our sourcing team is giving our customers what they want, when they want it. Have a look at this. [Presentation]
Kathryn McLay
executiveTrend-to-Product allows us to move faster and to serve customers better. Think about the time saved at Walmart scale when you turn hours into minutes, when you turn months into weeks going from design concept to item to store. It's a great example of using AI to become better merchants as we continue to grow and to innovate. Today, I want to look more closely at how we're using technology and sharing ideas to better serve customers in China, India and Mexico. Over the next few years, we expect significant growth to come from these markets. Please help me welcome Christina Zhu, the President and CEO of Walmart China; Ignacio Caride, President and CEO of Walmex and Kalyan Krishnamurthy, CEO of Flipkart. The leader of our other business in India, Sameer Nigam, the CEO of PhonePe can't join us today. As I'm sure you've heard he's busy planning for an IPO in India. This will be a major milestone for PhonePe, which celebrates its tenth year anniversary this year. PhonePe is a leader in financial services. And just last month, it crossed 600 million registered users. That means one in 3 Indians are now using PhonePe. So I'm glad you all could join me. I've talked a little bit about the growth that we're going to expect from these 3 markets.
Kathryn McLay
executiveIgnacio, I might start with you. You've been in your role for not quite a year now. What are your initial observations?
Ignacio Caride
attendeeThanks, Kath, and good morning, everyone. Look, I spent in the past 13 years, creating and managing e-commerce operations in Mercado Libre in the region in South America. And when I was there, I was always jealous of Walmart's assortment, footprint and logistics. Now that I have the chance to lead the company and develop and work on our strategy of winning discount leading omni and becoming the ecosystem of choice and give us and we have all the tools to keep disrupting retail. So this past year has been amazing, has been transformative, and we'll keep pushing our strategy.
Kathryn McLay
executiveThat's awesome. Thank you. Christina, I think we have a couple of pictures that kind of give some insight into what's going on in Sam's Club in Mex -- sorry, in China. Tell me what makes Sam's Club, so special in China?
Xiaojing Zhu
executiveSure, Kath. Good morning, everyone. These pictures, they offer a pretty good snapshot of kind of energy we see our clubs every day. Actually, we're incredibly proud of the growth experience in Sam's Club in China. Actually, in our latest Chinese New Year trading season, we actually saw our membership count grew by another 35%. And yes, our clubs are indeed very busy. So I think back in 2023, Doug mentioned that we have 2 clubs in China that each generated about $0.5 billion sales per annum. I'm really happy to share that this year, we think the number would jump to 8. We'll have 8 Sam's Clubs in China this year that would each generate more than $500 million sales.
Kathryn McLay
executiveIt's extraordinary.
Xiaojing Zhu
executiveYes. Thanks Kath. And so you asked me the question, right? So why do members love us? I think it really comes down to 3 key themes. First, always, it's great items. When members come to our Sam's Club. They know they can get quality products at great prices. And they know that they can always count on that, but it's more than that. There is that huge element of discovery of treasure hunt. They can find unique items they're only available in Sam's Club. Like life is truly better with Sam's Club. They know that we aim not just to match the expectation but really to exceed them and delight them. I think second, really is the omnichannel convenience, right? So members today they can shop with us whenever, wherever and however they want to. It could be a fun outing with families and friends in our clubs, sampling the products and discover hidden gems or they can simply take out the phone, click on items and have them delivered to doorstep within an hour. Actually, average speed is less than 40 minutes and sometimes could be fast as 15 to 20 minutes. And more than this year, more than 50% of our sales actually come online. So more than 80%, that will be delivered within the 1-hour window. And the third thing, though, I think is the most important, and you said it Kath earlier, really is about trust. Our members, they trust us. They trust that when it come to Sam's Club, they can get quality products at great prices. They trust that we're constantly working to improve the shopping experience with us. They also trust that we truly get them. We invest tremendous amount of energy and time really to study their needs and trying to get the insights, but also foresight to anticipate the harsh desire, so we can delight them not only now but also in the future.
Kathryn McLay
executiveYes, that's great. And I think what we have seen across international is like trust is universal. It's so important in retail. Kalyan, I am switching to you. Tell us a little bit about the consumer in India. What are they expecting from us? How are you delighting them and exceeding their expectations?
Kalyan Krishnamurthy
attendeeSure. Thank you for inviting me, Kath. At Flipkart in India, we have more than 500 million users. We have a product catalog size of more than 200 million products, which we offer to these 500 million-plus users. We deliver to roughly 95% of the country, maybe more than 22,000, 23,000 ZIP codes across the country. These 500 million users are among the most diverse users you can find, diversity in language, in education, in income segments, geographic diversity. The most important aspiration and ambition for Flipkart is to make sure that we understand these customer segments carefully, and we are able to offer a customized value proposition to each of these segments. For example, the top 30 to 40 cities in India and the affluent customers within them, they behave in a particular manner. They expect the meaning of value proposition for them is speed of delivery, service, convenience and national brands. But as and when you go down, let's say, you look at the next 300 million users, for them, the meaning of value proposition is selection, variety of products and value. How do we offer that value proposition to this user segment. So this is the meaning of customer experience in India, and this is our aspiration.
Kathryn McLay
executiveYes, it's fantastic. It kind of blows your mind when you start to think about the scale of that 500 million active customers. I love the way we actually have the opportunity also to learn from each other. And I think there's a great example that has played out even over the last 12 months. Kalyan, you were looking at kind of how to like engage with quick commerce, and I know you engage with Christina. So why don't we start with you, Christina, why don't you talk a little bit about your cloud business and then we'll go from there and understand how that's playing out in India.
Xiaojing Zhu
executiveSure. So cloud model is something we started experimenting before COVID. And during COVID, as you know, the online demand really accelerated. So the cloud model actually has proven to be a game changer for us. Now clouds really are there's small, compact fulfillment centers, stock stores, strategic located in dense urban residential areas. So each of the club, we call mother club you would have about 8 to 15 clouds. And each cloud will serve a trading area of about 2 to 3 miles radius. And so what I really love about this model, though, is actually it's efficiency and it's integration. So the club and the cloud, they really work together as one seamless hub-and-spoke system. So the cloud really is a hub in the center. It manages and replenished all those clouds as spokes. So online orders, they actually are picked and packaged in our clouds and from our cloud delivered to our customers by [indiscernible] bike for speed, right. So when we actually say more than 50% of sales this year will come from online. It really means that with this model, we actually get to sweat our club assets twice. Now what do we mean by that? Think of it this way. If you remember the photos we showed earlier about those busy clubs, right? What you saw are busy clubs filled with customers? What you didn't see though, but it's actually happening at the same time, real time is a massive online shopping operation taking place behind the scenes, powered mostly by our cloud network. In cloud, they are easy and low cost to set up, very simple to run. So which means that with actually relatively small additional CapEx, we can actually generate significant high returns over our Club assets. And that path really is the essence when we say it's our cloud-based omnichannel.
Kathryn McLay
executiveAnd I think that's how you've got this highly efficient model where 50% of your business is online and 50% offline and both channels are profitable, and you know how to now deliver in less than an hour, sometimes as fast as 15 minutes. And then, Kalyan, you were interested in understanding about quick commerce. Do you want to just tell that story a little?
Kalyan Krishnamurthy
attendeeYes, sure, of course. We launched our own quick commerce product and brand just about 9 months back, what Christina calls out as cloud, in India, we call it as quick commerce. So we launched with just about 100 stores, and we are already close to 300 stores. Now by end of this year, we probably get to 800 stores. That's the vision we have. The customer segment, like I shared before, for this particular product is a very sophisticated customer with very high expectations. Now the most important aspect of making this business successful is the supply chain behind this. The supply chain behind this has to be scalable, technology-enabled, agile, reliable. And Christina's team were able to expose us to a lot of these supply chains in China where they have these fulfillment networks, which Christina explained, 750 square feet all the way to 200,000 square feet, fulfillment centers. It's very, very impressive what we saw, and we are doing everything to learn from her more and more and execute that in India.
Xiaojing Zhu
executiveBut I want to call out that we're actually talking to his team now to learn ways that what he's doing in India, so we can actually cut out deliver times even shorter as well.
Kathryn McLay
executiveYes. It's like an equation that we just keep refining in each market and context. And then Ignacio, you're keen to see how will this deploy in Mexico as well?
Ignacio Caride
attendeeYes. The beauty of our company and being present all over the world is it gives us a chance to look at the future. So after we saw what China did and how Flipkart adapted that to the Indian market, now we are tailoring that into Mexico. We are a little bit different. We have more than 4,000 stores already in place in the region. So that gives us a huge advantage because we are 10 minutes away from 90% of the population in the big cities. So leveraging that with the experience from both countries and what we are learning from both countries, it is helping us to reshape the customer offering we are doing. So right now, we are delivering as fast as 45 minutes in the big cities, full basket size, but we want to take down to 30 and 50 minutes eventually, leveraging everything we're learning from other countries. This is amazing.
Kathryn McLay
executiveIt's exciting. Let's look at it another way that we're looking at serving our customers. We talked before about how we're using AI for Trend-to-Product. But Kalyan, I know you're also in Flipkart doing things with AI. So can I start with you and then maybe we walk along and each of us can share what we've been doing around AI.
Kalyan Krishnamurthy
attendeeSure. Kath, AI has to become the culture of the company. That's our vision. It should not be restricted to a team or function or a product. So on the business side, we have classified our product and engineering into 3 buckets. Consumer-facing and consumer facing, merchant-facing, we have more than 1 million merchants who list their products on Flipkart and then our supply chain. And of course, then there are the corporate functions where AI gets used. And we are embracing it across all of these products. I will today give some examples about the consumer-facing function. The biggest opportunity and challenge also operating in a country with the diversity of India is personalization. How do you match the 200 million plus catalog size to the 500 million-plus users. And that's where we are today using AI in the biggest way. There is still work to do, but that's the biggest investment we are making. We have a group company, Myntra, which is a lifestyle marketplace, they are a bit ahead in this game. For example, when you as a customer go in and you start looking for products instead of just showing you products, they dynamically show you looks, so you went in looking for products, but then you come out with a look. So this is one big example. Another quick example. India is going through a very big generational movement. So we have about 350 million to 400 million users, young users, let's say, in the age group of 15 to 30. These users behave a bit differently. And I'll tell you the primary difference. Mostly e-commerce platforms in the world, when you just look at the app or you look at the product pages, they are very text-heavy image heavy. These users want videos. So we are using AI extensively to convert all of these catalogs into videos and giving sellers the tools to do that. So in a cost-effective way. So these are some of the big examples .
Kathryn McLay
executiveRight. Yes, Kalyan -- sorry, Ignacio?
Ignacio Caride
attendeeIn our case, of course, we're using and testing AI everywhere, looking for productivity on improving service. But what I'm most excited about is now we are putting together in Mexico, we have Beneficios that is a program that gives benefits to our customers for coming into our stores. And that is giving us and feeding us a lot of information from what they buy, when they buy, how frequent they come to our stores. We're feeding that information into Scintilla, and Scintilla is putting all this information after we process it with AI, with machine learning into our suppliers. So now suppliers with all of this information are taking much better commercial decisions and understanding much better the new trends or how customers are reacting. So that's one example. Another one, we just launched a couple of weeks ago, a redefined AI-based recommendation engine inside our web page. The numbers we're seeing are incredible. So we saw 45% more engagement, 2.4 basis points more of -- sorry, 2.4% more of ad to card. And this is just the beginning, the first initial test. If we can extrapolate that to the rest of the experience, it's going to be a game changer.
Kathryn McLay
executiveFantastic. Christina?
Xiaojing Zhu
executiveSure. One example I can share is actually how we're transforming line review process with AI. So previously, with each category line review, it would take about 2 to 3 merchants, 3 weeks of full time manually collecting data and performing analysis. Now our AI-powered tools have completely automated all of that. So that really condense the workload from 3 people, 3 weeks down to 1 person a day. Now that's a tremendous lift on productivity. But not all than that, it really improves the decision quality, but most importantly, it frees up valuable time for our associates to focus on truly important things.
Kathryn McLay
executiveThat's great. And I love your point, Kalyan, too, that it's not an initiative or a side product -- side project, but it's actually immersive, it's the whole company engaging in us. We have monthly gatherings of all of our market presidents and we've made a big effort to hold those not in Benville but in our markets around the globe because I think being in a market helps all of us learn from each other and solve problems together. One thing that we've all learned is that our customers everywhere have the same wants. They want great items at low prices. They want a broad assortment. They want a good experience and they want to shop when it's convenient for them. And they want to spend their money with a company that they trust. Ignacio, I'm going to start with you on this. How are you managing this nexus of value proposition and convenience?
Ignacio Caride
attendeeYes. So when I was still at the beginning of the strategy, we're focusing on our core. But one of the things we're doing is building an ecosystem that connects with our core and drives traffic to the stores. This ecosystem started because when we wanted to start our omnichannel experience, we realized that in Mexico, customers were not able to access Internet through their phones because it was very expensive. So what we did is we created Vita is our MVNO service that now has more than 19 million subscribers. And why we managed to do this basically because we launched this service at 1/7 of the cost of the leading player. And when you start giving access to Internet to the customers, suddenly, they realize they have access to the digital economy. So now they can buy items through online, they can have access to digital doctors or digital consultations, they can ask for a credit online, they can pay online. They can do a whole new amount of things. So this is the ecosystem we are building. With the stores at the center and giving access to the digital economy to help them save money and, of course, live better.
Kathryn McLay
executiveSo that's extraordinary. So 19 million customers are getting their digital connectivity from you at a 1/7 of the price of what they could get it from everywhere else.
Ignacio Caride
attendeeYes. That's why we built -- we become the third largest telephone company in the country in just 4 years. And because they have access to the digital economy now for example, they can subscribe to benefits. With benefits in 6 months, we got 46 million subscribers. And this is all information that then we can put into get the Scintilla and get the...
Kathryn McLay
executiveSo the data network is building out. You know your customer, you understand their transaction history and you are providing value for them in multiple ways in this connected way to build omni.
Ignacio Caride
attendeeExactly.
Kathryn McLay
executiveThat's awesome. Excellent. What about you, Kalyan as you think about convenience and value?
Kalyan Krishnamurthy
attendeeYes. It's probably the most sophisticated and complex problem in commerce and in e-commerce as well. How do you balance and trade off the 2. Given the diversity of the user base we have, we have taken a philosophical view that we will lead with the value proposition and the other one will be hygiene. For example, like I mentioned before, the top 50 cities and the more affluent user base, we lead with speed, service, convenience and national brands and broadly, value and selection, we make sure we have hygiene. At the moment you come down to the next customer segment, we lead with selection and value, and we make sure that speed and speed-related service becomes hygiene. So -- it's -- we believe the trade-off is a little bit tricky, and we have to lead with one and offer hygiene on the other one.
Kathryn McLay
executiveAnd any last comments from you, Christina?
Xiaojing Zhu
executiveSure. And we like our CVP, and we like our store base omnichannel. And we're seeing it going from strength to strength. We're also very, very clear with all our associates that complacency is never an option, right? I think really, for me, it really comes down to trust. If the trust needs to be built over time through a relentless focus on customers. And Sam Walton once said, there's only one boss, the customer. I think that really is a key. A relentless focus on customer, constant innovation, reinvent ourselves so we can delight them.
Kathryn McLay
executiveSo I hope what you've heard today is like, firstly, we are in the right markets. Between these 3 different countries represented here, there's 3 billion people in population size. So in the right markets, we have a strong and growing omni business, and we're executing with speed and at scale. And we also have great talent. Thank you, Christina, Ignacio and Kalyan. I really appreciate you coming here and like sharing your insights about what you're seeing the market. I'd love to take everyone with us to Mexico, China and India. This is the best that we could do today. At the heart of everything we've discussed today is our purpose as a company. We help people save money and live better. How we do that is going to continue to evolve as innovations emerge but that purpose is our north star everywhere we operate. Doug showed you our positioning statement earlier today. As retail goes through what promises to be the biggest technological transformation yet, I want to key in on this phrase in our statement. We are people-led and tech-powered. There is so much strength in that phrase and in the way that it is constructed. It matters that people come first. Walmart is and always will be about the people, the customers and members we serve and our associates. And underpinning and uplifting everything we do, whether it's delivering in 15 minutes or selling individual bananas in our stores, are our people. And because where people led, it comes natural to us to be customer focused. People-led, tech-powered, that's Walmart International and forwards. Thank you again for your interest in what we do. And I think we're now going to go to a short break. Thank you. [Presentation]
Christopher Nicholas
executiveGood morning. 42 years ago, we launched Sam's Club. What started as an experiment has grown to a $90 billion business. And it feels like we're just getting started. That pioneering spirit is the essence of who we are, and it's propelled us to set out a really ambitious future to be the world's best club retailer. Here's what you're going to hear from us today. We will redefine the future of the club channel and what it looks like, and that future is omni. And we will define the success by membership growth, how many new members we acquire and how loyal they are to us. Over the last several years, we've delivered strong growth, and we have a solid foundation. And our members are telling us they want us to do more and to go faster. We've learned, we've listened and we've adjusted the value proposition. We've sharpened our focus, and we've begun the work to leverage the enterprise and to move faster, all of which has created the conditions for aggressive growth, growth that increases the returns to Walmart, Inc. Over the next 8 to 10 years, we will see a route to doubling our membership, and as a result, more than doubling sales and profit. And with our omnichannel approach and the growth of our digital businesses, we believe we can do it even faster. As we redefine the future of the club channel, we've set a new bar for what members expect. Let's talk about what they've begun to see change. We opened our first new club since 2017, showcasing the future of Sam's Club at great line. Scan & Go is now broadly adopted with Grapevine at 100%. Just Go AI computer vision exit scale from 0 to the whole fleet in less than a year. We're growing through digital. Our new eCom value proposition, which offers free shipping to Plus members and free pickup to club members has proved to be popular and has enabled us to grow faster whilst also enhancing profitability. Personalized connected ads leveraging AI are now a reality. Our Member's Mark, private brand represents 50% of our merchandise sales growth in the last 2 years. We've invested in associates, including compensation and AI tools to improve efficiency. And that's resulted in more associates choosing to stay longer and build their careers with us. And we have a world-class leadership team with the experience and the ability to turn our strategy into a reality. And members are thanking us with all-time hygiene membership from renewals including a nearly 700 basis point increase in first year renewals, all-time highs in digital penetration. And we can have a digital relationship with 100% of our members through digital membership cards. E-com is growing aggressively. It accounts for 15% of sales today, excluding fuel, and we think 40% is achievable over the planning horizon. Growth in delivery with Express is the tip of the spear and it has grown triple digits. Our advertising business has seen compound growth of 13% over the last 2 years. Member's Mark continues to be a driver of renewal with units growing 2.4% faster than our national brands. Experiences like Scan & Go have become a top reason to join Sam's Club and to renew and the younger generation they're shopping with us, which is a really important health metric for the future of our business. We have a lot of opportunity ahead of us, and we have a plan to deliver on it. The club total addressable market is large and is growing rapidly as more people see the value the club channel offers. Our share of sales and of membership is unlocked an even faster rate through a national e-commerce business. As we continue to listen to our members, we've learned that the key to winning is to give them more of what they want, how they want it, when they want it. We are not interested in asking the member to tolerate friction as a cost of doing shopping with us. We are able to have an and strategy, enabled buyers leveraging Walmart's back-end capabilities and by reinvesting in the member value proposition to drive more members and more loyalty. So let's get into the member value proposition. It's evolved. All of the decisions around the changes and the investments we are making are framed by how they enrich the 4 components of value assortment experience and trust. So let's start with what's table stakes, profoundly important to the club channel, value and assortment. Value is price and quality is a key component of perceived value. We've invested in quality over the last few years, and it really comes to life through our growing Member's Mark brand. We continue to deliver more value to members by investing in price. Our merchants battle every single day to keep prices down. And staying true to the model, they work to find the highest quality all whilst maintaining the absolutely lowest price. Take Member's Mark battles, for example, they're priced lower than pre-COVID without sacrificing quality and units are up over 35%. Our growing advertising business and other high-margin businesses like our services business, will be reinvested back into the member value proposition. Our rapidly growing e-commerce business is a natural advantage, and we will grow it profitably. And since our prices are the same online as in clubs, never marked up as we grow, we extend our price advantage. On assortment, we're accelerating our efforts here both in club and online with world-class national brands, regionally relevant items to make us more of a club of the community and Member's Mark, which continues to serve as the highest bar for quality, value and innovation. Julie Barber, our new Chief Merchant, is a lifelong business and brand builder and most recently ran U.S. general merchandise, which is nearly $100 billion business. You will hear more from her today about how we're elevating our general merchandise offering. Over the years, the club model has evolved, quality items at the lowest cost came with the expense of something, experience. We don't believe it's an either/or. As Doug said, we are an and company. It's why we've been on a journey to transform our business model to deliver a retail experience that is free of friction and frustration one that elevates the members' life by anticipating what they need and giving them more than they expected. And this starts with investing in our physical footprint. We are expanding our reach through new clubs and remodels with an eye towards omni engagement and speed on new clubs. We will open the 30 new clubs that we've shared previously, and I'm excited to share that we have plans to build a pipeline to 15 new clubs every year for the foreseeable future. On remodels, we will remodel our entire fleet revitalizing our fleet is a strategic growth investment, and we are confident in the returns we will see in sales and in membership income. And on the club of the future. For those of you that are here today in person, you'll see what our revitalized fleet will look like. Starting with Grapevine, which sets the standard, we will remodel our fleet to this standard. Our members are telling us they want it. and we're moving with speed to deliver for them. To do that, we are leveraging enterprise platforms, including Walmart's fulfillment network and tech stack. These capabilities allow us to have a national e-commerce presence and grow membership that's not necessarily tethered to a local club. We're not limited by our physicality. We're enabled by it, and Tom Ward, our new end-to-end Chief Operating Officer, will share more about how we're going to lead in Omni. Our journey from here is to create a connected ecosystem of experiences, whether someone is in the club, at home, somewhere in between. We're blending physical and digital worlds. We're connecting with members and becoming part of their lives in new ways, and Diana Marshall, in her new role as Chief Experience Officer, will take you through how we see this stretching across our entire ecosystem, creating seamless connected experiences across every member touch point. And finally, trust. One important component of trust is the output of successfully executing all of the elements of our member value proposition. And it matters more in the club model than anywhere else because members pay to shop with us. They need to trust us upfront that they're going to get a return on that investment. But this all starts with our associates and the trust that they place in us, creating good jobs that lead to good careers, and part of the journey to be the world's best club retailer means we'll need to have the best associate experience in retail. We've already taken steps to elevate wages. We've implemented pay progression, and we've reduced turnover but we're excited to do a lot more. We're using AI to remove mundane work from the club. We've taken 100 million tasks out of the club in the last year alone. This drives better experience for our associates and freeze them up to focus on more complex work and to engage in more meaningful ways with our members. We know that when a member has a positive interaction with an associate, they are more likely to renew, you'll see continued focus here as well as our commitment in fostering trust with members, suppliers and the communities in which we operate. As member trust builds, it becomes a reinforcing loop that both grows membership and spend. Our member value proposition is resonating. We have momentum. We are confident in the future of Sam's Club, and we are creating shareholder value by strengthening our business model. And with the seasoned leadership team that we've assembled, we have the experience to do more and to go faster. I'm really excited for you to hear more from these leaders today. This is the team with the experience to accelerate our strategy and to reimagine the future of retail.
Julie Barber
executiveGood morning. I'm Julie Barber, and I am thrilled to join Sam's Club. What's really exciting is the wide range of assortment that we offer from fresh fruits and vegetables to the most recognizable brands in general merchandise. We have an amazing team of merchants who are experts in their fields, and we strongly believe in omni. Our merchants aren't just buying items for our in-club experience but also online. And we lead the way in offering great value to our members by providing price parity. No matter how you shop at Sam's Club, you pay the same price. That means the larger our e-commerce business grows, the greater our price advantage. What stands out to me as a differentiator is our fresh assortment. This has been an important category for Sam's Club, with almost 90% of members currently shopping it. And therefore, we know Fresh continues to be a membership driver. For my family, home meal solutions are a top item. Right now, Sam's Club offers 30 prepared meal options, and we are always posting our members on what they would like to see next. We believe our private brand Member's Mark sets the standard in our clubs for quality, through disruptive value and on-trend innovation for items across all of our categories. And I'm really excited to share that by this summer, all of our Member's Mark items will be free from artificial colors and ingredients, which we know is important to many of our members. I'm really proud of Member's Mark and how they're leaning in for our Better-for-You Initiative. We have items like Member's Mark organic fruit twist made with real fruit and no artificial colors or flavors. And the Member's Mark apparel, Sandwash collection. It's made with 50% recyclable materials. We will continue to utilize Member's Mark, but also expand our other options, with national brands like Poppi, a better-for-you and simply fuel protein balls made with real ingredients and probiotics. Our goal is to truly be a club of the community, providing members with items specific to their regions, wants and needs. In March, we rolled out club of the community, and we added region-specific items like Franklin's original barbecue sauce and El Patio corn chips. Both of these items were filed during our local open call event for suppliers, which we hosted right here in Texas. I believe it's important to improve our credibility with members through general merchandise. We will accomplish this by partnering with big brands that our members recognize and love like Vitamix, Jura or Barefoot Dreams, to consistently surprise and delight them. By enhancing the assortment in our clubs and on our site, we can show up in the best way at every touch point of a member shopping journey, and it all starts with having great items. Now I'll turn it over to Tom Ward, our end-to-end Chief Operating Officer, who will share more on how we will bring all of this assortment to life in clubs and online.
Tom Ward
executiveThanks, Julie. At Sam's Club, we talk about doing more and going faster, and that's exactly aligned to what our members expect of us. Chris talked about the incredible strategy we have and our ambition to double the size of our business and our membership base. And I have the privilege of holding a newly created position at Sam's that's been designed with one simple thing in mind, to achieve those 2 goals quickly. My team is responsible for building a seamless connection between our end-to-end supply chain, our clubs, our e-commerce business and last mile delivery to members. And we'll do that through rapid acceleration and leverage of our world-class enterprise platforms. These include both our supply chain as many of you in the room had the chance to tour yesterday and by leveraging our e-commerce and last-mile capabilities. What we internally call the Walmart commerce platforms, and something I was fortunate enough to work on over the last few years while leading the U.S. e-commerce business. These platforms were and continue to be transformational in the speed and quality of service our members and customers receive. And the great news is at Sam's, we have the exact team to do this. Bringing this formula together in a way which removes friction for members and associates creates incredible clubs to shop in and offer seamless online connection to our rapidly expanded suite of capabilities, underlying Sam's Club as the only truly omnichannel club retail. And we know that members want to shop at Sam's Club and what we mean by that is that they don't differentiate between physical clubs and our website or app, but rather they want to shop seamlessly between all our channels, however and whenever they want. We're designing an anytime, anywhere club model that appeals to the fastest-growing generation of digitally native consumers, which is why we've seen around half of our new member growth coming from Gen Z and millennials. That means that members who are loading up flatbeds with great items on their weekend stock-up trips and they're walking in to grab something for dinner tonight. Like maybe a convenient meal solution, like lobster Mac and Cheese or some great Member's Mark Wine. But they're also placing online orders for pickup and their express ordering items for delivery. Our members are finding more ways to tap their membership for more things, more often, and that's the power of omni. Our members are already embracing this omni model. In fact, right now, about 40% of our in-club shoppers have visited our Apple site a week before making a purchase. And innovative technologies like Scan & Go, act as the connective tissue between the online and the physical world and our members love it. Scan & Go is a win for members because it simplifies their shopping experience, allowing them to bypass the traditional checkout lanes, but it's also a distinctive competitive advantage. We can personalize the shopping experience while they're physically in the club. And who else can do that? What's even more exciting is that when members shop Scan & Go, they're twice as likely to then shop online with us. So just like you would have heard me say in my previous role, the nearest club is the one in our members pocket. And that club plays a truly central role to the e-commerce experience that sounds, with over half of our eCom sales being fulfilled from clubs today. Now when it comes to speed and convenience, members love to use our club pickup offering, and that channel is growing rapidly, up 21% last year. Sometimes members just want the convenience of having the items they love delivered right to them. And as we activate and expand delivery from club, we're seeing tremendous growth, up nearly 130% last quarter. When it comes to speed, members are loving our express delivery proposition, which has more than doubled in sales since we launched it in August of last year. But to wrap things up, I'm going to leave you with a few points that had me really excited since joining Sam's. Our members who are digitally engaged shop with us 3x more often than members who shop in club only. They shop across twice as many categories driving 3x the overall spend. And those same members they renew a 10% higher rate than in club only members, meaning they're getting more value out of their membership at Sam's. This ecosystem fueled by omnichannel helps us grow membership and it drives renewal. We are excited about the opportunities ahead as we accelerate our Omni Club ambitions. Our members are asking us to do more and to go faster and all through seamless connected experiences and that's exactly what you're going to see, and to share more about how we're creating these connected experiences for our members. I'm going to turn it over to Diana Marshall.
Diana Marshall
executiveThanks, Tom. I'm excited to be the first Chief Experience Officer in the enterprise. As we look to the future, we know value and assortment will not be enough. As famously said, what got us here won't get us there. We've learned that connection is at the heart of every shopping journey, giving us confidence that experience will be a key differentiator for Sam's Club going forward. Our vision is simple: to create effortless personal experiences for our members that bring joy and foster community. Our ability to design end-to-end experiences powered by technology and leveraging our data will supercharge the member value proposition and increase our total addressable market, driving the growth needed to achieve our ambition. For example, Scan & Go, our digital in Club shopping tool has a Net Promoter Score over 90. And today, 3/4 of our members leave the club without stopping in line through our just go exit technology. They receive a simple thank you and a smile. This technology has increased member satisfaction at exit in a matter of months. And it also earned us the iF Design Award for excellence in design. Experiences like these are part of the reason that Sam's Cub achieved the top spot in this year's American Customer Satisfaction Index rankings for general merchandise retailers. As we look ahead, we want to go beyond effortless and elevate personal experiences that bring joy and foster community. Our data will enable personal experiences that no one else can replicate. We will create dynamic real-time connections with members based on their preferences, like shopping habits and even birthdays, driving genuine and thoughtful interactions. This will deliver tailored authentic marketing to potential and lapsed members, giving them a reason to return or join for the first time. A deeper engagement with our members will fuel our advertising business, enabling us to reinvest in the member value proposition. Let me give you some examples of how this might come to life across various member journeys. Jordan is hosting the in-laws for the holidays. I can certainly relate to that pressure. As she's scrolling social media for inspiration, she spots a local creator raving about Sam's Club holiday must-haves, a beautifully decorated table, gourmet spread and high-end cookware. A Sam's ad for a Kitchen-aid mixer pops up reinforcing the message. Inspired by great prices, Jordan clicks and after exploring top holiday cookware picks and using express delivery benefits to get her items fast. She joins Sam's Club as a plus member. Sam's solved that pressure that only the holidays can bring. Charles is a member who loves gas savings and fresh meat, both poultry and seafood. While fueling up at Sam's Club, he receives an in-app message suggesting he might like the Ninja Air Fryer XL on demo and inside the club today. Charles is having people over to watch March Madness. So he goes inside and purchases the air fryer and some wings using Scan & Go. Before swiping right to check out, he receives a pop-up reminder to buy Reynolds Wrap foil, but he was definitely going to forget again. What started as a weekly fuel up turned into the makings of a great final for watch party. Sarah moved to a new town and fell out of our normal shopping routine with Sam's Club. She receives an in-app notification featuring personalized product recommendations, which leads her to explore new items and brands on the site in addition to seeing her regular favorites that she's been missing. She locates the Sam's Club in her new town and places a pickup order. Following that experience, she receives a geo-located notification to learn more about an upcoming cooking event happening in the club. The experience makes her feel more connected to her new community, and Sam's is now part of her routine again. Members use our platform in so many different ways. And we meet them where they are on their journeys. That is the power of personalization at scale. And all of this is powered by AI. Now as Chris shared earlier, we've already leveraged AI to eliminate 100 million tasks for our associates, freeing up time for them to focus on member interactions along with our member innovation. And this is just the start. At the heart of everything we do, we are here to create experiences that truly matter both for our members and our associates. Our success is not just measured by what we build, but how we make people feel. We can shape something truly remarkable. We will lead with empathy, innovate with purpose and deliver experiences that have a lasting impact. With that, I will turn it over to Todd Sears, our Chief Financial Officer.
Todd Sears
executiveThanks, Diana. As you've just heard from my colleagues at Sam's Club, innovation is at our core. We're constantly evolving, even transforming. This has resulted in a strong business today that has momentum and is poised for continued growth. We still have a simple model, though. And that model puts the member first. They are at the center of our member value proposition, and that matters for our financial performance. Sam Walton described the financial model for Sam's Club is this, very low gross margins with a corresponding low expense structure and very low prices. The profit margin percentage will also be low. But hopefully, we'll have high volume sales 12 to 16 turns a year in inventory and an excellent return on investments. The model was designed to keep prices so low that we just barely cover our expenses, and other investments we choose to make in the member value proposition. The model holds true today. We do have high sales, but we also have a low margin and we have an ROI that is accretive to Walmart, Inc. All of that is possible because 80% to 90% of our profit comes from membership income, which is a high-value, highly predictable annuity stream. And that results in a business model that is a self-reinforcing virtuous cycle. By continuously reinvesting in the member value proposition, we are reinvesting in what matters most, the member. And that, in turn, over time results in more membership income. You've heard already that our membership base is healthy. Membership is at an all-time high. Membership income has grown 22% over the last 2 years. Renewal rates are strong, tenured renewal rates are above 90%, and more than half of our members are plus members. Those are great data points. But what gives me the most optimism are several leading indicators we see within our membership base. Put simply, we are aging younger. The first digitally native generations, Gen Z and millennials are about half of our new members. More than 50% of our total -- of our members transact digitally, either through Scan & Go, shopping online or both. And that means that over 40% of our total transactions are digital. Each of these trends points to continued membership momentum and growing membership is how we grow our P&L. Our current membership base gives me a lot of confidence about what lies ahead especially as the total addressable market in the club channel is already large and continues to grow. Chris said earlier that we see a path to doubling membership in the next 8 to 10 years. I'll highlight 3 ways that we will do that. First, in recent years, we have grown membership organically by delivering on and executing on our member value proposition, investing in value and assortment and experience. Going forward, we will continue to grow membership organically, remodeling all of our clubs is going to be a big part of that. Second, though, we will further grow membership by building new clubs, which helps us expand our physical reach. And lastly, we will also expand our digital reach and continue to grow membership by continuing to grow e-commerce. We believe that the future of club retail is omni, and we are investing in that future with confidence. On this last point, that is where being part of Walmart allows us to do things that only we can do. Because we're a part of Walmart, we do not have the same fixed cost burden or the long development lead time that we would have as a stand-alone operator. We are using the same tech platforms like the Walmart commerce platforms for our e-commerce app. We're utilizing the Spark driver network for deliveries, including for Express. And as you've heard, we are merging supply chains with Walmart U.S. And that will help us enable 2-day shipping nationwide for most items over time, even in places where we don't have clubs, which means that not all members will have to live near a physical club. As we execute our strategy, we will continue to have healthy, sustainable membership growth. Sam's Club is uniquely positioned at this point in time. We have a strong business with good momentum in a growing channel. We are poised for continued growth. Back to you, Chris.
Christopher Nicholas
executiveThanks, Todd. So as you've heard from the team, our member value proposition is resonating. We have momentum. We have sustainable growth in membership and is powered by our physical fleet and e-commerce and the investments we're making to deliver experiences that are not common in the club channel. We're creating shareholder value by strengthening our business model and the leadership team we've assembled, they're ready to go. We have the experience to do more and to go faster. We're reimagining the future of retail. We're leveraging the collective power of our 100,000 brilliant associates and the work they do every day to serve our members makes all the difference. And that makes us confidence in the future of Sam's Club. Thank you. And now I'd like to bring John Furner on to the stage.
John Furner
executiveThanks, Chris. Well, yesterday, I talked to you about how our supply chain has changed. And now today, we're going to cover the entire U.S. business. And I think the takeaway is even as a business that's grown $121 billion in sales the last 5 years, we have more room to grow, and we have a great plan to accomplish that. And today, we have a large majority of the country shopping with us in some form, and they're impressed with what they're seeing, both with the breadth of the merchandise and the quality of the merchandise and in particularly excited about the omni solutions that we offer. And the speed we're able to deliver is really important. Now we'll soon be able to deliver to about 95% of U.S. households in just under 3 hours. So our goal is to build on that base and become America's favorite place to shop. And our strategy to accomplish this is our customer value proposition. And it's really the 4 things that matter that customers care about, and that's price, assortment, experience and building trust. And I'll talk through each of those. And then Latriece Watkins is going to come up and talk about assortment, our merchandise focus on the customer and the way that we want to deliver whatever they want, however they want to shop, we can become their favorite, and we can grow by adding more brands and items on top of the reliable base that we've already built. And then David Guggina is going to come up and talk about e-commerce. He now leads to e-commerce, and he'll go into detail about experience and in particular, omni and fast delivery. And we expect e-commerce to account for 60% of our sales growth in Walmart U.S. the next 5 years. But make no mistake, omni is the goal. And we've built a model where we can have no preference between e-commerce and stores. That's for the customer decide, not for us. And we expect, as you heard earlier, to achieve profitability in both places. And then I'll have a conversation with Seth Dallaire about our growth strategy and growth businesses, including Walmart Plus and Walmart Connect. And John David talked about the growing percentages of our profits that are coming from mix. And this is an exciting change for us, in particular those of us who have been around a while because it means that our business is stronger. These are changes that can be sustained that help us invest in price, associate wages, new jobs and new technologies. And we can grow operating profits faster than sales, and we can create shareholder value. So I want to start with price. Price is in our DNA, everyday low price. It's part of our DNA. And we believe we play an important role in the society to keep prices low. And a great example is the holiday basket program, where year after year, we've offered the big meal without inflation. And we're offering the entire Easter meal this year for less than $6 a person, which compares to last year at $8 a person. And we've had a lot of success with our rollbacks. Today, we have 5,500 rollbacks. And Walmart Plus, it's very related to price. It comes out to about $2 per week for free deliveries and with all the benefits that you can get, Walmart Plus, you can save enough money just on the fuel benefit to pay for the entire membership. Now everyday low prices are enabled by everyday low cost. It's a significant enabler of everyday low price. And the supply chain that you saw yesterday when we operate it with a consistent flow of goods, consolidated orders and few fluctuations that helps drive this. Now many of you got to visit our facilities yesterday, and you've seen the progress that we're making with automation. More than half of our e-commerce deliveries are flowing through our automated centers. And our unit cost averages in the next-generation FCs are more than 20% lower than a year ago or more than manual buildings. And by the end of this year, we expect that improvement to improve to over 30% from where they were. And about half of our distribution centers are in the process of some kind of automation retrofit. And what's exciting is that more than half of our stores will be receiving some kind of inventory and freight from automated distribution centers. Automation, it helps our business. It helps our customers. It helps reduce our physical labor that our associates go through. We have new roles emerging. They're less manual. They're better designed to serve customers and they pay more. Now as I said, Latriece will talk about assortment, how we'll continue to broaden what we sell and our first and third-party e-commerce businesses and how we increase engagement with priority new brands. And some of that progress has been unlocked by search data. For example, our teams saw that Hill's dog food is one of those most search for brands that we didn't carry. It was a brand some people would say, "I buy everything at Walmart, except for that. So now we offer Hill's online, and it's performing well. And with private brands, we have 21 private brands that do over $1 billion in sales, and 5 of those brands do over $5 billion in sales. They make up for about 40% of our general merchandise sales and the quality we're offering is fantastic, and it's helping us reach key customer groups. And I also love how marketplace is growing, and it's serving as a gateway to Walmart. Now I recently talked to the CEO of Arctic outdoors about this. They were a digitally native brand that first joined Walmart in the marketplace. That led to more sales, more customers. And now they're in both stores and marketplace and the 2 channels perfectly complement each other with inventory and color options. Erica Cole. Erica's life changed forever in college when she lost her leg in a car accident. After not finding clothes to fit over her prosthetic leg, she started an adaptive clothing company called No Limbits, and she became a seller in our marketplace. And we're proud to empower small businesses, and marketplace is a perfect place to do that. So as you listen to Latriece, talking about the work on brands and general merchandise, recognize that it goes on top of a very strong base and something that we've already accomplished, it's very hard. We're the largest grocer in America. We have frequent customers who rely on us for their fresh food and consumables, and we built a scale business to deliver those. And we just added pharmacy delivery in 49 states. It had been the #1 service requested by customers who identify as time-sensitive, busy families. And we're the first to integrate grocery, pharmacy and general merchandise and a single order online that can be delivered in under an hour, and our customers love it. Now we'd like to say we want to be the place for everything people need and everything they want. And we say it in that order for a reason. When you think of the things that people need, think of food, consumables, prescriptions and then those things that they want, they can be increasingly put on top of the healthy and predictable base that we already have. Now there's also a good story with our merchants using AI. Wally is a new tool that our team built that helps our merchants analyze data, answer how to questions and produce actionable business insights. And they're using AI for demand planning and predicting future buying activity and refining the descriptions of our items in our catalog. Now experience, I mentioned Dave will go deeper into omni experience and in particular, fast delivery. And Walmart Plus is a really important part of that experience. Plus members make up about 90% of our from store delivery volume. And they're grateful we maintain EDLP even when delivered. And that is something that we hear a lot. We hear people say things like, "I love that you deliver fast and you don't jack up the price like other people do." And about 1/3 of our store fulfilled orders are delivered with fast delivery, meaning that the customer is paying $5 to get it less than 3 hours or $10 for about an hour. And for special events, we've seen higher percentages on fast delivery. I'll give you one example on Christmas Eve, 77% of our orders from store were with fast delivery. And these services, they have some of our highest NPS ratings that we see. And they just show how people are not only prioritizing their money, they are prioritizing their time. And we see this as a key capability that's an advantage even for those that can deliver same day because same day might be a 4-hour window, some point later today. And with us, it's increasingly within the hour, full stop at everyday low price. As we said yesterday, density, last mile delivery, that's all contributing to profitability in e-commerce. And we find that the faster we deliver, the more customers come back. And talking about speed, drone delivery continues to be popular with customers who have tried it. We've done about 120,000 deliveries so far. And the Dallas-Fort Worth market is one of our test markets. And based on the results we see, we plan to keep expanding. Now make no mistake, the #1 reason we are so well positioned on experience is our stores. With supercenters we have an incredibly strong curated assortment with 120,000 items sitting within a few miles of most of Americans. It's connected to an e-commerce marketplace with hundreds of millions of more items. And at times, we like to think about this question. If Walmart could start from scratch, what would we keep and what will we change? And when it comes to having 4,600 stores, the answer is absolutely, we would keep them. Stores are the hubs of our business. They are our advantage with omni and not just with pickup and delivery, but with services like auto care, pet services, vaccines, the pharmacy. And our stores continue to see strong in-person traffic even as we grow e-commerce. So we'll continue to invest in our store experiences. We're averaging about 650 remodels a year and we used to call our remodel the store of the future. But now that we have over 800, we're just calling it a remodel. We typically see a strong sales comp lift in years 1 and 2, including better experience scores and more online pickup and delivery. And we are so confident in our stores we are rebuilding our new store pipeline. We'll open about a dozen new stores this year and the next is in Cypress, Texas on April 30. So part of what's helping us advance our experience for both our customers and our associates. You've heard it all morning is AI. We're using AI in stores, our supply chain and the home office. So this is an example of a digital twin of the front end of a store. This is a simulation that takes into account how customers will behave, how the lines may back up, and this can help us adjusting so we can get it right. Or we can have an agent watching the weather and it gets in more shovels. It can send more sleds if there's snow coming, or we can simulate a new modular and see how it would perform before we build it. So it's exciting to think about all the possibilities with AI. And just a couple of months ago, we had our entire store leadership team together in Orlando. And we decided to dream about how big can we go, so imagine if we could simulate the entire customer experience from end to end and identify any point of friction. And imagine if a customer could walk down the OTC aisle and the supplements that they need individually were highlighted. Imagine a car, a no driver that comes to the store for a pickup order and then goes and checks itself into the auto care center for a tire rotation. And then imagine if we could keep customers in stock so seamlessly, people would stop building pantries in their homes. And we say imagine because our only limitation is our imagination. So as new technology helps us make changes. It will help us empower associates. It will help us deliver our purpose to help people save money and live better. Now no matter what changes, whatever changes out there, our purpose, our values, those will remain the same. And Doug mentioned earlier this morning the awful situation with Hurricane Helene last fall. And that one really struck me. And my dad worked at the company and in the 1970s, we moved to Tennessee as Walmart was expanding East. And we were there, we lived there when Walmart made its way into Appalachia and that made me even more committed to staying in Appalachia for the long term. So it's a really special moment when we rebuilt and reopened the stores in Asheville and Boone just a few months ago, and we could show those communities how committed we are. So all of that is the strategy to grow. And as someone who's been at the company for 32 years, I can honestly say to all of you, I've never been more excited about the future. I feel we're well positioned. We have the right value proposition, the right foundation, the right business model, and we can build on that now to become America's favorite enable more growth and deliver shareholder value. So I'm going to turn it over to Latriece to talk about assortment, and then Dave is going to come up and talk about experience. And then I'll be back a few moments after that with Seth to talk about growth. So over to you Latriece.
Latriece Watkins
executiveThank you, John. Thanks, John. It's great to be here with you today to talk about my favorite topic merchandise. Specifically, how we are aggressively growing our assortment, giving customers more of the brands they need, they want and love all while delivering value. I've been a merchant for more than half of my 25 years at Walmart. And as Chief Merchant, I think it's important that I tell you we have the best merchants, product developers, designers, in retail. They care deeply about the customer and they take immense pride in ensuring that we have the right items, at the right price, at the right time. You should think of them as America's personal shoppers. So let's start with our owned inventory and how we assort our stores. Our stores are a unique competitive advantage. For years, we've talked about them being within 10 miles of 90% of U.S. households. And John mentioned earlier, soon, we'll be able to deliver to 95% of that U.S. population within 3 hours. This makes the store assortment even more important. That's why we stock it with 120,000 of the fastest-moving items across food, consumables, general merchandise and fashion. Our merchants use data, tools, technology to select and strategically place each item to ensure that we have the right mix of merchandise for both in-store shoppers and those opting for pickup and delivery. Then there's our first-party assortment, which we own and our third-party marketplace assortment on walmart.com, which we call our biggest store with unlimited shelf space. It's also the one that's closest to customers, the one that's always with them whenever they need it. Here, we have hundreds of millions of items, including everything we have in stores, plus extensions of product lines, more brand and unique finds. Last year alone, we added over 300 brands to our owned assortment and increased the number of marketplace sellers by 50%, and we have plans to have more growth this year. Having the [ fitness ] assortment online is catering to customer shopping preferences and they're responding overwhelmingly. Take the beautiful Baidu home collection. In stores, we have nearly 200 items and more than 600 items across stores and eCom combined. Today, when purchase -- when customers purchase those items, 60% of what they buy from us is purchased online. Now our marketplace is also resonating with customers. Here's why that's important to our business. First, it's elevating our profile as a digital shopping destination by adding in-demand brands that our customers are searching for like La Roche-Posay, Omaha Steaks and All-Clad. Second, it helps us to diversify the mix of customer baskets. In fact, more than 2/3 of our marketplace assortment is general merchandise. Third, it gives us access to inventory without ownership and enables us to monetize that inventory with Walmart Connect and Walmart fulfillment services. Finally, it gives us an opportunity to capture data on customer responses to items that could be a good fit for our owned assortment. The benefit of having a store assortment a 1P.com assortment and a marketplace is that we uniquely give suppliers and sellers multiple ways to grow with us, like Arctic and No Limbits, which you heard about earlier. As an everyday low-price retailer, it's in our day, in our DNA to provide products at a range of price points, including opening price points. And we will protect our ability to do that with both national brands and our private brands. In fact, we have 90 total private brands. And you heard John say that 21 of them are million-dollar brands, billion-dollar brands, billion-dollar brands, 21 are billion-dollar brands. You can see some of them here and you can interact with some of them over here to the right if you're in person. Our goal with private brands is to offer customers the same or better quality at a lower price. And we're also working to modernize the brands across our portfolio. Take for instance, our first food private brand in 20 years, Better Goods. Bettergoods offers exciting flavors and culinary profiles that are uniquely crafted by Walmart product developers, like hot honey seasoning, pistachio nut butter, and salted caramel, oat milk, plant-based ice cream. These items are full of flavor and value with 70% of them priced under $5. Customers love Bettergoods so much, they recently voted it the #1 private brand for 2024. Modernizing our brands is not only about new brands. It's also about refreshing our current ones, like no boundaries, which originally was introduced in 1994. Prior to the relaunch last year, this $2 billion brand felt too much like a label, had huge volume-driving items, but it lacked cohesion. Today, no boundaries has a dedicated design team with years of experience in creating products for the Gen Z customer and has been transformed into a cohesive collection of on-trend items. No boundaries along with our elevated brand collections in free assembly and Scoop have been highly additive to establishing Walmart as a fashion destination for all ages. Private brands are important to customers, so they're important to us and will always be a house of national brands. To do that, we offer value and we drive innovation with items that you can only find at Walmart. Here's a fun example. Well, it is if you have teen girls in your life like I do. Last year, we collaborated with Dove on an exclusive Dove Crumbl product line. And we tapped into the fandom of Crumbl cookies, and translated their famous cookies into body wash since and extended that fandom to something that could only be found at Walmart. We launched online first and followed it with an in-store rollout. The limited edition influencer boxes sold out in 2 days and garnered over 2.4 billion social media impressions. Customers love this collection and it's running 2x the digital mix of the department. Now as you've heard throughout the day, we serve customers of all incomes and have been thoughtful about the ways that we elevate our assortment to build partnerships that give customers access to premium brands. This past year, we launched a collaboration with StockX featuring culturally relevant sneaker trends, Rebag for preowned luxury items, and we built a new premium beauty destination. We're also increasingly a destination for new direct-to-consumer and emerging brands. For both founders and for customers, Personal Care is one of our oldest categories, but it's seeing the most disruption from brands like Dr. Scotch, W By Jake Paul and many others who are choosing to start at Walmart first. Another example you might have heard of is Lume. Not only is this brand helped to create an entirely new category, whole body deodorant, but it's also yielded 100% incremental growth, adding 7 points to the total deodorant category. Now finally, our assortment has countless items from small businesses. Those businesses make up the majority of our U.S. suppliers. I spent time with some of them last week in a small business roundtable during our annual growth form. We talked about the ways that we continue to make it easy for them to grow with Walmart through programs like our Supplier Academy and our Open Call Event. From private to premium brands, our growing assortment is resonating with customers across all income levels. And we find that when they come to us for price and convenience to finding so much more. An assortment at the intersection of style, quality and price. We can see it in how they're shopping and how they're adding to their baskets. You already know we're the largest grocer in America. And when we further grow our assortment and personalize the shopping experience for customers, we see they're taking it a step further and they're purchasing adjacent general merchandising categories like Cook & Dine, Toys and Women's Fashion. Take a look at this basket for Taco Tuesday, it includes everything a customer needs but also has things that they want, even for the tiniest taco enthusiast. And we make it easy for them to come and get it or we can take it to them. And fast. Over the last 12 months, we've delivered nearly 6 billion units same or next day. And as we've grown our delivery proposition, customers have become more digital. We've seen double-digit growth in the digital mix in nearly every category over the last 3 years. Our e-commerce sales have grown 66% at the same time. We know it's important to have a great assortment. It's equally important that we're not the only ones talking about it. A couple of years ago, we launched Walmart Creator, our affiliate platform where creators authentically share our merchandise with their followers on social media. It helps to elevate the perception of quality and value at Walmart. Walmart Creator is driving higher frequency customers, and they purchased at 2x the rate of the overall digital benchmark. They're also disproportionately buying general merchandise. We have a long history of being successful in merchandising, and we have the best merchants in retail. I'm confident that we have the right team delivering the right assortment to become America's favorite. Here's what I'd like for you to remember about our time together. We are aggressively growing our first and third-party assortment to ensure we have not just some, but everything customers are shopping for. We're a house of national brands, and we are builders of brands, customers love. Customers want value and we have it, assortment from opening price point to premium and in response, customers are diversifying their baskets. We're managing our merchandising and marketing mix to serve customers while growing across income cohorts. All of this positions us for growth, growth with customers, growth for suppliers and sellers, growth for Walmart and ultimately, shareholder value. To share more about our experience, please welcome Dave Guggina.
David Guggina
executiveThank you, Latriece, and hello, everyone. There are 3 things I'd like you to take away from what I'll share today. First, we have incredible speed capabilities enabled by our store and supply chain assets. Second, we have a broad and growing assortment. And finally, we're delivering these to customers in an omnichannel way at the everyday low prices that they expect from Walmart. The foundation of our progress and the fuel for our future is our people, our supply chain and the unmatched reach of our store network. Before I stepped into this role, I led the supply chain team as we set out to transform and connect our U.S. network. When you look at all the pieces together, you can see the true end-to-end platform that we've built. It's powered by data, intelligence software, AI and physical automation, all working together to create a faster, smarter and more seamless experience for our customers. The supply chain transformation isn't just about improving our operations. It's fueling our growth. It's given us clear visibility into our inventory, expanded our capacity, made us more accurate, accelerated our speed and allowed us to scale our e-commerce business in a way that's more sustainable, efficient and drives the lower cost to serve. We have built serious momentum, and we continue to accelerate. We're delivering an omni experience for our customers like no one else, making shopping easy, fast and convenient. Our value proposition is clear, everyday low prices and a growing assortment across all channels. And in recent years, we become more connected than ever, digitally integrating the way that we serve customers, whether they're shopping in a store or online, they're engaging with a seamless experience powered by stronger tech and smarter tools. Even when a customer walks into a store, they're still an e-commerce customer. That's why we're embedding digital into the physical experience, bringing omni capabilities directly into the store. Think store maps in the app to help customers navigate their trip or QR codes on shelves that instantly unlock our expanded assortment. It's all designed to remove friction, add value and meet every mission big or small. Here's another example. In our auto care centers, we're redefining how customers experience auto services with an exceptional mix of convenience and personalization, all from their phone, with just a few taps, customers can book an oil change, check-in and drop their keys at a smart locker. As they shop our store, they'll receive real-time updates through the app and get an instant notification when their car is ready. That is omni at its best, simple, fast and frictionless. Need new tires? We've got that covered, too. Customers can select from hundreds of options in the store or explore our endless assortment online. All that's left is installation. And of course, we can handle that as well. In fact, our customers are loving this omni option. Year-to-date, our online app tire purchases are up 22%. And no one delivers omni shopping like Walmart. We're blending the best of physical and digital stores and e-commerce into one seamless experience. And Omni is our greatest unlock for customers and shareholders. It's the engine behind our e-commerce growth. Once a customer becomes an omni-shopper their engagement increases. They shop 3x more often and spend on average 13% more per order. And when they do, they go big. Omni customers spend more across key categories. We've seen a 231% increase in the Home category. We see a 205% increase in Hardlines and a 184% increase in Fashion. This kind of behavior is driving real results. We've grown U.S. e-commerce sales over 20% annually for the past 2 years and U.S. e-commerce accounts for 17% of total net sales, about 1,000 basis points higher than it was in 2020. Site traffic has surged growing nearly 30% over the last 2 years, and conversion is up 81 basis points. We've improved e-commerce economics, cutting losses by 80% over the past year. And as John David mentioned, this quarter, we're seeing e-commerce profitability in our U.S. business and are expecting to achieve profitability on an annual basis this year. That didn't happen overnight. We've been on a decade-long journey to reshape the economics of our e-commerce business. We've made great progress in realizing benefits from using our stores of local fulfillment nodes, improving inventory position, optimizing route density and seeing customers' willingness to pay for Express. Looking forward, our profit progression will be supported by these factors alongside growing our penetration of high-margin general merchandise in customers' baskets. Now let's talk about delivery. We've seen that when customers start using fast delivery, it sets off a flywheel effect. They visit more often, fill their baskets with a broader mix of items and their average order size goes up. Pickup and delivery have become our single largest acquisition channel for Walmart Plus members. You've heard that when customers use fast delivery, their spending doubles. And after using it, more than 4x their spending triples. Express delivery isn't just fast. It's essential. Here's a personal story. Recently, my brother came to visit my family in Arkansas. He brought my 5-month old niece, Frankie. When he got to the house, he realized he had forgotten her carrier. So what did we do? I pulled up the app, placed an Express order and 34 minutes later, the item was in our hands, problem-solved. My brother was so amazed he took a picture. We're not just a retailer. We're a forward deployed fulfillment network. Our stores and supply chain work together to move inventory closer to customers and deliver it faster. And I can tell you, we are just scratching the surface. Over the past 2 years, we have massively expanded our delivery capabilities. Delivery windows now span from 6:00 a.m. to 10:30 p.m., and we're only going to continue to meet customers when and where they are. We're always looking for ways to make life easier for our customers and that means meeting them at the intersection of convenience and access. Earlier this year, we announced that we're now offering prescription delivery from stores nationwide. Prescription delivery was the #1 requested service by our customers. We're the first retailer to seamlessly integrate prescription medications and general merchandise into a single streamlined delivery order. So you can get your prescription cough medicine, delivered alongside your tea, chicken noodle soup and heating pad. As I said before, I want you to think of fast delivery as a flywheel, starting with the customer experience, the better the experience, the more customers spend, the more they spend, the more trips they make. And as our delivery trip frequency increases, we build density, driving down the cost of our business and improving our economics. Also, over 30% of our customers using delivery pay extra to have their items delivered within 1 or 3 hours. And the momentum continues. We've improved fast delivery availability by 10% year-over-year. We're learning ways to improve delivery speed from Walmart International, who are delivering in as little as 5 minutes. And soon, we will be testing ultrafast delivery, reaching customers in 30 minutes or less. Reach is just as critical as speed. Two years ago, we could reach 76% of U.S. households with same-day delivery. Today, we're at 93%. And as you heard, later this year, it will be 95%. Our reach with fast delivery is broad. In addition to being able to deliver in large metro markets like Dallas, we can reach smaller rural communities such as Elizabethtown PA with a population of 12,000 or Leonard, Texas with a population of 2,000. This growth was made possible by technology we deployed to more accurately predict how far our delivery service can reach. This tech leverages geospatial data to dynamically adjust delivery catchments across the U.S. We're also rethinking our footprint. Stores are being used as sortation and fulfillment hubs. But as you saw yesterday, we don't have a stores-only fulfillment approach. We're scaling next-generation fulfillment centers. We're automating operations to drive capacity, accuracy and speed, all at a lower cost to fulfill. When we pair stores, traditional FCs and next-generation fulfillment centers together, we can reach 95% of the U.S. with same-day, next day or 2-day delivery on millions of items that customers need and want, including marketplace items. You heard from Latrice, Walmart Marketplace continues to expand our assortment with hundreds of millions of items. These Jordans that I'm wearing today, I'm lifting up so folks in the back can see. I got them on the Walmart app from our marketplace partner, StockX. We're building relationships with brands and distributors to bring even more sellers on board. With Walmart Fulfillment Services, we're helping sellers deliver faster at lower cost. Our rates are 15% below market. 66% of top sellers use WFS. WFS penetration hit an all-time high of nearly 50%, up almost 600 basis points year-over-year. All of this, the speed, the reach, the scale, it's turning Walmart into the most convenient, cost-efficient platform for customers and sellers, enabling growth and margin diversification through a more attractive business mix. You've heard others say it. We have incredible momentum. Our stores and supply chain are our foundation, and our omnichannel e-commerce platform has limitless potential. We're delivering what customers want most, speed, assortment, seamless experiences online, in-store and everywhere in between, all while staying true to what we're known for, everyday low prices. The future isn't just exciting. It's omni powered and it's ours to lead and the possibilities are endless. Thank you. Next, John and Seth are going to join us for a fireside chat. Thank you.
John Furner
executiveThank you, Dave. I want to introduce you to Seth Dallaire. A lot of you do know Seth. And Seth, you lead the growth org. So probably best to start with defining the org, telling everyone what all is in the org and what you do.
Seth Dallaire
executiveSure. Good morning, everybody. The growth org is comprised of 5 primary teams or organizations. The first of which is Walmart Connect. That's our retail media business or advertising, which many of you have heard of before. We've seen great growth over the past year, over 26% growth in that business, which we're really excited about. Lots more opportunity there, too. The growth org also has the membership business, Walmart+, which we've talked a lot about today. We're experiencing double-digit growth in that business as well and a nearly 40% increase in terms of membership income. And John David touched on some of those results earlier today as well. strategically important, lots of momentum there. We also have a team called Data Ventures in the growth organization. The Data Ventures team builds, sells and supports the Scintilla product suite and the Walmart Vault app. Now that business has seen a Q4 sales comp of more than 50% and the client base for that business is growing at 98% compared to last year. And it's exciting to share that we secured 100% of our renewals in this first renewal cycle for that business. We also expanded the business to Canada and Mexico, as Ignacio mentioned that they're using Scintilla in Mexico earlier. We also have a team called the customer data and identity team. This is not a business necessarily, but it is a new team that's aggregating all of the customer data points that we see across Walmart's businesses and services into a single source of truth that we can use with functions like merchandising or e-commerce and marketing. And then the fifth team would be consumer-facing marketing. So as part of my role and the Reman expansion there, the consumer-facing marketing for Walmart U.S. rolls up through growth too. And the goal of the growth org is, as John David described, grow the advertising business, grow the data monetization business, grow membership income and the membership file and help us get more traffic into our physical stores and digital stores.
John Furner
executiveSo let's start with Connect. We'll just dive into these just a bit. I mean you hear all the pieces, how they can work together to help with mix. But we launched Connect just over about 5 years ago, a touch more. We've had a lot of growth, but how all the pieces fit together between identity, eCom, marketplace, Connect? Talk about how that works together.
Seth Dallaire
executiveYes. So with Connect, the differentiation that we have for that business relative to other offerings in the market is that we have a lot of scale. So all of the customer scale that we've referred to today is available for brands to speak to and address as they're shopping. The other differentiated part of the business is that we offer that full funnel sales attribution. So you can understand when you invest $1 in Walmart Connect product, did someone see the ad? Did they click on the ad? Did they add the product to their basket? Did they buy the product? Are they a first-time purchaser of that product or a repeat and high-frequency customer? That is unique to Walmart across the physical and digital sales channels. So we see a lot of demand from customers who are eager to understand how our customers are shopping, and they want to speak to those customers and influence those purchases, both in the physical store and in eCom. So we named the business, Walmart Connect, the idea obviously is to connect consumer group -- customer groups at Walmart and our marketplace sellers, our suppliers in a way that helps them build efficiency of advertising. And then we develop obviously, to where we have more insights that are actionable and more data that can help the advertising dollars flow through the way that's most productive to the advertisers. That's right. And we've seen our advertiser counts increase by over 51% year-over-year. And most of those increases were driven by marketplace sellers. Those grow over 54% year-over-year. So as we're making investments in assortment and bringing more third-place marketplace sellers into our business, those sellers want to understand how to advertise with us so they can create awareness with our customers, they can ultimately drive sales and compete. So we're really excited about the growth that we've seen in Connect as it relates to marketplace sellers. We've also acquired VIZIO and connected TV is an important part of complement to what we're doing with our advertising product supply across the business. So we're excited about that for Connect as well.
John Furner
executiveSo with the acquisition of VIZIO, the team at VIZIO, very similar to us culturally. We've known the team for a long time. This is an idea that you brought to the company, and we're very supportive of it. So talk about the different dimensions where VIZIO can add value. It's only been a few months. So we're in the process of integrating and learning, growing, but talk about how it's going to play out.
Seth Dallaire
executiveWell, it's really exciting. So it works on 2 dimensions for us. The first is that Walmart customers love VIZIO TV. So as you mentioned, we've had a relationship with VIZIO before. VIZIO offers an everyday low-price TV, lots of function and great form in terms of the types of sizes of TVs that they offer. So we've had strong signal from customers that they just buy a lot of VIZIO TVs, which is great. But the business of TVs is changing and TV sales changing pretty dramatically. And this is the other dimension. So it used to be you would buy a TV for a wholesale price, you would sell it for a retail price. and that would be the business. That would be the revenue that we would generate. But increasingly, the hardware is less important than the software, the operating system that sits in the television. And when the customer brings the TV home and puts it on the wall or on a shelf or somewhere in the kitchen, let's say, when they turn on the TV, that technology and those operating systems allow for a better experience. They're allowed -- advertisers are allowed to speak to the owners of those TVs in ways that are more prescriptive, so they get better, more relevant advertising. And then the technology itself, that operating system that a customer uses allows them to discover new content, could be content from different streaming companies. So those streaming companies or the studios will advertise to customers to say, "Hey, watch my show, for instance. So there's a big business there that sits in the technology and the operating system that's inside the TV that's quite different, and we now have an option to play in that market. We're really excited about it.
John Furner
executiveSo it feels like longer since we made the announcement, but we actually made the acquisition. We completed the transaction about 4 months ago. So where we are today would be interesting. I think hopefully, that explains the longer-term vision. But let's talk about where we are right now.
Seth Dallaire
executiveThere's a lot going on. So we're integrating and onboarding VIZIO as a company and their executives. That work has been happening really from the jump. But we're excited because we're launching a beta test solution in the next couple of months where we will allow a select group of Walmart Connect advertisers to directly plug in and access VIZIO connected TV inventory. That's new. We're excited about that work. And then we're asking the VIZIO team or pushing them to continue investing in the SmartCast operating system. So that's not a business that sits still. Customers and owners of those TVs expect that they'll have more functionality. They'll be able to discover programs or find the content that they want easier. So we're continuing to work on that. And then we're also exploring ways that we could offer or extend that VIZIO SmartCast operating system to other TV manufacturer OEMs. So lots going on with VIZIO.
John Furner
executiveSo a lot to happen there. Super interesting to be able to combine what we understand people's preferences are with the data, as you described earlier, through the customer identity program. Let's switch gears just a bit over to Data Ventures, another business area that's even younger than Connect. And it has a few pieces in it. So you mentioned those earlier. Let's just work our way through and talk about supplier insights, seller insights and the other things that are happening in the venture.
Seth Dallaire
executiveWe're happy to. Some real exciting progress that's happening with Data Ventures. So there's 2 primary products that the Data Ventures team builds and services. The first is Scintilla. And that's a set of capabilities that allows our supplier partners to understand inventory positions and customer signals and demands and behaviors at a store level grain if they like. So we're taking that information. We're collecting it with technology, and then we're pushing that information out of that data out in APIs to our subscriber partners who are suppliers to allow them to interrogate that data in ways that they see fit. Now -- this is very interesting for a supplier because you may say, now that I have access every 24 hours to my share position or sales that are happening in Walmart stores in the U.S., I might see new trends. Julie Barber earlier today mentioned Poppy as a brand, prebiotic soda. Latrice mentioned full body deodorant. These are 2 categories that a year or 2 ago, I'll speak for myself, I wasn't aware of. And now they're big areas of interest for our customers. The data in Scintilla will allow a manufacturer of that fast-moving consumer good, a beverage or a personal care product to see, hey, what's this product or brand that's on the shelf that's now taking up more sales? Do I need to have that type of offer in my portfolio to meet that demand with the Walmart customer? Our store operators and merchants use the data as well in exciting ways. So if you're a merchant and you're buying a new product and you're putting it on the shelf, there's some risk there and that how are customers going to respond to it. So we may say you're going to put that particular prebiotic soda on 400 store shelves in the U.S. We now can see how customers are reacting to that product every 24 hours and understand, well, geez, they're buying that product. Let's now flow that to 4,600 stores instead of 400. And that same data that the merchant uses or the store operator uses our suppliers use as well.
John Furner
executiveAnd having the platform where it's available to suppliers, to the merchants, to the store operators, we can spot the trends early.
Seth Dallaire
executiveThat's right.
John Furner
executiveGet the organization aligned around growth, and we can move really quickly, which then leads to acquisition of the Vault app, now Walmart Vault, which helps empowers suppliers and others that are servicing the facilities facility to take the same action.
Seth Dallaire
executiveThat's right. The Walmart Vault app is used by suppliers who are in our stores or service providers who are in our stores. So one example might be, if I'm delivering some freight, let's say, beverages, pallets of beverages to the back of a Walmart store, if I show up and there's no associate there to receive the order, well, then that's time wasted for me before getting off to the next delivery. Vice versa, if I have an associate ready to receive the order, and we thought the truck was coming 30 minutes earlier and they're not there, well, that's time wasted in the store as well. And then we may not have the product on the shelf. We may be missing orders if that's inventory that needs to backfill an inventory position. So Vault allows the supplier to see what's happening, what tasks they need to do. And that savings, allowing the associate to be on site for receipt of something like beverage in the back of the store gets the supplier off more quickly, which creates efficiencies for their business within a network like ours is quite large opportunity, but then also helps us get product accurately into the store on the shelf. So we hit first-time pick rates, we hit pre-sub, post-sub. We deliver perfect orders for customers and members, which keeps them coming back and shopping with us.
John Furner
executiveExactly right. And the data that comes out of Vault is increasingly being integrated into the process and workflows that our associates use. So whether it's a supplier or an associate or some activity that may determine that we have a nil pick or out of stock, that's just data that helps feed the loop. And it's another way that at Walmart collectively, we can listen to the people that are taking care of our customers, listening in person or from the data coming through, it's just making us be a better operator.
Seth Dallaire
executiveThat's right. And as we were investing in and making progress with Walmart Connect on the advertising side, suppliers were saying, how do I connect the advertising investments with the behaviors or sales that I'm seeing every 24 hours by store or by region. I can be more efficient by fighting my advertising and marketing support to those areas where I'm seeing the best performance. So we've joined those 2 things together now. So a lot of the observations that you may see at the shelf or in a store or in the app, a supplier can now apply those to Walmart Connect and use our Walmart Connect App Center to actually bring them to life and act on them and drive better results.
John Furner
executiveThat's right. So for a seller, supplier, a store, an operator, a merchant, all of the individuals, all the teams who are trying to drive sales with more customers, it gives you actionable insights, real-time information about what's actually happening. So if you think back to the time when launch -- we launched our pickup delivery business, that gave us insight into what people were trying to buy and what we can actually fulfill at the counter, which has made us which made our merchandising team stronger. It's made our modular stronger because then we knew true intent versus we sold. Pulling all this together is working the same way, which then leads to the value then that you can create with Walmart+, the idea of amortizing shipping costs, delivery costs over time and a suite of benefits that come together. You mentioned some great stats about Walmart+ earlier. We talked about a few moments ago, it's 90% of our from store delivery volume, a lot of progress. So pull all this together, how does it help our Plus members?
Seth Dallaire
executiveWell, when we have better assortment at an everyday low price, it drives frequency. And if we're allowing our customers to shop however they prefer, whether in the physical store or in the app, well, then it obviates a membership. That frequency, you might say, well, gosh, I love the convenience of delivery. That was something I never had before. You try it once. If we have the right assortment for you and deliver the perfect order, meet the delivery experience that you want, well, then you may join or try to join the program, in which case, then you may become a full-price member and then you renew if the experience is good. The types of members that we have and the demographics of who our members are is pretty interesting as well. Not surprisingly, they look like the Walmart U.S. customer base. Really, they're representative of everybody. We have parents, busy parents, millennials, students. We've got people like Dave who are looking to get a fast delivery for a relative. We have students and people who are using government assistance. We have people in the lower household income category, but then we've made a ton of progress with people with higher household incomes as well. And the things that are universal across the membership program is that once we see them become members, their spending behavior changes with us pretty dramatically. So we see members have twice the frequency of visits to our stores as non-members and then they spend 3x as much. And some interesting things about the members is that they kind of use the program in different ways. So the primary benefits have been delivery. If you are in the lower household income category, you love the fact that you can get the groceries delivered, you don't have to give up an hour of work in order to go do the shop. And the delivery saves you the cost of public transportation or fuel cost or using a ridesharing app, for instance, like a Lyft or Uber. So that works really well. We hear it from our assist members that that's really important. That to me was not obvious in joining the program that, that group of customers would have discretionary income to spend with us. They tell us they really value it that way. The other end of the spectrum with households that have higher income, they love the frequency. So all the things that Dave was talking about, frequency, fast delivery, the people that are using fast delivery are that segment of our member base. They are using it most frequently. They love the convenience. They love the fact that they can get things faster. So 2 different -- very different groups in the membership, all of the members using the program in different ways.
John Furner
executiveSo the program is designed to be very flexible for all of our customers, depending on how they want to shop the brand and consistent with what you heard earlier from Sam's Club, as you can help earn the business from a customer from in-store to digital and then into this frequent delivery program and then the membership, spend goes up. It's about 3x the average. So when we take a step back and look at what Seth has done inside the company, it's a combination of understanding customer intent digitally, applying it across multiple channels and then this entire business, we call the growth org, which is marketing, design, Walmart Connect, Data Ventures, Walmart+. It's a bit of a flywheel within itself. But when you apply that flywheel to the entire business, we see it as a very powerful accelerant that's going to help us with customer relationships over the time. All these programs we get what we deserve. If we deliver the order in full, we deliver on time, we see repeat rates. The faster we see deliveries happening, the more customers we see coming back. So this is a great example of a flywheel that is helping the entire business and it's mixing the business up. So a lot of benefits coming here, not just to the business, but more importantly, to our customers, our advertising and value creation for all those involved. So Seth, it's been great to have you on the team. Thank you for taking the time to come up. So we're going to break for a few moments. We'll take a short break, and then we'll come back in, in just a few minutes, and then we'll set up for question and answer. Seth, thank you. Thank you, everyone. Thank you for the time this morning.
Seth Dallaire
executiveThank you. [Break]
Stephanie Wissink
executiveWe have 45 minutes scheduled for this Q&A session, and we'd like to get in as many questions as we can. And so we ask you to respect each other and ask 1 question. There are 2 mics in the center of the room. You raise your hand, we'll bring you a mic. Please state your name and affiliation and then pose your question. We'll begin with the mic on this side, and then we'll move back and forth as much as we can. We're ready to begin.
Simeon Gutman
analystSimeon Gutman from Morgan Stanley. Make it one question, and I'm going to hit tariffs. I wanted to ask how you're approaching tariffs, product costs, supply relationships, pricing? I realize there's a lot of moving pieces, and we don't know, but the math for some product categories and for some retailers would say either prices have to go up a lot or some retailers may not be in existence? So curious how you're thinking about all the moving pieces and how we should think about it?
Doug McMillon
executiveIn case any of you want to place an online wager. The current over and under on tariff-related questions sits at 6. That's the number that we've all chosen. I want to mention that Suresh Kumar has joined us. Suresh leads the Tech team and is doing a great job. Simeon, when we think about this situation, we're not unfamiliar with tariffs over time, including starting in 2017. And it's a very fluid situation. It's a management opportunity, and that's the way that I think about it is, we can't control some things. We're going to focus on what we can control. We're going to do our best to keep prices as low as we can. Inventory management is always important, but it becomes even more important in this environment. So where our merchants are making quantity decisions where they're dealing with pricing that they didn't anticipate when they set their plan, all those kinds of management-related decisions become really important. In our case, we have the benefit of mix management. It's great to be in a business where we sell fresh produce and we sell apparel and we sell hard lines. And now we have stores and a growing e-commerce business. And as John David mentioned in the U.S., we expect to be profitable this year. So they're just all these variables related to different aspects of our business. Earlier today, we were talking about marketplace, that's another set of variables. We'll approach it in partnership with our suppliers. We've been doing business with these companies and the vast majority of cases, factories around the world for a very long time. And we want them to be successful. We need them to be here. We want them to be able to invest in new product development, for example. After doing this for a few decades, I still see familiar faces as we have different supplier conversations. 2/3s of what we sell in the U.S. is made, grown or assembled here. There could be embedded costs over time that go up on that portion as well as the other third. So we'll just manage it in a way that mix becomes a strength, creativity becomes important. We have over the years adjusted country of origin on some things, and we will manage that mix artfully with this experienced set of merchants that we've got, and we'll take it a day at a time.
Robert Ohmes
analystRobby Ohmes from BofA Securities. My question is on digital advertising. It's obviously very important to you guys maintaining the algorithm. In the broader digital advertising market, there are some concerns that, that market may not grow that much this year depending on the environment. And I was just curious, can you kind of walk us through why Walmart's digital advertising business might be more immune to a broader shrinking in digital advertising and other types of players that have are larger than you in that market?
Doug McMillon
executiveJohn, you may want to engage Seth as well. We have advertising business around the world. But John, would you like to go first?
John Furner
executiveYes, love to. Thanks for the question, Robby. Now first, take a step back and the journey of e-commerce has been really exciting over the last few years. We've made progress with fulfillment with bringing the apps together. We've built stronger delivery capabilities. You saw some of those yesterday, a lot's happened in the supply chain. And I say all that because it enables not only the growth of the stores, but obviously, 1P commerce and then our marketplace sellers have opportunities to enjoy the services that we offer, connect to more customers. And something that Seth said earlier is really important is our growth, our primary -- our fastest growth has been with marketplace sellers and the number of sellers that are using the services. And this business, it's about 5 years old. So it's relatively young. In our terms, we feel like it has a lot of room to grow. So regardless if the market is slightly up, flat, who knows what will happen, we have an opportunity to do more with our suppliers and sellers because you heard this a few times today, in many ways, we feel like we're just getting started. And in some of these businesses, we are just getting started in the last couple of years. Do you want to add anything?
Seth Dallaire
executiveYes. Just that the emphasis on building assortment in the 3P marketplace will bring a large number of potential advertisers forward for us. So we think we're just getting started there. So we have a lot of opportunity, as John mentioned. Similarly, our attribution and the ability to measure sales or impact of marketing investments, both in a physical and digital channel, is unique at our scale. So we think that, that makes it a pretty durable and interesting model as well. I'd lastly ask you to consider the VIZIO piece of the business in that that's a new connected TV inventory supply pool for us. There's a ton of advertiser demand behind that. That was our fastest-growing segment of off-site inventory in the past year. And we think bringing that into the Walmart business offers us a lot of optionality for growth because that's new placements that we had only been accessing through our relationship with the Trade Desk in the past.
John Rainey
executiveIf I can just add one thing, too, Robby. It is a relative game also. And as we've seen in times like this in the past, customers, when they're looking for value, are going to come to Walmart. And if you're an advertiser, you want to follow the eyeballs. And so I think we stand pretty well positioned there.
Kathryn McLay
executiveAnd if I could just jump in as well, too. I think one of the things we've been talking about, too, is how do we scale best-in-class tech across the entire enterprise as well. So digital advertising is a great example where we were able to look at the tech capability we had around digital advertising, and the U.S. was superior to what we had in our other markets. And so we've built out kind of digital platforms that enable us to now bring those markets on with that kind of tech that the U.S. had built, and it's unlocking opportunities in each of the markets that previously weren't there. They had digital advertising businesses, but they had been developed locally, and they were really more of a kind of omni-based and didn't have marketplace capabilities. So really, it's only just in the last 6 months, we started unlocking digital advertising for our sellers across international. So we really think that there's a lot more upside for us because we're just beginning on that journey.
Christopher Nicholas
executiveWe feel the same way with Sam's Club. The difference with Sam's Club is it's about quality versus quantity. And the thing that's great about us is that loop of enriched data that we have for all of our members that keeps getting richer with every interaction, we get to use that to sell uniquely high-quality insights to our suppliers. And again, we're just getting started.
Gregory Melich
analystGreg Melich with Evercore ISI. I wanted to double-click on something you said before, Doug, which is you've seen this before and you've managed through it. How do you see your price gaps right now? And given the volatility in the world, is this the year or the time that we're going to be leaning more into value or more into convenience or more into assortment as you think of the ways to really reinforce the share gains over the last few years?
Doug McMillon
executiveYes. Thanks very much. When I think about this across countries, I think the starting point is that we like where our price gaps are and we want to keep them. So step one, I think the mindset is that we would at least maintain those gaps. If you had us choose between widening them or having them narrow, we're not going to let them narrow. So I think we're going to end up with this situation where we may see some improvement. It depends on what happens with everybody else. There are so many variables playing out in terms of what costs are going to be, where people source from. We're going to have to manage this as we always do daily. But the starting point would be we like where they are.
Peter Benedict
analystPeter Benedict with Baird, to your left. So a question on Sam's Club. Curious at the pace of remodel activity that we can expect with the club we'll see later today. And then a question on kind of the TAM. I mean it was mentioned a couple of times. The TAM for the club sector is enormous. I think there's a little over 1,400 clubs across the 3 -- the bigger players here in the U.S. Can you give us a sense for how -- I mean, how big do you think the club business can be in the U.S.? I mean you take shares from a lot of different players. Just any perspective on how you think about potential market share for Sam's or for club sector.
Christopher Nicholas
executiveGood stuff. On remodels -- thanks for the question, Peter. On remodels, I'd like to go faster than we are probably planning to be able to go because we want to deliver them in a solid way. Over the planning horizon is what I would say. So I'd love to say that it's going to -- they're all going to be done in 7 to 8 years. I hope we get them done faster. And then we'll be on a constant cycle of remodels. Keeping your clubs up to standard, making them great places that people want to shop, is something really important to keep on top of. And I've been at a bunch of clubs, they're incredible, they've just got such high member engagement. Our associates are loyal and they're long tenured, but they're working out boxes that are 40 years old, and I think the members deserve more. And what we see is, when we give that investment back to the community and back to our associates, the membership grows, the loyalty grows. They go and tell their friends, and we bring more members in. We've seen great growth in membership in Grapevine, and we want to see more of that, too. On the total addressable market, I would tell you this, that between us and our main competitor, I think the member share is like 6%. So when you look at the quality of offering, the omni options that we're giving people, speed, value, great assortment, all served in a frictionless way, we see, let's just say, as long as I can see forward, that growth is going to come from all sector -- all parts of the country. We're not tethered to clubs anymore because our eCom offering is broader, it's faster and it's great value. We see opportunities in white space all over the country for new clubs, which we're excited about. If you think about this, like a Sam's membership, a Plus membership, you would know this, I'm sure you're a Plus member, is $110. You can pay that very quickly. If you buy one great item of GM, you might get 4 or 5x that value. And we expect more and more households to see that. And we have great data to know who's not members today, and we're using this increasingly personalized approach to targeting people who we think would be great club members to come to us, and that's all the way from the Gen Z and millennials, all the way up to those folks that are just 2 people at home because their kids are empty nesters. We see growth everywhere across it. So it's a good place to be.
Bradley Thomas
analystGreat. Next up, from Brad Thomas from KeyBanc, over here. The question is on the financial outlook. And that outlook for operating income to grow faster than sales is the same as 2 years ago. You've had very impressive results over the last 2 years and the growth businesses that are higher margin are even bigger, and so mathematically should contribute even more. And so the question is really, if we put aside tariffs, easier said than done, but if we put aside tariffs, is that still the setup, that operating income mathematically should be even easier to get at the rate that we've been seeing of late? And how do you think about balancing flowing it through to shareholders versus reinvesting in the business?
John Rainey
executiveYes. So I talked about in my earlier remarks that as these faster-growing, higher-margin businesses proportionately become a bigger part of our business, certainly, as you move forward into the out-years, you should see the ability for us to have even better margin expansion than what we've seen. But I think we've done a good job balancing that with the investments in the business over the last few years. And in any planning cycle, there's always a risk of not executing perfectly on everything that you draw up on your plan. There's also investments that you don't anticipate that you need to react to. The guidance that we've given, I think, gives us the flexibility to manage both those. I think it's the appropriate outlook for us. If you look over the last 2 years, as we talked about earlier, we've grown the top line 5% and almost 2x that on operating income. We certainly have that kind of potential going forward. Now the period of time that we're in, obviously has a lot of uncertainty, and we'll manage through that, and we're going to be focused on achieving our strategy, but also at the same time, playing this for -- playing offense, like trying to gain share because, if you look back 2 years ago, when we saw inflation, we invited a lot of new customers to Walmart with high prices. And what we saw over those 2 years is they stayed with us. We have a similar opportunity today. But yes, I think we have a tremendous opportunity as we go forward to not only see earnings growth, but free cash flow growth as well. But we want to balance that with the level of investment that we both anticipate and maybe don't see today.
Kathryn McLay
executiveCan I just say on the op inc because I want you all to track with this as we go through our earnings results, and in international, in particular. Like last year, it was a 9% top line, 17% bottom line growth. But Q1 was 11% and 27% bottom line growth. And the thing I've learned in international is that every quarter is kind of choppy. And so I'm going to be lapping a really strong Q1. But I think the equation holds, but like my results end up being a little bit up and down through the quarter. So I just wanted to like put that preface out there before we go into the year.
Doug McMillon
executiveYou now I know what it's like to negotiate with Kath over it, but...
Scot Ciccarelli
analystBut Scot Ciccarelli with Truist, right here. Your eCommerce business was losing over $1 billion annually not that long ago, a couple of years ago. You expect it to be profitable this year. Can you help us understand how much of that profit improvement is from scale and the lower cost to serve that we kind of saw and heard about yesterday versus the profit streams from advertising 3P, kind of the other things that are kind of getting added into it?
John Furner
executiveScot, we look at it every way you just described. And if you go back a few years, our eCommerce business was heavily focused on a first-party business delivered from fulfillment centers. And then a few years ago, we made the decision to combine our eCommerce application, our app that was for the first-party eCommerce business, our pickup and delivery business in stores, really helpful. Suresh and I worked on that and the team for a few years. We got everything in one place. We then expanded our eCommerce offering to include store delivery. Our 3P business has expanded. And as a result of doing those, that has enabled us to be in the position to launch the Walmart Connect business. The Data Ventures business, of course, is somewhat tethered to eCommerce, but it also represents the entire customer experience. And then for our marketplace sellers, having a value where they can access customers at costs that are -- that makes sense for them on their P&L and then ultimately, having an advertising business where, what Seth said is right, being able to attribute sales from what customers see to what they put together, it's all important. So then the second part is we have gotten to scale. We knew scale was important, particularly at the size of business that we run and the geographies, and it's a really big country. So we have to think about how you build density and frequency and delivery from fulfillment centers and from stores. The delivery and frequency, as those have increased, we have seen our cost down. And then over the last couple of years, you also heard -- you've heard a lot today about our fast delivery services. Customers value their time, in some cases, as much as the cost. But we're going to stay focused on value. We want to deliver quickly. And when you add all that up, we're in the position now where we can say -- what we said to you this morning is we have moved from losses. Last year was an improvement in losses of about 80%. We're experiencing profitability. We think that we'll be able to do that for this year. It's really exciting. I'm really proud of the team because we had to work at this for a long time and keep figuring out what's the formula? What's the equation to build an omni business? Walmart is 101. John David said that earlier. This is a unique business with the store footprint, the supply chain footprint. It was all task built for something. It's changed a lot in the last few years. All that put together, what do we want to do? We want to serve customers with the lowest prices possible. We want to serve them as quickly as possible. Whether they shop in the store, at the curb, in their home, on their driveway, that's for them to decide. So increasingly, we'll continue to focus on customers, what we can do for customers, learn their business, grow share. We'll manage the middle of the P&L. Short term, long term, we'll have a strong focus on how we manage the middle so we can deliver results for our shareholders.
John Rainey
executiveIf I can add, the densification of our network matters a lot, too. Chris and I were joking yesterday as we were going through the FC, and he was relaying like when we first started building that, there's a little bit of we've got to make sure that we can fill this with -- and we have the demand for this and the volume, and we've been able to see that. We talked about U.S. eCommerce profitability, but globally, we're making similar progress. In fact, people have asked what's changed given the current environment. I think if we were to rewind a month or 2 ago, we may have felt comfortable saying that we think we could achieve profitability on a global basis this year. Our plan had assumed that. It was by a thinner margin. U.S. is helping to support that. But given some of the pressures that we see, like we've highlighted Mexico is an area that has not performed as well as what we initially expected, maybe that's in jeopardy, but the progress is on the same trajectory. We're doing really well in our international segments, and it's a big contributor to incremental margins. As these segments and these entities are going from loss-making to positive, it's driving a lot of the overall margin improvement.
Doug McMillon
executiveWe know what the model is. We're just executing and scaling the model. And as John said, we look at it with and without advertising. And at some point, we'll be talking about what it looks like without advertising and that it's achieved profitability that way as we scale it.
Michael Lasser
analystIt's Michael Lasser from UBS. Walmart has grown up during a period of globalization. And so arguably, it's been able to harvest a greater portion of the profit pool of a more efficient global economy. If we enter a period now where there's deglobalization, less efficiency in the global economy, does that impact Walmart's ability to gain as much share of the global profit pool of connecting goods to consumers? And you laid out this algorithm that growth top line 4% and operating income of above 4%. Presumably, you're going to say, "Listen, costs are fungible and we'll be able to adjust." How long do those adjustment periods take place? Meaning, if there's a year where you're growing profitability below average, is it reasonable for shareholders to expect the following year that you would grow above average to get to those average levels?
Doug McMillon
executiveYes, there's a lot in there. Michael, I think the first answer is our assortment breadth helps us everywhere. And we've wanted to buy goods locally forever. In the U.S., that means Made in the U.S.A. Sam Walton was known for that. We do good work around the clock really and during the year to identify suppliers that are here in the U.S., new ones or existing ones that we can bring in to the company to help increase our U.S. percent of total. There's a similar process around the world as we grow. So I think just like every other retailer, we'll have a period of time to adjust. And it's just impossible to call how that's going to play out by quarter. I wouldn't attempt to answer the question about next year. We're just going to update you as we go from quarter-to-quarter. We'll try to do a good job of being transparent about what we're seeing. Again, our confidence level is high because we've seen great fluctuation in the supply chain 2020, 2021. A number of us have experienced in South America in the past, dealing with inflationary periods. We've seen this before, and we know how to manage it, and we'll update you as we go.
Christopher Horvers
analystChris over here, on the left. Chris Horvers from JPMorgan. I'll add to the tariff kitty on the plus or minus 6%.
Doug McMillon
executiveFor 3?
Christopher Horvers
analystYes, I got 3. As you think about reaffirming the guidance for the year, it's a very confident, front-footed thing to do. What gives you confidence in that outlook, whether it's your mix, whether maybe some things are coming in better expected, like the U.S. eCommerce profitability seems to be coming in sooner than you would have thought versus the strategy of tabling it and addressing it in May when maybe we know a little bit more about what rules we're operating under?
Doug McMillon
executiveYes. John, David and I, and others can chime in if they want, will address that. When I think about our situation in the income statement, there's a lot of activity that will likely happen as it relates to tariffs in that cost of goods and gross margin area. And the confidence that we have is we believe we've got the people, the experience, the tools to be able to manage what happens with unit quantities, cost of goods, retail prices, watching relative pricing versus competition, we can manage that part of the income statement well. And the underlying changes that we've made are going to continue. People are still going to migrate towards eCommerce. People are still going to want delivery. And we've got room to improve on curbside pickup, on delivery, on delivery speed. Just in retail, you get what you earn. I guess that's the way it is in all business. It's certainly true in retail. If you deserve it, customers and members will reward you with business. If you don't, they won't. And we have confidence in our ability to continue earning their business as we do things like remodel stores and improve in the areas that I just described. So you could flip the question around, you could ask why didn't you withdraw guidance, for example? We just don't know enough to say we're not going to make this year. And our attitude is we're not giving up on that. And we can manage these things. And if that changes at the appropriate time, we would update you.
John Rainey
executiveIt's hard for me to improve upon that. But we're, as I said earlier, basically 1 week into this new environment. There's not anything that we see right now that would say that we should give up on the year. We've got a lot of levers, and we'll be pulling those, and we'll be managing through this. And as we've talked about several times over the last 1.5 days, we've seen historically, in times like this, that we gain share. Customers are coming to us. And so that has an advantage to our P&L as well. So as we sit here in the middle of April, we're still optimistic that we can achieve that outcome for the year.
Zhihan Ma
analystGreat. Zhihan Ma from Bernstein. I wanted to ask about your long-term profitability outlook. Given that while Walmart U.S. used to be, what, 7.5%, close to 8%, EBIT margin business back in the days, is there a path for us to get closer to that level in the next couple of years with the help of better eCommerce profitability, better high-margin business mix? What does that time line look like? And what are the key building blocks?
John Rainey
executiveYes. We certainly would hope that we would be able to get up to some of the margins that we've seen historically without committing to any specific number. But we think structurally, our business has changed in a way that we can see much higher margins than where we are today. Again, as these faster-growing parts of our business that are higher margin become a bigger part of our overall business mix, it's just math, and that's going to happen. But at the same time, we don't want to shy away from investments. Some of those investments are not just balance sheet, they're P&L investments if they position us to be more successful longer term. And so I think we have the latitude and perhaps the luxury to be very balanced in the way that we approach that, to play the long game here. But we certainly are going to see margin expansion based upon what we are planning in our strategy right now.
Karen Short
analystKaren Short from Melius Research. So the question is, what surprised you about U.S. with respect to becoming profitable on eCom this early? Because I think that would not have been what I would have expected based on your earnings call. But along those lines, can you talk a little bit about what the average delivery mix has done -- or dollars for the delivery, but also what the mix has done over time as it relates to consumables versus non?
John Furner
executiveKaren, so a number of things have come together. And just the announcement this morning is exciting, but that is on the back of an 80% improvement last year, improvement the year before. And it starts with the customer. First of all, where is the customer headed? It's a large retail market. It's been growing. About 1% to 1.5% of retail has shifted from physical to digital for a long time. There was some variation during the pandemic that leveled back out. But that's about where we see, about 27% roughly of the way we would define the retail market as digital and continues to grow. So we need to be where the customer is. And if the customer chooses to order online, if they choose to have something delivered into their refrigerator, pick it up, find the store, we want to be there for all those. We just want to be an agent for the customer. As you look at the overall economics, scale is important. You saw some great investments that we've made over the last few years. We'll see more this afternoon while we're in the store. So all these investments were designed to help the customer and to help Walmart deliver the best omni experience we can to our customer. And then launching Walmart+ was an exciting part of the journey. We said this morning, about 90% of our front-store deliveries are Walmart+ members. They consume a large part of the volume that we do in eCommerce. Mixing that together then with marketplace sellers and helping them reach new audiences and then building the businesses on top of that, Walmart Connect, Data Ventures, all that put together have helped to reshape the economics. And I don't want to step past the work that a lot of the team, a lot of them are here in both sides of the back of the room, have spent a lot of time the last few years on inventory management. And you've heard a lot from us on inventory management in the last 3 years. Again, we'll show you more things in the store this afternoon. It's really important for us to understand what we own, where it is, how it's deployable. Having inventory placed in 4,600 locations close to the customer is a massive enabler to help people with everything they need and everything they want. This idea of delivering prescriptions mixed with grocery, general merchandise. That's really unique to be able to do that in an hour. And so we're just going to continue to do the things that we hear from our customers to build frequency, deliver densely in neighborhoods. We want to try to ensure that we're listening. You heard Latriece this morning talk about a number of brands and private brands. A lot of those ideas come from our customers and search data, come from things we hear from our customers. They come from what our stores are telling us. And Chris Nicholas, when he was CEO, did a great job building our capacity and our ability to listen to our associates, listen to customers and react to those quickly. And I'm really proud of the work that he did there, and the team is continuing that as we move forward. So again, just look at us, at our ability to serve customers, how we're growing share in the top line. I think we have a good plan and a good model to manage the middle. All that put together, we're in a good spot to continue managing the profitability of eCommerce going forward.
John Rainey
executiveI've been so impressed with what you guys have done in improving delivery cost. And Karen, for me, like if you were to ask me, not being as involved as John is on this, the customer's willingness to pay for express delivery, to have something within 1 hour or within 3 hours, we fully have 1/3 of our customers that are doing that today, it shows you the importance of speed. We talked about that both internationally, talked about it in our Sam's business and the U.S. business, but that helps defray some of the costs that we incur when we're delivering a package. Also batch density, the fact that we've densified our network and now, instead of delivering a package to 1 house on a street, we're doing it to 5 houses on a street. All these things help the improvements that you've made in delivery cost.
Joseph Feldman
analystWay over here, guys, to your right, sorry. Joe Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group. Yesterday, we spent a lot of time seeing automation in the distribution facilities. Can you talk more about the pace of that rollout to other facilities and then other opportunities within the existing framework that you could maybe take in without a full conversion and sort of the pacing of that as it cycles into profitability over the next few years?
John Furner
executiveYes, I'd be happy to take that one. Exciting facility that we saw yesterday. We have 4 of those up and running. We have another in construction that's getting close. Over time, I'm sure we'll expand the network. About half of the building yesterday is fulfilling marketplace items as well as first fee inventory. really efficient. It's a great environment to work in. That was a relocation of a facility. We had a number of associates transfer over, and they've done a great job getting it up and running. Importantly, whether it's eCommerce or perishable centers or the regional centers, we're very convicted and confident that the model we built with those centers is very scalable. And so the pace is exciting in all the networks, we're going as fast as we can go. And the reason I say it that way, we were all together in a facility last week in New Braunfels, Texas. And many of you were in Brooksville with us a couple of years ago, and you saw what -- how Symbotic works inside of our building with a single mod. We've expanded that in a few buildings where there are 2 mods running. And in that building room last week, we're seeing the 2 running and a third on the way. The benefit to having the center completely automated, number one, is it's very accurate. We know where our inventory is. It's very fast. The inventory is deployed and it's distributed by aisle on the pallet. So when the store receives it, the pallet is set up, ready to go for the aisle. That saves our associates' time unloading in the store. It saves them time with stocking the store and helps us with availability. We're building a 24-hour network. And with 3 mods running, a large part of the supercenter in almost all of the neighborhood markets will be 24 hours away. So the accuracy of knowing what you need based on demand, what you expect, I talked about agents and other things, helping us understand the local level demand, knowing what's needed, knowing how it's deployable, meaning just a few hours away from a deployment, is a great benefit for all of our store associates. I started in stores 32 years ago and our systems where you would write it down and you would look and you would move inventory around and you could do the best you can with in-stock. We have so many tools today that tie all this together. So we're in the store this afternoon, we'll show you the way that the associates are managing their inventory, the way they manage the store. It's all connected. This is a connected system. Suresh and team have built platforms for us where we can see what's happening. We know in real time what's happening. We use computer vision, AI, all these tools come together so that our associates in the home office and the supply chain and the stores are really well equipped to be able to serve customers frequently, customers however they want to be served. And we'll just continue, as we said earlier, we're going to do everything we can to keep prices low. We're going to manage our costs, our supply chain costs. These will all help our costs. And finally, we're going to manage our inventory really carefully.
Kathryn McLay
executiveI think, too, as you think about that rollout of automation as well, I was anchoring before on how we learn and that learning agility. We've had AGVs, which is autonomous guided vehicles, within our supply chain across international, which is a quick deploy and a lower threshold cost to be able to get it in place. But what we've been doing is watching, as you've been building out these capabilities with Symbotic, with WITRON, et cetera, and we want to be the fast follower. So we've now engaged Symbotic to deploy that level of automation into Walmex, and we're looking at other opportunities with them as well, too. So there's so much value that can be created by leveraging the capabilities and learnings in each of the parts of the enterprise and then deploying them across fast.
Doug McMillon
executiveInventory flow and accuracy is one of the key drivers of our economics. And if you think about morale, a clean backroom that's flowing drives associate morale more than anything else. And when I look at what we had, it was all built for what we needed at the time, the ambient network for discount stores, and then a perishable network for our food business and then an eCommerce distribution process fulfillment center network. Now it's more connected. Data is more connected. Software is more connected. John mentioned the word platforms. What Suresh and the team have done to create commonality enables us to optimize. And we weren't able to optimize before. We were, by nature, suboptimizing. And when you layer AI into this entire equation and you think about improvements in forecasting and other areas, it gets really exciting to think about what's possible in the future to do a better job of predicting demand, matching it with supply and taking out all of the costs and other friction that goes along with imperfect freight flow.
Kelly Bania
analystKelly Bania from BMO right over here. The shape of the P&L has clearly changed so much for Walmart over the last several years. I guess the question is, if we get into a tougher macro, this will be the first time investors will kind of see how that holds up in this -- in a different environment. So a question is on 2 components of that, first, on advertising. What kind of advertising growth is embedded in your forecast? And are you seeing any signs that some of that top-of-the-funnel ad dollars are already being pulled? I think that's typically maybe what can get first to go. So that's the first part. And then two, on membership, how much of your members for Walmart+ pay monthly versus annually?
John Furner
executiveI think on the -- I'll take the first one and feel free to jump in. On the shape of the P&L, and specifically with advertising, advertising will reflect how well we execute our eCommerce business both first and third party. First party would include first-party inventory and fulfillment centers. It includes inventory that's in stores. And if a customer needs an item, let's say, it's a sweater or a soccer ball, football, whatever it is, we want to deploy the inventory to them that is closest to them. And we want to be really specific. The more specific they are, the more specific we want to make sure that we show them the catalog where they can transact. If they're open to discovery, then of course, we'll open up the aperture more where they can see more of an assortment. We want to be able to deliver that. As far as the mix of how this can come out, we're built for any economy. Of course, if we had a choice, we'll take a strong economy. That's always the best position to be in. But in a weaker economy, we can rely on our team. And again, I look to this group back here, they have years and years and decades of experience dealing with delivering value the very best way they can. And we do that in a fair way. We want to make sure that we charge a fair price, we make a fair margin. Our suppliers are able to make a fair margin. It's a big system that has to work together. But when people need value, just like what John David said earlier, 3 years ago, we were able to meet a lot of new customers. I believe that has also a lot to do with convenience and ability to serve them however they want to be served, and they've stayed with us. And this could be potentially another situation where our value will be really appealing to a lot of customers.
Doug McMillon
executiveAnd then on Walmart+.
John Furner
executiveSorry, it's a mix. Seth said it earlier, we are pleased, very, very pleased, that the membership base is very diverse in terms of incomes, how they pay. Some pay monthly. Obviously, a large percentage pay annually. We have students, we have families, individuals. But this is not a membership program that I would say skews one direction in a big way. The team has built in a lot of flexibility with the benefits, so maybe fuel benefits is there, streaming benefit is there. It all anchors, of course, on delivery. But these individual benefits, it's important that we have a wide selection of people can choose. Ultimately, what's most important in there is delivery. And people using delivery is where we see our customers move from stores to omni. And then in the membership program, that increases spend. And then using fast delivery more frequently, we see an additional step change in how people are spending with the brand.
Rupesh Parikh
analystRupesh Parikh, Oppenheimer. Just going back to the discretionary category, we'd just love to hear your thinking on how you guys are thinking about the discretionary category for the year. I know I think earlier today, Jamie Dimon is calling for maybe a recession. So I just want to get a sense of how you guys are planning in discretionary and how you're thinking about it.
Doug McMillon
executiveMargin mix comes to mind and higher price points come to mind. I've been thinking a lot about outdoor patio and grills lately as it relates to this. I think that's where mix becomes important. There may be some higher price points where we take a shorter margin than we might have historically and spread that cost pressure somewhere else so that we can manage the total. And we'll use the tools that we have, the math and science that we have, but also judgment that we have, to try and mitigate that because we've got to sell through, especially seasonal items at a high-enough level that the P&L works.
Oliver Chen
analystIt's Oliver Chen, TD Cowen. Regarding AI and agentic AI, AI was pervasive throughout the meeting, what would you prioritize as the top AI factors in terms of how we should think about what will move the needle in modeling? And as we look forward on the recession risk factor, general merchandise has been a bumpy category. What are your thoughts about innovation there as you think about so many categories within general merchandise?
Doug McMillon
executiveYes. You guys take the second question. As it relates to AI, Suresh, I'd like for you to comment. I would just say, first, there are top-down initiatives, use cases, Oliver, that we know we want to solve for, and we work together on those. But we also want to distribute AI to all of our associates so that organically, we get goodness. And that's been done through associate apps and through some of the merchant tools that we spoke about earlier and in other ways.
Suresh Kumar
executiveYes. Look, I think we are in a very, very exciting time when it comes to technology and how that's going to impact retail. When we look at AI, first of all, like what Doug was talking about, we have been investing in AI long before the gen AI boom became a reality. So we have got -- we invested in AI on the customer experience side, customer member experience, and in terms of how we run our business, the tools that our associates use. The automation that you have seen, it's not just about the physical automation inside the FCs and the distribution centers, it's about how inventory actually flows and how we orchestrate the movement of the inventory. So we've been investing in all of these things. As gen AI becomes more and more powerful, what we have been focused on, apart from making sure that every associate gets sort of the right tools, we have also been looking at how we can use that to shape the customer experience. You saw sort of an early version of that in Sparky. We believe that going forward, customer experience is going to become more personalized and contextual so that through AI, we can understand not just what your preferences are, but what exactly are you trying to do. Are you trying to just keep your pantry in stock? Are you actually planning for an event? Are you getting inspired by something that you saw on social media? AI has got the ability now for you to -- for us to be able to understand both what your preferences are and what your context is. So we want to push that very, very hard and kind of rethink about how we can serve customers and members better. On the internal side, one part of it is all the tools that we are now able to give to our associates. Wally is a great example of that. The work that we are doing to help our associates inside the store, that's another example of that. And finally, the place where we are also investing very heavily in is how we orchestrate the movement of inventory, everything from identifying sort of the time to product, to being able to use AI to be able to better predict demand, and then finally, how we figure out what is the right amount of inventory to carry, where do we carry it and optimize the movement of that inventory. So all of these things start coming together.
John Furner
executiveWhich is a great bridge to general merchandise, when I walked in the room, the vignette that Sam's Club has on my left, your right; Walmart on the other side. The assortment is really important. So understanding intent, what people are trying to do is really important because you start to get signals early, get micro signals about what may be changing or maybe things aren't changing. If people are going to travel, then we'll be there to get them ready for their trip for the supplies they need. And when they get to their destination, then we can serve them as well. If they stay home, we have patio furniture. We have a grill assortment. We have opening price point. We have a better assortment, a top end of the assortment. So we can be really flexible in any situation. And if you go back 10, 20 years, and we've been through different scenarios where there were staycations or people traveled more. We can figure out how to make those things work. But what we want to ultimately do is understand at the individual level, back to understanding identity within the growth areas, is really understand exactly what Suresh said, your intent within context. So search information, behavioral information tells us something. And then if we can be more predictive through the merchandising tools to be able to deploy the right inventory in front of you, adjust buys if we need it, we're doing those things already. We've been doing those things already. We just see this as a step change where the technology can just help us accelerate our ability to understand and react to insights.
Suresh Kumar
executiveThis is where Walmart has got a great advantage because we serve customers in more ways than anybody else. So that means that we have many more places where we can understand both the customer and their intent. Ultimately, it's all about how effectively we can take the data and then the models can work on the data. And that combination, Walmart has got a better advantage than just about anybody else, just given the fact that it's not just only about online, it's about what -- how we serve our customers inside the store, the services. Put it all together, you have a much better view from a customer perspective of what they want as well as what is the context.
Christopher Nicholas
executiveI might just say for Sam's Club, I mean, it's great items at great value. I know I've said it before, but it's the essence of our business model. And if you think about two things I've said, one is personalization where we can serve you up because we know you better, the thing you need next. That's a super power, and it's enabled by AI in a way we've never been able to do. We're able to capture richer and richer and richer data. And every single time you shop with us or someone that shops like you shops with us, we get to serve something better to you that allows you to see the value we create. And the second is our merchants spend so much time, we've got this -- John mentioned the vignette, this patio set here, $2,700. It's $10,000 anywhere else. It's incredible value. And the merchants have a saying, which is, "If you have doubt, design more quality into it." That's really important because at these times, when people are spending money, they're going to become choiceful. They're going to buy something that has -- that stands the test of time, and these are great examples of that.
Doug McMillon
executiveWe're looking over there that sandwashed hoodie. Julie had me touch it yesterday, and I bought 2 on my app before I walked away from the corner. I highly recommend you go feel that apparel.
Christopher Nicholas
executivePlease do that.
Stephanie Wissink
executiveWe are at the end of our time. I'm sorry. Doug, can you close this out?
Doug McMillon
executiveYes. First of all, Steph, thank you to you, John David, the IR team, for helping pull all this together. Obviously, there was a lot happening in the last week or so, and all of you have done a nice job managing that. Thank you to our entire team for helping prepare this time together. We really do appreciate those of you that traveled to be here in person so that you could see what we're doing, both yesterday, and we look forward to taking you to the store and club now. Again, the way we think about this is we have been positioning ourselves to succeed on the top line by the way we serve customers and members, and we're going to keep doing that. We're going to keep changing so that we're relevant in whatever way people want to shop. Using technology is actually very exciting, and we are letting our imaginations run wild about what might come next. And as we do that, the business model has been shaped in a way that we get pull-through, and we plan to execute that. And the question we got earlier about how we think about shareholders in this equation is I look at the past and appreciate the freedom we were given to make some investments, and our operating income percentage went down as we did that. It's been coming back up lately. We would like for that to continue even in an environment where we may have some tariffs. So we'll navigate this. We'll manage it. We'll do our best to be transparent with you as is appropriate as we go through this process, and we appreciate the confidence that you have in the company and the attention that you paid to us.
John Rainey
executiveThank you.
Stephanie Wissink
executiveWe're going to end the webcast there. Thank you, everyone, for joining us.
This call discussed
For developers and AI pipelines
Programmatic access to Walmart Inc. earnings transcripts and 32,000+ others is available through the
EarningsCalls.dev REST API. Plans from $24.99/month — full transcripts, speaker segments,
full-text search, and the recently-added /api/v1/transcripts/recent polling endpoint for ETL pipelines.